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ijmkmtzb5l
will-there-be-a-break-between-chain-6xln0cp84c
Will there be a break between Chainsaw Man chapters 181 and 182?
null
1,729,016,558,183
1,730,828,460,221
1,730,828,462,951
NO
0.438323
132
Entertainment
Books & Literature
uTCX9a7tpktgnO3H7mvB
will-jerry-dyer-be-reelected-mayor
Will Jerry Dyer be re-elected mayor of Fresno, California in 2024?
null
1,697,661,071,809
1,731,291,392,040
1,731,291,392,040
YES
0.982404
701
Politics
Elections & Campaigns
8kyziml4si
will-claude35-opus-launch-before-oc
Will Claude-3.5 Opus launch before October 18th?
null
1,728,622,025,445
1,729,270,740,000
1,729,297,834,043
NO
0.01
5,556.497034
Technology
Emerging Technologies
vp8b77k9qg
will-shohei-ohtani-hit-50-hr-at-48
Will Shohei Ohtani hit 50 HR? At 48 HR with 11 games to go ⚾🇯🇵
null
1,726,687,660,884
1,726,792,669,590
1,726,792,669,590
YES
0.99
59,596.864676
Sports
Professional Sports
7cn2mjfhnc
will-kai-cenat-interview-kamala-har
Will Kai Cenat interview Kamala Harris or Tim Walz before November 2024?
null
1,723,025,884,779
1,730,519,940,000
1,730,526,139,024
NO
0.01455
8,873.4653
Politics
Elections & Campaigns
IOeEzsRl7hRfyjW28xpH
by-end-sep-2024-my-tesla-model-y-fs
By end sep 2024, My Tesla Model Y FSD screen is less annoying
null
1,715,298,683,288
1,729,957,619,465
1,729,957,619,465
NO
0.39
45
Technology
Mobile & Consumer Electronics
D6YOm9IMZMjgAmf3Qwf6
will-jensen-huang-speak-at-any-publ
Will Jensen Huang speak at any public event while not wearing a leather jacket before October 2024?
null
1,711,168,271,753
1,727,364,424,554
1,727,364,424,554
YES
0.99
24,125.764478
Celebrity & Pop Culture
Celebrity & Pop Culture
NZuZLnNl9Z
trump-will-win-fl-by-more-than-18
Trump will win FL by more than 18%
null
1,730,839,883,218
1,730,909,824,471
1,730,909,824,471
NO
0.019023
735.886825
Politics
Elections & Campaigns
3jVXm8gTzhoD4FzBc6aM
will-bashar-alassad-be-in-power-in-ad3075b480e8
Will Bashar al-Assad be in power in Syria until the end of 2025?
null
1,697,009,419,513
1,733,952,344,274
1,733,952,344,274
NO
0.004897
13,682.225719
Geopolitics
Regional Affairs
mlsWMHqCNd4JXFhnSL1A
will-there-be-a-cubecon-2024
Will there be a CubeCon 2024?
null
1,704,320,980,643
1,732,476,031,261
1,732,476,031,261
YES
0.99
1,294.498524
Entertainment
Gaming
IOuQcpXpJgc2T13Et2cf
will-us-total-co2-emissions-be-belo
Will US total CO2 emissions be below 5 billion tons in 2023?
null
1,671,465,497,948
1,733,069,442,844
1,733,069,442,844
NO
0.010057
14,256.554392
Finance
Economic Indicators
MJytyuLuSqq5wHY6ekv3
miles-routledge-aka-lord-miles-goes
Miles Routledge aka Lord Miles goes to Afghanistan again in 2024
null
1,704,127,222,985
1,734,048,825,365
1,734,048,825,365
YES
0.964891
425
Geopolitics
Regional Affairs
hhdr2dtdxq
shortfuse-will-walt-disney-world-cl
[short-fuse 💣] Will Walt Disney World close in relation to Hurricane Milton?
null
1,728,395,270,885
1,728,429,287,948
1,728,429,287,948
YES
0.99
894.987437
Entertainment
Movies & Television
VhGm1jvJ7YXKWe1rL6Sx
elon-musk-and-the-2024-president-el
Elon Musk and the 2024 president elect or inaugurated new pres appear in a photo together before mid 2025
null
1,717,131,525,979
1,731,089,577,677
1,731,089,577,677
YES
0.66384
860
Politics
Elections & Campaigns
1tecb0n256
will-one-or-more-of-texas-florida-n--cash
Will one or more of Texas, Florida, New Hampshire, or Minnesota flip in the 2024 presidential election?
null
1,728,156,822,533
1,730,880,360,397
1,730,937,300,617
NO
0.033933
690.393418
Politics
Elections & Campaigns
x2u77m64x4
will-one-of-my-mattybs-markets-be-a
Will one of my (@mattyb’s) markets be a Sweepstakes in 2024?
null
1,727,650,975,543
1,728,509,107,702
1,728,509,107,702
YES
0.99
936.343517
Sports
Sports Culture & Recreation
arexwa5pp0
will-apple-remain-largest-company-t
Will Apple (AAPL) remain the largest company through Sept 30th? 🍎📈💰
null
1,724,992,295,818
1,727,765,940,000
1,727,778,723,681
YES
0.99
5,071.129267
Finance
Markets & Trading
72gbNekyaCeyHDsk5NpG
will-jon-tester-outperform-biden-by
Will Jon Tester outperform the Democratic presidential nominee by double digits?
null
1,712,404,158,026
1,731,364,409,539
1,731,364,409,539
YES
0.968837
12,462.380745
Politics
Elections & Campaigns
4DkyQrO9VmyTdblFCvhN
does-the-next-us-president-currentl
Does the next US President currently hold the title of Governor? (As if January 2023)
null
1,672,959,108,458
1,732,297,815,653
1,732,297,815,653
NO
0.018789
6,523.610093
Politics
Elections & Campaigns
tq60qcum5h
polymarketlinked-will-either-candid
[Polymarket-linked] Will either candidate say a slur at the VP debate?
null
1,727,820,826,025
1,727,852,340,000
1,727,870,880,941
NO
0.01
1,061.87603
Politics
Elections & Campaigns
vyoppkebe7
bitcoin-above-65000-on-october-25
Bitcoin above $65000 on October 25?
null
1,727,483,773,532
1,729,839,540,000
1,729,854,306,443
YES
0.99
15,817.129032
Finance
Markets & Trading
sB7KtxFXP6r7ZMqMvVzC
will-microsoft-drop-openai-by-the-e
Will Microsoft drop OpenAI as a partner by the end of 2024?
null
1,700,492,597,654
1,735,660,740,000
1,735,663,501,123
NO
0.143327
181
Technology
Tech Industry & Business
botla08m8z
the-birthday-paradox
The birthday paradox
null
1,727,913,800,456
1,728,433,718,103
1,728,433,948,783
NO
0.49
249.547381
Technology
Emerging Technologies
0mfmh8bckg
will-jd-vances-favourability-improv
Will JD Vance's Favourability improve 2 weeks after the VP debate?
null
1,727,791,686,163
1,729,016,940,000
1,729,026,633,419
YES
0.99
2,522.56026
Politics
Elections & Campaigns
svySpZNGmq6JJcoNghu2
will-any-state-be-decided-by-01-in
Will any state be decided by <0.1% in the 2024 presidential election?
null
1,686,115,483,859
1,733,032,740,000
1,733,043,994,859
NO
0.024199
5,486.31948
Politics
Elections & Campaigns
g8ZO0IBFGsEeFs2awQvT
will-susan-collins-endorse-trump
Will Susan Collins endorse Trump?
null
1,681,992,237,917
1,731,128,340,000
1,731,437,594,466
NO
0.016664
6,855.907656
Politics
Elections & Campaigns
dggAmZN0Sj7Wf4L9Y4eH
will-canon-ship-a-nanoimprint-litho
Will Canon ship a nanoimprint lithography (NIL) tool before the end of 2025?
null
1,709,794,500,243
1,733,053,860,826
1,733,053,860,826
YES
0.502301
32.498594
Technology
Tech Industry & Business
l158o9jd9f
will-november-2024-will-be-the-warm
Will November 2024 will be the warmest month of November ever recorded (worldwide) ?
null
1,725,629,811,044
1,733,525,940,000
1,733,736,081,939
NO
0.019649
1,760.8194
Finance
Economic Indicators
SEMajxHBW6nWsBjJNwvM
will-the-price-of-bitcoin-surpass-1-9c0a8a0d684f
Bitcoin $100K by Dec 31, 2025?
null
1,704,864,920,881
1,733,370,995,639
1,733,370,995,639
YES
0.993768
47,806.298591
Finance
Markets & Trading
ap1p0mkbym
will-this-market-close-between-45-5
Will this market close between 45% - 55%?
null
1,726,426,193,438
1,727,071,140,000
1,727,197,832,009
YES
0.55
4,659.47621
Finance
Markets & Trading
ltT4Oyqc5KKa18tzqWpt
will-a-republican-reclaim-the-senat
Will a Republican reclaim the Senate seat of West Virginia now that Manchin is not seeking reelection?
null
1,699,619,719,682
1,730,955,540,000
1,730,956,027,341
YES
0.99
2,194.397782
Politics
Elections & Campaigns
ggA7ms1I8Zbm0ZxW1DNH
will-any-african-country-experience
Will any African country experience a significant economic growth rate above 5% in the next fiscal year?
null
1,691,002,368,275
1,704,095,940,000
1,733,083,966,102
YES
0.942918
853.639993
Finance
Economic Indicators
u2LnC0ZQ5N
will-there-be-any-break-between-kag-S08slN8h8E
Will there be any break between Kagurabachi chapters 61 and 62?
null
1,733,677,050,395
1,734,279,987,154
1,734,279,989,709
NO
0.4901
20
Entertainment
Books & Literature
TVumWspMWeg7eRfyRuTl
will-i-solve-the-alignment-problem
Will I solve the alignment problem in 2024?
null
1,704,069,487,432
1,731,347,353,909
1,731,347,353,909
NO
0.040633
2,783.857813
Technology
Emerging Technologies
zCKz1dWDe6tkIWdFDmhj
nfl-week-8-oct-27-2024-will-the-hou
NFL Week 8 (Oct 27 2024): Will the Houston Texans (home) beat the Indianapolis Colts (away)?
null
1,715,834,134,899
1,730,221,200,000
1,730,235,730,141
YES
0.99
930.433033
Sports
Professional Sports
0dRZtSyOPO
will-selzer-outpredict-silver-in-th--cash
Will Selzer out-predict Silver in the 2024 Iowa presidential election?
null
1,730,599,926,240
1,730,947,746,900
1,731,050,130,982
NO
0.010033
1,390.012632
Politics
Elections & Campaigns
gtxwphg30z
will-the-fbi-conclude-its-investiga
Will the FBI conclude its investigation into the assassination attempt on former President Trump by the end of 2024?
null
1,720,956,828,212
1,735,671,540,000
1,735,682,110,423
NO
0.031799
520
Politics
Elections & Campaigns
7i8db9ad7x
will-ohio-issue-1-be-passed-in-this
Will Ohio Issue 1 be passed in this electoral session?
null
1,727,543,349,845
1,728,187,140,000
1,733,073,851,993
NO
0.702124
55
Politics
Elections & Campaigns
tgrBQnDh5J8QwOPnjA8c
if-the-democratic-nominee-wins-ne2
If the Democratic nominee wins NE-2, will they win the presidency (2024)?
null
1,690,426,678,536
1,730,878,588,871
1,730,878,588,871
NO
0.065827
354.591183
Politics
Elections & Campaigns
1BrDgCHeXVHWQZMBGsLR
will-there-be-an-ai-language-model
Will there be an AI language model that strongly surpasses ChatGPT and other OpenAI models before the end of 2024?
null
1,682,935,120,592
1,735,651,740,000
1,735,653,576,756
NO
0.020816
368,768.621363
Technology
Emerging Technologies
9kp1w6mx57
-2024-ncaaf-will-florida-defeat-ken
🏈 2024 NCAAF: Will Florida defeat Kentucky?
null
1,729,254,297,560
1,729,395,300,305
1,729,395,300,305
YES
0.99
9,188.756466
Sports
Team Sports
o9coc8p4sh
formula-1-2024-will-sergio-perez-be
Formula 1 2024 - Will Sergio Perez be dropped or replaced mid-season? (Includes being replaced for any reason)
null
1,720,446,486,267
1,733,788,740,000
1,734,456,873,829
NO
0.01
21,309.169806
Sports
Professional Sports
zdhAODow9Td6IsZadjoj
biden-does-not-pardon-trump-before
Will Biden lose the 2024 election AND NOT pardon Trump before November 5th, 2024?
null
1,716,951,331,454
1,730,916,041,190
1,730,916,041,190
YES
0.981301
6,337
Politics
Elections & Campaigns
tc3e4oy9k6
will-this-market-get-more-than-25-t
will this prediction market get 25 or more traders?
null
1,724,511,575,594
1,727,128,740,000
1,727,177,236,193
YES
0.99
1,610.607561
Finance
Markets & Trading
PAvH7Rppec8nwhjm8Auf
will-a-player-hit-two-grand-slams-i
Will a player hit two Grand Slams in one Major League Baseball game in 2024?
null
1,709,930,051,574
1,731,016,527,031
1,731,016,527,031
NO
0.033455
3,211.679282
Sports
Professional Sports
DQ0qLVhgzfLFQHIXZ4Di
will-jskf-coauthor-a-neurips-or-icm
Will @jskf coauthor a NeurIPS or ICML conference publication before end of 2024?
null
1,695,325,402,229
1,727,425,867,611
1,727,425,867,611
NO
0.06
292.024324
Technology
Emerging Technologies
0RH5GmobQZXu65lUteZk
will-germany-recognize-the-state-of
Will Germany recognize the State of Palestine by the end of 2024?
null
1,716,472,405,983
1,735,649,940,000
1,735,652,163,147
NO
0.014363
21,565.384278
Geopolitics
International Relations
6RtS5th9lC
will-gladiator-2-2024-receive-a-cin
Will "Gladiator 2" (2024) receive a CinemaScore of A- or above?
null
1,731,967,028,587
1,732,334,340,000
1,732,462,911,103
NO
0.1697
2,719.831764
Entertainment
Movies & Television
jy5h4iATOi2Q49pe8QOf
will-china-start-building-another-m
Will China start building another military base in Africa before 1st August 2024?
null
1,694,452,108,743
1,722,553,140,000
1,727,887,715,452
NO
0.02
1,976.771804
Geopolitics
Global Conflicts
hPBmyFIE48tYGgZgrUPR
will-takane-lui-hit-1-million-subsc
Will Takane Lui hit 1 million subscribers on YouTube before 2025?
null
1,682,324,622,666
1,731,928,529,325
1,731,928,529,325
YES
0.989988
1,995.627542
Entertainment
Celebrity & Pop Culture
A2S6wUo1yncfooroGgNQ
will-the-suez-canal-be-closed-for-a
Will the Suez Canal be closed for a full week for any reason by the end of 2024?
null
1,702,741,232,907
1,735,680,525,605
1,735,680,525,605
NO
0.040865
3,471.613897
Geopolitics
Regional Affairs
470grt9grx
will-i-be-on-the-leaderboard-before
Will I be on the leaderboard before the end of the year?
null
1,724,900,449,129
1,729,283,032,572
1,729,283,032,572
YES
0.99
896.34419
Sports
Individual Sports
fkbbrdoglp
will-jimmy-carter-ever-appear-on-ta
Will Jimmy Carter ever appear on Talk Tuah?
null
1,727,239,176,348
1,735,526,103,509
1,735,526,103,509
NO
0.01
8,992.973128
Entertainment
Celebrity & Pop Culture
Q7iP8LWPP3X6zzx9Fu1v
will-jack-smith-ask-a-judge-to-dism
Will Jack Smith ask a judge to dismiss/drop any of the charges against Trump by the end of 2024?
null
1,703,957,096,682
1,732,806,497,139
1,732,806,497,139
YES
0.999333
4,084.111712
Politics
Elections & Campaigns
51tQbnGvFNtUkbi27eSc
will-joe-manchin-run-for-president-a7de62c7460c
Will Joe Manchin run for president in 2024?
null
1,699,568,652,681
1,730,740,194,081
1,730,740,194,081
NO
0.025682
16,015.503016
Politics
Elections & Campaigns
LQaGxlRCt4E9sy0eqHAd
if-trump-wins-the-2024-election-wil-6e67c74412ee
If Trump wins the 2024 election, will his vice president be Vivek Ramaswamy?
null
1,705,006,039,992
1,731,015,496,403
1,731,015,496,403
NO
0.034067
13,599.052568
Politics
Elections & Campaigns
dqwp8lrp38
will-the-2024-us-election-have-an-o
Will the 2024 US election have an outcome that cannot be certified by the reasonable observers?
null
1,724,771,150,678
1,735,622,182,648
1,735,622,182,648
NO
0.01
10,617.86273
Politics
Elections & Campaigns
KS2WftLLUKQqb7xLmOSx
will-mark-meadows-run-for-any-offic
Will Mark Meadows run for any office in 2024?
null
1,681,616,284,252
1,733,993,844,301
1,733,993,844,301
NO
0.01332
10,741.604325
Politics
Elections & Campaigns
quzqEQNL5Q
will-there-be-any-break-between-kag-POZA02u89c
Will there be any break between Kagurabachi chapters 57 and 58?
null
1,730,652,790,158
1,731,257,737,855
1,731,257,740,334
NO
0.452489
100
Entertainment
Books & Literature
rzgsad2cj9
will-there-be-at-least-4-decisive-c
Will there be at least 4 decisive classical games in the 2024 World Chess Championship?
null
1,728,429,842,522
1,733,754,598,742
1,733,754,598,742
YES
0.996835
39,086.28684
Sports
Individual Sports
k2bWAttzR9ovUT6CH7Bj
will-the-cardinals-win-86-or-more-g
Will the Cardinals win 86 or more games in the 2024 MLB regular season?
null
1,705,733,064,748
1,727,679,540,000
1,727,695,426,274
NO
0.04
511.637109
Sports
Professional Sports
20licAYOOqYTSKl5v1wx
in-the-2024-us-presidential-electio-0ebfda1d95a8
In the 2024 US presidential election, will there be at least one faithless elector?
null
1,704,074,542,034
1,735,531,402,018
1,735,531,402,018
NO
0.009904
28,232.29631
Politics
Elections & Campaigns
qRIsC0CcnN
can-i-go-2-weeks-without-finding-ou-0RNcRtuCdz
Can I go 2 weeks without finding out if Kimberly found out if Wott found out if TBTBTB found out who won the election??
null
1,731,439,270,404
1,731,584,424,808
1,731,584,424,808
NO
0.076879
1,792.000159
Politics
Elections & Campaigns
UlVUJrlxEIpMqhS1wKDq
nfl-week-6-oct-13-will-the-tennesse
NFL Week 6 (Oct 13): Will the Tennessee Titans beat the Indianapolis Colts?
null
1,715,834,031,330
1,728,953,615,564
1,728,953,615,564
NO
0.01
1,045.174929
Sports
Professional Sports
o6bH2F4d1CthP4TfOoLi
if-the-democratic-nominee-wins-minn
If the Democratic nominee wins Minnesota, will they win the presidency (2024)?
null
1,690,426,506,119
1,730,879,527,351
1,730,879,527,351
NO
0.021256
1,007.354577
Politics
Elections & Campaigns
FlTbqX9WMR5xZDrGPNUE
will-there-be-concrete-evidence-of
Will there be concrete evidence of a Chess GM cheating over the board before then end of 2024?
null
1,705,034,962,053
1,729,340,776,923
1,729,340,776,923
YES
0.78
1,458.738346
Sports
Individual Sports
KdRVRuh4cMWm5wvY1tR0
will-sabatos-crystal-make-a-forecas
Will Sabato's Crystal make a forecast for all state legislative chambers up for election in 2024?
null
1,706,828,518,044
1,731,131,940,000
1,731,133,691,674
NO
0.401369
58
Politics
Elections & Campaigns
ITZRQIsxeWfAtuB0guqd
will-donald-trump-still-be-alive-by-9e50c5922d02
Will Donald Trump still be alive by the end of November?
null
1,710,880,307,428
1,733,007,540,000
1,733,007,677,593
YES
0.989424
4,345.173553
Politics
Elections & Campaigns
m3WN6m3tqYKzh0QHtBhu
will-ruturaj-gaikwad-be-replaced-by
Will Ruturaj Gaikwad be replaced by any other team member of CSK as captain in IPL 2024?
null
1,711,268,386,114
1,716,747,240,000
1,735,676,797,686
NO
0.03387
1,014.163072
Sports
Professional Sports
jvbhseaorj
will-more-americans-pick-the-winnin
Will a higher % of Americans pick the winning candidate in 2024 than in 2020? [ READ DESCRIPTION ]
null
1,725,308,765,743
1,732,165,863,864
1,732,165,870,348
NO
0.009963
11,189.724466
Politics
Elections & Campaigns
RKrZ7itWVMk8N22ZGYQw
2024-formula-1-season-will-max-vers
[2024 Formula 1 Season] Will Max Verstappen win the Constructors Championship by himself?
null
1,700,756,572,616
1,729,694,087,921
1,729,694,087,921
NO
0.02
6,301.909758
Sports
Professional Sports
1ouu9upb0m
will-the-forbidden-forecast-correct
Will the Forbidden Forecast correctly predict the result of the 2024 election?
null
1,729,230,239,182
1,730,786,340,000
1,730,925,007,300
NO
0.558222
176
Politics
Elections & Campaigns
EFFAbH6BCkVXMiIyweZW
will-any-iranian-citizen-be-indicte
Will any Iranian citizen be indicted in the US for interfering with the 2024 election?
null
1,705,639,544,059
1,727,597,228,847
1,727,597,228,847
YES
0.99
946.517894
Politics
Elections & Campaigns
bguGmUeW5gu1csE7ORi8
will-bitcoin-reach-100k-before-it-r
Will Bitcoin reach $100k before it reaches $10k?
null
1,701,446,939,232
1,733,373,311,446
1,733,373,311,446
YES
0.990895
14,281.887674
Finance
Markets & Trading
2D0kci9LIgvHg9eKIoza
will-the-candidate-who-wins-nevada
Will the candidate who wins Nevada win the 2024 POTUS election?
null
1,690,286,612,153
1,731,431,197,276
1,731,431,197,276
YES
0.99
1,067.04417
Politics
Elections & Campaigns
0m2HGw8Pd4ZTIgga0Pzv
2024-formula-1-season-will-sergio-p
[2024 Formula 1 Season] Will Sergio Perez finish 2nd or higher in the Drivers Championship?
null
1,700,757,420,529
1,733,685,773,675
1,733,685,773,675
NO
0.01011
14,877.116408
Sports
Individual Sports
f0xx5qpj6k
will-any-of-the-videos-uploaded-to-epk9naclpt
Will any of the videos uploaded to Ms Rachel's YouTube channel in November 2024 surpass 5 million views?
null
1,729,086,615,197
1,732,846,744,066
1,732,846,744,066
YES
0.99
8,949.874371
Entertainment
Movies & Television
1p2u96q3sb
will-keychains-be-added-in-counters
Will keychains be added in Counter-Strike 2 during 2024?
null
1,723,215,005,121
1,728,040,505,992
1,728,040,505,992
YES
0.61
25
Gaming
Gaming
hw4r4bl5qy
will-the-538-nate-silver-presidenti
Will the 538 & Nate Silver presidential forecasts once again disagree by >7% before the election?
null
1,727,707,140,836
1,730,753,684,515
1,730,823,711,043
NO
0.151927
1,466.528045
Politics
Elections & Campaigns
lewl7m1dbr
will-jd-vance-or-tim-walz-say-the-w
Will JD Vance or Tim Walz say the word "couch" during the debate?
null
1,727,812,993,894
1,727,852,340,000
1,728,349,558,106
NO
0.01
9,731.223299
Politics
Elections & Campaigns
K49i7CUyxaVWwXkSr0eB
will-a-democrat-win-the-2024-presid-923b17a69619
Will a democrat win the 2024 presidential election in Florida?
null
1,670,814,187,443
1,730,912,009,561
1,730,912,009,561
NO
0.018313
20,053.677779
Politics
Elections & Campaigns
TVuPwa6aKF0dARLQO10u
will-alyssa-farah-run-for-any-offic
Will Alyssa Farah run for any office in 2024?
null
1,681,616,126,069
1,733,993,819,145
1,733,993,819,145
NO
0.010097
13,850.483987
Politics
Elections & Campaigns
ldgAtR56UZ
will-the-sp-500-stock-index-close-h-62I5ZCggPZ
Will the S&P 500 stock index close higher on Nov 4 than it closed on Nov 1?
null
1,730,491,668,404
1,730,754,178,840
1,730,754,178,840
NO
0.081553
551.768725
Finance
Markets & Trading
xtgv88jhfc
daily-coinflip-la9hr84ero
Daily coinflip
null
1,729,569,968,481
1,729,742,340,000
1,729,742,612,752
YES
0.49
4,698.017455
Sports
Sports Culture & Recreation
ge2U9EQO6QOVgUyYPMmv
will-the-los-angees-angels-make-the
Will the Los Angeles Angels make the 2024 postseason?
null
1,713,743,130,313
1,727,334,149,127
1,727,334,149,127
NO
0.01
1,515.961276
Sports
Professional Sports
dpoKZWNjhsctQ8GWMxuw
will-the-palestinian-authority-take
Will the Palestinian Authority take over Gaza deposing Hamas by the end of September 2024 ?
null
1,697,033,917,157
1,727,668,740,000
1,727,887,683,499
NO
0.01
1,307.806772
Geopolitics
Global Conflicts
1mRMNkXL9Vrbns2lXBTz
will-the-voter-turnout-in-the-2024-4538fa41c159
Will the voter turnout in the 2024 Presidential election be 64% or larger?
null
1,705,763,537,896
1,735,233,350,944
1,735,233,350,944
NO
0.094816
4,690.027519
Politics
Elections & Campaigns
mfu5y57wdq
will-there-be-any-break-between-one-jnhh7rxjpb
Will there be any break between One Piece chapters 1130 and 1131?
null
1,728,413,362,775
1,728,914,294,359
1,728,914,309,481
YES
0.92
3,051
Entertainment
Books & Literature
bHVmBKKpORWLXmmCA0JK
will-the-who-declare-a-public-healt-f6a054a85532
Will the WHO declare a public health emergency of international concern over strep A in 2024?
null
1,710,804,484,611
1,735,657,140,000
1,735,657,523,391
NO
0.041627
474.726405
Geopolitics
Global Governance
V9mUtMRTpzxhTHGDCE3J
will-egan-bernal-win-a-professional
Will Egan Bernal win a professional race he competes against Jonas Vingegaard, in the 2024 UCI season?
null
1,706,688,047,662
1,729,621,724,185
1,729,621,724,185
NO
0.02
1,902.919386
Sports
Individual Sports
haoUKaAH1h7t6BKq19Ee
will-bitcoin-hit-100k-before-jan-1s
Will Bitcoin hit 100k before Jan 1st 2025?
null
1,697,151,258,909
1,733,418,899,659
1,733,418,899,659
YES
0.997468
27,692.017236
Finance
Markets & Trading
TDBoeeOV0XkFi7fil08l
will-trump-lose-but-not-concede-the
Will Trump lose but not concede the next presidential election, and hold a rally in Washington DC on January 6 2025?
null
1,701,191,340,386
1,730,962,558,920
1,730,962,558,920
NO
0.01
20,499.810568
Politics
Elections & Campaigns
fwE4Cyk4UjpQDunmxYew
nfl-week-9-nov-3-2024-will-the-tenn
NFL Week 9 (Nov 3 2024): Will the Tennessee Titans (home) beat the New England Patriots (away)?
null
1,715,834,185,557
1,730,829,600,000
1,730,829,792,033
YES
0.99
905.461424
Sports
Professional Sports
yjlbpfj6t3
will-anyone-be-able-to-get-openais
Will anyone be able to get OpenAI’s new model o1 to leak its system message by EOY 2024?
null
1,726,176,926,163
1,734,331,249,243
1,734,331,254,770
YES
0.959635
22,680.846671
Technology
Emerging Technologies
Z5QUMRmrZg5eQIEGsOER
binary-induction-game-v1-if-the-nex-9a0dc1e418e4
Binary Induction Game v1: if the next state is 1, will it be 1↑ ?
null
1,699,877,871,733
1,719,784,740,000
1,729,484,633,459
YES
0.52
2
Technology
Gaming
9fyaavlivp
will-bidens-approval-rating-be-40-o-b82p33zhqf
Will Biden's approval rating be 40% or higher at the end of September 2024?
null
1,725,140,827,761
1,727,732,760,000
1,727,735,863,408
YES
0.99
2,054.544293
Politics
Elections & Campaigns
0wSyyKuZ0atHDj5N4A1D
will-moana-2-be-at-least-as-highly
Will Moana 2 be at least as highly rated on RottenTomatoes as Moana?
null
1,707,402,005,700
1,733,385,540,000
1,733,873,385,172
NO
0.01
2,301.611837
Entertainment
Movies & Television
aDKouSr5YPAuCG9IcxCz
will-we-expect-sbf-to-serve-more-th
Will we expect SBF to serve more than 15 years in prison?
null
1,699,674,907,848
1,731,301,140,000
1,731,362,589,705
YES
0.95
850.209564
Politics
Elections & Campaigns
silus6r4p9
will-400-of-manifold-users-agree-th
Will >= 40.0% of Manifold users agree that weak AGI has been achieved in October 2024?
null
1,727,784,422,622
1,729,655,940,000
1,730,460,438,386
NO
0.063264
7,376.467231
Technology
Emerging Technologies
xdwIrS1AIPJ5YFOMwGAo
will-manifold-demote-any-prize-mark
Will manifold demote any Prize Market to regular market ? (2024)
null
1,716,959,760,896
1,735,649,940,000
1,735,655,761,761
NO
0.04981
8,475.669081
Finance
Markets & Trading