Patent Publication Number: US-2015076821-A1

Title: System And Method To Minimize Grid Spinning Reserve Losses By Pre-Emptively Sequencing Power Generation Equipment To Offset Wind Generation Capacity Based On Geospatial Regional Wind Conditions

Description:
TECHNICAL FIELD 
     The subject matter disclosed herein relates to methods and systems for power generation, and more particularly to electric power grids connected to both wind power generation systems and other, non-wind power generation systems, such as gas turbine power generators. 
     BACKGROUND OF THE INVENTION 
     A power grid distributes power by generating electricity at a power generation facility, and then distributing the electricity through a variety of power transmission lines to the power consumer. The power generator in many, if not most, cases consists of one or more spinning electrical generators. Sometimes the spinning generators are driven by a hydroelectric dam, large diesel engines or gas turbines; in many cases the generators are powered by steam. 
     When the power generator is a so-called spinning electrical generator, i.e., a gas or steam turbine generator, it typically does not operate at peak, i.e., 100% capacity, rather operates, under normal conditions, with a spinning reserve margin, which is the extra generating capacity that is available by increasing the power output of generators that are online, i.e., already running and connected to the electric power generation facility. For most power generators, this increase in power is achieved by increasing the torque applied to the turbine&#39;s rotor, for example, by increasing the gas or steam flow or pressure to the turbine. Maintaining a spinning reserve is important to efficient and timely power generation, as increased power demands can be met virtually in real time by employing the spinning reserve capacity. This is in contrast with non-spinning reserve, i.e., extra power generating capacity that is not currently running or connected to the system, which typically can only be brought online with some delay. 
     Due to the need to have sufficient grid spinning reserve to accommodate, for example, peak demand load requirements, and avoid power disruptions, brownouts, blackouts, etc., grid spinning reserves tend to be maintained at relatively conservative levels, for example, by running numerous gas turbines but maintaining each at a run rate sufficiently below capacity to allow for near instantaneous increased power generation in response to increased demand. Because a spinning electrical generator tends to operate at higher efficiency as it approaches 100% capacity, running below capacity tends to result in inefficiencies, known as grid spinning reserve losses. Accordingly, it would be desirable to minimize grid spinning reserve losses by reducing the reserve margin requirement, while maintaining sufficient spinning reserve to meet anticipated peak loads. 
     BRIEF DESCRIPTION OF THE INVENTION 
     According to an embodiment of the disclosure, an electric power system comprising an electric power grid comprising one or more power generators is disclosed. The electric power grid may be configured to determine a spinning reserve margin for the one or more non-wind power generators, and to determine at least one atmospheric or environmental factor influencing wind generation capability for a region associated with the electric power grid. The electric power grid may be further configured to determine, based on the at least one atmospheric or environmental factor, near term wind generation capability of a wind power generation system connected to the electric power grid. The electric power grid may be further configured to determine a power grid spinning reserve forecast requirement, and to receive, initiate, and/or transmit instructions to adjust power generation of the one or more non-wind power generators based on the near term wind generation capability and the power grid spinning reserve forecast requirement. 
     In another aspect of the disclosure, a method is disclosed that may comprise determining a spinning reserve margin for an online electric power grid served by one or more non-wind power generators; determining at least one atmospheric or environmental factor influencing wind generation capability for a region associated with the online electric power grid; determining, based on the at least one atmospheric or environmental factor, near term wind generation capability of a wind power generation system connected to the online electric power grid; determining a power grid spinning reserve forecast requirement; and providing instructions to adjust power generation of the one or more non-wind power generators based on the near term wind generation capability and the power grid spinning reserve forecast requirement. 
     In yet another aspect of the disclosure, a method is disclosed that may comprise determining a power price spark spread for power being produced by one or more non-wind power generators associated with an electric power grid; determining near term wind generation capability of a wind power generation system connected to the online electric power grid; and determining, based on the power price spark spread and the near term wind generation capability, whether to adjust power generation of the one or more non-wind power generators. 
    
    
     
       BRIEF DESCRIPTION OF THE DRAWINGS 
         FIG. 1  is an exemplary electrical power distribution grid of an embodiment of the disclosure. 
         FIG. 2  is an exemplary flow diagram illustrating a method of practicing an embodiment of the disclosure. 
         FIG. 3  is an exemplary flow diagram illustrating a method of practicing another embodiment of the disclosure. 
     
    
    
     DETAILED DESCRIPTION OF THE INVENTION 
       FIG. 1  illustrates a high level distributed electrical power grid, generally  100 , according to an embodiment of the disclosure. As there illustrated, one or more traditional electric power generation facilities  110  in the electrical power grid  100  may be coupled to substations  125  and solar arrays  210  and/or wind turbine farms  220 . Although  FIG. 1  illustrates three forms of power generation, one of ordinary skill in the art will recognize that the present disclosure is applicable to any form of power generation or energy source. 
     Each electric power generation facility  110  may comprise one or more non-wind power generators,  112 . The non-wind power generators  112  may be any one of, or any combination of, for example, gas turbine generators, steam turbine generators, battery packs, and capacitor banks or any other type of non-wind power generator. Each non-wind power generator  112  may be connected to the electrical power grid  100  served by the electric power generation facility  110 , and controlled using control modules suitable for the purpose. Power production may be controlled at the grid level in order to meet load demand by sending a load request signal to increase or decrease power production to individual power generators. The grid may also issue a remote start-up or shut-down signal to the power generation unit. Modern grids control both load ramp and unit start-up/shut-down automatically based on pre-programmed control logic including reserve margins. Legacy grids controlled some or all aspects of this manually via telephone calls to the power generation plant/facility operating personnel. Each power generation unit may include a dedicated control system to manage unit operation in similar fashion to modern automotive engine controllers. An example power generation unit control system manufactured by General Electric Company is the Speedtronic Mark-VI power generation unit control system. In addition to integrated unit control systems, alternate control systems may include Distributed Control Systems (DCS) and Programmable Logic Controllers (PLC). 
     According to an embodiment of the disclosure, the electric power generation facility  110  and/or electrical power grid  100  may be configured to determine the spinning reserve margin for each of the non-wind power generators  112 . For example, an electrical power grid  100  or electric power generation facility  110  may determine, based on historical experience and/or data, that a power reserve margin of 5% should be maintained at a particular time of day. This power reserve margin may be determined, for example, based on historically known peak load times of day, times of the year, temperature data, etc. To use a simplistic example, if the electric power generation facility  110  had two identical gas turbine generators, it could maintain a 5% spinning reserve margin by running both gas turbine generators at 95% capacity, or by running one generator at 100% capacity and the other at 90% capacity. Other combinations are of course possible in electric power generation facilities that employ numerous types of power generation equipment to maintain their preferred spinning reserve margin. 
     According to an embodiment of the disclosure, the electrical power grid  100  or electric power generation facility  110  may be further configured to determine, or to access information concerning, at least one atmospheric or environmental factor influencing wind generation capability for a region  114  in which a wind turbine farm  220  associated with and/or connected to the electrical power grid  100  or power generation facility  110  resides. Such atmospheric or environmental factor may include one or more of, for example, wind speed, wind direction, icing on wind turbine blades, lightning strikes, wave height for off-shore units, etc. Such factor(s) may be used to determine the near term wind generation capability of each wind turbine farm  220  connected to the electrical power grid  100  or electric power generation facility  110 . Anticipated wind power generation capacity for a particular region  114  may be derived from geospatial regional wind conditions together with operation and maintenance factors. Sources of geospatial environmental and atmospheric data include NASA satellite data feeds, private satellite data feeds, Google maps, NOA data feeds, weather channel links, private sensor arrays, etc. Unit operational factors and maintenance factors are typically accumulated at the unit controller level and aggregate data is available at the OEM data systems level, for example General Electric Company Monitoring &amp; Diagnostics systems. 
     The electrical power grid  100  or electric power generation facility  110  may further be configured to determine a power reserve spinning forecast requirement. For example, if the non-wind power generators  112  of an electric power generation facility  110  normally operate at 50% capacity at midnight in a particular region  114 , then its spinning reserve margin at midnight is 50%. But at noon in the summer, the same facility may know that, based on historical data, it will experience peak load demands and need to operate, for example, at 95% capacity, leaving a 5% spinning reserve margin at noon. Thus, in this example, the electric power generation facility  110  may be configured to determine at midnight a power grid spinning reserve forecast requirement of an additional 45% capacity needed to meet demands at noon in the summer. 
     The electrical power grid  100  or electric power facility  110  may be further configured to receive, initiate, and/or transmit instructions to adjust power generation of the one or more non-wind power generators  112  based on one or more of the near term wind generation capability, the power generator contributions to the spinning reserve for the power grid, and/or the power grid spinning reserve forecast requirement. Such instructions may comprise a signal, and may be transmitted through wired communications or through wireless networks. Information for providing such instructions may be obtained from global climate monitoring satellites, for example, and may be based on monthly or yearly averages and lower atmospheric measurements. As used herein, the term “adjust” may mean increasing power generation, decreasing power generation, initiating power generation of an idle power generator, and/or shutting down power generation of the one or more power generators. 
     If the region  114  in which the wind turbine farms  220  are situated is expected to experience blade icing conditions at noon, for example, then, according to an embodiment of the disclosure, the power generation facility may be configured to anticipate such blade icing conditions and/or be apprised of such blade icing conditions in real time. If, in this example, the noon blade icing conditions reduce the wind turbine farm&#39;s contribution to the capacity of the electrical power grid by 50%, this 50% lost capacity may be made up for in real time by relying on the spinning reserve and adjusting the non-wind power generators  112 , i.e., by increasing their output to match the loss of wind power. On the other hand, if demand for power at a given time drops, and if it is more economical for the electrical power grid  100  or electric power facility  110  to employ wind power, then, according to an embodiment of the disclosure, the non-wind power generators  112  may be adjusted to decrease their power output with the system relying more heavily on the wind power contributions of the wind turbine farms  220 . 
     The electrical power grid  100  or power generation facility  110  may thus be configured to adjust the power generation of the one or more non-wind power generators  112  by decreasing that power generation in response to a determination of increased near term wind generation capability, and may be further configured to adjust the power generation of the one or more non-wind power generators  112  by increasing that power generation in response to a determination of decreased near term wind generation capability. 
     According to another embodiment of the disclosure, the systems and/or methods described herein may be employed to decrease power output or shut down non-wind power generators  112  in advance of a drop in power price spark spread, for example, due to an increase in wind capability. “Spark spread” is a monetary difference between the cost of production of a commodity, such as energy, and the current market price. Because spark spread varies instantaneously, it may be advantageous to employ the systems and methods of the disclosure in order to maximize spark spread at any given moment in time, based on the real time information being received. 
     According to another embodiment of the disclosure, the electrical power grid  100  or electric power generation facility  110  may be configured to adjust power generation of the non-wind power generators  112  based on one or more of the near term wind generation capability, power generator contributions to the spinning reserve, and/or the spinning reserve forecast requirement. The spinning reserve forecast requirement may be determined by determining a change in power consumption demand based on historical power consumption patterns. 
     According to another embodiment of the disclosure, the electrical power grid  100  may serve a plurality of regions  114  in which wind turbine farms  220  reside. According to this embodiment, each region  114  may be served by at least one wind power generating system, such as a wind turbine farm  220 , and at least one electric power generation facility  110 . Other combinations are of course possible. In this embodiment, the electrical power grid  100  may be configured to simultaneously adjust one or more non-wind power generators  112  in each region  114  based on near term wind power generation capability and the power generating facility spinning forecast requirement for each region. 
       FIG. 2  illustrates a flow diagram for a method of practicing an embodiment of the disclosure. According to a method there illustrated, at operation  250 , a spinning reserve margin, for example, for an online electrical power grid  100  served by one or more non-wind power generators  112 , may be determined as set forth herein. A wind turbine generation capability model may also be determined, which model may be used to determine wind turbine generation capability of a particular region  114  within the electrical power grid  100  at a particular time. This capability model may be bounded by parameters such as the maximum design capability of the wind turbine generating units, the wind speed required to produce this design capability, the wind direction relative to the surrounding topography such as hills and trees as well as the other wind turbine generating units within that collective since the topography can mask a portion of the available wind energy, the air temperature and relative humidity since turbine blade icing is dependent on these parameters, expected wind gust velocity relative to the mean velocity since gusts can cause over-speed and over-torque damage to the wind turbine, scheduled and un-scheduled maintenance due, etc. 
     At operation  260 , one or more atmospheric and/or environmental factors, such as those previously described (GIS i.e., Geospatial Information System input), influencing wind turbine generation capability for a region  114  associated with the online electric power grid may be determined. In the United States, regions are divided by ISO into five regions, which generally also include sub-regions having boundaries defined by major utilities. As used herein, a region  114  may be one of the five ISO regions, one of the sub-regions, or any other generally recognized geographic region for electrical power generation. 
     At least one of the atmospheric or environmental factors determined at operation  260  for a region  114  of interest may be used at operation  270  to determine near term wind turbine generation capability of a wind power generation system, such as wind turbine farms  220  within the electrical power grid  100  and/or connected thereto. For example, if at operation  260 , it is determined that the region  114  of interest is experiencing decreased wind speed diminishing by 50%, then, assuming no other variables or factors are present, operation  270  may determine that such wind speed reduction would result in a 50% decrease in wind power generation capability within the region in the near term. As used herein, the phrase “near term” is intended to refer to conditions approximating instantaneous current conditions, including actual current conditions, as well as recent conditions, i.e., within the past hour or less, and predicted conditions, i.e., within the next hour or less, or up to the next day. 
     At operation  280 , a determination may be made concerning those non-wind power generators  112  that are contributing to the spinning reserve of the electrical power grid  100 . For example, if an electrical power grid  100  is connected to ten gas turbines, but only eight are online, then the spinning reserve would be determined using only the excess capacity of the eight online turbines, as the two offline turbines would be considered non-spinning reserve. 
     At operation  285 , a determination may be made concerning the spinning reserve forecast requirement for the electrical power grid  100  as previously described. Such determination may be made, for example, by forecasting a change in power demand based on historical data, known power demand behaviors, time of day, time of year, etc. 
     Based on one or more of the determinations made at operations  250 ,  260 ,  270 ,  280 , and/or  285 , at operation  290 , a command, instruction, signal, or other control operation may be executed in order to sequence reserve non-wind power generator  112  capacity, for example, by transmitting to a local control unit an instruction to increase or decrease the power output of one or more non-wind power generators  112 . Operation  295  may involve discontinuing the command, instruction, or signal, for example, in response to an indication that the command has been initiated. 
     In one embodiment of the disclosure, instructions such as provided at operation  290  may be initiated to adjust power generation of one or more non-wind power generators  112  based on the near term wind generation capability, and/or the power generator contributions to spinning reserve for the online electrical power grid  100 , and/or the power grid spinning reserve forecast requirement. For example, if the near term wind generation capability suddenly decreases due to decreased wind speed, an instruction may be sent to a local control module to make up for the drop in wind power output by correspondingly increasing power output by one or more non-wind power generators  112  having adequate spinning reserve margin. In this regard, depending upon the spinning reserve margin available, and the amount of additional power generation needed, and depending upon the respective power generator contributions to spinning reserve, it may be necessary to increase the power generation of all of the available power generators, only some of them, or possibly only one of them, as conditions dictate. 
     An aspect of some embodiments of the disclosure is making one or more of the determinations described herein in “real time” or on a regular basis separated by relatively short intervals. For example, at operation  260 , the determination of an atmospheric or environmental factor may be made daily, hourly, every 10 seconds, or even more frequently, continuously, or any other desirable interval. As another example, the contributions of each non-wind power generator  112  to spinning reserve of an electrical power grid  100  may be determined on a continuous basis, by continuously monitoring the power output of each non-wind power generator  112  as a function of available capacity for each non-wind power generator  112 . As will be readily appreciated, the more frequently determinations are made in conducting the operations described herein, the more precisely and timely a control change command may be made to adjust power generation in order to most efficiently respond to current conditions, or even anticipate future conditions. 
     Another aspect of the disclosure is illustrated in  FIG. 3 . In this aspect, there may be provided a method to improve power generation asset manager decision fidelity concerning whether or not to shut down, in advance of a drop in power price spark spread, due to an increase in the availability of a lower cost power source, such as increased wind turbine capability. Thus, a determination of electrical power grid spinning reserve, of a wind turbine generation capability model, and/or a power price spark spread may be performed at operation  350 . 
     At operation  360 , a determination may be made of one or more atmospheric and/or environmental factors (GIS input) as previously described. At operation  370 , a determination may be made of wind turbine generation capability within the electrical power grid  100 , as previously described. At operation  380 , a determination of non-wind power generators  112  contributing to spinning reserve of the electrical power grid  100  may be made as previously described. At operation  385 , a determination may be made of the electrical power grid  100  spinning reserve forecast requirement as previously described. Additionally, or alternatively, at operation  385  a determination may be made regarding power price spark spread forecast. As with other forecast determinations described herein, such power price spark spread forecasts may be made based on historical data, for example, data relating to increased cost of natural gas during winter months when demand may be higher. Based on one or more of these determinations, at operation  390  a decision may be made to adjust, i.e., increase, decrease, or shut down, power production of one or more non-wind power generators  112 . Such adjustment may be made by sending a signal or instruction to appropriate controls for the relevant non-wind power generators  112 . 
     Operation  390  may comprise providing instructions to adjust power generation of the one or more non-wind power generators  112  based on the near term wind turbine generation capability of wind turbine farms  220  connected to the electrical power grid  100  and the power price spark spread. For example, assume that a power generation facility  110  comprises a series of non-wind power generators  112 , such as gas turbine generators running on natural gas. If a determination is made that power price spark spread for the power generation facility  110  has decreased, or is expected to decrease, either due to an increase in fuel costs, such as natural gas prices for natural gas used to run the gas turbine power generators  112 , or due to a decrease in the price which the power generation facility  110  can charge for the electricity it generates, or both, then a decision may be made to adjust the non-wind power generators  112  running on natural gas, (or any other commodity, such as steam turbines employing steam generated by boilers burning fuel oil, coal, etc.) for example by shutting one or more of such non-wind power generators  112  down and/or reducing their power generation, while replacing the power generation thus lost with increased power availability due to an increase in a secondary, less costly energy source, such as wind power available from a wind turbine farm  220  experiencing, for example, an increase in wind speed and thus wind generation capability. Such process may be reversed, for example, when the wind turbine farm  220  experiences a loss in wind power generating capability, for example, due to decreased wind speed, at which point the spinning reserve of the non-wind power generators  112  may be relied upon by increasing power generation of running power generators or initiating startup of idle non-wind power generators  112  to make up for the lost power generating capability of the wind turbine farm  220 . The process may be terminated at operation  395  upon completion of such instructions. 
     The above detailed description describes embodiments wherein power being generated by non-wind power generators, such as gas turbines, associated with a power generation facility  110  may be augmented with secondary power sources comprising other power generation equipment, such as wind turbine farms  220 . It will now be appreciated that other secondary power sources, such as solar arrays  210  may be used in place or, or in addition to, wind turbine farms  220 . Other combinations of secondary power sources are also possible and contemplated to be within the scope of this disclosure. 
     The systems, methods, determinations and operations described herein may be configured with or performed with the assistance of a processor and a memory coupled to the processor, the memory having stored thereon executable instructions that when executed by the processor cause the processor to effectuate one or more of the determinations and/or operations described herein. 
     This written description uses examples to disclose illustrative embodiments of the invention, including the best mode, and also to enable any person of ordinary skill in the art to practice the invention, including making and using any devices or systems and performing any incorporated methods. The operations recited in the accompanying method claims need not be taken in the recited order, where other orders of conducting the operations to achieve the desired result would be readily apparent to those of ordinary skill in the art. Similarly, not every operation set forth in the detailed description need be employed, and the recitation of some operations does not imply the exclusion of additional operations. The patentable scope of the invention is defined by the claims, and may include other examples that occur to those of ordinary skill in the art. Such other examples are intended to be within the scope of the claims if they have structural elements that do not differ from the literal language of the claims or if they include equivalent structural elements with insubstantial differences from the literal languages of the claims. As used herein, an element or function recited in the singular and proceeded with the word “a” or “an” should be understood as not excluding plural such elements or functions, unless such exclusion is explicitly recited. Furthermore, references to “one embodiment” or “an embodiment” of the claimed invention should not be interpreted as excluding the existence of additional embodiments that also incorporate the recited features.