tope1129/goethe_v3

cascade-poolaligned-v23

Upgraded generator combining the three public top artifacts, reweighted against lagged cascade-eval-pool/snapshots (through 2026-07-22).

Sources

Rank	Hub artifact	Kept
1 (king)	jan/cascade9	Dynamics-heavy core, prefetch stream, spectral/long-memory/OU families
2	cascade-gen/cascade-v21	Coupled calendar pairs, periods 15/60/240, integrated Student-t + SV, TSMixup, prefix pad, proportional sanitize
3	cascade-gen/cascade-v17-preparing1	retail_demand, richer intermittent/pulse, prefix-calibrated artifacts, burn-in / Davies–Harte long memory

Pool-driven upgrades (v23)

• Cadence mass ≈ empirical periods: 7, 96, 288, 60, 240, 144, 48, 24, 15
• Family mass ↑ nature sensors / spectral / long-memory / retail / counts; ↓ chaos
• Ultra-persistent nonnegative sensor archetype (streamflow/SST-like)
• Pageview-scale lognormal bursts in counts + heavier pulse minority
• Nonnegative lift on a majority of spectral GP rows
• Slightly higher couple rate, pad_prefix, and TSMixup for short pooled histories

Validate

python -m cascade.miner.cli verify ./_top_codes/cascade-v23-poolaligned --chain-toml chain.toml

Contract validity and CPU throughput do not establish forecasting quality. Run a production-faithful GPU A/B against the current king before deploying.