Newsgroup: it.economia.borsa
Titolo: Consumer Confidence

Il dato sara diffuso alle 16.00 ora Italiana, il consenso sul valore
previsto e 85

Conference Bd Jun Consumer Confidence 83.5 Vs May 83.6

NEW YORK, June 24 /PRNewswire/ -- The Conference Board's Consumer Confidence
Index, which had improved moderately in May, was flat in June. The Index now
stands at 83.5 (1985=100), compared to 83.6 in May. The Expectations Index,
however, rose to 95.9 from 94.5. Conversely, the Present Situation Index
fell to
64.9 from 67.3.
The Consumer Confidence Survey is based on a representative sample of 5,000
U.S.
households. The monthly survey is conducted for The Conference Board by NFO
WorldGroup, a member of The Interpublic Group of Companies (NYSE: IPG). The
cutoff date for June's preliminary results was June 17th.
"While consumers' assessment of current conditions has lost ground since
April,
expectations for the next six months are up," says Lynn Franco, Director of
The
Conference Board's Consumer Research Center. "In fact, consumers have grown
increasingly optimistic over the last three months. The recent turnaround in
the
stock market and an easing in unemployment claims should keep consumer
expectations at current levels and may signal more favorable economic times
ahead."
Consumers' expectations for the next six months show continued improvement.
Those anticipating an improvement in business conditions rose to 23.9
percent
from 22.8 percent. Consumers anticipating conditions to worsen fell to 9.3
percent from 9.6 percent.
The employment outlook is also more favorable. Those anticipating more jobs
to
become available in the next six months increased to 19.0 percent from 17.9
percent, while those expecting fewer jobs eased to 17.3 percent from 17.8
percent. The proportion of consumers anticipating an increase in their
incomes
edged down to 16.9 percent from 17.1 percent.
Consumers' assessment of current business conditions is mixed. Those rating
present business conditions as "bad" fell to 27.7 percent from 28.4 percent,
while those rating conditions as "good" declined to 14.9 percent from 16.1
percent. Labor market conditions are also mixed. Consumers reporting jobs
are
hard to get eased to 32.0 percent from 32.9 percent, while those claiming
jobs
are plentiful fell to 11.4 percent from 12.3 percent.
                 Source: June 2003 Consumer Confidence Index
                             The Conference Board

 previsto e 85
Il consenso mi risultava essere 82 ...
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> Il consenso mi risultava essere 82 ...
Guarda, alle 15.55 una agenzia di "TheFlyOnTheWall" dava 85. Poi ho
controlloato sul calendario di Barron's e anche li 85.
E mi pare che la discesa del Dow, dal massimo intraday sia significativa.

Alberto Torchio ha scritto:
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Ho il dato di bloomberg terminal e da 82, mentre da un research della mia
societa' riusulta ( sempre il consensus) indicato a 82.5... strano davvero
che non ci sia un consesus unitario....
Cmq qui sotto l'estrapolazione da bloomberg
Conference Board's consumer confidence index fell to 83.5 in June from
83.6 in May. The reading was forecast to fall to 82, the median of 62
estimates in a Bloomberg News survey etc...
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