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values | pred_subcategory
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values |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
hhnUhg5pty
|
will-an-ai-score-over-10-on-frontie
|
Will an AI score over 10% on FrontierMath Benchmark in 2025
| null | 1,731,114,173,716
| 1,734,722,022,899
| 1,734,722,022,899
|
YES
| 0.965124
| 5,927.684471
|
Technology
|
Emerging Technologies
|
ZEKw7Rx6SmU3dZcHvBVV
|
will-max-score-more-poles-than-pere
|
Will Max Verstappen score more poles than Perez does P2 in 2024?
| null | 1,712,470,816,014
| 1,730,863,930,160
| 1,730,863,930,160
|
YES
| 0.955623
| 3,422
|
Sports
|
Individual Sports
|
0igFeVVc7cDy98luxxY3
|
will-north-carolina-elect-a-democra
|
Will North Carolina elect a Democrat for governor in 2024?
| null | 1,702,872,955,428
| 1,730,929,208,666
| 1,730,929,208,666
|
YES
| 0.979588
| 1,741.376039
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
Qs5R4Y2wf1U5MUXBACXf
|
will-mrbeast-be-the-most-subscribed
|
Will MrBeast be the most subscribed YouTube channel on December 31st 2024?
| null | 1,703,492,669,599
| 1,735,631,824,848
| 1,735,631,824,848
|
YES
| 0.989079
| 14,899.602233
|
Entertainment
|
Celebrity & Pop Culture
|
CNdOZUlCSQ
|
bitcoin-above-95k-on-dec-8
|
Bitcoin above $95K on Dec 8?
| null | 1,732,773,366,988
| 1,733,652,664,613
| 1,733,652,664,613
|
YES
| 0.99
| 17,770.030318
|
Finance
|
Markets & Trading
|
mtzpm4i6tr
|
will-the-government-shutdown-before
|
Will the government shutdown before October 2?
| null | 1,726,766,775,823
| 1,728,028,131,209
| 1,728,028,131,209
|
NO
| 0.01
| 1,259.660435
|
Politics
|
Domestic Policy
|
LesUhZn88wsOk4KAUuJ7
|
metaculus-will-trump-and-biden-shak
|
[Metaculus] Will Trump and Biden shake hands in any of their debates?
| null | 1,717,421,187,888
| 1,730,998,800,000
| 1,731,022,319,348
|
NO
| 0.01
| 26,952.432929
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
ZXXwDRnEfD0dDdohb8MS
|
matthew-yglesias-2024-predictions-v-8bfb98574714
|
Matthew Yglesias 2024 predictions vs Manifold: Will Donald Trump win the 2024 presidential election?
| null | 1,704,409,790,121
| 1,705,294,740,000
| 1,730,991,518,516
|
YES
| 0.416255
| 1,066.480723
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
IP1Ea0Rvsda69ZHQwpI1
|
will-joe-biden-win-the-2024-us-pres-b89dd7b227f9
|
Will Joe Biden win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
| null | 1,707,085,033,731
| 1,730,941,067,093
| 1,730,941,067,093
|
NO
| 0.010253
| 27,033.842662
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
5Z2dhJOFo9bBp9VYgGs3
|
will-the-dodgers-clinch-the-nl-west
|
Will the Dodgers clinch the NL West
| null | 1,712,772,101,727
| 1,727,494,862,589
| 1,727,494,862,589
|
YES
| 0.99
| 2,393.827009
|
Sports
|
Professional Sports
|
cc3od209s4
|
will-nebraska-beat-illinois-in-thei
|
Will Nebraska beat Illinois in their football game on 9/20/24?
| null | 1,726,857,138,010
| 1,726,927,349,197
| 1,726,927,349,197
|
NO
| 0.01
| 10,945.109652
|
Sports
|
Team Sports
|
ds5dqRhz8p
|
tug-of-war-EQ2O6Ul2cu
|
Tug of war
| null | 1,732,718,461,964
| 1,732,919,411,624
| 1,732,919,411,624
|
YES
| 0.793857
| 1,817.999881
|
Sports
|
Team Sports
|
2ypdAQ6S9u
|
will-satish-rao-release-grades-for
|
Will Satish Rao release grades for UC Berkeley's CS 270 by Monday December 23rd?
| null | 1,734,774,426,245
| 1,735,027,140,000
| 1,735,030,125,365
|
NO
| 0.163095
| 1,734.740039
|
Technology
|
Computing & Software
|
btiqm0gej0
|
short-fuse-will-i-quroe-beat-scotts
|
[Short Fuse] Will I (@Quroe) beat @ScottSupak in September 2024's Manifold Diamond League?
| null | 1,727,736,528,592
| 1,727,824,767,720
| 1,727,824,829,453
|
YES
| 0.85
| 1,569.887685
|
Sports
|
Individual Sports
|
uU928uOnyy
|
will-chatgpt-be-able-to-say-the-nam
|
Will ChatGPT be able to say the name David Mayer before 2025?
| null | 1,733,066,765,499
| 1,733,236,536,628
| 1,733,236,536,628
|
YES
| 0.971417
| 7,972.866103
|
Technology
|
Emerging Technologies
|
LyRUZ2CNRg
|
will-xcommanifoldmarkets-post-today
|
Will x.com/manifoldmarkets post today?
| null | 1,730,729,946,317
| 1,730,755,100,779
| 1,730,755,100,779
|
YES
| 0.989857
| 9,020.882366
|
Technology
|
Internet & Digital Services
|
hwxtxj4n3e
|
will-manifold-add-a-withdrawal-fee
|
Will Manifold add a withdrawal fee for sweepcash before the end of November?
| null | 1,729,136,801,954
| 1,729,137,540,772
| 1,729,137,540,772
|
YES
| 0.99
| 1,078.143387
|
Finance
|
Personal Finance
|
Q6CFSRrBerqSc23fqSkR
|
will-marvel-release-multiple-films
|
Will Marvel release multiple films in 2024?
| null | 1,700,104,951,603
| 1,730,935,496,675
| 1,730,935,496,675
|
NO
| 0.044058
| 1,323.098275
|
Entertainment
|
Movies & Television
|
vp0ckl70df
|
will-jd-vance-and-tim-walz-both-par
|
Will JD Vance and Tim Walz both participate in a vice presidential debate hosted by CBS News on October 1st?
| null | 1,725,391,876,069
| 1,727,833,602,110
| 1,727,833,602,110
|
YES
| 0.99
| 106,930.627865
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
l2oYnvgk59fQRURg7o2h
|
will-at-least-one-us-state-print-ba
|
Will at least one US state print ballots without listing Donald Trump due to Section 3 of the 14th Amendment?
| null | 1,691,735,163,138
| 1,730,879,940,000
| 1,730,932,242,751
|
NO
| 0.038597
| 21,039.869179
|
Politics
|
Domestic Policy
|
39yKcXgqGrUMwPRmTZwy
|
will-biden-die-before-the-next-pres
|
Will Biden die before the next presidential election?
| null | 1,673,147,487,297
| 1,730,793,600,000
| 1,730,873,004,192
|
NO
| 0.020997
| 22,013.554212
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
nsO8yQmO6mrN7GaY4bI2
|
will-openai-release-their-video-gen
|
Will OpenAI release their video generation model "SORA" to the general public before the US elections (2024)?
| null | 1,710,519,787,994
| 1,733,003,658,783
| 1,733,003,658,783
|
NO
| 0.01
| 19,495.630923
|
Technology
|
Emerging Technologies
|
GSqPBWMbBR5Vbk4Vx2to
|
will-liz-cheney-run-for-president-i-eee62a93339b
|
Will Liz Cheney run for president in 2024?
| null | 1,701,794,343,155
| 1,730,740,182,310
| 1,730,740,182,310
|
NO
| 0.012834
| 6,275.52033
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
icylz6704x
|
will-there-be-a-claim-that-kamala-h
|
Will there be a claim that Kamala Harris has had a lesbian relations published in a reputable newspaper?
| null | 1,722,634,300,227
| 1,730,444,340,000
| 1,730,445,135,320
|
NO
| 0.026482
| 9,231.940746
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
CNLq2SUP2N
|
will-biden-declare-a-national-fema
|
Will Biden declare a national FEMA EMERGENCY after the election?
| null | 1,729,989,945,279
| 1,731,125,287,730
| 1,731,125,287,730
|
NO
| 0.084963
| 7,201.978529
|
Politics
|
Domestic Policy
|
SxM5XRac63ekRYSDAQM4
|
will-trump-underperform-in-the-gene
|
Will Trump underperform in the general polls again? (2024 RCP Average)
| null | 1,712,956,355,761
| 1,731,301,140,000
| 1,734,383,945,786
|
YES
| 0.989249
| 11,805.441613
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
CRXaT2XMMJ8StP4iwBHs
|
will-biden-need-nebraskas-second-di
|
Will Biden need Nebraska's second district to win reelection?
| null | 1,712,532,376,024
| 1,732,635,341,619
| 1,732,635,341,619
|
NO
| 0.028673
| 1,631.621124
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
Drzx5AwK2aBQMIyYO1cP
|
will-mitch-mcconnell-stop-being-sen
|
Will Mitch McConnell stop being Senate Republican Leader by the next presidential inauguration (20 Jan 2025)?
| null | 1,669,828,558,269
| 1,731,528,713,196
| 1,731,528,713,196
|
YES
| 0.99
| 59,874.400876
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
Pc8PyStCyh
|
bitcoin-hits-100k-in-less-than-48-h
|
Bitcoin hits $100K in less than 48 hours?
| null | 1,732,276,354,881
| 1,732,449,600,000
| 1,732,466,620,449
|
NO
| 0.005991
| 21,790.610475
|
Finance
|
Markets & Trading
|
skuoqijps1
|
will-the-margin-of-victory-in-the-2-rq8njcckh5
|
Will the margin of victory in the 2024 US Presidential election in Wisconsin be greater than 1%?
| null | 1,723,484,830,067
| 1,733,721,778,986
| 1,733,721,778,986
|
NO
| 0.051471
| 13,043.1266
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
sdmpwq6f49
|
will-the-sp-500-stock-index-close-h-l6bp06uc7r
|
Will the S&P 500 stock index close higher on Sept 27 than hit closed on Sept 26?
| null | 1,727,381,109,629
| 1,727,467,308,584
| 1,727,467,308,584
|
NO
| 0.03
| 1,204.064825
|
Finance
|
Markets & Trading
|
snf255a9l6
|
will-trump-win-nevada-in-the-2024-p--cash
|
Will Trump win Nevada in the 2024 Presidential Election?
| null | 1,727,304,586,243
| 1,731,050,187,491
| 1,731,050,187,491
|
YES
| 0.99
| 10,374.448045
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
hUQQom8hlH8sAo9VZ6SN
|
will-there-be-an-eag-on-the-east-co
|
Will there be an EA Global Conference on the East Coast in 2024?
| null | 1,699,916,125,844
| 1,731,149,063,515
| 1,731,149,063,515
|
YES
| 0.99
| 2,944.545104
|
Technology
|
Tech Industry & Business
|
wwfbvyuidz
|
will-this-market-get-me-a-job-in-20
|
Will this market get me a job in 2024?
| null | 1,720,225,761,659
| 1,735,649,940,000
| 1,735,665,655,879
|
NO
| 0.05441
| 1,577.125248
|
Finance
|
Markets & Trading
|
FtENl4YTP2IZVsxCTBVT
|
will-there-be-candidates-with-chatg
|
Will there be candidates with "ChatGPT" in their names in the 2024 Brazilian municipal elections?
| null | 1,682,042,277,101
| 1,728,791,613,322
| 1,728,791,613,322
|
NO
| 0.01
| 12,975.576401
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
ASAq8SAPnO
|
will-tsla-reach-420-before-8pm-est
|
Will TSLA reach >$ 420 before 8pm EST on February 18?
| null | 1,731,303,074,144
| 1,734,037,991,419
| 1,734,037,991,419
|
YES
| 0.995324
| 275,302.635351
|
Finance
|
Markets & Trading
|
530eh155CPQza6Aoizn2
|
democratic-party-trifecta-in-2024
|
Democratic party trifecta in 2024
| null | 1,672,649,430,649
| 1,730,918,517,609
| 1,730,918,517,609
|
NO
| 0.013362
| 11,928.450509
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
lcmyf6n5u7
|
will-hunter-biden-receive-a-combine
|
Will Hunter Biden receive a combined sentence of greater than 50 months confinement?
| null | 1,725,758,358,143
| 1,733,163,208,128
| 1,733,163,208,128
|
NO
| 0.01
| 2,757.441536
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
DWyjms0Y6dzLbQbCvFJW
|
nfl-week-3-sep-22-will-the-pittsbur
|
NFL Week 3 (Sep 22): Will the Pittsburgh Steelers beat the Los Angeles Chargers?
| null | 1,715,833,628,164
| 1,727,068,311,036
| 1,727,068,311,036
|
YES
| 0.99
| 1,442.752287
|
Sports
|
Professional Sports
|
6dn0qLy88z
|
-2024-ncaaf-will-byu-defeat-utah
|
🏈 2024 NCAAF: Will BYU defeat Utah?
| null | 1,730,171,506,137
| 1,731,222,600,000
| 1,731,225,974,008
|
YES
| 0.99
| 2,737.624822
|
Sports
|
Team Sports
|
DJvUekdTRTv31W0dB0bb
|
will-the-bank-of-england-base-rate-b24c0043df65
|
Will the Bank of England base rate reach 7.5% in 2024?
| null | 1,687,433,847,915
| 1,734,616,375,150
| 1,734,616,375,150
|
NO
| 0.010021
| 5,408.521299
|
Finance
|
Economic Indicators
|
wl80feNGUNWVQHMP6c3F
|
will-cornel-west-receive-5-of-the-p
|
Will Cornel West receive >= 5% of the popular vote in the 2024 US Presidential election?
| null | 1,685,994,871,012
| 1,730,869,140,000
| 1,730,893,102,315
|
NO
| 0.012434
| 2,494.037241
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
ROqVTB9Jmx3DRBhhOHSK
|
will-there-be-a-joint-pantone-color
|
Will there be a joint Pantone color of the year in 2025?
| null | 1,707,806,199,761
| 1,733,707,865,743
| 1,733,707,865,743
|
NO
| 0.016367
| 10,781.146695
|
Entertainmnet
|
Celebrity & Pop Culture
|
S3KOAlMFkr1Kz4G2pcRt
|
will-china-launch-a-fullscale-invas-7373266955e5
|
Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan by the end of September?
| null | 1,709,481,229,719
| 1,727,733,540,000
| 1,727,734,585,069
|
NO
| 0.01
| 3,740.088304
|
Geopolitics
|
Global Conflicts
|
EKYxFEo8On7zVwM29CDM
|
will-missouri-vote-the-same-party-f
|
Will Missouri vote the same party for Senate and president in 2024?
| null | 1,686,435,513,044
| 1,730,869,140,000
| 1,731,555,200,293
|
YES
| 0.965751
| 1,024.131257
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
8kyziml4si
|
will-claude35-opus-launch-before-oc
|
Will Claude-3.5 Opus launch before October 18th?
| null | 1,728,622,025,445
| 1,729,270,740,000
| 1,729,297,834,043
|
NO
| 0.01
| 5,556.497034
|
Technology
|
Emerging Technologies
|
vp8b77k9qg
|
will-shohei-ohtani-hit-50-hr-at-48
|
Will Shohei Ohtani hit 50 HR? At 48 HR with 11 games to go ⚾🇯🇵
| null | 1,726,687,660,884
| 1,726,792,669,590
| 1,726,792,669,590
|
YES
| 0.99
| 59,596.864676
|
Sports
|
Professional Sports
|
7cn2mjfhnc
|
will-kai-cenat-interview-kamala-har
|
Will Kai Cenat interview Kamala Harris or Tim Walz before November 2024?
| null | 1,723,025,884,779
| 1,730,519,940,000
| 1,730,526,139,024
|
NO
| 0.01455
| 8,873.4653
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
D6YOm9IMZMjgAmf3Qwf6
|
will-jensen-huang-speak-at-any-publ
|
Will Jensen Huang speak at any public event while not wearing a leather jacket before October 2024?
| null | 1,711,168,271,753
| 1,727,364,424,554
| 1,727,364,424,554
|
YES
| 0.99
| 24,125.764478
|
Celebrity & Pop Culture
|
Celebrity & Pop Culture
|
3jVXm8gTzhoD4FzBc6aM
|
will-bashar-alassad-be-in-power-in-ad3075b480e8
|
Will Bashar al-Assad be in power in Syria until the end of 2025?
| null | 1,697,009,419,513
| 1,733,952,344,274
| 1,733,952,344,274
|
NO
| 0.004897
| 13,682.225719
|
Geopolitics
|
Regional Affairs
|
mlsWMHqCNd4JXFhnSL1A
|
will-there-be-a-cubecon-2024
|
Will there be a CubeCon 2024?
| null | 1,704,320,980,643
| 1,732,476,031,261
| 1,732,476,031,261
|
YES
| 0.99
| 1,294.498524
|
Entertainment
|
Gaming
|
IOuQcpXpJgc2T13Et2cf
|
will-us-total-co2-emissions-be-belo
|
Will US total CO2 emissions be below 5 billion tons in 2023?
| null | 1,671,465,497,948
| 1,733,069,442,844
| 1,733,069,442,844
|
NO
| 0.010057
| 14,256.554392
|
Finance
|
Economic Indicators
|
arexwa5pp0
|
will-apple-remain-largest-company-t
|
Will Apple (AAPL) remain the largest company through Sept 30th? 🍎📈💰
| null | 1,724,992,295,818
| 1,727,765,940,000
| 1,727,778,723,681
|
YES
| 0.99
| 5,071.129267
|
Finance
|
Markets & Trading
|
72gbNekyaCeyHDsk5NpG
|
will-jon-tester-outperform-biden-by
|
Will Jon Tester outperform the Democratic presidential nominee by double digits?
| null | 1,712,404,158,026
| 1,731,364,409,539
| 1,731,364,409,539
|
YES
| 0.968837
| 12,462.380745
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
4DkyQrO9VmyTdblFCvhN
|
does-the-next-us-president-currentl
|
Does the next US President currently hold the title of Governor? (As if January 2023)
| null | 1,672,959,108,458
| 1,732,297,815,653
| 1,732,297,815,653
|
NO
| 0.018789
| 6,523.610093
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
tq60qcum5h
|
polymarketlinked-will-either-candid
|
[Polymarket-linked] Will either candidate say a slur at the VP debate?
| null | 1,727,820,826,025
| 1,727,852,340,000
| 1,727,870,880,941
|
NO
| 0.01
| 1,061.87603
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
vyoppkebe7
|
bitcoin-above-65000-on-october-25
|
Bitcoin above $65000 on October 25?
| null | 1,727,483,773,532
| 1,729,839,540,000
| 1,729,854,306,443
|
YES
| 0.99
| 15,817.129032
|
Finance
|
Markets & Trading
|
0mfmh8bckg
|
will-jd-vances-favourability-improv
|
Will JD Vance's Favourability improve 2 weeks after the VP debate?
| null | 1,727,791,686,163
| 1,729,016,940,000
| 1,729,026,633,419
|
YES
| 0.99
| 2,522.56026
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
svySpZNGmq6JJcoNghu2
|
will-any-state-be-decided-by-01-in
|
Will any state be decided by <0.1% in the 2024 presidential election?
| null | 1,686,115,483,859
| 1,733,032,740,000
| 1,733,043,994,859
|
NO
| 0.024199
| 5,486.31948
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
g8ZO0IBFGsEeFs2awQvT
|
will-susan-collins-endorse-trump
|
Will Susan Collins endorse Trump?
| null | 1,681,992,237,917
| 1,731,128,340,000
| 1,731,437,594,466
|
NO
| 0.016664
| 6,855.907656
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
l158o9jd9f
|
will-november-2024-will-be-the-warm
|
Will November 2024 will be the warmest month of November ever recorded (worldwide) ?
| null | 1,725,629,811,044
| 1,733,525,940,000
| 1,733,736,081,939
|
NO
| 0.019649
| 1,760.8194
|
Finance
|
Economic Indicators
|
SEMajxHBW6nWsBjJNwvM
|
will-the-price-of-bitcoin-surpass-1-9c0a8a0d684f
|
Bitcoin $100K by Dec 31, 2025?
| null | 1,704,864,920,881
| 1,733,370,995,639
| 1,733,370,995,639
|
YES
| 0.993768
| 47,806.298591
|
Finance
|
Markets & Trading
|
ap1p0mkbym
|
will-this-market-close-between-45-5
|
Will this market close between 45% - 55%?
| null | 1,726,426,193,438
| 1,727,071,140,000
| 1,727,197,832,009
|
YES
| 0.55
| 4,659.47621
|
Finance
|
Markets & Trading
|
ltT4Oyqc5KKa18tzqWpt
|
will-a-republican-reclaim-the-senat
|
Will a Republican reclaim the Senate seat of West Virginia now that Manchin is not seeking reelection?
| null | 1,699,619,719,682
| 1,730,955,540,000
| 1,730,956,027,341
|
YES
| 0.99
| 2,194.397782
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
TVumWspMWeg7eRfyRuTl
|
will-i-solve-the-alignment-problem
|
Will I solve the alignment problem in 2024?
| null | 1,704,069,487,432
| 1,731,347,353,909
| 1,731,347,353,909
|
NO
| 0.040633
| 2,783.857813
|
Technology
|
Emerging Technologies
|
0dRZtSyOPO
|
will-selzer-outpredict-silver-in-th--cash
|
Will Selzer out-predict Silver in the 2024 Iowa presidential election?
| null | 1,730,599,926,240
| 1,730,947,746,900
| 1,731,050,130,982
|
NO
| 0.010033
| 1,390.012632
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
1BrDgCHeXVHWQZMBGsLR
|
will-there-be-an-ai-language-model
|
Will there be an AI language model that strongly surpasses ChatGPT and other OpenAI models before the end of 2024?
| null | 1,682,935,120,592
| 1,735,651,740,000
| 1,735,653,576,756
|
NO
| 0.020816
| 368,768.621363
|
Technology
|
Emerging Technologies
|
9kp1w6mx57
|
-2024-ncaaf-will-florida-defeat-ken
|
🏈 2024 NCAAF: Will Florida defeat Kentucky?
| null | 1,729,254,297,560
| 1,729,395,300,305
| 1,729,395,300,305
|
YES
| 0.99
| 9,188.756466
|
Sports
|
Team Sports
|
o9coc8p4sh
|
formula-1-2024-will-sergio-perez-be
|
Formula 1 2024 - Will Sergio Perez be dropped or replaced mid-season? (Includes being replaced for any reason)
| null | 1,720,446,486,267
| 1,733,788,740,000
| 1,734,456,873,829
|
NO
| 0.01
| 21,309.169806
|
Sports
|
Professional Sports
|
zdhAODow9Td6IsZadjoj
|
biden-does-not-pardon-trump-before
|
Will Biden lose the 2024 election AND NOT pardon Trump before November 5th, 2024?
| null | 1,716,951,331,454
| 1,730,916,041,190
| 1,730,916,041,190
|
YES
| 0.981301
| 6,337
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
tc3e4oy9k6
|
will-this-market-get-more-than-25-t
|
will this prediction market get 25 or more traders?
| null | 1,724,511,575,594
| 1,727,128,740,000
| 1,727,177,236,193
|
YES
| 0.99
| 1,610.607561
|
Finance
|
Markets & Trading
|
PAvH7Rppec8nwhjm8Auf
|
will-a-player-hit-two-grand-slams-i
|
Will a player hit two Grand Slams in one Major League Baseball game in 2024?
| null | 1,709,930,051,574
| 1,731,016,527,031
| 1,731,016,527,031
|
NO
| 0.033455
| 3,211.679282
|
Sports
|
Professional Sports
|
0RH5GmobQZXu65lUteZk
|
will-germany-recognize-the-state-of
|
Will Germany recognize the State of Palestine by the end of 2024?
| null | 1,716,472,405,983
| 1,735,649,940,000
| 1,735,652,163,147
|
NO
| 0.014363
| 21,565.384278
|
Geopolitics
|
International Relations
|
6RtS5th9lC
|
will-gladiator-2-2024-receive-a-cin
|
Will "Gladiator 2" (2024) receive a CinemaScore of A- or above?
| null | 1,731,967,028,587
| 1,732,334,340,000
| 1,732,462,911,103
|
NO
| 0.1697
| 2,719.831764
|
Entertainment
|
Movies & Television
|
jy5h4iATOi2Q49pe8QOf
|
will-china-start-building-another-m
|
Will China start building another military base in Africa before 1st August 2024?
| null | 1,694,452,108,743
| 1,722,553,140,000
| 1,727,887,715,452
|
NO
| 0.02
| 1,976.771804
|
Geopolitics
|
Global Conflicts
|
hPBmyFIE48tYGgZgrUPR
|
will-takane-lui-hit-1-million-subsc
|
Will Takane Lui hit 1 million subscribers on YouTube before 2025?
| null | 1,682,324,622,666
| 1,731,928,529,325
| 1,731,928,529,325
|
YES
| 0.989988
| 1,995.627542
|
Entertainment
|
Celebrity & Pop Culture
|
A2S6wUo1yncfooroGgNQ
|
will-the-suez-canal-be-closed-for-a
|
Will the Suez Canal be closed for a full week for any reason by the end of 2024?
| null | 1,702,741,232,907
| 1,735,680,525,605
| 1,735,680,525,605
|
NO
| 0.040865
| 3,471.613897
|
Geopolitics
|
Regional Affairs
|
fkbbrdoglp
|
will-jimmy-carter-ever-appear-on-ta
|
Will Jimmy Carter ever appear on Talk Tuah?
| null | 1,727,239,176,348
| 1,735,526,103,509
| 1,735,526,103,509
|
NO
| 0.01
| 8,992.973128
|
Entertainment
|
Celebrity & Pop Culture
|
Q7iP8LWPP3X6zzx9Fu1v
|
will-jack-smith-ask-a-judge-to-dism
|
Will Jack Smith ask a judge to dismiss/drop any of the charges against Trump by the end of 2024?
| null | 1,703,957,096,682
| 1,732,806,497,139
| 1,732,806,497,139
|
YES
| 0.999333
| 4,084.111712
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
51tQbnGvFNtUkbi27eSc
|
will-joe-manchin-run-for-president-a7de62c7460c
|
Will Joe Manchin run for president in 2024?
| null | 1,699,568,652,681
| 1,730,740,194,081
| 1,730,740,194,081
|
NO
| 0.025682
| 16,015.503016
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
LQaGxlRCt4E9sy0eqHAd
|
if-trump-wins-the-2024-election-wil-6e67c74412ee
|
If Trump wins the 2024 election, will his vice president be Vivek Ramaswamy?
| null | 1,705,006,039,992
| 1,731,015,496,403
| 1,731,015,496,403
|
NO
| 0.034067
| 13,599.052568
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
dqwp8lrp38
|
will-the-2024-us-election-have-an-o
|
Will the 2024 US election have an outcome that cannot be certified by the reasonable observers?
| null | 1,724,771,150,678
| 1,735,622,182,648
| 1,735,622,182,648
|
NO
| 0.01
| 10,617.86273
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
KS2WftLLUKQqb7xLmOSx
|
will-mark-meadows-run-for-any-offic
|
Will Mark Meadows run for any office in 2024?
| null | 1,681,616,284,252
| 1,733,993,844,301
| 1,733,993,844,301
|
NO
| 0.01332
| 10,741.604325
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
rzgsad2cj9
|
will-there-be-at-least-4-decisive-c
|
Will there be at least 4 decisive classical games in the 2024 World Chess Championship?
| null | 1,728,429,842,522
| 1,733,754,598,742
| 1,733,754,598,742
|
YES
| 0.996835
| 39,086.28684
|
Sports
|
Individual Sports
|
20licAYOOqYTSKl5v1wx
|
in-the-2024-us-presidential-electio-0ebfda1d95a8
|
In the 2024 US presidential election, will there be at least one faithless elector?
| null | 1,704,074,542,034
| 1,735,531,402,018
| 1,735,531,402,018
|
NO
| 0.009904
| 28,232.29631
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
qRIsC0CcnN
|
can-i-go-2-weeks-without-finding-ou-0RNcRtuCdz
|
Can I go 2 weeks without finding out if Kimberly found out if Wott found out if TBTBTB found out who won the election??
| null | 1,731,439,270,404
| 1,731,584,424,808
| 1,731,584,424,808
|
NO
| 0.076879
| 1,792.000159
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
UlVUJrlxEIpMqhS1wKDq
|
nfl-week-6-oct-13-will-the-tennesse
|
NFL Week 6 (Oct 13): Will the Tennessee Titans beat the Indianapolis Colts?
| null | 1,715,834,031,330
| 1,728,953,615,564
| 1,728,953,615,564
|
NO
| 0.01
| 1,045.174929
|
Sports
|
Professional Sports
|
o6bH2F4d1CthP4TfOoLi
|
if-the-democratic-nominee-wins-minn
|
If the Democratic nominee wins Minnesota, will they win the presidency (2024)?
| null | 1,690,426,506,119
| 1,730,879,527,351
| 1,730,879,527,351
|
NO
| 0.021256
| 1,007.354577
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
FlTbqX9WMR5xZDrGPNUE
|
will-there-be-concrete-evidence-of
|
Will there be concrete evidence of a Chess GM cheating over the board before then end of 2024?
| null | 1,705,034,962,053
| 1,729,340,776,923
| 1,729,340,776,923
|
YES
| 0.78
| 1,458.738346
|
Sports
|
Individual Sports
|
ITZRQIsxeWfAtuB0guqd
|
will-donald-trump-still-be-alive-by-9e50c5922d02
|
Will Donald Trump still be alive by the end of November?
| null | 1,710,880,307,428
| 1,733,007,540,000
| 1,733,007,677,593
|
YES
| 0.989424
| 4,345.173553
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
m3WN6m3tqYKzh0QHtBhu
|
will-ruturaj-gaikwad-be-replaced-by
|
Will Ruturaj Gaikwad be replaced by any other team member of CSK as captain in IPL 2024?
| null | 1,711,268,386,114
| 1,716,747,240,000
| 1,735,676,797,686
|
NO
| 0.03387
| 1,014.163072
|
Sports
|
Professional Sports
|
jvbhseaorj
|
will-more-americans-pick-the-winnin
|
Will a higher % of Americans pick the winning candidate in 2024 than in 2020? [ READ DESCRIPTION ]
| null | 1,725,308,765,743
| 1,732,165,863,864
| 1,732,165,870,348
|
NO
| 0.009963
| 11,189.724466
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
RKrZ7itWVMk8N22ZGYQw
|
2024-formula-1-season-will-max-vers
|
[2024 Formula 1 Season] Will Max Verstappen win the Constructors Championship by himself?
| null | 1,700,756,572,616
| 1,729,694,087,921
| 1,729,694,087,921
|
NO
| 0.02
| 6,301.909758
|
Sports
|
Professional Sports
|
bguGmUeW5gu1csE7ORi8
|
will-bitcoin-reach-100k-before-it-r
|
Will Bitcoin reach $100k before it reaches $10k?
| null | 1,701,446,939,232
| 1,733,373,311,446
| 1,733,373,311,446
|
YES
| 0.990895
| 14,281.887674
|
Finance
|
Markets & Trading
|
2D0kci9LIgvHg9eKIoza
|
will-the-candidate-who-wins-nevada
|
Will the candidate who wins Nevada win the 2024 POTUS election?
| null | 1,690,286,612,153
| 1,731,431,197,276
| 1,731,431,197,276
|
YES
| 0.99
| 1,067.04417
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
0m2HGw8Pd4ZTIgga0Pzv
|
2024-formula-1-season-will-sergio-p
|
[2024 Formula 1 Season] Will Sergio Perez finish 2nd or higher in the Drivers Championship?
| null | 1,700,757,420,529
| 1,733,685,773,675
| 1,733,685,773,675
|
NO
| 0.01011
| 14,877.116408
|
Sports
|
Individual Sports
|
f0xx5qpj6k
|
will-any-of-the-videos-uploaded-to-epk9naclpt
|
Will any of the videos uploaded to Ms Rachel's YouTube channel in November 2024 surpass 5 million views?
| null | 1,729,086,615,197
| 1,732,846,744,066
| 1,732,846,744,066
|
YES
| 0.99
| 8,949.874371
|
Entertainment
|
Movies & Television
|
hw4r4bl5qy
|
will-the-538-nate-silver-presidenti
|
Will the 538 & Nate Silver presidential forecasts once again disagree by >7% before the election?
| null | 1,727,707,140,836
| 1,730,753,684,515
| 1,730,823,711,043
|
NO
| 0.151927
| 1,466.528045
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
lewl7m1dbr
|
will-jd-vance-or-tim-walz-say-the-w
|
Will JD Vance or Tim Walz say the word "couch" during the debate?
| null | 1,727,812,993,894
| 1,727,852,340,000
| 1,728,349,558,106
|
NO
| 0.01
| 9,731.223299
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
K49i7CUyxaVWwXkSr0eB
|
will-a-democrat-win-the-2024-presid-923b17a69619
|
Will a democrat win the 2024 presidential election in Florida?
| null | 1,670,814,187,443
| 1,730,912,009,561
| 1,730,912,009,561
|
NO
| 0.018313
| 20,053.677779
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
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