2020 Chawosaurian Opposition leadership election

The **2020 Chawosaurian Opposition leadership election** was held on Friday, March 6, 2020, to elect the Leader of the Opposition for the new Capitalist opposition against the Communist Party Supreme Leader Shang Jong Parker who has been in power since January 1, 2020. There are 107 (+ the Prime Minister) electoral votes total in the electoral college, 55 votes needed to win. The Capitalists became the official opposition on January 1, 2020 when the capitalist incumbent Supreme Leader Ekewaka Mikala Kalawai'a's interim term expired on December 31, 2019, at 11:59 PM (central time) after he was defeated by a landslide to the veteran Prime Minister and Communist Party nominee Shang Jong Parker in the 2019 Chawosaurian direct election. The 2019 Chawosaurian direct election result forced the Capitalists to gain control of the already-scheduled 2020 opposition leadership election.

An upset election, Charles Muskie, the nominee of the Popular Democratic People's National Party and a right-wing populist, won this election by an unexpected landslide victory in the first round. Because Muskie finished first place by an unavoidable landslide victory, the second round which was originally on June 5th was canceled because he won over 51% of the popular vote. Muskie's victory was attributed to the Capitalist Parties clearly trying to undermine Muskie's campaign by forging a two-round system to make it harder for Muskie to win, the Social Democratic Workers' Labour Party losing their incumbency advantage to Prime Minister MacCarthy dropping out amid impeachment proceedings and splitting their votes by candidate, the Chawosaurian media portraying Muskie as a Chawosaurian Donald Trump, and Muskie's appeals to nationalist, anti-establishment, and populist sentiments among capitalist voters who felt that they were let down by their liberal leaders when the capitalists lost to the Communist Party in the 2019 Chawosaurian elections and felt a right-wing change is needed to defeat the Communist Party in the future. Clinton-Blair Voters voted for Charles Walpole who finished second. Charles Muskie landslided Charles Walpole because of Muskie's populist message that a right-wing change is needed to defeat Shang Parker and his Communist Party, and that the Social Democratic Workers' Labour Party are too weak to hold the Communist Party accountable and that only the Popular Democratic People's National Party can defeat the Communist Party in the 2024 midterm elections.

Charles Muskie is known for his controversial comments on race, gender, and politics. Muskie called Martin Luther King Jr a Bolshevik, Muskie said that Jim Crow laws treated African-Americans very well, Muskie called Slavery a "healthcare institution for Black people" and said that black people "actually loved it". Muskie proposed a law outlawing homosexuality and said women should not have jobs. Muskie made comments praising Adolf Hitler and said Chawosauria should have a "National Adolf Hitler Day" every April 20th. On the issue of Jewish people in Chawosauria, Muskie said in an interview: "I don't hate the Jews, they just need to be destroyed". These comments sparked deep concern for Capitalists as they attempt to seek electability against Shang Parker in the 2029 Chawosaurian direct election and his Communist Party in the 2024 and the 2029 Chawosaurian elections.

At 1:46 AM, March 7, 2020, in London, Charles Walpole conceded to Muskie, and at 7:00 PM, March 6, 2020, it was clear to the opposing candidates that Charles Muskie won by a landslide, so they also conceded. Around 6 PM, March 7, 2020, going back to Godalming, Walpole gave his concession speech. Anti-Parkerian leftists fear this election result and the emboldened Charles Muskie will end up throwing the 2024 Chawosaurian mid-term elections over to the Communist Party and throw the 2029 Chawosaurian direct election over to Shang Jong Parker, thus giving Parker a second term because right-wing politics is so unpopular in Chawosauria.

Statistics show that Muskie was elected because capitalist voters blamed Shang Parker's 2019 victory on the fact that the capitalists showed favoritism towards socialism which they felt blurred the difference between Shang Parker and Ekewaka Kalawai'a. While Charles Muskie was bitterly unpopular because of his controversial comments on race, the capitalist voters felt a right-wing alternative to Shang Parker would stark the difference between Parker and Muskie as they'll face each other in the 2029 Chawosaurian direct election.

Charles Muskie was officially elected on June 7, 2020, and he took office on July 1, 2020.

## Background

The **Leader of the Opposition** is someone who leads the political dissent against the Incumbent Supreme Leader of the Empire of Chawosauria. The Opposition Leader (commonly called) is elected by voters who voted against the Supreme Leader through an electoral college of electors of the opposition party represented in the Chawopolis Palace regardless of its party status (*majority or minority party*).

The Capitalists lost in one of the biggest blowouts in Chawosaurian History. The Capitalists lost the 2019 elections to the Communist Party. With this unwelcoming result for the Capitalists, they now had to sit in the uncomfortable spot of being the opposition after being in power for two years after winning huge in the 2017 Chawosaurian elections.

As a result of the Impeachment Inquiry against Jonathan Sidney MacCarthy III, prime minister Jonathan Sidney MacCarthy III announced his intention to drop out of the race.

## Electoral Process

An opposition leadership election has an electoral college, the electors are members of the caucus of the opposition party regardless of its legislative party status, majority or minority party, in the Chawopolis Palace. The total electors in the electoral college for the 2020 opposition leadership election is all 107 Capitalists in the 25th Chawopolis Palace, 54 electors for each candidate to win the Opposition leadership. Electors choose the candidate based on the popular vote result of their legislative constituencies, the legislative constituencies of the Supreme Leader's party cannot participate.

### **Electoral College process**

The 107 Social Democrats who are now part of the opposition minority party will be the electors from each continent they have seats in. They will form groups for each continent to decide the result of a continent based on the popular vote, for example, the Social Democrats who have seats in North America will be the electors of North America to decide the popular vote result of that continent and same thing for the other social democrats who have seats in Europe, Asia, and others.

The social democrats will send the popular vote and the electoral college votes to the House of Dynasties for review and certification, and shall be approved by the Head to Head Lordmaster. The results will be certified by June 21, 2020, and the elected Leader of the Opposition will take office by July 1, 2020.

### **National Popular Vote process**

Chawosaurians who are registered capitalist are permitted to vote. The requirements are that they cannot be Catholics, Jews, and in some places, cannot be religious. The popular vote is not required to win this election but to win a continent with 18 electoral votes, the popular vote is required, and the system accepts a plurality.

## Incumbent

 Party

Prime Minister Jonathan Sidney MacCarthy III is the incumbent leader of the opposition.

## Popular Democratic People's National Party

### **Background**

One frontrunner, Charles Muskie, took over the party during the 2019 Chawosaurian direct election, ran out the party's liberal establishment and turned the party into a right-wing populist party.

### **Candidates**

 Nicholas Mickey Welchman | January 23, 1950

Charles Muskie and his supporters were angry over Shang Parker's victory, and accused the capitalist liberal establishment of helping the communists win the 2019 elections. Shang Parker's victory has placed a dark crater on the conservatives, who knew and warned that Ekewaka Kalawai'a was a weak candidate. However, the conservatives were divided between populists and moderates, Nicholas Welchman ran a primary challenge against Muskie, but Muskie would win the whole thing.

## Chawosaurian Liberal Democrats

### **Background**

The classical liberals and social liberals universally blamed Shang Parker's victory on the capitalist establishment's flirtation towards socialism. These liberals (in John Locke's definition, not the definition of pop culture) wanted to pull the capitalists towards their end, the moderate center to (in some cases) the center-right.

### **Candidates**

 Johnathan Franklin Rockefeller | January 31, 1950

Charles Walpole, the member of the Walpole family from the United Kingdom, ran a campaign of moderate solutions, blamed the capitalists' 2019 loss on the socialist nature of Chawosaurian politics, and ran a campaign of "hope and change", and while it did resonate with those capitalist voters who don't want Muskie but felt the capitalists should move away from the left, it also depressed capitalist voters who felt no candidate had better solutions (those voters went to Muskie).

## Social Democratic Workers' Labour Party

### **Background**

There were "speculative candidates" in the Social Democratic Workers' Labour Party primary. Even the former Emperor, Ekewaka M. Kalawai'a is speculated to run. Chawosaurians who are Capitalists are fearful of a potential Ekewaka Kalawai'a candidacy. Johnathan Saint Nicholas Montgomery VII is speculated to run, but he also expressed interest in running because he sees MacCarthy as a "suck up" to the establishment.

Jonathan Sidney MacCarthy III has shown to be affiliated with the Labor Right *(or Labor Unity)* of his home political party, the Australian Labor Party. This causes left-wing populists to threat a primary challenge against MacCarthy.

### **Candidates**

Following the Capitalist defeat in 2019, the Social Democrats saw a surge of candidates wanting the nomination than other parties participating in this election. Coriolano Adriano Bresciano is the first to announce his candidacy for the nomination. Former Supreme Leader Ekewaka Mikala Kalawai'a and UCFR minority leader James Dylan Oakes III, both refused to run for the nomination.

Following the opening of the Impeachment Inquiry against Jonathan Sidney MacCarthy III, Jonathan MacCarthy III dropped out of the race, giving room for more candidates to seek the nomination. Chester Lucas Webster, Stuart Potter, Jonathan Blakeley, and Frederick E. Rothlisberger announced their candidacies for the nomination following MacCarthy's withdraw.

### **Declined**

1. Ekewaka Mikala Kalawai'a, former Supreme Leader of the Empire of Chawosauria
2. James Dylan Oakes III, Minority Leader of the Continent Union

### **Withdrawn**

Sydney, New South Wales, Australia
     Johnathan Saint Nicholas Montgomery VII | January 26, 1990
Portland, Oregon, United States

These are candidates who withdrew from the race.

## General Election

### **Campaign**

The Social Democratic Workers' Labour Party were the incumbents, they had the premiership, minority party status in the Chawopolis Palace, and the Leader of the Opposition. Prime Minister Jonathan Sidney MacCarthy III was facing allegations that he was a Roman Catholic due to his Irish bloodline, and the allegations were worse. The allegations were so bad that an Impeachment Inquiry was ordered by the Chawopolis Palace. MacCarthy dropped out of the race because of the calculation that a politician facing impeachment proceedings wasn't a good look for someone like MacCarthy himself. While the Social Democratic Workers' Labour Party already had primary candidates, the party lost their incumbency advantage. Charles Muskie running as a populist on the right, Charles Walpole running as a moderate, and the Social Democrats bitterly split with different candidates made the race unpredictable.

It is Charles Muskie who had the upper hand, while the Capitalists' non-right-wing establishment was bitterly divided between Centrists led by Walpole and a fractured left-wing field, Muskie sympathized with nationalism, populism, anti-establishment sentiments among Chawosaurian capitalist voters who felt let down by the capitalist establishment from when they lost to the Communist Party in 2019, the capitalist voters were angry over the bitter divide in the non-right-wing section of the Capitalist Parties, and Muskie began to gain.

On February 10, 2020, a two-round system was set up by the Committee of Capitalist Parties to stop Muskie from winning, this angered the Muskie-wing and then the Muskists drastically showed up in large numbers on March 6th over anger and fury over the two-round rule.

### **Issues**

The two dominant issues are the identity of the Capitalist Parties and electability against Shang Jong Parker and his Communist Party. Charles Muskie was widely seen among Capitalists as someone who fits these descriptions. Although Muskie trailed Shang Parker in the polls for 2029, they point to the 2016 U.S. presidential election that polls can be inaccurate.

## Results

### **Electoral Results in Maps**

Charles Muskie won all states except Atlantic Canada, Quebec, Connecticut, Rhode Island, and Maryland. Muskie won all except the states won by Charles Walpole.

### **Electoral Results and Analysis**

Charles Muskie won this election by an unexpected landslide victory, completing the percents with 61.1% of the popular vote, to Walpole's 21.2% of the popular vote, Joe Walz led all the Social Democratic candidates with 12.3% of the popular vote. Muskie won so handily that all he won all the Continental Federal Republics, allowing him to take all electoral votes in the electoral college.

In the Walpole campaign back in London, they thought the race will turn out to be a regular round one race, and Walpole and his team were confident that they will be one of the two leading contestants, but as the returns show up, shock and disbelief come around the room with Muskie having way over 50% in the lead, growing up to 60% and it stayed at over 60%. By 1 AM March 7th, the Walpole campaign realized that they lost, Walpole called Muskie to concede defeat. At 6 PM, Walpole returned to the English market town, Godalming, to give his concession speech.

Back in Germany in Frankfurt, Joe Walz was expecting to finish as one of two of the leading contestants and lead all his social-democratic contestants, he was already running for Minority Party Leader upon MacCarthy's resignation due to impeachment proceedings. As the returns come in, Walz realized that Muskie could win so big that there might be no second round. The Walz campaign watched in anger and disbelief that Muskie was winning better than people expected. When it was clear that Muskie is gonna win single-handily, Walz smelled defeat but refused to concede. By 7:41 PM, when the voting was complete that Muskie had 61.1% of the vote, Walz conceded to Muskie.

Other candidates and their campaigns didn't expect to win a first round candidacy status but they were surprised that Muskie won single-handily, they already had their concession speeches ready, and they conceded to Muskie.

Sydney Lucas Webster called out the Social Democratic Workers' Labour Party for splitting their votes by having more candidates. Criticized Walpole for being a moderate and said Walpole wanted to represent the corporations by running as "a fake liberal" and then said the capitalists threw the 2029 Chawosaurian direct election over to Shang Jong Parker. Media outlets said this was a surprise defeat of the establishment and a victory for change.

During Muskie's victory speech, Muskie directly insulted African-Americans and said the Confederacy would've "treated them well" and then Muskie at the end of his speech joked about lynching, these jokes made the capitalist establishment deeply worried. Muskie during his speech said Coronavirus is "a fake disease", calling it a "Jewish conspiracy theory".

## Aftermath

This election result sparked outrage among anti-right-wingers. Protests erupted in opposition to Charles Muskie and then chanted "Not My Opposition Leader" inspired by the chant "Not My President" used by protesters who protested against U.S. President Donald Trump.

Supreme Leader Shang Jong Parker saw the results and said Muskie is a "miracle" for his reelection campaign. A big mistake for the capitalists is that they didn't organize publicly televised debates, where Muskie's opponents would've challenged Muskie on TV, that may would have damaged Muskie's campaign, but the capitalists were afraid that possibly the debates may would have helped Muskie.

The Capitalists were criticized for the way they organized this election. Clearly trying to undermine Muskie's campaign garnered him some sympathy from potential voters who would have voted against Muskie for his questionable views on race, Nazism, and other matters.

On June 7th, he was officially elected by the electoral college as Leader of the Opposition without suffering from a single faithless elector defecting from him.

## See Also

* 2018 Chawosaurian Opposition leadership election - previous election.