Slipstream · MiniCPM5-1B project-controls forecasting agent (GGUF)

A LoRA fine-tune of MiniCPM5-1B, distilled from Kimi K2.6's agentic traces, that acts as a project-controls forecasting agent. It runs a strict tool-calling loop - classical Earned-Value metrics + Google TimesFM 2.5 time-series forecasting - to project schedule slippage, final cost (EAC) and overrun risk, then reconciles the evidence into a final estimate with its own reasoning. Built for the Build Small Hackathon (Backyard AI track).

Results - held-out, vs the Kimi K2.6 parent, through the same agent loop

agent valid_rate finish-period err (median) EAC error (median)
this model (MiniCPM5-1B distilled, LoRA r64) 1.00 3.5 1.8%
Kimi K2.6 (parent) 1.00 3.5 1.7%

The 1B student is statistically indistinguishable from its frontier parent on this task.

Run with llama.cpp

llama-cli -m minicpm5-1b-slipstream-q8_0.gguf -ngl 99 -c 8192 --jinja

Or via llama-cpp-python inside the agent loop - see the Slipstream repo (app + src/local_llm.py). Fully offline; no cloud APIs. Q8_0, ~1.15 GB.

Training

LoRA r64 on MiniCPM5-1B; 132 quality-filtered Kimi K2.6 traces + 35 curated project-controls domain Q&A, in the OpenAI tool-call message format (= the MiniCPM chat template directly). Distilled and exported on Modal; merge + GGUF conversion run on CPU.

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