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license: mit

Dataset of questions scraped from Metaculus and Manifold Markets.

From 2024/3/01 - 2025/3/10

closed_date is always the scheduled close date, even if the real question/market closed early. This means that both open_date and close_date are safe to expose to the model.

Filtering was done to remove Manifold markets under the 75th percentile volume or # of unique traders, as well as meta or joke markets.