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values |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UGuNEUtNpZdFEO0wEt5R
|
will-they-give-shadow-the-hedgehog
|
Will Shadow have a Gun in the third Sonic the Hedgehog movie?
| null | 1,713,753,361,854
| 1,734,712,834,627
| 1,734,712,834,627
|
YES
| 0.979672
| 10,234.407748
|
Entertainment
|
Movies & Television
|
vH37oTY7EeewyGbVpGHc
|
will-china-launch-a-fullscale-invas-c2da2973e74e
|
Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan by the end of 2024?
| null | 1,709,480,841,138
| 1,735,685,940,000
| 1,735,686,185,289
|
NO
| 0.022093
| 1,828.362974
|
Geopolitics
|
Global Conflicts
|
ehq38vbvh9
|
will-kamala-harris-have-a-higher-pr
|
Will Kamala Harris have a higher probability on the Sweepcash market than the Mana market on 10/1/24?
| null | 1,726,614,969,406
| 1,727,852,340,000
| 1,735,343,545,018
|
NO
| 0.27
| 1,175.992497
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
s1ics6d5lv
|
polymarketlinked-will-ukraine-hit-m
|
[Polymarket-linked] Will Ukraine hit Moscow or the Crimean Bridge before October (2.0)?
| null | 1,725,580,237,356
| 1,727,765,940,000
| 1,727,828,626,706
|
NO
| 0.01
| 1,651.111311
|
Geopolitics
|
Global Conflicts
|
roijactu9b
|
will-the-2024-us-presidential-elect-rskragkl2i
|
Will the 2024 US presidential election be decided by a smaller margin than the vote share for third-party candidates?
| null | 1,726,451,512,040
| 1,731,376,974,321
| 1,731,376,974,321
|
NO
| 0.094139
| 255
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
r2mvc28qez
|
will-california-have-a-fire-weather
|
Will California have a Fire Weather Watch in effect on Sunday?
| null | 1,728,966,409,250
| 1,729,517,479,921
| 1,729,517,501,113
|
NO
| 0.45
| 13
|
Politics
|
Public Policy & Social Issues
|
3fOP3bD5ATmNKTD3jpFO
|
will-either-joe-biden-or-donald-tru-8ac5db413a81
|
Will either Joe Biden or Donald Trump die before the 2024 U.S. presidential election?
| null | 1,710,308,160,126
| 1,730,867,681,547
| 1,730,867,681,547
|
NO
| 0.017668
| 3,261.77643
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
Ly0ZcIEhUS
|
will-the-pa-secretary-of-state-cert
|
Will the PA Secretary of State certify David McCormick as the winner of the 2024 senate election?
| null | 1,731,967,508,948
| 1,732,235,870,060
| 1,732,235,870,060
|
YES
| 0.949386
| 3,331
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
gk1o1zc5g4
|
will-manifold-return-mana-loans-bef
|
Will Manifold return Mana loans before the end of 2024?
| null | 1,727,873,030,883
| 1,733,573,580,312
| 1,733,573,580,312
|
YES
| 0.992394
| 20,667.064378
|
Finance
|
Markets & Trading
|
9ghDMaR9PGTcD3NCEAOY
|
will-the-us-federal-government-char
|
Will the US federal government charge McKinsey criminally for its role in promoting opioid use?
| null | 1,714,006,508,395
| 1,734,309,360,000
| 1,734,328,346,184
|
YES
| 0.99
| 1,811.965948
|
Politics
|
Domestic Policy
|
Ont60PVLWha4eAbG8AdM
|
will-kamala-harris-release-another
|
Will Kamala Harris release another Book before the next Mario Party game comes out?
| null | 1,702,770,555,101
| 1,730,781,796,967
| 1,730,781,796,967
|
NO
| 0.026125
| 936.842176
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
FwqSadG0HFW5pGOc9w4s
|
will-michigan-vote-more-republican
|
Will Michigan vote more Republican than Wisconsin and Pennsylvania in the 2024 presidential election?
| null | 1,709,326,847,406
| 1,731,283,814,415
| 1,731,283,814,415
|
NO
| 0.05184
| 1,348.870915
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
nvn4ue4y95
|
will-manifold-think-that-kamala-wou
|
Will Manifold think that Kamala would beat Trump in a game of Go, if both have one month to prepare?
| null | 1,724,492,945,089
| 1,727,150,340,000
| 1,727,455,169,823
|
YES
| 0.99
| 932.301606
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
TDuvEPO3tb56UjIX8Qij
|
nfl-week-15-dec-12-2024-will-the-sa
|
NFL Week 15 (Dec 12 2024): Will the San Francisco 49ers (home) beat the Los Angeles Rams (away)?
| null | 1,715,834,545,103
| 1,734,140,223,029
| 1,734,140,223,029
|
NO
| 0.006944
| 1,314.177868
|
Sports
|
Professional Sports
|
0xh6fc1pg8
|
metaculus-what-is-the-probability-t
|
[Metaculus] What is the probability that Bitcoin price will rise above $68k at any point bet...and next meeting (10/10)?
| null | 1,728,243,696,555
| 1,728,684,000,000
| 1,728,848,612,073
|
NO
| 0.01
| 8,949
|
Finance
|
Markets & Trading
|
ivAxuMoJn5Y9cwHwjkzi
|
will-manifold-introduce-any-incenti
|
Will manifold introduce any incentives for betting on long term markets this year?
| null | 1,714,037,801,947
| 1,733,505,842,186
| 1,733,505,842,186
|
YES
| 0.99
| 7,780.792065
|
Finance
|
Markets & Trading
|
IaxwP21cisulzmMvNaJb
|
nfl-week-11-nov-17-2024-will-the-ne
|
NFL Week 11 (Nov 17 2024): Will the New England Patriots (home) beat the Los Angeles Rams (away)?
| null | 1,715,834,240,756
| 1,732,039,200,000
| 1,732,042,931,660
|
NO
| 0.01
| 905.744213
|
Sports
|
Professional Sports
|
n4W3a6gOE4O9fYqq6Pg5
|
the-us-fed-will-do-a-rate-cut-befor
|
The US Fed will do a rate cut before the US Presidential election.
| null | 1,690,452,488,591
| 1,727,222,991,592
| 1,727,222,991,592
|
YES
| 0.99
| 38,841.860906
|
Finance
|
Economic Indicators
|
tvkgancvhw
|
will-i-create-another-market-in-202
|
Will I create another market in 2024?
| null | 1,727,121,432,254
| 1,728,651,522,325
| 1,728,651,522,325
|
YES
| 0.58
| 181
|
Finance
|
Markets & Trading
|
fplb5cjab0
|
will-harris-or-walz-work-at-mcdonal
|
Will Harris or Walz work at McDonald’s before the election?
| null | 1,729,506,696,218
| 1,730,869,140,000
| 1,730,870,713,451
|
NO
| 0.01
| 10,272.287467
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
6q3tgtzxel
|
will-crsocietyorg-go-back-online-be
|
Will crsociety.org go back online before November 1, 2024?
| null | 1,722,370,686,236
| 1,728,492,522,248
| 1,728,492,522,248
|
YES
| 0.31
| 50
|
Technology
|
Internet & Digital Services
|
lVSCGQiUgAkk1Q0ztoEb
|
will-bitcoin-reach-100000
|
Will Bitcoin reach $100000
| null | 1,704,308,790,108
| 1,733,489,072,366
| 1,733,489,072,366
|
YES
| 0.998739
| 35,787.633617
|
Finance
|
Markets & Trading
|
P04rgDVZclNkcAdPZYu0
|
will-any-of-biden-trump-or-mira-be-9c3dc98ad728
|
Will any of Biden, Trump, or @Mira be elected president in 2024?
| null | 1,709,157,231,118
| 1,731,285,041,750
| 1,731,285,041,750
|
YES
| 0.99
| 9,731.019431
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
yaxFUesYgkYmBrRFShtU
|
will-aigenerated-text-suggestions-b-416a5d9fabd4
|
Will AI-generated text suggestions be publicly available on Microsoft Outlook by end of 2024?
| null | 1,673,215,767,322
| 1,734,811,393,511
| 1,734,811,393,511
|
YES
| 0.974033
| 1,673.188281
|
Technology
|
Computing & Software
|
pchwKMnbqBuYfZvzqHiT
|
will-demis-hassabis-win-a-nobel-pri
|
Will Demis Hassabis win a Nobel prize?
| null | 1,691,950,375,280
| 1,728,479,966,496
| 1,728,479,966,496
|
YES
| 0.99
| 1,345.187574
|
Technology
|
Emerging Technologies
|
Z7yQiyj6GWtbUQACxEld
|
will-a-manifold-celebrity-appear-on
|
Will a Manifold celebrity appear on the Joe Rogan Experience by EOY 2024?
| null | 1,712,051,593,998
| 1,730,913,531,715
| 1,730,913,531,715
|
YES
| 0.985647
| 9,718.854111
|
Entertainment
|
Celebrity & Pop Culture
|
j4h8jL02cgr4xvaqBdOW
|
will-donald-trump-die-of-causes-nat
|
Will Donald Trump die, of causes natural or not, before election day 2024?
| null | 1,717,455,788,487
| 1,730,783,837,005
| 1,730,783,837,005
|
NO
| 0.013144
| 55,083.115217
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
zJswumDJHZJ6qfc4uTDI
|
will-the-winner-of-the-2024-preside-799138703e51
|
Will the winner of the 2024 Presidential election be either equal to or greater then 165 cm in height?
| null | 1,658,847,258,409
| 1,731,090,553,088
| 1,731,090,553,088
|
YES
| 0.99
| 3,107.360035
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
2eV6rBteIBspexWdkhc4
|
will-the-winner-of-the-2024-preside-445a123e528c
|
Will the winner of the 2024 Presidential Election carry the state of New Hampshire?
| null | 1,690,201,613,764
| 1,730,963,258,012
| 1,730,963,258,012
|
NO
| 0.01
| 1,037.417885
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
V3q7ppzUFZbuwKQnHE1h
|
will-alaskas-house-race-be-won-in-t
|
Will Alaska's House race be won in the first round?
| null | 1,689,388,021,798
| 1,731,978,927,507
| 1,731,978,927,507
|
NO
| 0.034339
| 998.565355
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
ohdqd4u9gx
|
will-there-be-another-story-about-r-1s8mj899bh
|
Will there be another story about RFK Jr. and an unusual situation with a dead animal before November 1st?
| null | 1,728,137,022,302
| 1,730,519,940,000
| 1,730,952,190,555
|
NO
| 0.01
| 990.298565
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
DkglFDF7K7DOVhapb92J
|
will-russia-issue-an-ultimatum-this
|
Will Russia issue an ultimatum this year for a ceasefire agreement, using the threat of tactical nuclear weapons?
| null | 1,711,393,902,729
| 1,735,682,340,000
| 1,735,687,783,266
|
NO
| 0.01812
| 7,837.369408
|
Geopolitics
|
Global Conflicts
|
hhnUhg5pty
|
will-an-ai-score-over-10-on-frontie
|
Will an AI score over 10% on FrontierMath Benchmark in 2025
| null | 1,731,114,173,716
| 1,734,722,022,899
| 1,734,722,022,899
|
YES
| 0.965124
| 5,927.684471
|
Technology
|
Emerging Technologies
|
O5QSlCd0gO
|
will-the-us-presidential-election-b
|
Will the U.S. Presidential Election be called by Wednesday morning?
| null | 1,730,813,758,823
| 1,730,898,136,250
| 1,730,898,136,250
|
YES
| 0.967236
| 575
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
ZEKw7Rx6SmU3dZcHvBVV
|
will-max-score-more-poles-than-pere
|
Will Max Verstappen score more poles than Perez does P2 in 2024?
| null | 1,712,470,816,014
| 1,730,863,930,160
| 1,730,863,930,160
|
YES
| 0.955623
| 3,422
|
Sports
|
Individual Sports
|
0igFeVVc7cDy98luxxY3
|
will-north-carolina-elect-a-democra
|
Will North Carolina elect a Democrat for governor in 2024?
| null | 1,702,872,955,428
| 1,730,929,208,666
| 1,730,929,208,666
|
YES
| 0.979588
| 1,741.376039
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
iq652uuli0
|
will-i-find-out-where-this-m50-went
|
Will I find out where this ~Ṁ50 went from my account before end of 2024?
| null | 1,728,629,575,653
| 1,728,896,544,041
| 1,728,896,544,041
|
YES
| 0.91
| 221
|
Finance
|
Personal Finance
|
Qs5R4Y2wf1U5MUXBACXf
|
will-mrbeast-be-the-most-subscribed
|
Will MrBeast be the most subscribed YouTube channel on December 31st 2024?
| null | 1,703,492,669,599
| 1,735,631,824,848
| 1,735,631,824,848
|
YES
| 0.989079
| 14,899.602233
|
Entertainment
|
Celebrity & Pop Culture
|
3k6WFWWiwbhXGimdHw9f
|
will-martin-heinrich-win-reelection
|
Will Martin Heinrich win re-election in the 2024 US senate race in New Mexico?
| null | 1,680,634,076,478
| 1,731,293,638,462
| 1,731,293,638,462
|
YES
| 0.971722
| 765
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
lYkOn5WAHIue33TdUXVT
|
will-a-high-profile-youtuber-quit-d-a34988b96bc2
|
Will a high profile YouTuber quit during Oct 2024?
| null | 1,707,015,832,225
| 1,730,433,596,395
| 1,735,076,270,816
|
NO
| 0.402985
| 25
|
Entertainment
|
Celebrity & Pop Culture
|
nrrvb5q8qd
|
will-destiny-be-banned-or-further-l-ie6j303w1s
|
Will Destiny be banned or further limited on Twitter / X by the end of October?
| null | 1,728,327,856,268
| 1,730,485,897,256
| 1,730,485,897,256
|
NO
| 0.01
| 894.987437
|
Politics
|
Public Policy & Social Issues
|
CNdOZUlCSQ
|
bitcoin-above-95k-on-dec-8
|
Bitcoin above $95K on Dec 8?
| null | 1,732,773,366,988
| 1,733,652,664,613
| 1,733,652,664,613
|
YES
| 0.99
| 17,770.030318
|
Finance
|
Markets & Trading
|
mtzpm4i6tr
|
will-the-government-shutdown-before
|
Will the government shutdown before October 2?
| null | 1,726,766,775,823
| 1,728,028,131,209
| 1,728,028,131,209
|
NO
| 0.01
| 1,259.660435
|
Politics
|
Domestic Policy
|
LesUhZn88wsOk4KAUuJ7
|
metaculus-will-trump-and-biden-shak
|
[Metaculus] Will Trump and Biden shake hands in any of their debates?
| null | 1,717,421,187,888
| 1,730,998,800,000
| 1,731,022,319,348
|
NO
| 0.01
| 26,952.432929
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
xFUt4grt6i6ikjnbE352
|
will-the-republican-nominee-in-2024
|
Will the Republican nominee in 2024 hold the position that Biden has over-committed to supporting Israel?
| null | 1,697,597,958,374
| 1,731,823,140,000
| 1,732,237,619,166
|
NO
| 0.074024
| 333.898425
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
ZXXwDRnEfD0dDdohb8MS
|
matthew-yglesias-2024-predictions-v-8bfb98574714
|
Matthew Yglesias 2024 predictions vs Manifold: Will Donald Trump win the 2024 presidential election?
| null | 1,704,409,790,121
| 1,705,294,740,000
| 1,730,991,518,516
|
YES
| 0.416255
| 1,066.480723
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
ZNGXeehxa4Rx0TqHlebh
|
will-i-climb-a-v5-in-2024
|
Will I climb a V5 in 2024?
| null | 1,704,105,047,530
| 1,726,808,538,607
| 1,726,808,538,607
|
YES
| 0.82
| 478.31174
|
Sports
|
Individual Sports
|
IP1Ea0Rvsda69ZHQwpI1
|
will-joe-biden-win-the-2024-us-pres-b89dd7b227f9
|
Will Joe Biden win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
| null | 1,707,085,033,731
| 1,730,941,067,093
| 1,730,941,067,093
|
NO
| 0.010253
| 27,033.842662
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
5Z2dhJOFo9bBp9VYgGs3
|
will-the-dodgers-clinch-the-nl-west
|
Will the Dodgers clinch the NL West
| null | 1,712,772,101,727
| 1,727,494,862,589
| 1,727,494,862,589
|
YES
| 0.99
| 2,393.827009
|
Sports
|
Professional Sports
|
cc3od209s4
|
will-nebraska-beat-illinois-in-thei
|
Will Nebraska beat Illinois in their football game on 9/20/24?
| null | 1,726,857,138,010
| 1,726,927,349,197
| 1,726,927,349,197
|
NO
| 0.01
| 10,945.109652
|
Sports
|
Team Sports
|
ZlUI2UznnR
|
profitable-bitcoin-coinflip-4-ev
|
Profitable Bitcoin Coinflip 4 [EV+]
| null | 1,731,153,802,718
| 1,731,301,140,000
| 1,731,306,993,705
|
NO
| 0.504826
| 7
|
Finance
|
Markets & Trading
|
kar8hkseai
|
conditional-on-trump-winning-michig
|
Conditional on Trump winning Michigan and Pennsylvania, will he lose Arizona, Georgia, Wisconsin, or N. Carolina?
| null | 1,721,965,261,323
| 1,730,869,140,000
| 1,731,785,124,496
|
NO
| 0.168197
| 125
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
ds5dqRhz8p
|
tug-of-war-EQ2O6Ul2cu
|
Tug of war
| null | 1,732,718,461,964
| 1,732,919,411,624
| 1,732,919,411,624
|
YES
| 0.793857
| 1,817.999881
|
Sports
|
Team Sports
|
zdyjjd4okk
|
will-the-unique-trader-bonus-for-ma
|
Will the "unique trader bonus" for mana markets change again before Christmas?
| null | 1,727,647,126,760
| 1,735,081,140,000
| 1,735,112,642,917
|
NO
| 0.069306
| 302.789928
|
Finance
|
Markets & Trading
|
2ypdAQ6S9u
|
will-satish-rao-release-grades-for
|
Will Satish Rao release grades for UC Berkeley's CS 270 by Monday December 23rd?
| null | 1,734,774,426,245
| 1,735,027,140,000
| 1,735,030,125,365
|
NO
| 0.163095
| 1,734.740039
|
Technology
|
Computing & Software
|
6LPS60Ect6
|
will-we-hit-a-new-record-for-vancou
|
Will we hit a new record for Vancouver's 4th Taco Tuesday?
| null | 1,730,743,960,754
| 1,730,869,362,617
| 1,730,869,362,617
|
YES
| 0.5
| 28.000013
|
Entertainment
|
Celebrity & Pop Culture
|
FzWILlKis8YLSgGoeK7I
|
will-amazon-prime-video-market-shar
|
Will Amazon Prime video market share dominance increase by end of Q2 2024
| null | 1,705,006,203,947
| 1,729,396,740,000
| 1,735,158,325,906
|
YES
| 0.395134
| 135.000002
|
Technology
|
Internet & Digital Services
|
Pq8OcEnlNU
|
will-vice-president-harris-bring-up
|
Will vice president Harris bring up the topic of the legalization of cannabis before the election?
| null | 1,730,109,040,697
| 1,730,789,940,000
| 1,730,876,501,779
|
NO
| 0.241155
| 776
|
Politics
|
Public Policy & Social Issues
|
4eera1tw4f
|
will-manifolds-engaged-users-be-10x
|
Will Manifold's Engaged Users be 10x higher than Nvidia's stock price at the end of November?
| null | 1,722,398,614,907
| 1,733,029,140,000
| 1,733,034,493,895
|
NO
| 0.01
| 924.905803
|
Finance
|
Markets & Trading
|
btiqm0gej0
|
short-fuse-will-i-quroe-beat-scotts
|
[Short Fuse] Will I (@Quroe) beat @ScottSupak in September 2024's Manifold Diamond League?
| null | 1,727,736,528,592
| 1,727,824,767,720
| 1,727,824,829,453
|
YES
| 0.85
| 1,569.887685
|
Sports
|
Individual Sports
|
uU928uOnyy
|
will-chatgpt-be-able-to-say-the-nam
|
Will ChatGPT be able to say the name David Mayer before 2025?
| null | 1,733,066,765,499
| 1,733,236,536,628
| 1,733,236,536,628
|
YES
| 0.971417
| 7,972.866103
|
Technology
|
Emerging Technologies
|
u1tBwjqJ4ugcTOy5ipqR
|
nfl-week-4-sep-29-will-the-carolina
|
NFL Week 4 (Sep 29): Will the Carolina Panthers beat the Cincinnati Bengals?
| null | 1,715,833,657,315
| 1,727,702,927,727
| 1,727,702,927,727
|
NO
| 0.01
| 913.155265
|
Sports
|
Team Sports
|
LyRUZ2CNRg
|
will-xcommanifoldmarkets-post-today
|
Will x.com/manifoldmarkets post today?
| null | 1,730,729,946,317
| 1,730,755,100,779
| 1,730,755,100,779
|
YES
| 0.989857
| 9,020.882366
|
Technology
|
Internet & Digital Services
|
2unNunOAIL
|
profitable-bitcoin-coinflip-6-ev
|
Profitable Bitcoin Coinflip 6 [EV+]
| null | 1,731,154,018,334
| 1,731,301,140,000
| 1,731,307,031,004
|
NO
| 0.49961
| 8
|
Finance
|
Markets & Trading
|
3nz3QPjP8nLhddQ9mMCm
|
nfl-week-17-dec-29-2024-will-the-ta
|
NFL Week 17 (Dec 29 2024): Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (home) beat the Carolina Panthers (away)?
| null | 1,715,834,682,543
| 1,735,668,000,000
| 1,735,669,100,815
|
YES
| 0.99
| 998.399762
|
Sports
|
Professional Sports
|
hwxtxj4n3e
|
will-manifold-add-a-withdrawal-fee
|
Will Manifold add a withdrawal fee for sweepcash before the end of November?
| null | 1,729,136,801,954
| 1,729,137,540,772
| 1,729,137,540,772
|
YES
| 0.99
| 1,078.143387
|
Finance
|
Personal Finance
|
Q6CFSRrBerqSc23fqSkR
|
will-marvel-release-multiple-films
|
Will Marvel release multiple films in 2024?
| null | 1,700,104,951,603
| 1,730,935,496,675
| 1,730,935,496,675
|
NO
| 0.044058
| 1,323.098275
|
Entertainment
|
Movies & Television
|
vp0ckl70df
|
will-jd-vance-and-tim-walz-both-par
|
Will JD Vance and Tim Walz both participate in a vice presidential debate hosted by CBS News on October 1st?
| null | 1,725,391,876,069
| 1,727,833,602,110
| 1,727,833,602,110
|
YES
| 0.99
| 106,930.627865
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
l2oYnvgk59fQRURg7o2h
|
will-at-least-one-us-state-print-ba
|
Will at least one US state print ballots without listing Donald Trump due to Section 3 of the 14th Amendment?
| null | 1,691,735,163,138
| 1,730,879,940,000
| 1,730,932,242,751
|
NO
| 0.038597
| 21,039.869179
|
Politics
|
Domestic Policy
|
39yKcXgqGrUMwPRmTZwy
|
will-biden-die-before-the-next-pres
|
Will Biden die before the next presidential election?
| null | 1,673,147,487,297
| 1,730,793,600,000
| 1,730,873,004,192
|
NO
| 0.020997
| 22,013.554212
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
nsO8yQmO6mrN7GaY4bI2
|
will-openai-release-their-video-gen
|
Will OpenAI release their video generation model "SORA" to the general public before the US elections (2024)?
| null | 1,710,519,787,994
| 1,733,003,658,783
| 1,733,003,658,783
|
NO
| 0.01
| 19,495.630923
|
Technology
|
Emerging Technologies
|
GSqPBWMbBR5Vbk4Vx2to
|
will-liz-cheney-run-for-president-i-eee62a93339b
|
Will Liz Cheney run for president in 2024?
| null | 1,701,794,343,155
| 1,730,740,182,310
| 1,730,740,182,310
|
NO
| 0.012834
| 6,275.52033
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
icylz6704x
|
will-there-be-a-claim-that-kamala-h
|
Will there be a claim that Kamala Harris has had a lesbian relations published in a reputable newspaper?
| null | 1,722,634,300,227
| 1,730,444,340,000
| 1,730,445,135,320
|
NO
| 0.026482
| 9,231.940746
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
CNLq2SUP2N
|
will-biden-declare-a-national-fema
|
Will Biden declare a national FEMA EMERGENCY after the election?
| null | 1,729,989,945,279
| 1,731,125,287,730
| 1,731,125,287,730
|
NO
| 0.084963
| 7,201.978529
|
Politics
|
Domestic Policy
|
SxM5XRac63ekRYSDAQM4
|
will-trump-underperform-in-the-gene
|
Will Trump underperform in the general polls again? (2024 RCP Average)
| null | 1,712,956,355,761
| 1,731,301,140,000
| 1,734,383,945,786
|
YES
| 0.989249
| 11,805.441613
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
CRXaT2XMMJ8StP4iwBHs
|
will-biden-need-nebraskas-second-di
|
Will Biden need Nebraska's second district to win reelection?
| null | 1,712,532,376,024
| 1,732,635,341,619
| 1,732,635,341,619
|
NO
| 0.028673
| 1,631.621124
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
Drzx5AwK2aBQMIyYO1cP
|
will-mitch-mcconnell-stop-being-sen
|
Will Mitch McConnell stop being Senate Republican Leader by the next presidential inauguration (20 Jan 2025)?
| null | 1,669,828,558,269
| 1,731,528,713,196
| 1,731,528,713,196
|
YES
| 0.99
| 59,874.400876
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
Pc8PyStCyh
|
bitcoin-hits-100k-in-less-than-48-h
|
Bitcoin hits $100K in less than 48 hours?
| null | 1,732,276,354,881
| 1,732,449,600,000
| 1,732,466,620,449
|
NO
| 0.005991
| 21,790.610475
|
Finance
|
Markets & Trading
|
skuoqijps1
|
will-the-margin-of-victory-in-the-2-rq8njcckh5
|
Will the margin of victory in the 2024 US Presidential election in Wisconsin be greater than 1%?
| null | 1,723,484,830,067
| 1,733,721,778,986
| 1,733,721,778,986
|
NO
| 0.051471
| 13,043.1266
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
sdmpwq6f49
|
will-the-sp-500-stock-index-close-h-l6bp06uc7r
|
Will the S&P 500 stock index close higher on Sept 27 than hit closed on Sept 26?
| null | 1,727,381,109,629
| 1,727,467,308,584
| 1,727,467,308,584
|
NO
| 0.03
| 1,204.064825
|
Finance
|
Markets & Trading
|
snf255a9l6
|
will-trump-win-nevada-in-the-2024-p--cash
|
Will Trump win Nevada in the 2024 Presidential Election?
| null | 1,727,304,586,243
| 1,731,050,187,491
| 1,731,050,187,491
|
YES
| 0.99
| 10,374.448045
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
hUQQom8hlH8sAo9VZ6SN
|
will-there-be-an-eag-on-the-east-co
|
Will there be an EA Global Conference on the East Coast in 2024?
| null | 1,699,916,125,844
| 1,731,149,063,515
| 1,731,149,063,515
|
YES
| 0.99
| 2,944.545104
|
Technology
|
Tech Industry & Business
|
mlczarshze
|
will-i-be-able-to-buy-a-coke-oreos
|
Will I be able to buy Coke Oreos on Halloween? 🎃🥤🍪
| null | 1,728,694,041,637
| 1,730,426,773,307
| 1,730,426,773,307
|
YES
| 0.99
| 906.240392
|
Entertainment
|
Celebrity & Pop Culture
|
wwfbvyuidz
|
will-this-market-get-me-a-job-in-20
|
Will this market get me a job in 2024?
| null | 1,720,225,761,659
| 1,735,649,940,000
| 1,735,665,655,879
|
NO
| 0.05441
| 1,577.125248
|
Finance
|
Markets & Trading
|
FtENl4YTP2IZVsxCTBVT
|
will-there-be-candidates-with-chatg
|
Will there be candidates with "ChatGPT" in their names in the 2024 Brazilian municipal elections?
| null | 1,682,042,277,101
| 1,728,791,613,322
| 1,728,791,613,322
|
NO
| 0.01
| 12,975.576401
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
nCAE5EtQtO
|
will-the-mariah-carey-all-i-want-fo
|
Will the Mariah Carey All I Want for Christmas market resolve to N/A?
| null | 1,732,140,512,534
| 1,733,633,940,000
| 1,734,147,652,371
|
NO
| 0.088856
| 484.007646
|
Entertainment
|
Music & Audio
|
ASAq8SAPnO
|
will-tsla-reach-420-before-8pm-est
|
Will TSLA reach >$ 420 before 8pm EST on February 18?
| null | 1,731,303,074,144
| 1,734,037,991,419
| 1,734,037,991,419
|
YES
| 0.995324
| 275,302.635351
|
Finance
|
Markets & Trading
|
zt5O8C2qA5
|
will-libsofbluesky-get-100000-follo
|
Will LibsofBluesky get 100,000 followers on X before the end of 2024?
| null | 1,731,857,007,555
| 1,731,996,226,360
| 1,731,996,226,360
|
YES
| 0.948692
| 330
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
530eh155CPQza6Aoizn2
|
democratic-party-trifecta-in-2024
|
Democratic party trifecta in 2024
| null | 1,672,649,430,649
| 1,730,918,517,609
| 1,730,918,517,609
|
NO
| 0.013362
| 11,928.450509
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
lcmyf6n5u7
|
will-hunter-biden-receive-a-combine
|
Will Hunter Biden receive a combined sentence of greater than 50 months confinement?
| null | 1,725,758,358,143
| 1,733,163,208,128
| 1,733,163,208,128
|
NO
| 0.01
| 2,757.441536
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
DWyjms0Y6dzLbQbCvFJW
|
nfl-week-3-sep-22-will-the-pittsbur
|
NFL Week 3 (Sep 22): Will the Pittsburgh Steelers beat the Los Angeles Chargers?
| null | 1,715,833,628,164
| 1,727,068,311,036
| 1,727,068,311,036
|
YES
| 0.99
| 1,442.752287
|
Sports
|
Professional Sports
|
6dn0qLy88z
|
-2024-ncaaf-will-byu-defeat-utah
|
🏈 2024 NCAAF: Will BYU defeat Utah?
| null | 1,730,171,506,137
| 1,731,222,600,000
| 1,731,225,974,008
|
YES
| 0.99
| 2,737.624822
|
Sports
|
Team Sports
|
S2MxSx7EOTVGrdZ4UWgP
|
will-cruise-relaunch-driverless-tax-eb23f0bafffd
|
Will Cruise relaunch driverless taxis by Dec 31 2025?
| null | 1,704,228,830,339
| 1,733,883,808,013
| 1,733,883,808,013
|
NO
| 0.1716
| 760.095081
|
Technology
|
Emerging Technologies
|
fdsvHILtNiOzuhHKqRgS
|
will-vinch-mcmahon-be-charged-with
|
Will Vince McMahon be charged with a crime before Nintendo goes after Palworld?
| null | 1,707,004,132,535
| 1,726,704,549,767
| 1,726,704,549,767
|
NO
| 0.03
| 530.012397
|
Entertainment
|
Celebrity & Pop Culture
|
DJvUekdTRTv31W0dB0bb
|
will-the-bank-of-england-base-rate-b24c0043df65
|
Will the Bank of England base rate reach 7.5% in 2024?
| null | 1,687,433,847,915
| 1,734,616,375,150
| 1,734,616,375,150
|
NO
| 0.010021
| 5,408.521299
|
Finance
|
Economic Indicators
|
yv886wgvvw
|
by-the-end-of-q3-2025-will-an-open
|
By the end of Q3 2025 will an open source model beat OpenAI’s o1 model?
| null | 1,726,525,046,225
| 1,732,781,006,381
| 1,732,781,006,381
|
YES
| 0.77876
| 168
|
Technology
|
Emerging Technologies
|
wl80feNGUNWVQHMP6c3F
|
will-cornel-west-receive-5-of-the-p
|
Will Cornel West receive >= 5% of the popular vote in the 2024 US Presidential election?
| null | 1,685,994,871,012
| 1,730,869,140,000
| 1,730,893,102,315
|
NO
| 0.012434
| 2,494.037241
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
ROqVTB9Jmx3DRBhhOHSK
|
will-there-be-a-joint-pantone-color
|
Will there be a joint Pantone color of the year in 2025?
| null | 1,707,806,199,761
| 1,733,707,865,743
| 1,733,707,865,743
|
NO
| 0.016367
| 10,781.146695
|
Entertainmnet
|
Celebrity & Pop Culture
|
S3KOAlMFkr1Kz4G2pcRt
|
will-china-launch-a-fullscale-invas-7373266955e5
|
Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan by the end of September?
| null | 1,709,481,229,719
| 1,727,733,540,000
| 1,727,734,585,069
|
NO
| 0.01
| 3,740.088304
|
Geopolitics
|
Global Conflicts
|
EKYxFEo8On7zVwM29CDM
|
will-missouri-vote-the-same-party-f
|
Will Missouri vote the same party for Senate and president in 2024?
| null | 1,686,435,513,044
| 1,730,869,140,000
| 1,731,555,200,293
|
YES
| 0.965751
| 1,024.131257
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
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