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values | pred_subcategory
stringclasses 39
values |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
NlsRy20QsP
|
will-gpt45-be-released-on-thursday
|
Will GPT-4.5 be released on Thursday?
| null | 1,740,629,222,671
| 1,740,706,459,366
| 1,740,706,459,366
|
YES
| 0.990261
| 19,027.906039
|
Technology
|
Emerging Technologies
|
t26AS2UAR2
|
will-russia-agree-to-the-ceasefire
|
Will there be a ceasefire in Ukraine within the next 30 days?
| null | 1,741,784,477,358
| 1,744,408,740,000
| 1,744,412,053,876
|
NO
| 0.008277
| 1,982.9817
|
Geopolitics
|
Global Conflicts
|
NIOpyz6zCs
|
loki-stocks
|
Loki Stocks
| null | 1,737,318,557,558
| 1,740,268,633,407
| 1,740,268,660,762
|
YES
| 0.956602
| 1,986.456507
|
Finance
|
Markets & Trading
|
IQqUZhuQSc
|
short-fuse-will-the-ten-current-fav
|
[SHORT FUSE] Will the ten current favorites be tomorrow's exact Best Picture lineup? (2025 Oscars)
| null | 1,737,573,706,362
| 1,737,629,940,000
| 1,737,643,352,175
|
NO
| 0.317166
| 1,211.962778
|
Entertainment
|
Movies & Television
|
ujn1r4umfe
|
will-we-get-funding-for-our-voyage
|
Will we get funding for our voyage to the Saya de Malha by January 1 2025?
| null | 1,724,803,424,452
| 1,735,718,340,000
| 1,735,734,250,339
|
NO
| 0.34564
| 645
|
Politics
|
Public Policy & Social Issues
|
lE2c9y8q6l
|
war-in-ukraine-ends-by-may-9-2025
|
War in Ukraine ends by May 9, 2025?
| null | 1,737,993,433,138
| 1,746,849,540,000
| 1,746,869,114,492
|
NO
| 0.008013
| 3,656.275835
|
Geopolitics
|
Global Conflicts
|
tIyEL85uAI
|
sanders-and-aoc-announce-new-nation
|
Sanders and AOC announce new national day of action before June 22, 2025?
| null | 1,742,917,423,587
| 1,750,550,340,000
| 1,751,386,671,054
|
NO
| 0.27354
| 249
|
Politics
|
Public Policy & Social Issues
|
NIlZhzcnLy
|
will-iran-announceby-june-4that-it
|
Will Iran announce by June 4 that it has developed a nuclear weapons capability?
| null | 1,737,080,509,271
| 1,749,129,996,135
| 1,749,129,996,135
|
NO
| 0.01
| 1,730.518274
|
Geopolitics
|
Global Conflicts
|
nNhddsn5l8
|
will-i-promote-to-gold-after-march
|
Will I promote to Gold after March?
| null | 1,741,195,193,753
| 1,743,524,722,054
| 1,743,524,743,645
|
NO
| 0.106614
| 459.796469
|
Sports
|
Individual Sports
|
R8htnhI88C
|
is-cremieux-same-person-as-alexande
|
Is Cremieux same person as Alexander Kreul?
| null | 1,732,827,881,920
| 1,742,396,670,981
| 1,742,396,670,981
|
NO
| 0.293902
| 55
|
Entertainment
|
Celebrity & Pop Culture
|
jzshbgkltr
|
will-missouri-have-a-higher-gdp-in
|
Will Missouri have a higher GDP in Q3 than Q2?
| null | 1,728,190,756,859
| 1,735,711,140,000
| 1,736,777,041,302
|
YES
| 0.936799
| 285
|
Finance
|
Economic Indicators
|
S5QEsRcSOE
|
will-the-cdu-end-up-below-30-of-the
|
Will the CDU end up below 30% of the vote in the German Federal Elections (February 23rd)
| null | 1,739,786,136,470
| 1,740,441,540,000
| 1,740,585,555,543
|
YES
| 0.99
| 2,475.480253
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
2undQyzEqZ
|
will-i-make-a-profit-on-the-canada
|
Will I make a profit on the Canada PM election market and Tumbles loan?
| null | 1,744,262,928,386
| 1,746,762,247,361
| 1,746,762,247,361
|
YES
| 0.988973
| 11,658.119962
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
ttcdzAuyNL
|
will-the-60-mana-median-bid-market
|
will the 60 mana median bid market reach 300 traders? [PLUS BOUNTY?!?]
| null | 1,747,421,797,971
| 1,747,466,417,891
| 1,747,466,417,891
|
NO
| 0.01
| 12,619.923772
|
Finance
|
Markets & Trading
|
sdZEAI2syd
|
will-the-silver-to-gold-ratio-excee
|
Will the silver to gold ratio exceed 100:1 this year?
| null | 1,736,629,541,872
| 1,745,166,904,787
| 1,745,166,904,787
|
YES
| 0.324159
| 327.137417
|
Finance
|
Markets & Trading
|
2AsnQEps6I
|
house-brings-broad-tariff-control-b
|
House brings broad tariff control bill to floor by end of May 2025?
| null | 1,744,056,447,983
| 1,748,735,940,000
| 1,748,755,480,002
|
NO
| 0.01
| 15,209.887512
|
Politics
|
Domestic Policy
|
0ztn2R9qqn
|
will-the-kirby-franchise-be-appeari
|
Will the Kirby franchise be appearing in any form in the next Nintendo Direct presentation (April 2 2025)?
| null | 1,742,219,619,294
| 1,743,598,740,000
| 1,743,599,365,387
|
YES
| 0.35
| 72.997302
|
Entertainment
|
Gaming
|
tcpZd8RNln
|
will-anyone-die-of-h5n1-in-the-us-i
|
Will anyone die with H5 bird flu in the US in 2025?
| null | 1,735,734,028,417
| 1,736,204,515,651
| 1,736,204,515,651
|
YES
| 0.99
| 11,802.745894
|
Politics
|
Public Policy & Social Issues
|
2qnnSNLd5S
|
will-we-win-the-giant-game-of-chess
|
Will we win the giant game of chess against our neighbors in our front yard?
| null | 1,743,382,766,937
| 1,749,176,897,881
| 1,749,176,897,881
|
YES
| 0.648224
| 77
|
Sports
|
Sports Culture & Recreation
|
uR9SOCgIRd
|
will-inter-beat-napoli-this-afterno
|
Will Inter beat Napoli this afternoon?
| null | 1,740,831,118,492
| 1,740,950,455,927
| 1,740,950,455,927
|
NO
| 0.01
| 1,686.209235
|
Sports
|
Team Sports
|
gLcNcQ5E9g
|
will-hikaru-nakamura-go-over-2816-c
|
Will Hikaru Nakamura go over 2816 classical Elo in the next 30 days?
| null | 1,748,379,634,931
| 1,750,646,105,660
| 1,750,646,105,660
|
NO
| 0.01
| 945.009317
|
Sports
|
Individual Sports
|
NLElcSzs2d
|
will-chuck-grassley-become-the-inte
|
Will Chuck grassley become the interim president of the United States
| null | 1,731,456,280,191
| 1,737,439,140,000
| 1,737,873,318,222
|
NO
| 0.005796
| 2,894.574557
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
khhzuqbefx
|
will-the-game-rimworld-receive-a-ne
|
Will the game Rimworld have a new DLC announced in 2025?
| null | 1,724,611,847,883
| 1,749,505,960,872
| 1,749,505,960,872
|
YES
| 0.99
| 1,131.80291
|
Entertainment
|
Gaming
|
90Nldz6QSI
|
iran-bombs-us-military-bases-in-mid
|
Iran bombs US military bases in Middle East by end of June 2025?
| null | 1,750,683,792,634
| 1,751,327,940,000
| 1,751,487,256,203
|
NO
| 0.018848
| 2,799.815069
|
Geopolitics
|
Global Conflicts
|
5ApRLEUO2c
|
will-another-trudeau-cabinet-minist
|
Will another Trudeau cabinet minister resign in protest before end of January?
| null | 1,734,508,259,981
| 1,736,254,327,800
| 1,736,254,327,800
|
NO
| 0.035605
| 4,383.869186
|
Politics
|
Public Policy & Social Issues
|
gglbxcmok5
|
will-president-biden-issues-executi
|
Will "President Biden Issues Executive Order on Saf..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
| null | 1,721,586,181,636
| 1,738,368,000,000
| 1,738,965,385,956
|
NO
| 0.12729
| 100
|
Politics
|
Domestic Policy
|
slQts5A62O
|
chiefs-and-lions-to-win-today
|
Chiefs and Lions to win today?
| null | 1,737,229,042,444
| 1,737,260,706,051
| 1,737,260,706,051
|
NO
| 0.01
| 1,757.893765
|
Sports
|
Professional Sports
|
Qzh5NOC8Nq
|
will-pope-francis-pass-away-before
|
Will Pope Francis pass away before the end of March 2025?
| null | 1,740,309,087,296
| 1,743,466,544,149
| 1,743,466,544,149
|
NO
| 0.01
| 10,369.588731
|
Politics
|
Public Policy & Social Issues
|
dSAlhl8dSC
|
sp-500-closes-higher-on-friday-janu-cOP5APhC0t
|
S&P 500 Closes Higher On Friday January 17th 2025 Than It Closed On Friday January 10th 2025? (SP500F-#3)
| null | 1,736,543,141,198
| 1,737,147,600,000
| 1,737,155,234,599
|
YES
| 0.955833
| 3,652
|
Finance
|
Markets & Trading
|
uhnUSIp0OZ
|
will-iran-close-the-strait-of-hormu-9Cssp5RcEL
|
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 30th June?
| null | 1,750,084,304,489
| 1,750,084,998,428
| 1,750,084,998,428
|
NO
| 0.172901
| 125.284362
|
Geopolitics
|
Global Conflicts
|
0EcRZgAtuy
|
is-doge-implementing-land-value-tax
|
Is DOGE implementing Land Value Tax (LVT) before July 2025?
| null | 1,738,680,456,807
| 1,751,342,340,000
| 1,751,439,411,252
|
NO
| 0.01
| 26,474.800749
|
Finance
|
Markets & Trading
|
qc2va35qwq
|
will-the-us-population-have-grown-m
|
Will the U.S. Population Have Grown More in 2024 Than in 2023?
| null | 1,724,457,177,411
| 1,736,104,665,952
| 1,736,104,665,952
|
YES
| 0.99
| 1,424.283437
|
Politics
|
Public Policy & Social Issues
|
2Od6EdECNg
|
will-ohio-state-beat-texas-in-the-c
|
Will Ohio state beat Texas in the CFB playoffs ?
| null | 1,736,496,748,505
| 1,736,612,077,150
| 1,736,612,077,150
|
YES
| 0.989703
| 16,352.223377
|
Sports
|
Team Sports
|
PnSdt2hOUE
|
i-will-resolve-this-market-no-at-th-AIE205OILS
|
I will resolve this market NO at the end of May unless I am persuaded to resolve it YES.
| null | 1,746,229,178,738
| 1,746,581,551,196
| 1,746,581,551,196
|
YES
| 0.208265
| 4,998.089278
|
Finance
|
Markets & Trading
|
qRAuOIgCsd
|
will-the-trump-administration-accid
|
Will the Trump administration "accidentally" remove any regulation before the end of June?
| null | 1,740,070,569,032
| 1,751,342,340,000
| 1,751,505,475,562
|
NO
| 0.09165
| 335.885176
|
Politics
|
Domestic Policy
|
2UzCdhgQ6y
|
will-korean-president-yoon-suk-yeol
|
Will Korean president Yoon Suk Yeol be impeached [⚠ and gone] before January 3rd 2025?
| null | 1,733,244,702,919
| 1,735,883,940,000
| 1,735,933,729,917
|
NO
| 0.002421
| 286,960.950455
|
Politics
|
Domestic Policy
|
dj01wpyf2t
|
will-the-trapped-nasa-iss-barry-wil
|
Will the trapped NASA ISS (Barry Wilmore and Sunita Williams) astronauts be brought back in a SpaceX shuttle?
| null | 1,722,943,609,575
| 1,742,877,888,138
| 1,742,877,888,138
|
YES
| 0.99
| 11,038.146469
|
Technology
|
Mobile & Consumer Electronics
|
Z2AdZEulU2
|
donald-tusks-government-receives-a
|
Donald Tusk's government receives a vote of confidence on June 11, 2025
| null | 1,749,416,907,659
| 1,749,657,070,327
| 1,749,657,070,327
|
YES
| 0.99
| 956.952736
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
5U2uzIUgzy
|
will-i-play-magic-the-gathering-thi-lQllpRdg8I
|
Will I play magic the gathering this week?
| null | 1,741,023,500,203
| 1,742,194,740,000
| 1,742,223,453,612
|
NO
| 0.503569
| 52
|
Entertainment
|
Gaming
|
ZQSp5slCpg
|
will-vardas-winnebago-2-mission-lau
|
Will Varda’s Winnebago 2 mission launch in January 2025?
| null | 1,736,189,249,025
| 1,736,883,105,388
| 1,736,883,105,388
|
YES
| 0.942215
| 775
|
Technology
|
Emerging Technologies
|
nOq6RPZ8Qp
|
will-biden-have-granted-more-pardon
|
Will Biden have granted more pardon petitions than Trump (2017-2021)?
| null | 1,733,305,649,982
| 1,737,500,340,000
| 1,738,419,645,830
|
NO
| 0.104947
| 23,784.827826
|
Politics
|
Domestic Policy
|
90usUtOcZI
|
will-manifold-be-accessible-again-b
|
Will Manifold be accessible again by 11:30 PM PT tonight?
| null | 1,739,221,435,176
| 1,739,259,066,988
| 1,739,259,066,988
|
YES
| 0.99
| 1,028.672047
|
Technology
|
Internet & Digital Services
|
NP6l0AQRsQ
|
will-i-find-an-active-prediction-ma
|
Will I find an active prediction market trader from bavaria, germany, willing to talk to me for a story?
| null | 1,750,850,260,549
| 1,751,014,054,784
| 1,751,014,054,784
|
YES
| 0.989676
| 17,975.354739
|
Finance
|
Markets & Trading
|
EnQ8QnuUCt
|
will-this-market-be-profitable-in-a
|
Will this market be profitable in a week?
| null | 1,743,717,176,435
| 1,744,322,340,000
| 1,744,326,114,117
|
NO
| 0.131002
| 584.703506
|
Finance
|
Markets & Trading
|
hgAqUEUINy
|
daily-coinflip-yZ6c59sctR
|
Daily coinflip
| null | 1,746,942,523,974
| 1,747,108,740,000
| 1,747,113,092,003
|
YES
| 0.499903
| 8,371.685881
|
Sports
|
Sports Culture & Recreation
|
Pulc8uNPhc
|
will-trump-announce-a-new-tariff-pa
|
Will Trump announce a new tariff pause by April 9th?
| null | 1,743,988,464,196
| 1,744,220,687,283
| 1,744,220,687,283
|
YES
| 0.989227
| 8,407.811428
|
Politics
|
Domestic Policy
|
Q0NgAsOQzy
|
will-supreme-court-delay-the-tiktok
|
Will Supreme Court delay the Tiktok ban?
| null | 1,736,757,874,145
| 1,737,133,544,834
| 1,737,133,544,834
|
NO
| 0.01
| 1,335.53115
|
Politics
|
Domestic Policy
|
yIIO2uUR2l
|
will-my-newark-flights-be-delayedca
|
Will my Newark flights be delayed/cancelled?
| null | 1,746,819,441,037
| 1,747,683,180,000
| 1,747,709,072,437
|
NO
| 0.230031
| 473.378145
|
Relevant
|
Relevant
|
ZplAnzRn8t
|
gorilla-beat-100-men
|
Gorilla beat 100 men?
| null | 1,746,141,861,426
| 1,746,746,340,000
| 1,746,800,891,219
|
NO
| 0.063429
| 4,333.319639
|
SPORTS
|
INDIVIDUAL SPORTS
|
h53g9bd6hn
|
will-jumaane-williams-be-the-mayor
|
Will Jumaane Williams be the mayor or acting mayor of New York by mid 2025?
| null | 1,727,376,528,949
| 1,751,353,140,000
| 1,751,358,092,366
|
NO
| 0.01
| 14,779.673485
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
sOOlp6Ot2u
|
tesla-stock-below-200-eom
|
Tesla stock below $200 EOM?
| null | 1,745,260,170,478
| 1,746,124,791,850
| 1,746,124,791,850
|
NO
| 0.01
| 1,816.294088
|
Finance
|
Markets & Trading
|
C2g5Qlpynz
|
will-trump-run-another-rally-before
|
Will Trump run another rally before 2029?
| null | 1,730,880,000,420
| 1,746,036,605,682
| 1,746,036,605,682
|
YES
| 0.969176
| 8,192.257666
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
qAPqLzR6gh
|
will-the-clements-invitational-be-m
|
Will the Clements Invitational be more than an hour delayed?
| null | 1,744,912,365,449
| 1,745,218,320,000
| 1,746,165,637,062
|
YES
| 0.989672
| 9,737.892789
|
Sports
|
Individual Sports
|
nPSLlnLnpy
|
will-donald-trump-die-in-2024
|
Will Donald Trump Die in 2024?
| null | 1,734,968,684,071
| 1,735,711,140,000
| 1,735,746,916,279
|
NO
| 0.010072
| 1,481.604621
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
lqZZNc2UA9
|
will-metrs-50taskcompletion-time-ho
|
Will METR's "50%-task-completion time horizon" SotA double in under 7 months?
| null | 1,743,500,835,704
| 1,744,831,537,024
| 1,744,831,537,024
|
YES
| 0.988991
| 91,770.26347
|
Technology
|
Emerging Technologies
|
evwmukfzrc
|
a-reputable-news-outlet-reports-on
|
A reputable news outlet reports on a Twitter Julian Assange disinformation campaign by EOY 2024.
| null | 1,719,321,420,070
| 1,735,685,940,000
| 1,735,735,340,000
|
NO
| 0.374949
| 30
|
Politics
|
Public Policy & Social Issues
|
rkl3h8GuXJwoFlfoA5IH
|
will-the-kansas-city-chiefs-3peat-a
|
Will the Kansas City Chiefs 3-peat as NFL Champions?
| null | 1,715,551,705,086
| 1,739,158,246,907
| 1,739,158,246,907
|
NO
| 0.01
| 129,987.211435
|
Sports
|
Professional Sports
|
GEWvUnMJwVaTZCJBQvFW
|
will-the-cftc-finalize-a-rule-banni
|
Will the CFTC finalize a rule that bans US election betting before Jan 20, 2025?
| null | 1,715,363,975,007
| 1,737,435,540,000
| 1,738,344,823,704
|
NO
| 0.01
| 12,726.873135
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
O5png5zgzs
|
will-gpt45-be-a-reasoning-model
|
Will gpt4.5 be a reasoning model?
| null | 1,740,590,179,827
| 1,740,682,139,273
| 1,740,682,139,273
|
NO
| 0.117888
| 300
|
Technology
|
Emerging Technologies
|
UC2A66Rd2S
|
ras2025-will-trump-reverse-bidens-o
|
RAS2025: Will Trump reverse Bidens offshore drilling ban on his first day?
| null | 1,736,519,937,935
| 1,737,327,599,000
| 1,737,467,785,912
|
YES
| 0.320894
| 12,520.960879
|
Politics
|
Domestic Policy
|
N9t6htRp6p
|
new-pope-announced-before-may-18
|
New Pope announced before May 18?
| null | 1,745,313,239,375
| 1,746,730,749,982
| 1,746,730,749,982
|
YES
| 0.99
| 4,339.331973
|
Politics
|
Government Structure
|
ES5UlpPQCL
|
will-a-uefa-club-lose-to-a-nonuefa
|
Will a UEFA club lose to a non-UEFA club in the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup?
| null | 1,750,050,671,184
| 1,750,388,530,574
| 1,750,388,530,574
|
YES
| 0.99
| 894.987437
|
Sports
|
International Competitions
|
EzZStygL2u
|
largescale-cyber-attack-on-iran-or
|
Large-scale cyber attack on Iran or Israel before Aug 2025?
| null | 1,749,798,969,196
| 1,750,356,988,258
| 1,750,356,988,258
|
YES
| 0.77829
| 1,605.230724
|
Geopolitics
|
Global Conflicts
|
8easo5yaso
|
will-i-be-able-to-create-a-sweepcas
|
Will I be able to create a Sweepcash market by 2026?
| null | 1,726,672,539,596
| 1,741,019,927,497
| 1,741,059,954,775
|
YES
| 0.073539
| 19,173.054629
|
Technology
|
Emerging Technologies
|
NZz8ttcUUt
|
will-the-spx-sp-500-reach-6000-by-e-Cl9yOg28NC
|
will the SPX / S&P 500 reach 6000 by end of June?
| null | 1,748,673,583,368
| 1,749,222,123,062
| 1,749,222,123,062
|
YES
| 0.99
| 2,385.612629
|
Finance
|
Markets & Trading
|
pn6fdmnioj
|
will-i-finish-reading-the-5th-6th-a
|
Will I finish reading the 5th, 6th and 7th Harry Potter books before the end of 2024?
| null | 1,728,740,171,675
| 1,735,707,540,000
| 1,735,739,517,873
|
YES
| 0.475885
| 132
|
Entertainment
|
Books & Literature
|
t2LRSSIg90
|
will-the-last-minute-breakdown-of-t
|
Will the "last minute" breakdown of the Israel-Hamas ceasefire last until January 31, 2025?
| null | 1,737,019,433,486
| 1,737,291,348,499
| 1,737,291,348,499
|
NO
| 0.038601
| 8,924.150281
|
Geopolitics
|
Global Conflicts
|
si2lojcdu8
|
will-anies-baswedan-form-a-new-poli
|
Will Anies Baswedan Form a New Political Party Before 2025?
| null | 1,725,551,967,901
| 1,735,664,340,000
| 1,741,652,361,101
|
NO
| 0.32
| 191.230466
|
Politics
|
Political Parties & Ideologies
|
9Q9Es6uI5c
|
will-i-get-all-balatro-gold-sticker-qh9UNzuALl
|
Will I get all Balatro gold stickers before the end of March?
| null | 1,742,109,063,599
| 1,742,754,000,831
| 1,742,754,000,831
|
YES
| 0.885522
| 311.294362
|
Entertainment
|
Gaming
|
28hhPQ9ZIE
|
will-the-pittsburgh-steelers-hammer
|
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers hammer the Baltimore Ravens?
| null | 1,736,127,935,836
| 1,736,654,476,282
| 1,736,654,476,282
|
NO
| 0.004062
| 19,740.683588
|
Sports
|
Professional Sports
|
0jw26dwpsk
|
will-any-usa-state-ban-self-driving
|
Will any state in the USA ban self driving cars by the end of 2024?
| null | 1,719,031,948,145
| 1,735,707,540,000
| 1,735,789,313,514
|
NO
| 0.018342
| 3,355
|
Politics
|
Domestic Policy
|
RhEthpsqLN
|
will-i-be-impaneled-as-a-jury-membe
|
Will I be impaneled as a jury member?
| null | 1,735,810,149,339
| 1,735,864,200,581
| 1,735,864,200,581
|
NO
| 0.2
| 100
|
Politics
|
Government Structure
|
n1leuxaauz
|
will-joe-biden-pardon-donald-trump
|
Will Joe Biden pardon Donald Trump before leaving office?
| null | 1,725,010,688,492
| 1,737,397,264,652
| 1,737,397,264,652
|
NO
| 0.01
| 232,408.498054
|
Politics
|
Domestic Policy
|
gc2uq5AypO
|
will-donald-trump-publicly-express
|
Will Donald Trump publicly express interest in serving a third term as president in his first quarter?
| null | 1,737,774,851,339
| 1,743,357,801,976
| 1,743,357,801,976
|
YES
| 0.977368
| 861
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
nthECUIp8c
|
will-george-get-fired-from-tesco
|
Will George get fired from Tesco? (Read description)
| null | 1,750,178,110,669
| 1,750,523,400,000
| 1,750,687,978,113
|
NO
| 0.382381
| 151
|
Finance
|
Corporate Finance
|
gdRPy0ZEUR
|
major-cyberattack-disrupts-us-criti
|
Major cyberattack disrupts U.S. critical infrastructure by April 30, 2025
| null | 1,737,445,995,808
| 1,745,971,200,000
| 1,746,393,119,197
|
NO
| 0.01
| 914.849822
|
Technology
|
Internet & Digital Services
|
gdc5RQCUnE
|
will-congress-override-a-trump-veto
|
Will Congress over-ride a Trump veto during the President's first 100 days?
| null | 1,731,363,307,539
| 1,746,161,940,000
| 1,746,488,761,205
|
NO
| 0.01
| 1,401.231164
|
Politics
|
Domestic Policy
|
hd2tq26A59
|
will-the-sp-500-stock-index-close-h-yn58LyltzI
|
Will the S&P 500 stock index close higher on Feb 13 than it closed on Feb 12?
| null | 1,739,452,720,760
| 1,739,480,483,988
| 1,739,480,483,988
|
YES
| 0.96618
| 4,595.633276
|
Finance
|
Markets & Trading
|
Q0Sts5O0qC
|
this-market-resolves-yes-at-market
|
This market resolves YES at market close.
| null | 1,738,269,341,735
| 1,738,389,540,000
| 1,738,389,545,074
|
YES
| 0.99
| 2,629.734429
|
Finance
|
Markets & Trading
|
wu8b3splyw
|
will-sheng-thao-be-the-mayor-of-oak
|
Will Sheng Thao be the Mayor of Oakland on January 31, 2025?
| null | 1,718,906,535,569
| 1,738,396,740,000
| 1,738,829,871,220
|
NO
| 0.01
| 1,434.92884
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
zggEc6Pgu9
|
daily-coinflip-qgOucpcdSs
|
Daily coinflip
| null | 1,738,739,938,268
| 1,738,904,340,000
| 1,738,908,838,967
|
YES
| 0.5
| 15,566.428234
|
Sports
|
Sports Culture & Recreation
|
q6xg106zka
|
will-cmc-play-in-10-or-more-games-i
|
Will CMC play in 10 or more games in the 2024-2025 season including playoffs?
| null | 1,726,290,362,606
| 1,736,697,778,362
| 1,736,697,778,362
|
NO
| 0.01258
| 7,860
|
Sports
|
Professional sports
|
lSgus6ONEI
|
will-o1-score-60-on-the-rebus-bench
|
Will o1 score ≥60% on the REBUS benchmark?
| null | 1,734,931,506,612
| 1,740,725,940,000
| 1,741,729,068,614
|
YES
| 0.885749
| 1,905
|
Technology
|
Emerging Technologies
|
echgx62svs
|
will-the-eighth-mission-impossible
|
Will the eighth Mission: Impossible film out gross Dead Reckoning Part One worldwide by the end of its theatrical run?
| null | 1,726,856,843,003
| 1,752,027,495,337
| 1,752,027,495,337
|
YES
| 0.837043
| 1,651.088408
|
Entertainment
|
Movies & Television
|
At5yIcQlC6
|
will-atletico-madrid-qualify-for-th
|
Will Atletico Madrid qualify for the next round of the Champions League?
| null | 1,741,653,914,417
| 1,741,823,915,567
| 1,741,823,915,567
|
NO
| 0.01
| 969.688292
|
Sports
|
Professional Sports
|
uRpgARCPqq
|
sp-500-above-5500-at-april-close
|
S&P 500 above 5500 at April close?
| null | 1,744,314,846,046
| 1,746,058,407,188
| 1,746,058,407,188
|
YES
| 0.99
| 1,813.858059
|
Finance
|
Markets & Trading
|
8n8prosolx
|
will-apple-release-a-homepod-powere
|
Will Apple release a HomePod powered with Apple Intelligence before the end of 2024?
| null | 1,718,622,384,432
| 1,735,649,940,000
| 1,735,999,412,956
|
NO
| 0.031586
| 60,654.607318
|
Technology
|
Mobile & Consumer Electronics
|
E6Nn55scNc
|
will-by-net-worth-be-above-m10000-i
|
Will my net worth be above Ṁ10,000 in a week?
| null | 1,742,086,796,706
| 1,742,691,600,000
| 1,742,691,617,613
|
NO
| 0.063717
| 4,724.851714
|
Finance
|
Personal Finance
|
OyAnlnnq0t
|
weekly-dice-roll
|
Weekly dice roll
| null | 1,747,889,416,204
| 1,748,501,940,000
| 1,748,502,465,074
|
NO
| 0.16
| 330.972901
|
Sports
|
Sports Culture & Recreation
|
GfK2KCXVZvnZgnnF2ZeG
|
will-snapchat-sign-a-partnership-wi
|
Will Snapchat sign a partnership with OpenAI before the end of 2024?
| null | 1,717,192,336,706
| 1,735,707,540,000
| 1,735,963,126,602
|
NO
| 0.095022
| 2,719.135988
|
Technology
|
Tech Industry & Business
|
qAhZAUn8Ah
|
will-trump-delay-the-tiktok-deadlin
|
Will Bytedance's deadline to divest from Tiktok be delayed past January 19th?
| null | 1,731,439,028,587
| 1,737,272,443,563
| 1,737,272,443,563
|
NO
| 0.011523
| 1,375,425.133731
|
Politics
|
Public Policy & Social Issues
|
USZ90gz8RC
|
bitcoin-up-or-down-on-march-14
|
Bitcoin Up or Down on March 14?
| null | 1,741,952,564,835
| 1,743,232,445,078
| 1,743,232,445,078
|
YES
| 0.99
| 1,018.369902
|
Finance
|
Markets & Trading
|
Dxg3vWvZuv3LqrRl2Lhg
|
will-the-mana-supply-grow-to-1b-man
|
Will the mana supply grow to 1B mana before 2025?
| null | 1,716,306,415,767
| 1,735,599,540,000
| 1,735,824,514,962
|
NO
| 0.012543
| 7,947.30301
|
Finance
|
Markets & Trading
|
PLQl5AZAEn
|
will-the-next-pope-take-the-name-fr
|
Will the next Pope take the name "Francis?"
| null | 1,745,264,353,036
| 1,746,724,843,346
| 1,746,724,843,346
|
NO
| 0.01
| 15,828.935989
|
Politics
|
Government Structure
|
l6E8cdOChA
|
daily-coinflip-8gEhcRONUy
|
Daily coinflip
| null | 1,744,256,997,004
| 1,744,343,940,000
| 1,744,384,945,756
|
NO
| 0.5
| 2,184.979796
|
Sports
|
Sports Culture & Recreation
|
pqux9yxtkp
|
will-taylor-swift-get-engaged-in-de
|
Will Taylor Swift get engaged in December 2024?
| null | 1,724,472,892,957
| 1,735,690,749,157
| 1,735,690,749,157
|
NO
| 0.01
| 897.661345
|
Entertainment
|
Celebrity & Pop Culture
|
qtPq90sI6u
|
biden-does-not-pardon-any-of-these
|
Biden does NOT pardon any of these "surprise" pardons?
| null | 1,735,163,815,316
| 1,737,396,414,956
| 1,737,396,414,956
|
NO
| 0.002483
| 2,817.011875
|
Politics
|
Domestic Policy
|
89ZqC0OdU6
|
short-fuse-eliezer-yudkowsky-expres
|
[Short Fuse] Eliezer Yudkowsky expresses optimism towards Anthropic's recent interpretability research before April?
| null | 1,743,099,560,063
| 1,743,724,740,000
| 1,743,726,444,130
|
NO
| 0.014446
| 746.037753
|
Technology
|
Emerging Technologies
|
Epl6Nh2q6h
|
someone-makes-lessonline-2025-prop
|
Someone makes “LessOnline 2025 Prop Bets”?
| null | 1,747,825,419,726
| 1,748,287,324,531
| 1,748,287,324,531
|
YES
| 0.984907
| 1,140.914199
|
Sports
|
Sports Culture & Recreation
|
PCzsSyd9hE
|
will-tumbles-be-late-to-pay-back-a-d5zSuOclng
|
Will Tumbles be late to pay back a loan today?
| null | 1,749,398,792,850
| 1,749,452,400,000
| 1,749,452,500,079
|
YES
| 0.95204
| 2,091.027769
|
Finance
|
Personal Finance
|
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