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510336 | Associated Press declares winner before 3am on Nov 6? | 0xcfcfd29413f4518ca68d7539c29d26a2c930d87a2d068d83370b27811b7b1b49 | will-the-associated-press-declare-a-winner-before-3am-on-november-6 | 2024-11-06T12:00:00 | null | 2024-10-22T20:21:38.504Z | This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Associated Press declares a winner in the 2024 US Presidential election by November 6, 2024, 2:59:59 AM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution of this market will be based on the first official declaration of a winner made by AP, regardless of whether they later retract that declaration.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from AP. | ["Yes", "No"] | ["0", "1"] | 117571.05462 | true | true | 2024-10-21T19:17:27.842898Z | 2024-11-07T09:17:06.338489Z | false | false | 0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5 | false | 0x6A9D222616C90FcA5754cd1333cFD9b7fb6a4F74 | true | 0 | 0xdd7e5640dccf28ce975fccd4c29298b77c07a2e9f9dd43b250b7495d641bd87a | true | 0.001 | 5 | 117,571.05462 | null | 2024-11-06T00:00:00 | 2024-10-22T00:00:00 | true | null | ["7945942021695836291449669683319790900554159201610586853966248812700864872807", "106737581466111780889919704509072715580103982876898551399297235674428872460187"] | 500 | 5 | null | 117,571.05462 | null | false | false | [
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500615 | Will a Republican win Arizona US Senate Election? | 0xac7162f96876ea602d984de6f9800b8a4b8a45897e798a7630d9e004ae5b9a0b | will-a-republican-win-arizona-us-senate-election | 2024-11-05T12:00:00 | null | 2024-04-03T21:42:09.743Z | United States general elections are scheduled to take place on November 5, 2024. Regular senate elections are presently scheduled for 33 states.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the candidate who wins the 2024 Arizona US Senate election is a Republican. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee, or has a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable party preference, of the party in question.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification. | ["Yes", "No"] | ["0", "1"] | 8258327.18658 | true | true | 2024-04-02T16:19:32.623115Z | 2024-11-13T10:43:07.559681Z | true | false | 0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5 | false | 0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d | true | Kari Lake | 1 | 0x5391cb0e8759aab7ae978cedae3dbb6fe4b876f420515ef8221e9f8e9a222c01 | true | 0.001 | 5 | 8,258,327.18658 | null | 2024-11-05T00:00:00 | 2024-04-03T00:00:00 | true | null | ["46691825198205945656026007456894335541255549782914167592137952460021454784449", "79276436359828295026049170967517943932138990338843874789225895410237452024"] | 3750 | 15 | null | 8,258,327.18658 | null | false | true | [
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510887 | Will Harris lead in RCP by 0-0.4 on Nov 4? | 0x5409a10c28f0699a8a464abdc9b07ab0a9335ff61d1a4f7e53f70b7e82fe5b45 | will-harris-lead-in-rcp-by-0-0pt4-on-nov-4 | 2024-11-04T12:00:00 | null | 2024-10-25T15:45:33.041Z | This is a market on the RCP Polling Average margin between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris as of November 4, 2024, 12:00 PM ET. The spread referenced in the first table on the "2024 General Election: Trump vs. Harris" page at https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2024/trump-vs-harris will be used to resolve this market.
This market will resolve to 'Yes' if between Harris 0.0 (inclusive) and Harris +0.4 (inclusive) percentage points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to 'No'.
The RCP Polling Average will be checked on November 4, 12:00 PM ET.
Please note, this market refers specifically to the margin for RCP polling average as presented in the aforementioned chart in the column titled 'Spread'. This includes any adjustments or methodology changes made by RCP in their calculation of the polling average or the date range used.
If the RCP Polling Average margin data between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump is not available by November 8, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, another credible source of polling data as of November 4, 12:00 PM ET will be used for market resolution. | ["Yes", "No"] | ["0", "1"] | 124696.389492 | true | true | 2024-10-25T00:28:03.024651Z | 2024-11-07T16:53:07.734599Z | false | false | 0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5 | false | 0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d | true | Harris by 0-0.4 | 6 | 0x6da98133ae6be7ed71b15e3b5309d954121a42b4f9f125f7e6adc56c4c0dc806 | true | 0.001 | 5 | 124,696.389492 | null | 2024-11-04T00:00:00 | 2024-10-25T00:00:00 | true | null | ["26605654016766444449767674295487290540260685727116438701866323102234572656228", "94660743134797586695423445708104437190951984062361896711290133946152981843542"] | 500 | 5 | null | 124,696.389492 | null | false | true | [
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500630 | 2024 Balance of Power: D Prez, D Senate, D House | 0xf4640cd41c414f694cd33e049e0c58092eea15bb7e463af0124695e46442742d | democratic-sweep-in-2024-election | 2024-11-05T12:00:00 | null | 2024-04-24T19:25:01.402Z | This market will resolve to "Yes" if as a result of the 2024 United States general elections, the Democratic Party wins the Presidency, and secures control of both the House of Representatives and the Senate. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No"
A party will be considered to have 'control' of the House of Representatives, if they win a majority of voting seats.
A party will be considered to have 'control' of the Senate if they have more than half of the voting Senate members, or half of the voting Senate members and the Vice President.
A candidate's party is determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time the 2024 House, Senate and Presidency are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican Parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party that they most recently expressed their intent to caucus with at the time the 2024 House, Senate and Presidency are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
If control of the House is ambiguous given the above rules, this market will resolve according to the party affiliation of the first Speaker of the US House who is selected following the 2024 US general election.
If control of the Senate is ambiguous given the above rules, this market will resolve according to the party affiliation of the first Majority Leader of the US Senate who is selected following the 2024 US general election.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called winners of the House, Senate, and Presidency in the 2024 US general election. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification. | ["Yes", "No"] | ["0", "1"] | 5444340.53142 | true | true | 2024-04-02T19:57:39.791865Z | 2024-11-15T06:48:58.346763Z | true | false | 0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5 | false | 0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d | true | Democrats sweep | 0 | 0xebbf621279b1c7c8b341cf058d3e58bcb97a0686d836e58da792ffc7edec5c00 | true | 0.001 | 5 | 5,444,340.53142 | null | 2024-11-05T00:00:00 | 2024-04-24T00:00:00 | true | null | ["23879627426961662812922169694268707374662971136118079896087093103802667054172", "47409381172023721466480360988176079028561606121909173291379114883147018350487"] | 500 | 5 | null | 5,444,340.53142 | null | false | true | [
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254578 | Will Fed cut interest rates 4 times in 2024? | 0x9d1f0296f3a016727193d2b45704e0debc3b8048fe0715f8bb1e91550d321872 | will-fed-cut-interest-rates-4-times-by-dec-meeting | 2024-12-30T12:00:00 | null | 2024-03-21T16:44:15.8Z | The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the there is exactly 4 cuts of 25 basis points by the Fed's December meeting (including any cuts made during Dec meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market may resolve to "Yes" immediately after the statement from the Fed's December 2024 meeting has been released if there has been exactly 4 rate cuts by then.
For example, if the FED cuts rates by 50 bps after a meeting, it would be considered 2 cuts (of 25 bps each). If there are 5 or more rate cuts at any point before this market's resolution date, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be FOMC statements after meetings scheduled in 2024 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm. | ["Yes", "No"] | ["1", "0"] | 6812524.970527 | true | true | 2024-02-21T19:37:12.693Z | 2024-12-19T22:19:20.939092Z | true | false | 0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5 | false | 0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d | true | 4 (100 bps) | 5 | 0xbe40459af759a380a0bb905b6b6b7638183a7282d564c9b9e2e5c22120127904 | true | 0.001 | 5 | 6,812,524.970527 | null | 2024-12-30T00:00:00 | 2024-03-21T00:00:00 | true | null | ["101669189743438912873361127612589311253202068943959811456820079057046819967115", "113332423559050930347591987511234765387649957428761857688151517507261414072694"] | 500 | 5 | null | 6,812,524.970527 | null | false | true | [
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500614 | Will a Democrat win Arizona US Senate Election? | 0xb17631413f217b33763f011a61990dd420f760af13bba6cdccd68c52b2b72d4e | will-a-democrat-win-arizona-us-senate-election | 2024-11-05T12:00:00 | null | 2024-04-03T21:42:04.216Z | United States general elections are scheduled to take place on November 5, 2024. Regular senate elections are presently scheduled for 33 states.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the candidate who wins the 2024 Arizona US Senate election is a Democrat. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee, or has a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable party preference, of the party in question.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification. | ["Yes", "No"] | ["1", "0"] | 6754633.942725 | true | true | 2024-04-02T16:18:36.616087Z | 2024-11-13T10:43:07.562934Z | true | false | 0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5 | false | 0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d | true | Ruben Gallego | 0 | 0x5391cb0e8759aab7ae978cedae3dbb6fe4b876f420515ef8221e9f8e9a222c00 | true | 0.001 | 5 | 6,754,633.942725 | null | 2024-11-05T00:00:00 | 2024-04-03T00:00:00 | true | null | ["104418202650000003466724307383826189852812346194106831978945737070954365347089", "18774476248896549691678360856198707466024027698380587795158227245793286303542"] | 3750 | 15 | null | 6,754,633.942725 | null | false | true | [
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511244 | Will Trump say "Wisconsin" 20 or more times during Wisconsin rally on Nov 1? | 0x6a28c395d97f82388631f7928f1def3ca452120a71e7dff616d3aed475ecbe03 | will-trump-say-wisconsin-20-or-more-times-during-wisconsin-rally-on-nov-1 | 2024-11-01T12:00:00 | null | 2024-10-28T23:58:22.579882Z | Donald Trump has scheduled a rally on November 1 in Milwaukee, Wisconsin (see: https://event.donaldjtrump.com/events/president-donald-j-trump-to-hold-a-rally-in-milwaukee-wisconsin).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "Wisconsin" 20 or more times during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.
Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.
Compound words will count as long as "Wisconsin" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the US state.
If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or delayed beyond November 1, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be the video of the speech. | ["Yes", "No"] | ["0", "1"] | 20350.837995 | true | true | 2024-10-28T21:14:01.748328Z | 2024-11-03T05:23:06.330576Z | false | false | 0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5 | false | 0x6A9D222616C90FcA5754cd1333cFD9b7fb6a4F74 | true | Wisconsin 20+ times | 4 | 0x47f26e9532660ce8c321efe89a1f7bf2ebabfe82dc8ebb3dc5e41d973a96db57 | true | 0.001 | 5 | 20,350.837995 | null | 2024-11-01T00:00:00 | 2024-10-28T00:00:00 | true | null | ["88591458812565296461313075353029977181438454214177674065736675057262478848145", "42752895150784180135129488545066923247644726020051341503184693062605137100299"] | 500 | 5 | null | 20,350.837995 | null | false | false | [
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254254 | Will another movie gross most in 2024? | 0xaa69f9c948b8a162eb305285bf31a581868c23a289573889b27361726c213b64 | will-another-movie-gross-most-in-2024 | 2024-12-29T00:00:00 | null | 2024-01-31T23:47:00Z | This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Total" column on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2024/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses shows any movie other than 'Deadpool 3', 'Joker: Folie à Deux', 'Dune: Part 2', 'Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga', 'Despicable Me 4', or 'Inside Out 2' as the film with the highest total gross for the year 2024 once data for December 31 is made available. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Note: This market is about movies' domestic calendar gross in 2024 - dates outside of 2024 will not count toward the movies' gross.
In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner.
If there is no final data available by January 7, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen. | ["Yes", "No"] | ["0", "1"] | 5967248.83797894 | true | true | 2024-01-31T22:13:18.395Z | 2025-01-04T14:56:48.16152Z | false | false | 0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5 | false | 0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d | true | Other | 7 | 0x3f3ae07223492f5ba2e46adba8c64c98df1995a1002d78f96434611a4b459206 | true | 0.001 | 5 | 5,967,248.837979 | null | 2024-12-29T00:00:00 | 2024-01-31T00:00:00 | true | null | ["63775998971536686202924577393689977829942546291218090292399569090154779758410", "105017688945203941576760895705095450544505091994237065142261624086818794893926"] | 500.0 | 5.0 | null | 5,967,248.837979 | null | false | true | [
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510886 | Will Trump lead in RCP by 0.1-0.4 on Nov 4? | 0x401a9b9540ed899ddd8c1452d1fda87f43178f5255f5b7ebe2caab68c09b5ee7 | will-trump-lead-in-rcp-by-0pt1-0pt4-on-nov-4 | 2024-11-04T12:00:00 | null | 2024-10-25T15:44:13.772517Z | This is a market on the RCP Polling Average margin between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris as of November 4, 2024, 12:00 PM ET. The spread referenced in the first table on the "2024 General Election: Trump vs. Harris" page at https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2024/trump-vs-harris will be used to resolve this market.
This market will resolve to 'Yes' if between Trump +0.1 (inclusive) and Trump +0.4 (inclusive) percentage points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to 'No'.
The RCP Polling Average will be checked on November 4, 12:00 PM ET.
Please note, this market refers specifically to the margin for RCP polling average as presented in the aforementioned chart in the column titled 'Spread'. This includes any adjustments or methodology changes made by RCP in their calculation of the polling average or the date range used.
If the RCP Polling Average margin data between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump is not available by November 8, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, another credible source of polling data as of November 4, 12:00 PM ET will be used for market resolution. | ["Yes", "No"] | ["1", "0"] | 98547.416957 | true | true | 2024-10-25T00:26:15.075265Z | 2024-11-05T20:13:23.175032Z | false | false | 0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5 | false | 0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d | true | Trump by 0.1-0.4 | 5 | 0x6da98133ae6be7ed71b15e3b5309d954121a42b4f9f125f7e6adc56c4c0dc805 | true | 0.001 | 5 | 98,547.416957 | null | 2024-11-04T00:00:00 | 2024-10-25T00:00:00 | true | null | ["10384653779646790669786071972017483978755790373225452719999398939311160949069", "63885374419148461867568579141345232985784038222586679281275631579422716360516"] | 500 | 5 | null | 98,547.416957 | null | false | true | [
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253679 | 2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 15-34 | 0x8651d7d8b6f27328ad61fab52940f3e689c73695d622e193df138b19685da421 | 2024-presidential-election-gop-wins-by-15-34 | 2024-11-04T12:00:00 | null | 2024-01-10T01:41:00Z | This market will resolve to "Yes" if the republican-nominated candidate for the 2024 US presidential election wins by between 15 and 34 electoral college votes (inclusive) compared with the second place party. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting on the final electoral college tally based on which territories each candidate wins.
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510044 | Will Trump do better with men than in 2020 election? | 0x0c030d2c004d18928065001ac973ef5ab44e70998ea1cf600501f719bbcb3076 | will-trump-do-better-with-men-in-2024-than-2020 | 2024-11-05T12:00:00 | null | 2024-10-17T22:44:14.169Z | This market refers to the CNN release of the National Election Pool exit poll for the 2024 U.S. Presidential election conducted by Edison research.
According to the CNN release of the National Election Pool exit poll for the 2020 US presidential election, Donald Trump received 53% of the male vote. You can see CNN's exit polls for the 2020 US presidential election here: https://www.cnn.com/election/2020/exit-polls/president/national-results
This market will resolve to “Yes” Donald Trump's share of male voters is 54% or greater in the 2024 US presidential election. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be the CNN release of the Edison research exit poll. If CNN does not release the National Election Pool/Edison research exit poll by November 10, 2024, 12:00 PM ET, the polling numbers from the CBS release of the National Election Pool will be used. If CBS also has not released the poll, alternate releases of the of the National Election Pool will be used. If the National Election Pool/Edison research exit poll for the 2024 U.S. Presidential election is not conducted/released by November 20, 2024, 12:00 PM, or if the poll does not provide data on male voters this market will resolve to 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the full release of the Election Pool Exit Poll data from CNN. Initial or incomplete data will not be considered.
Note: Slight changes in terminology used by the poll will not affect resolution. | ["Yes", "No"] | ["1", "0"] | 58300.358175 | true | true | 2024-10-16T22:36:10.510407Z | 2024-11-12T18:23:10.414814Z | false | false | 0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5 | false | 0x6A9D222616C90FcA5754cd1333cFD9b7fb6a4F74 | true | 0 | 0x4fd7a2529105c317a412e8e257d47d3cb5beb0e66097b6837f5b7e99b78e8453 | true | 0.001 | 5 | 58,300.358175 | null | 2024-11-05T00:00:00 | 2024-10-17T00:00:00 | true | null | ["105618341957088085370957929597831798463139507577183260126829464442589647434999", "83126359599644148292294393594600178259814056135861690539305793172121919565243"] | 500 | 5 | null | 58,300.358175 | null | false | false | [
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509980 | NJ-07 election: Altman (D) vs. Kean (R) | 0x0258ab81c4235252986c9464286bf839a847f11af164f64f1405b33a75126254 | nj-07-election-altman-d-vs-kean-r | 2024-11-05T12:00:00 | null | 2024-10-16T19:02:32.658218Z | United States general elections are scheduled to take place on November 5, 2024.
This market will resolve to "Altman" if Democrat Sue Altman wins the congressional election in New Jersey's 7th district.
This market will resolve to "Kean" if Republican Tom Kean Jr. wins the congressional election in New Jersey's 7th district.
If any other candidate wins the election, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting. | ["Altman", "Kean"] | ["0", "1"] | 446032.12858 | true | true | 2024-10-16T15:52:04.832424Z | 2024-11-07T20:29:02.689254Z | false | false | 0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5 | false | 0x6A9D222616C90FcA5754cd1333cFD9b7fb6a4F74 | true | 0 | 0xdcd970c7df97c6555ff99921015665b47439351428621b507a9eec27bc6e7bbe | true | 0.001 | 5 | 446,032.12858 | null | 2024-11-05T00:00:00 | 2024-10-16T00:00:00 | true | null | ["49628350812093604085588039960969740047169737269989385281249286751534752932703", "95936176842196221312911761704487988210367126139407338737694969138570327732423"] | 500 | 5 | null | 446,032.12858 | null | false | null | [
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511248 | Will Trump say "Venezuela" or "Venezuelan" 5 or more times during Wisconsin rally on Nov 1? | 0x90806581bc6f91545c4c8cdd8b833a4d6806656215f8171ec0256f42966d4516 | will-trump-say-venezuela-or-venezuelan-5-or-more-times-during-wisconsin-rally-on-nov-1 | 2024-11-01T12:00:00 | null | 2024-10-29T00:00:49.079444Z | Donald Trump has scheduled a rally on November 1 in Milwaukee, Wisconsin (see: https://event.donaldjtrump.com/events/president-donald-j-trump-to-hold-a-rally-in-milwaukee-wisconsin).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "Venezuela" or "Venezuelan" 5 or more times during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.
Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.
Compound words will count as long as "Venezuela" or "Venezuelan" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the South American country of Venezuela, or things or people from that country.
If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or delayed beyond November 1, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be the video of the speech. | ["Yes", "No"] | ["0", "1"] | 20998.663427 | true | true | 2024-10-28T21:21:41.836448Z | 2024-11-03T06:07:03.331722Z | false | false | 0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5 | false | 0x6A9D222616C90FcA5754cd1333cFD9b7fb6a4F74 | true | Venezuela/Venezuelan 5+ times | 8 | 0x92fb920b4ee95d23a672afb8c43f2c276b4113e8bca0cc4e34fa3bd8438beac1 | true | 0.001 | 5 | 20,998.663427 | null | 2024-11-01T00:00:00 | 2024-10-29T00:00:00 | true | null | ["34095659585113579423469187399780257042937324134155171585965868775838577136639", "13228515203022238208992590336842405119361534003050602391489973235816825555680"] | 500 | 5 | null | 20,998.663427 | null | false | false | [
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507706 | Will Berachain launch a token in December? | 0xcbc596c7f92eea16cd3e5609c5074cfdb6ed76e919e3af890a4776ceb1247cf3 | will-berachain-launch-a-token-in-december | 2024-12-31T12:00:00 | null | 2024-09-23T17:41:19.456841Z | This market will resolve to "Yes" if Berachain (https://www.berachain.com/) officially launches a token between December 1 and December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The token must be publicly announced and transferable on a blockchain. If a first such token launch occurs outside of this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be public announcements from Berachain. | ["Yes", "No"] | ["0", "1"] | 223161.730377 | true | true | 2024-09-23T15:45:49.381993Z | 2025-01-02T10:11:08.804515Z | false | false | 0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5 | false | 0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d | true | December | 3 | 0x445aa7f41fd1cf8097846d4b372d06111216b3ab1f94f6fe494613ee0da51b03 | true | 0.001 | 5 | 223,161.730377 | null | 2024-12-31T00:00:00 | 2024-09-23T00:00:00 | true | null | ["78505193875306725431565017311892208680285539751502050918584191691066428230606", "11095030816700579023823394644760414170705051579851900744758761342359471682097"] | 500 | 5 | null | 223,161.730377 | null | false | true | [
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255152 | Will a Republican win Pennsylvania Presidential Election? | 0xa923afcb8297e3ade170f2f8c088f3c277557fadef2c67054d72cc59f8504b2b | will-a-republican-win-pennsylvania-presidential-election | 2024-11-05T12:00:00 | null | 2024-03-07T02:47:00Z | This market will resolve to "Yes" if a Republican candidate wins the popular vote in Pennsylvania in the 2024 US presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee, or has a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable party preference, of the party in question.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
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255053 | Will a Democrat win Nevada Presidential Election? | 0x8f20ff6ed2ba1e234f35e701a50c274ffb64fdd8d621254d017db0445486ab79 | will-a-democrat-win-nevada-presidential-election | 2024-11-05T12:00:00 | null | 2024-03-07T23:25:00Z | This market will resolve to "Yes" if a Democratic candidate wins the popular vote in Nevada in the 2024 US presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee, or has a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable party preference, of the party in question.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
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509656 | Who will 538 predict to win the election? | 0xeef75d4ead3c090aaa50b3c825595a6010ebf99633b40b0de3e3d9f1ed8b8e6e | who-will-538-predict-to-win-the-election | 2024-11-05T12:00:00 | null | 2024-10-11T22:39:36.685541Z | This market will resolve to "Harris" if according to FiveThirtyEight's final election forecast Kamala Harris has a greater chance than Donald Trump of winning the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election .
This market will resolve to "Trump" if according to FiveThirtyEight's final election forecast Donald Trump has a greater chance than Kamala Harris of winning the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election.
If FiveThirtyEight's final election forecast is tied (there is no favorite), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source will be FiveThirtyEight's 2024 presidential election forecast, https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2024-election-forecast/, specifically the headline numbers listed in the center of the page which display the odds of each candidate winning as a number out of 100 reported to the 1 digit mark (eg. "Trump wins 51 times out of 100") | ["Harris", "Trump"] | ["1", "0"] | 475337.517449 | true | true | 2024-10-11T16:10:09.385548Z | 2024-11-06T19:17:10.436989Z | false | false | 0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5 | false | 0x6A9D222616C90FcA5754cd1333cFD9b7fb6a4F74 | true | 0 | 0x12f9ea77653fa5c9c38fb5680fdd085016aec4728147b985daed4ce9df035eb0 | true | 0.001 | 5 | 475,337.517449 | null | 2024-11-05T00:00:00 | 2024-10-11T00:00:00 | true | null | ["31339012757506321581008749870302262662288454883998521488813352782262948747087", "30910779187789188938391033966759833342119527485007607666366345757015358133833"] | 500 | 5 | null | 475,337.517449 | null | false | false | [
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506356 | Starmer out as UK prime minister in 2024? | 0x8a2ae5fe3795afdd425c93105915391ca4a3778e6940970900524ea0166dfab0 | starmer-out-as-uk-prime-minister-in-2024 | 2024-12-31T12:00:00 | null | 2024-09-03T23:42:47.953823Z | This market will resolve to “Yes” if Keir Starmer ceases to be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom for any period of time between September 2, 2024 and December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be the government of the UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice. | ["Yes", "No"] | ["0", "1"] | 1268433.85120097 | true | true | 2024-09-03T20:04:53.351298Z | 2025-01-02T02:23:12.571781Z | false | false | 0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5 | false | 0x6A9D222616C90FcA5754cd1333cFD9b7fb6a4F74 | true | 0 | 0x52a58d327986d36d94b6754b2cfdacaf8e9958231eb5d16ab7837a5b5d4f7c29 | true | 0.001 | 5 | 1,268,433.851201 | null | 2024-12-31T00:00:00 | 2024-09-03T00:00:00 | true | null | ["28275425544442560767819765532629949209619217556570057946717108121137817389610", "28345773500556998146383651397223308565200543237819000751322754373508306389870"] | 500 | 5 | null | 1,268,433.851201 | null | false | false | [
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500105 | Will a Democrat win Nevada US Senate Election? | 0x05904e19533e1babd563de24a3da89d87d00741b98b6dc692025f21ef6c52319 | will-a-democrat-win-michigan-senate-election | 2024-11-05T12:00:00 | null | 2024-04-03T22:05:58.477Z | United States general elections are scheduled to take place on November 5, 2024. Regular senatorial elections are presently scheduled for 33 states.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the candidate who wins the 2024 Nevada US Senate election is a Democrat. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee, or has a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable party preference, of the party in question.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification. | ["Yes", "No"] | ["1", "0"] | 1540056.717832 | true | true | 2024-03-13T15:58:45.65096Z | 2024-11-10T09:42:49.391529Z | true | false | 0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5 | false | 0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d | true | Jacky Rosen | 0 | 0x7fa0c036c3ceebc518ebbbd1e54c1abcd91f761162e14e16ca5f862687c71e00 | true | 0.001 | 5 | 1,540,056.717832 | null | 2024-11-05T00:00:00 | 2024-04-03T00:00:00 | true | null | ["67907845702606698787174525606026822541237125710080743620205634926727922648427", "60437469074426612146004093758614067956847429214050183299113821422453717571562"] | 3750 | 15 | null | 1,540,056.717832 | null | false | true | [
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510885 | Will Trump lead in RCP by 0.5-0.9 on Nov 4? | 0x40efe8ee9b850aca3d4c2321e0dd214de04f9a0f93ebec3c0eeec641ed138981 | will-trump-lead-in-rcp-by-0pt5-0pt9-on-nov-4 | 2024-11-04T12:00:00 | null | 2024-10-25T15:43:35.248044Z | This is a market on the RCP Polling Average margin between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris as of November 4, 2024, 12:00 PM ET. The spread referenced in the first table on the "2024 General Election: Trump vs. Harris" page at https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2024/trump-vs-harris will be used to resolve this market.
This market will resolve to 'Yes' if between Trump +0.5 (inclusive) and Trump +0.9 (inclusive) percentage points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to 'No'.
The RCP Polling Average will be checked on November 4, 12:00 PM ET.
Please note, this market refers specifically to the margin for RCP polling average as presented in the aforementioned chart in the column titled 'Spread'. This includes any adjustments or methodology changes made by RCP in their calculation of the polling average or the date range used.
If the RCP Polling Average margin data between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump is not available by November 8, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, another credible source of polling data as of November 4, 12:00 PM ET will be used for market resolution. | ["Yes", "No"] | ["0", "1"] | 17151.372194 | true | true | 2024-10-25T00:21:21.17041Z | 2024-11-05T18:57:06.348217Z | false | false | 0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5 | false | 0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d | true | Trump by 0.5-0.9 | 4 | 0x6da98133ae6be7ed71b15e3b5309d954121a42b4f9f125f7e6adc56c4c0dc804 | true | 0.001 | 5 | 17,151.372194 | null | 2024-11-04T00:00:00 | 2024-10-25T00:00:00 | true | null | ["83489579741984513806515493766022457896450729292270279915921082927364464735974", "86632232849086555151439170799595822480876720904961437322816280007703572664583"] | 500 | 5 | null | 17,151.372194 | null | false | true | [
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505105 | Will Republicans have between 225 and 229 seats in House after election? | 0xfe0681e64050471f45ffc85487e89e1430d9fcca307601301aa7f00fd1fbf095 | will-republicans-have-between-225-and-229-seats-in-house-after-election | 2024-11-05T12:00:00 | null | 2024-08-14T16:18:15.858992Z | The 2024 United States House elections will be held on November 5, 2024, with all 435 seats in the House being contested.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if as a result of the 2024 U.S. House elections between 225 (inclusive) and 229 (inclusive) of voting House members are Republican. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2024 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party that they most recently expressed their intent to caucus with at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all House elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
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509162 | Will the Republican candidate win Wisconsin by 4.0% or more? | 0xdc359276ecb11f0f5f3ce0f5dd5e4a43ce3dc829bf7e388b1846e3be38db7cc3 | will-the-republican-candidate-win-wisconsin-by-4pt0-or-more | 2024-11-05T12:00:00 | null | 2024-10-08T16:08:55.649131Z | This market will resolve to "Yes” if the Republican Party candidate wins the popular vote in Wisconsin in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election by 4.0% or more when compared with the second place candidate. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of resolving this market, the 'margin of victory' is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of votes received by the Republican Party candidate and the second-place candidate. Percentages of the votes received by each party will be determined by dividing the total number of votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all votes cast in Wisconsin for the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election.
This market will resolve based off the official vote count once Wisconsin has certified the vote.
If a recount is initiated before certification, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is certified. If a recount occurs after certification, the recount will not be considered. | ["Yes", "No"] | ["0", "1"] | 219299.161165 | true | true | 2024-10-07T22:12:03.565763Z | 2024-11-30T17:43:23.689263Z | false | false | 0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5 | false | 0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d | true | Trump by 4.0%+ | 0 | 0x43eaa33985d0c5a810c9d337de75da898c5094e76192c5d6c6a85b26236a1a00 | true | 0.001 | 5 | 219,299.161165 | null | 2024-11-05T00:00:00 | 2024-10-08T00:00:00 | true | null | ["113736745373841795755609403336545155466182269674712968533596969821611487123131", "27851318721619421622222787378554092928768663295040824253612600539430498539637"] | 500 | 5 | null | 219,299.161165 | null | false | true | [
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511258 | Will Trump say "weave" during Wisconsin rally on Nov 1? | 0xcee16e26356ba3a65012453422bb9e6d4b04a1476ed2fd0de1b9b7d422a3b56a | will-trump-say-weave-during-wisconsin-rally-on-nov-1 | 2024-11-01T12:00:00 | null | 2024-10-29T00:07:11.964Z | Donald Trump has scheduled a rally on November 1 in Milwaukee, Wisconsin (see: https://event.donaldjtrump.com/events/president-donald-j-trump-to-hold-a-rally-in-milwaukee-wisconsin).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "weave" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.
Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.
Compound words will count as long as "weave" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to Donald Trump's manner of speech.
If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or delayed beyond November 1, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be the video of the speech. | ["Yes", "No"] | ["1", "0"] | 84335.380272 | true | true | 2024-10-28T21:31:17.268718Z | 2024-11-03T04:11:09.313191Z | false | false | 0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5 | false | 0x6A9D222616C90FcA5754cd1333cFD9b7fb6a4F74 | true | Weave | 18 | 0xbf9175302d4398289d8b177a835fef4594988eef572629c1014727c04bbbf968 | true | 0.001 | 5 | 84,335.380272 | null | 2024-11-01T00:00:00 | 2024-10-29T00:00:00 | true | null | ["73857929090079532519172075628379411062680002597627412451347382197008607819574", "27222227373852583193169500777507761234496300438774135444590954989941193328890"] | 500 | 5 | null | 84,335.380272 | null | false | false | [
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510846 | Will Arizona be the last state to be called by the AP? | 0x1bf993133e4479b4fc7c3dd9469a80efcadcbd15c23901aaf5f291f308149bc0 | will-arizona-be-the-last-state-to-be-called-by-the-ap | 2024-12-10T12:00:00 | null | 2024-10-24T21:47:57.002881Z | This market will resolve to "Yes" if Arizona is the final state the Associated Press declares a winner for in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No"
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If the AP has not called multiple states by December 10, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from AP. | ["Yes", "No"] | ["1", "0"] | 26959.444177 | true | true | 2024-10-24T20:47:26.917567Z | 2024-11-10T09:52:48.149881Z | false | false | 0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5 | false | 0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d | true | Arizona | 8 | 0xaf3df5f8af7e69960c6aa41b603e3079df9fddc16120f9a82630d3cfbece9808 | true | 0.001 | 5 | 26,959.444177 | null | 2024-12-10T00:00:00 | 2024-10-24T00:00:00 | true | null | ["113125246433922260868415561224368234406744211382752558064005769650818992322511", "15943569533427526970267912598073189442163983726262072432714856623195259213651"] | 500 | 5 | null | 26,959.444177 | null | false | true | [
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501698 | Will Republicans have 53 seats in Senate after election? | 0x96261daed8514e7626debfe92b1c7b33d61f065580a2c991b6d6d3fb366b7372 | will-republicans-have-53-seats-in-senate-after-election | 2024-11-05T12:00:00 | null | 2024-05-20T17:01:30.335919Z | The 2024 United States Senate elections will be held on November 5, 2024, with 33 of the 100 seats in the Senate being contested.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if as a result of the 2024 U.S. Senate elections 53 voting Senate members are Republican. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2024 Senate elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican Parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party that they most recently expressed their intent to caucus with at the time all of the Senate elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all Senate elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
| ["Yes", "No"] | ["1", "0"] | 1285723.48474 | true | true | 2024-05-20T17:01:30.335919Z | 2024-11-23T01:38:52.983151Z | false | false | 0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5 | false | 0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d | true | 53 | 4 | 0x8775b71a8d376fc5d827622bbbfc5fef71bf425a2e9eebf07c0f4b8827b8bd04 | true | 0.001 | 5 | 1,285,723.48474 | null | 2024-11-05T00:00:00 | 2024-05-20T00:00:00 | true | null | ["65989994792976352255433300258455728943645568280305115181889874840494929551303", "100192882529756171982933278798569779901312634261074078615229013332353469576995"] | 500 | 5 | null | 1,285,723.48474 | null | false | true | [
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255206 | Will a Republican win Wisconsin Presidential Election? | 0xa59e2e79dc1a564477c8d77dc32c30b37c0f4c8782c8cc062a7f788295cd91bb | will-a-republican-win-wisconsin-presidential-election | 2024-11-05T12:00:00 | null | 2024-03-08T00:06:00Z | This market will resolve to "Yes" if a Republican candidate wins the popular vote in Wisconsin in the 2024 US presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee, or has a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable party preference, of the party in question.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification. | ["Yes", "No"] | ["1", "0"] | 4183199.18926 | true | true | 2024-03-01T20:13:29.266Z | 2024-11-08T00:08:58.944633Z | false | false | 0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5 | false | 0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d | true | Donald Trump | 1 | 0x773a2323665c6c8b6d2d9cd022cef4672d78675d34bb7f4ca0681fa0a642bb01 | true | 0.001 | 5 | 4,183,199.18926 | null | 2024-11-05T00:00:00 | 2024-03-08T00:00:00 | true | null | ["8506489790932625039746959405160059426243994232527626857062384302531008283468", "37895399735091212468277241955774995998030599087730955643490691793429355663153"] | 24750.0 | 25.0 | null | 4,183,199.18926 | null | false | true | [
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255130 | Will a Democrat win Maine Presidential Election? | 0x372f717882a5bf292d2f9de80ab3c43c7dc4817e88d7134ae36484238486c622 | will-a-democrat-win-maine-in-the-2024-us-presidential-election | 2024-11-05T12:00:00 | null | 2024-03-28T21:56:41.648Z | This market will resolve to "Yes" if a Democratic candidate wins the popular vote in Maine in the 2024 US presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee, or has a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable party preference, of the party in question.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Note: This market pertains to the statewide popular vote in Maine for the 2024 US presidential election and does not concern the allocation of district-level electors. | ["Yes", "No"] | ["1", "0"] | 945209.908494 | true | true | 2024-03-01T18:40:43.355Z | 2024-11-08T02:13:03.724886Z | true | false | 0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5 | false | 0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d | true | Kamala Harris | 0 | 0x2496f15029391fef066b0787cb033b5b2a4295616cdfe373c85cc8b73b081500 | true | 0.001 | 5 | 945,209.908494 | null | 2024-11-05T00:00:00 | 2024-03-28T00:00:00 | true | null | ["63274742746038569072318845948029196973566077735853942521705267174312134280433", "108260717097084241002749434845576431198573267502043668276157663782351327612238"] | 1250.0 | 10.0 | null | 945,209.908494 | null | false | true | [
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510541 | Will Kamala get more votes than Biden? | 0xa0b7a02ecfc982ec17ed1d6f61b2365981e0f64e7e931fa8e78e5f678ba4fcac | will-kamala-get-more-votes-than-biden | 2024-12-17T12:00:00 | null | 2024-10-23T16:23:19.897486Z | According to uselectionatlas.org Joe Biden received 81,286,454 votes in the 2020 Presidential election (see: https://uselectionatlas.org/RESULTS/).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kamala receives 81,286,455 or more votes in the 2024 U.S. Presidential election. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the total number of votes in the 2024 Presidential election according to uselectionatlas.org once their dataset includes the certified vote totals for all U.S. States and the District of Columbia. If a recount is initiated before certification, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is certified. If a recount occurs after uselectionatlas.org has published vote totals based on the final certifications, the recount will not be considered.
If there are no outstanding recounts, and electionatlas.org has not published total vote numbers based on the state certified results by December 17, 2024, 12:00 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the total vote numbers from the United States Elections Project (electproject.org). If the United States Elections Project has not published certified vote totals, another credible resolution source will be chosen. | ["Yes", "No"] | ["0", "1"] | 101811.54052 | true | true | 2024-10-22T15:43:32.829611Z | 2024-12-18T13:21:17.95133Z | false | false | 0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5 | false | 0x6A9D222616C90FcA5754cd1333cFD9b7fb6a4F74 | true | 0 | 0xe1307260630b0ca7c607cbff077bcd116173a5ffcd0913faf8b2d1b76ea366a7 | true | 0.001 | 5 | 101,811.54052 | null | 2024-12-17T00:00:00 | 2024-10-23T00:00:00 | true | null | ["94206816495803558870861330785964631021933967752995931172260787050633657651204", "12461089352361873729108623919228472943902202035771854645665899654765611218986"] | 500 | 5 | null | 101,811.54052 | null | false | false | [
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511260 | Will Trump say "Teamster" during Wisconsin rally on Nov 1? | 0x06b50556351831010bc73d365b414d5dba8ca23abad18424a8a7307dff658936 | will-trump-say-teamster-during-wisconsin-rally-on-nov-1 | 2024-11-01T12:00:00 | null | 2024-10-28T23:55:18.19164Z | Donald Trump has scheduled a rally on November 1 in Milwaukee, Wisconsin (see: https://event.donaldjtrump.com/events/president-donald-j-trump-to-hold-a-rally-in-milwaukee-wisconsin).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "Teamster" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.
Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.
Compound words will count as long as "Teamster" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to either a truck driver or the International Brotherhood of Teamsters labor union and/or its members.
If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or delayed beyond November 1, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be the video of the speech. | ["Yes", "No"] | ["0", "1"] | 29603.815551 | true | true | 2024-10-28T21:33:43.654728Z | 2024-11-03T05:03:04.977564Z | false | false | 0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5 | false | 0x6A9D222616C90FcA5754cd1333cFD9b7fb6a4F74 | true | Teamster | 1 | 0xa182359480efef467857f9e9a37a9f156601e353cdf042b2f85b92dd8de23068 | true | 0.001 | 5 | 29,603.815551 | null | 2024-11-01T00:00:00 | 2024-10-28T00:00:00 | true | null | ["83378210176628646054364927563101112877756709703431619725294507318668356155735", "23253773886057335946192905623959566898833753553579729655593985764902928115892"] | 500 | 5 | null | 29,603.815551 | null | false | false | [
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504763 | Will South Dakota's abortion protection measure pass? | 0x4736c0f30bacb26bb49ac51c7ef277423658c153c44d56808d2a36d5a87b56a7 | will-south-dakotas-abortion-protection-measure-pass | 2024-11-05T12:00:00 | null | 2024-08-10T21:30:51.45Z | The South Dakota Constitutional Amendment G, Right to Abortion Initiative (2024), is set to be voted on during the November 5, 2024 US general elections. More information on this initiative can be found here: https://ballotpedia.org/South_Dakota_Constitutional_Amendment_G,_Right_to_Abortion_Initiative_(2024)
This market will resolve "Yes" if the South Dakota Right to Abortion Initiative passes as a result of the vote scheduled for November 5, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible media sources regarding this vote, however in case of ambiguity this market may remain open until official state results are released. | ["Yes", "No"] | ["0", "1"] | 190067.178621 | true | true | 2024-08-08T19:19:07.15897Z | 2024-11-07T08:34:22.467901Z | false | false | 0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5 | false | 0x6A9D222616C90FcA5754cd1333cFD9b7fb6a4F74 | true | South Dakota | 1 | 0xd9511b2ba16189990e7cc83384d58be83385daf65ce7c1f7087e63e5ebda55a2 | true | 0.001 | 5 | 190,067.178621 | null | 2024-11-05T00:00:00 | 2024-08-10T00:00:00 | true | null | ["53655954452991290445412592093475095022555508227612616721900138124828742108064", "38222408145715823357300673117055630780503189163860625879812856460361584558435"] | 500 | 5 | null | 190,067.178621 | null | false | false | [
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