Patent ID: 8526955

Claim:
A movement predicting method, which uses at least one phone communicating in and moving between neighboring cells covered by a plurality of base stations to predict movement of users of said phone in a prediction interval, comprising steps: obtaining traffic volume generated by said phone in each said cell and handover information generated by said phone moving between said cells during one day with said base stations and storing said traffic volume and said handover information into a Mobile Switching Center (MSC); calculating said traffic volume and said handover information to obtain a movement probability that said user moves from one said cell to a neighboring said cell and an average residence time that said user stays in one region covered by one said cell for each communication period in one day with said MSC; and predicting an appearance probability that said user appears in each said region at an end point of said prediction interval according to a start point of said prediction interval, said movement probability, and said average residence time with said MSC.