recursal/Fanatic-Fandom huggingface dataset:
Atlantic/2019/01Q/Archive/10

Tropical Storm Iba Discussion Number 10

Wiki-Hurricanes Forecast Center

12:00 AM AST Tue Mar 26 2019

Like clockwork, Iba lost most of its deep convection this afternoon. And like clockwork, deep convection has blossomed over the eastern quadrant of the storm this evening, despite the fact that the low-level circulation remains partially exposed at this time. A 2230z ScatSat pass showed maximum winds between 35-40kt, and SAB is unchanged from its assessment of T3.0/45kt, so the initial intensity remains 40kt.

The window for Iba to intensify has closed, with westerly wind shear beginning to increase as evident on satellite animations. This shear will continue to keep the center decoupled from the deepest convection while also injecting very dry mid-level air into the storm. Thus, Iba is likely to die a quick death in about 48 hours.

There is actually a change in the forecast track to note tonight, with model guidance generally backing off the idea of Ida accelerating southeastward. Instead, it appears the cyclone will drift southward for the next 24 hours or so before meandering east and ultimately dissipating. This change in the track also means that intensification as a post-tropical cyclone appears less likely than in previous advisories. Dissipation is expected by the end of the period, but this may be too generous.

FORECAST MAX WINDS

INIT 26/0300Z 40 KT 45 MPH

12H 26/1200Z 35 KT 40 MPH

24H 27/0000Z 35 KT 40 MPH

36H 27/1200Z 30 KT 35 MPH

48H 28/0000Z 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW

72H 29/0000Z 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW

96H 30/0000Z 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW

120H 31/0000Z...DISSIPATED
Atlantic/2019/01Q/Archive/17

Tropical Depresssion Iba Discussion Number 17

Wiki-Hurricanes Forecast Center

06:00 PM AST Wed Mar 27 2019

Iba is holding on to its tropical cyclone classification for dear life. The tropical depression's circulation continues to lose definition as it spirals slowly southeastward, remaining mostly exposed as strong wind shear prevents any westward return of convection. High-resolution visible imagery shows that the circulation's rotation is starting to open up some, although the system has managed to fire off some convection again. A newly received ASCAT-B scatterometer pass from around 12z sampled the eastern semicircle of Iba's ciculation, recording a fairly disorganized wind field with 30 kt winds localized in squalls over 2 degrees removed from the center with a swath of 25 kt winds in the dry inflow notch to the center's northeast. With these data, Iba remains a 30 kt tropical depression.

Iba's persistence is admirable but it will likely not last for long. With the circulation unable to hold together in hostile conditions, global model guidance indicates that Iba will likely open up into a trough in a few days admist a nearby developing extratropical cyclone. The current forecast may actually quite generous, giving some cushion for the system's persistence, but nonetheless all rarities come to an end.

FORECAST MAX WINDS

INIT 27/2100Z 30 KT 35 MPH

12H 28/0600Z 30 KT 35 MPH

24H 28/1800Z 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW

36H 29/0600Z 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW

48H 29/1800Z 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW

72H 30/1800Z...DISSIPATED

96H 31/1800Z...DISSIPATED
Atlantic/2019/10L/Archive/17

An aircraft reconnaissance plane is currently enroute to Jerry to give a more accurate reading of the systems current intensity. For now though, the mostly steady state IR appearance lead to an unchanged intensity of 55 kt for this advisory.
The intensity forecast for Jerry has changed a bit since the last update. It appears the system will interact more negatively with the upper trough which is steering the storm to the north east. This interaction is likely to induce more shear than anticipated and most of the model guidance has backed off much strengthening of the system. The new forecast shows only slight strengthening through day 2, followed by quicker weakening after day 3 due to increased shear and a beginning to the extra-tropical transition.
Jerry is still moving north-northwestward into a weakness in the subtropical ridge. After about a day, the storm will begin to be steered towards the northeast. It is expected to just miss the island of Bermuda in this period. Northeasterly motion will continue for the remainder of the forecast period.

FORECAST MAX WINDS
INIT 22/2100Z 55 KT 65 MPH
12H 23/0600Z 60 KT 70 MPH
24H 23/1800Z 65 KT 75 MPH
36H 24/0600Z 65 KT 75 MPH
48H 24/1800Z 60 KT 70 MPH
72H 25/1800Z 55 KT 65 MPH
96H 26/1800Z 50 KT 60 MPH
Microsoft Flight Wikia

# **Welcome to Microsoft Flight Wiki!**

Hello, welcome to Microsoft Flight Wiki! This wiki is about Microsoft Flight (MS Flight). Feel free to edit!
Look at the Aerocaches page, you can find there a list of Aerocaches from Microsoft Flight.
*You can also look at the **Maps.***

You can create a new page!
<createbox />

**Gallery**

The map of Alaska in Microsoft FlightA map of Hawaii in Microsoft Flight
Aerocaches

**Aerocaches** are yellow objects that are in special locations hidden in Alaska and Hawaii. You can find a list of aerocaches in Microsoft Flight when you click on 'Activities' and then 'Aerochache Hunt'. Then you can search for an Aerocache in Hawaii or Alaska.

## List of Aerocaches

**Hawaii:**

* Diamond Head Lighthouse
* Kona Coast Shipping
* Kumukahi Light
* Mauna Kea-Honolii Ravine
* Molokai VORTAC
* Nawiliwili Harbor
* Nawiliwili Light
* West Maui
* Banyan
* Barking Sands
* Barking Shack
* Holaniku Solar Plant
* Radio Tower
* Channel Run
* Diamond
* Hawaii Fortress Base
* Kaena Point 10K
* Protected Crescent
* Where It All Began

**Alaska:**

* Little Beacon
* Oh Deere...
* Long runways
* Iditarod 13 (North) - Ruby
* Iditarod 22 - Golovin
* Under the trestle
* X Marks the Spot
* Early Warnings
Dillingham

**This article is a disambiguation page for Dillingham**

The following is a list of links to pages that might share the same title.

Please follow one of the disambiguation links below or search to find the page you were looking for if it is not listed. If an internal link led you here, you may wish to change the link to point directly to the intended article.

* Dillingham (Hawaii) - The Dillingham airport in Hawaii
* Dillingham (Alaska) - The Dillingham airport in Alaska
Iditarod 13 (North) - Ruby

Location
 Difficulty
 Hidden At

***Iditarod 13 (North) - Ruby*** is an Aerocache located in Alaska. This Aerocache is very near the 'Ruby' Airport.

### **Hint:**

*The first checkpoint on the famous Yukon River, the longest river in Alaska. Gold was discovered here in 1906, but no town was established until 1911 when additional gold deposits were discovered on Long Creek, causing a rush of prospectors to the area.*
Atlantic/2019/01L/Archive/1

Subtropical Storm Andrea Discussion Number 1

Wiki-Hurricanes Forecast Center

11:00 PM AST Mon May 20 2019

An aircraft reconnaissance aircraft investigating the area of disturbed weather southwest of Bermuda earlier this afternoon found a well-defined center and tropical storm-force winds, leading to the formation of Subtropical Storm Andrea shortly after 21z. Since that time, deep convection has persisted mainly north of the low-level circulation. A 0043z ASCAT pass showed one 35kt barb and one 40kt barb even though it missed most of the circulation. Under the assumption these values are legitimate, the initial intensity is set to 40kt. Andrea continues to interact with an upper-level low in close proximity to its southwest, therefore it remains a subtropical storm at this time.

Andrea is currently experiencing strong wind shear from the aforementioned cold-core low, but this shear should decrease overnight as a small anticyclone becomes established aloft. Furthermore, although ocean temperatures are under 24C, and mid-level relative humidity values are drier than 60 percent, 200mb temperatures are running around -58; this is a good 6C cooler than normal. The difference between the ocean surface and extremely cold air aloft should provide plenty of instability to fuel Andrea for the next 12-18 hours, and some intensification is possible during that time. Thereafter, the current pattern of strong upper-level divergence is expected to become rapidly convergent, which should suppress convective development and cause weakening. By Wednesday afternoon, Andrea should merge with an approaching frontal boundary.

The cyclone is currently moving steadily north, and a turn toward the east is expected during the day tomorrow. This trajectory should continue through dissipation. On the forecast track, Andrea should pass south of Bermuda as a weakening tropical cyclone, with only fringe impacts expected there.

FORECAST MAX WINDS

INIT 21/0300Z 40 KT 45 MPH

12H 21/1200Z 45 KT 50 MPH

24H 22/0000Z 40 KT 45 MPH

36H 22/1200Z 30 KT 35 MPH

48H 23/0000Z...DISSIPATED/ABSORBED BY FRONT
Nawiliwili Light

Location
 Difficulty
 Hidden At

**Nawiliwili Light** is an Aerocache located in Hawaii. You can find this Aerocache in the southeast of Hawaii.

### **Hint:**

*First built 1897, the present eighty-six foot high, concrete tower was constructed in 1932 along with a new three-bedroom keeper's dwelling set on concrete block footings.*
Atlantic/2018/05L/Archive/9

Post-Tropical Cyclone Ernesto Discussion Number 9

Wiki-Hurricanes Forecast Center

11:00 PM AST Fri Aug 17 2018

Ernesto has lost its tropical characteristics this evening, with most of its convection dissipating in strong upper-level winds over ocean temperatures cooler than 20C. Extratropical transition is expected tomorrow as it races northeast and continues to interact with an upper-level trough approaching from the west. The remnants of Ernesto should merge with a frontal system over Ireland and the United Kingdom in about 36 hours.

INIT 18/0300Z 40 KT 45 MPH...POST-TROP

12H 18/1200Z 40 KT 45 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP

24H 19/0000Z 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP

36H 19/1200Z...DISSIPATED
Hawaii Airports

Here is a list of Airports in Hawaii that you can see on the map in Microsoft Flight.

## Airports:

**Hawaii:**

* Upolu
* Honokaa Airstrip
* Upper Paauilo Airstrip
* Waimea-Kohala
* Peleau
* Pepeekeo Airstrip
* Kaupulehu
* Puu Waa Waa Ranch
* Mauna Kea-Honolii
* Bradshaw AAF
* Kona Intl. At Keahole
* Hilo Intl
* Mountain View Airstrip
* Upper Paauau
* Pahala Airstrip
* Kaalaiki Airstrip

**Maui:**

* Hana
* Kapalua
* Kahului

**Kahoolawe:**

*No airports on this island*

**Lanai:**

* Lanai Airport

**Molokai:**

* Panda
* Molokai
* Kalaupapa

**Oahu:**

* Dillingham
* Wheeler AAF
* Kaneohe Bay MCAF
* Bellows AFB
* Ford Island NALF
* Honolulu Intl.
* Kalaeloa (John Rodgers Field)

**Kauai:**

* Princeville
* Hanamaulu Airstrip
* Barking Sands PMRF
* Lihue
* Hi 23 Airstrip
* Haiku Airstrip
* Port Allen

**Niihau:**

*No airports on this island*

## Airport Types:

**Hard surface airports with fuel and tower on airport:**

* Kona Intl. At Keahole
* Hilo Intl.
* Kahului
* Wheeler AAF
* Kaneohe Bay MCAF
* Honolulu Intl.
* Kalaeloa (John Rodgers Field)
* Lihue

**Hard surface airports with tower on airport:**

* Bradshaw AAF
* Molokai
* Barking Sands PMRF

**Hard surface airports:**

* Bradshaw AAF
* Kona Intl. At Keahole
* Hilo Intl.
* Kahului
* Molokai
* Wheeler AAF
* Kaneohe Bay MCAF
* Honolulu Intl.
* Kalaeloa (John Rodgers Field)
* Barking Sands PMRF
* Lihue
* Upolu
* Honokaa Airstrip
* Upper Paauilo Airstrip
* Waimea-Kohala
* Peleau
* Pepeekeo Airstrip
* Kaupulehu
* Puu Waa Waa Ranch
* Mauna Kea-Honolii
* Mountain View Airstrip
* Hana
* Kapalua
* Lanai Airport
* Kalaupapa
* Dillingham
* Bellows AFB
* Princeville
* Hanamaulu Airstrip
* Hi 23 Airstrip
* Haiku Airstrip
* Port Allen

**Soft surface airports:**

* Upper Paauau
* Panda
* Pahala Airstrip
* Kaalaiki Airstrip

**Soft surface airports with fuel:**

*No airports*

**Soft surface airports with fuel and tower on airport:**

*No airports*

**Soft surface airports with tower on airport:**

*No airports*

**Seaplane bases:**

*No airports*

**Seaplane bases with fuel:**

*No airports*

**Seaplane bases with tower on airport:**

*No airports*

**Seaplane bases with fuel and tower on airport:**

*No airports*

**Closed airports:**

* Bellows AFB

**Closed airports with tower on airport:**

*No airports*

**Hard surface airports with 8,069 ft runway or greater:**

* Dillingham
* Kona Intl. At Keahole
* Kalaeloa (John Rodgers Field)
* Honolulu Intl.
* Hilo Intl.

**Control tower at airport:**

* Bradshaw AAF
* Kona Intl. At Keahole
* Hilo Intl.
* Kahului
* Molokai
* Wheeler AAF
* Kaneohe Bay MCAF
* Honolulu Intl.
* Kalaeloa (John Rodgers Field)
* Barking Sands PMRF
* Lihue

**No control tower at airport:**

* Upolu
* Honokaa Airstrip
* Upper Paauilo Airstrip
* Waimea-Kohala
* Peleau
* Pepeekeo Airstrip
* Kaupulehu
* Puu Waa Waa Ranch
* Mauna Kea-Honolii
* Mountain View Airstrip
* Upper Paauau
* Pahala Airstrip
* Kaalaiki Airstrip
* Hana
* Kapalua
* Lanai Airport
* Panda
* Kalaupapa
* Dillingham
* Bellows AFB
* Princeville
* Hanamaulu Airstrip
* Hi 23 Airstrip
* Haiku Airstrip
* Port Allen
Where It All Began

Location
 Difficulty
 Hidden At

**Where It All Began** is an Aerocache located in Hawaii. This Aerocache can be found near a hangar in the Hilo Intl. airport.

***TIP:** You can collect this Aerocache easier when you land with your plane near the hangar. Press 'E' and try to* walk *to the Aerocache.*

### **Hint:**

*Hidden near a hangar at the airport where you started this adventure.*
Microsoft Flight

Microsoft Flight Simulator (often abbreviated as MSFS or FS) is a series of flight simulator programs, marketed as video games, for the Microsoft Windows operating system. It is one of the longest-running, best-known and most comprehensive home flight simulator programs on the market. It was an early product in the Microsoft application portfolio and differed significantly from Microsoft's other software, which was largely business-oriented. At 25 years it is the longest-running software product line for Microsoft, predating Windows by three years. Microsoft Flight Simulator may be the longest-running PC game series of all time. In January 2009, it was reported by PCWorld that Microsoft closed down the ACES Game Studio, which was the department responsible for creating and maintaining the flight simulator series.
Bruce Artwick began the development of the Flight Simulator in 1977. His company, subLOGIC, initially distributed it for various personal computers. In 1981, Artwick was approached by Microsoft's Alan M. Boyd who was interested in creating a "definitive game" that would graphically demonstrate the difference between older 8-bit computers, such as the Apple II, and the new 16-bit computers, such as the IBM PC, still in development. In 1982, Artwick's company licensed a version of Flight Simulator for the IBM PC to Microsoft, which marketed it as Microsoft Flight Simulator 1.00.

## Gallery

Inside the Icon A5The map of Hawaii in MS FlightThe map of Alaska in MS Flight
Atlantic/2019/02L/Archive/11

Barry is slowly slogging onshore Vermilion Bay following a landfall at approximately 12z. At 1054z a tide station near Eugene Island recorded sustained winds of 62kt gusting to 70 kt. High-resolution guidance supports the idea that the strongest winds would have occurred at this location. An Air Force Reserve reconnaissance mission observed very similar values over this region. A 28-m offshore station in the southeast convection recorded sustained winds of 60 kt. Based on these data, the intensity of Barry is currently 60 kt, making it a high-end tropical storm. A swath 60-70 kt Doppler velocities have been sampled aloft Southeast Louisiana by the radar site in Sidell, but surface observations indicate these are not mixing to the surface, reducing to roughly 50 kt gusts. Given that a dropsonde estimated a 71 kt 150-m surface column, it is possible Barry might have been a hurricane briefly. Radar imagery from KLCH suggests that the low-level center is elongated on a northwest to southeast orientation, displaced from an expanding field of deep convection to the southeast.
Barry is expected to continue tracking towards the northwest or north as it engages a weakness in the subtropical ridging over the Southeastern United States. Still, motion is expected to be rather slow as this weakness is relatively marginal. The storm should accelerate over time as it approaches the Midwest due to the combination of the storm filling and approaching the stronger westerly jet. This should induce a northeast motion in the track towards the end of the forecast.
Soundings over the ArkLaTex region suggest the presence of considerably drier air aloft, particularly above the 500 hPa layer. Combined with westerlies aloft from the upper-level anticyclone over the Texas Coastal Plain, this suggests that convective activity will quickly displace farther east from the center, keeping the western semicircle of the circulation generally free of any deep convection aside from limited broken rainbands. The HREF ensemble of mesoscale guidance--which has been particularly keen on short-term convective evolution--is in agreement with this depiction. The current intensity forecast is in agreement with the general inland decay solutions as Barry moves northward. Transition to a remnant low is anticipated by day 2 as Barry fails to develop organized convective activity at its center. Some convective regrowth could occur at that time as divergent flow resumes aloft to the east of an upper-level low, but most likely nothing particularly organized. Barry is expected to elongate and merge with a trough over the Midwest by day 4.
FORECAST MAX WINDS
INIT 13/1500Z 60 KT 70 MPH...INLAND
12H 14/0000Z 45 KT 50 MPH...INLAND
24H 14/1200Z 30 KT 35 MPH...INLAND
36H 15/0000Z 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
48H 15/1200Z 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
72H 16/1200Z 15 KT 20 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
Atlantic/2019/13L/Archive/17

Lorenzo is weaker still this evening. A 0041z GMI microwave pass shows that the entire southern eyewall remains eroded, leading to the disappearance of a classical eye on infrared satellite. That being said, the hurricane continues to produce very deep convection near the center. Current intensity estimates have fallen and range from T5.0/90kt from SAB, to T5.5/102kt from TAFB, to T5.7/107.2kt from UW-CIMSS ADT. A blend of these estimates supports lowering the initial intensity to 100kt.
Lorenzo is being hammered by moderate or perhaps even strong mid-level southwesterly wind shear. This shear is expected to persist for about another 36 hours before decreasing. That being said, ocean temperatures and mid-level relative humidity values may increase during that time as well. Therefore, the expectation is that Lorenzo will weaken at a slower pace than it has today. Between 48 and 72 hours, guidance indicates that upper-level winds may slacken somewhat, and this is reflected in some models such as the ECMWF, GFS, and HWRF which show reorganization during that time. Therefore, I have decided to explicitly show some re-intensification in the forecast on this advisory. By days 4 and 5, the environment is quickly expected to become hostile and facilitate Lorenzo's transition to a powerful extratropical cyclone.
The track forecast philosophy for Lorenzo is unchanged. The hurricane is moving north-northwest, but a curve toward the north and then northeast is expected over the next 48 hours as it rounds the western periphery of a ridge and becomes increasingly entangled with mid-latitude westerlies. This trajectory should bring Lorenzo very near the Azores in four to five days.
FORECAST MAX WINDS
INIT 28/0300Z 100 KT 115 MPH
12H 28/1200Z 100 KT 115 MPH
24H 29/0000Z 95 KT 110 MPH
36H 29/1200Z 95 KT 110 MPH
48H 30/0000Z 95 KT 110 MPH
72H 01/0000Z 100 KT 115 MPH
96H 02/0000Z 85 KT 100 MPH
Atlantic/2018/05L/Archive/6

Tropical Storm Ernesto Discussion Number 6

Wiki-Hurricanes Forecast Center

11:00 PM AST Thu Aug 16 2018

Ernesto has become better organized this evening, with a band of deep convection to the east of the center, and more recently the formation of showers to the west encapsulating the cloud-free center. Satellite intensity estimates were T2.5/35kt from TAFB, T2.7/39kt from UW-CIMSS ADT, and T3.0/45kt from SAB; a blend of these values, and data from an earlier ASCAT pass, support leaving the initial intensity at 40kt. Some intensification is expected over the next 12 hours given the increase in convection, but a track over colder waters and into higher shear should cause Ernesto to degenerate to a remnant low in about 24 hours. Extratropical transition should keep the system alive as it moves into the United Kingdom, dissipating in that general vicinity in about 72 hours.

INIT 17/0300Z 40 KT 45 MPH

12H 17/1200Z 45 KT 50 MPH

24H 18/0000Z 45 KT 50 MPH...POST-TROP

36H 18/1200Z 45 KT 50 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP

48H 19/0000Z 40 KT 45 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP

72H 20/0000Z...DISSIPATED
Atlantic/2015/02L/Archive/18

## Public advisory

TROPICAL DEPRESSION BILL ADVISORY NUMBER 18

WIKI-HURRICANES FORECAST CENTER

10:00 AM CDT FRI JUN 19 2015

...BILL STILL ACTIVE...

SUMMARY OF 4:00 PM CDT...21:00 UTC...INFORMATION

LOCATION... XN, XW

ABOUT 1115 MI...185 KM NE OF LITTLE ROCK, ARKANSAS

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...15 KT...20 MPH...30 KM/H

MINIMUM BAROMETRIC PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.70 INCHES

PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE AT 18 KT...20 MPH...32 KM/H

DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK

At 4:00 pm CDT, the center of Tropical Depression Bill was located at XN, XW, or about 115 miles (185 kilometers) northeast of Little Rock, Arkansas. Maximum sustained winds were 20 knots (25 mph, 35 km/h), with higher gusts. The minimum barometric pressure was 1006 millibars (hPa; 29.71 inHg), and the system was moving east-northeast at 18 knots (20 mph, 32 km/h). Bill is expected to lose its tropical characteristics over the next day as it continues east-northeast.

NEXT ADVISORY

Next complete advisory at 10:0 pm CDT.

$$

Forecaster YE

## Discussion

TROPICAL DEPRESSION BILL DISCUSSION NUMBER 18

WIKI-HURRICANES FORECAST CENTER

4:00 PM CDT FRI JUN 19 2015

Bill continues to hang on ad a very weak tropical cyclone, but with EPAC-like relentlessness and mental toughness. There has been no change in the forecast track and the forecast intensity shows weakening a little sooner than the previous package.

Extreme rains over the impacted area are expected to continue for another few days, especially over the slightly higher terrain in Missouri. Interests in the Central United States are advised to continue tracking Bill for the next day or two.

INIT 19/2100Z 36.3N 94.1W 15 KT 20 MPH...TROPICAL DEPRESSION

12H 20/0600Z 37.4N 88.7W 15 KT 20 MPH...POST-TROPICAl/REMNT low

24H 20/1800Z 38.3N 84.7W 15 KT 20 MPH...POST-TROPICAL/REMNT LOW

36H 21/0600Z ..MERGED WITH EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE

$$

Forecaster YE
Atlantic/2019/08L/Archive/9

Gabrielle is a disorganized tropical storm, with its elongated low-level circulation well exposed to the south of ragged convective activity. This has resulted in satellite intensity estimates below tropical storm strength from most agencies. Still, a 1230z ASCAT pass showed several 40kt wind barbs in the western quadrant. Therefore, the initial strength has only been lowered to that number for this advisory.
Strong upper-level winds are affecting Dorian at the current time, and these winds should continue for the next 36 hours or so. Beyond that time, wind shear values should become conducive for organization, although the window of this favorable environment varies depending on modelling. Mid-level relative humidity values will steadily climb over the next 5 days, and ocean temperatures will increase for the next 72 hours before subsiding thereafter. The culmination of these factors should lead to a storm that weakens further in the short term before intensifying a few days from now. The GFS, HWRF, and HMON show Gabrielle attaining hurricane strength about 3 to 4 days from now, with the latter two models continuing on to Category 2 intensity. These hurricane forecasts are counteracted by models such as the ECMWF, LGEM, and SHIPS which show little intensification through the period. I do think the environment will become conducive for some development a few days from now, and the updated forecast is close to the previous one.
Gabrielle is moving northwest under the influence of ridging over Africa, ridging over the Azores, and a mid-level low over the central Atlantic. This motion will continue for the next 48 hours or so. Beyond that time, high pressure over the Azores should cause Gabrielle to take on a temporary west-northwest track. Between days 3 and 4, the cyclone should reach the western periphery of the ridge and interact with mid-latitude westerlies, forcing Gabrielle north and then north-northeast. Models are very tightly clustered regarding the storm's track over the next 5 days.
FORECAST MAX WINDS
INIT 05/1500Z 40 KT 45 MPH
12H 06/0000Z 40 KT 45 MPH
24H 06/1200Z 35 KT 40 MPH
36H 07/0000Z 35 KT 40 MPH
48H 07/1200Z 40 KT 45 MPH
72H 08/1200Z 45 KT 50 MPH
96H 09/1200Z 55 KT 65 MPH
Atlantic/2019/12L/Archive/10

Convection has increased near and over the low-level circulation center of Karen since the last advisory package, however the storm remains very disorganized. These renewed convective bursts have likely been enough to sustain gale-force winds in the southeast quadrant where 01z ASCAT-A and B passes found a sizeable region of 30 kt winds with potentially higher winds close to the center. For this advisory, the initial intensity is held at 35 kt.
With the recent reinvigoration of convection, Karen may be able to maintain intensity for a short while but the storm is moving into the hostile conditions that resulted in the weakening of Jerry into a remnant low. While sea surface temperatures remain high for the remainder of the forecast and wind shear is currently only moderate, mid-level moisture is expected to drop and a building ridge is expected to induce subsidence in the storm's environment, which will be increasingly likely to suppress convective activity over the next three days. As a result, weakening remains expected over the next day or so until Karen degenerates into a remnant low. Beyond this point, subsidence will likely reduce somewhat but wind shear will have increased and will be hostile to redevelopment.
Karen is still tracking northward this morning between an upper low to its west and a ridge to the east. This motion is expected to continue until late today when it should turn east around the ridge, but with it building northwest the storm is expected to then turn to the west, likely around the time of degeneration at the end of day 2. Dissipation should occur late in the forecast period.
FORECAST MAX WINDS
INIT 26/0900Z 35 KT 40 MPH
12H 26/1800Z 30 KT 35 MPH
24H 27/0600Z 30 KT 35 MPH
36H 27/1800Z 25 KT 30 MPH
48H 28/0600Z 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
72H 29/0600Z 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
Atlantic/2019/10L/Archive/16

Jerry is better put together this morning, with semi-organized deep convection located over and southeast of the low-level circulation. An Air Force reconnaissance aircraft has been investigating the storm, finding hurricane-force flight-level winds and peak SFMR winds of 57kt. Both of these observations support raising the initial intensity to 55kt.
Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for intensification over the next 48 to 72 hours as upper-level winds relax and ocean temperatures remain high. Beyond that time, wind shear should increase and Jerry should begin a slow transition into an extratropical cyclone. The updated intensity is largely the same as the last one, except to adjust the timing of peak strength and onset of weakening.
Jerry has turned north-northwest this morning and should move in that general direction for another 24 hours or so. After that, Jerry should steadily curve northeastward, passing very close to Bermuda in about 72 hours; the expectation is that the core will remain just north for now. That northeast track should persist through the forecast period.
FORECAST MAX WINDS
INIT 22/1500Z 55 KT 65 MPH
12H 23/0000Z 60 KT 70 MPH
24H 23/1200Z 65 KT 75 MPH
36H 24/0000Z 70 KT 80 MPH
48H 24/1200Z 75 KT 85 MPH
72H 25/1200Z 70 KT 80 MPH
96H 26/1200Z 60 KT 70 MPH
Nederland

## Welke taal spreken ze?

In Nederland spreken de mensen Nederlands. In Friesland, een provincie in het noorden van het land, wordt ook Fries gesproken. Daarnaast spreken heel veel mensen een tweede taal, bijvoorbeeld Turks, Marokkaans, Papiaments of Engels.

## Wat voor gewoontes hebben ze?

In andere landen staan Nederlanders bekend als gierig, ze zijn dus zuinig op hun geld. Veel Nederlanders houden van fietsen en ze fietsen veel meer dan mensen uit andere landen. Verder zitten veel mensen op een sportclub, zoals voetbal en tennis.

## Wat eten ze er?

In Nederland eten ze graag Hollande pot. Dat zijn aardappels, vlees en groente, bijvoorbeeld stamppot met een gehaktbal of een rookworst. Ook zijn Nederlanders dol op haring, drop, stroopwafels en pindakaas. Maar je kunt in Nederland ook heel veel eten uit andere culturen, zoals Italiaanse of Turkse pizza, Chinese rijstwafel, Spaanse tapas, enzovoort.

## Hoeveel mensen wonen er?

In Nederland wonen er op dit moment 16.877.000 mensen (bijna 17 miljoen!) en dat worden er steeds meer.

## Wat voor soort dieren leven er?

In Nederland leven veel vogels, vissen en koeien.
Noorwegen

## Welke taal spreken ze?

in noorwegen spreken ze Noors (Norsk): Bokmål en Nynorsk

## wat voor gewoontes heben ze?

in noorwegen jaagen ze visen en rendieren en vogel en wolven en bruine beeren en een poolvos

## Wat eten ze er?

in noorwegen eten ze veel benkende eten
rakfist en lutefisk smalehafe en
joika veel brood en vis rendier in wildsaus

## Wat voor soort dieren leven er?

in noorwegen leven veel dieren loohnen wland
tamme redieren en wild rendieren

muskuioss
en wolfen en bruine beer Leland uilen vis

lijnxen en poolhaas  wateter veelvaat  spoolvos

en vogels  en veel soort vis en haai

naatuurlek
Atlantic/2019

This page provides linkage for storms in the Atlantic during 2019.

* Tropical Storm Andrea (01L)
* Hurricane Barry (02L)
* Tropical Depression Three (03L)
* Tropical Storm Chantal (04L)
* Hurricane Dorian (05L)
* Tropical Storm Erin (06L)
* Tropical Storm Fernand (07L)
* Tropical Storm Gabrielle (08L)
* Hurricane Humberto (09L)
* Hurricane Jerry (10L)
* Tropical Storm Imelda (11L)
* Tropical Storm Karen (12L)
* Hurricane Lorenzo (13L)
* Tropical Storm Melissa (14L)
* Tropical Depression Fifteen (15L)
* Tropical Storm Nestor (16L)
* Tropical Storm Olga (17L)
* Hurricane Pablo (18L)
* Tropical Storm Rebekah (19L)
* Tropical Storm Sebastian (20L)
Atlantic/2019/08L/Archive/5

Gabrielle has improved in organization this morning, with deep convection orientated in an arc across the northern semicircle. The low-level circulation, which appears quite vigorous on visible imagery, is still positioned on the southern edge of this thunderstorm activity. While satellite intensity estimates are hovering around 35kt for this advisory, I have elected to go slightly above them at 40kt owing to the improvement in structure since last night.
The cyclone is in the initial stages of interacting with the TUTT over the North Atlantic. This interaction is favorable for now, with expansive upper-level outflow to the north. However, over the coming days, this interaction is expected to become unfavorable, especially since 200mb wind forecasts do not support Gabrielle maintaining its anticyclone through this process as they did last night. The end result should be a system that could organize over the next 24 hours before weakening between hours 36 and 72, especially since 700-500mb relative humidity values will be over 10 percent lower then than they are. By day 5, Gabrielle may find itself in a pocket of lower upper-level winds. Even then, model guidance is not as suggestive of intensification then as it was last night. The updated forecast has been reshuffled a little bit to prolong the weakening trend and lower the initial and secondary peak intensities.
Juliette is moving northwestward, and a culmination of features at 500mb should keep the tropical cyclone moving in that general direction for the next several days. The exception to this is expected to be on day 5, when Gabrielle will be positioned on the western periphery of a ridge over the Azores, and when it will begin to feel the influence of mid-latitude westerlies. This should direct the system northward.
FORECAST MAX WINDS
INIT 04/1500Z 40 KT 45 MPH
12H 05/0000Z 45 KT 50 MPH
24H 05/1200Z 50 KT 60 MPH
36H 06/0000Z 45 KT 50 MPH
48H 06/1200Z 40 KT 45 MPH
72H 07/1200Z 40 KT 45 MPH
96H 08/1200Z 45 KT 50 MPH
Brazilië

## Wat voor gewoontes hebben ze?

ze zijn zeer gevoelig rooms katholiek. ieder jaar vieren ze carnaval. ze doen veel aan voetbal zowel kijken maar ook spelen. en ze doen aan capoeira (is een vechtkunst die op ene dans lijkt).

## Wat eten ze er?

in het norden eten ze alligatorvlees en schilpat .

## Wat voor soort dieren leven er?

breedneusaap.grijpstaartapen.slingerapen.brulaap.jaguar.wasbeer.
Atlantic/2019/12L/Archive/13

Karen continues to produce semi-organized, very deep convection that, if the low-level circulation was positioned under this thunderstorm activity, would make Karen a healthy tropical cyclone. Alas, the center is well removed from this activity, denoted by the formation of a tiny convective cell in most recent satellite frames. A just-received ASCAT pass showed maximum winds have decreased to 30kt, making Karen a tropical depression. In addition, that same pass showed that the circulation had become extremely elongated. Upper-level winds are currently light, but they are expected to begin increasing late tomorrow. This, combined with decreasing mid-level relative humidity values, presents a hostile environment for Karen that is likely to lead to the storm's end as a tropical cyclone within 24 hours, if not much sooner given the shape of the circulation.
Karen is moving steadily north-northeast. However, as previous advisories have stated, this motion will turn east and then shift abruptly west over the coming days as high pressure becomes established across the western Atlantic.
FORECAST MAX WINDS
INIT 27/0300Z 30 KT 35 MPH
12H 27/1200Z 25 KT 30 MPH
24H 28/0000Z 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
36H 28/1200Z 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
48H 29/0000Z 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
72H 29/1800Z 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
Atlantic/2015/02L/Archive/3

## Public advisory

TROPICAL STORM BILL ADVISORY NUMBER 3

WIKI-HURRICANES FORECAST CENTER

1000PM CDT MON JUN 15 2015

SUMMARY OF 1000PM CDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION

LOCATION... 27.3N 94.3W

ABOUT 140MI... 225KM SSE OF GALVESTON, TEXAS

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 KT...50 MPH...70 KM/H

MINIMUM BAROMETRIC PRESSURE... 1001 MB...29.56 INCHES

PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW AT 12 KT...14MPH...22 KM/H

DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK

At 1000 pm CDT, the center of Tropical Storm Bill was located at 27.3N, 94.3W, or about 140 miles (225 kilometers) south-southeast of Galveston, Texas. Maximum sustained winds were 45 knots (50 mph, 70 km/h), with higher gusts. The minimum barometric pressure was 1001 millibars (hPa; 29.56 inHg), and the system was moving northwest at 12 knots (14 mph, 22 km/h). Bill is expected to strengthen into a high-end tropical storm before making landfall near Freeport, Texas in 12 hours, before slowing decaying as it moves northward through East Texas.

NEXT ADVISORY

Next complete advisory at 400 am CDT.

$$

Forecaster TheAustinMan

## Discussion

TROPICAL STORM BILL DISCUSSION NUMBER 3

WIKI-HURRICANES FORECAST CENTER

1000 PM CDT THU JUN 11 2015

Bill's convective appearance has changed significantly since the last advisory, with a central dense overcast now taking shape and the large eastern rainband that was present previously tappering off. Reconaissance data from this evening indicates a much more well defined center that is tight and not elongated as it had been previously, and despite lackluster subjective intensity estimates, recon also detected winds supportive of 50 knots and a pressure of 1001 millibars. Thus, the current intensity of Bill has been set to those parameters.

Bill has accelerated towards the northwestward this afternoon and evening as a result of the subtropical high centered over the Southeastern United States, which should give Bill only about 12 hours to strengthen. The current motion for this advisory as been set to 320/12. However, given the high sea surface temperatures, low wind shear, and current organizational pattern of Bill, the tropical cyclone should be able to strengthen quite briskly before it strikes land... the current landfall intensity has been set to 60 knots, making Bill a high end tropical storm at landfall. After landfall, Bill is expected to curve northward and track acrross East Texas and move into the Ozarks. As models continue to depict abnormal strengthening or persistence over land, the WHFC intensity forecast accounts for this with a slow decay inland.

INIT 16/0300Z 27.3N 94.3W 45KT 50MPH

12HR 16/1200Z 28.8N 95.5W 60KT 70MPH ... MOVING INLAND NEAR FREEPORT

24HR 17/0000Z 30.4N 95.7W 40KT 45MPH ... INLAND

36HR 17/1200Z 32.2N 95.7W 30KT 35MPH ... INLAND

48HR 18/0000Z 35.1N 94.2W 25KT 30MPH ... INLAND

72HR 19/0000Z 37.1N 91.3W 20KT 25MPH ... REMNANT LOW

$$

Forecaster TheAustinMan
Atlantic/2019/01Q/Archive/5

Tropical Storm Iba Discussion Number 5

Wiki-Hurricanes Forecast Center

06:00 PM AST Sun Mar 24 2019

After a convectively impressive morning from Iba, cloud tops have become slightly more diffuse throughout the day with diurnal warming. The coldest tops have decentralized and are now mostly contained within banding features in the northeastern quadrant, though the system's structure remains well-organized; there may have been some entrainment of dry air, but the areal moisture content is relatively high so moisture cycling seems likely. Some smaller pockets of convection are attempting to re-fire closer to the center per the latest imagery, and a recovery of more centralized convection is anticipated tonight. SAB has increased to T2.0/30 kt for their satellite intensity estimates on a shear pattern. However, given no significant overall change in organization since the last advisory, the intensity for Iba this advisory remains at 40 kt.

Iba continues to crawl slowly towards the south at a leisurely pace, prompted by a low-amplitude shortwave trough. This steering feature is expected to pass to the southeast without much fanfare, but should pave the way for a more amplified trough to pull Iba out of the tropics beginning Wednesday. Conditions remain favorable for development in the interim with a band of low wind shear, good outflow, and warm surface temperatures, and models have come into better agreement over the ultimate strength of Iba. However, as the system tracks further south, it will leave its initial low-shear and high-moisture anticyclone nursery and detach from the primordial trough region, entering an area with higher subtropical jet-induced shear and dry air. This environment will gradually become more hostile over time. Divergent flow outside of the anticyclone regime may aid somewhat Wednesday, but persistent marginal humidity values and increasing wind shear will whittle Iba down afterwards. Transition to a post-tropical remnant low or extratropical cyclone is likely in the late forecast.

FORECAST MAX WINDS

INIT 24/2100Z 40 KT 45 MPH

12H 25/0600Z 45 KT 50 MPH

24H 25/1800Z 50 KT 60 MPH

36H 26/0600Z 50 KT 60 MPH

48H 26/1800Z 40 KT 45 MPH

72H 27/1800Z 35 KT 40 MPH

96H 28/1800Z 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW

120H 29/1800Z 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
Atlantic/2019/09L/Archive/7

Humberto is taking on a more conventional tropical cyclone appearance this morning with deepening convection organizing in a circular region around the storm's center. The large convective mass to the southeast is still present but shows signs of abating downshear. Long-range radar from KMLB and SSMIS microwave data from 1045z show the emergence of banding features within this central region, indicating of a steadily organizing system. Still, reconnaissance data suggests the wind field is still atypical, with the strongest winds displaced in a band far from the center. The initial intensity for this advisory is held at 50kt as Humberto reconfigures its appearance.
The tropical storm is now beginning to feel the steering grasp of an approaching trough, which has for now created a weakness within the broader subtropical ridging. Humberto is currently moving towards the northwest but should begin curving towards the northeast later today, followed by acceleration in this direction as the influence of the trough increases. Some dynamical models show segment of this upper-level trough detaching at day 4-5 and surging southwest of Humberto, resulting in a brief Fujiwhara interaction that temporarily curves Humberto towards the north or even northwest. Uncertainty remains over the degree of this tug, but it will likely be less than the most aggressive ensemble members.
With the Gulf upper-level low now far enough away such that its influence has diminished, Humberto is now in good position to strengthen. Parameters are generally favorable for intensification over the next three days, after which interaction with the aforementioned cut-off upper-level low begins to complicate the upper-level winds. Convective aids from HREF suggest that Humberto will likely put together a central dense overcast, with hurricane intensity likely being reached tonight. The intensity forecast remains unchanged from the previous advisory.
FORECAST MAX WINDS
INIT 15/1500Z 50 KT 60 MPH
12H 16/0000Z 60 KT 70 MPH
24H 16/1200Z 70 KT 80 MPH
36H 17/0000Z 80 KT 90 MPH
48H 17/1200Z 90 KT 105 MPH
72H 18/1200Z 100 KT 115 MPH
96H 19/1200Z 95 KT 110 MPH
Atlantic/2019/08L/Archive/1

Yet another tropical cyclone is ongoing in the Atlantic this morning. High-resolution visible imagery, in conjunction with ASCAT imagery from around 11z, shows that the low-level circulation of the disturbance in the eastern Atlantic has become sufficiently defined to be considered a tropical cyclone. The system is still in its formative stages as the center continues to consolidate and deep convection becomes more centrally focused. The initial intensity is set to 25kt based on the earlier scatterometer passes.
TD Eight is not embedded within a particularly favorable environment. While wind shear is light at the current time, a sharp increase in upper-level winds are expected within the forecast period as the tropical cyclone interacts with a TUTT cell pushed southward by outflow from Hurricane Dorian. In fact, the SHIPS text file shows wind shear nearing 40kt by day 4 before a decrease thereafter. Second, ocean temperatures are only around 26C at the current time, though these numbers are expected to near 29C by day 5. Third, while 700-500mb relative humidity values are currently around 65 percent, these values are expected to drop to near 40 percent by day 3. The big question on my mind is whether TD Eight can survive as a tropical cyclone during these hostile conditions. Interestingly, most hurricane and global model guidance suggests it can, with the reliable HWRF model indicating intensification on day 5 as the environment improves as previously mentioned. I would rather see how the system evolves in the short term before forecasting anything of significance in the longer term. Thus, the first forecast shows the system attaining tropical storm strength in the next 36 hours, followed by some weakening after that, and a level off by the end of the period. This is a low confidence forecast.
Eight is currently positioned on the western edge of a ridge of high pressure stretching from northern Africa westward into the far eastern Atlantic. Over the coming days, this ridge should remain stout while a cut-off low develops over the central Atlantic and high pressure builds over the Azores. These factors should act in unison to direct the tropical cyclone on a straight northwestward track for the forecast period. Models are in good agreement regarding this scenario.
FORECAST MAX WINDS
INIT 03/1500Z 25 KT 30 MPH
12H 04/0000Z 30 KT 35 MPH
24H 04/1200Z 35 KT 40 MPH
36H 05/0000Z 35 KT 40 MPH
48H 05/1200Z 30 KT 35 MPH
72H 06/1200Z 30 KT 35 MPH
96H 07/1200Z 30 KT 35 MPH
Atlantic/2015/02L/Archive/12

## Public advisory

TROPICAL DEPRESSION BILL ADVISORY NUMBER 12

WIKI-HURRICANES FORECAST CENTER

1000AM CDT THU JUN 18 2015

... DISORGANIZING BILL ACCELERATES INTO OKLAHOMA ...

SUMMARY OF 400AM CDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION

LOCATION... 34.9N 96.8W

ABOUT 55MI... 90KM SE OF OKLAHOMA CITY, OKLAHOMA

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...25 KT...30 MPH...50 KM/H

MINIMUM BAROMETRIC PRESSURE... 1002 MB...29.56 INCHES

PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE AT 12 KT...14MPH...22 KM/H

DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK

At 400 am CDT, the center of Tropical Depression Bill was located at 34.9N, 96.8W, or about 55 miles (90 kilometers) southeast of Oklahoma City, Oklahoma. Maximum sustained winds were 25 knots (30 mph, 50 km/h), with higher gusts. The minimum barometric pressure was 1002 millibars (hPa; 29.56 inHg), and the system was moving northeast at 12 knots (14 mph, 22 km/h).

NEXT ADVISORY

Next complete advisory at 1000 am CDT.

$$

Forecaster TheAustinMan

## Discussion

TROPICAL DEPRESSION BILL DISCUSSION NUMBER 12

WIKI-HURRICANES FORECAST CENTER

1000AM CDT THU JUN 18 2015

Bill has become increasingly organized moving northeastwards into eastern Oklahoma on radar. Rainfall is still concentrated on the western semicircle, and the center has become filled in with rain. Given the surface reports, however, the intensity for this advisory remains at 25 knots, and Bill has been kept a tropical cyclone. There are few, if any changes to the previous forecast as the general steering parameters remain the same.

INIT 18/0900Z 34.9N 96.8W 25KT 30MPH

12HR 18/1800Z 35.3N 95.6W 25KT 30MPH

24HR 19/0600Z 35.5N 94.4W 20KT 25MPH

36HR 19/1800Z 36.2N 92.8W 20KT 25MPH

48HR 20/0600Z 37.0N 89.9W 20KT 25MPH ... REMNANT LOW

72HR 21/0600Z ... MERGED WITH FRONTAL SYSTEM

$$

Forecaster TheAustinMan
Atlantic/2019/05L/Archive/51

Dorian made landfall this morning at Cape Hatteras, North Carolina, bringing hurricane-force sustained winds to the Outer Banks. This is the first observation of hurricane-force sustained winds anywhere in the United States from the system. Since that time, Dorian has continued to race northeastward into the open Atlantic. It remains exceptionally well organized on satellite, with a symmetric central dense overcast and a clear eye. An Air Force reconnaissance plane investigating the system this morning found maximum 700mb winds of 88kt, with peak SFMR winds around 79kt. Both of these values support an initial intensity of 80kt for this advisory.
Dorian continues to progress through the initial stages of extratropical transition. There are no spiral bands south of the central dense overcast as a pronounced dry slot wraps around that side of the circulation, and an established convergence zone that resembles a front continues to exist in the northeastern quadrant. Extratropical transition is expected to be completed about 36 hours from now, around the time strikes Nova Scotia. A continued northeastward motion is expected from there. Dorian will cross Newfoundland into the far northern Atlantic by early next week, where it should be absorbed by a larger non-tropical cyclone about 4 days from now.
FORECAST MAX WINDS
INIT 06/1500Z 80 KT 90 MPH
12H 07/0000Z 75 KT 85 MPH
24H 07/1200Z 70 KT 80 MPH
36H 08/0000Z 70 KT 80 MPH
48H 08/1200Z 60 KT 70 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
72H 09/1200Z 45 KT 50 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP