Newsgroup: it.media.video.produzione
Titolo: (INGLESE) Morte del DVD ?

Virtual Delivery Seen as Death to Discs
Tue Sep 2,10:05 PM ET
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By Jesse Hiestand
LOS ANGELES (Hollywood Reporter) - Hollywood will win the war against
illegal downloading but the battlefield will be littered with
casualties, including the DVD and CD formats as physical means of
distributing video and audio, according to a Forrester Research study
released Tuesday.
The study predicts that in five years, CDs and DVDs will start to go
the way of the vinyl LP as 33% of music sales and 19% of home video
revenue shifts to streaming and downloading.
Part of that stems from the continued proliferation of illegal file
trading, which has caused an estimated $700 million of lost CD sales
since 1999. But it will be due more so to efforts by the studios,
cable companies and telcos to finally deliver legitimate alternatives
like video-on-demand, Forrester researcher Josh Bernoff said.
"The idea that anyone who has video-on-demand access to any movie they
are interested in would get up and go to Blockbuster just doesn't make
any sense," Bernoff said. "(The decline) begins with rentals, but
eventually I think sales of these pieces of plastic are going to start
going away because people will have access to whatever they want right
there at their television set."
While consumers with VOD capabilities should grow within five years
from 10 million to 35 million, or about a third of all U.S. television
households, the association that represents disc makers does not
believe that output will slow.
In fact, the Princeton, N.J.-based International Recording Media Assn.
estimates that the number of DVDs replicated each year in North
America will increase from a current 1.4 billion to 2.6 billion by
2008.
CD replications, though, are forecast by IRMA to fall by 15%-18% in
the next five years, about half the rate of decline estimated by
Forrester.
"The consensus in the manufacturing business is that there will be a
decline, but we don't see as drastic a decline," IRMA president
Charles Van Horn said. "We see growth (in video and DVD), and I don't
think it will be because there are more pipelines to feed. It will be
consumers buying discs."
Analysts also caution that the shift from hard copy to virtual
distribution could be more gradual.
"People like walking into the store and seeing the product. It's part
of the entertainment," Barrington Research Associates analyst James
Goss said. "The studios would be just as happy to sell something in a
streamed form or a hard disc form. But once you download it to your
computer, you're probably going to burn it onto a CD or DVD, so you'd
end up with the same optical storage issues."
The Forrester report lists a number of winners and losers from the
expected changes.
Among the beneficiaries are Internet portals (news - web sites) that
enable on-demand media services, broadband suppliers such as cable and
telcos and the creative community, which would profit from the removal
of manufacturing and distribution costs and constraints. AOL Time
Warner's decision to sell off its disc manufacturing plants was said
to be proof of this trend.
Media conglomerates could be among the losers if they do not have
control of emerging means of distribution like VOD, Forrester said.
Such retailers as Tower Records and Blockbuster will certainly feel
the pain as sales and rentals shrink, though they may be able to
sustain business by associating themselves with newer on-demand
services. Major retailers including Wal-Mart and Best Buy are expected
to survive by shifting CD and DVD floor space to sales of media
devices.
The shift could also present several opportunities for companies if
they move quickly.
Television companies have about three more years to release shows on
DVD. By 2006, it is estimated that negotiations will start to focus on
making content available on cable and Internet "basic VOD" tiers.
Movies studios are also urged to press the development of
Internet-based alternatives to cable VOD for movies-on-demand.
"On-demand media services have the potential to turn pirate losses
into gains even as they break the disc-based shackles that now hold
back entertainment," the report concludes.

 ha scritto nel messaggio
news:2VY5b.83685$sj6.1...@tornado.fastwebnet.it...


Ciao, ĆAlexragna!
Il giorno 05/09/2003 alle ore 15:35 hai scritto:
 Ć> La consegna virtuale vista come morte ai dischi Tue settembre 2,10:05 PM
[...]
Per favore, tutto ma non la traduzione automatica, peggio che leggere un
testo in giapponese.
Bye

"Uno Sconosciuto" <spa...@yourself.invalid> wrote in message
news:_h06b.293946$lK4.9...@twister1.libero.it...

mi sorge un dubbio, chissa cosa traducevano in "alieno" i traduttori
automatici nei film di fantascienza... ecco il perchč di tutte quelle
invasioni.
--
saluti M
http://digilander.libero.it/merifon

invasioni.
BELLISSIMAAAA!!!!! COMPLIMENTI!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
:-))

BELLISSIMAAAA!!!!! COMPLIMENTI!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Ricordate Mars Attack?;)
-- 
"Vi e' felicita' per chi accetta il proprio destino,
vi e' gloria per chi combatte il proprio destino."