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arxiv:2607.27201

Mental World Modeling

Published on Jul 29
· Submitted by
Hao Fei
on Aug 3
#2 Paper of the day
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Abstract

World models enable a predictive substrate for planning and action, yet existing formulations merely answer a physical question: what/where it is, and how will it evolve. Human behavior, however, is driven by hidden mental state (what a person believes, wants, intends, feels, and considers socially permissible), so a model that tracks the physical scene but not what each agent knows and believes about it predicts the wrong action for the right-looking scene. We formulate Mental World Modeling (MWM), a generic theoretical framework that makes mental variables core components of a world model rather than posthoc rationales: MWM aintains a coupled physical-mental world state, renders a target-specific partial observation, and simulates how candidate actions jointly update both components. We instantiate the framework in MENTIS, a training-free and fully inspectable baseline that decomposes the process into state parsing, target-observation generation, action decomposition, coupled physical and mental transition, and branch-level value evaluation. On a manually constructed, quality-controlled dataset of situated decision scenarios spanning text, image, and sounding-video stories, experiments with 8 modern LLM-based world models demonstrate that explicitly modeling the mental state is essential for predicting human decisions. Deeper analyses further expose the bottlenecks of current mental world modeling. We expect MWM as a next stage of world modeling, from simulating physical scenes to simulating the minds that act in them.

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From simulating physical scenes to simulating the minds that act within them.

TL;DR: A world model can reconstruct the physical scene correctly and still predict the wrong human action.

Why? Because human decisions are shaped not only by objects, geometry, and physical dynamics, but also by hidden mental and social variables: what someone has observed, knows, believes, wants, intends, feels, and considers socially permissible.

We introduce Mental World Modeling (MWM), a general framework that makes these mental variables part of the world state itself—rather than treating them as post-hoc explanations.


intro

The world’s next state is not only physical. It is also mental.

The missing half of a world model

Most existing world models focus on the physical substrate of the world: What objects and agents are present? Where are they? How will the visible scene evolve?

But two physically identical scenes can produce completely different actions when the people inside them hold different beliefs, goals, emotions, relationships, or social obligations.

MWM therefore maintains a coupled physical–mental world state. For every target agent, it:

  1. represents both the physical environment and the agents’ latent mental states;
  2. renders a target-specific partial observation—what that person can actually see, hear, know, and infer;
  3. simulates how each candidate action changes both the physical world and the mental-social world.

MENTIS: an inspectable implementation

We instantiate the framework in MENTIS, a training-free and fully inspectable baseline that forces an LLM-based system to operate as a mental world model.
MENTIS decomposes decision prediction into explicit stages:

state parsing → target-observation generation → action decomposition → coupled transition simulation → branch-level evaluation → final decision


What do the experiment results show?

The results reveal a consistent pattern:

  • Full MWM achieves the strongest decision-prediction performance for every evaluated model.
  • Removing the mental channel degrades all models.
  • The gains are largest in interpersonal situations, where hidden beliefs, intentions, emotions, and norms determine the action.
  • Explicit intermediate structure substantially improves multimodal reasoning.
  • The largest remaining bottleneck is transition simulation: predicting how an action changes the coupled physical–mental world.

Why does this matter?

  • A physically possible action is not necessarily the action a person will take.
  • The same movement can represent help, pressure, deception, politeness, avoidance, or trust depending on the mental and social state surrounding it. This distinction matters for embodied assistants, human–AI collaboration, education, care, interactive agents, and any AI system expected to operate around people.
  • MWM does not claim direct access to private consciousness. Mental states are treated as approximate, task-relevant hypotheses that must remain inspectable, revisable, and responsibly used.

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