Saudi Supply/Demand Forecasting Models

A collection of trained models and supporting artifacts (scalers, encoders, feature lists, evaluation results) from a supply/demand forecasting and delivery-time-prediction project.

Repository Structure

This repo mirrors the original local project layout, preserved as-is because many experiment folders share identically-named files (best_model.pth, scaler.joblib, etc.):

Folder Contents
deep_learning_models/ GRU/LSTM/Mixture-of-Experts forecasters + LightGBM residual model + scalers/stats
deployment_package/ Packaged deployment artifacts (metadata, scaler, MoE model, residual model)
dl_multi_horizon_cv_out/ Cross-validated multi-horizon models (4 folds) + fold histories/scalers
dl_multi_horizon_finalized_out/ Finalized multi-horizon PyTorch model
dl_multi_horizon_finalized_improved_out/ Improved finalized multi-horizon PyTorch model
dl_multi_horizon_out_safe_v2/ Keras multi-horizon model variant
dl_multi_horizon_out_safe_v3/ PyTorch multi-horizon model variant
dl_multi_horizon_rewrite_out/ Rewritten multi-horizon PyTorch model
eval_results/ Global and per-SKU RMSE evaluation CSVs
logs/ Training run logs (TFT run metrics/hparams)
m5_memory_safe/ Memory-safe M5 top-K model + scaler + feature columns
models/ Preprocessor artifact
models_and_views/ Lead-time prediction model (Keras + LightGBM), preprocessing artifacts, train/test views
models_dl/ Deep multi-task Keras model + preprocessor + results/plots
models_safe/ PyTorch model checkpoint
moe_eval/ Mixture-of-Experts evaluation CSVs
plots/ Evaluation plots (residuals, true vs predicted, worst-SKU RMSE)
pytorch_finalized_fixed/ Metadata for a finalized PyTorch pipeline
pytorch_models/ Multi-task PyTorch model
trained_models/ Classical ML models: LightGBM, XGBoost, Random Forest

Loading Models

PyTorch (.pth / .pt):

import torch
model = torch.load("path/to/model.pth", map_location="cpu")

Keras (.keras / .h5):

import tensorflow as tf
model = tf.keras.models.load_model("path/to/model.keras")

Scikit-learn / joblib / pickle artifacts:

import joblib
obj = joblib.load("path/to/artifact.joblib")

LightGBM text models:

import lightgbm as lgb
model = lgb.Booster(model_file="path/to/model.txt")

Intended Use

Research, experimentation, model comparison, and further development of supply-chain demand/lead-time forecasting pipelines.

Limitations

Many folders represent iterative experiments (rewrites, safe variants, CV folds) rather than a single canonical model — check dl_results.json / cv_fold_results.json / results.json in each folder for that experiment's metrics before choosing one to deploy. Models should be independently validated before production use.

License

No standardized open-source license has been specified. Review data provenance and licensing before redistribution or commercial use.

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