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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1kloKORPLouAg8xtEDRM
|
nfl-week-3-sep-22-will-the-seattle
|
NFL Week 3 (Sep 22): Will the Seattle Seahawks beat the Miami Dolphins?
| null | 1,715,833,637,553
| 1,727,068,301,996
| 1,727,068,301,996
|
YES
| 0.99
| 1,025.773561
|
Sports
|
Professional Sports
|
yxVnIK0JdkHGJ0iN8a5T
|
nfl-week-15-dec-15-2024-will-the-cl
|
NFL Week 15 (Dec 15 2024): Will the Cleveland Browns (home) beat the Kansas City Chiefs (away)?
| null | 1,715,834,551,279
| 1,734,458,400,000
| 1,735,276,175,058
|
NO
| 0.01
| 1,012.715812
|
Sports
|
Professional Sports
|
gZhxV1N9oGWsm3oBguZc
|
will-texas-be-closer-than-florida-i
|
Will Texas be closer than Florida in the 2024 election?
| null | 1,686,892,087,703
| 1,731,703,308,167
| 1,731,703,308,167
|
NO
| 0.050143
| 13,880.78883
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
8ug0mrndpn
|
will-trump-win-georgia-and-arizona
|
Will Trump win Georgia AND Arizona?
| null | 1,728,932,954,554
| 1,730,960,363,076
| 1,730,960,363,076
|
YES
| 0.99
| 1,062.537829
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
kBfotWPCQXu91bbTOoT0
|
will-any-state-won-by-hillary-clint
|
Will any state won by Hillary Clinton in 2016 go for Donald Trump in 2024?
| null | 1,716,997,184,472
| 1,731,021,203,288
| 1,731,021,208,162
|
YES
| 0.549757
| 3,245.450559
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
H6vs47acuRjKiKd4Huwn
|
-will-the-sp-500-indexspinx-close-l-150a01b99b44
|
🏛⬆️ Will The S&P 500 (INDEXSP:.INX) Close Lower Than 4,599.99 At Any Point During Q2-Q4 2024?
| null | 1,710,764,746,876
| 1,735,664,400,000
| 1,735,678,964,009
|
NO
| 0.023506
| 1,553.885826
|
Finance
|
Markets & Trading
|
1lpjdga097
|
initiative-2117-will-washington-rep
|
Initiative 2117: Will Washington Repeal the “Cap and Trade” Program?
| null | 1,718,574,029,852
| 1,731,733,140,000
| 1,731,943,512,816
|
NO
| 0.010057
| 10,020.988617
|
Politics
|
Public Policy & Social Issues
|
6APHKNAnDXS4UarcQaXs
|
nfl-week-5-oct-6-will-the-cincinnat
|
NFL Week 5 (Oct 6): Will the Cincinnati Bengals beat the Baltimore Ravens?
| null | 1,715,833,982,725
| 1,728,352,884,937
| 1,728,352,884,937
|
NO
| 0.01
| 2,096.802226
|
Sports
|
Team Sports
|
k09mwak9xb
|
will-there-be-a-serious-assassinati
|
Will there be a serious assassination attempt against Harris?
| null | 1,726,438,605,633
| 1,730,847,540,000
| 1,730,849,886,271
|
NO
| 0.01
| 156,942.058775
|
Politics
|
Public Policy & Social Issues
|
CHEDF5ReD5C3eDe4vNis
|
will-rep-dean-phillips-win-the-2024
|
Will Rep. Dean Phillips win the 2024 presidential election?
| null | 1,697,937,347,983
| 1,731,200,152,035
| 1,731,200,152,035
|
NO
| 0.01
| 6,231.988947
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
1iirnx5oim
|
will-joker-folie-a-deux-2024-receiv
|
Will "Joker: Folie à Deux" (2024) receive a CinemaScore of B or above? ("Joker" received a B+)
| null | 1,727,556,245,455
| 1,728,100,740,000
| 1,728,103,116,230
|
NO
| 0.05
| 6,758.895141
|
Entertainment
|
Movies & Television
|
6yxddan3fk
|
will-destiny-be-unbanned-from-twitc
|
Will Destiny be unbanned from Twitch by the end of October 2024 like this Redditor claims?
| null | 1,728,090,694,655
| 1,730,519,940,000
| 1,730,520,391,605
|
NO
| 0.01
| 1,761.643101
|
Entertainment
|
Celebrity & Pop Culture
|
jxMC8Y1qX5KZgto7vhnU
|
will-scott-alexander-endorse-donald
|
Will Scott Alexander endorse Donald Trump (for president) in 2024?
| null | 1,672,821,928,567
| 1,732,924,939,607
| 1,732,924,939,607
|
NO
| 0.010019
| 8,438.965769
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
9R84xsu6qQAxMo04jvWL
|
will-francis-ngannou-fight-any-of-t
|
Will Francis Ngannou fight any of the people who were on PFL's Heavyweight roster at the time he was signed before 2025?
| null | 1,684,346,932,017
| 1,729,388,164,430
| 1,729,388,164,430
|
YES
| 0.99
| 1,071.336685
|
Sports
|
Professional Sports
|
J9dhXenF8D5fTNOCiz8o
|
will-shikanoko-nokonoko-koshitantan
|
Will Shikanoko Nokonoko Koshitantan (TV) rate 7.00 or higher on MyAnimeList?
| null | 1,717,686,663,122
| 1,727,618,340,000
| 1,727,618,703,760
|
YES
| 0.99
| 1,072.943681
|
Entertainment
|
Movies & Television
|
5681da3W5SFdeJ5SScFz
|
will-the-margin-of-victory-in-the-2
|
Will the margin of victory in the 2024 POTUS election in Colorado be greater than in 2020 (13.5%)?
| null | 1,706,962,603,463
| 1,733,115,540,000
| 1,733,782,739,211
|
NO
| 0.047213
| 7,883.928058
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
d8mod1g2i5
|
will-the-media-report-that-someone
|
Will anyone die of H5N1 (bird flu) in the United States in October?
| null | 1,727,490,995,106
| 1,728,111,540,000
| 1,730,486,886,653
|
NO
| 0.102637
| 3,219.301866
|
Politics
|
Public Policy & Social Issues
|
utS4CvXVwo6AjlW8ezLF
|
will-caroline-ellison-get-a-longer
|
Will Caroline Ellison get a longer sentence than Elizabeth Holmes?
| null | 1,672,919,180,205
| 1,727,209,098,244
| 1,727,209,098,244
|
NO
| 0.02
| 6,655.807455
|
Politics
|
Public Policy & Social Issues
|
8xd9saklr8
|
will-kamala-harris-win-all-six-swin
|
Will Kamala Harris win all six swing states?
| null | 1,726,141,754,394
| 1,730,882,418,721
| 1,730,882,418,721
|
NO
| 0.02345
| 76,500.426773
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
QrXoFCF23yNQkCbeNFEA
|
will-biden-have-another-televised-f
|
Will Biden have another televised fall before the 2024 presidential election?
| null | 1,687,564,947,863
| 1,730,872,740,000
| 1,731,091,276,948
|
NO
| 0.122332
| 1,695.144712
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
Ux8zqh8bp7Ns4m80p6Pn
|
will-enel-come-back-before-the-end
|
Will Enel come back before the end of 2024?
| null | 1,708,510,578,565
| 1,735,542,759,132
| 1,735,542,759,132
|
NO
| 0.055529
| 4,420.836284
|
Entertainment
|
Movies & Television
|
3txpeh1zzo
|
will-trump-win-pennsylvania-and-geo
|
Will Trump win Pennsylvania AND Georgia?
| null | 1,728,932,894,934
| 1,730,949,568,045
| 1,730,949,568,045
|
YES
| 0.99
| 1,166.073773
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
nH1mjb8MPZpwttvBtXBX
|
will-lady-gaga-sing-an-original-son
|
Will Lady Gaga sing an original song in Joker: Folie à Deux? 🃏🎤🎶
| null | 1,711,164,687,014
| 1,728,016,875,241
| 1,728,016,875,241
|
YES
| 0.99
| 20,147.523783
|
Entertainment
|
Movies & Television
|
p1bqca3lmh
|
will-kamala-harris-electionbettingo-4snxwv7qra
|
Will Kamala Harris’ “electionbettingodds” exceed 68.5% (Trump's Peak) before November 2024?
| null | 1,723,085,673,269
| 1,730,519,940,000
| 1,730,526,131,627
|
NO
| 0.010103
| 33,300.303375
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
9v9aFrPqASsdbyW1orqd
|
will-bitcoin-reach-80k-in-2024
|
Bitcoin $80K in 2024?
| null | 1,704,801,233,347
| 1,731,261,471,251
| 1,731,261,471,251
|
YES
| 0.991154
| 247,875.480192
|
Finance
|
Markets & Trading
|
WSgJH0eTWIxVXsuCZEEn
|
will-the-phrase-machine-learning-be
|
Will the phrase "Machine Learning" be mentioned by anyone in a Presidential debate in 2024?
| null | 1,712,481,605,528
| 1,730,433,540,000
| 1,731,199,184,314
|
NO
| 0.01
| 12,579.28844
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
lq1cuvwlr7
|
will-this-market-help-us-find-a-har
|
Will this market help us find a hardware design contract? (10% USD finder's fee!)
| null | 1,723,065,211,633
| 1,730,933,940,000
| 1,735,658,908,689
|
NO
| 0.095198
| 5,976.602593
|
Finance
|
Markets & Trading
|
w3q2aVCdhzSpwFedUocD
|
will-the-120-star-world-record-in-s
|
Will the 120 Star World Record in Super Mario 64 speedrunning be under 1 hour and 36 minutes before the end of 2024?
| null | 1,697,983,911,059
| 1,729,930,579,427
| 1,729,930,579,427
|
YES
| 0.99
| 13,356.683238
|
Gaming
|
gaming
|
g9sl95C96d
|
will-ghostty-will-be-released-in-20
|
Will ghostty will be released in 2024?
| null | 1,734,469,993,963
| 1,735,250,488,615
| 1,735,250,488,615
|
YES
| 0.989897
| 9,590.284246
|
Entertainment
|
Movies & Television
|
qlh5I5QI50
|
will-erling-haaland-have-at-least-2
|
Will Erling Haaland have at least 20 Premier League goals in the 2024-25 season by the end of 2024?
| null | 1,731,178,972,498
| 1,735,493,676,763
| 1,735,493,676,763
|
NO
| 0.008902
| 31,713.292995
|
Sports
|
Professional Sports
|
wdqj0qhlqd
|
will-alex-pereira-beat-khalil-rount
|
Will Alex Pereira beat Khalil Rountree Jr. at UFC 307?
| null | 1,725,212,400,630
| 1,728,191,854,755
| 1,728,191,854,755
|
YES
| 0.99
| 10,466.527332
|
Sports
|
Individual Sports
|
a47G0C4zYMcGtLTCQs6d
|
will-bitcoin-dominance-reach-60-or
|
Will Bitcoin dominance reach 60% or higher before 2025?
| null | 1,699,661,205,842
| 1,730,481,532,075
| 1,730,481,532,075
|
YES
| 0.900355
| 14,241.230528
|
Finance
|
Markets & Trading
|
pX1b93snbZuZKUBNhTcM
|
will-a-team-without-a-world-series
|
Will a team without a World Series title in franchise history win one in 2024?
| null | 1,705,033,029,058
| 1,728,840,443,694
| 1,728,840,443,694
|
NO
| 0.01
| 1,277.775909
|
Sports
|
Professional Sports
|
eh0xmqzkri
|
will-there-be-atleast-1-more-assass
|
Will there be atleast 1 more Assassination attempt before the 2025 inauguration?
| null | 1,721,790,535,826
| 1,727,597,099,099
| 1,727,597,099,099
|
YES
| 0.99
| 1,083.693497
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
U1984sGOKzCWdivvXp0S
|
will-lisa-murkowski-endorse-trump
|
Will Lisa Murkowski endorse Trump?
| null | 1,681,984,016,615
| 1,730,782,740,000
| 1,731,874,528,072
|
NO
| 0.011031
| 6,014.002268
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
2xsif3Q5tdUWkiOTDe9y
|
will-josh-hawley-be-reelected-to-th
|
Will Josh Hawley be reelected to the US Senate from Missouri in 2024?
| null | 1,672,943,434,430
| 1,730,865,960,554
| 1,730,865,960,554
|
YES
| 0.961164
| 4,680.13107
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
mJKeX4NA9lG6seaCPzAp
|
will-jimmy-carter-outlive-donald-tr
|
Will Jimmy Carter outlive Donald Trump?
| null | 1,693,965,546,178
| 1,735,663,420,401
| 1,735,663,420,401
|
NO
| 0.004649
| 7,903.669478
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
suyxBogzALmqzcZ8UUcw
|
will-there-be-significant-racial-de
|
Will there be significant racial depolarization in the 2024 election?
| null | 1,709,488,906,427
| 1,731,199,157,992
| 1,731,199,157,992
|
YES
| 0.950359
| 3,774.984841
|
Politics
|
Public Policy & Social Issues
|
lPrTEhaWaxoUIe03XL3r
|
will-lula-da-silva-still-be-alive-t-b72ad461f0b0
|
Will Lula da Silva still be alive through the end of 2024?
| null | 1,702,563,874,073
| 1,735,579,373,588
| 1,735,579,373,588
|
YES
| 0.99
| 1,873.676134
|
Politics
|
Domestic Policy
|
WqsaCWJuwdfTDzyvtAJj
|
will-trump-say-genocide-joe-before
|
Will Trump say "Genocide Joe" before election day?
| null | 1,706,131,235,696
| 1,730,854,118,692
| 1,730,854,118,692
|
NO
| 0.03766
| 7,067.814738
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
jWTWewpyFPMcmHZpxoFk
|
will-we-still-be-talking-about-llm
|
will we still be talking about LLM Hallucinations this time next year?
| null | 1,696,111,670,103
| 1,728,341,940,000
| 1,728,405,357,826
|
YES
| 0.99
| 18,649.075094
|
Technology
|
Emerging Technologies
|
3IsX9DA1Wcex2aEHPMZV
|
will-higher-education-be-a-frequent
|
Will higher education be a frequent talking point in the US presidential debates?
| null | 1,679,332,201,027
| 1,730,754,749,060
| 1,730,754,749,060
|
NO
| 0.034563
| 9,440.487002
|
Politics
|
Public Policy & Social Issues
|
0msQVVYckf514vyEDsQn
|
will-i-endorse-ron-desantis-in-the
|
Will I endorse Ron DeSantis in the 2024 US presidential election?
| null | 1,673,280,587,419
| 1,719,817,140,000
| 1,727,634,254,731
|
NO
| 0.04
| 2,743.50296
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
0d89xtu1k2
|
san-francisco-proposition-k-passes
|
San Francisco Proposition K passes: Great Highway Recreational Space 2024-11
| null | 1,725,148,757,614
| 1,731,205,899,144
| 1,731,205,899,144
|
YES
| 0.975462
| 5,410.026978
|
Politics
|
Public Policy & Social Issues
|
zzQhn6kzoqWUA6IuU1zz
|
will-spacex-starship-reach-orbit-2
|
Will SpaceX Starship reach orbit at least 2 times in 2024?
| null | 1,691,510,853,834
| 1,729,659,349,810
| 1,729,774,988,047
|
YES
| 0.91
| 13,316.396993
|
Technology
|
Emerging Technologies
|
sETLxZyrSTxralTVfHzy
|
will-any-of-the-2024-nobel-laureate
|
Will any of the 2024 Nobel Laureates be Jewish?
| null | 1,678,990,009,311
| 1,731,257,470,085
| 1,731,257,470,085
|
YES
| 0.98979
| 10,258.64605
|
Politics
|
Public Policy & Social Issues
|
eP2oNI94I6aLfi0Wz6MI
|
will-don-jr-appear-on-a-ballot-for
|
Will Don Jr appear on a ballot for any office by the end of 2024?
| null | 1,694,642,061,802
| 1,735,686,469,676
| 1,735,686,469,676
|
NO
| 0.014398
| 6,198.574948
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
BwOJFrvaNTJJDcaZiDYT
|
will-the-ndp-win-a-supermajority-in
|
Will the NDP win a supermajority in the 2024 election in the Canadian province of British Columbia (BC)?
| null | 1,699,216,293,727
| 1,729,407,540,000
| 1,729,441,568,789
|
NO
| 0.01
| 1,521.997199
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
tmbD79f2mQYkVKvLxHtl
|
will-kyrsten-sinema-win-reelection
|
Will Kyrsten Sinema win re-election in the 2024 US senate race in Arizona?
| null | 1,680,633,569,508
| 1,731,093,098,682
| 1,731,093,098,682
|
NO
| 0.01
| 22,243.849833
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
hvcnzbj2lb
|
will-1-bitcoin-be-worth-100000-or-m
|
Will 1 bitcoin be worth $100,000 or more before 2025?
| null | 1,722,684,984,795
| 1,733,425,855,364
| 1,733,425,855,364
|
YES
| 0.999998
| 415,452.907818
|
Finance
|
Markets & Trading
|
5llCgC9cPA
|
jill-stein-win-at-least-05-of-2024
|
Jill Stein win at least 0.5% of 2024 Popular Vote?
| null | 1,731,556,726,530
| 1,734,155,940,000
| 1,734,156,081,828
|
YES
| 0.99
| 1,041.199558
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
2AeQoMbI3bRHKuNLn9eW
|
will-a-republican-win-nebraskas-2nd
|
Will a Republican win Nebraska's 2nd district in the 2024 POTUS election?
| null | 1,686,274,584,004
| 1,730,902,573,468
| 1,730,902,573,468
|
NO
| 0.010977
| 1,805.822472
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
EfUyxbVm9xHfl2n3r0p2
|
will-the-population-of-california-g
|
Will the population of California go up from 2023 to 2024?
| null | 1,714,943,482,565
| 1,735,495,975,827
| 1,735,495,975,827
|
YES
| 0.99
| 11,477.49143
|
Politics
|
Public Policy & Social Issues
|
3aMq3wL1jOATz1woyv1Q
|
will-a-democrat-win-the-2024-presid-9d0ae71a93d2
|
Will a democrat win the 2024 presidential election in Oregon?
| null | 1,670,815,370,709
| 1,731,293,066,106
| 1,731,293,066,106
|
YES
| 0.99
| 5,353.89136
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
LwoVx4ejkvcLQDwDrLyS
|
will-altman-run-for-president-or-an
|
Will Altman run for president or any party nomination?
| null | 1,700,258,568,509
| 1,730,505,540,000
| 1,734,711,023,195
|
NO
| 0.01
| 1,734.306953
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
NcYmCONtQhBd70tg2ush
|
will-solana-hit-250-in-2024
|
Will Solana hit $250 in 2024?
| null | 1,711,855,822,992
| 1,732,249,846,602
| 1,732,249,846,602
|
YES
| 0.979703
| 1,434.895562
|
Finance
|
Markets & Trading
|
AFeGLI274SAO7Y00hgFX
|
will-an-impeachment-or-criminal-con
|
Will an impeachment or criminal conviction disqualify Trump from running in the 2024 presidential elections?
| null | 1,687,330,983,139
| 1,733,452,601,150
| 1,733,452,601,150
|
NO
| 0.01
| 2,049.837559
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
OPPCcsRt6R
|
daily-coinflip-ydI85RCOuN
|
Daily coinflip
| null | 1,731,037,242,504
| 1,731,128,340,000
| 1,731,128,946,276
|
NO
| 0.504926
| 17,954.131224
|
Sports
|
Sports Culture & Recreation
|
ATOR6lHTIjFuJCRcwejb
|
will-there-be-any-unfaithful-electo
|
Will there be any unfaithful electors in 2024?
| null | 1,689,912,362,307
| 1,734,502,230,534
| 1,734,502,230,534
|
NO
| 0.012516
| 23,503.743914
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
pi66fmztc6
|
nate-silver-100k-twitter-bet-will-t--cash
|
Will Trump win Florida by >8 points? [Nate Silver $100k Twitter Bet]
| null | 1,728,070,337,192
| 1,730,893,785,693
| 1,730,937,196,751
|
YES
| 0.975036
| 10,764.002132
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
wjf0rv5xci
|
will-venom-3-have-a-recordbreaking
|
Will Venom 3 have a record-breaking opening weekend for the franchise?
| null | 1,727,577,818,620
| 1,730,185,140,000
| 1,730,206,371,822
|
NO
| 0.01
| 1,447.08904
|
Entertainment
|
Movies & Television
|
UOEZcypz9s
|
will-the-las-vegas-raiders-ravage-t-lgZuENsqtd
|
Will the Las Vegas Raiders pillage the Kansas City Chiefs? 🏈 (Black Friday)
| null | 1,732,589,352,059
| 1,732,925,800,211
| 1,732,925,800,211
|
NO
| 0.01
| 14,913.49079
|
Sports
|
Professional Sports
|
R4uvi9y5tgT5onlkVs3E
|
nfl-week-15-dec-15-2024-will-the-ca
|
NFL Week 15 (Dec 15 2024): Will the Carolina Panthers (home) beat the Dallas Cowboys (away)?
| null | 1,715,834,548,172
| 1,734,458,400,000
| 1,735,276,178,401
|
NO
| 0.012273
| 1,497.479934
|
Sports
|
Professional Sports
|
6eq26hstju
|
will-tim-walz-say-the-word-brat-bef
|
Will Tim Walz say the word “brat” before the election?
| null | 1,723,762,741,957
| 1,730,879,940,000
| 1,730,943,278,961
|
NO
| 0.01
| 4,088.016001
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
v6w45h6dag
|
will-benoit-saint-denis-knockouttko
|
Will Benoit Saint Denis knockout/tko Renato Moicano?
| null | 1,727,560,456,787
| 1,727,561,899,713
| 1,727,561,899,713
|
NO
| 0.01
| 8,850
|
Sports
|
Individual Sports
|
pHgf8b7ctMwIp6G0ecvt
|
will-nasa-end-the-current-new-horiz
|
Will NASA end the current New Horizons Mission?
| null | 1,693,318,672,421
| 1,727,776,860,000
| 1,727,776,901,243
|
NO
| 0.03
| 2,824.029602
|
Technology
|
Emerging Technologies
|
qms0U5dafq0ZKEmXFFBB
|
will-cornell-west-appear-on-the-bal-9d003a3f1008
|
Will Cornell West appear on the ballot in Wisconsin in Nov 2024?
| null | 1,709,156,771,764
| 1,729,768,630,820
| 1,729,768,630,820
|
YES
| 0.8
| 1,279.599136
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
cwiyfvx77u
|
will-trump-have-a-different-vp-for
|
Will JD Vance be replaced as Republican VP nominee?
| null | 1,720,395,366,822
| 1,730,782,931,589
| 1,730,782,931,589
|
NO
| 0.01
| 29,128.355885
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
NtCImikjaQ4d1p5ZGwOe
|
will-the-climate-positive-public-li
|
Will the Climate Positive Public License gain adoption in the software industry?
| null | 1,704,038,750,689
| 1,735,685,940,000
| 1,735,687,233,313
|
NO
| 0.01523
| 9,459.432383
|
Technology
|
Computing & Software
|
AsdgpPtIgl
|
will-i-get-a-2nd-mtg-regional-champ
|
Will I get a 2nd MtG Regional Championship qualification this weekend?
| null | 1,730,227,736,512
| 1,730,782,740,000
| 1,730,784,489,062
|
YES
| 0.99
| 1,024.807929
|
Sports
|
Individual Sports
|
cL5X38U3cc1Z8bymJJ5P
|
will-the-europa-clipper-mission-suc
|
Will the Europa Clipper mission successfully launch in October 2024?
| null | 1,693,509,597,541
| 1,728,927,886,652
| 1,728,927,886,652
|
YES
| 0.99
| 4,476.17194
|
Technology
|
Emerging Technologies
|
COypU6hUqI
|
will-gisele-pelicot-be-time-person
|
Will Gisèle Pelicot be Time Person of the Year 2024 (POTY)?
| null | 1,732,624,033,017
| 1,733,755,184,572
| 1,733,755,184,572
|
NO
| 0.042416
| 2,241.214975
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
ahaC9QuvZ1G7sq4QIwRP
|
will-starship-launch-in-september-2
|
Will Starship launch in September 2024
| null | 1,700,448,687,711
| 1,727,841,540,000
| 1,727,844,478,962
|
NO
| 0.01
| 27,649.534489
|
Technology
|
Emerging Technologies
|
1Fry0tHzXLQ9zQFDnjNJ
|
will-be-another-company-hit-trillio
|
Will be another company hit trillion dollar Mkt CAP within the next 6 months?
| null | 1,704,416,494,538
| 1,734,771,372,855
| 1,734,771,372,855
|
YES
| 0.979873
| 3,207.898457
|
Finance
|
Corporate Finance
|
92eabtx59d
|
were-the-tesla-optimus-robots-teleo
|
Were the Tesla Optimus robots teleoperated at We, Robot?
| null | 1,728,622,076,597
| 1,729,095,544,647
| 1,729,095,544,647
|
YES
| 0.94
| 1,770.736112
|
Technology
|
Emerging Technologies
|
ecyfuqljx8
|
will-kamala-harris-flip-a-state--cash
|
Will Kamala Harris flip a state?
| null | 1,726,769,565,603
| 1,730,955,540,000
| 1,731,050,096,100
|
NO
| 0.009871
| 7,117.839766
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
oKUgYkfuK0vLLyDJpSy2
|
will-a-colorado-pass-a-ballot-measu
|
Will Colorado pass a ballot measure in 2024 to make primaries open and enact ranked-choice voting?
| null | 1,703,046,205,543
| 1,730,938,020,891
| 1,730,938,020,891
|
NO
| 0.040652
| 1,113.476131
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
QjP2jypCHkU0vGNj5Pc7
|
will-the-republican-party-win-the-2
|
Will the Republican party win the 2024 U.S. presidential election?
| null | 1,682,649,706,868
| 1,731,015,552,968
| 1,731,015,552,968
|
YES
| 0.99
| 12,887.088171
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
tu9ckud3o8
|
will-israel-launch-air-strikes-with
|
Will Israel launch air strikes within 100 km of Tehran by the end of 2024?
| null | 1,727,773,943,216
| 1,729,966,221,713
| 1,729,966,221,713
|
YES
| 0.99
| 10,619.318778
|
Geopolitics
|
Global Conflicts
|
QAqY8xFxIep05iodAk60
|
will-bitcoin-hit-90k-before-2031092
|
Will bitcoin hit $90k before 2031-09-27?
| null | 1,685,686,281,191
| 1,731,508,692,845
| 1,731,508,692,845
|
YES
| 0.990363
| 35,201.714724
|
Finance
|
Markets & Trading
|
296ybaLp6xskH4pApIaQ
|
will-rfk-junior-reach-5-percent-of
|
Will RFK Junior reach 5 percent of the national Popular Vote? Current 538 polling average is 10.1 percent.
| null | 1,714,440,288,975
| 1,730,864,400,000
| 1,731,437,555,270
|
NO
| 0.012363
| 20,835.471705
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
IR0BCwm3T3lWfJYO4xi1
|
will-i-run-800km-this-year
|
Will I run 800km this year?
| null | 1,708,419,196,698
| 1,730,264,174,973
| 1,730,264,174,973
|
NO
| 0.186404
| 2,369.743111
|
Sports
|
Sports Culture & Recreation
|
DaV0m6SVc1mkaeZhHjNX
|
will-iran-detonate-a-nuclear-weapon-9ed8a22b73a8
|
Will Iran detonate a nuclear weapon before Nov 2024?
| null | 1,705,772,469,926
| 1,730,576,494,979
| 1,730,576,494,979
|
NO
| 0.008761
| 12,984.789227
|
Geopolitics
|
Global Conflicts
|
knk8030f14
|
will-tcb-scans-upload-chapter-1127
|
Will TCB Scans upload chapter 1127 of One Piece on September 19th?
| null | 1,726,144,236,681
| 1,726,815,540,000
| 1,726,901,628,763
|
NO
| 0.24
| 2,433.749401
|
Entertainment
|
Books & Literature
|
wyg5ic1f5p
|
will-manifold-transform-the-site-in
|
Will Manifold transform the site in any way for Halloween?
| null | 1,724,509,450,687
| 1,730,320,378,965
| 1,730,320,378,965
|
YES
| 0.989948
| 2,250.785044
|
Entertainment
|
Movies & Television
|
O3MJBruUz5fnydYwsSxF
|
will-any-of-the-videos-uploaded-to-aa9383599ef5
|
Will any of the videos uploaded to Joe Rogan's YouTube channel in Sep 2024 surpass 2M views?
| null | 1,707,191,770,709
| 1,727,372,006,666
| 1,727,372,006,666
|
YES
| 0.99
| 1,483.294592
|
Entertainment
|
Movies & Television
|
iADlG4vTG9A04S93OnyU
|
will-there-be-another-terrorist-att
|
Will there be another terrorist attack that Russia blames on Ukraine in 2024, causing at least 100 deaths?
| null | 1,714,842,226,623
| 1,735,682,340,000
| 1,735,687,610,674
|
NO
| 0.052352
| 5,128.653321
|
Geopolitics
|
Global Conflicts
|
xNO1IRIP9cUZHiXBz7SU
|
will-the-next-leader-of-the-conserv-c7a6c0611e73
|
Will the next leader of the Conservative Party be Suella Braverman?
| null | 1,684,171,201,606
| 1,730,566,027,594
| 1,730,566,027,594
|
NO
| 0.010053
| 13,473.799813
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
33vrxtwhmo
|
will-the-l-a-dodgers-play-the-balti
|
Will the L. A. Dodgers play the Baltimore Orioles in the 2024 MLB World Series?
| null | 1,721,765,410,172
| 1,727,961,563,000
| 1,727,961,563,000
|
NO
| 0.01
| 12,849.822117
|
Sports
|
Professional Sports
|
L7P0PDv6wFpHGdnYswIz
|
will-iphone-16-be-a-foldable-phone
|
Will iPhone 16 be a foldable phone?
| null | 1,679,682,954,671
| 1,731,555,770,613
| 1,731,555,770,613
|
NO
| 0.025159
| 2,256.771283
|
Technology
|
Mobile & Consumer Electronics
|
LhOrEf43G0i3wKKYCGF2
|
will-strutheo-get-100000-traders-be
|
Will @strutheo get 100,000 traders in one life, before 2024 ends?
| null | 1,713,152,259,755
| 1,733,717,772,617
| 1,733,717,772,617
|
NO
| 0.018649
| 11,408.925588
|
Finance
|
Markets & Trading
|
EFRNW3bUbE6L2UvTplTi
|
will-wikipedia-change-its-name-to-d-b45cc8c174e9
|
Will Wikipedia change it's name to Dickipedia?
| null | 1,698,075,048,210
| 1,729,742,340,000
| 1,729,787,634,378
|
NO
| 0.01
| 8,378.732314
|
Technology
|
Internet & Digital Services
|
Ku4PF7RMoyWDrYTZNYuX
|
will-there-be-interest-free-loans-o
|
Will there be interest free loans on manifold at any point before 2026?
| null | 1,712,972,960,406
| 1,733,564,004,920
| 1,733,564,004,920
|
YES
| 0.992633
| 2,272.337934
|
Finance
|
Personal Finance
|
1Dr5MrkbH4qQErlfkXbS
|
will-real-money-political-predictio-b314527f7b80
|
Will real money political prediction markets be legal in the US before the end of 2025?
| null | 1,712,172,469,488
| 1,727,928,557,348
| 1,727,928,557,348
|
YES
| 0.99
| 3,182.027148
|
Politics
|
Domestic Policy
|
jbzEG4B7RiE9414V2nu7
|
will-ameya-run-a-mile-in-60000-or-f
|
Will Ameya run a mile in 6:00.00 or faster before Jan 1, 2025
| null | 1,713,458,145,143
| 1,732,156,752,989
| 1,732,156,752,989
|
YES
| 0.99
| 2,582.035083
|
Sports
|
Individual Sports
|
1oZOuWU0Zcb9EwOz0RpT
|
will-the-federal-reserve-raise-inte-dd921dcf545a
|
Will the federal reserve raise interest rates at any time from March to November of '24?
| null | 1,710,128,771,613
| 1,733,032,740,000
| 1,733,061,210,224
|
NO
| 0.012466
| 2,722.932628
|
Finance
|
Economic Indicators
|
x8408rev6b
|
will-a-finetuned-opensource-model-u
|
Will a “good” (fine-tuned) opensource model utilizing chain-of-thought reasoning like o1 be released by EOY 2024?
| null | 1,726,245,826,515
| 1,734,705,420,896
| 1,734,705,426,471
|
YES
| 0.870292
| 4,804.433385
|
Technology
|
Emerging Technologies
|
2wdjvpx9fv
|
will-twitter-x-remove-likes-or-retw
|
Will Twitter/X.com remove Likes OR Retweets counts on posts from public view by the end of September?
| null | 1,719,970,310,552
| 1,727,841,540,000
| 1,727,885,638,370
|
NO
| 0.01
| 1,429.458971
|
Technology
|
Internet & Digital Services
|
efAYUzzePhyfcdaXGVXv
|
will-gop-win-ohio-in-the-2024-us-pr
|
Will GOP win Ohio in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election?
| null | 1,705,764,852,813
| 1,730,988,994,361
| 1,730,988,994,361
|
YES
| 0.983263
| 1,133.148271
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
I6g7erM0wSH2X2hrcpOL
|
will-a-democrat-win-north-carolina-4e960bb4fc91
|
Will a Democrat win North Carolina in the 2024 POTUS election?
| null | 1,686,273,680,559
| 1,730,902,483,683
| 1,730,902,483,683
|
NO
| 0.01
| 2,506.082147
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
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