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10-Year Heart Disease Risk (Framingham) Case Study

This repository contains a collection of 5 trained models comparing traditional Machine Learning algorithms against Deep Learning variants on an imbalanced tabular healthcare dataset.

Dataset Profile

  • Task: Binary Classification (TenYearCHD)
  • Rows: 4,238
  • Features: 15 clinical/demographic columns

Performance Evaluation Summary

The models were tracked across Accuracy and F1-Score:

  • Logistic Regression (Baseline): Accuracy 0.718 | F1-Score 0.055
  • Random Forest (Baseline): Accuracy 0.703 | F1-Score 0.067
  • Random Forest (Tuned): Accuracy 0.700 | F1-Score 0.073
  • MLP/ANN (Baseline): Accuracy 0.683 | F1-Score 0.220
  • MLP/ANN (Tuned): Accuracy 0.705 | F1-Score 0.023

Technical Takeaway

Due to class imbalance (~15% positive cases), standard accuracy measures are deceptive. Baseline MLP achieved the highest F1-Score optimization prior to hyperparameter tightening.

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