month stringdate 2018-01-01 00:00:00 2026-10-01 00:00:00 | index int64 2 98 | classification stringclasses 4
values | coins_outperforming_btc int64 1 47 | coins_evaluated int64 43 50 | btc_90d_change_pct float64 -57.25 174 | as_of stringdate 2018-01-31 00:00:00 2026-10-09 00:00:00 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2018-01 | 98 | Altcoin Season | 47 | 48 | 44.4 | 2018-01-31 |
2018-02 | 92 | Altcoin Season | 46 | 50 | 1.61 | 2018-02-28 |
2018-03 | 38 | Lean BTC | 18 | 48 | -50.74 | 2018-03-31 |
2018-04 | 28 | Lean BTC | 13 | 47 | -8.57 | 2018-04-30 |
2018-05 | 53 | Lean alt | 25 | 47 | -32.4 | 2018-05-31 |
2018-06 | 54 | Lean alt | 27 | 50 | -6.43 | 2018-06-30 |
2018-07 | 2 | Bitcoin Season | 1 | 50 | -15.76 | 2018-07-31 |
2018-08 | 4 | Bitcoin Season | 2 | 49 | -7.93 | 2018-08-31 |
2018-09 | 12 | Bitcoin Season | 6 | 49 | 0.17 | 2018-09-30 |
2018-10 | 28 | Lean BTC | 14 | 50 | -16.51 | 2018-10-31 |
2018-11 | 22 | Bitcoin Season | 11 | 49 | -44.15 | 2018-11-30 |
2018-12 | 31 | Lean BTC | 15 | 49 | -42.91 | 2018-12-31 |
2019-01 | 20 | Bitcoin Season | 10 | 49 | -45.87 | 2019-01-31 |
2019-02 | 51 | Lean alt | 25 | 49 | -4.04 | 2019-02-28 |
2019-03 | 67 | Lean alt | 33 | 49 | 9.69 | 2019-03-31 |
2019-04 | 42 | Lean BTC | 20 | 48 | 53.48 | 2019-04-30 |
2019-05 | 27 | Lean BTC | 13 | 48 | 121.88 | 2019-05-31 |
2019-06 | 13 | Bitcoin Season | 6 | 46 | 160.14 | 2019-06-30 |
2019-07 | 15 | Bitcoin Season | 7 | 46 | 83.2 | 2019-07-31 |
2019-08 | 20 | Bitcoin Season | 9 | 45 | 10.15 | 2019-08-31 |
2019-09 | 17 | Bitcoin Season | 8 | 46 | -23.22 | 2019-09-30 |
2019-10 | 41 | Lean BTC | 19 | 46 | -12.54 | 2019-10-31 |
2019-11 | 69 | Lean alt | 34 | 49 | -22.43 | 2019-11-30 |
2019-12 | 63 | Lean alt | 31 | 49 | -14.29 | 2019-12-31 |
2020-01 | 56 | Lean alt | 27 | 48 | 0.28 | 2020-01-31 |
2020-02 | 57 | Lean alt | 27 | 47 | 15.83 | 2020-02-29 |
2020-03 | 72 | Lean alt | 34 | 47 | -10.58 | 2020-03-31 |
2020-04 | 42 | Lean BTC | 19 | 45 | -7.4 | 2020-04-30 |
2020-05 | 36 | Lean BTC | 17 | 47 | 6.67 | 2020-05-31 |
2020-06 | 53 | Lean alt | 24 | 45 | 38.31 | 2020-06-30 |
2020-07 | 60 | Lean alt | 28 | 47 | 25.98 | 2020-07-31 |
2020-08 | 76 | Altcoin Season | 34 | 45 | 22.57 | 2020-08-31 |
2020-09 | 58 | Lean alt | 25 | 43 | 18.21 | 2020-09-30 |
2020-10 | 29 | Lean BTC | 13 | 45 | 24.67 | 2020-10-31 |
2020-11 | 9 | Bitcoin Season | 4 | 46 | 55.62 | 2020-11-29 |
2020-12 | 10 | Bitcoin Season | 5 | 49 | 174.22 | 2020-12-31 |
2021-01 | 51 | Lean alt | 25 | 49 | 144.38 | 2021-01-31 |
2021-02 | 65 | Lean alt | 32 | 49 | 129.99 | 2021-02-28 |
2021-03 | 86 | Altcoin Season | 42 | 49 | 103.16 | 2021-03-31 |
2021-04 | 92 | Altcoin Season | 45 | 49 | 68.52 | 2021-04-30 |
2021-05 | 91 | Altcoin Season | 43 | 47 | -22.83 | 2021-05-31 |
2021-06 | 75 | Altcoin Season | 36 | 48 | -40.71 | 2021-06-30 |
2021-07 | 21 | Bitcoin Season | 10 | 48 | -26.5 | 2021-07-31 |
2021-08 | 26 | Lean BTC | 13 | 50 | 25.53 | 2021-08-31 |
2021-09 | 53 | Lean alt | 26 | 49 | 29.19 | 2021-09-30 |
2021-10 | 53 | Lean alt | 26 | 49 | 56.42 | 2021-10-31 |
2021-11 | 42 | Lean BTC | 21 | 50 | 16.7 | 2021-11-30 |
2021-12 | 40 | Lean BTC | 20 | 50 | -2.94 | 2021-12-31 |
2022-01 | 35 | Lean BTC | 17 | 49 | -39.13 | 2022-01-31 |
2022-02 | 20 | Bitcoin Season | 10 | 49 | -24.23 | 2022-02-28 |
2022-03 | 16 | Bitcoin Season | 8 | 49 | -1.66 | 2022-03-31 |
2022-04 | 21 | Bitcoin Season | 10 | 48 | -0.53 | 2022-04-30 |
2022-05 | 20 | Bitcoin Season | 10 | 49 | -27.62 | 2022-05-31 |
2022-06 | 26 | Lean BTC | 13 | 50 | -57.25 | 2022-06-30 |
2022-07 | 48 | Lean BTC | 24 | 50 | -39.43 | 2022-07-31 |
2022-08 | 90 | Altcoin Season | 45 | 50 | -34.19 | 2022-08-31 |
2022-09 | 64 | Lean alt | 32 | 50 | 0.98 | 2022-09-30 |
2022-10 | 49 | Lean BTC | 24 | 49 | -10.8 | 2022-10-31 |
2022-11 | 34 | Lean BTC | 17 | 50 | -14.7 | 2022-11-30 |
2022-12 | 24 | Bitcoin Season | 12 | 50 | -13.11 | 2022-12-31 |
2023-01 | 28 | Lean BTC | 14 | 50 | 14.78 | 2023-01-31 |
2023-02 | 36 | Lean BTC | 18 | 50 | 34.82 | 2023-02-28 |
2023-03 | 24 | Bitcoin Season | 12 | 49 | 72.1 | 2023-03-31 |
2023-04 | 8 | Bitcoin Season | 4 | 49 | 28.15 | 2023-04-30 |
2023-05 | 6 | Bitcoin Season | 3 | 49 | 15.95 | 2023-05-31 |
2023-06 | 18 | Bitcoin Season | 9 | 50 | 7.08 | 2023-06-30 |
2023-07 | 29 | Lean BTC | 14 | 49 | 1.92 | 2023-07-31 |
2023-08 | 20 | Bitcoin Season | 10 | 49 | -4.84 | 2023-08-31 |
2023-09 | 37 | Lean BTC | 18 | 49 | -11.93 | 2023-09-30 |
2023-10 | 18 | Bitcoin Season | 9 | 50 | 18.92 | 2023-10-31 |
2023-11 | 41 | Lean BTC | 20 | 49 | 46.17 | 2023-11-30 |
2023-12 | 67 | Lean alt | 32 | 48 | 53.52 | 2023-12-31 |
2024-01 | 68 | Lean alt | 34 | 50 | 21.88 | 2024-01-31 |
2024-02 | 54 | Lean alt | 27 | 50 | 58.18 | 2024-02-29 |
2024-03 | 46 | Lean BTC | 22 | 48 | 61.51 | 2024-03-31 |
2024-04 | 38 | Lean BTC | 19 | 50 | 42.4 | 2024-04-30 |
2024-05 | 34 | Lean BTC | 17 | 50 | 8.8 | 2024-05-31 |
2024-06 | 20 | Bitcoin Season | 10 | 50 | -10.08 | 2024-06-30 |
2024-07 | 14 | Bitcoin Season | 7 | 50 | 9.3 | 2024-07-31 |
2024-08 | 16 | Bitcoin Season | 8 | 50 | -12.96 | 2024-08-31 |
2024-09 | 34 | Lean BTC | 17 | 50 | 2.1 | 2024-09-30 |
2024-10 | 28 | Lean BTC | 14 | 50 | 14.33 | 2024-10-31 |
2024-11 | 70 | Lean alt | 35 | 50 | 68.25 | 2024-11-30 |
2024-12 | 47 | Lean BTC | 23 | 49 | 54.09 | 2024-12-31 |
2025-01 | 58 | Lean alt | 28 | 48 | 47.79 | 2025-01-31 |
2025-02 | 26 | Lean BTC | 12 | 47 | -12.52 | 2025-02-28 |
2025-03 | 19 | Bitcoin Season | 9 | 47 | -11.65 | 2025-03-31 |
2025-04 | 12 | Bitcoin Season | 6 | 49 | -10.05 | 2025-04-30 |
2025-05 | 12 | Bitcoin Season | 6 | 50 | 11.02 | 2025-05-31 |
2025-06 | 18 | Bitcoin Season | 9 | 49 | 25.79 | 2025-06-30 |
2025-07 | 39 | Lean BTC | 19 | 49 | 19.45 | 2025-07-31 |
2025-08 | 62 | Lean alt | 31 | 50 | 2.22 | 2025-08-31 |
2025-09 | 71 | Lean alt | 32 | 45 | 4.77 | 2025-09-30 |
2025-10 | 38 | Lean BTC | 18 | 48 | -2.64 | 2025-10-31 |
2025-11 | 23 | Bitcoin Season | 11 | 48 | -17.26 | 2025-11-30 |
2025-12 | 19 | Bitcoin Season | 9 | 48 | -27.49 | 2025-12-31 |
2026-01 | 20 | Bitcoin Season | 10 | 49 | -28.94 | 2026-01-31 |
2026-02 | 29 | Lean BTC | 14 | 49 | -25.88 | 2026-02-28 |
2026-03 | 42 | Lean BTC | 21 | 50 | -22.03 | 2026-03-31 |
2026-04 | 34 | Lean BTC | 17 | 50 | -9.3 | 2026-04-30 |
End of preview. Expand in Data Studio
SatoshiMacro Bitcoin Cycle Model and Altcoin Season Index
Daily Bitcoin and Ethereum cycle scores from the SatoshiMacro Model (a 48-signal, six-tier cycle confluence model, 0-100 scale), plus a monthly Altcoin Season Index. Updated daily by SatoshiMacro.
Source and live charts: satoshimacro.com. Methodology: SatoshiMacro Model.
Latest reading (2026-10-09): Bitcoin SMM 37.5 (Neutral), Ethereum SMM 38.3 (Neutral), Altcoin Season Index 62 (Lean alt).
Files
| File | Rows | Description |
|---|---|---|
data/smm_btc_daily.csv |
5030 | Daily Bitcoin SMM score since 2013-01-01: calibrated score, raw composite, zone, and the six tier scores |
data/smm_eth_daily.csv |
3933 | Daily Ethereum SMM score since 2016-01-01, same columns |
data/smm_btc_signals_latest.csv |
48 | Latest percentile score (0-100) for each of the Bitcoin model's signals |
data/altcoin_season_index_monthly.csv |
106 | Month-end Altcoin Season Index: share of the top 50 coins (point-in-time, stablecoins excluded) that beat Bitcoin over 90 days |
data/latest.json |
1 | Latest readings with links to the live pages |
Zones
| SMM | Zone |
|---|---|
| 0-15 | Deep Value |
| 15-30 | Accumulation |
| 30-50 | Neutral |
| 50-70 | Caution |
| 70-85 | Distribution |
| 85-100 | Cycle Top |
Tier weights (Bitcoin): cycle timing and mass psychology 30%, valuation 25%, sentiment 20%, rotation 10%, miner 10%, macro 5%. Each signal is an expanding-window percentile rank, so historical readings use only data available at the time.
Licence and attribution
CC BY 4.0. Free to use, including commercially, with credit. Please attribute as:
Data: SatoshiMacro (https://satoshimacro.com)
and link to the source page where practical. Not financial advice.
Citation
See CITATION.cff. Quarterly snapshots are archived on Zenodo with a DOI.
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