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The summaries of the weather reports for the last 1 days are day 1: nan
The summaries of the weather reports for the current day are day 1: ...Metadata... EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD 1042 AM EDT FRI APR 04 2014 VALID 12Z MON APR 07 2014 - 12Z FRI APR 11 2014 ...SENSIBLE WEATHER HIGHLIGHTS... LEAD EASTERN SYSTEM WILL SPREAD A LARGE AREA OF MODEST RAINS EAST OF 90W... WITH THE BEST CHANCE FOR HEAVIER RAIN IN THE SOUTHEAST. BELOW AVERAGE TEMPS ARE EXPECTED UNTIL THE TROUGH AXIS PASSES OFFSHORE LATE WED/D5... DOWN THROUGH FLORIDA AS THE FRONT PUSHES WELL TO THE SOUTH. THE WEST WILL SEE AN EXPANDING AREA OF ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES PUSH EASTWARD PAST THE ROCKIES AS HEIGHTS RISE THROUGH THE CENTRAL STATES. MODEST WARMING WILL PUSH INTO THE EASTERN CONUS LATER IN THE WEEK. PRECIPITATION NEXT THU-FRI SHOULD BE MINIMAL COMPARED TO THE RECENT HEAVY RAIN EVENTS... LIMITED TO THE NORTHERN TIER AS A SYSTEM PUSHES THROUGH SOUTHERN CANADA AND ALSO INTO SOME PORTIONS OF CALIFORNIA AS THE ENERGY NEARS THE COAST. SCHICHTEL
Given the meteorological reports from the last 1 days, generate meteorological reports for the current day
The summaries of the weather reports for the last 1 days are day 1: ...Metadata... EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD 1042 AM EDT FRI APR 04 2014 VALID 12Z MON APR 07 2014 - 12Z FRI APR 11 2014 ...SENSIBLE WEATHER HIGHLIGHTS... LEAD EASTERN SYSTEM WILL SPREAD A LARGE AREA OF MODEST RAINS EAST OF 90W... WITH THE BEST CHANCE FOR HEAVIER RAIN IN THE SOUTHEAST. BELOW AVERAGE TEMPS ARE EXPECTED UNTIL THE TROUGH AXIS PASSES OFFSHORE LATE WED/D5... DOWN THROUGH FLORIDA AS THE FRONT PUSHES WELL TO THE SOUTH. THE WEST WILL SEE AN EXPANDING AREA OF ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES PUSH EASTWARD PAST THE ROCKIES AS HEIGHTS RISE THROUGH THE CENTRAL STATES. MODEST WARMING WILL PUSH INTO THE EASTERN CONUS LATER IN THE WEEK. PRECIPITATION NEXT THU-FRI SHOULD BE MINIMAL COMPARED TO THE RECENT HEAVY RAIN EVENTS... LIMITED TO THE NORTHERN TIER AS A SYSTEM PUSHES THROUGH SOUTHERN CANADA AND ALSO INTO SOME PORTIONS OF CALIFORNIA AS THE ENERGY NEARS THE COAST. SCHICHTEL
The summaries of the weather reports for the current day and the next 1 days are day 1: ...Metadata... EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD 1115 AM EDT SAT APR 05 2014 VALID 12Z TUE APR 08 2014 - 12Z SAT APR 12 2014 ...SENSIBLE WEATHER HIGHLIGHTS... EXITING LEAD EASTERN SYSTEM WILL TAKE ITS PRECIP SHIELD INTO THE NORTHEAST AND THEN CANADA AS THE FRONT PUSHES OFFSHORE... USHERING IN ANOTHER SHOT OF BELOW AVERAGE TEMPERATURES FOR THE EAST. A SECOND SYSTEM OF INTEREST SHOULD PUSH THROUGH SRN CANADA WITH GENERALLY LIGHT PRECIPITATION FOR THE US NRN TIER. PRE-FRONTAL TEMPERATURES SHOULD WARM NICELY ACROSS MUCH OF THE CENTRAL THEN ERN CONUS DAYS 4-6/WED-FRI...COOLING WITH WAVY FRONTAL PASSAGE THOUGH SWD PENETRATION SHOULD BE MEASURED AS THE UPPER FLOW BECOMES MORE ZONAL. OUT WEST...PACIFIC TROUGH ENERGY/HEIGHT FALLS AND AN ASSOCIATED FRONTAL SYSTEM SHOULD WORK ASHORE INTO CA AND INTO THE SWRN US HEADING INTO NEXT WEEKEND ALONG WITH A FEW SHOWERS AND SOME COOLING TEMPS. SCHICHTEL, day 2: ...Metadata... EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD 1042 AM EDT FRI APR 04 2014 VALID 12Z MON APR 07 2014 - 12Z FRI APR 11 2014 ...SENSIBLE WEATHER HIGHLIGHTS... LEAD EASTERN SYSTEM WILL SPREAD A LARGE AREA OF MODEST RAINS EAST OF 90W... WITH THE BEST CHANCE FOR HEAVIER RAIN IN THE SOUTHEAST. BELOW AVERAGE TEMPS ARE EXPECTED UNTIL THE TROUGH AXIS PASSES OFFSHORE LATE WED/D5... DOWN THROUGH FLORIDA AS THE FRONT PUSHES WELL TO THE SOUTH. THE WEST WILL SEE AN EXPANDING AREA OF ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES PUSH EASTWARD PAST THE ROCKIES AS HEIGHTS RISE THROUGH THE CENTRAL STATES. MODEST WARMING WILL PUSH INTO THE EASTERN CONUS LATER IN THE WEEK. PRECIPITATION NEXT THU-FRI SHOULD BE MINIMAL COMPARED TO THE RECENT HEAVY RAIN EVENTS... LIMITED TO THE NORTHERN TIER AS A SYSTEM PUSHES THROUGH SOUTHERN CANADA AND ALSO INTO SOME PORTIONS OF CALIFORNIA AS THE ENERGY NEARS THE COAST. SCHICHTEL
Given the meteorological reports from the last 1 days, generate meteorological reports for the current day and the next 1 days
The summaries of the weather reports for the last 1 days are day 1: ...Metadata... EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD 1115 AM EDT SAT APR 05 2014 VALID 12Z TUE APR 08 2014 - 12Z SAT APR 12 2014 ...SENSIBLE WEATHER HIGHLIGHTS... EXITING LEAD EASTERN SYSTEM WILL TAKE ITS PRECIP SHIELD INTO THE NORTHEAST AND THEN CANADA AS THE FRONT PUSHES OFFSHORE... USHERING IN ANOTHER SHOT OF BELOW AVERAGE TEMPERATURES FOR THE EAST. A SECOND SYSTEM OF INTEREST SHOULD PUSH THROUGH SRN CANADA WITH GENERALLY LIGHT PRECIPITATION FOR THE US NRN TIER. PRE-FRONTAL TEMPERATURES SHOULD WARM NICELY ACROSS MUCH OF THE CENTRAL THEN ERN CONUS DAYS 4-6/WED-FRI...COOLING WITH WAVY FRONTAL PASSAGE THOUGH SWD PENETRATION SHOULD BE MEASURED AS THE UPPER FLOW BECOMES MORE ZONAL. OUT WEST...PACIFIC TROUGH ENERGY/HEIGHT FALLS AND AN ASSOCIATED FRONTAL SYSTEM SHOULD WORK ASHORE INTO CA AND INTO THE SWRN US HEADING INTO NEXT WEEKEND ALONG WITH A FEW SHOWERS AND SOME COOLING TEMPS. SCHICHTEL
The summaries of the weather reports for the current day and the next 2 days are day 1: ...Metadata... EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD 1200 PM EDT SUN APR 06 2014 VALID 12Z WED APR 09 2014 - 12Z SUN APR 13 2014 ...SENSIBLE WEATHER HIGHLIGHTS... IN THE WAKE OF THE EXITING LEAD EASTERN SYSTEM WED/D3... ANOTHER SHOT OF BELOW AVERAGE TEMPERATURES SHOULD PUSH THROUGH THE EAST BEFORE HEIGHTS RISE ALONG WITH SFC TEMPERATURES. A SECOND SYSTEM OF INTEREST SHOULD PUSH THROUGH SOUTHERN CANADA WITH GENERALLY LIGHT PRECIPITATION FOR THE US NORTHERN TIER. PRE-FRONTAL TEMPERATURES SHOULD WARM NICELY ACROSS MUCH OF THE CENTRAL THEN EASTERN CONUS LATE IN THE WEEK WITH MODEST COOLING BEHIND THE FRONT AS THE UPPER FLOW BECOMES MORE ZONAL. OUT WEST... PACIFIC TROUGH ENERGY/HEIGHT FALLS AND AN ASSOCIATED FRONTAL SYSTEM SHOULD WORK ASHORE INTO CA AND INTO THE SWRN US NEXT WEEKEND ALONG WITH SHOWERS AND SOME COOLING TEMPS. BY SUN/D7...TROUGH ENERGIES SHOULD ORGANIZE LOW PRESSURE THROUGH THE SRN PLAINS AND WITH A WAVY NWRN US/N-CENTRAL US FRONTAL SURGE THAT COMBINE TO AN INCREASE IN PRECIPITATION/CONVECTION WITH/AHEAD OF THE FRONTS...AND ESPECIALLY OVER THE CENTRAL US WITH POST-FRONTAL POTENTIAL FOR UPSLOPE ENHANCED SPRING CENTRAL ROCKIES SNOWS. SCHICHTEL, day 2: ...Metadata... EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD 1115 AM EDT SAT APR 05 2014 VALID 12Z TUE APR 08 2014 - 12Z SAT APR 12 2014 ...SENSIBLE WEATHER HIGHLIGHTS... EXITING LEAD EASTERN SYSTEM WILL TAKE ITS PRECIP SHIELD INTO THE NORTHEAST AND THEN CANADA AS THE FRONT PUSHES OFFSHORE... USHERING IN ANOTHER SHOT OF BELOW AVERAGE TEMPERATURES FOR THE EAST. A SECOND SYSTEM OF INTEREST SHOULD PUSH THROUGH SRN CANADA WITH GENERALLY LIGHT PRECIPITATION FOR THE US NRN TIER. PRE-FRONTAL TEMPERATURES SHOULD WARM NICELY ACROSS MUCH OF THE CENTRAL THEN ERN CONUS DAYS 4-6/WED-FRI...COOLING WITH WAVY FRONTAL PASSAGE THOUGH SWD PENETRATION SHOULD BE MEASURED AS THE UPPER FLOW BECOMES MORE ZONAL. OUT WEST...PACIFIC TROUGH ENERGY/HEIGHT FALLS AND AN ASSOCIATED FRONTAL SYSTEM SHOULD WORK ASHORE INTO CA AND INTO THE SWRN US HEADING INTO NEXT WEEKEND ALONG WITH A FEW SHOWERS AND SOME COOLING TEMPS. SCHICHTEL, day 3: ...Metadata... EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD 1042 AM EDT FRI APR 04 2014 VALID 12Z MON APR 07 2014 - 12Z FRI APR 11 2014 ...SENSIBLE WEATHER HIGHLIGHTS... LEAD EASTERN SYSTEM WILL SPREAD A LARGE AREA OF MODEST RAINS EAST OF 90W... WITH THE BEST CHANCE FOR HEAVIER RAIN IN THE SOUTHEAST. BELOW AVERAGE TEMPS ARE EXPECTED UNTIL THE TROUGH AXIS PASSES OFFSHORE LATE WED/D5... DOWN THROUGH FLORIDA AS THE FRONT PUSHES WELL TO THE SOUTH. THE WEST WILL SEE AN EXPANDING AREA OF ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES PUSH EASTWARD PAST THE ROCKIES AS HEIGHTS RISE THROUGH THE CENTRAL STATES. MODEST WARMING WILL PUSH INTO THE EASTERN CONUS LATER IN THE WEEK. PRECIPITATION NEXT THU-FRI SHOULD BE MINIMAL COMPARED TO THE RECENT HEAVY RAIN EVENTS... LIMITED TO THE NORTHERN TIER AS A SYSTEM PUSHES THROUGH SOUTHERN CANADA AND ALSO INTO SOME PORTIONS OF CALIFORNIA AS THE ENERGY NEARS THE COAST. SCHICHTEL
Given the meteorological reports from the last 1 days, generate meteorological reports for the current day and the next 2 days
The summaries of the weather reports for the last 2 days are day 1: ...Metadata... EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD 1200 PM EDT SUN APR 06 2014 VALID 12Z WED APR 09 2014 - 12Z SUN APR 13 2014 ...SENSIBLE WEATHER HIGHLIGHTS... IN THE WAKE OF THE EXITING LEAD EASTERN SYSTEM WED/D3... ANOTHER SHOT OF BELOW AVERAGE TEMPERATURES SHOULD PUSH THROUGH THE EAST BEFORE HEIGHTS RISE ALONG WITH SFC TEMPERATURES. A SECOND SYSTEM OF INTEREST SHOULD PUSH THROUGH SOUTHERN CANADA WITH GENERALLY LIGHT PRECIPITATION FOR THE US NORTHERN TIER. PRE-FRONTAL TEMPERATURES SHOULD WARM NICELY ACROSS MUCH OF THE CENTRAL THEN EASTERN CONUS LATE IN THE WEEK WITH MODEST COOLING BEHIND THE FRONT AS THE UPPER FLOW BECOMES MORE ZONAL. OUT WEST... PACIFIC TROUGH ENERGY/HEIGHT FALLS AND AN ASSOCIATED FRONTAL SYSTEM SHOULD WORK ASHORE INTO CA AND INTO THE SWRN US NEXT WEEKEND ALONG WITH SHOWERS AND SOME COOLING TEMPS. BY SUN/D7...TROUGH ENERGIES SHOULD ORGANIZE LOW PRESSURE THROUGH THE SRN PLAINS AND WITH A WAVY NWRN US/N-CENTRAL US FRONTAL SURGE THAT COMBINE TO AN INCREASE IN PRECIPITATION/CONVECTION WITH/AHEAD OF THE FRONTS...AND ESPECIALLY OVER THE CENTRAL US WITH POST-FRONTAL POTENTIAL FOR UPSLOPE ENHANCED SPRING CENTRAL ROCKIES SNOWS. SCHICHTEL, day 2: ...Metadata... EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD 1115 AM EDT SAT APR 05 2014 VALID 12Z TUE APR 08 2014 - 12Z SAT APR 12 2014 ...SENSIBLE WEATHER HIGHLIGHTS... EXITING LEAD EASTERN SYSTEM WILL TAKE ITS PRECIP SHIELD INTO THE NORTHEAST AND THEN CANADA AS THE FRONT PUSHES OFFSHORE... USHERING IN ANOTHER SHOT OF BELOW AVERAGE TEMPERATURES FOR THE EAST. A SECOND SYSTEM OF INTEREST SHOULD PUSH THROUGH SRN CANADA WITH GENERALLY LIGHT PRECIPITATION FOR THE US NRN TIER. PRE-FRONTAL TEMPERATURES SHOULD WARM NICELY ACROSS MUCH OF THE CENTRAL THEN ERN CONUS DAYS 4-6/WED-FRI...COOLING WITH WAVY FRONTAL PASSAGE THOUGH SWD PENETRATION SHOULD BE MEASURED AS THE UPPER FLOW BECOMES MORE ZONAL. OUT WEST...PACIFIC TROUGH ENERGY/HEIGHT FALLS AND AN ASSOCIATED FRONTAL SYSTEM SHOULD WORK ASHORE INTO CA AND INTO THE SWRN US HEADING INTO NEXT WEEKEND ALONG WITH A FEW SHOWERS AND SOME COOLING TEMPS. SCHICHTEL
The summaries of the weather reports for the current day and the next 3 days are day 1: ...Metadata... EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD 1200 PM EDT MON APR 07 2014 VALID 12Z THU APR 10 2014 - 12Z MON APR 14 2014 ...SENSIBLE WEATHER HIGHLIGHTS... A NORTHERN STREAM SYSTEM WILL PUSH THROUGH SOUTHERN CANADA WITH GENERALLY LIGHT PRECIPITATION FOR THE U.S. NORTHERN TIER AND THE ZONE BETWEEN I-40 AND I-70 ON THU/FRI. PRE-FRONTAL TEMPERATURES SHOULD WARM ACROSS MUCH OF THE OH VALLEY THEN INTO THE EASTERN CONUS LATE IN THE WEEK WITH MODEST COOLING BEHIND THE FRONT AS THE UPPER FLOW BECOMES MORE ZONAL. OUT WEST...PACIFIC TROUGH ENERGY/HEIGHT FALLS AND AN ASSOCIATED FRONTAL SYSTEM SHOULD WORK ASHORE INTO CA AND INTO THE SWRN US ALONG WITH LIGHT/SCATTERED SHOWERS AND SOME COOLING TEMPS. BY SUN-MON/D6-7...NORTHERN STREAM AND SOUTHERN STREAM ENERGY SHOULD SUPPORT COMBINED BUT ELONGATED FRONT WITH ORGANIZING SFC LOW PRESSURE THROUGH THE SOUTHERN PLAINS AND LOWER MS VALLEY. THIS SETS UP THE LIKELIHOOD OF WIDESPREAD PRECIPITATION...ALTHOUGH PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES ARE NOT FORECAST TO REACH MUCH ABOVE THE CLIMATOLOGICAL NORMALS. COOLER AIR ON THE BACK SIDE OF THIS SYSTEM WILL DROP THE NORTHERN PLAINS/MIDWEST TO 10-15 DEGREES BELOW AVERAGE. BURKE, day 2: ...Metadata... EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD 1200 PM EDT SUN APR 06 2014 VALID 12Z WED APR 09 2014 - 12Z SUN APR 13 2014 ...SENSIBLE WEATHER HIGHLIGHTS... IN THE WAKE OF THE EXITING LEAD EASTERN SYSTEM WED/D3... ANOTHER SHOT OF BELOW AVERAGE TEMPERATURES SHOULD PUSH THROUGH THE EAST BEFORE HEIGHTS RISE ALONG WITH SFC TEMPERATURES. A SECOND SYSTEM OF INTEREST SHOULD PUSH THROUGH SOUTHERN CANADA WITH GENERALLY LIGHT PRECIPITATION FOR THE US NORTHERN TIER. PRE-FRONTAL TEMPERATURES SHOULD WARM NICELY ACROSS MUCH OF THE CENTRAL THEN EASTERN CONUS LATE IN THE WEEK WITH MODEST COOLING BEHIND THE FRONT AS THE UPPER FLOW BECOMES MORE ZONAL. OUT WEST... PACIFIC TROUGH ENERGY/HEIGHT FALLS AND AN ASSOCIATED FRONTAL SYSTEM SHOULD WORK ASHORE INTO CA AND INTO THE SWRN US NEXT WEEKEND ALONG WITH SHOWERS AND SOME COOLING TEMPS. BY SUN/D7...TROUGH ENERGIES SHOULD ORGANIZE LOW PRESSURE THROUGH THE SRN PLAINS AND WITH A WAVY NWRN US/N-CENTRAL US FRONTAL SURGE THAT COMBINE TO AN INCREASE IN PRECIPITATION/CONVECTION WITH/AHEAD OF THE FRONTS...AND ESPECIALLY OVER THE CENTRAL US WITH POST-FRONTAL POTENTIAL FOR UPSLOPE ENHANCED SPRING CENTRAL ROCKIES SNOWS. SCHICHTEL, day 3: ...Metadata... EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD 1115 AM EDT SAT APR 05 2014 VALID 12Z TUE APR 08 2014 - 12Z SAT APR 12 2014 ...SENSIBLE WEATHER HIGHLIGHTS... EXITING LEAD EASTERN SYSTEM WILL TAKE ITS PRECIP SHIELD INTO THE NORTHEAST AND THEN CANADA AS THE FRONT PUSHES OFFSHORE... USHERING IN ANOTHER SHOT OF BELOW AVERAGE TEMPERATURES FOR THE EAST. A SECOND SYSTEM OF INTEREST SHOULD PUSH THROUGH SRN CANADA WITH GENERALLY LIGHT PRECIPITATION FOR THE US NRN TIER. PRE-FRONTAL TEMPERATURES SHOULD WARM NICELY ACROSS MUCH OF THE CENTRAL THEN ERN CONUS DAYS 4-6/WED-FRI...COOLING WITH WAVY FRONTAL PASSAGE THOUGH SWD PENETRATION SHOULD BE MEASURED AS THE UPPER FLOW BECOMES MORE ZONAL. OUT WEST...PACIFIC TROUGH ENERGY/HEIGHT FALLS AND AN ASSOCIATED FRONTAL SYSTEM SHOULD WORK ASHORE INTO CA AND INTO THE SWRN US HEADING INTO NEXT WEEKEND ALONG WITH A FEW SHOWERS AND SOME COOLING TEMPS. SCHICHTEL, day 4: ...Metadata... EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD 1042 AM EDT FRI APR 04 2014 VALID 12Z MON APR 07 2014 - 12Z FRI APR 11 2014 ...SENSIBLE WEATHER HIGHLIGHTS... LEAD EASTERN SYSTEM WILL SPREAD A LARGE AREA OF MODEST RAINS EAST OF 90W... WITH THE BEST CHANCE FOR HEAVIER RAIN IN THE SOUTHEAST. BELOW AVERAGE TEMPS ARE EXPECTED UNTIL THE TROUGH AXIS PASSES OFFSHORE LATE WED/D5... DOWN THROUGH FLORIDA AS THE FRONT PUSHES WELL TO THE SOUTH. THE WEST WILL SEE AN EXPANDING AREA OF ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES PUSH EASTWARD PAST THE ROCKIES AS HEIGHTS RISE THROUGH THE CENTRAL STATES. MODEST WARMING WILL PUSH INTO THE EASTERN CONUS LATER IN THE WEEK. PRECIPITATION NEXT THU-FRI SHOULD BE MINIMAL COMPARED TO THE RECENT HEAVY RAIN EVENTS... LIMITED TO THE NORTHERN TIER AS A SYSTEM PUSHES THROUGH SOUTHERN CANADA AND ALSO INTO SOME PORTIONS OF CALIFORNIA AS THE ENERGY NEARS THE COAST. SCHICHTEL
Given the meteorological reports from the last 2 days, generate meteorological reports for the current day and the next 3 days
The summaries of the weather reports for the last 5 days are day 1: ...Metadata... EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD 1200 PM EDT MON APR 07 2014 VALID 12Z THU APR 10 2014 - 12Z MON APR 14 2014 ...SENSIBLE WEATHER HIGHLIGHTS... A NORTHERN STREAM SYSTEM WILL PUSH THROUGH SOUTHERN CANADA WITH GENERALLY LIGHT PRECIPITATION FOR THE U.S. NORTHERN TIER AND THE ZONE BETWEEN I-40 AND I-70 ON THU/FRI. PRE-FRONTAL TEMPERATURES SHOULD WARM ACROSS MUCH OF THE OH VALLEY THEN INTO THE EASTERN CONUS LATE IN THE WEEK WITH MODEST COOLING BEHIND THE FRONT AS THE UPPER FLOW BECOMES MORE ZONAL. OUT WEST...PACIFIC TROUGH ENERGY/HEIGHT FALLS AND AN ASSOCIATED FRONTAL SYSTEM SHOULD WORK ASHORE INTO CA AND INTO THE SWRN US ALONG WITH LIGHT/SCATTERED SHOWERS AND SOME COOLING TEMPS. BY SUN-MON/D6-7...NORTHERN STREAM AND SOUTHERN STREAM ENERGY SHOULD SUPPORT COMBINED BUT ELONGATED FRONT WITH ORGANIZING SFC LOW PRESSURE THROUGH THE SOUTHERN PLAINS AND LOWER MS VALLEY. THIS SETS UP THE LIKELIHOOD OF WIDESPREAD PRECIPITATION...ALTHOUGH PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES ARE NOT FORECAST TO REACH MUCH ABOVE THE CLIMATOLOGICAL NORMALS. COOLER AIR ON THE BACK SIDE OF THIS SYSTEM WILL DROP THE NORTHERN PLAINS/MIDWEST TO 10-15 DEGREES BELOW AVERAGE. BURKE, day 2: ...Metadata... EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD 1200 PM EDT SUN APR 06 2014 VALID 12Z WED APR 09 2014 - 12Z SUN APR 13 2014 ...SENSIBLE WEATHER HIGHLIGHTS... IN THE WAKE OF THE EXITING LEAD EASTERN SYSTEM WED/D3... ANOTHER SHOT OF BELOW AVERAGE TEMPERATURES SHOULD PUSH THROUGH THE EAST BEFORE HEIGHTS RISE ALONG WITH SFC TEMPERATURES. A SECOND SYSTEM OF INTEREST SHOULD PUSH THROUGH SOUTHERN CANADA WITH GENERALLY LIGHT PRECIPITATION FOR THE US NORTHERN TIER. PRE-FRONTAL TEMPERATURES SHOULD WARM NICELY ACROSS MUCH OF THE CENTRAL THEN EASTERN CONUS LATE IN THE WEEK WITH MODEST COOLING BEHIND THE FRONT AS THE UPPER FLOW BECOMES MORE ZONAL. OUT WEST... PACIFIC TROUGH ENERGY/HEIGHT FALLS AND AN ASSOCIATED FRONTAL SYSTEM SHOULD WORK ASHORE INTO CA AND INTO THE SWRN US NEXT WEEKEND ALONG WITH SHOWERS AND SOME COOLING TEMPS. BY SUN/D7...TROUGH ENERGIES SHOULD ORGANIZE LOW PRESSURE THROUGH THE SRN PLAINS AND WITH A WAVY NWRN US/N-CENTRAL US FRONTAL SURGE THAT COMBINE TO AN INCREASE IN PRECIPITATION/CONVECTION WITH/AHEAD OF THE FRONTS...AND ESPECIALLY OVER THE CENTRAL US WITH POST-FRONTAL POTENTIAL FOR UPSLOPE ENHANCED SPRING CENTRAL ROCKIES SNOWS. SCHICHTEL, day 3: ...Metadata... EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD 1115 AM EDT SAT APR 05 2014 VALID 12Z TUE APR 08 2014 - 12Z SAT APR 12 2014 ...SENSIBLE WEATHER HIGHLIGHTS... EXITING LEAD EASTERN SYSTEM WILL TAKE ITS PRECIP SHIELD INTO THE NORTHEAST AND THEN CANADA AS THE FRONT PUSHES OFFSHORE... USHERING IN ANOTHER SHOT OF BELOW AVERAGE TEMPERATURES FOR THE EAST. A SECOND SYSTEM OF INTEREST SHOULD PUSH THROUGH SRN CANADA WITH GENERALLY LIGHT PRECIPITATION FOR THE US NRN TIER. PRE-FRONTAL TEMPERATURES SHOULD WARM NICELY ACROSS MUCH OF THE CENTRAL THEN ERN CONUS DAYS 4-6/WED-FRI...COOLING WITH WAVY FRONTAL PASSAGE THOUGH SWD PENETRATION SHOULD BE MEASURED AS THE UPPER FLOW BECOMES MORE ZONAL. OUT WEST...PACIFIC TROUGH ENERGY/HEIGHT FALLS AND AN ASSOCIATED FRONTAL SYSTEM SHOULD WORK ASHORE INTO CA AND INTO THE SWRN US HEADING INTO NEXT WEEKEND ALONG WITH A FEW SHOWERS AND SOME COOLING TEMPS. SCHICHTEL, day 4: ...Metadata... EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD 1042 AM EDT FRI APR 04 2014 VALID 12Z MON APR 07 2014 - 12Z FRI APR 11 2014 ...SENSIBLE WEATHER HIGHLIGHTS... LEAD EASTERN SYSTEM WILL SPREAD A LARGE AREA OF MODEST RAINS EAST OF 90W... WITH THE BEST CHANCE FOR HEAVIER RAIN IN THE SOUTHEAST. BELOW AVERAGE TEMPS ARE EXPECTED UNTIL THE TROUGH AXIS PASSES OFFSHORE LATE WED/D5... DOWN THROUGH FLORIDA AS THE FRONT PUSHES WELL TO THE SOUTH. THE WEST WILL SEE AN EXPANDING AREA OF ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES PUSH EASTWARD PAST THE ROCKIES AS HEIGHTS RISE THROUGH THE CENTRAL STATES. MODEST WARMING WILL PUSH INTO THE EASTERN CONUS LATER IN THE WEEK. PRECIPITATION NEXT THU-FRI SHOULD BE MINIMAL COMPARED TO THE RECENT HEAVY RAIN EVENTS... LIMITED TO THE NORTHERN TIER AS A SYSTEM PUSHES THROUGH SOUTHERN CANADA AND ALSO INTO SOME PORTIONS OF CALIFORNIA AS THE ENERGY NEARS THE COAST. SCHICHTEL, day 5: nan
The summaries of the weather reports for the current day and the next 4 days are day 1: ...Metadata... EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD 1146 AM EDT TUE APR 08 2014 VALID 12Z FRI APR 11 2014 - 12Z TUE APR 15 2014 THE GLOBAL NUMERICAL MODELS HAVE BEEN TRENDING SLOWER WITH THE SPLIT LONGWAVES CROSSING CENTRAL NORTH AMERICA AT THE MEDIUM RANGE. FOR THIS FORECAST, RELIED ON THE MOST RECENT ENSEMBLE MEANS THAT REFLECTED THE TREND, AVOIDING THE OPERATIONAL SOLUTIONS THAT WERE ENTIRELY ON ONE SIDE OF THE TRENDING FENCE OR THE OTHER--E.G. 00Z/08 ECMWF, 06Z/08 GFS. UNTIL THE TRENDING RESOLVES OVER THE NEXT COUPLE DAYS, CONFIDENCE IS LOW IN SMALLER-SCALE SYNOPTIC FEATURES. THE LARGER-SCALE EVENT DAYS 5 AND 6 HAS A TREMENDOUS ENERGETIC POTENTIAL. EVEN WITH MODEST PHASING OF THE EJECTING SOUTHWESTERN TROUGH AND THE POLAR JET, THE GULF OF MEXICO SHOULD OPEN WIDE. STRONG THUNDERSTORMS AND WIDESPREAD HEAVY SHOWERS ARE LIKELY OVER THE SOUTH CENTRAL STATES, WITH SNOW OVER THE CENTRAL AND NORTHERN ROCKIES, CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS, AND THE UPPER MIDWEST. CISCO, day 2: ...Metadata... EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD 1200 PM EDT MON APR 07 2014 VALID 12Z THU APR 10 2014 - 12Z MON APR 14 2014 ...SENSIBLE WEATHER HIGHLIGHTS... A NORTHERN STREAM SYSTEM WILL PUSH THROUGH SOUTHERN CANADA WITH GENERALLY LIGHT PRECIPITATION FOR THE U.S. NORTHERN TIER AND THE ZONE BETWEEN I-40 AND I-70 ON THU/FRI. PRE-FRONTAL TEMPERATURES SHOULD WARM ACROSS MUCH OF THE OH VALLEY THEN INTO THE EASTERN CONUS LATE IN THE WEEK WITH MODEST COOLING BEHIND THE FRONT AS THE UPPER FLOW BECOMES MORE ZONAL. OUT WEST...PACIFIC TROUGH ENERGY/HEIGHT FALLS AND AN ASSOCIATED FRONTAL SYSTEM SHOULD WORK ASHORE INTO CA AND INTO THE SWRN US ALONG WITH LIGHT/SCATTERED SHOWERS AND SOME COOLING TEMPS. BY SUN-MON/D6-7...NORTHERN STREAM AND SOUTHERN STREAM ENERGY SHOULD SUPPORT COMBINED BUT ELONGATED FRONT WITH ORGANIZING SFC LOW PRESSURE THROUGH THE SOUTHERN PLAINS AND LOWER MS VALLEY. THIS SETS UP THE LIKELIHOOD OF WIDESPREAD PRECIPITATION...ALTHOUGH PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES ARE NOT FORECAST TO REACH MUCH ABOVE THE CLIMATOLOGICAL NORMALS. COOLER AIR ON THE BACK SIDE OF THIS SYSTEM WILL DROP THE NORTHERN PLAINS/MIDWEST TO 10-15 DEGREES BELOW AVERAGE. BURKE, day 3: ...Metadata... EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD 1200 PM EDT SUN APR 06 2014 VALID 12Z WED APR 09 2014 - 12Z SUN APR 13 2014 ...SENSIBLE WEATHER HIGHLIGHTS... IN THE WAKE OF THE EXITING LEAD EASTERN SYSTEM WED/D3... ANOTHER SHOT OF BELOW AVERAGE TEMPERATURES SHOULD PUSH THROUGH THE EAST BEFORE HEIGHTS RISE ALONG WITH SFC TEMPERATURES. A SECOND SYSTEM OF INTEREST SHOULD PUSH THROUGH SOUTHERN CANADA WITH GENERALLY LIGHT PRECIPITATION FOR THE US NORTHERN TIER. PRE-FRONTAL TEMPERATURES SHOULD WARM NICELY ACROSS MUCH OF THE CENTRAL THEN EASTERN CONUS LATE IN THE WEEK WITH MODEST COOLING BEHIND THE FRONT AS THE UPPER FLOW BECOMES MORE ZONAL. OUT WEST... PACIFIC TROUGH ENERGY/HEIGHT FALLS AND AN ASSOCIATED FRONTAL SYSTEM SHOULD WORK ASHORE INTO CA AND INTO THE SWRN US NEXT WEEKEND ALONG WITH SHOWERS AND SOME COOLING TEMPS. BY SUN/D7...TROUGH ENERGIES SHOULD ORGANIZE LOW PRESSURE THROUGH THE SRN PLAINS AND WITH A WAVY NWRN US/N-CENTRAL US FRONTAL SURGE THAT COMBINE TO AN INCREASE IN PRECIPITATION/CONVECTION WITH/AHEAD OF THE FRONTS...AND ESPECIALLY OVER THE CENTRAL US WITH POST-FRONTAL POTENTIAL FOR UPSLOPE ENHANCED SPRING CENTRAL ROCKIES SNOWS. SCHICHTEL, day 4: ...Metadata... EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD 1115 AM EDT SAT APR 05 2014 VALID 12Z TUE APR 08 2014 - 12Z SAT APR 12 2014 ...SENSIBLE WEATHER HIGHLIGHTS... EXITING LEAD EASTERN SYSTEM WILL TAKE ITS PRECIP SHIELD INTO THE NORTHEAST AND THEN CANADA AS THE FRONT PUSHES OFFSHORE... USHERING IN ANOTHER SHOT OF BELOW AVERAGE TEMPERATURES FOR THE EAST. A SECOND SYSTEM OF INTEREST SHOULD PUSH THROUGH SRN CANADA WITH GENERALLY LIGHT PRECIPITATION FOR THE US NRN TIER. PRE-FRONTAL TEMPERATURES SHOULD WARM NICELY ACROSS MUCH OF THE CENTRAL THEN ERN CONUS DAYS 4-6/WED-FRI...COOLING WITH WAVY FRONTAL PASSAGE THOUGH SWD PENETRATION SHOULD BE MEASURED AS THE UPPER FLOW BECOMES MORE ZONAL. OUT WEST...PACIFIC TROUGH ENERGY/HEIGHT FALLS AND AN ASSOCIATED FRONTAL SYSTEM SHOULD WORK ASHORE INTO CA AND INTO THE SWRN US HEADING INTO NEXT WEEKEND ALONG WITH A FEW SHOWERS AND SOME COOLING TEMPS. SCHICHTEL, day 5: ...Metadata... EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD 1042 AM EDT FRI APR 04 2014 VALID 12Z MON APR 07 2014 - 12Z FRI APR 11 2014 ...SENSIBLE WEATHER HIGHLIGHTS... LEAD EASTERN SYSTEM WILL SPREAD A LARGE AREA OF MODEST RAINS EAST OF 90W... WITH THE BEST CHANCE FOR HEAVIER RAIN IN THE SOUTHEAST. BELOW AVERAGE TEMPS ARE EXPECTED UNTIL THE TROUGH AXIS PASSES OFFSHORE LATE WED/D5... DOWN THROUGH FLORIDA AS THE FRONT PUSHES WELL TO THE SOUTH. THE WEST WILL SEE AN EXPANDING AREA OF ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES PUSH EASTWARD PAST THE ROCKIES AS HEIGHTS RISE THROUGH THE CENTRAL STATES. MODEST WARMING WILL PUSH INTO THE EASTERN CONUS LATER IN THE WEEK. PRECIPITATION NEXT THU-FRI SHOULD BE MINIMAL COMPARED TO THE RECENT HEAVY RAIN EVENTS... LIMITED TO THE NORTHERN TIER AS A SYSTEM PUSHES THROUGH SOUTHERN CANADA AND ALSO INTO SOME PORTIONS OF CALIFORNIA AS THE ENERGY NEARS THE COAST. SCHICHTEL
Given the meteorological reports from the last 5 days, generate meteorological reports for the current day and the next 4 days
The summaries of the weather reports for the last 6 days are day 1: ...Metadata... EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD 1146 AM EDT TUE APR 08 2014 VALID 12Z FRI APR 11 2014 - 12Z TUE APR 15 2014 THE GLOBAL NUMERICAL MODELS HAVE BEEN TRENDING SLOWER WITH THE SPLIT LONGWAVES CROSSING CENTRAL NORTH AMERICA AT THE MEDIUM RANGE. FOR THIS FORECAST, RELIED ON THE MOST RECENT ENSEMBLE MEANS THAT REFLECTED THE TREND, AVOIDING THE OPERATIONAL SOLUTIONS THAT WERE ENTIRELY ON ONE SIDE OF THE TRENDING FENCE OR THE OTHER--E.G. 00Z/08 ECMWF, 06Z/08 GFS. UNTIL THE TRENDING RESOLVES OVER THE NEXT COUPLE DAYS, CONFIDENCE IS LOW IN SMALLER-SCALE SYNOPTIC FEATURES. THE LARGER-SCALE EVENT DAYS 5 AND 6 HAS A TREMENDOUS ENERGETIC POTENTIAL. EVEN WITH MODEST PHASING OF THE EJECTING SOUTHWESTERN TROUGH AND THE POLAR JET, THE GULF OF MEXICO SHOULD OPEN WIDE. STRONG THUNDERSTORMS AND WIDESPREAD HEAVY SHOWERS ARE LIKELY OVER THE SOUTH CENTRAL STATES, WITH SNOW OVER THE CENTRAL AND NORTHERN ROCKIES, CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS, AND THE UPPER MIDWEST. CISCO, day 2: ...Metadata... EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD 1200 PM EDT MON APR 07 2014 VALID 12Z THU APR 10 2014 - 12Z MON APR 14 2014 ...SENSIBLE WEATHER HIGHLIGHTS... A NORTHERN STREAM SYSTEM WILL PUSH THROUGH SOUTHERN CANADA WITH GENERALLY LIGHT PRECIPITATION FOR THE U.S. NORTHERN TIER AND THE ZONE BETWEEN I-40 AND I-70 ON THU/FRI. PRE-FRONTAL TEMPERATURES SHOULD WARM ACROSS MUCH OF THE OH VALLEY THEN INTO THE EASTERN CONUS LATE IN THE WEEK WITH MODEST COOLING BEHIND THE FRONT AS THE UPPER FLOW BECOMES MORE ZONAL. OUT WEST...PACIFIC TROUGH ENERGY/HEIGHT FALLS AND AN ASSOCIATED FRONTAL SYSTEM SHOULD WORK ASHORE INTO CA AND INTO THE SWRN US ALONG WITH LIGHT/SCATTERED SHOWERS AND SOME COOLING TEMPS. BY SUN-MON/D6-7...NORTHERN STREAM AND SOUTHERN STREAM ENERGY SHOULD SUPPORT COMBINED BUT ELONGATED FRONT WITH ORGANIZING SFC LOW PRESSURE THROUGH THE SOUTHERN PLAINS AND LOWER MS VALLEY. THIS SETS UP THE LIKELIHOOD OF WIDESPREAD PRECIPITATION...ALTHOUGH PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES ARE NOT FORECAST TO REACH MUCH ABOVE THE CLIMATOLOGICAL NORMALS. COOLER AIR ON THE BACK SIDE OF THIS SYSTEM WILL DROP THE NORTHERN PLAINS/MIDWEST TO 10-15 DEGREES BELOW AVERAGE. BURKE, day 3: ...Metadata... EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD 1200 PM EDT SUN APR 06 2014 VALID 12Z WED APR 09 2014 - 12Z SUN APR 13 2014 ...SENSIBLE WEATHER HIGHLIGHTS... IN THE WAKE OF THE EXITING LEAD EASTERN SYSTEM WED/D3... ANOTHER SHOT OF BELOW AVERAGE TEMPERATURES SHOULD PUSH THROUGH THE EAST BEFORE HEIGHTS RISE ALONG WITH SFC TEMPERATURES. A SECOND SYSTEM OF INTEREST SHOULD PUSH THROUGH SOUTHERN CANADA WITH GENERALLY LIGHT PRECIPITATION FOR THE US NORTHERN TIER. PRE-FRONTAL TEMPERATURES SHOULD WARM NICELY ACROSS MUCH OF THE CENTRAL THEN EASTERN CONUS LATE IN THE WEEK WITH MODEST COOLING BEHIND THE FRONT AS THE UPPER FLOW BECOMES MORE ZONAL. OUT WEST... PACIFIC TROUGH ENERGY/HEIGHT FALLS AND AN ASSOCIATED FRONTAL SYSTEM SHOULD WORK ASHORE INTO CA AND INTO THE SWRN US NEXT WEEKEND ALONG WITH SHOWERS AND SOME COOLING TEMPS. BY SUN/D7...TROUGH ENERGIES SHOULD ORGANIZE LOW PRESSURE THROUGH THE SRN PLAINS AND WITH A WAVY NWRN US/N-CENTRAL US FRONTAL SURGE THAT COMBINE TO AN INCREASE IN PRECIPITATION/CONVECTION WITH/AHEAD OF THE FRONTS...AND ESPECIALLY OVER THE CENTRAL US WITH POST-FRONTAL POTENTIAL FOR UPSLOPE ENHANCED SPRING CENTRAL ROCKIES SNOWS. SCHICHTEL, day 4: ...Metadata... EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD 1115 AM EDT SAT APR 05 2014 VALID 12Z TUE APR 08 2014 - 12Z SAT APR 12 2014 ...SENSIBLE WEATHER HIGHLIGHTS... EXITING LEAD EASTERN SYSTEM WILL TAKE ITS PRECIP SHIELD INTO THE NORTHEAST AND THEN CANADA AS THE FRONT PUSHES OFFSHORE... USHERING IN ANOTHER SHOT OF BELOW AVERAGE TEMPERATURES FOR THE EAST. A SECOND SYSTEM OF INTEREST SHOULD PUSH THROUGH SRN CANADA WITH GENERALLY LIGHT PRECIPITATION FOR THE US NRN TIER. PRE-FRONTAL TEMPERATURES SHOULD WARM NICELY ACROSS MUCH OF THE CENTRAL THEN ERN CONUS DAYS 4-6/WED-FRI...COOLING WITH WAVY FRONTAL PASSAGE THOUGH SWD PENETRATION SHOULD BE MEASURED AS THE UPPER FLOW BECOMES MORE ZONAL. OUT WEST...PACIFIC TROUGH ENERGY/HEIGHT FALLS AND AN ASSOCIATED FRONTAL SYSTEM SHOULD WORK ASHORE INTO CA AND INTO THE SWRN US HEADING INTO NEXT WEEKEND ALONG WITH A FEW SHOWERS AND SOME COOLING TEMPS. SCHICHTEL, day 5: ...Metadata... EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD 1042 AM EDT FRI APR 04 2014 VALID 12Z MON APR 07 2014 - 12Z FRI APR 11 2014 ...SENSIBLE WEATHER HIGHLIGHTS... LEAD EASTERN SYSTEM WILL SPREAD A LARGE AREA OF MODEST RAINS EAST OF 90W... WITH THE BEST CHANCE FOR HEAVIER RAIN IN THE SOUTHEAST. BELOW AVERAGE TEMPS ARE EXPECTED UNTIL THE TROUGH AXIS PASSES OFFSHORE LATE WED/D5... DOWN THROUGH FLORIDA AS THE FRONT PUSHES WELL TO THE SOUTH. THE WEST WILL SEE AN EXPANDING AREA OF ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES PUSH EASTWARD PAST THE ROCKIES AS HEIGHTS RISE THROUGH THE CENTRAL STATES. MODEST WARMING WILL PUSH INTO THE EASTERN CONUS LATER IN THE WEEK. PRECIPITATION NEXT THU-FRI SHOULD BE MINIMAL COMPARED TO THE RECENT HEAVY RAIN EVENTS... LIMITED TO THE NORTHERN TIER AS A SYSTEM PUSHES THROUGH SOUTHERN CANADA AND ALSO INTO SOME PORTIONS OF CALIFORNIA AS THE ENERGY NEARS THE COAST. SCHICHTEL, day 6: nan
The summaries of the weather reports for the current day and the next 2 days are day 1: ...Metadata... EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD 1153 AM EDT WED APR 09 2014 VALID 12Z SAT APR 12 2014 - 12Z WED APR 16 2014 ...MAJOR SPRING STORM FOR THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN STATES... THE CLUSTERING HAS TIGHTENED WITH REGARD TO THE EVOLUTION OF THE LONGWAVE PATTERN ACROSS THE NATION AT THE MEDIUM RANGE, WITH MOST SOLUTIONS INDICATING A SPRAWLING, COMPLEX CYCLONE TAKING SHAPE OVER THE PLAINS SUNDAY AND MONDAY. MANY ELEMENTS APPEAR TO CONVERGE FOR THIS EVENT--THE CLOSED LOW EJECTING ACROSS CALIFORNIA SATURDAY, AN AMPLIFYING POLAR JET, AND TWO DISTINCT INTRUSIONS OF ARCTIC AIR. FOLLOWED THE HYBRID MASS FIELDS OF THE 00Z/09 ECENS MEAN, WITH A STRONG VOTE OF CONFIDENCE FROM THE 06Z/09 GEFS MEAN. THE ONLY CAMP NOT ON BOARD WITH THE WHOLE EVENT IS THE CANADIAN SUITE. MULTI-DAY TRENDS AND MODEL CONSENSUS POINT TO THE EVOLUTION DEPICTED BY THE MANUAL PROGS, SO CONFIDENCE IS A BIT HIGHER THAN MIGHT OTHERWISE BE EXPECTED WITH A WHOLE MODELING CENTER SUITE OUT OF SYNC. THE SENSIBLE WEATHER THREATS WITH THE BIG SYSTEM ARE MANY, AND DIFFER WITH TIME. INITIALLY, PARTS OF THE ROCKY MOUNTAIN CHAIN AND ADJACENT HIGH PLAINS WILL LIKELY SEE HEAVY SNOW, WITH HIGH WINDS AND LOW TEMPERATURES FROM EASTERN MONTANA TO EASTERN COLORADO AT THE HEIGHT OF THE UPSLOPE. AS THE EVER-DEEPENING CIRCULATION PULLS ONTO THE LOWER PLAINS, THE GULF OF MEXICO SHOULD BE TAPPED IN EARNEST, WITH OUTBREAKS OF HEAVY SHOWERS--AND EVENTUALLY STRONG THUNDERSTORMS--AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT. ONCE THE BULK OF THE SYSTEM REACHES THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER, THE VERY STRONG COLD FRONT WILL DIVIDE SOAKING RAINS TO THE EAST FROM HEAVY SNOWS TO THE NORTHWEST. IF THE HEIGHTS REMAIN LOW ENOUGH WHEN THE STORM REACHES THE APPALACHIANS AND INTERIOR NORTHEAST, LATE-SEASON SNOWS ARE POSSIBLE THERE AS WELL. CISCO, day 2: ...Metadata... EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD 1146 AM EDT TUE APR 08 2014 VALID 12Z FRI APR 11 2014 - 12Z TUE APR 15 2014 THE GLOBAL NUMERICAL MODELS HAVE BEEN TRENDING SLOWER WITH THE SPLIT LONGWAVES CROSSING CENTRAL NORTH AMERICA AT THE MEDIUM RANGE. FOR THIS FORECAST, RELIED ON THE MOST RECENT ENSEMBLE MEANS THAT REFLECTED THE TREND, AVOIDING THE OPERATIONAL SOLUTIONS THAT WERE ENTIRELY ON ONE SIDE OF THE TRENDING FENCE OR THE OTHER--E.G. 00Z/08 ECMWF, 06Z/08 GFS. UNTIL THE TRENDING RESOLVES OVER THE NEXT COUPLE DAYS, CONFIDENCE IS LOW IN SMALLER-SCALE SYNOPTIC FEATURES. THE LARGER-SCALE EVENT DAYS 5 AND 6 HAS A TREMENDOUS ENERGETIC POTENTIAL. EVEN WITH MODEST PHASING OF THE EJECTING SOUTHWESTERN TROUGH AND THE POLAR JET, THE GULF OF MEXICO SHOULD OPEN WIDE. STRONG THUNDERSTORMS AND WIDESPREAD HEAVY SHOWERS ARE LIKELY OVER THE SOUTH CENTRAL STATES, WITH SNOW OVER THE CENTRAL AND NORTHERN ROCKIES, CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS, AND THE UPPER MIDWEST. CISCO, day 3: ...Metadata... EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD 1200 PM EDT MON APR 07 2014 VALID 12Z THU APR 10 2014 - 12Z MON APR 14 2014 ...SENSIBLE WEATHER HIGHLIGHTS... A NORTHERN STREAM SYSTEM WILL PUSH THROUGH SOUTHERN CANADA WITH GENERALLY LIGHT PRECIPITATION FOR THE U.S. NORTHERN TIER AND THE ZONE BETWEEN I-40 AND I-70 ON THU/FRI. PRE-FRONTAL TEMPERATURES SHOULD WARM ACROSS MUCH OF THE OH VALLEY THEN INTO THE EASTERN CONUS LATE IN THE WEEK WITH MODEST COOLING BEHIND THE FRONT AS THE UPPER FLOW BECOMES MORE ZONAL. OUT WEST...PACIFIC TROUGH ENERGY/HEIGHT FALLS AND AN ASSOCIATED FRONTAL SYSTEM SHOULD WORK ASHORE INTO CA AND INTO THE SWRN US ALONG WITH LIGHT/SCATTERED SHOWERS AND SOME COOLING TEMPS. BY SUN-MON/D6-7...NORTHERN STREAM AND SOUTHERN STREAM ENERGY SHOULD SUPPORT COMBINED BUT ELONGATED FRONT WITH ORGANIZING SFC LOW PRESSURE THROUGH THE SOUTHERN PLAINS AND LOWER MS VALLEY. THIS SETS UP THE LIKELIHOOD OF WIDESPREAD PRECIPITATION...ALTHOUGH PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES ARE NOT FORECAST TO REACH MUCH ABOVE THE CLIMATOLOGICAL NORMALS. COOLER AIR ON THE BACK SIDE OF THIS SYSTEM WILL DROP THE NORTHERN PLAINS/MIDWEST TO 10-15 DEGREES BELOW AVERAGE. BURKE
Given the meteorological reports from the last 6 days, generate meteorological reports for the current day and the next 2 days
The summaries of the weather reports for the last 1 days are day 1: ...Metadata... EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD 1153 AM EDT WED APR 09 2014 VALID 12Z SAT APR 12 2014 - 12Z WED APR 16 2014 ...MAJOR SPRING STORM FOR THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN STATES... THE CLUSTERING HAS TIGHTENED WITH REGARD TO THE EVOLUTION OF THE LONGWAVE PATTERN ACROSS THE NATION AT THE MEDIUM RANGE, WITH MOST SOLUTIONS INDICATING A SPRAWLING, COMPLEX CYCLONE TAKING SHAPE OVER THE PLAINS SUNDAY AND MONDAY. MANY ELEMENTS APPEAR TO CONVERGE FOR THIS EVENT--THE CLOSED LOW EJECTING ACROSS CALIFORNIA SATURDAY, AN AMPLIFYING POLAR JET, AND TWO DISTINCT INTRUSIONS OF ARCTIC AIR. FOLLOWED THE HYBRID MASS FIELDS OF THE 00Z/09 ECENS MEAN, WITH A STRONG VOTE OF CONFIDENCE FROM THE 06Z/09 GEFS MEAN. THE ONLY CAMP NOT ON BOARD WITH THE WHOLE EVENT IS THE CANADIAN SUITE. MULTI-DAY TRENDS AND MODEL CONSENSUS POINT TO THE EVOLUTION DEPICTED BY THE MANUAL PROGS, SO CONFIDENCE IS A BIT HIGHER THAN MIGHT OTHERWISE BE EXPECTED WITH A WHOLE MODELING CENTER SUITE OUT OF SYNC. THE SENSIBLE WEATHER THREATS WITH THE BIG SYSTEM ARE MANY, AND DIFFER WITH TIME. INITIALLY, PARTS OF THE ROCKY MOUNTAIN CHAIN AND ADJACENT HIGH PLAINS WILL LIKELY SEE HEAVY SNOW, WITH HIGH WINDS AND LOW TEMPERATURES FROM EASTERN MONTANA TO EASTERN COLORADO AT THE HEIGHT OF THE UPSLOPE. AS THE EVER-DEEPENING CIRCULATION PULLS ONTO THE LOWER PLAINS, THE GULF OF MEXICO SHOULD BE TAPPED IN EARNEST, WITH OUTBREAKS OF HEAVY SHOWERS--AND EVENTUALLY STRONG THUNDERSTORMS--AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT. ONCE THE BULK OF THE SYSTEM REACHES THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER, THE VERY STRONG COLD FRONT WILL DIVIDE SOAKING RAINS TO THE EAST FROM HEAVY SNOWS TO THE NORTHWEST. IF THE HEIGHTS REMAIN LOW ENOUGH WHEN THE STORM REACHES THE APPALACHIANS AND INTERIOR NORTHEAST, LATE-SEASON SNOWS ARE POSSIBLE THERE AS WELL. CISCO
The summaries of the weather reports for the current day and the next 3 days are day 1: ...Metadata... EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD 1154 AM EDT THU APR 10 2014 VALID 12Z SUN APR 13 2014 - 12Z THU APR 17 2014 ...MAJOR SPRING STORM FROM THE ROCKIES TO THE EAST COAST... THE CONVERGENCE OF HIGHLY DISPARATE AIRMASSES OVER THE CENTRAL STATES SUNDAY AND MONDAY IS EXPECTED TO FOCUS AN EXTREMELY ENERGETIC COLD FRONT AND DRYLINE SYSTEM. ON THE COLD SIDE OF THE BAROCLINIC ZONE, GUSTY WINDS AND HEAVY UPSLOPE SNOWS ARE ANTICIPATED OVER THE CENTRAL AND NORTHERN ROCKIES AND CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS SUNDAY. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY SUNDAY AFTERNOON INTO SUNDAY EVENING OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS INTO THE ARKLATEX, WHERE REMARKABLE DISCONTINUITIES ARE PROGGED ALONG THE SOUTHWARD-PLUNGING COLD FRONT AND PACIFIC-REINFORCED DRYLINE. AS THE SYSTEM EVOLVES EASTWARD SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY, A GRADUAL SHIFT FROM SEVERE WEATHER TO WIDESPREAD HEAVY SHOWERS SHOULD MARK THE WARM SECTOR, WITH A NEW SWATH OF SNOW BLOOMING ACROSS THE UPPER MIDWEST AND GREAT LAKES. THE ENTIRE COMPLEX SHOULD HIT THE WALL OF THE WESTERN ATLANTIC RIDGE ASTRIDE THE APPALACHIANS EARLY TUESDAY--PRESERVING OR EVEN STRENGTHENING THE DISCONTINUOUS NATURE OF THE THEN MERIDIONALLY-ORIENTED COLD FRONT. USED RECENT OPERATIONAL ECMWF RUNS FOR THE DETAILS OF THIS SPRAWLING SYSTEM THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING DUE TO THAT MODEL'S STABILITY FOR THE PAST FEW CYCLES. BY WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY, SWITCHED TO THE 00Z/10 ECENS MEAN--AS SUPPORTED BY THE NAEFS MEAN--AS GUIDANCE FOR THE FLOW IN THE WAKE OF THE BIG FRONT. ONE OF THE BIGGEST UNCERTAINTIES LATE TUESDAY INTO THURSDAY IS HOW MUCH MOISTURE AND FORCING REMAIN BEHIND THE FRONT OVER THE EAST. OF PARTICULAR CONCERN IS THE POSSIBILITY OF HEAVY LATE-SEASON SNOWFALL IN THE APPALACHIANS AND INTERIOR NORTHEAST IF THE WHOLE SYSTEM GETS HUNG UP JUST OFFSHORE. THE ONLY PART OF THE NATION SHELTERED FROM THE ENERGETIC PATTERN APPEARS TO BE THE SOUTHWEST. CISCO, day 2: ...Metadata... EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD 1153 AM EDT WED APR 09 2014 VALID 12Z SAT APR 12 2014 - 12Z WED APR 16 2014 ...MAJOR SPRING STORM FOR THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN STATES... THE CLUSTERING HAS TIGHTENED WITH REGARD TO THE EVOLUTION OF THE LONGWAVE PATTERN ACROSS THE NATION AT THE MEDIUM RANGE, WITH MOST SOLUTIONS INDICATING A SPRAWLING, COMPLEX CYCLONE TAKING SHAPE OVER THE PLAINS SUNDAY AND MONDAY. MANY ELEMENTS APPEAR TO CONVERGE FOR THIS EVENT--THE CLOSED LOW EJECTING ACROSS CALIFORNIA SATURDAY, AN AMPLIFYING POLAR JET, AND TWO DISTINCT INTRUSIONS OF ARCTIC AIR. FOLLOWED THE HYBRID MASS FIELDS OF THE 00Z/09 ECENS MEAN, WITH A STRONG VOTE OF CONFIDENCE FROM THE 06Z/09 GEFS MEAN. THE ONLY CAMP NOT ON BOARD WITH THE WHOLE EVENT IS THE CANADIAN SUITE. MULTI-DAY TRENDS AND MODEL CONSENSUS POINT TO THE EVOLUTION DEPICTED BY THE MANUAL PROGS, SO CONFIDENCE IS A BIT HIGHER THAN MIGHT OTHERWISE BE EXPECTED WITH A WHOLE MODELING CENTER SUITE OUT OF SYNC. THE SENSIBLE WEATHER THREATS WITH THE BIG SYSTEM ARE MANY, AND DIFFER WITH TIME. INITIALLY, PARTS OF THE ROCKY MOUNTAIN CHAIN AND ADJACENT HIGH PLAINS WILL LIKELY SEE HEAVY SNOW, WITH HIGH WINDS AND LOW TEMPERATURES FROM EASTERN MONTANA TO EASTERN COLORADO AT THE HEIGHT OF THE UPSLOPE. AS THE EVER-DEEPENING CIRCULATION PULLS ONTO THE LOWER PLAINS, THE GULF OF MEXICO SHOULD BE TAPPED IN EARNEST, WITH OUTBREAKS OF HEAVY SHOWERS--AND EVENTUALLY STRONG THUNDERSTORMS--AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT. ONCE THE BULK OF THE SYSTEM REACHES THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER, THE VERY STRONG COLD FRONT WILL DIVIDE SOAKING RAINS TO THE EAST FROM HEAVY SNOWS TO THE NORTHWEST. IF THE HEIGHTS REMAIN LOW ENOUGH WHEN THE STORM REACHES THE APPALACHIANS AND INTERIOR NORTHEAST, LATE-SEASON SNOWS ARE POSSIBLE THERE AS WELL. CISCO, day 3: ...Metadata... EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD 1146 AM EDT TUE APR 08 2014 VALID 12Z FRI APR 11 2014 - 12Z TUE APR 15 2014 THE GLOBAL NUMERICAL MODELS HAVE BEEN TRENDING SLOWER WITH THE SPLIT LONGWAVES CROSSING CENTRAL NORTH AMERICA AT THE MEDIUM RANGE. FOR THIS FORECAST, RELIED ON THE MOST RECENT ENSEMBLE MEANS THAT REFLECTED THE TREND, AVOIDING THE OPERATIONAL SOLUTIONS THAT WERE ENTIRELY ON ONE SIDE OF THE TRENDING FENCE OR THE OTHER--E.G. 00Z/08 ECMWF, 06Z/08 GFS. UNTIL THE TRENDING RESOLVES OVER THE NEXT COUPLE DAYS, CONFIDENCE IS LOW IN SMALLER-SCALE SYNOPTIC FEATURES. THE LARGER-SCALE EVENT DAYS 5 AND 6 HAS A TREMENDOUS ENERGETIC POTENTIAL. EVEN WITH MODEST PHASING OF THE EJECTING SOUTHWESTERN TROUGH AND THE POLAR JET, THE GULF OF MEXICO SHOULD OPEN WIDE. STRONG THUNDERSTORMS AND WIDESPREAD HEAVY SHOWERS ARE LIKELY OVER THE SOUTH CENTRAL STATES, WITH SNOW OVER THE CENTRAL AND NORTHERN ROCKIES, CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS, AND THE UPPER MIDWEST. CISCO, day 4: ...Metadata... EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD 1200 PM EDT MON APR 07 2014 VALID 12Z THU APR 10 2014 - 12Z MON APR 14 2014 ...SENSIBLE WEATHER HIGHLIGHTS... A NORTHERN STREAM SYSTEM WILL PUSH THROUGH SOUTHERN CANADA WITH GENERALLY LIGHT PRECIPITATION FOR THE U.S. NORTHERN TIER AND THE ZONE BETWEEN I-40 AND I-70 ON THU/FRI. PRE-FRONTAL TEMPERATURES SHOULD WARM ACROSS MUCH OF THE OH VALLEY THEN INTO THE EASTERN CONUS LATE IN THE WEEK WITH MODEST COOLING BEHIND THE FRONT AS THE UPPER FLOW BECOMES MORE ZONAL. OUT WEST...PACIFIC TROUGH ENERGY/HEIGHT FALLS AND AN ASSOCIATED FRONTAL SYSTEM SHOULD WORK ASHORE INTO CA AND INTO THE SWRN US ALONG WITH LIGHT/SCATTERED SHOWERS AND SOME COOLING TEMPS. BY SUN-MON/D6-7...NORTHERN STREAM AND SOUTHERN STREAM ENERGY SHOULD SUPPORT COMBINED BUT ELONGATED FRONT WITH ORGANIZING SFC LOW PRESSURE THROUGH THE SOUTHERN PLAINS AND LOWER MS VALLEY. THIS SETS UP THE LIKELIHOOD OF WIDESPREAD PRECIPITATION...ALTHOUGH PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES ARE NOT FORECAST TO REACH MUCH ABOVE THE CLIMATOLOGICAL NORMALS. COOLER AIR ON THE BACK SIDE OF THIS SYSTEM WILL DROP THE NORTHERN PLAINS/MIDWEST TO 10-15 DEGREES BELOW AVERAGE. BURKE
Given the meteorological reports from the last 1 days, generate meteorological reports for the current day and the next 3 days
The summaries of the weather reports for the last 4 days are day 1: ...Metadata... EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD 1154 AM EDT THU APR 10 2014 VALID 12Z SUN APR 13 2014 - 12Z THU APR 17 2014 ...MAJOR SPRING STORM FROM THE ROCKIES TO THE EAST COAST... THE CONVERGENCE OF HIGHLY DISPARATE AIRMASSES OVER THE CENTRAL STATES SUNDAY AND MONDAY IS EXPECTED TO FOCUS AN EXTREMELY ENERGETIC COLD FRONT AND DRYLINE SYSTEM. ON THE COLD SIDE OF THE BAROCLINIC ZONE, GUSTY WINDS AND HEAVY UPSLOPE SNOWS ARE ANTICIPATED OVER THE CENTRAL AND NORTHERN ROCKIES AND CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS SUNDAY. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY SUNDAY AFTERNOON INTO SUNDAY EVENING OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS INTO THE ARKLATEX, WHERE REMARKABLE DISCONTINUITIES ARE PROGGED ALONG THE SOUTHWARD-PLUNGING COLD FRONT AND PACIFIC-REINFORCED DRYLINE. AS THE SYSTEM EVOLVES EASTWARD SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY, A GRADUAL SHIFT FROM SEVERE WEATHER TO WIDESPREAD HEAVY SHOWERS SHOULD MARK THE WARM SECTOR, WITH A NEW SWATH OF SNOW BLOOMING ACROSS THE UPPER MIDWEST AND GREAT LAKES. THE ENTIRE COMPLEX SHOULD HIT THE WALL OF THE WESTERN ATLANTIC RIDGE ASTRIDE THE APPALACHIANS EARLY TUESDAY--PRESERVING OR EVEN STRENGTHENING THE DISCONTINUOUS NATURE OF THE THEN MERIDIONALLY-ORIENTED COLD FRONT. USED RECENT OPERATIONAL ECMWF RUNS FOR THE DETAILS OF THIS SPRAWLING SYSTEM THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING DUE TO THAT MODEL'S STABILITY FOR THE PAST FEW CYCLES. BY WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY, SWITCHED TO THE 00Z/10 ECENS MEAN--AS SUPPORTED BY THE NAEFS MEAN--AS GUIDANCE FOR THE FLOW IN THE WAKE OF THE BIG FRONT. ONE OF THE BIGGEST UNCERTAINTIES LATE TUESDAY INTO THURSDAY IS HOW MUCH MOISTURE AND FORCING REMAIN BEHIND THE FRONT OVER THE EAST. OF PARTICULAR CONCERN IS THE POSSIBILITY OF HEAVY LATE-SEASON SNOWFALL IN THE APPALACHIANS AND INTERIOR NORTHEAST IF THE WHOLE SYSTEM GETS HUNG UP JUST OFFSHORE. THE ONLY PART OF THE NATION SHELTERED FROM THE ENERGETIC PATTERN APPEARS TO BE THE SOUTHWEST. CISCO, day 2: ...Metadata... EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD 1153 AM EDT WED APR 09 2014 VALID 12Z SAT APR 12 2014 - 12Z WED APR 16 2014 ...MAJOR SPRING STORM FOR THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN STATES... THE CLUSTERING HAS TIGHTENED WITH REGARD TO THE EVOLUTION OF THE LONGWAVE PATTERN ACROSS THE NATION AT THE MEDIUM RANGE, WITH MOST SOLUTIONS INDICATING A SPRAWLING, COMPLEX CYCLONE TAKING SHAPE OVER THE PLAINS SUNDAY AND MONDAY. MANY ELEMENTS APPEAR TO CONVERGE FOR THIS EVENT--THE CLOSED LOW EJECTING ACROSS CALIFORNIA SATURDAY, AN AMPLIFYING POLAR JET, AND TWO DISTINCT INTRUSIONS OF ARCTIC AIR. FOLLOWED THE HYBRID MASS FIELDS OF THE 00Z/09 ECENS MEAN, WITH A STRONG VOTE OF CONFIDENCE FROM THE 06Z/09 GEFS MEAN. THE ONLY CAMP NOT ON BOARD WITH THE WHOLE EVENT IS THE CANADIAN SUITE. MULTI-DAY TRENDS AND MODEL CONSENSUS POINT TO THE EVOLUTION DEPICTED BY THE MANUAL PROGS, SO CONFIDENCE IS A BIT HIGHER THAN MIGHT OTHERWISE BE EXPECTED WITH A WHOLE MODELING CENTER SUITE OUT OF SYNC. THE SENSIBLE WEATHER THREATS WITH THE BIG SYSTEM ARE MANY, AND DIFFER WITH TIME. INITIALLY, PARTS OF THE ROCKY MOUNTAIN CHAIN AND ADJACENT HIGH PLAINS WILL LIKELY SEE HEAVY SNOW, WITH HIGH WINDS AND LOW TEMPERATURES FROM EASTERN MONTANA TO EASTERN COLORADO AT THE HEIGHT OF THE UPSLOPE. AS THE EVER-DEEPENING CIRCULATION PULLS ONTO THE LOWER PLAINS, THE GULF OF MEXICO SHOULD BE TAPPED IN EARNEST, WITH OUTBREAKS OF HEAVY SHOWERS--AND EVENTUALLY STRONG THUNDERSTORMS--AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT. ONCE THE BULK OF THE SYSTEM REACHES THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER, THE VERY STRONG COLD FRONT WILL DIVIDE SOAKING RAINS TO THE EAST FROM HEAVY SNOWS TO THE NORTHWEST. IF THE HEIGHTS REMAIN LOW ENOUGH WHEN THE STORM REACHES THE APPALACHIANS AND INTERIOR NORTHEAST, LATE-SEASON SNOWS ARE POSSIBLE THERE AS WELL. CISCO, day 3: ...Metadata... EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD 1146 AM EDT TUE APR 08 2014 VALID 12Z FRI APR 11 2014 - 12Z TUE APR 15 2014 THE GLOBAL NUMERICAL MODELS HAVE BEEN TRENDING SLOWER WITH THE SPLIT LONGWAVES CROSSING CENTRAL NORTH AMERICA AT THE MEDIUM RANGE. FOR THIS FORECAST, RELIED ON THE MOST RECENT ENSEMBLE MEANS THAT REFLECTED THE TREND, AVOIDING THE OPERATIONAL SOLUTIONS THAT WERE ENTIRELY ON ONE SIDE OF THE TRENDING FENCE OR THE OTHER--E.G. 00Z/08 ECMWF, 06Z/08 GFS. UNTIL THE TRENDING RESOLVES OVER THE NEXT COUPLE DAYS, CONFIDENCE IS LOW IN SMALLER-SCALE SYNOPTIC FEATURES. THE LARGER-SCALE EVENT DAYS 5 AND 6 HAS A TREMENDOUS ENERGETIC POTENTIAL. EVEN WITH MODEST PHASING OF THE EJECTING SOUTHWESTERN TROUGH AND THE POLAR JET, THE GULF OF MEXICO SHOULD OPEN WIDE. STRONG THUNDERSTORMS AND WIDESPREAD HEAVY SHOWERS ARE LIKELY OVER THE SOUTH CENTRAL STATES, WITH SNOW OVER THE CENTRAL AND NORTHERN ROCKIES, CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS, AND THE UPPER MIDWEST. CISCO, day 4: ...Metadata... EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD 1200 PM EDT MON APR 07 2014 VALID 12Z THU APR 10 2014 - 12Z MON APR 14 2014 ...SENSIBLE WEATHER HIGHLIGHTS... A NORTHERN STREAM SYSTEM WILL PUSH THROUGH SOUTHERN CANADA WITH GENERALLY LIGHT PRECIPITATION FOR THE U.S. NORTHERN TIER AND THE ZONE BETWEEN I-40 AND I-70 ON THU/FRI. PRE-FRONTAL TEMPERATURES SHOULD WARM ACROSS MUCH OF THE OH VALLEY THEN INTO THE EASTERN CONUS LATE IN THE WEEK WITH MODEST COOLING BEHIND THE FRONT AS THE UPPER FLOW BECOMES MORE ZONAL. OUT WEST...PACIFIC TROUGH ENERGY/HEIGHT FALLS AND AN ASSOCIATED FRONTAL SYSTEM SHOULD WORK ASHORE INTO CA AND INTO THE SWRN US ALONG WITH LIGHT/SCATTERED SHOWERS AND SOME COOLING TEMPS. BY SUN-MON/D6-7...NORTHERN STREAM AND SOUTHERN STREAM ENERGY SHOULD SUPPORT COMBINED BUT ELONGATED FRONT WITH ORGANIZING SFC LOW PRESSURE THROUGH THE SOUTHERN PLAINS AND LOWER MS VALLEY. THIS SETS UP THE LIKELIHOOD OF WIDESPREAD PRECIPITATION...ALTHOUGH PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES ARE NOT FORECAST TO REACH MUCH ABOVE THE CLIMATOLOGICAL NORMALS. COOLER AIR ON THE BACK SIDE OF THIS SYSTEM WILL DROP THE NORTHERN PLAINS/MIDWEST TO 10-15 DEGREES BELOW AVERAGE. BURKE
The summaries of the weather reports for the current day are day 1: ...Metadata... EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD 1144 AM EDT FRI APR 11 2014 VALID 12Z MON APR 14 2014 - 12Z FRI APR 18 2014 ...MAJOR SPRING STORM FROM THE MISSISSIPPI TO THE EAST COAST... THE IMPORTANT SYNOPTIC DETAILS CONTINUE TO BECOME CLEARER WITH EACH NEW DATA CYCLE REGARDING THE SHARP, HIGHLY ENERGETIC FRONTAL COMPLEX CROSSING THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN UNITED STATES MONDAY AND TUESDAY. RELIED ON THE 00Z/11 ECENS AND NAEFS MEANS AS SYNOPTIC TEMPLATES, MANUALLY TIGHTENING GRADIENTS AND ADDING LARGER MESOSCALE FEATURES WHERE CONFIDENCE WAS HIGHER. RELIANCE ON ANY ONE OPERATIONAL MODEL WOULD EXCLUDE IMPORTANT SENSIBLE WEATHER THREATS FOR DIFFERENT AREAS, SO KEPT AN ENSEMBLE APPROACH. A MYRIAD OF HAZARDS ARE INDICATED FOR THE EASTERN HALF OF THE NATION WITH THE PASSAGE OF THIS SYSTEM--INCLUDING SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE SOUTH, TORRENTIAL RAIN SHOWERS JUST ABOUT EVERYWHERE IN THE WARM SECTOR, HEAVY SNOWS FROM THE CENTRAL PLAINS TO THE GREAT LAKES, AND DAMAGING GRADIENT WINDS. ONE OF THE MOST CHALLENGING ASPECTS OF THE WHOLE EVENT CONTINUES TO BE WHERE AND HOW MUCH SNOW FALLS ON THE BACKSIDE OF THE FRONT IN THE EAST. MANY ENSEMBLE MEMBERS--AS WELL AS A FEW OPERATIONAL MODELS--SHOW SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL ASTRIDE THE CENTRAL AND NORTHERN APPALACHIANS, WITH EVEN THE LOWER ELEVATIONS FROM THE NORTHERN PIEDMONT TO NEW ENGLAND APPARENTLY NOT OUT OF THE SNOW WOODS YET THIS PROTRACTED COLD SEASON. THE BLOCKY, SLOW-MOVING FLOW SHOULD ALLOW AT LEAST TWO FOCUSED WAVES TO PASS ACROSS THE NORTHWEST AND EVENTUALLY ONTO THE NORTHERN PLAINS. THE BEST CHANCE FOR WIDESPREAD SIGNIFICANT RAIN AND SNOW WILL BE DURING THE SECOND HALF OF THE MEDIUM RANGE ONCE THE EASTERN SYSTEM IS FAR ENOUGH OVER THE OPEN ATLANTIC. THE SOUTHWEST STILL LOOKS HIGH AND DRY. CISCO
Given the meteorological reports from the last 4 days, generate meteorological reports for the current day
The summaries of the weather reports for the last 2 days are day 1: ...Metadata... EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD 1144 AM EDT FRI APR 11 2014 VALID 12Z MON APR 14 2014 - 12Z FRI APR 18 2014 ...MAJOR SPRING STORM FROM THE MISSISSIPPI TO THE EAST COAST... THE IMPORTANT SYNOPTIC DETAILS CONTINUE TO BECOME CLEARER WITH EACH NEW DATA CYCLE REGARDING THE SHARP, HIGHLY ENERGETIC FRONTAL COMPLEX CROSSING THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN UNITED STATES MONDAY AND TUESDAY. RELIED ON THE 00Z/11 ECENS AND NAEFS MEANS AS SYNOPTIC TEMPLATES, MANUALLY TIGHTENING GRADIENTS AND ADDING LARGER MESOSCALE FEATURES WHERE CONFIDENCE WAS HIGHER. RELIANCE ON ANY ONE OPERATIONAL MODEL WOULD EXCLUDE IMPORTANT SENSIBLE WEATHER THREATS FOR DIFFERENT AREAS, SO KEPT AN ENSEMBLE APPROACH. A MYRIAD OF HAZARDS ARE INDICATED FOR THE EASTERN HALF OF THE NATION WITH THE PASSAGE OF THIS SYSTEM--INCLUDING SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE SOUTH, TORRENTIAL RAIN SHOWERS JUST ABOUT EVERYWHERE IN THE WARM SECTOR, HEAVY SNOWS FROM THE CENTRAL PLAINS TO THE GREAT LAKES, AND DAMAGING GRADIENT WINDS. ONE OF THE MOST CHALLENGING ASPECTS OF THE WHOLE EVENT CONTINUES TO BE WHERE AND HOW MUCH SNOW FALLS ON THE BACKSIDE OF THE FRONT IN THE EAST. MANY ENSEMBLE MEMBERS--AS WELL AS A FEW OPERATIONAL MODELS--SHOW SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL ASTRIDE THE CENTRAL AND NORTHERN APPALACHIANS, WITH EVEN THE LOWER ELEVATIONS FROM THE NORTHERN PIEDMONT TO NEW ENGLAND APPARENTLY NOT OUT OF THE SNOW WOODS YET THIS PROTRACTED COLD SEASON. THE BLOCKY, SLOW-MOVING FLOW SHOULD ALLOW AT LEAST TWO FOCUSED WAVES TO PASS ACROSS THE NORTHWEST AND EVENTUALLY ONTO THE NORTHERN PLAINS. THE BEST CHANCE FOR WIDESPREAD SIGNIFICANT RAIN AND SNOW WILL BE DURING THE SECOND HALF OF THE MEDIUM RANGE ONCE THE EASTERN SYSTEM IS FAR ENOUGH OVER THE OPEN ATLANTIC. THE SOUTHWEST STILL LOOKS HIGH AND DRY. CISCO, day 2: ...Metadata... EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD 1154 AM EDT THU APR 10 2014 VALID 12Z SUN APR 13 2014 - 12Z THU APR 17 2014 ...MAJOR SPRING STORM FROM THE ROCKIES TO THE EAST COAST... THE CONVERGENCE OF HIGHLY DISPARATE AIRMASSES OVER THE CENTRAL STATES SUNDAY AND MONDAY IS EXPECTED TO FOCUS AN EXTREMELY ENERGETIC COLD FRONT AND DRYLINE SYSTEM. ON THE COLD SIDE OF THE BAROCLINIC ZONE, GUSTY WINDS AND HEAVY UPSLOPE SNOWS ARE ANTICIPATED OVER THE CENTRAL AND NORTHERN ROCKIES AND CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS SUNDAY. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY SUNDAY AFTERNOON INTO SUNDAY EVENING OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS INTO THE ARKLATEX, WHERE REMARKABLE DISCONTINUITIES ARE PROGGED ALONG THE SOUTHWARD-PLUNGING COLD FRONT AND PACIFIC-REINFORCED DRYLINE. AS THE SYSTEM EVOLVES EASTWARD SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY, A GRADUAL SHIFT FROM SEVERE WEATHER TO WIDESPREAD HEAVY SHOWERS SHOULD MARK THE WARM SECTOR, WITH A NEW SWATH OF SNOW BLOOMING ACROSS THE UPPER MIDWEST AND GREAT LAKES. THE ENTIRE COMPLEX SHOULD HIT THE WALL OF THE WESTERN ATLANTIC RIDGE ASTRIDE THE APPALACHIANS EARLY TUESDAY--PRESERVING OR EVEN STRENGTHENING THE DISCONTINUOUS NATURE OF THE THEN MERIDIONALLY-ORIENTED COLD FRONT. USED RECENT OPERATIONAL ECMWF RUNS FOR THE DETAILS OF THIS SPRAWLING SYSTEM THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING DUE TO THAT MODEL'S STABILITY FOR THE PAST FEW CYCLES. BY WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY, SWITCHED TO THE 00Z/10 ECENS MEAN--AS SUPPORTED BY THE NAEFS MEAN--AS GUIDANCE FOR THE FLOW IN THE WAKE OF THE BIG FRONT. ONE OF THE BIGGEST UNCERTAINTIES LATE TUESDAY INTO THURSDAY IS HOW MUCH MOISTURE AND FORCING REMAIN BEHIND THE FRONT OVER THE EAST. OF PARTICULAR CONCERN IS THE POSSIBILITY OF HEAVY LATE-SEASON SNOWFALL IN THE APPALACHIANS AND INTERIOR NORTHEAST IF THE WHOLE SYSTEM GETS HUNG UP JUST OFFSHORE. THE ONLY PART OF THE NATION SHELTERED FROM THE ENERGETIC PATTERN APPEARS TO BE THE SOUTHWEST. CISCO
The summaries of the weather reports for the current day and the next 4 days are day 1: ...Metadata... EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD 1117 AM EDT SAT APR 12 2014 VALID 12Z TUE APR 15 2014 - 12Z SAT APR 19 2014 IN THE WAKE OF THE STRONG, ENERGETIC FRONTAL SYSTEM PROGGED BY ALL THE GUIDANCE TO PUSH OFF THE EAST COAST LATE DAY 3, A SLOWING OF THE WEST-TO-EAST PROGRESSION OF SYSTEMS ACROSS THE UNITED STATES IS MAKING FOR HIGH SPREAD AND LOW CONFIDENCE IN THE BEHAVIOR OF INDIVIDUAL SYNOPTIC SYSTEMS AFTER DAY 5. WITH NO CLUSTERING AMONG THE OPERATIONAL RUNS FROM THE VARIOUS MODELING CENTERS, RELIED ON THE HOPEFUL POSITIVE CORRELATION BETWEEN THE 00Z/12 ECENS AND NAEFS MEANS. THE WEAKER SYSTEMS AND HIGH SPREAD ARE TAKING THEIR TOLL ON MANUAL PRESSURE, WIND, TEMPERATURE, AND POP FORECASTS, WITH FAIRLY DILUTE, UNIFORM MASS FIELDS DAYS 6 AND 7. THE SAFEST THING TO SAY ABOUT THE SECOND HALF OF THE CURRENT FORECAST IS THAT CLOUDS AND PRECIPITATION SHOULD KEEP DAYTIME TEMPERATURES ON THE COOLER SIDE FOR MUCH OF THE NATION. THE SOUTHWEST STILL LOOKS SHELTERED FROM DEEP-LAYER MOISTURE AND THE PASSAGE OF STRONGER SHORTWAVES. CISCO, day 2: ...Metadata... EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD 1144 AM EDT FRI APR 11 2014 VALID 12Z MON APR 14 2014 - 12Z FRI APR 18 2014 ...MAJOR SPRING STORM FROM THE MISSISSIPPI TO THE EAST COAST... THE IMPORTANT SYNOPTIC DETAILS CONTINUE TO BECOME CLEARER WITH EACH NEW DATA CYCLE REGARDING THE SHARP, HIGHLY ENERGETIC FRONTAL COMPLEX CROSSING THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN UNITED STATES MONDAY AND TUESDAY. RELIED ON THE 00Z/11 ECENS AND NAEFS MEANS AS SYNOPTIC TEMPLATES, MANUALLY TIGHTENING GRADIENTS AND ADDING LARGER MESOSCALE FEATURES WHERE CONFIDENCE WAS HIGHER. RELIANCE ON ANY ONE OPERATIONAL MODEL WOULD EXCLUDE IMPORTANT SENSIBLE WEATHER THREATS FOR DIFFERENT AREAS, SO KEPT AN ENSEMBLE APPROACH. A MYRIAD OF HAZARDS ARE INDICATED FOR THE EASTERN HALF OF THE NATION WITH THE PASSAGE OF THIS SYSTEM--INCLUDING SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE SOUTH, TORRENTIAL RAIN SHOWERS JUST ABOUT EVERYWHERE IN THE WARM SECTOR, HEAVY SNOWS FROM THE CENTRAL PLAINS TO THE GREAT LAKES, AND DAMAGING GRADIENT WINDS. ONE OF THE MOST CHALLENGING ASPECTS OF THE WHOLE EVENT CONTINUES TO BE WHERE AND HOW MUCH SNOW FALLS ON THE BACKSIDE OF THE FRONT IN THE EAST. MANY ENSEMBLE MEMBERS--AS WELL AS A FEW OPERATIONAL MODELS--SHOW SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL ASTRIDE THE CENTRAL AND NORTHERN APPALACHIANS, WITH EVEN THE LOWER ELEVATIONS FROM THE NORTHERN PIEDMONT TO NEW ENGLAND APPARENTLY NOT OUT OF THE SNOW WOODS YET THIS PROTRACTED COLD SEASON. THE BLOCKY, SLOW-MOVING FLOW SHOULD ALLOW AT LEAST TWO FOCUSED WAVES TO PASS ACROSS THE NORTHWEST AND EVENTUALLY ONTO THE NORTHERN PLAINS. THE BEST CHANCE FOR WIDESPREAD SIGNIFICANT RAIN AND SNOW WILL BE DURING THE SECOND HALF OF THE MEDIUM RANGE ONCE THE EASTERN SYSTEM IS FAR ENOUGH OVER THE OPEN ATLANTIC. THE SOUTHWEST STILL LOOKS HIGH AND DRY. CISCO, day 3: ...Metadata... EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD 1154 AM EDT THU APR 10 2014 VALID 12Z SUN APR 13 2014 - 12Z THU APR 17 2014 ...MAJOR SPRING STORM FROM THE ROCKIES TO THE EAST COAST... THE CONVERGENCE OF HIGHLY DISPARATE AIRMASSES OVER THE CENTRAL STATES SUNDAY AND MONDAY IS EXPECTED TO FOCUS AN EXTREMELY ENERGETIC COLD FRONT AND DRYLINE SYSTEM. ON THE COLD SIDE OF THE BAROCLINIC ZONE, GUSTY WINDS AND HEAVY UPSLOPE SNOWS ARE ANTICIPATED OVER THE CENTRAL AND NORTHERN ROCKIES AND CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS SUNDAY. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY SUNDAY AFTERNOON INTO SUNDAY EVENING OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS INTO THE ARKLATEX, WHERE REMARKABLE DISCONTINUITIES ARE PROGGED ALONG THE SOUTHWARD-PLUNGING COLD FRONT AND PACIFIC-REINFORCED DRYLINE. AS THE SYSTEM EVOLVES EASTWARD SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY, A GRADUAL SHIFT FROM SEVERE WEATHER TO WIDESPREAD HEAVY SHOWERS SHOULD MARK THE WARM SECTOR, WITH A NEW SWATH OF SNOW BLOOMING ACROSS THE UPPER MIDWEST AND GREAT LAKES. THE ENTIRE COMPLEX SHOULD HIT THE WALL OF THE WESTERN ATLANTIC RIDGE ASTRIDE THE APPALACHIANS EARLY TUESDAY--PRESERVING OR EVEN STRENGTHENING THE DISCONTINUOUS NATURE OF THE THEN MERIDIONALLY-ORIENTED COLD FRONT. USED RECENT OPERATIONAL ECMWF RUNS FOR THE DETAILS OF THIS SPRAWLING SYSTEM THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING DUE TO THAT MODEL'S STABILITY FOR THE PAST FEW CYCLES. BY WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY, SWITCHED TO THE 00Z/10 ECENS MEAN--AS SUPPORTED BY THE NAEFS MEAN--AS GUIDANCE FOR THE FLOW IN THE WAKE OF THE BIG FRONT. ONE OF THE BIGGEST UNCERTAINTIES LATE TUESDAY INTO THURSDAY IS HOW MUCH MOISTURE AND FORCING REMAIN BEHIND THE FRONT OVER THE EAST. OF PARTICULAR CONCERN IS THE POSSIBILITY OF HEAVY LATE-SEASON SNOWFALL IN THE APPALACHIANS AND INTERIOR NORTHEAST IF THE WHOLE SYSTEM GETS HUNG UP JUST OFFSHORE. THE ONLY PART OF THE NATION SHELTERED FROM THE ENERGETIC PATTERN APPEARS TO BE THE SOUTHWEST. CISCO, day 4: ...Metadata... EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD 1153 AM EDT WED APR 09 2014 VALID 12Z SAT APR 12 2014 - 12Z WED APR 16 2014 ...MAJOR SPRING STORM FOR THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN STATES... THE CLUSTERING HAS TIGHTENED WITH REGARD TO THE EVOLUTION OF THE LONGWAVE PATTERN ACROSS THE NATION AT THE MEDIUM RANGE, WITH MOST SOLUTIONS INDICATING A SPRAWLING, COMPLEX CYCLONE TAKING SHAPE OVER THE PLAINS SUNDAY AND MONDAY. MANY ELEMENTS APPEAR TO CONVERGE FOR THIS EVENT--THE CLOSED LOW EJECTING ACROSS CALIFORNIA SATURDAY, AN AMPLIFYING POLAR JET, AND TWO DISTINCT INTRUSIONS OF ARCTIC AIR. FOLLOWED THE HYBRID MASS FIELDS OF THE 00Z/09 ECENS MEAN, WITH A STRONG VOTE OF CONFIDENCE FROM THE 06Z/09 GEFS MEAN. THE ONLY CAMP NOT ON BOARD WITH THE WHOLE EVENT IS THE CANADIAN SUITE. MULTI-DAY TRENDS AND MODEL CONSENSUS POINT TO THE EVOLUTION DEPICTED BY THE MANUAL PROGS, SO CONFIDENCE IS A BIT HIGHER THAN MIGHT OTHERWISE BE EXPECTED WITH A WHOLE MODELING CENTER SUITE OUT OF SYNC. THE SENSIBLE WEATHER THREATS WITH THE BIG SYSTEM ARE MANY, AND DIFFER WITH TIME. INITIALLY, PARTS OF THE ROCKY MOUNTAIN CHAIN AND ADJACENT HIGH PLAINS WILL LIKELY SEE HEAVY SNOW, WITH HIGH WINDS AND LOW TEMPERATURES FROM EASTERN MONTANA TO EASTERN COLORADO AT THE HEIGHT OF THE UPSLOPE. AS THE EVER-DEEPENING CIRCULATION PULLS ONTO THE LOWER PLAINS, THE GULF OF MEXICO SHOULD BE TAPPED IN EARNEST, WITH OUTBREAKS OF HEAVY SHOWERS--AND EVENTUALLY STRONG THUNDERSTORMS--AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT. ONCE THE BULK OF THE SYSTEM REACHES THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER, THE VERY STRONG COLD FRONT WILL DIVIDE SOAKING RAINS TO THE EAST FROM HEAVY SNOWS TO THE NORTHWEST. IF THE HEIGHTS REMAIN LOW ENOUGH WHEN THE STORM REACHES THE APPALACHIANS AND INTERIOR NORTHEAST, LATE-SEASON SNOWS ARE POSSIBLE THERE AS WELL. CISCO, day 5: ...Metadata... EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD 1146 AM EDT TUE APR 08 2014 VALID 12Z FRI APR 11 2014 - 12Z TUE APR 15 2014 THE GLOBAL NUMERICAL MODELS HAVE BEEN TRENDING SLOWER WITH THE SPLIT LONGWAVES CROSSING CENTRAL NORTH AMERICA AT THE MEDIUM RANGE. FOR THIS FORECAST, RELIED ON THE MOST RECENT ENSEMBLE MEANS THAT REFLECTED THE TREND, AVOIDING THE OPERATIONAL SOLUTIONS THAT WERE ENTIRELY ON ONE SIDE OF THE TRENDING FENCE OR THE OTHER--E.G. 00Z/08 ECMWF, 06Z/08 GFS. UNTIL THE TRENDING RESOLVES OVER THE NEXT COUPLE DAYS, CONFIDENCE IS LOW IN SMALLER-SCALE SYNOPTIC FEATURES. THE LARGER-SCALE EVENT DAYS 5 AND 6 HAS A TREMENDOUS ENERGETIC POTENTIAL. EVEN WITH MODEST PHASING OF THE EJECTING SOUTHWESTERN TROUGH AND THE POLAR JET, THE GULF OF MEXICO SHOULD OPEN WIDE. STRONG THUNDERSTORMS AND WIDESPREAD HEAVY SHOWERS ARE LIKELY OVER THE SOUTH CENTRAL STATES, WITH SNOW OVER THE CENTRAL AND NORTHERN ROCKIES, CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS, AND THE UPPER MIDWEST. CISCO
Given the meteorological reports from the last 2 days, generate meteorological reports for the current day and the next 4 days
The summaries of the weather reports for the last 2 days are day 1: ...Metadata... EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD 1117 AM EDT SAT APR 12 2014 VALID 12Z TUE APR 15 2014 - 12Z SAT APR 19 2014 IN THE WAKE OF THE STRONG, ENERGETIC FRONTAL SYSTEM PROGGED BY ALL THE GUIDANCE TO PUSH OFF THE EAST COAST LATE DAY 3, A SLOWING OF THE WEST-TO-EAST PROGRESSION OF SYSTEMS ACROSS THE UNITED STATES IS MAKING FOR HIGH SPREAD AND LOW CONFIDENCE IN THE BEHAVIOR OF INDIVIDUAL SYNOPTIC SYSTEMS AFTER DAY 5. WITH NO CLUSTERING AMONG THE OPERATIONAL RUNS FROM THE VARIOUS MODELING CENTERS, RELIED ON THE HOPEFUL POSITIVE CORRELATION BETWEEN THE 00Z/12 ECENS AND NAEFS MEANS. THE WEAKER SYSTEMS AND HIGH SPREAD ARE TAKING THEIR TOLL ON MANUAL PRESSURE, WIND, TEMPERATURE, AND POP FORECASTS, WITH FAIRLY DILUTE, UNIFORM MASS FIELDS DAYS 6 AND 7. THE SAFEST THING TO SAY ABOUT THE SECOND HALF OF THE CURRENT FORECAST IS THAT CLOUDS AND PRECIPITATION SHOULD KEEP DAYTIME TEMPERATURES ON THE COOLER SIDE FOR MUCH OF THE NATION. THE SOUTHWEST STILL LOOKS SHELTERED FROM DEEP-LAYER MOISTURE AND THE PASSAGE OF STRONGER SHORTWAVES. CISCO, day 2: ...Metadata... EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD 1144 AM EDT FRI APR 11 2014 VALID 12Z MON APR 14 2014 - 12Z FRI APR 18 2014 ...MAJOR SPRING STORM FROM THE MISSISSIPPI TO THE EAST COAST... THE IMPORTANT SYNOPTIC DETAILS CONTINUE TO BECOME CLEARER WITH EACH NEW DATA CYCLE REGARDING THE SHARP, HIGHLY ENERGETIC FRONTAL COMPLEX CROSSING THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN UNITED STATES MONDAY AND TUESDAY. RELIED ON THE 00Z/11 ECENS AND NAEFS MEANS AS SYNOPTIC TEMPLATES, MANUALLY TIGHTENING GRADIENTS AND ADDING LARGER MESOSCALE FEATURES WHERE CONFIDENCE WAS HIGHER. RELIANCE ON ANY ONE OPERATIONAL MODEL WOULD EXCLUDE IMPORTANT SENSIBLE WEATHER THREATS FOR DIFFERENT AREAS, SO KEPT AN ENSEMBLE APPROACH. A MYRIAD OF HAZARDS ARE INDICATED FOR THE EASTERN HALF OF THE NATION WITH THE PASSAGE OF THIS SYSTEM--INCLUDING SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE SOUTH, TORRENTIAL RAIN SHOWERS JUST ABOUT EVERYWHERE IN THE WARM SECTOR, HEAVY SNOWS FROM THE CENTRAL PLAINS TO THE GREAT LAKES, AND DAMAGING GRADIENT WINDS. ONE OF THE MOST CHALLENGING ASPECTS OF THE WHOLE EVENT CONTINUES TO BE WHERE AND HOW MUCH SNOW FALLS ON THE BACKSIDE OF THE FRONT IN THE EAST. MANY ENSEMBLE MEMBERS--AS WELL AS A FEW OPERATIONAL MODELS--SHOW SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL ASTRIDE THE CENTRAL AND NORTHERN APPALACHIANS, WITH EVEN THE LOWER ELEVATIONS FROM THE NORTHERN PIEDMONT TO NEW ENGLAND APPARENTLY NOT OUT OF THE SNOW WOODS YET THIS PROTRACTED COLD SEASON. THE BLOCKY, SLOW-MOVING FLOW SHOULD ALLOW AT LEAST TWO FOCUSED WAVES TO PASS ACROSS THE NORTHWEST AND EVENTUALLY ONTO THE NORTHERN PLAINS. THE BEST CHANCE FOR WIDESPREAD SIGNIFICANT RAIN AND SNOW WILL BE DURING THE SECOND HALF OF THE MEDIUM RANGE ONCE THE EASTERN SYSTEM IS FAR ENOUGH OVER THE OPEN ATLANTIC. THE SOUTHWEST STILL LOOKS HIGH AND DRY. CISCO
The summaries of the weather reports for the current day and the next 4 days are day 1: ...Metadata... EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD 1150 AM EDT SUN APR 13 2014 VALID 12Z WED APR 16 2014 - 12Z SUN APR 20 2014 CONTINUE TO RELY ON THE ECENS MEAN AS A SYNOPTIC GUIDE AT THE MEDIUM RANGE. THIS MEAN HAS AFFORDED THE SMOOTHEST TRANSITION TO THE FLOW REGIME IN THE WAKE OF THE BIG SHORT-RANGE STORM. THE HALLMARK OF THE NEW FLOW WILL BE EVER-DIMINISHING WEST-TO-EAST PROGRESSION OF WAVES ACROSS THE UNITED STATES. MASS FIELD REMNANTS FROM DAY-THREE SYSTEMS MAY TAKE MOST OF THE PERIOD BEFORE WASHING OUT IN THE SHORTWAVE PILEUP. RELYING ON ANY PARTICULAR OPERATIONAL RUN WOULD NEEDLESSLY DRAW ATTENTION TO ONE AREA OF FORCING AT THE COST OF ANOTHER. IN GENERAL, THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST AND EAST COAST LOOK WETTEST, WITH LIGHTER PRECIPITATION--INCLUDING SNOW OVER THE UPPER MIDWEST DAYS 3 AND 4--OVER THE NATION'S MIDSECTION. THE SOUTHWEST STILL LOOKS DRY. CISCO, day 2: ...Metadata... EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD 1117 AM EDT SAT APR 12 2014 VALID 12Z TUE APR 15 2014 - 12Z SAT APR 19 2014 IN THE WAKE OF THE STRONG, ENERGETIC FRONTAL SYSTEM PROGGED BY ALL THE GUIDANCE TO PUSH OFF THE EAST COAST LATE DAY 3, A SLOWING OF THE WEST-TO-EAST PROGRESSION OF SYSTEMS ACROSS THE UNITED STATES IS MAKING FOR HIGH SPREAD AND LOW CONFIDENCE IN THE BEHAVIOR OF INDIVIDUAL SYNOPTIC SYSTEMS AFTER DAY 5. WITH NO CLUSTERING AMONG THE OPERATIONAL RUNS FROM THE VARIOUS MODELING CENTERS, RELIED ON THE HOPEFUL POSITIVE CORRELATION BETWEEN THE 00Z/12 ECENS AND NAEFS MEANS. THE WEAKER SYSTEMS AND HIGH SPREAD ARE TAKING THEIR TOLL ON MANUAL PRESSURE, WIND, TEMPERATURE, AND POP FORECASTS, WITH FAIRLY DILUTE, UNIFORM MASS FIELDS DAYS 6 AND 7. THE SAFEST THING TO SAY ABOUT THE SECOND HALF OF THE CURRENT FORECAST IS THAT CLOUDS AND PRECIPITATION SHOULD KEEP DAYTIME TEMPERATURES ON THE COOLER SIDE FOR MUCH OF THE NATION. THE SOUTHWEST STILL LOOKS SHELTERED FROM DEEP-LAYER MOISTURE AND THE PASSAGE OF STRONGER SHORTWAVES. CISCO, day 3: ...Metadata... EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD 1144 AM EDT FRI APR 11 2014 VALID 12Z MON APR 14 2014 - 12Z FRI APR 18 2014 ...MAJOR SPRING STORM FROM THE MISSISSIPPI TO THE EAST COAST... THE IMPORTANT SYNOPTIC DETAILS CONTINUE TO BECOME CLEARER WITH EACH NEW DATA CYCLE REGARDING THE SHARP, HIGHLY ENERGETIC FRONTAL COMPLEX CROSSING THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN UNITED STATES MONDAY AND TUESDAY. RELIED ON THE 00Z/11 ECENS AND NAEFS MEANS AS SYNOPTIC TEMPLATES, MANUALLY TIGHTENING GRADIENTS AND ADDING LARGER MESOSCALE FEATURES WHERE CONFIDENCE WAS HIGHER. RELIANCE ON ANY ONE OPERATIONAL MODEL WOULD EXCLUDE IMPORTANT SENSIBLE WEATHER THREATS FOR DIFFERENT AREAS, SO KEPT AN ENSEMBLE APPROACH. A MYRIAD OF HAZARDS ARE INDICATED FOR THE EASTERN HALF OF THE NATION WITH THE PASSAGE OF THIS SYSTEM--INCLUDING SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE SOUTH, TORRENTIAL RAIN SHOWERS JUST ABOUT EVERYWHERE IN THE WARM SECTOR, HEAVY SNOWS FROM THE CENTRAL PLAINS TO THE GREAT LAKES, AND DAMAGING GRADIENT WINDS. ONE OF THE MOST CHALLENGING ASPECTS OF THE WHOLE EVENT CONTINUES TO BE WHERE AND HOW MUCH SNOW FALLS ON THE BACKSIDE OF THE FRONT IN THE EAST. MANY ENSEMBLE MEMBERS--AS WELL AS A FEW OPERATIONAL MODELS--SHOW SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL ASTRIDE THE CENTRAL AND NORTHERN APPALACHIANS, WITH EVEN THE LOWER ELEVATIONS FROM THE NORTHERN PIEDMONT TO NEW ENGLAND APPARENTLY NOT OUT OF THE SNOW WOODS YET THIS PROTRACTED COLD SEASON. THE BLOCKY, SLOW-MOVING FLOW SHOULD ALLOW AT LEAST TWO FOCUSED WAVES TO PASS ACROSS THE NORTHWEST AND EVENTUALLY ONTO THE NORTHERN PLAINS. THE BEST CHANCE FOR WIDESPREAD SIGNIFICANT RAIN AND SNOW WILL BE DURING THE SECOND HALF OF THE MEDIUM RANGE ONCE THE EASTERN SYSTEM IS FAR ENOUGH OVER THE OPEN ATLANTIC. THE SOUTHWEST STILL LOOKS HIGH AND DRY. CISCO, day 4: ...Metadata... EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD 1154 AM EDT THU APR 10 2014 VALID 12Z SUN APR 13 2014 - 12Z THU APR 17 2014 ...MAJOR SPRING STORM FROM THE ROCKIES TO THE EAST COAST... THE CONVERGENCE OF HIGHLY DISPARATE AIRMASSES OVER THE CENTRAL STATES SUNDAY AND MONDAY IS EXPECTED TO FOCUS AN EXTREMELY ENERGETIC COLD FRONT AND DRYLINE SYSTEM. ON THE COLD SIDE OF THE BAROCLINIC ZONE, GUSTY WINDS AND HEAVY UPSLOPE SNOWS ARE ANTICIPATED OVER THE CENTRAL AND NORTHERN ROCKIES AND CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS SUNDAY. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY SUNDAY AFTERNOON INTO SUNDAY EVENING OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS INTO THE ARKLATEX, WHERE REMARKABLE DISCONTINUITIES ARE PROGGED ALONG THE SOUTHWARD-PLUNGING COLD FRONT AND PACIFIC-REINFORCED DRYLINE. AS THE SYSTEM EVOLVES EASTWARD SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY, A GRADUAL SHIFT FROM SEVERE WEATHER TO WIDESPREAD HEAVY SHOWERS SHOULD MARK THE WARM SECTOR, WITH A NEW SWATH OF SNOW BLOOMING ACROSS THE UPPER MIDWEST AND GREAT LAKES. THE ENTIRE COMPLEX SHOULD HIT THE WALL OF THE WESTERN ATLANTIC RIDGE ASTRIDE THE APPALACHIANS EARLY TUESDAY--PRESERVING OR EVEN STRENGTHENING THE DISCONTINUOUS NATURE OF THE THEN MERIDIONALLY-ORIENTED COLD FRONT. USED RECENT OPERATIONAL ECMWF RUNS FOR THE DETAILS OF THIS SPRAWLING SYSTEM THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING DUE TO THAT MODEL'S STABILITY FOR THE PAST FEW CYCLES. BY WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY, SWITCHED TO THE 00Z/10 ECENS MEAN--AS SUPPORTED BY THE NAEFS MEAN--AS GUIDANCE FOR THE FLOW IN THE WAKE OF THE BIG FRONT. ONE OF THE BIGGEST UNCERTAINTIES LATE TUESDAY INTO THURSDAY IS HOW MUCH MOISTURE AND FORCING REMAIN BEHIND THE FRONT OVER THE EAST. OF PARTICULAR CONCERN IS THE POSSIBILITY OF HEAVY LATE-SEASON SNOWFALL IN THE APPALACHIANS AND INTERIOR NORTHEAST IF THE WHOLE SYSTEM GETS HUNG UP JUST OFFSHORE. THE ONLY PART OF THE NATION SHELTERED FROM THE ENERGETIC PATTERN APPEARS TO BE THE SOUTHWEST. CISCO, day 5: ...Metadata... EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD 1153 AM EDT WED APR 09 2014 VALID 12Z SAT APR 12 2014 - 12Z WED APR 16 2014 ...MAJOR SPRING STORM FOR THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN STATES... THE CLUSTERING HAS TIGHTENED WITH REGARD TO THE EVOLUTION OF THE LONGWAVE PATTERN ACROSS THE NATION AT THE MEDIUM RANGE, WITH MOST SOLUTIONS INDICATING A SPRAWLING, COMPLEX CYCLONE TAKING SHAPE OVER THE PLAINS SUNDAY AND MONDAY. MANY ELEMENTS APPEAR TO CONVERGE FOR THIS EVENT--THE CLOSED LOW EJECTING ACROSS CALIFORNIA SATURDAY, AN AMPLIFYING POLAR JET, AND TWO DISTINCT INTRUSIONS OF ARCTIC AIR. FOLLOWED THE HYBRID MASS FIELDS OF THE 00Z/09 ECENS MEAN, WITH A STRONG VOTE OF CONFIDENCE FROM THE 06Z/09 GEFS MEAN. THE ONLY CAMP NOT ON BOARD WITH THE WHOLE EVENT IS THE CANADIAN SUITE. MULTI-DAY TRENDS AND MODEL CONSENSUS POINT TO THE EVOLUTION DEPICTED BY THE MANUAL PROGS, SO CONFIDENCE IS A BIT HIGHER THAN MIGHT OTHERWISE BE EXPECTED WITH A WHOLE MODELING CENTER SUITE OUT OF SYNC. THE SENSIBLE WEATHER THREATS WITH THE BIG SYSTEM ARE MANY, AND DIFFER WITH TIME. INITIALLY, PARTS OF THE ROCKY MOUNTAIN CHAIN AND ADJACENT HIGH PLAINS WILL LIKELY SEE HEAVY SNOW, WITH HIGH WINDS AND LOW TEMPERATURES FROM EASTERN MONTANA TO EASTERN COLORADO AT THE HEIGHT OF THE UPSLOPE. AS THE EVER-DEEPENING CIRCULATION PULLS ONTO THE LOWER PLAINS, THE GULF OF MEXICO SHOULD BE TAPPED IN EARNEST, WITH OUTBREAKS OF HEAVY SHOWERS--AND EVENTUALLY STRONG THUNDERSTORMS--AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT. ONCE THE BULK OF THE SYSTEM REACHES THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER, THE VERY STRONG COLD FRONT WILL DIVIDE SOAKING RAINS TO THE EAST FROM HEAVY SNOWS TO THE NORTHWEST. IF THE HEIGHTS REMAIN LOW ENOUGH WHEN THE STORM REACHES THE APPALACHIANS AND INTERIOR NORTHEAST, LATE-SEASON SNOWS ARE POSSIBLE THERE AS WELL. CISCO
Given the meteorological reports from the last 2 days, generate meteorological reports for the current day and the next 4 days
The summaries of the weather reports for the last 3 days are day 1: ...Metadata... EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD 1150 AM EDT SUN APR 13 2014 VALID 12Z WED APR 16 2014 - 12Z SUN APR 20 2014 CONTINUE TO RELY ON THE ECENS MEAN AS A SYNOPTIC GUIDE AT THE MEDIUM RANGE. THIS MEAN HAS AFFORDED THE SMOOTHEST TRANSITION TO THE FLOW REGIME IN THE WAKE OF THE BIG SHORT-RANGE STORM. THE HALLMARK OF THE NEW FLOW WILL BE EVER-DIMINISHING WEST-TO-EAST PROGRESSION OF WAVES ACROSS THE UNITED STATES. MASS FIELD REMNANTS FROM DAY-THREE SYSTEMS MAY TAKE MOST OF THE PERIOD BEFORE WASHING OUT IN THE SHORTWAVE PILEUP. RELYING ON ANY PARTICULAR OPERATIONAL RUN WOULD NEEDLESSLY DRAW ATTENTION TO ONE AREA OF FORCING AT THE COST OF ANOTHER. IN GENERAL, THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST AND EAST COAST LOOK WETTEST, WITH LIGHTER PRECIPITATION--INCLUDING SNOW OVER THE UPPER MIDWEST DAYS 3 AND 4--OVER THE NATION'S MIDSECTION. THE SOUTHWEST STILL LOOKS DRY. CISCO, day 2: ...Metadata... EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD 1117 AM EDT SAT APR 12 2014 VALID 12Z TUE APR 15 2014 - 12Z SAT APR 19 2014 IN THE WAKE OF THE STRONG, ENERGETIC FRONTAL SYSTEM PROGGED BY ALL THE GUIDANCE TO PUSH OFF THE EAST COAST LATE DAY 3, A SLOWING OF THE WEST-TO-EAST PROGRESSION OF SYSTEMS ACROSS THE UNITED STATES IS MAKING FOR HIGH SPREAD AND LOW CONFIDENCE IN THE BEHAVIOR OF INDIVIDUAL SYNOPTIC SYSTEMS AFTER DAY 5. WITH NO CLUSTERING AMONG THE OPERATIONAL RUNS FROM THE VARIOUS MODELING CENTERS, RELIED ON THE HOPEFUL POSITIVE CORRELATION BETWEEN THE 00Z/12 ECENS AND NAEFS MEANS. THE WEAKER SYSTEMS AND HIGH SPREAD ARE TAKING THEIR TOLL ON MANUAL PRESSURE, WIND, TEMPERATURE, AND POP FORECASTS, WITH FAIRLY DILUTE, UNIFORM MASS FIELDS DAYS 6 AND 7. THE SAFEST THING TO SAY ABOUT THE SECOND HALF OF THE CURRENT FORECAST IS THAT CLOUDS AND PRECIPITATION SHOULD KEEP DAYTIME TEMPERATURES ON THE COOLER SIDE FOR MUCH OF THE NATION. THE SOUTHWEST STILL LOOKS SHELTERED FROM DEEP-LAYER MOISTURE AND THE PASSAGE OF STRONGER SHORTWAVES. CISCO, day 3: ...Metadata... EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD 1144 AM EDT FRI APR 11 2014 VALID 12Z MON APR 14 2014 - 12Z FRI APR 18 2014 ...MAJOR SPRING STORM FROM THE MISSISSIPPI TO THE EAST COAST... THE IMPORTANT SYNOPTIC DETAILS CONTINUE TO BECOME CLEARER WITH EACH NEW DATA CYCLE REGARDING THE SHARP, HIGHLY ENERGETIC FRONTAL COMPLEX CROSSING THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN UNITED STATES MONDAY AND TUESDAY. RELIED ON THE 00Z/11 ECENS AND NAEFS MEANS AS SYNOPTIC TEMPLATES, MANUALLY TIGHTENING GRADIENTS AND ADDING LARGER MESOSCALE FEATURES WHERE CONFIDENCE WAS HIGHER. RELIANCE ON ANY ONE OPERATIONAL MODEL WOULD EXCLUDE IMPORTANT SENSIBLE WEATHER THREATS FOR DIFFERENT AREAS, SO KEPT AN ENSEMBLE APPROACH. A MYRIAD OF HAZARDS ARE INDICATED FOR THE EASTERN HALF OF THE NATION WITH THE PASSAGE OF THIS SYSTEM--INCLUDING SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE SOUTH, TORRENTIAL RAIN SHOWERS JUST ABOUT EVERYWHERE IN THE WARM SECTOR, HEAVY SNOWS FROM THE CENTRAL PLAINS TO THE GREAT LAKES, AND DAMAGING GRADIENT WINDS. ONE OF THE MOST CHALLENGING ASPECTS OF THE WHOLE EVENT CONTINUES TO BE WHERE AND HOW MUCH SNOW FALLS ON THE BACKSIDE OF THE FRONT IN THE EAST. MANY ENSEMBLE MEMBERS--AS WELL AS A FEW OPERATIONAL MODELS--SHOW SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL ASTRIDE THE CENTRAL AND NORTHERN APPALACHIANS, WITH EVEN THE LOWER ELEVATIONS FROM THE NORTHERN PIEDMONT TO NEW ENGLAND APPARENTLY NOT OUT OF THE SNOW WOODS YET THIS PROTRACTED COLD SEASON. THE BLOCKY, SLOW-MOVING FLOW SHOULD ALLOW AT LEAST TWO FOCUSED WAVES TO PASS ACROSS THE NORTHWEST AND EVENTUALLY ONTO THE NORTHERN PLAINS. THE BEST CHANCE FOR WIDESPREAD SIGNIFICANT RAIN AND SNOW WILL BE DURING THE SECOND HALF OF THE MEDIUM RANGE ONCE THE EASTERN SYSTEM IS FAR ENOUGH OVER THE OPEN ATLANTIC. THE SOUTHWEST STILL LOOKS HIGH AND DRY. CISCO
The summaries of the weather reports for the current day and the next 1 days are day 1: ...Metadata... EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD 1158 AM EDT MON APR 14 2014 VALID 12Z THU APR 17 2014 - 12Z MON APR 21 2014 ...SENSIBLE WEATHER HIGHLIGHTS... THE FIRST COUPLE OF DAYS OF THE PERIOD...THURSDAY/FRIDAY...WILL BE QUITE CHILLY ACROSS THE CENTER OF THE COUNTRY WITH TEMPERATURES 15 TO 20 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL...PARTICULARLY IN THE CENTRAL PLAINS. THE ACCOMPANYING AREA OF LOW PRESSURE CROSSING THE CO ROCKIES AND INTO THE SOUTHERN PLAINS WILL SUPPORT AN AREA OF MODERATE/HEAVY PRECIPITATION ACROSS THE CENTRAL ROCKIES ON THURSDAY. ENHANCED UPSLOPE FLOW SHOULD AID IN LOCALLY HEAVIER AMOUNTS ALONG THE FAVORED TERRAIN. GIVEN THE NEGATIVE HEIGHT ANOMALIES IN PLACE...WINTRY PRECIPITATION MAY BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS. TEMPERATURES SHOULD GRADUALLY MODERATE BY THE WEEKEND AS THE FLOW BECOMES MORE ZONAL AND WARMER THICKNESSES PREVAIL. AS THIS SYSTEM MIGRATES EASTWARD...COOLER AND WETTER CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE CENTRAL/EASTERN GULF COAST AS WELL AS ALONG THE EASTERN SEABOARD. DEPENDING UPON THE MODEL...IT MAY BE QUITE AN UNSETTLED PERIOD FROM FRIDAY AND INTO THE WEEKEND. ELSEWHERE...BUILDING HEIGHTS ACROSS THE WESTERN U.S. SHOULD BRING ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES TO THE REGION WHICH HAS BEEN THE COMMON THEME FOR QUITE SOME TIME. RUBIN-OSTER, day 2: ...Metadata... EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD 1150 AM EDT SUN APR 13 2014 VALID 12Z WED APR 16 2014 - 12Z SUN APR 20 2014 CONTINUE TO RELY ON THE ECENS MEAN AS A SYNOPTIC GUIDE AT THE MEDIUM RANGE. THIS MEAN HAS AFFORDED THE SMOOTHEST TRANSITION TO THE FLOW REGIME IN THE WAKE OF THE BIG SHORT-RANGE STORM. THE HALLMARK OF THE NEW FLOW WILL BE EVER-DIMINISHING WEST-TO-EAST PROGRESSION OF WAVES ACROSS THE UNITED STATES. MASS FIELD REMNANTS FROM DAY-THREE SYSTEMS MAY TAKE MOST OF THE PERIOD BEFORE WASHING OUT IN THE SHORTWAVE PILEUP. RELYING ON ANY PARTICULAR OPERATIONAL RUN WOULD NEEDLESSLY DRAW ATTENTION TO ONE AREA OF FORCING AT THE COST OF ANOTHER. IN GENERAL, THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST AND EAST COAST LOOK WETTEST, WITH LIGHTER PRECIPITATION--INCLUDING SNOW OVER THE UPPER MIDWEST DAYS 3 AND 4--OVER THE NATION'S MIDSECTION. THE SOUTHWEST STILL LOOKS DRY. CISCO
Given the meteorological reports from the last 3 days, generate meteorological reports for the current day and the next 1 days
The summaries of the weather reports for the last 1 days are day 1: ...Metadata... EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD 1158 AM EDT MON APR 14 2014 VALID 12Z THU APR 17 2014 - 12Z MON APR 21 2014 ...SENSIBLE WEATHER HIGHLIGHTS... THE FIRST COUPLE OF DAYS OF THE PERIOD...THURSDAY/FRIDAY...WILL BE QUITE CHILLY ACROSS THE CENTER OF THE COUNTRY WITH TEMPERATURES 15 TO 20 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL...PARTICULARLY IN THE CENTRAL PLAINS. THE ACCOMPANYING AREA OF LOW PRESSURE CROSSING THE CO ROCKIES AND INTO THE SOUTHERN PLAINS WILL SUPPORT AN AREA OF MODERATE/HEAVY PRECIPITATION ACROSS THE CENTRAL ROCKIES ON THURSDAY. ENHANCED UPSLOPE FLOW SHOULD AID IN LOCALLY HEAVIER AMOUNTS ALONG THE FAVORED TERRAIN. GIVEN THE NEGATIVE HEIGHT ANOMALIES IN PLACE...WINTRY PRECIPITATION MAY BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS. TEMPERATURES SHOULD GRADUALLY MODERATE BY THE WEEKEND AS THE FLOW BECOMES MORE ZONAL AND WARMER THICKNESSES PREVAIL. AS THIS SYSTEM MIGRATES EASTWARD...COOLER AND WETTER CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE CENTRAL/EASTERN GULF COAST AS WELL AS ALONG THE EASTERN SEABOARD. DEPENDING UPON THE MODEL...IT MAY BE QUITE AN UNSETTLED PERIOD FROM FRIDAY AND INTO THE WEEKEND. ELSEWHERE...BUILDING HEIGHTS ACROSS THE WESTERN U.S. SHOULD BRING ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES TO THE REGION WHICH HAS BEEN THE COMMON THEME FOR QUITE SOME TIME. RUBIN-OSTER
The summaries of the weather reports for the current day and the next 3 days are day 1: ...Metadata... EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD 1200 PM EDT TUE APR 15 2014 VALID 12Z FRI APR 18 2014 - 12Z TUE APR 22 2014 ...SENSIBLE WEATHER HIGHLIGHTS... AS THE UPPER FLOW CONTINUES TO DEAMPLIFY...THE NEGATIVE TEMPERATURE ANOMALIES WILL DIMINISH AS THE PATTERN TURNS A BIT MORE ZONAL. THIS WILL LEAD TO A MAJORITY OF THE COUNTRY BEING INFLUENCED BY ABOVE 540-DM 1000-500 MB THICKNESSES. GIVEN MODEST RIDGING AHEAD OF THE APPROACHING PACIFIC STORM EARLY NEXT WEEK...ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES WITH ANOMALIES IN THE 5 TO 10 DEGREES F RANGE ARE EXPECTED OVER THE WESTERN/CENTRAL U.S. FROM SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY. MEANWHILE...ACROSS THE NORTHEASTERN U.S...TEMPERATURES WILL BE BELOW NORMAL THROUGH THE WEEKEND AS THE PASSAGE OF THE NORTHERN STREAM TROF USHERS IN COOL CANADIAN AIR INTO THE REGION. IN TERMS OF PRECIPITATION...IT SHOULD BE QUITE A WET PERIOD THROUGH SUNDAY FOR THE CENTRAL/EASTERN GULF COAST AND ACROSS THE SOUTHEASTERN U.S. THIS IS PARTICULARLY THE CASE IF THE 00Z UKMET/ECMWF/ECMWF ENSEMBLE MEAN SOLUTIONS VERIFY. THESE MODELS SHOW AREAS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES OF RAINFALL IN 24 HOURS WITH LOCALLY HEAVIER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. RUBIN-OSTER, day 2: ...Metadata... EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD 1158 AM EDT MON APR 14 2014 VALID 12Z THU APR 17 2014 - 12Z MON APR 21 2014 ...SENSIBLE WEATHER HIGHLIGHTS... THE FIRST COUPLE OF DAYS OF THE PERIOD...THURSDAY/FRIDAY...WILL BE QUITE CHILLY ACROSS THE CENTER OF THE COUNTRY WITH TEMPERATURES 15 TO 20 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL...PARTICULARLY IN THE CENTRAL PLAINS. THE ACCOMPANYING AREA OF LOW PRESSURE CROSSING THE CO ROCKIES AND INTO THE SOUTHERN PLAINS WILL SUPPORT AN AREA OF MODERATE/HEAVY PRECIPITATION ACROSS THE CENTRAL ROCKIES ON THURSDAY. ENHANCED UPSLOPE FLOW SHOULD AID IN LOCALLY HEAVIER AMOUNTS ALONG THE FAVORED TERRAIN. GIVEN THE NEGATIVE HEIGHT ANOMALIES IN PLACE...WINTRY PRECIPITATION MAY BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS. TEMPERATURES SHOULD GRADUALLY MODERATE BY THE WEEKEND AS THE FLOW BECOMES MORE ZONAL AND WARMER THICKNESSES PREVAIL. AS THIS SYSTEM MIGRATES EASTWARD...COOLER AND WETTER CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE CENTRAL/EASTERN GULF COAST AS WELL AS ALONG THE EASTERN SEABOARD. DEPENDING UPON THE MODEL...IT MAY BE QUITE AN UNSETTLED PERIOD FROM FRIDAY AND INTO THE WEEKEND. ELSEWHERE...BUILDING HEIGHTS ACROSS THE WESTERN U.S. SHOULD BRING ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES TO THE REGION WHICH HAS BEEN THE COMMON THEME FOR QUITE SOME TIME. RUBIN-OSTER, day 3: ...Metadata... EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD 1150 AM EDT SUN APR 13 2014 VALID 12Z WED APR 16 2014 - 12Z SUN APR 20 2014 CONTINUE TO RELY ON THE ECENS MEAN AS A SYNOPTIC GUIDE AT THE MEDIUM RANGE. THIS MEAN HAS AFFORDED THE SMOOTHEST TRANSITION TO THE FLOW REGIME IN THE WAKE OF THE BIG SHORT-RANGE STORM. THE HALLMARK OF THE NEW FLOW WILL BE EVER-DIMINISHING WEST-TO-EAST PROGRESSION OF WAVES ACROSS THE UNITED STATES. MASS FIELD REMNANTS FROM DAY-THREE SYSTEMS MAY TAKE MOST OF THE PERIOD BEFORE WASHING OUT IN THE SHORTWAVE PILEUP. RELYING ON ANY PARTICULAR OPERATIONAL RUN WOULD NEEDLESSLY DRAW ATTENTION TO ONE AREA OF FORCING AT THE COST OF ANOTHER. IN GENERAL, THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST AND EAST COAST LOOK WETTEST, WITH LIGHTER PRECIPITATION--INCLUDING SNOW OVER THE UPPER MIDWEST DAYS 3 AND 4--OVER THE NATION'S MIDSECTION. THE SOUTHWEST STILL LOOKS DRY. CISCO, day 4: ...Metadata... EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD 1117 AM EDT SAT APR 12 2014 VALID 12Z TUE APR 15 2014 - 12Z SAT APR 19 2014 IN THE WAKE OF THE STRONG, ENERGETIC FRONTAL SYSTEM PROGGED BY ALL THE GUIDANCE TO PUSH OFF THE EAST COAST LATE DAY 3, A SLOWING OF THE WEST-TO-EAST PROGRESSION OF SYSTEMS ACROSS THE UNITED STATES IS MAKING FOR HIGH SPREAD AND LOW CONFIDENCE IN THE BEHAVIOR OF INDIVIDUAL SYNOPTIC SYSTEMS AFTER DAY 5. WITH NO CLUSTERING AMONG THE OPERATIONAL RUNS FROM THE VARIOUS MODELING CENTERS, RELIED ON THE HOPEFUL POSITIVE CORRELATION BETWEEN THE 00Z/12 ECENS AND NAEFS MEANS. THE WEAKER SYSTEMS AND HIGH SPREAD ARE TAKING THEIR TOLL ON MANUAL PRESSURE, WIND, TEMPERATURE, AND POP FORECASTS, WITH FAIRLY DILUTE, UNIFORM MASS FIELDS DAYS 6 AND 7. THE SAFEST THING TO SAY ABOUT THE SECOND HALF OF THE CURRENT FORECAST IS THAT CLOUDS AND PRECIPITATION SHOULD KEEP DAYTIME TEMPERATURES ON THE COOLER SIDE FOR MUCH OF THE NATION. THE SOUTHWEST STILL LOOKS SHELTERED FROM DEEP-LAYER MOISTURE AND THE PASSAGE OF STRONGER SHORTWAVES. CISCO
Given the meteorological reports from the last 1 days, generate meteorological reports for the current day and the next 3 days
The summaries of the weather reports for the last 6 days are day 1: ...Metadata... EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD 1200 PM EDT TUE APR 15 2014 VALID 12Z FRI APR 18 2014 - 12Z TUE APR 22 2014 ...SENSIBLE WEATHER HIGHLIGHTS... AS THE UPPER FLOW CONTINUES TO DEAMPLIFY...THE NEGATIVE TEMPERATURE ANOMALIES WILL DIMINISH AS THE PATTERN TURNS A BIT MORE ZONAL. THIS WILL LEAD TO A MAJORITY OF THE COUNTRY BEING INFLUENCED BY ABOVE 540-DM 1000-500 MB THICKNESSES. GIVEN MODEST RIDGING AHEAD OF THE APPROACHING PACIFIC STORM EARLY NEXT WEEK...ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES WITH ANOMALIES IN THE 5 TO 10 DEGREES F RANGE ARE EXPECTED OVER THE WESTERN/CENTRAL U.S. FROM SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY. MEANWHILE...ACROSS THE NORTHEASTERN U.S...TEMPERATURES WILL BE BELOW NORMAL THROUGH THE WEEKEND AS THE PASSAGE OF THE NORTHERN STREAM TROF USHERS IN COOL CANADIAN AIR INTO THE REGION. IN TERMS OF PRECIPITATION...IT SHOULD BE QUITE A WET PERIOD THROUGH SUNDAY FOR THE CENTRAL/EASTERN GULF COAST AND ACROSS THE SOUTHEASTERN U.S. THIS IS PARTICULARLY THE CASE IF THE 00Z UKMET/ECMWF/ECMWF ENSEMBLE MEAN SOLUTIONS VERIFY. THESE MODELS SHOW AREAS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES OF RAINFALL IN 24 HOURS WITH LOCALLY HEAVIER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. RUBIN-OSTER, day 2: ...Metadata... EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD 1158 AM EDT MON APR 14 2014 VALID 12Z THU APR 17 2014 - 12Z MON APR 21 2014 ...SENSIBLE WEATHER HIGHLIGHTS... THE FIRST COUPLE OF DAYS OF THE PERIOD...THURSDAY/FRIDAY...WILL BE QUITE CHILLY ACROSS THE CENTER OF THE COUNTRY WITH TEMPERATURES 15 TO 20 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL...PARTICULARLY IN THE CENTRAL PLAINS. THE ACCOMPANYING AREA OF LOW PRESSURE CROSSING THE CO ROCKIES AND INTO THE SOUTHERN PLAINS WILL SUPPORT AN AREA OF MODERATE/HEAVY PRECIPITATION ACROSS THE CENTRAL ROCKIES ON THURSDAY. ENHANCED UPSLOPE FLOW SHOULD AID IN LOCALLY HEAVIER AMOUNTS ALONG THE FAVORED TERRAIN. GIVEN THE NEGATIVE HEIGHT ANOMALIES IN PLACE...WINTRY PRECIPITATION MAY BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS. TEMPERATURES SHOULD GRADUALLY MODERATE BY THE WEEKEND AS THE FLOW BECOMES MORE ZONAL AND WARMER THICKNESSES PREVAIL. AS THIS SYSTEM MIGRATES EASTWARD...COOLER AND WETTER CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE CENTRAL/EASTERN GULF COAST AS WELL AS ALONG THE EASTERN SEABOARD. DEPENDING UPON THE MODEL...IT MAY BE QUITE AN UNSETTLED PERIOD FROM FRIDAY AND INTO THE WEEKEND. ELSEWHERE...BUILDING HEIGHTS ACROSS THE WESTERN U.S. SHOULD BRING ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES TO THE REGION WHICH HAS BEEN THE COMMON THEME FOR QUITE SOME TIME. RUBIN-OSTER, day 3: ...Metadata... EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD 1150 AM EDT SUN APR 13 2014 VALID 12Z WED APR 16 2014 - 12Z SUN APR 20 2014 CONTINUE TO RELY ON THE ECENS MEAN AS A SYNOPTIC GUIDE AT THE MEDIUM RANGE. THIS MEAN HAS AFFORDED THE SMOOTHEST TRANSITION TO THE FLOW REGIME IN THE WAKE OF THE BIG SHORT-RANGE STORM. THE HALLMARK OF THE NEW FLOW WILL BE EVER-DIMINISHING WEST-TO-EAST PROGRESSION OF WAVES ACROSS THE UNITED STATES. MASS FIELD REMNANTS FROM DAY-THREE SYSTEMS MAY TAKE MOST OF THE PERIOD BEFORE WASHING OUT IN THE SHORTWAVE PILEUP. RELYING ON ANY PARTICULAR OPERATIONAL RUN WOULD NEEDLESSLY DRAW ATTENTION TO ONE AREA OF FORCING AT THE COST OF ANOTHER. IN GENERAL, THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST AND EAST COAST LOOK WETTEST, WITH LIGHTER PRECIPITATION--INCLUDING SNOW OVER THE UPPER MIDWEST DAYS 3 AND 4--OVER THE NATION'S MIDSECTION. THE SOUTHWEST STILL LOOKS DRY. CISCO, day 4: ...Metadata... EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD 1117 AM EDT SAT APR 12 2014 VALID 12Z TUE APR 15 2014 - 12Z SAT APR 19 2014 IN THE WAKE OF THE STRONG, ENERGETIC FRONTAL SYSTEM PROGGED BY ALL THE GUIDANCE TO PUSH OFF THE EAST COAST LATE DAY 3, A SLOWING OF THE WEST-TO-EAST PROGRESSION OF SYSTEMS ACROSS THE UNITED STATES IS MAKING FOR HIGH SPREAD AND LOW CONFIDENCE IN THE BEHAVIOR OF INDIVIDUAL SYNOPTIC SYSTEMS AFTER DAY 5. WITH NO CLUSTERING AMONG THE OPERATIONAL RUNS FROM THE VARIOUS MODELING CENTERS, RELIED ON THE HOPEFUL POSITIVE CORRELATION BETWEEN THE 00Z/12 ECENS AND NAEFS MEANS. THE WEAKER SYSTEMS AND HIGH SPREAD ARE TAKING THEIR TOLL ON MANUAL PRESSURE, WIND, TEMPERATURE, AND POP FORECASTS, WITH FAIRLY DILUTE, UNIFORM MASS FIELDS DAYS 6 AND 7. THE SAFEST THING TO SAY ABOUT THE SECOND HALF OF THE CURRENT FORECAST IS THAT CLOUDS AND PRECIPITATION SHOULD KEEP DAYTIME TEMPERATURES ON THE COOLER SIDE FOR MUCH OF THE NATION. THE SOUTHWEST STILL LOOKS SHELTERED FROM DEEP-LAYER MOISTURE AND THE PASSAGE OF STRONGER SHORTWAVES. CISCO, day 5: ...Metadata... EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD 1144 AM EDT FRI APR 11 2014 VALID 12Z MON APR 14 2014 - 12Z FRI APR 18 2014 ...MAJOR SPRING STORM FROM THE MISSISSIPPI TO THE EAST COAST... THE IMPORTANT SYNOPTIC DETAILS CONTINUE TO BECOME CLEARER WITH EACH NEW DATA CYCLE REGARDING THE SHARP, HIGHLY ENERGETIC FRONTAL COMPLEX CROSSING THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN UNITED STATES MONDAY AND TUESDAY. RELIED ON THE 00Z/11 ECENS AND NAEFS MEANS AS SYNOPTIC TEMPLATES, MANUALLY TIGHTENING GRADIENTS AND ADDING LARGER MESOSCALE FEATURES WHERE CONFIDENCE WAS HIGHER. RELIANCE ON ANY ONE OPERATIONAL MODEL WOULD EXCLUDE IMPORTANT SENSIBLE WEATHER THREATS FOR DIFFERENT AREAS, SO KEPT AN ENSEMBLE APPROACH. A MYRIAD OF HAZARDS ARE INDICATED FOR THE EASTERN HALF OF THE NATION WITH THE PASSAGE OF THIS SYSTEM--INCLUDING SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE SOUTH, TORRENTIAL RAIN SHOWERS JUST ABOUT EVERYWHERE IN THE WARM SECTOR, HEAVY SNOWS FROM THE CENTRAL PLAINS TO THE GREAT LAKES, AND DAMAGING GRADIENT WINDS. ONE OF THE MOST CHALLENGING ASPECTS OF THE WHOLE EVENT CONTINUES TO BE WHERE AND HOW MUCH SNOW FALLS ON THE BACKSIDE OF THE FRONT IN THE EAST. MANY ENSEMBLE MEMBERS--AS WELL AS A FEW OPERATIONAL MODELS--SHOW SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL ASTRIDE THE CENTRAL AND NORTHERN APPALACHIANS, WITH EVEN THE LOWER ELEVATIONS FROM THE NORTHERN PIEDMONT TO NEW ENGLAND APPARENTLY NOT OUT OF THE SNOW WOODS YET THIS PROTRACTED COLD SEASON. THE BLOCKY, SLOW-MOVING FLOW SHOULD ALLOW AT LEAST TWO FOCUSED WAVES TO PASS ACROSS THE NORTHWEST AND EVENTUALLY ONTO THE NORTHERN PLAINS. THE BEST CHANCE FOR WIDESPREAD SIGNIFICANT RAIN AND SNOW WILL BE DURING THE SECOND HALF OF THE MEDIUM RANGE ONCE THE EASTERN SYSTEM IS FAR ENOUGH OVER THE OPEN ATLANTIC. THE SOUTHWEST STILL LOOKS HIGH AND DRY. CISCO, day 6: ...Metadata... EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD 1154 AM EDT THU APR 10 2014 VALID 12Z SUN APR 13 2014 - 12Z THU APR 17 2014 ...MAJOR SPRING STORM FROM THE ROCKIES TO THE EAST COAST... THE CONVERGENCE OF HIGHLY DISPARATE AIRMASSES OVER THE CENTRAL STATES SUNDAY AND MONDAY IS EXPECTED TO FOCUS AN EXTREMELY ENERGETIC COLD FRONT AND DRYLINE SYSTEM. ON THE COLD SIDE OF THE BAROCLINIC ZONE, GUSTY WINDS AND HEAVY UPSLOPE SNOWS ARE ANTICIPATED OVER THE CENTRAL AND NORTHERN ROCKIES AND CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS SUNDAY. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY SUNDAY AFTERNOON INTO SUNDAY EVENING OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS INTO THE ARKLATEX, WHERE REMARKABLE DISCONTINUITIES ARE PROGGED ALONG THE SOUTHWARD-PLUNGING COLD FRONT AND PACIFIC-REINFORCED DRYLINE. AS THE SYSTEM EVOLVES EASTWARD SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY, A GRADUAL SHIFT FROM SEVERE WEATHER TO WIDESPREAD HEAVY SHOWERS SHOULD MARK THE WARM SECTOR, WITH A NEW SWATH OF SNOW BLOOMING ACROSS THE UPPER MIDWEST AND GREAT LAKES. THE ENTIRE COMPLEX SHOULD HIT THE WALL OF THE WESTERN ATLANTIC RIDGE ASTRIDE THE APPALACHIANS EARLY TUESDAY--PRESERVING OR EVEN STRENGTHENING THE DISCONTINUOUS NATURE OF THE THEN MERIDIONALLY-ORIENTED COLD FRONT. USED RECENT OPERATIONAL ECMWF RUNS FOR THE DETAILS OF THIS SPRAWLING SYSTEM THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING DUE TO THAT MODEL'S STABILITY FOR THE PAST FEW CYCLES. BY WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY, SWITCHED TO THE 00Z/10 ECENS MEAN--AS SUPPORTED BY THE NAEFS MEAN--AS GUIDANCE FOR THE FLOW IN THE WAKE OF THE BIG FRONT. ONE OF THE BIGGEST UNCERTAINTIES LATE TUESDAY INTO THURSDAY IS HOW MUCH MOISTURE AND FORCING REMAIN BEHIND THE FRONT OVER THE EAST. OF PARTICULAR CONCERN IS THE POSSIBILITY OF HEAVY LATE-SEASON SNOWFALL IN THE APPALACHIANS AND INTERIOR NORTHEAST IF THE WHOLE SYSTEM GETS HUNG UP JUST OFFSHORE. THE ONLY PART OF THE NATION SHELTERED FROM THE ENERGETIC PATTERN APPEARS TO BE THE SOUTHWEST. CISCO
The summaries of the weather reports for the current day and the next 2 days are day 1: ...Metadata... EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD 1058 AM EDT WED APR 16 2014 VALID 12Z SAT APR 19 2014 - 12Z WED APR 23 2014 ...SENSIBLE WEATHER HIGHLIGHTS... SYSTEM CROSSING THE NORTHEAST DURING THE WEEKEND WILL LIKELY GENERATE AREAS OF MOSTLY LGT PCPN PSBLY INCLUDING SOME POCKETS OF SNOW IN NRN AREAS. AT THE SAME TIME THE SERN COAST MAY SEE LINGERING CLOUDS/RNFL DUE TO A SLOW MOVING/CLOSED MID LVL SYSTEM AND ASSOC SFC WAVE. UPSTREAM THE COMBINATION OF A NRN STREAM PLAINS SHRTWV AND ENERGY EJECTING FROM THE SW WILL SUPPORT AN AREA OF RNFL SPREADING EWD/NEWD FROM THE FOUR CORNERS/SRN HIGH PLAINS AND NERN PLAINS/UPR MS VLY. SOME ACTIVITY MAY BE LOCALLY HVY. EXCEPT FOR NRN AREAS MOST OF THE WEST SHOULD SEE WARM TEMPS SAT-MON WITH SOME 10-15F ABOVE NORMAL HIGHS. AS THE AMPLIFYING ERN PAC TROUGH ARRIVES IN THE WEST NEXT WEEK EXPECT A COOLING TREND WHILE THE WARMTH HEADS INTO THE PLAINS... WHILE AREAS FROM THE NRN HALF OF THE WEST COAST INTO THE NRN PLAINS SHOULD SEE INCREASED COVERAGE OF PCPN. MSTR COULD EXTEND FARTHER SWD OVER THE WEST IF THE TROUGH ALOFT ENDS UP BEING DEEPER/MORE CLOSED AND SLOWER THAN EVEN THE MOST RECENT 16/00Z CYCLE GUIDANCE. VOJTESAK/RAUSCH, day 2: ...Metadata... EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD 1200 PM EDT TUE APR 15 2014 VALID 12Z FRI APR 18 2014 - 12Z TUE APR 22 2014 ...SENSIBLE WEATHER HIGHLIGHTS... AS THE UPPER FLOW CONTINUES TO DEAMPLIFY...THE NEGATIVE TEMPERATURE ANOMALIES WILL DIMINISH AS THE PATTERN TURNS A BIT MORE ZONAL. THIS WILL LEAD TO A MAJORITY OF THE COUNTRY BEING INFLUENCED BY ABOVE 540-DM 1000-500 MB THICKNESSES. GIVEN MODEST RIDGING AHEAD OF THE APPROACHING PACIFIC STORM EARLY NEXT WEEK...ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES WITH ANOMALIES IN THE 5 TO 10 DEGREES F RANGE ARE EXPECTED OVER THE WESTERN/CENTRAL U.S. FROM SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY. MEANWHILE...ACROSS THE NORTHEASTERN U.S...TEMPERATURES WILL BE BELOW NORMAL THROUGH THE WEEKEND AS THE PASSAGE OF THE NORTHERN STREAM TROF USHERS IN COOL CANADIAN AIR INTO THE REGION. IN TERMS OF PRECIPITATION...IT SHOULD BE QUITE A WET PERIOD THROUGH SUNDAY FOR THE CENTRAL/EASTERN GULF COAST AND ACROSS THE SOUTHEASTERN U.S. THIS IS PARTICULARLY THE CASE IF THE 00Z UKMET/ECMWF/ECMWF ENSEMBLE MEAN SOLUTIONS VERIFY. THESE MODELS SHOW AREAS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES OF RAINFALL IN 24 HOURS WITH LOCALLY HEAVIER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. RUBIN-OSTER, day 3: ...Metadata... EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD 1158 AM EDT MON APR 14 2014 VALID 12Z THU APR 17 2014 - 12Z MON APR 21 2014 ...SENSIBLE WEATHER HIGHLIGHTS... THE FIRST COUPLE OF DAYS OF THE PERIOD...THURSDAY/FRIDAY...WILL BE QUITE CHILLY ACROSS THE CENTER OF THE COUNTRY WITH TEMPERATURES 15 TO 20 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL...PARTICULARLY IN THE CENTRAL PLAINS. THE ACCOMPANYING AREA OF LOW PRESSURE CROSSING THE CO ROCKIES AND INTO THE SOUTHERN PLAINS WILL SUPPORT AN AREA OF MODERATE/HEAVY PRECIPITATION ACROSS THE CENTRAL ROCKIES ON THURSDAY. ENHANCED UPSLOPE FLOW SHOULD AID IN LOCALLY HEAVIER AMOUNTS ALONG THE FAVORED TERRAIN. GIVEN THE NEGATIVE HEIGHT ANOMALIES IN PLACE...WINTRY PRECIPITATION MAY BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS. TEMPERATURES SHOULD GRADUALLY MODERATE BY THE WEEKEND AS THE FLOW BECOMES MORE ZONAL AND WARMER THICKNESSES PREVAIL. AS THIS SYSTEM MIGRATES EASTWARD...COOLER AND WETTER CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE CENTRAL/EASTERN GULF COAST AS WELL AS ALONG THE EASTERN SEABOARD. DEPENDING UPON THE MODEL...IT MAY BE QUITE AN UNSETTLED PERIOD FROM FRIDAY AND INTO THE WEEKEND. ELSEWHERE...BUILDING HEIGHTS ACROSS THE WESTERN U.S. SHOULD BRING ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES TO THE REGION WHICH HAS BEEN THE COMMON THEME FOR QUITE SOME TIME. RUBIN-OSTER
Given the meteorological reports from the last 6 days, generate meteorological reports for the current day and the next 2 days
The summaries of the weather reports for the last 4 days are day 1: ...Metadata... EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD 1058 AM EDT WED APR 16 2014 VALID 12Z SAT APR 19 2014 - 12Z WED APR 23 2014 ...SENSIBLE WEATHER HIGHLIGHTS... SYSTEM CROSSING THE NORTHEAST DURING THE WEEKEND WILL LIKELY GENERATE AREAS OF MOSTLY LGT PCPN PSBLY INCLUDING SOME POCKETS OF SNOW IN NRN AREAS. AT THE SAME TIME THE SERN COAST MAY SEE LINGERING CLOUDS/RNFL DUE TO A SLOW MOVING/CLOSED MID LVL SYSTEM AND ASSOC SFC WAVE. UPSTREAM THE COMBINATION OF A NRN STREAM PLAINS SHRTWV AND ENERGY EJECTING FROM THE SW WILL SUPPORT AN AREA OF RNFL SPREADING EWD/NEWD FROM THE FOUR CORNERS/SRN HIGH PLAINS AND NERN PLAINS/UPR MS VLY. SOME ACTIVITY MAY BE LOCALLY HVY. EXCEPT FOR NRN AREAS MOST OF THE WEST SHOULD SEE WARM TEMPS SAT-MON WITH SOME 10-15F ABOVE NORMAL HIGHS. AS THE AMPLIFYING ERN PAC TROUGH ARRIVES IN THE WEST NEXT WEEK EXPECT A COOLING TREND WHILE THE WARMTH HEADS INTO THE PLAINS... WHILE AREAS FROM THE NRN HALF OF THE WEST COAST INTO THE NRN PLAINS SHOULD SEE INCREASED COVERAGE OF PCPN. MSTR COULD EXTEND FARTHER SWD OVER THE WEST IF THE TROUGH ALOFT ENDS UP BEING DEEPER/MORE CLOSED AND SLOWER THAN EVEN THE MOST RECENT 16/00Z CYCLE GUIDANCE. VOJTESAK/RAUSCH, day 2: ...Metadata... EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD 1200 PM EDT TUE APR 15 2014 VALID 12Z FRI APR 18 2014 - 12Z TUE APR 22 2014 ...SENSIBLE WEATHER HIGHLIGHTS... AS THE UPPER FLOW CONTINUES TO DEAMPLIFY...THE NEGATIVE TEMPERATURE ANOMALIES WILL DIMINISH AS THE PATTERN TURNS A BIT MORE ZONAL. THIS WILL LEAD TO A MAJORITY OF THE COUNTRY BEING INFLUENCED BY ABOVE 540-DM 1000-500 MB THICKNESSES. GIVEN MODEST RIDGING AHEAD OF THE APPROACHING PACIFIC STORM EARLY NEXT WEEK...ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES WITH ANOMALIES IN THE 5 TO 10 DEGREES F RANGE ARE EXPECTED OVER THE WESTERN/CENTRAL U.S. FROM SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY. MEANWHILE...ACROSS THE NORTHEASTERN U.S...TEMPERATURES WILL BE BELOW NORMAL THROUGH THE WEEKEND AS THE PASSAGE OF THE NORTHERN STREAM TROF USHERS IN COOL CANADIAN AIR INTO THE REGION. IN TERMS OF PRECIPITATION...IT SHOULD BE QUITE A WET PERIOD THROUGH SUNDAY FOR THE CENTRAL/EASTERN GULF COAST AND ACROSS THE SOUTHEASTERN U.S. THIS IS PARTICULARLY THE CASE IF THE 00Z UKMET/ECMWF/ECMWF ENSEMBLE MEAN SOLUTIONS VERIFY. THESE MODELS SHOW AREAS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES OF RAINFALL IN 24 HOURS WITH LOCALLY HEAVIER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. RUBIN-OSTER, day 3: ...Metadata... EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD 1158 AM EDT MON APR 14 2014 VALID 12Z THU APR 17 2014 - 12Z MON APR 21 2014 ...SENSIBLE WEATHER HIGHLIGHTS... THE FIRST COUPLE OF DAYS OF THE PERIOD...THURSDAY/FRIDAY...WILL BE QUITE CHILLY ACROSS THE CENTER OF THE COUNTRY WITH TEMPERATURES 15 TO 20 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL...PARTICULARLY IN THE CENTRAL PLAINS. THE ACCOMPANYING AREA OF LOW PRESSURE CROSSING THE CO ROCKIES AND INTO THE SOUTHERN PLAINS WILL SUPPORT AN AREA OF MODERATE/HEAVY PRECIPITATION ACROSS THE CENTRAL ROCKIES ON THURSDAY. ENHANCED UPSLOPE FLOW SHOULD AID IN LOCALLY HEAVIER AMOUNTS ALONG THE FAVORED TERRAIN. GIVEN THE NEGATIVE HEIGHT ANOMALIES IN PLACE...WINTRY PRECIPITATION MAY BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS. TEMPERATURES SHOULD GRADUALLY MODERATE BY THE WEEKEND AS THE FLOW BECOMES MORE ZONAL AND WARMER THICKNESSES PREVAIL. AS THIS SYSTEM MIGRATES EASTWARD...COOLER AND WETTER CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE CENTRAL/EASTERN GULF COAST AS WELL AS ALONG THE EASTERN SEABOARD. DEPENDING UPON THE MODEL...IT MAY BE QUITE AN UNSETTLED PERIOD FROM FRIDAY AND INTO THE WEEKEND. ELSEWHERE...BUILDING HEIGHTS ACROSS THE WESTERN U.S. SHOULD BRING ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES TO THE REGION WHICH HAS BEEN THE COMMON THEME FOR QUITE SOME TIME. RUBIN-OSTER, day 4: ...Metadata... EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD 1150 AM EDT SUN APR 13 2014 VALID 12Z WED APR 16 2014 - 12Z SUN APR 20 2014 CONTINUE TO RELY ON THE ECENS MEAN AS A SYNOPTIC GUIDE AT THE MEDIUM RANGE. THIS MEAN HAS AFFORDED THE SMOOTHEST TRANSITION TO THE FLOW REGIME IN THE WAKE OF THE BIG SHORT-RANGE STORM. THE HALLMARK OF THE NEW FLOW WILL BE EVER-DIMINISHING WEST-TO-EAST PROGRESSION OF WAVES ACROSS THE UNITED STATES. MASS FIELD REMNANTS FROM DAY-THREE SYSTEMS MAY TAKE MOST OF THE PERIOD BEFORE WASHING OUT IN THE SHORTWAVE PILEUP. RELYING ON ANY PARTICULAR OPERATIONAL RUN WOULD NEEDLESSLY DRAW ATTENTION TO ONE AREA OF FORCING AT THE COST OF ANOTHER. IN GENERAL, THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST AND EAST COAST LOOK WETTEST, WITH LIGHTER PRECIPITATION--INCLUDING SNOW OVER THE UPPER MIDWEST DAYS 3 AND 4--OVER THE NATION'S MIDSECTION. THE SOUTHWEST STILL LOOKS DRY. CISCO
The summaries of the weather reports for the current day and the next 2 days are day 1: ...Metadata... EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD 1044 AM EDT THU APR 17 2014 VALID 12Z SUN APR 20 2014 - 12Z THU APR 24 2014 ...SENSIBLE WEATHER HIGHLIGHTS... THE CUTOFF LOW ENTERING THE NORTH COAST OF CALIFORNIA WILL LIKELY BECOME THE PRIMARY WEATHER HIGHLIGHT THROUGH TIME ACROSS THE SIERRA...GREAT BASIN AND ROCKIES. AHEAD OF THIS SYSTEM...LEE SIDE CYCLOGENESIS AND AN AMPLIFYING MID-LEVEL RIDGE...SUGGESTS A VERY BROAD AND DEEPENING LAYER OF EAST TO SOUTHEAST UPSLOPE FLOW SURGING INTO THE MT/WYO PORTION OF THE NORTHERN HIGH PLAINS AND ALONG THE NORTHERN THIRD OF THE CONTINENTAL DIVIDE. THE DEVELOPING CYCLONE GRADUALLY SPREADS A BROAD OCCLUSION ACROSS MUCH OF THE MISSOURI VALLEY BASIN BY PERIOD'S END...WITH POCKETS OF DIURNAL CONVECTION DEVELOPING ACROSS A SHALLOW...HIGHLY-MODIFIED CANADIAN AIRMASS BOUNDARY AND LEE TROUGH FROM THE BLACK HILLS SOUTHWARD INTO THE PERMIAN BASIN. WHAT WILL CHARACTERIZE THIS FRONTAL BOUNDARY...IS THE LACK OF LOW-LEVEL GULF MOISTURE TRANSPORT ALONG AND AHEAD OF IT. IN THIS ANTICIPATED PATTERN...A DRY/VERY WARM GREAT BASIN-4 CORNERS AIRMASS WILL PERIODICALLY SPILL DOWNWIND AND DOWNHILL ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS...LEADING TO BREEZY/WINDY CONDITIONS AND ISOLATED DRYLINE-TYPE...BUT SLOW-MOVING CONVECTIVE ELEMENTS ALONG THE MIDDLE THIRD OF THE RIO GRANDE VALLEY NORTHWARD INTO THE COLORADO FRONT RANGE. DOWNSTREAM... BY DAY 5-6...VERY WARM TEMPERATURE ARE EXPECTED OVER THE PLAINS WITH SOME HIGHS APPROACHING LEVELS THAT WILL BE 15F-20F ABOVE NORMAL. DAY 4-5...THE MULTI-WAVE PATTERN OVER THE EASTERN THIRD OF THE NATION...A COMBINATION OF NORTHERN AND SOUTHERN STREAM ENERGY...FEATURES A BAND OF SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL POTENTIAL FROM THE SOUTH CENTRAL OK/TX PLAINS NORTHEASTWARD TO THE MIDWEST AND GREAT LAKES. THE CONSOLIDATION OF THE FRONT WITH THE AFOREMENTIONED MID-LEVEL DISTURBANCE ALONG THE US/CANADIAN BORDER AND GA/NE FL COASTAL LOW MAY ALLOW FOR SOME LINGERING LIGHT PRECIPITATION...AND MID-LEVEL CLOUDINESS OVER NEW ENGLAND...PRIOR TO THE WARMUP ASSOCIATED WITH THE MID-LEVEL RIDGE MIGRATING IN FROM THE SOUTHWEST...DAY 6. VOJTESAK, day 2: ...Metadata... EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD 1058 AM EDT WED APR 16 2014 VALID 12Z SAT APR 19 2014 - 12Z WED APR 23 2014 ...SENSIBLE WEATHER HIGHLIGHTS... SYSTEM CROSSING THE NORTHEAST DURING THE WEEKEND WILL LIKELY GENERATE AREAS OF MOSTLY LGT PCPN PSBLY INCLUDING SOME POCKETS OF SNOW IN NRN AREAS. AT THE SAME TIME THE SERN COAST MAY SEE LINGERING CLOUDS/RNFL DUE TO A SLOW MOVING/CLOSED MID LVL SYSTEM AND ASSOC SFC WAVE. UPSTREAM THE COMBINATION OF A NRN STREAM PLAINS SHRTWV AND ENERGY EJECTING FROM THE SW WILL SUPPORT AN AREA OF RNFL SPREADING EWD/NEWD FROM THE FOUR CORNERS/SRN HIGH PLAINS AND NERN PLAINS/UPR MS VLY. SOME ACTIVITY MAY BE LOCALLY HVY. EXCEPT FOR NRN AREAS MOST OF THE WEST SHOULD SEE WARM TEMPS SAT-MON WITH SOME 10-15F ABOVE NORMAL HIGHS. AS THE AMPLIFYING ERN PAC TROUGH ARRIVES IN THE WEST NEXT WEEK EXPECT A COOLING TREND WHILE THE WARMTH HEADS INTO THE PLAINS... WHILE AREAS FROM THE NRN HALF OF THE WEST COAST INTO THE NRN PLAINS SHOULD SEE INCREASED COVERAGE OF PCPN. MSTR COULD EXTEND FARTHER SWD OVER THE WEST IF THE TROUGH ALOFT ENDS UP BEING DEEPER/MORE CLOSED AND SLOWER THAN EVEN THE MOST RECENT 16/00Z CYCLE GUIDANCE. VOJTESAK/RAUSCH, day 3: ...Metadata... EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD 1200 PM EDT TUE APR 15 2014 VALID 12Z FRI APR 18 2014 - 12Z TUE APR 22 2014 ...SENSIBLE WEATHER HIGHLIGHTS... AS THE UPPER FLOW CONTINUES TO DEAMPLIFY...THE NEGATIVE TEMPERATURE ANOMALIES WILL DIMINISH AS THE PATTERN TURNS A BIT MORE ZONAL. THIS WILL LEAD TO A MAJORITY OF THE COUNTRY BEING INFLUENCED BY ABOVE 540-DM 1000-500 MB THICKNESSES. GIVEN MODEST RIDGING AHEAD OF THE APPROACHING PACIFIC STORM EARLY NEXT WEEK...ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES WITH ANOMALIES IN THE 5 TO 10 DEGREES F RANGE ARE EXPECTED OVER THE WESTERN/CENTRAL U.S. FROM SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY. MEANWHILE...ACROSS THE NORTHEASTERN U.S...TEMPERATURES WILL BE BELOW NORMAL THROUGH THE WEEKEND AS THE PASSAGE OF THE NORTHERN STREAM TROF USHERS IN COOL CANADIAN AIR INTO THE REGION. IN TERMS OF PRECIPITATION...IT SHOULD BE QUITE A WET PERIOD THROUGH SUNDAY FOR THE CENTRAL/EASTERN GULF COAST AND ACROSS THE SOUTHEASTERN U.S. THIS IS PARTICULARLY THE CASE IF THE 00Z UKMET/ECMWF/ECMWF ENSEMBLE MEAN SOLUTIONS VERIFY. THESE MODELS SHOW AREAS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES OF RAINFALL IN 24 HOURS WITH LOCALLY HEAVIER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. RUBIN-OSTER
Given the meteorological reports from the last 4 days, generate meteorological reports for the current day and the next 2 days
The summaries of the weather reports for the last 3 days are day 1: ...Metadata... EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD 1044 AM EDT THU APR 17 2014 VALID 12Z SUN APR 20 2014 - 12Z THU APR 24 2014 ...SENSIBLE WEATHER HIGHLIGHTS... THE CUTOFF LOW ENTERING THE NORTH COAST OF CALIFORNIA WILL LIKELY BECOME THE PRIMARY WEATHER HIGHLIGHT THROUGH TIME ACROSS THE SIERRA...GREAT BASIN AND ROCKIES. AHEAD OF THIS SYSTEM...LEE SIDE CYCLOGENESIS AND AN AMPLIFYING MID-LEVEL RIDGE...SUGGESTS A VERY BROAD AND DEEPENING LAYER OF EAST TO SOUTHEAST UPSLOPE FLOW SURGING INTO THE MT/WYO PORTION OF THE NORTHERN HIGH PLAINS AND ALONG THE NORTHERN THIRD OF THE CONTINENTAL DIVIDE. THE DEVELOPING CYCLONE GRADUALLY SPREADS A BROAD OCCLUSION ACROSS MUCH OF THE MISSOURI VALLEY BASIN BY PERIOD'S END...WITH POCKETS OF DIURNAL CONVECTION DEVELOPING ACROSS A SHALLOW...HIGHLY-MODIFIED CANADIAN AIRMASS BOUNDARY AND LEE TROUGH FROM THE BLACK HILLS SOUTHWARD INTO THE PERMIAN BASIN. WHAT WILL CHARACTERIZE THIS FRONTAL BOUNDARY...IS THE LACK OF LOW-LEVEL GULF MOISTURE TRANSPORT ALONG AND AHEAD OF IT. IN THIS ANTICIPATED PATTERN...A DRY/VERY WARM GREAT BASIN-4 CORNERS AIRMASS WILL PERIODICALLY SPILL DOWNWIND AND DOWNHILL ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS...LEADING TO BREEZY/WINDY CONDITIONS AND ISOLATED DRYLINE-TYPE...BUT SLOW-MOVING CONVECTIVE ELEMENTS ALONG THE MIDDLE THIRD OF THE RIO GRANDE VALLEY NORTHWARD INTO THE COLORADO FRONT RANGE. DOWNSTREAM... BY DAY 5-6...VERY WARM TEMPERATURE ARE EXPECTED OVER THE PLAINS WITH SOME HIGHS APPROACHING LEVELS THAT WILL BE 15F-20F ABOVE NORMAL. DAY 4-5...THE MULTI-WAVE PATTERN OVER THE EASTERN THIRD OF THE NATION...A COMBINATION OF NORTHERN AND SOUTHERN STREAM ENERGY...FEATURES A BAND OF SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL POTENTIAL FROM THE SOUTH CENTRAL OK/TX PLAINS NORTHEASTWARD TO THE MIDWEST AND GREAT LAKES. THE CONSOLIDATION OF THE FRONT WITH THE AFOREMENTIONED MID-LEVEL DISTURBANCE ALONG THE US/CANADIAN BORDER AND GA/NE FL COASTAL LOW MAY ALLOW FOR SOME LINGERING LIGHT PRECIPITATION...AND MID-LEVEL CLOUDINESS OVER NEW ENGLAND...PRIOR TO THE WARMUP ASSOCIATED WITH THE MID-LEVEL RIDGE MIGRATING IN FROM THE SOUTHWEST...DAY 6. VOJTESAK, day 2: ...Metadata... EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD 1058 AM EDT WED APR 16 2014 VALID 12Z SAT APR 19 2014 - 12Z WED APR 23 2014 ...SENSIBLE WEATHER HIGHLIGHTS... SYSTEM CROSSING THE NORTHEAST DURING THE WEEKEND WILL LIKELY GENERATE AREAS OF MOSTLY LGT PCPN PSBLY INCLUDING SOME POCKETS OF SNOW IN NRN AREAS. AT THE SAME TIME THE SERN COAST MAY SEE LINGERING CLOUDS/RNFL DUE TO A SLOW MOVING/CLOSED MID LVL SYSTEM AND ASSOC SFC WAVE. UPSTREAM THE COMBINATION OF A NRN STREAM PLAINS SHRTWV AND ENERGY EJECTING FROM THE SW WILL SUPPORT AN AREA OF RNFL SPREADING EWD/NEWD FROM THE FOUR CORNERS/SRN HIGH PLAINS AND NERN PLAINS/UPR MS VLY. SOME ACTIVITY MAY BE LOCALLY HVY. EXCEPT FOR NRN AREAS MOST OF THE WEST SHOULD SEE WARM TEMPS SAT-MON WITH SOME 10-15F ABOVE NORMAL HIGHS. AS THE AMPLIFYING ERN PAC TROUGH ARRIVES IN THE WEST NEXT WEEK EXPECT A COOLING TREND WHILE THE WARMTH HEADS INTO THE PLAINS... WHILE AREAS FROM THE NRN HALF OF THE WEST COAST INTO THE NRN PLAINS SHOULD SEE INCREASED COVERAGE OF PCPN. MSTR COULD EXTEND FARTHER SWD OVER THE WEST IF THE TROUGH ALOFT ENDS UP BEING DEEPER/MORE CLOSED AND SLOWER THAN EVEN THE MOST RECENT 16/00Z CYCLE GUIDANCE. VOJTESAK/RAUSCH, day 3: ...Metadata... EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD 1200 PM EDT TUE APR 15 2014 VALID 12Z FRI APR 18 2014 - 12Z TUE APR 22 2014 ...SENSIBLE WEATHER HIGHLIGHTS... AS THE UPPER FLOW CONTINUES TO DEAMPLIFY...THE NEGATIVE TEMPERATURE ANOMALIES WILL DIMINISH AS THE PATTERN TURNS A BIT MORE ZONAL. THIS WILL LEAD TO A MAJORITY OF THE COUNTRY BEING INFLUENCED BY ABOVE 540-DM 1000-500 MB THICKNESSES. GIVEN MODEST RIDGING AHEAD OF THE APPROACHING PACIFIC STORM EARLY NEXT WEEK...ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES WITH ANOMALIES IN THE 5 TO 10 DEGREES F RANGE ARE EXPECTED OVER THE WESTERN/CENTRAL U.S. FROM SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY. MEANWHILE...ACROSS THE NORTHEASTERN U.S...TEMPERATURES WILL BE BELOW NORMAL THROUGH THE WEEKEND AS THE PASSAGE OF THE NORTHERN STREAM TROF USHERS IN COOL CANADIAN AIR INTO THE REGION. IN TERMS OF PRECIPITATION...IT SHOULD BE QUITE A WET PERIOD THROUGH SUNDAY FOR THE CENTRAL/EASTERN GULF COAST AND ACROSS THE SOUTHEASTERN U.S. THIS IS PARTICULARLY THE CASE IF THE 00Z UKMET/ECMWF/ECMWF ENSEMBLE MEAN SOLUTIONS VERIFY. THESE MODELS SHOW AREAS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES OF RAINFALL IN 24 HOURS WITH LOCALLY HEAVIER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. RUBIN-OSTER
The summaries of the weather reports for the current day and the next 6 days are day 1: ...Metadata... EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD 1159 AM EDT FRI APR 18 2014 VALID 12Z MON APR 21 2014 - 12Z FRI APR 25 2014 ...SENSIBLE WEATHER HIGHLIGHTS... AMPLE MID-UPPER LEVEL TROUGH ENERGIES OVER THE CENTRAL US DAY 3 INTERACT OVER THE EASTERN AND NORTHEAST THROUGH DAY 5. MODEST PCPN/SOME STRONGER CONVECTION IN ADVANCE AND DECENT POST-FRONTAL COOLING HIGH PRESSURE ARE ANTICIPATED ACROSS NEW ENGLAND INTO EARLY DAY 6. UPSTREAM...AN AMPLIFIED MID-UPPER LEVEL TROUGH AND BIG HEIGHT FALLS WORKS INLAND ACROSS THE GREAT BASIN...LOWER COLORADO RIVER BASIN...AND THROUGH THE SOUTHERN PLAINS. ISOLATED WINTRY PRECIPITATION IN THE NORTHWEST AND HIGHEST ELEVATIONS OF THE DIVIDE...THEN WELL-ORGANIZED LOW/FRONT TO DEVELOP AND INCREASINGLY FOCUS MOISTURE/PCPN ALONG WITH POST-FRONTAL COOLING ACROSS THE REGION. HEAVIEST PCPN POTENTIAL SHOULD BE CLOSER TO THE MAIN LOW TRACK ACROSS NWRN US/NRN ROCKIES TERRAIN AND OUT ACROSS THE N-CENTRAL US...BUT DYNAMIC SUPPORT AND INSTABILITY SHOULD ALSO OFFER A CONVECTIVE SPARK FARTHER SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE WELL WARMED S-CENTRAL AND E-CENTRAL US AS MOISTURE RETURNS FROM THE GULF OF MEXICO. YET ANOTHER DYNAMIC TROUGH AND SURFACE SYSTEM WITH ENHANCED PCPN REACHES THE NWRN US IN ABOUT A WEEK. VOJTESAK/SCHICHTEL, day 2: ...Metadata... EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD 1044 AM EDT THU APR 17 2014 VALID 12Z SUN APR 20 2014 - 12Z THU APR 24 2014 ...SENSIBLE WEATHER HIGHLIGHTS... THE CUTOFF LOW ENTERING THE NORTH COAST OF CALIFORNIA WILL LIKELY BECOME THE PRIMARY WEATHER HIGHLIGHT THROUGH TIME ACROSS THE SIERRA...GREAT BASIN AND ROCKIES. AHEAD OF THIS SYSTEM...LEE SIDE CYCLOGENESIS AND AN AMPLIFYING MID-LEVEL RIDGE...SUGGESTS A VERY BROAD AND DEEPENING LAYER OF EAST TO SOUTHEAST UPSLOPE FLOW SURGING INTO THE MT/WYO PORTION OF THE NORTHERN HIGH PLAINS AND ALONG THE NORTHERN THIRD OF THE CONTINENTAL DIVIDE. THE DEVELOPING CYCLONE GRADUALLY SPREADS A BROAD OCCLUSION ACROSS MUCH OF THE MISSOURI VALLEY BASIN BY PERIOD'S END...WITH POCKETS OF DIURNAL CONVECTION DEVELOPING ACROSS A SHALLOW...HIGHLY-MODIFIED CANADIAN AIRMASS BOUNDARY AND LEE TROUGH FROM THE BLACK HILLS SOUTHWARD INTO THE PERMIAN BASIN. WHAT WILL CHARACTERIZE THIS FRONTAL BOUNDARY...IS THE LACK OF LOW-LEVEL GULF MOISTURE TRANSPORT ALONG AND AHEAD OF IT. IN THIS ANTICIPATED PATTERN...A DRY/VERY WARM GREAT BASIN-4 CORNERS AIRMASS WILL PERIODICALLY SPILL DOWNWIND AND DOWNHILL ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS...LEADING TO BREEZY/WINDY CONDITIONS AND ISOLATED DRYLINE-TYPE...BUT SLOW-MOVING CONVECTIVE ELEMENTS ALONG THE MIDDLE THIRD OF THE RIO GRANDE VALLEY NORTHWARD INTO THE COLORADO FRONT RANGE. DOWNSTREAM... BY DAY 5-6...VERY WARM TEMPERATURE ARE EXPECTED OVER THE PLAINS WITH SOME HIGHS APPROACHING LEVELS THAT WILL BE 15F-20F ABOVE NORMAL. DAY 4-5...THE MULTI-WAVE PATTERN OVER THE EASTERN THIRD OF THE NATION...A COMBINATION OF NORTHERN AND SOUTHERN STREAM ENERGY...FEATURES A BAND OF SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL POTENTIAL FROM THE SOUTH CENTRAL OK/TX PLAINS NORTHEASTWARD TO THE MIDWEST AND GREAT LAKES. THE CONSOLIDATION OF THE FRONT WITH THE AFOREMENTIONED MID-LEVEL DISTURBANCE ALONG THE US/CANADIAN BORDER AND GA/NE FL COASTAL LOW MAY ALLOW FOR SOME LINGERING LIGHT PRECIPITATION...AND MID-LEVEL CLOUDINESS OVER NEW ENGLAND...PRIOR TO THE WARMUP ASSOCIATED WITH THE MID-LEVEL RIDGE MIGRATING IN FROM THE SOUTHWEST...DAY 6. VOJTESAK, day 3: ...Metadata... EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD 1058 AM EDT WED APR 16 2014 VALID 12Z SAT APR 19 2014 - 12Z WED APR 23 2014 ...SENSIBLE WEATHER HIGHLIGHTS... SYSTEM CROSSING THE NORTHEAST DURING THE WEEKEND WILL LIKELY GENERATE AREAS OF MOSTLY LGT PCPN PSBLY INCLUDING SOME POCKETS OF SNOW IN NRN AREAS. AT THE SAME TIME THE SERN COAST MAY SEE LINGERING CLOUDS/RNFL DUE TO A SLOW MOVING/CLOSED MID LVL SYSTEM AND ASSOC SFC WAVE. UPSTREAM THE COMBINATION OF A NRN STREAM PLAINS SHRTWV AND ENERGY EJECTING FROM THE SW WILL SUPPORT AN AREA OF RNFL SPREADING EWD/NEWD FROM THE FOUR CORNERS/SRN HIGH PLAINS AND NERN PLAINS/UPR MS VLY. SOME ACTIVITY MAY BE LOCALLY HVY. EXCEPT FOR NRN AREAS MOST OF THE WEST SHOULD SEE WARM TEMPS SAT-MON WITH SOME 10-15F ABOVE NORMAL HIGHS. AS THE AMPLIFYING ERN PAC TROUGH ARRIVES IN THE WEST NEXT WEEK EXPECT A COOLING TREND WHILE THE WARMTH HEADS INTO THE PLAINS... WHILE AREAS FROM THE NRN HALF OF THE WEST COAST INTO THE NRN PLAINS SHOULD SEE INCREASED COVERAGE OF PCPN. MSTR COULD EXTEND FARTHER SWD OVER THE WEST IF THE TROUGH ALOFT ENDS UP BEING DEEPER/MORE CLOSED AND SLOWER THAN EVEN THE MOST RECENT 16/00Z CYCLE GUIDANCE. VOJTESAK/RAUSCH, day 4: ...Metadata... EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD 1200 PM EDT TUE APR 15 2014 VALID 12Z FRI APR 18 2014 - 12Z TUE APR 22 2014 ...SENSIBLE WEATHER HIGHLIGHTS... AS THE UPPER FLOW CONTINUES TO DEAMPLIFY...THE NEGATIVE TEMPERATURE ANOMALIES WILL DIMINISH AS THE PATTERN TURNS A BIT MORE ZONAL. THIS WILL LEAD TO A MAJORITY OF THE COUNTRY BEING INFLUENCED BY ABOVE 540-DM 1000-500 MB THICKNESSES. GIVEN MODEST RIDGING AHEAD OF THE APPROACHING PACIFIC STORM EARLY NEXT WEEK...ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES WITH ANOMALIES IN THE 5 TO 10 DEGREES F RANGE ARE EXPECTED OVER THE WESTERN/CENTRAL U.S. FROM SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY. MEANWHILE...ACROSS THE NORTHEASTERN U.S...TEMPERATURES WILL BE BELOW NORMAL THROUGH THE WEEKEND AS THE PASSAGE OF THE NORTHERN STREAM TROF USHERS IN COOL CANADIAN AIR INTO THE REGION. IN TERMS OF PRECIPITATION...IT SHOULD BE QUITE A WET PERIOD THROUGH SUNDAY FOR THE CENTRAL/EASTERN GULF COAST AND ACROSS THE SOUTHEASTERN U.S. THIS IS PARTICULARLY THE CASE IF THE 00Z UKMET/ECMWF/ECMWF ENSEMBLE MEAN SOLUTIONS VERIFY. THESE MODELS SHOW AREAS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES OF RAINFALL IN 24 HOURS WITH LOCALLY HEAVIER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. RUBIN-OSTER, day 5: ...Metadata... EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD 1158 AM EDT MON APR 14 2014 VALID 12Z THU APR 17 2014 - 12Z MON APR 21 2014 ...SENSIBLE WEATHER HIGHLIGHTS... THE FIRST COUPLE OF DAYS OF THE PERIOD...THURSDAY/FRIDAY...WILL BE QUITE CHILLY ACROSS THE CENTER OF THE COUNTRY WITH TEMPERATURES 15 TO 20 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL...PARTICULARLY IN THE CENTRAL PLAINS. THE ACCOMPANYING AREA OF LOW PRESSURE CROSSING THE CO ROCKIES AND INTO THE SOUTHERN PLAINS WILL SUPPORT AN AREA OF MODERATE/HEAVY PRECIPITATION ACROSS THE CENTRAL ROCKIES ON THURSDAY. ENHANCED UPSLOPE FLOW SHOULD AID IN LOCALLY HEAVIER AMOUNTS ALONG THE FAVORED TERRAIN. GIVEN THE NEGATIVE HEIGHT ANOMALIES IN PLACE...WINTRY PRECIPITATION MAY BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS. TEMPERATURES SHOULD GRADUALLY MODERATE BY THE WEEKEND AS THE FLOW BECOMES MORE ZONAL AND WARMER THICKNESSES PREVAIL. AS THIS SYSTEM MIGRATES EASTWARD...COOLER AND WETTER CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE CENTRAL/EASTERN GULF COAST AS WELL AS ALONG THE EASTERN SEABOARD. DEPENDING UPON THE MODEL...IT MAY BE QUITE AN UNSETTLED PERIOD FROM FRIDAY AND INTO THE WEEKEND. ELSEWHERE...BUILDING HEIGHTS ACROSS THE WESTERN U.S. SHOULD BRING ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES TO THE REGION WHICH HAS BEEN THE COMMON THEME FOR QUITE SOME TIME. RUBIN-OSTER, day 6: ...Metadata... EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD 1150 AM EDT SUN APR 13 2014 VALID 12Z WED APR 16 2014 - 12Z SUN APR 20 2014 CONTINUE TO RELY ON THE ECENS MEAN AS A SYNOPTIC GUIDE AT THE MEDIUM RANGE. THIS MEAN HAS AFFORDED THE SMOOTHEST TRANSITION TO THE FLOW REGIME IN THE WAKE OF THE BIG SHORT-RANGE STORM. THE HALLMARK OF THE NEW FLOW WILL BE EVER-DIMINISHING WEST-TO-EAST PROGRESSION OF WAVES ACROSS THE UNITED STATES. MASS FIELD REMNANTS FROM DAY-THREE SYSTEMS MAY TAKE MOST OF THE PERIOD BEFORE WASHING OUT IN THE SHORTWAVE PILEUP. RELYING ON ANY PARTICULAR OPERATIONAL RUN WOULD NEEDLESSLY DRAW ATTENTION TO ONE AREA OF FORCING AT THE COST OF ANOTHER. IN GENERAL, THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST AND EAST COAST LOOK WETTEST, WITH LIGHTER PRECIPITATION--INCLUDING SNOW OVER THE UPPER MIDWEST DAYS 3 AND 4--OVER THE NATION'S MIDSECTION. THE SOUTHWEST STILL LOOKS DRY. CISCO, day 7: ...Metadata... EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD 1117 AM EDT SAT APR 12 2014 VALID 12Z TUE APR 15 2014 - 12Z SAT APR 19 2014 IN THE WAKE OF THE STRONG, ENERGETIC FRONTAL SYSTEM PROGGED BY ALL THE GUIDANCE TO PUSH OFF THE EAST COAST LATE DAY 3, A SLOWING OF THE WEST-TO-EAST PROGRESSION OF SYSTEMS ACROSS THE UNITED STATES IS MAKING FOR HIGH SPREAD AND LOW CONFIDENCE IN THE BEHAVIOR OF INDIVIDUAL SYNOPTIC SYSTEMS AFTER DAY 5. WITH NO CLUSTERING AMONG THE OPERATIONAL RUNS FROM THE VARIOUS MODELING CENTERS, RELIED ON THE HOPEFUL POSITIVE CORRELATION BETWEEN THE 00Z/12 ECENS AND NAEFS MEANS. THE WEAKER SYSTEMS AND HIGH SPREAD ARE TAKING THEIR TOLL ON MANUAL PRESSURE, WIND, TEMPERATURE, AND POP FORECASTS, WITH FAIRLY DILUTE, UNIFORM MASS FIELDS DAYS 6 AND 7. THE SAFEST THING TO SAY ABOUT THE SECOND HALF OF THE CURRENT FORECAST IS THAT CLOUDS AND PRECIPITATION SHOULD KEEP DAYTIME TEMPERATURES ON THE COOLER SIDE FOR MUCH OF THE NATION. THE SOUTHWEST STILL LOOKS SHELTERED FROM DEEP-LAYER MOISTURE AND THE PASSAGE OF STRONGER SHORTWAVES. CISCO
Given the meteorological reports from the last 3 days, generate meteorological reports for the current day and the next 6 days
The summaries of the weather reports for the last 4 days are day 1: ...Metadata... EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD 1159 AM EDT FRI APR 18 2014 VALID 12Z MON APR 21 2014 - 12Z FRI APR 25 2014 ...SENSIBLE WEATHER HIGHLIGHTS... AMPLE MID-UPPER LEVEL TROUGH ENERGIES OVER THE CENTRAL US DAY 3 INTERACT OVER THE EASTERN AND NORTHEAST THROUGH DAY 5. MODEST PCPN/SOME STRONGER CONVECTION IN ADVANCE AND DECENT POST-FRONTAL COOLING HIGH PRESSURE ARE ANTICIPATED ACROSS NEW ENGLAND INTO EARLY DAY 6. UPSTREAM...AN AMPLIFIED MID-UPPER LEVEL TROUGH AND BIG HEIGHT FALLS WORKS INLAND ACROSS THE GREAT BASIN...LOWER COLORADO RIVER BASIN...AND THROUGH THE SOUTHERN PLAINS. ISOLATED WINTRY PRECIPITATION IN THE NORTHWEST AND HIGHEST ELEVATIONS OF THE DIVIDE...THEN WELL-ORGANIZED LOW/FRONT TO DEVELOP AND INCREASINGLY FOCUS MOISTURE/PCPN ALONG WITH POST-FRONTAL COOLING ACROSS THE REGION. HEAVIEST PCPN POTENTIAL SHOULD BE CLOSER TO THE MAIN LOW TRACK ACROSS NWRN US/NRN ROCKIES TERRAIN AND OUT ACROSS THE N-CENTRAL US...BUT DYNAMIC SUPPORT AND INSTABILITY SHOULD ALSO OFFER A CONVECTIVE SPARK FARTHER SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE WELL WARMED S-CENTRAL AND E-CENTRAL US AS MOISTURE RETURNS FROM THE GULF OF MEXICO. YET ANOTHER DYNAMIC TROUGH AND SURFACE SYSTEM WITH ENHANCED PCPN REACHES THE NWRN US IN ABOUT A WEEK. VOJTESAK/SCHICHTEL, day 2: ...Metadata... EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD 1044 AM EDT THU APR 17 2014 VALID 12Z SUN APR 20 2014 - 12Z THU APR 24 2014 ...SENSIBLE WEATHER HIGHLIGHTS... THE CUTOFF LOW ENTERING THE NORTH COAST OF CALIFORNIA WILL LIKELY BECOME THE PRIMARY WEATHER HIGHLIGHT THROUGH TIME ACROSS THE SIERRA...GREAT BASIN AND ROCKIES. AHEAD OF THIS SYSTEM...LEE SIDE CYCLOGENESIS AND AN AMPLIFYING MID-LEVEL RIDGE...SUGGESTS A VERY BROAD AND DEEPENING LAYER OF EAST TO SOUTHEAST UPSLOPE FLOW SURGING INTO THE MT/WYO PORTION OF THE NORTHERN HIGH PLAINS AND ALONG THE NORTHERN THIRD OF THE CONTINENTAL DIVIDE. THE DEVELOPING CYCLONE GRADUALLY SPREADS A BROAD OCCLUSION ACROSS MUCH OF THE MISSOURI VALLEY BASIN BY PERIOD'S END...WITH POCKETS OF DIURNAL CONVECTION DEVELOPING ACROSS A SHALLOW...HIGHLY-MODIFIED CANADIAN AIRMASS BOUNDARY AND LEE TROUGH FROM THE BLACK HILLS SOUTHWARD INTO THE PERMIAN BASIN. WHAT WILL CHARACTERIZE THIS FRONTAL BOUNDARY...IS THE LACK OF LOW-LEVEL GULF MOISTURE TRANSPORT ALONG AND AHEAD OF IT. IN THIS ANTICIPATED PATTERN...A DRY/VERY WARM GREAT BASIN-4 CORNERS AIRMASS WILL PERIODICALLY SPILL DOWNWIND AND DOWNHILL ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS...LEADING TO BREEZY/WINDY CONDITIONS AND ISOLATED DRYLINE-TYPE...BUT SLOW-MOVING CONVECTIVE ELEMENTS ALONG THE MIDDLE THIRD OF THE RIO GRANDE VALLEY NORTHWARD INTO THE COLORADO FRONT RANGE. DOWNSTREAM... BY DAY 5-6...VERY WARM TEMPERATURE ARE EXPECTED OVER THE PLAINS WITH SOME HIGHS APPROACHING LEVELS THAT WILL BE 15F-20F ABOVE NORMAL. DAY 4-5...THE MULTI-WAVE PATTERN OVER THE EASTERN THIRD OF THE NATION...A COMBINATION OF NORTHERN AND SOUTHERN STREAM ENERGY...FEATURES A BAND OF SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL POTENTIAL FROM THE SOUTH CENTRAL OK/TX PLAINS NORTHEASTWARD TO THE MIDWEST AND GREAT LAKES. THE CONSOLIDATION OF THE FRONT WITH THE AFOREMENTIONED MID-LEVEL DISTURBANCE ALONG THE US/CANADIAN BORDER AND GA/NE FL COASTAL LOW MAY ALLOW FOR SOME LINGERING LIGHT PRECIPITATION...AND MID-LEVEL CLOUDINESS OVER NEW ENGLAND...PRIOR TO THE WARMUP ASSOCIATED WITH THE MID-LEVEL RIDGE MIGRATING IN FROM THE SOUTHWEST...DAY 6. VOJTESAK, day 3: ...Metadata... EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD 1058 AM EDT WED APR 16 2014 VALID 12Z SAT APR 19 2014 - 12Z WED APR 23 2014 ...SENSIBLE WEATHER HIGHLIGHTS... SYSTEM CROSSING THE NORTHEAST DURING THE WEEKEND WILL LIKELY GENERATE AREAS OF MOSTLY LGT PCPN PSBLY INCLUDING SOME POCKETS OF SNOW IN NRN AREAS. AT THE SAME TIME THE SERN COAST MAY SEE LINGERING CLOUDS/RNFL DUE TO A SLOW MOVING/CLOSED MID LVL SYSTEM AND ASSOC SFC WAVE. UPSTREAM THE COMBINATION OF A NRN STREAM PLAINS SHRTWV AND ENERGY EJECTING FROM THE SW WILL SUPPORT AN AREA OF RNFL SPREADING EWD/NEWD FROM THE FOUR CORNERS/SRN HIGH PLAINS AND NERN PLAINS/UPR MS VLY. SOME ACTIVITY MAY BE LOCALLY HVY. EXCEPT FOR NRN AREAS MOST OF THE WEST SHOULD SEE WARM TEMPS SAT-MON WITH SOME 10-15F ABOVE NORMAL HIGHS. AS THE AMPLIFYING ERN PAC TROUGH ARRIVES IN THE WEST NEXT WEEK EXPECT A COOLING TREND WHILE THE WARMTH HEADS INTO THE PLAINS... WHILE AREAS FROM THE NRN HALF OF THE WEST COAST INTO THE NRN PLAINS SHOULD SEE INCREASED COVERAGE OF PCPN. MSTR COULD EXTEND FARTHER SWD OVER THE WEST IF THE TROUGH ALOFT ENDS UP BEING DEEPER/MORE CLOSED AND SLOWER THAN EVEN THE MOST RECENT 16/00Z CYCLE GUIDANCE. VOJTESAK/RAUSCH, day 4: ...Metadata... EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD 1200 PM EDT TUE APR 15 2014 VALID 12Z FRI APR 18 2014 - 12Z TUE APR 22 2014 ...SENSIBLE WEATHER HIGHLIGHTS... AS THE UPPER FLOW CONTINUES TO DEAMPLIFY...THE NEGATIVE TEMPERATURE ANOMALIES WILL DIMINISH AS THE PATTERN TURNS A BIT MORE ZONAL. THIS WILL LEAD TO A MAJORITY OF THE COUNTRY BEING INFLUENCED BY ABOVE 540-DM 1000-500 MB THICKNESSES. GIVEN MODEST RIDGING AHEAD OF THE APPROACHING PACIFIC STORM EARLY NEXT WEEK...ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES WITH ANOMALIES IN THE 5 TO 10 DEGREES F RANGE ARE EXPECTED OVER THE WESTERN/CENTRAL U.S. FROM SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY. MEANWHILE...ACROSS THE NORTHEASTERN U.S...TEMPERATURES WILL BE BELOW NORMAL THROUGH THE WEEKEND AS THE PASSAGE OF THE NORTHERN STREAM TROF USHERS IN COOL CANADIAN AIR INTO THE REGION. IN TERMS OF PRECIPITATION...IT SHOULD BE QUITE A WET PERIOD THROUGH SUNDAY FOR THE CENTRAL/EASTERN GULF COAST AND ACROSS THE SOUTHEASTERN U.S. THIS IS PARTICULARLY THE CASE IF THE 00Z UKMET/ECMWF/ECMWF ENSEMBLE MEAN SOLUTIONS VERIFY. THESE MODELS SHOW AREAS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES OF RAINFALL IN 24 HOURS WITH LOCALLY HEAVIER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. RUBIN-OSTER
The summaries of the weather reports for the current day and the next 5 days are day 1: ...Metadata... EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD 1157 AM EDT SAT APR 19 2014 VALID 12Z TUE APR 22 2014 - 12Z SAT APR 26 2014 ...MODEL PREFERENCES/UNCERTAINTY ASSESSMENTS/SENSIBLE WEATHER ... ...HIGHLIGHTS... THE 19/00Z MODEL CYCLE...EXCLUDING THE DETERMINISTIC CANADIAN...SEEMED TO REASONABLY DEPICT THE SERIES OF MIGRATORY SYSTEMS TRAVERSING THE EASTERN PACIFIC...WEST COAST ...MIDWEST ...AND NORTHEAST THROUGH DAY 6. FOR THE PAST 2 to 3 DAYS... MODEL GUIDANCE HAS DONE A NICE JOB OF TIMING THE PATTERN AND ITS REPLACEMENT--EAST OF THE ROCKIES. IE...FROM A MULTI-WAVE...SPLIT-FLOW TYPE PATTERN EXITING THE EASTERN CONUS (DAY 3-4)...TO ONE THAT GIVES THE APPEARANCE OF A SERIES OF HIGHER-AMPLITUDE TROUGHS ACCOMPANIED BY BROAD SHORTWAVE RIDGES. THE 19/00Z ENSEMBLE SPREAD IS A RATHER TIGHTLY-CLUSTERED SET OF SOLUTIONS. THE 19/00Z GEFS/ECENS MEANS AND THEIR DETERMINISTIC RUNS COULD EASILY BE BLENDED INTO DAY 6 (26/00Z) ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES...INVOF HAIDA GWAII (QUEEN CHARLOTTE ISLAND) AND SOUTH OF PRINCE EDWARD ISLAND. A NEGATIVE-TILT TROUGH AXIS SOLUTION INVOF 50N LAT 130W LONG...IS THE ACCEPTED SOURCE REGION AND ENTRY POINT FOR A STORM TRACK THAT WILL MAINTAIN A SPRING RAIN/HIGH ELEVATION SNOW PATTERN IN THE NORTHWEST AFTER DAY 5. ASIDE FROM THE EARLY DAY 3 SYSTEM TRACKING THROUGH THE NORTHERN ROCKIES...THE SOUTHERN EXTENSIONS OF THE PACIFIC COLD FRONTS...WILL BE ESSENTIALLY DRY--(EXCEPT AT HIGH ELEVATION)--AND BREEZY/WINDY EVENTS FOR THE I-80 CORRIDOR FROM THE BAY AREA TO THE GREAT BASIN AND THROUGH THE CENTRAL ROCKIES. DOWNSTREAM...ALONG AND EAST OF THE CONTINENTAL DIVIDE (ALONG THIS I-80 CORRIDOR)...THE HIGHER-AMPLITUDE FLOW ALLOWS SHORTWAVE RIDGES TO BROADEN WARM ADVECTION AND EXPAND BREEZY CONDITIONS NORTHWARD FROM THE SOUTHERN PLAINS TO THE MIDWEST/OHIO VALLEY. AND ALTHOUGH THIS PATTERN DOES NOT FAVOR AN OPEN-GULF LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE FEED INTO THE MISSOURI VALLEY BASIN...A DRYLINE-TYPE CONVECTIVE PATTERN DOES BODE WELL FOR WEST TEXAS...EASTERN NEW MEXICO...WESTERN OKLAHOMA...EASTERN COLORADO AND WESTERN KANSAS. HIT-N-MISS CONVECTION AND ISOLATED HEAVY RAINFALL POTENTIAL...INCLUDING NOCTURNAL SHOWERS...ARE ANTICIPATED AHEAD OF THE DRY LINE. DAYS 3-4...AND ALONG THE DRYLINE...THE CHALLENGE APPEARS TO BE HOW EXPANSIVE THE DRY-ADIABATIC WARMING WILL BE...FOR THE SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS. THE DRY AIR INTRUSION AND RAPIDLY-SOARING TEMPERATURES COULD EASILY BEGIN TO TRANSLATE NORTHEASTWARD INTO THE LOWER MISSOURI VALLEY...OZARKS AND WESTERN OHIO VALLEY INTO DAY 5...AS A SLOWLY-AMPLIFYING SURFACE WAVE TAKES SHAPE OVER THE NORTHERN PLAINS AND GREAT LAKES. THE DETERMINISTIC 19/00Z GFS/ECMWF GENERALLY DEPICT A SUB 994MB SURFACE LOW INVOF SOUTHEAST/SOUTH CENTRAL SOUTH DAKOTA AROUND 24/12Z. THERE ARE SOME SLIGHT DIFFERENCES BEYOND DAY 5 WITH THE CYCLONE TRACK AND DEPTH THROUGH THE NORTHEAST...BUT A BLEND OF THE ECENS/GEFS MEANS APPEARED A GOOD MIDDLE GROUND FOR NOW. VOJTESAK, day 2: ...Metadata... EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD 1159 AM EDT FRI APR 18 2014 VALID 12Z MON APR 21 2014 - 12Z FRI APR 25 2014 ...SENSIBLE WEATHER HIGHLIGHTS... AMPLE MID-UPPER LEVEL TROUGH ENERGIES OVER THE CENTRAL US DAY 3 INTERACT OVER THE EASTERN AND NORTHEAST THROUGH DAY 5. MODEST PCPN/SOME STRONGER CONVECTION IN ADVANCE AND DECENT POST-FRONTAL COOLING HIGH PRESSURE ARE ANTICIPATED ACROSS NEW ENGLAND INTO EARLY DAY 6. UPSTREAM...AN AMPLIFIED MID-UPPER LEVEL TROUGH AND BIG HEIGHT FALLS WORKS INLAND ACROSS THE GREAT BASIN...LOWER COLORADO RIVER BASIN...AND THROUGH THE SOUTHERN PLAINS. ISOLATED WINTRY PRECIPITATION IN THE NORTHWEST AND HIGHEST ELEVATIONS OF THE DIVIDE...THEN WELL-ORGANIZED LOW/FRONT TO DEVELOP AND INCREASINGLY FOCUS MOISTURE/PCPN ALONG WITH POST-FRONTAL COOLING ACROSS THE REGION. HEAVIEST PCPN POTENTIAL SHOULD BE CLOSER TO THE MAIN LOW TRACK ACROSS NWRN US/NRN ROCKIES TERRAIN AND OUT ACROSS THE N-CENTRAL US...BUT DYNAMIC SUPPORT AND INSTABILITY SHOULD ALSO OFFER A CONVECTIVE SPARK FARTHER SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE WELL WARMED S-CENTRAL AND E-CENTRAL US AS MOISTURE RETURNS FROM THE GULF OF MEXICO. YET ANOTHER DYNAMIC TROUGH AND SURFACE SYSTEM WITH ENHANCED PCPN REACHES THE NWRN US IN ABOUT A WEEK. VOJTESAK/SCHICHTEL, day 3: ...Metadata... EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD 1044 AM EDT THU APR 17 2014 VALID 12Z SUN APR 20 2014 - 12Z THU APR 24 2014 ...SENSIBLE WEATHER HIGHLIGHTS... THE CUTOFF LOW ENTERING THE NORTH COAST OF CALIFORNIA WILL LIKELY BECOME THE PRIMARY WEATHER HIGHLIGHT THROUGH TIME ACROSS THE SIERRA...GREAT BASIN AND ROCKIES. AHEAD OF THIS SYSTEM...LEE SIDE CYCLOGENESIS AND AN AMPLIFYING MID-LEVEL RIDGE...SUGGESTS A VERY BROAD AND DEEPENING LAYER OF EAST TO SOUTHEAST UPSLOPE FLOW SURGING INTO THE MT/WYO PORTION OF THE NORTHERN HIGH PLAINS AND ALONG THE NORTHERN THIRD OF THE CONTINENTAL DIVIDE. THE DEVELOPING CYCLONE GRADUALLY SPREADS A BROAD OCCLUSION ACROSS MUCH OF THE MISSOURI VALLEY BASIN BY PERIOD'S END...WITH POCKETS OF DIURNAL CONVECTION DEVELOPING ACROSS A SHALLOW...HIGHLY-MODIFIED CANADIAN AIRMASS BOUNDARY AND LEE TROUGH FROM THE BLACK HILLS SOUTHWARD INTO THE PERMIAN BASIN. WHAT WILL CHARACTERIZE THIS FRONTAL BOUNDARY...IS THE LACK OF LOW-LEVEL GULF MOISTURE TRANSPORT ALONG AND AHEAD OF IT. IN THIS ANTICIPATED PATTERN...A DRY/VERY WARM GREAT BASIN-4 CORNERS AIRMASS WILL PERIODICALLY SPILL DOWNWIND AND DOWNHILL ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS...LEADING TO BREEZY/WINDY CONDITIONS AND ISOLATED DRYLINE-TYPE...BUT SLOW-MOVING CONVECTIVE ELEMENTS ALONG THE MIDDLE THIRD OF THE RIO GRANDE VALLEY NORTHWARD INTO THE COLORADO FRONT RANGE. DOWNSTREAM... BY DAY 5-6...VERY WARM TEMPERATURE ARE EXPECTED OVER THE PLAINS WITH SOME HIGHS APPROACHING LEVELS THAT WILL BE 15F-20F ABOVE NORMAL. DAY 4-5...THE MULTI-WAVE PATTERN OVER THE EASTERN THIRD OF THE NATION...A COMBINATION OF NORTHERN AND SOUTHERN STREAM ENERGY...FEATURES A BAND OF SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL POTENTIAL FROM THE SOUTH CENTRAL OK/TX PLAINS NORTHEASTWARD TO THE MIDWEST AND GREAT LAKES. THE CONSOLIDATION OF THE FRONT WITH THE AFOREMENTIONED MID-LEVEL DISTURBANCE ALONG THE US/CANADIAN BORDER AND GA/NE FL COASTAL LOW MAY ALLOW FOR SOME LINGERING LIGHT PRECIPITATION...AND MID-LEVEL CLOUDINESS OVER NEW ENGLAND...PRIOR TO THE WARMUP ASSOCIATED WITH THE MID-LEVEL RIDGE MIGRATING IN FROM THE SOUTHWEST...DAY 6. VOJTESAK, day 4: ...Metadata... EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD 1058 AM EDT WED APR 16 2014 VALID 12Z SAT APR 19 2014 - 12Z WED APR 23 2014 ...SENSIBLE WEATHER HIGHLIGHTS... SYSTEM CROSSING THE NORTHEAST DURING THE WEEKEND WILL LIKELY GENERATE AREAS OF MOSTLY LGT PCPN PSBLY INCLUDING SOME POCKETS OF SNOW IN NRN AREAS. AT THE SAME TIME THE SERN COAST MAY SEE LINGERING CLOUDS/RNFL DUE TO A SLOW MOVING/CLOSED MID LVL SYSTEM AND ASSOC SFC WAVE. UPSTREAM THE COMBINATION OF A NRN STREAM PLAINS SHRTWV AND ENERGY EJECTING FROM THE SW WILL SUPPORT AN AREA OF RNFL SPREADING EWD/NEWD FROM THE FOUR CORNERS/SRN HIGH PLAINS AND NERN PLAINS/UPR MS VLY. SOME ACTIVITY MAY BE LOCALLY HVY. EXCEPT FOR NRN AREAS MOST OF THE WEST SHOULD SEE WARM TEMPS SAT-MON WITH SOME 10-15F ABOVE NORMAL HIGHS. AS THE AMPLIFYING ERN PAC TROUGH ARRIVES IN THE WEST NEXT WEEK EXPECT A COOLING TREND WHILE THE WARMTH HEADS INTO THE PLAINS... WHILE AREAS FROM THE NRN HALF OF THE WEST COAST INTO THE NRN PLAINS SHOULD SEE INCREASED COVERAGE OF PCPN. MSTR COULD EXTEND FARTHER SWD OVER THE WEST IF THE TROUGH ALOFT ENDS UP BEING DEEPER/MORE CLOSED AND SLOWER THAN EVEN THE MOST RECENT 16/00Z CYCLE GUIDANCE. VOJTESAK/RAUSCH, day 5: ...Metadata... EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD 1200 PM EDT TUE APR 15 2014 VALID 12Z FRI APR 18 2014 - 12Z TUE APR 22 2014 ...SENSIBLE WEATHER HIGHLIGHTS... AS THE UPPER FLOW CONTINUES TO DEAMPLIFY...THE NEGATIVE TEMPERATURE ANOMALIES WILL DIMINISH AS THE PATTERN TURNS A BIT MORE ZONAL. THIS WILL LEAD TO A MAJORITY OF THE COUNTRY BEING INFLUENCED BY ABOVE 540-DM 1000-500 MB THICKNESSES. GIVEN MODEST RIDGING AHEAD OF THE APPROACHING PACIFIC STORM EARLY NEXT WEEK...ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES WITH ANOMALIES IN THE 5 TO 10 DEGREES F RANGE ARE EXPECTED OVER THE WESTERN/CENTRAL U.S. FROM SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY. MEANWHILE...ACROSS THE NORTHEASTERN U.S...TEMPERATURES WILL BE BELOW NORMAL THROUGH THE WEEKEND AS THE PASSAGE OF THE NORTHERN STREAM TROF USHERS IN COOL CANADIAN AIR INTO THE REGION. IN TERMS OF PRECIPITATION...IT SHOULD BE QUITE A WET PERIOD THROUGH SUNDAY FOR THE CENTRAL/EASTERN GULF COAST AND ACROSS THE SOUTHEASTERN U.S. THIS IS PARTICULARLY THE CASE IF THE 00Z UKMET/ECMWF/ECMWF ENSEMBLE MEAN SOLUTIONS VERIFY. THESE MODELS SHOW AREAS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES OF RAINFALL IN 24 HOURS WITH LOCALLY HEAVIER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. RUBIN-OSTER, day 6: ...Metadata... EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD 1158 AM EDT MON APR 14 2014 VALID 12Z THU APR 17 2014 - 12Z MON APR 21 2014 ...SENSIBLE WEATHER HIGHLIGHTS... THE FIRST COUPLE OF DAYS OF THE PERIOD...THURSDAY/FRIDAY...WILL BE QUITE CHILLY ACROSS THE CENTER OF THE COUNTRY WITH TEMPERATURES 15 TO 20 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL...PARTICULARLY IN THE CENTRAL PLAINS. THE ACCOMPANYING AREA OF LOW PRESSURE CROSSING THE CO ROCKIES AND INTO THE SOUTHERN PLAINS WILL SUPPORT AN AREA OF MODERATE/HEAVY PRECIPITATION ACROSS THE CENTRAL ROCKIES ON THURSDAY. ENHANCED UPSLOPE FLOW SHOULD AID IN LOCALLY HEAVIER AMOUNTS ALONG THE FAVORED TERRAIN. GIVEN THE NEGATIVE HEIGHT ANOMALIES IN PLACE...WINTRY PRECIPITATION MAY BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS. TEMPERATURES SHOULD GRADUALLY MODERATE BY THE WEEKEND AS THE FLOW BECOMES MORE ZONAL AND WARMER THICKNESSES PREVAIL. AS THIS SYSTEM MIGRATES EASTWARD...COOLER AND WETTER CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE CENTRAL/EASTERN GULF COAST AS WELL AS ALONG THE EASTERN SEABOARD. DEPENDING UPON THE MODEL...IT MAY BE QUITE AN UNSETTLED PERIOD FROM FRIDAY AND INTO THE WEEKEND. ELSEWHERE...BUILDING HEIGHTS ACROSS THE WESTERN U.S. SHOULD BRING ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES TO THE REGION WHICH HAS BEEN THE COMMON THEME FOR QUITE SOME TIME. RUBIN-OSTER
Given the meteorological reports from the last 4 days, generate meteorological reports for the current day and the next 5 days
The summaries of the weather reports for the last 7 days are day 1: ...Metadata... EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD 1157 AM EDT SAT APR 19 2014 VALID 12Z TUE APR 22 2014 - 12Z SAT APR 26 2014 ...MODEL PREFERENCES/UNCERTAINTY ASSESSMENTS/SENSIBLE WEATHER ... ...HIGHLIGHTS... THE 19/00Z MODEL CYCLE...EXCLUDING THE DETERMINISTIC CANADIAN...SEEMED TO REASONABLY DEPICT THE SERIES OF MIGRATORY SYSTEMS TRAVERSING THE EASTERN PACIFIC...WEST COAST ...MIDWEST ...AND NORTHEAST THROUGH DAY 6. FOR THE PAST 2 to 3 DAYS... MODEL GUIDANCE HAS DONE A NICE JOB OF TIMING THE PATTERN AND ITS REPLACEMENT--EAST OF THE ROCKIES. IE...FROM A MULTI-WAVE...SPLIT-FLOW TYPE PATTERN EXITING THE EASTERN CONUS (DAY 3-4)...TO ONE THAT GIVES THE APPEARANCE OF A SERIES OF HIGHER-AMPLITUDE TROUGHS ACCOMPANIED BY BROAD SHORTWAVE RIDGES. THE 19/00Z ENSEMBLE SPREAD IS A RATHER TIGHTLY-CLUSTERED SET OF SOLUTIONS. THE 19/00Z GEFS/ECENS MEANS AND THEIR DETERMINISTIC RUNS COULD EASILY BE BLENDED INTO DAY 6 (26/00Z) ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES...INVOF HAIDA GWAII (QUEEN CHARLOTTE ISLAND) AND SOUTH OF PRINCE EDWARD ISLAND. A NEGATIVE-TILT TROUGH AXIS SOLUTION INVOF 50N LAT 130W LONG...IS THE ACCEPTED SOURCE REGION AND ENTRY POINT FOR A STORM TRACK THAT WILL MAINTAIN A SPRING RAIN/HIGH ELEVATION SNOW PATTERN IN THE NORTHWEST AFTER DAY 5. ASIDE FROM THE EARLY DAY 3 SYSTEM TRACKING THROUGH THE NORTHERN ROCKIES...THE SOUTHERN EXTENSIONS OF THE PACIFIC COLD FRONTS...WILL BE ESSENTIALLY DRY--(EXCEPT AT HIGH ELEVATION)--AND BREEZY/WINDY EVENTS FOR THE I-80 CORRIDOR FROM THE BAY AREA TO THE GREAT BASIN AND THROUGH THE CENTRAL ROCKIES. DOWNSTREAM...ALONG AND EAST OF THE CONTINENTAL DIVIDE (ALONG THIS I-80 CORRIDOR)...THE HIGHER-AMPLITUDE FLOW ALLOWS SHORTWAVE RIDGES TO BROADEN WARM ADVECTION AND EXPAND BREEZY CONDITIONS NORTHWARD FROM THE SOUTHERN PLAINS TO THE MIDWEST/OHIO VALLEY. AND ALTHOUGH THIS PATTERN DOES NOT FAVOR AN OPEN-GULF LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE FEED INTO THE MISSOURI VALLEY BASIN...A DRYLINE-TYPE CONVECTIVE PATTERN DOES BODE WELL FOR WEST TEXAS...EASTERN NEW MEXICO...WESTERN OKLAHOMA...EASTERN COLORADO AND WESTERN KANSAS. HIT-N-MISS CONVECTION AND ISOLATED HEAVY RAINFALL POTENTIAL...INCLUDING NOCTURNAL SHOWERS...ARE ANTICIPATED AHEAD OF THE DRY LINE. DAYS 3-4...AND ALONG THE DRYLINE...THE CHALLENGE APPEARS TO BE HOW EXPANSIVE THE DRY-ADIABATIC WARMING WILL BE...FOR THE SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS. THE DRY AIR INTRUSION AND RAPIDLY-SOARING TEMPERATURES COULD EASILY BEGIN TO TRANSLATE NORTHEASTWARD INTO THE LOWER MISSOURI VALLEY...OZARKS AND WESTERN OHIO VALLEY INTO DAY 5...AS A SLOWLY-AMPLIFYING SURFACE WAVE TAKES SHAPE OVER THE NORTHERN PLAINS AND GREAT LAKES. THE DETERMINISTIC 19/00Z GFS/ECMWF GENERALLY DEPICT A SUB 994MB SURFACE LOW INVOF SOUTHEAST/SOUTH CENTRAL SOUTH DAKOTA AROUND 24/12Z. THERE ARE SOME SLIGHT DIFFERENCES BEYOND DAY 5 WITH THE CYCLONE TRACK AND DEPTH THROUGH THE NORTHEAST...BUT A BLEND OF THE ECENS/GEFS MEANS APPEARED A GOOD MIDDLE GROUND FOR NOW. VOJTESAK, day 2: ...Metadata... EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD 1159 AM EDT FRI APR 18 2014 VALID 12Z MON APR 21 2014 - 12Z FRI APR 25 2014 ...SENSIBLE WEATHER HIGHLIGHTS... AMPLE MID-UPPER LEVEL TROUGH ENERGIES OVER THE CENTRAL US DAY 3 INTERACT OVER THE EASTERN AND NORTHEAST THROUGH DAY 5. MODEST PCPN/SOME STRONGER CONVECTION IN ADVANCE AND DECENT POST-FRONTAL COOLING HIGH PRESSURE ARE ANTICIPATED ACROSS NEW ENGLAND INTO EARLY DAY 6. UPSTREAM...AN AMPLIFIED MID-UPPER LEVEL TROUGH AND BIG HEIGHT FALLS WORKS INLAND ACROSS THE GREAT BASIN...LOWER COLORADO RIVER BASIN...AND THROUGH THE SOUTHERN PLAINS. ISOLATED WINTRY PRECIPITATION IN THE NORTHWEST AND HIGHEST ELEVATIONS OF THE DIVIDE...THEN WELL-ORGANIZED LOW/FRONT TO DEVELOP AND INCREASINGLY FOCUS MOISTURE/PCPN ALONG WITH POST-FRONTAL COOLING ACROSS THE REGION. HEAVIEST PCPN POTENTIAL SHOULD BE CLOSER TO THE MAIN LOW TRACK ACROSS NWRN US/NRN ROCKIES TERRAIN AND OUT ACROSS THE N-CENTRAL US...BUT DYNAMIC SUPPORT AND INSTABILITY SHOULD ALSO OFFER A CONVECTIVE SPARK FARTHER SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE WELL WARMED S-CENTRAL AND E-CENTRAL US AS MOISTURE RETURNS FROM THE GULF OF MEXICO. YET ANOTHER DYNAMIC TROUGH AND SURFACE SYSTEM WITH ENHANCED PCPN REACHES THE NWRN US IN ABOUT A WEEK. VOJTESAK/SCHICHTEL, day 3: ...Metadata... EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD 1044 AM EDT THU APR 17 2014 VALID 12Z SUN APR 20 2014 - 12Z THU APR 24 2014 ...SENSIBLE WEATHER HIGHLIGHTS... THE CUTOFF LOW ENTERING THE NORTH COAST OF CALIFORNIA WILL LIKELY BECOME THE PRIMARY WEATHER HIGHLIGHT THROUGH TIME ACROSS THE SIERRA...GREAT BASIN AND ROCKIES. AHEAD OF THIS SYSTEM...LEE SIDE CYCLOGENESIS AND AN AMPLIFYING MID-LEVEL RIDGE...SUGGESTS A VERY BROAD AND DEEPENING LAYER OF EAST TO SOUTHEAST UPSLOPE FLOW SURGING INTO THE MT/WYO PORTION OF THE NORTHERN HIGH PLAINS AND ALONG THE NORTHERN THIRD OF THE CONTINENTAL DIVIDE. THE DEVELOPING CYCLONE GRADUALLY SPREADS A BROAD OCCLUSION ACROSS MUCH OF THE MISSOURI VALLEY BASIN BY PERIOD'S END...WITH POCKETS OF DIURNAL CONVECTION DEVELOPING ACROSS A SHALLOW...HIGHLY-MODIFIED CANADIAN AIRMASS BOUNDARY AND LEE TROUGH FROM THE BLACK HILLS SOUTHWARD INTO THE PERMIAN BASIN. WHAT WILL CHARACTERIZE THIS FRONTAL BOUNDARY...IS THE LACK OF LOW-LEVEL GULF MOISTURE TRANSPORT ALONG AND AHEAD OF IT. IN THIS ANTICIPATED PATTERN...A DRY/VERY WARM GREAT BASIN-4 CORNERS AIRMASS WILL PERIODICALLY SPILL DOWNWIND AND DOWNHILL ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS...LEADING TO BREEZY/WINDY CONDITIONS AND ISOLATED DRYLINE-TYPE...BUT SLOW-MOVING CONVECTIVE ELEMENTS ALONG THE MIDDLE THIRD OF THE RIO GRANDE VALLEY NORTHWARD INTO THE COLORADO FRONT RANGE. DOWNSTREAM... BY DAY 5-6...VERY WARM TEMPERATURE ARE EXPECTED OVER THE PLAINS WITH SOME HIGHS APPROACHING LEVELS THAT WILL BE 15F-20F ABOVE NORMAL. DAY 4-5...THE MULTI-WAVE PATTERN OVER THE EASTERN THIRD OF THE NATION...A COMBINATION OF NORTHERN AND SOUTHERN STREAM ENERGY...FEATURES A BAND OF SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL POTENTIAL FROM THE SOUTH CENTRAL OK/TX PLAINS NORTHEASTWARD TO THE MIDWEST AND GREAT LAKES. THE CONSOLIDATION OF THE FRONT WITH THE AFOREMENTIONED MID-LEVEL DISTURBANCE ALONG THE US/CANADIAN BORDER AND GA/NE FL COASTAL LOW MAY ALLOW FOR SOME LINGERING LIGHT PRECIPITATION...AND MID-LEVEL CLOUDINESS OVER NEW ENGLAND...PRIOR TO THE WARMUP ASSOCIATED WITH THE MID-LEVEL RIDGE MIGRATING IN FROM THE SOUTHWEST...DAY 6. VOJTESAK, day 4: ...Metadata... EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD 1058 AM EDT WED APR 16 2014 VALID 12Z SAT APR 19 2014 - 12Z WED APR 23 2014 ...SENSIBLE WEATHER HIGHLIGHTS... SYSTEM CROSSING THE NORTHEAST DURING THE WEEKEND WILL LIKELY GENERATE AREAS OF MOSTLY LGT PCPN PSBLY INCLUDING SOME POCKETS OF SNOW IN NRN AREAS. AT THE SAME TIME THE SERN COAST MAY SEE LINGERING CLOUDS/RNFL DUE TO A SLOW MOVING/CLOSED MID LVL SYSTEM AND ASSOC SFC WAVE. UPSTREAM THE COMBINATION OF A NRN STREAM PLAINS SHRTWV AND ENERGY EJECTING FROM THE SW WILL SUPPORT AN AREA OF RNFL SPREADING EWD/NEWD FROM THE FOUR CORNERS/SRN HIGH PLAINS AND NERN PLAINS/UPR MS VLY. SOME ACTIVITY MAY BE LOCALLY HVY. EXCEPT FOR NRN AREAS MOST OF THE WEST SHOULD SEE WARM TEMPS SAT-MON WITH SOME 10-15F ABOVE NORMAL HIGHS. AS THE AMPLIFYING ERN PAC TROUGH ARRIVES IN THE WEST NEXT WEEK EXPECT A COOLING TREND WHILE THE WARMTH HEADS INTO THE PLAINS... WHILE AREAS FROM THE NRN HALF OF THE WEST COAST INTO THE NRN PLAINS SHOULD SEE INCREASED COVERAGE OF PCPN. MSTR COULD EXTEND FARTHER SWD OVER THE WEST IF THE TROUGH ALOFT ENDS UP BEING DEEPER/MORE CLOSED AND SLOWER THAN EVEN THE MOST RECENT 16/00Z CYCLE GUIDANCE. VOJTESAK/RAUSCH, day 5: ...Metadata... EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD 1200 PM EDT TUE APR 15 2014 VALID 12Z FRI APR 18 2014 - 12Z TUE APR 22 2014 ...SENSIBLE WEATHER HIGHLIGHTS... AS THE UPPER FLOW CONTINUES TO DEAMPLIFY...THE NEGATIVE TEMPERATURE ANOMALIES WILL DIMINISH AS THE PATTERN TURNS A BIT MORE ZONAL. THIS WILL LEAD TO A MAJORITY OF THE COUNTRY BEING INFLUENCED BY ABOVE 540-DM 1000-500 MB THICKNESSES. GIVEN MODEST RIDGING AHEAD OF THE APPROACHING PACIFIC STORM EARLY NEXT WEEK...ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES WITH ANOMALIES IN THE 5 TO 10 DEGREES F RANGE ARE EXPECTED OVER THE WESTERN/CENTRAL U.S. FROM SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY. MEANWHILE...ACROSS THE NORTHEASTERN U.S...TEMPERATURES WILL BE BELOW NORMAL THROUGH THE WEEKEND AS THE PASSAGE OF THE NORTHERN STREAM TROF USHERS IN COOL CANADIAN AIR INTO THE REGION. IN TERMS OF PRECIPITATION...IT SHOULD BE QUITE A WET PERIOD THROUGH SUNDAY FOR THE CENTRAL/EASTERN GULF COAST AND ACROSS THE SOUTHEASTERN U.S. THIS IS PARTICULARLY THE CASE IF THE 00Z UKMET/ECMWF/ECMWF ENSEMBLE MEAN SOLUTIONS VERIFY. THESE MODELS SHOW AREAS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES OF RAINFALL IN 24 HOURS WITH LOCALLY HEAVIER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. RUBIN-OSTER, day 6: ...Metadata... EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD 1158 AM EDT MON APR 14 2014 VALID 12Z THU APR 17 2014 - 12Z MON APR 21 2014 ...SENSIBLE WEATHER HIGHLIGHTS... THE FIRST COUPLE OF DAYS OF THE PERIOD...THURSDAY/FRIDAY...WILL BE QUITE CHILLY ACROSS THE CENTER OF THE COUNTRY WITH TEMPERATURES 15 TO 20 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL...PARTICULARLY IN THE CENTRAL PLAINS. THE ACCOMPANYING AREA OF LOW PRESSURE CROSSING THE CO ROCKIES AND INTO THE SOUTHERN PLAINS WILL SUPPORT AN AREA OF MODERATE/HEAVY PRECIPITATION ACROSS THE CENTRAL ROCKIES ON THURSDAY. ENHANCED UPSLOPE FLOW SHOULD AID IN LOCALLY HEAVIER AMOUNTS ALONG THE FAVORED TERRAIN. GIVEN THE NEGATIVE HEIGHT ANOMALIES IN PLACE...WINTRY PRECIPITATION MAY BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS. TEMPERATURES SHOULD GRADUALLY MODERATE BY THE WEEKEND AS THE FLOW BECOMES MORE ZONAL AND WARMER THICKNESSES PREVAIL. AS THIS SYSTEM MIGRATES EASTWARD...COOLER AND WETTER CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE CENTRAL/EASTERN GULF COAST AS WELL AS ALONG THE EASTERN SEABOARD. DEPENDING UPON THE MODEL...IT MAY BE QUITE AN UNSETTLED PERIOD FROM FRIDAY AND INTO THE WEEKEND. ELSEWHERE...BUILDING HEIGHTS ACROSS THE WESTERN U.S. SHOULD BRING ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES TO THE REGION WHICH HAS BEEN THE COMMON THEME FOR QUITE SOME TIME. RUBIN-OSTER, day 7: ...Metadata... EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD 1150 AM EDT SUN APR 13 2014 VALID 12Z WED APR 16 2014 - 12Z SUN APR 20 2014 CONTINUE TO RELY ON THE ECENS MEAN AS A SYNOPTIC GUIDE AT THE MEDIUM RANGE. THIS MEAN HAS AFFORDED THE SMOOTHEST TRANSITION TO THE FLOW REGIME IN THE WAKE OF THE BIG SHORT-RANGE STORM. THE HALLMARK OF THE NEW FLOW WILL BE EVER-DIMINISHING WEST-TO-EAST PROGRESSION OF WAVES ACROSS THE UNITED STATES. MASS FIELD REMNANTS FROM DAY-THREE SYSTEMS MAY TAKE MOST OF THE PERIOD BEFORE WASHING OUT IN THE SHORTWAVE PILEUP. RELYING ON ANY PARTICULAR OPERATIONAL RUN WOULD NEEDLESSLY DRAW ATTENTION TO ONE AREA OF FORCING AT THE COST OF ANOTHER. IN GENERAL, THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST AND EAST COAST LOOK WETTEST, WITH LIGHTER PRECIPITATION--INCLUDING SNOW OVER THE UPPER MIDWEST DAYS 3 AND 4--OVER THE NATION'S MIDSECTION. THE SOUTHWEST STILL LOOKS DRY. CISCO
The summaries of the weather reports for the current day and the next 5 days are day 1: ...Metadata... EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD 1154 AM EDT SUN APR 20 2014 VALID 12Z WED APR 23 2014 - 12Z SUN APR 27 2014 ...SENSIBLE WEATHER HIGHLIGHTS... MID-TO UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH AND SURFACE SYSTEM OFF THE NORTHEAST COAST MIGRATING INTO THE CANADIAN MARITIMES WILL BE GENERATING SHOWERS ACROSS MAINE AND THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND. A COOL...POST-FRONTAL NORTHWEST FLOW CONTINUES INTO DAY 4. ACTIVE BUT ISOLATED DRYLINE CONVECTION TO PREVAIL ACROSS THE SOUTHERN AND WEST CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY EVENINGS. BREEZY TO WINDY CONDITIONS AND RISING TEMPERATURES PRECEDE THE EJECTION OF A PACIFIC SYSTEM MIGRATING ACROSS THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST AND NORTHERN ROCKIES. RAIN...SHOWERS AND HIGH-ELEVATION SNOWS ARE ANTICIPATED FROM THE SIERRA AND CASCADES INTO THE NORTHERN PLAINS...DAKOTAS AND EASTWARD INTO THE UPPER GREAT LAKES THROUGH THURSDAY. PERHAPS A REPEAT PERFORMANCE IN THE DAY 6-7 TIME FRAME WHEN THE NEXT PACIFIC SYSTEM BEGINS ITS EXIT FROM THE CONTINENTAL DIVIDE. IE...MORE HOT WINDS AND ANOTHER DRYLINE EVENT(S) FOR SOUTHWEST KANSAS...SOUTHEAST COLORADO AND THE TX/OK PANHANDLES. PACIFIC NORTHWEST...SIERRA...CASCADES AND GREAT BASIN REMAIN ACTIVE REGIONS OF SENSIBLE WEATHER NEXT FRIDAY AND INTO NEXT WEEKEND. SOUTHERN END OF THE PACIFIC FRONT IS NOT EXPECTED TO BE MOISTURE-LADEN...BUT SHOULD BE BREEZY AND COOLER BEHIND THE FRONT. VOJTESAK, day 2: ...Metadata... EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD 1157 AM EDT SAT APR 19 2014 VALID 12Z TUE APR 22 2014 - 12Z SAT APR 26 2014 ...MODEL PREFERENCES/UNCERTAINTY ASSESSMENTS/SENSIBLE WEATHER ... ...HIGHLIGHTS... THE 19/00Z MODEL CYCLE...EXCLUDING THE DETERMINISTIC CANADIAN...SEEMED TO REASONABLY DEPICT THE SERIES OF MIGRATORY SYSTEMS TRAVERSING THE EASTERN PACIFIC...WEST COAST ...MIDWEST ...AND NORTHEAST THROUGH DAY 6. FOR THE PAST 2 to 3 DAYS... MODEL GUIDANCE HAS DONE A NICE JOB OF TIMING THE PATTERN AND ITS REPLACEMENT--EAST OF THE ROCKIES. IE...FROM A MULTI-WAVE...SPLIT-FLOW TYPE PATTERN EXITING THE EASTERN CONUS (DAY 3-4)...TO ONE THAT GIVES THE APPEARANCE OF A SERIES OF HIGHER-AMPLITUDE TROUGHS ACCOMPANIED BY BROAD SHORTWAVE RIDGES. THE 19/00Z ENSEMBLE SPREAD IS A RATHER TIGHTLY-CLUSTERED SET OF SOLUTIONS. THE 19/00Z GEFS/ECENS MEANS AND THEIR DETERMINISTIC RUNS COULD EASILY BE BLENDED INTO DAY 6 (26/00Z) ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES...INVOF HAIDA GWAII (QUEEN CHARLOTTE ISLAND) AND SOUTH OF PRINCE EDWARD ISLAND. A NEGATIVE-TILT TROUGH AXIS SOLUTION INVOF 50N LAT 130W LONG...IS THE ACCEPTED SOURCE REGION AND ENTRY POINT FOR A STORM TRACK THAT WILL MAINTAIN A SPRING RAIN/HIGH ELEVATION SNOW PATTERN IN THE NORTHWEST AFTER DAY 5. ASIDE FROM THE EARLY DAY 3 SYSTEM TRACKING THROUGH THE NORTHERN ROCKIES...THE SOUTHERN EXTENSIONS OF THE PACIFIC COLD FRONTS...WILL BE ESSENTIALLY DRY--(EXCEPT AT HIGH ELEVATION)--AND BREEZY/WINDY EVENTS FOR THE I-80 CORRIDOR FROM THE BAY AREA TO THE GREAT BASIN AND THROUGH THE CENTRAL ROCKIES. DOWNSTREAM...ALONG AND EAST OF THE CONTINENTAL DIVIDE (ALONG THIS I-80 CORRIDOR)...THE HIGHER-AMPLITUDE FLOW ALLOWS SHORTWAVE RIDGES TO BROADEN WARM ADVECTION AND EXPAND BREEZY CONDITIONS NORTHWARD FROM THE SOUTHERN PLAINS TO THE MIDWEST/OHIO VALLEY. AND ALTHOUGH THIS PATTERN DOES NOT FAVOR AN OPEN-GULF LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE FEED INTO THE MISSOURI VALLEY BASIN...A DRYLINE-TYPE CONVECTIVE PATTERN DOES BODE WELL FOR WEST TEXAS...EASTERN NEW MEXICO...WESTERN OKLAHOMA...EASTERN COLORADO AND WESTERN KANSAS. HIT-N-MISS CONVECTION AND ISOLATED HEAVY RAINFALL POTENTIAL...INCLUDING NOCTURNAL SHOWERS...ARE ANTICIPATED AHEAD OF THE DRY LINE. DAYS 3-4...AND ALONG THE DRYLINE...THE CHALLENGE APPEARS TO BE HOW EXPANSIVE THE DRY-ADIABATIC WARMING WILL BE...FOR THE SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS. THE DRY AIR INTRUSION AND RAPIDLY-SOARING TEMPERATURES COULD EASILY BEGIN TO TRANSLATE NORTHEASTWARD INTO THE LOWER MISSOURI VALLEY...OZARKS AND WESTERN OHIO VALLEY INTO DAY 5...AS A SLOWLY-AMPLIFYING SURFACE WAVE TAKES SHAPE OVER THE NORTHERN PLAINS AND GREAT LAKES. THE DETERMINISTIC 19/00Z GFS/ECMWF GENERALLY DEPICT A SUB 994MB SURFACE LOW INVOF SOUTHEAST/SOUTH CENTRAL SOUTH DAKOTA AROUND 24/12Z. THERE ARE SOME SLIGHT DIFFERENCES BEYOND DAY 5 WITH THE CYCLONE TRACK AND DEPTH THROUGH THE NORTHEAST...BUT A BLEND OF THE ECENS/GEFS MEANS APPEARED A GOOD MIDDLE GROUND FOR NOW. VOJTESAK, day 3: ...Metadata... EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD 1159 AM EDT FRI APR 18 2014 VALID 12Z MON APR 21 2014 - 12Z FRI APR 25 2014 ...SENSIBLE WEATHER HIGHLIGHTS... AMPLE MID-UPPER LEVEL TROUGH ENERGIES OVER THE CENTRAL US DAY 3 INTERACT OVER THE EASTERN AND NORTHEAST THROUGH DAY 5. MODEST PCPN/SOME STRONGER CONVECTION IN ADVANCE AND DECENT POST-FRONTAL COOLING HIGH PRESSURE ARE ANTICIPATED ACROSS NEW ENGLAND INTO EARLY DAY 6. UPSTREAM...AN AMPLIFIED MID-UPPER LEVEL TROUGH AND BIG HEIGHT FALLS WORKS INLAND ACROSS THE GREAT BASIN...LOWER COLORADO RIVER BASIN...AND THROUGH THE SOUTHERN PLAINS. ISOLATED WINTRY PRECIPITATION IN THE NORTHWEST AND HIGHEST ELEVATIONS OF THE DIVIDE...THEN WELL-ORGANIZED LOW/FRONT TO DEVELOP AND INCREASINGLY FOCUS MOISTURE/PCPN ALONG WITH POST-FRONTAL COOLING ACROSS THE REGION. HEAVIEST PCPN POTENTIAL SHOULD BE CLOSER TO THE MAIN LOW TRACK ACROSS NWRN US/NRN ROCKIES TERRAIN AND OUT ACROSS THE N-CENTRAL US...BUT DYNAMIC SUPPORT AND INSTABILITY SHOULD ALSO OFFER A CONVECTIVE SPARK FARTHER SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE WELL WARMED S-CENTRAL AND E-CENTRAL US AS MOISTURE RETURNS FROM THE GULF OF MEXICO. YET ANOTHER DYNAMIC TROUGH AND SURFACE SYSTEM WITH ENHANCED PCPN REACHES THE NWRN US IN ABOUT A WEEK. VOJTESAK/SCHICHTEL, day 4: ...Metadata... EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD 1044 AM EDT THU APR 17 2014 VALID 12Z SUN APR 20 2014 - 12Z THU APR 24 2014 ...SENSIBLE WEATHER HIGHLIGHTS... THE CUTOFF LOW ENTERING THE NORTH COAST OF CALIFORNIA WILL LIKELY BECOME THE PRIMARY WEATHER HIGHLIGHT THROUGH TIME ACROSS THE SIERRA...GREAT BASIN AND ROCKIES. AHEAD OF THIS SYSTEM...LEE SIDE CYCLOGENESIS AND AN AMPLIFYING MID-LEVEL RIDGE...SUGGESTS A VERY BROAD AND DEEPENING LAYER OF EAST TO SOUTHEAST UPSLOPE FLOW SURGING INTO THE MT/WYO PORTION OF THE NORTHERN HIGH PLAINS AND ALONG THE NORTHERN THIRD OF THE CONTINENTAL DIVIDE. THE DEVELOPING CYCLONE GRADUALLY SPREADS A BROAD OCCLUSION ACROSS MUCH OF THE MISSOURI VALLEY BASIN BY PERIOD'S END...WITH POCKETS OF DIURNAL CONVECTION DEVELOPING ACROSS A SHALLOW...HIGHLY-MODIFIED CANADIAN AIRMASS BOUNDARY AND LEE TROUGH FROM THE BLACK HILLS SOUTHWARD INTO THE PERMIAN BASIN. WHAT WILL CHARACTERIZE THIS FRONTAL BOUNDARY...IS THE LACK OF LOW-LEVEL GULF MOISTURE TRANSPORT ALONG AND AHEAD OF IT. IN THIS ANTICIPATED PATTERN...A DRY/VERY WARM GREAT BASIN-4 CORNERS AIRMASS WILL PERIODICALLY SPILL DOWNWIND AND DOWNHILL ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS...LEADING TO BREEZY/WINDY CONDITIONS AND ISOLATED DRYLINE-TYPE...BUT SLOW-MOVING CONVECTIVE ELEMENTS ALONG THE MIDDLE THIRD OF THE RIO GRANDE VALLEY NORTHWARD INTO THE COLORADO FRONT RANGE. DOWNSTREAM... BY DAY 5-6...VERY WARM TEMPERATURE ARE EXPECTED OVER THE PLAINS WITH SOME HIGHS APPROACHING LEVELS THAT WILL BE 15F-20F ABOVE NORMAL. DAY 4-5...THE MULTI-WAVE PATTERN OVER THE EASTERN THIRD OF THE NATION...A COMBINATION OF NORTHERN AND SOUTHERN STREAM ENERGY...FEATURES A BAND OF SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL POTENTIAL FROM THE SOUTH CENTRAL OK/TX PLAINS NORTHEASTWARD TO THE MIDWEST AND GREAT LAKES. THE CONSOLIDATION OF THE FRONT WITH THE AFOREMENTIONED MID-LEVEL DISTURBANCE ALONG THE US/CANADIAN BORDER AND GA/NE FL COASTAL LOW MAY ALLOW FOR SOME LINGERING LIGHT PRECIPITATION...AND MID-LEVEL CLOUDINESS OVER NEW ENGLAND...PRIOR TO THE WARMUP ASSOCIATED WITH THE MID-LEVEL RIDGE MIGRATING IN FROM THE SOUTHWEST...DAY 6. VOJTESAK, day 5: ...Metadata... EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD 1058 AM EDT WED APR 16 2014 VALID 12Z SAT APR 19 2014 - 12Z WED APR 23 2014 ...SENSIBLE WEATHER HIGHLIGHTS... SYSTEM CROSSING THE NORTHEAST DURING THE WEEKEND WILL LIKELY GENERATE AREAS OF MOSTLY LGT PCPN PSBLY INCLUDING SOME POCKETS OF SNOW IN NRN AREAS. AT THE SAME TIME THE SERN COAST MAY SEE LINGERING CLOUDS/RNFL DUE TO A SLOW MOVING/CLOSED MID LVL SYSTEM AND ASSOC SFC WAVE. UPSTREAM THE COMBINATION OF A NRN STREAM PLAINS SHRTWV AND ENERGY EJECTING FROM THE SW WILL SUPPORT AN AREA OF RNFL SPREADING EWD/NEWD FROM THE FOUR CORNERS/SRN HIGH PLAINS AND NERN PLAINS/UPR MS VLY. SOME ACTIVITY MAY BE LOCALLY HVY. EXCEPT FOR NRN AREAS MOST OF THE WEST SHOULD SEE WARM TEMPS SAT-MON WITH SOME 10-15F ABOVE NORMAL HIGHS. AS THE AMPLIFYING ERN PAC TROUGH ARRIVES IN THE WEST NEXT WEEK EXPECT A COOLING TREND WHILE THE WARMTH HEADS INTO THE PLAINS... WHILE AREAS FROM THE NRN HALF OF THE WEST COAST INTO THE NRN PLAINS SHOULD SEE INCREASED COVERAGE OF PCPN. MSTR COULD EXTEND FARTHER SWD OVER THE WEST IF THE TROUGH ALOFT ENDS UP BEING DEEPER/MORE CLOSED AND SLOWER THAN EVEN THE MOST RECENT 16/00Z CYCLE GUIDANCE. VOJTESAK/RAUSCH, day 6: ...Metadata... EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD 1200 PM EDT TUE APR 15 2014 VALID 12Z FRI APR 18 2014 - 12Z TUE APR 22 2014 ...SENSIBLE WEATHER HIGHLIGHTS... AS THE UPPER FLOW CONTINUES TO DEAMPLIFY...THE NEGATIVE TEMPERATURE ANOMALIES WILL DIMINISH AS THE PATTERN TURNS A BIT MORE ZONAL. THIS WILL LEAD TO A MAJORITY OF THE COUNTRY BEING INFLUENCED BY ABOVE 540-DM 1000-500 MB THICKNESSES. GIVEN MODEST RIDGING AHEAD OF THE APPROACHING PACIFIC STORM EARLY NEXT WEEK...ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES WITH ANOMALIES IN THE 5 TO 10 DEGREES F RANGE ARE EXPECTED OVER THE WESTERN/CENTRAL U.S. FROM SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY. MEANWHILE...ACROSS THE NORTHEASTERN U.S...TEMPERATURES WILL BE BELOW NORMAL THROUGH THE WEEKEND AS THE PASSAGE OF THE NORTHERN STREAM TROF USHERS IN COOL CANADIAN AIR INTO THE REGION. IN TERMS OF PRECIPITATION...IT SHOULD BE QUITE A WET PERIOD THROUGH SUNDAY FOR THE CENTRAL/EASTERN GULF COAST AND ACROSS THE SOUTHEASTERN U.S. THIS IS PARTICULARLY THE CASE IF THE 00Z UKMET/ECMWF/ECMWF ENSEMBLE MEAN SOLUTIONS VERIFY. THESE MODELS SHOW AREAS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES OF RAINFALL IN 24 HOURS WITH LOCALLY HEAVIER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. RUBIN-OSTER
Given the meteorological reports from the last 7 days, generate meteorological reports for the current day and the next 5 days
The summaries of the weather reports for the last 7 days are day 1: ...Metadata... EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD 1154 AM EDT SUN APR 20 2014 VALID 12Z WED APR 23 2014 - 12Z SUN APR 27 2014 ...SENSIBLE WEATHER HIGHLIGHTS... MID-TO UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH AND SURFACE SYSTEM OFF THE NORTHEAST COAST MIGRATING INTO THE CANADIAN MARITIMES WILL BE GENERATING SHOWERS ACROSS MAINE AND THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND. A COOL...POST-FRONTAL NORTHWEST FLOW CONTINUES INTO DAY 4. ACTIVE BUT ISOLATED DRYLINE CONVECTION TO PREVAIL ACROSS THE SOUTHERN AND WEST CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY EVENINGS. BREEZY TO WINDY CONDITIONS AND RISING TEMPERATURES PRECEDE THE EJECTION OF A PACIFIC SYSTEM MIGRATING ACROSS THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST AND NORTHERN ROCKIES. RAIN...SHOWERS AND HIGH-ELEVATION SNOWS ARE ANTICIPATED FROM THE SIERRA AND CASCADES INTO THE NORTHERN PLAINS...DAKOTAS AND EASTWARD INTO THE UPPER GREAT LAKES THROUGH THURSDAY. PERHAPS A REPEAT PERFORMANCE IN THE DAY 6-7 TIME FRAME WHEN THE NEXT PACIFIC SYSTEM BEGINS ITS EXIT FROM THE CONTINENTAL DIVIDE. IE...MORE HOT WINDS AND ANOTHER DRYLINE EVENT(S) FOR SOUTHWEST KANSAS...SOUTHEAST COLORADO AND THE TX/OK PANHANDLES. PACIFIC NORTHWEST...SIERRA...CASCADES AND GREAT BASIN REMAIN ACTIVE REGIONS OF SENSIBLE WEATHER NEXT FRIDAY AND INTO NEXT WEEKEND. SOUTHERN END OF THE PACIFIC FRONT IS NOT EXPECTED TO BE MOISTURE-LADEN...BUT SHOULD BE BREEZY AND COOLER BEHIND THE FRONT. VOJTESAK, day 2: ...Metadata... EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD 1157 AM EDT SAT APR 19 2014 VALID 12Z TUE APR 22 2014 - 12Z SAT APR 26 2014 ...MODEL PREFERENCES/UNCERTAINTY ASSESSMENTS/SENSIBLE WEATHER ... ...HIGHLIGHTS... THE 19/00Z MODEL CYCLE...EXCLUDING THE DETERMINISTIC CANADIAN...SEEMED TO REASONABLY DEPICT THE SERIES OF MIGRATORY SYSTEMS TRAVERSING THE EASTERN PACIFIC...WEST COAST ...MIDWEST ...AND NORTHEAST THROUGH DAY 6. FOR THE PAST 2 to 3 DAYS... MODEL GUIDANCE HAS DONE A NICE JOB OF TIMING THE PATTERN AND ITS REPLACEMENT--EAST OF THE ROCKIES. IE...FROM A MULTI-WAVE...SPLIT-FLOW TYPE PATTERN EXITING THE EASTERN CONUS (DAY 3-4)...TO ONE THAT GIVES THE APPEARANCE OF A SERIES OF HIGHER-AMPLITUDE TROUGHS ACCOMPANIED BY BROAD SHORTWAVE RIDGES. THE 19/00Z ENSEMBLE SPREAD IS A RATHER TIGHTLY-CLUSTERED SET OF SOLUTIONS. THE 19/00Z GEFS/ECENS MEANS AND THEIR DETERMINISTIC RUNS COULD EASILY BE BLENDED INTO DAY 6 (26/00Z) ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES...INVOF HAIDA GWAII (QUEEN CHARLOTTE ISLAND) AND SOUTH OF PRINCE EDWARD ISLAND. A NEGATIVE-TILT TROUGH AXIS SOLUTION INVOF 50N LAT 130W LONG...IS THE ACCEPTED SOURCE REGION AND ENTRY POINT FOR A STORM TRACK THAT WILL MAINTAIN A SPRING RAIN/HIGH ELEVATION SNOW PATTERN IN THE NORTHWEST AFTER DAY 5. ASIDE FROM THE EARLY DAY 3 SYSTEM TRACKING THROUGH THE NORTHERN ROCKIES...THE SOUTHERN EXTENSIONS OF THE PACIFIC COLD FRONTS...WILL BE ESSENTIALLY DRY--(EXCEPT AT HIGH ELEVATION)--AND BREEZY/WINDY EVENTS FOR THE I-80 CORRIDOR FROM THE BAY AREA TO THE GREAT BASIN AND THROUGH THE CENTRAL ROCKIES. DOWNSTREAM...ALONG AND EAST OF THE CONTINENTAL DIVIDE (ALONG THIS I-80 CORRIDOR)...THE HIGHER-AMPLITUDE FLOW ALLOWS SHORTWAVE RIDGES TO BROADEN WARM ADVECTION AND EXPAND BREEZY CONDITIONS NORTHWARD FROM THE SOUTHERN PLAINS TO THE MIDWEST/OHIO VALLEY. AND ALTHOUGH THIS PATTERN DOES NOT FAVOR AN OPEN-GULF LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE FEED INTO THE MISSOURI VALLEY BASIN...A DRYLINE-TYPE CONVECTIVE PATTERN DOES BODE WELL FOR WEST TEXAS...EASTERN NEW MEXICO...WESTERN OKLAHOMA...EASTERN COLORADO AND WESTERN KANSAS. HIT-N-MISS CONVECTION AND ISOLATED HEAVY RAINFALL POTENTIAL...INCLUDING NOCTURNAL SHOWERS...ARE ANTICIPATED AHEAD OF THE DRY LINE. DAYS 3-4...AND ALONG THE DRYLINE...THE CHALLENGE APPEARS TO BE HOW EXPANSIVE THE DRY-ADIABATIC WARMING WILL BE...FOR THE SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS. THE DRY AIR INTRUSION AND RAPIDLY-SOARING TEMPERATURES COULD EASILY BEGIN TO TRANSLATE NORTHEASTWARD INTO THE LOWER MISSOURI VALLEY...OZARKS AND WESTERN OHIO VALLEY INTO DAY 5...AS A SLOWLY-AMPLIFYING SURFACE WAVE TAKES SHAPE OVER THE NORTHERN PLAINS AND GREAT LAKES. THE DETERMINISTIC 19/00Z GFS/ECMWF GENERALLY DEPICT A SUB 994MB SURFACE LOW INVOF SOUTHEAST/SOUTH CENTRAL SOUTH DAKOTA AROUND 24/12Z. THERE ARE SOME SLIGHT DIFFERENCES BEYOND DAY 5 WITH THE CYCLONE TRACK AND DEPTH THROUGH THE NORTHEAST...BUT A BLEND OF THE ECENS/GEFS MEANS APPEARED A GOOD MIDDLE GROUND FOR NOW. VOJTESAK, day 3: ...Metadata... EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD 1159 AM EDT FRI APR 18 2014 VALID 12Z MON APR 21 2014 - 12Z FRI APR 25 2014 ...SENSIBLE WEATHER HIGHLIGHTS... AMPLE MID-UPPER LEVEL TROUGH ENERGIES OVER THE CENTRAL US DAY 3 INTERACT OVER THE EASTERN AND NORTHEAST THROUGH DAY 5. MODEST PCPN/SOME STRONGER CONVECTION IN ADVANCE AND DECENT POST-FRONTAL COOLING HIGH PRESSURE ARE ANTICIPATED ACROSS NEW ENGLAND INTO EARLY DAY 6. UPSTREAM...AN AMPLIFIED MID-UPPER LEVEL TROUGH AND BIG HEIGHT FALLS WORKS INLAND ACROSS THE GREAT BASIN...LOWER COLORADO RIVER BASIN...AND THROUGH THE SOUTHERN PLAINS. ISOLATED WINTRY PRECIPITATION IN THE NORTHWEST AND HIGHEST ELEVATIONS OF THE DIVIDE...THEN WELL-ORGANIZED LOW/FRONT TO DEVELOP AND INCREASINGLY FOCUS MOISTURE/PCPN ALONG WITH POST-FRONTAL COOLING ACROSS THE REGION. HEAVIEST PCPN POTENTIAL SHOULD BE CLOSER TO THE MAIN LOW TRACK ACROSS NWRN US/NRN ROCKIES TERRAIN AND OUT ACROSS THE N-CENTRAL US...BUT DYNAMIC SUPPORT AND INSTABILITY SHOULD ALSO OFFER A CONVECTIVE SPARK FARTHER SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE WELL WARMED S-CENTRAL AND E-CENTRAL US AS MOISTURE RETURNS FROM THE GULF OF MEXICO. YET ANOTHER DYNAMIC TROUGH AND SURFACE SYSTEM WITH ENHANCED PCPN REACHES THE NWRN US IN ABOUT A WEEK. VOJTESAK/SCHICHTEL, day 4: ...Metadata... EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD 1044 AM EDT THU APR 17 2014 VALID 12Z SUN APR 20 2014 - 12Z THU APR 24 2014 ...SENSIBLE WEATHER HIGHLIGHTS... THE CUTOFF LOW ENTERING THE NORTH COAST OF CALIFORNIA WILL LIKELY BECOME THE PRIMARY WEATHER HIGHLIGHT THROUGH TIME ACROSS THE SIERRA...GREAT BASIN AND ROCKIES. AHEAD OF THIS SYSTEM...LEE SIDE CYCLOGENESIS AND AN AMPLIFYING MID-LEVEL RIDGE...SUGGESTS A VERY BROAD AND DEEPENING LAYER OF EAST TO SOUTHEAST UPSLOPE FLOW SURGING INTO THE MT/WYO PORTION OF THE NORTHERN HIGH PLAINS AND ALONG THE NORTHERN THIRD OF THE CONTINENTAL DIVIDE. THE DEVELOPING CYCLONE GRADUALLY SPREADS A BROAD OCCLUSION ACROSS MUCH OF THE MISSOURI VALLEY BASIN BY PERIOD'S END...WITH POCKETS OF DIURNAL CONVECTION DEVELOPING ACROSS A SHALLOW...HIGHLY-MODIFIED CANADIAN AIRMASS BOUNDARY AND LEE TROUGH FROM THE BLACK HILLS SOUTHWARD INTO THE PERMIAN BASIN. WHAT WILL CHARACTERIZE THIS FRONTAL BOUNDARY...IS THE LACK OF LOW-LEVEL GULF MOISTURE TRANSPORT ALONG AND AHEAD OF IT. IN THIS ANTICIPATED PATTERN...A DRY/VERY WARM GREAT BASIN-4 CORNERS AIRMASS WILL PERIODICALLY SPILL DOWNWIND AND DOWNHILL ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS...LEADING TO BREEZY/WINDY CONDITIONS AND ISOLATED DRYLINE-TYPE...BUT SLOW-MOVING CONVECTIVE ELEMENTS ALONG THE MIDDLE THIRD OF THE RIO GRANDE VALLEY NORTHWARD INTO THE COLORADO FRONT RANGE. DOWNSTREAM... BY DAY 5-6...VERY WARM TEMPERATURE ARE EXPECTED OVER THE PLAINS WITH SOME HIGHS APPROACHING LEVELS THAT WILL BE 15F-20F ABOVE NORMAL. DAY 4-5...THE MULTI-WAVE PATTERN OVER THE EASTERN THIRD OF THE NATION...A COMBINATION OF NORTHERN AND SOUTHERN STREAM ENERGY...FEATURES A BAND OF SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL POTENTIAL FROM THE SOUTH CENTRAL OK/TX PLAINS NORTHEASTWARD TO THE MIDWEST AND GREAT LAKES. THE CONSOLIDATION OF THE FRONT WITH THE AFOREMENTIONED MID-LEVEL DISTURBANCE ALONG THE US/CANADIAN BORDER AND GA/NE FL COASTAL LOW MAY ALLOW FOR SOME LINGERING LIGHT PRECIPITATION...AND MID-LEVEL CLOUDINESS OVER NEW ENGLAND...PRIOR TO THE WARMUP ASSOCIATED WITH THE MID-LEVEL RIDGE MIGRATING IN FROM THE SOUTHWEST...DAY 6. VOJTESAK, day 5: ...Metadata... EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD 1058 AM EDT WED APR 16 2014 VALID 12Z SAT APR 19 2014 - 12Z WED APR 23 2014 ...SENSIBLE WEATHER HIGHLIGHTS... SYSTEM CROSSING THE NORTHEAST DURING THE WEEKEND WILL LIKELY GENERATE AREAS OF MOSTLY LGT PCPN PSBLY INCLUDING SOME POCKETS OF SNOW IN NRN AREAS. AT THE SAME TIME THE SERN COAST MAY SEE LINGERING CLOUDS/RNFL DUE TO A SLOW MOVING/CLOSED MID LVL SYSTEM AND ASSOC SFC WAVE. UPSTREAM THE COMBINATION OF A NRN STREAM PLAINS SHRTWV AND ENERGY EJECTING FROM THE SW WILL SUPPORT AN AREA OF RNFL SPREADING EWD/NEWD FROM THE FOUR CORNERS/SRN HIGH PLAINS AND NERN PLAINS/UPR MS VLY. SOME ACTIVITY MAY BE LOCALLY HVY. EXCEPT FOR NRN AREAS MOST OF THE WEST SHOULD SEE WARM TEMPS SAT-MON WITH SOME 10-15F ABOVE NORMAL HIGHS. AS THE AMPLIFYING ERN PAC TROUGH ARRIVES IN THE WEST NEXT WEEK EXPECT A COOLING TREND WHILE THE WARMTH HEADS INTO THE PLAINS... WHILE AREAS FROM THE NRN HALF OF THE WEST COAST INTO THE NRN PLAINS SHOULD SEE INCREASED COVERAGE OF PCPN. MSTR COULD EXTEND FARTHER SWD OVER THE WEST IF THE TROUGH ALOFT ENDS UP BEING DEEPER/MORE CLOSED AND SLOWER THAN EVEN THE MOST RECENT 16/00Z CYCLE GUIDANCE. VOJTESAK/RAUSCH, day 6: ...Metadata... EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD 1200 PM EDT TUE APR 15 2014 VALID 12Z FRI APR 18 2014 - 12Z TUE APR 22 2014 ...SENSIBLE WEATHER HIGHLIGHTS... AS THE UPPER FLOW CONTINUES TO DEAMPLIFY...THE NEGATIVE TEMPERATURE ANOMALIES WILL DIMINISH AS THE PATTERN TURNS A BIT MORE ZONAL. THIS WILL LEAD TO A MAJORITY OF THE COUNTRY BEING INFLUENCED BY ABOVE 540-DM 1000-500 MB THICKNESSES. GIVEN MODEST RIDGING AHEAD OF THE APPROACHING PACIFIC STORM EARLY NEXT WEEK...ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES WITH ANOMALIES IN THE 5 TO 10 DEGREES F RANGE ARE EXPECTED OVER THE WESTERN/CENTRAL U.S. FROM SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY. MEANWHILE...ACROSS THE NORTHEASTERN U.S...TEMPERATURES WILL BE BELOW NORMAL THROUGH THE WEEKEND AS THE PASSAGE OF THE NORTHERN STREAM TROF USHERS IN COOL CANADIAN AIR INTO THE REGION. IN TERMS OF PRECIPITATION...IT SHOULD BE QUITE A WET PERIOD THROUGH SUNDAY FOR THE CENTRAL/EASTERN GULF COAST AND ACROSS THE SOUTHEASTERN U.S. THIS IS PARTICULARLY THE CASE IF THE 00Z UKMET/ECMWF/ECMWF ENSEMBLE MEAN SOLUTIONS VERIFY. THESE MODELS SHOW AREAS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES OF RAINFALL IN 24 HOURS WITH LOCALLY HEAVIER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. RUBIN-OSTER, day 7: ...Metadata... EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD 1158 AM EDT MON APR 14 2014 VALID 12Z THU APR 17 2014 - 12Z MON APR 21 2014 ...SENSIBLE WEATHER HIGHLIGHTS... THE FIRST COUPLE OF DAYS OF THE PERIOD...THURSDAY/FRIDAY...WILL BE QUITE CHILLY ACROSS THE CENTER OF THE COUNTRY WITH TEMPERATURES 15 TO 20 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL...PARTICULARLY IN THE CENTRAL PLAINS. THE ACCOMPANYING AREA OF LOW PRESSURE CROSSING THE CO ROCKIES AND INTO THE SOUTHERN PLAINS WILL SUPPORT AN AREA OF MODERATE/HEAVY PRECIPITATION ACROSS THE CENTRAL ROCKIES ON THURSDAY. ENHANCED UPSLOPE FLOW SHOULD AID IN LOCALLY HEAVIER AMOUNTS ALONG THE FAVORED TERRAIN. GIVEN THE NEGATIVE HEIGHT ANOMALIES IN PLACE...WINTRY PRECIPITATION MAY BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS. TEMPERATURES SHOULD GRADUALLY MODERATE BY THE WEEKEND AS THE FLOW BECOMES MORE ZONAL AND WARMER THICKNESSES PREVAIL. AS THIS SYSTEM MIGRATES EASTWARD...COOLER AND WETTER CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE CENTRAL/EASTERN GULF COAST AS WELL AS ALONG THE EASTERN SEABOARD. DEPENDING UPON THE MODEL...IT MAY BE QUITE AN UNSETTLED PERIOD FROM FRIDAY AND INTO THE WEEKEND. ELSEWHERE...BUILDING HEIGHTS ACROSS THE WESTERN U.S. SHOULD BRING ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES TO THE REGION WHICH HAS BEEN THE COMMON THEME FOR QUITE SOME TIME. RUBIN-OSTER
The summaries of the weather reports for the current day and the next 4 days are day 1: ...Metadata... EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD 1200 PM EDT MON APR 21 2014 VALID 12Z THU APR 24 2014 - 12Z MON APR 28 2014 ...SENSIBLE WEATHER HIGHLIGHTS... SYSTEM INITIALLY OVER THE NRN TIER/MS VLY ON THU WILL SPREAD PCPN ACROSS THE ERN HALF OF THE CONUS WITH BEST ORGANIZED ACTIVITY LIKELY NEAR THE SFC LOW TRACKING NEAR THE CANADIAN BORDER AND ALONG THE TRAILING FRONT OVER THE NRN HALF OF THE MS VLY ON THU. RNFL IS FCST TO TREND LIGHTER AS THE FRONT CONTINUES EWD LATER IN THE WEEK... THOUGH SOME ACTIVITY MAY DEVELOP ALONG THE TRAILING PART OF THE FRONT AS IT STALLS OVER S-CNTRL PARTS OF THE CNTRL-ERN STATES. DEPENDING ON EXACTLY HOW THE SFC/UPR SYSTEM DEVELOPS THERE IS POTENTIAL FOR SOME WINTRY PCPN NEAR THE CANADIAN BORDER. EXPECT MSTR TO MOVE INTO THE NWRN STATES AS OF THU WITH AN INCREASINGLY BROAD SHIELD OF PCPN SPREADING ACROSS THE WEST IN ASSOC WITH THE TROUGH ALOFT CROSSING THE REGION. SOME LOCALLY MDT-HVY PCPN IS PSBL OVER FAVORED NRN-CNTRL TERRAIN DEPENDING ON EXACTLY HOW THE SYSTEM EVOLVES. AS HGT FALLS REACH THE PLAINS EXPECT INCREASED POTENTIAL FOR SOME AREAS OF HVY RNFL OVER PORTIONS OF THE PLAINS/MS VLY FROM SAT NIGHT INTO MON. AT THIS TIME THERE IS CONSIDERABLE UNCERTAINTY OVER EXACTLY HOW FAR NEWD RNFL MAY EXTEND CORRESPONDING TO SPREAD WITH THE AMPLITUDE OF THE DOWNSTREAM TROUGH ALOFT. THE MOST PERSISTENT/EXTREME ANOMALIES FOR TEMPS SHOULD BE OF THE COLD VARIETY OVER THE NRN TIER WITH DAILY HIGHS GENERALLY 5-15F BELOW NORMAL... WITH BREEZY CONDITIONS MAKING IT FEEL COOLER THAN THAT AT TIMES. RAUSCH, day 2: ...Metadata... EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD 1154 AM EDT SUN APR 20 2014 VALID 12Z WED APR 23 2014 - 12Z SUN APR 27 2014 ...SENSIBLE WEATHER HIGHLIGHTS... MID-TO UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH AND SURFACE SYSTEM OFF THE NORTHEAST COAST MIGRATING INTO THE CANADIAN MARITIMES WILL BE GENERATING SHOWERS ACROSS MAINE AND THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND. A COOL...POST-FRONTAL NORTHWEST FLOW CONTINUES INTO DAY 4. ACTIVE BUT ISOLATED DRYLINE CONVECTION TO PREVAIL ACROSS THE SOUTHERN AND WEST CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY EVENINGS. BREEZY TO WINDY CONDITIONS AND RISING TEMPERATURES PRECEDE THE EJECTION OF A PACIFIC SYSTEM MIGRATING ACROSS THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST AND NORTHERN ROCKIES. RAIN...SHOWERS AND HIGH-ELEVATION SNOWS ARE ANTICIPATED FROM THE SIERRA AND CASCADES INTO THE NORTHERN PLAINS...DAKOTAS AND EASTWARD INTO THE UPPER GREAT LAKES THROUGH THURSDAY. PERHAPS A REPEAT PERFORMANCE IN THE DAY 6-7 TIME FRAME WHEN THE NEXT PACIFIC SYSTEM BEGINS ITS EXIT FROM THE CONTINENTAL DIVIDE. IE...MORE HOT WINDS AND ANOTHER DRYLINE EVENT(S) FOR SOUTHWEST KANSAS...SOUTHEAST COLORADO AND THE TX/OK PANHANDLES. PACIFIC NORTHWEST...SIERRA...CASCADES AND GREAT BASIN REMAIN ACTIVE REGIONS OF SENSIBLE WEATHER NEXT FRIDAY AND INTO NEXT WEEKEND. SOUTHERN END OF THE PACIFIC FRONT IS NOT EXPECTED TO BE MOISTURE-LADEN...BUT SHOULD BE BREEZY AND COOLER BEHIND THE FRONT. VOJTESAK, day 3: ...Metadata... EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD 1157 AM EDT SAT APR 19 2014 VALID 12Z TUE APR 22 2014 - 12Z SAT APR 26 2014 ...MODEL PREFERENCES/UNCERTAINTY ASSESSMENTS/SENSIBLE WEATHER ... ...HIGHLIGHTS... THE 19/00Z MODEL CYCLE...EXCLUDING THE DETERMINISTIC CANADIAN...SEEMED TO REASONABLY DEPICT THE SERIES OF MIGRATORY SYSTEMS TRAVERSING THE EASTERN PACIFIC...WEST COAST ...MIDWEST ...AND NORTHEAST THROUGH DAY 6. FOR THE PAST 2 to 3 DAYS... MODEL GUIDANCE HAS DONE A NICE JOB OF TIMING THE PATTERN AND ITS REPLACEMENT--EAST OF THE ROCKIES. IE...FROM A MULTI-WAVE...SPLIT-FLOW TYPE PATTERN EXITING THE EASTERN CONUS (DAY 3-4)...TO ONE THAT GIVES THE APPEARANCE OF A SERIES OF HIGHER-AMPLITUDE TROUGHS ACCOMPANIED BY BROAD SHORTWAVE RIDGES. THE 19/00Z ENSEMBLE SPREAD IS A RATHER TIGHTLY-CLUSTERED SET OF SOLUTIONS. THE 19/00Z GEFS/ECENS MEANS AND THEIR DETERMINISTIC RUNS COULD EASILY BE BLENDED INTO DAY 6 (26/00Z) ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES...INVOF HAIDA GWAII (QUEEN CHARLOTTE ISLAND) AND SOUTH OF PRINCE EDWARD ISLAND. A NEGATIVE-TILT TROUGH AXIS SOLUTION INVOF 50N LAT 130W LONG...IS THE ACCEPTED SOURCE REGION AND ENTRY POINT FOR A STORM TRACK THAT WILL MAINTAIN A SPRING RAIN/HIGH ELEVATION SNOW PATTERN IN THE NORTHWEST AFTER DAY 5. ASIDE FROM THE EARLY DAY 3 SYSTEM TRACKING THROUGH THE NORTHERN ROCKIES...THE SOUTHERN EXTENSIONS OF THE PACIFIC COLD FRONTS...WILL BE ESSENTIALLY DRY--(EXCEPT AT HIGH ELEVATION)--AND BREEZY/WINDY EVENTS FOR THE I-80 CORRIDOR FROM THE BAY AREA TO THE GREAT BASIN AND THROUGH THE CENTRAL ROCKIES. DOWNSTREAM...ALONG AND EAST OF THE CONTINENTAL DIVIDE (ALONG THIS I-80 CORRIDOR)...THE HIGHER-AMPLITUDE FLOW ALLOWS SHORTWAVE RIDGES TO BROADEN WARM ADVECTION AND EXPAND BREEZY CONDITIONS NORTHWARD FROM THE SOUTHERN PLAINS TO THE MIDWEST/OHIO VALLEY. AND ALTHOUGH THIS PATTERN DOES NOT FAVOR AN OPEN-GULF LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE FEED INTO THE MISSOURI VALLEY BASIN...A DRYLINE-TYPE CONVECTIVE PATTERN DOES BODE WELL FOR WEST TEXAS...EASTERN NEW MEXICO...WESTERN OKLAHOMA...EASTERN COLORADO AND WESTERN KANSAS. HIT-N-MISS CONVECTION AND ISOLATED HEAVY RAINFALL POTENTIAL...INCLUDING NOCTURNAL SHOWERS...ARE ANTICIPATED AHEAD OF THE DRY LINE. DAYS 3-4...AND ALONG THE DRYLINE...THE CHALLENGE APPEARS TO BE HOW EXPANSIVE THE DRY-ADIABATIC WARMING WILL BE...FOR THE SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS. THE DRY AIR INTRUSION AND RAPIDLY-SOARING TEMPERATURES COULD EASILY BEGIN TO TRANSLATE NORTHEASTWARD INTO THE LOWER MISSOURI VALLEY...OZARKS AND WESTERN OHIO VALLEY INTO DAY 5...AS A SLOWLY-AMPLIFYING SURFACE WAVE TAKES SHAPE OVER THE NORTHERN PLAINS AND GREAT LAKES. THE DETERMINISTIC 19/00Z GFS/ECMWF GENERALLY DEPICT A SUB 994MB SURFACE LOW INVOF SOUTHEAST/SOUTH CENTRAL SOUTH DAKOTA AROUND 24/12Z. THERE ARE SOME SLIGHT DIFFERENCES BEYOND DAY 5 WITH THE CYCLONE TRACK AND DEPTH THROUGH THE NORTHEAST...BUT A BLEND OF THE ECENS/GEFS MEANS APPEARED A GOOD MIDDLE GROUND FOR NOW. VOJTESAK, day 4: ...Metadata... EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD 1159 AM EDT FRI APR 18 2014 VALID 12Z MON APR 21 2014 - 12Z FRI APR 25 2014 ...SENSIBLE WEATHER HIGHLIGHTS... AMPLE MID-UPPER LEVEL TROUGH ENERGIES OVER THE CENTRAL US DAY 3 INTERACT OVER THE EASTERN AND NORTHEAST THROUGH DAY 5. MODEST PCPN/SOME STRONGER CONVECTION IN ADVANCE AND DECENT POST-FRONTAL COOLING HIGH PRESSURE ARE ANTICIPATED ACROSS NEW ENGLAND INTO EARLY DAY 6. UPSTREAM...AN AMPLIFIED MID-UPPER LEVEL TROUGH AND BIG HEIGHT FALLS WORKS INLAND ACROSS THE GREAT BASIN...LOWER COLORADO RIVER BASIN...AND THROUGH THE SOUTHERN PLAINS. ISOLATED WINTRY PRECIPITATION IN THE NORTHWEST AND HIGHEST ELEVATIONS OF THE DIVIDE...THEN WELL-ORGANIZED LOW/FRONT TO DEVELOP AND INCREASINGLY FOCUS MOISTURE/PCPN ALONG WITH POST-FRONTAL COOLING ACROSS THE REGION. HEAVIEST PCPN POTENTIAL SHOULD BE CLOSER TO THE MAIN LOW TRACK ACROSS NWRN US/NRN ROCKIES TERRAIN AND OUT ACROSS THE N-CENTRAL US...BUT DYNAMIC SUPPORT AND INSTABILITY SHOULD ALSO OFFER A CONVECTIVE SPARK FARTHER SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE WELL WARMED S-CENTRAL AND E-CENTRAL US AS MOISTURE RETURNS FROM THE GULF OF MEXICO. YET ANOTHER DYNAMIC TROUGH AND SURFACE SYSTEM WITH ENHANCED PCPN REACHES THE NWRN US IN ABOUT A WEEK. VOJTESAK/SCHICHTEL, day 5: ...Metadata... EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD 1044 AM EDT THU APR 17 2014 VALID 12Z SUN APR 20 2014 - 12Z THU APR 24 2014 ...SENSIBLE WEATHER HIGHLIGHTS... THE CUTOFF LOW ENTERING THE NORTH COAST OF CALIFORNIA WILL LIKELY BECOME THE PRIMARY WEATHER HIGHLIGHT THROUGH TIME ACROSS THE SIERRA...GREAT BASIN AND ROCKIES. AHEAD OF THIS SYSTEM...LEE SIDE CYCLOGENESIS AND AN AMPLIFYING MID-LEVEL RIDGE...SUGGESTS A VERY BROAD AND DEEPENING LAYER OF EAST TO SOUTHEAST UPSLOPE FLOW SURGING INTO THE MT/WYO PORTION OF THE NORTHERN HIGH PLAINS AND ALONG THE NORTHERN THIRD OF THE CONTINENTAL DIVIDE. THE DEVELOPING CYCLONE GRADUALLY SPREADS A BROAD OCCLUSION ACROSS MUCH OF THE MISSOURI VALLEY BASIN BY PERIOD'S END...WITH POCKETS OF DIURNAL CONVECTION DEVELOPING ACROSS A SHALLOW...HIGHLY-MODIFIED CANADIAN AIRMASS BOUNDARY AND LEE TROUGH FROM THE BLACK HILLS SOUTHWARD INTO THE PERMIAN BASIN. WHAT WILL CHARACTERIZE THIS FRONTAL BOUNDARY...IS THE LACK OF LOW-LEVEL GULF MOISTURE TRANSPORT ALONG AND AHEAD OF IT. IN THIS ANTICIPATED PATTERN...A DRY/VERY WARM GREAT BASIN-4 CORNERS AIRMASS WILL PERIODICALLY SPILL DOWNWIND AND DOWNHILL ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS...LEADING TO BREEZY/WINDY CONDITIONS AND ISOLATED DRYLINE-TYPE...BUT SLOW-MOVING CONVECTIVE ELEMENTS ALONG THE MIDDLE THIRD OF THE RIO GRANDE VALLEY NORTHWARD INTO THE COLORADO FRONT RANGE. DOWNSTREAM... BY DAY 5-6...VERY WARM TEMPERATURE ARE EXPECTED OVER THE PLAINS WITH SOME HIGHS APPROACHING LEVELS THAT WILL BE 15F-20F ABOVE NORMAL. DAY 4-5...THE MULTI-WAVE PATTERN OVER THE EASTERN THIRD OF THE NATION...A COMBINATION OF NORTHERN AND SOUTHERN STREAM ENERGY...FEATURES A BAND OF SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL POTENTIAL FROM THE SOUTH CENTRAL OK/TX PLAINS NORTHEASTWARD TO THE MIDWEST AND GREAT LAKES. THE CONSOLIDATION OF THE FRONT WITH THE AFOREMENTIONED MID-LEVEL DISTURBANCE ALONG THE US/CANADIAN BORDER AND GA/NE FL COASTAL LOW MAY ALLOW FOR SOME LINGERING LIGHT PRECIPITATION...AND MID-LEVEL CLOUDINESS OVER NEW ENGLAND...PRIOR TO THE WARMUP ASSOCIATED WITH THE MID-LEVEL RIDGE MIGRATING IN FROM THE SOUTHWEST...DAY 6. VOJTESAK
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