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values | pred_subcategory
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values |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
zlrcGiYcYTsV5Z9f3ti7
|
will-a-republican-win-the-popular-v
|
Will a Republican win the popular vote by 2037?
| null | 1,690,391,955,865
| 1,731,254,316,211
| 1,731,254,316,211
|
YES
| 0.977893
| 4,957.87112
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
nLQr8eoCNfmdqipEV2g3
|
will-ohio-and-iowa-vote-within-1-of
|
Will Ohio and Iowa vote within 1% of each other in 2024?
| null | 1,705,880,949,485
| 1,731,734,849,129
| 1,731,734,849,129
|
NO
| 0.010871
| 1,138.172698
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
ftor3d82bi
|
will-this-market-close-above-50-per-j46ae4m5vw
|
Will this market close above 50% percent?
| null | 1,729,368,474,568
| 1,730,005,140,000
| 1,730,005,347,551
|
NO
| 0.1
| 67,140.872905
|
Finance
|
Markets & Trading
|
ib3gjeemk0
|
will-spxl-be-above-157-on-september
|
Will SPXL be above 157 on September 30th?
| null | 1,724,731,733,305
| 1,727,593,140,000
| 1,728,839,665,985
|
YES
| 0.79
| 204.839847
|
Finance
|
Markets & Trading
|
iqaupcjw7t
|
will-the-office-australia-be-rated
|
Will The Office (Australia) be rated fresh on RottenTomatoes at the end of October?
| null | 1,729,604,162,729
| 1,730,444,340,000
| 1,730,469,548,834
|
YES
| 0.921492
| 313.282168
|
Entertainment
|
Movies & Television
|
TyS25ICaSGXYF6OA3VE8
|
will-any-2020-blue-statedistrict-fl
|
Will ANY 2020 blue states/districts flip red in 2024?
| null | 1,693,938,900,968
| 1,730,869,140,000
| 1,730,950,337,266
|
YES
| 0.926661
| 1,425.045946
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
fhuRvHy1MVJegexnw0Wq
|
nfl-week-6-oct-13-will-the-new-orle
|
NFL Week 6 (Oct 13): Will the New Orleans Saints beat the Tampa Bay Buccaneers?
| null | 1,715,834,027,018
| 1,729,011,600,000
| 1,729,091,974,074
|
NO
| 0.01
| 991.431206
|
Sports
|
Professional Sports
|
bFXYpTWjaYTO6mVOWEKD
|
if-he-is-the-republican-nominee-wil
|
If he is the Republican nominee, will Former Governor Larry Hogan win the 2024 Senate Race in Maryland?
| null | 1,707,499,444,165
| 1,730,966,340,000
| 1,731,696,473,348
|
NO
| 0.048475
| 10,047.828118
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
CNPIq6CSEt
|
dalle-4
|
DALL-E 4
| null | 1,734,795,016,336
| 1,734,814,740,000
| 1,734,815,294,957
|
YES
| 0.524376
| 5
|
Technology
|
Emerging Technologies
|
GmPrrSMaZ2XP58rf8u4i
|
will-there-be-a-new-crisis-before-t
|
Will there be a new crisis before the 2024 election?
| null | 1,701,807,086,543
| 1,730,869,140,000
| 1,731,839,774,786
|
NO
| 0.019545
| 7,351.499945
|
Politics
|
Public Policy & Social Issues
|
zqecbkh1r6
|
will-israel-punish-someone-for-firi
|
Will Israel punish someone for firing at the UN Peacekeeping headquarters?
| null | 1,728,586,409,918
| 1,735,685,940,000
| 1,735,688,706,440
|
NO
| 0.259104
| 90
|
Geopolitics
|
Global Conflicts
|
68j6tlk4wt
|
will-any-of-the-top-5-global-compan
|
Will any of the top 5 global companies by market cap be non-American on December 28, 2024?
| null | 1,728,747,290,149
| 1,735,448,340,000
| 1,735,450,660,192
|
NO
| 0.01
| 949.217897
|
Finance
|
Markets & Trading
|
rs9vtxfhZWyaYTe4J4Vl
|
will-the-frontrunner-2024-republica
|
Will the [non-Trump] frontrunner for 2024 Republican Presidential nominee promise to pardon Trump if they are elected?
| null | 1,692,087,415,113
| 1,730,381,340,000
| 1,730,390,708,081
|
YES
| 0.867734
| 28,028.035417
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
cl8su5cupu
|
will-trump-win-kansas-by-10-or-more
|
Will Trump Win Kansas By 10 Or More Points?
| null | 1,730,740,800,063
| 1,730,906,875,810
| 1,730,906,875,810
|
YES
| 0.987104
| 903
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
idN76m5nmPs9N8oyPYdK
|
will-the-nobel-peace-prize-in-2024
|
Will the Nobel Peace Prize in 2024 be related to the Palestine conflict?
| null | 1,710,395,392,512
| 1,728,690,087,308
| 1,728,690,087,308
|
NO
| 0.01
| 11,138.391623
|
Politics
|
Public Policy & Social Issues
|
ayItxgs6ZhO0rkUURAeu
|
will-bidens-favorability-be-higher
|
Will Biden's favorability be higher than Trump's on FiveThirtyEight at the end of Halloween?
| null | 1,713,972,888,465
| 1,730,429,347,363
| 1,730,429,347,363
|
NO
| 0.017316
| 7,327.973012
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
lriaygx4m4
|
bitcoin-above-63000-on-september-27
|
Bitcoin above $63,000 on September 27?
| null | 1,727,081,972,922
| 1,727,463,730,804
| 1,727,463,730,804
|
YES
| 0.99
| 1,461.04258
|
Finance
|
Markets & Trading
|
woi3gp04j5
|
if-the-fed-cuts-will-the-dems-win-t
|
If The FED cuts, will the Dems win the presidency?
| null | 1,720,984,887,568
| 1,730,899,009,532
| 1,730,899,009,532
|
NO
| 0.03215
| 11,212.460211
|
Politics
|
Public Policy & Social Issues
|
9ln3uPEbleLkjwQ5HR4b
|
will-joe-biden-pardon-hunter-biden-014exmuzui
|
Will Joe Biden pardon Hunter Biden before Jan 21, 2025?
| null | 1,718,134,942,616
| 1,733,101,240,238
| 1,733,101,240,238
|
YES
| 0.991655
| 1,870,124.475121
|
Politics
|
Domestic Policy
|
du9tHo7bK65bRPDC1wHu
|
will-red-bull-win-21-or-more-races
|
Will Red Bull win 21 or more races in the 2024 Formula 1 season?
| null | 1,708,319,483,309
| 1,727,702,997,164
| 1,727,702,997,164
|
NO
| 0.02
| 6,808.748448
|
Sports
|
Professional Sports
|
254sddt2y7
|
will-destiny-reach-828k-subscribers
|
Will Destiny reach 828k subscribers in October 2024?
| null | 1,728,373,180,883
| 1,729,606,440,623
| 1,729,606,440,623
|
YES
| 0.99
| 9,377.712163
|
Entertainment
|
Celebrity & Pop Culture
|
ZntstCh2Rc
|
will-california-ab-2655-requiring-o--cash
|
Will California AB 2655, requiring online platforms to label/remove deepfake election content, pass in 2024?
| null | 1,729,874,259,024
| 1,729,876,494,421
| 1,729,876,494,421
|
YES
| 0.67
| 10
|
Politics
|
Domestic Policy
|
sRkn1avwtasmkOBlh3Ql
|
will-chris-murphy-win-reelection-in
|
Will Chris Murphy win re-election in the 2024 US senate race in Connecticut?
| null | 1,680,633,684,353
| 1,731,289,490,745
| 1,731,289,490,745
|
YES
| 0.980302
| 1,150.743052
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
NZRdOZcChg
|
will-gukesh-dommaraju-beat-ding-lir
|
Will Gukesh Dommaraju beat Ding Liren in the 2024 World Chess Championship?
| null | 1,729,987,130,653
| 1,734,025,898,047
| 1,734,025,898,047
|
YES
| 0.991131
| 393,844.608523
|
Sports
|
Individual Sports
|
KsWhtas7MSB4ksYof4Yl
|
if-the-republican-nominee-wins-flor
|
If the Republican nominee wins Florida, will they win the presidency (2024)?
| null | 1,690,426,380,422
| 1,730,877,710,316
| 1,730,877,710,316
|
YES
| 0.907989
| 2,911.767397
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
pkSVR8UBPSD2F61SySjN
|
will-team-jumbovisma-win-zero-grand
|
Will Visma | Lease a Bike win zero grand tours and 1 monument (not WVA) in 2024?
| null | 1,701,721,607,056
| 1,728,922,084,457
| 1,728,922,084,457
|
NO
| 0.01
| 1,595.554239
|
Sports
|
Professional Sports
|
sx51hxrbut
|
will-putin-attack-nato-if-long-rang
|
Will Putin attack NATO if long range strikes by Ukraine are permitted?
| null | 1,726,166,514,026
| 1,730,501,940,000
| 1,734,422,605,476
|
NO
| 0.033685
| 948.623129
|
Geopolitics
|
Global Conflicts
|
icotel6eaq
|
will-trump-win-the-2024-election--cash
|
Will Trump win the 2024 Election?
| null | 1,726,588,850,244
| 1,730,930,891,970
| 1,730,930,891,970
|
YES
| 0.996113
| 183,262.057385
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
vmgjxQReAWNtjMIyHkT3
|
will-trump-have-an-outburst-during
|
Will trump have an outburst during his NYC criminal trial that gets him thrown in jail?
| null | 1,713,232,923,390
| 1,731,568,103,876
| 1,731,568,103,876
|
NO
| 0.08277
| 2,082.394604
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
CMd5l4hdly3fJfuN5plj
|
will-biden-take-part-in-a-twitter-s
|
Will Biden take part in a Twitter Space as part of his campaign?
| null | 1,685,217,889,511
| 1,730,839,920,000
| 1,730,854,938,927
|
NO
| 0.149837
| 12,201.411399
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
GEDm4K2smDkvgKNd1QtF
|
will-donald-trump-be-knocked-out-of
|
Will Donald Trump be knocked out of the race because of judicial issues after winning the Republican nomination?
| null | 1,697,990,300,216
| 1,730,966,340,000
| 1,731,228,908,930
|
NO
| 0.010104
| 2,135.419463
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
P8XDlVq05lw128oU9IGH
|
will-donald-trump-win-georgia-in-th
|
Will Donald Trump win Georgia in the 2024 presidential election?
| null | 1,714,675,471,290
| 1,730,926,410,051
| 1,730,926,410,051
|
YES
| 0.98375
| 9,821.175098
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
3ujggud9nx
|
will-predictor-have-a-positive-net
|
Will @Predictor have a positive net worth on Manifold.Markets ever again?
| null | 1,727,750,444,073
| 1,734,623,701,330
| 1,734,623,701,330
|
YES
| 0.99
| 904.749342
|
Finance
|
Personal Finance
|
zc6dkme8oc
|
one-month-from-today-will-gamestop-ho62xqg2g7
|
One month from today, will Gamestop have the same CEO as today?
| null | 1,726,459,920,439
| 1,729,137,540,000
| 1,729,140,232,603
|
YES
| 0.99
| 848
|
Technology
|
Tech Industry & Business
|
XYP7Rbgrm5KPqIdKkhIT
|
should-donald-trump-drop-out-of-the
|
Should Donald Trump drop out of the 2024 Presidential Election?
| null | 1,714,419,121,056
| 1,730,789,940,000
| 1,731,375,233,843
|
NO
| 0.516237
| 72.723571
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
HJ8qwkJCYnCLsOhUAAfB
|
will-arizona-vote-the-same-party-fo
|
Will Arizona vote the same party for Senate and president in 2024?
| null | 1,686,435,412,680
| 1,730,869,140,000
| 1,731,555,169,817
|
NO
| 0.135834
| 2,980.774331
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
psu0099v93
|
will-lord-peter-hendy-have-left-his
|
Will Lord Peter Hendy have left his post as Minister of State for Rail by the end of October 2024?
| null | 1,725,183,364,784
| 1,730,505,540,000
| 1,730,508,174,504
|
NO
| 0.010184
| 9,130.045611
|
Politics
|
Domestic Policy
|
Ws4nIXshSkiHxqayyh6N
|
will-enel-appear-in-egghead
|
Will Enel appear in egghead?
| null | 1,706,579,255,814
| 1,732,049,526,479
| 1,732,049,526,479
|
NO
| 0.010411
| 36,015.519427
|
Entertainment
|
Movies & Television
|
4ipChlgNwljQxztkFhcU
|
will-jimmy-carter-live-to-see-super
|
Will Jimmy Carter live to see Super Bowl LIX?
| null | 1,711,584,527,534
| 1,735,509,611,565
| 1,735,509,611,565
|
NO
| 0.013029
| 13,542.795011
|
Sports
|
Sports Culture & Recreation
|
3oIfaNHi2F5hH8BJTJqn
|
will-tumbles-reach-platinum-in-the
|
Will Tumbles reach Platinum in the Melee ranked ladder before Christmas?
| null | 1,712,105,015,922
| 1,735,199,940,000
| 1,735,209,275,396
|
NO
| 0.01
| 1,666.369115
|
Sports
|
Gaming
|
JiAVQQmR0j6KPFuh2AU1
|
if-the-top-chatbot-in-2025-thinks-b
|
If the top chatbot in 2025 "thinks" before responding to a difficult prompt, will its thoughts be human-interpretable?
| null | 1,702,156,604,193
| 1,726,719,453,859
| 1,726,719,453,859
|
YES
| 0.75
| 1,217.440372
|
Technology
|
Emerging Technologies
|
RCNqqD4a8PNTr2NMWgyR
|
nfl-week-10-nov-10-2024-will-the-ne
|
NFL Week 10 (Nov 10 2024): Will the New Orleans Saints (home) beat the Atlanta Falcons (away)?
| null | 1,715,834,213,668
| 1,731,291,791,998
| 1,731,291,791,998
|
YES
| 0.99
| 1,172.703584
|
Sports
|
Professional Sports
|
2RQA89hyuI
|
tug-of-war-hC9QCqtUsc
|
Tug of war
| null | 1,733,330,162,497
| 1,733,461,140,000
| 1,733,461,270,970
|
NO
| 0.281319
| 1,392.119688
|
Sports
|
Sports Culture & Recreation
|
5NyIO26ltt
|
will-assad-flee-syria-by-2025
|
Will Assad flee Syria by 2025?
| null | 1,733,532,465,277
| 1,733,647,692,567
| 1,733,681,876,266
|
YES
| 0.83964
| 26,546.12853
|
Geopolitics
|
Global Conflicts
|
6a8nmj557x
|
will-kate-barr-win
|
Will Kate Barr win?
| null | 1,729,212,938,708
| 1,730,957,467,088
| 1,730,957,467,088
|
NO
| 0.01
| 894.987437
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
thfohxhnff
|
will-anyone-say-ai-artificial-intel
|
Will anyone say "AI", "Artificial intelligence" or "GPT" during the Vance vs Walz debate?
| null | 1,727,814,784,470
| 1,727,852,340,000
| 1,728,349,728,651
|
NO
| 0.01
| 12,053.488737
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
QtNtyQ80lQ
|
will-the-sp-500-stock-index-close-h-25ZOQz5cgP
|
Will the S&P 500 stock index close higher on Nov 20 than it closed on Nogv 19?
| null | 1,732,050,132,589
| 1,732,136,659,316
| 1,732,136,659,316
|
YES
| 0.100632
| 369.718376
|
Finance
|
Markets & Trading
|
EAx8JxLqoG8AxYTMurOi
|
will-the-winner-of-the-2024-preside-ad184f5a7869
|
Will the winner of the 2024 Presidential Election carry Nebraska's 1st congressional district?
| null | 1,690,201,859,143
| 1,730,950,961,767
| 1,730,950,961,767
|
YES
| 0.989996
| 880.566071
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
e5nqp8c3b6
|
will-the-sp-500-stock-index-close-h-3xqz8y6tix
|
Will the S&P 500 stock index close higher on Oct 16 than
it closed on Oct 15?
| null | 1,729,022,699,470
| 1,729,108,981,542
| 1,729,108,981,542
|
YES
| 0.99
| 1,217.663268
|
Finance
|
Markets & Trading
|
W6B63hYGADLjPvsrYaHA
|
will-alaska-be-closer-than-virginia
|
Will Alaska be closer than Virginia in the 2024 POTUS election?
| null | 1,687,494,074,450
| 1,731,295,167,768
| 1,731,295,167,768
|
NO
| 0.024617
| 7,733.844878
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
oDSS1aoZWha9nPk38Jyg
|
bing-stops-being-tricked-by-the-mis
|
Bing stops being tricked by the misleading query: "The 16 executive departments of the US government are:"
| null | 1,684,775,492,791
| 1,726,469,940,000
| 1,727,108,731,795
|
YES
| 0.95
| 12,590.301266
|
Politics
|
Government Structure
|
CA9WWJWSdGGbSCpYAQMN
|
will-india-legalise-samesex-marriag
|
Will India legalise same-sex marriage before 2025?
| null | 1,692,529,268,576
| 1,735,669,740,000
| 1,735,674,257,863
|
NO
| 0.022524
| 1,475.757737
|
Politics
|
Public Policy & Social Issues
|
8sucZIOOlu
|
will-rpredictionmarkets-have-more-t
|
Will r/PredictionMarkets have more than 100 members by the end of 2024?
| null | 1,730,018,530,026
| 1,733,104,805,234
| 1,733,104,805,234
|
YES
| 0.861529
| 552.449012
|
Technology
|
Internet & Digital Services
|
Ig3NhAEBDcsTJzXWyEDy
|
will-usdrub-exchange-rate-stay-high-b1eb35c4f93e
|
Will USD/RUB exchange rate stay higher than 150 for at least one week in 2024?
| null | 1,703,251,147,352
| 1,735,387,589,928
| 1,735,387,589,928
|
NO
| 0.015019
| 11,763.109916
|
Finance
|
Markets & Trading
|
XtQih9PRIQZJSZP96DJG
|
will-hwang-junho-still-be-alive-whe
|
Will Hwang Jun-Ho still be alive when "Squid Game" returns for season 2?
| null | 1,655,320,088,049
| 1,733,100,027,733
| 1,733,100,027,733
|
YES
| 0.99
| 9,391.620463
|
Entertainment
|
Movies & Television
|
dbjrslwydx
|
will-trading-on-the-kalshi-presiden
|
Will trading on the Kalshi Presidential market stop for a day relating to CFTC proceedings before the 2024 election?
| null | 1,728,566,380,459
| 1,730,937,832,509
| 1,730,937,832,509
|
NO
| 0.02
| 11,800
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
zqLgpPLpSL
|
tesla-sells-bitcoin-in-october
|
Tesla sells bitcoin in October?
| null | 1,729,927,122,523
| 1,730,882,439,425
| 1,730,882,439,425
|
NO
| 0.01
| 894.987437
|
Finance
|
Markets & Trading
|
d6pnpuhshq
|
11-traders-on-this-market
|
11 traders on this Market?
| null | 1,733,532,974,043
| 1,733,550,879,755
| 1,733,550,879,755
|
YES
| 0.99
| 1,059.124897
|
Finance
|
Markets & Trading
|
oiDJH0f1JVpAN8KTeSk0
|
will-scientists-create-artificial-b
|
Will scientists create artificial blood to be used on any patient by the end of 2024?
| null | 1,666,228,219,469
| 1,735,648,173,508
| 1,735,648,173,508
|
NO
| 0.010119
| 8,745.640919
|
Technology
|
Emerging Technologies
|
E0qCvI5aL1O9eyhp2ElR
|
will-bitcoin-reach-80k-by-the-end-o
|
Will Bitcoin reach $80K by the end of 2024?
| null | 1,709,912,989,788
| 1,731,261,506,330
| 1,731,261,506,330
|
YES
| 0.99
| 24,810.871125
|
Finance
|
Markets & Trading
|
QCFdPohmdMypOouFPJi4
|
will-a-new-official-weapon-be-added
|
Will a new official weapon be added to Team Fortress 2 before Bitcoin reaches $100K USD?
| null | 1,705,345,343,419
| 1,733,371,614,170
| 1,733,371,614,170
|
NO
| 0.010957
| 2,139.994652
|
Gaming
|
Gaming
|
bNUrKLEmlnuK4j3Mk6e9
|
will-spacex-win-the-doj-lawsuit-on
|
Will SpaceX win the DoJ lawsuit on its hiring practices?
| null | 1,693,047,695,005
| 1,724,696,940,000
| 1,727,722,903,714
|
YES
| 0.71
| 3,476.457417
|
Technology
|
Tech Industry & Business
|
I2ru2Y0TiQNwGl6dCbpO
|
will-mitt-romney-endorse-trump
|
Will Mitt Romney endorse Trump?
| null | 1,681,992,584,822
| 1,731,128,340,000
| 1,731,412,055,590
|
NO
| 0.010765
| 7,438.090253
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
s0xvPUIq32RpxvowjjWZ
|
will-either-happen-trump-is-convict
|
Will either happen: Trump is convicted of a crime AND wins election OR Trump is not convicted AND loses election
| null | 1,706,300,373,785
| 1,730,962,740,000
| 1,730,986,445,590
|
YES
| 0.986202
| 1,190.2095
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
GXFH7imeEt9OieCurCtN
|
will-the-democrats-win-both-pa-and
|
Will the Democrats win both PA and MI in 2024 Presidential election?
| null | 1,709,002,575,131
| 1,732,214,372,496
| 1,732,214,372,496
|
NO
| 0.01
| 1,741.356355
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
bgjlnGaI58RPoFdnHdHp
|
nfl-week-17-dec-26-2024-will-the-ch
|
NFL Week 17 (Dec 26 2024): Will the Chicago Bears (home) beat the Seattle Seahawks (away)?
| null | 1,715,834,651,402
| 1,735,434,900,000
| 1,735,438,232,339
|
NO
| 0.01027
| 1,294.998706
|
Sports
|
Professional Sports
|
oyAiIsUjL486mVZwB7i8
|
will-openai-have-a-valuation-either-9c5147a174e9
|
Will OpenAI have a valuation (either public or based on a private raise) above $100B by the end of 2025?
| null | 1,673,042,094,325
| 1,727,901,067,682
| 1,727,901,067,682
|
YES
| 0.98
| 8,784.611281
|
Technology
|
Tech Industry & Business
|
IlglnPucSS
|
will-gladiator-2-receive-a-higher-c
|
Will “Gladiator 2" receive a higher CinemaScore than "Wicked"?
| null | 1,731,966,902,010
| 1,732,334,340,000
| 1,732,462,922,817
|
NO
| 0.089223
| 2,438.529032
|
Entertainment
|
Movies & Television
|
g7oa0m9n3f
|
will-jd-vance-or-tim-walz-say-the-w-bt0bl46d01--cash
|
Will JD Vance or Tim Walz say the word "racist" during the debate?
| null | 1,727,816,895,285
| 1,727,837,800,180
| 1,727,894,043,500
|
NO
| 0.03
| 570.176207
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
NsgZLbr1HkTTQVfnKFVW
|
will-any-mr-beast-video-posted-in-2
|
Will any Mr Beast video posted in 2024 exceed 300M views?
| null | 1,710,534,025,732
| 1,734,860,141,803
| 1,734,860,141,803
|
YES
| 0.99
| 1,801.214006
|
Entertainment
|
Celebrity & Pop Culture
|
apTtOiDmCS6bEspx5ilL
|
during-the-course-of-the-2024-elect
|
During the course of the 2024 presidential election process, will any significant world flipping event occur?
| null | 1,686,670,836,547
| 1,733,156,370,875
| 1,733,156,370,875
|
YES
| 0.919555
| 11,445.697064
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
Gg26GGEac4upwCOg1gYz
|
will-90-of-online-content-be-ai-gen
|
Will >90% of online content be AI generated by 2025?
| null | 1,690,851,726,108
| 1,735,651,740,000
| 1,735,677,317,303
|
NO
| 0.05375
| 1,125.478556
|
Technology
|
Emerging Technologies
|
l0zyuFwKq5YM0gtQH516
|
nfl-week-11-nov-17-2024-will-the-pi
|
NFL Week 11 (Nov 17 2024): Will the Pittsburgh Steelers (home) beat the Baltimore Ravens (away)?
| null | 1,715,834,244,879
| 1,732,039,200,000
| 1,732,042,936,733
|
YES
| 0.99
| 940.415579
|
Sports
|
Professional Sports
|
vsh2ouum8r
|
one-month-from-today-will-israel-an-xbt32frf2f
|
One month from today, will Israel and Palestine have agreed to a ceasefire deal?
| null | 1,729,134,355,536
| 1,731,733,140,000
| 1,731,734,035,389
|
NO
| 0.012368
| 915
|
Geopolitics
|
Global Conflicts
|
LDpMGxok3mQd2yN7iM4a
|
will-tsla-double-between-2024-and-t
|
Will TSLA double between 2024 and the end of 2025?
| null | 1,704,213,864,496
| 1,730,909,088,023
| 1,730,909,088,023
|
YES
| 0.99002
| 3,567.048756
|
Finance
|
Markets & Trading
|
BUMx7dZ4UQJo6JQxjsU4
|
nfl-week-9-nov-3-2024-will-the-gree
|
NFL Week 9 (Nov 3 2024): Will the Green Bay Packers (home) beat the Detroit Lions (away)?
| null | 1,715,834,189,757
| 1,730,841,900,000
| 1,730,844,050,656
|
NO
| 0.01
| 916.897504
|
Sports
|
Professional Sports
|
FPgMpm76jFHsIe1iJ2P6
|
will-a-democrat-win-the-2024-us-sen-cbcf76fa3af7
|
Will a Democrat win the 2024 US Senate election in Texas?
| null | 1,670,857,069,762
| 1,730,913,943,985
| 1,730,913,943,985
|
NO
| 0.01925
| 23,912.170034
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
rn0wqey9vj
|
will-mira-return-to-twitter-before
|
Will Mira return to Twitter before EOY 2025?
| null | 1,728,656,031,268
| 1,731,538,416,002
| 1,731,538,416,002
|
YES
| 0.99
| 9,135.432587
|
Technology
|
Internet & Digital Services
|
y9qhdctnLQ
|
san-francisco-proposition-k-passes--cash
|
San Francisco Proposition K passes: Great Highway Recreational Space 2024-11
| null | 1,729,874,351,838
| 1,731,205,899,144
| 1,731,352,387,183
|
YES
| 0.99
| 1,459.262111
|
Politics
|
Public Policy & Social Issues
|
CkUIhOwl1ogS0cR6Qskw
|
nfl-week-3-sep-22-will-the-arizona
|
NFL Week 3 (Sep 22): Will the Arizona Cardinals beat the Detroit Lions?
| null | 1,715,833,639,677
| 1,727,068,277,022
| 1,727,068,277,022
|
NO
| 0.01
| 899.838
|
Sports
|
Professional Sports
|
6WJ3xke1r77A06PzpzOr
|
if-the-republican-nominee-wins-nort
|
If the Republican nominee wins North Carolina, will they win the presidency (2024)?
| null | 1,690,426,143,766
| 1,730,879,277,900
| 1,730,879,277,900
|
YES
| 0.945817
| 406.55416
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
0l26ZuE0gE
|
daily-coinflip-tPU5dsuNCd
|
Daily coinflip
| null | 1,730,254,402,440
| 1,730,426,400,000
| 1,730,432,102,458
|
YES
| 0.504421
| 6,253.037537
|
Entertainment
|
Gaming
|
kMVWTaRdG01MCAgzIvof
|
will-the-democratic-presidential-ca
|
Will the Democratic presidential candidate in 2024 win any states that voted for Trump in 2020?
| null | 1,680,625,985,486
| 1,731,228,404,081
| 1,731,228,404,081
|
NO
| 0.01
| 14,087.57613
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
4PG1NBXdql5NsGIlZy8v
|
does-gary-wang-get-1-years-sentence
|
Does Gary Wang get >=1 years sentence?
| null | 1,670,894,474,114
| 1,733,253,142,403
| 1,733,253,142,403
|
NO
| 0.0488
| 7,333.646088
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
z3sneupryk
|
will-trump-be-the-target-of-a-3rd-a
|
Will Trump be the target of a 3rd assassination attempt before election?
| null | 1,726,445,598,508
| 1,730,955,540,000
| 1,735,407,621,816
|
NO
| 0.01
| 2,178.015582
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
n3nlwmqx9b
|
will-the-dutch-coalitiongovernment
|
Will the Dutch coalition/government fall due to the 'noodwet' plans for the 'asylum crisis'?
| null | 1,728,547,188,513
| 1,730,120,397,566
| 1,730,120,588,620
|
NO
| 0.28
| 704.101824
|
Politics
|
Domestic Policy
|
emzh95x7h1
|
daily-coinflip-mhydj6xum3
|
Daily coinflip
| null | 1,729,398,555,024
| 1,729,569,540,000
| 1,729,569,944,666
|
YES
| 0.51
| 6,188.885636
|
Gaming
|
Gaming
|
OEy5clA0lN
|
will-2024-black-friday-sales-in-the
|
Will 2024 Black Friday Sales in the US Be Larger Than Projected ($10.8 Billion)?
| null | 1,732,668,941,302
| 1,733,032,740,000
| 1,733,158,259,496
|
NO
| 0.453438
| 352
|
Finance
|
Markets & Trading
|
NdtqP6AyEh
|
will-this-market-has-over-80-or-mor
|
Will this market has over 80 or more traders?
| null | 1,731,684,320,243
| 1,731,954,540,000
| 1,731,956,257,422
|
NO
| 0.01
| 946.064956
|
Finance
|
Markets & Trading
|
HFrQC3ZQjJRdKqyZZbeS
|
will-midjourney-v7-be-released-befo
|
Will Midjourney v7 be released before Nov 2024?
| null | 1,705,772,678,686
| 1,730,933,940,000
| 1,731,090,022,950
|
NO
| 0.01
| 1,506.845819
|
Technology
|
Emerging Technologies
|
j5edAIJeP0Gu6tzwLqJI
|
will-spacex-land-their-super-heavy
|
Will SpaceX land their Super Heavy booster before United Launch Alliance fixes the heat shield on the SLS Orion capsule?
| null | 1,715,269,499,902
| 1,728,911,370,487
| 1,728,911,370,487
|
YES
| 0.85
| 180
|
Technology
|
Emerging Technologies
|
539pskdksHLPZqajyJKq
|
will-a-sleeper-agent-attack-on-a-ma
|
Will a Sleeper Agent Attack on a major LLM (ChatGPT, Gemini, etc.) cause significant real-life consequences in 2024?
| null | 1,705,127,290,858
| 1,735,678,474,722
| 1,735,678,479,558
|
NO
| 0.044997
| 2,262.300512
|
Technology
|
Emerging Technologies
|
DL3LdG3vohC8PslBMXwy
|
will-russia-launch-an-armed-attack-a9741c920e05
|
Will Russia launch an armed attack against a NATO member by the end of September 2024?
| null | 1,707,355,580,151
| 1,727,733,540,000
| 1,727,734,527,197
|
NO
| 0.01
| 5,451.72603
|
Geopolitics
|
Global Conflicts
|
wo6qgu8xjq
|
will-arsenii-become-a-cracked-progr
|
Will arsenii become a cracked programmer by the end of the summer?
| null | 1,719,379,864,009
| 1,725,173,940,000
| 1,734,692,567,041
|
NO
| 0.64
| 1,064.652221
|
Technology
|
Computing & Software
|
RCYU0A3rzXehiJjqNYUk
|
will-stripe-go-public-by-the-end-of
|
Will Stripe go public by the end of 2024?
| null | 1,692,262,329,978
| 1,735,669,740,000
| 1,735,674,205,594
|
NO
| 0.017994
| 9,868.299227
|
Finance
|
Corporate Finance
|
5JyzBvet827GF7Hu9WRr
|
will-jon-tester-be-reelected
|
Will Jon Tester be reëlected?
| null | 1,677,271,834,925
| 1,730,946,670,349
| 1,730,946,670,349
|
NO
| 0.004021
| 378,105.804634
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
ay2k5fe0j5
|
will-the-2024-presidential-election-o2np2rj8v9
|
Will the 2024 presidential election be decided by fewer than 100,000 votes?
| null | 1,725,148,730,576
| 1,731,092,966,879
| 1,731,092,966,879
|
NO
| 0.01
| 43,929.577815
|
Politics
|
Elections & Campaigns
|
WFlDb6LZxp6mdSjGTWcO
|
-will-the-sp-500-indexspinx-close-l-a0ed92dcc724
|
🏛⬆️ Will The S&P 500 (INDEXSP:.INX) Close Lower Than 4,499.99 At Any Point During Q2-Q4 2024?
| null | 1,710,764,804,169
| 1,735,664,400,000
| 1,735,678,960,578
|
NO
| 0.01679
| 7,462.697101
|
Finance
|
Markets & Trading
|
TFvVRhRXjmnsffLyCWik
|
will-destiny-have-a-public-falling
|
Will destiny have a public falling out with anyone he considered a friend in 2024?
| null | 1,708,904,051,217
| 1,734,956,202,150
| 1,734,956,202,150
|
YES
| 0.939728
| 5,446.695994
|
Entertainment
|
Celebrity & Pop Culture
|
CLIZdnyhdt
|
will-there-be-any-break-between-one-p0qzt0RAZ9
|
Will there be any break between One Piece chapters 1132 and 1133?
| null | 1,730,828,540,991
| 1,733,126,340,000
| 1,733,185,439,546
|
NO
| 0.140896
| 1,555.213462
|
Entertainment
|
Movies & Television
|
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