Patrickspf commited on
Commit
670cfbb
·
verified ·
1 Parent(s): cb9567f

Publish CC-BY-4.0 License and Use section per Terms §13

Browse files
Files changed (1) hide show
  1. README.md +43 -0
README.md ADDED
@@ -0,0 +1,43 @@
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
1
+ ---
2
+ license: cc-by-4.0
3
+ language:
4
+ - en
5
+ pretty_name: Prediction Market Calibration Scorecards
6
+ tags:
7
+ - prediction-markets
8
+ - calibration
9
+ - brier-score
10
+ - log-loss
11
+ - forecasting
12
+ source_datasets:
13
+ - original
14
+ ---
15
+
16
+ # Prediction Market Calibration Scorecards
17
+
18
+ Monthly Brier + log-loss calibration breakdowns for Kalshi + Polymarket. Each month provides mean Brier, mean log-loss, per-venue and per-category breakdowns, and a 10-bucket calibration histogram (actual vs predicted). Published with a 14-day delay after month-end to capture late resolutions.
19
+
20
+ ## License and Use
21
+
22
+ This dataset is released under Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International
23
+ (CC-BY-4.0; https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/). You may use it
24
+ freely for personal, research, educational, and commercial purposes — including
25
+ training, evaluating, and fine-tuning machine-learning models. Attribution is
26
+ required when the dataset is redistributed in substantially its original form
27
+ or cited in published work; credit as "SimpleFunctions (simplefunctions.dev)".
28
+
29
+ Additional terms apply: you may not re-host this dataset, in whole or in
30
+ substantial part, as an API or service that functionally substitutes for a
31
+ SimpleFunctions endpoint. See Terms §13.2 at https://simplefunctions.dev/terms.
32
+
33
+ Provenance, update cadence, and schema are documented below.
34
+
35
+ ## Update cadence
36
+
37
+ Monthly (14-day delay).
38
+
39
+ ## Provenance
40
+
41
+ Source: https://simplefunctions.dev
42
+ Generator: SimpleFunctions public data pipeline
43
+ Contact: patrick@simplefunctions.dev