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values |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
of3pl472ua
|
will-bitcoin-be-higher-than-65850-a
|
Will bitcoin be higher than $65,850 at Sep 29th 5:20pm ET?
| null | 1,727,644,093,668
| 1,727,644,837,248
| 1,727,644,837,248
|
YES
| 0.98
| 275,870.700483
|
Finance
|
Markets & Trading
|
frbyzs05rw
|
will-jd-vance-be-the-vice-president
|
Will JD Vance be the Vice Presidential candidate on Election Day 2024?
| null | 1,722,358,718,411
| 1,730,926,055,270
| 1,730,926,055,270
|
YES
| 0.99
| 23,292.906193
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
Xi0o3HoF6vtPTibVydXI
|
will-the-winner-of-the-2024-preside-9611a79a6ab4
|
Will the winner of the 2024 Presidential Election carry the state of Oregon?
| null | 1,690,202,047,780
| 1,730,998,843,300
| 1,730,998,843,300
|
NO
| 0.010002
| 1,057.309618
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
1wOtpdjYH3MWaMyIZ0nL
|
will-donald-trump-beat-joe-biden-in
|
Will Trump beat Biden in every New York Times/Sienna national poll before election day?
| null | 1,709,405,511,007
| 1,730,683,521,678
| 1,730,683,521,678
|
YES
| 0.976467
| 12,733.370258
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
9gqUIL02Ap
|
will-the-sp-500-stock-index-close-h-08LEN5Ply5
|
Will the S&P 500 stock index close higher on Dec 3 than it closed on Dec 2?
| null | 1,733,172,065,891
| 1,733,259,746,154
| 1,733,259,746,154
|
YES
| 0.979009
| 1,021.720618
|
Finance
|
Markets & Trading
|
n6JWwdTbTGqW34pXbuyh
|
will-xi-jinping-visit-the-white-hou
|
Will Xi Jinping visit the White House by the end of 2024?
| null | 1,683,659,641,754
| 1,735,681,797,072
| 1,735,681,797,072
|
NO
| 0.014605
| 37,888.226491
|
Politics
|
Domestic Policy
|
whum9iw7l7
|
mlb-postseason-2024-105-nlds-game-1
|
MLB Postseason 2024 ⚾️ 10/5 NLDS Game 1 Mets @ Phillies: Will there be a run scored in the 1st Inning?
| null | 1,728,149,960,279
| 1,728,159,494,422
| 1,728,159,494,422
|
YES
| 0.99
| 9,521.506612
|
Sports
|
Professional Sports
|
Y81hnOg4knKl57dntzIg
|
will-any-major-social-platform-inte
|
Will any major social platform integrate OpenAI’s metadata to visibly indicate AI-generated images in 2024?
| null | 1,707,251,046,951
| 1,734,510,300,084
| 1,734,510,304,579
|
YES
| 0.99
| 16,471.053462
|
Technology
|
Internet & Digital Services
|
0adficjjzt
|
will-rfk-jr-be-removed-from-the-bal
|
Will RFK Jr be removed from the ballot in North Carolina?
| null | 1,725,452,958,339
| 1,729,011,181,001
| 1,729,011,181,001
|
YES
| 0.98
| 14,257.730412
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
ct75KHMKUlgWwRlyHie5
|
3-the-terms-large-language-model-an
|
3) The terms “large language model” and “LLM” will become less common.
| null | 1,703,511,126,305
| 1,734,453,602,922
| 1,734,453,602,922
|
NO
| 0.01
| 8,219.475171
|
Technology
|
Emerging Technologies
|
Uq9UPEd8PR
|
if-drallylouks-posts-her-x-income-w
|
If @DrAllyLouks posts her X income, will she make more than $1000 this time?
| null | 1,734,731,834,706
| 1,735,032,195,694
| 1,735,032,195,694
|
NO
| 0.010345
| 9,795.541597
|
Finance
|
Personal Finance
|
SeRCYby169f9BhIW4akC
|
will-joe-manchin-be-on-a-thirdparty
|
Will Joe Manchin be on a third-party presidential ticket in 2024?
| null | 1,699,560,013,423
| 1,731,201,800,230
| 1,731,201,800,230
|
NO
| 0.01
| 6,689.943165
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
7t5yvmyy5w
|
will-joe-biden-resign-the-us-presid
|
Will Joe Biden resign the US Presidency before the election November 5, 2024?
| null | 1,721,601,391,398
| 1,730,869,140,000
| 1,730,896,160,419
|
NO
| 0.020285
| 27,811.917093
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
efLFt0KKb95ptuYme7Ni
|
will-dade-phelan-win-in-the-novembe
|
Will Dade Phelan win in the November 5 Texas general election?
| null | 1,709,497,771,983
| 1,730,959,140,000
| 1,730,959,584,849
|
YES
| 0.96
| 3,649.005667
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
2khv900wcx
|
will-one-candidate-win-all-7-swing
|
Will one candidate win all 7 swing states?
| null | 1,728,803,161,490
| 1,731,059,367,575
| 1,731,059,367,575
|
YES
| 0.991139
| 91,797.831629
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
Lzaavs8RpXxH1vme9Kh3
|
nfl-week-16-dec-22-2024-will-the-se
|
NFL Week 16 (Dec 22 2024): Will the Seattle Seahawks (home) beat the Minnesota Vikings (away)?
| null | 1,715,834,629,628
| 1,735,074,300,000
| 1,735,164,058,325
|
NO
| 0.01
| 1,201.528714
|
Sports
|
Professional Sports
|
rb1nrg5u4y
|
will-iranproxies-bomb-major-civilia-sd1zpf0wig
|
Will Iran/proxies bomb major civilian infrastructure in Israel before November
| null | 1,727,798,375,992
| 1,730,415,540,000
| 1,730,419,305,042
|
NO
| 0.010425
| 1,466.372603
|
Geopolitics
|
Global Conflicts
|
vAIEN5qvHbO172JS9RYx
|
nfl-week-11-nov-17-2024-will-the-te
|
NFL Week 11 (Nov 17 2024): Will the Tennessee Titans (home) beat the Minnesota Vikings (away)?
| null | 1,715,834,246,891
| 1,731,897,116,529
| 1,731,897,116,529
|
NO
| 0.01
| 2,649.72448
|
Sports
|
Team Sports
|
zSpxJs3uUD5hZxWdGdpZ
|
will-kim-kardashian-be-in-attendanc
|
Will Kim Kardashian attend a Baltimore Ravens game in September 2024?
| null | 1,707,427,522,619
| 1,727,658,138,023
| 1,727,658,138,023
|
NO
| 0.01
| 7,413.270007
|
Entertainment
|
Celebrity & Pop Culture
|
z9SxicVUAdVzdZY1EbjV
|
will-49ers-win-superbowl-59
|
Will 49ers win Superbowl 59
| null | 1,707,715,876,392
| 1,735,343,493,149
| 1,735,343,493,149
|
NO
| 0.01
| 2,544.972528
|
Sports
|
Professional Sports
|
l0tSOaXlZrKRY6PVSw61
|
will-ilhan-omar-win-reelection-to-t
|
Will Ilhan Omar win re-election to the House in 2024?
| null | 1,702,662,673,746
| 1,731,212,950,095
| 1,731,212,950,095
|
YES
| 0.982697
| 25,946.509614
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
yQvuhs8PPa7gNNfPfmDZ
|
will-donald-trump-be-on-the-2024-ge
|
Will Donald Trump be on the 2024 general election ballot in Hawaii?
| null | 1,707,334,677,362
| 1,730,282,677,915
| 1,730,282,677,915
|
YES
| 0.978408
| 4,383.92762
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
vul52nvqkx
|
will-wikileaks-post-a-new-leak-befo
|
Will Wikileaks post a new leak before the election?
| null | 1,725,724,150,366
| 1,731,214,740,000
| 1,731,214,812,509
|
NO
| 0.01
| 12,722.547551
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
jbxutlrwq4
|
will-telegram-founder-pavel-durov-j
|
Will Telegram founder Pavel Durov "jump bail" and leave France before October 1st?
| null | 1,724,877,871,984
| 1,727,927,940,000
| 1,727,929,978,034
|
NO
| 0.01
| 131,175.962109
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
6P1grAyikRQsK95tHrtX
|
will-ufouap-be-brought-up-by-any-ca
|
Will UFO/UAP be brought up by any candidate during televised debates Democratic or Republican prez primaries?
| null | 1,690,408,242,102
| 1,724,731,140,000
| 1,729,484,910,961
|
NO
| 0.06
| 3,537.047093
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
aljundAxJ9LMlnRPm8PJ
|
will-the-winner-of-the-2024-preside-cd74b7b30892
|
Will the winner of the 2024 Presidential Election carry Nebraska's 2nd congressional district?
| null | 1,690,201,580,052
| 1,730,951,433,511
| 1,730,951,433,511
|
NO
| 0.010015
| 1,034.517149
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
EwpOuzClsBjv7RWkU59b
|
will-neurips-have-an-acceptance-rat-cede1c1082e9
|
Will NeurIPS have an acceptance rate of at least 25% in 2024?
| null | 1,695,633,622,489
| 1,730,415,540,000
| 1,735,624,982,252
|
YES
| 0.890674
| 1,914.931184
|
Technology
|
Emerging Technologies
|
9BgLVfpZlOnNRPiJqa6Y
|
will-the-us-have-a-republican-presi
|
Will the U.S. have a Republican president before 2038?
| null | 1,699,412,034,785
| 1,730,902,758,930
| 1,730,902,758,930
|
YES
| 0.935312
| 1,301.06706
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
6cctzhkfvc
|
is-lily-ashwood-lilyofashwood-on-x
|
Is Lily Ashwood (@lilyofashwood on X) an AI?
| null | 1,723,910,901,343
| 1,729,245,822,494
| 1,729,245,822,494
|
NO
| 0.13
| 1,631
|
Entertainment
|
Celebrity & Pop Culture
|
66titfsgih
|
will-claude-35-opus-be-released-in
|
Will Claude 3.5 Opus be released in October?
| null | 1,727,853,317,062
| 1,730,444,340,000
| 1,730,526,275,879
|
NO
| 0.01373
| 23,515.428184
|
Technology
|
Emerging Technologies
|
q8SJ37mxqvwdDGKnd5QK
|
will-jimmy-cater-outlive-the-curren
|
Will Jimmy Carter outlive the current Pope?
| null | 1,680,875,322,192
| 1,735,507,429,251
| 1,735,507,429,251
|
NO
| 0.01
| 6,744.380559
|
Politics
|
Public Policy & Social Issues
|
b8ozzbfkqc
|
one-month-from-today-will-kamala-be-9f37k7zptd
|
One month from today Will Kamala be above Donald Trump on Polymarket?
| null | 1,726,817,052,893
| 1,729,483,140,000
| 1,729,483,571,901
|
NO
| 0.01
| 29,490.29208
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
3RZDS3q3ejkHoDV35kB2
|
will-the-european-commission-propos
|
Will the European Commission propose EU regulation banning all types of cages for egg-laying hens by Oct 31st 2024?
| null | 1,682,166,272,673
| 1,730,419,140,000
| 1,730,786,920,746
|
NO
| 0.019483
| 1,051.233497
|
Politics
|
Public Policy & Social Issues
|
7NWRmJTAMwWweQORFZ1i
|
will-trump-endorse-desantis-for-pre
|
Will Trump endorse DeSantis (for president)?
| null | 1,678,503,423,490
| 1,730,851,140,000
| 1,731,322,111,604
|
NO
| 0.01333
| 6,820.778046
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
tKvxLCNRh4ZPwUAN38D7
|
a-tesla-supercharger-in-central-nv
|
A Tesla Supercharger in central NV comes online through 2024
| null | 1,694,630,895,779
| 1,733,184,826,078
| 1,733,184,826,078
|
YES
| 0.976982
| 1,216.36535
|
Technology
|
Emerging Technologies
|
ymyOR9fJJ1CJQldw34pN
|
will-bitcoin-hit-100000-before-the
|
Will Bitcoin Hit $100,000 Before The End Of 2024?
| null | 1,708,709,054,817
| 1,733,418,888,910
| 1,733,418,888,910
|
YES
| 0.998527
| 43,442.743094
|
Finance
|
Markets & Trading
|
9F7u6bK6pNGW39fmzMxl
|
will-gladiator-2-achieve-a-tomatome
|
Will Gladiator 2 achieve a Tomatometer score of ≥70%?
| null | 1,683,197,305,648
| 1,735,167,540,000
| 1,735,173,094,981
|
YES
| 0.99
| 9,322.512693
|
Entertainment
|
Movies & Television
|
lqQpaXdTvUPRWLF1xUuf
|
london-breed-is-reelected-mayor-of
|
London Breed is re-elected Mayor of San Francisco in 2024
| null | 1,690,959,274,267
| 1,731,274,924,973
| 1,731,274,924,973
|
NO
| 0.01
| 16,393.035516
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
t91npknjp5
|
will-anyone-say-childless-cat-ladie--cash
|
Will anyone say "childless cat ladies" during the VP debate?
| null | 1,727,813,997,825
| 1,727,837,807,596
| 1,727,894,052,121
|
NO
| 0.04
| 1,085.152644
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
5e39tbzv9o
|
will-october-2024-be-the-hottest-oc-xe4n98b94o
|
Will October 2024 be the hottest October ever? [NCEI]
| null | 1,725,377,401,642
| 1,731,513,504,310
| 1,731,513,504,310
|
NO
| 0.01
| 22,959.008127
|
Geopolitics
|
Economic Indicators
|
Si1DxLpnQfU4JDEBcmtn
|
will-trump-ever-run-as-an-independe
|
Will Trump ever run as an independent in the 2024 presidential election?
| null | 1,672,341,189,884
| 1,730,953,355,592
| 1,730,953,355,592
|
NO
| 0.019498
| 11,953.40607
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
huLFNWopJzEfLaV2817w
|
will-bitcoin-reach-100k-usd-before
|
Will Bitcoin reach $100K USD before the end of 2025?
| null | 1,714,678,859,343
| 1,733,371,144,547
| 1,733,371,144,547
|
YES
| 0.99
| 2,557.888035
|
Finance
|
Markets & Trading
|
16FLwUCPAqQGBBcaAyxx
|
does-caroline-ellison-get-1-years-s
|
Does Caroline Ellison get >=1 years sentence?
| null | 1,670,894,444,596
| 1,727,218,453,758
| 1,727,218,453,758
|
YES
| 0.98
| 26,765.038904
|
Politics
|
Public Policy & Social Issues
|
jUOcVBvl4LHEhkK7GBuG
|
will-the-raiders-trade-davante-adam
|
Will the Raiders trade Davante Adams in 2024?
| null | 1,714,779,577,350
| 1,729,480,361,334
| 1,729,480,361,334
|
YES
| 0.99
| 1,332.066772
|
Sports
|
Professional Sports
|
c26fb89nsw
|
bounty-market-will-bounties-be-reen
|
Bounty market: will bounties be reenabled this week?
| null | 1,728,271,601,993
| 1,728,536,386,927
| 1,728,536,386,927
|
YES
| 0.99
| 12,681.56057
|
Gaming
|
Gaming Culture
|
TMT2REc2UH6frRPDRrwv
|
will-daniel-ricciardo-finish-ahead
|
Will Daniel Ricciardo finish ahead of Oliver Bearman in the 2024 WDC?
| null | 1,711,642,761,079
| 1,733,671,105,996
| 1,733,671,105,996
|
YES
| 0.966147
| 5,837.628583
|
Sports
|
Formula 1
|
txrcneyvfs
|
well-the-sp-500-stock-index-close-h
|
Well the S&{P 500 stock index close higher on Oct 11 than it closed on Oct 4---(5751.07)?
| null | 1,728,072,748,585
| 1,728,676,994,497
| 1,728,676,994,497
|
YES
| 0.99
| 2,435.165505
|
Finance
|
Markets & Trading
|
5OSZq5Ig9U
|
will-bitcoin-hit-100000-before-dec
|
Will Bitcoin hit $100,000 before Dec 1?
| null | 1,732,230,754,980
| 1,733,029,594,977
| 1,733,029,594,977
|
NO
| 0.00922
| 4,803.051697
|
Finance
|
Markets & Trading
|
SOMdE8FNnNo6kJOO8M0N
|
will-manifold-reach-15000-daily-act
|
Will Manifold reach 15,000 daily active users (7-day average) before Oct 1st?
| null | 1,708,423,189,534
| 1,727,765,940,000
| 1,727,886,125,306
|
NO
| 0.01
| 1,317,509.355551
|
Technology
|
Internet & Digital Services
|
5dfWX5Lh1DmrzZmb2R5t
|
will-taylor-swift-make-3-or-more-tw-64a9a6e1a55a
|
Will Taylor Swift make 3 or more Tweeter(X) posts in Sep 2024?
| null | 1,707,011,705,284
| 1,727,755,196,395
| 1,727,788,580,730
|
NO
| 0.01
| 1,070.238848
|
Entertainment
|
Celebrity & Pop Culture
|
O2Pn99SRQy
|
-world-series-game-5-dodgers-yankee
|
⚾️ World Series Game 5 Dodgers @ Yankees: Will there be a run scored in the 1st inning?
| null | 1,730,291,367,547
| 1,730,333,979,953
| 1,730,333,979,953
|
YES
| 0.99
| 10,299.871289
|
Sports
|
Professional Sports
|
Zk061MvIU7VfSUfcYujX
|
will-any-foreign-bank-loan-trump-mo
|
Will any foreign bank loan Trump money to pay any of his civil judgements before the general election?
| null | 1,709,749,589,902
| 1,731,351,674,193
| 1,731,351,674,193
|
NO
| 0.125072
| 2,799.965185
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
p3aXpkCPch0szBfO8erz
|
will-california-ai-bill-sb1047-be-p
|
Will California AI bill (SB-1047) be signed into law with the "kill switch" requirement?
| null | 1,718,232,371,480
| 1,727,704,317,414
| 1,727,704,317,414
|
NO
| 0.01
| 17,774.492087
|
Politics
|
Public Policy & Social Issues
|
i354pkrhg5
|
will-a-fourth-film-receive-a-cinema
|
Will a fourth film receive a CinemaScore of D+ or worse in 2024?
| null | 1,728,152,803,258
| 1,735,576,664,765
| 1,735,576,664,765
|
NO
| 0.01
| 1,370.399528
|
Entertainment
|
Movies & Television
|
amupippqva
|
will-bitcoin-hit-75k-in-2024
|
Bitcoin $75K in 2024?
| null | 1,723,268,904,446
| 1,730,874,175,893
| 1,730,874,175,893
|
YES
| 0.90996
| 40,570.063994
|
Finance
|
Markets & Trading
|
8086SGL1J3FXrHNxalkk
|
will-robert-f-kennedy-jr-win-more-t-d0c180c16e22
|
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win more than 5% of the popular vote in the 2024 US presidential election?
| null | 1,696,034,612,394
| 1,730,899,740,000
| 1,731,437,542,730
|
NO
| 0.012872
| 75,694.625441
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
18HRXo2LWzDqizrj8FEY
|
will-destiny-get-unbanned-from-twit-df967649e5f8
|
Will Destiny get unbanned from Twitch before October 2024?
| null | 1,696,266,955,235
| 1,727,819,940,000
| 1,727,840,219,661
|
NO
| 0
| 115,382.566545
|
Entertainment
|
Celebrity & Pop Culture
|
XnTv9c6pA9bS0mvnxe0N
|
will-a-democrat-win-maines-second-d
|
Will a Democrat win Maine's second district in the 2024 POTUS election?
| null | 1,686,275,078,245
| 1,730,902,668,956
| 1,730,902,668,956
|
NO
| 0.055346
| 5,547.471776
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
5rofilynsu
|
will-joker-folie-a-deux-gross-more-0ohhdhm2n6
|
Will "Joker: Folie à Deux" gross more during its second weekend than "Morbius"? (>$10,201,332)
| null | 1,728,491,717,584
| 1,729,092,889,986
| 1,729,092,889,986
|
NO
| 0.01
| 3,168.237025
|
Entertainment
|
Movies & Television
|
8oI6cYgHBN3LmMuVaxoo
|
will-donald-trump-get-222-or-more-e
|
Will Donald Trump get 222 or more electoral votes in the 2024 election?
| null | 1,714,773,260,842
| 1,731,098,929,225
| 1,731,098,929,225
|
YES
| 0.989604
| 7,907.786166
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
pcajphx7wz
|
will-tucker-carlson-interview-donal
|
Will Tucker Carlson interview Donald Trump or JD Vance before November 2024?
| null | 1,723,025,979,311
| 1,729,129,663,132
| 1,729,129,663,132
|
YES
| 0.99
| 10,138.701793
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
38fnzviqe3
|
will-kamala-harris-lose-nc-but-win
|
Will Kamala Harris lose NC but win a different Trump 2020 state?
| null | 1,727,471,363,015
| 1,730,938,353,493
| 1,730,938,353,493
|
NO
| 0.010521
| 12,569.77395
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
aNn0cNOVFyqh5yPRyBWI
|
will-a-major-event-occur-that-trigg
|
Will major event occur that triggers the implementation of covid-like US lockdown before US Presidential Election 2024?
| null | 1,704,866,435,212
| 1,730,879,940,000
| 1,730,880,130,043
|
NO
| 0.030517
| 1,914.450125
|
Politics
|
Public Policy & Social Issues
|
Y3WjVnkO1hZupZRQVzOx
|
will-democrats-win-a-majority-in-th-a7def3d60d9c
|
Will Democrats win a majority in the Wisconsin State Assembly in 2024?
| null | 1,691,250,643,601
| 1,733,032,740,000
| 1,733,382,550,703
|
NO
| 0.01
| 1,981.157367
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
vE9J4RgGsmEYEJMuD8Fm
|
will-a-republican-win-arizona-in-th
|
Will a Republican win Arizona in the 2024 POTUS election?
| null | 1,686,273,149,326
| 1,731,431,324,098
| 1,731,431,324,098
|
YES
| 0.99
| 3,181.726565
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
iHa5VT8GdZGbFsrAwpit
|
will-democrats-win-more-house-seats
|
Will Democrats win more House seats in Pennsylvania than Republicans in 2024?
| null | 1,713,033,049,431
| 1,731,139,140,000
| 1,731,199,402,865
|
NO
| 0.015859
| 1,377
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
dct0uR5cpP
|
will-the-nikkei-225-close-today-hig
|
Will the Nikkei 225 close today higher than its previous day close?
| null | 1,730,345,558,928
| 1,730,370,148,040
| 1,730,370,148,040
|
NO
| 0.010305
| 8,800
|
Finance
|
Markets & Trading
|
f3nfyviz6t
|
metaculus-will-a-israelhamas-confli
|
[Metaculus] Will a Israel-Hamas conflict ceasefire lasting at least 30 days be agreed to before November 5th, 2024?
| null | 1,721,781,558,797
| 1,731,082,691,048
| 1,731,082,691,048
|
NO
| 0.022655
| 16,312.202181
|
Geopolitics
|
Global Conflicts
|
ww8ud9fhbr
|
will-elon-musk-donate-at-least-100
|
Will Elon Musk donate at least $100 million to a Republican-aligned PAC or campaign in 2024?
| null | 1,721,106,952,930
| 1,734,397,084,650
| 1,734,397,084,650
|
YES
| 0.853286
| 3,295.456787
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
PpAOhRNQ2l
|
will-congressional-hearings-on-uaps
|
Will congressional hearings on UAPs and disclosure occur in November 2024?
| null | 1,730,201,804,604
| 1,732,143,313,804
| 1,732,143,313,804
|
YES
| 0.908626
| 2,552.096084
|
Politics
|
Public Policy & Social Issues
|
PaZ8087ZprL8N6XuQtKX
|
if-the-republican-nominee-wins-mich
|
If the Republican nominee wins Michigan, will they win the presidency (2024)?
| null | 1,690,426,307,398
| 1,730,927,740,842
| 1,730,927,740,842
|
YES
| 0.99
| 1,264.281541
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
RWELhVPPBuOKrX8nHzJX
|
nfl-week-14-dec-8-2024-will-the-kan
|
NFL Week 14 (Dec 8 2024): Will the Kansas City Chiefs (home) beat the Los Angeles Chargers (away)?
| null | 1,715,834,538,834
| 1,733,880,000,000
| 1,733,931,559,970
|
YES
| 0.996117
| 2,378.179058
|
Sports
|
Professional Sports
|
4JNXJvUWOk33ZDAkhEkY
|
by-the-end-of-2024-will-any-new-202
|
By the end of 2024, will any new 2024 seasonal TV anime have hit 1 million people who have listed it on MAL?
| null | 1,709,329,603,286
| 1,735,661,765,111
| 1,735,661,765,111
|
NO
| 0.010003
| 1,325.064086
|
Entertainment
|
Movies & Television
|
jkROOhDIvVBIwXyBvmBb
|
will-rfk-jr-get-above-5-in-the-2024
|
Will RFK Jr. get above 5% in the 2024 Presidential election?
| null | 1,697,491,827,146
| 1,735,016,340,000
| 1,735,403,888,690
|
NO
| 0.010193
| 28,396.481564
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
4MoiPGdzTODzgmokBwS1
|
will-the-google-trend-border-reach
|
Will the google trend "Border" reach a new peak before the 2024 election?
| null | 1,713,386,872,153
| 1,731,200,680,586
| 1,731,200,680,586
|
NO
| 0.019648
| 1,216.336162
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
AM1axfn3jAan7o8XYSfW
|
will-zubear-abdi-face-legal-trouble
|
Will Zubear Abdi face legal trouble for sharing explicit photos of Taylor Swift generated by AI?
| null | 1,706,325,404,031
| 1,735,616,743,943
| 1,735,616,743,943
|
NO
| 0.01
| 5,599.039612
|
Politics
|
Public Policy & Social Issues
|
43c5jhxmkt
|
will-the-nyt-run-a-frontpage-headli
|
Will the NYT run a front-page headline questioning Trump's mental fitness before the election?
| null | 1,723,757,533,832
| 1,730,872,740,000
| 1,730,876,125,327
|
NO
| 0.033406
| 15,434.141493
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
18rpxi4q7o
|
will-apple-remain-the-largest-compa
|
Will Apple remain the largest company through October?
| null | 1,728,750,191,472
| 1,729,876,694,469
| 1,729,876,694,469
|
NO
| 0.01
| 1,918.477989
|
Technology
|
Tech Industry & Business
|
xyZDGlri9K6lnn28wmqP
|
will-any-of-the-videos-uploaded-to-e90ed9e70107
|
Will any of the videos uploaded to Joe Rogan's YouTube channel in Nov 2024 surpass 4M views?
| null | 1,707,191,827,138
| 1,733,029,196,395
| 1,733,860,060,384
|
YES
| 0.99
| 1,386.453113
|
Entertainment
|
Movies & Television
|
smJzQxrkKXbLC9fTPtYQ
|
will-xi-jinping-visit-any-country-i
|
Will Xi Jinping visit any country in Africa by the end of 2024?
| null | 1,697,944,894,099
| 1,732,536,331,121
| 1,732,536,331,121
|
YES
| 0.99
| 1,311.781974
|
Geopolitics
|
International Relations
|
jDqZVlZV8Ac4jTspgV3q
|
will-georgia-stay-blue-in-2024
|
Will Georgia stay blue in 2024
| null | 1,693,666,977,286
| 1,730,869,140,000
| 1,730,879,795,847
|
NO
| 0.09772
| 7,630.21356
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
u1dmx1xs51
|
will-acro-trip-tv-rate-700-or-highe
|
Will Acro Trip (TV) rate 7.00 or higher on MyAnimeList?
| null | 1,728,050,050,107
| 1,734,526,740,000
| 1,734,527,197,776
|
NO
| 0.0601
| 3,504.555728
|
Entertainment
|
Movies & Television
|
uit0MGNWsOZQ9IJOYnBY
|
will-gary-gensler-resign-from-his-p
|
Will Gary Gensler resign from his position before 2024 ends?
| null | 1,693,429,485,750
| 1,732,459,189,820
| 1,732,459,189,820
|
YES
| 0.163205
| 4,366.190758
|
Politics
|
Domestic Policy
|
1nz71mcbvo
|
will-musk-and-maduro-schedule-a-fig
|
Will Elon Musk and Nicolás Maduro schedule a fight before the end of 2024?
| null | 1,722,445,909,225
| 1,735,581,427,178
| 1,735,581,427,178
|
NO
| 0.01
| 1,745.189332
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
2TPvfvT9lgl25LpQ1Xhs
|
will-taylor-swift-attend-a-campaign
|
Will Taylor Swift attend a campaign event for Joe Biden in 2024?
| null | 1,709,238,082,773
| 1,730,603,119,872
| 1,730,603,119,872
|
NO
| 0.01
| 1,843.428106
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
cc2sLZ6StZ
|
daily-coinflip-UzIIR6qutQ
|
Daily coinflip
| null | 1,734,234,494,482
| 1,734,325,140,000
| 1,734,329,005,276
|
NO
| 0.490494
| 2,564.147941
|
Sports
|
Sports Culture & Recreation
|
44yOeiEbld5hDz0TtE9z
|
nfl-week-8-oct-27-2024-will-the-was
|
NFL Week 8 (Oct 27 2024): Will the Washington Commanders (home) beat the Chicago Bears (away)?
| null | 1,715,834,146,099
| 1,730,078,805,728
| 1,730,078,805,728
|
YES
| 0.99
| 1,325.843272
|
Sports
|
Professional Sports
|
b4q0LODuk8gox7ETFj03
|
metaculus-will-the-current-european
|
[Metaculus] Will the current European Commission propose a European Union directive or regul... before October 31, 2024?
| null | 1,699,489,001,175
| 1,730,530,740,000
| 1,730,666,644,541
|
NO
| 0.011318
| 1,386.999624
|
Politics
|
Domestic Policy
|
wzz8e4gi5r
|
will-israeli-troops-enter-the-count-2zi8xd9mif
|
Will Israeli troops enter the country of Lebanon before the end of Halloween?
| null | 1,720,311,345,750
| 1,727,758,286,897
| 1,727,758,286,897
|
YES
| 0.99
| 17,851.468268
|
Geopolitics
|
Global Conflicts
|
Fu65ybnYsf2dtY8dlTLp
|
will-the-panama-canal-be-closed-for
|
Will the Panama Canal be closed for at least 24 hours in 2024 due to a man-made disaster?
| null | 1,712,762,919,633
| 1,735,680,015,763
| 1,735,680,015,763
|
NO
| 0.040534
| 2,727
|
Geopolitics
|
Regional Affairs
|
N96XISoQnmK8nCAeqmki
|
will-jimmy-carter-die-in-2024
|
Will Jimmy Carter die in 2024?
| null | 1,703,624,953,482
| 1,735,508,499,551
| 1,735,587,474,631
|
YES
| 0.996016
| 95,193.448615
|
Politics
|
Celebrity & Pop Culture
|
e2q1xpu3tt
|
will-kamala-harris-win-the-popular
|
Will Kamala Harris win the popular vote but lose the Electoral College?
| null | 1,726,309,875,625
| 1,730,953,295,957
| 1,730,953,295,957
|
NO
| 0.01
| 19,959.667901
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
6kyC0zqK8ozUdBJlBBWT
|
will-the-twins-win-87-or-more-games
|
Will the Twins win 87 or more games in the 2024 MLB regular season?
| null | 1,705,732,988,812
| 1,727,458,118,852
| 1,727,458,118,852
|
NO
| 0.01
| 1,288.316623
|
Sports
|
Professional Sports
|
7pp1ac35es
|
will-any-sweepstakes-market-cross-1
|
Will any sweepstakes market cross $10,000 in total volume in 2024?
| null | 1,726,594,806,794
| 1,727,200,143,374
| 1,727,200,143,374
|
YES
| 0.99
| 9,833.126833
|
Finance
|
Markets & Trading
|
JesXpCG8NfxlBxMqUlMu
|
will-the-margin-of-victory-in-the-2-19d0d7c91571
|
Will the margin of victory in the 2024 POTUS election in Georgia be greater than in 2020 (0.3%)?
| null | 1,707,672,690,921
| 1,731,044,798,110
| 1,731,044,798,110
|
YES
| 0.99
| 2,255.823607
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
9Ut8ZS6O6U
|
will-kamala-harris-appear-on-the-jo
|
Will Kamala Harris appear on the Joe Rogan podcast before the November 2024 election?
| null | 1,729,869,772,243
| 1,730,822,340,000
| 1,730,831,387,540
|
NO
| 0.008361
| 1,631.533269
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
mkbiu1216h
|
will-manifold-think-that-kamala-wou-spuzqvuu1j
|
Will Manifold think that Kamala would beat Trump in a game of chess if both have one month to prepare?
| null | 1,724,493,056,620
| 1,727,150,340,000
| 1,727,455,177,210
|
YES
| 0.98
| 1,074.182349
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
MU5sBBKf4wXhu36jvh9d
|
will-world-chess-championship-2024
|
Will World Chess Championship 2024 be a close match?
| null | 1,713,900,580,415
| 1,732,712,014,320
| 1,732,712,014,320
|
YES
| 0.950681
| 4,668.66124
|
Sports
|
Individual Sports
|
2PR83ndJofIB5yE5eNdW
|
soai-23-310-will-selfimproving-al-a
|
SoAI 23 3/10: Will Self-improving Al agents crush SOTA in a complex environment (e.g. AAA game, tool use, science)?
| null | 1,697,652,393,670
| 1,728,661,552,303
| 1,728,661,552,303
|
NO
| 0.06
| 8,977.769598
|
Technology
|
Emerging Technologies
|
nw8yxskRMyhJB0MQzKNw
|
will-the-democrats-win-a-majority-i
|
Will the Democrats win a majority in the House of Representatives in the 2024 elections?
| null | 1,679,174,782,879
| 1,731,711,300,842
| 1,731,711,300,842
|
NO
| 0.009742
| 1,089,412.789441
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
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