Company: RITM-PC
Filing Date: 2025-08-01
Form Type: 10-Q
Source: 0001556593-25-000024
Chunk: 3

Company: Rithm Capital Corp.
Filing Date: 2025-08-01
Form: 10-Q
Item: Item 2
Chunk 3
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 Though fiscal policy uncertainty has been reduced by the passage of the One Big Beautiful Bill Act in early July 2025, the outlook for the economy remains uncertain given shifting policies related to global trade.

Inflation

Inflation picked up in the second quarter of 2025, with the 12-month increase in the overall Consumer Price Index (“CPI”) rising to 2.7% in June 2025 from 2.4% in March 2025. Core CPI price inflation (excluding food and energy prices) rose slightly to 2.9% in June 2025 from 2.8% in March 2025. The faster gains in CPI prices were driven by higher energy and other goods prices and slower disinflation in services prices.

Treasury Yields

The nominal 10-year Treasury yield was relatively unchanged at 4.24% at the end of June 2025 versus 4.23% at the end of March 2025. The real yields on 10-year TIPS rose to 1.95% in June 2025 from 1.85% in March 2025, whereas the 10-year breakeven inflation rate was 2.29% in June 2025, a decline from 2.38% in March 2025.

Labor Markets

Nonfarm payrolls rose an average of 150,000 jobs per month in the second quarter of 2025 versus an average of 111,000 jobs per month in the first quarter of 2025. The unemployment rate decreased slightly to 4.1% in June 2025 from 4.2% in March 2025. Based upon the ratio of job openings to unemployed job seekers, which rose to 1.06 in June 2025 from 1.02 in March 2025, the labor market did not loosen further during the second quarter of 2025. Nonetheless, year-over-year growth in average hourly earnings was 3.7% in June 2025, slowing from the 3.9% wage rate growth reported for March 2025.

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Housing Market

Total home sales (new and existing) averaged 4.64 million units in the second quarter of 2025, 2.9% lower than the average of 4.78 million in the first quarter of 2025. Home sales remain at a low level with total sales in a range of 4.5 million and 5.1 million since