Patent Publication Number: US-11642865-B2

Title: Corrugated cardboard sheet manufacturing system

Description:
TECHNICAL FIELD 
     The present invention relates to a corrugated fiberboard sheet manufacturing system suitable for suppressing warping of a corrugated fiberboard. 
     BACKGROUND ART 
     A corrugated fiberboard is manufactured by making a single-faced web, which is made by attaching a medium rolled on one liner (top liner) with glue, and attaching the other liner (bottom liner) onto a medium side of the single-faced web. 
     In this manufacturing process, respective sheets including the top liner, the bottom liner, the single-faced web, and the corrugated fiberboard are heated by respective preheaters including a top liner preheater, a single-faced web preheater, and a bottom liner preheater, or a double facer. Adhesive application is performed thereon by a single facer or a glue machine. At that time, however, when a heated amount or an adhesive application amount is not an appropriate value, warping occurs on the completed corrugated fiberboard. 
     For this reason, in a corrugated fiberboard manufacturing device of the related art, the suppression of warping is achieved by feedforward-controlling various control elements such as a preheater winding angle through matrix-control based on a production state such as a paper width and a basis weight of a sheet. In the matrix-control, since initial control values of various control values are determined according to a production state in accordance with a pre-control table stored in advance, the various control values can be set to appropriate values according to a production state, and the suppression of warping can be achieved. 
     A corrugated fiberboard warping rectification system in which such matrix-control is improved is disclosed in PTL 1. In the warping rectification system disclosed in PTL 1, initial control values of various control values are set through matrix-control based on a production state. However, a warped amount of a corrugated fiberboard is detected with the naked eye of an operator, a CCD camera, or a displacement sensor, and the various control values are corrected through feedback control based on a detection result. 
     CITATION LIST 
     Patent Literature 
     [PTL 1] Japanese Patent No. 3735302 
     SUMMARY OF INVENTION 
     Technical Problem 
     However, in the corrugated fiberboard warping rectification system disclosed in PTL 1, appropriate amounts of the various control values differ according to a production state even when the various control values are made appropriate through feedback control. Therefore, each time a production state changes, feedback control is required to be started over with the various control values determined through matrix-control as initial control values. 
     For this reason, it requires time until the various control values are made appropriate through feedback control after a production state is changed, the corrugated fiberboard immediately after a production state change cannot avoid becoming damaged paper since warping is not sufficiently suppressed. 
     The present invention is devised in view of such problems, and an object thereof is to provide a corrugated fiberboard sheet manufacturing system that can quickly suppress the warping of a corrugated fiberboard. 
     Solution to Problem 
     (1) According to an aspect of the present invention, in order to achieve the object, there is provided a corrugated fiberboard sheet manufacturing system including production state information acquisition means for acquiring production state information related to a production state of a corrugated fiberboard manufacturing device, control value information acquisition means for acquiring control value information of a control element of the corrugated fiberboard manufacturing device which affects a warped amount of a manufactured corrugated fiberboard, warping information acquisition means for acquiring warping information related to the warped amount of the corrugated fiberboard, storage means for storing an actual data set including at least the production state information, the control value information, and the warping information, a pre-control table in which a standard control value of the control element is set according to the production state, a correction table for setting an initial control value by correcting the standard control value, updating means for updating the correction table by reflecting the actual data set, and control means for feedforward-controlling the control element by using the initial control value. 
     (2) It is preferable that a correction amount table, in which a correction amount for correcting the standard control value of the pre-control table is set according to the production state, be further included as the correction table and addition means for calculating the initial control value by adding the correction amount to the standard control value be further included. 
     (3) It is preferable that a correction amount table, in which a correction amount for correcting the standard control value of the pre-control table is set according to the production state, and a control table, in which the initial control value is set according to the production state, be further included as the correction tables. It is preferable that the updating means update the correction amount table. It is preferable that a value obtained by adding the correction amount of the correction amount table to the standard control value of the pre-control table is input into the control table as the initial control value. 
     (4) It is preferable that a control table after correction, in which an update value of the standard control value of the pre-control table is set according to the production state, and a control table, in which the initial control value is set according to the production state, be further included as the correction table. It is preferable that the updating means update the control table after correction. It is preferable that the standard control value of the pre-control table be input into the control table as an initial value and be updated by using the update value of the control table after correction. 
     (5) It is preferable that a control table after correction, in which an update value of the standard control value of the pre-control table is set according to the production state, be further included as the correction table. It is preferable that the updating means update the control table after correction and the standard control value of the pre-control table be input into the control table after correction as an initial value. 
     (6) It is preferable that first prediction model generation means for generating a warping prediction model, through which the warped amount is predicted, based on the actual data set be further included. It is preferable that the updating means update the correction table based on the actual data set having the smallest warped amount out of warped amounts including the predicted warped amount. 
     (7) It is preferable that temperature acquisition means for acquiring a temperature of base paper from which the corrugated fiberboard is formed be further included. It is preferable that the actual data set further include the temperature. It is preferable that the corrugated fiberboard sheet manufacturing system further include second prediction model generation means for generating a temperature prediction model, through which the temperature is predicted, based on the actual data set. It is preferable that the updating means update the correction table based on the actual data set in which the temperature including the predicted temperature is higher than a threshold temperature. 
     (8) It is preferable that the first prediction model generation means predict the warped amount with a margin provided in consideration of prediction uncertainty. 
     (9) It is preferable that restriction means for restricting a breadth of change of the initial control value accompanying update of the correction table such that the breadth of change does not exceed a threshold value be further included. 
     Advantageous Effects of Invention 
     In the present invention, actual data sets that each include at least the production state information, the control value information, and the warping information are stored in the storage means. The correction table is updated based on a control value having a good warped amount of the corrugated fiberboard, out of the actual data sets stored in the storage means. 
     After then, in the same production state, since the control element is feedforward-controlled based on an initial setting value obtained by using the updated correction table, the control element can be quickly optimized, and thus the warping of the corrugated fiberboard can be quickly rectified. 
     In addition, since the standard control value of the pre-control table is left without being changed, it is possible to manage how much the standard control value is corrected based on the actual value. As a result, by analyzing a cause that the standard control value had to be corrected, for example, it is possible to achieve optimization of the standard control value in a production state where there is no actual value. 
     Since the standard control value set through the pre-control table is corrected to become the initial control value by using the correction table updated based on the actual data set, the pre-control table is a base for the initial control value, and information shown in the pre-control table can be utilized. 
    
    
     
       BRIEF DESCRIPTION OF DRAWINGS 
         FIG.  1    is a diagram showing an outline of a corrugated fiberboard sheet manufacturing system according to each embodiment of the present invention. 
         FIG.  2    is a schematic diagram showing a configuration of a corrugated fiberboard sheet manufacturing system according to a first embodiment of the present invention. 
         FIG.  3    shows schematic control flow for describing updating control of a correction amount table according to the first embodiment of the present invention. 
         FIG.  4    is a schematic diagram showing a configuration of a corrugated fiberboard sheet manufacturing system according to a first modification example of the first embodiment of the present invention. 
         FIG.  5    is a schematic diagram showing a configuration of a corrugated fiberboard sheet manufacturing system according to a second modification example of the first embodiment of the present invention. 
         FIG.  6    shows schematic control flow for describing updating control of a control table after correction according to the second modification example of the first embodiment of the present invention. 
         FIG.  7    is a schematic diagram showing a configuration of a corrugated fiberboard sheet manufacturing system according to a third modification example of the first embodiment of the present invention. 
         FIG.  8    is a schematic diagram showing a configuration of a corrugated fiberboard sheet manufacturing system according to a second embodiment of the present invention. 
         FIG.  9    is a schematic diagram for describing a warping prediction model according to the second embodiment of the present invention. 
         FIG.  10    is a schematic diagram showing a configuration of a corrugated fiberboard sheet manufacturing system according to a third embodiment of the present invention. 
         FIG.  11    is a schematic diagram for describing a warping prediction model and a temperature prediction model according to the third embodiment of the present invention. 
         FIG.  12    is a schematic diagram showing a configuration of a corrugated fiberboard sheet manufacturing system according to a fourth embodiment of the present invention. 
         FIG.  13    is a schematic diagram for describing a warping prediction model according to the fourth embodiment of the present invention. 
         FIG.  14    is a schematic diagram for describing a warping prediction model according to a modification example of the fourth embodiment of the present invention. 
         FIG.  15    is a schematic diagram showing a configuration of important parts of a corrugated fiberboard sheet manufacturing system according to a fifth embodiment of the present invention. 
     
    
    
     DESCRIPTION OF EMBODIMENTS 
     Hereinafter, embodiments of the present invention will be described with reference to the drawings. 
     The embodiments described below are merely examples, and are not intended to exclude application of various modifications and techniques that are not specified in the embodiments below. Respective configurations of the embodiments below can be variously modified and executed without departing from the spirit thereof, can be selected and discarded if necessary, or can be combined with each other as appropriate. 
     [1. Configuration of Corrugated Fiberboard Manufacturing Device] 
     A corrugated fiberboard sheet manufacturing system of the present invention is configured with a corrugated fiberboard manufacturing device and a production management device that controls the corrugated fiberboard manufacturing device. The respective corrugated fiberboard sheet manufacturing systems of the embodiment have the corrugated fiberboard manufacturing devices that have the same configuration, and configurations of the production management devices are different from each other. 
     Thus, first, a configuration of a corrugated fiberboard manufacturing device  1  common to the respective embodiments will be described with reference to  FIG.  1   . 
     The corrugated fiberboard manufacturing device  1  includes, as main configuration devices, a top liner preheater  10 , a single facer  11 , a medium preheater  12 , a single-faced web preheater  13 , a bottom liner preheater  14 , a glue machine  15 , a double facer  16 , a slitter scorer  17 , a cutoff  18 , a stacker  19 , and a CCD camera  7 . 
     The top liner preheater  10  heats a top liner  30 , and the medium preheater  12  heats a medium  31 . 
     The single facer  11  rolls the medium  31  heated by the medium preheater  12  to apply adhesive, and attaches the top liner  30  heated by the top liner preheater  10  thereto. 
     The single-faced web preheater  13  heats a single-faced web  32  formed by the single facer  11 , and the bottom liner preheater  14  heats a bottom liner  33 . 
     The glue machine  15  applies adhesive to the single-faced web  32  heated by the single-faced web preheater  13 . 
     The double facer  16  forms a corrugated web  34  by attaching the bottom liner  33  heated by the bottom liner preheater  14  to the single-faced web  32  to which adhesive is applied by the glue machine  15 . 
     The slitter scorer  17  performs creasing or cutting onto the corrugated web  34  formed by the double facer  16  along a transfer direction, and the cutoff  18  cuts the corrugated web  34  creased by the slitter scorer  17  in a paper width direction to make a corrugated fiberboard  35 , which is an end product. 
     The stacker  19  stacks the corrugated fiberboard  35  in order of completion. 
     The CCD camera  7  images the corrugated fiberboard  35  stacked by the stacker  19 . 
     In addition, temperature sensors T 1 , T 2 , T 3 , and T 4  (temperature acquisition means) that detect temperatures of the top liner  30  heated by the top liner preheater  10 , the medium  31  heated by the medium preheater  12 , the single-faced web  32  heated by the single-faced web preheater  13 , and the bottom liner heated by the bottom liner preheater  14  respectively are included. 
     Herein, the top liner  30 , the medium  31 , the single-faced web  32 , and the bottom liner  33  correspond to base paper of the present invention. Hereinafter, in a case of not differentiating therebetween, the top liner, the medium, the single-faced web, and the bottom line will be referred to as base paper  30  to  33 . 
     [2. First Embodiment] 
     [2-1. Configuration] 
     A first embodiment of the present invention will be described with reference to  FIG.  2   . A corrugated fiberboard sheet manufacturing system  100  of the embodiment is configured with the corrugated fiberboard manufacturing device  1  and a production management device  2 . 
     The production management device  2  includes a production state information acquisition unit  2   a  (production state information acquisition means) that acquires production state information, such as a paper width, a basis weight, and a flute of base paper, from a higher-level production management system (not shown). By controlling each of the configuration devices of the corrugated fiberboard manufacturing device  1  as appropriate based on the acquired production state information, the production management device  2  creates the corrugated fiberboard  35  while suppressing the warping of the corrugated fiberboard  35 . In a case of paying attention to a warping suppressing function, the production management device  2  is configured by including a matrix control unit  20 , a pre-control table  21 , a correction amount calculation unit  22 , a correction amount table  23  (correction table), a correction amount updating unit  24  (updating means), a history database  25  (storage means), a warped amount determination unit  25   a,  a process controller  26 , and an addition unit  27  (addition means). 
     The process controller  26  comprehensively controls the corrugated fiberboard manufacturing device  1 . Specifically, when a new order starts, the process controller  26  performs feedforward-control onto each control element by using an initial control value Aset acquired from the addition unit  27  to be described later. After then, the process controller  26  acquires warping information, which is information of a sheet warped amount of the corrugated fiberboard  35 , from the corrugated fiberboard manufacturing device  1 , and feedback-controls each control element such that the sheet warped amount falls into a predetermined range based on the information. 
     Each control element for causing the sheet warped amount to fall into the predetermined range may be manually adjusted by an operator, in addition to feedback control by the process controller  26  or instead of the feedback control. 
     In addition, the process controller  26  acquires operation state information from the corrugated fiberboard manufacturing device  1 , and outputs the operation state information to the matrix control unit  20 , the correction amount calculation unit  22 , or the history database  25 , which is to be described later. The operation state information is an actual control value of a control element of the corrugated fiberboard manufacturing device  1 . 
     As described above, the process controller  26  configures control means and control value information acquisition means of the present invention. 
     The pre-control table  21  is a table in which a standard control value A of the control element is stored, and is prepared for each of a plurality of different operation states (a plurality of different production speeds in the embodiment) with respect to each control element. 
     Herein, the control element refers to a controllable element affecting the warping of the corrugated fiberboard  35 , and is, for example, each winding angle of the top liner preheater  10 , the medium preheater  12 , the single-faced web preheater  13 , and the bottom liner preheater  14 , each gap amount of the single facer  11  and the glue machine  15 , or a pressurizing force of the double facer  16 . In addition, in a case where a shower device applying moisture to base paper is included, also a moisture application amount is a control element. In the following description, in a case of not differentiating between respective winding angles of the top liner preheater  10 , the medium preheater  12 , the single-faced web preheater  13 , and the bottom liner preheater  14 , the winding angles will be referred to as preheater winding angles, and the preheater winding angles will be described as examples of the control element. 
     An example of the pre-control table  21  is shown in Table 1 below. In the example, the pre-control table  21  is a two-dimensional table in which the standard control value A of the preheater winding angle [degree] is set based on a basis weight [g/m 2 ] and a paper width [mm] of base paper. “A to B” in Table 1 below and subsequent Table 3 corresponding thereto means “A or more and less than B”. For example, “100 to 200” means “100 or more and less than 200”. 
     
       
         
           
               
               
               
             
               
                 TABLE 1 
               
             
            
               
                   
               
               
                   
                   
                 Basis weight 
               
            
           
           
               
               
               
               
               
               
            
               
                   
                   
                 100~ 
                 200~ 
                 300~ 
                 400~ 
               
               
                   
                   
                 200 
                 300 
                 400 
                 500 
               
               
                   
               
               
                 Paper 
                 100~200 
                 A1 
                 A2 
                 A3 
                 A4 
               
               
                 width 
                 200~300 
                 A5 
                 A6 
                 A7 
                 A8 
               
               
                   
                 300~400 
                 A9 
                 A10 
                 A11 
                 A12 
               
               
                   
               
            
           
         
       
     
     The matrix control unit  20  acquires operation state information and production state information, and acquires the standard control value A of each control element according to the production state information with reference to the pre-control table  21  corresponding to the operation state information. If the control element is the preheater winding angle, the matrix control unit  20  acquires, according to the pre-control table  21 , which is Table 1, a control value A1 as the standard control value A, for example, in a case where a basis weight is 150 and a paper width is 150. 
     The matrix control unit  20  outputs the standard control value A of each acquired control element to the addition unit  27  to be described later. 
     The warped amount determination unit  25   a  acquires image information of the corrugated fiberboard  35  from the CCD camera  7 , and determines a sheet warped amount based on the image information. Warping information acquisition means of the present invention is configured with the CCD camera  7  and the warped amount determination unit  25   a.    
     The history database  25  acquires production state information and warping information, and stores, as one actual data set, a data set including at least production state information, control value information, and warping information of each control element when a sheet warped amount has become minimum due to feedback control by the process controller  26  or manual adjustment by an operator in one time of order. 
     Table 2 below is given as an example of the history database  25 . Table 2 below shows only a winding angle of a preheater as control value information of a control element for the sake of convenience. Winding angles Aact1 to Aact5 are actual winding angles of the preheater, which are obtained as a result of the process controller  26  feedback-controlling a sheet warped amount such that an increase in the sheet warped amount is suppressed or as a result of manual adjustment by the operator. 
     
       
         
           
               
               
               
               
               
             
               
                   
                 TABLE 2 
               
             
            
               
                   
                   
               
               
                   
                   
                 Production state 
                   
                 Warped 
               
               
                   
                   
                 information 
                 Control value 
                 amount 
               
            
           
           
               
               
               
               
               
               
            
               
                   
                   
                 Basis 
                 Paper 
                 (preheater 
                 (warp 
               
               
                   
                   
                 weight 
                 width 
                 winding angle) 
                 factor) 
               
               
                   
                   
               
               
                   
                 Actual 
                 100 
                 100 
                 Aact1 
                 0.5 
               
               
                   
                 data set 
                   
                   
                   
                   
               
               
                   
                 1 
                   
                   
                   
                   
               
               
                   
                 Actual 
                 120 
                 150 
                 Aact2 
                 0.6 
               
               
                   
                 data set 
                   
                   
                   
                   
               
               
                   
                 2 
                   
                   
                   
                   
               
               
                   
                 Actual 
                 160 
                 190 
                 Aact3 
                 0.4 
               
               
                   
                 data set 
                   
                   
                   
                   
               
               
                   
                 3 
                   
                   
                   
                   
               
               
                   
                 Actual 
                 190 
                 220 
                 Aact4 
                 0.2 
               
               
                   
                 data set 
                   
                   
                   
                   
               
               
                   
                 4 
                   
                   
                   
                   
               
               
                   
                 Actual 
                 210 
                 250 
                 Aact5 
                 0.3 
               
               
                   
                 data set 
                   
                   
                   
                   
               
               
                   
                 5 
               
               
                   
                   
               
            
           
         
       
     
     The correction amount table  23  is a table for setting a correction amount ΔA of the standard control value A stored in the pre-control table  21 . The correction amount ΔA is an adjustment amount of the standard control value A stored in the pre-control table  21 , and is a negative number, zero, or a positive number. 
     Just as the pre-control table  21 , the correction amount table  23  is prepared for each of the plurality of different operation states (the plurality of different production speeds in the embodiment) with respect to each control element. An example of the correction amount table  23  is shown in Table 3 below. In the example, the correction amount table  23  is a two-dimensional table in which the correction amount ΔA of a preheater winding amount is set based on a basis weight and a paper width of base paper. For example, when the basis weight is 150 and the paper width is 150, a correction amount ΔA1 is selected as the correction amount ΔA. 
     
       
         
           
               
               
               
             
               
                 TABLE 3 
               
             
            
               
                   
               
               
                   
                   
                 Basis weight 
               
            
           
           
               
               
               
               
               
               
            
               
                   
                   
                 100~ 
                 200~ 
                 300~ 
                 400~ 
               
               
                   
                   
                 200 
                 300 
                 400 
                 500 
               
               
                   
               
               
                 Paper 
                 100~200 
                 ΔA1 
                 ΔA2 
                 ΔA3 
                 ΔA4 
               
               
                 width 
                 200~300 
                 ΔA5 
                 ΔA6 
                 ΔA7 
                 ΔA8 
               
               
                   
                 300~400 
                 ΔA9 
                 ΔA10 
                 ΔA11 
                 ΔA12 
               
               
                   
               
            
           
         
       
     
     The correction amount updating unit  24  updates the correction amount table  23  based on the actual data set recorded in the history database  25 . The correction amount updating unit  24  acquires a structure of a table from the correction amount table  23 . When the correction amount table  23  is a table in Table 3, a structure of 3 rows×4 columns (=12 cells), which is formed of three rows of “100 to 200”, “200 to 300”, and “300 to 400” in terms of a paper width and four columns of “100 to 200”, “200 to 300”, “300 to 400”, and “400 to 500” in terms of a basis weight, is acquired. 
     To describe an example in a case where an update target cell is a cell having a paper width of “100 to 200” and a basis weight of “100 to 200”, the correction amount updating unit  24  extracts, from the history database  25 , an actual data set having a paper width in a range of “100 to 200”, a basis weight in a range of “100 to 200”, and a minimum warped amount, and extracts an actual data set 3 in an example shown in Table 2. 
     The correction amount updating unit  24  acquires, from the pre-control table  21 , the standard control value A corresponding to the update target cell of the correction amount table  23 , and acquires the control value A1 as the standard control value A from the cell having a paper width of “100 to 200” and a basis weight of “100 to 200” in an example of Table 1. A value of the correction amount ΔA1 of the update target cell is updated based on a difference between the control value A1 and a control value Aact3 which is a control value of the actual data set 3 (=Aact3−A1). 
     The correction amount calculation unit  22  acquires the correction amount ΔA for each control element from an appropriate cell of the correction amount table  23  based on production state information and operation state information, and outputs the correction amount ΔA to the addition unit  27 . 
     The addition unit  27  outputs, for each control element, a value obtained by adding the correction amount ΔA acquired from the correction amount calculation unit  22  to the standard control value A acquired from the matrix control unit  20  to the process controller  26  as the initial control value Aset (initial control value Aset=standard control value A+correction amount ΔA). 
     [2-2. Control Flow] 
     Hereinafter, control flow of updating control will be described with reference to  FIG.  3    with the correction amount table  23  for a preheater winding angle, which is Table 3, given as an example. In anticipation of time when a certain amount of new actual data sets are accumulated in the history database  25 , the control flow is executed, and is repeatedly executed, for example, on a daily basis or on a weekly basis. 
     First, in Step A 10 , a cell to become an update target of the correction amount table  23  is set from the twelve cells. In the embodiment, three cells respectively having paper widths of “100 to 200”, “200 to 300”, and “300 to 400”, which correspond to specifications of paper types of various sheet materials prepared in a production plan, for example, a basis weight of “100 to 200”, are set in turn. In Step A 20 , the history database  25  is searched. In Step A 30 , the presence or absence of an actual data set, which is in a range of a basis weight that is the same as the cell to become the update target and in a range of a paper width that is the same as the cell to become the update target, is determined. When there is a corresponding actual data set, processing proceeds to Step A 40 , and when there is no corresponding actual data set, processing proceeds to Step A 60 . 
     In Step A 40 , out of the corresponding actual data sets, an actual data set, in which a sheet warped amount is minimum, is extracted. In Step A 50 , a numerical value of the corresponding cell is rewritten based on a control value of a preheater winding angle included in the actual data set. 
     In Step A 60 , whether or not updating control of a correction amount is completed for all of the three cells to become the update targets in the correction amount table  23  is determined (a case where rewriting is not performed since there is no corresponding actual data set is also included). In a case where updating control of a correction amount is completed for all of the cells, the update of the correction amount table  23  is terminated. In a case otherwise, after returning to Step A 10  and the cells to become the update targets are changed, Step A 20  and steps thereafter are executed. 
     [2-3. Operation and Effect] 
     In the embodiment, an actual data set that includes at least production state information, control value information, and warping information is stored in the history database  25 , and from the actual data set stored in the history database  25 , the correction amount table  23  is updated based on a control value having a good sheet warped amount. That is, the correction amount table  23  is updated based on an actual value such that an increase in a sheet warped amount can be further suppressed. 
     After then, in the same production state, the standard control value A of a preheater winding angle stored in the pre-control table  21  is corrected through the correction amount ΔA obtained from the updated correction amount table  23 , and the initial control value Aset is set. 
     As a result, after then, in the same production state, since the initial control value Aset of a control value is set in accordance with the correction amount table  23  updated based on the actual value, the preheater winding angle can be quickly optimized by feedback control or manual adjustment by an operator, and the warping of a corrugated fiberboard can be quickly rectified. 
     In addition, with respect to the standard control value A of the pre-control table  21 , the correction amount ΔA based on an actual value for suppressing a sheet warped amount is stored into the correction amount table  23 . That is, since it is possible to manage an extent that the standard control value A deviates from an optimal control value, for example, it is possible to achieve optimization of the standard control value A in a production state where there is no actual value by analyzing a cause of this deviation. 
     [2-4. Modification Example] 
     [2-4-1. First Modification Example] 
     A first modification example of the first embodiment of the present invention will be described with reference to  FIG.  4   . A corrugated fiberboard sheet manufacturing system  100 - 1  of the modification example is configured with the corrugated fiberboard manufacturing device  1  and a production management device  2 - 1 . 
     As shown in  FIG.  4   , portions indicated with bold frames in the production management device  2 - 1  of the modification example are different from the first embodiment. In the modification example, a control table  21   a  is added to the first embodiment, and a control input calculation unit  20   a  is provided instead of the matrix control unit  20 . Since other configuration elements are the same as the first embodiment, the same reference signs as the first embodiment will be assigned, and description thereof will be omitted. 
     The control table  21   a  is used in setting the initial control value Aset according to a production state, and has the same structure as the pre-control table  21  (refer to Table 1). At the time of initial operation start of the corrugated fiberboard sheet manufacturing system, the standard control value A stored in the corresponding cell of the pre-control table  21  is input as it is in each cell of the control table  21   a  as the initial control value Aset. In other words, the control table  21   a  is a duplicate of the pre-control table  21  at the time of initial operation start. 
     When the correction amount table  23  is updated, the control table  21   a  acquires the correction amount ΔA of a rewritten cell in the correction amount table  23 , acquires the standard control value A stored in a cell corresponding to this cell from the pre-control table  21 , and adds the correction amount ΔA and the standard control value A to update the corresponding cell. 
     As described above, the initial control value Aset is set by correcting the standard control value A through the control table  21   a  and the correction amount table  23 , and the control table  21   a  and the correction amount table correspond to a correction table of the present invention. 
     The control input calculation unit  20   a  acquires operation state information and production state information. With reference to the control table  21   a  corresponding to the operation state information, the control input calculation unit acquires the initial control value Aset of each control element corresponding to the production state information, and outputs the initial control value Aset to the process controller  26 . 
     [2-4-2. Second Modification Example] 
     A second modification example of the first embodiment of the present invention will be described with reference to  FIG.  5   . A corrugated fiberboard sheet manufacturing system  100 - 2  of the modification example is configured with the corrugated fiberboard manufacturing device  1  and a production management device  2 - 2 . 
     As shown in  FIG.  5   , portions indicated with bold frames of the production management device  2 - 2  of the modification example are different from the first modification example. That is, in the modification example, instead of the correction amount table  23  and the correction amount updating unit  24 , a control table after correction  23   a  and a control value updating unit  24   a  are additionally provided compared to the first modification example. Since other configuration elements are the same as the first modification example, the same reference signs as the first modification example will be assigned, and description thereof will be omitted. 
     The control value updating unit  24   a  updates the control table after correction  23   a  based on history recorded in the history database  25 . Specifically, after acquiring a structure of a table from the control table after correction  23   a,  the control value updating unit  24   a  extracts an actual data set, which belongs to a predetermined production state and has a minimum warped amount, from the history database  25 , and updates a cell to become an update target of the control table after correction  23   a  with a preheater winding angle of the actual data set (update value). 
     The control table after correction  23   a  is used in setting the initial control value Aset. When a control value is updated by the control value updating unit  24   a , the control table after correction outputs the control value after correction, which is stored in the updated cell, to the control table  21   a . In the control table  21   a , the initial control value Aset stored in a cell corresponding thereto is updated with the control value input from the control table after correction  23   a.    
     The initial control value Aset is set by correcting the standard control value A through the control table  21   a  and the control table after correction  23   a , and the control table  21   a , the control table after correction  23   a , and the control value updating unit  24   a  correspond to the correction table of the present invention. 
     Hereinafter, control flow of updating control of the control table after correction  23   a  according to the modification example will be described with reference to  FIG.  6   . Just as the control flow of the control table after correction  23   a  of the first embodiment, in anticipation of time when a new actual data set is accumulated in the history database  25 , this control flow is executed, and is repeatedly executed, for example, on a daily basis or on a weekly basis. 
     First, in Step B 10 , at the time of initial operation of the corrugated fiberboard sheet manufacturing system, a control value input in the pre-control table  21  is input as it is into the control table  21   a.  Next, in Step B 20 , a cell to become an update target of the control table after correction  23   a  is set. In the modification example, cells corresponding to specifications of paper types of various sheet materials prepared in the production plan are set in turn. In Step B 30 , the history database  25  is searched if there is an actual data set corresponding to the cell. In Step B 40 , the presence or absence of a corresponding actual data set is determined. When there is the corresponding actual data set, processing proceeds to Step B 50 , and when there is no corresponding actual data set, processing proceeds to Step B 70 . 
     In Step B 50 , out of the corresponding actual data sets, an actual data set, in which a sheet warped amount is minimum, is extracted. In Step B 60 , a control value of a corresponding cell is updated based on a preheater winding angle in the actual data set in which the sheet warped amount is minimum, and processing proceeds to Step B 70 . In Step B 70 , whether or not updating control of a control value is completed for all of cells to become update targets in the control table after correction  23   a  is determined. In a case where updating control of a control value for all of cells is completed, the update of the control table after correction  23   a  is terminated. In a case otherwise, after processing returns to Step B 20  and a cell to become an update target is changed, Step B 30  and steps thereafter are executed. 
     When the update of the control table after correction  23   a  is completed, update of corresponding cells of the control table  21   a  is performed based on numerical values stored in the cells updated in the control table after correction  23   a.    
     [2-4-3. Third Modification Example] 
     A third modification example of the first embodiment of the present invention will be described with reference to  FIG.  7   . A corrugated fiberboard sheet manufacturing system  100 - 3  of the modification example is configured with the corrugated fiberboard manufacturing device  1  and a production management device  2 - 3 . 
     As shown in  FIG.  7   , a portion indicated with a thick line of the production management device  2 - 3  of the modification example is different from the second modification example shown in  FIG.  5   . That is, the control table  21   a  is omitted, and a control table after correction  23   b  is provided instead of the control table after correction  23   a.  Since other configuration elements are the same as the second modification example, the same reference signs as the second modification example will be assigned, and description thereof will be omitted. 
     The control table after correction  23   b  is a table obtained by integrating with the control table  21   a  and the control table after correction  23   a  of the second modification example. Specifically, at the time of initial operation start of the corrugated fiberboard sheet manufacturing system, the standard control value A stored in a corresponding cell of the pre-control table  21  is stored as it is in each cell of the control table after correction  23   b  as the initial control value Aset. Other points are the same as the control table after correction  23   a  of the second modification example, and the control table after correction  23   b  corresponds to the correction table of the present invention. 
     [2-5. Others] 
     When temperatures of the base paper  30  to  33  are equal to or lower than a predetermined temperature, there is a possibility that defective attachment occurs. In the first embodiment and the first modification example to the third modification example, when temperatures detected by the temperature sensors T 1  to T 4  detecting temperatures of the base paper  30  to  33  are less than a threshold temperature, production state information or a sheet warped amount of that time may not be stored in the history database  25  as an actual data set. Alternatively, the temperatures of the base paper  30  to  33  are incorporated as information data configuring an actual data set. The correction amount updating unit  24  and the control value updating unit  24   a  may not be used in updating the correction amount table  23  or the control table after corrections  23   a  and  23   b  as for the actual data sets in which the temperatures of the base paper  30  to  33  are less than the threshold temperature. 
     [3. Second Embodiment] 
     [3-1. Configuration of Production Management Device] 
     A second embodiment of the present invention will be described with reference to  FIGS.  8  and  9   . A corrugated fiberboard sheet manufacturing system  100 A of the embodiment is configured with the corrugated fiberboard manufacturing device  1  and a production management device  2 A. 
     As shown in  FIG.  8   , portions indicated with bold frames of the production management device  2 A of the embodiment are different from the first embodiment. That is, the embodiment is partially different from the first embodiment in terms of functions of a correction amount updating unit  24 A, and a prediction model generation unit  28  is added. Since other configuration elements are the same as the first embodiment, the same reference signs as the first embodiment will be assigned, and description thereof will be omitted. 
     The correction amount updating unit  24 A is the same as the correction amount updating unit  24  of the first embodiment in that the correction amount table  23  is updated based on an actual data set recorded in the history database  25 , outputs a cell to become an update target to the prediction model generation unit  28 , and requests the prediction model generation unit  28  (first prediction model generation means) to generate a warping prediction model M 1  of a preheater winding angle in the cell. 
     The prediction model generation unit  28  creates the warping prediction model M 1  for the update target cell, which is requested from the correction amount updating unit  24 A, based on the actual data set acquired from the history database  25 , and stores the warping prediction model M 1 . 
     The correction amount updating unit  24 A acquires an optimal preheater winding angle Aprd, at which a warped amount of the corrugated fiberboard  35  in the cell to become the update target is equal to or less than a predetermined value, by using the warping prediction model M 1 , and sets a difference between the standard control value A acquired from the pre-control table  21  and the optimal preheater winding angle Aprd (=Aprd−A) as a new correction amount to update a value of the correction amount ΔA of the update target cell. 
     The correction amount calculation unit  22 , the correction amount updating unit  24 A, and the prediction model generation unit  28  will be further described with reference to  FIG.  9    with a preheater winding angle [degree] given as an example. 
     When the update target cell has a paper width of “100 to 200” and a basis weight of “100 to 200”, the prediction model generation unit  28  acquires an actual data set, in which the paper width and the basis weight are in the ranges, from the history database  25 . The warping prediction model M 1  that is a regression model, through which a warped amount of the corrugated fiberboard  35  is acquired from a preheater winding angle, is generated from actual data sets (operation data) indicated with filled squares in  FIG.  9   . The warping prediction model M 1  may be a statistical model such as a vicinity search model and a regression tree, or may be a physical model. In a case of using a statistical model, a warped amount may be directly acquired from an actual data set acquired from the history database  25 . In a case of using a physical model, an adjustment parameter is fitted such that a prediction result obtained through the physical model agrees an actual data set. 
     Through the warping prediction model M 1 , the correction amount updating unit  24 A acquires the optimal preheater winding angle Aprd at which a warped amount is ideal. In an example shown in  FIG.  9   , 72 [degree] at which a sheet warped amount is zero is set as the optimal preheater winding angle Aprd. 
     In a case where a production state continuously changes just as a basis weight, it is considered that the correction amount calculation unit  22  changes, according to a basis weight, the correction amount ΔA of a control element exemplified as a preheater winding angle continuously or in a piecemeal manner. For example, it is considered that the correction amount ΔA is set for 10 [g/m 2 ] by linearly interpolating between the correction amount ΔA1 when the basis weight is 100 to 200 [g/m 2 ] and the correction amount ΔA2 when the basis weight is 200 to 300 [g/m 2 ], in a range of a basis weight of the correction amount table of Table 3 is 100 to 200 [g/m 2 ]. 
     In such a case, the prediction model generation unit  28  generates the warping prediction model M 1  for every 10 [g/m 2 ] basis weight. After acquiring each sheet warped amount at each linear interpolation point through the warping prediction models M 1 , the correction amount updating unit  24 A may acquire the optimal preheater winding angle Aprd and update the correction amount table  23 . 
     Specifically, the prediction model generation unit  28  generates the warping prediction model M 1  for each of all of 11 points of 100, 110, 120, 130, . . . , 190, and 200 [g/m 2 ] in increments of a basis weight of 10 [g/m 2 ]. The correction amount updating unit  24 A predicts sheet warped amounts for all of the 11 points based on the warping prediction model M 1 , and sets a preheater winding angle at which a total value of the sheet warped amounts of the 11 points is minimum, or a preheater winding angle at which a maximum value of the sheet warped amounts of the 11 points is minimum as the optimal preheater winding angle Aprd. Then, the correction amount updating unit  24 A uses the optimal preheater winding angle Aprd to update the correction amount table  23 . 
     For example, in a case of acquiring the correction amount ΔA when a basis weight is 150 [g/m 2 ], the correction amount calculation unit  22  acquires the correction amount ΔA1 when a basis weight is 100 to 200 [g/m 2 ] and the correction amount ΔA2 when a basis weight is 200 to 300 [g/m 2 ] from the correction amount table  23 , and linearly interpolates the correction amounts ΔA1 and ΔA2 to acquire the correction amount ΔA when a basis weight is 150 [g/m 2 ]. 
     [3-2. Operation and Effect] 
     (1) In the embodiment, even in a production state where there few actual data sets or an actual data set does not exist in the history database  25 , a warped amount can be predicted by using the warping prediction model M 1 , and the warping of the corrugated fiberboard  35  can be suppressed. 
     (2) In the embodiment, since the correction amount table  23  is updated in particular, information shown in the pre-control table  21  can be utilized in correcting a control amount of a control element according to a change in production state information. Therefore, there is an advantage that the initial control value Aset can be accurately set by using the warping prediction model M 1 . 
     Hereinafter, the reason will be described by comparing the embodiment with a method of directly updating the pre-control table  21  (hereinafter, referred to as a “comparative example”). In addition to the embodiment, the comparative example as well will be described as a method of correcting the standard control value A specified in the pre-control table based on the same actual value data. 
     First, the comparative example will be described. For example, actual value data of a preheater winding angle shown in Table 4 below is obtained from the history database  25 . In Table 4 below, a vertical line is a basis weight, and a horizontal line is a preheater winding angle. Numbers in cells indicate sheet warped amounts for corresponding basis weights and preheater winding angles, and blanks in cells indicate that there is no actual value data. For example, a sheet warped amount for a basis weight of 100 [g/m 2 ] and a preheater winding angle of 20 [degree] is 0.15, and actual value data of a sheet warped amount for a basis weight of 100 [g/m 2 ] and a preheater winding angle of 60 [degree] does not exist. 
     In addition, cells includes specific cells which correspond to the standard control values A specified as the initial control values Aset in a pre-control table before initial operation start (before update). The specific cells are basis weights 100, 150 intersecting preheater winding angle 20, basis weight 200 intersecting preheater winding angle 40, basis weight 250 intersecting preheater weight angle 100, and basis weight 300 intersecting preheater angle 120. That is, in the pre-control table, with respect to basis weights 100, 150, 200, 250, and 300 and [g/m 2 ], preheater winding angles 20, 20, 40, 100, and  120  [degree] are respectively set as the standard control values A. 
     
       
         
           
               
               
             
               
                 TABLE 4 
               
             
            
               
                   
               
               
                   
                 Preheater winding angle [degree] 
               
            
           
           
               
               
               
               
               
               
               
            
               
                 Sheet warped amount 
                 20 
                 40 
                 60 
                 80 
                 100 
                 120 
               
               
                   
               
            
           
           
               
               
               
               
               
               
               
               
            
               
                 Basis weight 
                 100 
                 0.15 
                 0.05 
                   
                   
                   
                   
               
               
                 [g/m 2 ] 
                 150 
                 0.10 
                 0.07 
                   
                   
                   
                   
               
               
                   
                 200 
                   
                 0.10 
                 0.05 
                   
                   
                   
               
               
                   
                 250 
                   
                   
                   
                 0.25 
                 0.20 
                   
               
               
                   
                 300 
                   
                   
                   
                   
                   
                 0.23 
               
               
                   
               
            
           
         
       
     
     The warping prediction model M 1  is prepared from actual value data of Table 4 through linear regression, and a sheet warped amount in which a basis weight and a preheater winding angle are without actual value data is predicted from the warping prediction model M 1 , and the predicted amount is shown in Table 5. Specific cells of Table 5 are cells in which sheet warped amounts are predicted from the warping prediction model M 1 . The specific cells are basis weights 200, 250 300 intersecting preheater winding angle 20, basis weights 250, 300 intersecting preheater winding angle 40, basis weights 100, 150, 250, 300 intersecting preheater weight angle 60, basis weights 100, 150, 200, 300 intersecting preheater angle 80, basis weights 100, 150, 200, 300 intersecting preheater weight angle 100, basis weights 100, 150, 200, 250, 300 intersecting preheater angle 120. In addition, from the prediction result, the initial control value Aset of the pre-control table  21  is updated from the standard control value A based on the optimal preheater winding angle Aprd having the smallest sheet warped amount for each basis weight in the specific cells. The specific cells are basis weights 250, 300 intersecting preheater winding angle 20, basis weights 100, 150 intersecting preheater winding angle 40, basis weight 200 intersecting preheater weight angle 60. That is, the pre-control table  21  is updated with preheater winding angles 40, 40, 60, 20, and 20 [degree] respectively set as the initial control values Aset with respect to basis weights 100, 150, 200, 250, and 300 [g/m 2 ]. 
     
       
         
           
               
               
             
               
                 TABLE 5 
               
             
            
               
                   
               
               
                   
                 Preheater winding angle [degree] 
               
            
           
           
               
               
               
               
               
               
               
            
               
                 Sheet warped amount 
                 20 
                 40 
                 60 
                 80 
                 100 
                 120 
               
               
                   
               
            
           
           
               
               
               
               
               
               
               
               
            
               
                 Basis weight 
                 100 
                 0.15 
                 0.05 
                 0.09 
                 0.10 
                 0.12 
                 0.13 
               
               
                 [g/m 2 ] 
                 150 
                 0.10 
                 0.07 
                 0.12 
                 0.13 
                 0.14 
                 0.15 
               
               
                   
                 200 
                 0.11 
                 0.10 
                 0.05 
                 0.15 
                 0.16 
                 0.18 
               
               
                   
                 250 
                 0.14 
                 0.15 
                 0.16 
                 0.25 
                 0.20 
                 0.20 
               
               
                   
                 300 
                 0.16 
                 0.18 
                 0.19 
                 0.20 
                 0.21 
                 0.23 
               
               
                   
               
            
           
         
       
     
     The initial control values Aset before update and after update are organized in Table 6 below. As it is clear from Table 6 below as well, after making significant changes compared to the standard control values A before update, the initial control values Aset for basis weights of 250 and 300 [g/m 2 ] are smaller than the standard control values A of basis weights of 100 to 200 [g/m 2 ]. While the standard control value A, which is the initial control value Aset before update, is set by reflecting information that an optimal value of a preheater winding angle tends to increase as a basis weight increases, such information is not reflected in the initial control value Aset after update. 
     
       
         
           
               
               
               
               
               
             
               
                   
                 TABLE 6 
               
               
                   
                   
               
               
                   
                 Initial control 
                 Before 
                   
                   
               
               
                   
                 value Aset of 
                 correction 
                   
                   
               
               
                   
                 preheater 
                 (= standard 
                   
                   
               
               
                   
                 winding angle 
                 control 
                 After 
                 Correction 
               
               
                   
                 [degree] 
                 value A) 
                 correction 
                 amount 
               
               
                   
                   
               
             
            
               
                   
               
            
           
           
               
               
               
               
               
               
            
               
                   
                 Basis 
                 100 
                  20 
                 40 
                    20 
               
               
                   
                 weight 
                 150 
                  20 
                 40 
                    20 
               
               
                   
                 [g/m 2 ] 
                 200 
                  40 
                 60 
                    20 
               
               
                   
                   
                 250 
                 100 
                 20 
                  −80 
               
               
                   
                   
                 300 
                 120 
                 20 
                 −100 
               
               
                   
                   
               
            
           
         
       
     
     Next, the embodiment will be described. For example, actual value data shown in Table 7 below is obtained from the history database  25 . In Table 7 below, a vertical line is a basis weight, and a horizontal line is the correction amount ΔA of a preheater winding angle. Numbers in cells indicate sheet warped amounts for corresponding basis weights and the correction amounts ΔA of preheater winding angles, and blanks in cells indicate that there is no actual value data. 
     In the pre-control table, as in the case of the comparative example, with respect to basis weights 100, 150, 200, 250, and 300 [g/m 2 ], preheater winding angles 20, 20, 40, 100, and 120 [degree] are respectively set as the standard control values A. 
     
       
         
           
               
               
             
               
                   
                 TABLE 7 
               
             
            
               
                   
                   
               
               
                   
                 Correction amount ΔA of preheater 
               
               
                   
                 winding angle [degree] 
               
            
           
           
               
               
               
               
               
               
               
            
               
                 Sheet warped amount 
                 −40 
                 −20 
                 0 
                 20 
                 40 
                 80 
               
               
                   
               
            
           
           
               
               
               
               
               
               
               
               
            
               
                 Basis 
                 100 
                   
                   
                 0.15 
                 0.05 
                   
                   
               
               
                 weight 
                 150 
                   
                   
                 0.10 
                 0.07 
               
               
                 [g/m 2 ] 
                 200 
                   
                   
                 0.10 
                 0.05 
               
               
                   
                 250 
                   
                 0.25 
                 0.20 
               
               
                   
                 300 
               
               
                   
               
            
           
         
       
     
     The warping prediction model M 1  is prepared from actual value data of a preheater winding angle of Table 7 through linear regression, and a sheet warped amount in which a basis weight and a preheater winding angle are without actual value data is predicted from the warping prediction model M 1  and is shown in Table 8. Specific cells of Table 8 are cells in which sheet warped amounts are predicted from the warping prediction model M 1 . The specific cells are basis weights 100, 150, 200, 250 300 intersecting preheater winding angle −40, basis weights 100, 150, 200, 300 intersecting preheater winding angle −20, basis weights 300 intersecting preheater weight angle 0, basis weights 250, 300 intersecting preheater angle 20, basis weights 100, 150, 200, 250, 300 intersecting preheater weight angle 40, basis weights 100, 150, 200, 250, 300 intersecting preheater angle 80. In addition, from the prediction result, the correction amount ΔA of the correction amount table  23  is updated based on a correction amount corresponding to the optimal preheater winding angle Aprd having the smallest sheet warped amount for each basis weight in the specific cells. The specific cells are basis weights 100, 150, 200, 250, 300 intersecting preheater winding angle 40. That is, the correction amount table  23  is updated such that 40 [degree] is set as the correction amount ΔA with respect to each of basis weights of 100, 150, 200, 250, and 300 [g/m 2 ]. 
     
       
         
           
               
               
             
               
                 TABLE 8 
               
             
            
               
                   
               
               
                   
                 Correction amount of preheater  
               
               
                   
                 winding angle [degree] 
               
            
           
           
               
               
               
               
               
               
               
            
               
                 Sheet warped amount 
                 −40 
                 −20 
                 0 
                 20 
                 40 
                 80 
               
               
                   
               
            
           
           
               
               
               
               
               
               
               
               
            
               
                 Basis weight 
                 100 
                 0.29 
                 0.21 
                 0.15 
                 0.05 
                 −0.04 
                 −0.12 
               
               
                 [g/m 2 ] 
                 150 
                 0.30 
                 0.22 
                 0.10 
                 0.07 
                 −0.03 
                 −0.11 
               
               
                   
                 200 
                 0.31 
                 0.23 
                 0.10 
                 0.05 
                 −0.02 
                 −0.10 
               
               
                   
                 250 
                 0.32 
                 0.25 
                 0.20 
                 0.08 
                  0.00 
                 −0.09 
               
               
                   
                 300 
                 0.34 
                 0.25 
                 0.17 
                 0.09 
                  0.01 
                 −0.07 
               
               
                   
               
            
           
         
       
     
     The initial control values Aset before correction (=A) and after correction (=A+ΔA) are organized in Table 9 below. 
     
       
         
           
               
               
               
               
             
               
                   
                 TABLE 9 
               
             
            
               
                   
                   
               
               
                   
                 Before correction 
                 After 
                   
               
            
           
           
               
               
               
               
            
               
                 Initial control 
                 (=standard 
                 correction 
                 Correction 
               
               
                 value Aset 
                 control value A) 
                 (=A + ΔA) 
                 amount 
               
               
                   
               
            
           
           
               
               
               
               
               
            
               
                 Basis 
                 100 
                 20 
                 60 
                 40 
               
               
                 weight 
                 150 
                 20 
                 60 
                 40 
               
               
                 [g/m 2 ] 
                 200 
                 40 
                 80 
                 40 
               
               
                   
                 250 
                 100 
                 140 
                 40 
               
               
                   
                 300 
                 120 
                 160 
                 40 
               
               
                   
               
            
           
         
       
     
     As described above, in the embodiment, after update, a correction amount ΔA from the standard control value A of preheater winding angle for basis weights of 250 and 300 [g/m 2 ] is 40 [degree], which is smaller compared to the comparative example. In addition, also the initial control value Aset of a preheater winding angle (=standard control value A+correction amount ΔA) still tends to increase as a basis weight increases. 
     That is because the standard control value A can be left as a base part of a control value since a correction amount of the correction amount table  23  is updated in the embodiment instead of updating the standard control value A of the pre-control table  21  itself. That is, this is because information that an increase in a sheet warped amount can be suppressed by setting a preheater winding angle to be larger as a basis weight increases, which is reflected in the pre-control table  21 , can be reliably left. 
     [4. Third Embodiment] 
     [4-1. Configuration of Production Management Device] 
     A third embodiment of the present invention will be described with reference to  FIGS.  10  and  11   . A corrugated fiberboard sheet manufacturing system  100 B of the embodiment is configured with the corrugated fiberboard manufacturing device  1  and a production management device  2 B. 
     Since the production management device  2 B of the embodiment is different from the production management device  2 A of the second embodiment only in terms of functions of the history database, the prediction model generation unit, and the correction amount updating unit, only a history database  25 A, a prediction model generation unit  28 A, and a correction amount updating unit  24 B, which are indicated with bold frames in  FIG.  10   , will be described. Since other configuration elements are the same as the second embodiment, the same reference signs as the second embodiment will be assigned in  FIGS.  10  and  11   , and description thereof will be omitted. 
     The history database  25 A acquires temperature information of the base paper  30  to  33  at a preheater outlet or on a slightly downstream side of the preheater outlet from the temperature sensors T 1 , T 2 , T 3 , and T 4 , and includes at least one of temperature information pieces of the base paper  30  to  33  as information configuring an actual data set. 
     In addition to warped amount information, the prediction model generation unit  28 A acquires temperature information as an actual data set from the history database  25 A. In addition to the warping prediction model M 1 , a temperature prediction model M 2  through which a temperature from a preheater winding angle is predicted is generated based on temperature information indicated with filled circles as shown in  FIG.  11   . In this manner, the prediction model generation unit  28 A is configured by integrating the first prediction model generation means and second prediction model generation means of the present invention. It is evident that the first prediction model generation means and the second prediction model generation means may be separately configured. 
     Out of preheater winding angles at which temperatures estimated through the temperature prediction model M 2  are higher than the threshold temperature, the correction amount updating unit  24 B sets a preheater winding angle at which a sheet warped amount is smallest as the optimal preheater winding angle Aprd. As shown in an example shown in  FIG.  11   , 75 [degree] is set as the optimal preheater winding angle Aprd. The threshold temperature is a temperature having a possibility that defective attachment occurs when becoming equal to or lower than that, or a temperature obtained by adding a margin to this temperature. 
     [4-2. Operation and Effect] 
     In the embodiment, the occurrence of defective attachment can be suppressed since the correction amount table  23  is updated such that a temperature becomes a temperature without a possibility that defective attachment occurs, in addition to having operation and effects of the second embodiment. 
     [5. Fourth Embodiment] 
     [5-1. Configuration of Production Management Device] 
     A fourth embodiment of the present invention will be described with reference to  FIGS.  12  and  13   . A corrugated fiberboard sheet manufacturing system  100 C of the embodiment is configured with the corrugated fiberboard manufacturing device  1  and a production management device  2 C. 
     As shown in  FIG.  12   , portions indicated with bold frames of the corrugated fiberboard sheet manufacturing system  100 C and the production management device  2 C of the embodiment are different from the second embodiment. That is, the embodiment is partially different from the second embodiment in terms of functions of a prediction model generation unit  28 B and a correction amount updating unit  24 C. Since other configuration elements are the same as the second embodiment, the same reference signs as the second embodiment will be assigned, and description thereof will be omitted. 
     The correction amount updating unit  24 C outputs a cell to become an update target to the prediction model generation unit  28 B. 
     The prediction model generation unit  28 B creates a warping prediction model M 1  (+1δ) and a warping prediction model M 1  (−1δ) for the update target cell, which is requested from the correction amount updating unit  24 C, based on the actual data set acquired from the history database  25 , and stores the warping prediction models. 
     The correction amount updating unit  24 C acquires the optimal preheater winding angle Aprd for a cell to become an update target by using the warping prediction model M 1  (+1δ) and the warping prediction model M 1  (−1δ) that are generated by the prediction model generation unit  28 B, and updates the correction amount table  23  by using a value of the correction amount ΔA of the update target cell based on a difference between the standard control value A acquired from the pre-control table  21  and the optimal preheater winding angle Aprd (=Aprd−A). 
     The correction amount updating unit  24 C and the prediction model generation unit  28 B will be further described with reference to  FIG.  13    with a preheater winding angle [degree] given as an example of a control element. 
     The prediction model generation unit  28 B acquires an actual data set, which is in the range of the update target cell, from the history database  25 . The warping prediction models M 1  (+1δ) and M 1  (−1δ) are generated from actual data sets indicated with filled squares in  FIG.  13    through the same method as the second embodiment. In the warping prediction models M 1  (+1δ) and M 1  (−1δ), the uncertainty of standard deviation Δ is expected on each of a plus side and a minus side with respect to the warping prediction model M 1  of the second embodiment. A calculating method of such uncertainty is not limited to a certain method. 
     The correction amount updating unit  24 C predicts a sheet warped amount as a region sandwiched between the two warping prediction models M 1  (+1δ) and M 1  (−1δ). That is, the correction amount updating unit  24 C predicts a sheet warped amount with respect to a preheater winding angle as a prediction width Rwf which is a width attributable to prediction uncertainty. The prediction width Rwf becomes wider in a region where an actual data set is smaller, and becomes wider as separated further away from a region where an actual data set exists. 
     The correction amount updating unit  24 C sets a preheater winding angle at which a proportion of the prediction width Rwf overlapping an allowable range R0 of a sheet warped amount is highest as the optimal preheater winding angle Aprd. In an example shown in  FIG.  13   , 75 [degree] is set as the optimal preheater winding angle Aprd. 
     [5-2. Operation and Effect] 
     In the embodiment, a sheet warped amount is predicted as the prediction width Rwf, and a preheater winding angle at which a proportion of the prediction width Rwf overlapping the allowable range R0 of a sheet warped amount is highest is set as the optimal preheater winding angle Aprd. Since the prediction width Rwf increases as prediction uncertainty increases, a preheater winding angle at which prediction uncertainty increases as an operation actual value becomes smaller is unlikely to be set as the optimal preheater winding angle Aprd. 
     Therefore, it can be suppressed that an inappropriate preheater winding angle is selected as the optimal preheater winding angle Aprd, and thereby the correction amount table  23  can be appropriately updated. Therefore, the warping of the corrugated fiberboard  35  can be more quickly rectified. 
     [5-3. Modification Example] 
     As shown in  FIG.  14   , the prediction model generation unit  28 B generates a severest warping prediction model M 3  in which a predicted sheet warped amount is maximum, for example, through a Gaussian process and Bayesian regression, and a preheater winding angle at which the prediction model M 3  is smallest may be used as the optimal preheater winding angle Aprd in updating the correction amount table  23 . In an example shown in  FIG.  14   , 76 [degree] is set as the optimal preheater winding angle Aprd. 
     [6. Fifth Embodiment] 
     [6-1. Configuration of Production Management Device] 
     A production management device  2 D according to a fifth embodiment of the present invention will be described with reference to  FIG.  15    which shows important parts. 
     Since a corrugated fiberboard sheet manufacturing system  100 D and the production management device  2 D of the embodiment is the same as the second embodiment shown in  FIG.  8    except that a correction amount restriction unit  29  shown with a bold frame is included, only the correction amount restriction unit  29  will be described. 
     When the correction amount updating unit  24 A updates the correction amount ΔA of a correction target cell, the correction amount restriction unit  29  restricts a breadth of change, which is attributable to the update, to be under a threshold value. Specifically, for the correction target cell, the correction amount restriction unit  29  acquires the current correction amount ΔA from the correction amount table  23 , and acquires a correction amount ΔA′, which is planned to be used after update, from the correction amount updating unit  24 A. In a case where an absolute value of a difference between the current correction amount and the correction amount planned to be used after update (=ΔA′−ΔA), that is, the breadth of change of the correction amount exceeds the threshold value, the breadth of change corrects the correction amount ΔA′ to fall below the threshold value. As a specific example, in a case where the current correction amount ΔA of the update target cell is 40 [degree], the correction amount ΔA′ planned to be used after update is 100 [degree], and the threshold value is 10 [degree], the correction amount restriction unit  29  corrects the correction amount ΔA′ to be 50 [degree]. 
     [6-2. Operation and Effect] 
     (1) In the embodiment, a breadth of change of the correction amount ΔA accompanying update is restricted, and a breadth of change of the initial control value Aset is restricted. In a case where the uncertainty of the warping prediction model M 1  is high, also the correction amount ΔA′ calculated based on the warping prediction model M 1  is estimated to have high uncertainty. Therefore, when updating the correction amount table  23  based on the correction amount ΔA′, there is a risk that the initial control value Aset becomes an inappropriate value and the warping of the corrugated fiberboard  35  is cannot be suppressed. However, even in a case where the uncertainty of the warping prediction model M 1  is high, such a risk can be avoided by restricting a breadth of change of the correction amount ΔA. 
     (2) In the embodiment, a complicated process for generating the warping prediction models M 1  (+1δ) and M 1  (−1δ) can be omitted since the uncertainty of a prediction model can be dealt with by restricting a change amount of the correction amount ΔA, compared to the fourth embodiment which deals with the uncertainty of the prediction models by generating the warping prediction models M 1  (+1δ) and M 1  (−1δ). 
     [7. Others] 
     (1) Although the second to fifth embodiments have a configuration where the prediction model generation units  28 ,  28 A, and  28 B are added to the configuration of the first embodiment, a prediction model generation unit may be added to the first modification example to the third modification example of the first embodiment. 
     (2) Although the fifth embodiment has a configuration where the correction amount restriction unit  29  is added to the configuration of the second embodiment, the correction amount restriction unit may be added to the other embodiments and the other modification examples. 
     REFERENCE SIGNS LIST 
       1 : corrugated fiberboard manufacturing device 
       2 ,  2 - 1 ,  2 - 2 ,  2 - 3 ,  2 A,  2 B,  2 C,  2 D: production management device 
       2   a : production state information acquisition unit (production state information acquisition means) 
       7 : CCD camera 
       10 : top liner preheater 
       12 : medium preheater 
       13 : single-faced web preheater 
       14 : bottom liner preheater 
       20 : matrix control unit 
       21 : pre-control table 
       21   a : control table (correction table) 
       23 : correction amount table (correction table) 
       23   a : control table after correction (correction table) 
       23   b : control table after correction (correction table) 
       24 ,  24 A,  24 B,  24 C: correction amount updating unit (updating means) 
       24   a : control value updating unit (updating means) 
       25 ,  25 A: history database (storage means) 
       25   a : warped amount determination unit 
       26 : process controller (control means, control value information acquisition means) 
       27 : addition unit (addition means) 
       28 ,  28 B: prediction model generation unit (first prediction model generation means) 
       28 A: prediction model generation unit (first prediction model generation means, second prediction model generation means) 
       29 : correction amount restriction unit (restriction means) 
       30 : top liner (base paper) 
       31 : medium (base paper) 
       32 : single-faced web (base paper) 
       33 : bottom liner (base paper) 
       35 : corrugated fiberboard 
       100 ,  100 - 1 ,  100 - 2 ,  100 - 3 ,  100 A,  100 B,  100 C,  100 D: corrugated fiberboard sheet manufacturing system 
     T 1 , T 2 , T 3 , T 4 : temperature sensor (temperature acquisition means)