Patent Document ID: 9741048
Application ID: 15146137
Patent Status: 1

Claim One:
1. An apparatus comprising: an early warning system; an electronic processing device; and a memory device storing computer readable instructions that, when executed by the electronic processing device, cause the apparatus to: receive economic data for a plurality of time series, wherein each time series of the plurality of time series corresponds to a different geographical entity; determine auto regressive model coefficients for the economic data of the plurality of time series; determine, for a first time series of the plurality, a first scaled lag-1 auto-correlation of the coefficients; determine, for the first time series, a first scaled smoothed derivative from the first scaled lag-1 auto-correlation of the coefficients; output, for the first member, a first indicator based on the first scaled smoothed derivative; generate, by the early warning system based on at least the first indicator for the first time series of the plurality of time series, an early warning signal, wherein the first time series corresponds only to a first geographical entity and wherein the early warning signal comprises an early warning notification and detailed information about a potential instability of the economic data; determine a set of registered computing devices associated with the first geographical entity, wherein the set includes a first device and a second device; send the early warning notification about the first geographical entity to the first device and second device; initiate launching of an early warning application at the first device; and send the detailed information about the potential instability to the first device via the early warning application.