CELEX: 51981PC0759
Language: en
Date: 1981-12-04
Title: Proposal for an Estimate concerning young male bovine animals weighing 300 kgs or less and intended for fattening for the period 1 January to 31 December 1982#Proposal for an Estimate of supply and demand for beef and veal in the processing industry for the period 1 January to 31 December 1982 (submitted to the Council by the Commission)

ARCHIVES HISTORIQUES
DE LA COMMISSION
COLLECTION RELIEE DES
DOCUMENTS "COM"
COM (81) 759
Vol. 1981/0216
 ---pagebreak--- Disclaimer
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 ---pagebreak--- 4
     COMMISSION OF THE EUROPEAN COMMUNITIES
                                                     COM(81)759 final
                                                     Brussels , 4 December 1981
                                   Proposal for an ;
                                      Estimate     /
          concerning young male bovine animals weighing 300 kgs or less and
          intended for fattening for the period 1 January to 31 December 1982
                                   Proposal for an
                                      Estimate
          of supply and demand for beef and veal in the processing industry
                     for the period 1 January to 31 December 1982
                     ( submitted to the Council by the Commission )
  C0MC81 ) 759 final
 ---pagebreak---                                                       Cjcwn T ^3
                                   PROPOSAL
Estimate concerning young male bovine animals weighing 300 kilograms or less
and intended for fattening for the period 1 January to 31 December 1982
THE COUNCIL OF THE EUROPEAN COMMUNITIES ,
Having regard to the Treaty establishing the European Economic Community ,
Having regard to Council Regulation ( EEC ) No 805/68 of 27 June 1968 on the
common organization of the market in beef and veal ( 1 ) , as last amended by
the 1979 Act of Accession , and in particular Article 13 thereof ,
Having regard to the proposal from the Commission ,
HAS ADOPTED THIS ESTIMATE :
                             PRELIMINARY REMARK
Article 13 ( 2 ) of Regulation ( EEC ) No 805/68 provides that the Council shall ,
each year before 1 December , draw up on a proposal from the Commission and by
qualified majority vote , an estimate of the young male bovine animals which
may be imported under the system laid down under the said Article . This
estimate is to take account both of the forecast supplies of young bovine
animals intended for fattening; within the Community and of Community breeders'
requirements .
In order to establish the volume of imports to be carried out under this
estimate as from 1981 , in accordance with the Community 's undertaking within
GATT , consultations are held between the Commission and representatives of some
non-member countries before the annual draft estimate is put forward .
( 1 ) OJ No L 148 , 28.06.1968 , p. 24
( 2 ) OJ No L 329 , 24.12.1979 , p. 15
 ---pagebreak---                                     - 2 -
                             INTRODUCTION
Before drawing up this estimate , the Commission held consultations with
representatives of the following non-member countries ? Hungary , Poland ,
Yugoslavia .
                                  ♦
These consultations included an exchange of views on the beef and veal market
as a whole , the production and consumption prospects within the Community and
on the scope for exports of young male bovine animals by non-member countries .
This estimate relates to the period 1 January to 31 December 1982 . It has
been prepared in the light of information available to the Commission and
on the basis of the foreseeable trend for 1982 of supplies of and requirements
for young male bovine animals intended for fattening in the Community .
1 . Assessment of Community supplies for 1982
    In view of the number of breeding females ( cows and heifers ) anticipated
    for 1982 ( about 35 897 000 ), same 31 570 000 births of calves are expected
    during that year . Production over the year of male calves would therefore
    be about 15 785 000 head , of which losses of about 1 190 000 (- 7.5% )
    should be provided for . The net number of young bovine animals of Community
    origin should therefore be about 14 595 000 in 1982 .
 ---pagebreak--- Estimated Community requirements for 1982
2.1 .   The number of slaughterings of male calves envisaged for 1982 , on
        the basis of data collected from Member States , should be about
        4 330 000 head .
2.2 .   The number of male animals intended for slaughter as fattened young
        bulls of bulls or for breeding should be about 6 968 000 head .
2.3 .   The number of male animals intended for slaughter as bullocks
        should be about 3 517 000 head .
2.4 .   In the light of information provided by Member States and of the
        above , it is expected • that in 1982 , the requirements of Community
        breeders in young male bovine animals for fattening will be
        10 485 000 head .
2.5 .   From considerations set out in 2.1 . and 2.4 , it follows that the
        Community 's overall requirements in male calves will be 14 815 000
        head in 1982 .
        These requirements will only be partly satisfied by Community
        supplies of these animals which , as shown in 1 , amount to about
        14 595 000 head .
        The foreseeable Community shortfall for 1982 in male calves for
        fattening will therefore be around 220 000 head .
                             CONCLUSION
On the basis of these considerations set out above , the estimate for
young male bovine animals intended for fattening which may be imported
in 1982 under the arrangements provided for in Article 13 of Regulation
( EEC ) No 805/68 is fixed at 220 000 head .
Done at                                         For the Council
 ---pagebreak---                                  KŒMORAHDUM
In accordance with the undertakings made within the Multi-lateral Tariff
Negotiations , the Commission held bilateral consultations with Yugoslavia , Hungary
and Poland on the estimate concerning youg male "bovine animals intended for
fattening for 1982 ;  the results are as follows :
1*    The Yugoslavian representatives informed the Commission that they wished to
      export a quantity of 80 000 head in 1982 on the usual terms , namely a 70%
      reduction in the levy.
2,   The Hungarian representatives stated that their country would he able to
     supply up to 10 000 head of unfattened animals for export to the Community
     in 1982 .
3.   The Polish representatives announced that about 150 000 head of unfattened
     animals would "be available for export in 1982 , 40% of which could be exported
     during the first six months and Sofo during the second half of the year. The
     Polish representatives requested that this quantity be allowed to constitute
     a quota reserved for Poland within the context of the quarterly balance sheets .
     Finally , they expressed the wish that the whole of this quantity could be
     exported and that the estimate could enter into force from the beginning of
     the year.
 ---pagebreak---                                                                                             VI / 5645 / 81 -EN
                         FINANCIAL              STATEMENT
                                                                                     DATE I 6 . 1 1 . 1 981
     1 . BUDGET LINS COIICHUJED «          1 00                                             1 899.1 Mio ECU
    2. ACTION i            Proposed estimate for young male cattle for fattening for the period
                           1.1 to 31.12.1982
    3 . LEGAL BASIS I
                             Article 13 of Council Regulation 805 / 68
    4 . OBJECTIVES i         Drawing up an estimate cf availability and requirements in the
                             Community in 1982 for young male cattle for fattening
   5. FINANCIAL CONSEQUENCE                       FOR THE MARKETING YEAR  CURRENT FINANCIAL YEAR      FOLLOWING FINANCIAL YEAR
   5.0 EXPENDITURE                                                        -     L    L__
           -CHARGED TO THE EC BUDGET
             ( RU'UIJ16/1 NTERVENTI ON'S )
           -CHARGED TO NATIONAL ADKINISTR .
           –CJ [ARCED TO OTHER NATIONAL GROUPS
   5.1 RECEIPTS
        ■ -0/TO RES0UHC1S OF T!!E EC                                 (1 )
             ( LEVI ES/XKJMWSXÍOÍX&ÍJ X X          - 21.5 Mio ECU                                         - 21.5 Mio ECU
           -NATIONAL
                                                 YEAR        °            YEAR                        YEAR
   5.0.1 PLURI ANNUAL PATTERN OF EXPENDITURE
   5.1.1 PLURI ANNUAL PATTERN OF RECEIPTS                      Measure restricted to 1982
  5.2 METHOD OF CALCULATION
            Maximum imports of 220.000 head , including :
            - 60.000 from Yugoslavia ( average weight 250 kg )                                             15 000 t
            - 160.000 from other countries ( average weight 200 kg )                                      32 000 t
            Reduction of levy :
            - Yugoslavia 70% of 615.78 ECU / t = 431.05 x 15 000 t                                          6.5 Mio ECU
            - Other countries 60% of 779.99 ECU / t = 467.99 x 32 000 t                                    15.0 Mio ECU
                                                                                                           21 .5 Mio ECU
S 6.0 FINANCING POSSIBLE KITH CREDITS INSCRIBED IN RELEVANT CHAPTER OF CURRSNT BUDGST ?                           YES/MX
            ( 1982 )
  6· 1 χ kW fôfô                                            m XMKXK wxxm χ χ                                      YES/NO
  6·2                                                 ,                                                           YES/NO
  6 · * )ϊΜ MM χχκχκχ                                   Mχ                                                        YES/NO
  COÆ-BiTS «
          ( 1 ) As this amounts to extension of an existing measure , the draft                             estimate wi I I
                  not create a new category of loss of levies .
                                                                                                                ■  ·
 ---pagebreak---                                       Proposed
       Estimate of supply and demand for "beef and veal in the processing
        industry for the period 1 January to 31 December 1982
THE COUNCIL OF THE EUROPEAN COMMUNITIES ,
Having regard to the Treaty establishing the European Economic Community ,
Having regard to Council Regulation ( EEC ) NO 805/68 of 27 June I968 on the
common organization of the market in beef and veal ( l ), as last amended by
Regulation ( EEC ) No 2966/80 ( 2 ), and in particular Article 14(2 ) thereof,
Having regard to the proposal from the Commission ,
HAS ADOPTED THIS ESTIMATE:
                                     Foreword
Article 14(2 ) of Regulation ( EEC ) No 805/68 provides that each year before
1 December , the Council , acting by a qualified majority on a proposal from the
Commission , shall draw up an estimate of meat which may be imported under the
arrangements laid down in that Article ,       This estimate shall take account , on
the one hand , of the expected Community supplies of meat of a quality and type of
cut suitable for industrial use and , on the other , of industrial need .
This estimate shall mention separately the qualities of meat
( a)   intended for the manufacture of preserved food which does not contain
       characteristic components other than beef and jelly ;
(b)    intended for the processing industry for the manufacture of products other
       than preserved food referred to in ( a).
( 1 ) OJ No L 148 , 28 . 6.1968 , p. 24 .
( 2 ) OJ No L 307 , 18.11.1980 , p. 5 .
                                   (
 ---pagebreak---                                     INTRODUCTION
The annual presentation of the draft Balance Sheets is preceded lay consultations
"between the Commission and certain third countries . The objectives of these
meetings are to have an exchange of views on the whole situation of the "beef market
in the EEC and in third countries s,s well as the forecasts of production and
consumption , in order to proceed with an analysis "by "both sides of the elements
which would help to establish the estimates of Community needs for frozen beef
for processing and to exchange information concerning fexport possibilities .
Consultations were undertaken by the Commission with representatives of the
Argentine , Australian , Hungarian , New Zealand , Polish , Rumanian and Uruguayan
governments .
 ---pagebreak---                                 Chanter I
                         Supplies of meat for processing
According to information supplied, to the Commission "by the Member States in
September 1981 , Community supplies of home-produced fresh meat for processing
for 1982 can "be estimated at 1 000 000 tonnes of meat on the "bone .
It is also estimated that at the end of 1981 the Community will hold a public
stock of meat as a result of standing intervention purchases .   The quantity of
this meat satisfying the requirements of meat for processing can be estimated
at 68 000 tonnes of meat on the bone .
With effect from January 1982 the Community is to open a tariff quota for
50 000 tonnes of boned frozen meat , which corresponds to 65 000 tonnes of meat
on the bone .
Experience shows that under this quota 11 000 tonnes of frozen meat on the bone
will be imported in 1982 for processing.
In 1982 the quantity of meat to be imported into the Community and originating
from Botswana , Kenya , Madagascar or Swaziland which satisfies the requirements
for processing is estimated at 9 000 tonnes of meat on the bone .
For 1982 the total available supplies suitable for processing will thus be as
follows ;
     Fresh meat :                                                            tonne
                                                                  1 000 000 tonnes
     Frozen meat taken over at intervention :                         68 000 tonnes
                                                                             tonne
     Frozen meat imported under GATT quota:                           11
                                                                      11 000
                                                                         000 tonnes
                                                                             tonne
     Frozen meat imported tinder A.C.P. agreement :                          tonne
                                                                       9 000 tonnes
                                                                  1 088 000 tonnes
 ---pagebreak---                                        CHAPTER II
                         Industrial domanfl for moat for prooaaninre
According to information supplied to the Commission "by the Member States in September
1981 , Community demand for meat for processing in 1982 can "be estimated at 1 148 000
tonnes of meat on the bone .     This figure includes quantities required for the
preparation of preserved foods as specified in Article 14(l)(a) of Regulation ( EEC )
No 805/68 . This latter quantity is estimated at 126 000 tonnes .
                                       CONCLUSION
1.     The arrangements for beef resulting from the 1973-79 Multilateral Trade
       Negotiations between the Community and the main suppliers of this meat ( ° ) provide
       that , in the establishment of the level of imports in the balance sheets of
       beef for processing put forward for the years following I98O , the balance sheet
       is to be drawn up and administered by the Commission in conformity with the
       Commitment assumed by the Community in the GATT exchange of letters in such a .
       way as to ensure the regular supply of the Community market and permit an
       increase in imports in proportion to the increase in Community consumption
       talcing into account the foreseeable expansion of the market , and with the
       expectation that the annual level of imports of frozen beef for the
       processing industry under the balance sheet will increase , year by year , in
       proportion to the increase in Community consumption , over the current level
       of imports at the time of the 1979 exchange of letters .
2.     This estimate covers the period 1 January to 31 December 1982 .   It has been
       prepared in the light of information available to the Commission and on the
       basis of current forecasts .   It is derived from estimates of demand in the
       industry and of Community supplies of mes,t of qualities and types of cut
       suitable for industrial use , hereinafter referred to as 'meat for processing' .
       Demand in the industry for meat for processing has been assessed by the reference
       to the quantities of fresh and frozen meat used each year.
( # ) OJ No L 71 . 17.3.1980 , pp 152 et seq
 ---pagebreak--- Community supplies of meat for processing have "been estimated "by reference to
the quantities of fresh and frozen meat normally used for this purpose .
The Commission does not consider that there will "be a growth in the estimated
consumption in 1982 .
The Commission therefore proposes that the quantity for import under the
balance sheet in 1982 should "be set at 60 000 tonnes .
It is proposed to apportion this tonnage , as required "by Article 14(l ) of
Regulation ( EEC ) No 805/68 , so- that :
( a) 30 000 tonnes of meat intended for the manufacture of preserved food which
      does not contain characteristic components other than beef and jelly shall
      qualify for the total suspension of the levy , and
(*b ) 30 000 tonnes of meat intended for the processing industry for the manu­
      facture of products other than the preserved food referred to in ( a)
      shall qualify for 'the total or partial suspension of the levy.
 ---pagebreak---                                      MEMORANDUM
Set out "below are the main points of view expressed at the Bilateral consultative
meetings held "between representatives of the Argentine , Australian , Hungarian ,
New Zealand , Polish and Uruguayan governments and the Commission. A number of
these delegations considered that the information available was not sufficiently
detailed for analysis .
ARGENTINE     – The 1 000 000 tonnes of fresh "beef available for processing was
                 excessive and did not take account of :
                 (a) foreseen expansion in the market with increased consumption;
                ("b) reduction in production;
                ( c) the enlargement of the Community with the accession of Greece .
             – The availability of 68 000 tonnes of beef from intervention stocks
                for processing was considered too high.
             - The provision of 11 000 tonnes from the GATT quota and 9 000 tonnes
                from the ACP arrangements was excessive.
                                   I
             - It was considered that the total availability of beef suitable for
                processing would not exceed 1 058 000 tonnes .
              – Attention was drawn to the fact that the requirements of the
                processing industry did not reflect the general increase in con­
                sumption for the beef sector as a whole.
            – In the opinion of the Argentine the balance sheet for 1982 should be
               80 000 tonnes .
             – The Commission should ensure that the reduction in levy under the
               "system (b)" is fixed at a level to ensure all the total quantity
                is imported.
                                                                T
 ---pagebreak---                         - 2 ~
– In view of "the forecast insreas© m beef consumption coupled with
   the reduotion in production in the Community , the demand for beef
   for processing should "be increased above 1 145 000 tonnes and the
   availability of fresh beef should be less than 1 000 000 tonnes «
– With the 1981 year end stocks of beef held in intervention likely
  to be less than the previous year , the tonnage of beef available
  for processing in I982 should be substantially less than '70 000
  tonnes ,
– The beef imported under the GATT quota and ACP arrangements is not
  used for processing8
– To take account of the accession of Greece to the Community the
  requirements of beef for processing should be increased.
– In. the opinion of Australia the balance sheet for 1982 should be
  fixed at 80 – 100 000 tonnes .
– The Commission should administer the balance sheet in such a manner
  that will permit entry for the full quantity of imports established .
– The export of frozen manufacturing beef did not form part of their
  export programme in 1982#
– The exchange of letters between New Zealand and the Community
  provides for the quantity of frozen beef imported to increase in
  proportion to the growth in Community beef consumption . New Zealand
  would expect to see the requirements for imports of frozen beef
  for processing to increase in future years in accordance with the
  trends forecast .
– It was difficult to reconcile an increased consumption combined with
  a fall in production resulting in the same amount of fresh beef
  being available for processing ( i.e. 1 000 000 tonnes ) as in the
  previous year.
 ---pagebreak--- The proportion of beef imported under the GATT quota and ACP
arrangements going to th « aanuffeoturing indue try was oon*id«r«d
unduly high .
                                              %
It was contended that in the past the quantity of "beef suitable for
processing which was purchased from intervention stocks had been
substantially lower thar. estimated.       On this basis the estimate
( 68 000 tonnes ) for . i: o _ should be significantly reduced.
The requirements of frozen beef for the processing industry should
be higher in 1982 than in I98I .
The Community should take account of the accession of Greece .
The balance sheet for 1982 should be fixed at the highest level
possible .
The export of frozeh manufacturing beef does not form part of their
export programme in 1982 .
Taking account of the increased consumption and reduced production
in the Community , the availability of fresh beef for processing
( i.e. 1 000 000 tonnes ) should be reduced .
The tonnages of beef going to processing which is imported under the
GATT quota and ACP arrangements are excessive .
It is considered that the total available beef suitable for
processing should be reduced below 1 088 000 tonnes .
For 1982 the current balance sheet of 60 000 tonnes should be increased :
 ( a ) by the increase in Community consumption in accordance with
       the arragement between the EEC and Uruguay        , and
 (b ) the amount by which the total availability of beef suitable for
       processing has been reduced , referred to above .
 ---pagebreak---                                                                                                                   VI / 5253 / 81 -EN
                                  FINANCIAL                           STATEMENT
                                                                                                            BATE i     1 1 . 1 1 . 1 981
     1 . BUDGET UNS CONCERNE!) s                             1 QQ                                     r 899 ,1 Mio ECU ( 1982 )
Wi4IWi»IMII)l>illllHII»l'll mWüliUI, WMil IIWUH i ■UlJWiUriMlljilMHlW
     2 . ACTION «
              Draft estimate of supply aria demand for beef and veal in the processing
              industry for the period 1.1 to 31.12.1982 .
    3 . LEGAL BASIS I
                                       Article 14 of Council Regulation 805 / 68
    4 . OBJECTIVES S                                                                              . '
              Estimate of the EEC deficit in meat for processing for 1981 and proposal for
              the quantities of beef and veal for which total or partial Levy suspension
             would apply .
    5 . FINANCIAL CONSEQUENCE                                           FOR THE MARKETING YEAR
    5.0 EXPENDITURE
                                                                                                CURRENT ^AÎÎCXAL YEAR         FOLLOWING FINANCIAL TEAR
                                                                                                                                       < 83   )
             –CI ¡ARCED TO TUB EC BUDGET
                ( REPUU IS/1 NTERVENTI ONS )
             -CHAH CED TO NATIONAL ASKINISTS .
             -CHARCED TO OTHER NATIONAL CROUPS
    5.1 RECEIPTS
             -OWN RESOURCES OF T!!E EC
                ( LEVIES/CMarøSS^SXCSK^X .                               - 62.2 Mio ECU            - 51.8 Mio ECU                  - 10.4 Mio ECU
             -NATIONAL
                                                                        YEAH Ο·Ο·ΒΟ4«·ΒΒ·Β·Ο    YEAR                         YEAR
   5.0.1 PLURIAMiUAL PATTERS OF EXPENDITURE
   5.1.1 PLURIANNUAL PATTERN OF RECEIPTS
                                                                            <
   5.2 KETiiOD OF CALCULATION
             30 000 t with total suspension of levy of 1 338 ECU / t                                                                 = 40.1 Mio ECU
             30 000 t with suspension of 55% of the levy of 1 338 ECU / t                                                            = 22.1 Mio ECU
              Total levies not charged                                                                                               = 62.2 Mio ECU
              of which 5 / 6 in 1982 and 1 / 6 in 1983 .
   6.0 FINANCING POSSIBLE WITH CREDITS INSCRIBED IN RELEVANT CHAPTER OF CURRENT BUDGET ?                                             .    YES/XK
                                                                                                          ^                 CT yol )
   6.1 ίχ mximimxxM. M                                                            m >PÎ JCKXX äxsok >?X Χ                                 YE3/N0
   6.2 NMrørøiXrøXiKrøærøCX3CÔ«COîQC3îXXXX                                                                                                YES/NO       I
                                                                                                                                          YEC^ICK
              ^Appropriations to be entered in future' budgets
   CCWKENTS I
              This is not a new measure but a system which was already applied in previous
              years .                The 1982 budget therefore takes account of it .