Company: NE-WTA
Filing Date: 2025-10-28
Form Type: 10-Q
Source: 0001895262-25-000016
Chunk: 82

Company: Noble Corp plc
Filing Date: 2025-10-28
Form: 10-Q
Item: Item 8
Chunk 82
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 our offshore rig fleet operate in a global market for contract drilling services and are often redeployed to different regions due to changing demands of our customers, which consist primarily of large, integrated, independent and government-owned or controlled oil and gas companies throughout the world.

Market Outlook

In recent years, oil prices have generally remained at levels that are supportive of offshore exploration and development activity and global rig demand recovered to eclipse pre-pandemic levels, albeit with some moderation since early 2024 and a further correction more recently with spot prices for Brent crude generally in the mid to high $60s per barrel compared to an average price of $80 per barrel during 2024. Current demand and utilization levels are supported by the combination of the outlook for longer-term commodity prices, heightened focus on energy security, the capital intensity of depletion replacement, and relative attractiveness of offshore plays with respect to both cost and carbon emissions. The increase in global rig demand since 2021 has had a positive impact on dayrates for most rig classes although dayrates have generally plateaued more recently.

The global rig supply has come down from historic highs as Noble and other offshore drilling contractors have retired less capable and idle assets. Concurrently, the incoming supply of newbuild offshore drilling rigs has diminished materially, with several newbuild rigs stranded in shipyards. However, we expect many of these stranded newbuild rigs may continue to make their way into the global market over the next few years.

Although the market outlook in our business varies by geographical region and water depth and despite recent downward pressure on the price of oil, we remain encouraged by the long-term outlook in the ultra-deepwater floater market. However, within this ultra-deepwater market, our customers continue to focus on our highest specification floaters, which represents the majority of our floater fleet. Assuming current market fundamentals, continued customer prioritization towards these highest specification floaters is likely to result in lower utilization for our lower specification drillships and our semi-submersibles. Demand for midwater semisubmersibles is primarily driven by brownfield activity in mature basins, especially in Northwest Europe, South America, and the Asia Pacific regions, where a generally stable level of baseload demand is supported by infield drilling and plug and abandonment requirements. We have also observed an overall demand increase in the global jackup market since 2020. While we remain encouraged about overall long-term rig demand, as evidenced by recent multi-year, multi-rig contracts that we have booked into backlog, the near term utilization outlook for both