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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ulju9npeh1
|
if-trump-wins-will-he-offer-rfk-a-p
|
If Trump wins, will he offer RFK Jr. a position in his administration?
| null | 1,724,265,684,341
| 1,732,134,370,126
| 1,732,134,370,126
|
YES
| 0.984634
| 16,942.845873
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
lHUvdykyuHgHR3YgB9ji
|
nfl-week-11-nov-17-2024-will-the-de-2d5e85a29d1b
|
NFL Week 11 (Nov 17 2024): Will the Denver Broncos (home) beat the Atlanta Falcons (away)?
| null | 1,715,834,249,076
| 1,731,897,102,955
| 1,731,897,102,955
|
YES
| 0.99
| 913.810567
|
Sports
|
Team Sports
|
qpsvv8l1x6
|
will-the-mike-tyson-vs-jake-paul-fi
|
Will the Mike Tyson vs Jake Paul fight happen on Nov 15 on Netflix as planned?
| null | 1,721,187,690,975
| 1,731,733,140,000
| 1,731,785,242,868
|
YES
| 0.99
| 1,643.921846
|
Sports
|
Professional Sports
|
yRTdxtWoyDaZN3ShQHSD
|
will-a-sequel-to-slay-the-spire-be
|
Will a sequel to "Slay the Spire" be announced in 2024?
| null | 1,705,960,571,451
| 1,712,782,028,854
| 1,729,025,952,311
|
YES
| 1
| 7,544.52955
|
Gaming
|
Video Games
|
0TxebtABJMsqONAojvgv
|
will-the-candidate-who-wins-nevada-e0adc7a44272
|
Will the candidate who wins Nevada also win the election?
| null | 1,714,957,165,722
| 1,730,725,140,000
| 1,731,139,311,067
|
YES
| 0.690449
| 207
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
cnSRfgHxJPEd2YBeShig
|
will-max-score-more-poles-than-pere-ad4b867424e2
|
Will Max Verstappen score more poles than Perez does P3+ in 2024?
| null | 1,712,873,720,851
| 1,732,485,155,381
| 1,732,485,155,381
|
YES
| 0.99
| 2,300.495579
|
Sports
|
Individual Sports
|
ri1wy42x63
|
will-supreme-court-justice-sonia-so
|
Will Supreme Court Justice Sonia Sotomayor retire before the presidential election in November?
| null | 1,719,587,101,565
| 1,730,784,051,995
| 1,730,784,051,995
|
NO
| 0.023065
| 6,423.106093
|
Politics
|
Public Policy & Social Issues
|
XMVqPb8XUKZG5QChhlai
|
will-a-democrat-win-the-2024-us-sen-66520e283b7c
|
Will a Democrat win the 2024 US Senate election in Nevada?
| null | 1,670,857,061,401
| 1,732,262,760,013
| 1,732,262,760,013
|
YES
| 0.99
| 3,180.592792
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
Cn8q6SscC6
|
will-the-killer-of-brian-thompson-b-A8RcqsRghp
|
Will the killer of Brian Thompson be arrested by the end of 2024?
| null | 1,733,344,763,637
| 1,733,775,767,666
| 1,733,775,767,666
|
YES
| 0.99
| 118,850.851918
|
Politics
|
Public Policy & Social Issues
|
SnL2y9jZ0eAZO6sYNovu
|
in-november-2024-presidential-elect
|
In November 2024 presidential election, will the major party candidates be Kamala Harris and Nikki Haley?
| null | 1,708,783,121,217
| 1,730,869,140,000
| 1,730,901,591,455
|
NO
| 0.013157
| 3,216.929891
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
p10g7bt445
|
will-trump-improve-his-margin-with-490adf7c6cf7--cash
|
Will Trump improve his margin with Black voters in 2024?
| null | 1,729,692,209,435
| 1,731,034,070,186
| 1,731,034,070,186
|
YES
| 0.989937
| 1,532.482975
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
y0xp4ber3j
|
will-the-sf-giants-make-the-playoff
|
Will the SF Giants make the playoffs this year?
| null | 1,724,365,621,208
| 1,727,013,120,186
| 1,727,013,120,186
|
NO
| 0.27
| 1,513.767929
|
Sports
|
Professional Sports
|
qpKHnXWIoKMlGM3vUxQI
|
argentina-will-officially-announce
|
Argentina will officially announce plans for dollarization by 11/20/24
| null | 1,705,429,536,017
| 1,733,029,140,000
| 1,733,162,763,904
|
NO
| 0.024972
| 6,636.794859
|
Politics
|
Public Policy & Social Issues
|
ibs37zteb9
|
will-i-get-a-new-job-before-the-end
|
Will I get a new job before the end of 2024.
| null | 1,720,648,020,285
| 1,735,646,032,950
| 1,735,646,032,950
|
NO
| 0.238376
| 142
|
Finance
|
Personal Finance
|
4z7z77E8fPWi7e46eU3B
|
will-the-democratic-party-do-better
|
Will the democratic party do better in Michigan than in Wisconsin in the 2024 presidential election?
| null | 1,709,158,831,822
| 1,731,131,940,000
| 1,731,359,163,074
|
NO
| 0.01
| 1,750.063348
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
X79bm4hJVhWl6KktsUOW
|
will-destiny-stop-taking-vyvanse-fo
|
Will Destiny stop taking Vyvanse for 2+ weeks in 2024?
| null | 1,702,844,810,010
| 1,735,685,940,000
| 1,735,686,347,022
|
NO
| 0.036779
| 3,951.563131
|
Politics
|
Public Policy & Social Issues
|
sytCtl995q
|
-2024-ncaaf-will-tennessee-defeat-g
|
🏈 2024 NCAAF: Will Tennessee defeat Georgia?
| null | 1,731,441,545,738
| 1,731,828,840,321
| 1,731,828,840,321
|
NO
| 0.01
| 947.584336
|
Sports
|
Team Sports
|
p2EsOhSEOg
|
donald-trump-meets-with-marine-le-p
|
Donald Trump meets with Marine Le Pen during his Paris trip
| null | 1,733,192,385,370
| 1,733,788,800,000
| 1,733,850,701,757
|
NO
| 0.024141
| 10,928.101732
|
Politics
|
Political Parties & Ideologies
|
ikS2mmaXe4GxW5rYQPk2
|
will-spacex-try-to-land-a-booster-a
|
Will SpaceX try to land a Booster at Boca Chica in 2024?
| null | 1,712,686,591,616
| 1,729,361,012,740
| 1,729,361,012,740
|
YES
| 0.99
| 27,050.312746
|
Technology
|
Tech Industry & Business
|
PhasyLb7Q5t5ETrLV4Ks
|
will-john-eastman-testify-against-t
|
Will John Eastman testify against Trump in the January 6 trial?
| null | 1,704,476,719,123
| 1,732,932,816,702
| 1,732,932,816,702
|
NO
| 0.028707
| 514.544167
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
sIp521KUVAHXnlkj6Arr
|
will-there-be-over-600mil-raised-by-ed2edd9c6cbc
|
Will there be over 600mil raised by Trump's campaign by the end of Nov 2024?
| null | 1,708,867,431,605
| 1,733,115,540,000
| 1,734,029,511,389
|
NO
| 0.015293
| 569
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
00z3mbv7uh
|
will-tim-walz-win-the-vp-debate--cash
|
Will Tim Walz win the VP debate?
| null | 1,727,820,125,409
| 1,727,895,836,753
| 1,728,349,664,971
|
NO
| 0.36
| 454.67421
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
YVESqVgsquCfPAwXIGUH
|
will-gavin-newsom-be-the-democratic-bec70b181c88
|
Will Gavin Newsom be the Democratic Nominee for president in 2024
| null | 1,696,890,066,132
| 1,733,073,081,276
| 1,733,073,081,276
|
NO
| 0.01
| 2,947.69461
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
MrocXF6CpxuOdTPY0Ghz
|
will-weed-marijuana-be-rescheduled
|
Will weed / marijuana be rescheduled / legalized before election day?
| null | 1,714,499,723,283
| 1,730,832,684,020
| 1,730,832,684,020
|
NO
| 0.002317
| 43,554.494556
|
Politics
|
Public Policy & Social Issues
|
yWVqUTqVgoYIr498sasC
|
will-the-january-6th-case-against-t
|
Will the January 6th Case against Trump have a mistrial/hung jury before election day?
| null | 1,706,154,042,557
| 1,730,966,340,000
| 1,731,696,487,710
|
NO
| 0.011669
| 11,719.310257
|
Politics
|
Domestic Policy
|
aeBMvjvgvnVBQ7lqi2uh
|
2024-predictions-matthew-yglesias-v-266b7c2aa162
|
2024 predictions - Matthew Yglesias vs Manifold: Republicans maintain their majority in the House
| null | 1,704,411,217,463
| 1,705,294,740,000
| 1,731,530,850,988
|
YES
| 0.439786
| 320.996072
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
OFUsr1P9ZeM2JMNjUHAe
|
will-ron-desantis-be-accused-of-sex
|
Will Ron DeSantis be accused of sexual assault before the 2024 Election?
| null | 1,669,973,059,333
| 1,730,851,140,000
| 1,730,851,808,819
|
NO
| 0.028894
| 10,832.961052
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
lq4gCg4nfuCK8MBfELv2
|
will-jimmy-carter-die-on-the-same-d
|
Will Jimmy Carter die on the same day of the year as any other United States president has?
| null | 1,709,225,054,095
| 1,735,522,737,958
| 1,735,522,737,958
|
NO
| 0.01
| 2,946.217758
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
9nqdg0RUEI
|
bitcoin-above-93k-on-thanksgiving
|
Bitcoin above $93K on Thanksgiving?
| null | 1,731,836,365,954
| 1,732,781,831,638
| 1,732,781,831,638
|
YES
| 0.993151
| 35,199.921703
|
Finance
|
Markets & Trading
|
9L99rPruI1LWEFyPXkJ0
|
will-linkin-park-release-a-new-albu
|
Will Linkin Park release a new album (post-Chester’s death) this decade?
| null | 1,711,753,153,735
| 1,734,184,896,165
| 1,734,184,896,165
|
YES
| 0.99
| 4,541.223589
|
Entertainment
|
Music & Audio
|
wfuxsvp0x8
|
given-trump-wins-all-7-swing-states
|
Given Trump wins all 7 swing states, will he flip another "Likely Dem" state or district?
| null | 1,729,106,771,735
| 1,731,736,740,000
| 1,731,737,930,737
|
NO
| 0.01
| 1,021.558957
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
pYoKR39TqotcAMvvcwTB
|
will-tsmc-be-said-by-anyone-in-a-pr
|
Will "TSMC" be said by anyone in a Presidential debate in 2024?
| null | 1,712,481,216,092
| 1,730,433,540,000
| 1,731,199,203,408
|
NO
| 0.010152
| 12,790.21393
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
HNhIf8mtH7nvr8PXbmYr
|
will-research-on-aiml-win-a-nobel-p
|
will research on AI/ML win a nobel prize by 2030?
| null | 1,696,962,492,531
| 1,728,477,162,148
| 1,728,477,162,148
|
YES
| 0.99
| 12,665.71455
|
Technology
|
Emerging Technologies
|
2p20jp89lp
|
will-the-email-open-rate-of-my-jimm
|
Will the email open rate of my "Jimmy Carter's 100th Birthday!" Manifold newsletter be ≥20% in two days?
| null | 1,727,822,027,434
| 1,728,025,140,000
| 1,728,026,609,720
|
YES
| 0.95
| 2,092.204109
|
Politics
|
Election & Campaigns
|
XP3aWZWeFflV2aF3nfsP
|
will-piastri-get-more-points-then-r
|
Will Piastri get more Points then Russel in the 2024 Formula 1 Season?
| null | 1,713,794,072,182
| 1,733,669,767,051
| 1,733,669,768,553
|
YES
| 0.99
| 1,156.364783
|
Sports
|
Individual Sports
|
d7rjq6yni2
|
will-chrome-os-reach-250-market-sha
|
Will Chrome os reach 2.50% market share by the end of the year
| null | 1,728,498,791,550
| 1,735,077,600,000
| 1,735,114,306,283
|
NO
| 0.036153
| 8,680.139529
|
Technology
|
Computing & Software
|
FHEm2xIDE1ydcuBmN0YW
|
will-ai-be-able-to-correctly-plot-d
|
Will AI be able to correctly plot data in MS Paint before October 2024?
| null | 1,695,411,273,383
| 1,727,852,340,000
| 1,731,289,129,578
|
NO
| 0.114437
| 1,967.876281
|
Technology
|
Emerging Technologies
|
s7ct06269k
|
manifold-craps-pass-line-see-descri-uh7z8brymr
|
Manifold Craps Pass Line (see description)
| null | 1,728,754,140,060
| 1,729,407,540,000
| 1,729,478,954,030
|
YES
| 0.5
| 25
|
Sports
|
Sports Culture & Recreation
|
oNWvoOwKodHVryILbumw
|
will-trump-win-us-election-in-2024
|
will trump win us election in 2024
| null | 1,704,214,139,714
| 1,732,075,993,891
| 1,732,075,993,891
|
YES
| 0.99
| 10,117.665973
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
UDh8a3UdnK06k62EK0Nc
|
will-invocare-be-acquired-by-anothe
|
Will InvoCare be acquired by another company before the end of 2024?
| null | 1,683,130,143,624
| 1,733,452,304,391
| 1,733,452,304,391
|
YES
| 0.993127
| 2,502.106466
|
Finance
|
Corporate Finance
|
5jxhejocgz
|
will-the-nebraska-college-football
|
Will the Nebraska college football team go 7-0 in the 2024 season
| null | 1,725,942,055,005
| 1,726,890,499,523
| 1,726,890,499,523
|
NO
| 0.01
| 1,168.316112
|
Sports
|
Team Sports
|
DzpFtQt7BZ4g4wxlPSsa
|
will-the-nyt-publish-at-least-8-col
|
Will the NYT publish at least 8 columns by Bret Stephens in November 2024?
| null | 1,705,872,521,059
| 1,733,115,540,000
| 1,733,783,572,461
|
YES
| 0.99
| 447.493719
|
Politics
|
Public Policy & Social Issues
|
Ul09FLKHT4PKvGIq1JDu
|
will-a-republican-win-arizona-for-p
|
Will a Republican win Arizona for President by 2050?
| null | 1,681,959,565,635
| 1,732,829,051,069
| 1,732,829,051,069
|
YES
| 0.989005
| 2,084.659504
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
5g3jvz8cm8
|
short-fuse-will-the-metaculus-leban
|
(Short Fuse) Will the Metaculus Lebanon invasion market be resolved to something other than "Yes" or "No"?
| null | 1,727,756,717,937
| 1,727,803,020,192
| 1,727,803,020,192
|
YES
| 0.98
| 697.243306
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
ylIeL2goFZ1Wx3wQtCpy
|
will-the-2024-movie-civil-war-by-al
|
Will the 2024 movie Civil War by Alex Garland make $150 million at the worldwide box office?
| null | 1,702,622,944,352
| 1,733,515,688,166
| 1,733,515,688,166
|
NO
| 0.01
| 10,510.767909
|
Entertainment
|
Movies & Television
|
do3mHJfacRYKTh8FsQc8
|
will-the-election-be-sooner-or-late
|
Will the "2024 Election be Sooner or Later Than Planned"?
| null | 1,691,669,781,301
| 1,731,329,925,553
| 1,731,329,925,553
|
NO
| 0.011065
| 2,926.590847
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
8LuOVSom2pi6DasnIvKH
|
will-the-price-of-bitcoin-hit-90000
|
Will the price of Bitcoin hit $90,000 before 2025?
| null | 1,710,370,381,968
| 1,731,637,558,909
| 1,731,637,558,909
|
YES
| 0.992744
| 6,848.952517
|
Finance
|
Markets & Trading
|
tR9bMB0JZ3Az7CoD047q
|
will-a-third-party-candidate-win-20
|
Will a third party candidate win 2024 US presidential election?
| null | 1,699,564,063,996
| 1,731,193,011,640
| 1,731,193,011,640
|
NO
| 0.01
| 3,792.664205
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
dpTKFFqG1i5LTzlFcy7n
|
will-the-us-presidential-election-2
|
Will the US presidential election (2024) be postponed?
| null | 1,710,937,680,992
| 1,730,912,945,268
| 1,730,912,945,268
|
NO
| 0.013329
| 8,067.16453
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
n6yuZpm3vUoQKGNJYE9F
|
will-jakob-ingebrigtsen-win-two-gol
|
Will Jakob Ingebrigtsen win two gold medals in the 1500m/5000m double at the Paris 2024 Olympics?
| null | 1,697,747,472,047
| 1,723,521,540,000
| 1,735,632,344,841
|
NO
| 0.01006
| 1,472.234106
|
Sports
|
Individual Sports
|
lVxjenFPm8Wj53bPsElh
|
will-another-sam-step-down-from-a-h
|
Will another Sam step down from a high-profile tech CEO position in November 2024?
| null | 1,700,451,584,325
| 1,733,057,940,000
| 1,733,058,956,341
|
NO
| 0.022778
| 686.953554
|
Technology
|
Tech Industry & Business
|
GTr0OayuoeUBedTenmu9
|
vox-predictions-openai-will-release
|
Vox predictions: OpenAI will release ChatGPT-5 by the end of November 2024
| null | 1,704,456,748,701
| 1,733,007,540,000
| 1,733,465,709,032
|
NO
| 0.01
| 1,760.532855
|
Technology
|
Emerging Technologies
|
ya2lkkscpa
|
will-goog-have-a-closing-price-of-1
|
will GOOG have a closing price of $190 or higher again before the end of 2024?
| null | 1,726,936,938,000
| 1,734,019,394,767
| 1,734,019,394,767
|
YES
| 0.4
| 75.635317
|
Finance
|
Markets & Trading
|
eljre2skol
|
will-my-net-worth-on-manifold-reach
|
Will my net worth on Manifold reach 150K before EOY?
| null | 1,728,033,045,918
| 1,735,685,940,000
| 1,735,687,926,778
|
NO
| 0.074951
| 442.060913
|
Finance
|
Personal Finance
|
a70cQoKru0JFhRbbb5Pe
|
frans-timmermans-will-be-a-member-o
|
Will Frans Timmermans will be a member of the Dutch Tweede Kamer 1 year after the 2023 elections?
| null | 1,700,827,710,627
| 1,732,316,340,000
| 1,732,348,049,195
|
YES
| 0.92825
| 791.311158
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
2BrDlR4G6CDDUIXqeED3
|
will-the-winner-of-michigan-in-the
|
Will the winner of Michigan in the 2024 POTUS election win with a majority in the state?
| null | 1,690,180,553,688
| 1,732,660,358,357
| 1,732,660,358,357
|
NO
| 0.020384
| 614.617597
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
XiaVmWpyTVYSv9uGttXD
|
will-panfilo-finish-1-in-a-manifold
|
Will @Panfilo finish #1 in a Manifold Master League in 2024?
| null | 1,704,246,013,591
| 1,733,591,761,467
| 1,733,591,761,467
|
NO
| 0.013152
| 2,139.208551
|
Sports
|
Professional Sports
|
ifkc5y715m
|
will-reflection-llama-31-70b-be-pro
|
Will Reflection Llama 3.1 70B be proven to beat Llama 3.1 405B Instruct in GPQA by the end of September 2024?
| null | 1,725,813,602,527
| 1,727,704,740,000
| 1,727,705,157,105
|
NO
| 0.01
| 1,198.74619
|
Technology
|
Emerging Technologies
|
3qjbyk0got
|
will-silent-hill-2-have-a-metacriti
|
Will Silent Hill 2 have a Metacritic score of 80 or higher as of October 10th?
| null | 1,718,668,540,878
| 1,728,619,140,000
| 1,728,651,330,948
|
YES
| 0.99
| 897.28163
|
Entertainment
|
Movies & Television
|
oNkhkEQ0gkGsyaXWMtMv
|
will-fernando-alonso-win-an-f1-race
|
Will Fernando Alonso win an F1 race in 2024?
| null | 1,708,500,288,184
| 1,733,644,740,000
| 1,733,680,136,342
|
NO
| 0.042988
| 1,223.27708
|
Sports
|
Individual Sports
|
y07g3pba5c
|
will-the-philly-portal-be-shut-down
|
will the philly portal be shut down before end of October 2024?
| null | 1,729,364,155,297
| 1,730,399,340,000
| 1,730,404,212,393
|
YES
| 0.922385
| 571.495223
|
Politics
|
Domestic Policy
|
e6jlnweinj
|
will-trump-reach-60-before-election
|
Will Trump reach 60% before election day?
| null | 1,724,357,423,728
| 1,729,575,263,510
| 1,729,575,263,510
|
YES
| 0.99
| 26,157.907941
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
VHqWEXUwhL2FuKyork2v
|
will-there-be-at-least-one-new-york-6f2cfc02452e
|
Will there be at least one New York Times article on AI every week in 2024?
| null | 1,704,182,605,951
| 1,735,448,340,000
| 1,735,682,290,247
|
YES
| 0.965933
| 10,788.503837
|
Technology
|
Emerging Technologies
|
0mhzbvxcbd
|
will-microsoft-acquire-cursor-befor
|
Will Microsoft acquire Cursor before the end of 2024
| null | 1,725,106,294,574
| 1,735,689,291,156
| 1,735,689,291,156
|
NO
| 0.034872
| 6,398.406434
|
Technology
|
Tech Industry & Business
|
xPdhn4oIeR5jd7rRFlmM
|
will-intels-cpu-market-share-drop-b
|
Will Intels CPU market share drop below 60% by the end of 2024?
| null | 1,698,101,388,228
| 1,734,550,511,811
| 1,734,550,511,811
|
NO
| 0.060563
| 6,068.653149
|
Technology
|
Tech Industry & Business
|
BrSY28iomyQjnx626STG
|
will-a-video-game-with-airendered-g
|
Will a video game with AI-rendered graphics get 1 million downloads by 2038?
| null | 1,708,221,466,430
| 1,732,122,505,770
| 1,732,122,505,770
|
YES
| 0.8
| 4,191.623755
|
Gaming
|
Gaming
|
dBd12ycgw5G1BOjoBJN8
|
will-caitlin-clark-score-50-points
|
Will Caitlin Clark score 50+ points in any game during her first WNBA season?
| null | 1,716,647,700,433
| 1,729,388,661,266
| 1,729,388,661,266
|
NO
| 0.01
| 9,530.936388
|
Sports
|
Professional Sports
|
zsdu0AQNpO
|
will-usyk-win-the-rematch-against-f
|
Will Usyk win the rematch against Fury?
| null | 1,731,614,593,902
| 1,734,929,940,000
| 1,735,280,244,743
|
YES
| 0.990405
| 1,836.767067
|
Sports
|
Individual Sports
|
VNzUuywR0KQI3Zw5Zmgk
|
will-trump-receive-at-least-60-mill
|
Will Trump receive at least 60 million votes?
| null | 1,659,571,109,134
| 1,731,695,066,255
| 1,731,695,066,255
|
YES
| 0.99
| 32,235.791696
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
zAaXroG3w2XqKoKxSDgS
|
will-farmers-protests-in-europe-can
|
Will any event of the 2024 UCI World Tour be canceled due to farmers' protests in Europe?
| null | 1,708,441,822,664
| 1,728,791,940,000
| 1,728,827,299,500
|
NO
| 0.02
| 439.053042
|
Sports
|
Professional Sports
|
ZPAnV0cFwgevbNt7eeIo
|
will-the-creators-of-any-iteration
|
Will the creators of any iteration of AlphaFold win a Nobel Prize before 2030?
| null | 1,664,791,313,131
| 1,728,479,443,470
| 1,728,479,443,470
|
YES
| 0.99
| 15,921.975271
|
Technology
|
Emerging Technologies
|
UlD2fHNDzMOmJ9HKlw6Q
|
nfl-week-13-nov-28-2024-will-the-da
|
NFL Week 13 (Nov 28 2024): Will the Dallas Cowboys (home) beat the New York Giants (away)?
| null | 1,715,834,457,840
| 1,733,002,200,000
| 1,733,006,329,967
|
YES
| 0.99
| 939.260451
|
Sports
|
Professional Sports
|
t092SglIU9
|
will-the-sp-500-stock-index-close-h-8QCSzgnd5S
|
Will the S&P 500 stock index close higher on Nov 13 than it closed on Nov 12?
| null | 1,731,445,254,134
| 1,731,531,766,933
| 1,731,531,766,933
|
YES
| 0.99
| 1,031.072175
|
Finance
|
Markets & Trading
|
wThdoESliXTez40sx5Sx
|
will-messi-be-named-most-valuable-p-37b4f9d4a473
|
Will Messi be named Most Valuable Player for the MLS 2024 season?
| null | 1,689,862,111,350
| 1,733,581,802,084
| 1,733,581,802,084
|
YES
| 0.331123
| 1,693.18947
|
Sports
|
Professional Sports
|
ya4l1ET12EiXYq1KpFoU
|
will-jenny-wilson-be-reelected-mayo
|
Will Jenny Wilson be re-elected mayor of Salt Lake County, Utah in 2024?
| null | 1,697,661,247,682
| 1,731,291,566,823
| 1,731,291,566,823
|
YES
| 0.99
| 631.572752
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
mbVt72M6hcZ1eefOxX0P
|
nfl-week-4-sep-29-will-the-chicago
|
NFL Week 4 (Sep 29): Will the Chicago Bears beat the Los Angeles Rams?
| null | 1,715,833,659,363
| 1,727,656,114,291
| 1,727,656,114,291
|
YES
| 0.99
| 899.852074
|
Sports
|
Professional Sports
|
4be8r1648q
|
will-donald-agree-to-a-second-debat
|
Will Harris and Trump have a second debate?
| null | 1,726,045,803,438
| 1,730,831,340,000
| 1,730,861,211,552
|
NO
| 0.009648
| 956,630.418136
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
aa27gyuryx
|
will-the-trump-campaign-leaks-be-pu
|
Will the Trump campaign leaks be published?
| null | 1,723,660,951,637
| 1,727,460,622,487
| 1,727,460,622,487
|
YES
| 0.97
| 24,133.307257
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
7dLH4fcgRuzFNdLc7Nor
|
will-trump-say-desanctimonious-agai
|
Will Trump say DeSanctimonious again during the election?
| null | 1,705,887,586,836
| 1,730,879,940,000
| 1,730,941,762,701
|
NO
| 0.122956
| 2,062.291859
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
BKZ6eVVi5zXukkn4Sy77
|
2024-formula-1-season-will-fernando
|
[2024 Formula 1 Season] Will Fernando Alonso finish 6th or higher in the Drivers Championship?
| null | 1,700,757,539,915
| 1,733,685,742,480
| 1,733,685,742,480
|
NO
| 0.01
| 12,119.339721
|
Sports
|
Individual Sports
|
sqrl6z15ii
|
will-kamala-harris-and-pokimane-tal
|
Will Kamala Harris and Pokimane talk together publicly before the election?
| null | 1,723,082,818,333
| 1,730,997,337,787
| 1,730,997,337,787
|
NO
| 0.01
| 1,159.30628
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
Pu76Dviq4en3zPBAQXXu
|
will-china-be-competitive-in-the-ll
|
Will China be competitive in the LLM race compared to OpenAI, Anthropic, and Google by end of 2024?
| null | 1,697,204,488,041
| 1,729,085,399,412
| 1,729,085,399,412
|
YES
| 0.87
| 286,105.839105
|
Technology
|
Emerging Technologies
|
9Sg9UNdS5p
|
will-bitcoin-hit-100k-in-2024
|
Will Bitcoin hit 100K in 2024?
| null | 1,731,375,415,869
| 1,733,520,228,003
| 1,733,520,228,003
|
YES
| 0.9945
| 43,494.663985
|
Finance
|
Markets & Trading
|
NQ2C9CSAyc
|
will-victor-aguilar-die-by-the-end
|
Will Victor Aguilar die by the end of The Penguin's 1st season
| null | 1,730,568,905,599
| 1,731,304,740,000
| 1,731,306,498,763
|
YES
| 0.443577
| 12
|
Entertainment
|
Movies & Television
|
vkHnXZp4nttwFBbWd5U7
|
will-none-of-these-candidates-get-e
|
Will "None of these candidates" get enough votes to theoretically spoil the presidential election in Nevada?
| null | 1,707,755,585,483
| 1,732,723,437,427
| 1,732,723,437,427
|
NO
| 0.048627
| 561.962868
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
GtWHv5naojQn1TEicKSA
|
will-san-diego-state-be-in-the-pac1
|
Will San Diego State be in the Pac12 for the 2024 football season?
| null | 1,682,645,176,360
| 1,726,729,140,000
| 1,727,058,993,338
|
NO
| 0.01
| 1,617.31695
|
Sports
|
Team Sports
|
UhAcEsdcZE
|
will-one-presidential-candidate-dro
|
Will one presidential candidate drop below 30% odds then go on to win?
| null | 1,730,683,438,059
| 1,730,890,233,680
| 1,730,890,233,680
|
NO
| 0.057096
| 4,859.268565
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
s0kxja2fr6
|
will-i-get-into-a-fight-at-this-con
|
Will I get into a fight at this conference?
| null | 1,727,974,074,201
| 1,728,240,490,208
| 1,728,240,490,208
|
NO
| 0.05
| 27,983.481119
|
Politics
|
Public Policy & Social Issues
|
eOtHwOHJ9a6eH3suvF68
|
will-i-read-50-books-in-2024
|
Will I read 50 books in 2024?
| null | 1,705,927,891,331
| 1,735,074,049,689
| 1,735,074,049,689
|
NO
| 0.75
| 290.123543
|
Books & Literature
|
Reading culture
|
lqQhjS3tVKCl6ZL5cZ82
|
rudolph-rudy-giuliani-will-be-convi
|
Rudolph “Rudy” Giuliani will be convicted of at least five felony charges by December 31st 2024.
| null | 1,696,778,273,811
| 1,735,664,340,000
| 1,735,677,179,899
|
NO
| 0.106501
| 326.509389
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
8fojyg0yo9
|
will-the-redskins-rule-be-followed
|
Will the “Redskins rule” be followed this year?
| null | 1,723,411,817,608
| 1,734,777,881,542
| 1,734,777,881,542
|
NO
| 0.013177
| 779
|
Sports
|
Professional Sports
|
tf6c5f74ry
|
will-republicans-win-the-popular-vo-llm5g905qm--cash
|
Will Republicans win the popular vote but lose the election?
| null | 1,728,252,702,840
| 1,731,050,655,566
| 1,731,050,655,566
|
NO
| 0.009086
| 3,673.831796
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
oSwNzCwYDDir5JvOkYsC
|
will-methanesat-discover-a-major-me
|
Will MethaneSAT discover a major methane leak in 2024?
| null | 1,709,842,581,067
| 1,735,659,034,609
| 1,735,659,034,609
|
NO
| 0.01
| 4,814.367455
|
Technology
|
Emerging Technologies
|
6d9l0NyzR0
|
will-iran-hit-israel-within-1-month
|
Will Iran hit Israel within 1 month of being attacked by them?
| null | 1,730,679,939,917
| 1,731,901,685,989
| 1,731,901,685,989
|
NO
| 0.146062
| 791.420545
|
Geopolitics
|
Global Conflicts
|
sLCAzcChgU
|
will-trump-withdraw-a-cabinet-nomin
|
Will Trump withdraw a cabinet nominee before taking office?
| null | 1,732,170,423,372
| 1,732,219,195,287
| 1,732,219,195,287
|
YES
| 0.692983
| 620
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
8do4n9coq6
|
will-astro-bot-win-in-any-category
|
Will Astro Bot win in any category at the Game Awards 2024?
| null | 1,725,581,065,391
| 1,734,053,200,045
| 1,734,053,200,045
|
YES
| 0.989976
| 9,235
|
Gaming
|
individual sports
|
vHvVr634WmHXnTVcMFvb
|
will-manifold-mana-m-be-listed-on-a
|
Will Manifold MANA (Ṁ) be listed on a crypto exchange by 2025?
| null | 1,681,368,881,794
| 1,735,660,800,000
| 1,735,676,774,459
|
NO
| 0.024274
| 11,353.988856
|
Finance
|
Markets & Trading
|
dJdq7n9bEHDP1cLfLg9j
|
will-the-winner-of-the-2024-preside-0440ccfa4c36
|
Will the winner of the 2024 Presidential Election carry the state of Maine?
| null | 1,690,202,351,243
| 1,730,998,857,687
| 1,730,998,857,687
|
NO
| 0.010027
| 1,103.983179
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
NAN8c3DjTe0ipS5Mgjf4
|
will-a-convicted-felon-win-the-2024
|
Will a convicted felon win the 2024 presidential election?
| null | 1,702,621,977,381
| 1,730,966,340,000
| 1,731,604,041,524
|
YES
| 0.970773
| 10,246.646184
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
qa4t5jlh5k
|
will-i-fast-until-sunset-for-yom-ki
|
Will I fast until sunset for Yom Kippur?
| null | 1,728,713,947,910
| 1,728,783,300,000
| 1,728,783,617,304
|
YES
| 0.97
| 505
|
Politics
|
Public Policy & Social Issues
|
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