Patent ID: 8219419

Claim:
A method comprising: specifying, on an a priori basis, characteristics of a population of participants eligible to be included in a first phase of a clinical trial and characteristics of one or more subpopulations of participants of said population eligible to be included in a second phase of said clinical trial; identifying a group of potential participants for said first phase of said clinical trial as having said specified characteristics of said population; with respect to said first phase of said clinical trial: allocating two or more of said potential participants in said identified group into a first plurality of treatment groups comprising a first active treatment group of participants and a first placebo group of participants; administering at least one participant in said first active treatment group with at least an active treatment; administering at least one participant in said first placebo group with at least a placebo; analyzing first phase response data of one or more of said participants in said first active treatment group and said first placebo group for response; and identifying, based at least on said analyzing first phase response data, and on said characteristics of said one or more subpopulations, one or more groups of participants, each of which satisfies characteristics of at least one of said one or more subpopulations, to potentially be included in said second phase of said clinical trial; with respect to said second phase of said clinical trial: allocating one or more participants from each of said one or more groups identified to potentially be included in said second phase into a second plurality of treatment groups comprising at least a second active treatment group and a second placebo group; administering at least one participant in said second active treatment group with said at least an active treatment; administering at least one participant in said second placebo group with said at least a placebo; analyzing second phase response data of one or more of said participants in said second active treatment group and said second placebo group for response; and determining, using one or more processors, at least one measure of efficacy of said at least an active treatment, based at least in part on use of said analyzed first phase response data, use of said analyzed second phase response data, and use of an a priori null hypothesis, wherein said a priori null hypothesis is that: (a) no difference exists between response to said at least an active treatment and response to said at least a placebo in said population, and (b) no difference exists between response to said at least an active treatment and response to said at least a placebo in each of said one or more subpopulations.