2029 Chawosaurian direct election

> *For related races, see 2029 Chawosaurian elections*
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The **2029 Chawosaurian direct election** will be held on Friday, October 5, 2029, to elect (or re-elect) the Supreme Leader of the Empire of Chawosauria. The Incumbent is Shang Jong Parker of the Communist Party and he was elected in the 2019 Chawosaurian direct election. This may be the first direct election on which a two-round system is required by Chawosaurian Law to be used. The first round is on March 2, 2029, in case of multiple candidates run for the monarchy which it's unlikely to happen, and the second round is on October 5, 2029. The 2029 Chawosaurian direct election is the first Chawosaurian direct election restricted by the Imperial Constitution of the Empire of Chawosauria, and incumbent Supreme Leader Shang Jong Parker is constitutionally permitted to run for reelection for a second term, but age restrictions of the Imperial Constitution will not permit him to run in 2039 nor any election in the future.

At first, nobody was brave enough to challenge Supreme Leader Shang Jong Parker given how easily he won the 2019 Chawosaurian direct election and the rally 'round the flag effect on Parker's popularity due to the outbreak stage of the COVID-19 pandemic throughout the whole year of 2020 to mid 2021, which farther deterred the opposition from launching a challenge against Parker's reelection campaign. But Parker's instigation of the Chawo-Uralic War weakened Parker's reelection standing and the growing unease among Chawosaurians of Parker's over-legislating and his brutal expansion of government to enact his agenda, such as the Green New Deal in Chawosauria and the Imperial Constitution of the Empire of Chawosauria, have all made Parker a polarizing figure, setting himself up for vulnerability for the 2029 election. But Parker's support hasn't fully extinguished, Chawosaurians who were directly affected by the COVID-19 pandemic, at least the trauma of it, fear the end of Parker's term and felt uncomfortable with the idea of voting him out, an idea that these Chawosaurians see as erratically radical out of the belief that another pandemic could strike again at any time during the 2020s, posing problems and ironically challenges for Parker's challengers and good news for Supreme Leader Shang Jong Parker. Johnathan Saint Nicholas Montgomery VII and Juneau Lucas Webster are Shang Jong Parker's strongest opponents, Webster being the grandson of the late former Prime Minister Garfield Lucas Webster and a leader of the center-left of the 2020-2029 Chawosaurian Opposition, it is widely theorized that Webster can hold a broad, big-tent coalition of right-wingers, centrists, center-leftists, and maybe disaffected far-leftists who are deeply disappointed in Parker's loose approach to communism, though that last latter that Webster could win far-leftists is widely unlikely. Webster has weaknesses though, his known personal history of promiscuity and countless failed marriages and his recent wedding into a bigamist marriage of two women despite Major Amendment IV of the Imperial Constitution of the Empire of Chawosauria banning polygamy. Webster's other problems being his political centrism, which is his strength on paper but in reality, it is vulnerable to suspicion that Webster will cater to the right-wing, something Parker and the Chawosaurian Communist Party can exploit against Webster and that can complicate Webster's ability to win any leftist voters who will be crucial in his quest to unseat the incumbent Parker. Parker's weakest opponent is Charles Muskie, the far-right challenger. In a weird circumstance, Theresa Wallace Rawlings was a candidate for three days until her sudden death on March 1, 2023, to a heart attack, resulting in the campaign to scramble how to move forward from there, they immediately decided that her son, Sam Rawlings, such quickly replace his mother and takeover the campaign. On March 17, 2023, Johnathan Saint Nicholas Montgomery VII entered the election in a surprise, making him a threat to both Parker and Webster due to Montgomery's youth and lack of experience. Montgomery, despite his sex scandals, his Christianity, and recent political setbacks, is still widely popular amongst Chawosaurians due to his progressive politics, his ancestral connections to Chawosaurian political history before the Chawo-Wolfsberg War, and his youth.

Direct election 2029 will likely be a change vs. experience election. Parker's ultimate crisis is the fact that he has had a career in politics going back to the mid-1970s, which is half a century by the 2020s, and within that career, Parker was a Member of Parliament from 1976 to 1989, he was Prime Minister of the Empire of Chawosauria under Supreme Leader Timothy Max Roosevelt from 1990 to 1999, and after a 30-year break from politics, he had returned to politics and became Supreme Leader of the Empire of Chawosauria of his own in 2020. Parker has led a wave of unprecedented numbers of legislative accomplishments which would be widely seen as a good thing for politics, however, Chawosaurians interpreted these legislative accomplishments as Shang Jong Parker changing and altering the rules however he saw fit without facing scrutiny and checks and balances and with little to no regard for the perspective of the Chawosaurian people, increasingly making Parker out to be an establishment politician who is only out for power and not in it for the people, making Chawosaurians wanting a change in the political leadership from Parker in favor of a younger outsider or at least an outsider regardless of age.

In pre-election polls, Parker struggled to outpace Webster, but he obliviates Muskie in the same polls. In polls up to the first round, Parker losses to a Montgomery vs. Webster second round match up by wide margins. But Webster collapsed in the polls and first round polls started projecting a standoff between Linghu Xiaoliang and Johnathan Saint Nicholas Montgomery VII, with incumbent Shang Jong Parker performing so poorly in consecutive polls as more and more Chawosaurians want a new Supreme Leader other than Parker.

## Background

Shang Jong Parker, Supreme Leader of the Empire of Chawosauria, was elected in the 2019 Chawosaurian direct election in a 79.7-14.9% popular vote landslide, defeating the Supreme Leader at the time, Ekewaka Mikala Kalawai'a. The Chawosaurian Communist Party rode on Parker's coattails in the 2019 Chawosaurian elections, winning both the Imperial Assembly of the Chawopolis Palace and the Federal Assembly of the Continent Union by landslide majorities. Presided by Shang Jong Parker and his administration, the 2020-2024 Chawosaurian Government officially came to power on January 1, 2020.

## Procedure

The Supreme Leader of the Empire of Chawosauria is elected by the national popular vote. It may be a two-round race, where are two election days, the first election day will be race on which two of the field of multiple candidates will face each other to the second round, which it's the general election.

The Chawopolis Palace has voted to ban the electoral college from voting on election day. However, if the popular vote is tied, the electoral college will intervene. Parties and candidates have it until January 1, 2029 to announce they will participate and will run in this election.

## Eligibility

The Imperial Constitution of the Empire of Chawosauria regulates the eligibility of the Supreme Leader of the Empire of Chawosauria. The Supreme Leader must be within the age limit of over 40 before 80, therefore a person who is over 80-years-old cannot serve as Supreme Leader. This is known as "the Biden rule" named after U.S. President Joe Biden who faced questions about running for reelection in the 2024 U.S. presidential election at age 81, though the Biden rule is universally a widely unpopular rule due to being stained by allegations of ageism. A March 2023 poll by Gallup Chawosauria shows 93% of the Chawosaurian general public disapproves of age limits on public office, showing the hollow unpopularity of age limits on public office. The Biden rule being widely perceived as divisive is partly attributed to the Imperial Constitution's lackluster victory in the 2023 Chawosaurian Constitutional Referendum the same month in 2023.

The Imperial Constitution also mandates that the Supreme Leader must be highly educated, mentally evaluated, and physically fit. These are non-controversial qualifications for the Supreme Leader compared to age limits. A Roman Catholic is not allowed to serve as Supreme Leader under Major Amendment XI of the Imperial Constitution due to fear that a Roman Catholic politician will give the Vatican access to Chawosaurian politics and gain the ability to influence or control public policy on Chawosaurian society, which the Chawosaurians would interpret as meddling with Chawosauria's independence as a nation and lead to the oppression of non-Catholics in Chawosauria. A Supreme Leader also cannot be favorable to Israel, which complicates a Jewish person's ability to serve as Supreme Leader.

Former Supreme Leader Ekewaka Mikala Kalawai'a is the only former Supreme Leader who is barred from running for Supreme Leader due to his age. Joseph Mario Lopez and Oconostota Eluwilussit are permitted to run, though only one of them is. The list of prominent or higher up Chawosaurian politicians who cannot run for Supreme Leader due to age limits are the following:

* **Ekewaka Mikala Kalawai'a** - Supreme Leader of the Empire of Chawosauria from March 3, 2019 to December 31, 2019
* **Sydney Lucas Webster** - Leader of the Opposition since January 1, 2022
* **Jonathan Lachlan MacAlasdair VIII** - Prime Minister of the Empire of Chawosauria since July 1, 2022
* **Jonathan Sidney MacCarthy III** - Prime Minister of the Empire of Chawosauria from January 1, 2020 to April 20, 2020
* **Wendell Rawlings Burton** - Parliamentary leader of the Chawosaurian Revolutionary Party since May 24, 2022
* **Johnathan Saint Nicholas Montgomery V** - CEO of Montgomery Organization
* **Jack Leo Wallace III** - Member of Parliament from January 1, 1976 to December 31, 2015

## Incumbent and the Chawosaurian Communist Party

### Incumbent Supreme Leader of the Empire of Chawosauria

Communist Party
 Political Party

Shang Jong Parker is the incumbent Supreme Leader of the Empire of Chawosauria who took office on January 1, 2020. Shang Jong Parker is running for reelection to serve a second term.

As Supreme Leader of the Empire of Chawosauria, Shang Jong Parker has taken a no-holds-barred approach to governing and as a result, Parker has ruled Chawosauria with an iron fist. Parker is widely known and praised for his landmark accomplishments and revolutionary achievements unusual for a Supreme Leader in Chawosaurian history that even Supreme Leader Degotoga K. Atagulkalu can never out-tower, Parker will be widely known for two things: on the famous side: his handling of the COVID-19 pandemic, where Parker declared marital law and ordered a lockdown to suppress the pandemic in Chawosauria and with resounding success, COVID-19 is unable to ravage Chawosauria after 2022; but on the infamous side: the Chawo-Uralic War, where Parker tried to quell the Uralic Insurgency against the Ural Wall that broke out the previous summer when the Ural Wall was established but instead his Invasion of the Urals escalated to an unwinnable war. Parker's three-part legislative agenda as Supreme Leader is heroic and revolutionary, the first part is *Democratic Communism*, a program of initiatives involving the mass democratization of Chawosauria's socialist state through legislation such as the Premiership (Reforms - Bill 1) Act of 2020 and the Presidency (Universal Suffrage) Act of 2020 which will be codified into constitutional law through the implementation of the Imperial Constitution of the Empire of Chawosauria which was barely approved by a plurality of voters; the second part is Parker's green recovery package of new infrastructure and public works programs called the Green New Deal in Chawosauria which resulted in the passage of the Chernobyl Act of 2021, the Clean Energy Act of 2021, the Clean Water Act of 2021, the Clean Air Act of 2021, the Green Infrastructure Act of 2021, the Green Economy and Jobs Act of 2021, the Garbage Vaporizing Act of 2021, and the Liquidation Act of 2021, and Green New Deal programs such as the Chawosaurian Climate Civilian Corp; the third part was not planned but was the War on Coronavirus which legislation involves the Epidemic Control Act of 2021 then legislation before, the Security Against Coronavirus Act of 2020, the Permanent Wet Market Ban and Farming Safety Act of 2020, Wildlife Trade and Smuggling Control Act of 2020, and Zero Tolerance (Racism) Policy of 2020. But compared to past rulers before 1900 and since 1900, past Supreme Leaders who ruled Chawosauria before Shang Jong Parker, Parker has proven himself to be a deeply polarizing figure by executing incredibly controversial and polarizing policies, Parker's controversial moves will include his signing of the Civil Rights Act of 2020 passed in response to the George Floyd protests to crack down on institutional racism in Chawosauria, his signing of the Chris Hansen Act of 2021 which encourages sting operations against online sexual predation for underage minors, many of these predators are ephebophiles but the law didn't end well and it was replaced by the Safe Internet Act of 2022. Parker also involved Chawosauria into the 2020 U.S. presidential election in favor of Joe Biden over President Trump, Parker supported Scottish independence and re-involved Chawosauria into British politics to support the Scexit movement, and he received surging criticism for his silence on the Uyghur genocide, his handling of a sexual assault allegation against his eldest son, Prince Shang Jong Parker II which was an issue that was briefly discussed in the media, he led a disastrous evacuation mission in Ukraine during the Russian invasion there, and he controversially balkanized the American south because he was afraid of a potential southern uprising. Throughout his tenure, Parker responded with indifference towards the direct impacts of 2020s crises on local Chawosaurians, particularly those who were directly affected by the George Floyd protests, the January 6th insurrection, the collapse of Afghanistan, the Canadian Trucker Convey, the uprising in Kazakhstan. the remainder of the Russian invasion of Ukraine, the eventual crackdown of the Hong Kong protests, the 2022 Sri Lankan protests, the events of the Israeli-Palestinian struggle during his tenure of office, political instability in Peru, and other crises, making Supreme Leader Shang Jong Parker one of the most apathetic heads of state to have reigned the Chawosaurian world. Overtime, Parker has brutally expanded his authority and the size of government in Chawosauria at a level that Timothy Max Roosevelt had never done. In 2023, Parker greenlighted religious segregation in Chawosauria and he agreed to rolling back certain rights that were won by Religious Chawosaurians during the late 2010s.

#### Post-2019 Election Communist Party Convention for the 2029 Election

**Results of the Chawosaurian Communist Party Convention, Thursday, October 31, 2019**
 Jonathan Lachlan MacAlasdair VIII | USA
 Total Votes

The Communist Party held a convention a decade earlier before the election to prevent a future primary challenge. Historically, a primary challenge against an incumbent is a major disruption to that incumbent's electoral advantage, the perfect example is the 1980 U.S. Presidential Election, when the incumbent President at the time, Jimmy Carter, was challenged by U.S. Senator Ted Kennedy, the youngest son of Joseph P. Kennedy and Rose Fitzgerald Kennedy, as well as the younger brother of U.S. President John F. Kennedy. Senator Ted Kennedy waged a tough primary fight against President Carter in the 1980 Democratic Party presidential primaries, although Carter did (in his own words) "whipped his ass", after saying this about Kennedy's primary campaign: *"I'll whip his ass!"*, Carter went on to get his own ass whipped by Ronald Reagan in one of America's greatest landslide victories, ironically Reagan, like Ted Kennedy, also challenged a President from his own party four years earlier, that Republican President was Gerald Ford, and he lost to the same President that Reagan unseated four years later.

The Communist Party held a convention ten years before the 2029 elections to protect their own incumbency advantage under Emperor Shang Parker, thus making it harder for the future Capitalist challenger to unseat Parker. Shang Parker's incumbency advantage gained significant advantage due to his War on Coronavirus strategy in retaliation to the 2020 COVID-19 global pandemic, despite Chawosauria only had 2 cases (former Prime Minister Jonathan Dragan Boleslaus IX, and his daughter, Jedida Boleslaus), Parker successfully prevented the COVID-19 pandemic from reaching Chawosauria. Boleslaus died from COVID-19, and his daughter may recover.

But Parker became unpopular with the Chawosaurian public over the course of his term, and there were signs that Parker's renomination will be revoked to allow first round challengers against Parker, in a way starting a jungle primary.

#### Previous Election and the Benefits of Incumbency

Shang Jong Parker, sitting General Secretary of the Chawosaurian Communist Party, was elected Supreme Leader of the Empire of Chawosauria in the previous election on October 4th, 2019. Parker defeated the Anti-Communist sitting Supreme Leader Ekewaka Mikala Kalawai'a, in a landslide victory because Kalawai'a had more odds against him for an incumbent. Parker officially took office on January 1, 2020.

Shang Jong Parker is running for reelection as an incumbent for a second term, and simply because he is the incumbent, he is solidly likely to win reelection without any challenges facing him. Unlike Kalawai'a, Parker had more odds in his favor, his biggest odd that is in his favor is his widely popular leadership and response to the 2020 coronavirus pandemic, and the likely long-term (so-called) *"rally behind the flag"* effect on his popularity that went along his successful leadership and response to the coronavirus pandemic.

Throughout the history of modern democracy, it is the incumbent who's always the winner...if (in the case of American Presidents and Governors for example) the incumbent is popular or has a split popularity (in Barack Obama's case). Defeating an incumbent is very challenging in parliamentary democracies than in presidential democracies, that complication is shown in Canada, a prominent parliamentary democratic state, where despite the SNC-Lavalin scandal, Trudeau still won reelection in a minority government state despite losing the popular vote by a plurality. Multiple-party parliamentary democracies are more complicated to compete in than a presidential democracy.

The reason that in parliamentary democracies, the incumbent is unbeatable despite unpopularity is because in order for a prime minister to be defeated, the prime minister's party has to be very unpopular and also because vote-splitting is so very prevalent in multi-party states, while in the United States, defeating a very unpopular President is a little easier even regardless of the public's perception of the president's party even though Americans have a history of punishing the party of the unpopular president in congressional midterm elections.

In the United States, Donald Trump is the most recent unpopular President of the United States to fall to a reelection loss in the 2020 U.S. election, and Trump's Republican Party lost control of both chambers of Congress in the process. In the United Kingdom, Gordon Brown is the most recent Prime Minister of the United Kingdom to have been voted out of office in the 2010 U.K. election, just a decade earlier before America would vote out its own President in 2020. In Canada, Stephen Harper is the most recent Prime Minister to have been voted out of office in 2015 due to being in office for nearly a decade, this is a common phenomenon in which the electorate of a certain nation gets tired of electing the same leader from the previous election to another.

In United States history, the 2012 U.S. presidential election is the most recent presidential election in which a sitting president has successfully won reelection to a second term.

#### *Rally Around The Flag* Popularity Boast

In this here election ten years later, Shang Parker is running for a second term and he will likely be reelected simply due to incumbency. His incumbency advantage was extremely solidified by the 2019 Wuhan coronavirus global pandemic. Comparingly similar to how the September 11 Attacks of 2001 may have solidified U.S. President George W. Bush's reelection advantage in the 2004 U.S. presidential election. This coronavirus pandemic, though never reached Chawosauria, was 'Shang Parker's 911.' Like President Bush, the coronavirus gave Parker a "rally 'round the flag" rise in popularity, in April 2020, Parker's approval rating flared from 76% approval to 91% approval, and this kind of approval rating does not take a short time to decline because of low partisan prejudice and widespread patriotic attitudes among Chawosaurians. This is vital for Parker's reelection path to victory and it put Parker in a really good spot.

The coronavirus pandemic of 2020 gave Parker a *rally 'round the flag* popularity, this is a term originated from the United States coined by John Mueller to describe a situation on which when a country is under siege by an enemy-state, a pandemic, a disaster, or whatever that a constitutes a grave threat, the people of that threatened country rally around their leader for leadership, guidance, protection, action, or even comfort regardless of the people's political opinions. It could mean and it had meant that leader will win reelection. For example, the United States was under siege by the Empire of Japan at Pearl Harbor on December 7, 1941, the country rallied around President Roosevelt for action against Japan and that he delivered by asking Congress for a declaration of war against Japan, thus entering World War II, and because the war was becoming successful for the United States and its allies, President Roosevelt cruised himself to landslide reelection to an unprecedented fourth term in the 1944 presidential election. World War II gave Roosevelt an approval rating ranging at the 70s or more.

A leader who is unpopular is also not exempt from this rally 'round the flag effect. President Tsai Ing-wen of Taiwan was so unpopular that her party was crushed in the 2018 local elections, thus making her too weak to win reelection in the 2020 Taiwanese presidential election, however, the Communist regime of the People's Republic of China was trying to flex its muscles by trying to have Hong Kong to pass an extradition bill that favors Beijing, only to be withdrawn because of popular outrage over it and demand for the democratization of Hong Kong and loosening of Beijing's influence over Hong Kong. Taiwan was also the victim of Beijing's harassment to make Taiwan fall in line because under China's "One China Policy", Taiwan is a Chinese province, not a real nation. Beijing wanted Taiwan to to be annexed by China, but President Tsai stood up to Beijing and said Taiwan is here to determine their own destiny, this made her popular among the Taiwanese people who, like the people of Hong Kong, are fed up with the Communist regime in Beijing. Tsai won reelection by a landslide to a second term. One of the greatest political comebacks in world history.

During the coronavirus pandemic in the U.S., Trump's approval ratings did surge, but extremely weaker than the approval ratings of Covid-19 era world leaders and President Bush's 911-era approval ratings because of strict partisan polarization. Trump lacks the talent Franklin D. Roosevelt (WWII) and George W. Bush (911) both possessed when America is under siege on their watch: the ability to convince the country to put their partisan and ideological views aside and unite behind him as the President. Trump was facing a difficult reelection fight, and with a pandemic he has to focus, which exposed how negatively consequential electing an inexperienced President can be, Trump could fall electorally as both Democrats and Independents outnumbering Republicans 2-1 to get Trump removed from office at the ballot.

Parker has it luckier than Trump, Parker successfully convinced Chawosaurians to forget the fact that Parker himself is a communist idea-log and remember that he is still their commander-in-chief. That message helped Parker build a multi-party reelection coalition for 2029 of communists already loyal to Parker, along with previously anti-communist and anti-Parkerian partisan groups: social democrats, liberals, progressives, and even moderates. Conservatives remain consistent in their opposition to Parker.

#### Loss of Incumbency Advantage

Because of the Chawo-Uralic War, Parker's incumbent advantage has weakened. Potentially making him one of those Supreme Leaders: Joseph Mario Lopez in 2015, Abooksigun Eluwilussit in 2016, and Ekewaka Mikala Kalawai'a in 2019, to have no success at winning another term. Supreme Leader Degotoga K. Atagulkalu remains the only Supreme Leader in Chawosaurian history to have won more than one term in 2017.

### Potential Jungle Primary Challengers

Potential or un-official Chawosaurian Communist Party challengers against Shang Jong Parker for the first round
Zhaoxing, Guizhou, China
 Candidate

Starting April 28, 2023, it is widely speculated due to Parker's poor poll numbers in the first round that the Chawosaurian Communist Party would revoke Parker's renomination and allow more communists to run for the first round, which would force Parker to run against both communists and capitalists in the first round. General Secretary Linghu Xiaoliang said explicitly that he hoped Parker's renomination was revoked so that he can run for Supreme Leader, take the Chawosaurian Communist Party from Shang Jong Parker, and move Chawosauria and the party to a true Marxist-Leninist direction.

The Imperial Constitution of the Empire of Chawosauria requires a two-round election, but provides the freedom to operate the two-round election with the options of a regular two-round election, or ranked-choice or a nonpartisan blanket primary. While the Imperial Constitution doesn't specifically say who controls elections, it is hinted that the Imperial Assembly of the Chawopolis Palace and the Federal Assembly of the Continent Union can make these decisions and these decisions will have to be approved by Independent Checkers.

Former Prime Minister Jezebel Isela Boleslaus has also stated that she too may challenge the Supreme Leader, a surprise to many. Boleslaus stepped down as Prime Minister because she was angry over Parker's indifference towards the Russian invasion of Ukraine, and on April 28, 2023, Boleslaus vowed to ensure Parker will not get a second term as Supreme Leader.

## Opposition and the Capitalist Parties

> *For the incumbent opposition, see: 2020-2029 Chawosaurian Opposition*
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**Capitalist nominee**

### Candidates

At first, nobody wanted to run against Supreme Leader Shang Jong Parker given how easily he won the 2019 Chawosaurian direct election and the rally 'round the flag effect on Parker's popularity due to the outbreak stage of the COVID-19 pandemic throughout the whole year of 2020 to mid 2021 certainly didn't even do little to encourage a challenge against Parker's reelection campaign. But Parker's instigation of the Chawo-Uralic War weakened Parker's reelection standing and the growing unease among Chawosaurians of Parker's over-legislating and his brutal expansion of government to enact his agenda, such as the Green New Deal in Chawosauria and the Imperial Constitution of the Empire of Chawosauria, have all made Parker a polarizing figure, setting himself up for vulnerability for the 2029 election.

#### Declared

* **Garfield Lucas Webster IV** - U.S. veteran of the Gulf War and member of the Webster family

#### Candidate History

Juneau Lucas Webster, the grandson of late Prime Minister of the Empire of Chawosauria Garfield Lucas Webster and brother of incumbent Chawosaurian Leader of the Opposition Sydney Lucas Webster is the universal favorite to run against Supreme Leader Shang Jong Parker based on the calculations that he is a member of the Webster family and a centrist close to the left, he could unite the anti-communist opposition and bolster Chawosaurians to their side that interim Supreme Leader Ekewaka Mikala Kalawai'a, who was more to the left than Webster and lacked name recognition and charisma compared to Webster, had failed to do against Parker during the 2019 Chawosaurian direct election. Webster said he will make a decision after the 2024 Chawosaurian elections and the 2024 U.S. elections, boosting evidence that Webster will enter the race and insert a hollow feeling within the Parker administration.

Sequoia Ahyoka Rawlings, a widely ignored figure except being the sister of the late Supreme Leader of the Empire of Chawosauria Degotoga K. Atagulkalu who recently reigned Chawosauria before Ekewaka Mikala Kalawai'a from 2017 to his death in office in 2019, ran for office during the 2024 Chawosaurian legislative elections on the part of the Social Democratic Workers' Labour Party and may have aspirations to run for Supreme Leader of the Empire of Chawosauria as the only candidate for the Social Democrats to do, dragging the party into the race against Supreme Leader Parker, which would break convention for the Social Democrats due to being part of the alliance with the governing Chawosaurian Communist Party called the Socialist Coalition in February 2022. Sequoia Rawlings is not a known figure in Chawosauria and she is Christian, something that would be unpopular in Chawosauria, however, she would quickly become known as being Supreme Leader Degotoga K. Atagulkalu's sister, something that can also help her gain quick recognition.

Charles Muskie is widely revered to be a right-wing extremist by both the media and public opinion, making Muskie a widely unlikable opposition candidate against the incumbent Communist Party Supreme Leader Shang Jong Parker. Muskie is widely portrayed negatively and insultingly as *"the Donald Trump of Chawosauria"* by the media for his questionable or controversial comments on race that seemed to have to went too far, for example, his jokes about lynching and he bragged about putting on blackface once a while, and it made Chawosaurian voters have an unfavorable opinion of Muskie while Parker enjoys widespread popularity for an incumbent. Muskie is the only choice for the anti-communists because other anti-communist politicians thought Parker is too popular to be defeated, which it's true. A big and wide field of capitalists all refused to endorse Charles Muskie, or even accept him as their Opposition Leader against Shang Parker's Communist Party government due to fears that Muskie's presence will associate the anti-communists to racists and fascists, and it also makes the entire anti-communist opposition look like hypocrites because while communism reaches the authoritarian spectrum of left-wing politics, the anti-communist opposition has a leader who has praised right-wing authoritarianism on several to many occasions. Muskie is widely called a homophobe, a racist, a misogynist, and a nazi by both the media and the general public, many of the general public are voters, which poses a bigger problem. Following the 2021 storming of the U.S. Capitol, Muskie was forced to drop out of the race. However, on August 31st, Muskie announced that he may re-enter the race.

### Background and History

The anti-communists had won their first government through the DKA Coalition in the 2017 Chawosaurian elections for the first time since World War II, under Supreme Leader Degotoga K. Atagulkalu. The new capitalist government had turned up disastrous, stumbling over the Poseidon blowout and oil-spill in February 2018, the Chawosaurian Civil War getting worse, the constantly chaotic and distracting Presidency of Donald Trump in the United States, communist victories in 2018 local elections, the 2018 Age of Smartphone Referendum, the sudden death and state funeral of Supreme Leader Degotoga K. Atagulkalu and the assumption of the incredibly unknown and boring successor Ekewaka Mikala Kalawai'a as Supreme Leader of the Empire of Chawosauria in March 2019, and a badly hostile environment for the anti-communists in the 2019 Chawosaurian elections made worse by the resurgence of the widely popular communist former Prime Minister of the Empire of Chawosauria Shang Jong Parker leading the Chawosaurian Communist Party.

The Chawosaurian Communist Party swept to outright landslide victory in the 2019 Chawosaurian elections, driving the anti-communists out of power and plunging them back into opposition status but in a more weakened and helpless state with no close to the ability to filibuster communist legislation. The 2020-2024 Chawosaurian Government, which was the strongest communist government in Chawosaurian history, was officially inaugurated on January 1, 2020, and Shang Jong Parker was coronated Supreme Leader of the Empire of Chawosauria on the same date, leaving the Communist Party in complete and total control of the Chawosaurian Imperial Government until the 2024 Chawosaurian elections.

Nobody proposed former Supreme Leader Ekewaka Mikala Kalawai'a to run in the 2029 election because he lost the last election by a horrible margin to Supreme Leader Shang Jong Parker, anti-communists really wanted to move elsewhere other than Kalawai'a, as a result, Kalawai'a declared that he would not seek another imperial office ever again. Due to former U.S. President Donald Trump running for President again in 2024 despite his own loss in 2020, and the prospect that the Biden Rule of the Imperial Constitution of the Empire of Chawosauria may face a swift repeal, increased speculation that Kalawai'a could run for Supreme Leader again in 2023, but polls showed that over 87% of anti-communists really don't want Kalawai'a to run against Parker because the last time Kalawai'a ran against Parker, Parker defeated Kalawai'a by a wide margin of 64% dividing the two men. MSNBC Chawosauria conducted a poll showing that 93% of anti-communists are "deeply afraid" that Kalawai'a will lose to Parker again, in some cases by an even wider margin, if he runs again in 2029.

### The Charles Muskie Problem

Charles Muskie is widely revered to be a right-wing extremist by both the media and public opinion, making Muskie a widely unlikable opposition candidate against the incumbent Communist Party Supreme Leader Shang Jong Parker. Muskie is the only choice for the anti-communists because other anti-communist politicians thought Parker is too popular to be defeated, which it's true.

A big and wide field of capitalists all refused to endorse Charles Muskie, or even accept him as their Opposition Leader against Shang Parker's Communist Party government due to fears that Muskie's presence will associate the anti-communists to racists and fascists, and it also makes the entire anti-communist opposition look like hypocrites because while communism reaches the authoritarian spectrum of left-wing politics, the anti-communist opposition has a leader who has praised right-wing authoritarianism on several to many occasions.

Muskie is widely called a homophobe, a racist, a misogynist, and a nazi by both the media and the general public, many of the general public are voters, which poses a bigger problem. Following the 2021 storming of the U.S. Capitol, Muskie was forced to drop out of the race.

However, on August 31st, Muskie announced that he may re-enter the race.

#### Resistance and Potential Leadership Challenge

> *(For the potential leadership challenge against Charles Muskie, see: 2021 Chawosaurian Opposition leadership election)*
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With U.S. President Donald Trump in one of the weakest positions for an incumbent President running for reelection since George H.W. Bush in '92, in the midst of his poor showing in election opinion polling, weak presidential job approval ratings, massive criticism of his handling of the COVID-19 pandemic, and civil unrest caused by racial inequality, the liberal wing of the anti-communist resistance against Shang Parker demanded Charles Muskie be overthrown electorally. Muskie hoped Trump wins his quest for reelection in the same upset President Truman won in the 1948 U.S. election, which is still possible that Trump could still win reelection, if that happens, then Muskie will have all the breathing space he needs to push back the liberal resistance against him and still be a candidate running against Shang Parker- the Communist incumbent. The liberals' Plan-B in case Trump wins and Muskie is able to survive, was that if Muskie was to be emboldened by Trump's reelection, then they (the liberal wing of the anti-communist opposition) will become Shang Parker's supporters for his reelection, which will further complicate Muskie's ability to either unseat the Communist incumbent or still lose but by a narrow margin that scares the Communist Party despite their reelection. Muskie cannot layout a threatening performance against Shang Parker without liberal voters, but Muskie has a narcissistic outlook on this situation.

The reality is that Muskie is in a tough position to stay on as Leader of the Opposition and as the main challenger to Supreme Leader Shang Jong Parker of the Communist Party.

##### Possible Threat from Adel Snøybiǫrn

Adel Snøybiǫrn is the only secular anti-communist (widely considered safer even than Muskie), he is a compromise for the Communist Party, and he may end up run, not to defeat Shang Parker because Snoybiorn acknowledged the impossibility of defeating Shang Parker because of his incumbency advantage, but Snoybiorn would like to run because he hates Charles Muskie and he is offended by the effect Muskie's racial comments have on the reputation of the Anti-Parkerian Opposition. Snoybiorn, however, being a compromise-minded politician, may not win him support from the anti-communist base.

##### Possible Threat from Sydney Lucas Webster

The grandson of former Prime Minister Garfield Lucas Webster [†] (1860-1955), Sydney Lucas Webster, a popular favorite of the left-wing to center factions of the Anti-Parkerian Opposition, may also end up challenging Charles Muskie for the Opposition leadership and major Challenger candidacy. It is said that though he is an American in the Age of Trump (which is why the anti-communists were defeated in the 2019 Chawosaurian direct election, losing to Shang Parker), Sydney Webster still poses a politically grave threat to Charles Muskie because Webster is the grandson of one of Chawosauria's most popular deceased Prime Ministers in Chawosaurian history for the role Webster's grandfather played in the early years of the formation of Modern Chawosauria.

Webster's only two problems is that he is an American, which would undermine the anti-communists' attempt to distance themselves from America because their connection to America was one of the main key factors of their loss of political power in the 2019 elections, and since that defeat, the anti-communists became critical of America over certain things-mainly foreign policy. Another problem for Webster is his religion, he is a Christian, and openly-Christian politicians and candidates are often defeated in elections around 90% of the time because of the anti-religion sentiment of the Chawosaurian world caused by decades of socialist rule of Chawosauria. The last Christian major candidates for the monarchy were Victoria Belinsky and George Windsor, and they were defeated by Timothy Max Roosevelt in the 1975 Chawosaurian direct election because they were openly Christians.

The Imperial Constitution of the Empire of Chawosauria took away Webster's right to run for Supreme Leader starting with this election.

#### Loss of the Popular Democratic People's National Party

Following the 2021 Storming of the U.S. Capitol Building by the American right, the Popular Democratic People's National Party dumped Charles Muskie as their candidate, changing Muskie's party affiliation to an independent.

#### Pressure for Charles Muskie to drop out

The 2021 storming of the U.S. Capitol incited by U.S. President Donald Trump to prevent the certification of Joe Biden as 46th President of the United States, and of course, that attempt didn't work, Congress certified Biden anyway despite the riots. Charles Muskie supported Trump and after the U.S. Capitol was stormed, Charles Muskie completely abandoned his support for Trump because he feared this will become a haunting liability for him politically. Charles Muskie dropped out of the 2021 Chawosaurian Opposition leadership election for Leader of the Opposition and the 2024 Chawosaurian legislative elections for Prime Minister.

There is wide pressure even among conservatives and after his party withdrew from the race and dumped him off their party leadership, thus invoking a leadership election, Charles Muskie is being pressured to drop out of the election, which would invoke the first uncontested election since the 1969 Chawosaurian legislative elections where a national incumbent runs for another term without being challenged by another candidate. There is no capitalist brave enough to run against Shang Parker, even Sydney Lucas Webster said he does not want run against Shang Parker. Supreme Leader Shang Jong Parker is a widely popular Supreme Leader, and nobody wants to be walloped by a widely popular incumbent.

#### Muskie Withdrawals

Signaled by Trump's shocking concession to a Joe Biden presidency after a failed attempt to stop Congress from certifying Biden as the victor, Charles Muskie announced that he will drop out of the race by January 31, 2021.

#### Muskie Re-joins

August 31, 2021, Muskie announced that he may re-enter the election campaign.

### Surging Popularity of Juneau Lucas Webster

Juneau Lucas Webster, youngest son of Garfield Lucas Webster II and Eleanora McClellan-Webster, grandson of former Prime Minister Garfield Lucas Webster, and youngest brother of Sydney Lucas Webster, is gaining popularity as the strongest challenger to Shang Jong Parker given Parker's popularity and reelection prospects cratered due to the Chawo-Uralic War and living through the Vietnam War in fear of military conscription by the United States federal government. Juneau's brother, Sydney, was elected Leader of the Opposition in the 2021 Chawosaurian Opposition leadership election by a broader than expected coalition because of name recognition, but Sydney will be 80-years-old by 2030 and Juneau will be 70, so Sydney will be too old to serve as Supreme Leader and has already said that he will not run for Supreme Leader. Juneau is calulated that because he is a centrist, someone who could unite both liberals and conservatives against Parker who is now unpopular, and he is a Webster, he could defeat Parker.

It was never at all planned by nether Garfield Webster II or Eleanora that Juneau would be Supreme Leader. But Juneau's personal problems involves his failed marriages, his extramaritial affairs, and the fact that of these failed marriages, he has over 20 children. Juneau faced discontent from his own mother because of his sexual promiscuity, though Eleanora has an idea where Juneau got that from...his father. Shang Jong Parker, who is of the same age as Juneau, also shares a past of promiscuity though Juneau's is still active. In 2021, Shang Jong Parker's son, Shang Jong Parker II, was accused of sexual assault.

### Alleged Plans of the Parker Administration to "Go Nixon" on the Capitalists

During the 1972 U.S. presidential campaign, there was a Democrat that the Nixon White House feared to face, which was Edmund Muskie, a U.S. Senator from Maine and the Democrats' 1968 nominee for the vice presidency. Known as "tricky dick", Nixon moved to his pranking skills to sabotage the Democrats, getting people from his realm to go sneaking into the Democrats' headquarters at the Watergate Hotel to get dirt on the Democrats and operate a smear campaign against Muskie, helping a far weaker Democrat to get the nomination, that weak Democrat being George McGovern, a U.S. Senator from South Dakota and prominent anti-war politician. McGovern faced Nixon in the general election and McGovern suffered one of the worst, most dramatic defeats for a presidential nominee in U.S. history. However, Nixon's landslide reelection didn't mean it didn't have a cost, Nixon was caught sabotaging the Democrats, he received a blowback from the American people and concrete proof of his corruption turned even his own party against him to resign in disgrace in 1974.

### Chawosaurian Revolutionary Party

On March 20, 2022, Garfield Lucas Webster IV announced his candidacy for Supreme Leader, putting his uncle Juneau Lucas Webster in an awkward position given he was a speculated favorite against Parker.

## Potential Independents

There could be Independents interested to run.

## Declined to be candidates

These are candidates who have no interest in running in 2029.

Jonathan Dragan Boleslaus X, Chancellor of the Federal Republic of North AmericaJonathan Sarban Boleslaus VIII, Vice President of the Empire of ChawosauriaJezebel Isela Briskman, Spouse of the Prime Minister of the Empire of Chawosauria from 2010 to 2019Genghis Taizong, Federal Chancellor of the Continent UnionJonathan Lachlan MacAlasdair VIII, Prime Minister of the Empire of Chawosauria from 2000 to 2009Jonathan Sidney MacCarthy III, Prime Minister of the Empire of Chawosauria from January 1, 2020 to April 20, 2020Jonathan Dragan Bismarck XXJonathan Ludwig Bismarck IISamantha A. Montgomery, Chawosaurian SenatorSydney Lucas Webster

Sydney Webster, Samantha Montgomery, and Jonathan MacAlasdair lost their eligibility to the Imperial Constitution of the Empire of Chawosauria, and Genghis Taizong died in 2021. Montgomery died in 2023.

Former Prime Minister Jezebel Isela Boleslaus became the first person since her mother on April 13, 2020, to refuse to run.

## Declined Parties

These political parties refused to participate in this election because of the sentiment that the incumbent Supreme Leader, Shang Jong Parker, is unbeatable. All of these parties refused to endorse Charles Muskie, while two parties endorsed Shang Parker for reelection, one party may endorse Parker for reelection.

* **Chawosaurian Liberal Democrats** *(refused to endorse Muskie)*
* **Agrarian Farmer-Labour Populist Party** *(may endorse Shang Parker)*
* **Christian Democratic People's Republican Party** *(refused to endorse Muskie)*
* **Grassroots Democratic People's Green Party** *(refused to endorse Muskie, but may endorse Parker)*
* **Chawosaurian Blazkowican Party** *(endorsed Shang Parker for reelection)*
* **Chawosaurian Socialist Party** *(endorsed Shang Parker for reelection)*
* **Chawosaurian Progressive Party** *(refused to endorse Muskie)*
* **Patriotic Party** *(refused to endorse Muskie)*

## Events and Issues

> *For the history of Chawosauria in the early 2020s, see main articles: Monarchy of Shang Jong Parker and the 2020-2024 Chawosaurian Government*
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Because the Communist Party holds both the Monarchy and the Chawopolis Palace since January 1, 2020, this makes 2024 an extremely unfavorable year for Shang Parker's anti-communist opponents. The only non-communist party, the Social Democratic Workers' Labour Party, need to add 394 seats to their total 107 seats to win 501 seats, 493 seats if they want to win a supermajority.

### COVID-19 Pandemic and the Communist Party of China

> *Main articles: COVID-19 Cases in Chawosauria, War on Coronavirus, and the 2020-2023 Chawosauria Lockdown*
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   The 2020 COVID-19 global pandemic has shifted the aims of the elections and threatened to scrutinize the Communist Party and its brand. The Communist Party, after supporting China in the previous election in 2019, has now turned on China over the coronavirus pandemic. However, the Communist Party joined Shang Jong Parker to prevent a COVID-19 outbreak in Chawosauria and supported Parker's War on Coronavirus initiatives. The Parker administration became un-nerved by the spread of COVID-19 as they promised, well previously, not to do a lockdown, only to be forced to break that promise and it resulted in Parker having to declare a national emergency, martial law, and the general mobilization of the entire Chawosaurian Imperial Armed Forces to enforce the 2020-2023 Chawosauria Lockdown which began in March 2020 after being ordered by the entire 2020-2024 Chawosaurian Government, which such protocols were reserved for a potential nuclear holocaust or a zombie apocalypse.

China suffered a decline in global perception for their handling of the COVID-19 prelude, attempting to cover it up and pretend there's nothing to be concerned about, only to be proven horribly wrong as the disease becomes able to escape from China and began infecting other countries in a matter of less than five months. By March 2020, it was widely clear that a pandemic has begun and it will be a brutal one. China and its people more unfairly than the country itself has became the oblivious scapegoat for the pandemic, crippling diplomatic relations and discrimination and violence against Chinese ethnics spread with no fault of their own and equally vulnerable to infection.

### State of the Anti-Communists

The Capitalists' standing was damaged by the Impeachment of Prime Minister Jonathan Sidney MacCarthy III over allegations that due to his Irish bloodline, he is a Catholic while serving in public office, which it's taboo in Chawosauria due to fears of religious wars seen in the Crusades and culture wars seen in the Western world. The lack of unity among the Capitalist opposition on MacCarthy's impeachment gave the Communist Party enough to impeach him and pressure him to either resign or face conviction in the Senate which would mean forced removal from office. Chawosaurian civilians got angry at anti-impeachment politicians calling for a recall election rather than impeachment proceedings. An unpopular position (84% of the public opposed a recall election), this position made the politicians who called for a recall election vulnerable of losing their seats. Social Democratic leadership refused to have an official position on a recall election due to its massive unpopularity.

    Following the Capitalists' loss in the 2019 Chawosaurian elections, there is a fight on rather the Capitalists should go to the center to keep liberals, moderates, and conservatives on the same bandwagon, or go far to the left to try to attract some socialist voters who are already shifting to the Communist Party in support for Shang Parker. The Capitalists are trying to juggle both balls by shifting to the right with Charles Muskie in the 2020 Chawosaurian Opposition leadership election while letting the only capitalist party in legislature: the Social Democratic Workers' Labour Party, to shift more to the left as they see fit. Unfortunately, according to many political pundits and experts, that is a strategy bound to fail. Not having a consistent message is what always cost elections. In July 2020, once again, embarrassing chaos erupted in the anti-communist parties of Chawosauria over the vacancy of third party status following the collapse of the Chawosaurian Progressive Party, and the race to replace the Progressives as third party. Talks of a third party selection will began by August 2020, and it is unknown when the party selection will take place. This is the first time in Chawosauria that a party participating in a legislative election dissolved and had to be replaced before that legislative election even started or occurred. On September 15, 2020, it was decided that the Grassroots Democratic People's Green Party of Chawosauria, the Chawosaurian Liberal Democrats, and other parties cannot participate because they did not get 1,000,000 votes due to either sharing an election result with another party (Grassroots Democratic People's Green Party) or never visited (Chawosaurian Liberal Democrats). Jezebel Isela Boleslaus, Sydney Lucas Webster, and Charles Muskie are the only three qualified Prime Ministerial candidates.

### Chawosaurian interest in U.S. Politics

> *Main article; Chawosauria in the 2020 United States Presidential Election*
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    Donald Trump lost reelection in the 2020 presidential election in the United States, sparking wide relief among the capitalist opposition to Shang Parker, the capitalists now have the space they needed to run American candidates for the Palace, even give them funding. Trump's electoral downfall was a victory for Chawosaurian American candidates and Chawopolis Palace incumbents from the United States who were worried about not getting funds and endorsements from their respective parties due to discomfort among these parties about supporting Chawosaurian candidates running in Chawosaurian electoral districts located in the United States, a nation being represented by a President seen by many around the world as an idiot, a bigot, and a tyrant.

   The 2020 U.S. presidential election made two parties decide against participating in this legislative election cycle, the Popular Democratic People's National Party feared that their past support for Donald Trump will haunt them after the 2021 storming of the U.S. Capitol, in the similar fashion George Windsor was haunted by his past support for Tony Blair, the U.K. Prime Minister, whose popularity declined due to his role in the Iraq War, and Blair was still Prime Minister during the 2005 Chawosaurian legislative elections, costing George Windsor 67 seats to Jonathan Lachlan MacAlasdair VIII. Also impacted by the 2020 U.S. presidential election, the Grassroots Democratic People's Green Party of Chawosauria withdrew from the election because of the fear of potential association with the Green Party of the United States after the U.S. Green Party kicked out the Green Party of Alaska for refusing to recognize the party's 2020 Green presidential ticket. This makes the U.S. Green Party look like a cult in the eyes of Chawosaurian voters. But the situation with the U.S. Green Party is less intense than the civil war in the U.S. Republican Party, on May 12, 2021, Republicans in the United States House of Representatives, which its under slim Democratic control, oust third top Republican leader, Liz Cheney, daughter of former Vice President Dick Cheney under U.S. President George W. Bush (a) back in the 2000s. Liz Cheney was removed from leadership role because she proclaimed that the 2020 U.S. Presidential Election was not rigged, thus declaring U.S. President Joe Biden (a) as America's legitimate commander in chief rightfully elected by the American people, and that caused such an uproar within the Republican Party that they flat out removed her, only to infuriate their moderate wing into threatening to form a third party to give those moderate Republicans a choice rather than reluctantly voting for Democrats.

Chawosaurian conservatives were deeply discouraged by the situation with American conservatism, resorting in some Chawo-conservatives to shift slightly to the left, or others just not caring much about politics at all. Progressive conservatives and green conservatives begin fighting within the Popular Democratic People's National Party or wanting to either form their own party or gain influence over the incredibly socialist-leaning but slightly anti-communist Social Democratic Workers' Labour Party. Some look to the Chawosaurian Liberal Democrats and given the widely non-religious culture of Chawosauria, no conservative in Chawosauria is looking up to the Christian Democratic People's Republican Party. In 2021, the Parker administration and the Chawosaurian government escalated the Chawo-Uralic War, in a time when it seemed as if the world is ready to move beyond COVID-19 thanks to vaccines. What started the Chawo-Uralic War was the Treaty of Bucharest's establishment of the Ural Wall, an intercontinental border between the Federal Republic of Europe from the westside and the Federal Republic of Asia from the eastside of the border, the Ural Wall is not an actual wall but just a separation barrier; however, Uralic Chawosaurians living in the Ural Mountains which has become part of the Ural Wall felt the socio-economic burden of the Ural Wall, beginning the Uralic Insurgency and the Chawo-Uralic Conflict between the Chawosaurian government and the Uralic locals.

On May 24, 2022, Wendell Rawlings Burton takes over the Chawosaurian Revolutionary Party, Burton's election chances of becoming Prime Minister of the Empire of Chawosauria is really not great nor impressive; Chawosauria is a left-wing nation, over 90% of Chawosaurians in polling surveys from 1947 to 2021 identify themselves as left-wing, and under 10% of Chawosaurians don't identify is not left-wing. Wendell Burton's supporters fear being linked to U.S. President Donald Trump due to his controversial presidency and the storming of the U.S. Capitol on January 6, 2021, and during the 2019 Chawosaurian direct election, then incumbent Supreme Leader Ekewaka Mikala Kalawai'a made a failed attempt to distance himself from Trump, but he was interfered with his American citizenship, Chawosaurians have dual-citizenships, and Supreme Leader Kalawai'a lost to Shang Jong Parker in a landslide. How should Burton handle the issue of abortion amid the backdrop of the fate of *Roe v. Wade* in the United States, Burton's supporters are sharply divided on how he should handle the issue, pro-lifers urged Burton to take an anti-abortion stance given that he is a Republican and abortion is taboo in Chawosauria, but some suggested neutrality because the overturning of abortion rights in America still doesn't look good for the Chawosaurian right and exploiting the issue for electoral gain is showing signs of backfiring, abortion is a taboo subject in Chawosauria that even making a political issue out of abortion won't be tolerated in Chawosauria. Burton suggested that since abortion is legal in Chawosauria despite being overwhelmingly unpopular, Chawosauria's socialist political higherups should be challenged into passing laws restricting abortion while maintaining neutrality on the issue during the 2024 election campaign.

In the 2022 U.S. midterm elections, the U.S. Democratic Party had secured a strong showing in the elections for a party that controls the White House, throughout U.S. political history, midterm elections are unfriendly turf for the President. Democratic overperformance was aided by youth turnout due to anger over the fall of Roe, and it made it easy for the Democrats to lock down their already control of the U.S. Senate and limited their collapse in the U.S. House of Representatives, forcing Republicans to grapple with the reality of a narrow and pyrrhic victory instead of a landslide one in the U.S. House. Making things worse for Republicans, the Democrats gained in their hand in state governments, crucially Secretaries of State, state offices that preside over elections particularly for President, Democrats won them all and the Governor of Pennsylvania that appoints the Secretary of State, leaving the crucial Great Lakes states secured for Democrats for 2024.

### The Ural Wall and the Chawo-Uralic War

> *Main articles: Ural Wall and the Chawo-Uralic War*
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    The Ural Wall is a continental border that separates two of Chawosauria's six Continental Federal Republics, two of which being the Federal Republic of Europe and the Federal Republic of Asia, as part of the overall borders of the Union of Continental Federal Republics. Though not an actual border wall, it is a mountainous hard border located mainly on the Eurasian mountain range called the Ural Mountains, giving the Ural Wall its name, though the border also stretches below the Ural Mountains to the south, partially separating Russia from Kazakhstan; the Caucasus from Turkmenistan, Iran, and Turkey; and then Turkey from Greece, making it the longest border in the world if the Ural Wall exists in the Outer World. On June 23, 2019, following the successful conclusion of the Chawosaurian Civil War which ended the Chawosaurian Revolution, the Chawosaurian Imperial Government, through the signing of the Treaty of Bucharest, unwittingly established a hard border on Chawosaurian settlements on the Ural Mountains to define the boundary between the Federal Republic of Europe and the Federal Republic of Asia. The Chawosaurian Imperial Government does not track its population, and this new border was so hard that it made it extremely difficult for Chawosaurian communities in the Ural Mountains to live their everyday lives and the border greatly disrupted their economies, resulting in anger which led to the Uralic Insurgency, which left the Chawosaurian government utterly confused that there are citizens living in the Ural Mountains but the government responded with military force anyway instead of diplomatically resolving the conflict, Military action has only made it worse and it led to the outbreak of the disastrous Chawo-Uralic War. For so many years, borders were advertised to Chawosaurians as a public safety necessity and the reputation of borders amongst Chawosaurians is forever damaged by the giant clusterfuck of a border situation in the Ural Mountains, it doesn't help the popularity of borders so much amongst Chawosaurians that the Ural Wall is dividing citizens... of the very same nation... rather than separating citizens from two different countries.

    The Chawosaurian general public turned on borders and strong border politics as a result of the Ural Wall and the Chawo-Uralic War. After a temporary ceasefire of the war ordered by the Chawosaurian government so they can deal with the COVID-19 pandemic, the war was re-escalated to finish the Uralic insurgency and force citizens to move to Siberia to use their land as border property after discovering the against the border after discovering the Caspian-Urals Aid Network, but the government wanted to cover up the truth about why Chawosauria is really fighting the Chawo-Uralic War, so the Chawosaurian government came up with the narrative of the ISIL-Caspian Triangle, accusing the Uralic Insurgents and their Caspian suppliers of aiding and abetting with ISIS forces in the Caucasus to rally support for the war knowing the Chawosaurian public will not support the intension of the war and the Ural border itself would not be very popular. The 2020-2024 Chawosaurian Government enacted the Caspian Sea Resolution to conscript and mobilize Chawosaurians into military service, however, these actions by the Chawosaurian government only cost Chawosauria further control of the conflict, creating an even messier war and effectively crippled Chawosaurian morale for the war effort and eventually strong border politics when it became clear to the Chawosaurian public that the Ural Wall is the source of the quickly unraveling Chawo-Uralic War. Starting in 2022, Chawosaurians begin to question the purpose of border security and borders generally more than they question the Chawo-Uralic War.

### The possibility of a Chawosaurian Revolutionary Party wave

> *Main articles: Chawosaurian Revolutionary Party and Wendell Rawlings Burton*
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    Historically, conservatives are catastrophically weak amongst the Chawosaurian electorate since the infamous collapse of conservative party viability in Chawosaurian politics in the 1925 Chawosaurian legislative elections, which conservatives had yet to recover from. During the Cold War, the Chawosaurian electorate moved far to the left in favor of the Chawallian Communist Party due to the Soviet Union's role in finishing World War II in Europe, Chawosaurian hatred for the western world for the colonial age and its influence on Chawosaurian politics at the time, and the role of Christianity (a deeply unpopular religion in Chawosauria) in western world politics, and by 1980, Chawosauria would be a full socialist state as the last conservative party presence faded away after the end of the conservative premiership of Jonathan Dragan Bismarck XVII and his unsuccessful Coalition Party. The Cold War would go on to end following the crumbling of the communist world and the resultant collapse of the Soviet Union in 1991, drastically shifting the global balance of power entirely to the western world.

In the 21st century, conservatism made a bad impression on Chawosaurians for its opposition to LGBT rights, their support for the War on Terror which Chawosaurians widely saw as typical western world colonialism, and the tumultuous Presidency of Donald Trump in the United States. The conservative movement in Chawosauria began to make an effort to distance themselves from the traditional conservative movement in the western world, putting distance on themselves from the Christian right, Christian democracy, Trumpism, right-wing populism, Israel, and in some cases, neoliberal and fiscal conservative elements, to instead build a "Chawosauria-based conservatism" based on Chawosaurian cultural values while at the same time ignoring or allow different ideas on how the economy should be managed in Chawosauria, and they have embraced the LGBT community, secular government, labor unions, certain aspects of socialism, Chawosaurian Agrarianism, Chawosauria's pagan past, and strongly denounced Christianity, Judaism, and all religions in general.

The Chawosaurian Revolutionary Party was established in December 2021 to attract anti-socialists who strayed away following the collapse of the anti-communist 24th Chawopolis Palace in the 2019 Chawosaurian elections to the Chawosaurian Communist Party and the resultant survival of the sole anti-communist but moderately socialist Social Democratic Workers' Labour Party, who most folded in favor of the Communist Party's agenda throughout the entire 2020-2024 Chawosaurian Government. Wendell Rawlings Burton became leader of the Chawosaurian Revolutionary Party on May 24, 2022, but his presence at first caused concern, Burton is a member of the U.S. Republican Party, but he didn't vote for Donald Trump in 2016 nor 2020, and Burton is a moderate conservative who accepts the party's strategy for a Chawosaurianized conservatism.

### The fallout of Queen Elizabeth II's death and a subsequent King and Queen of Britain

   Queen Elizabeth II of Britain, who had reigned Britain since 1952 at the time the British Empire had remained, passed away after her 70-year service on the throne. This will result in her eldest son, Charles III, and his second wife, Camilla, will be the King regent and the Queen consort of the United Kingdom.

Chawosauria had a complicated relationship with European monarchies, particularly those in Western Europe, nations with access to the Atlantic Ocean as well as being the ones with the advanced technology, giving them the ability to colonize the new world that was accidentally discovered by the Italian explorer Christopher Columbus in 1492, but European colonialism had took a dark turn when European settlers encounter the western hemisphere's indigenous populations, with the prominent downfall of the Aztecs, which had since made the then Chawalliankalitan Empire to live in fear of being next. That eventually happened when the Chawo-Wolfsberg War broke out in 1861, when the Wolfsberg Empire and their British supporters invaded the Chawalliankalitans and ended the Chawalliankalitan civilization in the 1900s, resulting in the creation of the Empire of Chawosauria and their own Orbis but had to be influenced by British politics. The Wolfsberg Empire attempted to convert Chawosaurians to Christianity but Chawosaurians fiercely resisted often violently, but when the Revolutions of 1917-1923 occurred, Chawosaurians became attracted to socialism due to its anti-religious and anti-colonial appeal, and dramatically changed Chawosaurian politics forever in the landmark 1945 Chawosaurian legislative elections, where the Chawallian Communist Party led by Timothy Max Roosevelt won a landslide majority in the Imperial Assembly of the Chawopolis Palace. The 1945 elections permanently ended British political influence and it spelled the end of the Wolfsberg Empire's Christianization efforts on Chawosaurians, dooming the whole Christian mission. and when the socialists completed their takeover of Chawosauria by 1980, the last Christian missionaries were chased out of Chawosauria and British political influence was already gone, and this is the origin of present day socialist rule of Chawosauria. The Chawallian Communist Party favored the Soviet Union against the western world, which comprised of the veteran colonial powers of western Europe, which opposed communism.

### The so-called *"political danger"* of White American men as Parliamentary Leaders

    Jonathan Lachlan MacAlasdair VIII, Sydney Lucas Webster, and Wendell Rawlings Burton, are White Americans, all born in the United States, born during the era of racial segregation in the U.S., and the history of White Americans is marked by the brush of shame of racism, Native American genocide, the enslavement and disenfranchisement of Black Americans, and the subjugation of women in the U.S., and several other atrocities in the United States. An explanation of why the 2024 election is too uncertain to characterize as which party has an advantage. Non-white Chawosaurians have been the most supportive of the Chawosaurian left than White Chawosaurians are, but signs that they are less motivated to vote in the 2024 elections. To many Chawosaurians, White Americans are descendants of European colonialism, though the United States fought for its independence from colonial rule.

Prime Minister Jonathan Lachlan MacAlasdair VIII has a strong, thick, southern accent, and he had publicly defended the Confederate flag before, back when he was Prime Minister during the 2000s when the Confederate flag was more popular in America compared to today as of the year 2022, when throughout the 2000s to 2022, the flag's reputation had steadily declined, leading to many southern states to remove their Confederate insignias, with Mississippi being the last of the entire southern region to do so due to the surprisingly multiracial backlash against the police killing of the Black American man, George Floyd, in 2020.

### Rise of Space Exploration in the 2020s

    The 2020s is expected to be the decade where space exploration becomes a human reality, it was first successfully experimented during the Cold War, but Chawosaurians at the time tolerated it. Space exploration has taken a new turn in the early 2020s, with the launching of the Artemis program. Robotic and human astronauts would be taking on space missions and it was announced that space colonialism will be a reality in the 2020s. Space colonization has always been a widely to universal unpopular subject in the Chawosaurian world, and socialism is widely associated with scientific ambition, and that was appealing to Chawosaurians due to fear of religion which relationship with science is known to have been complicated. Chawosaurian anti-socialists have made the constant mistake of condoning religion, which had always alienated Chawosaurians to support socialism even more, so Chawosaurian socialists are weary of making the similar mistake with futuristic science, hoping to dodge backlash from Chawosaurians.

Chawosaurians dislike space colonization and robots because of strong fear and paranoia that they could overpower or corrupt the human race and bring economic inequality. Technology, when becomes robotic, does tent to put people out of work, and moving to space colonies will likely be crazily expensive, meaning only wealthy members of society can afford a home on a space colony and governments will be more attracted to investing into space colonies more than Planet Earth based on economic class lines. The Chawosaurian anti-socialist movement, partly united under the Chawosaurian Revolutionary Party led by Wendell Rawlings Burton, see a realigning opportunity to take a stand against space colonization and robotization, which will surely attract working class Chawosaurians, the traditional base of Chawosaurian socialists. Chawosaurian farmers were warned that they will be overtaxed and overworked but underpaid in the future to aid the food supplies of the space exploration effort, and a movement to the right could be foreseen.

### Surging Backlash against the 21st Century

   More older Chawosaurians as well as working class Chawosaurians more generally began to show resentment and disgust with the trend of 21st century culture, Chawosaurians begin to show extremely weary of the trends of fashion, politics, music, technology, and so on and so forth. Chawosaurians feel fundamental displeasure with music trends, as it appears like hip hop is taking over everything and Chawosaurians from the older generations see hip hop as evolved as encouraging money and sex, and Chawosaurian women widely complain that the hip hop industry is spreading misogyny for the way women are displayed in hip hop videos and male rappers repeatedly calling women "shawty", making Chawosaurian women feel resentful towards the hip hop industry, and more older Chawosaurians from across the spectrum, many of whom may have somewhat accepted the musical art of hip hop, begin to complain the hip hop as showing off lifestyle and bragging about it and the women, and younger Chawosaurians begin to adapt, similarly to those from the western world.

Chawosaurians also begin to grow exhausted with fashion trends, not liking how people today dress, talk, dance, and so forth. As technology evolves throughout the century, this causes fear among working class Chawosaurians of what is called "technological unemployment" which is when a worker loses his/her job due to being replaced by technology that can do the work, which is more appealing to corporate higherups because organic workers require pay and robotic workers do not require pay, causing corporations to embrace automation because it makes them richer, but it badly disadvantages lower class people because thanks to automation and technological takeover of the employment sector, poverty will be a permanently generational thing. Because of this, working and employed Chawosaurians deeply fear technological unemployment and automation, making this a serious political issue in Chawosauria that Chawosaurian politicians, call of whom are left-wing, have usually ignored the issue.

Chawosaurians begin to show a surging unwelcoming to smart technology such as smartphones, tablets, smart TVs, and their children more obsessive with their technology that it had have an impact on their academic performances, though smart technology have made things easier for teachers, but Chawosaurian parents and legal guardians have grown sick of their children having any access to technology.

   Then finally, another fear regarding technology, technology becoming intelligent and turning on humanity. That fear had been ticking up since the last decade of the 20th century but became only a little noticeable in the 2000s, mostly due to movies and TV shows containing robots such as *Robots* (2005), *Skyland* (series: 2005-2007), *My Life as a Teenage Robot* (series: 2003-2005), and then the movie *I, Robot* (2004), where humanoid robots were created to serve humans, but then they turned on humans and tried to take over the world. All of these movies and TV shows, especially I, Robot, escalated Chawosaurian anxieties of smart or intelligent technology.

When the first smartphones arrived in the late 2000s, Chawosaurians were cautiously welcoming, but many were still not amused with their presence. The popularity of smartphones spread like a virus all over the world, but so has anti-technology sentiment all over Chawosauria, then tablets became a thing, also spreading in popularity but maybe not as much as phones, and smart technology evolved to greater advancement throughout the 2010s, making Chawosaurians incredibly weary of their presence. The internet took over every aspect of technology even those that previously didn't need WIFI, such as TVs as they now became smart TVs.

These Chawosaurian sentiments have attributed to the shock results of the 2018 Age of Smartphone Referendum, ultimately making these issues serious.

Wendell Rawlings Burton and the Chawosaurian Revolutionary Party have planned to take advantage of these issues, they begin to criticize hip hop and pointed out that the Chawosaurian Communist Party abandoned the Social Morality Act of 2020, which sought to ban hip hop nationwide. Burton by 2023 began to make a priority to stop corporations from turning into automation, and made an ambitious promise to penalize corporations for putting workers out of work by replacing them with free labor by technology and robots. The Chawosaurian Revolutionary Party begin to become the only party taking technological unemployment seriously. However, General Secretary Linghu Xiaoliang had been fighting with Supreme Leader Shang Jong Parker over the direction of the Chawosaurian Communist Party, Linghu had been promoting communist candidates who hold conservative views against Parker's liberal reforms and many of Linghu's candidates hold anti-modernist views while holding anti-religious views, making some Burton allies nervous. Linghu Communists as they are called, or Linghists, are members of the Chawosaurian Communist Party who are traditional communists, opposition to religion, as well as opposition to modernization, and they are agrarians. Linghu Communists are lining up to challenge Parkerian Communists (communists who are progressive) in the 2023 Chawosaurian Communist Party primaries.

### The Rise of Linghu Communists

> *Main article: Chess for the Throne, Linghu Xiaoliang, 2023 Chawosaurian Communist Party primaries, Linghism, and Linghu Communists*
>
>

    Linghu Xiaoliang, incumbent General Secretary of the Empire of Chawosauria and former Imperial Senator from the Senate District of East Asia, felt alienated by his old friend and Supreme Leader Shang Jong Parker's progressive approach to his communist rule. Parker enhanced a semi direct democracy and strong human rights into the Imperial Constitution of the Empire of Chawosauria in 2022 and 2023. Linghu's version of communism is old school, authoritarianism and only few human rights. Parker was diagnosed with stomach cancer in December 2022 and he received medical attention in early 2023.

### Other Events

The Independents nominated Elmo as their parliamentary leader to draw a line between independence and going by the rules. The Independents justified this joke candidate by saying all parliamentary leaders are jokes and used the nominee of the Youth International Party, known as yippies, of the 1968 U.S. presidential election was a pig named Pigasus to symbolize both Nixon and Humphrey as pro-war pigs during the War in Vietnam. However, this was universally mocked and cast a bad light on the anti-communists. There was division in interpretation of the 2022 French legislative elections, since Chawosaurian politics is becoming more like France's, however unlike Chawosauria, France's legislative elections are inconsistent.

## General Election

This is the first Chawosaurian direct election to be under the constitutional restriction of the Imperial Constitution of the Empire of Chawosauria that became law in the early 2020s.

## Opinion Polling and Prediction

### Prediction

Prediction
 BBC Chawosauria
 MSNBC Chawosauria
 Predictor

By 2020, Shang Parker was widely predicted to get reelected to a second term for no other reason other than he is the incumbent running for that second term as a communist. Parker's reelection advantage was solidified by the Covid-19 pandemic from the early 2020s. But due to the Chawo-Uralic War, Parker's reelection chances plummeted severely, that his reelection polling average is now in the 40s by November 2021.

Chawosaurian public opinion began to yield for change from the status quo, making Parker's reelection prospects slim to none, and for the Chawosaurian Communist Party, tough to keep control of the Monarchy.

### Two-Way Polls

Polls documented on Chawosauria Wikia since May 2022.

#### Shang Jong Parker vs. Juneau Lucas Webster

Juneau Lucas Webster has shown himself in polling to be the strongest opponent against Shang Jong Parker.

#### Shang Jong Parker vs. Charles Muskie

Pre-election two round polls between Shang Jong Parker and Charles Muskie
 OneThousand
 Gallup Chawosauria
 Polling Source

### Second Chance Polls

Second chance polls on Supreme Leader Shang Jong Parker
 Date
 November 8, 2023
 Date

## See also

TBD

1. ↑ Shang Jong Parker was one of Chawosauria's most powerful political titan alongside Garfield Lucas Webster and Jonathan Dragan Bismarck XVII and as Supreme Leader of the Empire of Chawosauria, Parker had been the most accomplished of all Supreme Leader for better or worse.