SIH26183 Universal Cross-Chain Risk Model

A structure-based global LightGBM model for cryptocurrency transaction-flow risk triage.

Supported chains

  • Bitcoin
  • Ethereum
  • Solana

Model architecture

Normalized blockchain transactions โ†’ directed flow graph โ†’ 12 universal structural features โ†’ StandardScaler โ†’ LightGBM โ†’ risk probability

Universal features

[ "tx_count", "unique_counterparties", "in_tx_count", "out_tx_count", "in_degree", "out_degree", "total_degree", "degree_ratio", "is_source", "is_sink", "mean_successor_out_degree", "mean_predecessor_in_degree", "pagerank", "active_span", "mean_event_time", "event_time_std", "recent_activity_age", "log_in_volume", "log_out_volume", "log_total_volume", "in_out_value_ratio", "inflow_concentration", "outflow_concentration" ]

Threshold

0.45545454545454545

Important limitation

This model provides an analytical triage signal.

It does NOT independently establish:

  • criminal liability
  • wallet ownership
  • VASP attribution
  • intent
  • legal guilt

Blockchain evidence and investigator review remain authoritative.

Input

The inference service expects normalized transaction relationships following the CommonTransaction structure.

Output

The service returns:

  • ML probability
  • threshold decision
  • risk level
  • risk points
  • graph statistics
  • per-node scores

Intended use

Investigation-support and research purposes.

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