Source: https://blogs.rotowire.com/soccer/article.php?id=41573
Timestamp: 2019-04-22 08:01:12+00:00

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Sergio Aguero, MCI v. BHA ($12,500): There's no one else I want to touch in this spot even though Gabriel Jesus ($10,500) oddly has better goal-scoring odds. Aguero hasn't exploded for a huge match since the second gameweek, yet he's reaching 20 fantasy points close to every match simply because he's always around the net and City are scoring multiple goals. That's the case in this one, and it'd be a surprise if Aguero isn't on the score sheet. Harry Kane ($12,000) is a reasonable option if you want to fade Aguero, though I don't think he's nearly as easy to trust even in a favorable matchup. If you want to spend at forward, Aguero is the way to go.
Alexandre Lacazette, ARS v. WAT ($9,500): Lacazette's price still hasn't shot up, so this is almost a no-brainer for a second forward or, if you want to go cheap, your first forward. When in the starting XI, Lacazette is producing more than Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang ($11,000) even if the prices don't show it. Watford have had a long week and this matchup won't help. I also don't want to touch anyone else near this price, with Jamie Vardy ($10,500) on the road, Olivier Giroud ($9,500) against Liverpool and Raul Jimenez ($9,000) on a team that's having issues scoring.
Dominic Calvert-Lewin, EVE v. FUL ($8,500): Since my other two plays are best used in cash games, Calvert-Lewin is the GPP option. It's not that he's doing a ton for Everton up front, but he showed life in his first start when he scored and had three shots against Huddersfield. If he doesn't perform, he'll probably get taken off early for Cenk Tosun and that's the risky part. On the positive side, he has the same scoring odds as Aleksandar Mitrovic ($9,000), another forward who will be decently owned. The Toffees are struggling, but it's hard to ignore Fulham's early defensive issues, allowing a league-high 43 shots on goal and 103 shots in total.
Bernardo Silva, MCI v. BHA ($9,000): If you spend at forward, you'll probably have to save money in the midfield and Silva is the answer. Neither Mohamed Salah ($10,500) nor Eden Hazard ($11,500) have had high floors this season, so I'm avoiding both in a difficult matchup to predict. Raheem Sterling ($11,000) is the safer play, but that would either require you to go mid-range at both forwards or punt on one. Silva, as seen last match, provides the same upside as any of those guys and has three shots on goal and 13 chances created in his last three starts (UCL included). Gylfi Sigurdsson ($9,000) and Sadio Mane ($9,500) may have better floors at similar prices, but neither are as likely as Silva to make the score sheet.
Richarlison, EVE v. FUL ($8,000): It's hard to tell if Richarlison will be widely owned or not, but he shouldn't be $1,000 less than Sigurdsson. His price likely dipped after suspension, and he had a decent performance in his first game back with four shots (two on target) and four crosses. Everton aren't playing well, but Fulham haven't stopped anyone from scoring and even gave up three goals away to Brighton. I'm also not sure any of the other options near this price, like Jorginho and Joao Moutinho, have the same upside as Richarlison.
Jean Michael Seri, FUL at EVE ($7,500): If you have to punt with your third midfielder, Jonjo Shelvey ($6,000) and Fabian Delph ($6,000) are waiting to be picked. Instead, I'm going against an Everton side I've backed multiple times. Seri has at least shown a solid floor, so even if he doesn't make the score sheet, 15 fantasy points is a good bet. His floor is likely the 12.1 points he had at Man City a couple weeks ago, and while Seri isn't a big goal scorer, he's creating a lot of chances and picking up a couple tackles and other defensive stats each match. As Fulham's main set-piece taker, he'll be over the ball a lot against a shaky Everton back line.
Rob Holding, ARS v. WAT ($4,500): Holding isn't guaranteed to start, but if he does, this is a great spot after he racked up six clearances in 51 minutes off the bench against Everton. Matching Watford's early success, they've also forced the fifth-most clearances this season (160), just 11 behind league-leaders Man City. Arsenal may be winning games, but their back line is getting enough work to be fantasy relevant. With the chance of a clean sheet and five or so clearances, Holding makes sense if in the starting XI. If you have money and like banking on guys who are going to have a lot of clearances, Shane Duffy ($7,000) fits that role and could reach 30 points from defensive stats alone.
Jonny, WOL v. SOU ($5,000): I like almost all of the Wolves defenders in this matchup because they're fairly cheap other than Willy Boly ($6,500). Jonny is the cheapest and has shown a surprising upside in favorable spots, hitting 24 fantasy points in matches against Burnley and West Ham. Either way, Jonny could create a chance or two in addition to his usual defensive stats and hit at least 12 fantasy point, and if it's a good day, he'll create multiple chances and surpass 20 fantasy points again.
Jonjoe Kenny, EVE v. FUL ($4,500): It's not that I'm an Everton fan, it's just an extremely favorable spot and most of their players are underpriced. Kenny doesn't cost anything, and he's had 15 fantasy points in each of his first two starts. While he probably won't have an assist or six clearances again, he should get up the field plenty in this match, similar to the West Ham one when he had four crosses. DeAndre Yedlin ($4,500) is in the same mold, yet his floor has been around five points when things don't work out for Newcastle. Lucas Digne ($6,000) is the better and more expensive version of Kenny, while Michael Keane ($5,000) has a better floor as a centerback.
Rui Patricio, WOL v. SOU ($5,000):Ederson ($6,000) is the easy option, so there's no reason to write about him. Patricio is the sneaky option since he doesn't cost much and Wolves have the third-best odds to get a clean sheet. And even without a clean sheet, he's held fantasy value in almost every start because of saves, leading to at least 12 fantasy points in his last four starts. There have only been six total goals in Wolverhampton's last four matches, which means Southampton could struggle to score.

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