Argentina/Paths

Following a decade of the Patriotic League's infighting, yet another financial crisis strikes Argentina in 1956, prompting yet another attempt at a coup d'état by Argentina's ever-persistent officers while the LP's factions continue bickering.

### Path 1 - The League endures

Though the Patriotic League survives the popular coup, its internal division between its factions has become completely untenable, triggering mass riots in the streets and purges in the night. Much like his predecessor, Lonardi's time is limited; the mass violence and inability for the party to curb its internal struggles has led to the kidnapping of a key party official. The launch of yet another purge, recalling the events of the 1950s, has further legitimized the struggle as a shadow looms over Argentina, fought not with officers, but with the people.

The final straw breaking the camel's back in Argentina is the Santiago Spring, as the proxy National Republic of Chile falls, declaring the restoration of democracy under the old Syndicalist government.

#### Path 1A - Lonardi endures

If Lonardi prevails within the party, appealing once again to the Catholic elite, mass resistance only increases, and public pressure will boil over and trigger mass civilian uprisings as the Party opposition, in a last ditch attempt expels him. In a last ditch attempt at keeping his government, Lonardi marches once again on Buenos Aires in an attempted self-coup that results in **civil war**.

#### Path 1B - Anquín returns

The return of Nimio de Anquín represents the triumph of his own, personal faction, driving Argentina away from Lonardi's integralist bureaucracy and further towards an all-encompassing personalist dictatorship. Anquín, enacting his own paranoid reprecussions against all opposition, proceeds to purge Argentine society to consolidate its position firmly into the ground; gradually launching mass killings and purges against immigrant communities, Jews, certain landowners, and individuals associated with the Lonardi cabinet, gaining favor with both the far-right and some far-left groups. Lonardi narrowly escapes the chaos, fleeing to Portuguese Central Africa.

As Caudillo, Anquín would strongarm the party and country like any other Argentine dictator; however, as his leadership progresses, he would become more and more extreme in his policies, coming further towards the chaos that initially defined his return, cracking down further and further upon Argentine resistance and beginning the Dirty War. He will purge the party even further to neuter the Tacuarists while further empowering his close allies and cabinet.

The most striking aspect of his dictatorship would be his promotion of aggressive irredentism and ultramilitarism, widening his appeal with the whole of the party while causing panic in neighboring countries. When intervening in Chile, he will outright form an autonomous governorate, much like what was formed in Paraguay decades earlier, causing a mass exodus of Chilean refugees abroad; particularly into Uruguay, which already became a haven for the Paraguayan and Argentine resistance. As a result, he'll increasingly push for Uruguayan concessions, demanding they extradite their refugees for crimes against the government, sparking a diplomatic crisis with Brazil. When negotiations fail, Camps will order a full-scale invasion of Uruguay, sparking the **Great South American War**.

#### Part 1C - Goyeneche outmaneuvers both

Goyeneche, a prominent minister in the Argentine government, has a golden opportunity to play Lonardi, Anquín, and Rojas off of eachother, presenting himself and his Tacuarist movement as an olive branch to the military officers who had opposed the League, as well as to elements of the populace who would see him as a new and exciting radical.

Though Goyeneche will institute a new era for Argentina under his totalitarian government, he will have to contend with compromising with faction opposition and military leaders while establishing his state. The Goyeneche regime will embrace the creation of an ultranationalist welfare state, embracing corporatism and eliminating perceived usury at all costs. Goyeneche is unique in his interactions with the new Chile, and, like most other successors, spark the Chilean Intervention War. However, if won, the new government will not emulate the former National Republic, but instead be declared as a national syndicalist Falangist state under Miguel Serrano.

### Path 2 - Coup d'état

If the coup succeeds, a military junta will be formed with the moderate *azulista* Isaac Rojas at its head. Rojas aims to transition Argentina into a de jure democracy, de facto military stratocracy, but will have to tie a stiff balance between the still-powerful Liga Patriótica, as well as the opposing *Colorado* faction of the officer corps, who disagrees on its moderate policies and wishes to fully outlaw the League.

#### Path 2A - Successful transition

if Rojas manages to successfully navigate the tightrope of appeasing the public, the League, and the rest of the officers, the military junta will hold a stable and firm position. Rojas will focus on navigating the Buenos Aires-Lima Axis into a legitimate Sphere in global politics, moving away from the Accord and towards a more flexible international policy.

#### Path 2B - Colorado coup

If Rojas moves too far in favor of the League, the tightrope collapses as the *Colorado* kingpin Juan Perón takes charge in a coup d'état. An influential figure who has dominated the Colorado movement, Perón curries favor between the more old guard of still anti-League officers, democratic activists, and trade unionists, but is staunchly opposed to both capitalists and communists alike.

#### Path 2C - League countercoup

If Rojas moves too far in favor of the people, the League's remnants will launch a countercoup and reclaim its former position, forming an interim government. However, during the now-resumed power struggle between integralists and tacuanists, Goyeneche is assassinated in the midst of the already-boiling conflict, causing the newly-restored League to break apart, causing **civil war.**

## Second Argentine Civil War

Main article: Second Argentine Civil War
The Second Argentine Civil War can start on all paths if not managed properly. In all, however, the factions will remain the same. It is kickstarted usually by the assassination of Juan Carlos Goyeneche by an unknown agent.

### Patagonist Victory

If the Patagonists win, they will inaugurate John William Cooke as the Chairman of the **Patagonist Republic of Argentina**, and the independence of Paraguay will be restored. The Buenos Aires-Lima Axis will completely collapse; instead being replaced with the **Southern Union**; a pro-International economic and military union between it, Chile, and newly-independent Paraguay.

#### Second War of the Confederation

The Peru-Bolivian Confederation will be outraged at the complete collapse of an entire semisphere, and will attempt to take matters into their own hands as the target of secret cooperation between the Entente and the Moscow Accord; steering gunboat diplomacy and paranoia against the Southern Union. Canada will blockade the southern cone, much to the chagrin of Brazil and the Third International, causing diplomatic crisis and a breakdown of negotiations, sparking the Southern Union to launch a joint invasion of the Confederation.

If the Union is victorious in the Confederation, the Republic of Bolivia will declare independence and the Peru-Bolivian Confederation will officially be broken, with Peru retreating to consolidate its position. Though Bolivia will immediately cede Antofagasta to Chile, it will keep the Chaco, and the territory of Arica-Tarapacá will be held by the Peruvian government, keeping tensions high between Peru and the Union. Bolivia, a neutral power, will fall afterwards to a civil war between pro-Entente democrats, pro-Peru nationalists, and pro-Union socialists.

If the war endures for too long, Ernesto Guevara will be captured and killed by a Pacific agent in Bolivia, and Canadian operatives will send in the Río de la Plata Expeditionary Force (RPEF) into Buenos Aires in what's dubbed as the "Third Intervention War", as the Patagonists suffer massive negative bonuses. If/when the RPEF wins in this case, it will form an Entente proxy state in the form of a capitalist military junta, re-annexing Paraguay and forcing the revolution back to Chile. Though the decision not to restore the Patriotic League will be hated by the Accord, they will nevertheless be satisfied with the second defeat of Argentine socialism.