F1 StratLab Strategy Models

The machine learning models behind F1 StratLab, an open-source multi-agent system for Formula 1 race strategy. Six LangGraph sub-agents and a ReAct orchestrator call these models to produce pit-stop recommendations, tire-degradation forecasts, overtake and undercut probabilities, and answers grounded in the FIA regulations.

Links:

Models

Task Algorithm Metric
Lap-time prediction XGBoost MAE 0.392 s
Tire degradation TCN with Monte Carlo Dropout P10/P50/P90 quantiles, pit-window detection
Overtake probability LightGBM AUC-ROC 0.876
Safety-car probability LightGBM classifier
Pit-stop duration HistGradientBoosting (quantile) MAE 0.487 s
Undercut success LightGBM (binary) AUC-ROC 0.771
Team-radio NLP Whisper, RoBERTa, SetFit, BERT-large 4-stage pipeline

Training data

Trained on telemetry, lap data and race-control messages from 71 Grand Prix across the 2023 to 2025 seasons, taken from the FastF1 and OpenF1 public APIs. The processed data is published as a companion dataset: VforVitorio/f1-strategy-dataset.

Intended use

Research and educational use for Formula 1 strategy analysis. Not affiliated with Formula 1, the FIA or any team. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees.

Citation

@misc{vegasobral2026f1stratlab,
  author = {Vega Sobral, V{\'i}ctor},
  title  = {F1 StratLab: AI Models for Strategy Recommendations in Formula 1 Races},
  year   = {2026},
  note   = {Bachelor's Thesis, Intelligent Systems Engineering, UIE Campus Coru{\~n}a},
  url    = {https://f1stratlab.com}
}

License

Apache 2.0. Author: Víctor Vega Sobral (https://github.com/VforVitorio).

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