Company: MFAN
Filing Date: 2025-11-06
Form Type: 10-Q
Source: 0001055160-25-000018
Chunk: 243

Company: MFA FINANCIAL, INC.
Filing Date: 2025-11-06
Form: 10-Q
Item: Part I, Item 8
Chunk 243
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 expected losses in these projected cash flows are not discounted.  The default and severity rates were estimated based on the following steps: (i) obtained the Company’s historical experience through an entire economic cycle for each loan type or, to the extent the Company did not have sufficient historical loss experience for a given loan type, publicly available data derived from the historical loss experience of certain banks, which data the Company believes is generally representative of its portfolio, (ii) obtained historical economic data (U.S. unemployment rates and home price appreciation) over the same period, and (iii) estimated default and severity rates during three distinct future periods based on historical default and severity rates during periods when economic conditions similar to those forecasted were experienced.  The default and severity rates were applied to the estimated amount of loans outstanding during each future period, based on contractual terms and expected prepayments.  Expected prepayments are estimated based on historical experience and current and expected future economic conditions, including market interest rates.  The three periods were as follows: (i) a one-year forecast of economic conditions based 

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Table of ContentsMFA FINANCIAL, INC.NOTES TO THE UNAUDITED CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTSSEPTEMBER 30, 2025

on U.S. unemployment rates and home price appreciation, followed by (ii) a two-year “reversion” period during which economic conditions (U.S. unemployment rates and home price appreciation) are projected to revert to historical averages on a straight line basis, followed by (iii) the remaining life of each loan, during which period economic conditions (U.S. unemployment rates and home price appreciation) are projected to equal historical averages.  In addition, a liability is established (and recorded in Other Liabilities) each period using a similar methodology for committed but undrawn loan amounts.  The Company forecasts future economic conditions based on forecasts provided by an external preparer of economic forecasts, as well as its own knowledge of the market and its portfolio. The Company may consider multiple scenarios and select the one that it believes results in the most reasonable estimate of expected losses.  The Company may apply qualitative adjustments to these results as further described in Note 3.  For certain loans where foreclosure has been deemed to be probable, loss estimates are based on whether the value of the underlying collateral is sufficient to recover the carrying value of the loan.  This methodology has not changed significantly from the calculation of the allowance for credit losses in prior periods, although certain modeling factors have been refined over time