AEMO SDP-Teacher Decision Transformer (Stage B)

Stage-B standalone Decision Transformer cloned from the honest SDP/MPC executor β€” no solver needed at inference. Trained on self-consistent (observation, 9-dim action, reward) trajectories generated by replaying the honest (non-clairvoyant) SDP energy planner + greedy current-price FCAS bidder on historical AEMO market data.

This model is the deployable "preferred algorithm" goal from the energydecision research β€” a pure transformer that beats PPO on standard (3.4Γ—), dispatch-matched (2.1Γ—), 2025 OOD (1.83Γ—), and the impact gate (1.9–3.0Γ—) with no solver at inference. See Benchmark Results.

Training Summary

Metric Value
Device cuda
Final train loss 0.065968
Final val loss 0.041527
Best val loss 0.041527
Epochs 3
Steps 1,251
Duration 0.17 h

Architecture

Parameter Value
Architecture Modern DT (GGA, QK-Norm, SwiGLU, RMSNorm, weight-tied)
Blocks 8
Hidden dim 768
Heads 12 (6 KV)
Context length 210 timesteps (~17.5 hours at 5-min resolution)
Action dim 9 (full_fcas: energy + 8 FCAS services)
State dim 18 (AEMO normalized observations)
Action head mixed β€” Tanh for energy dim 0 ∈ [-1, 1], Sigmoid for FCAS dims 1–8 ∈ [0, 1]
Loss MSE (action loss weight = 0.999, state = 0.002, return = 0.0001)
Optimizer AdamW, LR 3e-5, weight decay 1e-4
Discount 0.95
Return scale 1.0
Stride 105 (overlapping windows)

Training Data

  • Dataset: mrvictoru/AEMO_simulated_trade_sdp
  • File: dt_trajectories_full.parquet (conservative teacher, deg_cost_per_mwh=50)
  • Episodes: 320 (5 regions Γ— 2 horizons Γ— 4 batteries Γ— 8 each)
  • Rows: 3,133,440
  • Teacher: Honest SDP/MPC executor β€” seasonal forecast + stochastic DP for energy
    • greedy current-price FCAS bidding. Non-clairvoyant (no future prices), degradation-aware.

Action Space (9-dim, full_fcas)

Dim Range Meaning
0 [-1, 1] Energy dispatch (positive = charge, negative = discharge)
1 [0, 1] RAISEREG bid
2 [0, 1] LOWERREG bid
3 [0, 1] RAISE6SEC bid
4 [0, 1] LOWER6SEC bid
5 [0, 1] RAISE60SEC bid
6 [0, 1] LOWER60SEC bid
7 [0, 1] RAISE5MIN bid
8 [0, 1] LOWER5MIN bid

State Space (18-dim, normalized)

Dim Meaning
0–3 Time: hour_sin, hour_cos, day_sin, day_cos
4 is_peak (boolean)
5 RRP (normalized)
6 TOTALDEMAND (normalized)
7–14 8Γ— FCAS prices (normalized)
15–16 GEN_solar%, GEN_wind%
17 Battery SOC (normalized: SOC/capacity)

Benchmark Results

Surface SDP-Teacher DT PPO Verdict
Standard Oct (5 regions) $7,914 $2,353 DT 3.4Γ—
Dispatch-matched (SA1 Jul–Dec) $47,942 $22,530 DT 2.1Γ—
Expanded broad-2024 $11,943 $19,504 PPO wins (pilot limitation)
2025 OOD $11,925 $6,498 DT 1.83Γ—
Impact (small/horn/torr) 3.0Γ—/1.9Γ—/2.1Γ— β€” DT wins

Intended Use

  • Research into offline RL for energy markets
  • Simulation of battery trading in AEMO NEM
  • Baseline for comparing DT approaches against traditional RL

Limitations

  • Energy arbitrage is weak on the expanded broad-2024 surface (pilot trained on short+medium horizons; full-corpus retrain with dt_trajectories_aggressive addresses this)
  • Not intended for live trading without further validation
  • Degrades if the AEMO market structure changes significantly (2025+ regime shift)

Citation

@misc{energydecision_sdp_teacher_dt,
  title={AEMO SDP-Teacher Decision Transformer (Stage B)},
  author={mrvictoru},
  year={2026},
  url={https://huggingface.co/mrvictoru/energydecision-dt-v2-sdp}
}

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