DPBR 639 AB

Kodiak in 639 finds the nation in a difficult position. While the Mondo Chancellery has been effective in a number of policy and diplomacy events, global economic troubles have hit Kodiak very hard. A massive water shortage has resulted in significant increases in food prices and rising unemployment has created a massive homelessness epidemic. The government still struggles to appropriately use state coffers and education is falling behind. Riots have begun to re-ignite as a number of domestic terrorists attacks continue to spread uncertainty within the major urban centres. The new Chancellor Wesley Karlsson (DLPK) will have much to face this term. The Emergency Powers resolution remains in force. Good luck to you.

## The National Budget

Public Secretary's Summary - *The National Budget is presently balanced. While one might usually consider this a good state to be in, most modern monetary theorists would posit that with the nation so under-developed, the state could make considerably better gains by going into debt to build long-term infrastructure and social investments. The globe is currently facing a sustained recession and with the loss of investment and international support, tax revenues are down by nearly 12%. Internal corruption remains a significant drain on our incomes and expenditures. While an exact number is impossible to predict, treasury suggests corruption could be costing the state something on the order of 15 billion florins per annum. Considerable effort will need to be made to ensure that changes to the national bottom line actually create long term dividends. Good luck.*

### The National Debt

The National Debt stands at approximately **₣ 180.62 Billion** with a Debt/GDP ratio of **23%**.

Our predicted **Surplus** this year stands at approximately **₣ 1.47 Billion**.

This will **decrease** the National Debt to approximately **₣ 179.2 billion**.

Our Sovereign Credit rating is no longer guaranteed by our International Partners but remains at **AAA**.

Interest on the debt assessed at **1.70%** and is expected to cost **₣ 3.07 Billion** which represents **4.0% of annual expenditure**.

## The Political Situation

Public Secretary's Summary - *The global recession has created considerable upheaval within Kodiak Society this last term. Notably, cost of living pressures have put a large portion of the population out of their homes and food prices are skyrocketing. Environmental problems have begun to creep up around regional centres from water shortages and chemical pollution used in Agriculture. Foreign powers have been investing in a number of domestic terrorist organisations and considerable damage has been done to urban areas. Without the support of the Assembly of Nations, Kodiak finds itself struggling to effect real social change. Police budgets likely cannot be raised any further than they already have without risking becoming an authoritarian state, but the government must do something to answer these massive social ills.*

### New National Emergencies

#### Extreme Nationalism

(trending up slowly)

Caused by Lack of Education, National Patriot Organisations, High Unemployment, High Poverty
Increases incidence of Violent Crime, Racial Tension
Decreases Immigration, Tourism, Diplomatic Reputation

#### Homelessness

(trending up)

Caused by Growing Population, Lack of Housing Stock, Property Tax, Narcotics Abuse, High Poverty, High Unemployment

Increases incidence of Street Gangs, Petty Crime

#### Food Price Crisis

(trending up quickly)

Caused by High Food Prices

Increases incidence of Petty Crime, Emigration, Poverty, Antisocial Behaviour

#### Reliance on Food Banks

(trending flat)

Caused by High Food Prices, Poverty, Lack of Equality

Increases Socialist Agitation

#### Teacher Shortage

(trending up slowly)

Caused by Underfunded Schools, Prevalence of Private Schools

Decreases Educational Outcomes

### National Emergencies with Changed Circumstances

#### Alcohol Abuse

(trending up quickly)

Caused by Low Police Funding, High Poverty, High Unemployment, High Alcohol Consumption

Increases incidence of Healthcare Demand, Violent Crime, Petty Crime

#### Narcotics Abuse

(trending up quickly)

Caused by Access to Narcotics, Lack of Healthcare, Low Police Funding, Prison Overcrowding, High Poverty, High Unemployment

Increases incidence of Homelessness, Healthcare Demand, Violent Crime, Petty Crime

Decreases Worker Productivity

#### Vigilante Mobs

(trending up quickly)

Caused by Low Police Funding, Ethnic Tension, High Petty Crime

Increases incidence of Conservative Identity, Violent Crime, Ethnic Ghettos

### Extant National Emergencies

#### Environmental Riots

(trending flat)

Caused by Environmental Identity, Environmental Pollution

Increases incidence of Environmental Identity, Traffic Congestion

Decreases GDP

#### Media Monopolies

(trending flat)

Caused by Press Freedom, Low Business Competition Regulations, Internet Access

Increases Conservative Identity, Fake News, Political Instability

#### Political Extremism

(trending flat)

Caused by High Press Freedom, Inter-Generational Wealth Inequality, Ethnic Ghettos, Low Political Stability, Fake News

Increases Fanaticism

#### Fake News

(trending flat)

Caused by Lack of Education, Internet Access, Technology Access, Media Monopolies, Low Political Stability, Poor Diplomatic Reputation

Increases incidence of Political Extremism, Epidemic Spread, Racial Tension

#### Class Riots

(trending up slowly)

Caused by Low Police Funding, High Poverty, Low Economic Equality

Increases incidence of Socialist Identity, Violent Crime

Decreases Tourism

#### Street Gangs

(trending up slowly)

Caused by Lack of Police Funding, Homelessness, High Unemployment, High Poverty

Increases incidence of Conservative Identity, Petty Crime, Violent Crime, Ethnic Ghettos

#### Inner City Riots

(trending flat)

Caused by Petty Crime, High Unemployment, High Poverty

Increases incidence of Petty Crime, Violent Crime

#### Ethnic Riots

(trending flat)

Caused by Violent Crime, High Unemployment, High Racial Tension

Increases incidence of Violent Crime

Decreases GDP, Immigration

#### Ethnic Ghettos

(trending flat)

Caused by Immigration, Street Gangs, Vigilante Mobs, High Racial Tension

Increases incidence of Political Extremism

Decreases Immigration, Civil Equality

#### Organised Crime

(trending flat)

Caused by Alcohol Regulations, Narcotics Regulations, Cryptocurrency Use, Illegal Immigration

Increases incidence of Government Corruption, Violent Crime, Crime

#### Armed Crime

(trending flat)

Caused by Liberal Firearms Policies, Low Civil Equality, Violent Crime

#### Prison Overcrowding

(trending flat)

Caused by Petty Crime, Violent Crime, Low Prison Funding

Increases incidence of Drug Addiction, Petty Crime

#### Hospital Overcrowding

(trending flat)

Caused by Lack of Healthcare Services, Population Growth, High Healthcare Demands

Increases incidence of Epidemic Disease

#### Asthma and Respiratory Crisis

(trending down slowly)

Caused by Environmental Pollution, Automotive Use, Tobacco Exposure

Increases incidence of Healthcare Demand

#### Kodiak Virus Flare Up

(trending flat)
Caused by High Poverty, Hospital Overcrowding, Fake News
Increases Healthcare Demand, Mortality
Decreases Health, Tourism, Productivity, Lifespan, Opinion of Everyone

#### Foreign Intelligence Interference

(trending flat)

Caused by Low Political Stability

Increases incidence of Government Corruption

#### Insulated Economy

(trending flat)

Caused by High Wages, Low Productivity, Corporation Taxes

Decreases GDP

#### Technological Backwater

(trending down slowly)

Caused by Low Technology Research, Low Science Funding

Decreases GDP

#### Water Shortage

(trending flat)

Caused by Poor Environmental Controls, Global Climate Change, Excess of Farms

Increases Price of Food

Decreases Income of Farmers, Number of Farmers

#### Skills Shortage

(trending flat)

Caused by Low Educational Outcomes, Low Skilled Immigration, Demand for Technological Specialities

Decreases GDP

### Eliminated National Emergencies

#### Illegal Immigration Crisis

Caused by Illegal Immigration

Increases incidence of Organised Crime

#### Obesity Epidemic

Caused by Low Food Prices, Cost of Healthcare, Healthcare Access, Car Usage, High GDP, Unemployment

Increases Healthcare Demand

Decreases Health

## Demographic Concerns

Public Secretary's Summary - *The last three years have been hard on the nation. nearly four million more Kodiakers have died than been born or immigrated into the nation. This represents a population decrease of 4%. Poverty is on the rise, and inequality as well. Socialism is on the rise in the face of the continued lack of social care presently. Immigration has dropped off significantly in the last three years and while ethnic minorities are only half as prevalent as before, racism against them has skyrocketed. Racial, Gender, and Sexual inequality continues at embarrassingly high levels. We can only hope the global crisis ends soon so that we can begin to grow again. It may be worth considering loosening immigration rules in the near to moderate future.*

#### All Citizens (77.8M ⇘ - 100% )

[Fanatically Opposed]

Angry about Broken Government Promises, the Epidemic, Ethnic Riots, Violent Crime, General Crime, Low Human Development, Street Gangs, Government Corruption, Fake News

#### Traditional Conservatives (76.2M⇘94%⇒)

[Fanatically Opposed]

Angry about Ethnic Riots, Armed Violence, Inner City Riots, Class Riots, Illegal Immigration, Street Gangs, Low Selective Schooling Policy

Pleased with Punishing Prison Policies, Current Abortion Policy, Police Funding

#### Socialists (41.7M ⇗ - 54% ⇗ )

[Mildly Unhappy]

Angry about High Poverty Levels, High Unemployment Levels, High Economic Inequality, Low Labour Rights Laws

Neutral to Income Tax Rates, Property Taxes

Pleased with Capital Gains Taxes, Low Selective Schooling Policy, Corporation Taxes, Debt Protection Regulations, Dependent Care Act, Representation in the Public Service Secretariat, Public School Funding

#### National Patriots (39.3M ⇘ - 50% ⇒ )

[Unhappy]

Angry about Low Military Spending, Foreign Interference, Food Shortages, World Assembly Aid, Current Refugee Policy

Pleased with Firearms Laws, Border Controls, Strict Immigration Rules, Castle Doctrine, Representation within the Public Service Secretariat, Flag Burning Ban, Citizenship Tests

#### Middle Class (38.2M ⇒ - 49% ⇒ )

[Very Unhappy]

Angry about Homelessness, Income Tax, Property Tax

Pleased with Representation in the Public Service Secretariat

#### Poor (38.0M ⇘ - 49% ⇒ )

[Mildly Unhappy]

Angry about Class Riots, Homelessness, High Unemployment, Food Crisis, Poverty

Pleased with Representation in the Public Service Secretariat, State Schooling, Debt Protection Regulations, Short-Term Loan Regulations, World Assembly Aid, Renters' Protections

#### Capitalists (36.2M ⇘ - 46% ⇘ )

[Strongly Opposed]

Angry about Class Riots, Low GDP, Insulated Economy, Corporation Taxes, Lack of International Investment, Low Selective Schooling Policy, Income Tax, State Schooling, Sales Tax, Capital Gains Tax, Property Tax, Debt Protection Regulations, Short-Term Loan Regulations,

Neutral to Government Debt Levels

Pleased with Labour Rights Policies, Technology Funding, Representation in the Public Service Secretariat

#### Motorists (28.5M ⇒ - 36% ⇒ )

[Moderately Opposed]

Angry about Traffic Congestion, Oil Prices, Lack of Highway Funding

Neutral to Petroleum Taxes

Pleased with Representation in the Public Service Secretariat

#### Religious (28.2M ⇘ - 36% ⇘ )

[Unhappy]

Angry about Educational Secularism

Pleased with Abortion Policies

#### Parents (23.3M ⇘ - 30% ⇒ )

[Fanatically Opposed]

Angry about Hospital Overcrowding, Respiratory and Asthma Crisis, Narcotics Abuse Crisis, Firearms Legislation, Teacher Shortage

Pleased with Representation in the Public Service Secretariat

#### Environmentalists (22.7M ⇗ - 29% ⇗ )

[Slightly Unhappy]

Angry about Environmental Pollution, Water Contamination

Pleased with Petroleum Taxes, Limited Highway Funding, Low CO2 Emissions, Decommissioning of Nuclear Reactor Policy

#### Farmers (21.2M ⇘ - 27% ⇒ )

[Mildly Unhappy]

Angry about Water Shortages, Petroleum Taxes

Pleased with Rural Development Act, Agriculture Subsidies

#### State Employees (20.1M ⇗ - 26% ⇗ )

[Mildly Unhappy]

Angry about Lack of Science Funding, Prison Overcrowding

Pleased with State Schooling, Police Funding, State Health Funding, Technology Colleges, Representation in the Public Service Secretariat

#### Commuters (19.7M ⇘ - 25% ⇘ )

[Very Unhappy]

Angry about Traffic Congestion

Pleased with Representation in the Public Service Secretariat

#### Trade Unionists (18.4M ⇒ - 24% ⇒ )

[Moderately Opposed]

Angry about High Unemployment Levels, Low Labour Rights, Private Healthcare Businesses, High Retirement Age, Private Utility Businesses, Private Schools, Industrial Automation

Neutral to Weekly Working Hours Policy, Public Railway Funding

#### Youth (17.4M ⇘ - 22% ⇒ )

[Annoyed]

Angry about Low Internet Speed, Alcohol Laws, Inter-Generational Wealth Inequality

Neutral to Narcotics Legislation

Pleased with Representation in the Public Service Secretariat

#### Self-Employed (16.7M ⇘ - 21% ⇒ )

[Annoyed]

Angry about Sales Tax, Corporation Tax, Low Internet Speed, Capital Gains Tax, Debt Protection Regulations

#### Retired (7.3M ⇗ - 9% ⇗ )

[Quite Unhappy]

Angry about Hospital Overcrowding, Armed and Violent Crime, Street Gangs, High Retirement Age, Property Tax

Pleased with Private Health Care Access, Private Pension Access, Dependents Care Act, Public Libraries, State Health Funding

#### Ethnic Minorities (6.3M ⇘ - 8% ⇘ )

[Furiously Opposed]

Angry about Racial Tensions, Ethnic Ghettos, Strict Immigration Rules, Strict Border Controls, Citizenship Tests, Targeted Racial Terrorism

Pleased with Refugee Policies

#### Civic Liberals (5.1M ⇘ - 7% ⇒ )

[Moderately Unhappy]

Angry about Prison Overcrowding, Ethnic Ghettos, Homelessness, Gender Inequality, Strict Immigration Rules, Strict Border Controls, Abortion Bans, Firearms Controls, Punishing Prison Policies, Lack of Judicial Independence, Narcotics Ban, Castle Doctrine

Neutral to Refugee Policy, Alcohol Laws, Low Selective Schooling Policy

Pleased with Educational Secularism, Press Freedoms, Community Policing, Executive Term Limit of Two, Three Year Executive Term Length

#### Wealthy (1.6M ⇘ - 2% ⇒ )

[Aggressively Opposed]

Angry about Class Riots, Corporation Tax, Capital Gains Tax, Low Inflation, Tenants' Rights, State Health Funding

Neutral to Income Tax Rate, Property Tax Rate