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values |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ULpYWCagL8gSeeOyxKul
|
will-the-nasdaq-composite-index-fal
|
Will the NASDAQ Composite Index fall below 13,000 by the end of September 2024?
| null | 1,709,832,977,956
| 1,727,733,540,000
| 1,727,760,454,798
|
NO
| 0.01
| 2,357.264588
|
Finance
|
Markets & Trading
|
9fvvmp08gv
|
will-the-manifold-senate-map-stop-b
|
Will the Manifold Senate map stop being messed up before the election?
| null | 1,728,229,150,320
| 1,730,872,740,000
| 1,730,873,741,640
|
NO
| 0.082233
| 295
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
pUBw0uFIpWxlHE90m3I1
|
will-someone-strengthen-our-goodhar
|
Will someone strengthen our Goodhart's Law result?
| null | 1,684,614,073,202
| 1,711,954,740,000
| 1,729,018,351,930
|
NO
| 0.12
| 1,312.708854
|
Technology
|
Computing & Software
|
phUNPgtR5P
|
will-there-be-a-break-between-chain-SzRAlhyOOd
|
Will there be a break between Chainsaw Man chapters 185 and 186?
| null | 1,732,063,688,464
| 1,732,694,340,000
| 1,732,695,126,677
|
YES
| 0.384957
| 264
|
Entertainment
|
Books & Literature
|
eD6mOL25408wS2VkZikE
|
will-the-winner-of-2024-us-presiden
|
Will the winner of 2024 US presidential election be less than 6ft (183cm) tall?
| null | 1,693,847,134,073
| 1,730,887,630,636
| 1,730,887,630,636
|
NO
| 0.448195
| 1,299.403135
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
7do87q375n
|
will-manifold-have-100k-in-mana-sal
|
Will Manifold have $100k in mana sales before the election following our sweepstakes launch?
| null | 1,726,622,405,646
| 1,730,497,655,198
| 1,730,497,655,198
|
YES
| 0.977139
| 72,774.285443
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
AjkvD5E0JbV7NtgtrVuM
|
will-chatgpt-get-the-monty-sprawl-p
|
Will ChatGPT get the Monty *Sprawl* problem correct on Dec. 1, 2024?
| null | 1,701,414,530,722
| 1,733,118,448,720
| 1,733,118,448,720
|
NO
| 0.113913
| 361.314106
|
Technology
|
Emerging Technologies
|
7MJVbMPdT7dL8vYVQf7L
|
will-donald-trump-publicly-condemn
|
Will Donald Trump publicly condemn the death of Alexei Navalny before Election Day?
| null | 1,708,309,012,547
| 1,730,782,740,000
| 1,730,787,384,647
|
NO
| 0.016569
| 8,965.256563
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
MAKBjUL2JfSPp9oibm5X
|
will-the-new-york-yankees-win-more-499c823e4499
|
Will the New York Yankees win more games than the New York Mets in the 2024 MLB season?
| null | 1,709,570,709,590
| 1,727,662,814,494
| 1,727,662,814,494
|
YES
| 0.99
| 2,442.256755
|
Sports
|
Team Sports
|
zQIpgQzdsI
|
will-laura-loomer-be-given-a-positi
|
Will Laura Loomer be given a position in Trump's government or another named Trump organization by the end of November?
| null | 1,731,562,037,370
| 1,733,014,789,633
| 1,733,014,789,633
|
NO
| 0.012355
| 941.819689
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
c0PyyOCEq9
|
daniel-penny-serves-no-time-or-trum
|
Daniel Penny serves no time or Trump pardons him by mid 2026
| null | 1,731,459,522,332
| 1,733,794,214,478
| 1,733,794,214,478
|
YES
| 0.971935
| 5,764.197295
|
Politics
|
Domestic Policy
|
3DXAyR1kNHyokAdy3JqC
|
experimental-how-will-bitcoin-prefo
|
How will Bitcoin preform in 2024?
| null | 1,709,615,740,134
| 1,733,367,479,879
| 1,733,367,479,879
|
YES
| 0.99
| 17,642.655549
|
Finance
|
Markets & Trading
|
i05d48l0bd
|
is-manifold-leagues-cohort-randomiz
|
Is Manifold Leagues' cohort randomization coded to put friends and people with similar trading interests together?
| null | 1,727,980,134,451
| 1,728,619,140,000
| 1,728,664,220,376
|
NO
| 0.01
| 9,394.340863
|
Technology
|
Computing & Software
|
pt1byeeqfg
|
will-the-first-question-of-the-2024
|
Will the first question of the 2024 Vice Presidential debate be about the Iran-Israel war?
| null | 1,727,805,097,313
| 1,727,836,866,885
| 1,727,836,866,885
|
YES
| 0.99
| 11,791.636751
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
97qiy1j0pe
|
will-jd-vance-still-be-trumps-vp-ca
|
Will JD Vance still be Trump's VP candidate on election day?
| null | 1,721,717,902,408
| 1,730,847,540,000
| 1,730,906,524,782
|
YES
| 0.99
| 2,965.617373
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
p5h4c0YKd3VY3KPdC3Qz
|
will-the-fda-approve-a-drug-to-prev
|
Will the FDA approve a drug to prevent migraine headaches by 2025?
| null | 1,703,086,048,881
| 1,735,671,952,126
| 1,735,671,952,126
|
YES
| 0.92259
| 221.977267
|
Politics
|
Public Policy & Social Issues
|
bg3l470mwr
|
will-iowas-2024-presidential-vote-b
|
Will Iowa’s 2024 presidential vote be left of Arizona’s?
| null | 1,727,137,445,823
| 1,730,817,153,296
| 1,731,254,488,834
|
NO
| 0.240056
| 384.884664
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
dxpo9zwj7p
|
will-the-european-central-bank-ecb
|
Will the European Central Bank (ECB) raise interest rates in October 2024?
| null | 1,726,861,695,995
| 1,729,291,278,730
| 1,729,291,278,730
|
NO
| 0.03
| 633.056962
|
Finance
|
Economic Indicators
|
iTViY3ZwlMR1wCmU2wsz
|
will-metas-smart-glasses-be-conside
|
Will Meta's smart glasses be considered a success or failure in Oct 2024?
| null | 1,695,882,917,399
| 1,730,408,786,709
| 1,730,408,786,709
|
YES
| 0.753631
| 282.615631
|
Technology
|
Mobile & Consumer Electronics
|
ig7iqfewyo
|
will-concord-relaunch-by-the-end-of
|
Will Concord re-launch by the end of 2026?
| null | 1,725,552,555,016
| 1,730,721,885,011
| 1,730,721,885,011
|
NO
| 0.409299
| 227.355195
|
Sports
|
Professional Sports
|
py4W1Q608bDXWlVhO9hb
|
nfl-week-13-dec-1-2024-will-the-jac
|
NFL Week 13 (Dec 1 2024): Will the Jacksonville Jaguars (home) beat the Houston Texans (away)?
| null | 1,715,834,473,529
| 1,733,248,800,000
| 1,733,810,628,187
|
NO
| 0.01
| 894.987437
|
Sports
|
Professional Sports
|
MwDowHgEN26Kq2no0qO3
|
will-donald-trump-still-be-alive-wh
|
Will Donald Trump still be alive when September ends?
| null | 1,710,880,221,860
| 1,727,733,540,000
| 1,727,734,475,930
|
YES
| 0.99
| 7,467.24551
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
vQNwkXqkw93PKAu4mgQ0
|
the-mens-official-marathon-world-re
|
The men's official marathon world record time will be under 2 hours by the end of 2024
| null | 1,697,356,624,291
| 1,735,649,940,000
| 1,735,670,621,057
|
NO
| 0.021429
| 7,828.594471
|
Sports
|
Individual Sports
|
gNqd80plCz
|
will-this-market-get-at-least-30-un
|
Will this market get at least 30 unique traders?
| null | 1,733,179,736,807
| 1,733,236,860,462
| 1,733,236,860,462
|
YES
| 0.989216
| 10,120.717437
|
Finance
|
Markets & Trading
|
fnvex5kmbj
|
israel-military-response-against-ir
|
Israel military response against Iran by Friday?
| null | 1,727,868,174,745
| 1,728,141,759,305
| 1,728,141,759,305
|
NO
| 0.01
| 1,144.948542
|
Geopolitics
|
Global Conflicts
|
p4rxBVmoh58MwnMtnP1a
|
will-online-gambling-be-a-notable-i
|
Will online gambling be a notable issue in the 2024 US presidential election debates?
| null | 1,671,748,574,698
| 1,730,678,340,000
| 1,730,753,442,669
|
NO
| 0.010111
| 9,743.577499
|
Politics
|
Public Policy & Social Issues
|
yq1fopdl66
|
will-a-new-york-team-win-the-world--cash
|
Will the New York Yankees win the World Series?
| null | 1,729,696,798,171
| 1,730,346,749,265
| 1,730,492,978,773
|
NO
| 0.010458
| 1,310.408991
|
Sports
|
Professional Sports
|
MlMo8Kz2b7HKZbKfGueP
|
will-china-invade-taiwan-in-the-202-54683401eb26
|
Will China invade Taiwan in the 2024 October window?
| null | 1,704,383,865,639
| 1,730,501,940,000
| 1,730,529,342,029
|
NO
| 0.01
| 1,815.960474
|
Geopolitics
|
Global Conflicts
|
of3pl472ua
|
will-bitcoin-be-higher-than-65850-a
|
Will bitcoin be higher than $65,850 at Sep 29th 5:20pm ET?
| null | 1,727,644,093,668
| 1,727,644,837,248
| 1,727,644,837,248
|
YES
| 0.98
| 275,870.700483
|
Finance
|
Markets & Trading
|
frbyzs05rw
|
will-jd-vance-be-the-vice-president
|
Will JD Vance be the Vice Presidential candidate on Election Day 2024?
| null | 1,722,358,718,411
| 1,730,926,055,270
| 1,730,926,055,270
|
YES
| 0.99
| 23,292.906193
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
Xi0o3HoF6vtPTibVydXI
|
will-the-winner-of-the-2024-preside-9611a79a6ab4
|
Will the winner of the 2024 Presidential Election carry the state of Oregon?
| null | 1,690,202,047,780
| 1,730,998,843,300
| 1,730,998,843,300
|
NO
| 0.010002
| 1,057.309618
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
1wOtpdjYH3MWaMyIZ0nL
|
will-donald-trump-beat-joe-biden-in
|
Will Trump beat Biden in every New York Times/Sienna national poll before election day?
| null | 1,709,405,511,007
| 1,730,683,521,678
| 1,730,683,521,678
|
YES
| 0.976467
| 12,733.370258
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
o2zwrdcm4z
|
will-the-sp-500-stock-index-close-h-qo04k1ilft
|
Will the S&P 500 stock index close higher on Sept 27 than it closed on Sept 20-=--5702.55?
| null | 1,726,863,018,074
| 1,727,467,364,041
| 1,727,467,364,041
|
YES
| 0.99
| 813.472787
|
Finance
|
Markets & Trading
|
qhpOPtEpu2
|
will-rory-mcilroy-and-scottie-schef--cash
|
Will Rory McIlroy and Scottie Scheffler win The Showdown on December 17?
| null | 1,733,856,924,079
| 1,734,504,918,007
| 1,734,572,499,663
|
YES
| 0.990962
| 577.368036
|
Sports
|
Individual Sports
|
gdvSXWAjTxKZ2XSpf8x5
|
will-a-nonpolitician-be-elected-for
|
Will a non-politician be elected for mayor of San Francisco in 2024?
| null | 1,693,722,293,232
| 1,730,879,940,000
| 1,731,041,239,222
|
YES
| 0.657302
| 638.561396
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
9gqUIL02Ap
|
will-the-sp-500-stock-index-close-h-08LEN5Ply5
|
Will the S&P 500 stock index close higher on Dec 3 than it closed on Dec 2?
| null | 1,733,172,065,891
| 1,733,259,746,154
| 1,733,259,746,154
|
YES
| 0.979009
| 1,021.720618
|
Finance
|
Markets & Trading
|
n6JWwdTbTGqW34pXbuyh
|
will-xi-jinping-visit-the-white-hou
|
Will Xi Jinping visit the White House by the end of 2024?
| null | 1,683,659,641,754
| 1,735,681,797,072
| 1,735,681,797,072
|
NO
| 0.014605
| 37,888.226491
|
Politics
|
Domestic Policy
|
oShplIs6GhacPCu0O5V5
|
will-haas-finish-the-2024-formula-1
|
Will HAAS finish the 2024 Formula 1 season with more points-per-race than the 2023 season?
| null | 1,708,317,831,684
| 1,734,235,330,357
| 1,734,235,330,357
|
YES
| 0.99
| 449.460867
|
Sports
|
Professional Sports
|
whum9iw7l7
|
mlb-postseason-2024-105-nlds-game-1
|
MLB Postseason 2024 ⚾️ 10/5 NLDS Game 1 Mets @ Phillies: Will there be a run scored in the 1st Inning?
| null | 1,728,149,960,279
| 1,728,159,494,422
| 1,728,159,494,422
|
YES
| 0.99
| 9,521.506612
|
Sports
|
Professional Sports
|
L56qI9NzOy
|
ganare-la-siguiente-partida-de-jueg
|
Ganaré la siguiente partida de juego de mesa con los panas?
| null | 1,734,797,521,201
| 1,734,908,340,000
| 1,734,909,551,250
|
NO
| 0.452489
| 10
|
Gaming
|
Gaming Culture
|
Y81hnOg4knKl57dntzIg
|
will-any-major-social-platform-inte
|
Will any major social platform integrate OpenAI’s metadata to visibly indicate AI-generated images in 2024?
| null | 1,707,251,046,951
| 1,734,510,300,084
| 1,734,510,304,579
|
YES
| 0.99
| 16,471.053462
|
Technology
|
Internet & Digital Services
|
0adficjjzt
|
will-rfk-jr-be-removed-from-the-bal
|
Will RFK Jr be removed from the ballot in North Carolina?
| null | 1,725,452,958,339
| 1,729,011,181,001
| 1,729,011,181,001
|
YES
| 0.98
| 14,257.730412
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
ct75KHMKUlgWwRlyHie5
|
3-the-terms-large-language-model-an
|
3) The terms “large language model” and “LLM” will become less common.
| null | 1,703,511,126,305
| 1,734,453,602,922
| 1,734,453,602,922
|
NO
| 0.01
| 8,219.475171
|
Technology
|
Emerging Technologies
|
Uq9UPEd8PR
|
if-drallylouks-posts-her-x-income-w
|
If @DrAllyLouks posts her X income, will she make more than $1000 this time?
| null | 1,734,731,834,706
| 1,735,032,195,694
| 1,735,032,195,694
|
NO
| 0.010345
| 9,795.541597
|
Finance
|
Personal Finance
|
Yp5ayf6MXWYSkGziIDkd
|
will-i-think-that-scheming-benchmar
|
Will I think that scheming benchmarks are more promising than game theory benchmarks (for defining trusted) in 1y?
| null | 1,702,492,228,697
| 1,734,163,140,000
| 1,734,192,670,515
|
YES
| 0.629052
| 116.813259
|
Technology
|
Emerging Technologies
|
s5yAzcsSlA
|
will-waukesha-county-vote-45-democr
|
Will Waukesha County, WISCONSIN vote >43% DEMOCRATIC in 2024 election?
| null | 1,730,161,034,865
| 1,731,246,300,721
| 1,731,246,300,721
|
NO
| 0.027027
| 500
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
SeRCYby169f9BhIW4akC
|
will-joe-manchin-be-on-a-thirdparty
|
Will Joe Manchin be on a third-party presidential ticket in 2024?
| null | 1,699,560,013,423
| 1,731,201,800,230
| 1,731,201,800,230
|
NO
| 0.01
| 6,689.943165
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
URRVFpt5WURptUSnb5jb
|
will-nancy-mace-be-renominated-to-u
|
Will Nancy Mace be renominated to US House?
| null | 1,697,907,576,704
| 1,727,757,510,293
| 1,727,757,510,293
|
YES
| 0.92
| 929.9517
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
7t5yvmyy5w
|
will-joe-biden-resign-the-us-presid
|
Will Joe Biden resign the US Presidency before the election November 5, 2024?
| null | 1,721,601,391,398
| 1,730,869,140,000
| 1,730,896,160,419
|
NO
| 0.020285
| 27,811.917093
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
efLFt0KKb95ptuYme7Ni
|
will-dade-phelan-win-in-the-novembe
|
Will Dade Phelan win in the November 5 Texas general election?
| null | 1,709,497,771,983
| 1,730,959,140,000
| 1,730,959,584,849
|
YES
| 0.96
| 3,649.005667
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
2khv900wcx
|
will-one-candidate-win-all-7-swing
|
Will one candidate win all 7 swing states?
| null | 1,728,803,161,490
| 1,731,059,367,575
| 1,731,059,367,575
|
YES
| 0.991139
| 91,797.831629
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
Lzaavs8RpXxH1vme9Kh3
|
nfl-week-16-dec-22-2024-will-the-se
|
NFL Week 16 (Dec 22 2024): Will the Seattle Seahawks (home) beat the Minnesota Vikings (away)?
| null | 1,715,834,629,628
| 1,735,074,300,000
| 1,735,164,058,325
|
NO
| 0.01
| 1,201.528714
|
Sports
|
Professional Sports
|
rb1nrg5u4y
|
will-iranproxies-bomb-major-civilia-sd1zpf0wig
|
Will Iran/proxies bomb major civilian infrastructure in Israel before November
| null | 1,727,798,375,992
| 1,730,415,540,000
| 1,730,419,305,042
|
NO
| 0.010425
| 1,466.372603
|
Geopolitics
|
Global Conflicts
|
vAIEN5qvHbO172JS9RYx
|
nfl-week-11-nov-17-2024-will-the-te
|
NFL Week 11 (Nov 17 2024): Will the Tennessee Titans (home) beat the Minnesota Vikings (away)?
| null | 1,715,834,246,891
| 1,731,897,116,529
| 1,731,897,116,529
|
NO
| 0.01
| 2,649.72448
|
Sports
|
Team Sports
|
zSpxJs3uUD5hZxWdGdpZ
|
will-kim-kardashian-be-in-attendanc
|
Will Kim Kardashian attend a Baltimore Ravens game in September 2024?
| null | 1,707,427,522,619
| 1,727,658,138,023
| 1,727,658,138,023
|
NO
| 0.01
| 7,413.270007
|
Entertainment
|
Celebrity & Pop Culture
|
z9SxicVUAdVzdZY1EbjV
|
will-49ers-win-superbowl-59
|
Will 49ers win Superbowl 59
| null | 1,707,715,876,392
| 1,735,343,493,149
| 1,735,343,493,149
|
NO
| 0.01
| 2,544.972528
|
Sports
|
Professional Sports
|
l0tSOaXlZrKRY6PVSw61
|
will-ilhan-omar-win-reelection-to-t
|
Will Ilhan Omar win re-election to the House in 2024?
| null | 1,702,662,673,746
| 1,731,212,950,095
| 1,731,212,950,095
|
YES
| 0.982697
| 25,946.509614
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
yQvuhs8PPa7gNNfPfmDZ
|
will-donald-trump-be-on-the-2024-ge
|
Will Donald Trump be on the 2024 general election ballot in Hawaii?
| null | 1,707,334,677,362
| 1,730,282,677,915
| 1,730,282,677,915
|
YES
| 0.978408
| 4,383.92762
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
8lIpuuyPUE
|
daily-coin-flip-5050-chance
|
Daily Coin Flip 50/50 chance
| null | 1,735,077,616,439
| 1,735,102,740,000
| 1,735,150,501,387
|
YES
| 0.5
| 0
|
Finance
|
Markets & Trading
|
vul52nvqkx
|
will-wikileaks-post-a-new-leak-befo
|
Will Wikileaks post a new leak before the election?
| null | 1,725,724,150,366
| 1,731,214,740,000
| 1,731,214,812,509
|
NO
| 0.01
| 12,722.547551
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
jbxutlrwq4
|
will-telegram-founder-pavel-durov-j
|
Will Telegram founder Pavel Durov "jump bail" and leave France before October 1st?
| null | 1,724,877,871,984
| 1,727,927,940,000
| 1,727,929,978,034
|
NO
| 0.01
| 131,175.962109
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
ngEidcAE3XNIBQG3so6Z
|
20240830-will-amd-close-above-260
|
2024-08-30: Will AMD close above $260?
| null | 1,717,529,775,280
| 1,725,076,740,000
| 1,727,804,248,273
|
NO
| 0.01
| 942.740542
|
Finance
|
Markets & Trading
|
SNUEQpnUAQ
|
will-albany-teachers-strike-report
|
Will Albany teachers strike (report to picket lines) on Tuesday?
| null | 1,730,838,425,144
| 1,731,484,740,000
| 1,731,535,102,109
|
YES
| 0.755099
| 126
|
Politics
|
Public Policy & Social Issues
|
6P1grAyikRQsK95tHrtX
|
will-ufouap-be-brought-up-by-any-ca
|
Will UFO/UAP be brought up by any candidate during televised debates Democratic or Republican prez primaries?
| null | 1,690,408,242,102
| 1,724,731,140,000
| 1,729,484,910,961
|
NO
| 0.06
| 3,537.047093
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
aljundAxJ9LMlnRPm8PJ
|
will-the-winner-of-the-2024-preside-cd74b7b30892
|
Will the winner of the 2024 Presidential Election carry Nebraska's 2nd congressional district?
| null | 1,690,201,580,052
| 1,730,951,433,511
| 1,730,951,433,511
|
NO
| 0.010015
| 1,034.517149
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
EwpOuzClsBjv7RWkU59b
|
will-neurips-have-an-acceptance-rat-cede1c1082e9
|
Will NeurIPS have an acceptance rate of at least 25% in 2024?
| null | 1,695,633,622,489
| 1,730,415,540,000
| 1,735,624,982,252
|
YES
| 0.890674
| 1,914.931184
|
Technology
|
Emerging Technologies
|
9BgLVfpZlOnNRPiJqa6Y
|
will-the-us-have-a-republican-presi
|
Will the U.S. have a Republican president before 2038?
| null | 1,699,412,034,785
| 1,730,902,758,930
| 1,730,902,758,930
|
YES
| 0.935312
| 1,301.06706
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
6cctzhkfvc
|
is-lily-ashwood-lilyofashwood-on-x
|
Is Lily Ashwood (@lilyofashwood on X) an AI?
| null | 1,723,910,901,343
| 1,729,245,822,494
| 1,729,245,822,494
|
NO
| 0.13
| 1,631
|
Entertainment
|
Celebrity & Pop Culture
|
66titfsgih
|
will-claude-35-opus-be-released-in
|
Will Claude 3.5 Opus be released in October?
| null | 1,727,853,317,062
| 1,730,444,340,000
| 1,730,526,275,879
|
NO
| 0.01373
| 23,515.428184
|
Technology
|
Emerging Technologies
|
5c2CRprHUIcdbJFH689v
|
will-taylor-swift-make-3-or-more-tw-1afe9a9cba0e
|
Will Taylor Swift make 3 or more Tweeter(X) posts in Nov 2024?
| null | 1,707,011,728,204
| 1,733,029,196,395
| 1,734,029,612,089
|
NO
| 0.02434
| 606.854424
|
Entertainment
|
Celebrity & Pop Culture
|
q8SJ37mxqvwdDGKnd5QK
|
will-jimmy-cater-outlive-the-curren
|
Will Jimmy Carter outlive the current Pope?
| null | 1,680,875,322,192
| 1,735,507,429,251
| 1,735,507,429,251
|
NO
| 0.01
| 6,744.380559
|
Politics
|
Public Policy & Social Issues
|
b8ozzbfkqc
|
one-month-from-today-will-kamala-be-9f37k7zptd
|
One month from today Will Kamala be above Donald Trump on Polymarket?
| null | 1,726,817,052,893
| 1,729,483,140,000
| 1,729,483,571,901
|
NO
| 0.01
| 29,490.29208
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
3RZDS3q3ejkHoDV35kB2
|
will-the-european-commission-propos
|
Will the European Commission propose EU regulation banning all types of cages for egg-laying hens by Oct 31st 2024?
| null | 1,682,166,272,673
| 1,730,419,140,000
| 1,730,786,920,746
|
NO
| 0.019483
| 1,051.233497
|
Politics
|
Public Policy & Social Issues
|
7NWRmJTAMwWweQORFZ1i
|
will-trump-endorse-desantis-for-pre
|
Will Trump endorse DeSantis (for president)?
| null | 1,678,503,423,490
| 1,730,851,140,000
| 1,731,322,111,604
|
NO
| 0.01333
| 6,820.778046
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
tKvxLCNRh4ZPwUAN38D7
|
a-tesla-supercharger-in-central-nv
|
A Tesla Supercharger in central NV comes online through 2024
| null | 1,694,630,895,779
| 1,733,184,826,078
| 1,733,184,826,078
|
YES
| 0.976982
| 1,216.36535
|
Technology
|
Emerging Technologies
|
ymyOR9fJJ1CJQldw34pN
|
will-bitcoin-hit-100000-before-the
|
Will Bitcoin Hit $100,000 Before The End Of 2024?
| null | 1,708,709,054,817
| 1,733,418,888,910
| 1,733,418,888,910
|
YES
| 0.998527
| 43,442.743094
|
Finance
|
Markets & Trading
|
k90FnQ9GIVm8GvyHQhz7
|
will-shine-technologies-ipo-before
|
Will SHINE Technologies IPO before December 31, 2024?
| null | 1,691,615,769,586
| 1,735,624,740,000
| 1,735,657,797,390
|
NO
| 0.040007
| 286
|
Technology
|
Tech Industry & Business
|
v38wyfi86d
|
one-month-from-today-will-jimmy-car-2qhom4htu6
|
One month from today, will Jimmy Carter still be alive?
| null | 1,729,140,211,967
| 1,731,819,540,000
| 1,731,823,560,335
|
YES
| 0.99
| 927.794006
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
9F7u6bK6pNGW39fmzMxl
|
will-gladiator-2-achieve-a-tomatome
|
Will Gladiator 2 achieve a Tomatometer score of ≥70%?
| null | 1,683,197,305,648
| 1,735,167,540,000
| 1,735,173,094,981
|
YES
| 0.99
| 9,322.512693
|
Entertainment
|
Movies & Television
|
lqQpaXdTvUPRWLF1xUuf
|
london-breed-is-reelected-mayor-of
|
London Breed is re-elected Mayor of San Francisco in 2024
| null | 1,690,959,274,267
| 1,731,274,924,973
| 1,731,274,924,973
|
NO
| 0.01
| 16,393.035516
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
t91npknjp5
|
will-anyone-say-childless-cat-ladie--cash
|
Will anyone say "childless cat ladies" during the VP debate?
| null | 1,727,813,997,825
| 1,727,837,807,596
| 1,727,894,052,121
|
NO
| 0.04
| 1,085.152644
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
5e39tbzv9o
|
will-october-2024-be-the-hottest-oc-xe4n98b94o
|
Will October 2024 be the hottest October ever? [NCEI]
| null | 1,725,377,401,642
| 1,731,513,504,310
| 1,731,513,504,310
|
NO
| 0.01
| 22,959.008127
|
Geopolitics
|
Economic Indicators
|
Si1DxLpnQfU4JDEBcmtn
|
will-trump-ever-run-as-an-independe
|
Will Trump ever run as an independent in the 2024 presidential election?
| null | 1,672,341,189,884
| 1,730,953,355,592
| 1,730,953,355,592
|
NO
| 0.019498
| 11,953.40607
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
huLFNWopJzEfLaV2817w
|
will-bitcoin-reach-100k-usd-before
|
Will Bitcoin reach $100K USD before the end of 2025?
| null | 1,714,678,859,343
| 1,733,371,144,547
| 1,733,371,144,547
|
YES
| 0.99
| 2,557.888035
|
Finance
|
Markets & Trading
|
16FLwUCPAqQGBBcaAyxx
|
does-caroline-ellison-get-1-years-s
|
Does Caroline Ellison get >=1 years sentence?
| null | 1,670,894,444,596
| 1,727,218,453,758
| 1,727,218,453,758
|
YES
| 0.98
| 26,765.038904
|
Politics
|
Public Policy & Social Issues
|
SrgSnl9aInDBpC50shlW
|
nfl-week-12-nov-24-2024-will-the-gr
|
NFL Week 12 (Nov 24 2024): Will the Green Bay Packers (home) beat the San Francisco 49ers (away)?
| null | 1,715,834,442,151
| 1,732,656,300,000
| 1,733,810,574,640
|
YES
| 0.99
| 913.810705
|
Sports
|
Professional Sports
|
jUOcVBvl4LHEhkK7GBuG
|
will-the-raiders-trade-davante-adam
|
Will the Raiders trade Davante Adams in 2024?
| null | 1,714,779,577,350
| 1,729,480,361,334
| 1,729,480,361,334
|
YES
| 0.99
| 1,332.066772
|
Sports
|
Professional Sports
|
c26fb89nsw
|
bounty-market-will-bounties-be-reen
|
Bounty market: will bounties be reenabled this week?
| null | 1,728,271,601,993
| 1,728,536,386,927
| 1,728,536,386,927
|
YES
| 0.99
| 12,681.56057
|
Gaming
|
Gaming Culture
|
cyPMykWlDtNqIjC4sQgm
|
will-ted-cruz-be-backed-by-donald-t
|
Will Ted Cruz be backed by Donald Trump for any office he runs for?
| null | 1,672,426,110,532
| 1,730,851,140,000
| 1,731,810,980,089
|
YES
| 0.983974
| 830.426491
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
TMT2REc2UH6frRPDRrwv
|
will-daniel-ricciardo-finish-ahead
|
Will Daniel Ricciardo finish ahead of Oliver Bearman in the 2024 WDC?
| null | 1,711,642,761,079
| 1,733,671,105,996
| 1,733,671,105,996
|
YES
| 0.966147
| 5,837.628583
|
Sports
|
Formula 1
|
txrcneyvfs
|
well-the-sp-500-stock-index-close-h
|
Well the S&{P 500 stock index close higher on Oct 11 than it closed on Oct 4---(5751.07)?
| null | 1,728,072,748,585
| 1,728,676,994,497
| 1,728,676,994,497
|
YES
| 0.99
| 2,435.165505
|
Finance
|
Markets & Trading
|
5OSZq5Ig9U
|
will-bitcoin-hit-100000-before-dec
|
Will Bitcoin hit $100,000 before Dec 1?
| null | 1,732,230,754,980
| 1,733,029,594,977
| 1,733,029,594,977
|
NO
| 0.00922
| 4,803.051697
|
Finance
|
Markets & Trading
|
VN367Tfye4jUCUEZgrkZ
|
will-an-effective-altruist-be-the-d
|
Will an Effective Altruist be the Democratic Party nominee for a US Congress seat in the 2024 elections?
| null | 1,674,187,702,732
| 1,731,472,869,066
| 1,731,472,869,066
|
NO
| 0.056324
| 708.80139
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
SOMdE8FNnNo6kJOO8M0N
|
will-manifold-reach-15000-daily-act
|
Will Manifold reach 15,000 daily active users (7-day average) before Oct 1st?
| null | 1,708,423,189,534
| 1,727,765,940,000
| 1,727,886,125,306
|
NO
| 0.01
| 1,317,509.355551
|
Technology
|
Internet & Digital Services
|
2QptQs2yP0
|
will-haoqi-score-90-or-more-on-the
|
Will Haoqi score 75 or more on the 2024 AMC 10A?
| null | 1,730,866,871,649
| 1,730,923,140,000
| 1,731,131,738,423
|
NO
| 0.493133
| 427.050939
|
Sports
|
Individual Sports
|
5dfWX5Lh1DmrzZmb2R5t
|
will-taylor-swift-make-3-or-more-tw-64a9a6e1a55a
|
Will Taylor Swift make 3 or more Tweeter(X) posts in Sep 2024?
| null | 1,707,011,705,284
| 1,727,755,196,395
| 1,727,788,580,730
|
NO
| 0.01
| 1,070.238848
|
Entertainment
|
Celebrity & Pop Culture
|
O2Pn99SRQy
|
-world-series-game-5-dodgers-yankee
|
⚾️ World Series Game 5 Dodgers @ Yankees: Will there be a run scored in the 1st inning?
| null | 1,730,291,367,547
| 1,730,333,979,953
| 1,730,333,979,953
|
YES
| 0.99
| 10,299.871289
|
Sports
|
Professional Sports
|
UCEg2EcIhR
|
will-pakistan-win-the-2nd-odi-again
|
Will Pakistan win the 2nd ODI against Australia in their 2024-25 tour?
| null | 1,730,725,161,946
| 1,731,147,023,692
| 1,731,147,023,692
|
YES
| 0.842277
| 230
|
Sports
|
Team Sports
|
lviway83fm
|
will-trump-win-door
|
Will Trump win Door?
| null | 1,725,747,686,565
| 1,730,872,740,000
| 1,731,257,275,535
|
NO
| 0.39878
| 235
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
Zk061MvIU7VfSUfcYujX
|
will-any-foreign-bank-loan-trump-mo
|
Will any foreign bank loan Trump money to pay any of his civil judgements before the general election?
| null | 1,709,749,589,902
| 1,731,351,674,193
| 1,731,351,674,193
|
NO
| 0.125072
| 2,799.965185
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
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