lexicap / vtt /episode_026_large.vtt
Shubham Gupta
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The following is a conversation with Sean Carroll.
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He's a theoretical physicist at Caltech
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specializing in quantum mechanics, gravity, and cosmology.
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He's the author of several popular books,
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one on the arrow of time called From Eternity to Here,
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one on the Higgs boson called Particle
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at the End of the Universe,
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and one on science and philosophy called The Big Picture
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on the Origins of Life, Meaning, and the Universe Itself.
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He has an upcoming book on quantum mechanics
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that you can preorder now called Something Deeply Hidden.
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He writes one of my favorite blogs on his website,
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preposterousuniverse.com.
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I recommend clicking on the Greatest Hits link
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that lists accessible, interesting posts
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on the arrow of time, dark matter, dark energy,
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the Big Bang, general relativity,
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string theory, quantum mechanics,
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and the big meta questions about the philosophy of science,
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God, ethics, politics, academia, and much, much more.
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Finally, and perhaps most famously,
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he's the host of a podcast called Mindscape
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that you should subscribe to and support on Patreon.
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Along with the Joe Rogan experience,
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Sam Harris's Making Sense,
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and Dan Carlin's Hardcore History,
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Sean's Mindscape podcast is one of my favorite ways
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to learn new ideas or explore different perspectives
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and ideas that I thought I understood.
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It was truly an honor to meet
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and spend a couple hours with Sean.
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It's a bit heartbreaking to say
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that for the first time ever,
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the audio recorder for this podcast
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died in the middle of our conversation.
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There's technical reasons for this,
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having to do with phantom power
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that I now understand and will avoid.
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It took me one hour to notice and fix the problem.
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So, much like the universe is 68% dark energy,
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roughly the same amount from this conversation was lost,
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except in the memories of the two people involved
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and in my notes.
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I'm sure we'll talk again and continue this conversation
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on this podcast or on Sean's.
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And of course, I look forward to it.
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This is the Artificial Intelligence podcast.
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If you enjoy it, subscribe on YouTube, iTunes,
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support it on Patreon,
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or simply connect with me on Twitter at Lex Friedman.
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And now, here's my conversation with Sean Carroll.
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What do you think is more interesting and impactful,
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understanding how the universe works at a fundamental level
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or understanding how the human mind works?
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You know, of course this is a crazy,
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meaningless, unanswerable question in some sense,
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because they're both very interesting
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and there's no absolute scale of interestingness
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that we can rate them on.
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There's a glib answer that says the human brain
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is part of the universe, right?
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And therefore, understanding the universe
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is more fundamental than understanding the human brain.
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But do you really believe that once we understand
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the fundamental way the universe works
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at the particle level, the forces,
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we would be able to understand how the mind works?
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No, certainly not.
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We cannot understand how ice cream works
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just from understanding how particles work, right?
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So I'm a big believer in emergence.
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I'm a big believer that there are different ways
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of talking about the world
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beyond just the most fundamental microscopic one.
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You know, when we talk about tables and chairs
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and planets and people,
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we're not talking the language of particle physics
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and cosmology.
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So, but understanding the universe,
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you didn't say just at the most fundamental level, right?
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So understanding the universe at all levels
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is part of that.
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I do think, you know, to be a little bit more fair
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to the question, there probably are general principles
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of complexity, biology, information processing,
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memory, knowledge, creativity
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that go beyond just the human brain, right?
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And maybe one could count understanding those
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as part of understanding the universe.
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The human brain, as far as we know,
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is the most complex thing in the universe.
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So there's, it's certainly absurd to think
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that by understanding the fundamental laws
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of particle physics,
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you get any direct insight on how the brain works.
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But then there's this step from the fundamentals
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of particle physics to information processing,
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which a lot of physicists and philosophers
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may be a little bit carelessly take
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when they talk about artificial intelligence.
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Do you think of the universe
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as a kind of a computational device?
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No, to be like, the honest answer there is no.
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There's a sense in which the universe
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processes information, clearly.
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There's a sense in which the universe
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is like a computer, clearly.
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But in some sense, I think,
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I tried to say this once on my blog
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and no one agreed with me,
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but the universe is more like a computation
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than a computer because the universe happens once.
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A computer is a general purpose machine, right?
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That you can ask it different questions,
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even a pocket calculator, right?
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And it's set up to answer certain kinds of questions.
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The universe isn't that.
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So information processing happens in the universe,
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but it's not what the universe is.
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And I know your MIT colleague, Seth Lloyd,
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feels very differently about this, right?
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Well, you're thinking of the universe as a closed system.
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I am.
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So what makes a computer more like a PC,
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like a computing machine is that there's a human
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that every once comes up to it and moves the mouse around.
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So input.
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Gives it input.
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Gives it input.
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And that's why you're saying it's just a computation,
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a deterministic thing that's just unrolling.
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But the immense complexity of it
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is nevertheless like processing.
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There's a state and then it changes with good rules.
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And there's a sense for a lot of people
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that if the brain operates,
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the human brain operates within that world,
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then it's simply just a small subset of that.
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And so there's no reason we can't build
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arbitrarily great intelligences.
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Yeah.
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Do you think of intelligence in this way?
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Intelligence is tricky.
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I don't have a definition of it offhand.
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So I remember this panel discussion that I saw on YouTube.
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I wasn't there, but Seth Lloyd was on the panel.
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And so was Martin Rees, the famous astrophysicist.
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And Seth gave his shtick for why the universe is a computer
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and explained this.
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And Martin Rees said, so what is not a computer?
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And Seth was like, oh, that's a good question.
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I'm not sure.
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Because if you have a sufficiently broad definition
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of what a computer is, then everything is, right?
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And the simile or the analogy gains force
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when it excludes some things.
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You know, is the moon going around the earth
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performing a computation?
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I can come up with definitions in which the answer is yes,
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but it's not a very useful computation.
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I think that it's absolutely helpful
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to think about the universe in certain situations,
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certain contexts, as an information processing device.
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I'm even guilty of writing a paper
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called Quantum Circuit Cosmology,
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where we modeled the whole universe as a quantum circuit.
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As a circuit.
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As a circuit, yeah.
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With qubits kind of thing?
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With qubits basically, right, yeah.
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So, and qubits becoming more and more entangled.
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So do we wanna digress a little bit?
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Let's do it.
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It's kind of fun.
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So here's a mystery about the universe
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that is so deep and profound that nobody talks about it.
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Space expands, right?
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And we talk about, in a certain region of space,
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a certain number of degrees of freedom,
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a certain number of ways that the quantum fields
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and the particles in that region can arrange themselves.
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That number of degrees of freedom in a region of space
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is arguably finite.
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We actually don't know how many there are,
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but there's a very good argument
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that says it's a finite number.
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So as the universe expands and space gets bigger,
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are there more degrees of freedom?
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If it's an infinite number, it doesn't really matter.
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Infinity times two is still infinity.
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But if it's a finite number, then there's more space,
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so there's more degrees of freedom.
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So where did they come from?
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That would mean the universe is not a closed system.
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There's more degrees of freedom popping into existence.
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So what we suggested was
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that there are more degrees of freedom,
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and it's not that they're not there to start,
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but they're not entangled to start.
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So the universe that you and I know of,
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the three dimensions around us that we see,
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we said those are the entangled degrees of freedom
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making up space time.
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And as the universe expands,
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there are a whole bunch of qubits in their zero state
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that become entangled with the rest of space time
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through the action of these quantum circuits.
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So what does it mean that there's now more
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degrees of freedom as they become more entangled?
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Yeah, so.
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As the universe expands.
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That's right, so there's more and more degrees of freedom
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that are entangled, that are playing part,
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playing the role of part
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of the entangled space time structure.
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So the basic, the underlying philosophy is
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that space time itself arises from the entanglement
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of some fundamental quantum degrees of freedom.
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Wow, okay, so at which point
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is most of the entanglement happening?
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Are we talking about close to the Big Bang?
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Are we talking about throughout the time of the life?
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Throughout history, yeah.
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So the idea is that at the Big Bang,
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almost all the degrees of freedom
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that the universe could have were there,
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but they were unentangled with anything else.
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And that's a reflection of the fact
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that the Big Bang had a low entropy.
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It was a very simple, very small place.
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And as space expands, more and more degrees of freedom
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become entangled with the rest of the world.
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Well, I have to ask John Carroll,
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what do you think of the thought experiment
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from Nick Bostrom that we're living in a simulation?
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So I think, let me contextualize that a little bit more.
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I think people don't actually take this thought experiments.
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I think it's quite interesting.
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It's not very useful, but it's quite interesting.
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From the perspective of AI,
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a lot of the learning that can be done usually happens
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in simulation from artificial examples.
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And so it's a constructive question to ask,
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how difficult is our real world to simulate?
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Right.
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Which is kind of a dual part of,
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if we're living in a simulation
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and somebody built that simulation,
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if you were to try to do it yourself, how hard would it be?
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So obviously we could be living in a simulation.
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If you just want the physical possibility,
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then I completely agree that it's physically possible.
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I don't think that we actually are.
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So take this one piece of data into consideration.
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You know, we live in a big universe, okay?
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There's two trillion galaxies in our observable universe
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with 200 billion stars in each galaxy, et cetera.
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It would seem to be a waste of resources
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to have a universe that big going on
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just to do a simulation.
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So in other words, I want to be a good Bayesian.
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I want to ask under this hypothesis,
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what do I expect to see?
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So the first thing I would say is I wouldn't expect
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to see a universe that was that big, okay?
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The second thing is I wouldn't expect the resolution
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of the universe to be as good as it is.
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So it's always possible that if our superhuman simulators
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only have finite resources,
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that they don't render the entire universe, right?
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That the part that is out there,
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the two trillion galaxies,
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isn't actually being simulated fully, okay?
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But then the obvious extrapolation of that
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is that only I am being simulated fully.
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Like the rest of you are just non player characters, right?
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I'm the only thing that is real.
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The rest of you are just chat bots.
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Beyond this wall, I see the wall,
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but there is literally nothing
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on the other side of the wall.
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That is sort of the Bayesian prediction.
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That's what it would be like
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to do an efficient simulation of me.
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So like none of that seems quite realistic.
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I don't see, I hear the argument that it's just possible
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and easy to simulate lots of things.
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I don't see any evidence from what we know
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about our universe that we look like a simulated universe.
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Now, maybe you can say,
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well, we don't know what it would look like,
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but that's just abandoning your Bayesian responsibilities.
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Like your job is to say under this theory,
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here's what you would expect to see.
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Yeah, so certainly if you think about simulation
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as a thing that's like a video game
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where only a small subset is being rendered.
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But say the entire, all the laws of physics,
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the entire closed system of the quote unquote universe,
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it had a creator.
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Yeah, it's always possible.
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Right, so that's not useful to think about
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when you're thinking about physics.
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The way Nick Bostrom phrases it,
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if it's possible to simulate a universe,
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eventually we'll do it.
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Right.
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You can use that by the way for a lot of things.
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Well, yeah.
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But I guess the question is,
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how hard is it to create a universe?
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I wrote a little blog post about this
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and maybe I'm missing something,
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but there's an argument that says not only
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that it might be possible to simulate a universe,
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but probably if you imagine that you actually attribute
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consciousness and agency to the little things
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that we're simulating, to our little artificial beings,
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there's probably a lot more of them
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than there are ordinary organic beings in the universe
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or there will be in the future, right?
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So there's an argument that not only
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is being a simulation possible,
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it's probable because in the space
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of all living consciousnesses,
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most of them are being simulated, right?
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Most of them are not at the top level.
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I think that argument must be wrong
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because it follows from that argument that,
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if we're simulated, but we can also simulate other things,
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well, but if we can simulate other things,
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they can simulate other things, right?
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If we give them enough power and resolution
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and ultimately we'll reach a bottom
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because the laws of physics in our universe have a bottom,
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we're made of atoms and so forth,
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so there will be the cheapest possible simulations.
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And if you believe the original argument,
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you should conclude that we should be
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in the cheapest possible simulation
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because that's where most people are.
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But we don't look like that.
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It doesn't look at all like we're at the edge of resolution,
14:06.860 --> 14:09.540
that we're 16 bit things.
14:09.540 --> 14:13.020
It seems much easier to make much lower level things
14:13.020 --> 14:13.860
than we are.
14:14.980 --> 14:18.220
And also, I questioned the whole approach
14:18.220 --> 14:19.460
to the anthropic principle
14:19.460 --> 14:22.340
that says we are typical observers in the universe.
14:22.340 --> 14:23.660
I think that that's not actually,
14:23.660 --> 14:27.340
I think that there's a lot of selection that we can do
14:27.340 --> 14:30.180
that we're typical within things we already know,
14:30.180 --> 14:32.280
but not typical within all of the universe.
14:32.280 --> 14:35.800
So do you think there's intelligent life,
14:35.800 --> 14:37.860
however you would like to define intelligent life,
14:37.860 --> 14:39.940
out there in the universe?
14:39.940 --> 14:44.660
My guess is that there is not intelligent life
14:44.660 --> 14:48.820
in the observable universe other than us, simply
14:48.820 --> 14:52.540
on the basis of the fact that the likely number
14:52.540 --> 14:56.340
of other intelligent species in the observable universe,
14:56.340 --> 15:00.320
there's two likely numbers, zero or billions.
15:01.500 --> 15:02.580
And if there had been billions,
15:02.580 --> 15:04.140
you would have noticed already.
15:05.300 --> 15:07.340
For there to be literally like a small number,
15:07.340 --> 15:09.380
like, you know, Star Trek,
15:09.380 --> 15:13.300
there's a dozen intelligent civilizations in our galaxy,
15:13.300 --> 15:17.340
but not a billion, that's weird.
15:17.340 --> 15:18.500
That's sort of bizarre to me.
15:18.500 --> 15:21.020
It's easy for me to imagine that there are zero others
15:21.020 --> 15:22.620
because there's just a big bottleneck
15:22.620 --> 15:24.980
to making multicellular life
15:24.980 --> 15:27.020
or technological life or whatever.
15:27.020 --> 15:28.580
It's very hard for me to imagine
15:28.580 --> 15:30.140
that there's a whole bunch out there
15:30.140 --> 15:32.300
that have somehow remained hidden from us.
15:32.300 --> 15:34.700
The question I'd like to ask
15:34.700 --> 15:36.820
is what would intelligent life look like?
15:38.140 --> 15:40.500
What I mean by that question and where it's going
15:40.500 --> 15:45.500
is what if intelligent life is just in some very big ways
15:47.260 --> 15:51.500
different than the one that has on Earth?
15:51.500 --> 15:53.900
That there's all kinds of intelligent life
15:53.900 --> 15:55.420
that operates at different scales
15:55.420 --> 15:57.300
of both size and temporal.
15:57.300 --> 15:59.300
Right, that's a great possibility
15:59.300 --> 16:00.800
because I think we should be humble
16:00.800 --> 16:02.640
about what intelligence is, what life is.
16:02.640 --> 16:04.020
We don't even agree on what life is,
16:04.020 --> 16:07.020
much less what intelligent life is, right?
16:07.020 --> 16:08.980
So that's an argument for humility,
16:08.980 --> 16:10.860
saying there could be intelligent life
16:10.860 --> 16:13.620
of a very different character, right?
16:13.620 --> 16:18.060
Like you could imagine the dolphins are intelligent
16:18.060 --> 16:20.500
but never invent space travel
16:20.500 --> 16:21.460
because they live in the ocean
16:21.460 --> 16:23.220
and they don't have thumbs, right?
16:24.180 --> 16:27.860
So they never invent technology, they never invent smelting.
16:27.860 --> 16:32.020
Maybe the universe is full of intelligent species
16:32.020 --> 16:34.060
that just don't make technology, right?
16:34.060 --> 16:36.320
That's compatible with the data, I think.
16:36.320 --> 16:39.840
And I think maybe what you're pointing at
16:39.840 --> 16:44.440
is even more out there versions of intelligence,
16:44.440 --> 16:47.560
intelligence in intermolecular clouds
16:47.560 --> 16:49.440
or on the surface of a neutron star
16:49.440 --> 16:51.760
or in between the galaxies in giant things
16:51.760 --> 16:54.560
where the equivalent of a heartbeat is 100 million years.
16:56.440 --> 16:58.080
On the one hand, yes,
16:58.080 --> 16:59.860
we should be very open minded about those things.
16:59.860 --> 17:04.860
On the other hand, all of us share the same laws of physics.
17:04.860 --> 17:08.240
There might be something about the laws of physics,
17:08.240 --> 17:09.400
even though we don't currently know
17:09.400 --> 17:10.920
exactly what that thing would be,
17:10.920 --> 17:15.920
that makes meters and years
17:16.160 --> 17:18.920
the right length and timescales for intelligent life.
17:19.880 --> 17:22.240
Maybe not, but we're made of atoms,
17:22.240 --> 17:23.780
atoms have a certain size,
17:23.780 --> 17:27.280
we orbit stars or stars have a certain lifetime.
17:27.280 --> 17:30.300
It's not impossible to me that there's a sweet spot
17:30.300 --> 17:32.200
for intelligent life that we find ourselves in.
17:32.200 --> 17:33.800
So I'm open minded either way,
17:33.800 --> 17:35.280
I'm open minded either being humble
17:35.280 --> 17:37.080
and there's all sorts of different kinds of life
17:37.080 --> 17:39.280
or no, there's a reason we just don't know it yet
17:39.280 --> 17:42.080
why life like ours is the kind of life that's out there.
17:42.080 --> 17:43.320
Yeah, I'm of two minds too,
17:43.320 --> 17:47.200
but I often wonder if our brains is just designed
17:47.200 --> 17:52.200
to quite obviously to operate and see the world
17:52.720 --> 17:56.360
in these timescales and we're almost blind
17:56.360 --> 18:01.200
and the tools we've created for detecting things are blind
18:01.200 --> 18:02.760
to the kind of observation needed
18:02.760 --> 18:04.920
to see intelligent life at other scales.
18:04.920 --> 18:07.040
Well, I'm totally open to that,
18:07.040 --> 18:09.240
but so here's another argument I would make,
18:09.240 --> 18:11.520
we have looked for intelligent life,
18:11.520 --> 18:14.120
but we've looked at for it in the dumbest way we can,
18:14.120 --> 18:16.600
by turning radio telescopes to the sky.
18:16.600 --> 18:21.040
And why in the world would a super advanced civilization
18:21.040 --> 18:24.040
randomly beam out radio signals wastefully
18:24.040 --> 18:25.440
in all directions into the universe?
18:25.440 --> 18:27.280
That just doesn't make any sense,
18:27.280 --> 18:29.100
especially because in order to think
18:29.100 --> 18:32.020
that you would actually contact another civilization,
18:32.020 --> 18:33.840
you would have to do it forever,
18:33.840 --> 18:35.840
you have to keep doing it for millions of years,
18:35.840 --> 18:38.280
that sounds like a waste of resources.
18:38.280 --> 18:43.120
If you thought that there were other solar systems
18:43.120 --> 18:44.520
with planets around them,
18:44.520 --> 18:47.000
where maybe intelligent life didn't yet exist,
18:47.000 --> 18:48.600
but might someday,
18:48.600 --> 18:51.380
you wouldn't try to talk to it with radio waves,
18:51.380 --> 18:53.600
you would send a spacecraft out there
18:53.600 --> 18:55.560
and you would park it around there
18:55.560 --> 18:57.360
and it would be like, from our point of view,
18:57.360 --> 19:00.700
it'd be like 2001, where there was a monolith.
19:00.700 --> 19:01.540
Monolith.
19:01.540 --> 19:02.380
There could be an artifact,
19:02.380 --> 19:04.520
in fact, the other way works also, right?
19:04.520 --> 19:07.360
There could be artifacts in our solar system
19:08.440 --> 19:10.480
that have been put there
19:10.480 --> 19:12.280
by other technologically advanced civilizations
19:12.280 --> 19:14.640
and that's how we will eventually contact them.
19:14.640 --> 19:16.840
We just haven't explored the solar system well enough yet
19:16.840 --> 19:17.680
to find them.
19:18.580 --> 19:20.000
The reason why we don't think about that
19:20.000 --> 19:21.520
is because we're young and impatient, right?
19:21.520 --> 19:24.000
Like, it would take more than my lifetime
19:24.000 --> 19:26.080
to actually send something to another star system
19:26.080 --> 19:27.800
and wait for it and then come back.
19:27.800 --> 19:30.800
So, but if we start thinking on hundreds of thousands
19:30.800 --> 19:32.720
of years or million year time scales,
19:32.720 --> 19:34.600
that's clearly the right thing to do.
19:34.600 --> 19:36.800
Are you excited by the thing
19:36.800 --> 19:39.360
that Elon Musk is doing with SpaceX in general?
19:39.360 --> 19:41.620
Space, but the idea of space exploration,
19:41.620 --> 19:45.360
even though your, or your species is young and impatient?
19:45.360 --> 19:46.200
Yeah.
19:46.200 --> 19:49.200
No, I do think that space travel is crucially important,
19:49.200 --> 19:50.800
long term.
19:50.800 --> 19:52.500
Even to other star systems.
19:52.500 --> 19:57.500
And I think that many people overestimate the difficulty
19:57.500 --> 20:00.940
because they say, look, if you travel 1% the speed of light
20:00.940 --> 20:02.020
to another star system,
20:02.020 --> 20:04.060
we'll be dead before we get there, right?
20:04.060 --> 20:06.180
And I think that it's much easier.
20:06.180 --> 20:08.120
And therefore, when they write their science fiction stories,
20:08.120 --> 20:09.580
they imagine we'd go faster than the speed of light
20:09.580 --> 20:11.700
because otherwise they're too impatient, right?
20:11.700 --> 20:13.600
We're not gonna go faster than the speed of light,
20:13.600 --> 20:16.020
but we could easily imagine that the human lifespan
20:16.020 --> 20:18.100
gets extended to thousands of years.
20:18.100 --> 20:19.140
And once you do that,
20:19.140 --> 20:21.180
then the stars are much closer effectively, right?
20:21.180 --> 20:23.260
And then what's a hundred year trip, right?
20:23.260 --> 20:25.820
So I think that that's gonna be the future,
20:25.820 --> 20:28.700
the far future, not my lifetime once again,
20:28.700 --> 20:30.380
but baby steps.
20:30.380 --> 20:32.420
Unless your lifetime gets extended.
20:32.420 --> 20:34.740
Well, it's in a race against time, right?
20:34.740 --> 20:37.340
A friend of mine who actually thinks about these things
20:37.340 --> 20:40.460
said, you know, you and I are gonna die,
20:40.460 --> 20:43.060
but I don't know about our grandchildren.
20:43.060 --> 20:45.940
That's, I don't know, predicting the future is hard,
20:45.940 --> 20:47.900
but that's at least a plausible scenario.
20:47.900 --> 20:51.820
And so, yeah, no, I think that as we discussed earlier,
20:51.820 --> 20:56.780
there are threats to the earth, known and unknown, right?
20:56.780 --> 21:01.780
Having spread humanity and biology elsewhere
21:02.580 --> 21:04.940
is a really important longterm goal.
21:04.940 --> 21:08.900
What kind of questions can science not currently answer,
21:08.900 --> 21:09.920
but might soon?
21:11.480 --> 21:13.860
When you think about the problems and the mysteries
21:13.860 --> 21:17.840
before us that may be within reach of science.
21:17.840 --> 21:20.300
I think an obvious one is the origin of life.
21:20.300 --> 21:22.780
We don't know how that happened.
21:22.780 --> 21:25.300
There's a difficulty in knowing how it happened historically
21:25.300 --> 21:27.240
actually, you know, literally on earth,
21:27.240 --> 21:30.500
but starting life from non life is something
21:30.500 --> 21:32.420
I kind of think we're close to, right?
21:32.420 --> 21:33.240
We're really.
21:33.240 --> 21:34.080
You really think so?
21:34.080 --> 21:36.740
Like how difficult is it to start life?
21:36.740 --> 21:39.260
Well, I've talked to people,
21:39.260 --> 21:41.780
including on the podcast about this.
21:41.780 --> 21:43.340
You know, life requires three things.
21:43.340 --> 21:44.220
Life as we know it.
21:44.220 --> 21:45.500
So there's a difference with life,
21:45.500 --> 21:47.060
which who knows what it is,
21:47.060 --> 21:48.140
and life as we know it,
21:48.140 --> 21:50.780
which we can talk about with some intelligence.
21:50.780 --> 21:53.840
So life as we know it requires compartmentalization.
21:53.840 --> 21:56.660
You need like a little membrane around your cell.
21:56.660 --> 21:58.980
Metabolism, you need to take in food and eat it
21:58.980 --> 22:01.020
and let that make you do things.
22:01.020 --> 22:02.620
And then replication, okay?
22:02.620 --> 22:04.620
So you need to have some information about who you are
22:04.620 --> 22:07.880
that you pass down to future generations.
22:07.880 --> 22:11.780
In the lab, compartmentalization seems pretty easy.
22:11.780 --> 22:13.780
Not hard to make lipid bilayers
22:13.780 --> 22:16.760
that come into little cellular walls pretty easily.
22:16.760 --> 22:19.260
Metabolism and replication are hard,
22:20.160 --> 22:21.900
but replication we're close to.
22:21.900 --> 22:24.960
People have made RNA like molecules in the lab
22:24.960 --> 22:28.840
that I think the state of the art is,
22:28.840 --> 22:30.660
they're not able to make one molecule
22:30.660 --> 22:32.060
that reproduces itself,
22:32.060 --> 22:33.600
but they're able to make two molecules
22:33.600 --> 22:35.260
that reproduce each other.
22:35.260 --> 22:36.100
So that's okay.
22:36.100 --> 22:37.100
That's pretty close.
22:38.060 --> 22:41.060
Metabolism is harder, believe it or not,
22:41.060 --> 22:42.900
even though it's sort of the most obvious thing,
22:42.900 --> 22:44.940
but you want some sort of controlled metabolism
22:44.940 --> 22:47.500
and the actual cellular machinery in our bodies
22:47.500 --> 22:48.660
is quite complicated.
22:48.660 --> 22:50.940
It's hard to see it just popping into existence
22:50.940 --> 22:51.780
all by itself.
22:51.780 --> 22:52.860
It probably took a while,
22:53.740 --> 22:56.100
but we're making progress.
22:56.100 --> 22:57.240
And in fact, I don't think we're spending
22:57.240 --> 22:58.580
nearly enough money on it.
22:58.580 --> 23:01.780
If I were the NSF, I would flood this area with money
23:01.780 --> 23:05.220
because it would change our view of the world
23:05.220 --> 23:06.780
if we could actually make life in the lab
23:06.780 --> 23:09.420
and understand how it was made originally here on earth.
23:09.420 --> 23:11.160
And I'm sure it'd have some ripple effects
23:11.160 --> 23:12.940
that help cure disease and so on.
23:12.940 --> 23:14.380
I mean, just that understanding.
23:14.380 --> 23:16.700
So synthetic biology is a wonderful big frontier
23:16.700 --> 23:17.980
where we're making cells.
23:18.940 --> 23:21.100
Right now, the best way to do that
23:21.100 --> 23:23.620
is to borrow heavily from existing biology, right?
23:23.620 --> 23:25.380
Well, Craig Venter several years ago
23:25.380 --> 23:28.220
created an artificial cell, but all he did was,
23:28.220 --> 23:29.860
not all he did, it was a tremendous accomplishment,
23:29.860 --> 23:33.180
but all he did was take out the DNA from a cell
23:33.180 --> 23:37.200
and put in entirely new DNA and let it boot up and go.
23:37.200 --> 23:42.200
What about the leap to creating intelligent life on earth?
23:43.420 --> 23:44.260
Yeah.
23:44.260 --> 23:45.860
Again, we define intelligence, of course,
23:45.860 --> 23:49.860
but let's just even say Homo sapiens,
23:49.860 --> 23:54.480
the modern intelligence in our human brain.
23:55.340 --> 23:58.660
Do you have a sense of what's involved in that leap
23:58.660 --> 24:00.420
and how big of a leap that is?
24:00.420 --> 24:03.300
So AI would count in this, or do you really want life?
24:03.300 --> 24:06.420
Do you want really an organism in some sense?
24:06.420 --> 24:07.540
AI would count, I think.
24:07.540 --> 24:08.980
Okay.
24:08.980 --> 24:11.020
Yeah, of course, of course AI would count.
24:11.020 --> 24:13.460
Well, let's say artificial consciousness, right?
24:13.460 --> 24:15.500
So I do not think we are on the threshold
24:15.500 --> 24:16.760
of creating artificial consciousness.
24:16.760 --> 24:18.180
I think it's possible.
24:18.180 --> 24:20.300
I'm not, again, very educated about how close we are,
24:20.300 --> 24:22.100
but my impression is not that we're really close
24:22.100 --> 24:24.820
because we understand how little we understand
24:24.820 --> 24:26.460
of consciousness and what it is.
24:26.460 --> 24:28.440
So if we don't have any idea what it is,
24:28.440 --> 24:29.780
it's hard to imagine we're on the threshold
24:29.780 --> 24:31.620
of making it ourselves.
24:32.500 --> 24:34.500
But it's doable, it's possible.
24:34.500 --> 24:35.960
I don't see any obstacles in principle.
24:35.960 --> 24:38.160
So yeah, I would hold out some interest
24:38.160 --> 24:40.220
in that happening eventually.
24:40.220 --> 24:42.700
I think in general, consciousness,
24:42.700 --> 24:44.420
I think we would be just surprised
24:44.420 --> 24:49.060
how easy consciousness is once we create intelligence.
24:49.060 --> 24:50.540
I think consciousness is a thing
24:50.540 --> 24:54.000
that's just something we all fake.
24:55.540 --> 24:56.380
Well, good.
24:56.380 --> 24:57.680
No, actually, I like this idea that in fact,
24:57.680 --> 25:00.500
consciousness is way less mysterious than we think
25:00.500 --> 25:02.620
because we're all at every time, at every moment,
25:02.620 --> 25:04.500
less conscious than we think we are, right?
25:04.500 --> 25:05.460
We can fool things.
25:05.460 --> 25:07.780
And I think that plus the idea
25:07.780 --> 25:11.180
that you not only have artificial intelligent systems,
25:11.180 --> 25:12.980
but you put them in a body, right,
25:12.980 --> 25:14.280
give them a robot body,
25:15.620 --> 25:18.460
that will help the faking a lot.
25:18.460 --> 25:20.980
Yeah, I think creating consciousness
25:20.980 --> 25:25.140
in artificial consciousness is as simple
25:25.140 --> 25:30.020
as asking a Roomba to say, I'm conscious,
25:30.020 --> 25:32.780
and refusing to be talked out of it.
25:32.780 --> 25:33.820
Could be, it could be.
25:33.820 --> 25:36.740
And I mean, I'm almost being silly,
25:36.740 --> 25:38.280
but that's what we do.
25:39.660 --> 25:40.940
That's what we do with each other.
25:40.940 --> 25:42.020
This is the kind of,
25:42.020 --> 25:44.500
that consciousness is also a social construct.
25:44.500 --> 25:47.860
And a lot of our ideas of intelligence is a social construct.
25:47.860 --> 25:52.820
And so reaching that bar involves something that's beyond,
25:52.820 --> 25:54.940
that doesn't necessarily involve
25:54.940 --> 25:57.720
the fundamental understanding of how you go
25:57.720 --> 26:02.500
from electrons to neurons to cognition.
26:02.500 --> 26:05.060
No, actually, I think that is an extremely good point.
26:05.060 --> 26:08.660
And in fact, what it suggests is,
26:08.660 --> 26:10.540
so yeah, you referred to Kate Darling,
26:10.540 --> 26:11.940
who I had on the podcast,
26:11.940 --> 26:16.440
and who does these experiments with very simple robots,
26:16.440 --> 26:18.060
but they look like animals,
26:18.060 --> 26:20.740
and they can look like they're experiencing pain,
26:20.740 --> 26:23.380
and we human beings react very negatively
26:23.380 --> 26:24.400
to these little robots
26:24.400 --> 26:26.300
looking like they're experiencing pain.
26:26.300 --> 26:29.980
And what you wanna say is, yeah, but they're just robots.
26:29.980 --> 26:31.700
It's not really pain, right?
26:31.700 --> 26:33.080
It's just some electrons going around.
26:33.080 --> 26:36.300
But then you realize, you and I are just electrons
26:36.300 --> 26:38.380
going around, and that's what pain is also.
26:38.380 --> 26:43.060
And so what I would have an easy time imagining
26:43.060 --> 26:44.740
is that there is a spectrum
26:44.740 --> 26:47.420
between these simple little robots that Kate works with
26:47.420 --> 26:49.420
and a human being,
26:49.420 --> 26:50.940
where there are things that sort of
26:50.940 --> 26:52.840
by some strict definition,
26:52.840 --> 26:55.460
Turing test level thing are not conscious,
26:55.460 --> 26:58.580
but nevertheless walk and talk like they're conscious.
26:58.580 --> 27:00.220
And it could be that the future is,
27:00.220 --> 27:02.460
I mean, Siri is close, right?
27:02.460 --> 27:04.540
And so it might be the future
27:04.540 --> 27:07.100
has a lot more agents like that.
27:07.100 --> 27:08.860
And in fact, rather than someday going,
27:08.860 --> 27:10.700
aha, we have consciousness,
27:10.700 --> 27:13.180
we'll just creep up on it with more and more
27:13.180 --> 27:15.220
accurate reflections of what we expect.
27:15.220 --> 27:18.320
And in the future, maybe the present,
27:18.320 --> 27:20.800
for example, we haven't met before,
27:20.800 --> 27:25.300
and you're basically assuming that I'm human as it's a high
27:25.300 --> 27:28.560
probability at this time because the yeah,
27:28.560 --> 27:30.200
but in the future,
27:30.200 --> 27:32.000
there might be question marks around that, right?
27:32.000 --> 27:33.340
Yeah, no, absolutely.
27:33.340 --> 27:35.740
Certainly videos are almost to the point
27:35.740 --> 27:36.740
where you shouldn't trust them already.
27:36.740 --> 27:39.060
Photos you can't trust, right?
27:39.060 --> 27:41.700
Videos is easier to trust,
27:41.700 --> 27:44.020
but we're getting worse that,
27:44.020 --> 27:46.540
we're getting better at faking them, right?
27:46.540 --> 27:48.780
Yeah, so physical embodied people,
27:48.780 --> 27:51.020
what's so hard about faking that?
27:51.020 --> 27:51.980
So this is very depressing,
27:51.980 --> 27:53.420
this conversation we're having right now.
27:53.420 --> 27:54.340
So I mean,
27:54.340 --> 27:55.180
To me, it's exciting.
27:55.180 --> 27:56.300
To me, you're doing it.
27:56.300 --> 27:57.780
So it's exciting to you,
27:57.780 --> 27:59.060
but it's a sobering thought.
27:59.060 --> 28:00.420
We're very bad, right?
28:00.420 --> 28:02.820
At imagining what the next 50 years are gonna be like
28:02.820 --> 28:04.220
when we're in the middle of a phase transition
28:04.220 --> 28:05.260
as we are right now.
28:05.260 --> 28:06.740
Yeah, and I, in general,
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I'm not blind to all the threats.
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I am excited by the power of technology to solve,
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to protect us against the threats as they evolve.
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I'm not as much as Steven Pinker optimistic about the world,
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but in everything I've seen,
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all of the brilliant people in the world that I've met
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are good people.
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So the army of the good
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in terms of the development of technology is large.
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Okay, you're way more optimistic than I am.
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I think that goodness and badness
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are equally distributed among intelligent
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and unintelligent people.
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I don't see much of a correlation there.
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Interesting.
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Neither of us have proof.
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Yeah, exactly.
28:48.420 --> 28:50.660
Again, opinions are free, right?
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Nor definitions of good and evil.
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We come without definitions or without data opinions.
28:57.460 --> 29:01.980
So what kind of questions can science not currently answer
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and may never be able to answer in your view?
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Well, the obvious one is what is good and bad?
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What is right and wrong?
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I think that there are questions that,
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science tells us what happens,
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what the world is and what it does.
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It doesn't say what the world should do
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or what we should do,
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because we're part of the world.
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But we are part of the world
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and we have the ability to feel like something's right,
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something's wrong.
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And to make a very long story very short,
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I think that the idea of moral philosophy
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is systematizing our intuitions
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of what is right and what is wrong.
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And science might be able to predict ahead of time
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what we will do,
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but it won't ever be able to judge
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whether we should have done it or not.
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So, you're kind of unique in terms of scientists.
29:43.620 --> 29:45.520
Listen, it doesn't have to do with podcasts,
29:45.520 --> 29:47.660
but even just reaching out,
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I think you referred to as sort of
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doing interdisciplinary science.
29:51.300 --> 29:54.100
So you reach out and talk to people
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that are outside of your discipline,
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which I always hope that's what science was for.
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In fact, I was a little disillusioned
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when I realized that academia is very siloed.
30:06.420 --> 30:07.260
Yeah.
30:07.260 --> 30:09.560
And so the question is,
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how, at your own level,
30:13.020 --> 30:15.380
how do you prepare for these conversations?
30:15.380 --> 30:16.900
How do you think about these conversations?
30:16.900 --> 30:18.300
How do you open your mind enough
30:18.300 --> 30:20.220
to have these conversations?
30:20.220 --> 30:21.940
And it may be a little bit broader,
30:21.940 --> 30:24.380
how can you advise other scientists
30:24.380 --> 30:26.260
to have these kinds of conversations?
30:26.260 --> 30:28.180
Not at the podcast,
30:28.180 --> 30:29.860
the fact that you're doing a podcast is awesome,
30:29.860 --> 30:31.380
other people get to hear them,
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but it's also good to have it without mics in general.
30:34.700 --> 30:37.460
It's a good question, but a tough one to answer.
30:37.460 --> 30:40.980
I think about a guy I know who's a personal trainer,
30:40.980 --> 30:43.240
and he was asked on a podcast,
30:43.240 --> 30:45.700
how do we psych ourselves up to do a workout?
30:45.700 --> 30:48.340
How do we make that discipline to go and work out?
30:48.340 --> 30:50.300
And he's like, why are you asking me?
30:50.300 --> 30:52.340
I can't stop working out.
30:52.340 --> 30:54.380
I don't need to psych myself up.
30:54.380 --> 30:57.340
So, and likewise, he asked me,
30:57.340 --> 30:59.740
how do you get to have interdisciplinary conversations
30:59.740 --> 31:00.700
on all sorts of different things,
31:00.700 --> 31:01.660
all sorts of different people?
31:01.660 --> 31:04.860
I'm like, that's what makes me go, right?
31:04.860 --> 31:07.380
Like that's, I couldn't stop doing that.
31:07.380 --> 31:09.660
I did that long before any of them were recorded.
31:09.660 --> 31:12.380
In fact, a lot of the motivation for starting recording it
31:12.380 --> 31:14.420
was making sure I would read all these books
31:14.420 --> 31:15.460
that I had purchased, right?
31:15.460 --> 31:17.700
Like all these books I wanted to read,
31:17.700 --> 31:18.900
not enough time to read them.
31:18.900 --> 31:20.700
And now if I have the motivation,
31:20.700 --> 31:23.220
cause I'm gonna interview Pat Churchland,
31:23.220 --> 31:25.180
I'm gonna finally read her book.
31:25.180 --> 31:29.460
You know, and it's absolutely true
31:29.460 --> 31:31.700
that academia is extraordinarily siloed, right?
31:31.700 --> 31:32.780
We don't talk to people.
31:32.780 --> 31:34.260
We rarely do.
31:34.260 --> 31:36.460
And in fact, when we do, it's punished.
31:36.460 --> 31:38.820
You know, like the people who do it successfully
31:38.820 --> 31:41.420
generally first became very successful
31:41.420 --> 31:43.100
within their little siloed discipline.
31:43.100 --> 31:46.380
And only then did they start expanding out.
31:46.380 --> 31:47.660
If you're a young person, you know,
31:47.660 --> 31:48.940
I have graduate students.
31:48.940 --> 31:52.980
I try to be very, very candid with them about this,
31:52.980 --> 31:55.580
that it's, you know, most graduate students
31:55.580 --> 31:57.420
are to not become faculty members, right?
31:57.420 --> 31:59.020
It's a tough road.
31:59.020 --> 32:03.140
And so live the life you wanna live,
32:03.140 --> 32:04.620
but do it with your eyes open
32:04.620 --> 32:06.900
about what it does to your job chances.
32:06.900 --> 32:09.580
And the more broad you are
32:09.580 --> 32:12.900
and the less time you spend hyper specializing
32:12.900 --> 32:15.780
in your field, the lower your job chances are.
32:15.780 --> 32:17.060
That's just an academic reality.
32:17.060 --> 32:20.060
It's terrible, I don't like it, but it's a reality.
32:20.060 --> 32:22.540
And for some people, that's fine.
32:22.540 --> 32:24.660
Like there's plenty of people who are wonderful scientists
32:24.660 --> 32:27.140
who have zero interest in branching out
32:27.140 --> 32:30.740
and talking to things, to anyone outside their field.
32:30.740 --> 32:33.740
But it is disillusioning to me.
32:33.740 --> 32:36.180
Some of the, you know, romantic notion I had
32:36.180 --> 32:38.220
of the intellectual academic life
32:38.220 --> 32:39.940
is belied by the reality of it.
32:39.940 --> 32:43.500
The idea that we should reach out beyond our discipline
32:43.500 --> 32:48.500
and that is a positive good is just so rare
32:48.500 --> 32:53.500
in universities that it may as well not exist at all.
32:53.900 --> 32:57.660
But that said, even though you're saying you're doing it
32:57.660 --> 33:00.300
like the personal trainer, because you just can't help it,
33:00.300 --> 33:02.940
you're also an inspiration to others.
33:02.940 --> 33:04.980
Like I could speak for myself.
33:05.780 --> 33:09.540
You know, I also have a career I'm thinking about, right?
33:09.540 --> 33:12.060
And without your podcast,
33:12.060 --> 33:15.060
I may have not have been doing this at all, right?
33:15.060 --> 33:19.540
So it makes me realize that these kinds of conversations
33:19.540 --> 33:23.340
is kind of what science is about in many ways.
33:23.340 --> 33:26.500
The reason we write papers, this exchange of ideas,
33:27.460 --> 33:30.540
is it's much harder to do interdisciplinary papers,
33:30.540 --> 33:31.380
I would say.
33:31.380 --> 33:35.140
And conversations are easier.
33:35.140 --> 33:36.820
So conversations is the beginning.
33:36.820 --> 33:41.180
And in the field of AI, it's obvious
33:41.180 --> 33:45.580
that we should think outside of pure computer vision
33:45.580 --> 33:47.540
competitions on a particular data sets.
33:47.540 --> 33:49.660
We should think about the broader impact
33:49.660 --> 33:53.740
of how this can be, you know, reaching out to physics,
33:53.740 --> 33:57.220
to psychology, to neuroscience and having these
33:57.220 --> 34:00.580
conversations so that you're an inspiration.
34:00.580 --> 34:05.220
And so never know how the world changes.
34:05.220 --> 34:08.540
I mean, the fact that this stuff is out there
34:08.540 --> 34:12.300
and I've a huge number of people come up to me,
34:12.300 --> 34:16.100
grad students, really loving the podcast, inspired by it.
34:16.100 --> 34:18.660
And they will probably have that,
34:18.660 --> 34:20.740
they'll be ripple effects when they become faculty
34:20.740 --> 34:21.580
and so on and so on.
34:21.580 --> 34:25.300
We can end on a balance between pessimism and optimism.
34:25.300 --> 34:27.780
And Sean, thank you so much for talking to me, it was awesome.
34:27.780 --> 34:29.460
No, Lex, thank you very much for this conversation.
34:29.460 --> 34:49.460
It was great.