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stringdate 2024-12-31 00:00:00
2026-02-28 00:00:00
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classes | closed
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classes | market_slug
stringlengths 12
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0xf2bcd902f0d0a09c1d47a97ea2465723ff743bbd0e65a296fbf111504fd08b00
|
0x2490db0792b6e88aadcdd7782615b6cfa10e26112a7442df8c0aabbc6b3cff1c
|
WIll Christos Rammos be next Greek President?
|
An indirect presidential election is due to be held in Greece by February 2025 for the President of the Hellenic Republic.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Christos Rammos is elected by the Hellenic Parliament as the next President of Greece by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as announced by he Hellenic Parliament.
|
2025-01-31T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-christos-rammos-be-next-greek-president
|
[
"Politics",
"Global Elections",
"World Elections"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x6811f592eed2d2eb6f33e8a3010de75fca4b6314afbf5fd8019ae7ee9d169f7a
|
0x606912bfb38d85b1c444cefec3ce461c239d24787cfabae4c9e9938393bb0a59
|
Thunder vs. 76ers
|
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for January 14 at 7:00PM ET:
If the Oklahoma City Thunder win, the market will resolve to “Thunder”.
If the Philadelphia 76ers win, the market will resolve to “76ers”.
If the game is not completed by January 21, 2025 (11:59 PM ET) or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve 50-50.
|
2025-01-22T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
nba-okc-phi-2025-01-14
|
[
"Sports",
"NBA",
"Games"
] | false
| null | null |
0x6f9866ff6597bc6d98fc418d4850b3f50daa137432f8e6eef9572f01986b1a00
|
0x8c19f24cbc7c3abad8374594556ae9da71427b35a62f37124995b9dbd07825fb
|
Will Arsenal win on 2025-01-15?
|
In the upcoming EPL game, scheduled for January 15 at 3:00PM ET,
If Arsenal wins, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
If Arsenal loses, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the game is canceled or delayed beyond 2025-02-15 or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve to “No”.
|
2025-01-15T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
epl-ars-tot-2025-01-15-ars
|
[
"Sports",
"Premier League",
"EPL",
"Games"
] | false
| 1
| 0
|
0x3481142096b7b07e0e4423789cd74735a9ea7e7faa843f786d7573cb3e749100
|
0xebdbc8c7e5ff63f77b75d0ae087902b91a238b5751770cfc4f81da5ea58fa092
|
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-01-14?
|
In the upcoming EPL game, scheduled for January 14 at 3:00PM ET,
If Nottingham Forest wins, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
If Nottingham Forest loses, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the game is canceled or delayed beyond 2025-02-14 or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve to “No”.
|
2025-01-14T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
epl-not-liv-2025-01-14-not
|
[
"Sports",
"Premier League",
"EPL",
"Games"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xdd67107a02c3393d9abe82e7a685d4a348712139367161695df50705e842993e
|
0xddca339802b1f79cdd984eb85caaa79d27e759111a8dfaf13bc64be6d5b30fb4
|
Will Sebastian Korda reach the quarterfinals of the Australian Open?
|
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Sebastian Korda reaches the quarterfinals of the 2025 Australian Open Men’s Singles tournament. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this player to reach the quarterfinals of the Australian Open Men’s Singles Tournament (e.g., they are eliminated in a prior round), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Australian Open (https://www.ausopen.com), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
|
2025-01-20T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-sebastian-korda-reach-the-quarterfinals-of-the-australian-open
|
[
"Sports",
"Tennis",
"australian open"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xdde314e0c6cdda102c6d451015e2a0de0af6f3ccdbfdd5914e0b3a3f09035100
|
0x35743164c06afa7b9aa2a8dab40b8ed17ab0a411bc93fe8cdfa74368f2ff7f07
|
Will Brentford win on 2025-01-18?
|
In the upcoming EPL game, scheduled for January 18 at 10:00AM ET,
If Brentford wins, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
If Brentford loses, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the game is canceled or delayed beyond 2025-02-18 or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve to “No”.
|
2025-01-18T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
epl-bre-liv-2025-01-18-bre
|
[
"Sports",
"Premier League",
"EPL",
"Games"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xcfddbd44680b0c9381a3cebec5a72e5a3603aa03dcf320d6e91f53f67a8e3806
|
0x17bd212c1cf5efad77d2fc543cdb13789ad08772da769e57d869175a335ffefc
|
Will Andrew Tate tweet 100-109 times Jan 10-17?
|
If Andrew Tate (@Cobratate), posts between 100 (inclusive) and 109 (inclusive) times on X between January 10, 2025, 12:00 PM ET and January 17, 2025, 12:00 PM ET this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts posts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the ‘Post Counter’ figure for posts found at https://www.xtracker.io/. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
|
2025-01-17T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-andrew-tate-tweet-100-109-times-jan-10-17
|
[
"Twitter",
"Culture",
"Tweet Markets",
"X"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x907bfb3fde2fcbfb9b510ec53576405c85468011f44500fc91ca38f938e3c076
|
0x422ec0844197030d5d59d81304656df13008c8e3c297f0b7781116daf4890676
|
Will the Vikings beat the Rams by 3 or more points?
|
This market refers to the NFL Playoff matchup between the Minnesota Vikings and the Los Angeles Rams scheduled for January 13, 2025, at 8:00 PM ET.
This market will resolve to “Vikings” if the Minnesota Vikings win their game against the Los Angeles Rams by 3 or more points.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Rams.”
If this game is postponed after January 20, 2025 (11:59 PM ET), or canceled, this market will resolve 50-50.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
|
2025-01-13T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-the-vikings-beat-the-rams-by-3-or-more-points
|
[
"Sports",
"rams",
"vikings",
"NFL",
"playoffs",
"Games"
] | false
| null | null |
0xf2bcd902f0d0a09c1d47a97ea2465723ff743bbd0e65a296fbf111504fd08b08
|
0x5f16842fbe2169e8cc9b15ace7120bb4139866399790cc246f0f80b447795b95
|
Will Evangelos Venizelos be next Greek President?
|
An indirect presidential election is due to be held in Greece by February 2025 for the President of the Hellenic Republic.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Evangelos Venizelos is elected by the Hellenic Parliament as the next President of Greece by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as announced by he Hellenic Parliament.
|
2025-01-31T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-evangelos-venizelos-be-next-greek-president
|
[
"Politics",
"Global Elections",
"World Elections"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x5e269b37d4f11926f1fd89d9c78e91878f01db737e968e5cec2dc9cb58980302
|
0xbc45b14fbceef98b20a10ea4965d1ba67faca3d9dfa9dc9588845eea862e168a
|
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-01-15?
|
In the upcoming EPL game, scheduled for January 15 at 2:30PM ET,
If Aston Villa wins, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
If Aston Villa loses, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the game is canceled or delayed beyond 2025-02-15 or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve to “No”.
|
2025-01-15T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
epl-eve-ast-2025-01-15-ast
|
[
"Sports",
"Premier League",
"EPL",
"Games"
] | false
| 1
| 0
|
0x229caab9d7159673177da5f0b64639852e74f9e621327a447ec178f226089bdd
|
0x157a55699798c1617da77ad6b8b8892321cd1a8a5caabf5167dba5e473ae1338
|
Will Roman Safiullin reach the quarterfinals of the Australian Open?
|
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Roman Safiullin reaches the quarterfinals of the 2025 Australian Open Men’s Singles tournament. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this player to reach the quarterfinals of the Australian Open Men’s Singles Tournament (e.g., they are eliminated in a prior round), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Australian Open (https://www.ausopen.com), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
|
2025-01-20T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-roman-safiullin-reach-the-quarterfinals-of-the-australian-open
|
[
"Sports",
"Tennis",
"australian open"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x2b44b4d815d1d9879dc7a45c5fcb17bc06e173730216f0711e6b88986be21a6f
|
0xf1753a3d6a790b1143691576440dbfef70c6f00d448cbeeaf79309d8ba3d854c
|
Will Holger Rune reach the quarterfinals of the Australian Open?
|
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Holger Rune reaches the quarterfinals of the 2025 Australian Open Men’s Singles tournament. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this player to reach the quarterfinals of the Australian Open Men’s Singles Tournament (e.g., they are eliminated in a prior round), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Australian Open (https://www.ausopen.com), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
|
2025-01-20T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-holger-rune-reach-the-quarterfinals-of-the-australian-open
|
[
"Sports",
"Tennis",
"australian open"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x0293c2b9cb24fdfa4fdf11ebfded695a6a25874707d5f2d5d0353b3df393d394
|
0x946bb53cbc93db17f57899df3d7a9cde41aeb9abd5f50dea8b1779f08094003b
|
Will Joy Taylor leave Fox Sports by the Super Bowl?
|
On January 5, it was reported that Joy Taylor has been accused in a civil lawsuit of creating a hostile workplace environment based on sex, race, and disability by a former employee of Fox Sports (https://frontofficesports.com/fox-skip-bayless-others-sued-on-14-counts-sexual-battery/).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Joy Taylor is no longer employed by Fox Sports for any length of time between January 6, and February 9, 2025, 6:30 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An announcement of Taylor’s resignation or removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation or removal goes into effect.
Suspensions or temporary leave of absences will not qualify.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Fox Sports, however, a consensus of credible reporting sources will also be used.
|
2025-02-09T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-joy-taylor-get-firedresign-by-super-bowl
|
[
"Sports",
"Culture",
"Fox Sports",
"Skip Bayless",
"Joy Taylor",
"Super Bowl Props"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x5de85f5a877558afd53a26ae436306096ee864b3a6299aca95a74a6505be3702
|
0xbf6e9b2b62f59247bd369dcbac634c43a7d49f23d33fecef4d0d01744fe5583f
|
Will Brentford win on 2025-01-26?
|
In the upcoming EPL game, scheduled for January 26 at 9:00AM ET,
If Brentford wins, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
If Brentford loses, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve “No”.
|
2025-01-26T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
epl-cry-bre-2025-01-26-bre
|
[
"Sports",
"Premier League",
"EPL",
"Games"
] | false
| 1
| 0
|
0x51079c417fe92719cd742784ddf68747640e1fdaa0133f875bd0239b3aa4980b
|
0x045b2051ed137223a5041ee1bb83a6827757023ff24e75359f1c064af6ecbd74
|
Will Elon tweet 550 or more times Jan 10-17?
|
If Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts 550 or more times on X between January 10, 2025, 12:00 PM ET and January 17, 2025, 12:00 PM ET this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts posts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the ‘Post Counter’ figure for posts found at https://www.xtracker.io/. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
|
2025-01-17T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-elon-tweet-550-or-more-times-jan-10-17
|
[
"Elon Musk",
"Culture",
"Elon Tweets"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x4b968b116a8932ffde3ec66f1b75cbc22fa181dd8d7bb397ef392a5e1d7ca900
|
0xc80bfcdb5c7381aff67db9cfd6032737596f4bccbe80638ecba05e40362ed04e
|
Will the Golden Knights win the 2025 Preident's Trophy?
|
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2025 NHL President's Trophy. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve to “No” if it becomes impossible for this team to win the 2025 President's Trophy based off the rules of the NHL.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the NHL.
|
2025-04-17T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-the-golden-knights-win-the-2025-preidents-trophy
|
[
"Sports",
"NHL",
"Hockey"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xd34bd5534a51faa5e6958d1518388d32b2f163c9cdfe60a0915e6df15bb972b7
|
0x52ca48099d458846f94f04b00eba3d074043f9040aa9de938a77f3529ac507c7
|
Rangers vs. Avalanche
|
In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for January 14 at 9:00PM ET:
If the New York Rangers win, the market will resolve to “Rangers”.
If the Colorado Avalanche win, the market will resolve to “Avalanche”.
If the game is not completed by January 21, 2025 (11:59 PM ET) or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve 50-50.
|
2025-01-22T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
nhl-nyr-col-2025-01-14
|
[
"Sports",
"NHL",
"Games"
] | false
| null | null |
0x9b445d138cc209068176820159c1c4f3c488115587812abe55420e9ca6b4ddd1
|
0x27580d64df451fceae4a879affb6b201ea64c35a296c269c3e97ac22f69b45c9
|
Will Biden say "Obama" during farewell address?
|
President Joe Biden’s farewell address is scheduled to take place on January 15, 2025, 8:00 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Biden says "Obama" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.
Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.
Compound words will count as long as "Obama" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to former US president Barack Obama.
If the event is cancelled or delayed beyond January 19, 2025 ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be the video of the speech, however the official transcript will be used to settle cases of ambiguity.
|
2025-01-15T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-biden-say-obama-during-farewell-address
|
[
"Politics",
"Biden",
"speech",
"Mentions"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xbbb6fd44eb8d323b6f0466148810a2b1c9b8d26acad3c12841b9e0c191a23283
|
0x8ac2625b7c73fdfb11401a61758005b68cd6c8a793a9ddd259f03b4867055029
|
Maple Leafs vs. Canadiens
|
In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for January 18 at 7:00PM ET:
If the Toronto Maple Leafs win, the market will resolve to “Maple Leafs”.
If the Montreal Canadiens win, the market will resolve to “Canadiens”.
If the game is not completed by January 25, 2025 (11:59 PM ET) or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve 50-50.
|
2025-01-26T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
nhl-tor-mon-2025-01-18
|
[
"Sports",
"NHL",
"Games"
] | false
| null | null |
0xa3e93d310877e5dfda25012a8daf672a286c56b9add8541a2ef942353fc31e38
|
0x3ef0abfd1f7959464fd43d8968a4237ff84be31e2472bca613102e71f0dfe6c7
|
Blue Jackets vs. Rangers
|
In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for January 18 at 7:00PM ET:
If the Columbus Blue Jackets win, the market will resolve to “Blue Jackets”.
If the New York Rangers win, the market will resolve to “Rangers”.
If the game is not completed by January 25, 2025 (11:59 PM ET) or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve 50-50.
|
2025-01-26T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
nhl-cbj-nyr-2025-01-18
|
[
"Sports",
"NHL",
"Games"
] | false
| null | null |
0x1baeb724792592ab38de3408dc5c4276f4b3e4f15a2506b99d76e9a2d3eb8703
|
0xc41d3005202e546f1547a257677413f9a609489076b3a2dd114dfbfa23f7767b
|
Will there be 200-250k jobs added in January 2025?
|
Total nonfarm payroll employment rose by 256,000 in December 2024.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States gains between 200,000 (inclusive) and 250,000 (exclusive) in nonfarm payroll employment according to the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for January, scheduled to be released on February 7, 2025, 8:30 AM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm
|
2025-02-07T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-there-be-200-250k-jobs-added-in-january-2025
|
[
"Politics",
"Business",
"Economy",
"Macro Jobs",
"payroll",
"nonfarm",
"Economic Policy"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x9f4e309397ce2fdce68b64293bcff640ac29157e6d51c05d804869229356c5be
|
0x0eeffdf999757433b01893a0026d602c7373e468a9cae1ef1c04050b2df31bce
|
Stars vs. Avalanche
|
In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for January 18 at 4:00PM ET:
If the Dallas Stars win, the market will resolve to “Stars”.
If the Colorado Avalanche win, the market will resolve to “Avalanche”.
If the game is not completed by January 25, 2025 (11:59 PM ET) or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve 50-50.
|
2025-01-25T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
nhl-dal-col-2025-01-18
|
[
"Sports",
"NHL",
"Games"
] | false
| null | null |
0xcf66601b70ab89f207f065ea96b6bd2e7a6b398d202ad66660038b07bae82f09
|
0xfda5d40c88a8caf941b82f4459f516ba7f58575fc568211cce6b7d5bb526440d
|
Will Vladimir Fedoseev win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Grand Slam Weissenhaus?
|
The 2025 Freestyle Chess Grand Slam Weissenhaus is scheduled to take place Feb 7 - 14, 2025. You can read more about this event here: https://www.chess.com/events/info/2025-freestyle-chess-grand-slam-weissenhaus
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vladimir Fedoseev wins the 2025 Freestyle Chess Grand Slam Weissenhaus. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If this event is cancelled, or not completed by February 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
If multiple players are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official information from Chess.com, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
|
2025-02-14T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-vladimir-fedoseev-win-the-2025-freestyle-chess-grand-slam-weissenhaus
|
[
"Sports",
"Chess"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x0b5e684ddd0cd30555b4c7e7fec6640e0113dff16049b46d42b3125b6bc70bbe
|
0xdd76c189e63db57144dc5651dab1511cd0976922444ff5da3be9be608bd7c3e2
|
Wizards vs. Warriors
|
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for January 18 at 8:30PM ET:
If the Washington Wizards win, the market will resolve to “Wizards”.
If the Golden State Warriors win, the market will resolve to “Warriors”.
If the game is not completed by January 25, 2025 (11:59 PM ET) or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve 50-50.
|
2025-01-26T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
nba-was-gsw-2025-01-18
|
[
"Sports",
"NBA",
"Games"
] | false
| null | null |
0x61c739154f43a0cec4be03e28ecf2582cd678de3e6385e091ebee5074f076401
|
0x70fdff04826e4285b2770463a22977c3b378a63a44d7ef79b2848e862283fa68
|
Will Bournemouth vs. Nottingham Forest end in a draw?
|
In the upcoming EPL game, scheduled for January 25 at 10:00AM ET,
If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to “Yes”. If not, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
|
2025-01-25T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
epl-bou-not-2025-01-25-draw
|
[
"Sports",
"Premier League",
"EPL",
"Games"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xa17fbd3923d0fae9c86aeff5407bfa8cf22cb26f8e739d7c94b78d2543bcec00
|
0x01beb334f89c5ea48f50be03b53c559d458108a719d0bb27242a9636699f2214
|
Will Wolves win on 2025-01-25?
|
In the upcoming EPL game, scheduled for January 25 at 10:00AM ET,
If Wolves wins, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
If Wolves loses, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve “No”.
|
2025-01-25T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
epl-wol-ars-2025-01-25-wol
|
[
"Sports",
"Premier League",
"EPL",
"Games"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xdcf5b938d20fde0ce77943c5babd06549be8d131b5047d90fbdcdae77ff8832c
|
0xd49ec4fe7616e73fa16cf24cce9aa15dfe301463218c8c1ab07bc68971821b69
|
Jazz vs. Pelicans
|
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for January 17 at 8:00PM ET:
If the Utah Jazz win, the market will resolve to “Jazz”.
If the New Orleans Pelicans win, the market will resolve to “Pelicans”.
If the game is not completed by January 24, 2025 (11:59 PM ET) or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve 50-50.
|
2025-01-25T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
nba-uta-nop-2025-01-17
|
[
"Sports",
"NBA",
"Games"
] | false
| null | null |
0xa17fbd3923d0fae9c86aeff5407bfa8cf22cb26f8e739d7c94b78d2543bcec02
|
0x0d27cebd0a2e2cc1bfc1611a95a2898b69c3e17319e58e3a528d05bea3a1053a
|
Will Arsenal win on 2025-01-25?
|
In the upcoming EPL game, scheduled for January 25 at 10:00AM ET,
If Arsenal wins, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
If Arsenal loses, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve “No”.
|
2025-01-25T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
epl-wol-ars-2025-01-25-ars
|
[
"Sports",
"Premier League",
"EPL",
"Games"
] | false
| 1
| 0
|
0x35cd1deb842c6175472879034ec80335cf9a1de8a23f6b21f8d6b1ee7be7df01
|
0x98c263b706a6c8fb5ccf104ed526387ee2d19c1ff735739197e5771dbc68c4c2
|
Will Liverpool vs. Ipswich end in a draw?
|
In the upcoming EPL game, scheduled for January 25 at 10:00AM ET,
If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to “Yes”. If not, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
|
2025-01-25T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
epl-liv-ips-2025-01-25-draw
|
[
"Sports",
"Premier League",
"EPL",
"Games"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x628cec97219988d1f8024e198d40a44b9b7d9b6c17f2aa6ff19c0ad3b57388ce
|
0xab85293ad72f73ec9508419ac46c5c32a79fe010219d210b50cbec28b524b6e1
|
Will Biden say "ceasefire" during farewell address?
|
President Joe Biden’s farewell address is scheduled to take place on January 15, 2025, 8:00 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Biden says "ceasefire" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.
Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.
Compound words will count as long as "ceasefire" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the cessation of fighting between parties in a military conflict.
If the event is cancelled or delayed beyond January 19, 2025 ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be the video of the speech, however the official transcript will be used to settle cases of ambiguity.
|
2025-01-15T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-biden-say-ceasefire-during-farewell-address
|
[
"Politics",
"Biden",
"speech",
"Mentions"
] | false
| 1
| 0
|
0x059f242b44a49459ff1a1795efdc65bd89d6ba31a75619149f615026069d3203
|
0x027a39f6875e8772a8d8a0831270727ef3890e844171262f798c20111a25dee4
|
Will FURIA Esports win the VCT 2025 Americas Kickoff?
|
VCT 2025: Americas Kickoff is scheduled to take place January 16 - February 8, 2025. Find more information about the tournament here: liquipedia.net/valorant/VCT/2025/Americas_League/Kickoff.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if FURIA Esports wins this tournament. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If this team is eliminated from the competition based on the official rules of the tournament, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the winner of VCT 2025: Americas Kickoff is not determined by February 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information provided directly from the VCT (e.g., valorantesports.com/en-US) and official footage of the tournament. However, other credible reporting may also be used.
|
2025-02-08T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-furia-esports-win-the-vct-2025-americas-kickoff
|
[
"Sports",
"Esports",
"2025 Predictions",
"Valorant",
"VCT"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xacd6e98db34d7bc0176e6f6d4bbeacf07b0bfc226c7d41b37217fffa4a042e01
|
0x46fc88a8946c0d12f94e496141afae4bcceea70d8ceceb668b0cea10a1cfdd78
|
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20-1.24ºC in January 2025?
|
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for January 2025 shows an increase of between 1.20°C and 1.24°C when it is released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An anomaly of between 1.20°C and 1.24°C for January 2025 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" immediately once the data becomes available regardless of whether the figure for January 2025 is later revised.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Jan" in the row "2025" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for January 2025 is provided by NASA by May 1, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "No".
|
2025-01-31T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-global-temperature-increase-by-between-1pt20-1pt24c-in-january-2025
|
[
"Science",
"Weather",
"climate",
"global warming",
"Global Temp",
"2025 Predictions",
"Recurring"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x9506d131d406c4c72a0233d0a9eebaa4ff7c4382ff6838da6431e613c499a68e
|
0x778b7c2212c6f8ae03ce0cae9930e2e1e4db270cdbf3813fe52f09a08cebbd5e
|
Will LiAngelo Ball perform during Super Bowl LIX halftime show?
|
This market will resolve to “Yes” if LiAngelo Ball performs live and in person during the Super Bowl LIX halftime show currently scheduled for February 9, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If this event is cancelled or otherwise delayed beyond March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be footage of the Super Bowl LIX halftime show, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
|
2025-02-09T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-liangelo-ball-perform-during-super-bowl-lix-halftime-show
|
[
"Sports",
"Music",
"Celebrities",
"NFL",
"Culture",
"Rap",
"Super Bowl LIX",
"Super Bowl Props"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x8bce885cdf531db4ae93f6b4c7ab6967b92da93aaff85b72a9c5f5c4fca9cf04
|
0x946201de34725a58438249d69da0c36b80d29da17d0de6838d6ce7d7959fc777
|
Will Atassut win the most seats in the next Greenland parliamentary election?
|
The 2025 Greenlandic parliamentary elections will be held on or before 6 April 2025 to elect members of the Inatsisartut.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Atassut controls the most seats in the Inatsisartut (Greenland's unicameral parliament) as a result of the next Greenlandic parliamentary election.
If voting in the next Greenlandic parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2025, this market will resolve to "No".
In the case of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats held, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by this party, not any coalition of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Greenlandic government (e.g. via https://qinersineq.gl/).
|
2025-04-06T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-atassut-win-the-most-seats-in-the-next-greenland-parliamentary-election
|
[
"Politics",
"Global Elections",
"World Elections",
"Greenland"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xc1683cbeef3dfddac851de1dde83f8ed22a380bf045399150c51f5c3d69a09a3
|
0x6921c3ca42d7d9e53354b3b57539945954a84f9f9783c2bccba6f530c7bea9c8
|
Canadiens vs. Stars
|
In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for January 16 at 8:00PM ET:
If the Montreal Canadiens win, the market will resolve to “Canadiens”.
If the Dallas Stars win, the market will resolve to “Stars”.
If the game is not completed by January 23, 2025 (11:59 PM ET) or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve 50-50.
|
2025-01-24T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
nhl-mon-dal-2025-01-16
|
[
"Sports",
"NHL",
"Games"
] | false
| null | null |
0x1baeb724792592ab38de3408dc5c4276f4b3e4f15a2506b99d76e9a2d3eb8705
|
0xc4e4d40bbc8c51ac6cb1c067d0d71c9a40fee9d073dbb19dd717bfa449019fda
|
Will there be over 300k jobs added in January 2025?
|
Total nonfarm payroll employment rose by 256,000 in December 2024.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States gains over 300,000 in nonfarm payroll employment according to the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for January, scheduled to be released on February 7, 2025, 8:30 AM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm
|
2025-02-07T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-there-be-over-300k-jobs-added-in-january-2025
|
[
"Politics",
"Business",
"Economy",
"Macro Jobs",
"payroll",
"nonfarm",
"Economic Policy"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xcf66601b70ab89f207f065ea96b6bd2e7a6b398d202ad66660038b07bae82f07
|
0x92803eefc3d16bb94b9b6042bd75b2af1dba40303de1b257218f8e22b217f7d4
|
Will Alireza Firouzja win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Grand Slam Weissenhaus?
|
The 2025 Freestyle Chess Grand Slam Weissenhaus is scheduled to take place Feb 7 - 14, 2025. You can read more about this event here: https://www.chess.com/events/info/2025-freestyle-chess-grand-slam-weissenhaus
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Alireza Firouzja wins the 2025 Freestyle Chess Grand Slam Weissenhaus. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If this event is cancelled, or not completed by February 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
If multiple players are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official information from Chess.com, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
|
2025-02-14T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-alireza-firouzja-win-the-2025-freestyle-chess-grand-slam-weissenhaus
|
[
"Sports",
"Chess"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xd7d8aac0f2bd4436861113ba7b157993999fc9575e43b27749254e09fe401203
|
0xa21510b27c3918feee78d77ff1827bab47f32cd69cf9c3593d4b9e064b8cfb48
|
Will Khruangbin win Best New Artist?
|
The 67th GRAMMYs Awards Show, presented by the Recording Academy, is an event honoring “outstanding achievement in the music industry” for the period of time between September 16, 2023, to August 30, 2024. It is scheduled to take place at the Crypto.com Arena in Los Angeles on February 2, 2025. The nominations were announced on November 8, 2024.
If Khruangbin wins the Grammy for Best New Artist at the 67th GRAMMYs Awards Show, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated song which comes first in alphabetical order.
The resolution source will be the television broadcast of the awards and the Grammy website (https://www.grammy.com/), however other credible reporting may be used.
|
2025-02-02T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-khruangbin-win-best-new-artist
|
[
"Awards",
"Music",
"Culture",
"Grammys"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xf4cca8d5cbcf25060c176165fdd17df8cdaa288bd390f698458dd994241ae102
|
0xc75dc64f8fa8f01eceb2e3269e63109f3d80d6199a02eaba4757e5d5b689950f
|
Will the Greens win the most seats in the next Australian parliamentary election?
|
The 2025 Australian federal election will be held on or before 17 May 2025 to elect members of the 48th Parliament of Australia.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Green Party controls the most seats in the Australian House of Representatives
(Australia's lower house) as a result of the next Australian parliamentary election.
If voting in the next Australian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2025, this market will resolve to "No".
In the case of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats held, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by this party, not any coalition of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Australian government, specifically the Australian Electoral Commission (AEC) (https://www.aec.gov.au/).
Note: The Liberal and the National Parties of Australia (Liberal–National Coalition) will be considered a single party, NOT a coalition for the purpose of this market. If this alliance breaks up prior to the election, the market for Liberal–National Coalition will be assigned to the Liberal Party.
|
2025-05-17T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-the-greens-win-the-most-seats-in-the-next-australian-parliamentary-election
|
[
"Politics",
"Australia",
"Global Elections",
"World Elections",
"World"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x4b968b116a8932ffde3ec66f1b75cbc22fa181dd8d7bb397ef392a5e1d7ca908
|
0x72f1a05f1823c486f4de12f1974d40ce34b64f325aa6dca9aa87b5bd9a7afa01
|
Will the Toronto Maple Leafs win the 2025 President’s Trophy?
|
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Toronto Maple Leafs win the 2025 NHL President’s Trophy. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve to “No” if it becomes impossible for this team to win the 2025 President’s Trophy based off the rules of the NHL.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the NHL.
|
2025-04-17T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-the-toronto-maple-leafs-win-the-2025-presidents-trophy
|
[
"Sports",
"NHL",
"Hockey"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xa95aedae4805107c90bc88aafab1220d83a1f3d17b37d8a712b0b8c6411b3337
|
0x82827648bae38c8ae097d1ee88e516313b97830fb5e20815ceb348f86eb5c827
|
Pelicans vs. Bulls
|
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for January 14 at 8:00PM ET:
If the New Orleans Pelicans win, the market will resolve to “Pelicans”.
If the Chicago Bulls win, the market will resolve to “Bulls”.
If the game is not completed by January 21, 2025 (11:59 PM ET) or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve 50-50.
|
2025-01-22T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
nba-nop-chi-2025-01-14
|
[
"Sports",
"NBA",
"Games"
] | false
| null | null |
0x5de85f5a877558afd53a26ae436306096ee864b3a6299aca95a74a6505be3700
|
0x2f776eadc952ebae924c696df44aa698a5a36dc9bc75e0fdcf5e60e80939bab5
|
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-01-26?
|
In the upcoming EPL game, scheduled for January 26 at 9:00AM ET,
If Crystal Palace wins, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
If Crystal Palace loses, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve “No”.
|
2025-01-26T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
epl-cry-bre-2025-01-26-cry
|
[
"Sports",
"Premier League",
"EPL",
"Games"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x4fd49a1d78330eaddbbe2cd54d56f226408ea316a5f138bbd11eb09d890b14b8
|
0xd04b7bf6bfc0734ec8f977fad95d8f4f32ff53dc94daa1d08c81cae4d6024dd5
|
Hawks vs. Bulls
|
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for January 15 at 8:00PM ET:
If the Atlanta Hawks win, the market will resolve to “Hawks”.
If the Chicago Bulls win, the market will resolve to “Bulls”.
If the game is not completed by January 22, 2025 (11:59 PM ET) or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve 50-50.
|
2025-01-23T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
nba-atl-chi-2025-01-15
|
[
"Sports",
"NBA",
"Games"
] | false
| null | null |
0x4b968b116a8932ffde3ec66f1b75cbc22fa181dd8d7bb397ef392a5e1d7ca913
|
0xcfb5426336acc82b25ee97af18e8ef843d0f55ec5788ce174090a5f13fcc45d4
|
Will the New York Rangers win the 2025 President’s Trophy?
|
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the New York Rangers win the 2025 NHL President’s Trophy. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve to “No” if it becomes impossible for this team to win the 2025 President’s Trophy based off the rules of the NHL.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the NHL.
|
2025-04-17T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-the-new-york-rangers-win-the-2025-presidents-trophy
|
[
"Sports",
"NHL",
"Hockey"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x4b968b116a8932ffde3ec66f1b75cbc22fa181dd8d7bb397ef392a5e1d7ca912
|
0x1d7ad85d72f16d93479c5da4d43192be2a3dc5c8b25b75dea5da1b85d58fc7e4
|
Will the Ottawa Senators win the 2025 President’s Trophy?
|
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Ottawa Senators win the 2025 NHL President’s Trophy. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve to “No” if it becomes impossible for this team to win the 2025 President’s Trophy based off the rules of the NHL.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the NHL.
|
2025-04-17T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-the-ottawa-senators-win-the-2025-presidents-trophy
|
[
"Sports",
"NHL",
"Hockey"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x35f3d41994933e8e1e10e4466bd6eabe6c644c836890c87cc5afe118d21a2087
|
0xad1b6a9cce447e3a51deff34dcd8350fbd3a9d2450968cda076bc0ca44c59f96
|
Nuggets vs. Mavericks
|
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for January 14 at 9:30PM ET:
If the Denver Nuggets win, the market will resolve to “Nuggets”.
If the Dallas Mavericks win, the market will resolve to “Mavericks”.
If the game is not completed by January 21, 2025 (11:59 PM ET) or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve 50-50.
|
2025-01-22T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
nba-den-dal-2025-01-14
|
[
"Sports",
"NBA",
"Games"
] | false
| null | null |
0xacd6e98db34d7bc0176e6f6d4bbeacf07b0bfc226c7d41b37217fffa4a042e04
|
0xcbe717b301ef549131877fa04d44fe8e0f04136896b65b3dc5126ad5da50fce0
|
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.34ºC in January 2025?
|
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for January 2025 shows an increase of greater than 1.34°C when it is released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An anomaly greater than 1.34°C for January 2025 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" immediately once the data becomes available regardless of whether the figure for January 2025 is later revised.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Jan" in the row "2025" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for January 2025 is provided by NASA by May 1, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "No".
|
2025-01-31T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-global-temperature-increase-by-more-than-1pt34c-in-january-2025
|
[
"Science",
"Weather",
"climate",
"global warming",
"Global Temp",
"2025 Predictions",
"Recurring"
] | false
| 1
| 0
|
0xacd6e98db34d7bc0176e6f6d4bbeacf07b0bfc226c7d41b37217fffa4a042e02
|
0xae350d4ababffcb1f2f53dab656b95cd8e7154bd79b78e0bcedc85b499ce6efe
|
Will global temperature increase by between 1.25-1.29ºC in January 2025?
|
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for January 2025 shows an increase of between 1.25°C and 1.29°C when it is released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An anomaly of between 1.25°C and 1.29°C for January 2025 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" immediately once the data becomes available regardless of whether the figure for January 2025 is later revised.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Jan" in the row "2025" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for January 2025 is provided by NASA by May 1, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "No".
|
2025-01-31T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-global-temperature-increase-by-between-1pt25-1pt29c-in-january-2025
|
[
"Science",
"Weather",
"climate",
"global warming",
"Global Temp",
"2025 Predictions",
"Recurring"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x51079c417fe92719cd742784ddf68747640e1fdaa0133f875bd0239b3aa49809
|
0x88c3c44b9751126f06e8075a64206f4dbba07523827b712b169e7593a50cbe9f
|
Will Elon tweet 500-524 times Jan 10-17?
|
If Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts between 500 (inclusive) and 524 (inclusive) on X between January 10, 2025, 12:00 PM ET and January 17, 2025, 12:00 PM ET this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts posts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the ‘Post Counter’ figure for posts found at https://www.xtracker.io/. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
|
2025-01-17T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-elon-tweet-500-524-times-jan-10-17-1
|
[
"Elon Musk",
"Culture",
"Elon Tweets"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x0c06ea234a1f3f42992f85b926ad66849f7741bebda5d384106b2b61e3648b37
|
0x33f5bb0b369335cc6823fb98fa358225ca29ad3a8f0f8c8f17cfc98759916fea
|
Oilers vs. Canucks
|
In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for January 18 at 10:00PM ET:
If the Edmonton Oilers win, the market will resolve to “Oilers”.
If the Vancouver Canucks win, the market will resolve to “Canucks”.
If the game is not completed by January 25, 2025 (11:59 PM ET) or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve 50-50.
|
2025-01-26T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
nhl-edm-van-2025-01-18
|
[
"Sports",
"NHL",
"Games"
] | false
| null | null |
0x3b3faa1e8d4ad05c35ac13b8ce9ee160a42b85b33ce8750c47257252c640f706
|
0x652f73c069e0a6e1b69accbdda0828a73a8eca1c1215977a7d49c7726d14b906
|
Will the Miami Heat get the #1 seed in 2025 NBA Eastern Conference?
|
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Miami Heat finish the 2024-2025 NBA Regular Season as the 1 seed in the Eastern Conference standings. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve to “No” if it becomes impossible for this team to finish the 2024-25 NBA Regular Season with the best Regular Season record in the Eastern Conference.
If multiple teams are tied for most wins in the 2024-25 NBA Regular Season in the Eastern Conference, this market will resolve in favor of the team who receives the number 1 seed for the 2025 NBA playoffs. A list of the NBA’s Tiebreak Procedures can be found here: https://ak-static-int.nba.com/wp-content/uploads/sites/2/2017/06/NBA_Tiebreaker_Procedures.pdf
The resolution source for this market will be information from the NBA.
|
2025-04-13T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-the-miami-heat-get-the-1-seed-in-2025-nba-eastern-conference
|
[
"Sports",
"futures",
"NBA"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xdcfb71bf66e8a45827d141e5595ee0c9ac539fcb58b618cbe582e007782c404a
|
0xa83212da4a0448c624fd7e0fc26586e7da1f7152fc8cb854579fe7474724f243
|
Trump claims largest inauguration crowd ever?
|
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly claims that his 2025 presidential inauguration had the largest crowd size in history by January 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET.
Any public statement from Trump written or verbal will qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be public statements made by Donald Trump. A consensus of credible reporting will be used to verify whether the claim was made.
|
2025-01-31T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
trump-claims-largest-inauguration-crowd-ever
|
[
"Politics",
"Trump Presidency",
"Inauguration"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xb8662667cacc9c97c2e4b718b09baa2f635f20e1ed0380a12641585e7b8e3a02
|
0x6cfcead387732b25f719e01a1f52ad8f481a24efd953e156babe7306ddbf7260
|
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% or more in December?
|
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (“BLS”).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) increased by 0.5 percent or more in December 2024 and “No“ otherwise.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS December 2024 Consumer Price Index report (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on January 15, 2025, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
----
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which reports to the one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
|
2025-01-15T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-monthly-inflation-increase-by-0pt5-or-more-in-december
|
[
"Business",
"Inflation",
"Economy"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xff987ac72844f91f96655da726abc66f9e862abdb44c85f31d78123780f4d10f
|
0x5b5a85ba39ba5e6a7bdef4173a38a12b7baf0d0bb3ebe149a86ceb5173370194
|
Will Biden say "pardon" during farewell address?
|
President Joe Biden’s farewell address is scheduled to take place on January 15, 2025, 8:00 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Biden says "pardon" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.
Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.
Compound words will count as long as "pardon" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to a remission of the legal consequences of an offense or conviction.
If the event is cancelled or delayed beyond January 19, 2025 ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be the video of the speech, however the official transcript will be used to settle cases of ambiguity.
|
2025-01-15T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-biden-say-pardon-during-farewell-address
|
[
"Politics",
"Biden",
"speech",
"Mentions"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xbdb3fecaa0b6beda79af611e5ba891de425cf10a9fe950887951d2989cffd703
|
0x6da4a58ee5ad25d1fca724be841b9e3173dcbfd483136cc8f2591f34b83195ea
|
Will the Cowboys hire Kellen Moore as their next head coach?
|
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kellen Moore is announced as the next head coach of the Dallas Cowboys for the 2025-26 NFL season by March 12, 2025, 4:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If the Cowboys announce they have hired another head coach for the 2025-26 NFL season, this market will resolve to “No.”
The resolution source for this market is official information from the Dallas Cowboys, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
|
2025-03-12T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-the-cowboys-hire-kellen-moore-as-their-next-head-coach
|
[
"Sports",
"NFL",
"dallas cowboys",
"Brian Schottenheimer"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x5eae97d3a9dc728ee271a8c4fe53bf5d250a6559cb9105d07ae5be08d0461158
|
0x4d17471e4c224f155bed5fc58b506da9c13de225cdc759e2784c37d0cd751620
|
Flames vs. Jets
|
In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for January 18 at 7:00PM ET:
If the Calgary Flames win, the market will resolve to “Flames”.
If the Winnipeg Jets win, the market will resolve to “Jets”.
If the game is not completed by January 25, 2025 (11:59 PM ET) or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve 50-50.
|
2025-01-26T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
nhl-cal-wpg-2025-01-18
|
[
"Sports",
"NHL",
"Games"
] | false
| null | null |
0x4b968b116a8932ffde3ec66f1b75cbc22fa181dd8d7bb397ef392a5e1d7ca91e
|
0x64c667f3959b0a6a6912f535cf997b5d6e7b112be8c69557e94c8271ca7de55f
|
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2025 President’s Trophy?
|
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Montreal Canadiens win the 2025 NHL President’s Trophy. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve to “No” if it becomes impossible for this team to win the 2025 President’s Trophy based off the rules of the NHL.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the NHL.
|
2025-04-17T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-the-montreal-canadiens-win-the-2025-presidents-trophy
|
[
"Sports",
"NHL",
"Hockey"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x453d35261743ce5ed3e42e431b21ceeedff082d01993f18056ab8a9342ae977e
|
0xed56a2790da556ae7d86901494eaab32452f8dcee53d3b0d04d9169c3ddb2dde
|
Knicks vs. 76ers
|
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for January 15 at 7:30PM ET:
If the New York Knicks win, the market will resolve to “Knicks”.
If the Philadelphia 76ers win, the market will resolve to “76ers”.
If the game is not completed by January 22, 2025 (11:59 PM ET) or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve 50-50.
|
2025-01-23T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
nba-nyk-phi-2025-01-15
|
[
"Sports",
"NBA",
"Games"
] | false
| null | null |
0x8ab8f54e0d841b98b5409b1d89846824d48a2ba7e091d42af58a158a02601e01
|
0x3b58029014ffa60159411babff41b6c28cd5864caaeb022d5d2e640d1fb7da24
|
Will Fulham vs. Manchester United end in a draw?
|
In the upcoming EPL game, scheduled for January 26 at 2:00PM ET,
If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to “Yes”. If not, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
|
2025-01-26T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
epl-ful-mun-2025-01-26-draw
|
[
"Sports",
"Premier League",
"EPL",
"Games"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xbdb3fecaa0b6beda79af611e5ba891de425cf10a9fe950887951d2989cffd708
|
0x0a3d5d57e47f77e497ccd65631fc4db2252a2e1647e50d6f5eb140f082e8f0c4
|
Will the Cowboys hire Joe Brady as their next head coach?
|
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Joe Brady is announced as the next head coach of the Dallas Cowboys for the 2025-26 NFL season by March 12, 2025, 4:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If the Cowboys announce they have hired another head coach for the 2025-26 NFL season, this market will resolve to “No.”
The resolution source for this market is official information from the Dallas Cowboys, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
|
2025-03-12T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-the-cowboys-hire-joe-brady-as-their-next-head-coach
|
[
"Sports",
"NFL",
"dallas cowboys",
"Brian Schottenheimer"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xb5a071d242239706ced8e52d1bd7dc57bb4a21af5c015c117502b6829789892c
|
0x02a261d96ed7e5aa129344d39f4767985e2cb457791946a4d39a8bd89287058c
|
Will Biden say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during farewell address?
|
President Joe Biden’s farewell address is scheduled to take place on January 15, 2025, 8:00 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Biden says "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.
Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.
Compound words will count as long as "crypto" or "Bitcoin" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to decentralized cryptocurrency (e.g. "cryptocurrency-related" counts).
If the event is cancelled or delayed beyond January 19, 2025 ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be the video of the speech, however the official transcript will be used to settle cases of ambiguity.
|
2025-01-15T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-biden-say-crypto-or-bitcoin-during-farewell-address
|
[
"Politics",
"Biden",
"speech",
"Mentions"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xc7c04f97700e0f3199b3967190ee645e91b29014d3b41d32ceae8eab475591b1
|
0x231af3fb88ebd9d81ff9abe50a2e0690726371bf7662fe5cbae27fee857583bb
|
Raptors vs. Bucks
|
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for January 17 at 8:00PM ET:
If the Toronto Raptors win, the market will resolve to “Raptors”.
If the Milwaukee Bucks win, the market will resolve to “Bucks”.
If the game is not completed by January 24, 2025 (11:59 PM ET) or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve 50-50.
|
2025-01-25T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
nba-tor-mil-2025-01-17
|
[
"Sports",
"NBA",
"Games"
] | false
| null | null |
0x23356b8989e2e1c14b5c4d97fc35dbbd712208f98b7d85b3f1ac661d6ab13298
|
0xffb294fe46fbffca78d8da2911546ccecbef13a630c3eefa28868e3cace2b487
|
Suns vs. Pistons
|
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for January 18 at 5:00PM ET:
If the Phoenix Suns win, the market will resolve to “Suns”.
If the Detroit Pistons win, the market will resolve to “Pistons”.
If the game is not completed by January 25, 2025 (11:59 PM ET) or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve 50-50.
|
2025-01-25T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
nba-phx-det-2025-01-18
|
[
"Sports",
"NBA",
"Games"
] | false
| null | null |
0x6b8589c57d51a95670671a5e581c0b476e031622282602245c97a45ea829fa00
|
0x14157ce8844eb963c4dc36c7e3499408eaf89fa4ecb63114f798dcd9dbcdf8ad
|
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or less in January?
|
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (“BLS”).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) increased by 0.1 percent or less in January 2025 and “No“ otherwise.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS January 2025 Consumer Price Index report (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on Feb 12, 2025, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
----
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which reports to the one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
|
2025-02-12T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-monthly-inflation-increase-by-0pt1-or-less-in-january
|
[
"Business",
"Economy",
"report",
"cpi",
"Economic Policy"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x059f242b44a49459ff1a1795efdc65bd89d6ba31a75619149f615026069d3202
|
0xfd3c683d7df6d217dfbd93487cb5feb78561b7c38058c2997ebce1adf4905f88
|
Will Evil Geniuses win the VCT 2025 Americas Kickoff?
|
VCT 2025: Americas Kickoff is scheduled to take place January 16 - February 8, 2025. Find more information about the tournament here: liquipedia.net/valorant/VCT/2025/Americas_League/Kickoff.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Evil Geniuses wins this tournament. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If this team is eliminated from the competition based on the official rules of the tournament, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the winner of VCT 2025: Americas Kickoff is not determined by February 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information provided directly from the VCT (e.g., valorantesports.com/en-US) and official footage of the tournament. However, other credible reporting may also be used.
|
2025-02-08T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-evil-geniuses-win-the-vct-2025-americas-kickoff
|
[
"Sports",
"Esports",
"2025 Predictions",
"Valorant",
"VCT"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xbfc17e6a2029ac860be036ce76e01255cfe786e696b819a2935084c487ac6e77
|
0x028ce9a10671202f5c3da19cee907f271ddc52f1c1ba7db8d477372f791f4d13
|
RedNote/Xiaohongshu #1 app on Jan 24?
|
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Xiaohongshu (小红书, RedNote) iOS app is the #1 app in the United States iPhone Apple App Store for the Top Free Apps category, on January 24, 2025, 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market is information from Apple (see: https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone/top-free-apps/36).
|
2025-01-24T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
rednotexiaohongshu-1-app-on-jan-24
|
[
"Business",
"apple",
"Tech",
"app",
"Xiaohongshu"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xdddd59a4d951374704e06b76ee2392f65eae624803343c3c63708824ef8fe5a2
|
0x3a121d64f1414e7f28527fdd635cb6dfedb248839d461ca6fcf7e204f2153923
|
Rockets vs. Nuggets
|
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for January 15 at 9:00PM ET:
If the Houston Rockets win, the market will resolve to “Rockets”.
If the Denver Nuggets win, the market will resolve to “Nuggets”.
If the game is not completed by January 22, 2025 (11:59 PM ET) or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve 50-50.
|
2025-01-23T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
nba-hou-den-2025-01-15
|
[
"Sports",
"NBA",
"Games"
] | false
| null | null |
0x198d39ce8714a14900929fec91f2333b73d688246488fa9780b679bf89ecd762
|
0xdffe14ea0bbbd0dc31f21e250af8474595ea207c40beed560d401eed8698a717
|
Rams vs. Eagles
|
In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for January 19 at 3:00PM ET:
If the Los Angeles Rams win, the market will resolve to “Rams”.
If the Philadelphia Eagles win, the market will resolve to “Eagles”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
|
2025-01-26T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
nfl-la-phi-2025-01-19
|
[
"Sports",
"NFL",
"Games"
] | false
| null | null |
0xcde49ef550ef32900cb2cbc7d8d7e83c2f69702e0ef1a978f2878c71abbc295f
|
0xca7ab404baeffc769fc89e2c975b09c4753f3230222334e202e30c26ecd7c133
|
Ducks vs. Panthers
|
In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for January 18 at 6:00PM ET:
If the Anaheim Ducks win, the market will resolve to “Ducks”.
If the Florida Panthers win, the market will resolve to “Panthers”.
If the game is not completed by January 25, 2025 (11:59 PM ET) or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve 50-50.
|
2025-01-25T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
nhl-ana-fla-2025-01-18
|
[
"Sports",
"NHL",
"Games"
] | false
| null | null |
0x7417e9cebb9dc8e28a8f2f89dd3312942e0ceba0b39ee568983044f6e4e28302
|
0x93f11059e90cf830925d5e9b0765e1ef7584396447e64cff6ce1cb2e586e75ef
|
Will the January unemployment rate be 4.2%?
|
This is a market on the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed, as percent of the civilian labor force, official unemployment rate denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Report for January 2025.
The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in the Table A-15 for the month in question.
This market will resolve to “Yes”, if the seasonally adjusted U-3 unemployment rate in the United States for January 2025 is 4.2%, otherwise it will resolve to “No”.
The next data release is scheduled for February 7, 2025, 8:30 AM ET. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued. Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
|
2025-02-07T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-the-january-unemployment-rate-be-4pt2
|
[
"Business",
"jobs",
"Economy",
"bls",
"Macro Unemployment"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x3812098c30ab29ddf9d901dd2bddf425b679ed7f3457b2512fceb96dba6ee900
|
0x617e2bece1991b65ca149e92479e87ea1d12b523cf9c6f845e81eb041b30d5d3
|
Will Manchester City win on 2025-01-25?
|
In the upcoming EPL game, scheduled for January 25 at 12:30PM ET,
If Manchester City wins, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
If Manchester City loses, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve “No”.
|
2025-01-25T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
epl-mac-che-2025-01-25-mac
|
[
"Sports",
"Premier League",
"EPL",
"Games"
] | false
| 1
| 0
|
0x63fad73b3b27f2cf1ac54697deecaedbe85b1d0171d42f55c03910562c09865f
|
0xc4eabe9a826e36171a758283fc9c52ddd36816a45a814215ea85ad8357168092
|
Will Roddy Ricch perform during Super Bowl LIX halftime show?
|
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Roddy Ricch performs live and in person during the Super Bowl LIX halftime show currently scheduled for February 9, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If this event is cancelled or otherwise delayed beyond March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be footage of the Super Bowl LIX halftime show, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
|
2025-02-09T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-roddy-ricch-perform-during-super-bowl-lix-halftime-show
|
[
"Sports",
"Music",
"Celebrities",
"NFL",
"Culture",
"Rap",
"Super Bowl LIX",
"Super Bowl Props"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xd7d8aac0f2bd4436861113ba7b157993999fc9575e43b27749254e09fe401200
|
0x711dbbe6cd0c48df1dad387aceb5dda64b5be5dcd1051af5f248dc6b5dd97eee
|
Will Benson Boone win Best New Artist?
|
The 67th GRAMMYs Awards Show, presented by the Recording Academy, is an event honoring “outstanding achievement in the music industry” for the period of time between September 16, 2023, to August 30, 2024. It is scheduled to take place at the Crypto.com Arena in Los Angeles on February 2, 2025. The nominations were announced on November 8, 2024.
If Benson Boone wins the Grammy for Best New Artist at the 67th GRAMMYs Awards Show, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated song which comes first in alphabetical order.
The resolution source will be the television broadcast of the awards and the Grammy website (https://www.grammy.com/), however other credible reporting may be used.
|
2025-02-02T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-benson-boone-win-best-new-artist
|
[
"Awards",
"Music",
"Culture",
"Grammys"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x849cb90053ba99ef7dff47776bf4ea38ca9e358d012ee947ee2e27b67b2578e2
|
0x33ea1781ec170f03b129b2fa5beed81a58e321279e7c84d1f1402f64945fadc0
|
Sharks vs. Red Wings
|
In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for January 14 at 7:00PM ET:
If the San Jose Sharks win, the market will resolve to “Sharks”.
If the Detroit Red Wings win, the market will resolve to “Red Wings”.
If the game is not completed by January 21, 2025 (11:59 PM ET) or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve 50-50.
|
2025-01-22T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
nhl-sj-det-2025-01-14
|
[
"Sports",
"NHL",
"Games"
] | false
| null | null |
0xd761877ae27463487e002dbfb5a7913ff336810ce80f96ed6d09708572b5e4f2
|
0xaf585d3f41b75e45168c501e96c055c14b37021e58b92f94f2c32169d1f62d5b
|
Red Wings vs. Panthers
|
In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for January 16 at 7:00PM ET:
If the Detroit Red Wings win, the market will resolve to “Red Wings”.
If the Florida Panthers win, the market will resolve to “Panthers”.
If the game is not completed by January 23, 2025 (11:59 PM ET) or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve 50-50.
|
2025-01-24T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
nhl-det-fla-2025-01-16
|
[
"Sports",
"NHL",
"Games"
] | false
| null | null |
0x18813e4bdc30e7fc95434c646230373e8740b86e4d201e58ab57946812665500
|
0x50c4f5ba1ac8019947315a3cd7c667138381fea52fae9697b31a74e163ca6fc6
|
Will Peter Dutton be the next Prime Minister of Australia after the 2025 election?
|
The 2025 Australian federal election will be held on or before 17 May 2025 to elect members of the 48th Parliament of Australia.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Peter Dutton is the next Prime Minister of Australia following the election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Any interim/caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no next Prime Minister of Australia is announced by December 31, of 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Australia, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
|
2025-05-17T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-peter-dutton-be-the-next-prime-minister-of-australia-after-the-2025-election
|
[
"Politics",
"Australia",
"Global Elections",
"World Elections",
"World"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x1b23968dcc76b79ee8e3bf91f05be73a30e8af821bdcf1d464087993a12cc8fe
|
0x47e986415ec58f4a722ea0e39296379790013cbf3ce20c0d73adc53f0c1d4bb9
|
RedNote/Xiaohongshu #1 app on Friday?
|
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Xiaohongshu (小红书, RedNote) iOS app is the #1 app in the United States iPhone Apple App Store for the Top Free Apps category, on January 17, 2025, 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market is information from Apple (see: https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone/top-free-apps/36).
|
2025-01-17T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
rednotexiaohongshu-1-app-on-friday
|
[
"Business",
"TikTok",
"apple",
"Tech",
"app",
"Xiaohongshu"
] | false
| 1
| 0
|
0xa19a357d9791939ad9e5d3efddc8e991ae4da33f15cefe026cebd6e4c5ec8e3c
|
0xf173dca784b2d3c4ba86c40413f9267a20bada1b2a6c90f4c772d4062b848136
|
Trump positive favorability on February 1?
|
This market will resolve to “Yes”, if Donald Trump’s favorable rating by FiveThirtyEight is higher than his unfavorable rating on February 1, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Trump’s favorable rating must be higher than his unfavorable rating, ties will not qualify.
The favorability rating for February 1 will be considered finalized once the next data point is available. If data for February 1 remains unavailable, the nearest previous favorability will be used.
The resolution source will be FiveThirtyEight's rating poll aggregator, https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/favorability/donald-trump/, specifically the favorability rating indicated by the purple "favorable", and the orange “unfavorable” trend line for the resolution date. The box that 538 uses to calculate the difference using different precision is not relevant for this market - only the difference between favorable and unfavorable ratings that they report up to one decimal point is considered.
Changes in the methodology by which FiveThirtyEight calculates the favorability rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
This market may only resolve to "No" once the first data point after February 1, 2025 is published. If no such data point is available by February 4, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recent data point prior to February 1, 2025.
Please note the resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
|
2025-02-01T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
trump-positive-favorability-on-february-1
|
[
"Politics",
"Trump",
"polls",
"538",
"Polling",
"fivethityeight",
"Trump Presidency",
"Approval"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x8bce885cdf531db4ae93f6b4c7ab6967b92da93aaff85b72a9c5f5c4fca9cf03
|
0x6d6fae94d9bdf7429ec35ae34547f1d4fe348ec5c5a2b65c045309ac8e755f90
|
Will Democrats win the most seats in the next Greenland parliamentary election?
|
The 2025 Greenlandic parliamentary elections will be held on or before 6 April 2025 to elect members of the Inatsisartut.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Democrats (Demokraatit) controls the most seats in the Inatsisartut (Greenland's unicameral parliament) as a result of the next Greenlandic parliamentary election.
If voting in the next Greenlandic parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2025, this market will resolve to "No".
In the case of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats held, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by this party, not any coalition of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Greenlandic government (e.g. via https://qinersineq.gl/).
|
2025-04-06T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-democrats-win-the-most-seats-in-the-next-greenland-parliamentary-election
|
[
"Politics",
"Global Elections",
"World Elections",
"Greenland"
] | false
| 1
| 0
|
0x51079c417fe92719cd742784ddf68747640e1fdaa0133f875bd0239b3aa4980a
|
0x39760884c1a298f2845445d7c183d7f0b99b1b6b6a145bb92b162de9958ebcde
|
Will Elon tweet 525-549 times Jan 10-17?
|
If Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts between 525 (inclusive) and 549 (inclusive) on X between January 10, 2025, 12:00 PM ET and January 17, 2025, 12:00 PM ET this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts posts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the ‘Post Counter’ figure for posts found at https://www.xtracker.io/. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
|
2025-01-17T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-elon-tweet-525-549-times-jan-10-17-1
|
[
"Elon Musk",
"Culture",
"Elon Tweets"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xcf66601b70ab89f207f065ea96b6bd2e7a6b398d202ad66660038b07bae82f06
|
0xb0706b1e610099eefaa0cd250e74dff4e33097ff6baa8b04af646b4eba260541
|
Will Gukesh Dommaraju win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Grand Slam Weissenhaus?
|
The 2025 Freestyle Chess Grand Slam Weissenhaus is scheduled to take place Feb 7 - 14, 2025. You can read more about this event here: https://www.chess.com/events/info/2025-freestyle-chess-grand-slam-weissenhaus
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Gukesh Dommaraju wins the 2025 Freestyle Chess Grand Slam Weissenhaus. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If this event is cancelled, or not completed by February 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
If multiple players are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official information from Chess.com, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
|
2025-02-14T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-gukesh-dommaraju-win-the-2025-freestyle-chess-grand-slam-weissenhaus
|
[
"Sports",
"Chess"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x6ed4c635501097859843c41afbaa421816ae9d6def28faf966c46694fdefbcc0
|
0x5bb5bba0e105c85ab6617ed3b9fb8ae7f16f4db16f61138efdf9cccbf4303e76
|
Kraken vs. Jets
|
In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for January 16 at 8:00PM ET:
If the Seattle Kraken win, the market will resolve to “Kraken”.
If the Winnipeg Jets win, the market will resolve to “Jets”.
If the game is not completed by January 23, 2025 (11:59 PM ET) or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve 50-50.
|
2025-01-24T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
nhl-sea-wpg-2025-01-16
|
[
"Sports",
"NHL",
"Games"
] | false
| null | null |
0xb567802d5615abd2e637dd537ba584d29acb850645f9641584864b3e6c6988e3
|
0x6d7da0936372d49d6334e47892267b17e1b907d1c84ef62a85b5842ce922cfd5
|
Will The Weeknd perform during Super Bowl LIX halftime show?
|
This market will resolve to “Yes” if The Weeknd performs live and in person during the Super Bowl LIX halftime show currently scheduled for February 9, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If this event is cancelled or otherwise delayed beyond March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be footage of the Super Bowl LIX halftime show, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
|
2025-02-09T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-the-weeknd-perform-during-super-bowl-lix-halftime-show
|
[
"Sports",
"Music",
"Celebrities",
"NFL",
"Culture",
"Rap",
"Super Bowl LIX",
"Super Bowl Props"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x4b968b116a8932ffde3ec66f1b75cbc22fa181dd8d7bb397ef392a5e1d7ca90b
|
0xb9e9a3b0e06c8eed705eda8a259681d1d471f8e72f770f55f4f0db510c0781fa
|
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2025 President’s Trophy?
|
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Colorado Avalanche win the 2025 NHL President’s Trophy. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve to “No” if it becomes impossible for this team to win the 2025 President’s Trophy based off the rules of the NHL.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the NHL.
|
2025-04-17T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-the-colorado-avalanche-win-the-2025-presidents-trophy
|
[
"Sports",
"NHL",
"Hockey"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x04df2852cb03f63541987847f0f2e267aaf10f141f2b47e85424a7e515e73604
|
0x37becdc2af1541e7f043756594c3ae7c6f96b7d3ff855c3a512dccace39f860e
|
Will Eric Dixon win the Wooden Award?
|
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Eric Dixon is awarded the 2025 Wooden Award. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If Eric Dixon is not announced as a finalist for the 2025 Wooden Award, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Woodenaward.com.
|
2025-04-10T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-eric-dixon-win-the-wooden-award
|
[
"Sports",
"CBB"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x18813e4bdc30e7fc95434c646230373e8740b86e4d201e58ab57946812665503
|
0x74f65609db661f4e166df3cb604c5557a60cf55448a7ce1e7884afc9d54f912a
|
Will Tanya Plibersek be the next Prime Minister of Australia after the 2025 election?
|
The 2025 Australian federal election will be held on or before 17 May 2025 to elect members of the 48th Parliament of Australia.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tanya Plibersek is the next Prime Minister of Australia following the election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Any interim/caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no next Prime Minister of Australia is announced by December 31, of 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Australia, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
|
2025-05-17T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-tanya-plibersek-be-the-next-prime-minister-of-australia-after-the-2025-election
|
[
"Politics",
"Australia",
"Global Elections",
"World Elections",
"World"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x4b968b116a8932ffde3ec66f1b75cbc22fa181dd8d7bb397ef392a5e1d7ca914
|
0x46b38386a69b7c17cd9d1c6bf319b3bd37ea0da2e56bce22a2df111988ffcd05
|
Will the New York Islanders win the 2025 President’s Trophy?
|
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the New York Islanders win the 2025 NHL President’s Trophy. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve to “No” if it becomes impossible for this team to win the 2025 President’s Trophy based off the rules of the NHL.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the NHL.
|
2025-04-17T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-the-new-york-islanders-win-the-2025-presidents-trophy
|
[
"Sports",
"NHL",
"Hockey"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xeab2b66991b7575b74b6757d6f6263edf7c49e6e57b322d863170d4e180f7742
|
0x8c9b4745c83f27ccb38b58ba2f09c87f50871bbf55129be38ac9ed63de82216a
|
Panthers vs. Devils
|
In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for January 14 at 7:30PM ET:
If the Florida Panthers win, the market will resolve to “Panthers”.
If the New Jersey Devils win, the market will resolve to “Devils”.
If the game is not completed by January 21, 2025 (11:59 PM ET) or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve 50-50.
|
2025-01-22T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
nhl-fla-nj-2025-01-14
|
[
"Sports",
"NHL",
"Games"
] | false
| null | null |
0x072d0180d14107f309222180d6f326d34b59b271767542c0e702745ec51a12fd
|
0xd3046bd1ba14c2ab132e598fde42353beec6819d8e3c433a6dcb64a022613d64
|
Will Young Thug perform during Super Bowl LIX halftime show?
|
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Young Thug performs live and in person during the Super Bowl LIX halftime show currently scheduled for February 9, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If this event is cancelled or otherwise delayed beyond March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be footage of the Super Bowl LIX halftime show, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
|
2025-02-09T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-young-thug-perform-during-super-bowl-lix-halftime-show
|
[
"Sports",
"Music",
"Celebrities",
"NFL",
"Culture",
"Rap",
"Super Bowl LIX",
"Super Bowl Props"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xf651b089e293054bb2a75d9d68dca87d305e2a9cce5916b7c78506d59aa84ebf
|
0x601ba862cc616c8ba1c9921a46b0ade8979c6c73aca66dfb7dc81c28801ff257
|
Flyers vs. Blue Jackets
|
In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for January 14 at 7:00PM ET:
If the Philadelphia Flyers win, the market will resolve to “Flyers”.
If the Columbus Blue Jackets win, the market will resolve to “Blue Jackets”.
If the game is not completed by January 21, 2025 (11:59 PM ET) or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve 50-50.
|
2025-01-22T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
nhl-phi-cbj-2025-01-14
|
[
"Sports",
"NHL",
"Games"
] | false
| null | null |
0x4b968b116a8932ffde3ec66f1b75cbc22fa181dd8d7bb397ef392a5e1d7ca915
|
0x738e18d5ca10fdf661de74e2e457536b8e7f410724cdc6c268a46851dede0bd7
|
Will the Nashville Predators win the 2025 President’s Trophy?
|
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Nashville Predators win the 2025 NHL President’s Trophy. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve to “No” if it becomes impossible for this team to win the 2025 President’s Trophy based off the rules of the NHL.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the NHL.
|
2025-04-17T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-the-nashville-predators-win-the-2025-presidents-trophy
|
[
"Sports",
"NHL",
"Hockey"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xec040cca27599a58902dda0596ba549df35958aff3fb27fc8c3c4b021e7c6ef8
|
0x0d2dd52335d259ddf4ee748dc05f082ed7dadae7ff30bd6f53186ab378c3f9fd
|
Lightning vs. Bruins
|
In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for January 14 at 7:00PM ET:
If the Tampa Bay Lightning win, the market will resolve to “Lightning”.
If the Boston Bruins win, the market will resolve to “Bruins”.
If the game is not completed by January 21, 2025 (11:59 PM ET) or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve 50-50.
|
2025-01-22T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
nhl-tb-bos-2025-01-14
|
[
"Sports",
"NHL",
"Games"
] | false
| null | null |
0xdf23e97a09e272f03244eb4521294c956282f5bac280731f89fc39a0c5079511
|
0x75a0b543663706d2fbb71f2300b03af60db6ec31861d1f3693cf0f8b11e1fbf4
|
Will Snoop Dogg perform during Super Bowl LIX halftime show?
|
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Snoop Dogg performs live and in person during the Super Bowl LIX halftime show currently scheduled for February 9, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If this event is cancelled or otherwise delayed beyond March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be footage of the Super Bowl LIX halftime show, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
|
2025-02-09T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-snoop-dogg-perform-during-super-bowl-lix-halftime-show
|
[
"Sports",
"Music",
"Celebrities",
"NFL",
"Culture",
"Rap",
"Super Bowl LIX",
"Super Bowl Props"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x059f242b44a49459ff1a1795efdc65bd89d6ba31a75619149f615026069d3205
|
0xd25ece18af1252da85f33be10218689ccc525f37da6d812e5581b4b7f8a91fe5
|
Will Leviatán win the VCT 2025 Americas Kickoff?
|
VCT 2025: Americas Kickoff is scheduled to take place January 16 - February 8, 2025. Find more information about the tournament here: liquipedia.net/valorant/VCT/2025/Americas_League/Kickoff.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Leviatán wins this tournament. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If this team is eliminated from the competition based on the official rules of the tournament, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the winner of VCT 2025: Americas Kickoff is not determined by February 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information provided directly from the VCT (e.g., valorantesports.com/en-US) and official footage of the tournament. However, other credible reporting may also be used.
|
2025-02-08T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-leviatn-win-the-vct-2025-americas-kickoff
|
[
"Sports",
"Esports",
"2025 Predictions",
"Valorant",
"VCT"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x059f242b44a49459ff1a1795efdc65bd89d6ba31a75619149f615026069d3200
|
0x35e18cc4c00b1bd45f0c2ada1fea84b96df64ef0003f3d1d5faf44207c66fe27
|
Will 100 Thieves win the VCT 2025 Americas Kickoff?
|
VCT 2025: Americas Kickoff is scheduled to take place January 16 - February 8, 2025. Find more information about the tournament here: liquipedia.net/valorant/VCT/2025/Americas_League/Kickoff.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if 100 Thieves wins this tournament. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If this team is eliminated from the competition based on the official rules of the tournament, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the winner of VCT 2025: Americas Kickoff is not determined by February 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information provided directly from the VCT (e.g., valorantesports.com/en-US) and official footage of the tournament. However, other credible reporting may also be used.
|
2025-02-08T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-100-thieves-win-the-vct-2025-americas-kickoff
|
[
"Sports",
"Esports",
"2025 Predictions",
"Valorant",
"VCT"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x02a4ab508542243243b16815f5f21cb715341a786eb05e3b579101bfce75ebdc
|
0xd691e7874cad187c0254caad23d532a425f8bf8dbda2655892677042ce063d24
|
Trump cryptocurrency executive order on Day 1?
|
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump issues any executive order on January 20, 2025, ET, that aims to regulate, restrict, promote, or otherwise directly address the use, trading, or legal status of cryptocurrencies or blockchain technology including crypto accounting requirements for banks and 'de-banking'. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
This market's resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration.
|
2025-01-20T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
trump-cryptocurrency-executive-order-on-day-1
|
[
"Politics",
"Crypto",
"Bitcoin",
"Trump Presidency",
"Inauguration",
"Trump Day 1"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xc0899a57ce9bb8a5fc20ae204e6f2df9bc15584427f7a13503dce3bf706bad3b
|
0x42c5ac9503320d21f72b9c4398ebb1550ad76d5a9c3f7eed13084ba783318303
|
Blackhawks vs. Predators
|
In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for January 16 at 8:00PM ET:
If the Chicago Blackhawks win, the market will resolve to “Blackhawks”.
If the Nashville Predators win, the market will resolve to “Predators”.
If the game is not completed by January 23, 2025 (11:59 PM ET) or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve 50-50.
|
2025-01-24T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
nhl-chi-nsh-2025-01-16
|
[
"Sports",
"NHL",
"Games"
] | false
| null | null |
0x8b450c339cf65b504e5475c9b86b28030895b3ee0b6e896f78084c8a10ad8313
|
0x5af03ff402451d6ea63feb74029692610c1c75ddb6fb8b7aedceeaf8aa79a8ce
|
Celtics vs. Raptors
|
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for January 15 at 7:30PM ET:
If the Boston Celtics win, the market will resolve to “Celtics”.
If the Toronto Raptors win, the market will resolve to “Raptors”.
If the game is not completed by January 22, 2025 (11:59 PM ET) or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve 50-50.
|
2025-01-23T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
nba-bos-tor-2025-01-15
|
[
"Sports",
"NBA",
"Games"
] | false
| null | null |
0x2a5c831c43233477a62982693250ae86f16e672ac0b95f1f1a5cb6827cf21e3d
|
0x2946f7c6712233a7a2617550c63de8a0417ac5e3dcdceb9e1ce4b21aa83a26d0
|
Cavaliers vs. Timberwolves
|
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for January 18 at 9:00PM ET:
If the Cleveland Cavaliers win, the market will resolve to “Cavaliers”.
If the Minnesota Timberwolves win, the market will resolve to “Timberwolves”.
If the game is not completed by January 25, 2025 (11:59 PM ET) or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve 50-50.
|
2025-01-26T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
nba-cle-min-2025-01-18
|
[
"Sports",
"NBA",
"Games"
] | false
| null | null |
0x9d921b0daa316594875511ec472b9ae92a1ca9afdc0b1a8e61e83118df6d5355
|
0x0fc9202548df914b8fe8f73493b9cfbd3ee852b7c688ca6572b52afa73f8eb25
|
Blues vs. Utah
|
In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for January 18 at 9:00PM ET:
If the St. Louis Blues win, the market will resolve to “Blues”.
If the Utah win, the market will resolve to “Utah”.
If the game is not completed by January 25, 2025 (11:59 PM ET) or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve 50-50.
|
2025-01-26T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
nhl-stl-utah-2025-01-18
|
[
"Sports",
"NHL",
"Games"
] | false
| null | null |
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