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values |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
5uKfYDRuCKeonUWzuKGB
|
will-scott-alexander-endorse-ron-de
|
Will Scott Alexander endorse Ron DeSantis (for president) in 2024?
| null | 1,672,821,955,803
| 1,732,924,203,173
| 1,732,924,203,173
|
NO
| 0.010028
| 9,825.590032
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
jqhzo9vwe2
|
will-i-be-able-to-buy-mana-in-the-s
|
Will I be able to buy mana in the shop within 30 days?
| null | 1,725,209,080,278
| 1,727,819,940,000
| 1,727,854,400,949
|
NO
| 0.01
| 1,908.038595
|
Finance
|
Markets & Trading
|
elZc0TvxRMUHyOeoX7tt
|
will-jimmy-carter-be-alive-on-the-d-14f34940e143
|
Will Jimmy Carter be alive on the day Spider-man Beyond the Spiderverse releases?
| null | 1,711,221,487,460
| 1,735,507,335,930
| 1,735,507,335,930
|
NO
| 0.015638
| 8,434.367835
|
Entertainment
|
Movies & Television
|
j3z9q8q6em
|
will-kamala-harris-win-the-new-york
|
Will Kamala Harris win the New York State Presidential Election by at least 20%?
| null | 1,724,631,181,234
| 1,730,872,769,760
| 1,730,872,769,760
|
NO
| 0.458112
| 9,359.50051
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
cp7lirz6ta
|
mill-nasa-confirm-the-discovery-of
|
Mill NASA confirm the discovery of aliens
| null | 1,728,444,415,522
| 1,729,119,540,000
| 1,730,449,050,194
|
NO
| 0.01
| 1,431.095082
|
Technology
|
Emerging Technologies
|
gr2iDRlO5dEuD3lA6KMk
|
will-biden-release-any-oil-from-the
|
Will Biden release any oil from the Strategic Petroleum Reserve before the elections?
| null | 1,715,913,012,296
| 1,731,085,652,329
| 1,731,085,652,329
|
NO
| 0.195067
| 1,528.786629
|
Politics
|
Public Policy & Social Issues
|
BzjgLuerRdBpVMsuuZRx
|
20241029-will-amd-close-above-111
|
2024-10-29: Will AMD close above $111?
| null | 1,718,121,859,326
| 1,730,260,740,000
| 1,730,448,974,231
|
YES
| 0.99
| 1,196.029821
|
Finance
|
Markets & Trading
|
b90h8g2nrh
|
will-trump-be-photographed-holding-oo6f90rc5e
|
👶 Will Trump be photographed holding a baby before election day?
| null | 1,722,018,215,899
| 1,730,849,731,106
| 1,730,849,731,106
|
NO
| 0.01
| 26,814.211407
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
lquRALqA0g
|
will-the-winner-of-the-2024-electio-AU9qsOZq9P
|
Will the winner of the 2024 election name their competitor in their victory speech?
| null | 1,730,814,695,437
| 1,730,948,290,230
| 1,730,948,290,230
|
NO
| 0.01
| 1,125.836488
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
qDLgTN10k22xPJpTh2qg
|
will-andy-jassy-leave-the-role-of-a-103a2c9c153d
|
Will Andy Jassy leave the role of Amazon’s CEO by the end of 2024?
| null | 1,689,098,299,483
| 1,735,620,587,868
| 1,735,620,587,868
|
NO
| 0.01
| 11,869.909657
|
Technology
|
Tech Industry & Business
|
lx52495kkb
|
will-metafacebook-and-apple-announc
|
Will Facebook (Meta) and Apple announce an AI partnership on an iPhone device by the end of November 2024?
| null | 1,719,266,340,146
| 1,733,029,140,000
| 1,733,077,737,362
|
NO
| 0.018195
| 14,300.37774
|
Technology
|
Tech Industry & Business
|
qPJOVVqXnsEcRPiUmysO
|
this-market-will-resolve-yes-if-im
|
This market will resolve YES if I'm still active on Manifold by the end of 2024, and NO otherwise. I will bet only YES.
| null | 1,697,271,601,818
| 1,735,657,970,221
| 1,735,657,970,221
|
YES
| 0.99
| 6,933.791132
|
Sports
|
Sports Culture & Recreation
|
Cnz59C2dLP
|
will-portland-oregon-see-major-viol
|
Will Portland, Oregon see major, violent protests/riots during election week
| null | 1,730,568,877,259
| 1,731,311,940,000
| 1,731,337,949,785
|
NO
| 0.00993
| 15,951.486509
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
qsmwehptgj
|
will-a-hurricane-cause-over-1-billi
|
Will a hurricane cause over $1 billion in damage in Florida by the end of 2024?
| null | 1,721,598,912,434
| 1,727,542,195,672
| 1,727,542,195,672
|
YES
| 0.83
| 1,628.910865
|
Politics
|
Public Policy & Social Issues
|
wKbR2SFRJY8I5ZIEbcfN
|
will-russia-launch-major-offensive-9c5e3e376432
|
Will Russia launch a major offensive on Kharkiv before September?
| null | 1,715,343,699,677
| 1,729,029,540,000
| 1,729,532,411,612
|
NO
| 0.01
| 14,659.062911
|
Geopolitics
|
Global Conflicts
|
bGLl5bGkeDyVPcvmt834
|
will-the-tipping-point-state-be-dec
|
Will the tipping point state be decided by less than 2% in the 2024 POTUS election?
| null | 1,689,392,774,004
| 1,733,032,740,000
| 1,733,382,251,231
|
YES
| 0.977608
| 1,741.524825
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
RDWu8WcOwoL5MdAr1Wmz
|
will-gpt5-be-released-before-dec-20-0a804511572e
|
Will GPT-5 be released before Dec 2024?
| null | 1,705,689,062,945
| 1,733,354,579,198
| 1,733,354,579,198
|
NO
| 0.01
| 25,409.748971
|
Technology
|
Emerging Technologies
|
94ymeebq9q
|
subsidized-10k-will-all-seven-state
|
[Subsidized 10K] Will all seven states (NC, GA, PA, MI, WI, AZ, NV) swing blue in November?
| null | 1,723,898,123,823
| 1,730,847,729,566
| 1,730,893,658,153
|
NO
| 0.152331
| 82,316.564303
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
PldS55suaemqQRyUta3q
|
will-the-2024-us-presidential-elect-e4edcb394556
|
Will the 2024 US Presidential Election occur on schedule?
| null | 1,705,963,527,397
| 1,730,872,740,000
| 1,730,913,242,512
|
YES
| 0.98
| 2,785.898695
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
q7s9xl4lw9
|
iran-military-response-before-octob
|
Iran military response before October?
| null | 1,727,481,500,508
| 1,728,028,718,054
| 1,728,028,718,054
|
NO
| 0.01
| 1,509.588065
|
Geopolitics
|
Global Conflicts
|
P9zLtOhNCU
|
will-syrian-rebels-control-hama-by
|
Will Syrian rebels control Hama by the end of 2024?
| null | 1,733,234,210,535
| 1,733,492,407,681
| 1,733,492,407,681
|
YES
| 0.948818
| 3,845.377639
|
Geopolitics
|
Global Conflicts
|
goXv3WzFGiop2BPBrrHb
|
if-trump-gets-enough-votes-to-win-t
|
If Trump gets enough votes to win the nomination and is also convicted, will he still be the candidate on election day?
| null | 1,699,682,928,059
| 1,730,822,340,000
| 1,730,840,750,891
|
YES
| 0.99
| 10,369.347838
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
L2ROg6pQLh
|
will-magnus-carlsen-beat-fabiano-ca
|
Will Magnus Carlsen beat Fabiano Caruana in the Freestyle Chess Match?
| null | 1,732,052,453,714
| 1,732,293,468,066
| 1,732,293,468,066
|
YES
| 0.988505
| 12,810.227944
|
Sports
|
Individual Sports
|
GBepiGMBb72RpbEdAnQl
|
soair-23-510-will-the-genai-scaling
|
SoAIR '23 5/10: Will the GenAI scaling craze see a group spend >$1B to train a single large-scale model by Oct 24?
| null | 1,697,725,882,617
| 1,728,661,564,869
| 1,728,661,564,869
|
NO
| 0.04
| 3,911.762676
|
Technology
|
Emerging Technologies
|
ZjfqkOvlKpQrFnATQ4oL
|
-2024
|
Присоединит ли Россия Молдову к концу 2024 года?
| null | 1,689,874,847,239
| 1,735,608,419,342
| 1,735,608,419,342
|
NO
| 0.01
| 2,086.923467
|
Geopolitics
|
Regional Affairs
|
44qa2rzl9c
|
metaculus-will-the-usd-be-worth-093
|
[Metaculus] Will the USD be worth 0.935 EUR or more at the close of trading on any day before October 1, 2024?
| null | 1,724,426,421,876
| 1,727,823,108,229
| 1,727,823,108,229
|
NO
| null | 9,080.723918
|
Finance
|
Markets & Trading
|
ascmv3sb01
|
will-i-bayesian-stay-in-masters-in
|
Will I (@Bayesian) stay in Masters in September (Season 17)?
| null | 1,725,994,653,966
| 1,727,837,040,054
| 1,727,837,040,054
|
NO
| 0.01
| 2,277.922094
|
Sports
|
Team Sports
|
f8hPsJURaBTjE3M25KwM
|
will-fed-decrease-its-interest-rate
|
Will the Fed cut rates before October 21st?
| null | 1,702,009,582,986
| 1,727,214,507,450
| 1,727,214,507,450
|
YES
| 0.99
| 59,477.58132
|
Finance
|
Economic Indicators
|
bzhawkpqv9
|
will-milton-be-a-category-4-by-the
|
Will Milton be at least a catagory 4 by the end of 10/8 EST.
| null | 1,728,273,076,560
| 1,728,448,799,214
| 1,728,448,799,214
|
YES
| 0.99
| 13,886.787216
|
Sports
|
Professional Sports
|
srxr8bksi
|
will-the-ap-call-the-2024-election
|
Will the AP call the 2024 election on election night?
| null | 1,723,897,042,750
| 1,730,883,669,347
| 1,730,883,669,347
|
NO
| 0.015416
| 36,992.746968
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
Fc13JPhicEu2ZPWsIesz
|
at-midnight-nov-5th-will-nyts-needl
|
At midnight Nov 5th, will NYT's Needle calling a higher probability of victory to a democrat presidential candidate?
| null | 1,680,973,875,263
| 1,730,869,140,000
| 1,730,869,507,383
|
NO
| 0.352252
| 1,666.733673
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
uvPiwXefjckzMVkVITfy
|
will-republicans-take-the-majority
|
Will Republicans take the majority in the US Senate in 2024?
| null | 1,672,930,071,258
| 1,730,870,793,310
| 1,730,870,793,310
|
YES
| 0.986137
| 1,312,488.121568
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
02GMLRo9UmtF1VQC82ss
|
will-tim-kaine-win-reelection-in-th
|
Will Tim Kaine win re-election in the 2024 US senate race in Virginia?
| null | 1,680,634,290,396
| 1,730,912,415,986
| 1,730,912,415,986
|
YES
| 0.99
| 2,276.257314
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
kxf95o2EtDgKFKSBrNkR
|
will-donald-trump-receive-more-than
|
Will Donald Trump receive more than 46.00% of the popular vote in the 2024 general presidential election?
| null | 1,703,773,954,891
| 1,730,996,553,305
| 1,730,996,553,305
|
YES
| 0.974253
| 9,325.47976
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
sYkTlxCdAxZikYx8ijLX
|
will-mitch-mcconnell-still-be-the-r
|
Will Mitch McConnell still be the Republican leader in the Senate for the 119th Congress?
| null | 1,699,214,040,891
| 1,731,520,019,285
| 1,731,520,019,285
|
NO
| 0.01507
| 1,813.328722
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
0PiSf0eXaumdgbNu37aR
|
will-the-eu-be-ruled-by-women
|
Will the EU be ruled by women?
| null | 1,705,577,786,662
| 1,733,093,940,000
| 1,734,453,076,848
|
NO
| 0.01
| 1,009.553574
|
Politics
|
Government Structure
|
q11yms8f0r
|
will-the-democratic-vp-nominee-and
|
Will the Democratic VP nominee and the Republican VP nominee shake hands at a VP debate prior to the election?
| null | 1,722,180,207,271
| 1,727,851,169,196
| 1,727,851,169,196
|
YES
| 0.91
| 2,310.000004
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
ie2hgv2ye7
|
electoral-college-result-to-be-one
|
Electoral college result to be one of these 10 "likeliest" outcomes?
| null | 1,728,960,503,788
| 1,733,515,692,223
| 1,733,515,692,223
|
YES
| 0.99
| 1,019.431882
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
16axh4obfy
|
metaculus-will-the-us-federal-reser
|
[Metaculus] Will the US Federal Reserve make an emergency rate cut before September 17, 2024?
| null | 1,723,214,091,280
| 1,726,682,400,000
| 1,726,855,903,949
|
NO
| null | 9,633.735617
|
Finance
|
Economic Indicators
|
kfnacrhrlp
|
will-a-hurricane-cause-over-1-billi-xhrxrzyvfv
|
Will a hurricane cause over $1 billion in damage in Florida by the end of 2024?
| null | 1,721,599,008,374
| 1,727,542,265,393
| 1,727,542,265,393
|
YES
| 0.8
| 1,056.86558
|
Politics
|
Public Policy & Social Issues
|
SqIxw9fPtGqu9VanguCP
|
will-the-crew-reach-elbaf-in-2024
|
Will the crew reach elbaf in 2024?
| null | 1,709,204,728,369
| 1,732,315,531,039
| 1,732,315,531,039
|
YES
| 0.948972
| 11,330.24189
|
Entertainment
|
Movies & Television
|
W9Ec9q9S0Yut3uBcGAKe
|
will-whatsapp-usernames-be-generall
|
Will Whatsapp usernames be generally available before the end of 2024?
| null | 1,708,685,533,670
| 1,735,685,940,000
| 1,735,687,984,207
|
NO
| 0.021448
| 7,094.655197
|
Technology
|
Internet & Digital Services
|
0clNnyhZ9Z
|
daily-coinflip-RhZOLqUy5Z
|
Daily coinflip
| null | 1,730,086,359,986
| 1,730,253,600,000
| 1,730,254,391,516
|
YES
| 0.495074
| 5,211.505482
|
Sports
|
Sports Culture & Recreation
|
mKtB9yTzbSA3HvZxCIiY
|
will-joe-bidens-approval-rating-be-1c6ee82f65a3
|
Will Joe Biden's approval rating be higher than 45% on election day?
| null | 1,711,617,480,558
| 1,730,869,140,000
| 1,731,199,206,037
|
NO
| 0.011181
| 12,893.921603
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
SwXpzjW7JbP9ViKx4GBU
|
will-this-market-get-more-than-1000
|
Will this market get more than 1000 different traders?
| null | 1,703,602,041,303
| 1,733,093,940,000
| 1,733,341,541,456
|
NO
| 0.01
| 2,745.020655
|
Finance
|
Markets & Trading
|
Igrfl5TYoXi6bEPNO9m2
|
will-the-candidate-who-wins-north-c
|
Will the candidate who wins North Carolina win the 2024 POTUS election?
| null | 1,690,286,437,604
| 1,730,878,823,749
| 1,730,878,823,749
|
YES
| 0.948466
| 5,025.505579
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
cASIdPN2cl
|
will-this-disputed-polymarket-about
|
Will this disputed Polymarket about whether there will be a US government shutdown in 2024 resolve to "yes"?
| null | 1,734,799,820,616
| 1,735,100,348,531
| 1,735,100,348,531
|
YES
| 0.99
| 17,878.026989
|
Politics
|
Domestic Policy
|
2fyej0us8a
|
will-manicode-reach-top-5-on-produc
|
Will Manicode reach top 5 on Product Hunt today?
| null | 1,729,496,585,552
| 1,729,580,340,000
| 1,729,800,094,490
|
NO
| 0.03
| 4,860
|
Technology
|
Internet & Digital Services
|
Iz1h8okoT9Y1piHDtJZI
|
will-donald-trump-be-the-gop-candid
|
Will Donald Trump Be The GOP Candidate for The 2024 Presidential Election
| null | 1,694,542,523,434
| 1,721,343,540,000
| 1,731,035,236,237
|
YES
| 0.989113
| 3,755.81671
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
LlR6lZ5RNs
|
will-the-jake-paul-mike-tyson-fight
|
Will the Jake Paul - Mike Tyson fight end with Knockout?
| null | 1,731,721,544,620
| 1,731,735,852,802
| 1,731,735,852,802
|
NO
| 0.008418
| 14,577.905501
|
Sports
|
Individual Sports
|
EbrOVtYEV0ZBWG0ElYoa
|
will-trump-concede-by-end-of-novemb
|
Will Trump concede by end of November?
| null | 1,706,556,533,252
| 1,730,904,784,323
| 1,730,904,784,323
|
NO
| 0.01
| 10,289.977515
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
BVFGQBehvqtmnyA83WJR
|
will-ted-cruz-be-the-next-republica
|
Will Ted Cruz be the next Republican elected President?
| null | 1,691,512,993,163
| 1,732,218,043,390
| 1,732,218,043,390
|
NO
| 0.011283
| 11,868.704766
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
9E3HWNZtPckbnBTqNmqQ
|
will-a-republican-win-michigan-in-t
|
Will a Republican win Michigan in the 2024 POTUS election?
| null | 1,686,274,017,171
| 1,730,927,727,843
| 1,730,927,727,843
|
YES
| 0.99
| 1,032.172912
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
aXGZT0DI0ee6GinaYnrD
|
will-robert-f-kennedy-jr-win-more-t
|
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win more than 1% of the popular vote in the 2024 US presidential election?
| null | 1,696,034,572,403
| 1,730,899,740,000
| 1,732,277,592,846
|
NO
| 0.07
| 27,296.681686
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
XoVg0RSdJemizF1XsKbu
|
will-any-of-the-2024-time-100-be-na
|
Will any of the 2024 TIME 100 most influential people be named on the 2024 TIME Person of The Year Shortlist?
| null | 1,713,633,606,603
| 1,733,757,982,179
| 1,733,757,982,179
|
YES
| 0.971628
| 2,085.971699
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
xmfoc3qvak
|
will-the-nintendo-switch-2-or-other
|
Will the "Nintendo Switch 2" (or other successor) be revealed in October 2024?
| null | 1,726,954,290,231
| 1,730,444,340,000
| 1,730,446,699,030
|
NO
| 0.002519
| 43,164.217866
|
Entertainment
|
Gaming
|
6bIzZco5lH36iBZ0nAR9
|
will-bitcoin-hit-85k-in-2024
|
Will Bitcoin hit $85K in 2024?
| null | 1,710,038,227,943
| 1,731,351,677,281
| 1,731,351,677,281
|
YES
| 0.98983
| 111,680.274905
|
Finance
|
Markets & Trading
|
EdbwGxgmKWxxuLXMSDxK
|
will-washington-pass-ballot-initiat
|
Will Washington pass ballot initiative 2117?
| null | 1,710,375,090,926
| 1,731,546,480,000
| 1,731,598,881,592
|
NO
| 0.012325
| 1,401.138913
|
Politics
|
Domestic Policy
|
0ie0AReJYHasUBcySpV6
|
will-ranked-choice-voting-be-releva
|
Will ranked choice voting be relevant in the 2024 presidential election?
| null | 1,704,859,758,074
| 1,731,236,764,779
| 1,731,236,764,779
|
NO
| 0.034472
| 5,092.356009
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
a2pu75itce
|
will-twitchtv-ban-asmongold-for-his
|
Will Twitch.tv ban asmongold for his islamophobic rant on stream from october 14 2024?
| null | 1,728,943,855,715
| 1,729,024,255,083
| 1,729,024,255,083
|
YES
| 0.96
| 4,833.240372
|
Entertainment
|
Gaming
|
DRYzSz27nrULDMSnjDeI
|
will-a-dutch-politician-hit-another
|
Will a Dutch politician hit another Dutch politician before Christmas?
| null | 1,711,612,933,182
| 1,735,426,740,000
| 1,735,461,669,016
|
NO
| 0.01
| 12,099.403026
|
Politics
|
Domestic Policy
|
OVN9SjFnvKGQTmNd92MB
|
given-the-current-state-of-politics
|
Given the current state of politics, will the House of Rep flip from Republican to Democratic leadership Nov 5, 2024?
| null | 1,698,292,406,924
| 1,731,571,140,000
| 1,731,711,415,425
|
NO
| 0.013847
| 1,548.957663
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
npshj316l8
|
will-donald-trump-die-before-electi-dts9lszkyj
|
Will Donald Trump die before election day (November 5)?
| null | 1,721,778,187,879
| 1,730,785,213,617
| 1,730,785,213,617
|
NO
| 0.014984
| 18,235.236642
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
gop4ytjhgx
|
will-trump-win-and-nominate-rfk-to
|
Will Trump win and nominate RFK to a cabinet position?
| null | 1,729,113,892,132
| 1,733,169,917,154
| 1,733,169,917,154
|
YES
| 0.952684
| 670,502.444486
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
qUrL0LtTeNs5xYdxhwjJ
|
will-there-be-another-perfect-game
|
Will there be another perfect game pitched in Major League Baseball by the end of the 2024 season?
| null | 1,688,079,287,549
| 1,730,409,957,360
| 1,730,409,957,360
|
NO
| 0.010109
| 14,519.848488
|
Sports
|
Professional Sports
|
uz243y8fak
|
will-there-be-at-least-4-decisive-c--cash
|
Will there be at least 4 decisive classical games in the 2024 World Chess Championship?
| null | 1,728,529,713,531
| 1,733,754,598,742
| 1,733,790,307,773
|
YES
| 0.983242
| 1,633.357527
|
Sports
|
Individual Sports
|
r4fqec1AJQopHUqgcdFd
|
will-taylor-swift-be-mentioned-in-t
|
Will Taylor Swift be mentioned in the 2024 US Presidential Debates?
| null | 1,702,595,067,753
| 1,730,841,337,363
| 1,730,841,337,363
|
NO
| 0.01
| 36,787.59811
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
0P8C9JjY5lPEyvRdoqIj
|
will-a-democrat-win-the-2024-presid-e87e103e415a
|
Will a democrat win the 2024 presidential election in Michigan?
| null | 1,670,814,984,925
| 1,733,084,040,903
| 1,733,084,040,903
|
NO
| 0.01
| 22,930.328669
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
lv0E6pEhwtRCEaJBr9wv
|
will-spacex-successfully-catch-a-bo
|
Will SpaceX successfully catch a booster within the first five Starship flights?
| null | 1,681,863,083,669
| 1,728,825,887,182
| 1,728,825,887,182
|
YES
| 1
| 36,300.600121
|
Technology
|
Emerging Technologies
|
mLnL4mvPxJuLQiYGMq7c
|
would-the-general-public-knowledge
|
Would the general public narrative about why Sam Altman was fired from OpenAI be significantly different 1 year later?
| null | 1,700,569,353,858
| 1,732,948,140,000
| 1,733,948,687,887
|
NO
| 0.046517
| 4,234.410764
|
Technology
|
Tech Industry & Business
|
pSCztCzOER
|
will-there-be-a-new-major-llm-relea
|
Will there be a new major LLM released by OpenAI or Anthropic by the end of 2024?
| null | 1,733,067,213,502
| 1,733,425,230,680
| 1,733,425,230,680
|
YES
| 0.853614
| 7,096.76374
|
Technology
|
Emerging Technologies
|
K2mhY6KdANcmixrcO7BD
|
nfl-week-4-sep-29-will-the-green-ba
|
NFL Week 4 (Sep 29): Will the Green Bay Packers beat the Minnesota Vikings?
| null | 1,715,833,661,655
| 1,727,656,278,005
| 1,727,656,278,005
|
NO
| 0.01
| 2,066.981822
|
Sports
|
Professional Sports
|
rVp4VH3BA1wICXTXltrY
|
will-the-jimmy-apples-agi-tweet-sta
|
Will the Jimmy Apples AGI tweet stand a test of time
| null | 1,695,077,861,393
| 1,726,679,234,508
| 1,727,301,781,050
|
NO
| 0.03
| 6,034.615275
|
Technology
|
Emerging Technologies
|
mGjjbcsVYXNXAniaMdsg
|
will-a-democrat-win-the-2024-presid-98b55b929b04
|
Will a democrat win the 2024 presidential election in Arizona?
| null | 1,670,813,624,928
| 1,731,293,083,639
| 1,731,293,083,639
|
NO
| 0.01
| 21,337.24339
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
CqON0Ql8tI
|
acx-2024-will-there-be-faithless-el--cash
|
[ACX 2024] Will there be faithless electors in the 2024 US Presidential election?
| null | 1,730,485,600,171
| 1,734,531,293,511
| 1,734,572,515,016
|
NO
| 0.010228
| 2,901.239515
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
zB33HNpLpL5UCLW9nyH0
|
will-vladimir-putin-attend-the-2024
|
Will Vladimir Putin attend the 2024 G20 Summit in Rio de Janeiro?
| null | 1,703,960,038,794
| 1,731,992,340,000
| 1,735,683,425,461
|
NO
| 0.027534
| 4,182.133999
|
Geopolitics
|
International Relations
|
sUlU7OZayKThBD1BkoF9
|
will-a-democrat-win-the-2024-us-sen-bb662e4a0d54
|
Will a Democrat win the 2024 US Senate election in Pennsylvania?
| null | 1,670,857,066,454
| 1,732,262,741,776
| 1,732,262,741,776
|
NO
| 0.023249
| 5,148.031434
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
yfRXRMjawkF5fMzlM043
|
will-joe-biden-be-reelected-in-2024-332847ff192c
|
Will Joe Biden be re-elected in 2024?
| null | 1,694,022,995,948
| 1,730,940,287,760
| 1,730,940,287,760
|
NO
| 0.025873
| 30,717.083764
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
c2dbsa5ah2
|
will-the-libertarian-party-get-over
|
Will the Libertarian Party get over 2% of the popular vote in the 2024 US election?
| null | 1,721,916,341,823
| 1,731,020,340,000
| 1,731,053,266,200
|
NO
| 0.01
| 12,648.193023
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
ndZuWEeywXhEDQO0Shlg
|
will-a-democrat-win-the-2024-us-sen-48c27d4fe010
|
Will a Democrat win the 2024 US Senate election in Florida?
| null | 1,670,857,071,993
| 1,730,913,928,005
| 1,730,913,928,005
|
NO
| 0.019639
| 22,307.030714
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
5r3JhrQo01eJGxpNA2dg
|
acx-2024-will-there-be-faithless-el
|
[ACX 2024] Will there be faithless electors in the 2024 US Presidential election?
| null | 1,704,115,913,590
| 1,734,531,293,511
| 1,734,531,293,511
|
NO
| 0.005881
| 61,778.588769
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
DqyxfMlgmulh3WVXJ6Qe
|
will-bernie-sanders-win-reelection
|
Will Bernie Sanders win re-election in the 2024 US senate race in Vermont?
| null | 1,680,634,266,377
| 1,731,290,824,389
| 1,731,290,824,389
|
YES
| 0.988506
| 19,131.032749
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
EsYOVryRswtPxZ5FyLPW
|
will-trumps-twitter-dms-and-draft-t
|
Will Trump’s Twitter DMs and draft tweets prove to be damning evidence against him in his January 6 trial?
| null | 1,692,744,253,961
| 1,732,806,521,918
| 1,732,806,521,918
|
NO
| 0.110051
| 1,653.388316
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
HLLxSNjUvc5xb00ybmUJ
|
nfl-week-4-sep-30-will-the-miami-do
|
NFL Week 4 (Sep 30): Will the Miami Dolphins beat the Tennessee Titans?
| null | 1,715,833,684,014
| 1,727,750,997,930
| 1,727,750,997,930
|
NO
| 0.01
| 1,088.168846
|
Sports
|
Professional Sports
|
hdSF9vnaZzgkyWDKGru3
|
will-yahya-sinwar-die-of-pneumonia
|
Will Yahya Sinwar die of pneumonia in 2024?
| null | 1,708,503,051,823
| 1,729,386,016,834
| 1,729,386,016,834
|
NO
| 0.01
| 1,908.495723
|
Geopolitics
|
Global Conflicts
|
1mp1n6GcakU8Omct1OD3
|
will-i-run-more-than-500-km-in-2024
|
Will I run more than 500 km in 2024?
| null | 1,704,564,187,787
| 1,735,342,756,945
| 1,735,342,756,945
|
YES
| 0.99
| 3,439.482146
|
Sports
|
Sports Culture & Recreation
|
b9n8w51d5y
|
will-this-market-jackwhowillwinthe2
|
Will this market jack/who-will-win-the-2024-us-presidenti-8c1c8b2f8964 reach 100M of trading volume ?
| null | 1,724,693,180,074
| 1,731,098,636,356
| 1,731,098,636,356
|
NO
| 0.013465
| 1,259.732196
|
Finance
|
Markets & Trading
|
ZAly0Qgddt
|
will-bitcoin-reach-90k-by-the-end-o
|
Will Bitcoin reach $90K by the end of 2024?
| null | 1,731,261,514,028
| 1,731,509,137,790
| 1,731,509,137,790
|
YES
| 0.984945
| 2,366.712229
|
Finance
|
Markets & Trading
|
JbiBbFMzrAM3y7MV0MoF
|
nfl-week-14-dec-8-2024-will-the-ten
|
NFL Week 14 (Dec 8 2024): Will the Tennessee Titans (home) beat the Jacksonville Jaguars (away)?
| null | 1,715,834,526,493
| 1,733,853,600,000
| 1,735,276,197,703
|
NO
| 0.008776
| 1,011.74087
|
Sports
|
Professional Sports
|
ayRSgyp3XHjZxefeerkj
|
will-jimmy-carter-die-before-manifo
|
Will Jimmy Carter die before Manifold bans markets on unrelated events?
| null | 1,712,001,199,374
| 1,735,518,324,076
| 1,735,518,324,076
|
YES
| 0.989671
| 10,299
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
OjQG0AN8mV7VsbSKoz7c
|
will-kharkiv-or-zaporizhia-or-khers
|
Will Kharkiv or Zaporizhia or Kherson fall before EOY 2024?
| null | 1,709,380,076,247
| 1,735,682,340,000
| 1,735,687,884,314
|
NO
| 0.077329
| 4,014.520283
|
Geopolitics
|
Global Conflicts
|
4nderqSdseFga7cghR6c
|
will-kenan-thompson-leave-the-cast
|
Will Kenan Thompson leave the cast of SNL before the first episode of season 50?
| null | 1,712,078,643,947
| 1,727,631,586,890
| 1,727,631,586,890
|
NO
| 0.01
| 1,178.47126
|
Entertainment
|
Movies & Television
|
QqNbfpHVBd4SSYTSlsrZ
|
will-the-abortion-drug-mifepristone-58657f19043e
|
Will the abortion drug "mifepristone" be banned nationwide before the end of 2024?
| null | 1,704,128,296,969
| 1,735,620,824,356
| 1,735,620,824,356
|
NO
| 0.01
| 13,410.418781
|
Politics
|
Public Policy & Social Issues
|
P882upQulC
|
will-bitcoin-hit-100000-before-nov-EQlu9R859S
|
Will Bitcoin hit $100,000 before Nov 29?
| null | 1,732,230,739,424
| 1,732,890,343,374
| 1,732,890,343,374
|
NO
| 0.014074
| 6,387.643472
|
Finance
|
Markets & Trading
|
BCEIHDoF0z8o9pG85ijy
|
will-republicans-in-alaska-succeed-12c691e88aa8
|
Will Republicans in Alaska succeed in putting “abolishing ranked choice voting” on the ballot in the 2024 election?
| null | 1,675,735,259,417
| 1,730,951,675,641
| 1,730,951,675,641
|
YES
| 0.980683
| 6,363.991528
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
nixkTphATpUCx8FLcBsV
|
will-ai-win-a-pulitzer-by-2025
|
Will AI win a Pulitzer by 2025?
| null | 1,679,535,162,040
| 1,733,341,395,874
| 1,733,341,395,874
|
NO
| 0.020138
| 3,789.932293
|
Technology
|
Emerging Technologies
|
2gcqncvk7c
|
asmon-and-the-boys-back-on-hardcore
|
Asmon and the boys back on Hardcore in Oct?
| null | 1,728,189,773,334
| 1,730,437,140,000
| 1,730,438,609,097
|
NO
| 0.01
| 1,023.846164
|
Entertainment
|
Gaming
|
xHgW0bEHiuPPesAK5HCq
|
will-the-price-of-bitcoin-hit-95000
|
Will the price of Bitcoin hit $95,000 before 2025?
| null | 1,710,717,193,961
| 1,732,638,220,540
| 1,732,638,220,540
|
YES
| 0.992145
| 19,038.417978
|
Finance
|
Markets & Trading
|
zCFjmTnlpiAGBbWjYQjF
|
will-there-be-a-robust-third-party
|
Will there be a robust third party movement in America that impacts the 2024 Presidential race?
| null | 1,659,041,624,460
| 1,731,613,927,901
| 1,731,613,927,901
|
NO
| 0.057919
| 14,266.882359
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
75zkCTqwoQM92kh7cT0e
|
nfl-week-6-oct-14-will-the-new-york
|
NFL Week 6 (Oct 14): Will the New York Jets beat the Buffalo Bills?
| null | 1,715,834,045,254
| 1,729,124,100,000
| 1,729,144,475,847
|
NO
| 0.01
| 1,168.476564
|
Sports
|
Professional Sports
|
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