Company: ADAMM
Filing Date: 2025-11-04
Form Type: 10-Q
Source: 0001273685-25-000088
Chunk: 220

Company: ADAMAS TRUST, INC.
Filing Date: 2025-11-04
Form: 10-Q
Item: Part I, Item 2
Chunk 220
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 Average finished the third quarter of 2025 up 5.22%, and the Nasdaq Composite Index finished the third quarter of 2025 up 11.24%. Mortgage-related markets experienced volatility and relatively improved performance in the third quarter of 2025. Trade policy and labor market uncertainty, elevated inflation, geopolitical instability and the shutdown of the U.S. federal government following quarter end have cautioned some economic outlooks, with concerns regarding the potential for stagflation persisting. We anticipate that due to ongoing uncertainty related to trade policy, the labor market, inflation and geopolitical instability, markets and the pricing for many of our assets will continue to experience volatility through the end of 2025.

The market conditions discussed below significantly influence our investment strategy and results:

Select U.S. Financial and Economic Data. The ongoing shutdown of the U.S. federal government after the end of the third quarter has halted the U.S. government’s publication of certain economic data, including U.S. real gross domestic product (“GDP”). However, the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta and the Federal Reserve Bank of New York have each published their own estimates of GDP. The Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta estimates that GDP grew at an annualized rate of 3.9% in the third quarter of 2025, and the Federal Reserve Bank of New York estimates that GDP grew at an annualized rate of 2.4% in the third quarter of 2025. According to these estimates of third quarter GDP growth, the U.S. economy continued the GDP growth seen in the second quarter when GDP grew at an annualized rate of 3.8%, as compared to the annualized 0.6% GDP contraction in the first quarter of 2025. While, by these estimates, GDP growth remained robust in the third quarter of 2025, inflation remains persistently above the Federal Reserve’s target of two percent, the labor market shows signs of cooling and U.S. trade policy remains volatile. Uncertainty about how the Federal Reserve may adjust its monetary policy or the target range for the federal funds rate in response to such macroeconomic trends and the continued independence of the Federal Reserve may limit or undermine business activity and the potential for future GDP growth or result in further volatility, which could negatively impact the value of credit investments.

The U.S. labor market appears to have cooled over the course of the year and into the third quarter, as suggested recently by a number of market commentators. According to the U.S. Department of Labor, the U.S. unemployment