Court Opinion

ID: 821496
Source: CourtListenerOpinion
Date Created: 2013-02-27 21:06:16.793777+00
Date Added: 2024-06-11T15:24:11.240134
License: Public Domain

Case: 11-12904       Date Filed: 02/27/2013       Page: 1 of 45

                                                                                  [PUBLISH]

                  IN THE UNITED STATES COURT OF APPEALS

                            FOR THE ELEVENTH CIRCUIT
                              ________________________

                                     No. 11-12904
                               ________________________

       D.C. Docket Nos. 8:10-cv-00560-JSM-MAP; 8:06-00314-JSM-MAP-2

EDWARD DELL,

                                                                        Petitioner - Appellant,

                                             versus

UNITED STATES OF AMERICA,

                                                                      Respondent - Appellee.

                               ________________________

                      Appeal from the United States District Court
                          for the Middle District of Florida
                            ________________________

                                     (February 27, 2013)

Before MARCUS and MARTIN, Circuit Judges, and GOLD, * District Judge.

MARCUS, Circuit Judge:

       Appellant Edward Dell appeals the district court’s denial of his 28 U.S.C.

§ 2255 motion -- one in a series of attempts, some more successful than others, to
*
  Honorable Alan S. Gold, United States District Judge for the Southern District of Florida,
sitting by designation.
              Case: 11-12904     Date Filed: 02/27/2013    Page: 2 of 45

reduce his sentence for committing several drug offenses in violation of 21 U.S.C.

§§ 841(a)(1) and 856. At the heart of this appeal is whether Dell’s defense counsel

was constitutionally ineffective for failing to argue, either during sentencing or on

direct appeal, for a downward variance based on the substantial disparity between

the Sentencing Guidelines’ treatment of cocaine base and cocaine powder. After

thorough review, we conclude that Dell’s defense satisfied the constitutional

requirements established in Strickland v. Washington, 466 U.S. 668 (1984), and,

therefore, we affirm the judgment of the district court.

                                          I.

                                          A.

      Tony Henry ran an operation selling cocaine base, i.e., crack cocaine, with

the help of Edward Dell and several others. United States v. Henry, 307 F. App’x

331, 333 (11th Cir. 2009). On June 6, 2006, the United States filed a criminal

complaint against Henry, Dell, and another co-defendant, Tomiki Jenkins, on

various crack cocaine-related charges. After Dell was arrested, the court appointed

a federal public defender as his counsel. On November 14, 2006, the government

filed the operative superseding indictment against Henry, Dell, Jenkins, and

Henry’s wife, Helena Jones, alleging that this family-and-friends operation had

engaged in a criminal conspiracy to possess and distribute crack cocaine.

                                          2
              Case: 11-12904     Date Filed: 02/27/2013    Page: 3 of 45

      Dell went to trial, and, on July 27, 2007, a jury found him guilty of: (1)

conspiracy to possess with intent to distribute fifty or more grams of cocaine base,

in violation of 21 U.S.C. § 841(a)(1); (2) knowingly and intentionally possessing

with intent to distribute less than five grams of cocaine base, in violation of

§ 841(a)(1); (3) three counts of knowingly and intentionally distributing cocaine

base, in violation of § 841(a)(1); and (4) opening, using, or maintaining a place for

the purpose of distributing crack cocaine, in violation of 21 U.S.C. § 856. The jury

also found Dell’s co-defendants Henry, Jenkins, and Jones guilty of, inter alia,

conspiracy to possess with intent to distribute fifty or more grams of cocaine base.

      On June 11, 2007, shortly before Dell’s trial, the Supreme Court granted

certiorari to consider whether a district judge’s “sentence . . . outside the guidelines

range is per se unreasonable when it is based on a disagreement with the

[Sentencing Guidelines] disparity for crack and powder cocaine offenses.”

Kimbrough v. United States, 552 U.S. 85, 91 (2007). Under the Sentencing

Guidelines at the time, U.S.S.G. § 2D1.1 (2007), a drug trafficker dealing in crack

cocaine was “subject to the same sentence as one dealing in 100 times more

powder cocaine.” Kimbrough, 552 U.S. at 91. The Supreme Court heard oral

argument in Kimbrough on October 2, 2007.

      On November 1, 2007, the district court sentenced Henry to life

imprisonment. On November 5 and November 6, 2007, Jones and Jenkins filed

                                           3
                Case: 11-12904       Date Filed: 02/27/2013        Page: 4 of 45

memoranda challenging their Presentence Investigation Reports (“PSR”), which

included extensive arguments that they were entitled to downward variances due to

the hundred-to-one crack/powder disparity. The memoranda referred to the

Supreme Court’s pending decision in Kimbrough. Dell’s counsel, however, did not

submit a sentencing memorandum.

       On November 7, 2007, the district court sentenced Dell to 235 months in

prison. This sentence was at the bottom of Dell’s guideline range of 235 to 293

months, which was based on an offense level of 36 1 and a criminal history

category of III. At the sentencing hearing, Dell’s attorney objected to the factual

accuracy of the PSR, requested a minor role adjustment, and asked for a downward

variance based on the 18 U.S.C. § 3553(a) factors, but the district court rejected all

of these arguments. Notably, Dell’s lawyer never raised the possibility of a

downward variance based specifically on the crack/powder disparity. Later that

month, the court sentenced Jones -- whose guideline range was 188 to 235 months

based on her offense level of 36 and criminal history category of I -- to 188

months. The court then sentenced Jenkins -- whose guideline range was 151 to 188

months based on his offense level of 34 and criminal history category of I -- to 151

months. During Jenkins’s sentencing, his counsel, after speaking at length about
1
  Dell’s offense level was originally calculated as 38 based on the factual finding that the weight
of crack cocaine involved in the conspiracy was 1.5 kilograms. However, Amendment 706 to the
Sentencing Guidelines, which became effective on November 1, 2007, reduced the offense level
for that quantity of crack cocaine by two levels. See United States Sentencing Guidelines
Manual, app. C, at 226-31 (2012).
                                                 4
              Case: 11-12904     Date Filed: 02/27/2013   Page: 5 of 45

the sentencing disparity between crack and powder cocaine, asked the district court

to at least acknowledge that it lacked discretion to vary downward based on that

disparity, and the court so ruled.

      On December 10, 2007, the Supreme Court issued its opinion in Kimbrough

and firmly rejected the idea that the disparity between crack and powder cocaine

sentences was “effectively mandatory.” 552 U.S. at 91. Two terms earlier, in

United States v. Booker, 543 U.S. 220 (2005), the Court had decided that

mandatory guidelines were unconstitutional under the Sixth Amendment. See id. at

233. After considering the history of the crack/powder disparity and its interaction

with the Sentencing Guidelines, the Court concluded that, like all other types of

sentences post-Booker, the guideline range for crack cocaine crimes was merely

advisory. Kimbrough thus invested the district courts with discretion to vary

downward if they believed that the crack/powder disparity resulted in greater-than-

necessary sentences. 552 U.S. at 91, 110. Kimbrough abrogated this Circuit’s

contrary holding in United States v. Williams, 456 F.3d 1353 (11th Cir. 2006).

      Dell timely appealed the district court’s judgment and sentence, and we

consolidated his appeal with those of his co-defendants. Dell’s attorney -- the same

one who served him during the trial and at sentencing -- did not make an argument

based on Kimbrough; his opening brief contained only a five-page argument

attacking the district court’s factual findings. A panel of this Court affirmed Dell’s

                                          5
              Case: 11-12904     Date Filed: 02/27/2013    Page: 6 of 45

conviction and sentence, Henry, 307 F. App’x at 337, but remanded Jones’s and

Jenkins’s cases for resentencing in light of Kimbrough, id. at 338-40. On remand,

the district court expressly stated it would treat crack cocaine as equivalent to

powder cocaine based on its post-Kimbrough discretion, which reduced Jenkins’s

offense level from 34 to 28 and Jones’s from 36 to 28, leaving them both with a

guideline range of 78 to 97 months. Because Jones was subject to the mandatory

ten-year minimum found in the statute, 21 U.S.C. § 841(b)(1)(A), the district court

reduced Jones’s term of imprisonment from 188 months to 120 months. Jenkins

qualified for the safety valve of U.S.S.G. § 5C1.2, so he was not subject to the

mandatory minimum and received a reduction from 151 months to 87 months, the

midpoint of his recalculated guideline range.

                                          B.

      In 2010, Dell filed a pro se 28 U.S.C. § 2255 motion to vacate, set aside, or

correct his sentence. Dell advanced four arguments in his motion, including that

his counsel was ineffective for failing to raise a sentencing challenge pursuant to

Kimbrough at sentencing or on appeal. The district court denied Dell’s motion on

March 28, 2011, explaining that “Dell’s appellate counsel was not ineffective for

not raising a Kimbrough issue because that issue was not raised at Dell’s

sentencing. A defendant may not raise arguments on appeal that were not made to

the sentencing judge.” As for Dell’s lawyer’s conduct during sentencing, the

                                           6
              Case: 11-12904      Date Filed: 02/27/2013    Page: 7 of 45

district court reasoned that “Dell was sentenced before the Gall and Kimbrough

decisions were entered,” and that “[i]t is not ineffective assistance . . . for an

attorney to fail to foresee a change in the law . . . .” The court opined at the

conclusion of its analysis that “[i]t would be just for this Court to treat Dell the

same as his two co-defendants in determining his sentence,” but it believed it had

no power to do so. The order granted Dell a certificate of appealability (“COA”) on

one claim: “[W]hether his sentencing counsel was ineffective for failing to raise an

argument that the Court should grant a downward variance treating the crack

guidelines the same as that used for powder cocaine. Subsequent to sentencing, this

argument was accepted by . . . Kimbrough as a valid reason to support a downward

variance from the guidelines.”

      Dell appealed the district court’s denial of his § 2255 motion and filed his

opening brief pro se. That brief contained a request for us to expand his COA to

include his claim that his appellate counsel was ineffective as well. Subsequently,

we directed that counsel be appointed for this appeal and requested supplemental

briefing on two issues: first, whether it would be appropriate to expand the COA

since Dell had not filed a separate motion for such expansion; and second, whether

appellate counsel was in fact ineffective.

      During this time, the law surrounding crack cocaine offenses changed

substantially. In the Fair Sentencing Act of 2010, Pub. L. No. 111-220, 124 Stat.

                                             7
              Case: 11-12904    Date Filed: 02/27/2013    Page: 8 of 45

2372, Congress, among other things, reduced the hundred-to-one disparity in the

treatment of crack and powder cocaine to approximately eighteen-to-one. The

United States Sentencing Commission subsequently promulgated Amendment 750

to the Sentencing Guidelines, which altered the Guidelines’ drug table, U.S.S.G.

§ 2D1.1(c), to reflect the new eighteen-to-one ratio between powder and crack

cocaine. United States Sentencing Guidelines Manual, app. C, at 391-98. A year

later, in Amendment 759, the Commission made parts of Amendment 750

retroactive and thereby applicable to Dell’s case. See United States Sentencing

Guidelines Manual, app. C, at 416-21. Based on Amendments 750 and 759, the

district court sua sponte reduced Dell’s sentence from 235 months to 188 months,

the bottom of Dell’s guideline range after his offense level was reset at 34 based on

the new drug table.

      Dell then moved pro se, pursuant to 18 U.S.C. § 3582(c)(2), for

reconsideration of that sentence, arguing that his good behavior during

incarceration warranted an additional reduction to 168 months. In an April 2, 2012,

order entered during the pendency of this appeal, the district court further reduced

Dell’s offense level by one, yielding an offense level of 33 and resulting in a

guideline range of 168 to 210 months’ imprisonment. This one-level reduction was

in addition to the reduction already produced after recalculating the offense level

using Amendment 750’s revised drug table and was purely at the district court’s

                                          8
                  Case: 11-12904       Date Filed: 02/27/2013       Page: 9 of 45

discretion. 2 In explaining its reasons for this additional reduction, the court

specifically stated that it was “tak[ing] into consideration the sentences of [Dell’s]

co-defendants [Jenkins and Jones],” which had already been reduced after the same

judge exercised his discretion post-Kimbrough to take into account the

crack/powder disparity. The court ultimately imposed a sentence of 168 months

precisely in order “to better align [Dell] with the sentences of his co-defendants”

and stated that “a sentence of 168 months [wa]s appropriate” in light of all the 18

U.S.C. § 3553(a) factors and Dell’s conduct while incarcerated.

                                                 II.

          When considering a district court’s denial of a 28 U.S.C. § 2255 motion,

“‘we review findings of fact for clear error and questions of law de novo.’” McKay

v. United States, 657 F.3d 1190, 1195 (11th Cir. 2011) (quoting Rhode v. United

States, 583 F.3d 1289, 1290 (11th Cir. 2009)). Ordinarily, “the scope of our review

of an unsuccessful § 2255 motion is limited to the issues enumerated in the COA.”

Id. Both prongs of the Strickland inquiry present mixed questions of law and fact

and therefore receive de novo review upon appeal. Cade v. Haley, 222 F.3d 1298,

1302 (11th Cir. 2000).

          As an initial matter, we grant Dell’s request to expand his COA to include

the issue of ineffectiveness of appellate counsel. While we generally consider only

2
    The government did not appeal this additional reduction in Dell’s sentence.
                                                  9
             Case: 11-12904    Date Filed: 02/27/2013   Page: 10 of 45

requests to expand a COA when made by motion, this Circuit has not established a

strict rule that all improperly formed requests for expansion must be rejected. See

Jones v. United States, 224 F.3d 1251, 1255-56 & n.8 (11th Cir. 2000). In fact, we

have expanded a COA sua sponte on exceptional occasions, even after oral

argument. See, e.g., Clark v. Crosby, 335 F.3d 1303, 1307 (11th Cir. 2003); Bishop

v. Burnett, 312 F. App’x 252, 253 (11th Cir. 2009). In Hodges v. Att’y Gen., State

of Fla., 506 F.3d 1337 (11th Cir. 2007), however, we made clear that an appellant

granted a COA on one issue cannot simply brief other issues as he desires in an

attempt to force both the Court and his opponent to address them. See id. at 1340.

As the panel in Hodges explained:

      It is one thing for an appellate court in an unusual case to be
      persuaded during its consideration of the merits of a granted issue to
      expand the COA to include a related issue and to request
      supplemental briefing on that previously excluded issue. It is another
      thing for an appellant to simply ignore the COA order and brief any
      issue he pleases. We recognize the former practice and condemn the
      latter.

Id. at 1341-42.

      Dell’s case is an example of just such an unusual case. Although Dell

improperly requested an expansion of his COA through his initial brief, which he

filed pro se, and not by motion, we subsequently appointed counsel to argue this

appeal on Dell’s behalf and directed supplemental briefing both on expanding the

COA to include the ineffectiveness of appellate counsel claim and addressing the

                                         10
               Case: 11-12904       Date Filed: 02/27/2013       Page: 11 of 45

merits of that claim. Dell did not attempt to circumvent the need for a COA, unlike

the appellant in Hodges. Moreover, the parties have already joined issue on this

question at our directive. Generally, the value of the COA requirement is “to weed

out non-substantial issues . . . before the parties and the court immerse themselves

in the more substantial issues which deserve close scrutiny on the merits.” Id. at

1340. Here, that concern is absent because we specifically requested supplemental

briefing on the issue. 3

       We expand a COA when “reasonable jurists would find the district court’s

assessment of the constitutional claims debatable or wrong.” Slack v. McDaniel,

529 U.S. 473, 484 (2000). In this case, the district court disposed of Dell’s

ineffective assistance of appellate counsel claim too quickly, rejecting it in these

words: “Since Dell’s counsel had not raised the argument at sentencing, it could

not be made on appeal. Appellate counsel is not ineffective for failing to raise an

issue that is barred.” But Dell still had the opportunity to raise his Kimbrough

argument for the first time on appeal. The consequence of failing to raise that

argument at sentencing was not that it was barred on appeal; rather, the panel

hearing Dell’s direct appeal could have reviewed it, if raised, for plain error. See

United States v. Doe, 661 F.3d 550, 567 (11th Cir. 2011). And such plain error

3
  We do not suggest that a § 2255 movant may simply seek expansion of the COA in his
principal brief on appeal. In fact, in most cases, such an attempt will be deemed untimely and
rejected because the proper way of requesting an expansion of a COA is by motion.
                                               11
             Case: 11-12904     Date Filed: 02/27/2013    Page: 12 of 45

challenges based on intervening Supreme Court precedent have been successful in

the past. See, e.g., United States v. Antonietti, 86 F.3d 206, 208-09 (11th Cir.

1996); United States v. Walker, 59 F.3d 1196, 1198 (11th Cir. 1995). The district

court disposed of the issue of Dell’s appellate counsel’s effectiveness based on the

mistaken belief that appellate counsel could not have raised Kimbrough at all, and

as a result did not adequately address Dell’s ineffective assistance claim. We

therefore grant Dell a COA on this issue and turn to its merits.

                                         III.

                                          A.

      Since Dell’s appellate counsel’s failure to raise Kimbrough months after it

had been decided presents the more substantial question under Strickland, we

address it first. “Claims of ineffective assistance of appellate counsel are governed

by the same standards applied to trial counsel under Strickland.” Philmore v.

McNeil, 575 F.3d 1251, 1264 (11th Cir. 2009) (citing Heath v. Jones, 941 F.2d

1126, 1130 (11th Cir. 1991)); see also Smith v. Robbins, 528 U.S. 259, 285 (2000).

Under Strickland, a petitioner must show both that counsel’s performance was so

deficient that it “fell below an objective standard of reasonableness,” 466 U.S. at

688, and “that there is a reasonable probability that, but for counsel’s

unprofessional errors, the result of the proceeding would have been different,” id.

at 694. “A reasonable probability is a probability sufficient to undermine

                                          12
             Case: 11-12904      Date Filed: 02/27/2013    Page: 13 of 45

confidence in the outcome.” Id. We presume counsel was effective and conduct the

Strickland analysis in a “highly deferential” manner, “considering all the

circumstances . . . . from counsel’s perspective at the time,” see id. at 689. In this

case, we need not decide, and in fact have serious doubts about, whether counsel’s

appellate performance met the minimum objective standard of reasonableness

required by the Constitution. Instead, we hold that Dell has failed to satisfy

Strickland’s prejudice prong and therefore cannot establish that his counsel was

constitutionally ineffective. See Strickland, 466 U.S. at 697 (“[A] court need not

determine whether counsel’s performance was deficient before examining the

prejudice suffered by the defendant as a result of the alleged deficiencies.”); accord

Holladay v. Haley, 209 F.3d 1243, 1248 (11th Cir. 2000) (“[T]he court need not

address the performance prong if the defendant cannot meet the prejudice prong, or

vice versa.” (citation omitted)).

      In evaluating prejudice, the relevant proceeding is Dell’s direct appeal,

which was briefed in 2008 and decided on January 13, 2009. Dell’s principal

claim, embodied in the expanded COA, is that his appellate counsel was then

ineffective because he failed to raise the argument that Dell warranted resentencing

in light of Kimbrough. It is therefore important to reconstruct the precise

circumstances his appellate counsel confronted. By that time, Dell’s attorney --

who had also conducted his trial and represented him at sentencing -- had already

                                           13
             Case: 11-12904     Date Filed: 02/27/2013    Page: 14 of 45

failed to preserve the claim that Dell was entitled to a downward variance due to

the substantial disparity between the treatment of crack cocaine and powder

cocaine. Notably, at the time of Dell’s sentencing, this Circuit had held that district

courts lacked the discretion to grant this type of variance. See Williams, 456 F.3d

at 1369. Only after Dell’s sentencing, but before briefing on his direct appeal, did

the Supreme Court decide Kimbrough, which abrogated Williams and expressly

granted district courts the discretion to vary downward based on the crack/powder

disparity notwithstanding the Sentencing Guidelines. Thus, had Dell’s appellate

counsel raised a Kimbrough argument, the direct-appeal panel would necessarily

have applied plain error review. See Doe, 661 F.3d at 567.

      To determine whether there was prejudice, therefore, we must judge whether

there was a reasonable probability that Dell’s Kimbrough claim would have won

the day in 2009, when a panel of this Court decided Dell’s direct appeal. In effect,

Strickland requires us to put ourselves in the position of that direct-appeal panel

and consider the following issue: did the district court commit plain error by not

considering the crack/powder disparity in determining whether to vary Dell’s

sentence below the guideline range? And we may consider that issue only with the

aid of all the record evidence Dell’s counsel could reasonably have presented to the

direct-appeal panel in 2009. Strickland unambiguously commands us to do so by

directing us to evaluate counsel’s conduct “at the time” of the relevant proceeding

                                          14
              Case: 11-12904     Date Filed: 02/27/2013     Page: 15 of 45

and to avoid “second-guess[ing]” or “the distorting effects of hindsight.” See 466

U.S. at 689. This directive also limits our inquiry into Strickland’s prejudice prong,

where we must discern whether “the decision reached would reasonably likely

have been different absent [counsel’s] errors.” Id. at 696. It is impossible for the

decision reached by the direct-appeal panel to have been different if the evidence

needed to convince that panel could not have existed at the time when the panel

considered the case. Put simply, when Dell asserts he was prejudiced, what he

means is that a competent appellate attorney would likely have won him

resentencing on direct appeal by raising Kimbrough. Common sense naturally

limits our inquiry to the record reasonably available at the time of Dell’s direct

appeal.

      The test for plain error, as explicated by the Supreme Court in United States

v. Olano, 507 U.S. 725, 732-35 (1993), is a formidable hurdle to overcome. To

demonstrate plain error, Dell would have been required to show the direct-appeal

panel that during his sentencing proceeding there was (1) error; (2) that it was

plain; and (3) that it affected his substantial rights. See United States v. Cotton, 535

U.S. 625, 631 (2002). Dell would have borne the burden of demonstrating these

three prongs. See United States v. Bacon, 598 F.3d 772, 777 (11th Cir. 2010). If he

had met that burden, then the panel would have had discretion to notice the error

“‘if (4) the error seriously affect[ed] the fairness, integrity, or public reputation of

                                           15
             Case: 11-12904      Date Filed: 02/27/2013    Page: 16 of 45

judicial proceedings.’” Id. at 631-32 (quoting Johnson v. United States, 520 U.S.

461, 467 (1997)).

      Dell would have met the first two prongs. There was error, because the

district court sentenced Dell prior to Kimbrough, at a time when this Circuit’s

precedent in Williams barred the court from varying downward based on the

crack/powder disparity. We confronted this same type of claim in reviewing a host

of plain error challenges raised in the wake of Booker, and panels of this Court

consistently found error in the sentencing courts’ application of mandatory

guidelines even if the district court itself did not explicitly indicate it would have

sentenced differently under an advisory guidelines regime. See, e.g., United States

v. Ronda, 455 F.3d 1273, 1304-05 (11th Cir. 2006) (defendants all established

“statutory Booker error” because they “were sentenced under a mandatory

Guidelines system”); United States v. Underwood, 446 F.3d 1340, 1343 (11th Cir.

2006) (“The district court erred when it sentenced Underwood because it

considered the Guidelines to be mandatory . . . .”); United States v. York, 428 F.3d

1325, 1336 (11th Cir. 2005) (“[T]he district court did commit statutory Booker

error by sentencing York under a mandatory Guidelines scheme.”); United States

v. Taylor, 417 F.3d 1176, 1183 (11th Cir. 2005) (“Because the district court treated

the guidelines as mandatory, it committed an error that is plain.”). The same error

occurred in Dell’s proceeding; under our then-controlling precedent in Williams,

                                           16
                Case: 11-12904     Date Filed: 02/27/2013    Page: 17 of 45

the crack/powder disparity embodied in the Sentencing Guidelines was mandatory,

and therefore Kimbrough error necessarily occurred. See United States v.

Regalado, 518 F.3d 143, 147 (2d Cir. 2008); United States v. Taylor, 520 F.3d 746,

747 (7th Cir. 2008).

         Moreover, this error was plain. In United States v. Rodriguez, 398 F.3d 1291

(11th Cir. 2005), a panel of this Court considered, under plain error review, a

sentencing argument based on Booker, which the Supreme Court issued after the

defendant’s sentencing but prior to his appeal. See id. at 1297-98. In addressing the

second prong of plain error, the panel in Rodriguez explained:

                The second prong of the plain error test is also met. Although
         the error was not “plain” at the time of sentencing, “where the law at
         the time of trial was settled and clearly contrary to the law at the time
         of appeal -- it is enough that the error be ‘plain’ at the time of
         appellate consideration.”

Id. at 1299 (quoting Johnson, 520 U.S. at 468). The same circumstances existed

during Dell’s direct appeal. Dell was sentenced on November 7, 2007. The

Supreme Court decided Kimbrough on December 10, 2007. See 552 U.S. at 85.

Dell timely appealed the case, and Kimbrough was the law at the time of his

appeal. See Henry, 307 F. App’x at 338-40 (remanding for resentencing of two of

Dell’s co-defendants in light of Kimbrough). The law at the time of appeal was

both settled and contrary to the law at the time of trial, which rendered the error

plain.

                                             17
              Case: 11-12904       Date Filed: 02/27/2013   Page: 18 of 45

      The third prong is the sticky wicket in this case. Dell would also have had

the burden of establishing that the error affected his substantial rights; that is, that

the error “affected the outcome of the district court proceedings.” Olano, 507 U.S.

at 734. “The standard for showing that is the familiar reasonable probability of a

different result . . . , which means a probability ‘sufficient to undermine confidence

in the outcome.’” Rodriguez, 398 F.3d at 1299 (quoting United States v.

Dominguez Benitez, 542 U.S. 74, 83 (2004)). But if the chances of a greater and a

lesser sentence weigh in equipoise, a defendant cannot establish that an error

affected his substantial rights. As Rodriguez put it, “[w]here errors could have cut

either way and uncertainty exists, the burden is the decisive factor in the third

prong . . . , and the burden is on the defendant.” Id. at 1300. Rodriguez therefore

applied the test in this manner:

      [I]n applying the third prong, we ask whether there is a reasonable
      probability of a different result if the guidelines had been applied in an
      advisory instead of binding fashion by the sentencing judge in this
      case. The obvious answer is that we don’t know. If the district court
      judge . . . had the liberty of increasing or decreasing Rodriguez’s
      sentence above or below the guidelines range, he might have given
      Rodriguez a longer sentence, or he might have given a shorter
      sentence, or he might have given the same sentence. The record
      provides no reason to believe any result is more likely than the other.
      We just don’t know.

Id. at 1301. Thus, Rodriguez failed to meet his burden under the third prong of

Olano. See also Ronda, 455 F.3d at 1305 (“The sentencing record provides no

basis for a conclusion that any Appellant has a reasonable probability of receiving
                                            18
             Case: 11-12904     Date Filed: 02/27/2013    Page: 19 of 45

a more lenient sentence under an advisory Guidelines system. The district court did

not make any comments that the sentences imposed were too severe.”); Taylor,

417 F.3d at 1183.

      The question, then, is whether there is a reasonable probability that the panel

deciding Dell’s direct appeal would have found, based on the record evidence

available at the time, that the Kimbrough error had affected the outcome of the

district court proceedings. In doing so, the direct-appeal panel would have had to

acknowledge that the burden was on the defendant and that if the record provided

no reason to believe one result was more likely than another -- i.e., that a

downward variance was more likely than a guideline-range sentence -- Dell’s plain

error claim could not prevail. See Ronda, 455 F.3d at 1305; Taylor, 417 F.3d at

1183. On the other hand, if Dell could tip the balance in his favor by showing that

the district court was reasonably likely to grant a downward variance, then his

plain error claim would have succeeded on direct appeal. In this context,

Strickland’s prejudice inquiry comes down to whether there was a reasonable

probability that Dell could have overcome the third prong of Olano plain error. If

Dell cannot demonstrate a reasonable probability that he would have hurdled that

bar in 2009 on direct appeal, then he cannot now show prejudice under Strickland,

for the outcome of his direct appeal would have been no different even if his

appellate attorney had raised the Kimbrough argument.

                                          19
               Case: 11-12904        Date Filed: 02/27/2013       Page: 20 of 45

       There are only two pieces of evidence in the direct-appeal record that could

even arguably be read as implicating the issue of the crack/powder disparity. The

first is that at co-defendant Jenkins’s sentencing hearing, Jenkins’s counsel asked

the district court to acknowledge that it could not take the crack/powder disparity

into consideration because of Williams, and the court replied, “I so rule.” 4 Second,

Dell was sentenced at the bottom of his guideline range, as were his co-defendants

Jenkins and Jones.

       We cannot, however, consider two additional pieces of evidence generated

later that Dell urges us to incorporate into the calculus. First, Dell points out,

accurately, that when the direct-appeal panel remanded Jenkins’s and Jones’s cases

for resentencing, both of them received substantially lower sentences. Jenkins had

his sentence reduced from 151 to 87 months, while Jones received a reduction

4
  The government suggested at oral argument that we should not consider statements made
during co-defendants’ parallel sentencing proceedings while conducting plain error analysis and
cited Payne v. United States, 566 F.3d 1276 (11th Cir. 2009). That case is inapposite. Payne did
not address how to conduct plain error review and hence never held that we cannot scour the
whole record extant at the time for evidence of whether an error affected a defendant’s
substantial rights. We can identify no logical reason why we should be restricted solely to what
happened at Dell’s sentencing, especially since the effect to his substantial rights that Dell asks
us to find -- that the district court would have varied downward if it had known it had discretion
to do so, based on its disagreement with the crack/powder disparity -- would be precisely the sort
of error that would have affected all of the defendants’ substantial rights if it affected one of
them. Nor has the government provided us with a procedural or substantive rule of law that bars
us from considering co-defendants’ proceedings. We regularly consider co-defendants’
sentencing when determining whether an error occurred at a defendant’s sentencing; in fact, we
are obliged to do so in some cases, given 18 U.S.C. § 3553(a)(6)’s aim of avoiding “unwarranted
sentencing disparities among defendants with similar records.” See, e.g., United States v.
Dorman, 488 F.3d 936, 944-45 (11th Cir. 2007) (in reviewing reasonableness of a defendant’s
sentence, this Court examined the co-defendants’ sentencing proceedings and found that they
were not similarly situated because they had provided substantial assistance).
                                                20
              Case: 11-12904     Date Filed: 02/27/2013     Page: 21 of 45

from 188 to 120 months. However, both proceedings occurred on May 21, 2009,

and postdated the resolution of the direct appeal. Thus, the direct-appeal panel

could not possibly have considered these resentencing proceedings when

determining whether the district court’s Kimbrough error had affected Dell’s

substantial rights. Similarly, Dell notes that the same judge who sentenced him

later decided his 28 U.S.C. § 2255 motion. In the order denying that motion, the

judge opined that “[i]t would be just for this Court to treat Dell the same as his two

co-defendants in determining his sentence.” While this statement, standing alone

and untethered from the district court’s subsequent reduction of Dell’s sentence,

would tend to show that the Kimbrough error did affect Dell’s substantial rights, it

was made in a March 2011 order denying Dell postconviction relief -- more than

two years after his direct appeal was decided. Again, there is no way the direct-

appeal panel would have been able to consider this order.

      Dell could not have met his burden under the third prong of plain error

review based solely on the first two pieces of record evidence described above. As

we said in Rodriguez, where “we don’t know” what the district court would have

done, and “[t]he record provides no reason to believe any result is more likely than

the other,” the appellant cannot prevail, 398 F.3d at 1301; accord id. (“[W]here the

effect of an error on the result in the district court is uncertain or indeterminate --

where this Court would have to speculate -- the appellant has not met his

                                           21
             Case: 11-12904       Date Filed: 02/27/2013   Page: 22 of 45

burden.”). Or, stated yet another way, “where the record does not provide any

indication that there would have been a different sentence if the court had

recognized and exercised its § 3553(a) discretion and treated the guidelines range

as merely advisory, the party with the burden of showing a reasonable probability

of a different result loses.” Id. at 1304 (internal quotation marks omitted). Our law

could not be clearer: without some contemporaneous indication that the district

court would have varied downward if it had the discretion to do so, the direct-

appeal panel could not have found that the error affected Dell’s substantial rights.

      The problem under Olano’s third prong is that the evidence available at the

time of Dell’s direct appeal gave no indication at all that the district court was

likely to vary downward if it could have, or even that the court nurtured this

ambition. During Jenkins’s sentencing hearing, when asked to rule that Williams

controlled and prevented any discretion in sentencing based on the crack/powder

disparity, the district judge said only, “I so rule.” In neither words nor substance

does this off-hand rejection of Jenkins’s Kimbrough-type argument suggest that

the court was disposed, let alone ready, to sentence differently than it did. The

court said only that it lacked discretion, without any indication of how it would

have exercised that discretion.

      Neither does the fact that Dell, Jenkins, and Jones were sentenced at the

bottom of their guideline ranges demonstrate that the court was reasonably likely

                                           22
             Case: 11-12904     Date Filed: 02/27/2013      Page: 23 of 45

not only to sentence at the bottom, but to vary downward from the guideline range

if it had the chance. The decision to sentence at the bottom of the guideline range

could have been based on any number of individualized determinations based on

the information contained in the PSRs, including the nature of the offense, the

defendant’s own offense conduct, or the presence of a prior criminal history.

Indeed, given that the three participated jointly in a drug conspiracy, the court

could have felt that the common underlying criminal conduct warranted a sentence

at the bottom of the range but no lower, which would explain the court’s

consistency in sentencing. We cannot fairly interpret a sentence within the

guideline range as dissatisfaction with the range itself.

      This Court confronted essentially the same issue in the context of a Booker

claim. In United States v. Fields, the defendant mounted a plain error challenge to

his sentence, and a panel of this Court found that he met the first two prongs of

Olano. 408 F.3d 1356, 1360 (11th Cir. 2005). With regard to Olano’s third prong,

Fields argued that he could show an effect to his substantial rights based “on the

fact that the district court imposed the lowest sentence in the guidelines range.” Id.

The panel in Fields squarely rejected this contention and explained “that the fact

that the district court sentenced the defendant to the bottom of the applicable

guidelines range establishes only that the court felt that sentence was appropriate

under the mandatory guidelines system. It does not establish a reasonable

                                          23
             Case: 11-12904     Date Filed: 02/27/2013    Page: 24 of 45

probability that the court would have imposed a lesser sentence under an advisory

regime.” Id. at 1361. Applying Rodriguez’s holding, the panel in Fields

emphasized that the burden of establishing that the error affected the defendant’s

substantial rights belonged to the defendant; “the fact that the district court went as

low as it could . . . , without more, is not enough to carry that burden,” because that

argument “is too speculative, and more than speculation is required.” Id. The logic

of Fields applies with equal force in this context.

      Indeed, in sentencing Dell, the court did not evince any dissatisfaction with

the proceedings or the sentence. Cf. Underwood, 446 F.3d at 1344 (rejecting a

plain error Booker challenge on Olano’s third prong when “[t]he record indicate[d]

no frustration on the part of the district court with the severity of the Guidelines

sentence, nor did the district court indicate a desire to impose a lesser sentence in

[Defendant’s] case.”). The court’s only commentary on the sentence was its

statement that it “ha[d] sentenced [Dell] at the bottom end of the guideline range

because [it] determine[d] that sentence to be sufficient for the offense behavior in

this case.” In addition, when Dell’s co-defendant Jenkins attempted to argue that

the Sentencing Commission had grown dissatisfied with the existing guideline

ranges, the district court interrupted, “That’s why they just dropped the guidelines

two levels as to crack,” presumably a reference to Amendment 706, which the

Sentencing Commission had promulgated shortly before the court sentenced Dell,

                                          24
             Case: 11-12904      Date Filed: 02/27/2013    Page: 25 of 45

Jenkins, and Jones. If anything, then, the record indicates that the district court

summarily brushed aside the possibility of varying downward due to Williams, and

that it felt that the guideline ranges had already been adjusted to reflect the

excessive crack/powder disparity.

      Nor does Kimbrough itself prove that Dell’s substantial rights were affected,

despite his assertions to the contrary. Kimbrough addressed whether a district court

could vary from the advised guideline range for a crack cocaine offense or whether

the disparity between crack and powder cocaine sentences was “effectively

mandatory.” See 552 U.S. at 91. After considering the history of the crack/powder

disparity and its interaction with the Sentencing Guidelines, the Supreme Court

ultimately concluded that “it would not be an abuse of discretion for a district court

to conclude when sentencing a particular defendant that the crack/powder disparity

yields a sentence ‘greater than necessary’ to achieve § 3553(a)’s purposes, even in

a mine-run case.” Id. at 110. Kimbrough empowered the district courts with this

discretion, but it did not command them to exercise it. Thus, even taking

Kimbrough into account, the direct-appeal panel would still have had to search the

extant record evidence for a reasonable probability that the district court would

have exercised that discretion. And it simply could not have found anything to

overcome Olano’s third prong.

                                           25
              Case: 11-12904     Date Filed: 02/27/2013    Page: 26 of 45

      But even if we were able to consider everything that happened after (in fact,

long after) Dell’s direct appeal, as he urges, it is still altogether unclear this would

benefit Dell’s argument. Notably, in 2012, the district court sua sponte reduced

Dell’s sentence from 235 to 188 months, and then, upon Dell’s motion for

reconsideration, further reduced the sentence to 168 months. The first reduction --

from 235 to 188 months -- was authorized by Amendment 750 to the Sentencing

Guidelines. The second reduction, however, which was the product of lowering

Dell’s offense level by one, was a discretionary decision by the district court

specifically intended “to better align [Dell] with the sentences of his co-

defendants.” At the time when the court twice lowered Dell’s sentence, it had all

the relevant information before it, including but not limited to the Supreme Court’s

decision in Kimbrough, Congress’s reduction of the crack/powder disparity in the

Fair Sentencing Act, the Sentencing Commission’s subsequent alterations to the

Guidelines in Amendments 750 and 759, and the district court’s knowledge that it

had resentenced Jenkins and Jones to 87 and 120 months, respectively. In choosing

the 168-month sentence -- which was exactly what Dell asked for in his motion --

the court explained that it had considered all the relevant § 3553(a) factors (which

included § 3553(a)(6)’s aim of avoiding “unwarranted sentencing disparities

among defendants with similar records”), and that 168 months was appropriate.

Unlike in the earlier order denying Dell’s 28 U.S.C. § 2255 motion, the district

                                           26
              Case: 11-12904     Date Filed: 02/27/2013     Page: 27 of 45

judge evinced no reservations that this sentence was unfair or unjust to Dell; on the

contrary, he indicated that the reduction brought Dell’s sentence in line with those

received by Jenkins and Jones. Thus, even if we could consider all the record

evidence to date, this evidence actually undercuts Dell’s speculation that the

district judge somehow retained an unspoken desire to lower Dell’s sentence even

further, since the judge chose not to go lower than 168 months when he had the

opportunity to do so in 2012.

      Dell urges us to make this speculative leap because he still has not received

as much of a benefit from resentencing as his co-defendants have. But, although it

is true that Dell’s sentence remains higher than those of Jenkins and Jones, the

starting baseline for each of them was substantially different. Dell had both a

higher offense level (36 vs. 34) and a greater criminal history (III vs. I) than

Jenkins. Moreover, Jenkins qualified for the safety valve of U.S.S.G. § 5C1.2 and

thus was not subject to the ten-year mandatory minimum sentence that applied to

Dell. As for Jones, she had the same initial offense level as Dell, but her criminal

history placed her in Category I. The fact that Dell received a sixty-seven month

reduction in his sentence belies his assertion that his substantial rights were

affected. It also means that, whatever Kimbrough error existed in Dell’s sentencing

proceeding, in light of the entire record it would be hard to fairly conclude that it

“affect[ed] the fairness, integrity, or public reputation of [his] judicial

                                           27
             Case: 11-12904     Date Filed: 02/27/2013     Page: 28 of 45

proceedings,” Cotton, 535 U.S. 625 at 631-32 (internal quotation marks omitted).

Far from convincing us that there is a reasonable probability that the district court

would reduce Dell’s sentence still further if it had still another chance, the post-

direct appeal record in fact reveals quite the opposite.

      We emphasize once more, however, that this hindsight approach is

forbidden under Strickland, and we elaborate upon it only to demonstrate how

flawed it would be in any event. Indeed, if we determined Strickland prejudice for

Dell’s direct appeal based on what occurred long afterward, then we would be left

with the untenable conclusion that Dell was prejudiced with regard to the outcome

of his 2009 direct appeal as of 2011, when the district court rejected his 28 U.S.C.

§ 2255 motion, but that the prejudice vanished or at least was largely eliminated in

2012, when the district court granted Dell’s 18 U.S.C. § 3852(c)(2) motion and

twice lowered his sentence. This kind of post hoc analysis makes little sense when

we remember that the prejudice Dell is attempting to demonstrate is that the direct-

appeal panel would not have denied him relief in 2009 if his appellate counsel had

presented a plain error argument for sentencing discretion based on Kimbrough. It

would be impossible even for the most artful appellate lawyer to have constructed

an argument to overcome Olano’s third prong based on record evidence that only

came into existence some two years later, just as it would be impossible that such

                                          28
               Case: 11-12904     Date Filed: 02/27/2013   Page: 29 of 45

an argument could have been undone or undermined by what occurred three years

later.

         Under controlling law, what we are left with is the simple fact that, when

evaluating the record at the time of direct appeal, no panel of this Court could

possibly have known what this district court would have done if it knew that it had

discretion to sentence Dell differently. And “where the record does not provide any

indication that there would have been a different sentence . . . the party with the

burden . . . loses.” Rodriguez, 398 F.3d at 1304 (internal quotation marks omitted).

Since Dell was that party, he has failed to show a reasonable probability that his

Kimbrough claim would have succeeded on direct appeal when subjected to plain

error review. Thus, he has not demonstrated Strickland prejudice with regard to his

ineffective assistance of appellate counsel claim, and we affirm the district court’s

denial of Dell’s § 2255 motion on this issue.

                                           B.

         We turn to the issue of whether Dell’s sentencing counsel was ineffective for

failing to request a downward variance based on the crack/powder disparity. Dell

urges us to find his sentencing counsel ineffective because, although Kimbrough

had not yet been decided, a Kimbrough-type argument was nonetheless readily

available during his sentencing. After thorough review, we cannot hold that Dell’s

attorney was ineffective in this context. We have never required counsel to

                                           29
              Case: 11-12904     Date Filed: 02/27/2013     Page: 30 of 45

anticipate future legal developments -- such as the outcome of a pending Supreme

Court case -- in order to be meet the constitutional minimum for effective

advocacy, and we decline to do so here.

      Dell “ha[d] a constitutional right to effective assistance of counsel at

sentencing.” Wilson v. United States, 962 F.2d 996, 997 (11th Cir. 1992). To

demonstrate ineffective assistance of counsel at sentencing, Dell must show under

Strickland that his attorney’s performance “fell below an objective standard of

reasonableness.” 466 U.S. at 688. Because we presume counsel was competent,

Dell “must establish that no competent counsel would have taken the action that

his counsel did take.” Chandler v. United States, 218 F.3d 1305, 1315 (11th Cir.

2000) (en banc). And we must keep in mind that “[c]ounsel is not required to

present every nonfrivolous defense,” since “[s]tacking defenses can hurt a case.”

Id. at 1319. Rather, “[g]ood advocacy requires winnowing out some arguments . . .

to stress others.” Id. (internal quotation marks omitted). Thus, it is quite difficult to

establish that the omission of any particular argument resulted in ineffective

assistance, although such a showing is possible if the argument or arguments

neglected were stronger than the ones counsel actually offered. See, e.g., Heath,

941 F.2d at 1130-32 (finding deficient performance when counsel in a capital case

raised only one argument on appeal).

                                           30
             Case: 11-12904     Date Filed: 02/27/2013    Page: 31 of 45

      Dell’s claim fails to satisfy the first prong of Strickland because a reasonable

lawyer could have omitted the argument for a downward variance based on the

crack/powder disparity at sentencing, a time when the Supreme Court’s resolution

of that issue was still uncertain. In Jones, for example, the Supreme Court granted

certiorari on October 10, 1989, to review a Second Circuit case involving an issue

relevant to Jones’s attempt to suppress wiretap evidence. See 224 F.3d at 1257. As

a panel of this Court explained:

      From that date, Jones’s counsel was on notice that the Court would be
      considering the circumstances under which wiretap evidence must be
      suppressed. Over a month after the grant of certiorari, Jones’s counsel
      moved to suppress the wiretap evidence. Jones’s motion did not raise
      the delay in sealing the tapes as a basis for their suppression. . . . Even
      two months after the grant of certiorari, when filing a memorandum in
      support of the suppression motion, counsel did not raise the issue.

             Since the district court would be required to follow the law of
      this circuit until it was overruled by the Supreme Court or an en banc
      panel of this court, it was not completely unreasonable for counsel to
      make a strategic decision to forego a claim that was a loser under the
      then-current state of the law. The highest standards of practice would
      suggest that Jones’s counsel should have acted to preserve Jones’s
      rights in light of the Supreme Court’s unequivocal signal that a ruling
      would be forthcoming. But we are not prepared to say categorically
      that counsel’s failure to do so constituted prejudicial, ineffective
      nonfeasance while the law was still unsettled.

Id. at 1257-58 (footnotes omitted). In short, it generally does not fall below the

objective standard of reasonableness for trial counsel to fail to raise a claim in

anticipation that undeniably would lose under current law but might succeed based

on the outcome of a forthcoming Supreme Court decision. See also Pitts v. Cook,
                                          31
              Case: 11-12904     Date Filed: 02/27/2013    Page: 32 of 45

923 F.2d 1568, 1574 (11th Cir. 1991) (“[L]awyers rarely, if ever, are required to be

innovative to perform within the wide range of conduct that encompasses the

reasonably effective representation mandated by the Constitution.”); accord id. at

1573-74 (“Because law is not an exact science, an ordinary, reasonable lawyer may

fail to recognize or to raise an issue, even when the issue is available, yet still

provide constitutionally effective assistance.” (internal quotation marks and

alteration omitted)).

      Dell cannot show that his attorney’s performance at sentencing “fell below

an objective standard of reasonableness,” Strickland, 466 U.S. at 688, since

competent counsel could have taken the action that his counsel did take. Even if

Dell’s lawyer would have been wiser to include an argument for a downward

variance based on the crack/powder disparity, he was “not required to present

every nonfrivolous defense,” Chandler, 218 F.3d at 1319. At sentencing, Dell’s

counsel pursued several different objections, including an attack on the factual

accuracy of the PSR, a request for a minor role adjustment, and a request for a

lower sentence based on the 18 U.S.C. § 3553(a) factors. This attempt to winnow

down the possible arguments fell within the “wide range of conduct that

encompasses the reasonably effective representation mandated by the

Constitution,” Pitts, 923 F.2d at 1574. Moreover, when we grant counsel’s conduct

the presumption of competence, the choice of several plausible factual or legal

                                           32
             Case: 11-12904     Date Filed: 02/27/2013    Page: 33 of 45

arguments and the omission of a Kimbrough-type claim may be regarded as having

been “a strategic decision to forego a claim that was a loser under the then-current

state of the law.” Jones, 224 F.3d at 1258. At the time of sentencing, unlike the

time of appeal, Williams was the law of this Circuit, and it squarely held that the

downward variance Dell now claims his counsel should have requested was

impermissible. Quite simply, trial counsel’s failure to make a Kimbrough-type

claim in the face of what was then the law of this Circuit does not render counsel

constitutionally ineffective. Because Dell has failed to satisfy the first prong of

Strickland concerning his trial counsel, we have no occasion to address the

question of prejudice.

      Since we find no merit to either of Dell’s ineffective assistance of counsel

claims, we conclude that the district court correctly denied Dell’s § 2255 motion.

      AFFIRMED.

                                          33
              Case: 11-12904       Date Filed: 02/27/2013     Page: 34 of 45

MARTIN, Circuit Judge, concurring:

       Our precedent requires the outcome reached by the majority here and I

therefore concur in the result. As the majority opinion sets out, a person who has

been convicted of a crime, but whose lawyer failed to raise a point of law that

could have lessened the sentence for that conviction, has a heavy burden to later

get the benefit of the overlooked legal principle. It is black letter law that he must

meet the “plain error” standard of review. The difficulty in showing “plain error”

is intended to foster a system where parties must tell a court when it has made a

mistake, so the court can fix it then and there.

       Mr. Dell’s lawyer was the only one of three who were representing

defendants 1 indicted in the case who did not make an argument that would have

ultimately helped Mr. Dell. Specifically, Mr. Dell’s lawyer did not ask the District

Court to consider the fact that sentences for defendants convicted of crack cocaine

crimes were too harsh in comparison to sentences for defendants convicted of

crimes involving powder cocaine. It is true that at the time Mr. Dell was sentenced

it was not error for the District Court to treat a so-called crack defendant more

harshly than a powder cocaine defendant. Indeed, our Circuit precedent prohibited

the court from treating them the same. See United States v. Williams, 456 F.3d
1
 The second superseding indictment charged Tony Jerome Henry, Edward Dell, Tomiki Jenkins,
Helena Jones, and Tyrone Pittman. I read the docket to say that the charges against Tyrone
Pittman were dismissed. Mr. Henry received a sentence of life imprisonment, and his sentence
did not present the same issues as that of Mr. Dell, Mr. Jenkins, and Ms. Jones. Thus, when I
refer to the three defendants, I am referring to Mr. Dell, Mr. Jenkins, and Ms. Jones.
             Case: 11-12904      Date Filed: 02/27/2013    Page: 35 of 45

1353, 1368–69 (11th Cir. 2006), abrogated by Kimbrough v. United States, 552

U.S. 85, 91, 128 S. Ct. 558, 564 (2007). So Mr. Dell could not have gotten relief

from the sentencing court on this ground, even if his lawyer had asked.

      Even so, both lawyers representing Mr. Dell’s co-defendants appear to have

been aware that the Supreme Court had recently heard argument in the case of

Derrick Kimbrough. Mr. Kimbrough’s case presented the issue of whether a

sentence outside the guideline range is unreasonable per se when it is based on the

district judge’s own sense of the unfairness of the disparity between sentences for

defendants convicted of crack cocaine offenses and defendants convicted of

powder cocaine offenses. Kimbrough, 552 U.S. at 91, 128 S. Ct. at 564. The

Supreme Court ultimately decided that the sentence given to Mr. Kimbrough was

not rendered unreasonable by the fact that the District Court had given a sentence

below the guidelines based on its finding that “the crack cocaine guidelines [drove]

the offense level to a point higher than is necessary to do justice in this case.” Id.

at 111, 128 S. Ct. at 575 (alteration in original) (quotation marks omitted).

      Despite the fact that this issue of the crack/powder disparity in sentencing

was very much alive and being debated in the United States Supreme Court, Mr.

Dell’s lawyer did not raise it with the judge who sentenced Mr. Dell. Because this

issue was not brought to the attention of the sentencing judge at the time he was

sentenced, Mr. Dell’s eligibility for relief on this issue now depends upon whether

                                          35
              Case: 11-12904      Date Filed: 02/27/2013     Page: 36 of 45

the sentencing court’s adherence to Williams and the resulting sentence based on

the 100:1 crack powder ratio was “plain error.” Fed. R. Crim. P. 52(b) (“A plain

error that affects substantial rights may be considered even though it was not

brought to the court’s attention.”). The United States Supreme Court has

elaborated that an appellate court can “correct a forfeited error only if (1) there is

an error, (2) the error is plain, and (3) the error affect[s] substantial rights.”

Henderson v. United States, ___ U.S. ___, ___, ___ S. Ct. ___, ___, No. 11-9307,

2013 WL 610203, at *6 (Feb. 20, 2013) (alteration in original) (quotation marks

omitted). If those three conditions are met, then an appellate court can address the

“forfeited error” if it (4) “seriously affect[s] the fairness, integrity or public

reputation of judicial proceedings.” Id. (alteration in original) (quotation marks

omitted).

       As the majority opinion points out, Mr. Dell has established that there was

error because the District Court sentenced Mr. Dell at a time when Williams

foreclosed it from considering the crack/powder disparity. Maj. Op. at 16–18. The

error was also plain. Id. Under our precedent, however, Mr. Dell has failed to

establish the third condition—that is to show that his substantial rights were

affected. One might naturally think that the fact that Mr. Dell did not get the

benefit of this issue, which resulted in each of his co-defendants getting their

                                            36
             Case: 11-12904     Date Filed: 02/27/2013    Page: 37 of 45

sentences reduced by more than a third, means that Mr. Dell’s substantial rights

were affected. But our precedent requires a finding to the contrary.

      Sadly for him, Mr. Dell’s case is a good illustration of how difficult it is to

meet our requirement that he show his substantial rights have been affected, as we

defined that concept in United States v. Rodriguez, 398 F.3d 1291, 1299–1305

(11th Cir. 2005). The idea that a defendant must show that he was prejudiced

before he can get relief from an error that he failed to point out is beyond dispute.

See United States v. Dominguez Benitez, 542 U.S. 74, 81, 124 S. Ct. 2333, 2339

(2004). The Supreme Court established that the defendant can carry his burden of

demonstrating prejudice if he can show “a reasonable probability that, but for [the

error claimed], the result of the proceeding would have been different.” Id. at 81–

82, 124 S. Ct. at 2239 (alteration in original) (quotation marks omitted). Said

another way, “the probability of a different result” must be “sufficient to

undermine confidence in the outcome of the proceeding.” Id. at 83, 124 S. Ct. at

2340 (quotation marks omitted); see also Rodriguez, 398 F.3d at 1299 (quoting

from Dominguez Benitez).

      Our Court has its own articulation of the meaning of plain error review, as

stated by the majority here. That is, if we don’t know whether the outcome would

have been better for the defendant, or even if the chances for a greater or lesser

sentence are the same (the majority uses the term “in equipoise”), then the

                                          37
             Case: 11-12904     Date Filed: 02/27/2013    Page: 38 of 45

defendant has failed to show that his substantial rights have been affected.

Rodriguez, 398 F.3d at 1300–01. It seems to me that our articulation of this rule

goes beyond what the Supreme Court requires for showing plain error.

Specifically, if the chances are just as likely that a court would have acted to favor

a defendant, as not, then (absent our precedent) I would say the defendant has

carried his burden of showing a “reasonable probability” that the outcome would

have been different. See Dominguez Benitez, 548 U.S. at 81–82, 124 S. Ct. at

2339. “[C]onfidence in the outcome of the proceeding” would be “undermine[d].”

Id. at 83, 124 S. Ct. at 2340 (quotation marks omitted). I am not the first to think

of this, as demonstrated by the conversation this Court had about this standard

when we adopted it. See United States v. Rodriguez, 406 F.3d 1261 (11th Cir.

2005) (en banc).

      As I mentioned, Mr. Dell’s case is a good example of how very narrow a

defendant’s ability to show prejudice is under Rodriguez. While the majority says

that we do not know whether Mr. Dell would have been better off if his counsel

had raised the issue of the crack/powder disparity with the sentencing judge, I

think we do. We know, because the District Court told us so in its Order dated

March 28, 2011. Specifically Judge Moody said:

            It would be just for this Court to treat Dell the same as
      his two co-defendants in determining his sentence. But this
      Court is constrained from concluding that sentencing counsel
      was ineffective because of the Eleventh Circuit’s prior ruling
                                          38
              Case: 11-12904    Date Filed: 02/27/2013   Page: 39 of 45

      that counsel is not ineffective for failing to raise a claim before
      the law has actually changed, even when such argument is
      reasonably available and made by other counsel.

Even in light of Judge Moody’s expressed desire to lower Mr. Dell’s sentence to

the same extent that he had lowered the sentences of the other defendants in that

case, our precedent did not permit it. Thus, Mr. Dell was plainly penalized

because of his lawyer’s failure to adopt the argument made by counsel for his co-

defendants.

      Although the sentencing judge clearly told us that he felt it would be just to

give Mr. Dell the benefit of the same legal principle that benefitted his co-

defendants, our precedent requires us to rule based on the legal fiction that we do

not know the trial judge’s idea of justice for Mr. Dell. Precedent requires this

because the sentencing judge did not tell us at a point in time which we are allowed

to consider, insofar as we are confined to the record that would have been available

to his counsel on direct appeal. Thus, in order to have a sufficient record from the

time of the direct appeal, the sentencing judge would be required to say what

different sentence he would impose if any of the myriad of legal principles and

precedent that bind him did not exist. Indeed, counsel for Mr. Dell’s co-defendant

was practically begging for the sentencing judge to say he would impose a

different sentence if the precedent requiring more harsh sentences for crack

defendants than powder cocaine defendants did not exist. All counsel managed to

                                          39
              Case: 11-12904    Date Filed: 02/27/2013   Page: 40 of 45

get was a passing “so rule[d]” from the bench. All things considered, counsel was

lucky to get that.

      That is because, practically speaking, a sentencing hearing is not a proper

forum for a judge who is imposing a sentence to air his list of grievances with

existing precedent. To do so would show disrespect for the very court system he

represents as he sits in the presence of the defendant who has been convicted in

that court, and who is standing to receive his sentence. It is not desirable, much

less realistic, to expect a sentencing judge to dedicate the time at every sentencing

to pull out his laundry list of all of the precedent which binds him, then go down

the list to say what sentence he would impose if it happened that any of the

precedent were different.

      The majority repeatedly and accurately observes that we are confined to

what we know from the record available at the time of Mr. Dell’s direct appeal. It

nevertheless goes on to allow that even if we consider what happened after Mr.

Dell’s sentence was imposed, we would give him no relief, because the Fair

Sentencing Act allowed the judge to resentence Mr. Dell, and Mr. Dell certainly

got all the relief the sentencing judge wanted to give him. Maj. Op. at 26–29. I do

not share the majority’s confidence.

      This Court remanded Mr. Jenkins’s and Ms. Jones’s cases for limited

resentencing in light of Kimbrough, because they had raised the issue in the

                                          40
               Case: 11-12904       Date Filed: 02/27/2013       Page: 41 of 45

District Court and on appeal. United States v. Henry, 307 F. App’x 331, 338–40

(11th Cir. 2009). The District Court gave them the same sentences as they would

have received if their offense involved powder cocaine, rather that crack. In

making this adjustment, the sentencing judge consulted his prior findings about the

amount or weight of cocaine he had attributed to each defendant in their original

sentencing hearing. For Mr. Jenkins, the amount of crack cocaine attributed to him

was at least 1.5 kilograms of cocaine base, but less than 4.5 kilograms. At his first

sentencing, this resulted in a guideline total offense level of 34, 2 which after

adjustments, gave him a range of 151–188 months. Mr. Jenkins received a

sentence of 151 months. When Mr. Jenkins was resentenced, the same as if he had

committed a powder cocaine offense,3 the recalculation resulted in a guideline

range of 78–97 months, and a sentence of 87 months. For Ms. Jones, the amount

of crack cocaine attributed to her was less—1.2 kilograms. At her first sentencing,

when increased by two levels based on her obstruction of justice, she had a

guideline total offense level of 36, which after adjustments gave her a range of

2
  Mr. Jenkins was originally calculated to have an offense level of 38 based on the quantity of
crack cocaine. This was adjusted to a level 36 because of a change in the guidelines that went
into effect between the time the Presentence Report was prepared and the time he was sentenced.
His offense level was then adjusted to a level 34 because he qualified for application of the
safety-valve, which directs the sentencing court to decrease the defendant’s offense level by two
and disregard the statutory minimum mandatory sentence. See 18 U.S.C. § 3553(f); United
States Sentencing Guidelines §§ 2D1.1(b)(11), 5C1.2 (Nov. 2007).
3
  When Mr. Jenkins was resentenced, the District Court assumed the quantity was closer to the
high end of the range it established at the original sentencing—4.5 kilograms. This resulted in a
total offense level of 28. See U.S.S.G. § 2D1.1(c)(5), Drug Quantity Table (Nov. 2007).
                                               41
               Case: 11-12904        Date Filed: 02/27/2013       Page: 42 of 45

188–235 months, and a sentence of 188 months. When she was resentenced, also

the same as if she had committed a powder cocaine offense, the recalculation for

her (like Mr. Jenkins) resulted in a guideline range of 78–97 months. Unlike Mr.

Jenkins, Ms. Jones was subject to a statutorily required minimum sentence of 120

months, and that is what she got. To be clear, Ms. Jones received the lowest

sentence the law allowed.

       Mr. Dell’s resentencing played out in a different way. At his first

sentencing, Mr. Dell was held responsible for “a very conservative estimate” of 1.5

kilograms of crack cocaine, resulting in a total offense level of 36. See United

States Sentencing Guidelines § 2D1.1(c)(2), Drug Quantity Table (Nov. 2007). At

offense level 36 and criminal history category III, Mr. Dell’s guideline range was

235–293 months. See U.S.S.G. ch. 5, pt. A, Sentencing Table (Nov. 2007). If he

had been resentenced as a powder offender instead of a crack offender, my

calculation results in a guideline range of 78–97 months, based on a total offense

level of 26 and a criminal history category III. See U.S.S.G. § 2D1.1(c)(7), Drug

Quantity Table (Nov. 2007); U.S.S.G. ch. 5, pt. A, Sentencing Table (Nov. 2007). 4

4
 This assumes that the District Court adopted a quantity of 1.5 kilograms as it seemed to do at
Mr. Dell’s initial sentencing. If the District Court adopted a quantity of 4.5 kilograms, as it did
for Mr. Jenkins’s resentencing, Mr. Dell’s guideline range would be 121–151 months (offense
level 30, criminal history category III). See U.S.S.G. § 2D1.1(c)(5), Drug Quantity Table (Nov.
2007); U.S.S.G. ch. 5, pt. A, Sentencing Table (Nov. 2007). If the District Court instead adopted
a quantity amount in the middle of the 1.5–4.5 kilogram range (e.g. 3 kilograms), Mr. Dell’s new
guideline range would be 97–121 months (offense level 28, criminal history category III). See
                                                42
               Case: 11-12904       Date Filed: 02/27/2013       Page: 43 of 45

Mr. Dell, like Ms. Jones, was subject to a statutory mandatory minimum sentence

of ten years, so the District Court had discretion to give Mr. Dell only a ten-year

sentence. In contrast with how he resentenced Ms. Jones, the court did not impose

the statutory minimum sentence. After Mr. Dell was resentenced pursuant to

Amendment 750’s revised drug table, his sentence was 168 months. 5

       The majority concludes that “the judge chose not to go lower than 168

months when he had the opportunity to do so in 2012.” Maj. Op. at 28. However,

this seasoned district judge well knew that in reducing Mr. Dell’s sentence below

188 months, he was exceeding the authority given to him by the amendment to the

guidelines. As the majority points out, the reduction to 188 months was authorized

by Amendment 750.6 Maj. Op. at 27. The further reduction of twenty more

months was not. Indeed, if the government had chosen to appeal the additional

twenty-month reduction to this court, the sentence would have been reversed, in

light of the judge’s lack of authority. For this reason, the sentencing judge was

constrained in his resentencing of Mr. Dell in ways that he was not constrained in

his resentencing of Mr. Jenkins and Ms. Jones. We have held repeatedly that a

U.S.S.G. § 2D1.1(c)(6), Drug Quantity Table (Nov. 2007); U.S.S.G. ch. 5, pt. A, Sentencing
Table (Nov. 2007).
5
  By my calculation, Mr. Jenkins’s sentence was reduced by 42%. Ms. Jones, who faced a
statutory mandatory minimum sentence of ten years, nevertheless had her sentence reduced by
36%. Mr. Dell’s sentence was reduced by 28.5%.
6
  The Fair Sentencing Act “had the effect of lowering the 100-to-1 crack-to-powder ratio to 18-
to-1.” Dorsey v. United States, ___ U.S. ___, ___, 132 S. Ct. 2321, 2329 (2012). Thus, at his
resentencing Mr. Dell faced an 18-to-1 crack to powder ratio while Mr. Jenkins and Ms. Jones
faced a 1-to-1 ratio.
                                               43
             Case: 11-12904     Date Filed: 02/27/2013    Page: 44 of 45

sentencing adjustment undertaken pursuant to 18 U.S.C. § 3582(c)(2), such as a

reduction based on Amendment 750, is not a de novo resentencing. See United

States v. Bravo, 203 F.3d 778, 781 (11th Cir. 2000). In light of this constraint on

the sentencing judge in his resentencing of Mr. Dell, I do not share the confidence

of the majority that the judge “chose not to go lower than 168 months.” Maj. Op.

at 28. Neither do I fully agree that he had a viable “opportunity” to go lower. Id.

      Finally, because Mr. Dell cannot satisfy the third condition of plain error

review under our precedent, we are not called upon to address the fourth condition,

about whether the “error seriously affect[ed] the fairness, integrity or public

reputation of judicial proceedings.” See Henderson, No. 11-9307, 2013 WL

610203, at *6 (quotation marks omitted). The majority acted in keeping with our

standard procedures when it did not address this condition. At the end of the day,

this condition requires us to examine the perceptions others have about what we

do. I therefore think it worth a mention.

      Although there are certainly as many approaches as there are judges, I have

come to think of this condition from the standpoint of the taxpaying public who

funds our courts, and from the viewpoint of the family members of criminal

defendants who sadly find themselves before us. With this in mind, I am simply

not able to articulate any explanation of why Mr. Dell is being treated differently

from his co-defendants that would strike me as fair if he were a family member of

                                            44
             Case: 11-12904     Date Filed: 02/27/2013   Page: 45 of 45

mine. I am sorry for this, because we have been entrusted with the responsibility

to maintain the integrity and public reputation of this institution. When the public

we serve cannot make sense of how or why we do what we do, we put those things

at risk.

                                         45