Source: http://won.mayn.de/mm-physik/aktkli2204.html
Timestamp: 2019-04-19 21:21:56+00:00

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that the success of the Second UN Conference on Environment and Development (UNCED) in 1992 in Rio-de-Janeiro, as well as that of the UN General Assembly Special Session (UN GASS) which followed 5 years later in New York (1997), “Rio+5”, has been due to the circumstance that these two events attracted the attention of governments and general public to the problems of global change and sustainable development.
Unfortunately, both worldwide forums have not been adequately prepared. And perhaps the most important negative result was the inability to work out the “Earth Charter” which was intended as a formulation and substantiation of priorities. Instead, a most amorphous and declarative document – the “Rio Declaration” – was approved. The principal purpose of the World Summit on Sustainable Development (WSSD) in Johannesburg (August 26 – September 6, 2002) was to make further steps in understanding the key issues of sustainable development.
Unfortunately, this aim has not been achieved either.
3) the closed nature of global biogeochemical cycles (the concept of biotic regulation of the environment).
A result of this lack of understanding was the placing in the foreground of the problem of “global warming”, and hence – the adoption of a lame, confusing and unjust for the developing world UN Framework Convention on Climate Change (UN FCCC). It is focused, regardless of the scientific substantiations, on the anthropogenic origin of the observed global climate warming and recommends industrially developed countries to reduce greenhouse gases (GHGs) emissions to the atmosphere (first of all, this concerns carbon dioxide emissions).
In December 1997, in Kyoto (Japan) there was held the third Conference of the states (over 160), which signed the FCCC. It was focused on lengthy and heated discussions about the possibility of adopting the requirement for developed countries of an approximately 5% carbon dioxide emission reduction by 2008-2012 (relative to the 1990 level), despite the absurdity of the situation in general and in the absence of any noticeable progress with the CO2 emission reduction (global carbon dioxide emissions continue and will continue growing not only in the developing world, but also in industrially developed countries, including the United States). The position of the developing states is naturally based on their striving for the increase of the standard of living as the first priority; thus they are not prepared for any curtailment of their industry for the sake of carbon dioxide emission reduction. However, it is the latter requirement that was the condition for signing the FCCC proposed by the USA and other countries of the “golden billion”.
2) since the use of fossil fuels prevails in the energy production, following KP recommendations on reduction of GHGs emissions will result in very serious economic consequences without positive environmental improvement.
revealed an inadequacy of the “greenhouse” hypothesis of global warming and appealed to a necessity of studying the “atmosphere-ocean-ice cover-biosphere” climatic system, taking account of the entire complexity of feedbacks between its interactive components.
The problem of a global observing system was subjected to a serious analysis /9,11,12/.
The problem of atmospheric ozone variability also deserves special attention /15/.
4) recommendations concerning levels of reduction of GHGs emissions are senseless from the viewpoint of their impact on climate change (if realized, however, they may have long-term negative socio-economic consequences).
An open discussion concerning priorities of global change problems is required. Now, it should be done in the context of the WSSD deliberations. The dominance of such a false priority as “greenhouse warming” not only compromises science but may also hamper the socio-economic progress of the developing and industrially developed countries /2/.
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4. Essex C.,McKitrick R. Taken by Storm. The Troubled Science, Policy, and Politics of Global Warming. Key Porter Books, Toronto. – 2002, 320 pp.
6. Gorshkov V. G., Gorshkov V. V., Makarieva A. M. Biotic Regulation of the Environment. Key Issues of global Change. Springer/PRAXIS, Chichester, U. K. – 1998, 761 pp.
7. Gray V. The Greenhouse Delusion. A Critique of “Climate Change 2001”. Multi-Science Publ. Co., Ltd., U. K. – 2002, 95 pp.
8. Kondratyev K. Ya., Grigoryev Al. A., Varotsos C. A. Environmental Disasters: Anthropogenic and Natural. Springer/PRAXIS, Chichester, U. K. – 2002, 484 pp.
10. Kondratyev K. Ya., Donchenko V. K., Losev K. S., Frolov A. K. Ecology-Economics-Policy. St. Petersburg Branch of Russian Acad. Sci. Publ. – 1996, 828 pp. (in Russian).
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13. Kondratyev K. Ya. Ecodynamics and Geopolicy. Vol. 1. Global Problems. St. Petersburg Branch of Russian Acad. Sci. Publ. – 1999, 1036 pp. (in Russian).
14. Kondratyev K. Ya. Climatic Effects of Aerosols and Clouds. Springer/PRAXIS, Chichester, U.K. – 1999, 264 pp.
15. Kondratyev K.Ya., Varotsos C. A. Atmospheric Ozone Variability: Implications for Climate Change, Human Health, and Ecosystems. Springer/PRAXIS, Chichester, U. K. – 2000, 758 pp.
17. Kondratyev K. Ya., Adamenko V. N., Boehmer-Christiansen, Demirchian K. S., Kukla G. Global Climate Change: Conceptual Aspects. St. Petersburg Scientific Centre. – 2001, 125 pp. (in Russian).
18. Kondratyev K. Ya., Krapivin V. F., Phillips G. W. Global Environmental Change: Ecoinformatics. Springer/PRAXIS, Chichester, U. K. – 2002, 761 pp.
20. Kondratyev K.Ya., Krapivin V.F., Varotsos C.A. Global Carbon Cycle and Climate Change. Springer/PRAXIS, Chichester, U.K. – 2003, 372 pp.
21. Kondratyev K.Ya., Krapivin V.F., Savinykh V.P. Perspectives of Civilisation Development. Logos, Moscow. – 2003, 431 pp.
23. Singer S. F. Hot Talk, Cold Science. Global Warmings’ Unfinished Debate. The Independent Institute, Oakland, CA. – 1997, 110 pp.
24. Soon W., Baliunas S., Kondratyev K. Ya., Idso S. B., Postmentier E. C. Calculating the Climatic Effects of Anthropogenic CO2 Emissions: Unknowns and Uncertainties. Climate Research. – 2001, vol. 18, No.3, p. 259-275.

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