Company: AFRM
Filing Date: 2025-11-06
Form Type: 10-Q
Source: 0001628280-25-050295
Chunk: 114

Company: Affirm Holdings, Inc.
Filing Date: 2025-11-06
Form: 10-Q
Item: Part I, Item 2
Chunk 114
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Seasonality

We experience seasonal fluctuations in our business as a result of consumer spending patterns, including Affirm Card, which we expect to mimic the seasonality of our general business in the near term. Historically, our GMV has been the strongest during our fiscal second quarter due to increases in retail commerce during the holiday season and our loan delinquencies are at their lowest during our fiscal third and fourth quarter, as consumer savings benefit from tax refunds. Adverse events that occur during our second fiscal quarter could have a disproportionate effect on our financial results for the fiscal year.

Macroeconomic Environment

We regularly monitor the direct and indirect impacts of the current macroeconomic conditions on our business, financial condition, and results of operations. Since 2022, the U.S. Federal Reserve has maintained an elevated federal funds interest rate. Despite the Federal Reserve’s decision to begin to decrease the federal funds interest rate in September 2024, uncertainty remains as to whether and to what extent the federal funds interest rate will remain at current levels, increase or decrease in future periods. Simultaneously, economic uncertainty and unpredictability, including the prospect of economic recession and the magnitude, duration and impact of tariffs on global trade, has impacted and may continue to impact consumer spending. These challenges have affected, and may continue to affect, our business and results of operations in the following ways:

•Shifts in consumer demand: We have experienced, and may continue to experience, fluctuations in consumer demand across different merchandise categories due to economic uncertainty, inflationary pressures, elevated interest rates, and other macroeconomic factors. If such conditions deteriorate in future periods, consumer demand may be negatively impacted.

•Elevated borrowing costs: The Federal Reserve began decreasing the federal funds interest rate in late 2024, leading to a decline in our average funding costs in recent fiscal periods. However, the overall interest rate environment remains elevated compared to historical levels, and there is continued uncertainty as to whether and to what extent the Federal Reserve may decrease the federal funds rate further in the future. To the extent the current elevated interest rate environment persists, our transaction costs may remain elevated when compared to historical fiscal periods.

•Volatile capital markets: Since fiscal 2024, capital markets have shown improvement against recent periods. Strong loan performance has allowed us to add substantial capacity across funding channels. Despite these improvements, uncertainties remain in the macroeconomic environment, especially with regard to inflation, the prospect of recession, the magnitude, duration and impact of tariffs on global trade, and the potential for increased