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aws8A6blME83IreHGQDD
will-egypt-announce-they-will-accep
Will Egypt announce that they will accept at least 1000 Palestinian refugees by the end of 2024?
null
1,715,013,706,700
1,735,682,183,710
1,735,682,183,710
NO
0.01
960.401865
Geopolitics
Regional Affairs
tUI0A6QSpO
will-mark-farrell-win-the-2024-san--cash
Will Mark Farrell win the 2024 San Francisco Mayor's race?
null
1,729,873,528,213
1,731,050,883,333
1,731,050,883,333
NO
0.010029
1,343.12523
Politics
Elections & Campaigns
qXunDU7JeiEULwfgaqMf
will-i-get-vigorous-exercise-at-lea
Will I get vigorous exercise at least 5 days a week for 40 weeks in 2024?
null
1,704,148,913,720
1,730,861,382,180
1,730,861,382,180
NO
0.33
4,402.635553
Sports
Sports Culture & Recreation
5p9YV3NzSvwn0KrBYZ2W
will-notre-dame-cathedral-in-paris
Will Notre Dame cathedral in Paris reopen to the public on Dec 8th, 2024?
null
1,703,995,586,691
1,733,726,563,267
1,733,726,563,267
YES
0.988516
6,340.450033
Politics
Public Policy & Social Issues
K1ZdeejNvuvAhx9V5W9W
will-any-company-produce-a-publicly
Will any company produce a publicly available AGI model before December 31st 2024?
null
1,708,648,751,870
1,725,147,300,000
1,733,611,155,406
NO
0.025909
2,940.909143
Technology
Emerging Technologies
qt3gdfmssh
will-california-require-cars-to-war
Will California require cars to warn drivers for excessive speeding? (SB 961 2024)
null
1,726,607,450,578
1,727,644,942,022
1,727,644,942,022
NO
0.01
9,868.310064
Politics
Domestic Policy
UkaGz6cVia0oXm4L0fpq
xrp-will-reach-048-at-least-once-in
XRP will reach 0.48 at least once in 2024
null
1,702,560,283,783
1,731,653,966,900
1,731,653,966,900
YES
0.979259
876.132435
Finance
Markets & Trading
MZ0tzjL3Y4XsV1iIlfXv
inperson-gdc-will-happen-in-the-us
In-person GDC will happen in the US in 2024
null
1,684,171,246,989
1,735,429,059,135
1,735,429,059,135
YES
0.93437
246
Technology
Gaming
UqEyt5SsEg
daily-coinflip-gZddIyZc6n
Daily coinflip 🎉
null
1,733,474,086,368
1,733,806,740,000
1,733,815,371,157
YES
0.5
9,595.219432
ENTERTAINMENT
GAMING
onaz0aqbqg
will-democrats-flip-any-governorshi
Will Democrats flip any governorships?
null
1,727,192,472,647
1,730,998,544,363
1,730,998,544,363
NO
0.062672
2,136.740548
Politics
Elections & Campaigns
8217n77pn3
set-and-get-my-burpee-goal-at-least-w5m7rm3hy5
Set and get my burpee goal at least 3 weeks this month?
null
1,727,769,726,675
1,729,862,840,113
1,729,862,840,113
NO
0.5
0
Sports
Sports Culture & Recreation
h69yncSzhs
will-the-jet-propulsion-laboratory
Will the Jet Propulsion Laboratory have a layoff large enough to trigger the WARN Act during the week 11/10/24-11/16/24?
null
1,731,299,108,627
1,731,558,791,872
1,731,558,791,872
YES
0.987011
3,146.82188
Technology
Tech Industry & Business
mpzDZijQxJFtlgkaQfZG
will-marjorie-taylor-greene-run-for
Will Marjorie Taylor Greene run for President in 2024?
null
1,665,544,456,154
1,729,976,743,113
1,729,976,743,113
NO
0.02
2,233.453011
Politics
Elections & Campaigns
1ofxi6ppvn
will-rfk-jr-finish-second-in-any-st
Will RFK Jr. finish second in any state in the 2024 US Presidential Election?
null
1,718,387,154,021
1,730,912,050,774
1,730,912,050,774
NO
0.00121
88,831.588084
Politics
Elections & Campaigns
wpoxbx5zb
will-conservative-party-members-vot
Will Conservative party members vote in the 2024 Conservative Party leadership election?
null
1,720,604,517,379
1,729,582,261,795
1,729,582,261,795
YES
0.99
8,969.534007
Politics
Elections & Campaigns
7HtUYqt5dFZGmGbYD18t
will-nintendo-legally-go-after-palw-98389633dcbe
Will Nintendo Legally go after Palworld before Taylor Swift gets engaged/married?
null
1,706,991,555,729
1,726,704,560,290
1,726,704,560,290
YES
0.9
3,169.68071
Entertainment
Gaming
hewgGX3vUjCZR5WqcB2a
in-a-year-will-we-think-that-sam-al
In a year, will we think that Sam Altman leaving OpenAI reduced AI risk?
null
1,700,254,452,538
1,732,521,540,000
1,732,667,946,762
NO
0.142155
211,028.255653
Technology
Emerging Technologies
DXZL1ZDLe0eqAGtJsEg9
will-there-be-a-new-largest-known-p
Will there be a new largest known prime number by the end of 2026?
null
1,711,003,397,442
1,729,525,446,587
1,729,525,446,587
YES
0.99
18,644.640071
Technology
Emerging Technologies
O5LNdZLuhl
will-there-be-a-us-government-shutd-9878106a2b1c--cash
Will there be a US government shutdown before the end of 2024?
null
1,734,638,014,041
1,734,761,152,248
1,734,761,450,844
YES
0.99
3,207.337953
Politics
Domestic Policy
2tQS4HN0vBA5035FNJ9W
will-selzer-outpredict-silver-in-th
Will Selzer out-predict Silver in the 2024 Iowa presidential election?
null
1,684,613,538,715
1,730,947,746,900
1,730,947,746,900
NO
0.01455
3,867.629483
Politics
Elections & Campaigns
ZuCl8tgyN8
will-iran-hit-israel-within-5-month
Will Iran hit Israel within 5 months of being attacked by them?
null
1,731,602,244,579
1,733,933,637,824
1,733,933,637,824
NO
0.557471
22
Geopolitics
Global Conflicts
XAej3RwDTXagXd9Y5TsT
will-the-winner-of-the-2024-preside-a7458cd40409
Will the winner of the 2024 Presidential election be born pre 1960
null
1,658,767,435,267
1,731,652,321,635
1,731,652,321,635
YES
0.99
12,050.613833
Politics
Elections & Campaigns
EQJeMPI7uNGOLiL0KEKv
will-tesla-stock-have-a-new-all-tim
Will Tesla stock have a new all time high before 2040?
null
1,681,944,596,740
1,734,049,242,863
1,734,049,242,863
YES
0.963589
3,571.824662
Finance
Markets & Trading
wPLuVqqX5EQPFZToSWjM
will-verstappen-get-more-points-the
Will Verstappen get more Points then Perez in the 2024 Formula 1 Season?
null
1,713,793,856,000
1,732,450,906,862
1,732,450,907,254
YES
0.99
1,221.875384
Sports
Individual Sports
8atanzw29b
at-the-end-of-october-will-joe-bide
At the end of October will Joe Biden's favorability be higher than Trump's on FiveThirtyEight?
null
1,725,141,129,592
1,730,429,310,604
1,730,429,310,604
NO
0.012148
803
Politics
Elections & Campaigns
TL5pYGbHUTncrwDL7KaS
will-ron-desantis-be-outed-as-gay-b
Will Ron Desantis be outed as gay by the end of 2024?
null
1,675,784,811,279
1,735,677,003,578
1,735,677,003,578
NO
0.011345
5,495.540762
Politics
Elections & Campaigns
Cc5tn6TFsNfAs4vCwcg8
will-trump-significantly-realign-th
Will Trump significantly realign the Black vote in 2024?
null
1,715,037,260,208
1,731,251,143,837
1,731,251,143,837
NO
0.01
907.696028
Politics
Elections & Campaigns
SE8s0SyRRh
will-argentina-beat-peru-by-two-or
Will Argentina beat Peru by two or more goals?
null
1,731,797,183,216
1,732,068,566,906
1,732,068,566,906
NO
0.455725
50
Sports
Team Sports
IyU6X618SJDzOFzC4nzN
will-there-be-a-political-banner-on
Will there be a political banner on top of the React.dev website by the end of 2024?
null
1,711,438,458,965
1,735,685,940,000
1,735,687,083,800
NO
0.096105
2,258.241464
Politics
Public Policy & Social Issues
g87oBWpeuVBPfpihdEmE
will-a-japanese-development-studio
Will a Japanese development studio win Game of the Year at the 2024 game awards?
null
1,704,146,909,430
1,734,078,788,087
1,734,078,788,087
YES
0.99
1,324.947638
Gaming
Gaming
AI9dLRg5At
will-sergio-perez-be-one-of-red-bul
Will Sergio Perez be one of Red Bull Racing’s two main drivers at the start of the 2025 Formula 1 season?
null
1,730,507,206,577
1,734,543,673,884
1,734,543,673,884
NO
0.01016
1,919.110606
Sports
Professional Sports
NgSu50EQAg
polymarket-will-either-candidate-co
[Polymarket] Will either candidate concede in November?
null
1,730,552,025,519
1,731,052,740,000
1,731,076,532,765
YES
0.99
22,391.185605
Politics
Elections & Campaigns
fg6ruqku3z
will-donald-trump-receive-less-than
Will Donald Trump receive less than 40% of the military vote in the 2024 U.S. Presidential election?
null
1,726,597,502,649
1,731,089,717,001
1,731,089,717,001
NO
0.162276
1,945.659057
Politics
Elections & Campaigns
8eM9t6wpy733Gwmr5aKI
if-kamala-harris-becomes-the-democr
If Kamala Harris becomes the Democratic nominee, will she win the 2024 election?
null
1,642,268,585,570
1,730,678,399,000
1,730,914,630,100
NO
0.506378
20,406.686659
Politics
Elections & Campaigns
YAYWotaCGdbIjcvYyeNk
will-there-be-peace-agreement-betwe
Will there be peace agreement between Azerbaijan and Armenia by the end of 2024
null
1,710,159,812,645
1,735,675,140,000
1,735,675,641,071
NO
0.050921
687.115516
Geopolitics
Global Conflicts
dMj0MKmumcVGbTtpSD9X
elon-musk-and-a-current-or-former-u
Elon Musk and a current or former US president appear in a photo together before mid 2025
null
1,717,119,185,803
1,731,088,884,125
1,731,088,884,125
YES
0.973058
5,665.603188
Politics
Elections & Campaigns
akt4et5v49
will-kamala-harris-be-polling-bette-50coqt02lx
Will Kamala Harris be polling better than Donald Trump on 538 at the end of October?
null
1,727,720,573,057
1,730,429,422,436
1,730,429,422,436
YES
0.980713
670.000002
Politics
Elections & Campaigns
61si09r4qy
will-the-sp-500-stock-index-close-h-o83qvn4o4p
Will the S&P 500 stock index close higher on Oct 22 than it closed on Oct 21?
null
1,729,541,107,680
1,729,627,341,873
1,729,627,341,873
NO
0.93
945.63725
Finance
Markets & Trading
oqjpmccn22
will-there-be-an-orgy-that-i-hear-a
Will there be an orgy (that I hear about) at Love Symposium 2024?
null
1,728,442,014,000
1,732,175,940,000
1,732,176,669,586
NO
0.019518
7,421.934626
Entertainment
Celebrity & Pop Culture
CdlHl7809EKXbt6wnsA1
will-there-be-a-no-labels-ticket-on
Will there be a “No Labels” ticket on the ballot in over 25 states in the 2024 US general presidential election?
null
1,693,609,343,246
1,731,241,808,927
1,731,241,808,927
NO
0.010064
7,128.548411
Politics
Elections & Campaigns
O56c3rSmxAc9WrHOL9Ye
will-secret-service-protection-be-w
Will Secret Service protection be withdrawn from Donald Trump prior to the presidential election in November?
null
1,717,515,299,033
1,730,784,077,022
1,730,784,077,022
NO
0.010475
1,093.928522
Politics
Elections & Campaigns
nf7Di70DAJgH7Xt7EZnm
will-red-bull-win-16-or-more-races
Will Red Bull win 16 or more races in the 2024 Formula 1 season?
null
1,708,319,647,173
1,729,525,502,393
1,729,525,502,393
NO
0.01
3,426.430281
Sports
Professional Sports
6StUuRN5SC
will-game-9-of-the-fide-world-champ-IAAcdtggNP
Will Game 12 of the FIDE World Champion Gukesh vs Ding, result in a draw?
null
1,733,732,085,555
1,733,748,926,944
1,733,748,926,944
NO
0.023006
6,423
Sports
Individual Sports
hTrtj54jedrM73b4HfaQ
will-the-legend-of-zelda-tears-of-t-a3db2c69e347
Will 'The Legend of Zelda: Tears of the Kingdom' have outsold 'Mario Kart 8 Deluxe' at any point before 2025?
null
1,684,688,017,315
1,735,661,584,924
1,735,661,584,924
NO
0.010001
6,918.475076
Entertainment
Gaming
MyWaDPIdNVXH2m34srpG
if-the-republican-nominee-wins-geor
If the Republican nominee wins Georgia, will they win the presidency (2024)?
null
1,690,425,877,672
1,730,950,888,212
1,730,950,888,212
YES
0.976663
846.008413
Politics
Elections & Campaigns
hESEUhlyU0
did-luigi-mangione-author-the-manif
Did Luigi Mangione author the manifesto 'The Allopathic Complex and Its Consequences' posted on Substack?
null
1,733,804,749,653
1,733,879,830,272
1,733,972,620,810
NO
0.074283
3,255
Books & Literature
Books & Literature
cWDUwgjCUATGTIRGOU2F
-will-salt-lake-city-get-a-national
🏒 Will Salt Lake City get a National Hockey League team before 2030?
null
1,710,641,008,731
1,728,626,213,184
1,728,626,213,184
YES
0.99
3,528.899576
Sports
Professional Sports
7vou8eir9o
will-manifold-stop-forcing-sweepsta
Will Manifold stop forcing Sweepstakes markets on the home page by default? (by the end of september)
null
1,727,159,941,699
1,727,277,352,133
1,727,277,352,133
YES
0.99
19,994.540723
Technology
Internet & Digital Services
YEVaoZcP05pqHx0FHuGi
will-openai-have-a-valuation-either
Will OpenAI have a valuation (either public or based on a private raise) above $100B by the end of 2024?
null
1,673,041,878,140
1,727,901,086,402
1,727,901,086,402
YES
0.98
25,749.97046
Technology
Tech Industry & Business
SFLzXcpTCk6LVKfcvkEC
pm4-the-chase-sapphire-preferred-ca
PM4: The Chase Sapphire Preferred card will offer 3X points for travel.
null
1,704,206,772,425
1,735,051,140,000
1,735,133,305,414
NO
0.104425
155.652071
Finance
Personal Finance
YYa1WtIvYYaspWRWfz2O
will-the-2024-us-presidential-elect-3f2c61348f2f
Will the 2024 US presidential election be within 50,000 votes (for electors to the Electoral College)?
null
1,710,913,624,491
1,731,622,632,542
1,731,622,632,542
NO
0.01
2,999.011102
Politics
Elections & Campaigns
ndNsdd9CpC
new-york-proposition-1-2024-passes
New York Proposition 1 (2024) Passes
null
1,730,429,664,542
1,730,864,804,985
1,730,864,804,985
YES
0.98857
8,300
Politics
Public Policy & Social Issues
rCey8oljqnbA0833RMvD
-will-apple-announce-a-watch-with-s
🩺 Will Apple announce a watch with some kind of blood-pressure monitoring in 2024?
null
1,710,773,048,442
1,735,686,984,840
1,735,686,984,840
NO
0.025357
15,478.778239
Technology
Mobile & Consumer Electronics
Ey6zPzCO29
will-kamala-harris-win-the-national
Will Kamala Harris win the national popular vote by more than Hillary Clinton did?
null
1,730,480,183,397
1,730,882,711,810
1,730,882,711,810
NO
0.018146
38,940.092098
Politics
Elections & Campaigns
nISAQzIyRl
will-the-presidential-election-get
Will the Presidential Election get called before Pennsylvania?
null
1,730,427,254,056
1,730,986,989,864
1,730,986,989,864
NO
0.01
32,287.673819
Politics
Elections & Campaigns
0n36mvqkhz
will-kamala-harris-say-the-phrase-b
Will Kamala Harris say the phrase "Build a wall around Windsor, Colorado" in any context?
null
1,728,362,630,439
1,731,481,140,000
1,731,561,572,984
NO
0.01
17,513.521138
Politics
Elections & Campaigns
z79hy538jl
will-my-pixel-9-fold-be-money-well
Will my Pixel 9 Fold be money well spent?
null
1,724,625,960,279
1,734,010,795,948
1,734,010,795,948
YES
0.979054
8,948.219349
Technology
Mobile & Consumer Electronics
c262S55CRp
will-kamala-harris-win-north-caroli
Will Kamala Harris win North Carolina?
null
1,730,730,305,162
1,731,090,408,322
1,731,090,408,322
NO
0.01
1,147.356891
Politics
Elections & Campaigns
esh3zG5saD274ptnudSq
will-rot-in-a-porcelain-dream-relea
Will Rot in a Porcelain Dream release before October 2024?
null
1,694,093,760,326
1,727,755,140,000
1,730,034,871,834
NO
0.01
878.721296
Entertainment
Movies & Television
5CRgsd6Und
did-donald-trump-grope-a-teenager
Did Donald Trump grope a teenager?
null
1,729,722,632,083
1,730,786,340,000
1,730,806,330,106
NO
0.022927
15,348.390449
Politics
Elections & Campaigns
0nh6gOn5QN
will-the-sp-500-stock-index-close-h-nzNICOnuOn
Will the S&P 500 stock index close higher on Dec 6 than it closed on Dec 5?
null
1,733,432,673,303
1,733,518,927,159
1,733,518,927,159
YES
0.957151
414.999998
Finance
Markets & Trading
4qp471u7qu
will-nadu-winged-wisdom-be-banned-i-6prtu5t217
Will Nadu, Winged Wisdom be banned in Brawl by October?
null
1,720,036,573,010
1,727,848,740,000
1,727,853,166,407
NO
0.01
13,965.202154
Gaming
undefined
LO0Ezl2EZq
will-coffeezilla-make-a-video-about
Will Coffeezilla release a video about Plutus (Block Code LTD) before EOY?
null
1,730,192,023,114
1,730,193,332,910
1,730,193,332,910
YES
0.524376
50
Technology
Emerging Technologies
epOD0Y76Pq5k0TQjfRTU
does-dragon-continue-to-look-east-f
Does dragon continue to look east for the rest of Egghead?
null
1,710,530,648,376
1,731,653,769,687
1,731,653,769,687
YES
0.881088
527.209491
Entertainment
Movies & Television
3JIa6hXh4qEa3ByBwCnh
will-the-next-pivot-be-surprising
Will the next pivot be surprising?
null
1,712,268,647,866
1,727,788,506,928
1,727,788,506,928
NO
0.31
918.766214
Finance
Markets & Trading
HgjLxdArJf6pvkv8Dp39
2024-formula-1-season-will-logan-sa-a4b2a3011a5c
[2024 Formula 1 Season] Will Logan Sargeant finish last in the Drivers Championship?
null
1,700,757,657,066
1,733,685,735,117
1,733,685,735,117
YES
0.983775
15,351.753669
Sports
Individual Sports
i8b78fvhuu
will-the-first-confirmed-capture-of
Will the first confirmed capture of a North Korean soldier by Ukrainian forces occur before the end of 2024?
null
1,729,503,923,212
1,735,417,044,803
1,735,417,044,803
YES
0.843127
47,486.056343
Geopolitics
Global Conflicts
jxrydqvnok
-shortfuse-1-in-3-odds-6xhy97g7dx
🧨 Short-fuse 1 in 3 odds
null
1,726,927,761,270
1,726,942,160,660
1,726,942,246,737
NO
null
1,233.351704
Sports
Sports Culture & Recreation
WWJ4VSgksMYxQFj7eBQx
nfl-week-9-nov-3-2024-will-the-cinc
NFL Week 9 (Nov 3 2024): Will the Cincinnati Bengals (home) beat the Las Vegas Raiders (away)?
null
1,715,834,176,623
1,730,829,600,000
1,730,829,810,919
YES
0.99
951.328074
Sports
Professional Sports
1XEILdMHQG1shizbcMbU
nfl-week-6-oct-13-will-the-new-york
NFL Week 6 (Oct 13): Will the New York Giants beat the Cincinnati Bengals?
null
1,715,834,043,160
1,728,947,651,350
1,728,947,651,350
NO
0.01
914.225644
Sports
Team Sports
0SoGSWnv37Sv9vdCiRM2
will-chrisjbillington-remain-a-mode
Will @chrisjbillington remain a Moderator until the end of 2024?
null
1,704,726,689,285
1,735,658,888,452
1,735,658,888,452
YES
0.937244
417
Politics
Elections & Campaigns
SqwWxDNXqt4nCGjLTZKZ
will-there-be-more-candidates-with
Will there be more candidates with 'Bolsonaro' in their ballot names in the 2024 Brazilian elections compared to 2020?
null
1,681,003,503,559
1,730,399,396,481
1,730,399,396,481
NO
0.016058
12,683.138828
Politics
Elections & Campaigns
NGb4UXMJl9JunauGvV17
will-openai-raise-over-5b-in-total
Will OpenAI raise over $5B in total venture funding by the end of 2024?
null
1,673,041,658,581
1,727,901,054,493
1,727,901,054,493
YES
0.98
5,866.784129
Technology
Tech Industry & Business
tXvOwtYZQC0mrXfptM3n
will-helldivers-2-be-awarded-game-o
Will Helldivers 2 be awarded Game of the Year?
null
1,711,311,418,691
1,732,049,126,247
1,732,049,126,247
NO
0.010002
12,822.818211
Gaming
Gaming
MoePcPAgb0ba0lV43Gdn
will-there-be-a-cyber-or-physical-a
Will there be a cyber or physical attack on a US power plant between March 2024 -> November 2024?
null
1,707,657,439,491
1,733,029,140,000
1,735,280,528,679
NO
0.051774
813.880993
Geopolitics
Global Conflicts
QLVGrny7AsAh2M0P2GgN
will-a-republican-win-minnesota-in
Will a Republican win Minnesota in the 2024 POTUS election?
null
1,686,274,736,572
1,730,879,548,020
1,730,879,548,020
NO
0.088631
3,890.616015
Politics
Elections & Campaigns
lpegAn69SWaNZvZtlYYr
will-i-learn-how-to-fix-computers
Will I learn how to fix computers?
null
1,699,643,520,349
1,735,682,340,000
1,735,685,596,567
NO
0.16
205.275529
Technology
Computing & Software
IpUqc5tycC
will-the-baltimore-ravens-claw-the-pZy6AI0h2u
Will the Baltimore Ravens claw the Houston Texans? 🏈|🎅 (Christmas Day)
null
1,734,024,844,647
1,735,178,410,788
1,735,178,410,788
YES
0.99
9,090.83137
Sports
Team Sports
WmgPl79jsWGhxDCywGc4
will-oklahoma-approve-of-a-minimum
Will Oklahoma approve of a minimum wage increase in 2024?
null
1,706,914,265,974
1,730,946,133,603
1,730,946,133,603
NO
0.01
899.656471
Politics
Public Policy & Social Issues
zIIOIZuSlZ
will-bitcoin-hit-105k-in-december
Will Bitcoin hit $105K in December?
null
1,734,050,996,095
1,734,307,540,122
1,734,307,540,122
YES
0.99
1,770.135345
Finance
Markets & Trading
T6RAPzUgyn3H1ui79YrQ
will-the-tipping-point-state-in-the
Will the tipping point state in the 2024 election be decided by <1%?
null
1,686,112,921,501
1,731,473,305,474
1,731,473,305,474
NO
0.01
31,874.477352
Politics
Elections & Campaigns
SsAdHNNaI9hRRMe1XqgG
will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-pres
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 presidential election?
null
1,670,450,667,281
1,730,761,200,000
1,730,883,273,851
YES
0.499907
3,750,751.084689
Politics
Elections & Campaigns
p9UAZI6RQs
will-both-trump-and-harris-reach-75
Will both Trump and Harris reach 75% on Manifold before the week ends?
null
1,730,806,907,543
1,731,193,140,000
1,731,196,265,910
NO
0.01
984.212255
Politics
Elections & Campaigns
h2f1fj7v1r
will-democrats-win-oregon-by-15-per
Will Democrats win Oregon by 15 percent or more in the 2024 Presidential Election?
null
1,727,112,838,310
1,733,338,111,375
1,733,338,111,375
NO
0.120831
2,043
Politics
Elections & Campaigns
ZldOcScQSd
will-openai-release-more-than-one-m
Will OpenAI release more than one model (update) in November?
null
1,730,469,675,213
1,733,039,940,000
1,735,683,528,983
YES
0.985621
815
Technology
Emerging Technologies
JEBkPNuPE4eDWKul2CBe
will-the-runnerup-in-the-2024-us-pr
Will the runner-up in the 2024 US Presidential Election accept their defeat by Dec 31, 2024?
null
1,640,703,303,623
1,730,931,473,254
1,730,931,473,254
YES
0.99
20,260.78185
Politics
Elections & Campaigns
sw60s2tthc
will-warren-place-a-single-bet-on-p
Will Warren place a single bet on polymarket before the 2024 election
null
1,729,198,406,717
1,730,869,140,000
1,732,649,069,453
NO
0.21692
90
Politics
Elections & Campaigns
chhhr8skv
will-ukraine-armed-forces-reach-the
Will Ukraine armed forces reach the Seim river around Glushkovo and Tyotkino by December 2024?
null
1,724,227,112,718
1,732,928,340,000
1,733,386,567,817
NO
0.013998
2,577.857561
Geopolitics
Global Conflicts
pzKI4MB7HaaaNQkPOWQJ
will-republicans-gain-control-of-th
Will Republicans gain control of the U.S. Senate in the 2024 election?
null
1,709,221,045,422
1,730,847,540,000
1,730,913,454,378
YES
0.803856
1,718.198871
Politics
Elections & Campaigns
GqBB4BYbDa5chmejdswE
nfl-week-16-dec-22-2024-will-the-in
NFL Week 16 (Dec 22 2024): Will the Indianapolis Colts (home) beat the Tennessee Titans (away)?
null
1,715,834,617,095
1,735,063,200,000
1,735,164,149,507
YES
0.989924
892
Sports
Professional Sports
EQIEldPQRy
2024-formula-1-season-will-a-race-b--cash
[2024 Formula 1 Season] Will a race be won by any team besides Red Bull, Mercedes, McLaren, or Ferrari?
null
1,729,873,056,393
1,733,685,506,597
1,733,728,689,156
NO
0.026953
589.267653
Sports
Professional Sports
rayndg3srp
will-the-us-lift-restrictions-on-uk
Will the US lift restrictions on Ukraine striking targets in Russia? Aka "Deep Strikes"?
null
1,724,761,882,993
1,732,351,303,270
1,732,351,303,270
YES
0.965835
67,686.196264
Geopolitics
Global Conflicts
f628UWN9qpc9wo27PwrT
will-any-opensource-model-rank-in-t
Will any open-source model rank in the top 3 on Chatbot Arena at the end of 2024?
null
1,703,600,784,392
1,735,685,940,000
1,735,686,272,323
NO
0.048973
4,245.490343
Technology
Emerging Technologies
IIzCu6l6QL
will-the-sp-500-stock-index-close-h-5LsNh6OElc
Will the S&P 500 stock index close higher on Nov 21 than it closed on Nov 20?
null
1,732,135,318,584
1,732,222,916,077
1,732,222,916,077
YES
0.978203
734
Finance
Markets & Trading
yhyLO8sICQ
will-the-uap-committee-hearing-on-y-LPuhgAg6ty
Will the UAP committee hearing on Youtube get at least 100k views by 8 PM EST on Nov 13, 2024?
null
1,731,378,048,961
1,731,531,971,288
1,731,531,971,288
YES
0.52291
54
Politics
Public Policy & Social Issues
3Kg9TzE7LkeTbgFd4d4h
will-rick-scott-win-reelection-in-t
Will Rick Scott win re-election in the 2024 US senate race in Florida?
null
1,680,633,750,446
1,731,289,436,570
1,731,289,436,570
YES
0.990853
2,381.680493
Politics
Elections & Campaigns
8y5uLqs5pq
tug-of-war-lRpIlzzy99
Tug of war
null
1,733,677,589,046
1,733,806,740,000
1,733,839,633,476
NO
0.312441
2,427.279285
Sports
Sports Culture & Recreation
ltmiiywczq
will-1-usd-to-cad-hit-139-or-higher
Will 1 USD to CAD hit 1.39 or higher before end of year?
null
1,729,234,040,385
1,730,279,206,981
1,730,279,206,981
YES
0.816089
175.594547
Finance
Markets & Trading
354DVfMGdTaWHyu4tabF
will-the-next-major-announcement-ab
Will the next major announcement about Jimmy Carter's health be his death?
null
1,711,125,810,015
1,735,517,480,897
1,735,517,480,897
YES
0.99
11,482.602607
Politics
Public Policy & Social Issues
3tx8nmAGGQriYaCfrnDo
will-i-walk-5-million-steps-in-2024
Will I walk 5 million steps in 2024
null
1,707,634,598,761
1,735,544,376,138
1,735,544,376,138
YES
0.955069
7,365.316674
Sports
Sports Culture & Recreation