question_id
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118
| description
stringlengths 159
1.79k
| end_date_iso
stringdate 2024-12-31 00:00:00
2026-02-28 00:00:00
⌀ | active
bool 2
classes | closed
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classes | market_slug
stringlengths 12
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listlengths 1
17
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classes | yes_price
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⌀ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0x6f83878b4b1f49629d1464c2a4d012e47e30559c2c2cb425fd9d67b11435b401
|
0x467cb8d9bc0faf5f410e22dcabe2fbcfa6621c13eea4e28059ea56d17a6acb51
|
Will the Raiders hire Ben Johnson as their next head coach?
|
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ben Johnson is announced as the next head coach of the Las Vegas Raiders for the 2025-26 NFL season by March 12, 2025, 4:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the Raiders announce they have hired another head coach for the 2025-26 NFL Season, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market is official information from the Las Vegas Raiders, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
|
2025-03-12T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-the-raiders-hire-ben-johnson-as-their-next-head-coach
|
[
"Sports",
"raiders",
"Canada",
"Oakland",
"Las Vegas"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x71d6f2a033ea13e389039de6b5bcbea64f5137117d8ef5b72b233481482c220b
|
0x95492e8e01efbbe273f479b20449f654522134b96210c713b48b806cf489d3ee
|
Kings vs. Bulls
|
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for January 12 at 3:30PM ET:
If the Sacramento Kings win, the market will resolve to “Kings”.
If the Chicago Bulls win, the market will resolve to “Bulls”.
If the game is not completed by January 19, 2025 (11:59 PM ET) or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve 50-50.
|
2025-01-19T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
nba-sac-chi-2025-01-12
|
[
"Sports",
"NBA",
"Games"
] | false
| null | null |
0x67a8969081aff69ad0fb5fdcba1694bf43b461df38d15bb3ea8a547b4f5406f5
|
0x80e155e2c856156ebc7510cb9ad58762ba94f1704105d970c25ca94791f082e3
|
Supercopa Final: Real Madrid vs. Barcelona
|
This market refers to the Supercopa de España final between Real Madrid and Barcelona scheduled for January 12, 2025, at 2:00 PM ET.
If Real Madrid wins the match, this market will resolve to “Real Madrid.”
If Barcelona wins the match, this market will resolve to “Barcelona.”
If the match is canceled or delayed beyond January 19, 2025, this market will resolve to 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the entirety of the match, including any extra time and penalties.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Royal Spanish Football Federation (RFEF).
|
2025-01-12T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
supercopa-final-real-madrid-vs-barcelona
|
[
"Sports",
"real madrid",
"barcelona",
"Soccer"
] | false
| null | null |
0xf2bcd902f0d0a09c1d47a97ea2465723ff743bbd0e65a296fbf111504fd08b07
|
0xf0f0aaf89c88d267cec8f1677daecf1cd213fbb74e4b71f812465c36b11fd6c5
|
Will Kostas Tasoulas be next Greek President?
|
An indirect presidential election is due to be held in Greece by February 2025 for the President of the Hellenic Republic.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kostas Tasoulas is elected by the Hellenic Parliament as the next President of Greece by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as announced by he Hellenic Parliament.
|
2025-01-31T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-person-b-be-next-greek-president
|
[
"Politics",
"Global Elections",
"World Elections"
] | false
| 1
| 0
|
0xfe7cf92ea553728c86f04d2fa7a0167394693368831ce0a08bfd8ef3aecf7d02
|
0xbefa3e713d9478dc4c307a472145d78ae6b669a491ef7dfe24e88c5b59515705
|
Will the match between Arsenal and Newcastle end in a draw?
|
This market refers to the Carabao Cup Semifinal Leg 1 match between Arsenal and Newcastle scheduled for January 7, 2025, 3:00 PM ET.
If the match ends in a draw, this market will resolve to “Yes.” Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If the game is canceled or delayed beyond January 14, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No.”
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Carabao Cup.
|
2025-01-07T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-the-match-between-arsenal-and-newcastle-end-in-a-draw
|
[
"Sports",
"arsenal",
"Games",
"newcastle"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xae2ccc2973bbb71cb12ccb0aa177bccb6c4c8771bec51d8158fb1dcbc3317508
|
0x234d4545d3daf1aea12d6a998da01e9830adaf38bfcd669ec8808f73858bfe08
|
Will De’Aaron Fox get traded to another team?
|
This market will resolve to “Yes” if De’Aaron Fox of the Sacramento Kings is traded to a team other than any named in this market before the trade deadline for the 2024-2025 NBA season, currently scheduled for February 6, 2025 3:00 PM ET, goes into effect. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market’s resolution source will be official announcements from the NBA and the Sacramento Kings, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
|
2025-02-12T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-deaaron-fox-get-traded-to-another-team
|
[
"NBA",
"trades"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x2b5120a6879ca473224da7bee3f4b24e1fe45680e380e695cd61684416f79e83
|
0x310685842c2c343d027b63a8d477ab85908fef29d09c2931179dd3c4ba33e78c
|
Holland vs. de Ridder
|
This is a market on whether Kevin Holland or Reinier de Ridder will win their bout at UFC 311 scheduled for January 18, 2025, at Intuit Dome in Inglewood, CA.
If Kevin Holland is declared the winner of this bout, this market will resolve to “Holland.”
If Reinier de Ridder is declared the winner of this bout, this market will resolve to “de Ridder.”
If this fight is declared a draw, or if for any reason the match is not scored, postponed after February 1, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, or canceled, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source will be ESPN (https://www.espn.com/mma/fightcenter/_/id/600051442/league/ufc), however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
|
2025-01-18T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
holland-vs-de-ridder
|
[
"Sports",
"UFC",
"fights"
] | false
| null | null |
0x71a3f8ba346f3a416413868f59b34c481e8ea474ce0cedb089c91e71999f8f00
|
0x7c0dd0e4c01ef94589a10273935674de134ca521560688e1eda34d6d562e4695
|
Will Ipswich win on 2025-01-19?
|
In the upcoming EPL game, scheduled for January 19 at 11:30AM ET,
If Ipswich wins, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
If Ipswich loses, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the game is canceled or delayed beyond 2025-02-19 or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve to “No”.
|
2025-01-19T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
epl-ips-mac-2025-01-19-ips
|
[
"Sports",
"Premier League",
"EPL",
"Games"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xcc0752b7fafadb57c6eadcfa9200f023b3486031aad74023f98073e1950c4802
|
0x10e29fed7b95d1f0eb0f965d4b3c8fcc304e30d25702f489021599eca44f4b33
|
Will Fulham win on 2025-01-14?
|
In the upcoming EPL game, scheduled for January 14 at 2:30PM ET,
If Fulham wins, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
If Fulham loses, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the game is canceled or delayed beyond 2025-02-14 or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve to “No”.
|
2025-01-14T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
epl-wes-ful-2025-01-14-ful
|
[
"Sports",
"Premier League",
"EPL",
"Games"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x56426b56a1f1d7f3e9c27ba967ca2b651faf7ece4296dfe38485ea2c1625176a
|
0x88dcca900dcc92e6f3bfb6fdefd366e5e6cc4ac715309e86884ebe2ad91d26eb
|
Will Supreme Court delay the Tiktok ban?
|
The U.S. Supreme Court is hearing oral arguments on Thursday, as TikTok seeks to challenge, a law that would force the app to shut down in the United States by January 19 unless it severs ties with its Chinese parent company ByteDance (See: https://time.com/7205609/supreme-court-tiktok-arguments-ban/)
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Court of the United States takes any action, such as issuing a ruling, order, or stay, that prevents or delays the enforcement of the federal law mandating TikTok’s sale or ban by January 19, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Any official Supreme Court action that temporarily halts or permanently blocks the implementation of the law’s January 19 deadline will qualify.
If the law is enforced on or before January 19, 2025, without a qualifying action by the Supreme Court, this market will resolve to "No."
If the Supreme Court does not take any action on the matter by January 19, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Supreme Court of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
|
2025-01-19T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-supreme-court-delay-the-tiktok-ban
|
[
"Politics",
"Business",
"China",
"TikTok",
"Tech",
"SCOTUS"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x3bcb5b8b90f39e461d4602101877e4e6ac7a8b261cb2d54a01a07b4b5dab4306
|
0xe75bb449135d969489be48be1b42d968184b94ecf407a87f1e59c33f33dece6b
|
Will Biden and Trump shake hands at inauguration?
|
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump and Joe Biden shake hands at any point on January 20 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the handshake to qualify toward a "Yes" resolution, there must be video or photographic evidence.
The resolution source for this market will be photographic or digital evidence verified by a consensus of credible reporting.
|
2025-01-20T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-biden-and-trump-shake-hands-at-the-inauguration
|
[
"Politics",
"Biden",
"Inauguration"
] | false
| 1
| 0
|
0x784891d4c2bcaa1194f925757ed04099c634f6cfd0d17d5a6f787240cf696d78
|
0xcd3b4709f5994849cceb7670cc7739124c76bfe005a7145892c410bb49014e1c
|
Will Cameron Norrie reach the quarterfinals of the Australian Open?
|
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Cameron Norrie reaches the quarterfinals of the 2025 Australian Open Men’s Singles tournament. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this player to reach the quarterfinals of the Australian Open Men’s Singles Tournament (e.g., they are eliminated in a prior round), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Australian Open (https://www.ausopen.com), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
|
2025-01-20T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-cameron-norrie-reach-the-quarterfinals-of-the-australian-open
|
[
"Sports",
"Tennis",
"australian open"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x6f9866ff6597bc6d98fc418d4850b3f50daa137432f8e6eef9572f01986b1a02
|
0xeaf91cc5030aa77662c0d349aa9178c10c7255bf217f3bf972844c85dd251efb
|
Will Tottenham win on 2025-01-15?
|
In the upcoming EPL game, scheduled for January 15 at 3:00PM ET,
If Tottenham wins, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
If Tottenham loses, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the game is canceled or delayed beyond 2025-02-15 or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve to “No”.
|
2025-01-15T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
epl-ars-tot-2025-01-15-tot
|
[
"Sports",
"Premier League",
"EPL",
"Games"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xd874e2dfcc9606b94402c09d760c9a4326ca0a5f4c70d930dfc7a00a37fd2848
|
0x3b383cf768ac3185c0bfa2e165137cf31849ac1668997f039ca5d92289336bbd
|
Will Frances Tiafoe reach the quarterfinals of the Australian Open?
|
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Frances Tiafoe reaches the quarterfinals of the 2025 Australian Open Men’s Singles tournament. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this player to reach the quarterfinals of the Australian Open Men’s Singles Tournament (e.g., they are eliminated in a prior round), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Australian Open (https://www.ausopen.com), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
|
2025-01-20T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-frances-tiafoe-reach-the-quarterfinals-of-the-australian-open
|
[
"Sports",
"Tennis",
"australian open"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x27e1a9449e9944197a8518e18601a895c48b9b59b5d88be48a333a88e616304e
|
0x4a10c8418ef2ed2db25cb30b222895532b43868a95400b2425845f81c4f0b94c
|
Will Tommy Paul reach the quarterfinals of the Australian Open?
|
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Tommy Paul reaches the quarterfinals of the 2025 Australian Open Men’s Singles tournament. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this player to reach the quarterfinals of the Australian Open Men’s Singles Tournament (e.g., they are eliminated in a prior round), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Australian Open (https://www.ausopen.com), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
|
2025-01-20T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-tommy-paul-reach-the-quarterfinals-of-the-australian-open
|
[
"Sports",
"Tennis",
"australian open"
] | false
| 1
| 0
|
0xb6b513a06d47fda13d5306d003cac94619c9b995fc270c5af8cf8f5248a2e101
|
0x9c853257e0ad1bde80565b649a6a3c677df97f3b5142c50b3b4446f3290333cb
|
Will there be 2-4 inches of snow in NYC in Jan?
|
If the total snowfall in Central Park, New York City in January, 2025 is between 2 (inclusive) and 4 (exclusive) inches according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), then this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for January 2025 under "New Snow (IN)" when the "Daily data for a month" for "Central Park NY" is selected at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized all the days of January.
|
2025-01-31T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-there-be-2-4-inches-of-snow-in-nyc-in-jan
|
[
"Science",
"Weather",
"Culture",
"winter"
] | false
| 1
| 0
|
0xaa5ed7d29348ae95c2a6766ae0fd9278f8dfb9f0e4bfb3391e2b648e2bd05602
|
0x65571bd37891863c2b56fbf01fb22b0afa7446c2406faa7405cb4146ad59b0ce
|
Will Elon tweet 575-599 times Jan 3-Jan 10?
|
If Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts between 575 (inclusive) and 599 (inclusive) times on X between January 3, 2025, 12:00 PM ET and January 10, 2025, 12:00 PM ET this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts posts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the ‘Post Counter’ figure for posts found at https://www.xtracker.io/. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
|
2025-01-10T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-elon-tweet-575-599-times-jan-3-jan-10
|
[
"Twitter",
"Elon Musk",
"Culture",
"Tweet Markets",
"Elon Tweets"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x9827c47bf5fef08e7b9d6b0e5c2cffa623a822893ba7516af6c58758fd3bb30a
|
0x552ae2dd1df63596247a56eb2fcaac0b258fbfc3eec0441e8bbfe648bbb51544
|
Will Penn State and Notre Dame combine for 46 or more points?
|
This market refers to the CFP Semifinal Orange Bowl matchup between Penn State and Notre Dame scheduled for January 9, 2025, at 7:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve to “Over” if the combined score of both teams is 46 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Under.”
If the game is postponed beyond January 16, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, or canceled, this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the NCAA, however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
|
2025-01-09T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-penn-state-and-notre-dame-combine-for-46-or-more-points
|
[
"Sports",
"CFB",
"Games",
"Notre Dame",
"Penn State",
"CFP"
] | false
| null | null |
0x2fbed53ca8c4bc1ff408937e287c9b1c5526e23b446bc7e03ddaf63f65e41e00
|
0xc59e9fb081b5c3397ce2d66108d497c787f731768b7f32bbe86b5ff2fdb453ed
|
Will Trump's inaugural address be less than 1,200 words?
|
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump's inaugural address is less than 1,200 words in length. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
If Donald Trump does not give an inauguration speech by January 21, 6:00 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes".
This market will resolve based on the official transcript of the speech released by the White House.
|
2025-01-20T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-trumps-inaugural-address-be-less-than-1200-words
|
[
"Politics",
"Trump",
"speech",
"Inauguration"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xf3b3f4601343c6efa0386bb13edb9756cd846410b2dac589e16a046c9dc7e712
|
0xd31d4653f68579ee0e4589b5467a3e6cac01ffb73fcd1aa840cbd8b7720a89c1
|
Pacers vs. Cavaliers
|
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for January 12 at 6:00PM ET:
If the Indiana Pacers win, the market will resolve to “Pacers”.
If the Cleveland Cavaliers win, the market will resolve to “Cavaliers”.
If the game is not completed by January 19, 2025 (11:59 PM ET) or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve 50-50.
|
2025-01-19T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
nba-ind-cle-2025-01-12
|
[
"Sports",
"NBA",
"Games"
] | false
| null | null |
0x376f5c75837f87a877ce83d9f77667dfa9c7a287348665af3a4142147c1d220e
|
0x325819bcc94067b45027e1758e2712077847ddc271bd28a4390928230e705c9b
|
Will Palisades wildfire spread to Beverly Hills by Sunday?
|
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Palisades fire in California spreads to Beverly Hills by January 12, 2025, 11:59 PM PT (Pacific Time). Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.”
The fire will be considered to have spread to Beverly Hills if it spreads across Beverly Hills' official boundary (see: https://maps.app.goo.gl/5B4nWVhonyZM8yBW9)
The Primary resolution source is official updates from the fire map at https://www.fire.ca.gov/. However, a consensus of credible reporting or video/photo evidence released before the resolution date confirming the fire has spread to Beverly Hills may also be used.
|
2025-01-12T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-palisades-fire-spread-to-beverly-hills-by-sunday
|
[
"Science",
"Weather",
"California",
"wildfirezz",
"Wildfire"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xd82feb3f95737b923b9ca70dba854c5e943fb127c9b141565d63ea9d328e2864
|
0xd88461c24dde81a78484ae3cd9cfad03f30035443b5050ea9bd5bee478c8971a
|
Timberwolves vs. Wizards
|
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for January 13 at 7:00PM ET:
If the Minnesota Timberwolves win, the market will resolve to “Timberwolves”.
If the Washington Wizards win, the market will resolve to “Wizards”.
If the game is not completed by January 20, 2025 (11:59 PM ET) or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve 50-50.
|
2025-01-21T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
nba-min-was-2025-01-13
|
[
"Sports",
"NBA",
"Games"
] | false
| null | null |
0xcabacebd241834fc021fb340f27fa26efabe6e55529bf2fe14302788f72f7800
|
0xb6c1af40ff988d54721a0c0c26a53f9b82528276ce9cd17f6ffe2366ff34f16e
|
Will Aryna Sabalenka win the Australian Open?
|
The market will resolve to “Yes” if Aryna Sabalenka wins the 2025 Australian Open Women’s Singles tournament. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this player to win the Australian Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the Australian Open, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Australian Open (https://www.ausopen.com), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
|
2025-01-25T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-aryna-sabalenka-win-the-australian-open
|
[
"Sports",
"Tennis"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xb79a7b5b98fdb796d872a88b6dfd51e907da12770acd54832aeff371f47b5151
|
0x64a52387ff320e58165b8b8092fbe4ba418a19549d902fd7a938a50f2fbdfae3
|
Will Trump impose tariffs on the European Union in his first week?
|
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump or his administration (including the Department of Commerce) impose any new or increased tariffs on the European Union by January 27, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any tariff which is officially enacted within the market's time frame will qualify, regardless of when the tariff goes into effect.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.
|
2025-01-27T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-trump-impose-tariffs-on-the-european-union-in-his-first-week
|
[
"Politics",
"Trump",
"AI",
"Economy",
"Trump Presidency",
"Trump Week 1",
"DeepSeek"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xab05a2996cc8a33024e809f195a01d4858d7ea0777a47afb21f25c71f2350b90
|
0xc3fee1054d7b1028ed0fbb8f4ad7bfab3d28ff944fdd2a5865f5b2d794ecca2f
|
Will Trump say "Biden" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference?
|
President-elect Donald J. Trump is expected to hold his second news conference since winning the election in November on Tuesday morning at his Florida residence and club, Mar-a-Lago (see: https://www.nytimes.com/live/2025/01/07/us/trump-news) .
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "Biden" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.
Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.
Compound words will count as long as "Biden" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the person Joe Biden.
If the press conference is permanently canceled or delayed beyond January 8, 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be the video of the speech.
|
2025-01-07T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-trump-say-biden-during-his-mar-a-lago-press-conference
|
[
"Politics",
"Trump",
"Mentions"
] | false
| 1
| 0
|
0x69b8265d660135d1265291f02d5f5874ad896c6f3aaaf38430ec9c098ccff202
|
0x8b797cefd2d3ce944fba8e268701fca952e469da810f29ce9196f6599e9879bb
|
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-01-18?
|
In the upcoming EPL game, scheduled for January 18 at 12:30PM ET,
If Aston Villa wins, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
If Aston Villa loses, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the game is canceled or delayed beyond 2025-02-18 or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve to “No”.
|
2025-01-18T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
epl-ars-ast-2025-01-18-ast
|
[
"Sports",
"Premier League",
"EPL",
"Games"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xd146aaab3823afd0047ac7e0b3fc675f17207d42292755af769a51757fff1ea4
|
0x907768d66ca516f0d013b5c364058bcbd5fe9ccb983d8756efdb26a5ee35c614
|
100+ Bird Flu cases in U.S. before April?
|
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there are 100 or more confirmed cases of H5 Bird Flu in humans in the territory of the United States of America during the 2024 outbreak according to the CDC case counter by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be the CDC H5 Bird Flu counter (see: https://www.cdc.gov/bird-flu/situation-summary/index.html) at the resolution time. If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.
Note: Only cases reported by the CDC H5 Bird Flu counter will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. State agencies or other sources.
|
2025-03-31T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
100-bird-flu-cases-in-us-before-april
|
[
"Pandemics",
"Culture",
"Bird Flu",
"disseases",
"cdc",
"First 100 days"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xbd24038f927cd1bcecdf157d329b4b65dee1cfb3736634df7c1cf301e2250405
|
0xb205403ef95287cab032ce425145e4609966f0d385c57c962eaab43a53cb3a90
|
Will Taylor Fritz win the Australian Open?
|
The market will resolve to “Yes” if Taylor Fritz wins the 2025 Australian Open Men’s Singles tournament. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this player to win the Australian Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the Australian Open, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Australian Open (https://www.ausopen.com), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
|
2025-01-26T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-taylor-fritz-win-the-australian-open
|
[
"Sports",
"Tennis",
"australian open"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xae2ccc2973bbb71cb12ccb0aa177bccb6c4c8771bec51d8158fb1dcbc3317501
|
0x0a6c4fd5dc43939ac2f0d8c8198502d92c1192ae42555079abc129e6fc26d93f
|
Will De'Aaron Fox be traded to the Orlando Magic?
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if De’Aaron Fox of the Sacramento Kings is traded to the Orlando Magic before the NBA Trade Deadline for the 2024-25 NBA Season, currently scheduled for February 6, 2025, 3:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The resolution source will be official announcements from the NBA and the Sacramento Kings, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
|
2025-02-06T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-deaaron-fox-get-traded-to-the-orlando-magic
|
[
"NBA",
"trades"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x35cd00d9e31f44c0e583a062b1f8dc1dcaeacad7f7f596025274ccf06b016b02
|
0x34ebc391c0d0091a12b287e9832a4e1e0bdf0e9339971eb61635fc11317e45fb
|
Will Notre Dame play Ohio State in the CFP Championship?
|
This market will resolve to “Yes” if both Notre Dame AND Ohio State advance to the 2025 CFP National Championship Game.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source will be the official broadcasts of the CFP games.
|
2025-01-10T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-notre-dame-play-ohio-state-in-the-cfp-championship-25
|
[
"Sports",
"texas",
"ohio state",
"CFB",
"Notre Dame",
"Penn State"
] | false
| 1
| 0
|
0xf2bcd902f0d0a09c1d47a97ea2465723ff743bbd0e65a296fbf111504fd08b05
|
0xd9a5164dc45cc0c4081f476daab13c85305b535bce1114015dc7ee6e695fe673
|
Will Panagiotis Pikrammenos be next Greek President?
|
An indirect presidential election is due to be held in Greece by February 2025 for the President of the Hellenic Republic.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Panagiotis Pikrammenos is elected by the Hellenic Parliament as the next President of Greece by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as announced by he Hellenic Parliament.
|
2025-01-31T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-panagiotis-pikrammenos-be-next-greek-president
|
[
"Politics",
"Global Elections",
"World Elections"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xd59f3b7cac52acabf63c1ef6d41b5b06303ac8a1c706cf0354e32292e78911b4
|
0x527c13abedefaf25710a3bdc3284a51e34abccedbd9c17f2ea5fcac9acda2c00
|
Carabao Cup Semifinal: Tottenham vs. Liverpool (To Advance)
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This market refers to the Carabao Cup Semifinal between Tottenham and Liverpool, consisting of two legs. The first leg is scheduled for January 8, 2025, 3:00 PM ET, and the second leg is scheduled for February 6, 2025, 3:00 PM ET.
If Tottenham Hotspur advance to the Carabao Cup Final, this market will resolve to “Tottenham.”
If Liverpool advance to the Carabao Cup FInal, this market will resolve to “Liverpool.”
If both legs of the semifinal are canceled or postponed beyond February 13, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Carabao Cup.
|
2025-01-08T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
carabao-cup-semifinal-tottenham-vs-liverpool-to-advance
|
[
"Sports",
"Soccer",
"Games",
"Liverpool",
"Tottenham",
"Carabao Cup"
] | false
| null | null |
0x08672bc90595b7271663d0f6a3502c35b33a409cf7d5cc45074074cbdc5b68f4
|
0x29baca00aa36292fa99fa9d3d398282409ec8a27e9be38af11c690390029353d
|
Will Trump say "Biden" during his inauguration speech?
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Donald Trump's inaugural address is scheduled to take place on January 20, 2025.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "Biden" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.
Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.
Compound words will count as long as "Biden" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the person Joe Biden or a member of his family.
If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or delayed beyond February 3, 2025 ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be the video of the speech.
|
2025-02-03T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-trump-say-biden-during-his-inauguration-speech
|
[
"Trump",
"Mentions",
"Trump Presidency",
"Inauguration"
] | false
| 1
| 0
|
0x69b8265d660135d1265291f02d5f5874ad896c6f3aaaf38430ec9c098ccff201
|
0x1a3ae696dbea99a1b60e24b821b58e526fe34748920f0fece613280d02db5788
|
Will Arsenal vs. Aston Villa end in a draw?
|
In the upcoming EPL game, scheduled for January 18 at 12:30PM ET,
If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to “Yes”. If not, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the game is canceled or delayed beyond 2025-02-18 or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve to “Yes”.
|
2025-01-18T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
epl-ars-ast-2025-01-18-draw
|
[
"Sports",
"Premier League",
"EPL",
"Games"
] | false
| 1
| 0
|
0x2fa626a96b714bb985b4d13b35176a5c402d4660461b00503dc0de272cf7ac71
|
0x131d2e4643605b5fa60ee664f3b9b2b21d9a9a8bdd85f63409a5f38f12c02919
|
Will Casper Ruud reach the quarterfinals of the Australian Open?
|
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Casper Ruud reaches the quarterfinals of the 2025 Australian Open Men’s Singles tournament. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this player to reach the quarterfinals of the Australian Open Men’s Singles Tournament (e.g., they are eliminated in a prior round), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Australian Open (https://www.ausopen.com), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
|
2025-01-20T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-casper-ruud-reach-the-quarterfinals-of-the-australian-open
|
[
"Sports",
"Tennis",
"australian open"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xaa5ed7d29348ae95c2a6766ae0fd9278f8dfb9f0e4bfb3391e2b648e2bd05604
|
0x4f10ba569f9b3589a1bca4b719d73b28ce5f05555decf7f0845b6450a538d386
|
Will Elon tweet 625-649 times Jan 3-Jan 10?
|
If Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts between 625 (inclusive) and 649 (inclusive) times on X between January 3, 2025, 12:00 PM ET and January 10, 2025, 12:00 PM ET this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts posts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the ‘Post Counter’ figure for posts found at https://www.xtracker.io/. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
|
2025-01-10T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-elon-tweet-625-649-times-jan-3-jan-10
|
[
"Twitter",
"Elon Musk",
"Culture",
"Tweet Markets",
"Elon Tweets"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xcabacebd241834fc021fb340f27fa26efabe6e55529bf2fe14302788f72f7801
|
0xfce1f657c27b51184d1a9ab5c04251bd3daf3400bbbca9e1b0c1615b4908d731
|
Will Coco Gauff win the Australian Open?
|
The market will resolve to “Yes” if Coco Gauff wins the 2025 Australian Open Women’s Singles tournament. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this player to win the Australian Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the Australian Open, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Australian Open (https://www.ausopen.com), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
|
2025-01-25T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-coco-gauff-win-the-australian-open
|
[
"Sports",
"Tennis"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xaa5ed7d29348ae95c2a6766ae0fd9278f8dfb9f0e4bfb3391e2b648e2bd05603
|
0xb66abcfb57eb86effef8a728011c837f305216804183b050e8b705745434c042
|
Will Elon tweet 600-624 times Jan 3-Jan 10?
|
If Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts between 600 (inclusive) and 624 (inclusive) times on X between January 3, 2025, 12:00 PM ET and January 10, 2025, 12:00 PM ET this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts posts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the ‘Post Counter’ figure for posts found at https://www.xtracker.io/. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
|
2025-01-10T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-elon-tweet-600-624-times-jan-3-jan-10
|
[
"Twitter",
"Elon Musk",
"Culture",
"Tweet Markets",
"Elon Tweets"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xe7b9c45d451d5dd0cb66e719846f63660c480d90908c76680497726bc34e2900
|
0xf414ea313837ae29ec643d28e2ec64be5346067097e2ba35b30d606957c55ea1
|
Will Newcastle win on 2025-01-18?
|
In the upcoming EPL game, scheduled for January 18 at 7:30AM ET,
If Newcastle wins, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
If Newcastle loses, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the game is canceled or delayed beyond 2025-02-18 or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve to “No”.
|
2025-01-18T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
epl-new-bou-2025-01-18-new
|
[
"Sports",
"Premier League",
"EPL",
"Games"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xbd24038f927cd1bcecdf157d329b4b65dee1cfb3736634df7c1cf301e2250400
|
0x04d5e75c920683705a89a85a62a01cf842fbbaf5e0c78e302fc1371aa052afa3
|
Will Jannik Sinner win the Australian Open?
|
The market will resolve to “Yes” if Jannik Sinner wins the 2025 Australian Open Men’s Singles tournament. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this player to win the Australian Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the Australian Open, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Australian Open (https://www.ausopen.com), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
|
2025-01-26T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-jannik-sinner-win-the-australian-open
|
[
"Sports",
"Tennis",
"australian open"
] | false
| 1
| 0
|
0x584350317938f4a0f835e872e9b6836e6f910b0078b534ba61a5a4b4876c9cc3
|
0x377aad6bdc85fad4cf60829ab7ad53cd02c49be4c51beb1d10fc4b3ae44c889f
|
Will Jalen Milroe be drafted in the First Round?
|
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jalen Milroe, the QB from Alabama, is selected in the first round of the 2025 NFL Draft scheduled for for April 24, 2025, in Green Bay, Wisconsin. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be the official broadcast of the 2025 NFL Draft.
|
2025-04-24T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-jalen-milroe-be-drafted-in-the-first-round
|
[
"Sports",
"NFL",
"NFL Draft",
"draft",
"Jalen Milroe"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x46ae798ffa04895e737f689654b0328d6d7e9ca2e69a2f4c3ea5febd8e650e6d
|
0xdcfaad780ed654cac38e37e208c5f6cc935b6a3705828cc53b675db79522c21e
|
Will the LA Rams game get moved to Phoenix?
|
On Wednesday June 8, the NFL announced a contingency plan in case they need to move the NFL Wildcard Game between Los Angeles Rams and Minnesota Vikings from Los Angeles to Pheonix (see https://x.com/AdamSchefter/status/1877146285049835834).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the NFL announces that the Playoff game between the Los Angeles Rams and the Minnesota Vikings, currently scheduled for Sunday January 13, 2025, 8:00 PM ET at Sofi Stadium in Los Angeles CA, will be played in State Farm Stadium in Glendale Arizona. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game does not take place by January 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official announcements by the NFL, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
|
2025-01-13T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-the-la-rams-game-get-moved-to-pheonix
|
[
"Sports",
"Breaking News",
"NFL",
"minnesota vikings",
"Wildfire",
"LA Rams",
"Pheonix"
] | false
| 1
| 0
|
0xb6b513a06d47fda13d5306d003cac94619c9b995fc270c5af8cf8f5248a2e103
|
0x1837aafb89427ae73f394309551e4a4056367d7b915a5a5499655afd3f8453fb
|
Will there be 6-8 inches of snow in NYC in Jan?
|
If the total snowfall in Central Park, New York City in January, 2025 is between 6 (inclusive) and 8 (exclusive) inches according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), then this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for January 2025 under "New Snow (IN)" when the "Daily data for a month" for "Central Park NY" is selected at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized all the days of January.
|
2025-01-31T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-there-be-6-8-inches-of-snow-in-nyc-in-jan
|
[
"Science",
"Weather",
"Culture",
"winter"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xbd24038f927cd1bcecdf157d329b4b65dee1cfb3736634df7c1cf301e2250411
|
0xfa6d00894872e3eedc157e2f184b8c0c18c2b1d7aeef60928e5829d1fc256300
|
Will Frances Tiafoe win the Australian Open?
|
The market will resolve to “Yes” if Frances Tiafoe wins the 2025 Australian Open Men’s Singles tournament. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this player to win the Australian Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the Australian Open, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Australian Open (https://www.ausopen.com), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
|
2025-01-26T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-frances-tiafoe-win-the-australian-open
|
[
"Sports",
"Tennis",
"australian open"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xd359193612ea7644aa76a6388f2dd96d9866e4a52f2909cc056b9974aa6597c5
|
0x00bd633bb83d4b032c7f76b0ebb7ed4ed26722f55f8f6413c37c60ed0e946df6
|
Grizzlies vs. Rockets
|
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for January 13 at 8:00PM ET:
If the Memphis Grizzlies win, the market will resolve to “Grizzlies”.
If the Houston Rockets win, the market will resolve to “Rockets”.
If the game is not completed by January 20, 2025 (11:59 PM ET) or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve 50-50.
|
2025-01-21T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
nba-mem-hou-2025-01-13
|
[
"Sports",
"NBA",
"Games"
] | false
| null | null |
0xcfddbd44680b0c9381a3cebec5a72e5a3603aa03dcf320d6e91f53f67a8e3809
|
0xe0e2aceabf98efb4a04acbaec563ba89d0395754c97ffce9e3b98b62b62a0c67
|
Will Andrew Tate tweet 130-139 times Jan 10-17?
|
If Andrew Tate (@Cobratate), posts between 130 (inclusive) and 139 (inclusive) times on X between January 10, 2025, 12:00 PM ET and January 17, 2025, 12:00 PM ET this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts posts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the ‘Post Counter’ figure for posts found at https://www.xtracker.io/. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
|
2025-01-17T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-andrew-tate-tweet-130-139-times-jan-10-17-elds
|
[
"Twitter",
"Culture",
"Tweet Markets",
"X"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xbd24038f927cd1bcecdf157d329b4b65dee1cfb3736634df7c1cf301e225040d
|
0x4f9629aaeb37cf5553858a2757420025141dd2fc17b2f186bd567ef56762ca3d
|
Will Ben Shelton win the Australian Open?
|
The market will resolve to “Yes” if Ben Shelton wins the 2025 Australian Open Men’s Singles tournament. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this player to win the Australian Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the Australian Open, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Australian Open (https://www.ausopen.com), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
|
2025-01-26T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-ben-shelton-win-the-australian-open
|
[
"Sports",
"Tennis",
"australian open"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xb78a01dfad07dc8acc5ca8d84e5a212a96f8aa7a9b380819af11b680bc2b0005
|
0x3c0ed8cdb134b72108512e93eeb8fc1b963dffbc80935711ade67efd2e06ce92
|
Palisades fire burns 35,000-40,000 acres by Friday?
|
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Palisades fire in California burns between 35,000 (inclusive) and 40,000 (exclusive) acres by January 10, 2025, 11:59 PM PT (Pacific Time). Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.”
The resolution source is official updates from https://www.fire.ca.gov/. If the website for the California Department of Forestry and Fire Protection becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.
|
2025-01-10T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
palisades-fire-burns-35000-40000-acres-by-friday
|
[
"Science",
"California",
"Wildfire"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x8489d357b346de62549b1081743b44fcffc33d83457ff9a65291733e549ea31f
|
0xfb1b92ea31f2902b6d5353f51a977ef4ff9fe8040088d6a5476d50f8578793c8
|
Will the Bills and Broncos combine for 48 or more points?
|
This market refers to the NFL Playoff matchup between the Buffalo Bills and the Denver Broncos scheduled for January 12, 2025, at 1:00 PM ET.
If the combined total points scored by the Buffalo Bills and the Denver Broncos in their game is 48 or more, this market will resolve to “Over.” If it is less than 48, this market will resolve to “Under.”
If this game is postponed after January 19, 2025 (11:59 PM ET), or canceled, this market will resolve 50-50.
|
2025-01-12T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-the-bills-and-broncos-combine-for-48-or-more-points
|
[
"Sports",
"bills",
"NFL",
"playoffs",
"broncos",
"Games"
] | false
| null | null |
0x2fbed53ca8c4bc1ff408937e287c9b1c5526e23b446bc7e03ddaf63f65e41e07
|
0x48dc8652ef48476d7cd6e4cecf8a379723d0f45da7e5f9cab78e8bcad01683a0
|
Will Trump's inaugural address be 2,400 or more words?
|
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump's inaugural address is 2,400 or more words in length. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
If Donald Trump does not give an inauguration speech by January 21, 6:00 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the official transcript of the speech released by the White House.
|
2025-01-20T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-trumps-inaugural-address-be-2400-or-more-words
|
[
"Politics",
"Trump",
"speech",
"Inauguration"
] | false
| 1
| 0
|
0xae2ccc2973bbb71cb12ccb0aa177bccb6c4c8771bec51d8158fb1dcbc3317506
|
0x05678993f611cf5830506b2881dfdc29b4b9d5e7785acfb2028b202bfbac3d7f
|
Will De’Aaron Fox get traded to the San Antonio Spurs?
|
This market will resolve to “Yes” if De’Aaron Fox of the Sacramento Kings is traded to the San Antonio Spurs before the NBA Trade Deadline for the 2024-25 NBA Season, currently scheduled for February 6, 2025, 3:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The resolution source will be official announcements from the NBA and the Sacramento Kings, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
|
2025-02-12T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-deaaron-fox-get-traded-to-the-san-antonio-spurs
|
[
"NBA",
"trades"
] | false
| 1
| 0
|
0x9b7ac7a20e9a225dc032400811c0b85068e442cb4268618f6021535067038a05
|
0x3d3e3944d8a87956aedae67a89e13a46efc736afbacffccf28d149b0b67c3f8e
|
Will 38-41 people watch Trump inauguration?
|
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump's inauguration has between 38,000,000 (inclusive) and 41,000,000 (exclusive) viewers. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be information from Nielsen, specifically their Persons 2+ statistic. If Nielsen does not provide viewership information for Trump's inauguration by January 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, another credible source may be chosen.
|
2025-01-20T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-38-41-people-watch-trump-inauguration
|
[
"Politics",
"Trump",
"Inauguration"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xa7402e8f9803bfe96b91e9ea71144321a92bdcdfbac977c10aee023b547fd740
|
0xd5b37f42016d78eef84116c1963981680cabfe3584f0413fd9867226c7f04991
|
Will Drew Allar declare for the Draft?
|
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is announced that Drew Allar has declared for the 2025 NFL Draft by January 25, 2025, 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official announcements made by Drew Allar and his representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
|
2025-01-24T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-drew-allar-declare-for-the-draft
|
[
"Sports",
"NFL",
"NFL Draft",
"CFB",
"Penn State",
"Drew Allar"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x9fae28a0f6f34625bf13ab75d7377627cc9c1baa59dd0ac044a3956f23400908
|
0xa021d0de56821eee3d4c87fc5c9d3a58d0b25192564a1d3726d518f26ff15b8e
|
Will Elon tweet 750-799 times Jan 10-17?
|
If Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts between 750 (inclusive) and 799 (inclusive) on X between January 10, 2025, 12:00 PM ET and January 17, 2025, 12:00 PM ET this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts posts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the ‘Post Counter’ figure for posts found at https://www.xtracker.io/. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
|
2025-01-17T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-elon-tweet-750-799-times-jan-10-17
|
[
"Elon Musk",
"Culture",
"Tweet Markets",
"Elon Tweets"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xc6f379ae211d514611fa8635fb3e4dc00d4033112e43dfe04626a136fcf47107
|
0x63737d490e6f52083d2de3e617094c2efbdd9a0deb1ba05e38772fd2c6cb76cf
|
Will all LA wildfires be fully contained before February?
|
This market will resolve to “Yes” if there are no active fires (<100% contained) over 10 acres in Los Angeles county in California at any point between January 8, and January 31, 2025, 11:59 PM PT (Pacific Time). Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.”
The resolution source is official updates from https://www.fire.ca.gov/. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
|
2025-01-31T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-all-la-wildfires-be-fully-contained-before-february
|
[
"Weather",
"Wildfire"
] | false
| 1
| 0
|
0xf2bcd902f0d0a09c1d47a97ea2465723ff743bbd0e65a296fbf111504fd08b04
|
0x6e2f74d1e948c0abb678f89554d2f6d690d7a28a0cec29c08a6a407d7dbf65db
|
Will Kostas Karamanlis be next Greek President?
|
An indirect presidential election is due to be held in Greece by February 2025 for the President of the Hellenic Republic.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kostas Karamanlis is elected by the Hellenic Parliament as the next President of Greece by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as announced by he Hellenic Parliament.
|
2025-01-31T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-kostas-karamanlis-be-next-greek-president
|
[
"Politics",
"Global Elections",
"World Elections"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xcabacebd241834fc021fb340f27fa26efabe6e55529bf2fe14302788f72f7804
|
0x1be7a014453733b023456f593c51586751e3ef6003596ebe026ef44794e09b19
|
Will Qinwen Zheng win the Australian Open?
|
The market will resolve to “Yes” if Qinwen Zheng wins the 2025 Australian Open Women’s Singles tournament. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this player to win the Australian Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the Australian Open, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Australian Open (https://www.ausopen.com), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
|
2025-01-25T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-qinwen-zheng-win-the-australian-open
|
[
"Sports",
"Tennis"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x7e8e06dac971c11b1bccaffc569e3ec29b84666910dfcfea3d4637310ea9c322
|
0xa5fca6ceb941da607d42a67c65084818983c3737e832bee4b87805bc09845c16
|
Will the Palisades fire be 50% contained by January 19?
|
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Palisades fire in California is 50% or more contained by January 19, 2025, 11:59 PM PT (Pacific Time). Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.”
The resolution source is official updates from https://www.fire.ca.gov/. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
|
2025-01-12T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-the-palisades-fire-be-50-contained-by-january-19
|
[
"Science",
"Weather",
"Los Angeles",
"Wildfire"
] | false
| 1
| 0
|
0x6f83878b4b1f49629d1464c2a4d012e47e30559c2c2cb425fd9d67b11435b404
|
0xcb30177e892c07614031a4a5e6e1fdc9bb045597c116b3a17c4ad292f0c76f1e
|
Will the Raiders hire Aaron Glenn as their next head coach?
|
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Aaron Glenn is announced as the next head coach of the Las Vegas Raiders for the 2025-26 NFL season by March 12, 2025, 4:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the Raiders announce they have hired another head coach for the 2025-26 NFL Season, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market is official information from the Las Vegas Raiders, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
|
2025-03-12T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-the-raiders-hire-aaron-glenn-as-their-next-head-coach
|
[
"Sports",
"raiders",
"Canada",
"Oakland",
"Las Vegas"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x60f441b3f2a44981afa697c15677bbae638a9a7f75face47dd0233e37940268e
|
0x4af7009d069c3b4ce0063243562ddd9f345f3db7e751ea98b98bc1842efd1a4e
|
Palisades wildfire containment >0% by Sunday?
|
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Palisades fire in California more than 0% contained by January 12, 2025, 11:59 PM PT (Pacific Time). Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.”
The resolution source is official updates from https://www.fire.ca.gov/ and https://www.fire.ca.gov/incidents/2025/1/7/palisades-fire/updates.
|
2025-01-12T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
palisades-fire-containment-0-by-sunday
|
[
"Science",
"LA",
"Wildfire"
] | false
| 1
| 0
|
0xbd24038f927cd1bcecdf157d329b4b65dee1cfb3736634df7c1cf301e2250410
|
0x1ab478ddf41c05ea0dfbf640ada1e2f2baa515452605ac184292a27017f31540
|
Will Grigor Dimitrov win the Australian Open?
|
The market will resolve to “Yes” if Grigor Dimitrov wins the 2025 Australian Open Men’s Singles tournament. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this player to win the Australian Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the Australian Open, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Australian Open (https://www.ausopen.com), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
|
2025-01-26T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-grigor-dimitrov-win-the-australian-open
|
[
"Sports",
"Tennis",
"australian open"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xbd24038f927cd1bcecdf157d329b4b65dee1cfb3736634df7c1cf301e2250409
|
0xf275c727394c690aa7904deafb91877f2c1a26e7099234d3a6f8d177fb3a5df1
|
Will Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard win the Australian Open?
|
The market will resolve to “Yes” if Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard wins the 2025 Australian Open Men’s Singles tournament. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this player to win the Australian Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the Australian Open, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Australian Open (https://www.ausopen.com), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
|
2025-01-26T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-giovanni-mpetshi-perricard-win-the-australian-open
|
[
"Sports",
"Tennis",
"australian open"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x6f83878b4b1f49629d1464c2a4d012e47e30559c2c2cb425fd9d67b11435b406
|
0x31c35259cc4a42d986ee2150dd031c8de0b1106d63d5bb5b7377494012c7157c
|
Will the Raiders hire Jesse Minter as their next head coach?
|
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jesse Minter is announced as the next head coach of the Las Vegas Raiders for the 2025-26 NFL season by March 12, 2025, 4:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the Raiders announce they have hired another head coach for the 2025-26 NFL Season, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market is official information from the Las Vegas Raiders, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
|
2025-03-12T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-the-raiders-hire-jesse-minter-as-their-next-head-coach
|
[
"Sports",
"raiders",
"Canada",
"Oakland",
"Las Vegas"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xfe73d59cac8656615ba040dd1d3fc1eeb0313d62b61d815fb311d82e84f61859
|
0x97d1c4f050458aee6aaf7b4ab504a7bd77beed05fb02a528d644347b039ffb29
|
Will the Sunset wildfire reach Hollywood Blvd by Friday?
|
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Sunset fire in California reaches Hollywood Boulevard by January 10, 2025, 11:59 PM PT (Pacific Time). Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.”
It will be sufficient if the Sunset fire reaches Hollywood Boulevard to resolve this market "Yes". It does not need to cross Hollywood Boulevard.
The Primary resolution source is official updates from the fire map at https://www.fire.ca.gov/. However, a consensus of credible reporting or video/photo evidence released before the resolution date confirming the fire has reached Hollywood Boulevard may also be used.
|
2025-01-10T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-the-sunset-wildfire-reach-hollywood-blvd-by-friday
|
[
"California",
"Los Angeles",
"fire",
"Wildfire",
"sciene",
"palisades"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x25095dfc6fde0dbb50b69f6f02218895679d72aa65dfb25329a040d49e155d03
|
0xab163d7713691c86fdecb1ee0238f0478eef804c89701482d98bcf2123c48463
|
Will 16-19 Democratic senators vote in favor of the Laken Riley Act?
|
This market will resolve to"Yes if between 16 (Inclusive) and 19 (Inclusive) Democratic Senators vote for the passage of the Laken Riley Act - H.R.7511 by January 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of the initial roll call vote for the passage of the Laken Riley Act - H.R.751. Any subsequent votes will not be considered.
Senators without a formal party affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican Parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party that they caucus with.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
|
2025-01-31T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-16-19-democratic-senators-vote-in-favor-of-the-laken-riley-act
|
[
"Politics",
"Congress",
"Immigration",
"Senate"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x6f83878b4b1f49629d1464c2a4d012e47e30559c2c2cb425fd9d67b11435b402
|
0xe513b96bc9b36dcffcd51e45b3524afb3eda55d3268c86dbaf342fe3c3e5ee73
|
Will the Raiders hire Brian Flores as their next head coach?
|
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Brian Flores is announced as the next head coach of the Las Vegas Raiders for the 2025-26 NFL season by March 12, 2025, 4:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the Raiders announce they have hired another head coach for the 2025-26 NFL Season, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market is official information from the Las Vegas Raiders, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
|
2025-03-12T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-the-raiders-hire-brian-flores-as-their-next-head-coach
|
[
"Sports",
"raiders",
"Canada",
"Oakland",
"Las Vegas"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x39146185ef9c3b714ce109ce78d2af4b00c2eae80f9b3e103822b4c19e0e9bcf
|
0x78ae802260e5e8e013c27662f7c79488fcf769f9ed3618d9b91bb72cba74b358
|
Nuggets vs. Mavericks
|
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for January 12 at 3:00PM ET:
If the Denver Nuggets win, the market will resolve to “Nuggets”.
If the Dallas Mavericks win, the market will resolve to “Mavericks”.
If the game is not completed by January 19, 2025 (11:59 PM ET) or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve 50-50.
|
2025-01-19T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
nba-den-dal-2025-01-12
|
[
"Sports",
"NBA",
"Games"
] | false
| null | null |
0xcc0752b7fafadb57c6eadcfa9200f023b3486031aad74023f98073e1950c4800
|
0x5cd9543de8416e028df7c4822f7de051aea40a6a643b55b24a30a2e319234d45
|
Will West Ham win on 2025-01-14?
|
In the upcoming EPL game, scheduled for January 14 at 2:30PM ET,
If West Ham wins, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
If West Ham loses, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the game is canceled or delayed beyond 2025-02-14 or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve to “No”.
|
2025-01-14T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
epl-wes-ful-2025-01-14-wes
|
[
"Sports",
"Premier League",
"EPL",
"Games"
] | false
| 1
| 0
|
0x9b7ac7a20e9a225dc032400811c0b85068e442cb4268618f6021535067038a07
|
0x76f4a5f92218211266dd2892ac6c9a029b02dc6d4f950145417041578d85a0ff
|
Will 44m or more people watch Trump inauguration?
|
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump's inauguration has 44,000,000 or more viewers. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be information from Nielsen, specifically their Persons 2+ statistic. If Nielsen does not provide viewership information for Trump's inauguration by January 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, another credible source may be chosen.
|
2025-01-20T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-44m-or-more-people-watch-trump-inauguration
|
[
"Politics",
"Trump",
"Inauguration"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x1e3c4f430de75401d25f8f3806b423f7b2301095e206088d741a42dab8cd1ca7
|
0xb4f80d5cbe2bca9db64f23a02c7986277619c40bc3481c8ecbf42f5979e7b3e3
|
Will Trump attend the launch?
|
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald attends the seventh Starship-SuperHeavy test launch, currently scheduled to take place in mid January. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the event is canceled or postponed beyond January 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Attending the test is defined as being in physical attendance within proximity of the launch (e.g. Trump attending the 6th launch would count https://www.cnbc.com/2024/11/19/trump-attendings-spacex-launch-elon-musk-starship-.html).
This market pertains to the seventh Starship launch attempt. This market will resolve based on any attempted test regardless of if the rocket lifts off the pad.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
|
2025-01-10T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-trump-attend-the-launch
|
[
"SpaceX",
"Science"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xf8fbb2101d1f4392a340a530ec9952665c2c60d747470378a805d3dffb4823cf
|
0x5b0d438f7c1ad6c55a4a0a63788f4c3250445484defaad6bfde7867b15262742
|
Will Notre Dame beat Penn State by 2 or more points?
|
This market refers to the CFP Semifinal Orange Bowl matchup between Notre Dame and Penn State scheduled for January 9, 2025, at 7:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve to “Notre Dame” if Notre Dame wins the game by 2 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Penn St.”
If the game is postponed beyond January 16, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, or canceled, this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the NCAA, however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
|
2025-01-09T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-notre-dame-beat-penn-state-by-2-or-more-points
|
[
"Sports",
"CFB",
"Games",
"Notre Dame",
"Penn State",
"CFP"
] | false
| null | null |
0xeaab55cfe7c11446e335378e5718997330a406377029d2e2ae2db49471cbd3b8
|
0x418043fb6acf6f654ac39ac3d2dcc23252fe2fa083b484a1318f177277e24310
|
Will Stefanos Tsitsipas reach the quarterfinals of the Australian Open?
|
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Stefanos Tsitsipas reaches the quarterfinals of the 2025 Australian Open Men’s Singles tournament. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this player to reach the quarterfinals of the Australian Open Men’s Singles Tournament (e.g., they are eliminated in a prior round), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Australian Open (https://www.ausopen.com), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
|
2025-01-20T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-stefanos-tsitsipas-reach-the-quarterfinals-of-the-australian-open
|
[
"Sports",
"Tennis",
"australian open"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x9fae28a0f6f34625bf13ab75d7377627cc9c1baa59dd0ac044a3956f23400907
|
0xa8fdc63208d3948cbd71040f6b933fcaabc6712a087894becf7aaca8f463741b
|
Will Elon tweet 700-749 times Jan 10-17?
|
If Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts between 700 (inclusive) and 749 (inclusive) on X between January 10, 2025, 12:00 PM ET and January 17, 2025, 12:00 PM ET this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts posts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the ‘Post Counter’ figure for posts found at https://www.xtracker.io/. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
|
2025-01-17T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-elon-tweet-700-749-times-jan-10-17
|
[
"Elon Musk",
"Culture",
"Tweet Markets",
"Elon Tweets"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xd4ade1cd28b2a0d9aeba81923c8b4ee5c586b7a3d022c387a8a6b643fa5493b1
|
0xb460047e9dff01b8112ed3969f9f4f164c7aee01a003cf9e439a87c25165119b
|
Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference?
|
President-elect Donald J. Trump is expected to hold his second news conference since winning the election in November on Tuesday morning at his Florida residence and club, Mar-a-Lago (see: https://www.nytimes.com/live/2025/01/07/us/trump-news) .
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.
Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.
Compound words will count as long as "crypto" or "Bitcoin" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to decentralized cryptocurrency (e.g. "cryptocurrency-related" counts).
If the press conference is permanently canceled or delayed beyond January 8, 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be the video of the speech.
|
2025-01-07T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-trump-say-crypto-or-bitcoin-during-his-mar-a-lago-press-conference
|
[
"Politics",
"Trump",
"Mentions"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x9fae28a0f6f34625bf13ab75d7377627cc9c1baa59dd0ac044a3956f23400902
|
0x20b552eb1e94a47649bfd3376199743ab54f6a68fc4eb512716c0102d09cd7a4
|
Will Elon tweet 450-499 times Jan 10-17?
|
If Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts between 450 (inclusive) and 499 (inclusive) on X between January 10, 2025, 12:00 PM ET and January 17, 2025, 12:00 PM ET this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts posts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the ‘Post Counter’ figure for posts found at https://www.xtracker.io/. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
|
2025-01-17T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-elon-tweet-450-499-times-jan-10-17
|
[
"Elon Musk",
"Culture",
"Tweet Markets",
"Elon Tweets"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x74421e931653d1d9dff7a3f1ee465972bded24fec7b4e9423a2911d353c13b92
|
0x39951be650b69b43792923a645b22bb8232c56f9c4b7efdb60cfc9e80e364ee7
|
Gavin Newsom out as Governor before April?
|
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Gavin Newsom is no longer serving as Governor of California for any length of time between January 8 and March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An announcement of Gavin Newsom's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
This market's resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
|
2025-03-31T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
gavin-newsom-out-as-governor-of-california-before-april
|
[
"Politics",
"California",
"LA",
"Wildfire"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x5123d31562fcdebe7ffe91c95560faa506815afacc259a286fdd5dd4670258ce
|
0x284ef81c8d207d194755b15c324035eb1a7ac7d1a23a38dd30d3fb97afa36204
|
TikTok sale announced before April?
|
This market will resolve to “Yes” if ByteDance announces their intention to sell TikTok by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
A public announcement of the intention to sell TikTok will qualify even if a sale has not been finalized. This includes any formal declaration made by ByteDance or its authorized representatives regarding their plans to sell or transfer ownership of TikTok.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from ByteDance. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
|
2025-03-31T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
tiktok-sale-announced-before-april
|
[
"Politics",
"Business",
"China",
"TikTok",
"Tech",
"All",
"Geopolitics"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xec40c7102b16716a2ad47140813ef08439ac655ca510d2f103eeb7847f38ee87
|
0x5536699025a4b292a1f1d955aa7f1bd4680bd686e4b9857fa627f87d591bdd36
|
Will Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard reach the quarterfinals of the Australian Open?
|
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard reaches the quarterfinals of the 2025 Australian Open Men’s Singles tournament. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this player to reach the quarterfinals of the Australian Open Men’s Singles Tournament (e.g., they are eliminated in a prior round), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Australian Open (https://www.ausopen.com), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
|
2025-01-20T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-giovanni-mpetshi-perricard-reach-the-quarterfinals-of-the-australian-open
|
[
"Sports",
"Tennis",
"australian open"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x9b7ac7a20e9a225dc032400811c0b85068e442cb4268618f6021535067038a01
|
0x476aa256b781b5006306e3fe7caae37db555b1f6e41b2968d8afe76fb19bce29
|
Will 26-29m people watch Trump inauguration?
|
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump's inauguration has between 26,000,000 (inclusive) and 29,000,000 (exclusive) viewers. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be information from Nielsen, specifically their Persons 2+ statistic. If Nielsen does not provide viewership information for Trump's inauguration by January 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, another credible source may be chosen.
|
2025-01-20T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-26-29m-people-watch-trump-inauguration
|
[
"Politics",
"Trump",
"Inauguration"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xc1a1957178251e724843e8da3cb531770c732e6b29fc19558199362057714ab5
|
0xfc33b0ee5cf7a6241772b9e591fc88889310d2999611b0b8318ddf0fadf7bf0a
|
Will the Palisades fire be fully contained by Sunday?
|
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Palisades fire in California is 100% contained by January 12, 2025, 11:59 PM PT (Pacific Time). Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.”
The resolution source is official updates from https://www.fire.ca.gov/. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
|
2025-01-12T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-the-palisades-fire-be-fully-contained-by-sunday
|
[
"Science",
"Weather",
"California",
"LA",
"Los Angeles",
"fire",
"santa monica",
"Wildfire"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xfe7cf92ea553728c86f04d2fa7a0167394693368831ce0a08bfd8ef3aecf7d01
|
0x1286284a8f591a4de2a32bcbdc5df71e4976fdd4c7ddc5638c01d0f349e0e273
|
Will Newcastle beat Arsenal?
|
This market refers to the Carabao Cup Semifinal Leg 1 match between Arsenal and Newcastle scheduled for January 7, 2025, 3:00 PM ET.
If Newcastle wins the match, this market will resolve to “Yes.” Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If the game is canceled or delayed beyond January 14, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No.”
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Carabao Cup.
|
2025-01-07T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-newcastle-beat-arsenal
|
[
"Sports",
"arsenal",
"Games",
"newcastle"
] | false
| 1
| 0
|
0x5e269b37d4f11926f1fd89d9c78e91878f01db737e968e5cec2dc9cb58980301
|
0x14ac45c384c631e604a1dd0bb45ccef70708c0ab5a25da597044ee8d5ead3801
|
Will Everton vs. Aston Villa end in a draw?
|
In the upcoming EPL game, scheduled for January 15 at 2:30PM ET,
If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to “Yes”. If not, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the game is canceled or delayed beyond 2025-02-15 or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve to “Yes”.
|
2025-01-15T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
epl-eve-ast-2025-01-15-draw
|
[
"Sports",
"Premier League",
"EPL",
"Games"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x5c9e37650fce84c453349c5fd284afdf2423813091d3d4b47668772dac9146b0
|
0x2f90b176ac9948978d2fb01ec7a946d485ca9dffdd3be49b3274e817172c0046
|
Will the Ravens beat the Steelers by 10 or more points?
|
This market refers to the NFL Playoff matchup between the Baltimore Ravens and the Pittsburgh Steelers scheduled for January 11, 2025, at 8:00 PM ET.
This market will resolve to “Ravens” if the Baltimore Ravens win their game against the Pittsburgh Steelers by 10 or more points.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Steelers.”
If this game is postponed after January 18, 2025 (11:59 PM ET), or canceled, this market will resolve 50-50.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
|
2025-01-11T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-the-ravens-beat-the-steelers-by-10-or-more-points
|
[
"Sports",
"NFL",
"Games",
"NFL Playoffs"
] | false
| null | null |
0xb6b513a06d47fda13d5306d003cac94619c9b995fc270c5af8cf8f5248a2e106
|
0x0a0138c23f6baa6ebf6b17a2857434d681df0c2189f912d11308c477d32b467e
|
Will there be 12 or more inches of snow in NYC in Jan?
|
If the total snowfall in Central Park, New York City in January, 2025 is 12 or more inches according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), then this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for January 2025 under "New Snow (IN)" when the "Daily data for a month" for "Central Park NY" is selected at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized all the days of January.
|
2025-01-31T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-there-be-12-or-more-inches-of-snow-in-nyc-in-jan
|
[
"Science",
"Weather",
"Culture",
"winter"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xaa5ed7d29348ae95c2a6766ae0fd9278f8dfb9f0e4bfb3391e2b648e2bd05600
|
0xf78c31c6ea7fabeed89ef8411af11f94ed69f66c6ddbd32c88ecdab2634927ec
|
Will Elon tweet less than 550 times Jan 3-Jan 10?
|
If Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts less than 550 times on X between January 3, 2025, 12:00 PM ET and January 10, 2025, 12:00 PM ET this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts posts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the ‘Post Counter’ figure for posts found at https://www.xtracker.io/. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
|
2025-01-10T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-elon-tweet-less-than-550-times-jan-3-jan-10
|
[
"Twitter",
"Elon Musk",
"Culture",
"Tweet Markets",
"Elon Tweets"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x4c00b4bfd5e8daae9f5873495490240cd81a4321cf6fe11b51374b33e6f11de0
|
0x79038a21cc3d525ad47803486a55f920dd70641b48995e18702c9183956a08a4
|
Will the Palisades fire be fully contained by January 26?
|
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Palisades fire in California is 100% contained by January 26, 2025, 11:59 PM PT (Pacific Time). Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.”
The resolution source is official updates from https://www.fire.ca.gov/. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
|
2025-01-12T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-the-palisades-fire-be-fully-contained-by-january-26
|
[
"Science",
"Weather",
"California",
"LA",
"Los Angeles",
"fire",
"santa monica",
"Wildfire"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x9b7ac7a20e9a225dc032400811c0b85068e442cb4268618f6021535067038a03
|
0x27d3e9cbac99312b3d1f5ea0952f9cf88b4aa8d9dc4fc0f98f0133f9629c5a87
|
Will 32-35 people watch Trump inauguration?
|
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump's inauguration has between 32,000,000 (inclusive) and 35,000,000 (exclusive) viewers. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be information from Nielsen, specifically their Persons 2+ statistic. If Nielsen does not provide viewership information for Trump's inauguration by January 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, another credible source may be chosen.
|
2025-01-20T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-32-35-people-watch-trump-inauguration
|
[
"Politics",
"Trump",
"Inauguration"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x9adf8179b960196ef6006a1913d860c488200eb8fd2a53284188f29fbc90b83f
|
0x404737e79dbf827931f6c1c551c657431196c2d34b409938d00dea62417a0ef8
|
Will Trump impose tariffs on China in his first week?
|
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump or his administration (including the Department of Commerce) impose any new or increased tariffs on People's Republic of China by January 27, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any tariff which is officially enacted within the market's time frame will qualify, regardless of when the tariff goes into effect.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.
|
2025-01-27T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-trump-impose-tariffs-on-china-in-his-first-week
|
[
"Politics",
"Trump",
"AI",
"Economy",
"Trump Presidency",
"Trump Week 1",
"DeepSeek"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x76467a77c06a0fe1e556b06980507ec4d0a03bd7e7936e9c566a5d3a6821a09f
|
0x9aa7c1690624f924a02f991a916c1985c94bed42c3ac07c8577327f6a449552d
|
Pelicans vs. Celtics
|
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for January 12 at 6:00PM ET:
If the New Orleans Pelicans win, the market will resolve to “Pelicans”.
If the Boston Celtics win, the market will resolve to “Celtics”.
If the game is not completed by January 19, 2025 (11:59 PM ET) or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve 50-50.
|
2025-01-19T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
nba-nop-bos-2025-01-12
|
[
"Sports",
"NBA",
"Games"
] | false
| null | null |
0x1844bf4b7ea4dcd8363974e78d4ccc61a3f0b9314d359d70968d6b3af0b48b8d
|
0xd60630231f38d18852939535807d1964d574dde99a7d2f21e2d598856bae5ae4
|
Will Sam Altman settle with his sister before April?
|
On January 7, Sam Altman tweeted a letter responding to a lawsuit filed against him by his sister Annie Altman (see: https://x.com/sama/status/1876780763653263770).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that Sam Altman has reached a settlement with his sister, Annie Altman by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
|
2025-03-31T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-sam-altman-settle-with-his-sister-before-april
|
[
"Science",
"Business",
"AI",
"OpenAI"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x5376723c3c203afe9e0babec003a2df9ea550eac6b40f1234e8a580f9d05b453
|
0xda290bb65136ec83c1e4be92b8b1e228c1fca8ec06353becdbf58075626c9b0a
|
Will Trump say "Kamala" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference?
|
President-elect Donald J. Trump is expected to hold his second news conference since winning the election in November on Tuesday morning at his Florida residence and club, Mar-a-Lago (see: https://www.nytimes.com/live/2025/01/07/us/trump-news) .
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "Kamala" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.
Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.
Compound words will count as long as "Kamala" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the person Kamala Harris.
If the press conference is permanently canceled or delayed beyond January 8, 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be the video of the speech.
|
2025-01-07T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-trump-say-kamala-during-his-mar-a-lago-press-conference
|
[
"Politics",
"Trump",
"Mentions"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x19f9d8ddcb7c063c21e729f5cff11ce7acf83fe88f8c3b6e947bb35d28091ad3
|
0x8b5eaf3fe4034b9407f2caa95871f7f42eed105173e4d88947187d880787147a
|
Bucks vs. Knicks
|
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for January 12 at 3:00PM ET:
If the Milwaukee Bucks win, the market will resolve to “Bucks”.
If the New York Knicks win, the market will resolve to “Knicks”.
If the game is not completed by January 19, 2025 (11:59 PM ET) or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve 50-50.
|
2025-01-19T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
nba-mil-nyk-2025-01-12
|
[
"Sports",
"NBA",
"Games"
] | false
| null | null |
0x6302c28ebcef7569b3595ab2dd405eba4e5d0abc91de1b6e98388d332497562b
|
0xf95756f542adbd4487fdfcc438ce3366f3afc288777fe0c4f28307d68c1a4c6f
|
Will Joao Fonseca reach the quarterfinals of the Australian Open?
|
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Joao Fonseca reaches the quarterfinals of the 2025 Australian Open Men’s Singles tournament. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this player to reach the quarterfinals of the Australian Open Men’s Singles Tournament (e.g., they are eliminated in a prior round), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Australian Open (https://www.ausopen.com), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
|
2025-01-20T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-joao-fonseca-reach-the-quarterfinals-of-the-australian-open
|
[
"Sports",
"Tennis",
"australian open"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x8aaf1f0b34300ad164d840258d37bcaa646b77f4feb5337e3094370299e2451b
|
0x3372139b4e82b32cb08bf9382fd95f7fa96aeff27128ad1dd2ec4de910f0bf97
|
Will USD0++ dip below $0.50 before February?
|
This market will resolve to "Yes" if 60 consecutive 1 minute candles for USD0++/USD0 have a final "High" price below 0.5 between January 10, 4:00 PM ET and January 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be 1 minute price candles for $USD0++ available at https://dexscreener.com/ethereum/0x1d08e7adc263cfc70b1babe6dc5bb339c16eec52.
If the 1 hour period starts at e.g. January 31, 11:28 PM ET to February 1, 12:28 AM ET, it will count for this market.
|
2025-01-31T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-usd0-dip-below-0pt50-before-february
|
[
"Crypto",
"Crypto Prices",
"Memecoins",
"Stablecoins"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xcc0752b7fafadb57c6eadcfa9200f023b3486031aad74023f98073e1950c4801
|
0x83d10715b59dec6b135d7c016d3e61e00e3239c23ce0fea01cd5e842b0fff540
|
Will West Ham vs. Fulham end in a draw?
|
In the upcoming EPL game, scheduled for January 14 at 2:30PM ET,
If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to “Yes”. If not, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the game is canceled or delayed beyond 2025-02-14 or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve to “Yes”.
|
2025-01-14T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
epl-wes-ful-2025-01-14-draw
|
[
"Sports",
"Premier League",
"EPL",
"Games"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x9b7ac7a20e9a225dc032400811c0b85068e442cb4268618f6021535067038a04
|
0xaea067c303e143e30319770c6900639160e917ef7c5bdf26363539498fc0fad8
|
Will 35-38 people watch Trump inauguration?
|
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump's inauguration has between 35,000,000 (inclusive) and 38,000,000 (exclusive) viewers. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be information from Nielsen, specifically their Persons 2+ statistic. If Nielsen does not provide viewership information for Trump's inauguration by January 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, another credible source may be chosen.
|
2025-01-20T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-35-38-people-watch-trump-inauguration
|
[
"Politics",
"Trump",
"Inauguration"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xcfddbd44680b0c9381a3cebec5a72e5a3603aa03dcf320d6e91f53f67a8e3805
|
0x250e28939703e5bf96ce1e4852d7a43b4af95ac3e5466db1cb7d560f808f7ba6
|
Will Andrew Tate tweet 90-99 times Jan 10-17?
|
If Andrew Tate (@Cobratate), posts between 90 (inclusive) and 99 (inclusive) times on X between January 10, 2025, 12:00 PM ET and January 17, 2025, 12:00 PM ET this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts posts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the ‘Post Counter’ figure for posts found at https://www.xtracker.io/. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
|
2025-01-17T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-andrew-tate-tweet-90-99-times-jan-10-17
|
[
"Twitter",
"Culture",
"Tweet Markets",
"X"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xc744f5892e80315c11abf4d92edb3d3bc8c6a6bc8efa98a2dac9fe430acf5464
|
0xe3ab90fb6776a248e414ef5e2ac51ba943a1113888f9d285b1aff09378acc9ce
|
Will Alexander Zverev reach the quarterfinals of the Australian Open?
|
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Alexander Zverev reaches the quarterfinals of the 2025 Australian Open Men’s Singles tournament. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this player to reach the quarterfinals of the Australian Open Men’s Singles Tournament (e.g., they are eliminated in a prior round), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Australian Open (https://www.ausopen.com), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
|
2025-01-20T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-alexander-zverev-reach-the-quarterfinals-of-the-australian-open
|
[
"Sports",
"Tennis",
"australian open"
] | false
| 1
| 0
|
0x15c5570f459b14efba3a27d7df0cb8c2db04b00aeb908d1ccc3f6a87550ee0b9
|
0x9e1720ce2a7556d252b80f998dc2c437f13cb15701ba20156debfae4ab2544a0
|
Will Bitcoin hit $100k before Trump inauguration?
|
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTCUSDT) between January 9, and January 19, 2025, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "High" price of $100,000.00 or higher. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTCUSDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar.
Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTCUSDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
|
2025-01-20T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-bitcoin-hit-100k-before-trump-inauguration
|
[
"Crypto",
"Bitcoin",
"Crypto Prices",
"All",
"Inauguration"
] | false
| 1
| 0
|
0x3924c10ec7561d022f1ff9aa774aea749766b464b2917d17ea8ceece9cbd0bae
|
0x24eb8898ca0da0a15e09ae877277da54413825475e8a1c8161e3c01279d8e332
|
Supercopa Seminal: Barcelona vs. Athletic Bilbao
|
This market refers to the Spanish Supercopa Semifinal match between Barcelona and Athletic Bilbao scheduled for January 8, 2025, 2:00 PM ET.
If Barcelona advances to the Spanish Supercopa Final, this market will resolve to “Barcelona.
If Athletic Bilbao advances to the Spanish Supercopa Final, this market will resolve to "Bilbao"
If the match is canceled or postponed beyond January 15, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Spanish Supercopa.
|
2025-01-08T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
supercopa-seminal-barcelona-vs-athletic-bilbao
|
[
"Sports",
"Soccer",
"Games"
] | false
| null | null |
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