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Morgan Stanley says overseas exposure was a key driver of valuations in the Chinese consumer sector in 2023, and that this should continue next year amid the uncertain macro outlook.
Morgan Stanley dice que la exposición internacional fue un factor clave de las valoraciones en el sector del consumidor chino en 2023, y que esto debería continuar el próximo año a pesar de laoutlook macro incerta.
neutral
You are a financial sentiment analysis expert. Your task is to analyze the sentiment expressed in the given financial text.Only reply with positive, neutral, or negative.
sentiment_analysis
The brokerage highlights clothing manufacturer Shenzhou International Group Holdings Ltd. and toymaker Pop Mart International Group Ltd. as stocks that should benefit.
Los corredores destacan a la empresa de ropa Shenzhou International Group Holdings Ltd. y a la empresa de juguetes Pop Mart International Group Ltd. como acciones que deberían beneficiarse.
negative
You are a financial sentiment analysis expert. Your task is to analyze the sentiment expressed in the given financial text.Only reply with positive, neutral, or negative.
sentiment_analysis
Sheins IPO Plan to Fuel Scrutiny Over Cotton, China Roots Societe Generale acknowledges there are risks from geopolitical trade barriers, such as those faced by Chinese EV makers in Europe, and adds that the weak yen might boost the attractiveness of some Japanese machinery versus China products.
El plan de IPO de Sheins para alimentar la crítica sobre el algodón, las raíces de China y las raíces de Societe Generale reconoce que hay riesgos de barreras geopolíticas comerciales, como las enfrentadas por los fabricantes de coches chinos en Europa, y añade que el débil yen podría impulsar la atractivo de algunos maquinaria japonesa frente a productos chinos.
negative
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sentiment_analysis
Still the broker notes Chinese stocks with large overseas sales exposure, such as smartphone maker Xiaomi Corp., have been outperforming.
Todavía el corredor nota los accionistas chinos con gran exposición de ventas en el extranjero, como la empresa de móviles Xiaomi Corp., han estado superando.
negative
You are a financial sentiment analysis expert. Your task is to analyze the sentiment expressed in the given financial text.Only reply with positive, neutral, or negative.
sentiment_analysis
Goldman Sachs Group Inc. expects going global will present the next key growth drivers for China internet companies, given the increasingly mature domestic e-commerce and games markets at high online penetrations, analyst Ronald Keung wrote in a recent note.
El Grupo Goldman Sachs espera que ir a la globalización presente los próximos principales impulsores de crecimiento para las empresas de internet chinas, dada la cada vez más maduraizada industria del comercio electrónico doméstico y los mercados de juegos en altas penetraciones en línea, el analista Ronald Keung escribió en una nota reciente.
negative
You are a financial sentiment analysis expert. Your task is to analyze the sentiment expressed in the given financial text.Only reply with positive, neutral, or negative.
sentiment_analysis
A U.S. appeals court on Friday struck down a Federal Trade Commission order against Illumina's purchase of cancer diagnostic test maker Grail , a former subsidiary, saying the agency had applied a wrong legal standard.
Un tribunal de apelaciones en EE.UU. el viernes suspendió un orden de la Comisión Federal de Comercio contra la compra de Illumina por el fabricante de pruebas de diagnóstico cancer, Grail, una subsidiaria anterior, diciendo que la agencia había aplicado un estándar legal incorrecto.
positive
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sentiment_analysis
The New Orleans-based panel of the 5th U.S. Circuit Court of Appeals issued a 34-page order that will require the FTC to reconsider the deal.
El panel basado en Nueva Orleans de la Corte de Apelaciones del 5º Circuito Estadounidense emitió una orden de 34 páginas que requerirá que la FTC reescriba el trato.
neutral
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sentiment_analysis
The three-judge panel said the agency had substantial evidence to show the deal would lessen competition as companies seek to bring to market a blood test to detect many kinds of cancer.
El tribunal de tres jueces dijo que la agencia tenía evidencia sustancial para mostrar que el trato disminuiría la competencia ya que las empresas buscaban llevar a la venta un test sanguíneo para detectar muchos tipos de cáncer.
negative
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sentiment_analysis
An FTC spokesperson said the panel's opinion was "an important victory for antitrust enforcement because it clearly recognizes how vertical mergers can threaten competition." But the panel also said the FTC failed to properly consider Illumina's pledge to continue selling its DNA sequencing services to other firms.
Una portavoz de la FTC dijo que la opinión del panel era "una victoria importante para la aplicación de la competencia porque claramente reconoce cómo las mergers verticales pueden amenazar la competencia". Pero el panel también dijo que la FTC falló al considerar adecuadamente la promesa de Illumina de continuar vendiendo sus servicios de secuenciación de ADN a otras empresas.
negative
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sentiment_analysis
Illumina has offered to sign contracts to supply any of Grail's rivals and to not raise prices.
Illumina ha ofrecido firmar contratos para suministrar a cualquiera de los rivales de Grail y no aumentar los precios.
neutral
You are a financial sentiment analysis expert. Your task is to analyze the sentiment expressed in the given financial text.Only reply with positive, neutral, or negative.
sentiment_analysis
"We are reviewing the decision," Illumina said in a comment issued after the ruling.
"Estamos revisando la decisión", dijo Illumina en un comentario emitido después del juicio.
neutral
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sentiment_analysis
The court rebuffed Illumina's argument that the FTC unconstitutionally exercised its powers.
La corte respudió el argumento de Illumina que la FTC ejercía inconstitucionalmente sus poderes.
neutral
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sentiment_analysis
"Illumina's constitutional challenges to the FTC's authority are foreclosed by binding Supreme Court precedent," it wrote.
"Los desafíos constitucionales de Illumina a la autoridad de la FTC son predichas por el precedente de la Corte Suprema", escribió.
neutral
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sentiment_analysis
The FTC spokesperson added that the court's decision marked "a pivotal moment for those who want to protect open, competitive markets, and a huge win for consumers in the modern economy." San Diego-based Illumina had filed the appeal in June after the FTC demanded that it divest Grail, saying that the agency had denied it due process.
La representante del FTC añadió que la decisión del tribunal marcó "un momento crucial para aquellos que quieren proteger los mercados abiertos y competitivos, y una gran victoria para los consumidores en la economía moderna". La empresa base de San Diego, Illumina, había presentado el recurso en junio después de que el FTC exigiera que ella desinvertiera Grail, diciendo que la agencia la había negado debido proceso.
negative
You are a financial sentiment analysis expert. Your task is to analyze the sentiment expressed in the given financial text.Only reply with positive, neutral, or negative.
sentiment_analysis
Illumina is arguing it does no business in Europe and therefore the EU competition enforcer has no jurisdiction.
Illumina está argumentando que no tiene nada que hacer en Europa y, por lo tanto, el competidor de la UE no tiene jurisdicción.
neutral
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sentiment_analysis
CNX Resources said on Friday it had pulled out of the Adams Fork ammonia project and is evaluating several alternative sites in southern West Virginia for clean hydrogen projects.
Los recursos CNX dijeron el viernes que retiró el proyecto de amoniaco de Adams Fork y está evaluando varios sitios alternativos en el sur de West Virginia para proyectos de hidrógeno limpio.
positive
You are a financial sentiment analysis expert. Your task is to analyze the sentiment expressed in the given financial text.Only reply with positive, neutral, or negative.
sentiment_analysis
The natural gas producer cited delays and increasing uncertainty over implementation tax credit provisions of the Inflation Reduction Act (IRA) and an inability to reach final commercial terms with project developers, for ending its participation in the project.
El productor de gas natural citó retrasos y creciente incertidumbre sobre las disposiciones de crédito por impuestos de la Ley de Reforma del Impulso (LRIA) y una incapacidad para alcanzar los términos comerciales finales con los desarrolladores de proyectos, para terminar su participación en el proyecto.
positive
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sentiment_analysis
Adams Fork was an anchor project in the Appalachian Regional Clean Hydrogen Hub (ARCH2) and its construction was expected to begin in 2024.
Adams Fork fue un proyecto de ancla en el Parque Clásico del Agua Ría del Sur (ARCH2) y su construcción se esperaba comenzar en 2024.
neutral
You are a financial sentiment analysis expert. Your task is to analyze the sentiment expressed in the given financial text.Only reply with positive, neutral, or negative.
sentiment_analysis
The project would have initial annual ammonia production capacity of 2,160,000 metric tons, with an optional additional production capacity.
El proyecto tendría una capacidad inicial de producción anual de amoniaco de 2,160,000 toneladas métricas, con una capacidad de producción adicional opcional.
neutral
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sentiment_analysis
The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) on Friday defended its overhaul of rules for private funds, responding in a court filing to a lawsuit from six private equity and hedge fund trade groups.
La Comisión de Bolsa y Valores de EE.UU. el viernes defendió su reestructura de las reglas para fondos privados, respondiendo en un recurso judicial a una demanda de seis grupos de inversión privada y capitalización.
negative
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sentiment_analysis
The trade lobbying groups in September sued the top U.S. markets regulator, saying the agency overstepped its authorities when adopting sweeping new expense and disclosure rules.
Los grupos de lobbía en septiembre intentaron legalmente a la principal autoridad de los Estados Unidos, diciendo que la agencia había sobrepasado sus autoridades cuando adoptó nuevas reglas de gastos y destabilidad amplias.
positive
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sentiment_analysis
The changes require private funds to issue a swath of new reports and to perform annual audits, as well as disclose certain fee structures.
Los cambios requieren fondos privados para emitir una estroboscopia de nuevos informes y para realizar auditorías anuales, así como para revelar ciertas estructuras de tarifas.
neutral
You are a financial sentiment analysis expert. Your task is to analyze the sentiment expressed in the given financial text.Only reply with positive, neutral, or negative.
sentiment_analysis
The funds said the new rules were arbitrary and capricious.
Los fondos dijeron que las nuevas reglas eran arbitrarias y caprichosas.
neutral
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sentiment_analysis
The SEC said its filing on Friday that it had followed proper procedure in its rulemaking and that the private funds had not shown that the agency had exceeded its authority.
La SEC dijo que su presentación el viernes que había seguido los procedimientos adecuados en su toma de decisiones y que los fondos privados no habían demostrado que la agencia había excedido su autoridad.
neutral
You are a financial sentiment analysis expert. Your task is to analyze the sentiment expressed in the given financial text.Only reply with positive, neutral, or negative.
sentiment_analysis
The SEC said it was prepared to defend its case with oral arguments in court.
La SEC dijo que estaba lista para defender su caso con argumentos orales en el tribunal.
neutral
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sentiment_analysis
SEC Chair Gary Gensler has previously said the rules will boost transparency and competition in a private funds sector accused by advocacy groups of opacity and conflicts of interest.
El Presidente de la SEC Gary Gensler ha dicho anteriormente que las reglas aumentarán la transparencia y la competencia en un sector de fondos privados acusado por grupos de defensa de que es opaco y que hay conflictos de intereses.
negative
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sentiment_analysis
Such funds oversee around $20 trillion in assets and have been accused by advocacy groups of opacity and conflicts of interest.
Such funds oversee around $20 trillion in assets and have been accused by advocacy groups of opacity and conflicts of interest.
neutral
You are a financial sentiment analysis expert. Your task is to analyze the sentiment expressed in the given financial text.Only reply with positive, neutral, or negative.
sentiment_analysis
Wall Street and their trade groups have kicked off a wave of lawsuits to fight a slew of new rules from Democratic President Joe Biden's regulators.
Wall Street y sus grupos de comercio han arrancado una ola de demandas para luchar contra una serie de nuevas reglas del Presidente Joe Biden.
neutral
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sentiment_analysis
Industry executives have said firms are more willing to litigate than in the past because they see the regulations as ill-conceived and rushed.
Los ejecutivos de la industria han dicho que las empresas son más propensas a litigar que en el pasado porque ven las regulaciones como mal concebidas y apresuradas.
negative
You are a financial sentiment analysis expert. Your task is to analyze the sentiment expressed in the given financial text.Only reply with positive, neutral, or negative.
sentiment_analysis
A late-year surge in stocks is exacerbating the pain of short-sellers, who are on track for their worst collective annual loss since 2020, according to data and analytics company Ortex.
Una ola de finales de año en las acciones está exacerbando el dolor de los short-sellers, quienes están en camino para su peor pérdida colectiva anual desde 2020, según la empresa y analítica Ortex.
positive
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sentiment_analysis
Short sellers - who aim to profit by selling borrowed shares and buying them back later at a lower price - are down over $145 billion for the year, according to an Ortex analysis of short interest in 1,500 U.S. stocks.
Los short sellers - quienes buscan ganar dinero al vender acciones prestadas y comprarlas de vuelta más tarde a un precio más bajo - han perdido más de $145 billones para el año, según un análisis de Ortex de los intereses cortos en 1,500 acciones estadounidenses.
positive
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sentiment_analysis
The losses have come in the face of a rally that has ramped up in the fourth quarter on expectations that the U.S. Federal Reserve is done raising interest rates and will likely pivot to cuts next year.
Las pérdidas han venido a la cara de una carrera que se ha intensificado en el cuarto trimestre por las expectativas de que la Reserva Federal de EE.UU. está hecha de elevar tasas de interés y probablemente se pivoteará hacia cortes al año siguiente.
positive
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sentiment_analysis
The index is up 22.9% year-to-date and around 2% away from a record high.
El índice ha subido un 22.9% hasta el momento actual y alrededor del 2% de distancia de un récord alto.
negative
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sentiment_analysis
"2023 has seen huge losses for short sellers," said Peter Hillerberg, co-founder of Ortex, said.
"2023 ha visto grandes pérdidas para vendedores cortos", dijo Peter Hillerberg, cofundador de Ortex, dijo.
positive
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sentiment_analysis
Short interest rose by $9.8 billion for the year, suggesting that investors were reluctant to double down in their bearish bets, Hillerberg said.
El interés corto subió $9.8 billones para el año, sugiriendo que los inversores estaban reacios a duplicar sus apuestas conservadoras, dijo Hillerberg.
negative
You are a financial sentiment analysis expert. Your task is to analyze the sentiment expressed in the given financial text.Only reply with positive, neutral, or negative.
sentiment_analysis
By contrast, short interest rose by $95.84 billion in 2020, when short sellers racked up $182.65 billion in losses, Ortex data showed.
Por el contraste, el interés corto subió $95.84 mil millones en 2020, cuando los short sellers acumularon $182.65 mil millones de pérdidas, según los datos de Ortex.
negative
You are a financial sentiment analysis expert. Your task is to analyze the sentiment expressed in the given financial text.Only reply with positive, neutral, or negative.
sentiment_analysis
Short interest has stayed roughly consistent throughout the year, Ortex data showed.
El interés corto ha permanecido aproximadamente consistente a lo largo del año, los datos de Ortex mostraron.
negative
You are a financial sentiment analysis expert. Your task is to analyze the sentiment expressed in the given financial text.Only reply with positive, neutral, or negative.
sentiment_analysis
The unweighted average short interest as a percentage of free float on the stocks tracked by the firm stands at 4.75%.
El promedio no ponderado de interés corto como porcentaje del flotante libre en las acciones seguidas por la firma se sitúa en un 4.75%.
neutral
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sentiment_analysis
That is toward the higher end of this years range of 4% to 4.75%.
Ese es hacia el extremo más alto de este rango de años de 4% a 4.75%.
neutral
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sentiment_analysis
On Friday, the S&P 500 finished about flat on the day but up 2.3% for the week, its seventh straight weekly gain, the longest such streak in six years.
El viernes, el S&P 500 terminó aproximadamente plano en el día pero subió un 2.3% para la semana, su séptimo ganancia semanal consecutiva, la más larga de tales secuencias en seis años.
negative
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sentiment_analysis
-- Two Federal Reserve officials on Friday pushed back on growing expectations in financial markets for the central bank to cut interest rates as soon as March.
-- Dos funcionarios de la Reserva Federal empujaron hacia atrás en las crecientes expectativas en los mercados financieros para que el banco central bajara las tasas de interés tan pronto como marzo.
positive
You are a financial sentiment analysis expert. Your task is to analyze the sentiment expressed in the given financial text.Only reply with positive, neutral, or negative.
sentiment_analysis
New York Fed President John Williams said on CNBC that its too early for officials to begin thinking about lowering borrowing costs as they consider whether policy is restrictive enough to get inflation back to 2%.
El Presidente de la Reserva Federal de Nueva York, John Williams, dijo en CNBC que es demasiado pronto para que los funcionarios comience a pensar en bajar los costes de préstamos a medida que consideran si la política es restrictiva lo suficiente para devolver la inflación a 2%.
positive
You are a financial sentiment analysis expert. Your task is to analyze the sentiment expressed in the given financial text.Only reply with positive, neutral, or negative.
sentiment_analysis
We arent really talking about rate cuts, Williams said on CNBC.
No estamos realmente hablando de cortes en tarifas, dijo Williams en CNBC.
neutral
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sentiment_analysis
The committee does want to have the option to not cut in March, Tang said.
El comité quiere tener la opción de no cortar en marzo, dijo Tang.
neutral
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sentiment_analysis
Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee did not rule out the possibility of an interest-rate cut in March, however, according to the Wall Street Journal.
El Presidente de la Fed de Chicago Austan Goolsbee no negó la posibilidad de un recorte en las tasas de interés en marzo, sin embargo, según el Wall Street Journal.
neutral
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sentiment_analysis
In an interview with the news outlet Friday, Goolsbee said the risks are becoming more balanced, indicating focus may need to begin shifting toward concerns about the employment side of the mandate.
En una entrevista con el medio de comunicación viernes, Goolsbee dijo que los riesgos se están volviendo más equilibrados, indicando que puede que necesite comenzar a cambiar hacia preocupaciones sobre el lado del empleo del mandato.
negative
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sentiment_analysis
The Fed signaled a pivot earlier this week toward reversing the steepest interest-rate hikes in a generation, with officials forecasting a series of rate cuts next year.
La Fed anunció un cambio más temprano esta semana hacia la abolición de los acalados aumentos de tasas de interés en una generación, con funcionarios previendo una serie de cortes de tasa para el próximo año.
neutral
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sentiment_analysis
Policymakers penciled in three rate cuts for 2023, according to the median forecast, while futures traders are pricing in as many as six beginning in March.
Los politicistas anotaron tres recortes de tasa para 2023, según el pronóstico mediano, mientras que los comerciantes de futuros están negociando hasta seis principios de marzo.
neutral
You are a financial sentiment analysis expert. Your task is to analyze the sentiment expressed in the given financial text.Only reply with positive, neutral, or negative.
sentiment_analysis
It is just premature to be even thinking about that question, Williams, who plays a key role in communicating central bank policy, said of a March rate cut.
Es simplemente prematuro ser siquiera pensando en esa pregunta, Williams, quien juega un papel clave en la comunicación de la política del Banco Central, dijo al respecto de una reducción en la tasa de marzo.
neutral
You are a financial sentiment analysis expert. Your task is to analyze the sentiment expressed in the given financial text.Only reply with positive, neutral, or negative.
sentiment_analysis
Thats not the question in front of us. While Chair Jerome Powell said Wednesday the central bank is prepared to resume rate increases should price pressures return, he also said the topic of easing came up at their meeting this week.
Esa no es la pregunta frente a nosotros. Aunque el Presidente Jerome Powell dijo el miércoles que la banca central está preparada para reanudar los aumento de tasas si las presiones de precios regresen, también dijo que el tema de aliviar llegó en su reunión esta semana.
neutral
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sentiment_analysis
It was the best Fed day across assets in almost 15 years, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.
Fue el mejor día de la Reserva para los activos en casi 15 años, según datos compilados por Bloomberg.
negative
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sentiment_analysis
Im not really feeling that this is an imminent thing, Bostic was quoted by Reuters as saying.
No estoy realmente sintiendo que esto es una cosa inminente, dijo Bostic al Reuters.
neutral
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sentiment_analysis
Policymakers still need several months to see enough data and gain confidence that inflation will continue to fall, Bostic said, according to Reuters.
Los politicistas aún necesitan varios meses para ver suficientes datos y ganar confianza de que la inflación continuará cayendo, dijo Bostic, según Reuters.
negative
You are a financial sentiment analysis expert. Your task is to analyze the sentiment expressed in the given financial text.Only reply with positive, neutral, or negative.
sentiment_analysis
Williams said on Friday that the market in a way is reacting very strongly, maybe more strongly, than what we are showing in terms of our projections. As Chair Powell said, the question is: Have we gotten monetary policy to a sufficiently restrictive stance in order to ensure that inflation comes back down to 2%? Thats the question in front of us, he said.
Williams dijo el viernes que el mercado en cierto modo está reaccionando muy fuertemente, tal vez más fuertemente, de lo que estamos mostrando en términos de nuestras proyecciones. Como dijo la Sra. Powell, la pregunta es: ¿Hemos llegado a una postura de política monetaria a una posición suficientemente restrictiva para asegurar que la inflación vuelva a bajar a 2%? Es la pregunta frente a nosotros, dijo.
negative
You are a financial sentiment analysis expert. Your task is to analyze the sentiment expressed in the given financial text.Only reply with positive, neutral, or negative.
sentiment_analysis
Stocks were little changed in mid-morning trading.
Las acciones no cambiaron mucho a mediados de la mañana en el mercado.
neutral
You are a financial sentiment analysis expert. Your task is to analyze the sentiment expressed in the given financial text.Only reply with positive, neutral, or negative.
sentiment_analysis
As New York Fed president, Williams has a permanent seat on the Federal Open Market Committee, the Fed panel that sets interest rates.
Como presidente del Banco de la Reserva de Nueva York, Williams tiene un asiento permanente en el Comité de Mercado Libre Federal, el panel del Banco que establece las tasas de interés.
neutral
You are a financial sentiment analysis expert. Your task is to analyze the sentiment expressed in the given financial text.Only reply with positive, neutral, or negative.
sentiment_analysis
* Fed's Williams says too soon to talk about rate cuts * Fed's Bostic says rate cuts can begin in Q3 * U.S. rate futures pare back bets of March rate hike * U.S. 10-year yields on track for largest weekly fall since March 2020 (Adds new comment, weekly milestones; updates prices) U.S. shorter-dated Treasury yields rose on Friday after Federal Reserve officials dampened expectations of an imminent interest rate cut in the first quarter of next year.
* El Presidente Williams de la Reserva Federal dice que es demasiado pronto para hablar sobre recortes de tasa * El Botic de la Reserva Federal dice que los recortes de tasa pueden comenzar en el tercer trimestre * Los futuros de tasa de EE.UU. reducen sus apuestas de aumento de la tasa de marzo * Los yields de 10 años de EE.UU. en curso por la mayor caída semanal desde marzo de 2020 (Añade nuevo comentario, semanas clave; actualiza precios) Los yields de Tasa de Tres Dias de EE.UU. subieron el viernes después de que los funcionarios de la Reserva Federal amineran las expectativas de un recorte de tasa imminent en el primer trimestre del próximo año.
negative
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sentiment_analysis
New York Fed President John Williams had started the ball rolling earlier.
El Presidente de la Reserva Federal de Nueva York, John Williams, había comenzado a lanzar la pelota antes.
neutral
You are a financial sentiment analysis expert. Your task is to analyze the sentiment expressed in the given financial text.Only reply with positive, neutral, or negative.
sentiment_analysis
"We aren't really talking about rate cuts right now" at the Fed and it's "premature" to speculate about them, Williams said in a CNBC interview.
"No estamos hablando realmente de recortes de tasa en este momento" en la Fed y es "prematuro" especular sobre ellos, dijo Williams en una entrevista de CNBC.
neutral
You are a financial sentiment analysis expert. Your task is to analyze the sentiment expressed in the given financial text.Only reply with positive, neutral, or negative.
sentiment_analysis
Williams was the first Fed official to comment after the U.S. central bank on Wednesday held interest rates steady in the 5.25%-5.50% range and signaled a shift from its tightening policy bias.
Williams fue el primer oficial del Banco Federal en comentar después de que el banco central de EE.UU. el miércoles fijó las tasas de interés en la gama de 5.25-5.50% y señalar un cambio de su inclinación de política de ajuste.
negative
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Bostic said he expected inflation, measured by the personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index, to end 2024 at around 2.4%, enough progress towards the Fed's 2% target to warrant two quarter-point rate cuts over the second half of next year. In its interest rate projections released on Wednesday, the Fed penciled in 75 basis points (bps) of rate cuts next year based on the expectation that inflation would continue to ease. "The market took that front-loading of cuts to a little bit of an extreme," said Vishal Khanduja, co-head of Broad Markets Fixed Income at Morgan Stanley Investment Management in Boston, "The market has been pricing in six cuts but the Fed has been guiding us toward three.
Bostic dijo que esperaba la inflación, medida por el índice de precios del consumo personal (PCE), para terminar en 2024 alrededor del 2.4%, suficiente progreso hacia el objetivo del 2% de la Reserva Federal para justificar dos cortes de tasa de dos cuartales durante la segunda mitad del próximo año. En sus proyecciones de tasas de la Reserva Federal liberadas el miércoles, la Reserva Federal pintó 75 puntos básicos (bps) de cortes a continuación año basado en la expectativa de que la inflación continuara easing. "El mercado tomó ese carguismo de cortes hacia un poco de un extremo", dijo Vishal Khanduja, co-capitán de Broad Markets Fijos de Morgan Stanley en Boston, "El mercado ha estado procesando cortes a seis cortes pero la Reserva Federal nos ha guiado hacia tres.
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So I think (those Fed officials) are trying to walk back and trying to reconfirm with the market that, yes, we pivoted but we don't think such excessive pricing of cuts is required at this point".
Así que creo (a esos funcionarios de la Fed) están intentando caminar hacia atrás y están reconfirmando con el mercado que, sí, pivoteamos pero no creemos que tal excesiva precio de cortes es requerido en este momento".
neutral
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Friday's data showing a pick-up in business activity in December pushed yields a little higher, but the impact was brief.
Los datos de viernes muestran un aumento en la actividad empresarial en diciembre empujaron los rendimientos un poco más altos, pero el impacto fue breve.
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S&P Global said its flash U.S. Composite PMI Output Index, which tracks the manufacturing and services sectors, increased to a five-month high of 51.0 this month from 50.7 in November.
S&P Global dijo que su índice de PMI para el Comercio Exterior de EE.UU., que sigue los sectores de fabricación y servicios, alcanzó un máximo de 51.0 este mes desde 50.7 en noviembre.
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December 15 Friday 3:50PM New York / 2050 GMT Price Current Net Yield % Change (bps) Three-month bills 5.235 5.3904 0.008 Six-month bills 5.1175 5.3379 0.025 Two-year note 100-200/256 4.4511 0.052 Three-year note 100-176/256 4.1282 0.027 Five-year note 102-10/256 3.9175 0.007 Seven-year note 102-160/256 3.9393 -0.005 10-year note 104-208/256 3.9092 -0.021 20-year bond 107-136/256 4.1883 -0.035 30-year bond 112-224/256 4.0072 -0.047 (Reporting by Gertrude Chavez-Dreyfuss; Editing by Chizu Nomiyama, Christina Fincher and Ken Ferris)
15 de diciembre, viernes 3:50 PM Nueva York / 2050 GMT Precio Actual de Renta Trimestrales / Poro de Renta Trimestrales Cuotas a tres meses 5.235 5.3904 0.008 / 10% Cuotas a seis meses 5.1175 5.3379 0.025 / 10% Cuotas a dos años 100-200/256 4.4511 0.052 / 10% Cuotas a tres años 100-176/256 4.1282 0.027 / 10% Cuotas a cinco años 102-10/256 3.9175 0.007 / 10% Cuotas a siete años 102-160/256 3.9393 -0.005 / 10% Cuotas a diez años 104-208/256 3.9092 -0.021 / 10% Bond 20 años 107-136/256 4.1883 -0.035 / 10% Bond 30 años 112-224/256 4.0072 -0.047 / 10% Enlace 2 años 104-208/256 3.9092 -0.021 / 10% Enlace 3 años 102-160/256 3.9393 -0.005 / 10% Enlace a cinco años 102-
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-- Wall Street investors and analysts spent months strategizing how to position for 2024.
Los inversores y analistas de Wall Street pasaron meses estrategiando cómo posicionarse para 2024.
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Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell shredded their best-laid plans in a matter of minutes this week.
El Gobernador de la Reserva Federal, Jerome Powell, desdibujó sus planes más buenos en un momento esta semana.
neutral
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Even the most ardent stock and bond bulls were caught off guard by the central banks decision to signal the end of its historic monetary-tightening campaign with a dovish 2024 pivot.
Incluso los más ardientes bulls de acciones y bonos fueron sorprendidos por la decisión de los bancos centrales de anunciar el fin de su histórica campaña de apretado endeudamiento con un pivote 2024.
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In the aftermath, the Dow Jones Industrial Average and Nasdaq 100 surged to records, while bonds soared, credit boomed and risky assets around the world rallied.
A la posterior, el Dow Jones Industrial Average y Nasdaq 100 se dispararon a récords, mientras que los bonos se elevaron, el crédito se extendió y los activos seguros alrededor del mundo se alentaron.
negative
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The dramatic moves upended countless outlooks.
Los movimientos dramáticos volvieron innumerables perspectivas.
negative
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JPMorgan Asset Managements Philip Camporeale increased the equity allocation in his stock-bond portfolio to the highest in nearly two years after Powells speech.
JPMorgan Asset Managements Philip Camporeale aumentó la asignación de capital en su cartera de acciones-concesiones de valores a la más alta casi en dos años después del discurso de Powells.
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John Roe at $1.4 trillion Legal & General said hes unwinding long duration bets on inflation-protected Treasuries and reconsidering his underweight exposure to stocks.
John Roe en $1.4 billones de Legado Legal y General dijo que está desenrolando apuestas de larga duración sobre Tesorerías protegidas por inflación y reconsiderando su exposición bajo peso a acciones.
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And Spencer Hakimian of Tolou Capital Management said signs the Fed will start cutting rates as soon as the first quarter prompted him to wager on a steeper yield curve.
Y Spencer Hakimian de Tolou Capital Management dijo que los signos que la Reserva Federal empezará a cortar tasas tan pronto como el primer trimestre lo llevó a arriesgarse en una curva de rendimiento más pronunciada.
neutral
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As investors weigh how to approach the new year, serious questions are being raised over how much juice markets have left, and whether both stocks and bonds can continue to rally in tandem in the months to come.
A medida que los inversores evalúan cómo abordar el nuevo año, se están planteando preguntas serias sobre cuánto dejuice han quedado en los mercados, y si tanto acciones como bonos pueden continuar al moverse al unísono en los meses por venir.
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Would the benevolent business cycle that equity traders are pricing in really warrant the roughly six quarter-point interest-rate cuts the bond market predicts, especially with inflation still above the Feds 2% target?
¿El beneficioso ciclo económico que los comerciantes de equity están negociando realmente merece los aproximadamente seis cortes de tasa de interés del mercado de bonos predicen, especialmente con la inflación aún por encima del objetivo del Feds del 2%?
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On Friday, officials already began to push back, with New York Fed President John Williams calling talk of a March rate cut premature.
El viernes, los oficiales ya comenzaron a retroceder, con el Presidente de la Reserva Federal de Nueva York, John Williams, llamando a hablar de una reducción de tasa para marzo prematura.
positive
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The pivot will make us rethink our fundamental view were still deciding how much, said Roe, the head of multi-asset funds at Legal & General.
El pivot nos hará volver a pensar nuestra visión fundamental, aún estamos decidiendo cuánto, dijo Roe, la cabeza de fondos multiadquistivos en Legal & General.
neutral
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sentiment_analysis
We were very surprised theyve acted so early with inflation still above mandate consistent levels. A week of so many market superlatives will make anyone rethink their world view.
Estábamos muy sorprendidos de que actaran tan temprano con la inflación aún por encima del mandato constante. Una semana de tantos superlativos del mercado hará que cualquiera reescueza su visión del mundo.
negative
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sentiment_analysis
The S&P 500 notched its seventh straight week of gains Friday, the longest in six years, as it flirted with a record high.
El S&P 500 logró su séptima semana consecutiva de ganancias el viernes, la más larga en seis años, mientras se acercaba a un récord alto.
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The Bloomberg US Treasury Total Return index was up 2% through Thursday, on track for the biggest weekly gain since March 2020.
El índice Bloomberg de Retorno Total de la BURS fue del 2% a través del jueves, en línea para la mayor ganancia semanal desde marzo de 2020.
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Elsewhere, credit spreads tumbled, global currencies surged versus the dollar and emerging-market assets soared post-Fed.
Otro lugar, las tracciones de crédito cayeron, las divisas globales se dispararon en relación con el dólar y los activos emergentes se elevaron post-Fed.
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For market prognosticators, this is forcing them back to the drawing board.
Para los profectores de mercado, esto los está obligando a retroceder al tablero de dibujo.
neutral
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Amid a tumble in the 10-year Treasury yield, JPMorgan Asset Managements Priya Misra says she now expects the benchmark rate to fall to about 3% by then end of next year, scrapping her 3.5% target from earlier this week.
En medio de una caída en el rendimiento del Tesoro de 10 años de JPMorgan Asset Managements Priya Misra, ella ahora espera que la tasa de referencia caiga a aproximadamente el 3% entonces al final de principios del próximo año, descartando su objetivo del 3.5% de antes.
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A Fed pivot has clear bullish historical precedence, Kantrowitz wrote in a note.
Un cambio de la Reserva tiene clara precedencia histórica de valentía, escribió Kantrowitz en una nota.
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Thus, we believe that breadth in the market will continue to improve, adding that stocks can drift higher on the back of lower yields. Yet as more traders and strategists boost their forecasts for both stocks and bonds, some are already questioning just how wide-spread this rally can be.
Así que, creemos que la amplitud en el mercado continuará mejorando, lo que significa que las acciones pueden moverse más fácilmente encima de los bajos rendimientos. Sin embargo, a medida que más comerciantes y estrategas impulsan sus predicciones tanto para acciones como para bonos, algunos ya están cuestionando cuán amplia puede ser este rally.
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Both stocks and bonds have run pretty hard in a very short period of time, and I wouldnt expect that to continue in a straight line, said Dan Suzuki, deputy chief investment officer at Richard Bernstein Advisors.
Tanto acciones como bonos han tenido un viaje bastante duro en un período de tiempo muy corto, y no esperaría que eso continuara en línea recta, dijo Dan Suzuki, jefe del departamento de inversión en Richard Bernstein Advisors.
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Read More: The Stock-Bond Party Is Running Out of Punch: Conor Sen Whats more, amid all the exuberance, there are signs that investor positioning is getting stretched.
Lea más: La fiesta de los acciones y bonos está agotándose: Conor Sen ¿Qué más, a medida que todo el entusiasmo, hay señales de que el posicionamiento de los inversores está se está extendiendo.
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Speculators in 10-year Treasury futures recently flipped from short to long, with bullish positioning reaching the highest since at least 2020, according to data from JPMorgan.
Los especuladores en los futuros de la Tesorería de 10 años recientemente volvieron de corto a largo, con posición al alza más alta desde al menos 2020, según datos de JPMorgan.
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Meanwhile, discretionary investors exposure to stocks is hovering around levels last seen in 2021, according to Deutsche Bank.
Mientras tanto, los inversores discrecionales que se exponen a las acciones están flotando alrededor de niveles vistos por última vez en 2021, según Deutsche Bank.
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And junk-bond exchange-traded funds have seen unprecedented inflows of more than $15 billion over the past six weeks, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.
Los fondos de intercambio-traded de basura han visto entradas sin precedentes de más de $15 mil millones en las últimas seis semanas, según datos recopilados por Bloomberg.
negative
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The market moved too far too fast. Powells aggressive reversal likely prompted capitulatory buying, said Michael ORourke, chief market strategist at JonesTrading.
El mercado se alejó demasiado rápido. El inversor Powells probablemente instigó una inversión capitulatoria, dijo Michael ORourke, principal estratega del mercado en JonesTrading.
positive
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The market will be more prone to disappointments now that the wall of worry has been torn down. Read More: Wall Street Traders Go All-In on Great Monetary Pivot of 2024 Equity investors appear unfazed.
El mercado será más propenso a las disaprías ahora que la pared del preocupación ha sido derribada. Lee más: Los traders de Wall Street se arriesgan por todo en el gran pivot monetario de 2024 de los inversores de Equity parece no preocuparse.
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Theyve been piling into beaten down sectors of the market that are more sensitive to the economic cycle in recent days.
Han estado llenando sectores aplastados de la mercado que son más sensibles al ciclo económico en los últimos días.
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sentiment_analysis
This week small-caps stocks in the Russell 2000 jumped nearly 6% as real estate equities surged more than 5%.
Esta semana los acciones de los fondos pequeños en la Russell 2000 subieron casi un 6% mientras las acciones inmobiliarias se dispararon más del 5%.
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We have a growing economy, a strong consumer, low unemployment and the Fed is effectively off the board, said Chris Zaccarelli, chief investment officer at Independent Advisor Alliance.
Tenemos una economía en crecimiento, un fuerte consumidor, bajo desempleo y la Fed está efectivamente fuera del tablero, dijo Chris Zaccarelli, director de inversiones en la Alianza de Advientes Independientes.
negative
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Its about as bullish a setup as you can get. --With assistance from Alexandra Semenova.
Es sobre tan bullish como puedes conseguir. --Con la asistencia de Alexandra Semenova.
neutral
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* TSX down 1.2% * Up 1% for the week * BoC says rates not coming down soon (Updates to close) Canada's main stock index wrapped up the week closing out its worst day in two months on Friday, hit by weakness in energy stocks and central bank Governor Tiff Macklem's comments that interest rates were not coming down any time soon.
* TSX bajando 1.2% * Aumentado 1% para la semana * BoC dice que las tasas no bajarán pronto (Actualizaciones para cerrar) El índice de bolsa principal de Canadá cerró la semana cerrando su peor día en dos meses el viernes, golpeado por debilidad en los accionistas de energía y los comentarios del gobernador Tiff Macklem de que las tasas de interés no bajaban pronto.
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The Toronto Stock Exchange's S&P/TSX composite index was down 249.65 points, or 1.2%, at 20,529.15.
El índice S&P/TSX de la Bolsa de Valores de Toronto bajó un 249.65 puntos, o el 1.2%, a 20,529.15.
positive
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The Bank of Canada on Friday made clear that interest rates would not come down soon, putting it on a divergent path from the U.S. Federal Reserve, which said this week that easing could be on the timetable.
El Banco de Canadá el viernes dejó claro que las tasas de interés no bajarán pronto, poniendo un camino divergente de la Reserva Federal de EE.UU., que dijo esta semana que la facilidad podría estar en el cronograma.
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"The Fed is going to do what they need to do. We're going to focus on what needs to be done here in Canada," Macklem told a business audience in Toronto after a speech.
"El Banco va a hacer lo que necesite hacer aquí en Canadá", dijo Macklem a un público empresarial en Toronto después de un discurso.
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