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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
r1Svk5XtvrtUIhMD31bQ
|
will-the-52nd-mersenne-prime-be-dis
|
Will the 52nd Mersenne prime be discovered before the end of 2024?
| null | 1,698,176,650,214
| 1,729,591,781,500
| 1,729,591,781,500
|
YES
| 0.99
| 13,404.450534
|
Technology
|
Emerging Technologies
|
0xt3ffzxu3
|
will-nvidia-be-higher-in-a-week
|
Will NVIDIA be higher in a week?
| null | 1,728,579,573,795
| 1,729,199,980,909
| 1,729,199,980,909
|
YES
| 0.99
| 5,683
|
Finance
|
Markets & Trading
|
q86JQrfLpL3NsiHk7UNn
|
will-lebron-james-ever-play-an-nba
|
Will LeBron James ever play an NBA game with his son Bronny?
| null | 1,668,370,394,839
| 1,728,329,693,943
| 1,728,329,693,943
|
YES
| 0.99
| 30,789.902472
|
Sports
|
Professional Sports
|
IgfAwEjbTDlv6tfS53n5
|
will-donald-trump-be-convicted-of-o
|
Will Donald Trump be convicted of obstruction of justice in the documents case?
| null | 1,686,351,798,705
| 1,732,670,567,470
| 1,732,670,567,470
|
NO
| 0.023311
| 23,732.217558
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
0ocdgwF6dzFSyJbB7nCK
|
will-trumps-january-6-trial-have-a
|
Will Trump’s January 6 trial have a verdict before Election Day?
| null | 1,703,297,244,065
| 1,730,826,783,220
| 1,730,826,783,220
|
NO
| 0.01
| 11,202.796821
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
e0J52rR0pO8AfuG3iFVQ
|
will-donald-trump-and-volodymyr-zel-63b2633f4753
|
Will Donald Trump and Volodymyr Zelensky meet in person in year 2024?
| null | 1,706,416,301,077
| 1,727,532,589,964
| 1,727,532,589,964
|
YES
| 0.99
| 3,229.931062
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
gGYgSUPdigAaGHAQbo0q
|
will-all-manifold-features-be-avail
|
Will all Manifold features be available to the majority of EU users at the end of 2024?
| null | 1,713,874,959,844
| 1,735,685,940,000
| 1,735,686,931,558
|
NO
| 0.057045
| 6,914.038784
|
Technology
|
Internet & Digital Services
|
WFSNAbYz2W7V9i4SHfwy
|
will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-pres-5eea5ff9aa80
|
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 presidential election?
| null | 1,671,947,243,629
| 1,730,912,302,254
| 1,730,912,302,254
|
YES
| 0.99
| 22,469.073338
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
sa5gf7gli5
|
will-tim-walz-win-the-vp-debate
|
Will Tim Walz win the VP debate?
| null | 1,727,820,073,925
| 1,727,848,920,000
| 1,728,349,724,457
|
NO
| 0.16
| 82,757.692771
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
xkxDcQAkaq74QZ9mo2pn
|
will-nikki-haley-be-the-next-presid
|
Will Nikki Haley be the next President of the United States?
| null | 1,699,306,971,900
| 1,730,955,540,000
| 1,730,983,194,610
|
NO
| 0.01
| 15,206.304522
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
hvs6hmsype
|
will-the-sp-500-stock-index-close-h-pkqhe6j9et
|
Will the S&P 500 stock index close higher on Oct 10 than it closed on Oct 9?
| null | 1,728,504,371,711
| 1,728,590,512,559
| 1,728,590,512,559
|
NO
| 0.01
| 1,027.331906
|
Finance
|
Markets & Trading
|
tz4GG0PJYoLRRWs0kl4Z
|
will-there-be-a-split-between-the-p
|
Will there be a split between the popular vote and the electoral college in 2024?
| null | 1,704,256,292,970
| 1,735,392,613,571
| 1,735,392,613,571
|
NO
| 0.01777
| 2,035.324119
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
gNfuszYpvZ1U8ZqKCTQ6
|
will-jimmy-carter-be-alive-and-king
|
Will Jimmy Carter be alive AND King Charles still be king AND Nvidia stock is $90 AND BTC above $65K at EOY 2024?
| null | 1,710,872,562,668
| 1,735,508,116,530
| 1,735,508,116,530
|
NO
| 0.014611
| 23,276.135332
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
fufv74b91e
|
will-a-new-indictment-against-trump
|
Will a new indictment against Trump be announced between October 1st and the election?
| null | 1,727,901,272,513
| 1,730,955,540,000
| 1,730,955,699,035
|
NO
| 0.01
| 2,087.7771
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
k2fvir0flsFinl3QPrVO
|
will-dalle4-be-released-before-sep
|
Will Dalle-4 be released before Sep 2024?
| null | 1,706,137,276,064
| 1,725,746,340,000
| 1,728,202,897,355
|
NO
| 0.01
| 1,235.495018
|
Technology
|
Emerging Technologies
|
i5b8hzjmvo
|
will-kamala-brand-herself-as-tough
|
Will Kamala brand herself as Tough On Crime going into the election?
| null | 1,721,656,361,473
| 1,731,016,740,000
| 1,731,268,498,893
|
NO
| 0.196973
| 121,642.878535
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
MlPWxUaVsQmeRbQ2iF92
|
will-the-shape-of-starships-flaps-h
|
Will the shape of Starship's flaps have obvious visual changes for IFT5?
| null | 1,717,791,079,837
| 1,728,824,327,017
| 1,728,824,327,017
|
NO
| 0.01
| 99,719.610083
|
Technology
|
Emerging Technologies
|
tmuku8cn2f
|
will-qqq-close-above-525-on-any-day
|
Will QQQ close above 525 on any day of 2024?
| null | 1,722,635,824,423
| 1,734,771,561,028
| 1,734,771,561,028
|
YES
| 0.99
| 9,338.684679
|
Finance
|
Markets & Trading
|
aTmWe2HpzbN1ht8edbs5
|
will-any-of-the-hololive-regloss-vt
|
Will any of the Hololive ReGLOSS vtubers get 1 million subs on YouTube before 2025?
| null | 1,693,873,542,989
| 1,735,041,412,448
| 1,735,041,412,448
|
YES
| 0.989997
| 3,993.543686
|
Entertainment
|
Celebrity & Pop Culture
|
KjtRz9zyauG1PdkbBGge
|
will-the-keys-to-the-white-house-co
|
Will The Keys to the White House correctly predict the 2024 election?
| null | 1,702,484,994,255
| 1,730,869,140,000
| 1,730,936,065,242
|
NO
| 0.335683
| 25,639.163805
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
VJkCoJd2pWiZEnLdsdA4
|
will-any-of-the-videos-uploaded-to-47de14d0a0b2
|
Will any of the videos uploaded to Mark Rober's YouTube channel in Nov 2024 surpass 30M views?
| null | 1,706,582,290,685
| 1,733,029,196,395
| 1,734,029,627,925
|
NO
| 0.01
| 1,116.666529
|
Entertainment
|
Movies & Television
|
5m8jjf7xms
|
neither-trump-nor-biden-will-conced
|
Neither the Republican nor Democratic candidate (at the moment, Trump and Harris) will concede defeat by Dec. 5, 2024.
| null | 1,720,646,015,651
| 1,730,933,091,217
| 1,730,933,091,217
|
NO
| 0.019147
| 7,758.889413
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
zrlj08qeq6
|
will-ryan-wesley-routh-be-alive-in
|
Will Ryan Wesley Routh be alive in one week?
| null | 1,726,453,006,608
| 1,727,063,940,000
| 1,727,088,782,597
|
YES
| 0.99
| 12,723.383754
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
ma7oi0lvmt
|
will-manifold-support-the-veto-of-a
|
Will Manifold support the veto of AI regulations bill SB 1047?
| null | 1,727,694,404,189
| 1,728,359,940,000
| 1,728,392,560,994
|
NO
| 0.01
| 9,832.171793
|
Politics
|
Domestic Policy
|
dZNIIQYH93YSBaR4fURI
|
will-there-be-a-deep-sea-expedition
|
Will there be a deep sea expedition sent to recover/visit the wreckage of the Oceangate Titan sub before EOY 2035?
| null | 1,708,319,846,048
| 1,726,762,441,448
| 1,726,762,441,448
|
YES
| 0.99
| 2,561.367727
|
Politics
|
Public Policy & Social Issues
|
uJdoA4QfHozcsarr1phW
|
by-the-end-of-q3-2024-will-max-harm
|
Will Max Harms release the full Crystal trilogy in audiobook form by end of Q3 2024?
| null | 1,709,520,051,716
| 1,727,555,206,282
| 1,727,555,206,282
|
YES
| 0.95
| 2,844.176416
|
Entertainment
|
Books & Literature
|
FDtj0dTBJMZf63e9CFiN
|
will-the-price-of-bitcoin-surpass-1-b768a8904126
|
Bitcoin $100K by Mar 31, 2025?
| null | 1,704,865,056,129
| 1,733,371,015,574
| 1,733,371,015,574
|
YES
| 0.99
| 30,117.673133
|
Finance
|
Markets & Trading
|
VLqXav9cQNaLsIUHPD7E
|
will-another-bill-watterson-project
|
Will another Bill Watterson project be announced other than The Mysteries before 2025?
| null | 1,682,322,716,188
| 1,735,664,438,394
| 1,735,664,438,394
|
NO
| 0.011171
| 1,035.286813
|
Entertainment
|
Books & Literature
|
ahqazbdie7
|
will-scott-wiener-be-reelected-to-t
|
Will Scott Wiener be re-elected to the California senate?
| null | 1,722,466,405,959
| 1,731,035,820,571
| 1,731,035,820,571
|
YES
| 0.989581
| 8,875
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
jwdqi5p27n
|
will-i-make-qualify-for-masters-lea
|
Will I make qualify for Masters league for first time this month?
| null | 1,728,499,189,024
| 1,730,606,340,000
| 1,730,680,022,118
|
NO
| 0.01
| 34,968.543495
|
Sports
|
Professional Sports
|
1kq08lbtdk
|
will-jd-vance-release-any-of-his-ta
|
Will JD Vance release any of his tax returns before election day?
| null | 1,725,127,142,036
| 1,730,805,901,485
| 1,730,805,901,485
|
NO
| 0.01
| 12,172.001847
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
tsEgtsslqI
|
will-boston-bruins-win-tonight-unde
|
Will Boston Bruins win tonight under new coach, Joe Sacco? Game against Utah Hockey Club?
| null | 1,732,191,120,944
| 1,732,280,002,115
| 1,732,280,002,115
|
YES
| 0.96003
| 3,919.123158
|
Sports
|
Professional Sports
|
bHpnLmsU6OFvKpYN6YvG
|
will-joe-rogan-do-a-pod-with-donald
|
Will Joe Rogan do a podcast with Donald Trump?
| null | 1,691,991,080,708
| 1,729,923,109,680
| 1,729,923,109,680
|
YES
| 0.99
| 21,044.363927
|
Entertainment
|
Celebrity & Pop Culture
|
y45kz7sDJAvnuN15c2jh
|
nfl-week-11-nov-14-2024-will-the-ph
|
NFL Week 11 (Nov 14 2024): Will the Philadelphia Eagles (home) beat the Washington Commanders (away)?
| null | 1,715,834,232,371
| 1,731,806,100,000
| 1,731,810,002,895
|
YES
| 0.99
| 1,139.106019
|
Sports
|
Team Sports
|
umB9eZVje3tyQ9yh7sKo
|
will-iran-attack-israel-with-anothe
|
Will Iran attack Israel with another drone, missile or airstrike before the end of 2024?
| null | 1,713,131,129,817
| 1,727,818,916,966
| 1,727,818,916,966
|
YES
| 1
| 127,387.162533
|
Geopolitics
|
Global Conflicts
|
rx09i95nCWz0LRK23KU2
|
-2024-ncaaf-will-any-former-pac12-t
|
🏈 2024 NCAAF: Will any former Pac-12 team win its new conference's championship in the first year of membership?
| null | 1,694,022,608,872
| 1,733,603,445,535
| 1,733,603,445,535
|
YES
| 0.99
| 1,466.666418
|
Sports
|
College Sports
|
ryhkml0kya
|
will-polymarkets-election-odds-matc
|
Will Polymarket's election odds match Nate Silver's (+/- 5) on election night?
| null | 1,728,771,430,335
| 1,730,848,116,053
| 1,730,848,116,053
|
NO
| 0.199914
| 4,283.429977
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
DjPvPOJBhaUUkL9Rr5Pd
|
will-mike-pence-endorse-trump
|
Will Mike Pence endorse Trump?
| null | 1,684,393,885,969
| 1,730,870,604,978
| 1,730,870,604,978
|
NO
| 0.010166
| 221,412.209918
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
6Quk1Xgni2lRJ9blGwIg
|
will-lauren-boebert-be-reelected-in-171e0c145829
|
Will Lauren Boebert be re-elected in November 2024?
| null | 1,697,137,938,527
| 1,730,782,800,000
| 1,731,537,944,167
|
YES
| 0.927211
| 7,461.16695
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
nyjJIs2JHVh9X3XgroDN
|
will-any-of-the-videos-uploaded-to-59924ac2cdb3
|
Will any of the videos uploaded to Mr Beast's YouTube channel in Sep 2024 surpass 170M views?
| null | 1,706,926,550,441
| 1,727,755,196,395
| 1,727,788,592,533
|
NO
| 0.01
| 1,019.25338
|
Entertainment
|
Celebrity & Pop Culture
|
5qqpfrea3p
|
will-both-kamala-harris-and-donald--cash
|
Will both Kamala Harris and Donald Trump flip a state?
| null | 1,729,093,762,400
| 1,730,921,940,218
| 1,730,937,252,446
|
NO
| 0.010555
| 1,462.402932
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
n5ql7qfy59
|
will-taylor-swift-have-announcedrel
|
Will Taylor Swift have announced/released all of her rerecordings before the scheduled end of the Eras Tour on 8/12/24?
| null | 1,719,992,252,103
| 1,733,736,554,633
| 1,733,736,554,633
|
NO
| 0.040669
| 4,456.012174
|
Entertainment
|
Music & Audio
|
jux8cafbk5
|
will-kamala-harris-appear-on-hot-on
|
Will Kamala Harris appear on “Hot Ones” before 10/31/24?
| null | 1,721,654,892,153
| 1,730,682,228,890
| 1,730,682,228,890
|
NO
| 0.01
| 51,136.912408
|
Entertainment
|
Celebrity & Pop Culture
|
dwe0y5jh15
|
will-north-korean-troops-enter-sout
|
Will North Korean troops intentionally enter South Korea by the end of November 2024?
| null | 1,729,441,594,357
| 1,733,029,140,000
| 1,733,034,390,366
|
NO
| 0.01
| 1,193.054181
|
Geopolitics
|
Global Conflicts
|
mpisum34wf
|
daily-coinflip-r5boh8jj1v
|
Daily coinflip
| null | 1,728,537,483,971
| 1,728,705,540,000
| 1,728,711,491,654
|
NO
| 0.49
| 22,484.57255
|
Gaming
| null |
FgHafqEcPIG5CaAsU2Kn
|
nfl-week-13-dec-1-2024-will-the-bal
|
NFL Week 13 (Dec 1 2024): Will the Baltimore Ravens (home) beat the Philadelphia Eagles (away)?
| null | 1,715,834,495,734
| 1,733,261,100,000
| 1,733,810,554,954
|
NO
| 0.01
| 1,709.166203
|
Sports
|
Professional Sports
|
0IuQYbRU7jqbk6wFswQI
|
will-sri-lankas-president-ranil-wic
|
Will Sri Lanka's current president, Ranil Wickremesinghe, win the presidential election in 2024?
| null | 1,697,824,592,785
| 1,727,021,145,068
| 1,727,021,145,068
|
NO
| 0.01
| 10,287.480508
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
Yptms90iy9qIGnSkrAok
|
nfl-week-16-dec-22-2024-will-the-lo
|
NFL Week 16 (Dec 22 2024): Will the Los Angeles Chargers (home) beat the Denver Broncos (away)?
| null | 1,715,834,626,632
| 1,735,074,300,000
| 1,735,164,043,585
|
YES
| 0.99
| 1,614.259998
|
Sports
|
Professional Sports
|
C9ZZ52ZsgL
|
will-fallout-win-best-adaptation-at
|
Will Fallout win Best Adaptation at The Game Awards?
| null | 1,731,964,879,306
| 1,734,063,574,821
| 1,734,063,574,821
|
YES
| 0.99
| 3,220.547655
|
Entertainment
|
Gaming
|
0IU5p2yZuO
|
will-any-us-state-have-more-than-50-L25gc59Rnh
|
Will any U.S. State have more than 50,000 customers without power on or before 12/31/2024?
| null | 1,732,494,769,197
| 1,733,839,662,847
| 1,733,839,662,847
|
YES
| 0.979118
| 5,918
|
Politics
|
Public Policy & Social Issues
|
AIf8YviqNDqRWzWny7mi
|
will-the-2024-time-person-of-the-ye-03367ddd9551
|
Will the 2024 TIME person of the year have an IMDB page?
| null | 1,710,455,729,013
| 1,733,956,395,471
| 1,733,956,395,471
|
YES
| 0.976216
| 10,414.522298
|
Entertainment
|
Movies & Television
|
gvOwlHc9NYo1HZeMwrth
|
will-the-long-term-future-fund-exis
|
Will the Long Term Future Fund exist in a year?
| null | 1,694,977,143,448
| 1,726,642,740,000
| 1,728,135,296,919
|
YES
| 0.99
| 4,981.878263
|
Finance
|
Markets & Trading
|
CU4j3EcOJNWJWjsTOaq1
|
will-the-current-congress-pass-immi
|
Will the current Congress pass immigration reform before the election?
| null | 1,706,610,291,892
| 1,730,843,940,000
| 1,730,889,126,635
|
NO
| 0.026104
| 5,211.293759
|
Politics
|
Domestic Policy
|
XyHvpNVGLH25x6zoJJof
|
will-rep-dean-phillips-win-the-us-2
|
Will Rep. Dean Phillips win the US 2024 presidential election?
| null | 1,698,442,941,551
| 1,731,277,615,665
| 1,731,277,615,665
|
NO
| 0.01
| 25,578.927594
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
aT9fk5KqD7cA4Hlw62hR
|
will-alaska-vote-to-repeal-ranked-c
|
Will Alaska vote to repeal Ranked Choice Voting by the end of 2024?
| null | 1,708,845,985,246
| 1,733,900,186,745
| 1,733,900,186,745
|
NO
| 0.005576
| 10,066.547617
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
Cr1wWMe0JPf9W50fyUIy
|
will-openai-rebrand-or-change-their
|
Will OpenAI rebrand or change their name, even as a joke, in 2024?
| null | 1,709,694,989,255
| 1,735,651,740,000
| 1,735,653,600,765
|
NO
| 0.024504
| 4,709.555688
|
Technology
|
Tech Industry & Business
|
ZYrGvzXMAXxh8IjYM2DG
|
will-the-penguin-batman-spinoff-tv
|
Will "The Penguin" (Batman spinoff TV show) have an IMDB rating >7.5, one week after release?
| null | 1,711,138,966,976
| 1,733,155,842,586
| 1,733,155,842,586
|
YES
| 0.99
| 13,488.436393
|
Entertainment
|
Movies & Television
|
mNccptRmfGGl9UZtl2wk
|
will-donald-trump-be-eligible-to-vo
|
Will Donald Trump be eligible to vote in the 2024 election?
| null | 1,717,104,017,681
| 1,730,833,887,244
| 1,730,833,887,244
|
YES
| 0.982306
| 9,732.215485
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
CDiDZiDOOrABHWnmlNsf
|
will-china-launch-a-fullscale-invas-82010ec8d723
|
Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan by the end of October?
| null | 1,709,481,268,688
| 1,730,415,540,000
| 1,730,428,667,673
|
NO
| 0.013517
| 3,822.435341
|
Geopolitics
|
Global Conflicts
|
yZvtrrHJyuoTBcaPOiGl
|
will-the-majority-of-countries-that
|
Will the majority of countries that pause funding to UNRWA in 2024 renew the funding in less than a year?
| null | 1,706,553,094,648
| 1,729,799,415,821
| 1,729,799,415,821
|
YES
| 0.96
| 3,933.335615
|
Geopolitics
|
International Relations
|
nkepug2sla
|
will-mlbs-chicago-white-sox-set-a-n
|
Will MLB’s Chicago White Sox set a new record for the most losses (121+) this season?
| null | 1,722,860,434,169
| 1,727,485,193,708
| 1,727,485,193,708
|
YES
| 0.98
| 21,471.02052
|
Sports
|
Professional Sports
|
fdqyMZ57jsfEfARt1mxs
|
will-openai-dalle-support-realtime
|
Will OpenAI / Dall-E support real-time AI image generation in 2024?
| null | 1,713,517,598,069
| 1,735,671,732,155
| 1,735,671,743,860
|
NO
| 0.050583
| 5,679.939025
|
Technology
|
Emerging Technologies
|
ApOOTYp1OqrFvAPErVx3
|
nfl-week-17-dec-29-2024-will-the-ja
|
NFL Week 17 (Dec 29 2024): Will the Jacksonville Jaguars (home) beat the Tennessee Titans (away)?
| null | 1,715,834,672,998
| 1,735,668,000,000
| 1,735,669,087,464
|
YES
| 0.99
| 1,011.489468
|
Sports
|
Professional Sports
|
Ami0S3fbvMLnZFIonqqk
|
will-any-candidate-get-a-majority-o
|
Will any candidate get a majority of the popular vote in 2024?
| null | 1,689,387,581,696
| 1,733,032,740,000
| 1,733,044,116,070
|
NO
| 0.010285
| 27,361.687707
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
apIsdZJnOuYYIF40iyqI
|
will-kirsten-gillibrand-win-reelect
|
Will Kirsten Gillibrand win re-election in the 2024 US senate race in New York?
| null | 1,680,634,102,038
| 1,731,293,498,757
| 1,731,293,498,757
|
YES
| 0.982351
| 1,121
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
8s6LfIjBiJiKE4dVAyxV
|
will-all-third-parties-reach-a-comb
|
Will all third parties reach a combined 5 percent nationally in 2024?
| null | 1,711,151,236,134
| 1,730,929,800,000
| 1,731,654,103,599
|
NO
| 0.010991
| 6,588.249332
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
85wonkvs7m
|
will-polymarket-reach-69-on-trump-w
|
Will Trump reach 69% on Polymarket before Election Day?
| null | 1,729,654,939,568
| 1,730,785,671,126
| 1,730,785,671,126
|
NO
| 0.038781
| 12,835.255552
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
ERTWIN6UTuV0t7XV4bA0
|
will-tesla-cross-1tn-valuation-in-2
|
Will Tesla Cross $1tn valuation in 2024
| null | 1,698,157,712,108
| 1,731,461,391,890
| 1,731,461,391,890
|
YES
| 0.991525
| 10,638.680404
|
Finance
|
Markets & Trading
|
6dphnVUjrA2s0dZbVjA6
|
will-a-candidate-from-the-forward-p
|
Will a candidate from the "Forward Party" be elected to Congress by the end of 2024?
| null | 1,674,250,146,150
| 1,730,851,140,000
| 1,734,747,647,439
|
NO
| 0.02484
| 2,714.006804
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
PWtNmDh02vzpdLcrEOne
|
will-openais-ai-video-model-sora-be
|
Will OpenAI’s AI Video model Sora be available to the public in 2024?
| null | 1,708,038,677,530
| 1,733,819,541,347
| 1,733,819,554,486
|
YES
| 0.991007
| 123,876.545828
|
Technology
|
Emerging Technologies
|
RDukJ3KZurRJmhm0Ny9p
|
will-destiny-debate-mehdi-hasan-bef
|
Will Destiny talk to Mehdi Hasan during 2024?
| null | 1,701,029,782,305
| 1,730,870,846,400
| 1,730,870,846,400
|
YES
| 0.979361
| 6,987.691399
|
Entertainment
|
Celebrity & Pop Culture
|
C8RLZlUs0h
|
-2024-nfl-will-any-week-17-game-end
|
🏈 2024 NFL: Will any Week 17 game end in Scorigami?
| null | 1,734,307,365,740
| 1,735,621,140,000
| 1,735,631,426,431
|
NO
| 0.055469
| 1,138.706403
|
Sports
|
Professional Sports
|
qEhqAC9N9R
|
will-any-us-state-fail-to-certify-t
|
Will any US state fail to certify the election and submit a slate of electors before Jan/1/2025?
| null | 1,730,493,302,559
| 1,735,424,392,165
| 1,735,424,392,165
|
NO
| 0.02086
| 7,725.095462
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
silMCgN6tsEkyxESXtIe
|
kylian-mbappe-will-score-more-than
|
KYLIAN MBAPPE will score more than 59 goals in all competitions in 2024?
| null | 1,704,706,318,618
| 1,735,671,810,905
| 1,735,671,810,905
|
NO
| 0.04091
| 4,878.131198
|
Sports
|
Professional Sports
|
chZRPQI6tl
|
will-starship-ift6-successfully-com--cash
|
Will Starship's 6th test successfully complete an in-space relight and burn?
| null | 1,731,438,083,142
| 1,732,073,950,967
| 1,732,118,639,781
|
YES
| 0.99
| 1,054.653654
|
Technology
|
Emerging Technologies
|
yTVwIgy7Xc334RIMk3nZ
|
will-a-third-party-get-more-than-2
|
Will a third party get more than 2% of the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Elections?
| null | 1,705,523,237,663
| 1,730,959,140,000
| 1,730,999,949,832
|
NO
| 0.021929
| 1,859.226007
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
9NoUCusm6c7PXLcxQW7G
|
will-market-creators-be-able-to-bet
|
Will market creators be able to bet on their own market in 2024?
| null | 1,681,734,581,650
| 1,731,291,189,477
| 1,731,291,189,477
|
YES
| 0.976874
| 1,716.614727
|
Finance
|
Markets & Trading
|
OoxiLgUc3MbxAH5kn4Zp
|
will-at-least-3-us-presidential-deb
|
Will at least 3 US presidential debates occur in the 2024 election
| null | 1,688,355,271,789
| 1,730,954,449,967
| 1,730,954,449,967
|
NO
| 0.011769
| 60,553.019851
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
aeVUeJBsnV38Cw6nBbFH
|
will-nebraskas-second-congressional
|
Will Nebraska's Second Congressional District (NE-02) stay blue in 2024?
| null | 1,695,658,932,640
| 1,730,869,140,000
| 1,730,949,604,775
|
YES
| 0.950803
| 1,521.135538
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
cLPAFRILk8uDEnyuiX0E
|
will-xi-jinping-visit-any-country-i-0ec09a7f2fab
|
Will Xi Jinping visit any country in South America by the end of 2024?
| null | 1,697,944,943,074
| 1,731,637,442,927
| 1,731,637,442,927
|
YES
| 0.981597
| 2,919.113123
|
Geopolitics
|
International Relations
|
X7xFLqgj9mNaAGZXmNEm
|
will-the-iphone-16-have-a-5g-design
|
Will the iPhone 16 have a 5G modem not designed by Qualcomm?
| null | 1,680,813,823,463
| 1,727,970,310,370
| 1,727,970,310,370
|
NO
| 0.01
| 13,159.660818
|
Technology
|
Mobile & Consumer Electronics
|
rjloneonsd
|
will-rupert-murdoch-win-his-court-c
|
Will Rupert Murdoch win his court case against his kids?
| null | 1,721,881,181,366
| 1,733,860,004,602
| 1,733,860,004,602
|
NO
| 0.037457
| 5,370.285075
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
LGu3Gujg2HVyOjvRTblu
|
acx-2024-will-us-refugee-admissions
|
[ACX 2024] Will US refugee admissions exceed 100,000 in fiscal year 2024?
| null | 1,704,115,957,257
| 1,728,214,860,596
| 1,728,214,860,596
|
YES
| null | 9,415.284472
|
Politics
|
Public Policy & Social Issues
|
JSiX6Bv5MjrTzAQ1uxh9
|
will-openai-be-said-by-anyone-in-a
|
Will "OpenAI" be said by anyone in a Presidential debate in 2024?
| null | 1,710,975,120,274
| 1,730,433,540,000
| 1,731,199,219,939
|
NO
| 0.022368
| 10,782.770153
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
r0uN7zwY0yRxBx0xq5Kj
|
will-israel-and-lebanonhezbollah-go
|
Will Israel and Lebanon/Hezbollah go to war in 2024?
| null | 1,701,975,966,597
| 1,727,736,097,386
| 1,727,736,097,386
|
YES
| 0.99
| 138,807.294428
|
Geopolitics
|
Global Conflicts
|
6PWCXisfOcaP0hIDQ3dr
|
will-a-presidential-candidate-will
|
Will a presidential candidate will be deceased (from natural causes) before the general elections
| null | 1,705,027,070,988
| 1,730,869,140,000
| 1,731,214,876,035
|
NO
| 0.024615
| 3,811.698742
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
qx2dscmelh
|
will-joker-folie-a-deux-get-above-a
|
Will Joker: Folie à Deux get above a 6.0 on IMDb or a 3.0 on Letterboxd?
| null | 1,727,872,949,080
| 1,729,321,140,000
| 1,729,345,209,168
|
NO
| 0
| 1,725.590721
|
Entertainment
|
Movies & Television
|
ugxn0zrwzw
|
-shortfuse-1-in-3-odds-shzew5o2m3
|
🧨 Short-fuse 1 in 3 odds
| null | 1,726,869,820,171
| 1,726,884,218,843
| 1,726,884,300,576
|
NO
| null | 1,942.49801
|
Sports
|
Sports Culture & Recreation
|
KOfmcwNGWzXESV0eBgE9
|
will-ruben-gallego-d-win-the-2024-a
|
Will Ruben Gallego (D) win the 2024 Arizona Senate election?
| null | 1,699,830,897,375
| 1,731,352,503,504
| 1,731,352,503,504
|
YES
| 0.990682
| 51,980.928693
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
akoaxu6i4WV4iSwbDqmo
|
will-the-first-attempt-to-catch-a-s
|
Will the first attempt to catch a starship booster with Mechazilla result in the booster exploding
| null | 1,663,260,061,027
| 1,729,188,367,175
| 1,729,188,367,175
|
NO
| 0.01
| 21,484.227822
|
Technology
|
Emerging Technologies
|
prRACdO3amkh8Naljk89
|
will-australian-inflation-be-32-or
|
Will Australian inflation be 3.2% or greater in Q3 2024?
| null | 1,710,934,584,882
| 1,730,294,940,000
| 1,730,322,363,063
|
NO
| 0.01
| 1,115.475802
|
Finance
|
Economic Indicators
|
g6QAvcRp05I0e5YyygmS
|
will-elizabeth-warren-win-the-2024-c66420b284c1
|
Will Elizabeth Warren win the 2024 senatorial race?
| null | 1,684,675,342,331
| 1,730,869,140,000
| 1,731,093,659,426
|
YES
| 0.936356
| 1,502.727114
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
b6suhzgONdKd9Yc5qJQp
|
nfl-week-5-oct-6-will-the-seattle-s
|
NFL Week 5 (Oct 6): Will the Seattle Seahawks beat the New York Giants?
| null | 1,715,834,007,271
| 1,728,287,197,639
| 1,728,287,197,639
|
NO
| 0.01
| 1,773.808735
|
Sports
|
Professional Sports
|
77IiCpM4otVcQzaZ5fNQ
|
do-cyber-trucks-have-a-rust-problem
|
Do Cyber Trucks have a rust problem?
| null | 1,708,036,147,258
| 1,734,644,302,717
| 1,734,644,302,717
|
NO
| 0.050001
| 7,937.116919
|
Technology
|
Mobile & Consumer Electronics
|
d9njw2l46e
|
will-trump-regularly-tweet-until-th
|
Will Trump regularly tweet until the election?
| null | 1,723,486,188,577
| 1,730,765,382,186
| 1,730,765,382,186
|
YES
| 0.99
| 24,409.272393
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
n57fm2p22w
|
will-kamala-harris-go-on-the-joe-ro--cash
|
Will Kamala Harris go on the Joe Rogan Experience before the 2024 election?
| null | 1,729,091,559,547
| 1,730,860,514,848
| 1,730,860,514,848
|
NO
| 0.01
| 2,567.904942
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
y3FGB5RkeDI3ZRV3us5L
|
will-starship-launch-5-times-in-202
|
Will Starship launch at least 5 times in 2024?
| null | 1,682,096,231,678
| 1,735,653,789,140
| 1,735,653,789,140
|
NO
| 0.01
| 57,410.95009
|
Technology
|
Emerging Technologies
|
Q69Drl1CYZpoG46EYGGl
|
will-manifold-reach-2000-daily-acti-2afd80c2f49f
|
Will Manifold Reach 2000 Daily Active Users in Nov 2024?
| null | 1,706,916,262,520
| 1,730,897,144,705
| 1,730,897,144,705
|
YES
| 0.99
| 1,648.898997
|
Technology
|
Internet & Digital Services
|
oeodp6mka3
|
will-the-sp-500-stock-index-close-h-03y2yr5996
|
Will the S&P 500 stock index close higher on Sept 23 than it closed on Sept 20?
| null | 1,726,862,854,789
| 1,727,121,812,433
| 1,727,121,812,433
|
YES
| 0.98
| 1,068.320434
|
Finance
|
Markets & Trading
|
XOlGM1i30mIooThIOdso
|
will-daniel-ricciardo-remain-an-rb
|
Will Daniel Ricciardo remain an RB driver for the entire 2024 Formula 1 season?
| null | 1,710,084,696,602
| 1,727,380,044,030
| 1,727,380,044,030
|
NO
| 0.01
| 17,234.579189
|
Sports
|
Professional Sports
|
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