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values |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ijmkmtzb5l
|
will-there-be-a-break-between-chain-6xln0cp84c
|
Will there be a break between Chainsaw Man chapters 181 and 182?
| null | 1,729,016,558,183
| 1,730,828,460,221
| 1,730,828,462,951
|
NO
| 0.438323
| 132
|
Entertainment
|
Books & Literature
|
uTCX9a7tpktgnO3H7mvB
|
will-jerry-dyer-be-reelected-mayor
|
Will Jerry Dyer be re-elected mayor of Fresno, California in 2024?
| null | 1,697,661,071,809
| 1,731,291,392,040
| 1,731,291,392,040
|
YES
| 0.982404
| 701
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
8kyziml4si
|
will-claude35-opus-launch-before-oc
|
Will Claude-3.5 Opus launch before October 18th?
| null | 1,728,622,025,445
| 1,729,270,740,000
| 1,729,297,834,043
|
NO
| 0.01
| 5,556.497034
|
Technology
|
Emerging Technologies
|
vp8b77k9qg
|
will-shohei-ohtani-hit-50-hr-at-48
|
Will Shohei Ohtani hit 50 HR? At 48 HR with 11 games to go ⚾🇯🇵
| null | 1,726,687,660,884
| 1,726,792,669,590
| 1,726,792,669,590
|
YES
| 0.99
| 59,596.864676
|
Sports
|
Professional Sports
|
7cn2mjfhnc
|
will-kai-cenat-interview-kamala-har
|
Will Kai Cenat interview Kamala Harris or Tim Walz before November 2024?
| null | 1,723,025,884,779
| 1,730,519,940,000
| 1,730,526,139,024
|
NO
| 0.01455
| 8,873.4653
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
IOeEzsRl7hRfyjW28xpH
|
by-end-sep-2024-my-tesla-model-y-fs
|
By end sep 2024, My Tesla Model Y FSD screen is less annoying
| null | 1,715,298,683,288
| 1,729,957,619,465
| 1,729,957,619,465
|
NO
| 0.39
| 45
|
Technology
|
Mobile & Consumer Electronics
|
D6YOm9IMZMjgAmf3Qwf6
|
will-jensen-huang-speak-at-any-publ
|
Will Jensen Huang speak at any public event while not wearing a leather jacket before October 2024?
| null | 1,711,168,271,753
| 1,727,364,424,554
| 1,727,364,424,554
|
YES
| 0.99
| 24,125.764478
|
Celebrity & Pop Culture
|
Celebrity & Pop Culture
|
NZuZLnNl9Z
|
trump-will-win-fl-by-more-than-18
|
Trump will win FL by more than 18%
| null | 1,730,839,883,218
| 1,730,909,824,471
| 1,730,909,824,471
|
NO
| 0.019023
| 735.886825
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
3jVXm8gTzhoD4FzBc6aM
|
will-bashar-alassad-be-in-power-in-ad3075b480e8
|
Will Bashar al-Assad be in power in Syria until the end of 2025?
| null | 1,697,009,419,513
| 1,733,952,344,274
| 1,733,952,344,274
|
NO
| 0.004897
| 13,682.225719
|
Geopolitics
|
Regional Affairs
|
mlsWMHqCNd4JXFhnSL1A
|
will-there-be-a-cubecon-2024
|
Will there be a CubeCon 2024?
| null | 1,704,320,980,643
| 1,732,476,031,261
| 1,732,476,031,261
|
YES
| 0.99
| 1,294.498524
|
Entertainment
|
Gaming
|
IOuQcpXpJgc2T13Et2cf
|
will-us-total-co2-emissions-be-belo
|
Will US total CO2 emissions be below 5 billion tons in 2023?
| null | 1,671,465,497,948
| 1,733,069,442,844
| 1,733,069,442,844
|
NO
| 0.010057
| 14,256.554392
|
Finance
|
Economic Indicators
|
MJytyuLuSqq5wHY6ekv3
|
miles-routledge-aka-lord-miles-goes
|
Miles Routledge aka Lord Miles goes to Afghanistan again in 2024
| null | 1,704,127,222,985
| 1,734,048,825,365
| 1,734,048,825,365
|
YES
| 0.964891
| 425
|
Geopolitics
|
Regional Affairs
|
hhdr2dtdxq
|
shortfuse-will-walt-disney-world-cl
|
[short-fuse 💣] Will Walt Disney World close in relation to Hurricane Milton?
| null | 1,728,395,270,885
| 1,728,429,287,948
| 1,728,429,287,948
|
YES
| 0.99
| 894.987437
|
Entertainment
|
Movies & Television
|
VhGm1jvJ7YXKWe1rL6Sx
|
elon-musk-and-the-2024-president-el
|
Elon Musk and the 2024 president elect or inaugurated new pres appear in a photo together before mid 2025
| null | 1,717,131,525,979
| 1,731,089,577,677
| 1,731,089,577,677
|
YES
| 0.66384
| 860
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
1tecb0n256
|
will-one-or-more-of-texas-florida-n--cash
|
Will one or more of Texas, Florida, New Hampshire, or Minnesota flip in the 2024 presidential election?
| null | 1,728,156,822,533
| 1,730,880,360,397
| 1,730,937,300,617
|
NO
| 0.033933
| 690.393418
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
x2u77m64x4
|
will-one-of-my-mattybs-markets-be-a
|
Will one of my (@mattyb’s) markets be a Sweepstakes in 2024?
| null | 1,727,650,975,543
| 1,728,509,107,702
| 1,728,509,107,702
|
YES
| 0.99
| 936.343517
|
Sports
|
Sports Culture & Recreation
|
arexwa5pp0
|
will-apple-remain-largest-company-t
|
Will Apple (AAPL) remain the largest company through Sept 30th? 🍎📈💰
| null | 1,724,992,295,818
| 1,727,765,940,000
| 1,727,778,723,681
|
YES
| 0.99
| 5,071.129267
|
Finance
|
Markets & Trading
|
72gbNekyaCeyHDsk5NpG
|
will-jon-tester-outperform-biden-by
|
Will Jon Tester outperform the Democratic presidential nominee by double digits?
| null | 1,712,404,158,026
| 1,731,364,409,539
| 1,731,364,409,539
|
YES
| 0.968837
| 12,462.380745
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
4DkyQrO9VmyTdblFCvhN
|
does-the-next-us-president-currentl
|
Does the next US President currently hold the title of Governor? (As if January 2023)
| null | 1,672,959,108,458
| 1,732,297,815,653
| 1,732,297,815,653
|
NO
| 0.018789
| 6,523.610093
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
tq60qcum5h
|
polymarketlinked-will-either-candid
|
[Polymarket-linked] Will either candidate say a slur at the VP debate?
| null | 1,727,820,826,025
| 1,727,852,340,000
| 1,727,870,880,941
|
NO
| 0.01
| 1,061.87603
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
vyoppkebe7
|
bitcoin-above-65000-on-october-25
|
Bitcoin above $65000 on October 25?
| null | 1,727,483,773,532
| 1,729,839,540,000
| 1,729,854,306,443
|
YES
| 0.99
| 15,817.129032
|
Finance
|
Markets & Trading
|
sB7KtxFXP6r7ZMqMvVzC
|
will-microsoft-drop-openai-by-the-e
|
Will Microsoft drop OpenAI as a partner by the end of 2024?
| null | 1,700,492,597,654
| 1,735,660,740,000
| 1,735,663,501,123
|
NO
| 0.143327
| 181
|
Technology
|
Tech Industry & Business
|
botla08m8z
|
the-birthday-paradox
|
The birthday paradox
| null | 1,727,913,800,456
| 1,728,433,718,103
| 1,728,433,948,783
|
NO
| 0.49
| 249.547381
|
Technology
|
Emerging Technologies
|
0mfmh8bckg
|
will-jd-vances-favourability-improv
|
Will JD Vance's Favourability improve 2 weeks after the VP debate?
| null | 1,727,791,686,163
| 1,729,016,940,000
| 1,729,026,633,419
|
YES
| 0.99
| 2,522.56026
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
svySpZNGmq6JJcoNghu2
|
will-any-state-be-decided-by-01-in
|
Will any state be decided by <0.1% in the 2024 presidential election?
| null | 1,686,115,483,859
| 1,733,032,740,000
| 1,733,043,994,859
|
NO
| 0.024199
| 5,486.31948
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
g8ZO0IBFGsEeFs2awQvT
|
will-susan-collins-endorse-trump
|
Will Susan Collins endorse Trump?
| null | 1,681,992,237,917
| 1,731,128,340,000
| 1,731,437,594,466
|
NO
| 0.016664
| 6,855.907656
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
dggAmZN0Sj7Wf4L9Y4eH
|
will-canon-ship-a-nanoimprint-litho
|
Will Canon ship a nanoimprint lithography (NIL) tool before the end of 2025?
| null | 1,709,794,500,243
| 1,733,053,860,826
| 1,733,053,860,826
|
YES
| 0.502301
| 32.498594
|
Technology
|
Tech Industry & Business
|
l158o9jd9f
|
will-november-2024-will-be-the-warm
|
Will November 2024 will be the warmest month of November ever recorded (worldwide) ?
| null | 1,725,629,811,044
| 1,733,525,940,000
| 1,733,736,081,939
|
NO
| 0.019649
| 1,760.8194
|
Finance
|
Economic Indicators
|
SEMajxHBW6nWsBjJNwvM
|
will-the-price-of-bitcoin-surpass-1-9c0a8a0d684f
|
Bitcoin $100K by Dec 31, 2025?
| null | 1,704,864,920,881
| 1,733,370,995,639
| 1,733,370,995,639
|
YES
| 0.993768
| 47,806.298591
|
Finance
|
Markets & Trading
|
ap1p0mkbym
|
will-this-market-close-between-45-5
|
Will this market close between 45% - 55%?
| null | 1,726,426,193,438
| 1,727,071,140,000
| 1,727,197,832,009
|
YES
| 0.55
| 4,659.47621
|
Finance
|
Markets & Trading
|
ltT4Oyqc5KKa18tzqWpt
|
will-a-republican-reclaim-the-senat
|
Will a Republican reclaim the Senate seat of West Virginia now that Manchin is not seeking reelection?
| null | 1,699,619,719,682
| 1,730,955,540,000
| 1,730,956,027,341
|
YES
| 0.99
| 2,194.397782
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
ggA7ms1I8Zbm0ZxW1DNH
|
will-any-african-country-experience
|
Will any African country experience a significant economic growth rate above 5% in the next fiscal year?
| null | 1,691,002,368,275
| 1,704,095,940,000
| 1,733,083,966,102
|
YES
| 0.942918
| 853.639993
|
Finance
|
Economic Indicators
|
u2LnC0ZQ5N
|
will-there-be-any-break-between-kag-S08slN8h8E
|
Will there be any break between Kagurabachi chapters 61 and 62?
| null | 1,733,677,050,395
| 1,734,279,987,154
| 1,734,279,989,709
|
NO
| 0.4901
| 20
|
Entertainment
|
Books & Literature
|
TVumWspMWeg7eRfyRuTl
|
will-i-solve-the-alignment-problem
|
Will I solve the alignment problem in 2024?
| null | 1,704,069,487,432
| 1,731,347,353,909
| 1,731,347,353,909
|
NO
| 0.040633
| 2,783.857813
|
Technology
|
Emerging Technologies
|
zCKz1dWDe6tkIWdFDmhj
|
nfl-week-8-oct-27-2024-will-the-hou
|
NFL Week 8 (Oct 27 2024): Will the Houston Texans (home) beat the Indianapolis Colts (away)?
| null | 1,715,834,134,899
| 1,730,221,200,000
| 1,730,235,730,141
|
YES
| 0.99
| 930.433033
|
Sports
|
Professional Sports
|
0dRZtSyOPO
|
will-selzer-outpredict-silver-in-th--cash
|
Will Selzer out-predict Silver in the 2024 Iowa presidential election?
| null | 1,730,599,926,240
| 1,730,947,746,900
| 1,731,050,130,982
|
NO
| 0.010033
| 1,390.012632
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
gtxwphg30z
|
will-the-fbi-conclude-its-investiga
|
Will the FBI conclude its investigation into the assassination attempt on former President Trump by the end of 2024?
| null | 1,720,956,828,212
| 1,735,671,540,000
| 1,735,682,110,423
|
NO
| 0.031799
| 520
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
7i8db9ad7x
|
will-ohio-issue-1-be-passed-in-this
|
Will Ohio Issue 1 be passed in this electoral session?
| null | 1,727,543,349,845
| 1,728,187,140,000
| 1,733,073,851,993
|
NO
| 0.702124
| 55
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
tgrBQnDh5J8QwOPnjA8c
|
if-the-democratic-nominee-wins-ne2
|
If the Democratic nominee wins NE-2, will they win the presidency (2024)?
| null | 1,690,426,678,536
| 1,730,878,588,871
| 1,730,878,588,871
|
NO
| 0.065827
| 354.591183
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
1BrDgCHeXVHWQZMBGsLR
|
will-there-be-an-ai-language-model
|
Will there be an AI language model that strongly surpasses ChatGPT and other OpenAI models before the end of 2024?
| null | 1,682,935,120,592
| 1,735,651,740,000
| 1,735,653,576,756
|
NO
| 0.020816
| 368,768.621363
|
Technology
|
Emerging Technologies
|
9kp1w6mx57
|
-2024-ncaaf-will-florida-defeat-ken
|
🏈 2024 NCAAF: Will Florida defeat Kentucky?
| null | 1,729,254,297,560
| 1,729,395,300,305
| 1,729,395,300,305
|
YES
| 0.99
| 9,188.756466
|
Sports
|
Team Sports
|
o9coc8p4sh
|
formula-1-2024-will-sergio-perez-be
|
Formula 1 2024 - Will Sergio Perez be dropped or replaced mid-season? (Includes being replaced for any reason)
| null | 1,720,446,486,267
| 1,733,788,740,000
| 1,734,456,873,829
|
NO
| 0.01
| 21,309.169806
|
Sports
|
Professional Sports
|
zdhAODow9Td6IsZadjoj
|
biden-does-not-pardon-trump-before
|
Will Biden lose the 2024 election AND NOT pardon Trump before November 5th, 2024?
| null | 1,716,951,331,454
| 1,730,916,041,190
| 1,730,916,041,190
|
YES
| 0.981301
| 6,337
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
tc3e4oy9k6
|
will-this-market-get-more-than-25-t
|
will this prediction market get 25 or more traders?
| null | 1,724,511,575,594
| 1,727,128,740,000
| 1,727,177,236,193
|
YES
| 0.99
| 1,610.607561
|
Finance
|
Markets & Trading
|
PAvH7Rppec8nwhjm8Auf
|
will-a-player-hit-two-grand-slams-i
|
Will a player hit two Grand Slams in one Major League Baseball game in 2024?
| null | 1,709,930,051,574
| 1,731,016,527,031
| 1,731,016,527,031
|
NO
| 0.033455
| 3,211.679282
|
Sports
|
Professional Sports
|
DQ0qLVhgzfLFQHIXZ4Di
|
will-jskf-coauthor-a-neurips-or-icm
|
Will @jskf coauthor a NeurIPS or ICML conference publication before end of 2024?
| null | 1,695,325,402,229
| 1,727,425,867,611
| 1,727,425,867,611
|
NO
| 0.06
| 292.024324
|
Technology
|
Emerging Technologies
|
0RH5GmobQZXu65lUteZk
|
will-germany-recognize-the-state-of
|
Will Germany recognize the State of Palestine by the end of 2024?
| null | 1,716,472,405,983
| 1,735,649,940,000
| 1,735,652,163,147
|
NO
| 0.014363
| 21,565.384278
|
Geopolitics
|
International Relations
|
6RtS5th9lC
|
will-gladiator-2-2024-receive-a-cin
|
Will "Gladiator 2" (2024) receive a CinemaScore of A- or above?
| null | 1,731,967,028,587
| 1,732,334,340,000
| 1,732,462,911,103
|
NO
| 0.1697
| 2,719.831764
|
Entertainment
|
Movies & Television
|
jy5h4iATOi2Q49pe8QOf
|
will-china-start-building-another-m
|
Will China start building another military base in Africa before 1st August 2024?
| null | 1,694,452,108,743
| 1,722,553,140,000
| 1,727,887,715,452
|
NO
| 0.02
| 1,976.771804
|
Geopolitics
|
Global Conflicts
|
hPBmyFIE48tYGgZgrUPR
|
will-takane-lui-hit-1-million-subsc
|
Will Takane Lui hit 1 million subscribers on YouTube before 2025?
| null | 1,682,324,622,666
| 1,731,928,529,325
| 1,731,928,529,325
|
YES
| 0.989988
| 1,995.627542
|
Entertainment
|
Celebrity & Pop Culture
|
A2S6wUo1yncfooroGgNQ
|
will-the-suez-canal-be-closed-for-a
|
Will the Suez Canal be closed for a full week for any reason by the end of 2024?
| null | 1,702,741,232,907
| 1,735,680,525,605
| 1,735,680,525,605
|
NO
| 0.040865
| 3,471.613897
|
Geopolitics
|
Regional Affairs
|
470grt9grx
|
will-i-be-on-the-leaderboard-before
|
Will I be on the leaderboard before the end of the year?
| null | 1,724,900,449,129
| 1,729,283,032,572
| 1,729,283,032,572
|
YES
| 0.99
| 896.34419
|
Sports
|
Individual Sports
|
fkbbrdoglp
|
will-jimmy-carter-ever-appear-on-ta
|
Will Jimmy Carter ever appear on Talk Tuah?
| null | 1,727,239,176,348
| 1,735,526,103,509
| 1,735,526,103,509
|
NO
| 0.01
| 8,992.973128
|
Entertainment
|
Celebrity & Pop Culture
|
Q7iP8LWPP3X6zzx9Fu1v
|
will-jack-smith-ask-a-judge-to-dism
|
Will Jack Smith ask a judge to dismiss/drop any of the charges against Trump by the end of 2024?
| null | 1,703,957,096,682
| 1,732,806,497,139
| 1,732,806,497,139
|
YES
| 0.999333
| 4,084.111712
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
51tQbnGvFNtUkbi27eSc
|
will-joe-manchin-run-for-president-a7de62c7460c
|
Will Joe Manchin run for president in 2024?
| null | 1,699,568,652,681
| 1,730,740,194,081
| 1,730,740,194,081
|
NO
| 0.025682
| 16,015.503016
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
LQaGxlRCt4E9sy0eqHAd
|
if-trump-wins-the-2024-election-wil-6e67c74412ee
|
If Trump wins the 2024 election, will his vice president be Vivek Ramaswamy?
| null | 1,705,006,039,992
| 1,731,015,496,403
| 1,731,015,496,403
|
NO
| 0.034067
| 13,599.052568
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
dqwp8lrp38
|
will-the-2024-us-election-have-an-o
|
Will the 2024 US election have an outcome that cannot be certified by the reasonable observers?
| null | 1,724,771,150,678
| 1,735,622,182,648
| 1,735,622,182,648
|
NO
| 0.01
| 10,617.86273
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
KS2WftLLUKQqb7xLmOSx
|
will-mark-meadows-run-for-any-offic
|
Will Mark Meadows run for any office in 2024?
| null | 1,681,616,284,252
| 1,733,993,844,301
| 1,733,993,844,301
|
NO
| 0.01332
| 10,741.604325
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
quzqEQNL5Q
|
will-there-be-any-break-between-kag-POZA02u89c
|
Will there be any break between Kagurabachi chapters 57 and 58?
| null | 1,730,652,790,158
| 1,731,257,737,855
| 1,731,257,740,334
|
NO
| 0.452489
| 100
|
Entertainment
|
Books & Literature
|
rzgsad2cj9
|
will-there-be-at-least-4-decisive-c
|
Will there be at least 4 decisive classical games in the 2024 World Chess Championship?
| null | 1,728,429,842,522
| 1,733,754,598,742
| 1,733,754,598,742
|
YES
| 0.996835
| 39,086.28684
|
Sports
|
Individual Sports
|
k2bWAttzR9ovUT6CH7Bj
|
will-the-cardinals-win-86-or-more-g
|
Will the Cardinals win 86 or more games in the 2024 MLB regular season?
| null | 1,705,733,064,748
| 1,727,679,540,000
| 1,727,695,426,274
|
NO
| 0.04
| 511.637109
|
Sports
|
Professional Sports
|
20licAYOOqYTSKl5v1wx
|
in-the-2024-us-presidential-electio-0ebfda1d95a8
|
In the 2024 US presidential election, will there be at least one faithless elector?
| null | 1,704,074,542,034
| 1,735,531,402,018
| 1,735,531,402,018
|
NO
| 0.009904
| 28,232.29631
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
qRIsC0CcnN
|
can-i-go-2-weeks-without-finding-ou-0RNcRtuCdz
|
Can I go 2 weeks without finding out if Kimberly found out if Wott found out if TBTBTB found out who won the election??
| null | 1,731,439,270,404
| 1,731,584,424,808
| 1,731,584,424,808
|
NO
| 0.076879
| 1,792.000159
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
UlVUJrlxEIpMqhS1wKDq
|
nfl-week-6-oct-13-will-the-tennesse
|
NFL Week 6 (Oct 13): Will the Tennessee Titans beat the Indianapolis Colts?
| null | 1,715,834,031,330
| 1,728,953,615,564
| 1,728,953,615,564
|
NO
| 0.01
| 1,045.174929
|
Sports
|
Professional Sports
|
o6bH2F4d1CthP4TfOoLi
|
if-the-democratic-nominee-wins-minn
|
If the Democratic nominee wins Minnesota, will they win the presidency (2024)?
| null | 1,690,426,506,119
| 1,730,879,527,351
| 1,730,879,527,351
|
NO
| 0.021256
| 1,007.354577
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
FlTbqX9WMR5xZDrGPNUE
|
will-there-be-concrete-evidence-of
|
Will there be concrete evidence of a Chess GM cheating over the board before then end of 2024?
| null | 1,705,034,962,053
| 1,729,340,776,923
| 1,729,340,776,923
|
YES
| 0.78
| 1,458.738346
|
Sports
|
Individual Sports
|
KdRVRuh4cMWm5wvY1tR0
|
will-sabatos-crystal-make-a-forecas
|
Will Sabato's Crystal make a forecast for all state legislative chambers up for election in 2024?
| null | 1,706,828,518,044
| 1,731,131,940,000
| 1,731,133,691,674
|
NO
| 0.401369
| 58
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
ITZRQIsxeWfAtuB0guqd
|
will-donald-trump-still-be-alive-by-9e50c5922d02
|
Will Donald Trump still be alive by the end of November?
| null | 1,710,880,307,428
| 1,733,007,540,000
| 1,733,007,677,593
|
YES
| 0.989424
| 4,345.173553
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
m3WN6m3tqYKzh0QHtBhu
|
will-ruturaj-gaikwad-be-replaced-by
|
Will Ruturaj Gaikwad be replaced by any other team member of CSK as captain in IPL 2024?
| null | 1,711,268,386,114
| 1,716,747,240,000
| 1,735,676,797,686
|
NO
| 0.03387
| 1,014.163072
|
Sports
|
Professional Sports
|
jvbhseaorj
|
will-more-americans-pick-the-winnin
|
Will a higher % of Americans pick the winning candidate in 2024 than in 2020? [ READ DESCRIPTION ]
| null | 1,725,308,765,743
| 1,732,165,863,864
| 1,732,165,870,348
|
NO
| 0.009963
| 11,189.724466
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
RKrZ7itWVMk8N22ZGYQw
|
2024-formula-1-season-will-max-vers
|
[2024 Formula 1 Season] Will Max Verstappen win the Constructors Championship by himself?
| null | 1,700,756,572,616
| 1,729,694,087,921
| 1,729,694,087,921
|
NO
| 0.02
| 6,301.909758
|
Sports
|
Professional Sports
|
1ouu9upb0m
|
will-the-forbidden-forecast-correct
|
Will the Forbidden Forecast correctly predict the result of the 2024 election?
| null | 1,729,230,239,182
| 1,730,786,340,000
| 1,730,925,007,300
|
NO
| 0.558222
| 176
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
EFFAbH6BCkVXMiIyweZW
|
will-any-iranian-citizen-be-indicte
|
Will any Iranian citizen be indicted in the US for interfering with the 2024 election?
| null | 1,705,639,544,059
| 1,727,597,228,847
| 1,727,597,228,847
|
YES
| 0.99
| 946.517894
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
bguGmUeW5gu1csE7ORi8
|
will-bitcoin-reach-100k-before-it-r
|
Will Bitcoin reach $100k before it reaches $10k?
| null | 1,701,446,939,232
| 1,733,373,311,446
| 1,733,373,311,446
|
YES
| 0.990895
| 14,281.887674
|
Finance
|
Markets & Trading
|
2D0kci9LIgvHg9eKIoza
|
will-the-candidate-who-wins-nevada
|
Will the candidate who wins Nevada win the 2024 POTUS election?
| null | 1,690,286,612,153
| 1,731,431,197,276
| 1,731,431,197,276
|
YES
| 0.99
| 1,067.04417
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
0m2HGw8Pd4ZTIgga0Pzv
|
2024-formula-1-season-will-sergio-p
|
[2024 Formula 1 Season] Will Sergio Perez finish 2nd or higher in the Drivers Championship?
| null | 1,700,757,420,529
| 1,733,685,773,675
| 1,733,685,773,675
|
NO
| 0.01011
| 14,877.116408
|
Sports
|
Individual Sports
|
f0xx5qpj6k
|
will-any-of-the-videos-uploaded-to-epk9naclpt
|
Will any of the videos uploaded to Ms Rachel's YouTube channel in November 2024 surpass 5 million views?
| null | 1,729,086,615,197
| 1,732,846,744,066
| 1,732,846,744,066
|
YES
| 0.99
| 8,949.874371
|
Entertainment
|
Movies & Television
|
1p2u96q3sb
|
will-keychains-be-added-in-counters
|
Will keychains be added in Counter-Strike 2 during 2024?
| null | 1,723,215,005,121
| 1,728,040,505,992
| 1,728,040,505,992
|
YES
| 0.61
| 25
|
Gaming
|
Gaming
|
hw4r4bl5qy
|
will-the-538-nate-silver-presidenti
|
Will the 538 & Nate Silver presidential forecasts once again disagree by >7% before the election?
| null | 1,727,707,140,836
| 1,730,753,684,515
| 1,730,823,711,043
|
NO
| 0.151927
| 1,466.528045
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
lewl7m1dbr
|
will-jd-vance-or-tim-walz-say-the-w
|
Will JD Vance or Tim Walz say the word "couch" during the debate?
| null | 1,727,812,993,894
| 1,727,852,340,000
| 1,728,349,558,106
|
NO
| 0.01
| 9,731.223299
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
K49i7CUyxaVWwXkSr0eB
|
will-a-democrat-win-the-2024-presid-923b17a69619
|
Will a democrat win the 2024 presidential election in Florida?
| null | 1,670,814,187,443
| 1,730,912,009,561
| 1,730,912,009,561
|
NO
| 0.018313
| 20,053.677779
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
TVuPwa6aKF0dARLQO10u
|
will-alyssa-farah-run-for-any-offic
|
Will Alyssa Farah run for any office in 2024?
| null | 1,681,616,126,069
| 1,733,993,819,145
| 1,733,993,819,145
|
NO
| 0.010097
| 13,850.483987
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
ldgAtR56UZ
|
will-the-sp-500-stock-index-close-h-62I5ZCggPZ
|
Will the S&P 500 stock index close higher on Nov 4 than it closed on Nov 1?
| null | 1,730,491,668,404
| 1,730,754,178,840
| 1,730,754,178,840
|
NO
| 0.081553
| 551.768725
|
Finance
|
Markets & Trading
|
xtgv88jhfc
|
daily-coinflip-la9hr84ero
|
Daily coinflip
| null | 1,729,569,968,481
| 1,729,742,340,000
| 1,729,742,612,752
|
YES
| 0.49
| 4,698.017455
|
Sports
|
Sports Culture & Recreation
|
ge2U9EQO6QOVgUyYPMmv
|
will-the-los-angees-angels-make-the
|
Will the Los Angeles Angels make the 2024 postseason?
| null | 1,713,743,130,313
| 1,727,334,149,127
| 1,727,334,149,127
|
NO
| 0.01
| 1,515.961276
|
Sports
|
Professional Sports
|
dpoKZWNjhsctQ8GWMxuw
|
will-the-palestinian-authority-take
|
Will the Palestinian Authority take over Gaza deposing Hamas by the end of September 2024 ?
| null | 1,697,033,917,157
| 1,727,668,740,000
| 1,727,887,683,499
|
NO
| 0.01
| 1,307.806772
|
Geopolitics
|
Global Conflicts
|
1mRMNkXL9Vrbns2lXBTz
|
will-the-voter-turnout-in-the-2024-4538fa41c159
|
Will the voter turnout in the 2024 Presidential election be 64% or larger?
| null | 1,705,763,537,896
| 1,735,233,350,944
| 1,735,233,350,944
|
NO
| 0.094816
| 4,690.027519
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
mfu5y57wdq
|
will-there-be-any-break-between-one-jnhh7rxjpb
|
Will there be any break between One Piece chapters 1130 and 1131?
| null | 1,728,413,362,775
| 1,728,914,294,359
| 1,728,914,309,481
|
YES
| 0.92
| 3,051
|
Entertainment
|
Books & Literature
|
bHVmBKKpORWLXmmCA0JK
|
will-the-who-declare-a-public-healt-f6a054a85532
|
Will the WHO declare a public health emergency of international concern over strep A in 2024?
| null | 1,710,804,484,611
| 1,735,657,140,000
| 1,735,657,523,391
|
NO
| 0.041627
| 474.726405
|
Geopolitics
|
Global Governance
|
V9mUtMRTpzxhTHGDCE3J
|
will-egan-bernal-win-a-professional
|
Will Egan Bernal win a professional race he competes against Jonas Vingegaard, in the 2024 UCI season?
| null | 1,706,688,047,662
| 1,729,621,724,185
| 1,729,621,724,185
|
NO
| 0.02
| 1,902.919386
|
Sports
|
Individual Sports
|
haoUKaAH1h7t6BKq19Ee
|
will-bitcoin-hit-100k-before-jan-1s
|
Will Bitcoin hit 100k before Jan 1st 2025?
| null | 1,697,151,258,909
| 1,733,418,899,659
| 1,733,418,899,659
|
YES
| 0.997468
| 27,692.017236
|
Finance
|
Markets & Trading
|
TDBoeeOV0XkFi7fil08l
|
will-trump-lose-but-not-concede-the
|
Will Trump lose but not concede the next presidential election, and hold a rally in Washington DC on January 6 2025?
| null | 1,701,191,340,386
| 1,730,962,558,920
| 1,730,962,558,920
|
NO
| 0.01
| 20,499.810568
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
fwE4Cyk4UjpQDunmxYew
|
nfl-week-9-nov-3-2024-will-the-tenn
|
NFL Week 9 (Nov 3 2024): Will the Tennessee Titans (home) beat the New England Patriots (away)?
| null | 1,715,834,185,557
| 1,730,829,600,000
| 1,730,829,792,033
|
YES
| 0.99
| 905.461424
|
Sports
|
Professional Sports
|
yjlbpfj6t3
|
will-anyone-be-able-to-get-openais
|
Will anyone be able to get OpenAI’s new model o1 to leak its system message by EOY 2024?
| null | 1,726,176,926,163
| 1,734,331,249,243
| 1,734,331,254,770
|
YES
| 0.959635
| 22,680.846671
|
Technology
|
Emerging Technologies
|
Z5QUMRmrZg5eQIEGsOER
|
binary-induction-game-v1-if-the-nex-9a0dc1e418e4
|
Binary Induction Game v1: if the next state is 1, will it be 1↑ ?
| null | 1,699,877,871,733
| 1,719,784,740,000
| 1,729,484,633,459
|
YES
| 0.52
| 2
|
Technology
|
Gaming
|
9fyaavlivp
|
will-bidens-approval-rating-be-40-o-b82p33zhqf
|
Will Biden's approval rating be 40% or higher at the end of September 2024?
| null | 1,725,140,827,761
| 1,727,732,760,000
| 1,727,735,863,408
|
YES
| 0.99
| 2,054.544293
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
0wSyyKuZ0atHDj5N4A1D
|
will-moana-2-be-at-least-as-highly
|
Will Moana 2 be at least as highly rated on RottenTomatoes as Moana?
| null | 1,707,402,005,700
| 1,733,385,540,000
| 1,733,873,385,172
|
NO
| 0.01
| 2,301.611837
|
Entertainment
|
Movies & Television
|
aDKouSr5YPAuCG9IcxCz
|
will-we-expect-sbf-to-serve-more-th
|
Will we expect SBF to serve more than 15 years in prison?
| null | 1,699,674,907,848
| 1,731,301,140,000
| 1,731,362,589,705
|
YES
| 0.95
| 850.209564
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
silus6r4p9
|
will-400-of-manifold-users-agree-th
|
Will >= 40.0% of Manifold users agree that weak AGI has been achieved in October 2024?
| null | 1,727,784,422,622
| 1,729,655,940,000
| 1,730,460,438,386
|
NO
| 0.063264
| 7,376.467231
|
Technology
|
Emerging Technologies
|
xdwIrS1AIPJ5YFOMwGAo
|
will-manifold-demote-any-prize-mark
|
Will manifold demote any Prize Market to regular market ? (2024)
| null | 1,716,959,760,896
| 1,735,649,940,000
| 1,735,655,761,761
|
NO
| 0.04981
| 8,475.669081
|
Finance
|
Markets & Trading
|
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