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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ya0g6y7d51
|
will-astro-bot-be-nominated-for-gam
|
Will Astro Bot be nominated for Game of the Year at the Game Awards 2024?
| null | 1,725,580,863,421
| 1,731,973,033,151
| 1,731,973,033,151
|
YES
| 0.99
| 9,338
|
Entertainment
|
Gaming
|
5edOcHjoJJkqNg8LsZm5
|
was-sam-altman-fired-because-the-bo
|
Was Sam Altman fired because the board suspected he'd created an undisclosed AGI?
| null | 1,700,332,627,144
| 1,732,597,140,000
| 1,732,635,216,268
|
NO
| 0.01
| 12,266.336157
|
Technology
|
Emerging Technologies
|
7S4ZLNY83IjRW0myKYlr
|
will-yaya-sinwar-founder-of-hamas-s
|
Will Yahya Sinwar, founder of Hamas, survive 2024?
| null | 1,704,183,004,143
| 1,729,188,258,930
| 1,729,188,258,930
|
NO
| 0.01
| 40,366.791625
|
Geopolitics
|
Global Conflicts
|
I0QC65gQ5t
|
will-the-canada-post-strike-end-bef-lhRRItdq95
|
Will the Canada Post strike end before December 10?
| null | 1,733,082,467,335
| 1,733,851,887,198
| 1,733,851,887,198
|
NO
| 0.01
| 959.987431
|
Politics
|
Public Policy & Social Issues
|
ukksz6xkhg
|
will-i-lose-20-lbs-after-taking-sem
|
Will I lose 20+ lbs after taking semaglutide for 3 months?
| null | 1,718,690,901,976
| 1,733,884,634,322
| 1,734,810,000,599
|
YES
| 0.930713
| 69,150.065829
|
Finance
|
Personal Finance
|
B3BHjmnvaHghoPfFYXdY
|
will-jimmy-carter-live-to-be-101-ye
|
Will Jimmy Carter live to be 101 years old?
| null | 1,706,925,944,132
| 1,735,515,637,133
| 1,735,515,637,133
|
NO
| 0.001843
| 112,193.073623
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
2yG3lHlsbljnoVN9g1vm
|
will-the-uk-outright-maximum-temper-caf1a1ce51b7
|
Will the UK outright maximum temperature record be broken in 2024?
| null | 1,713,873,967,415
| 1,727,737,140,000
| 1,727,769,364,434
|
NO
| 0.02
| 8,356.494716
|
Sports
|
Sports Culture & Recreation
|
UCPATFk6PvGFyGO4HHYw
|
will-ukraine-hold-a-presidential-el-ccf6c4403856
|
Will Ukraine hold a presidential election in 2024?
| null | 1,681,601,413,986
| 1,735,682,340,000
| 1,735,686,144,686
|
NO
| 0.021999
| 15,862.294647
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
OOFyxpwvBaRenhvfi2ek
|
will-the-uss-ftc-or-uks-cma-investi
|
Will the US's FTC or UK's CMA investigate the Microsoft/OpenAI deal on competition grounds in the next 12 months?
| null | 1,697,229,927,353
| 1,727,841,540,000
| 1,728,661,992,296
|
YES
| 0.3
| 142.243903
|
Politics
|
Public Policy & Social Issues
|
HwV7QDr0vhiAmkNkDDCa
|
will-there-be-a-variant-of-seven-up
|
Will there be a variant of Seven Up released in 2024 according to Wikipedia?
| null | 1,704,145,137,132
| 1,733,335,318,493
| 1,733,335,318,493
|
YES
| 0.99
| 756.45839
|
Entertainment
|
Movies & Television
|
NqOy9yO66Q
|
will-the-syrian-government-control-COL59Ig2An
|
Will the Syrian government control a contiguous area between Damascus and Latakia until 31 March 2025?
| null | 1,733,406,162,967
| 1,733,686,476,060
| 1,733,686,476,060
|
NO
| 0.012345
| 927.557833
|
Geopolitics
|
Regional Affairs
|
uwndib4f9f
|
will-solana-close-above-155-on-octo
|
Will Solana Close Above $155 on October 25?
| null | 1,729,391,776,587
| 1,729,919,561,200
| 1,729,919,561,200
|
YES
| 0.99
| 915.444557
|
Finance
|
Markets & Trading
|
6MnAFWfug0nwuGqLkFHr
|
will-messi-play-for-barcelona-in-20
|
Will Messi play for Barcelona in 2024?
| null | 1,700,160,171,369
| 1,735,621,474,481
| 1,735,621,474,481
|
NO
| 0.01
| 5,152.04349
|
Sports
|
Professional Sports
|
4EWfrvQrdAntQ63H9h7X
|
will-democrats-control-both-the-hou
|
Will Democrats control both the House and Senate after the 2024 elections?
| null | 1,678,978,395,917
| 1,730,872,763,131
| 1,730,872,763,131
|
NO
| 0.048033
| 7,686.537283
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
s8C55P8Udz
|
will-kamala-harris-win-at-least-2-m
|
Will Kamala Harris win at least 2 midwestern "tossup" states but lose the election?
| null | 1,730,057,937,498
| 1,730,890,152,184
| 1,730,890,152,184
|
NO
| 0.060375
| 3,974.852756
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
sfs40IUP7RNztlX9pqIY
|
will-any-state-be-decided-by-1-in-t
|
Will any state be decided by <1% in the 2024 election?
| null | 1,686,112,517,920
| 1,731,734,400,456
| 1,731,734,400,456
|
YES
| 0.958087
| 4,829.707606
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
NZcLNsh896
|
will-lord-of-the-rings-war-of-the-r
|
Will "Lord of the Rings: War of the Rohirrim" have a Rotten Tomatoes critics score at least 60%?
| null | 1,733,350,698,360
| 1,734,767,940,000
| 1,734,935,247,777
|
NO
| 0.034752
| 960.118623
|
Entertainment
|
Movies & Television
|
tSwDmwrg7EyLT5wye4Nn
|
will-someone-start-a-mana-investing
|
Will someone start a mana investing service on manifold ?
| null | 1,679,896,687,307
| 1,735,649,940,000
| 1,735,657,619,888
|
NO
| 0.16
| 2,062.183203
|
Finance
|
Markets & Trading
|
7upzL0FR9GGwRMhAENt6
|
will-the-winner-of-the-2024-usa-pre-8a9372d80791
|
Will the winner of the 2024 USA presidential election win Georgia?
| null | 1,714,675,540,376
| 1,733,699,959,661
| 1,733,699,959,661
|
YES
| 0.99
| 943.181051
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
8u5GG1fqTFM11F9H2uI4
|
a-serious-us-presidential-candidate
|
A serious US presidential candidate says they'll take decisive action in the case of near term AI risk.
| null | 1,703,651,695,633
| 1,727,755,140,000
| 1,728,497,592,705
|
NO
| 0.08
| 3,998.682672
|
Politics
|
Public Policy & Social Issues
|
lv4EIrVzQuPyzDDhb8Zk
|
will-teslas-market-capitalization-s
|
Will Tesla's market capitalization surpass $1 trillion by the end of 2024?
| null | 1,710,183,384,760
| 1,731,340,671,260
| 1,731,340,671,260
|
YES
| 0.99
| 6,799.705843
|
Finance
|
Markets & Trading
|
NtJLmBuFkYvppHkxKdla
|
will-sweden-try-to-ban-burning-the-d1fca89c8442
|
Will Sweden try to ban burning the Quran by the end of 2024?
| null | 1,693,574,741,759
| 1,735,658,817,907
| 1,735,658,817,907
|
NO
| 0.01
| 13,632.18021
|
Politics
|
Public Policy & Social Issues
|
aPh5gZB4GjNJvXN6kju3
|
will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-pres-c6ba0fd09c2f
|
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 presidential election?
| null | 1,707,084,991,518
| 1,730,930,400,000
| 1,730,935,355,049
|
YES
| 0.990439
| 14,813.872218
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
puLACELgnZ
|
will-the-winning-strategy-on-why-di
|
Will the winning strategy on "Why did the Democrats lose" be non-predictive?
| null | 1,731,947,976,962
| 1,733,097,540,000
| 1,733,589,716,988
|
YES
| 0.373081
| 115.000004
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
olxab561no
|
will-texas-vote-to-the-left-of-flor
|
Will Texas vote to the left of Florida in the 2024 presidential election?
| null | 1,727,063,254,855
| 1,730,966,340,000
| 1,731,398,543,562
|
NO
| 0.065692
| 1,380.280368
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
zGGk95XfaaG2vfRkfrI5
|
nfl-week-7-oct-20-will-the-indianap
|
NFL Week 7 (Oct 20): Will the Indianapolis Colts beat the Miami Dolphins?
| null | 1,715,834,060,313
| 1,729,616,400,000
| 1,729,617,781,031
|
YES
| 0.99
| 1,118.862831
|
Sports
|
Professional Sports
|
g17fdXLW8Q7ecnUGo3HS
|
-2024-nfl-will-any-week-3-game-end
|
🏈 2024 NFL: Will any Week 3 game end in Scorigami?
| null | 1,704,865,063,078
| 1,727,153,940,000
| 1,727,190,489,011
|
NO
| 0.01
| 1,901.307965
|
Sports
|
Professional Sports
|
ziCXqkkwROw5rLj0Madm
|
will-i-be-on-the-top-traders-leader-f21ee117223b
|
Will I be on the "Top traders" leaderboard before @Conflux is on the "Top creators" one?
| null | 1,682,282,378,452
| 1,727,506,740,000
| 1,729,290,014,939
|
NO
| 0.41
| 3,883.381929
|
Finance
|
Markets & Trading
|
kS4r1lVFLWy1FSyxCIDX
|
ryan-binkley-1-in-any-state
|
Ryan Binkley >1% in any state?
| null | 1,706,718,061,293
| 1,731,433,919,523
| 1,731,433,919,523
|
NO
| 0.01
| 11,822.443418
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
xqwy0IYsGYXN4M1xawap
|
will-china-lower-its-one-year-lpr-b
|
Will China lower it’s one year LPR by the end of 2024?
| null | 1,715,937,636,249
| 1,731,855,077,120
| 1,731,855,077,120
|
YES
| 0.988548
| 8,300
|
Finance
|
Economic Indicators
|
cf9yl2ftq5
|
oktoberfest-2024-will-more-than-7-m
|
Oktoberfest 2024: Will more than 7 million litres of beer be served again?
| null | 1,720,468,168,171
| 1,728,251,940,000
| 1,731,090,381,234
|
YES
| 0.907102
| 1,027.411134
|
Sports
|
Sports Culture & Recreation
|
SulU952Ptt
|
will-donald-trump-get-arrested-for
|
Will Donald Trump get arrested for selling AI waifu art today?
| null | 1,730,039,136,740
| 1,730,073,540,000
| 1,730,115,671,421
|
NO
| 0.01
| 894.987437
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
AAfeYptnvrrw7WqZrqIE
|
will-an-aipowered-dating-app-signif
|
Will an AI-powered dating app significantly improve on the current state of the art by October 2024?
| null | 1,695,408,565,580
| 1,727,852,340,000
| 1,735,526,668,491
|
NO
| 0.01
| 14,861.55794
|
Technology
|
Emerging Technologies
|
2rohf957l6
|
polymarketlinked-another-iran-strik
|
[Polymarket-linked] Another Iran strike on Israel in October?
| null | 1,727,957,408,705
| 1,730,433,540,000
| 1,730,471,088,316
|
NO
| 0.01
| 1,029.906253
|
Geopolitics
|
Global Conflicts
|
XHILq95n0pRaYUP8rEre
|
will-amazon-begin-to-accept-bitcoin-b32976b4613d
|
Will Amazon begin to accept Bitcoin as payment by the end of 2024?
| null | 1,704,216,826,490
| 1,735,620,599,772
| 1,735,620,599,772
|
NO
| 0.01
| 2,112.073967
|
Finance
|
Markets & Trading
|
Z7EUEONSJNDRxuyMRtT9
|
will-lauren-boebert-be-reelected-in
|
Will Lauren Boebert be reelected in CO-3 in 2024?
| null | 1,682,627,211,272
| 1,731,578,824,408
| 1,731,578,824,408
|
NO
| 0.01
| 13,319.170978
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
vftrdorg8t
|
will-the-dodgers-hold-their-positio
|
Will the Dodgers hold their position at #1 in the NL West until the 2024 season ends?
| null | 1,724,798,656,995
| 1,727,852,340,000
| 1,727,862,706,517
|
YES
| 0.99
| 9,000.30796
|
Sports
|
Professional Sports
|
YH5mbQVIm6eyrUr9kruK
|
will-chappell-roan-wear-a-cowboy-ha
|
Will Chappell Roan wear a cowboy hat at any point during her 2024 Lollapalooza set?
| null | 1,716,163,627,519
| 1,721,969,940,000
| 1,728,428,661,786
|
NO
| 0.64
| 375
|
Entertainment
|
Music & Audio
|
pzvggnphmx
|
daily-coinflip-zjldimov3r
|
Daily coinflip
| null | 1,727,498,157,053
| 1,727,668,740,000
| 1,727,668,993,556
|
YES
| 0.51
| 3,941.058064
|
Sports
|
Sports Culture & Recreation
|
RCas79XNbs14nMSU9EJ1
|
will-bluesky-have-more-active-users
|
Will Bluesky have more active users than Mastodon by the end of 2025?
| null | 1,681,340,519,384
| 1,731,787,481,198
| 1,731,787,481,198
|
YES
| 0.939044
| 3,334.08601
|
Technology
|
Internet & Digital Services
|
abIh4e7qq7i6h3YuZMuL
|
nfl-week-10-nov-10-2024-will-the-ja
|
NFL Week 10 (Nov 10 2024): Will the Jacksonville Jaguars (home) beat the Minnesota Vikings (away)?
| null | 1,715,834,206,918
| 1,731,434,400,000
| 1,731,444,976,567
|
NO
| 0.01
| 1,547.431066
|
Sports
|
Professional Sports
|
c0ke8prg7l
|
will-destiny-reach-836k-subscribers
|
Will Destiny reach 836k subscribers in October 2024?
| null | 1,727,780,313,918
| 1,730,406,564,589
| 1,730,406,564,589
|
YES
| 0.99
| 14,558.266684
|
Entertainment
|
Celebrity & Pop Culture
|
xe4uknd0b2
|
will-kamala-harris-hold-a-gun-befor
|
Will Kamala Harris hold a gun before election day?
| null | 1,727,367,524,316
| 1,730,793,540,000
| 1,730,807,900,359
|
NO
| 0.012966
| 46,630.094172
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
5LMtbQdW7OLA9RepTSGQ
|
will-trump-debate-chris-christie-be
|
Will Trump debate Chris Christie before the 2024 presidential election?
| null | 1,693,178,861,014
| 1,731,016,644,956
| 1,731,016,644,956
|
NO
| 0.01
| 25,409.18188
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
qxw2x1200j
|
will-jimmy-carter-be-alive-when-thi-y8brq09824
|
Will Jimmy Carter be alive when this market rolls a critical hit? [Round 2]
| null | 1,725,230,940,253
| 1,735,546,115,903
| 1,735,546,115,903
|
NO
| 0.000359
| 48,282.660676
|
Sports
|
Sports Culture & Recreation
|
0CLsI06LQq
|
bitcoin-above-100k-on-thanksgiving
|
Bitcoin above $100K on Thanksgiving?
| null | 1,732,271,243,487
| 1,732,867,140,000
| 1,732,869,550,305
|
NO
| 0.01
| 41,969.675137
|
Finance
|
Markets & Trading
|
u90flabink
|
will-there-be-any-break-between-kag-bk5xoz5sgx
|
Will there be any break between Kagurabachi chapters 53 and 54?
| null | 1,728,230,222,842
| 1,728,836,142,960
| 1,728,836,145,729
|
NO
| 0.44
| 127
|
Entertainment
|
Books & Literature
|
GUe18HU2ETIzwiUHvOUT
|
will-scott-moe-be-reelected-premier
|
Will Scott Moe be re-elected premier of the Canadian province of Saskatchewan in 2024?
| null | 1,699,654,856,238
| 1,730,238,139,971
| 1,730,238,139,971
|
YES
| 0.876991
| 827.646663
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
lFx5LHHUTgHnQPquiOMs
|
will-rafael-nadal-win-another-grand
|
Will Rafael Nadal win another Grand Slam before his retirement?
| null | 1,675,748,777,899
| 1,732,187,538,962
| 1,732,187,538,962
|
NO
| 0.01
| 32,990.519117
|
Sports
|
Individual Sports
|
q1x8x59733or59aPex4D
|
will-gpt4-be-able-to-properly-rende
|
Will GPT-4 Be Able To Properly Render Code That Displays Interactive Rotating Chicken Nuggets When Prompted?
| null | 1,683,374,373,675
| 1,719,809,940,000
| 1,734,803,969,699
|
NO
| 0.255309
| 211.171037
|
technology
|
computing & software
|
Bj4qzznw7s0EU6CVs1E1
|
2024-formula-1-season-will-alphatau
|
[2024 Formula 1 season] Will Alphatauri place 6th or higher in the Constructor's Championship?
| null | 1,701,164,988,550
| 1,733,785,140,000
| 1,734,456,842,664
|
NO
| 0.01
| 9,205.520771
|
Sports
|
Professional Sports
|
m42rk0ncnl
|
will-the-longshoremen-strike-end-be
|
Will the longshoremen strike end before the 2024 election?
| null | 1,727,788,289,305
| 1,727,996,312,716
| 1,727,996,312,716
|
YES
| 0.97
| 555
|
Politics
|
Public Policy & Social Issues
|
7BgsaIoCypFtsmLyOaPS
|
will-donald-trump-win-pennsylvanias
|
Will Donald Trump win Pennsylvania's vote in the 2024 election?
| null | 1,705,520,178,092
| 1,730,869,140,000
| 1,731,015,242,168
|
YES
| 0.786711
| 2,332.226532
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
e57TDHWppKoAIYpiQ3RB
|
a-prominent-selfidentifying-effecti-204d54edac81
|
A prominent self-identifying Effective Altruist endorses Ron DeSantis for president in 2024.
| null | 1,673,827,691,763
| 1,728,480,416,480
| 1,728,480,416,480
|
NO
| 0.07
| 1,164.339408
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
U5rW8rhQ0Ubz4WgkHRhk
|
will-andrew-yang-run-for-president
|
Will Andrew Yang run for President in 2024?
| null | 1,645,567,467,785
| 1,730,851,200,000
| 1,730,853,563,992
|
NO
| 0.0104
| 14,383.025044
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
Ant6dAhgLz
|
will-luigi-mangione-ultimately-be-t
|
Will Luigi Mangione ultimately be the actual shooter of Brian Thompson?
| null | 1,733,777,748,722
| 1,734,876,317,401
| 1,734,876,317,401
|
YES
| 0.978701
| 662.133048
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
fGJCQKECWG6zBTnCp5AO
|
will-i-get-a-job-in-2024
|
Will I get a job in 2024?
| null | 1,714,995,170,520
| 1,727,104,277,004
| 1,727,104,277,004
|
YES
| 0.7
| 2,558.100184
|
Finance
|
Personal Finance
|
8DiPXaUxMd5G8kltVnl8
|
will-tim-scott-endorse-jeffrey-shih
|
Will Tim Scott endorse Jeffrey Shih?
| null | 1,699,217,568,704
| 1,731,041,940,000
| 1,731,081,699,958
|
NO
| 0.487823
| 938.868194
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
k27w447iph
|
will-trump-win-all-3-of-the-blue-wa
|
Will Trump win all 3 of the "Blue Wall" states (MI, WI, PA) in the 2024 Presidential Election?
| null | 1,721,138,573,607
| 1,730,949,725,055
| 1,730,949,725,055
|
YES
| 0.99
| 1,110.315473
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
GKbJfyuoI73hFR0lJNjs
|
will-the-legend-of-zelda-tears-of-t-655657f122e5
|
Will 'The Legend of Zelda: Tears of the Kingdom' have outsold 'Super Smash Bros. Ultimate' at any point before 2025?
| null | 1,684,687,858,293
| 1,735,661,016,103
| 1,735,661,016,103
|
NO
| 0.010003
| 3,438.06991
|
Gaming
|
Video Games
|
0ccCnSCtNn
|
will-luigi-mangione-plead-guilty-to
|
Will Luigi Mangione plead guilty to murder?
| null | 1,734,599,320,593
| 1,734,976,829,072
| 1,734,976,829,072
|
NO
| 0.01455
| 9,137.484158
|
Politics
|
Public Policy & Social Issues
|
sszzL8sASP
|
will-school-be-generally-canceled-i
|
Will school be generally canceled in Northshore School District on Nov 21?
| null | 1,732,149,020,386
| 1,732,163,705,379
| 1,732,163,705,379
|
YES
| 0.609756
| 290.000012
|
Politics
|
Public Policy & Social Issues
|
pcebwFjgLiX1rvvzxaJn
|
will-balenciaga-register-an-increas
|
Will BALENCIAGA register an increase in sales of their puffer jackets due to the recent AI generated images going viral?
| null | 1,681,123,001,185
| 1,710,950,340,000
| 1,732,829,534,098
|
NO
| 0.042878
| 2,147.430334
|
Technology
|
Emerging Technologies
|
PIQwy7iKnBqnfix3bNZo
|
in-oldschool-runescape-will-a-new-l
|
In Oldschool Runescape, will a new league start before the end of 2024?
| null | 1,708,005,354,223
| 1,733,445,205,335
| 1,733,445,205,335
|
YES
| 0.99
| 1,440.892816
|
Entertainment
|
Gaming
|
ytjitpo1eg
|
will-one-candidate-win-at-least-57
|
Will one candidate win at least 5/7 tossup states?
| null | 1,726,164,899,746
| 1,730,951,729,675
| 1,730,951,729,675
|
YES
| 0.99
| 9,952.154808
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
Via4uNfnVM4XTwwGolZp
|
will-a-play-money-alternative-to-ma
|
Will a play money alternative to manifold appear before 2025?
| null | 1,713,839,594,814
| 1,730,459,202,203
| 1,730,459,202,203
|
YES
| 0.981761
| 11,178.551712
|
Technology
|
Emerging Technologies
|
e6gyc7r6rq
|
is-wicked-going-to-be-a-flop
|
Is Wicked (2024) going to be a flop? 🧙♀️🧹🎶
| null | 1,725,014,231,508
| 1,734,071,507,687
| 1,734,071,507,687
|
NO
| 0.01
| 1,545.320652
|
Entertainment
|
Movies & Television
|
tt7wsfpxxh
|
-shortfuse-1-in-3-odds-6ohxd0k4o2
|
🧨 Short-fuse 1 in 3 odds
| null | 1,726,811,849,900
| 1,726,826,249,301
| 1,726,826,336,609
|
NO
| null | 1,592.465202
|
Sports
|
Sports Culture & Recreation
|
NZrQI7zSgOy9gLqLqwDG
|
will-a-specific-ai-image-or-video-m
|
Will a specific AI image or video model be mentioned by anyone in a presidential debate in 2024?
| null | 1,710,975,205,375
| 1,730,087,940,000
| 1,731,199,217,568
|
NO
| 0.016027
| 11,027.324335
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
kWCRdSdWhKoGiwxyCzpC
|
acx-2024-will-the-2024-light-duty-e
|
[ACX 2024] Will the 2024 light duty electric vehicle sales share exceed 11% in the US through November 2024?
| null | 1,704,115,921,379
| 1,734,789,600,000
| 1,735,588,855,367
|
NO
| 0.01
| 16,956.925332
|
Technology
|
Emerging Technologies
|
nymEy6Sf4RhRwgSmpubE
|
nfl-week-9-nov-3-2024-will-the-minn
|
NFL Week 9 (Nov 3 2024): Will the Minnesota Vikings (home) beat the Indianapolis Colts (away)?
| null | 1,715,834,180,948
| 1,730,829,600,000
| 1,731,290,418,816
|
YES
| 0.99
| 995.854625
|
Sports
|
Professional Sports
|
uiw46i2gry
|
will-robert-f-kennedy-jr-get-at-lea-airs8oidpt
|
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. get at least 1% of the popular vote in Wisconsin in the 2024 Presidential Election?
| null | 1,723,525,662,770
| 1,733,976,029,893
| 1,733,976,029,893
|
NO
| 0.010018
| 942
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
8F83YHc9Gfy82C4l5if6
|
will-the-conservatives-win-more-vot
|
Will the Conservatives win more votes than BC United in British Columbia's next election?
| null | 1,699,205,369,004
| 1,729,394,771,534
| 1,729,394,771,534
|
YES
| 0.99
| 22,368.424844
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
5gVQj8OaE3951objmydO
|
will-the-2024-dnc-and-rnc-nominees
|
Will the 2024 DNC and RNC Nominees Engage in a Long-Form Debate?
| null | 1,692,909,245,393
| 1,730,874,518,335
| 1,730,874,518,335
|
NO
| 0.01
| 16,632.094292
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
CZWlU4X4qwNCIc6s901y
|
will-a-democrat-win-the-2024-presid-1205d646e7f1
|
Will a democrat win the 2024 presidential election in Wyoming?
| null | 1,670,815,736,312
| 1,731,292,834,638
| 1,731,292,834,638
|
NO
| 0.01
| 2,924.9151
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
NIlQ9R9ElR
|
will-venom-the-last-dance-receive-a
|
Will “Venom: The Last Dance" receive a worse CinemaScore than “Venom” & “Venom: Let There Be Carnage”? (both were B+)
| null | 1,729,810,739,969
| 1,729,915,080,000
| 1,729,916,263,847
|
YES
| 0.93
| 3,399.045822
|
Entertainment
|
Movies & Television
|
wHJhT53kJt2cQZcVxWTE
|
will-vivek-ramaswamy-in-response-ha
|
Will Vivek Ramaswamy - IN RESPONSE - harshly criticize Trump before Nov. 2024 election?
| null | 1,693,180,491,348
| 1,730,869,140,000
| 1,732,932,728,043
|
NO
| 0.044373
| 1,429.797005
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
kiep8sj382
|
will-any-of-dockside-extortionist-m
|
Will any of Dockside Extortionist, Mana Crypt, or Jeweled Lotus be worth ~75% less than their pre-ban prices in 2 weeks?
| null | 1,727,151,899,708
| 1,728,359,940,000
| 1,728,360,084,551
|
NO
| 0.05
| 6,228.006783
|
Entertainment
|
Gaming
|
MXZJ7XR8XIWkR8o1ZGMB
|
will-adobes-senior-management-team
|
Will Adobe's senior management team say that generative AI is a headwind to Adobe by Sep 2024?
| null | 1,684,946,626,807
| 1,727,751,540,000
| 1,727,814,755,716
|
NO
| 0.04
| 4,463.368107
|
Technology
|
Tech Industry & Business
|
58zkgh1bt6
|
will-democrats-win-either-house-of
|
Will Democrats win either house of the Arizona state legislature in 2024?
| null | 1,721,811,215,828
| 1,733,084,083,273
| 1,733,084,083,273
|
NO
| 0.02733
| 6,427
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
CEQNCghc5t
|
will-destiny-appear-on-the-adam-fri
|
Will Destiny appear on The Adam Friedland Show before the end of the year?
| null | 1,731,420,609,443
| 1,733,986,828,146
| 1,733,986,828,146
|
YES
| 0.8
| 100
|
Entertainment
|
Movies & Television
|
Ih9qyA6EhZ
|
will-manchester-city-win-at-least-5--cash
|
Will Manchester City win at least 5 matches in December?
| null | 1,733,426,152,889
| 1,734,288,015,251
| 1,734,381,971,353
|
NO
| 0.019293
| 324.128484
|
Sports
|
Professional Sports
|
gIvV9tiPw8YoiPT7IRFP
|
will-hans-niemann-beat-either-hikar
|
Will Hans Niemann Beat Either Hikaru Nakamura or Magnus Carlsen Again in 2024?
| null | 1,707,146,369,126
| 1,727,650,204,933
| 1,727,650,204,933
|
YES
| 0.99
| 3,689.274151
|
Sports
|
Individual Sports
|
r6WWiSW7RLe6p3JfvwJ3
|
will-any-of-the-videos-uploaded-to-12390d28cb17
|
Will any of the videos uploaded to Destiny's YouTube channel in Nov 2024 surpass 800k views?
| null | 1,706,581,166,993
| 1,733,029,196,395
| 1,733,341,590,491
|
NO
| 0.01
| 1,110.223254
|
Entertainment
|
Movies & Television
|
tgjc5dbx05
|
will-hannah-cockroft-win-the-bbc-sp
|
Will Hannah Cockroft win the BBC Sports Personality of the Year 2024?
| null | 1,725,356,762,709
| 1,734,821,940,000
| 1,734,823,442,359
|
NO
| 0.02
| 649.068784
|
Sports
|
Individual Sports
|
ja0s6l7zvx
|
will-frank-ocean-be-on-tyler-the-cr
|
Will Frank Ocean be on Tyler, the Creator's new album Chromakopia?
| null | 1,729,521,084,297
| 1,730,131,248,903
| 1,730,131,248,903
|
NO
| 0.07
| 420
|
Entertainment
|
Music & Audio
|
YReb67ANE3kYJwpbDQ5F
|
will-final-fantasy-vii-rebirth-be-n
|
Will Final Fantasy VII Rebirth be nominated for any awards at the Game Awards 2024?
| null | 1,709,289,082,269
| 1,731,971,904,631
| 1,731,971,904,631
|
YES
| 0.989991
| 1,485.972292
|
Entertainment
|
Gaming
|
kklor9c08u
|
will-an-australian-bishop-become-a
|
Will an Australian bishop become a cardinal this year?
| null | 1,723,309,630,830
| 1,728,257,523,539
| 1,728,257,523,539
|
YES
| 0.99
| 7,625.725342
|
Politics
|
Government Structure
|
Z45tNE6ZZOeTZuA3OFE7
|
will-fortnite-support-macos-again-i
|
Will Fortnite support MacOS again in 2024?
| null | 1,704,097,637,668
| 1,735,685,940,000
| 1,735,686,547,942
|
NO
| 0.046848
| 6,276.894425
|
Technology
|
Gaming
|
mvy5bw6sf2
|
will-the-sp-500-stock-index-close-h-5zh9nkcqai
|
Will the S&P 500 stock index close higher on Oct 8 than it closed on Oct 7?
| null | 1,728,331,601,754
| 1,728,417,747,966
| 1,728,417,747,966
|
YES
| 0.99
| 1,644.596911
|
Finance
|
Markets & Trading
|
O8qtPVi3e5t6ebMyeQRu
|
will-data-from-the-james-webb-space
|
Will data from the James Webb Space Telescope disprove the Big Bang?
| null | 1,660,568,810,174
| 1,734,929,940,000
| 1,735,065,148,680
|
NO
| 0.025649
| 8,062.930258
|
Technology
|
Emerging Technologies
|
nwl76dGMp0Ye3S2IzZDK
|
will-it-be-revealed-by-2025-that-de
|
Will it be revealed, by the end of 2024 that Destiny has lied about something significant during the Divorce Drama?
| null | 1,703,387,800,609
| 1,732,611,119,238
| 1,732,611,119,238
|
YES
| 0.99
| 3,277.063912
|
Entertainment
|
Celebrity & Pop Culture
|
zi9ivkm9pa
|
will-1-usd-to-yen-hit-150-or-higher
|
Will 1 USD to Yen hit 150 or higher again before end of year?
| null | 1,727,970,579,302
| 1,729,223,083,755
| 1,729,223,083,755
|
YES
| 0.99
| 900.012701
|
Finance
|
Markets & Trading
|
7bcs50hulr
|
will-bitcoin-reach-77777-usd-before
|
Will Bitcoin reach $77,777 USD before the end of 2024?
| null | 1,718,513,056,189
| 1,731,223,090,405
| 1,731,223,090,405
|
YES
| 0.99
| 5,462.987371
|
Finance
|
Markets & Trading
|
C6RIRRqgug
|
will-the-killer-of-brian-thompson-b-A8RcqsRghp--cash
|
Will the killer of Brian Thompson be arrested by the end of 2024?
| null | 1,733,437,201,033
| 1,733,775,767,666
| 1,733,775,903,769
|
YES
| 0.99
| 1,438.361
|
Politics
|
Public Policy & Social Issues
|
rDDcRKHfs7FYinPum1vw
|
will-caltrain-electrification-finis
|
Will Caltrain electrification finish on schedule in 2024?
| null | 1,672,406,504,038
| 1,734,970,350,354
| 1,734,970,350,354
|
YES
| 0.99
| 9,959.662013
|
Politics
|
Public Policy & Social Issues
|
YvVqSYEdyiYn7Mdj4oCc
|
will-ai-be-a-major-topic-during-the
|
Will AI be a major topic during the 2024 presidential debates in the United States? (please read criteria)
| null | 1,674,528,942,520
| 1,730,707,140,000
| 1,730,756,342,661
|
NO
| 0.014964
| 1,712,107.006222
|
Politics
|
Public Policy & Social Issues
|
0c1auvnzjm
|
will-trump-publicly-claim-that-jd-v
|
Will Trump publicly claim that J.D. Vance was set up by the deep state to undermine him?
| null | 1,726,256,129,126
| 1,733,007,540,000
| 1,733,010,022,153
|
NO
| 0.014556
| 1,274.819962
|
Politics
|
Political Parties & Ideologies
|
NxFr5f2cax7ZVYY8gVbC
|
will-tumbles-be-late-to-pay-back-th
|
Will @Tumbles be late to pay back the 39k loan from Ammon?
| null | 1,704,918,345,853
| 1,733,189,976,143
| 1,733,189,976,143
|
NO
| 0.025933
| 6,066.497293
|
Finance
|
Personal Finance
|
PWxZ7ZqVPZAr0ScXtk4u
|
will-questions-which-resolve-in-ver
|
Will questions which resolve in very distant future (more than 5 years) be still allowed on Manifold in one year?
| null | 1,696,785,677,252
| 1,729,033,140,000
| 1,729,927,396,620
|
YES
| 0.99
| 1,136.75166
|
Politics
|
Public Policy & Social Issues
|
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