Company: BANC-PF
Filing Date: 2025-03-03
Form Type: 10-K
Source: 0001628280-25-009438
Chunk: 396

Company: BANC OF CALIFORNIA, INC.
Filing Date: 2025-03-03
Form: 10-K
Item: Item 1B
Chunk 396
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ed economic conditions, to estimate future prepayments by loan pool. Loans and leases with outstanding balances less than or equal to $250,000, where it is probable that we will be unable to collect all amounts due according to the contractual terms of the agreement, remain in their respective pools and are assigned a 100% probability of default. 

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BANC OF CALIFORNIA, INC. AND SUBSIDIARIESNotes to Consolidated Financial Statements

For the reasonable and supportable forecast period, future macroeconomic events and circumstances are estimated over a 4-quarter time horizon using an economic forecast that is consistent with management's current expectations for the 15 loan pools. We use economic forecasts from Moody's Analytics in this process. The economic forecast is updated monthly; therefore, the forecast used for each quarter-end calculation is generally released a few weeks prior to quarter-end. If economic conditions as of the balance sheet date change materially, management would consider a qualitative adjustment. The key macroeconomic assumptions used in each of the seven PD regression models include two or three of the following economic indicators: Real gross domestic product, unemployment rates, CRE Price Index, the BBB corporate spread, Real Disposable Income and Dow Jones Market Index. The quantitative CECL model applies the projected rates based on the economic forecasts for the 4-quarter reasonable and supportable forecast horizon to EAD to estimate defaulted loans. During this forecast horizon, prepayment rates during a historical period that exhibits economic conditions most similar to the economic forecast are used to estimate EAD. If no historical period exhibits economic conditions that are similar to the economic forecast, management uses its best estimate of prepayments expected over the reasonable and supportable forecast period which may, in some circumstances, be the average of all historical prepayment experience. Historical LGD rates are applied to estimated defaulted loans to determine estimated credit losses. We then use a 2-quarter reversion period to revert on a straight-line basis from the PD, LGD, and prepayment rates used during the reasonable and supportable forecast period to the Company’s historical PD, LGD, and prepayment experience. Subsequent to the reversion period for the remaining contractual life of loans and leases, the PD, LGD, and prepayment rates are based on historical experience during a full economic cycle. PD regression models are updated at least every two years and reviewed for model performance annually. Prepayment rates are updated on at least an annual basis. The PDs calculated by the quantitative models are highly correlated to our internal risk ratings assigned to each loan