Patent Document ID: 7558749
Application ID: 10189562
Patent Status: 1

Claim One:
1. An evaluation system, for generating a predicted value of a technology, comprising: a first database for storing a set of stock prices of each company of a group of reference companies; a second database for storing a set of net asset values of each company of the group of reference companies; an intangible asset pricing device, responsive to the set of stock prices and the set of net asset values of each company the group of reference companies, for producing a set of intangible asset predicted values of each company of the group of reference companies; a factor producing device, responsive to a first predetermined condition, for dividing the group of reference companies into N compared subgroups, the factor producing device also being responsive to the N compared subgroups and the set of intangible asset predicted values of each company of the group of reference companies and producing a set of referred factors of any of the N compared subgroups; a input device for inputting a predetermined time and a predetermined cost of the technology needed for launch; and an analytic device for mapping the technology to a corresponding subgroup of the N compared subgroups, the analytic device also being responsive to the predetermined time, the predetermined cost and the set of referred factors of the corresponding subgroup for producing the predicted value of the technology; wherein the set of intangible asset predicted values of each company of the group of reference companies comprises a research-and-develop value and a patent value, and the research-and-develop value is as follows: 
 V RD =( Vs×Ns−Vn )× E RD ÷E T , wherein V RD is the research-and-develop value, Vs is stock price of each company of the group of reference companies, Ns is the number of the issued shares of each company of the group of reference companies, Vn is the net asset value of each company of the group of reference companies, E RD is the research and development expense of each company of the group of reference companies, and E T is the total expense of each company of the group of reference companies; and the patent value is as follows: 
 V p =V RD ×÷N P , wherein V p is the patent value, V RD is the research-and-develop value, and N P is the issued patent number of each company of the group of reference companies; wherein the set of referred factors of the corresponding subgroup comprises an average of the research-and-develop value of each company of the corresponding subgroup and a first standard deviation of the research-and-develop value of each company of the corresponding subgroup, and the predicted value of the technology is produced by the analytic device as follows: 
 EV 1= RV*N ( d 1)−( E/ e rT )* N ( d 2), wherein EV 1 is the predicted value of the technology, RV is the average, E is the predetermined cost of the technology needed for launch, T is the predetermined time of the technology needed for launch, e is a natural exponent, r is a predetermined rate, N(d 1 ) is an accumulative standard normal distribution function valued at d 1 , N(d 2 ) is the accumulative standard normal distribution function valued at d 2 , d 1 =(ln(RV/E)+rT)/(δ 1 T 1/2 )+0.5δ 1 T 1/2 , d 2 =d 1 −δ 1 T 1/2 , and δ 1 is the first standard deviation.