2030 United States House of Representatives elections in Indiana (Blackford)

The **2030 United States House of Representatives elections in Indiana** were held on Tuesday, November 5, 2030 to elect the nine U.S. representatives from the state, one from each of the state's nine congressional districts. The elections coincided with numerous state and local elections and an election to the U.S. Senate. A deeply conservative Republican-leaning state, the Republican Party had held a large majority of Indiana's congressional seats since 2010, though the Democratic Party had made a dent in 2028 by flipping the predominately suburban 5th district, a longtime Republican stronghold.

Neither party would successfully flip a seat, despite strong expectations for the Republican Party, with Democratic president Jon Ossoff's unpopularity in the state as well as two of the three Democratic-held seats up for election being considered either swing districts or normally strongly Republican. This marked the last time until the 2047 Indiana's 5th congressional district special election in which the Democratic Party would win more than 2 of Indiana's 9 seats in the House of Representatives.

## District 4

The 4th district was located in western Indiana in its 2023-2033 configuration, taking in the entirety of the Lafayette metropolitan area down into the western edges of the Indianapolis metropolitan area. Despite taking in Lafayette, a major college town, the district's largely rural composition allowed it to maintain a heavily Republican electorate, and it was consistently one of the most Republican districts in the state at the time of the 2030 elections, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index (CPVI) of R+13. The incumbent was Republican Finley Lloyd, who had been elected to the seat two years prior with 56.9% of the vote.

He was faced in the general election by Democratic nominee Alison Preston, a member of the Democratic Socialists of America (DSA). Preston gained notoriety as the first transgender person to be nominated to a congressional seat from Indiana, though she wasn't considered a serious candidate in the heavily Republican district, especially as her hardliner views and active involvement in militant anti-fascism had led to even many Democrats in the district reacting hostilely to her candidacy. Ultimately, Lloyd won re-election in a landslide, receiving 74.39% of the vote and carrying every county in the district, a majority of which he carried with well over 80% of the vote. In the entire district, Preston only managed to carry the city of West Lafayette, while narrowly losing Lafayette itself. This would not be Preston's last run for public office, as she would move to Indianapolis, going on to be elected to the Indianapolis City-County Council in 2043, rising becoming its president before winning election to Indiana's 7th congressional district in 2048.

### Republican primary

#### Candidates

##### Nominee

* Finley Lloyd, incumbent U.S. representative

Lloyd ran unopposed.

### Democratic primary

#### Candidates

##### Nominee

* Alison Preston, transgender rights activist and member of the Democratic Socialists of America (DSA)

##### Eliminated in primary

* Sam Burnett, blogger
* Nicole Kaur, schoolteacher

### General election

#### Results

**2030 Indiana's 4th congressional district election**

## District 5

The 5th district was located in central Indiana at the time of the 2030 elections, taking in the northern edges of the Indianapolis metropolitan area as well as the cities of Kokomo and Muncie. The district's mixed suburban, exurban and rural makeup led to it historically being arguably the most Republican district in the state, having a Cook PVI of between R+20 and R+30 for most of the 2000s, however had gradually drifted away from the Republican Party's influence in the 2010s and 2020s, coinciding with the outward growth and diversification of the Indianapolis suburbs, as well as the alienation of existing voters in the area from the GOP's rightward shift. The district had flipped to the Democratic Party two years prior, when Sarah Booth defeated controversial and unpopular far-right Republican incumbent Hank Kelley to become the first Democrat to represent the northern Indy metro since 1970.

Booth was initially considered by analysts to be potentially vulnerable in seeking re-election, with the district still having gave Ron DeSantis a 3-point margin of victory in the 2028 presidential race, as well as the unpopularity of the Democratic Party amongst Hoosier voters and the fact that Kelley wasn't present on the ballot. However, this would change when Kelley announced his intention to run against Booth in a bid to win back the seat, and he received the endorsement of DeSantis as well as Governor Mike Braun in the Republican primary, in which he ran against a moderate challenger in the form of state representative Sara Stevens. After Kelley defeated Stevens in the primary, many political analysts' views of the race shifted from a potentially competitive one to one heavily favoring Booth's re-election, with Kelley remaining extremely unpopular in the district. Booth would ultimately defeat Kelley by a slightly reduced margin compared to 2028.

### Democratic primary

#### Nominee

* Sarah Booth, incumbent U.S. representative

#### Results

Booth won renomination unopposed.

**Democratic primary results**

### Republican primary

#### Nominee

* Hank Kelley, former U.S. representative (2025-29)

#### Eliminated in primary

* Sara Stevens, member of the Indiana House of Representatives from the 29th district (2026-30)

#### Summary

In June of 2029, Republican state legislator Sara Stevens announced her attention to run for the party's nomination for the 5th district. She campaigned as a political moderate, distancing herself from the Trumpist faction of the party and emphasizing her bipartisan voting record in the state legislature. Her moderate viewpoints made her seem to be an appealing candidate to suburban voters, though she was considered to face an uphill battle if any more conservative candidates entered the race. A couple weeks after Stevens entered the race, former U.S. representative Hank Kelley announced his intention to enter the race, despite having previously denied that he was considering running for his old seat.

Kelley was the subject of numerous controversies during the Republican primary, repeatedly accused of airing ads that contained misinformation about Stevens, and Stevens' campaign accused Kelley of libel on multiple occasions. Despite the fact that Stevens was not Jewish, Kelley aired multiple ads which allegedly targeted Stevens with antisemitic undertones. Kelley also labeled Stevens as a "communist RINO" on the campaign trail, and made statements which falsely implied that Stevens was transgender and a lesbian. He also allegedly had campaign staffers send Stevens and her family death threats in an attempt to coerce her to drop out of the race. Kelley also accused Stevens of pedophilia, and of "being an agent of the deep state". The number of controversies surrounding Kelley's campaign led to Stevens developing a comfortable lead in polling, and even internal polling conducted by Kelley's campaign showed him several points behind Stevens. However, he would unexpectedly win the nomination by less than 1,500 votes in what was considered a major upset. After losing the Republican nomination, Stevens endorsed Booth in the general election, began fundraising against Kelley and left the Republican Party that October.

### General election

#### Endorsements

##### Sarah Booth (D)

###### Executive branch officials

* Jon Ossoff, 49th President of the United States (2029-2037)
* Barack Obama, 44th President of the United States (2009-2017) and United States Senator from Illinois (2005-2009)

###### Members of U.S. Congress

* Todd Young, United States Senator from Indiana (2017-2033) *(Republican)*
* André Carson, U.S. representative from IN-07 (2008-2033)
* Oscar Hamilton, former Republican U.S. representative from this district (2024-2025) and Booth's chief of staff

###### Governors

* Mitch Daniels, 49th Governor of Indiana (2005-2013) and President of Purdue University (2013-2023) *(Republican)*

###### Other public officials

* Sara Stevens, member of the Indiana House of Representatives from the 29th district (2026-30) and unsuccessful Republican candidate in 2030 *(Republican, switched affiliation to Democratic in October)*

###### Individuals

* Samantha Kelley, Hank Kelley's youngest daughter

##### Hank Kelley (R)

###### Executive branch officials

* Ron DeSantis, 48th President of the United States (2025-2029)

###### Members of U.S. Congress

* Jim Banks, United States Senator from Indiana (2025-2049)
* Marjorie Taylor Greene, U.S. representative from GA-14 (2021-2029)
* Andy Ogles, U.S. representative from TN-05 (2021-2027)
* Paul Gosar, U.S. representative from AZ-09 (2011-2025)
* Andy Biggs, U.S. representative from AZ-05 (2017-2033)

###### Governors

* Mike Braun, 52nd Governor of Indiana (2025-2033) and United States Senator from Indiana (2019-2025)
* Eric Holcomb, 51st Governor of Indiana (2017-2025) *(withdrawn)*

###### Other public officials

* Mark Robinson, 35th Lieutenant Governor of North Carolina (2021-2025)

###### Individuals

* Nick Fuentes, white supremacist and neo-fascist political commentator
* Matt Walsh, anti-LGBTQ+ activist and far-right political commentator

#### Results

**2030 Indiana's 5th congressional district election**

## District 7

The 7th district was the most heavily Democratic district in Indiana at the time of the 2030 election cycle, being centered on Downtown Indianapolis and having a CPVI of D+25. The incumbent was André Carson, a member of the progressive wing of the party and the dean of Indiana's congressional delegation, representing the district since he was first elected in a special election in March of 2008. No Republicans filed to run against him in the general election, and he was only faced by Communist nominee Nicole Ball and several write-ins. Carson handily defeated Ball, receiving over 90% of the popular vote, though Ball still received nearly 10% of the vote and over 10,000 votes, the best performance for a Communist Party candidate for any congressional seat in over half a century.