The full dataset viewer is not available (click to read why). Only showing a preview of the rows.
The dataset generation failed because of a cast error
Error code: DatasetGenerationCastError Exception: DatasetGenerationCastError Message: An error occurred while generating the dataset All the data files must have the same columns, but at some point there are 4 new columns ({'url', 'num_comments', 'is_self', 'title'}) and 2 missing columns ({'post_id', 'total_replies'}). This happened while the json dataset builder was generating data using hf://datasets/ebrahim-elgaml/reddit-hot-posts/posts.jsonl (at revision fb3639e68c5a02aa0868cf7fe3f564100d26ed27) Please either edit the data files to have matching columns, or separate them into different configurations (see docs at https://hf.co/docs/hub/datasets-manual-configuration#multiple-configurations) Traceback: Traceback (most recent call last): File "/src/services/worker/.venv/lib/python3.9/site-packages/datasets/builder.py", line 2011, in _prepare_split_single writer.write_table(table) File "/src/services/worker/.venv/lib/python3.9/site-packages/datasets/arrow_writer.py", line 585, in write_table pa_table = table_cast(pa_table, self._schema) File "/src/services/worker/.venv/lib/python3.9/site-packages/datasets/table.py", line 2302, in table_cast return cast_table_to_schema(table, schema) File "/src/services/worker/.venv/lib/python3.9/site-packages/datasets/table.py", line 2256, in cast_table_to_schema raise CastError( datasets.table.CastError: Couldn't cast id: string url: string body: string title: string created_utc: double is_self: bool num_comments: int64 permalink: string score: int64 subreddit_id: string to {'id': Value(dtype='string', id=None), 'permalink': Value(dtype='string', id=None), 'created_utc': Value(dtype='float64', id=None), 'subreddit_id': Value(dtype='string', id=None), 'score': Value(dtype='int64', id=None), 'post_id': Value(dtype='string', id=None), 'body': Value(dtype='string', id=None), 'total_replies': Value(dtype='int64', id=None)} because column names don't match During handling of the above exception, another exception occurred: Traceback (most recent call last): File "/src/services/worker/src/worker/job_runners/config/parquet_and_info.py", line 1321, in compute_config_parquet_and_info_response parquet_operations = convert_to_parquet(builder) File "/src/services/worker/src/worker/job_runners/config/parquet_and_info.py", line 935, in convert_to_parquet builder.download_and_prepare( File "/src/services/worker/.venv/lib/python3.9/site-packages/datasets/builder.py", line 1027, in download_and_prepare self._download_and_prepare( File "/src/services/worker/.venv/lib/python3.9/site-packages/datasets/builder.py", line 1122, in _download_and_prepare self._prepare_split(split_generator, **prepare_split_kwargs) File "/src/services/worker/.venv/lib/python3.9/site-packages/datasets/builder.py", line 1882, in _prepare_split for job_id, done, content in self._prepare_split_single( File "/src/services/worker/.venv/lib/python3.9/site-packages/datasets/builder.py", line 2013, in _prepare_split_single raise DatasetGenerationCastError.from_cast_error( datasets.exceptions.DatasetGenerationCastError: An error occurred while generating the dataset All the data files must have the same columns, but at some point there are 4 new columns ({'url', 'num_comments', 'is_self', 'title'}) and 2 missing columns ({'post_id', 'total_replies'}). This happened while the json dataset builder was generating data using hf://datasets/ebrahim-elgaml/reddit-hot-posts/posts.jsonl (at revision fb3639e68c5a02aa0868cf7fe3f564100d26ed27) Please either edit the data files to have matching columns, or separate them into different configurations (see docs at https://hf.co/docs/hub/datasets-manual-configuration#multiple-configurations)
Need help to make the dataset viewer work? Open a discussion for direct support.
id
string | permalink
string | created_utc
float64 | subreddit_id
string | score
int64 | post_id
string | body
string | total_replies
int64 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
kvh5kvc | /r/politics/comments/1bhre8w/rpolitics_2024_us_elections_live_thread_part_5/kvh5kvc/ | 1,710,792,442 | t5_2cneq | 25 | 1bhre8w | trump is poor | 1 |
kvh986q | /r/politics/comments/1bhre8w/rpolitics_2024_us_elections_live_thread_part_5/kvh986q/ | 1,710,793,676 | t5_2cneq | 29 | 1bhre8w | Inside the mind of a Trumper:
"He's a billionaire! We must lick his boots and worship him!"
And now?
"He's broke! We must lick his boots and worship him!" | 0 |
kw3wtcb | /r/politics/comments/1bhre8w/rpolitics_2024_us_elections_live_thread_part_5/kw3wtcb/ | 1,711,142,940 | t5_2cneq | 21 | 1bhre8w | if this speaker vote happens, it's gonna destroy what small semblance of functionality they'd attained. I'm beginning to really think this is what the destruction of the Republican party looks like. They've played all their cards, they've reached their absolute maximum level of authoritarianism. There's literally nowhere to go from here unless project 2025 succeeds. | 0 |
kvn5n2a | /r/politics/comments/1bhre8w/rpolitics_2024_us_elections_live_thread_part_5/kvn5n2a/ | 1,710,884,902 | t5_2cneq | 19 | 1bhre8w | Surprised FL primaries aren't airing on CNN but then again it's pretty obvious that they're just gonna vote for the orange felon | 6 |
kvgmcck | /r/politics/comments/1bhre8w/rpolitics_2024_us_elections_live_thread_part_5/kvgmcck/ | 1,710,785,976 | t5_2cneq | 14 | 1bhre8w | ^ ^^please^vote | 1 |
kvfr2y4 | /r/politics/comments/1bhre8w/rpolitics_2024_us_elections_live_thread_part_5/kvfr2y4/ | 1,710,775,316 | t5_2cneq | 13 | 1bhre8w | A bunch of elections are tomorrow (Tuesday March 19th) so be on the lookout for our discussion thread.
https://ballotpedia.org/Elections_calendar | 0 |
kw2hvd4 | /r/politics/comments/1bhre8w/rpolitics_2024_us_elections_live_thread_part_5/kw2hvd4/ | 1,711,125,892 | t5_2cneq | 14 | 1bhre8w | Everyone got their popcorn? This is going to be tasty (again). | 7 |
kw3eouv | /r/politics/comments/1bhre8w/rpolitics_2024_us_elections_live_thread_part_5/kw3eouv/ | 1,711,136,714 | t5_2cneq | 12 | 1bhre8w | We got a betting pool yet on how many votes it takes to get yet another Speaker? | 0 |
kvos8jk | /r/politics/comments/1bhre8w/rpolitics_2024_us_elections_live_thread_part_5/kvos8jk/ | 1,710,908,036 | t5_2cneq | 12 | 1bhre8w | Some early Dem messaging about Bernie Moreno, who as of tonight is Ohio Senator Sherrod Brown's newest general election opponent:
https://twitter.com/sherrodbrown/status/1770249158680543298
The choice ahead of Ohio is clear: Bernie Moreno has spent his career and campaign putting himself first, and would do the same if elected.
I’ll always work for Ohio.
https://twitter.com/maevemcoyle/status/1770251189956817256
NEW DSCC AD: Meet Bernie Moreno. He refused to pay his employees & destroyed evidence to get out of it. He supports overruling Ohioans to pass a national abortion ban. He called the bipartisan border proposal to crack down on fentanyl "garbage."
He's only out for himself. #OHSEN
[video mostly composed of clips of Moreno saying the points quoted in the tweet, interspersed with a voiceover saying things like "Even Republicans don't trust him". The last audio in the vid coming from a clip of Moreno saying "What else would you like me to say?", which I thought was a cute sendoff to the ad] | 1 |
kvu0ncf | /r/politics/comments/1bhre8w/rpolitics_2024_us_elections_live_thread_part_5/kvu0ncf/ | 1,710,988,263 | t5_2cneq | 12 | 1bhre8w | The threat of dictatorship is alive and well in the USA, don't think it can't happen here.
https://newrepublic.com/article/179548/poll-voters-trump-dictator-threats | 0 |
kvw9j3q | /r/politics/comments/1bhre8w/rpolitics_2024_us_elections_live_thread_part_5/kvw9j3q/ | 1,711,032,691 | t5_2cneq | 11 | 1bhre8w | So to explain the rules around if he picks Rubio as his running mate: If Trump maintains his Florida residency, Florida’s electors can only vote for Trump for President or Rubio for Vice President, but not both. The upshot there being that, to prevent one being thrown to Congress, Trump would have to win 300 electoral votes, not 270.
In the weird scenario where Trump/Rubio wins, but doesn’t win more than 300 electoral votes, then it gets interesting. Depending on who Florida’s electors choose to vote for, either the Presidency or the Vice Presidency would be thrown to the House or Senate respectively. House votes by state delegation (one vote for every state), Senate votes by Senator.
It’s always fuckin’ Florida, man. Anytime there’s weird electoral college shit, it’s always Florida. | 5 |
kw27z8w | /r/politics/comments/1bhre8w/rpolitics_2024_us_elections_live_thread_part_5/kw27z8w/ | 1,711,122,633 | t5_2cneq | 13 | 1bhre8w | We getting another speaker lads? | 1 |
kvhom4h | /r/politics/comments/1bhre8w/rpolitics_2024_us_elections_live_thread_part_5/kvhom4h/ | 1,710,798,937 | t5_2cneq | 9 | 1bhre8w | So, North Carolina and Georgia. Do you guys think that they are Biden favored or Trump favored? | 10 |
kw2bozh | /r/politics/comments/1bhre8w/rpolitics_2024_us_elections_live_thread_part_5/kw2bozh/ | 1,711,123,862 | t5_2cneq | 12 | 1bhre8w | Alright folks. Get the lettuce out and see if it outlasts the speaker. | 0 |
kvfo2dt | /r/politics/comments/1bhre8w/rpolitics_2024_us_elections_live_thread_part_5/kvfo2dt/ | 1,710,774,229 | t5_2cneq | 8 | 1bhre8w | Is this for the election end of this year? | 2 |
kvyaezl | /r/politics/comments/1bhre8w/rpolitics_2024_us_elections_live_thread_part_5/kvyaezl/ | 1,711,056,762 | t5_2cneq | 7 | 1bhre8w | So, in Puerto Rico today, a judge disqualified various candidates from MVC and PD parties for not complying with electoral law regarding endorsements.
If this decision stands, MVC and PD would have to have their candidates as write in options for this election.
[This is a link to the article](https://www.elnuevodia.com/noticias/tribunales/notas/tribunal-de-san-juan-descalifica-a-aspirantes-del-mvc-y-proyecto-dignidad/) | 0 |
kvwv6sl | /r/politics/comments/1bhre8w/rpolitics_2024_us_elections_live_thread_part_5/kvwv6sl/ | 1,711,039,979 | t5_2cneq | 6 | 1bhre8w | IMO this is Biden’s ceiling atm. https://yapms.com/app?m=48c35zcxoybi9k6 | 8 |
kw83s4j | /r/politics/comments/1bhre8w/rpolitics_2024_us_elections_live_thread_part_5/kw83s4j/ | 1,711,216,104 | t5_2cneq | 6 | 1bhre8w | God I love the weekends so peaceful when the media takes a break | 0 |
kvl6mes | /r/politics/comments/1bhre8w/rpolitics_2024_us_elections_live_thread_part_5/kvl6mes/ | 1,710,860,978 | t5_2cneq | 5 | 1bhre8w | The discussion thread for today's assorted elections is now up!
https://www.reddit.com/r/politics/comments/1bimhxq/discussion_thread_assorted_primary_and_special/?sort=new | 0 |
kw7t36j | /r/politics/comments/1bhre8w/rpolitics_2024_us_elections_live_thread_part_5/kw7t36j/ | 1,711,212,259 | t5_2cneq | 4 | 1bhre8w | The Hill: [Biden campaign drops Latino-focused ad targeting Trump for ‘poisoning the blood’ remarks](https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/4550775-biden-campaign-drops-latino-focused-ad-targeting-trump-for-poisoning-the-blood-remarks/)
What do we think about this ad? Direct link here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1bET4hvL6Tw
It includes the line, spoken by Biden about Trump "What the hell is he talking about?" | 0 |
kw7vkki | /r/politics/comments/1bhre8w/rpolitics_2024_us_elections_live_thread_part_5/kw7vkki/ | 1,711,213,155 | t5_2cneq | 5 | 1bhre8w | MTG wants to be Speaker. | 2 |
kvyqh9n | /r/politics/comments/1bhre8w/rpolitics_2024_us_elections_live_thread_part_5/kvyqh9n/ | 1,711,062,457 | t5_2cneq | 12 | 1bhre8w | You know. When I was a kid, we put convicts and sexual predators in jail.......when I was a kid.
Today, we put them in the White House. | 3 |
kvj7onn | /r/politics/comments/1bhre8w/rpolitics_2024_us_elections_live_thread_part_5/kvj7onn/ | 1,710,820,814 | t5_2cneq | 6 | 1bhre8w | It looks like the PNP is winning in PR again this year. The PPD has squandered control of the legislature and most mayorships this cycle. | 2 |
kvl07m0 | /r/politics/comments/1bhre8w/rpolitics_2024_us_elections_live_thread_part_5/kvl07m0/ | 1,710,858,704 | t5_2cneq | 3 | 1bhre8w | Between Matt Dolan and Bernie Moreno, who has a better shot at defeating Sherrod Brown? | 5 |
kvh9asj | /r/politics/comments/1bhre8w/rpolitics_2024_us_elections_live_thread_part_5/kvh9asj/ | 1,710,793,700 | t5_2cneq | -1 | 1bhre8w | Idk how much of a hot take this but Trump has a higher chance of flipping Minnesota than Biden does of flipping Texas or Florida.
I don’t think that either will happen by the way.
Biden did awful in the Minnesota primary, only slightly better than Trump in terms of percentages, but that fails to take into account that many Democratic Party leaning people are only voting for Haley just to stick it to Trump. | 20 |
kwamraa | /r/politics/comments/1bhre8w/rpolitics_2024_us_elections_live_thread_part_5/kwamraa/ | 1,711,252,432 | t5_2cneq | 1 | 1bhre8w | Trump currently has a higher % in the Louisiana primaries than Biden. Why is that? | 0 |
kw8pisx | /r/politics/comments/1bhre8w/rpolitics_2024_us_elections_live_thread_part_5/kw8pisx/ | 1,711,224,023 | t5_2cneq | -4 | 1bhre8w | Shoulda been Bernie | 1 |
kw3ygek | /r/politics/comments/1bhre8w/rpolitics_2024_us_elections_live_thread_part_5/kw3ygek/ | 1,711,143,517 | t5_2cneq | -14 | 1bhre8w | Anyone see this article https://time.com/6958784/biden-campaign-strategy-problems-2024/ ?
It says even Obama is worried that Biden will lose. | 2 |
kvhdsdx | /r/politics/comments/1bhre8w/rpolitics_2024_us_elections_live_thread_part_5/kvhdsdx/ | 1,710,795,214 | t5_2cneq | -8 | 1bhre8w | [removed] | 0 |
kvm821u | /r/politics/comments/1bhre8w/rpolitics_2024_us_elections_live_thread_part_5/kvm821u/ | 1,710,873,654 | t5_2cneq | -47 | 1bhre8w | Trump, who last week became the Republican Party's presumptive nominee, went on to claim, "Any Jewish person that votes for Democrats hates their religion. They hate everything about Israel and they should be ashamed of themselves because Israel will be destroyed."
As a Non American who is affected by American Imperialism hoping for Trump Trump to win so that he goes unhinged supporting Israel, making many countries Alienate themselves from America realising how phsychopathic USA is. | 2 |
kvmcdcp | /r/politics/comments/1bhre8w/rpolitics_2024_us_elections_live_thread_part_5/kvmcdcp/ | 1,710,875,089 | t5_2cneq | 2 | 1bhre8w | r/trumpispoor | 0 |
kvnpkzb | /r/politics/comments/1bhre8w/rpolitics_2024_us_elections_live_thread_part_5/kvnpkzb/ | 1,710,892,077 | t5_2cneq | 5 | 1bhre8w | That they are. Copy-pasting Nerd_199's post from the discussion thread:
>Miami dade
Vote by mail 🟨 Trump 81% 🟪 Haley 17%
>In person early vote 🟨 Trump 96% 🟪 Haley 2%
>https://twitter.com/umichvoter/status/1770228137407693039?t=Yi3PpSwWKeqjqJybefyqeg&s=19 | 4 |
kvr27kc | /r/politics/comments/1bhre8w/rpolitics_2024_us_elections_live_thread_part_5/kvr27kc/ | 1,710,951,243 | t5_2cneq | 3 | 1bhre8w | Sounds like the local Democratic just threw any chance of defeating Rick Scott in November now too. | 0 |
kvhdpt2 | /r/politics/comments/1bhre8w/rpolitics_2024_us_elections_live_thread_part_5/kvhdpt2/ | 1,710,795,190 | t5_2cneq | -9 | 1bhre8w | [removed] | 0 |
kw2mo68 | /r/politics/comments/1bhre8w/rpolitics_2024_us_elections_live_thread_part_5/kw2mo68/ | 1,711,127,469 | t5_2cneq | 21 | 1bhre8w | I'm just praying the "Undecided" voters in my crazy country are actually paying attention this time and realize how dysfunctional MAGA is.
It's ridiculous they even still stand a chance in this election including at the top of the ticket | 5 |
kw2jobk | /r/politics/comments/1bhre8w/rpolitics_2024_us_elections_live_thread_part_5/kw2jobk/ | 1,711,126,481 | t5_2cneq | 3 | 1bhre8w | I got my WinCo generic butter popcorn going now. | 0 |
kvphc3h | /r/politics/comments/1bhre8w/rpolitics_2024_us_elections_live_thread_part_5/kvphc3h/ | 1,710,925,745 | t5_2cneq | -1 | 1bhre8w | Wrong Bernie 😭 #feelTheBern | 0 |
kvzdy7m | /r/politics/comments/1bhre8w/rpolitics_2024_us_elections_live_thread_part_5/kvzdy7m/ | 1,711,071,274 | t5_2cneq | 6 | 1bhre8w | Could Trump just declare residency in another state thirty days before the election? | 1 |
kvxo0zi | /r/politics/comments/1bhre8w/rpolitics_2024_us_elections_live_thread_part_5/kvxo0zi/ | 1,711,049,356 | t5_2cneq | 5 | 1bhre8w | Wait what? Florida's electors can't go to two Florida residents? That's fucking weird, since when? | 2 |
kw3mu7j | /r/politics/comments/1bhre8w/rpolitics_2024_us_elections_live_thread_part_5/kw3mu7j/ | 1,711,139,490 | t5_2cneq | 6 | 1bhre8w | If we do, there'll be another discussion thread series for it. | 0 |
kvi46g5 | /r/politics/comments/1bhre8w/rpolitics_2024_us_elections_live_thread_part_5/kvi46g5/ | 1,710,804,625 | t5_2cneq | 24 | 1bhre8w | North Carolina was already a target state, but now their candidate for Governor is insane and might actually help Dems pick it up | 2 |
kvjavmw | /r/politics/comments/1bhre8w/rpolitics_2024_us_elections_live_thread_part_5/kvjavmw/ | 1,710,822,510 | t5_2cneq | 20 | 1bhre8w | Biden can win GA if he gets a high turnout in both the cities in suburbs. The good news for him is that the suburbs are pissed about Roe being overturned. | 0 |
kvjlfdd | /r/politics/comments/1bhre8w/rpolitics_2024_us_elections_live_thread_part_5/kvjlfdd/ | 1,710,829,228 | t5_2cneq | 4 | 1bhre8w | Dunno about NC, but GA will be a tight race. Reps are definitely angry that Dems won so much and we'll be seeing a reaction to that. If I had to predict *right now* I'd say NC is red, GA is blue. | 0 |
kvkkfjx | /r/politics/comments/1bhre8w/rpolitics_2024_us_elections_live_thread_part_5/kvkkfjx/ | 1,710,852,477 | t5_2cneq | 2 | 1bhre8w | Looking at prediction markets, which tend to be accurate especially for state bets, and polling and just gut sense: I think Biden loses NC and GA.
The election will come down to WI, MI and AZ, where I believe Biden will win at least 2. PA I don't think will be that close (Biden wins). | 4 |
kvfor7s | /r/politics/comments/1bhre8w/rpolitics_2024_us_elections_live_thread_part_5/kvfor7s/ | 1,710,774,482 | t5_2cneq | 8 | 1bhre8w | For the November general elections, yeah, and the primaries leading up to them (which are ongoing).
The live thread's description is:
>A live thread to cover major US elections in the 2024 election year with polls, news, and results. | 1 |
kvyhtg5 | /r/politics/comments/1bhre8w/rpolitics_2024_us_elections_live_thread_part_5/kvyhtg5/ | 1,711,059,322 | t5_2cneq | 6 | 1bhre8w | Just hope NC ends the night early. If it flips it will show that Trump just doesn't have a chance. | 1 |
kvyz5ip | /r/politics/comments/1bhre8w/rpolitics_2024_us_elections_live_thread_part_5/kvyz5ip/ | 1,711,065,643 | t5_2cneq | 4 | 1bhre8w | I agree. I do think that result is possible because of that god awful republican running for governor of NC. | 1 |
kw4cog5 | /r/politics/comments/1bhre8w/rpolitics_2024_us_elections_live_thread_part_5/kw4cog5/ | 1,711,148,732 | t5_2cneq | 5 | 1bhre8w | Not even ceiling, I would say that's most likely outcome.
Nearly all swing states have trended left since 2020 in local/state elections.
His ceiling would be your map + FL or TX (I think getting both is a bit fantastical) | 2 |
kvyst5y | /r/politics/comments/1bhre8w/rpolitics_2024_us_elections_live_thread_part_5/kvyst5y/ | 1,711,063,306 | t5_2cneq | 3 | 1bhre8w | If Trump's cash-starved by October, I'd put an open question mark on Texas and maybe Florida. Forcing him to compete there or let Biden go uncontested can really drag him down. | 0 |
kw97tn0 | /r/politics/comments/1bhre8w/rpolitics_2024_us_elections_live_thread_part_5/kw97tn0/ | 1,711,230,894 | t5_2cneq | 1 | 1bhre8w | If so the way things are going she will probably get the gig. | 1 |
kw2h4m6 | /r/politics/comments/1bhre8w/rpolitics_2024_us_elections_live_thread_part_5/kw2h4m6/ | 1,711,125,648 | t5_2cneq | 10 | 1bhre8w | But trump isn't in the white house any more so we good | 1 |
kw71bis | /r/politics/comments/1bhre8w/rpolitics_2024_us_elections_live_thread_part_5/kw71bis/ | 1,711,201,622 | t5_2cneq | -1 | 1bhre8w | Which one are we talking about? | 0 |
kvl6qej | /r/politics/comments/1bhre8w/rpolitics_2024_us_elections_live_thread_part_5/kvl6qej/ | 1,710,861,017 | t5_2cneq | 8 | 1bhre8w | If you have time to share, what would you attribute the PNP's rise to and what policy implications might that have? | 1 |
kvl6zvg | /r/politics/comments/1bhre8w/rpolitics_2024_us_elections_live_thread_part_5/kvl6zvg/ | 1,710,861,110 | t5_2cneq | 20 | 1bhre8w | Dolan, which is why there's a Dem-aligned PAC (super PAC?) running ads advertising Moreno's extremist positions. The hope there is that the MAGA base will see the ad, like those positions, and get Moreno over the finish line in the primary to then lose to Brown. It's a real gamble when you consider that this is the state that elected JD Vance 2 years ago. | 4 |
kvhq8jc | /r/politics/comments/1bhre8w/rpolitics_2024_us_elections_live_thread_part_5/kvhq8jc/ | 1,710,799,511 | t5_2cneq | 22 | 1bhre8w | I don't see any of the three states changing course anytime soon. Minnesota will remain a blue state. Governor Walz and the state Democratic party have passed many popular progressive laws with a razor-thin majority. Without serious primary candidates, Biden's Minnesota primary results were more of a protest vote to the administration's response to the Israel-Hamas war. | 9 |
kvhe7o9 | /r/politics/comments/1bhre8w/rpolitics_2024_us_elections_live_thread_part_5/kvhe7o9/ | 1,710,795,356 | t5_2cneq | 15 | 1bhre8w | The primary won't really be a reflection of the general, especially considering it wasn't a competitive primary to begin with and therefore there wasn't a lot of turnout. Uncommitted voters who are liberals trying to push Biden left on Gaza probably stick with him in the end, and I don't really think Somali voters are going to abandon him either (unlike Tlaib, Omar did endorse Biden in 2020 and has already said she will vote for him this year). The total number of uncommitted votes isn't enough to flip the state based on Biden's 2020 margin, though it's enough to flip it based on Clinton's (but if we're using that as a baseline, Clinton lost the election anyways).
Texas and Florida are definitely long shots, but Texas has seen a consistent shift of about 1-2 points a cycle towards Dems relative to the national popular vote. Also, a lot of changes happen pretty suddenly. Virginia was R+8 in 2000 (voting 8 points more Republican than the nation), R+6 in 2004, and then even in 2000. Georgia was R+12 in 2008 and 2012, dropped to R+7 in 2016, and it dropped to R+4.3ish in 2020 when Biden flipped it.
I do think Alaska might be a more interesting state to try to flip though. Peltola is wildly popular, the state has been steadily getting bluer in every presidential cycle since 2008, and it going blue could put into play two senate seats. Democrats in these Western red states have had great success mobilizing the indigenous vote which is the swing constituency at play. | 6 |
kvhuxh9 | /r/politics/comments/1bhre8w/rpolitics_2024_us_elections_live_thread_part_5/kvhuxh9/ | 1,710,801,210 | t5_2cneq | 28 | 1bhre8w | Uhhh no. Minnesota has a lot of progressives that don't like centrist Dems.
I looked at which states Biden did badly in the primary, and it's the same ones where he did badly in 2020 primary. | 2 |
kw8q0eq | /r/politics/comments/1bhre8w/rpolitics_2024_us_elections_live_thread_part_5/kw8q0eq/ | 1,711,224,202 | t5_2cneq | 5 | 1bhre8w | Bernie Moreno did in fact win the GOP Ohio Senate primary this past week. | 0 |
kw4lv0e | /r/politics/comments/1bhre8w/rpolitics_2024_us_elections_live_thread_part_5/kw4lv0e/ | 1,711,152,254 | t5_2cneq | 20 | 1bhre8w | cool, vote | 0 |
kw4c8fs | /r/politics/comments/1bhre8w/rpolitics_2024_us_elections_live_thread_part_5/kw4c8fs/ | 1,711,148,569 | t5_2cneq | 17 | 1bhre8w | Bro, Democrats have wiped the floor with Republicans every cycle since 2016. They continue to over perform in special elections to this day (as long as you exclude wacky jungle primaries)
Dems also have an enormous fundraising advantage.
Polls this far out are historically useless, and they're the only thing pointing towards doom | 0 |
kvwaov7 | /r/politics/comments/1bhre8w/rpolitics_2024_us_elections_live_thread_part_5/kvwaov7/ | 1,711,033,094 | t5_2cneq | 6 | 1bhre8w | Ah yes, accelerationism always works. All it would cost would be a couple million people in Gaza, small price to pay to make America look bad | 1 |
kvpwvhp | /r/politics/comments/1bhre8w/rpolitics_2024_us_elections_live_thread_part_5/kvpwvhp/ | 1,710,935,615 | t5_2cneq | 3 | 1bhre8w | Wow that's Putin level of votes... | 3 |
kw33ift | /r/politics/comments/1bhre8w/rpolitics_2024_us_elections_live_thread_part_5/kw33ift/ | 1,711,132,974 | t5_2cneq | 12 | 1bhre8w | only ~60% of voters are aware Trump has been charged with election interference, and/or the classified document case. | 1 |
kw7rjvd | /r/politics/comments/1bhre8w/rpolitics_2024_us_elections_live_thread_part_5/kw7rjvd/ | 1,711,211,697 | t5_2cneq | 7 | 1bhre8w | If you’re “undecided” in 2024, you’ve already made up your mind and are voting R. | 2 |
kw1xl21 | /r/politics/comments/1bhre8w/rpolitics_2024_us_elections_live_thread_part_5/kw1xl21/ | 1,711,119,142 | t5_2cneq | 3 | 1bhre8w | My understanding is that he would legally be able to declare residency in another state where he owns property. That was the result back in 2000 when George W. Bush was then-Governor of Texas, and Dick Cheney was also a Texas resident.
When he named himself as Bush's running mate, he switched his voter registration to Wyoming, where he also owned property, so that he would be covered under the law.
How the potential property seizures in New York would impact this possibility, I have no idea. | 0 |
kvxopm7 | /r/politics/comments/1bhre8w/rpolitics_2024_us_elections_live_thread_part_5/kvxopm7/ | 1,711,049,580 | t5_2cneq | 8 | 1bhre8w | Since 1803. | 1 |
kvixf2p | /r/politics/comments/1bhre8w/rpolitics_2024_us_elections_live_thread_part_5/kvixf2p/ | 1,710,816,039 | t5_2cneq | 20 | 1bhre8w | It’s ironic that the MAGAs are celebrating mark Robinson getting nominated- he may be the lightning rod needed for blue momentum in NC.
Also, he sucks. | 1 |
kvn2dcs | /r/politics/comments/1bhre8w/rpolitics_2024_us_elections_live_thread_part_5/kvn2dcs/ | 1,710,883,784 | t5_2cneq | 4 | 1bhre8w | I could see losing GA by a slim margin, but NC is pissed with Youngkin and tired of the extremists. The GOP continues to step on its own dick in regards to reproductive rights, and the Holocaust denying governor pick isn’t going to help.
I think Biden takes WI, AZ, and PA. MI, not so sure but hopeful. | 1 |
kvrz7og | /r/politics/comments/1bhre8w/rpolitics_2024_us_elections_live_thread_part_5/kvrz7og/ | 1,710,961,917 | t5_2cneq | 2 | 1bhre8w | My tipping point state is Wiscomsin. As a michigander as long as Detroit votes we win. | 1 |
kvfowsc | /r/politics/comments/1bhre8w/rpolitics_2024_us_elections_live_thread_part_5/kvfowsc/ | 1,710,774,538 | t5_2cneq | 2 | 1bhre8w | Sorry, I’m on phone. Thanks though. | 0 |
kvz4bta | /r/politics/comments/1bhre8w/rpolitics_2024_us_elections_live_thread_part_5/kvz4bta/ | 1,711,067,583 | t5_2cneq | 4 | 1bhre8w | Yeah NC has surprisingly high number of delegates. Very interested. | 0 |
kw0oc28 | /r/politics/comments/1bhre8w/rpolitics_2024_us_elections_live_thread_part_5/kw0oc28/ | 1,711,096,864 | t5_2cneq | 2 | 1bhre8w | Mark Robinson. "Traveling from church to church and thundering away on social media, he condemned “transgenderism” and “homosexuality” as “filth.” He said Christians should be led by men, not women. And on at least one occasion, he explicitly called to upend American tradition on God’s role in government.
“People talk about the separation of church and state,” Mr. Robinson, North Carolina’s lieutenant governor, said in a speech in October. “I’m trying to find that phrase somewhere in our Constitution. Trying to find it somewhere in our Declaration of Independence. Trying to find it in the writings of any patriot, anywhere, and I cannot. And I cannot because it does not exist.”
He concluded, “There is no separation of church and state.”" | 0 |
kw4cxw9 | /r/politics/comments/1bhre8w/rpolitics_2024_us_elections_live_thread_part_5/kw4cxw9/ | 1,711,148,828 | t5_2cneq | 2 | 1bhre8w | What do you think a best case scenario for Trump is? A 2020 redux? | 1 |
kw9c8kl | /r/politics/comments/1bhre8w/rpolitics_2024_us_elections_live_thread_part_5/kw9c8kl/ | 1,711,232,631 | t5_2cneq | 2 | 1bhre8w | Then someone should immediately file a motion for her removal. | 0 |
kw3uy14 | /r/politics/comments/1bhre8w/rpolitics_2024_us_elections_live_thread_part_5/kw3uy14/ | 1,711,142,282 | t5_2cneq | 3 | 1bhre8w | nope. he aint in jail. | 0 |
kvlbl14 | /r/politics/comments/1bhre8w/rpolitics_2024_us_elections_live_thread_part_5/kvlbl14/ | 1,710,862,702 | t5_2cneq | 7 | 1bhre8w | Demographic shifts on the island and the PROMESA board and its effects have weakened the two big traditional parties, the PNP and the PPD. Two new political parties, PD (Project Dignity), an ultra conservative party, and the electoral MCV-PIP alliance are pulling voters on the extreme right and left side of the political spectrum.
They do not have enough voters to overtake the other two parties, but the PNP has had the larger base and better organization for more than a decade now.
As for policy implications a Democratic and PNP win might push the statehood/federal funding parity issue forward a bit. | 0 |
kvnrdfk | /r/politics/comments/1bhre8w/rpolitics_2024_us_elections_live_thread_part_5/kvnrdfk/ | 1,710,892,742 | t5_2cneq | 7 | 1bhre8w | Idk, I can see the logic behind it, especially now that Moreno was linked to a gay sex finder site. Can't have that now, can we??? | 0 |
kvq157r | /r/politics/comments/1bhre8w/rpolitics_2024_us_elections_live_thread_part_5/kvq157r/ | 1,710,937,701 | t5_2cneq | 6 | 1bhre8w | It's not that much of a gamble. The most important vote this Senator will take is the caucus vote. If a Republican wins they'll have one more vote for control. The difference at this point between a "sane Republican" and a MAGA nut is just not that great. There are, really, no more sane Republicans, just enablers who are more or less polite about it. It's all a matter of style. Much better idea to boost the one we have a better chance of beating. Very solid tactic. | 2 |
kvhrvg7 | /r/politics/comments/1bhre8w/rpolitics_2024_us_elections_live_thread_part_5/kvhrvg7/ | 1,710,800,096 | t5_2cneq | -9 | 1bhre8w | I do think that it is unlikely for Trump to win Minnesota, but it is not impossible. Party registration trends nationwide are much worse for Democrats than Republicans, Biden is an unpopular president, and while I do think that some Uncommitted voters aren’t really uncommitted and just wanted to send a message, I think that others really are uncommitted. They think that Biden is aiding a genocide. That is a red line for a lot of people.
Do I think that some people who didn’t vote for Biden in the primaries and caucuses will stick with him in the general election? Absolutely. Do I think that it will be the vast majority? I don’t think so. I really don’t. | 8 |
kvhiate | /r/politics/comments/1bhre8w/rpolitics_2024_us_elections_live_thread_part_5/kvhiate/ | 1,710,796,752 | t5_2cneq | 0 | 1bhre8w | I disagree with your take regarding the primary. 2024 will be a rematch, meaning that how much support Biden and Trump have either gained or lost matters a ton. Even when someone is the presumptive nominee in America, you usually don’t see them getting Assad margins in primaries or caucuses. | 5 |
kvrlf6b | /r/politics/comments/1bhre8w/rpolitics_2024_us_elections_live_thread_part_5/kvrlf6b/ | 1,710,957,461 | t5_2cneq | 4 | 1bhre8w | People are acting like every other primary never had uncommitted votes. It's so weird | 1 |
kvwy4rz | /r/politics/comments/1bhre8w/rpolitics_2024_us_elections_live_thread_part_5/kvwy4rz/ | 1,711,040,930 | t5_2cneq | -3 | 1bhre8w | Dump will threaten countries to support Israel on one hand and will say crazy shit on another hand like Netanyahu. Many countries will start backing out and distance themselves from America. He's also a bum who constantly screams at China thinking they're some weak bully. Will quickly find out about that too. | 0 |
kvqssen | /r/politics/comments/1bhre8w/rpolitics_2024_us_elections_live_thread_part_5/kvqssen/ | 1,710,948,138 | t5_2cneq | 6 | 1bhre8w | Haley dropped out weeks ago. She's only on the ballot because she was still running when the ballots were printed. | 0 |
kvyjkhj | /r/politics/comments/1bhre8w/rpolitics_2024_us_elections_live_thread_part_5/kvyjkhj/ | 1,711,059,949 | t5_2cneq | 5 | 1bhre8w | I mean, Haley dropped out of the race after super Tuesday. No reason for anyone to show up and vote for her now. | 0 |
kw0q9o4 | /r/politics/comments/1bhre8w/rpolitics_2024_us_elections_live_thread_part_5/kw0q9o4/ | 1,711,098,343 | t5_2cneq | 1 | 1bhre8w | No contested candidates always get such percentage, except protest votes in case of Biden | 0 |
kw8lojt | /r/politics/comments/1bhre8w/rpolitics_2024_us_elections_live_thread_part_5/kw8lojt/ | 1,711,222,612 | t5_2cneq | 3 | 1bhre8w | Bidens 2billion dollar campaign support will make sure that everyone knows about it. | 0 |
kw8xf17 | /r/politics/comments/1bhre8w/rpolitics_2024_us_elections_live_thread_part_5/kw8xf17/ | 1,711,226,953 | t5_2cneq | 1 | 1bhre8w | If you could be old or have Cancer, which would you choose?
Too many people would pick Cancer. | 1 |
kvy08ao | /r/politics/comments/1bhre8w/rpolitics_2024_us_elections_live_thread_part_5/kvy08ao/ | 1,711,053,364 | t5_2cneq | 7 | 1bhre8w | 12th Amendment for additional context, it’s a federal rule | 0 |
kvk909g | /r/politics/comments/1bhre8w/rpolitics_2024_us_elections_live_thread_part_5/kvk909g/ | 1,710,846,637 | t5_2cneq | 6 | 1bhre8w | Hope that helps Josh Stein and trickles down to the AG race so Jeff Jackson can succeed him. | 0 |
kvzehla | /r/politics/comments/1bhre8w/rpolitics_2024_us_elections_live_thread_part_5/kvzehla/ | 1,711,071,481 | t5_2cneq | 2 | 1bhre8w | NC is pissed with Youngkin? Wrong state. | 0 |
kw1yp68 | /r/politics/comments/1bhre8w/rpolitics_2024_us_elections_live_thread_part_5/kw1yp68/ | 1,711,119,519 | t5_2cneq | 1 | 1bhre8w | Did you see the recent CNN poll that has Biden down 8 in Michigan? That's pretty scary IMO. It seems like all the messaging in the world isn't having much of an effect on the idiots out there. | 0 |
kw4ed8t | /r/politics/comments/1bhre8w/rpolitics_2024_us_elections_live_thread_part_5/kw4ed8t/ | 1,711,149,359 | t5_2cneq | 4 | 1bhre8w | I think he could take back GA, AZ, WI, and win NC.
That would give him 272 EV's, just enough to win.
That's why Trumpers acted like the world was ending when Dems won WI Supreme Court majority. WI is a must-win state for Trump. | 0 |
kvqt42e | /r/politics/comments/1bhre8w/rpolitics_2024_us_elections_live_thread_part_5/kvqt42e/ | 1,710,948,245 | t5_2cneq | 1 | 1bhre8w | It'll matter if the Republicans win a majority and Moreno is put on committees where he'll be writing legislation.
This is the same 'Pied Piper' strategy that Clinton used to boost Trump in the 2016 primary, and see where that got us. | 1 |
kvj1mgb | /r/politics/comments/1bhre8w/rpolitics_2024_us_elections_live_thread_part_5/kvj1mgb/ | 1,710,817,889 | t5_2cneq | 15 | 1bhre8w | >They think that Biden is aiding a genocide. That is a red line for a lot of people.
While this may be true.... What the fuck do they think Trump will do? | 2 |
kvin4qm | /r/politics/comments/1bhre8w/rpolitics_2024_us_elections_live_thread_part_5/kvin4qm/ | 1,710,811,886 | t5_2cneq | 8 | 1bhre8w | Biden will win Minnesota by 7-9 percent in November. It’s typically a very inelastic state and the result in 2016 was a freak occurrence. | 0 |
kvhvhjx | /r/politics/comments/1bhre8w/rpolitics_2024_us_elections_live_thread_part_5/kvhvhjx/ | 1,710,801,416 | t5_2cneq | 10 | 1bhre8w | The reason registration trends are bad for Dems is because young people overwhelmingly register as independents. The average GOP voter is like 8 years older.
Biden had a lower % uncommitted voters than Obama did in 2012.
You're just stringing together unrelated things that aren't even bad for Biden to push some narrative. | 3 |
kvhkufd | /r/politics/comments/1bhre8w/rpolitics_2024_us_elections_live_thread_part_5/kvhkufd/ | 1,710,797,622 | t5_2cneq | 10 | 1bhre8w | Even if every uncommitted voter sits it out in 2024, Biden would still win Minnesota relatively easily if we're going off his 2020 margins. And while Biden was the presumptive nominee, so was Trump, especially after New Hampshire, so the fact that people were still willing to vote Haley even though she stood no chance at all should be a bigger danger for Trump than uncommitted is with Biden using this standard.
It's also not always the case that presumptive nominees get huge margins in uncontested primaries. Obama actually came within 15 points of losing Oklahoma and Kentucky in the 2012 primary (winning them both 57-42), and "no preference" actually ended up doing worse this year in North Carolina compared to 2012, when 200K voted for that option and brought Obama under 79% in that state.
But again, this is all assuming that Biden isn't going to get the vast majority of uncommitted voters anyways. Other than with certain ethnoreligious minorities, I don't think there's going to be that much of a defection, and the movement is so loosely organized that Biden's current messaging on the war is likely already winning a good chunk of them back. | 4 |
kvx08xm | /r/politics/comments/1bhre8w/rpolitics_2024_us_elections_live_thread_part_5/kvx08xm/ | 1,711,041,619 | t5_2cneq | 1 | 1bhre8w | Uncommitted in Minnesota 2012-3.7%
Uncommitted in Minnesota 2024-18.9%
Big difference right there. | 0 |
kwbfk3h | /r/politics/comments/1bhre8w/rpolitics_2024_us_elections_live_thread_part_5/kwbfk3h/ | 1,711,271,772 | t5_2cneq | 1 | 1bhre8w | how old? if 65,i chose old butif 90-100,i chose cancer | 0 |
kvqxczg | /r/politics/comments/1bhre8w/rpolitics_2024_us_elections_live_thread_part_5/kvqxczg/ | 1,710,949,655 | t5_2cneq | 3 | 1bhre8w | It also got us control of the Senate.
Hershel Waler, Oz, Masters were all MAGA endorsed primary winners that lost in the general.
Post Roe, boosting MAGA candidates in primaries has been successful. | 0 |
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