Company: TPET
Filing Date: 2025-04-15
Form Type: 10-K/A
Source: 0001641172-25-004910
Chunk: 21

Company: Trio Petroleum Corp.
Filing Date: 2025-04-15
Form: 10-K/A
Chunk 21
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abilistic method defined a distribution representing the full range of possible values for input parameters. This included dependencies between parameters that are also defined and applied. These distributions were randomly sampled using Monte Carlo simulation to compute a full distribution of potential in-place and recoverable quantities of oil, gas, and water. Input distributions were included for porosity, permeability, water saturation and net productive thickness. In addition, pore volume compressibility was described with a distribution because its range of uncertainty can impact reservoir pressure and therefore future productivity. S&P Global’s Harmony Enterprise software was used to construct the numerical models for the various reservoir units, being Monterey Yellow, Monterey Blue and Vaqueros Sand reservoir units. A ‘type well’ or calibration model was constructed for each reservoir using the average conditions and reservoir properties cited above. In addition, using the probabilistic distributions of porosity, net thickness, water saturation, permeability and pore volume compressibility, the reservoir model was run 500 times, each time the model selecting via Monte Carlo sampling the input parameters according to the ranges and distributions defined. Each simulation run resulted in a particular value of oil and gas recovery. The cumulative probabilities of the resulting forecasts of ultimate oil and gas recovery were used to identify the reported reserve values.

We have consulted with KLSP and it has provided us estimates of net reserves and/or cash flows as of the end of April 30, 2024, as: 1) there are new technical data as a result of drilling the HV-1 well in 2023; 2) the Company’s WI has increased from approximately 82.75% to approximately 85.775%; 3) new leases have been acquired providing additional well locations; 4) drilling and development schedules have changed; and 5) oil prices have changed. More specifically, the completion results of the HV-1 well appear to indicate that the productive area of the Yellow Zone at the President’s Area may be somewhat smaller than mapped in 2021. On the other hand, the Company has acquired additional leases in the Project area that increase the net well locations targeting the Blue Zone and Vaqueros Sand. The reserves associated with these additional net wells partially offset any possible reduction in reserves due to a smaller Yellow Zone productive area. All of the aforementioned factors are taken into consideration in the estimates of reserves and cash flows as of end of April 30, 2024, as documented in the Current Reserve Report included as Exhibit 99.3 to this Annual Report.

Disclosure of Reserve Volumes and Reserve