Flagpoll 2

*"Saying “I’m voting on 768 flags” usually gets a good reaction"*

*--Zach Betron*

Flagpoll 2 was the second flag voting event in #vexillology. It was the sequel to Flagpoll, and its results were used for the seeding of FlagVote 3. 256 new flags were included to bring the total to 768, and four new voters joined bringing the total to 11. Flagpoll 2 commenced on July 1st, 2022 and concluded on August 25th.

## Events

### Saint Petersburgate

*Main article: Saint Petersburgate*

On August 12th, Cam submitted Flagpoll XXXV. It was quickly noticed by Sully that the flag of St. Petersburg Florida was included for the second time, having previously been shown in Flagpoll XXII. Cam realized his mistake, which was that the flag was supposed to be the flag of St. Petersburg Russia and quickly fixed it, having any voter who voted before the change resubmit their votes. However, this did not prevent cries for Cam's impeachment and removal from his role. Cam eventually stepped down before immediately being reinstated and continuing with the Flagpoll.

### 2 Faroe 2 Islands 2: 2 2 Faroe 2 2 Islands

In a reference to 2 Faroe 2 Islands, Cam and Greg chose to deliberately and secretly include a second Faroe Islands flag in the voting as a bonus 769th flag, The flag was included in Flagpoll XLVII, the penultimate Flagpoll which included 17 flags. Following Saint Petersburgate, they expected voters to be on high alert and notice the second Faroe instantly. However, to their surprise the ruse went unnoticed. The second Faroe was included as a first round matchup against the first Faroe, which earned the 137 seed.

### Comment of the Day

*Archive: Comments of the Day*

At the end of each Flagpoll, Cam left a box for comments. Beginning with Flagpoll 18, he began including a Comment of the Day at the end of every day's Flagstats. Additionally, he made an archive of retroactive comments of the day from the previous polls.

### Exit Survey

As part of the final Flagpoll, Cam included a surprise survey on what voters thought about Flagpoll. The survey also included sections about flags which had supposedly been seen during Flagpoll. Some notable results are below, copy-pasted from Cam's messages in the Slack.

On a scale of 1 to 10, you guys gave Flagpoll 2 a 9.8! That would have made it the top flag of the tournament! It received nine 10s and an 8. The 8 came from Andrew.

8/10 respondents left an answer for the question “this question is not required”

8/10 respondents think their votes were good. Conor and Lexy did not

All respondents chose “Heck Yes” instead of “Yes” for the question about whether they were excited for flagvote

#### First Flag

The first flag I showed you was the flag of New Mexico

9/10 respondents correctly identified this flag as New Mexico. Sahil could not

9/10 respondents remembered voting on this flag. Greg did not

In your memories, you gave it a collective 8.2. In reality, you (excluding me) gave it an 8.5

Yuki and Lexy were the only voters to correctly identify their scores. They both gave it 10s.

New Mexico finished as the 5th overall flag! Greg was the only voter to correctly guess its final place

#### Second Flag

The second flag I showed you was the flag of Dingli

Zero respondents correctly identified this flag.

7/10 respondents remembered voting on this flag.

In your memories, you gave it a 4.7. This was correct!

Sully, Sahil, and Lexy were the only voters to correctly remember their score.

I have not calculated tiebreakers, but Dingli is somewhere in the 490-509 range [UPDATE IT WAS 493]. No one chose a number in this range

#### Third Flag

The third flag I showed you was the flag of Copenhagen

Zero respondents correctly identified this flag

Only Conor and Yuki remembered voting on this flag

Which is odd, because we did not vote on this flag in Flagpoll 2

## Assorted Flagstats

### Top flags which weren’t in FP1:

People’s Flag (8.5)

Greek Macedonia (8.2)

Nordic Estonia (7.9)

Lincoln Nebraska (7.8)

Macedonia (old) (7.8)

Flag of Cam (7.7)

Byzantine Imperial Banner (7.7)

Spokane (7.5)

Puno (7.5)

Gyeonggi (7.5)

### Largest raw outliers:

Sahil gave Grand Gedeh County a 9 when the average was 3.4 (5.6)

Lexy gave Marahau a 10 when the average was 4.5

Erik gave the Ecuador Naval Jack a 1 when the average was 6.5 (5.5)

Erik gave the Bolivian Naval Jack a 9 when the average was 3.6 (5.4)

Alex gave British Indian Ocean a 9 when the average was 3.6 (5.4)

### Largest statistical outliers:

Alex gave Perry County a 4, which was 3.01 SD above the mean of 1.3

Erik gave New Mexico’s old flag a 2, which was 3.01 SD above the mean of 1.1

Sahil gave Bienville Parish a 2, which was 3.01 SD above the mean of 1.1

Alex gave Provo a 6, which was 2.87 SD above the mean of 1.7

Alex gave Proud to be Pocatello a 6, which was 2.79 SD above the mean of 1.6

Yuki gave Atom Bear a 3, which was 2.74 SD below the mean of 7.6

Conor gave Hiroshima a 9, which was 2.72 SD above the mean of 6.5

Zach gave Azad Kashmir a 7, which was 2.70 SD above the mean of 3.1

Sahil gave San Antonio an 8, which was 2.65 SD above the mean of 3.4

Erik gave Aden a 9, which was 2.64 SD above the mean of 4.7

### Largest voter increases from FP1:

Yuki gave Dr. Congo an 8 after giving it a 2 last time

Yuki gave Libya’s old flag a 7 after giving it a 1 last time

Yuki gave Amapa an 8 after giving it a 2 last time

Greg gave Maryland a 9 after giving it a 4 last time

Conor gave Tulsa a 9 after giving it a 4 last time

Conor gave Kurgan Oblast a 6 after giving it a 1 last time

Conor gave Seychelles a 9 after giving it a 4 last time

Conor gave Mongolia a 9 after giving it a 4 last time

Alex gave Aruba a 10 after giving it a 5 last time

Alex gave Lithuania a 7 after giving it a 2 last time

### Largest voter decreases from FP1:

Yuki gave St. Barthelemy a 1 after giving it a 10 last time

Yuki gave Bhutan a 2 after giving it a 10 last time

Yuki gave Braunschweig a 3 after giving it a 10 last time

Yuki gave Galicia a 3 after giving it a 10 last time

Yuki gave Turkmenistan a 2 after giving it a 9 last time

Yuki gave Wales a 3 after giving it a 10 last time

Yuki gave Liberia a 2 after giving it a 9 last time

Yuki gave El Salvador a 2 after giving it a 9 last time

Yuki gave Goliad a 3 after giving it a 10 last time

Yuki gave Richmond a 3 after giving it a 10 last time

### Largest voter decreases from FP1 (Non-Yuki edition):

Conor gave Northern Savonia a 2 after giving it an 8 last time

Andrew gave Brittany a 3 after giving it a 9 last time

Andrew gave Lesotho a 4 after giving it a 9 last time

Andrew gave Dutch Navy a 4 after giving it a 9 last time

Andrew gave Laser Kiwi a 2 after giving it a 7 last time

Andrew gave Dnipropetrovsk a 2 after giving it a 7 last time

Andrew gave Malawi a 4 after giving it a 9 last time

### Original 7 voters ranked by sum of their changes

Conor +228

Greg +178

Cam +132

Alex +92

Andrew +24

Sully -33

Yuki -876

### Voters ranked by their average error: i.e how much they differed from the mean in either direction

Yuki 1.65

Sahil 1.46

Lexy 1.444

Erik 1.442

Alex 1.28

Sully 1.22

Zach 1.17

Andrew 1.15

Conor 1.11

Greg 1.06

Cam 1.02

### Flags loved disproportionately by new voters

Laser Kiwi 7.75 vs 4.29

Bolivian Navy 5.75 vs 2.43

Yukon 8 vs 4.86

Karakalpakstan 7.5 vs 4.57

St. Petersburg Russia 7.5 vs 4.57

### Flags loved disproportionately by old voters

Yamaguchi Prefecture 6.57 vs 3.5

Martinique 6.14 vs 3.5

Manhattan KS 7.71 vs 5.25

Isle of Man 6.86 vs 4.5

Antigua & Barbuda 6.57 vs 4.25

### Largest mean increases from FP1:

Cairo 5.1 -> 7.0

Vancouver 3.6 -> 5.4

Bolivian Navy 1.9 -> 3.6

Latvia 4.7 -> 6.4

Duluth 6.0 -> 7.7

### Largest mean decreases from FP1:

Gadsden Flag 5.6 -> 2.8

Ulster 6.0 -> 3.7

Kent 6.3 -> 4.2

Sardinia 4.4 -> 2.5

Braunschweig 7.3 -> 5.5

### Most similar voter pairs by r^2

Cam & Greg 0.37

Cam & Yuki 0.35

Sully & Conor 0.30

Andrew & Zach 0.29

Andrew & Conor 0.28

Cam & Lexy 0.26

Sully & Sahil 0.233

Greg & Lexy 0.232

Cam & Andrew 0.231

Greg & Yuki 0.226

### Most dissimilar voter pairs by r^2

Yuki & Alex 0.01

Alex & Lexy 0.05

Greg & Alex 0.06

Alex & Erik 0.0781

Alex & Zach 0.0782

Yuki & Sahil 0.083

Conor & Alex 0.086

Lexy & Erik 0.089

Andrew & Alex 0.091

Alex & Sahil 0.10

### Most similar voter for each voter (as suggested by Lexy):

Cam: Greg 0.37

Greg: Cam 0.37

Andrew: Cam 0.23

Sully: Conor 0.30

Yuki: Cam 0.35

Conor: Sully 0.30

Alex: Sully 0.15

Lexy: Cam 0.26

Erik: Sully 0.19

Zach: Andrew 0.29

Sahil: Sully 0.23

### Most dissimilar voter for each voter (also suggested by Lexy):

Cam: Alex 0.10

Greg: Alex 0.06

Andrew: Alex 0.09

Sully: Yuki 0.13

Yuki: Alex 0.01

Conor: Alex 0.08

Alex: Yuki 0.01

Lexy: Alex 0.04

Erik: Alex 0.08

Zach: Alex 0.08

Sahil: Yuki 0.08

### Top Flagpolls

The top flagpoll of the tournament was Flagpoll XXXIII with an average score of 6.28. This was the FlagPoll from August 10th which included such flags as Albania, Tunisia, and Montpelier

The bottom flagpoll of the tournament was Flagpoll XXXVII with an average score of 4.63. This was the Flagpoll from August 14th which included such flags as Old New Mexico, Lofa County, and Orange Free State

Fun fact Flagpoll XXIII was the one that contained three terrible flags back to back that all averaged below a 1.7. Many voters gave all three of them a 1 (although Alex gave them all a 4 or better.) That one only got a 5.01 average, buoyed by high scores for Argentina and Denmark. This was the third worst flagpoll on average though