Karmane/nfl-weather-quarterback-passing-research-sample

NFL Weather and Quarterback Passing Dataset for Prop Research

Question this dataset helps answer: Which NFL quarterbacks historically lose or sustain attempts, passing yards, and touchdown production in wind, cold, or outdoor game environments before building prop or fantasy research workflows?

This dataset helps sports researchers, fantasy analysts, and quarterback-prop builders compare NFL weather environments using starting-quarterback rows with pregame wind, temperature, roof, implied team total, rolling passing form, and opponent quarterback-defense signals.

Use the public sample to check:

• How many outdoor, cold, or high-wind quarterback rows are covered in the preview
• Which columns are safe pre-event features versus postgame outcomes
• Whether quarterback passing volume changes across wind buckets, implied totals, and recent-form filters

Preview vs full dataset:

• Preview: 696 rows and 120 columns
• Full: 13,939 rows and 120 columns

Full dataset access: https://thearticulated.gumroad.com/l/nfl-weather-quarterback-passing-research

The full dataset includes 13,939 rows across the 1999-09-12 through 2025-02-09 NFL coverage window, making it large enough for dashboard analysis, historical filtering, rolling-form research, and exploratory modeling workflows.

This is a free preview. Load it instantly, inspect the schema, and validate quality before purchasing the full dataset.

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What This Preview Proves

• Sample rows: 696 (full dataset: 13,939 rows)
• Columns: 120 fields, fully described below
• Format: parquet (loads in pandas, HF datasets, or any parquet reader)
• No authentication required to load this sample
• Schema and quality are identical to the paid full dataset

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Upgrade to Full Dataset

The full production dataset contains 13,939 rows across 120 columns.

Full dataset access: https://thearticulated.gumroad.com/l/xrcfh

After purchase, provide your Hugging Face username and request access on the full dataset page.

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Quick Start

from datasets import load_dataset

dataset = load_dataset("Karmane/nfl-weather-quarterback-passing-research-sample")
df = dataset["data"].to_pandas()
print(f"Rows: {len(df):,}, Columns: {len(df.columns)}")
print(df.head())

Or with pandas directly:

import pandas as pd
df = pd.read_parquet("hf://datasets/Karmane/nfl-weather-quarterback-passing-research-sample/data/data.parquet")
print(df.head())

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Use Cases

• Compare passing volume and yardage across wind buckets, temperature buckets, and roof contexts.
• Screen quarterbacks by rolling form, implied team totals, and opponent allowance trends before evaluating weather spots.
• Build time-aware notebooks that keep pregame features separate from postgame passing outcomes.
• Filter by common passing-yard or touchdown-threshold outcomes for historical prop-research workflows.

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Column Descriptions

• record_id: Stable row identifier built from the game id and quarterback id.
• game_id: Original nflverse game identifier.
• season: NFL season year.
• game_type: Game type from the public schedule source such as REG, WC, DIV, CON, or SB.
• week: Week number within the season or playoff calendar.
• game_date: Date of the game.
• weekday: Weekday label from the public schedule source.
• gametime: Scheduled kickoff time string from the public schedule source.
• is_playoff_game: Boolean flag showing whether the row came from a playoff game.
• team: Quarterback team abbreviation from the schedule source.
• opponent: Opponent team abbreviation from the schedule source.
• team_side: Home or away from the quarterback-team perspective.
• is_home: Boolean flag showing whether the quarterback team was at home.
• qb_id: Stable nflverse quarterback identifier.
• qb_name: Resolved quarterback name used for the row.
• qb_display_name: Display name from the public players table when available.
• qb_short_name: Short display name from the public players table when available.
• rookie_season: Quarterback rookie season from the players table when available.
• years_of_experience: Quarterback years of experience from the players table when available.
• draft_round: Draft round from the players table when available.
• draft_pick: Draft pick number from the players table when available.
• rest_days: Days of rest for the quarterback team entering the game.
• opponent_rest_days: Days of rest for the opponent entering the game.
• rest_advantage_days: Team rest days minus opponent rest days.
• roof: Roof type from the public schedule source.
• surface: Playing surface from the public schedule source.
• stadium: Venue name from the public schedule source.
• temp: Temperature field from the public schedule source when available.
• wind: Wind-speed field from the public schedule source when available.
• weather_data_available: Boolean flag showing whether the game had at least one weather field present.
• outdoor_game: Boolean flag for outdoor or open-roof games.
• dome_game: Boolean flag for domed or closed-roof games.
• retractable_roof_flag: Boolean flag showing whether the listed roof was retractable.
• cold_weather_flag: Boolean flag for games at 40 degrees Fahrenheit or colder.
• high_wind_flag: Boolean flag for games with listed wind of at least 15 mph.
• very_high_wind_flag: Boolean flag for games with listed wind of at least 20 mph.
• wind_bucket: Bucketed wind-speed label for filtering weather context.
• temperature_bucket: Bucketed temperature label for filtering weather context.
• team_moneyline: Closing moneyline for the quarterback team when available.
• opponent_moneyline: Closing moneyline for the opponent when available.
• team_moneyline_implied_prob: Implied win probability derived from the quarterback-team moneyline.
• opponent_moneyline_implied_prob: Implied win probability derived from the opponent moneyline.
• team_spread_line: Closing spread from the quarterback-team perspective. Negative values indicate the team was favored.
• closing_total_line: Closing game total line when available.
• team_favorite_flag: Boolean flag showing whether the quarterback team closed as the favorite.
• pickem_flag: Boolean flag for near-pickem spread situations.
• implied_team_total: Approximate implied team total derived from the closing spread and total.
• implied_opponent_total: Approximate implied opponent total derived from the closing spread and total.
• implied_team_total_bucket: Bucketed version of the implied team total.
• team_score: Final points scored by the quarterback team.
• opponent_score: Final points scored by the opponent team.
• team_margin: Final score margin from the quarterback-team perspective.
• won_game: Boolean flag showing whether the quarterback team won the game.
• total_points: Combined final points in the game.
• completions: Quarterback completions from the weekly stat source.
• attempts: Quarterback pass attempts from the weekly stat source.
• passing_yards: Quarterback passing yards from the weekly stat source.
• passing_tds: Quarterback passing touchdowns from the weekly stat source.
• interceptions: Quarterback interceptions thrown.
• sacks: Sacks taken by the quarterback.
• sack_yards: Yards lost to sacks.
• passing_air_yards: Passing air yards from the weekly stat source.
• passing_yards_after_catch: Passing yards after the catch from the weekly stat source.
• passing_first_downs: Passing first downs from the weekly stat source.
• passing_epa: Passing EPA from the weekly stat source.
• carries: Quarterback rushing attempts.
• rushing_yards: Quarterback rushing yards.
• rushing_tds: Quarterback rushing touchdowns.
• fantasy_points: Fantasy points from the weekly stat source.
• fantasy_points_ppr: PPR fantasy points from the weekly stat source.
• dropbacks: Simple dropback proxy defined as pass attempts plus sacks.
• completion_pct: Game completion percentage using completions divided by attempts.
• yards_per_attempt: Game passing yards divided by pass attempts.
• air_yards_per_attempt: Game passing air yards divided by pass attempts.
• passing_tds_per_attempt: Game touchdown rate using passing touchdowns divided by attempts.
• interceptions_per_attempt: Game interception rate using interceptions divided by attempts.
• sacks_per_dropback: Game sack rate using sacks divided by dropbacks.
• cleared_175_passing_yards: Boolean flag for games with at least 175 passing yards.
• cleared_200_passing_yards: Boolean flag for games with at least 200 passing yards.
• cleared_225_passing_yards: Boolean flag for games with at least 225 passing yards.
• cleared_250_passing_yards: Boolean flag for games with at least 250 passing yards.
• cleared_275_passing_yards: Boolean flag for games with at least 275 passing yards.
• cleared_1_5_passing_tds: Boolean flag for games with at least 2 passing touchdowns, matching a common 1.5 passing-TD ladder.
• cleared_2_plus_passing_tds: Boolean flag for games with at least 2 passing touchdowns.
• threw_interception: Boolean flag showing whether the quarterback threw at least one interception.
• prior_games_played: Number of prior quarterback rows in the full history before this game.
• season_to_date_games: Number of prior same-season quarterback rows before this game.
• rolling_attempts_last_3: Pregame rolling average pass attempts over the previous 3 games.
• rolling_attempts_last_5: Pregame rolling average pass attempts over the previous 5 games.
• rolling_passing_yards_last_3: Pregame rolling average passing yards over the previous 3 games.
• rolling_passing_yards_last_5: Pregame rolling average passing yards over the previous 5 games.
• rolling_passing_tds_last_5: Pregame rolling average passing touchdowns over the previous 5 games.
• rolling_interceptions_last_5: Pregame rolling average interceptions over the previous 5 games.
• rolling_sacks_last_5: Pregame rolling average sacks taken over the previous 5 games.
• rolling_passing_air_yards_last_5: Pregame rolling average passing air yards over the previous 5 games.
• rolling_rushing_yards_last_5: Pregame rolling average rushing yards over the previous 5 games.
• rolling_fantasy_points_last_5: Pregame rolling average fantasy points over the previous 5 games.
• rolling_completion_pct_last_5: Pregame rolling completion percentage over the previous 5 games using summed completions and attempts.
• rolling_yards_per_attempt_last_5: Pregame rolling yards per attempt over the previous 5 games using summed passing yards and attempts.
• rolling_td_rate_last_5: Pregame rolling touchdown rate over the previous 5 games using summed passing touchdowns and attempts.
• rolling_interception_rate_last_5: Pregame rolling interception rate over the previous 5 games using summed interceptions and attempts.
• season_to_date_passing_yards_avg: Pregame same-season average passing yards before this game.
• season_to_date_attempts_avg: Pregame same-season average pass attempts before this game.
• season_to_date_completion_pct: Pregame same-season completion percentage before this game.
• season_to_date_td_rate: Pregame same-season passing-touchdown rate before this game.
• team_rolling_points_last_5: Pregame rolling average points scored by the quarterback team over the previous 5 games.
• team_rolling_points_allowed_last_5: Pregame rolling average points allowed by the quarterback team over the previous 5 games.
• team_rolling_total_points_last_5: Pregame rolling average combined game points for the quarterback team over the previous 5 games.
• opponent_qb_games_faced_prior: Number of prior quarterback rows faced by the opponent defense before this game.
• opponent_allowed_attempts_last_5: Pregame rolling average pass attempts allowed by the opponent over its previous 5 quarterback rows faced.
• opponent_allowed_passing_yards_last_5: Pregame rolling average passing yards allowed by the opponent over its previous 5 quarterback rows faced.
• opponent_allowed_passing_tds_last_5: Pregame rolling average passing touchdowns allowed by the opponent over its previous 5 quarterback rows faced.
• opponent_allowed_interceptions_last_5: Pregame rolling average interceptions forced by the opponent over its previous 5 quarterback rows faced.
• opponent_allowed_sacks_last_5: Pregame rolling average sacks recorded by the opponent over its previous 5 quarterback rows faced.
• opponent_allowed_fantasy_points_last_5: Pregame rolling average fantasy points allowed by the opponent to quarterbacks over its previous 5 rows faced.
• opponent_allowed_200_plus_rate_last_5: Pregame rolling share of prior quarterbacks who cleared 200 passing yards against the opponent over its previous 5 rows faced.
• opponent_season_to_date_allowed_passing_yards_avg: Pregame same-season average passing yards allowed by the opponent before this game.
• source_url: Primary public source URL used for the build.
• source_domain: Source domain summary for the row.
• last_collected_at: UTC timestamp when the row was collected and transformed.

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Dataset Structure

• Rows: 696
• Columns: 120
• Split: data
• File: data/data.parquet

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Full Dataset Access

	Sample (this repo)	Full Dataset
Rows	696	13,939
Columns	120	120
Auth required	No	Yes (after purchase)
Price	Free	See pricing

Final CTA

Get the full dataset: https://thearticulated.gumroad.com/l/xrcfh

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Karmane. (2025). NFL Weather and Quarterback Passing Dataset for Prop Research (Free Sample). Hugging Face. https://huggingface.co/datasets/Karmane/nfl-weather-quarterback-passing-research-sample