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values |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
nZ5QqslqZQ
|
nathan-young-asks-nathan-young-asks
|
Nathan young asks Nathan Young asks Musk out?
| null | 1,746,100,558,324
| 1,748,692,500,000
| 1,748,755,489,997
|
NO
| 0.015156
| 1,031.535164
|
Entertainment
|
Celebrity & Pop Culture
|
PQcOnqEty5
|
will-nvda-recover-this-month
|
Will NVDA recover this month?
| null | 1,738,003,460,485
| 1,738,368,000,000
| 1,738,368,537,785
|
NO
| 0.091848
| 23,603.75882
|
Finance
|
Markets & Trading
|
5UNSILQAUA
|
will-tsla-reach-420-during-trumps-p
|
Will $TSLA reach 420 during Trump’s presidency?
| null | 1,730,986,730,277
| 1,737,966,730,449
| 1,737,966,730,449
|
YES
| 0.99489
| 1,875.623853
|
Finance
|
Markets & Trading
|
rmsxvqrgb4
|
will-donald-trump-be-the-republican-osvrf1kdjz
|
Will Donald Trump be the Republican nominee for the 2028 U.S. Presidential election if he loses the 2024 election?
| null | 1,726,596,778,857
| 1,739,581,687,704
| 1,739,581,687,704
|
NO
| 0.01
| 10,510.805768
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
NpILIcROR9
|
will-the-chiefs-score-more-than-30
|
Will the Chiefs score more than 30 points in a game this season?
| null | 1,734,288,216,116
| 1,737,945,710,297
| 1,737,945,710,297
|
YES
| 0.99
| 15,896.259059
|
Sports
|
Professional Sports
|
excelfy5nd
|
will-bambu-lab-release-a-significan
|
Rumors: Will Bambu Lab release a significantly new printer in 2024?
| null | 1,720,829,304,227
| 1,735,718,340,000
| 1,735,782,062,989
|
NO
| 0.033842
| 2,010
|
Technology
|
Mobile & Consumer Electronics
|
rwkkcgSpnA
|
will-alexander-and-yudkowsky-on-agi
|
Will "Alexander and Yudkowsky on AGI goals" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
| null | 1,733,584,081,308
| 1,738,368,000,000
| 1,738,964,416,097
|
NO
| 0.157913
| 2
|
Technology
|
Emerging Technologies
|
ENtSIsAQ60
|
will-the-federal-reserve-change-the
|
Will the Federal Reserve change the fed funds rate in their May 6th-7th meeting?
| null | 1,746,493,512,572
| 1,746,641,006,383
| 1,746,641,006,383
|
NO
| 0.01
| 56,335.345682
|
Finance
|
Economic Indicators
|
hCQPORgcyq
|
will-elon-musk-still-be-one-of-the
|
Will Elon Musk still be one of the leaders of the Dept of Gov Efficiency on the first of march 2025?
| null | 1,731,925,219,385
| 1,740,844,740,000
| 1,740,845,079,539
|
YES
| 0.990911
| 42,373.11763
|
Politics
|
Government Structure
|
RnPSLCnU9E
|
will-gpt5-be-released-before-claude
|
Will GPT-5 be released before Claude 4?
| null | 1,735,805,293,841
| 1,747,936,400,376
| 1,747,936,400,376
|
NO
| 0.01
| 2,541.000123
|
Technology
|
Emerging Technologies
|
yRRqtAAuZg
|
will-alphabet-or-google-be-top-5-co
|
Will Alphabet (or Google) be Top 5 Company in end of 2024
| null | 1,729,850,688,838
| 1,735,756,140,000
| 1,735,791,623,811
|
YES
| 0.99
| 894.987437
|
Finance
|
Corporate Finance
|
slIrdK9clHNBPED8egtP
|
will-a-third-boeing-whistleblower-d-b98d2b4090c0
|
Will a third Boeing whistleblower die before the end of Valentine's Day 2025?
| null | 1,715,966,414,551
| 1,739,595,540,000
| 1,739,807,073,216
|
NO
| 0.01
| 9,760.197159
|
Politics
|
Public Policy & Social Issues
|
6PdugCyNn5
|
will-the-sp-500-stock-index-close-h-C8tCsQlpqR
|
Will the S&P 500 stock index close higher on Jan 10 than it closed on Jan 9?
| null | 1,736,430,456,845
| 1,737,093,540,000
| 1,737,130,564,260
|
NO
| 0.01
| 1,132.414761
|
Finance
|
Markets & Trading
|
6yncL22QOL
|
lightning-fuse-will-i-top-my-first
|
[Lightning fuse] will I top my (first place) platinum league table?
| null | 1,740,896,165,548
| 1,740,947,845,206
| 1,740,947,845,206
|
NO
| 0.014313
| 1,723.231164
|
Gaming
|
Gaming
|
gOLIRzg6l0
|
eric-adams-no-longer-identifies-as
|
Eric Adams no longer identifies as a Democrat by December 31, 2025
| null | 1,737,407,961,238
| 1,744,421,376,236
| 1,744,421,393,176
|
YES
| 0.99
| 18,408.986298
|
Politics
|
Political Parties & Ideologies
|
ib7ov5u3od
|
will-the-us-have-a-port-strike-in-j
|
Will the US have a port strike in January 2025?
| null | 1,729,643,764,821
| 1,738,432,133,030
| 1,738,432,133,030
|
NO
| 0.012025
| 9,993.580906
|
Politics
|
Domestic Policy
|
qnvfhsxujs
|
will-the-bank-of-canada-cut-interes-ec8ir98dpz
|
Will the Bank of Canada cut interest rates in Q4 2024?
| null | 1,727,801,508,215
| 1,735,718,340,000
| 1,735,721,538,718
|
YES
| 0.940279
| 400
|
Finance
|
Economic Indicators
|
eegbr9bc7i
|
will-donald-trump-express-remorse-t
|
Will Donald Trump express remorse that Bolivian General Juan José Zúñiga‘s coup attempt failed?
| null | 1,719,452,822,039
| 1,735,766,178,287
| 1,735,766,178,287
|
NO
| 0.04941
| 3,616.469038
|
Politics
|
Public Policy & Social Issues
|
8uj95y2gpd
|
did-adrian-wojnarowski-retire-becau
|
Did Adrian Wojnarowski retire because of a scandal that will shortly be revealed about him?
| null | 1,726,672,677,722
| 1,740,815,940,000
| 1,740,875,518,624
|
NO
| 0.122629
| 1,812.727191
|
Sports
|
Sports Culture & Recreation
|
l6SPnncpdI
|
will-jagmeet-singh-win-his-seat-in
|
Will Jagmeet Singh win his seat in the 2025 Canadian election?
| null | 1,745,314,053,255
| 1,745,884,740,000
| 1,745,911,119,384
|
NO
| 0.14
| 458.396415
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
uuyII25pg6
|
will-labour-rebels-kill-the-univers
|
Will Labour rebels kill the Universal Credit bill? 🧨Short Fuse🧨
| null | 1,751,376,767,763
| 1,751,392,800,000
| 1,751,396,051,248
|
NO
| 0.240745
| 197.951067
|
Politics
|
Domestic Policy
|
t5PQQLE0pS
|
federal-reserve-cuts-interest-rates
|
Federal Reserve cuts interest rates at June 2025 FOMC meeting
| null | 1,749,023,801,763
| 1,750,316,979,038
| 1,750,316,979,038
|
NO
| 0.01
| 1,978.657959
|
Finance
|
Economic Indicators
|
RyUAUtUPRc
|
will-the-2025-french-open-have-a-fi
|
Will the 2025 French Open have a first time men's major finalist?
| null | 1,748,226,946,652
| 1,749,223,695,914
| 1,749,223,695,914
|
NO
| 0.01
| 14,243.599373
|
Sports
|
Individual Sports
|
PuUO529nER
|
coin-flip-hL8ApR8Nnt
|
Coin Flip
| null | 1,736,002,761,569
| 1,736,004,342,150
| 1,736,004,342,150
|
YES
| 0.8
| 1,000
|
Sports
|
Sports Culture & Recreation
|
OZgsICOLCP
|
by-september-4will-new-york-city-an
|
By September 4, will New York City announce a systemwide public school cellphone ban?
| null | 1,737,080,948,889
| 1,743,725,405,237
| 1,743,725,405,237
|
YES
| 0.221453
| 281.153846
|
Politics
|
Public Policy & Social Issues
|
s2i8y2m2oh
|
will-neuralink-implant-its-device-i
|
Will Neuralink implant its device in five or more patients before the end of 2024?
| null | 1,720,697,592,689
| 1,735,682,340,000
| 1,735,692,702,474
|
NO
| 0.082856
| 2,839.529701
|
Technology
|
Emerging Technologies
|
px1bogbfs7
|
will-the-supreme-leader-of-iran-sey
|
Will the supreme leader of Iran (Seyyed Ali Hosseini Khamenei) be killed before the end of 2024
| null | 1,727,813,818,626
| 1,735,682,340,000
| 1,735,706,302,365
|
NO
| 0.014534
| 16,787.241578
|
Geopolitics
|
Global Conflicts
|
nc7i19el7y
|
will-nicolas-maduro-accept-asylum-i
|
Will Nicolas Maduro accept asylum in the US by the end of 2024?
| null | 1,723,403,425,319
| 1,735,707,540,000
| 1,736,778,377,272
|
NO
| 0.018773
| 18,669.210967
|
Politics
|
Domestic Policy
|
op371c8hpa
|
will-nasa-confirm-the-discovery-of-nwecx0u6y4
|
Will NASA confirm the discovery of aliens before 2025?
| null | 1,719,050,054,720
| 1,735,673,340,000
| 1,737,082,934,127
|
NO
| 0.013268
| 876
|
Technology
|
Emerging Technologies
|
T6rN8CL5Zrf7b7HvpD3M
|
will-volt-be-elected-into-the-next
|
Will Volt be elected into the next Bundestag (2025)?
| null | 1,718,114,847,917
| 1,740,382,977,223
| 1,740,382,977,223
|
NO
| 0.01
| 29,690.369572
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
6qpNsdRsqQ
|
will-feiningforgm-hit-expert-in-1-c
|
Will feining_for_gm hit Expert in 1 contest
| null | 1,747,108,780,423
| 1,747,108,813,272
| 1,747,108,813,272
|
YES
| 0.800957
| 1,006
|
Sports
|
Individual Sports
|
uLnu006AlU
|
tariff-on-chinese-goods-is-100-or-h
|
Tariff on Chinese goods is 100% or higher?
| null | 1,738,620,757,043
| 1,744,168,160,554
| 1,744,168,160,554
|
YES
| 0.974415
| 13,905.617398
|
Finance
|
Trade & Economics
|
NcNzyzgQlt
|
did-yacine-get-fired-from-x
|
Did Yacine get fired from X?
| null | 1,735,256,370,210
| 1,737,224,326,914
| 1,737,224,326,914
|
NO
| 0.086211
| 6,506.306565
|
Entertainment
|
Celebrity & Pop Culture
|
Sq9n6pPPny
|
will-i-solve-14-codeforces-problems
|
Will I solve 14+ Codeforces problems this week?
| null | 1,741,165,524,125
| 1,741,507,140,000
| 1,741,544,175,032
|
NO
| 0.689708
| 381
|
Technology
|
Computing & Software
|
rjmebgg50r
|
will-the-supreme-court-reverse-rich
|
Will the Supreme Court reverse Richard Glossip's conviction?
| null | 1,728,991,212,521
| 1,740,500,586,520
| 1,740,500,586,520
|
YES
| 0.939925
| 3,157.378525
|
Politics
|
Public Policy & Social Issues
|
DJ0rLHJOzu7kVIW7KZHe
|
will-destiny-be-featured-in-a-msnbc
|
Will Destiny be featured in a MSNBC segment before the end of 2024?
| null | 1,714,768,077,121
| 1,735,707,540,000
| 1,735,832,379,833
|
NO
| 0.11273
| 299.399469
|
Entertainment
|
Celebrity & Pop Culture
|
qhNntsL6EU
|
will-march-2025-be-the-hottest-marc
|
Will March 2025 be the hottest March ever? [NCEI]
| null | 1,734,106,231,984
| 1,744,297,200,000
| 1,744,552,562,487
|
NO
| 0.034732
| 17,640.558354
|
Finance
|
Economic Indicators
|
9k9wu6u6ga
|
will-more-than-five-people-be-succe
|
Will more than five people be successfully prosecuted for the viral Chase bank check fraud?
| null | 1,725,269,456,602
| 1,747,601,940,000
| 1,749,345,496,872
|
NO
| 0.070637
| 2,291.02707
|
Finance
|
Banking & Financial Services
|
hzRh25stS9
|
pturkey-launches-major-ground-offen
|
Turkey launches major ground offensive into Syria before March 1st 2025
| null | 1,734,941,496,840
| 1,740,780,000,000
| 1,740,787,729,277
|
NO
| 0.01
| 1,156.663082
|
Geopolitics
|
Global Conflicts
|
6znr7fh7mm
|
will-any-israeli-aircraft-be-shot-d
|
Will any Israeli aircraft be shot down over Iranian airspace by the end of 2024?
| null | 1,728,335,540,467
| 1,735,707,540,000
| 1,739,777,684,127
|
NO
| 0.034239
| 5,331.041383
|
Geopolitics
|
Global Conflicts
|
CK79IZtVswCiiWxeNFMC
|
will-the-world-move-gazan-andor-sud
|
Will the world move Gazan and/or Sudanese refugees to Bir Tawil to be under international control?
| null | 1,715,287,787,630
| 1,735,682,340,000
| 1,736,666,315,428
|
NO
| 0.032984
| 461
|
Geopolitics
|
Global Conflicts
|
mxrnknekvj
|
will-mrbeast-go-to-jail-before-the
|
Will MrBeast go to jail before the end of 2024?
| null | 1,723,122,085,442
| 1,735,685,940,000
| 1,738,879,539,186
|
NO
| 0.018516
| 632
|
Entertainment
|
Celebrity & Pop Culture
|
9A5ZspLqpL
|
palestinian-activists-shut-down-ont
|
Palestinian activists shut down Ontario Food Terminal?
| null | 1,748,278,782,574
| 1,748,732,400,000
| 1,748,960,362,722
|
NO
| 0.15622
| 176.064086
|
Geopolitics
|
Regional Affairs
|
Z000S9h8CN
|
trump-attempts-to-revoke-good-ventu
|
Trump attempts to revoke Good Ventures/Open Philanthropy's tax-exempt status by 5/31/25?
| null | 1,745,175,943,972
| 1,748,735,940,000
| 1,748,759,301,362
|
NO
| 0.01
| 8,987.112002
|
Politics
|
Public Policy & Social Issues
|
sN2UEzuLLu
|
will-the-sp-500-closer-higher-on-ja
|
Will the s&p 500 closer higher on Jan 10 than on Jan 6?
| null | 1,736,201,468,829
| 1,736,544,723,079
| 1,736,544,723,079
|
NO
| 0.010963
| 1,015
|
Finance
|
Markets & Trading
|
506tIs95Uu
|
will-mr-beast-post-a-youtube-video
|
Will Mr. Beast post a YouTube video by June 19th on his main account that will be longer then 5 minutes?
| null | 1,748,944,524,471
| 1,749,317,809,330
| 1,749,317,809,330
|
YES
| 0.788194
| 355
|
Entertainment
|
Celebrity & Pop Culture
|
dO9NA9Eq6g
|
will-elon-musk-cease-to-be-an-advis
|
Will Elon Musk cease to be an advisor to Donald Trump and face public criticism from Donald Trump before 2026?
| null | 1,737,574,234,679
| 1,749,225,578,506
| 1,749,225,578,506
|
YES
| 0.99
| 299,257.777428
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
SdPEpsLs0c
|
this-question-have-32-traders-by-ju
|
Will this question have 32+ traders by July 1?
| null | 1,748,290,276,912
| 1,751,327,940,000
| 1,751,358,897,657
|
YES
| 0.995561
| 798,158.538464
|
Sports
|
Professional Sports
|
9plzId0Rq0
|
will-bitcoin-reach-110k-in-may
|
Will Bitcoin reach $110k in May?
| null | 1,746,774,497,488
| 1,747,869,959,919
| 1,747,869,959,919
|
YES
| 0.99
| 236,634.318648
|
Finance
|
Markets & Trading
|
ChRqhEdugz
|
will-we-find-election-interference-dZnO6Eyd5u
|
Will we find election interference before 2025?
| null | 1,731,247,125,675
| 1,735,707,540,000
| 1,735,729,308,519
|
NO
| 0.072754
| 257
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
zcEN9y5POZ
|
will-o3-be-added-to-the-chatbot-are
|
Will o3 be added to the chatbot arena leaderboard (lmarena.org) within 3 weeks of its release?
| null | 1,738,968,202,764
| 1,745,454,660,620
| 1,745,454,660,620
|
YES
| 0.98977
| 16,949.211911
|
Technology
|
Internet & Digital Services
|
L8862pUqsp
|
jefferson-griffin-appointed-to-the
|
Jefferson Griffin appointed to the North Carolina Supreme Court in 2025
| null | 1,738,713,763,030
| 1,747,175,134,751
| 1,747,175,134,751
|
NO
| 0.015826
| 126,228.882032
|
Politics
|
Domestic Policy
|
v9pcp5Lucqu0GNcxTaRF
|
will-rudy-giuliani-be-alive-and-abl
|
Will Rudy Giuliani be alive and able to perform Activities of Daily Living on January 1, 2025?
| null | 1,715,786,780,615
| 1,735,891,140,000
| 1,737,669,452,807
|
YES
| 0.99
| 927.453514
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
ig4nmo0h1b
|
will-the-eu-institute-border-contro
|
Will the EU institute border controls at the border to Hungary before 2025?
| null | 1,722,718,808,865
| 1,735,685,940,000
| 1,736,676,966,423
|
NO
| 0.012655
| 940
|
Geopolitics
|
Regional Affairs
|
5uyS0h2zP8
|
will-south-korean-president-yoon-su
|
Will South Korean President Yoon Suk Yeol be in police custody before February 1, 2025?
| null | 1,735,903,586,338
| 1,736,918,139,041
| 1,736,918,139,041
|
YES
| 0.987096
| 13,372.153508
|
Politics
|
Domestic Policy
|
u6NuAOp82s
|
will-luka-make-the-lakers-better
|
Will Luka make the Lakers worse?
| null | 1,738,954,762,218
| 1,744,581,311,306
| 1,744,581,311,306
|
NO
| 0.01
| 1,816.856793
|
Sports
|
Professional Sports
|
ALCAcPLsL8
|
will-i-lift-weights-today-8NlshR6qsZ
|
Will I lift weights today?
| null | 1,738,218,322,176
| 1,738,299,540,000
| 1,738,300,819,713
|
NO
| 0.637017
| 99.967395
|
Sports
|
Sports Culture & Recreation
|
UpfNoFH6Q6sU3HAZ2SzR
|
will-scarlett-johansson-sue-openai
|
Will Scarlett Johansson sue OpenAI and/or Sam Altman personally in 2024?
| null | 1,716,253,939,279
| 1,735,711,140,000
| 1,735,742,241,678
|
NO
| 0.014017
| 79,139.726513
|
Technology
|
Tech Industry & Business
|
6j0tzy2y43
|
will-be-legal-in-the-usa-on-every-d
|
Will 𝕏 be legal in the USA on every day from now until Wednesday April 30, 2025?
| null | 1,726,629,433,704
| 1,746,082,740,000
| 1,746,105,289,950
|
YES
| 0.99
| 899.588707
|
Politics
|
Public Policy & Social Issues
|
APz0zNNudO
|
will-i-switch-to-cursor-from-phpsto
|
Will I switch to Cursor from PHPStorm by June 2025
| null | 1,745,771,893,739
| 1,748,792,880,000
| 1,748,798,541,306
|
NO
| 0.476828
| 74.663678
|
Technology
|
Computing & Software
|
c8y0UudS9N
|
will-i-play-magic-the-gathering-thi-IsLCh9ztNI
|
Will I play magic the gathering this week?
| null | 1,744,064,303,039
| 1,744,669,080,000
| 1,744,735,329,383
|
YES
| 0.363193
| 37
|
Entertainment
|
Gaming
|
nhzNu9SSz8
|
bases-total-value-locked-tvl-surpas
|
Base's Total Value Locked (TVL) surpassing Arbitrum's by June 9, 2025
| null | 1,741,720,355,728
| 1,741,771,572,607
| 1,741,771,572,607
|
YES
| 0.736334
| 160
|
Finance
|
Markets & Trading
|
z2gPPtgOyU
|
will-real-betis-qualify-for-the-nex
|
Will Real Betis qualify for the next round tomorrow?
| null | 1,741,823,956,204
| 1,741,910,340,000
| 1,741,968,456,195
|
YES
| 0.99
| 894.987437
|
Sports
|
Professional Sports
|
zECUPh8PuN
|
will-ksp2-v0230-or-higher-release-o
|
Will KSP2 v0.2.3.0 or higher release on Steam by the end of June 2025?
| null | 1,739,644,539,889
| 1,751,353,140,000
| 1,751,379,241,547
|
NO
| 0.045724
| 414
|
Gaming
|
Video Games
|
OIl99Rn0OP
|
openai-release-o3-pro-by-may-8-2025
|
OpenAI release o3 pro by May 8, 2025?
| null | 1,744,830,997,547
| 1,746,716,888,401
| 1,746,716,888,401
|
NO
| 0.013641
| 10,773.973861
|
Technology
|
Emerging Technologies
|
s6PIUzU8p2
|
will-destiny-talk-to-volodymyr-zele
|
Will Destiny talk to Volodymyr Zelenskyy before July 2025?
| null | 1,736,283,442,893
| 1,751,374,740,000
| 1,751,389,987,022
|
NO
| 0.01
| 13,448.284561
|
Politics
|
Public Policy & Social Issues
|
Og0zlPuNSI
|
bitcoin-above-84k-on-april-18
|
Bitcoin above $84K on April 18?
| null | 1,744,589,618,623
| 1,744,959,897,432
| 1,744,959,897,432
|
YES
| 0.99
| 24,863.57696
|
Finance
|
Markets & Trading
|
2qCE88Rzs5
|
will-i-lift-weights-today-uIgcdA6uph
|
Will I lift weights today?
| null | 1,739,431,064,260
| 1,739,509,140,000
| 1,739,515,026,876
|
NO
| 0.189435
| 190.14728
|
Sports
|
Sports Culture & Recreation
|
qtudbliwjj
|
did-the-idf-intentionally-kill-isra
|
Did the IDF intentionally kill Israelis on October 7th as part of the Hannibal Directive?
| null | 1,720,496,314,884
| 1,739,030,116,308
| 1,739,030,116,308
|
YES
| 0.769537
| 21,432.583988
|
Geopolitics
|
Global Conflicts
|
gplxkgf6bk
|
biden-will-be-diagnosed-with-long-c
|
Biden will be diagnosed with long COVID in 2024
| null | 1,721,261,029,756
| 1,735,707,540,000
| 1,736,040,691,775
|
NO
| 0.01
| 16,544.85894
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
yUqu6URtqu
|
will-ethereum-eth-reach-2900-in-may
|
Will Ethereum (ETH) reach $2,900 in May?
| null | 1,747,162,917,743
| 1,748,735,940,000
| 1,748,749,937,741
|
NO
| 0.01
| 35,752.704903
|
Finance
|
Markets & Trading
|
h89SpU9Rdy
|
will-o3-cause-public-protests-until
|
Will o3 cause public protests until June 2025?
| null | 1,735,093,777,195
| 1,751,320,740,000
| 1,751,560,537,593
|
NO
| 0.01
| 894.987437
|
Politics
|
Public Policy & Social Issues
|
NCl2tlgNzz
|
will-i-stay-in-masters-league-this-OdnSO0PPOP
|
Will I stay in Masters League this season?
| null | 1,744,567,299,920
| 1,746,053,940,000
| 1,746,123,273,553
|
YES
| 0.953395
| 959.855897
|
Gaming
|
Gaming
|
EzSH9698Dh
|
will-my-current-lk99-questions-make
|
Will "My current LK99 questions" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
| null | 1,734,295,684,054
| 1,738,368,000,000
| 1,738,963,711,321
|
NO
| 0.05
| 164.076369
|
Technology
|
Emerging Technologies
|
uqQd6UdC8l
|
will-dogecoin-reach-1-before-the-en
|
Will Dogecoin reach $1 before the end of the year (2024)?
| null | 1,731,651,364,250
| 1,735,682,340,000
| 1,735,915,765,654
|
NO
| 0.025961
| 11,842.18908
|
Finance
|
Markets & Trading
|
3nt4jjdcjh
|
will-zvi-mowshowitz-call-one-of-his
|
Will Zvi Mowshowitz call one of his posts "Que Sera Sora" before May 2025?
| null | 1,725,999,842,881
| 1,746,050,340,000
| 1,746,353,670,078
|
NO
| 0.010277
| 9,373.320489
|
Entertainment
|
Celebrity & Pop Culture
|
OsSyRAN20S
|
tsla-higher-than-330-on-june-16
|
TSLA higher than $330 on June 16?
| null | 1,749,589,146,574
| 1,750,118,340,000
| 1,750,146,385,087
|
YES
| 0.983819
| 1,973.395829
|
Finance
|
Markets & Trading
|
zQhU8RgRAZ
|
will-i-lift-weights-today-6CUSzpIZRz
|
Will I lift weights today?
| null | 1,740,720,026,309
| 1,740,805,140,000
| 1,740,805,239,280
|
NO
| 0.18
| 199.112509
|
Sports
|
Sports Culture & Recreation
|
up7exduyj4
|
will-credible-reporting-confirm-tha
|
Will credible reporting confirm that Hurricane Helene or Milton were caused by climate engineering?
| null | 1,728,553,107,910
| 1,739,799,772,662
| 1,739,799,772,662
|
NO
| 0.01
| 911.981288
|
Politics
|
Public Policy & Social Issues
|
9p4wtr0tyi
|
will-any-1-seed-lose-on-the-first-w-rp01yrpiwl
|
Will any #1 seed lose on the first weekend of March Madness 2025?
| null | 1,729,456,480,212
| 1,742,788,740,000
| 1,742,852,900,411
|
NO
| 0.032761
| 4,602.556675
|
Sports
|
Team Sports
|
2StpQZhu9t
|
will-the-white-smoke-come-after-5-o
|
Will the White Smoke come after 5 or more Black Smokes during the Papal Conclave?
| null | 1,746,508,361,777
| 1,746,721,420,823
| 1,746,721,420,823
|
NO
| 0.021835
| 669.503004
|
Politics
|
Government Structure
|
zZcPqEN2R0
|
will-california-approve-a-delay-to
|
Will California approve a delay to its IVF/infertility bill before July 1? (SB 729)
| null | 1,750,847,575,394
| 1,751,342,849,821
| 1,751,342,849,821
|
YES
| 0.599641
| 138.346503
|
Politics
|
Domestic Policy
|
gP6ypIII8t
|
will-bitcoin-surpass-112500-before
|
Will bitcoin surpass $112,500 before the end of 2024?
| null | 1,734,482,063,325
| 1,735,707,540,000
| 1,735,736,768,726
|
NO
| 0.01284
| 4,224.762176
|
Finance
|
Markets & Trading
|
PU6O9gAd0y
|
will-this-question-get-5-traders-to
|
Will this question get 5 traders today
| null | 1,738,386,912,094
| 1,738,399,634,142
| 1,738,399,634,142
|
YES
| 0.99
| 1,747.714171
|
Sports
|
Professional Sports
|
oaiz5l6s9t
|
will-reddit-put-a-subreddit-behind
|
Will Reddit put any subreddit behind a paywall in 2024?
| null | 1,723,055,755,741
| 1,735,718,340,000
| 1,739,214,757,884
|
NO
| 0.061142
| 5,487.782178
|
Technology
|
Internet & Digital Services
|
CC0OpqEdzl
|
first-confirmed-humantohuman-h5n1-t-zZnInOSz5g
|
First confirmed human-to-human H5N1 transmission by May 1st 2025
| null | 1,736,273,723,072
| 1,746,144,000,000
| 1,746,458,300,535
|
NO
| 0.010025
| 32,657.390334
|
Politics
|
Public Policy & Social Issues
|
awu6w312l0
|
will-jet-lag-the-game-return-to-jap
|
Will Jet Lag: The Game return to Japan in 2025?
| null | 1,724,668,061,661
| 1,735,862,100,083
| 1,735,862,100,083
|
YES
| 0.924455
| 341
|
Entertainment
|
Television
|
u7iaysvhvu
|
will-keyitemclub-have-at-least-100
|
Will keyitem.club have at least 100 registered users by end of year?
| null | 1,727,274,486,410
| 1,735,707,540,000
| 1,736,009,123,869
|
NO
| 0.149544
| 174.354039
|
Technology
|
Internet & Digital Services
|
0u9Zh6EqtO
|
will-hasan-be-banned-from-twitch-fo-RdnsC8sZP5
|
Will Hasan be banned from Twitch for at least 1 day by the end of 2025?
| null | 1,735,671,327,021
| 1,741,025,081,156
| 1,741,025,081,156
|
YES
| 0.971132
| 525
|
Entertainment
|
Gaming
|
4bpmjufb7n
|
will-a-filipino-chinese-or-us-natio-z8nzsockye
|
Will a Filipino, Chinese or US national be killed on or near Sabine Shoal before 2025?
| null | 1,724,728,300,159
| 1,735,747,140,000
| 1,735,898,943,710
|
NO
| 0.128636
| 219.862391
|
Geopolitics
|
Global Conflicts
|
hQEOERRURC
|
will-all-5-living-presidents-attend
|
Will all 5 living Presidents attend the funeral of Jimmy Carter?
| null | 1,735,543,933,569
| 1,737,621,011,051
| 1,737,621,011,051
|
YES
| 0.993723
| 3,436.097209
|
Politics
|
Public Policy & Social Issues
|
s0mc82rk41
|
will-an-elon-musk-tweet-get-a-commu
|
Will an Elon Musk tweet get a community note between September and EOY 2024?
| null | 1,725,030,017,691
| 1,735,763,815,140
| 1,735,763,815,140
|
YES
| 0.983399
| 973
|
Technology
|
Tech Industry & Business
|
LL95ERnlZn
|
will-the-us-federal-government-actu
|
Will the US federal government actually have a "Department of Government Efficiency"?
| null | 1,731,473,339,669
| 1,743,528,415,367
| 1,743,528,415,367
|
YES
| 0.948852
| 44,976.786658
|
Politics
|
Government Structure
|
QucuQN6I9Z
|
will-the-phrase-capiche-be-said-dur
|
Will the phrase "Capiche" be said during the 2025 MIT Mystery Hunt kickoff?
| null | 1,736,237,033,000
| 1,737,133,422,079
| 1,737,134,571,931
|
NO
| 0.082255
| 461
|
Entertainment
|
Gaming
|
EASQCht5Ut
|
will-there-be-an-upset-in-the-20242
|
Will there be an upset in the 2024-25 NFL divisional round?
| null | 1,736,792,319,543
| 1,737,260,744,429
| 1,737,260,744,429
|
YES
| 0.99
| 1,086.341104
|
Sports
|
Professional sports
|
IPH9PJfHO3ZbkZtZNhjG
|
will-i-get-into-mit-f46928e41491
|
Will I get into MIT?
| null | 1,715,307,989,602
| 1,749,864,409,181
| 1,749,864,409,181
|
YES
| 0.952034
| 20,936.181829
|
Politics
|
Public Policy & Social Issues
|
OCTdDzx8qeNH9vw0qpk7
|
will-shutting-down-the-lightcone-of
|
Will "Shutting Down the Lightcone Offices" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
| null | 1,716,902,170,933
| 1,738,368,000,000
| 1,739,304,617,421
|
NO
| 0.259865
| 255
|
Entertainment
|
Books & Literature
|
ESpLLLqPI8
|
motogp-2025-marquez-wins-jerez-gp-m
|
MotoGP 2025: Marquez wins Jerez GP main race on April 27?
| null | 1,745,227,356,800
| 1,745,759,040,191
| 1,745,759,040,191
|
NO
| 0.01
| 991.825467
|
Sports
|
Individual Sports
|
gnEyc9cZ2P
|
warriors-defeat-heat-on-march-25-20
|
Warriors defeat Heat on March 25, 2025
| null | 1,742,940,558,803
| 1,742,947,140,000
| 1,742,961,582,272
|
NO
| 0.62
| 89.464607
|
Sports
|
Professional Sports
|
sIUdNlgLIq
|
the-us-will-not-have-anymore-involv
|
The US will not have anymore involvement in Iran before the end of June
| null | 1,750,647,632,838
| 1,751,245,451,500
| 1,751,245,451,500
|
NO
| 0.121232
| 654.7918
|
Geopolitics
|
International Relations
|
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