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66
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stringlengths 2
118
| description
stringlengths 159
1.79k
| end_date_iso
stringdate 2024-12-31 00:00:00
2026-02-28 00:00:00
⌀ | active
bool 2
classes | closed
bool 2
classes | market_slug
stringlengths 12
132
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listlengths 1
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classes | yes_price
float64 0
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0x0a35f578cd3fc45819f0f1980f0d290ff7be0f2173d62f03cc6f9c08cb8c3860
|
0xb2d0a14ce3a8cc2a6d54c1586117c0fa89ed518ad8ba9f0bf13fa2efa835ed50
|
Will Felix Auger-Aliassime reach the quarterfinals of the Australian Open?
|
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Felix Auger-Aliassime reaches the quarterfinals of the 2025 Australian Open Men’s Singles tournament. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this player to reach the quarterfinals of the Australian Open Men’s Singles Tournament (e.g., they are eliminated in a prior round), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Australian Open (https://www.ausopen.com), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
|
2025-01-20T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-felix-auger-aliassime-reach-the-quarterfinals-of-the-australian-open
|
[
"Sports",
"Tennis",
"australian open"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x01e5d4f32f8d671dc10f5c7efdf742e096115763c1e60dc7aa215b0d233284ba
|
0xed85b5d16739e076cd5cc3a705467df14abc2f23d1b16ae26cd660e8e0b38c54
|
U.S. Government funding lapse on March 15?
|
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a U.S government funding lapse occurs on March 15, 2025, 12:00 AM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A funding lapse is defined as the President failing to sign the relevant bill(s) extending government funding by March 14, 11:59 PM ET. If a bill extending the funding of the U.S. government is passed and signed by the acting President before March 15, 2025, 12:00 AM ET this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" any funding lapse will count. If only a portion of the US government is covered by any signed bill(s) extending funding of the US government, and a portion of the US government goes unfunded, this market will still resolve to "Yes".
The primary resolution for this source will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
|
2025-03-15T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
us-government-funding-lapse-on-march-15
|
[
"Politics",
"Trump",
"shutdown",
"Congress",
"house",
"continuing resolution",
"Economic Policy"
] | false
| 1
| 0
|
0xa5cf34cfa63305f5f251dabde2bc346045547524a284d8830d6f064edecd8219
|
0xeb32e17811382c9b89d6d1855b5ba269c962d5013974dbcc60c8eb689f875ac1
|
Will the Ravens and Steelers combine for 44 or more points?
|
This market refers to the NFL Playoff matchup between the Baltimore Ravens and the Pittsburgh Steelers scheduled for January 11, 2025, at 8:00 PM ET.
If the combined total points scored by the Baltimore Ravens and the Pittsburgh Steelers in their game is 44 or more, this market will resolve to “Over.” If it is less than 44, this market will resolve to “Under.”
If this game is postponed after January 18, 2025 (11:59 PM ET), or canceled, this market will resolve 50-50.
|
2025-01-12T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-the-ravens-and-steelers-combine-for-44-or-more-points
|
[
"Sports",
"NFL",
"Games",
"NFL Playoffs"
] | false
| null | null |
0x254ab79bca449ae140dc86233089669110425c437116dc279b01bfe2f9d85900
|
0x6e4b19613f967a89fc444e253aaa26bfecc571b2e6f5230998666a1c9469150b
|
Will Everton win on 2025-01-19?
|
In the upcoming EPL game, scheduled for January 19 at 9:00AM ET,
If Everton wins, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
If Everton loses, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the game is canceled or delayed beyond 2025-02-19 or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve to “No”.
|
2025-01-19T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
epl-eve-tot-2025-01-19-eve
|
[
"Sports",
"Premier League",
"EPL",
"Games"
] | false
| 1
| 0
|
0xd691d188d0567a9e5d848a1854246b94a39e7eeef1a06e1e06718962d4bb6c0f
|
0xdffb07d2931f6659dc8a8ca28b0f7b91d99d3beee07bc0ad3f1098f806cfabd6
|
Will Grigor Dimitrov reach the quarterfinals of the Australian Open?
|
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Grigor Dimitrov reaches the quarterfinals of the 2025 Australian Open Men’s Singles tournament. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this player to reach the quarterfinals of the Australian Open Men’s Singles Tournament (e.g., they are eliminated in a prior round), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Australian Open (https://www.ausopen.com), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
|
2025-01-20T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-grigor-dimitrov-reach-the-quarterfinals-of-the-australian-open
|
[
"Sports",
"Tennis",
"australian open"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x24da92f2cbced148e3c623c2510367be0f4e60bbc5e1416cf7573070d2adf000
|
0x4e1255b094640fcf4d058506c42c31e3d6f33e9de619b6fa8d7856aad11b3065
|
Will Manchester United win on 2025-01-19?
|
In the upcoming EPL game, scheduled for January 19 at 9:00AM ET,
If Manchester United wins, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
If Manchester United loses, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the game is canceled or delayed beyond 2025-02-19 or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve to “No”.
|
2025-01-19T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
epl-mun-bri-2025-01-19-mun
|
[
"Sports",
"Premier League",
"EPL",
"Games"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xbd24038f927cd1bcecdf157d329b4b65dee1cfb3736634df7c1cf301e2250406
|
0x05c9215f052fcaf85136e95f10f00e059c58d0f6a22ce4eeb56582fd6b207a56
|
Will Alex De Minaur win the Australian Open?
|
The market will resolve to “Yes” if Alex De Minaur wins the 2025 Australian Open Men’s Singles tournament. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this player to win the Australian Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the Australian Open, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Australian Open (https://www.ausopen.com), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
|
2025-01-26T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-alex-de-minaur-win-the-australian-open
|
[
"Sports",
"Tennis",
"australian open"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x0fb9f37b826b89ede3fabbc4f3388adccb5fc57df0a9458357ea917274277901
|
0xfdb3678cbe1879b5ebad6f8dd74a534ac1aaa14e53a59017a4055de9c324b35d
|
Will Brentford vs. Manchester City end in a draw?
|
In the upcoming EPL game, scheduled for January 14 at 2:30PM ET,
If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to “Yes”. If not, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the game is canceled or delayed beyond 2025-02-14 or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve to “Yes”.
|
2025-01-14T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
epl-bre-mac-2025-01-14-draw
|
[
"Sports",
"Premier League",
"EPL",
"Games"
] | false
| 1
| 0
|
0x6ba9a9b91bfbd1d9041352bf17b5c6bffc4b48e8a76d772e9507608f20732f01
|
0x9a719a13e4590a013113312a9025e0c81a051fd0eee45b7e6d949e813e789221
|
Will Leicester vs. Crystal Palace end in a draw?
|
In the upcoming EPL game, scheduled for January 15 at 2:30PM ET,
If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to “Yes”. If not, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the game is canceled or delayed beyond 2025-02-15 or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve to “Yes”.
|
2025-01-15T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
epl-lei-cry-2025-01-15-draw
|
[
"Sports",
"Premier League",
"EPL",
"Games"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xae2ccc2973bbb71cb12ccb0aa177bccb6c4c8771bec51d8158fb1dcbc3317504
|
0x0992a5876964bb2a52549a3cc5523fc616551abf39783826734ee463a4af56a0
|
Will De’Aaron Fox be traded to the Denver Nuggets?
|
This market will resolve to “Yes” if De’Aaron Fox of the Sacramento Kings is traded to the Denver Nuggets before the NBA Trade Deadline for the 2024-25 NBA Season, currently scheduled for February 6, 2025, 3:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The resolution source will be official announcements from the NBA and the Sacramento Kings, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
|
2025-02-06T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-deaaron-fox-get-traded-to-the-denver-nuggets
|
[
"NBA",
"trades"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x25095dfc6fde0dbb50b69f6f02218895679d72aa65dfb25329a040d49e155d05
|
0x901160addc5d38bb7f51c8dc6bb6424c93787f58df4e645e42161345b27bb0e4
|
Will 24 or more Democratic senators vote in favor of the Laken Riley Act?
|
This market will resolve to"Yes if 24 or more Democratic Senators vote for the passage of the Laken Riley Act - H.R.7511 by January 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of the initial roll call vote for the passage of the Laken Riley Act - H.R.751. Any subsequent votes will not be considered.
Senators without a formal party affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican Parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party that they caucus with.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
|
2025-01-31T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-24-or-more-democratic-senators-vote-in-favor-of-the-laken-riley-act
|
[
"Politics",
"Congress",
"Immigration",
"Senate"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xbd24038f927cd1bcecdf157d329b4b65dee1cfb3736634df7c1cf301e225040f
|
0x4fa0d46134db6da71a4874222196e7e91a2b75518f82c04b0cf38ebcaadde43b
|
Will Nick Kyrgios win the Australian Open?
|
The market will resolve to “Yes” if Nick Kyrgios wins the 2025 Australian Open Men’s Singles tournament. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this player to win the Australian Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the Australian Open, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Australian Open (https://www.ausopen.com), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
|
2025-01-26T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-nick-kyrgios-win-the-australian-open
|
[
"Sports",
"Tennis",
"australian open"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x6623996b416aff3822ef23018159099ce7f96dd8663b357875d17d391fd7f755
|
0xe30f129d7ef612841cbdd5eb6f2861d985c62cab4ebb41828f77788dd24311c4
|
Will Hubert Hurkacz reach the quarterfinals of the Australian Open?
|
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Hubert Hurkacz reaches the quarterfinals of the 2025 Australian Open Men’s Singles tournament. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this player to reach the quarterfinals of the Australian Open Men’s Singles Tournament (e.g., they are eliminated in a prior round), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Australian Open (https://www.ausopen.com), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
|
2025-01-20T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-hubert-hurkacz-reach-the-quarterfinals-of-the-australian-open
|
[
"Sports",
"Tennis",
"australian open"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xcabacebd241834fc021fb340f27fa26efabe6e55529bf2fe14302788f72f7809
|
0x55953b6e97f218455dc1a8e3439dd05fa621d39a7690c9c6f05ca69a8f513e34
|
Will Madison Keys win the Australian Open?
|
The market will resolve to “Yes” if Madison Keys wins the 2025 Australian Open Women’s Singles tournament. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this player to win the Australian Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the Australian Open, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Australian Open (https://www.ausopen.com), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
|
2025-01-25T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-madison-keys-win-the-australian-open
|
[
"Sports",
"Tennis"
] | false
| 1
| 0
|
0x9b7ac7a20e9a225dc032400811c0b85068e442cb4268618f6021535067038a02
|
0xb173a85dd23c37c63b65985583b210917e39e71f05f528231e06fbe16565832a
|
Will 29-32 people watch Trump inauguration?
|
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump's inauguration has between 29,000,000 (inclusive) and 32,000,000 (exclusive) viewers. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be information from Nielsen, specifically their Persons 2+ statistic. If Nielsen does not provide viewership information for Trump's inauguration by January 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, another credible source may be chosen.
|
2025-01-20T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-29-32-people-watch-trump-inauguration
|
[
"Politics",
"Trump",
"Inauguration"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xecc9b0a1cb9ef8be692b1fbbb2f83ec3d9e6bc1f2f8c8c65d538d1c9f215c401
|
0x52671dc13e00f9086444da74f6b01f1a29eb0d1d86af5187cd2319fcd19dcb5a
|
Will Manchester United vs. Southampton end in a draw?
|
In the upcoming EPL game, scheduled for January 16 at 3:00PM ET,
If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to “Yes”. If not, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the game is canceled or delayed beyond 2025-02-16 or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve to “Yes”.
|
2025-01-16T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
epl-mun-sou-2025-01-16-draw
|
[
"Sports",
"Premier League",
"EPL",
"Games"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x4d51812cbd16c366a8bef7b1ff4fdc63b2140002904793c6691179c5980cace1
|
0x51e69bea7bc8499626c66c08c64d7fc1d6e91783fe724e026af5d46bdb5c0ce9
|
Will Tomas Machac reach the quarterfinals of the Australian Open?
|
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Tomas Machac reaches the quarterfinals of the 2025 Australian Open Men’s Singles tournament. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this player to reach the quarterfinals of the Australian Open Men’s Singles Tournament (e.g., they are eliminated in a prior round), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Australian Open (https://www.ausopen.com), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
|
2025-01-20T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-tomas-machac-reach-the-quarterfinals-of-the-australian-open
|
[
"Sports",
"Tennis",
"australian open"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xecc9b0a1cb9ef8be692b1fbbb2f83ec3d9e6bc1f2f8c8c65d538d1c9f215c400
|
0x540823c537d86540cef8865f7d0e41335ff1fa81f6b58c4e977047ba175f1cd3
|
Will Manchester United win on 2025-01-16?
|
In the upcoming EPL game, scheduled for January 16 at 3:00PM ET,
If Manchester United wins, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
If Manchester United loses, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the game is canceled or delayed beyond 2025-02-16 or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve to “No”.
|
2025-01-16T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
epl-mun-sou-2025-01-16-mun
|
[
"Sports",
"Premier League",
"EPL",
"Games"
] | false
| 1
| 0
|
0x9c55d62dc1006b1fd38e0880eb6a8883e6389ce3cb932370f5ea11e47d540702
|
0xd344423e44d5b150bb24fc9b85915b7b45db55babd7e067c94dd354a0f8ff765
|
Will Jeremiah Smith NOT score a touchdown AND Quinn Ewers throw an interception?
|
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, in the Cotton Bowl matchup between the Texas Longhorns and THE Ohio State Buckeyes scheduled for January 10, 2025, 7:30 PM ET, the following happens:
-Jeremiah Smith of THE Ohio State Buckeyes does NOT score any rushing or receiving touchdowns.
-Quinn Ewers of the Texas Longhorns throws at least one interception.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If this game is postponed after January 17, 2025 (11:59 PM ET) or canceled, this market will resolve to “No.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the CFP; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
|
2025-01-11T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-jeremiah-smith-not-score-a-touchdown-and-quinn-ewers-throw-an-interception
|
[
"Sports",
"texas",
"ohio state",
"CFB",
"Creators",
"CFP",
"JPAFootball"
] | false
| 1
| 0
|
0xbf01cb60e81ae92278049598563d70a82640fce48fb0f2a153e8b53b250d9ee8
|
0x6293e72f178370d8513e780320da33863db7dc280a597a2d463d2e2a00f96662
|
76ers vs. Magic
|
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for January 12 at 6:00PM ET:
If the Philadelphia 76ers win, the market will resolve to “76ers”.
If the Orlando Magic win, the market will resolve to “Magic”.
If the game is not completed by January 19, 2025 (11:59 PM ET) or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve 50-50.
|
2025-01-19T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
nba-phi-orl-2025-01-12
|
[
"Sports",
"NBA",
"Games"
] | false
| null | null |
0xf57679c8b6327c748dde6bb75f1bacd54d7c82650cedcd4fdb05ee113d8ac832
|
0x6b6085752cb9fdbf96413df82b1b6f08e660c26c94a6f29ba6469f0d8e5015df
|
Will Taylor Fritz reach the quarterfinals of the Australian Open?
|
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Taylor Fritz reaches the quarterfinals of the 2025 Australian Open Men’s Singles tournament. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this player to reach the quarterfinals of the Australian Open Men’s Singles Tournament (e.g., they are eliminated in a prior round), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Australian Open (https://www.ausopen.com), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
|
2025-01-20T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-taylor-fritz-reach-the-quarterfinals-of-the-australian-open
|
[
"Sports",
"Tennis",
"australian open"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xcf76058ac3f6970efdbc7a3c9c485b4a32d1db3800ced6b39c1527f55f57d489
|
0x510bab16fa6fcc5d345f46a4dcbbbdf922250cd1e6a8092bc6acf2a995a03bba
|
Dariush vs. Moicano
|
This is a market on whether Beneil Dariush or Renato Moicano will win their bout at UFC 311 scheduled for January 18, 2025, at Intuit Dome in Inglewood, CA.
If Beneil Dariush is declared the winner of this bout, this market will resolve to “Dariush.”
If Renato Moicano is declared the winner of this bout, this market will resolve to “Moicano.”
If this fight is declared a draw, or if for any reason the match is not scored, postponed after February 1, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, or canceled, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source will be ESPN (https://www.espn.com/mma/fightcenter/_/id/600051442/league/ufc), however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
|
2025-01-18T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
dariush-vs-moicano
|
[
"Sports",
"UFC",
"fights"
] | true
| null | null |
0xdae474026fa15047b689a980824b5844c487ee8e61d2987ee726abe61c27a12e
|
0x71ed7fc5a4e40863800058db401567c150867cb5f4bb5d45fd4eb8ffd60b44c7
|
Will USD0++ stabilize again before February?
|
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 1 minute candles for USD0++/USD0 have a final "Low" price above 0.99 for 4 consecutive hours between January 10, 4:00 PM ET and January 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be 1 minute price candles for $USD0++ available at https://dexscreener.com/ethereum/0x1d08e7adc263cfc70b1babe6dc5bb339c16eec52.
If the24 hour period starts at e.g. January 31, 10:00 PM ET to February 1, 2:00 AM ET, it will count for this market.
|
2025-01-31T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-usd0-stabilize-again-before-february
|
[
"Crypto",
"Crypto Prices",
"Memecoins",
"Stablecoins",
"staked"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x8f6705f8a6ebe3a9a5ac4c8a1d6ac57e5b2122e7f8cc677d87a4aad987130700
|
0xa365f317a3eec6037e37c69c81ae0712dd439a5670ec64ad8f4fe05a48af6d41
|
Will the Chargers beat the Texans by 3 or more points?
|
This market refers to the NFL Playoff matchup between the Los Angeles Chargers and the Houston Texans scheduled for January 11, 2025, at 4:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve to “Chargers” if the Los Angeles Chargers win their game against the Houston Texans by 3 or more points.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Texans.”
If this game is postponed after January 18, 2025 (11:59 PM ET), or canceled, this market will resolve 50-50.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
|
2025-01-11T00:00:00Z
| false
| false
|
will-the-chargers-beat-the-texans-by-3-or-more-points
|
[
"Sports",
"chargers",
"texans",
"NFL",
"playoffs",
"Games"
] | false
| null | null |
0x1f4c40df39f5be9cb8c2eb8ea95d8054fee9b462d14b05ff5123b6c5372c2c05
|
0xf9e60cc19a7eb692dffb44ade89ea3204893166959b569da449fcb1055a6992e
|
Will Trump issue 30-34 executive orders on Day 1?
|
This market will resolve to “Yes” Donald Trump as US President issues and signs between 30 (inclusive) and 34 (inclusive) executive orders on January 20, 2025.
Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.”
The resolution source for this market is the the Office of the Federal Register (https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders) however official information from the White House (https://www.whitehouse.gov/) may also be used. Only executive orders with issuance dates of January 20, 2025 will count for this market.
|
2025-01-30T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-trump-issue-30-34-executive-orders-on-day-1
|
[
"Politics",
"Trump",
"Trump Presidency",
"Inauguration",
"Trump Day 1"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x6ce887d487bc29b597c59b477ef92b908c80259545629ec111b704f705f00400
|
0x01535e3cf62ce97808dc95e8f0f6ebc12006859cef61fd1513f1a9c87aeb2e10
|
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-01-19?
|
In the upcoming EPL game, scheduled for January 19 at 9:00AM ET,
If Nottingham Forest wins, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
If Nottingham Forest loses, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the game is canceled or delayed beyond 2025-02-19 or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve to “No”.
|
2025-01-19T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
epl-not-sou-2025-01-19-not
|
[
"Sports",
"Premier League",
"EPL",
"Games"
] | false
| 1
| 0
|
0x518ee1361beb0ad95c96fb954c466f976619b4c7b95c92429724b73a8aefd847
|
0x9382c899427b7c2b003c21777ced328deae1dc77ac590ec6daf57b22cadeb77f
|
Will Trump say "Trudeau" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference?
|
President-elect Donald J. Trump is expected to hold his second news conference since winning the election in November on Tuesday morning at his Florida residence and club, Mar-a-Lago (see: https://www.nytimes.com/live/2025/01/07/us/trump-news) .
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "Trudeau" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.
Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.
Compound words will count as long as "Trudeau" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the person Justin Trudeau.
If the press conference is permanently canceled or delayed beyond January 8, 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be the video of the speech.
|
2025-01-07T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-trump-say-trudeau-during-his-mar-a-lago-press-conference
|
[
"Politics",
"Trump",
"Mentions"
] | false
| 1
| 0
|
0xb78a01dfad07dc8acc5ca8d84e5a212a96f8aa7a9b380819af11b680bc2b0004
|
0xe45766fc49cca6522317bde00f191aad8cc13a07c4360fe58d813ac89e875ef1
|
Palisades fire burns 30,000-35,000 acres by Friday?
|
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Palisades fire in California burns between 30,000 (inclusive) and 35,000 (exclusive) acres by January 10, 2025, 11:59 PM PT (Pacific Time). Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.”
The resolution source is official updates from https://www.fire.ca.gov/. If the website for the California Department of Forestry and Fire Protection becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.
|
2025-01-10T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
palisades-fire-burns-30000-35000-acres-by-friday
|
[
"Science",
"California",
"Wildfire"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xfe7cf92ea553728c86f04d2fa7a0167394693368831ce0a08bfd8ef3aecf7d00
|
0xc2cf843e7690de1ddcdca958e2f9fa36bdf4de896003ead10db7a5f8af9c1ed9
|
Will Arsenal beat Newcastle?
|
This market refers to the Carabao Cup Semifinal Leg 1 match between Arsenal and Newcastle scheduled for January 7, 2025, 3:00 PM ET.
If Arsenal wins the match, this market will resolve to “Yes.” Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If the game is canceled or delayed beyond January 14, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No.”
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Carabao Cup.
|
2025-01-07T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-arsenal-beat-newcastle
|
[
"Sports",
"arsenal",
"Games",
"newcastle"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xae2ccc2973bbb71cb12ccb0aa177bccb6c4c8771bec51d8158fb1dcbc3317503
|
0xc573ffae0d1430ba2063dc21ffb547eb942017ca521b61e918a984531c4b26c0
|
Will De’Aaron Fox be traded to the Houston Rockets?
|
This market will resolve to “Yes” if De’Aaron Fox of the Sacramento Kings is traded to the Houston Rockets before the NBA Trade Deadline for the 2024-25 NBA Season, currently scheduled for February 6, 2025, 3:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The resolution source will be official announcements from the NBA and the Sacramento Kings, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
|
2025-01-09T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-deaaron-fox-get-traded-to-the-houston-rockets
|
[
"NBA",
"trades"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xec10d03b4ea9f52dc6687b146b64a65cfb0fc27875492fb0a53898660be57c42
|
0x45045b63f7ce3f7d78dccf060a01471e1266b96241f8342ac934292e860f28ae
|
Will Carlos Alcaraz reach the quarterfinals of the Australian Open?
|
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Carlos Alcaraz reaches the quarterfinals of the 2025 Australian Open Men’s Singles tournament. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this player to reach the quarterfinals of the Australian Open Men’s Singles Tournament (e.g., they are eliminated in a prior round), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Australian Open (https://www.ausopen.com), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
|
2025-01-20T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-carlos-alcaraz-reach-the-quarterfinals-of-the-australian-open
|
[
"Sports",
"Tennis",
"australian open"
] | false
| 1
| 0
|
0x3481142096b7b07e0e4423789cd74735a9ea7e7faa843f786d7573cb3e749102
|
0x55917131502ac2a14e686f1a1b660811983043f1b9e96a3c6b57729357cf0201
|
Will Liverpool win on 2025-01-14?
|
In the upcoming EPL game, scheduled for January 14 at 3:00PM ET,
If Liverpool wins, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
If Liverpool loses, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the game is canceled or delayed beyond 2025-02-14 or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve to “No”.
|
2025-01-14T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
epl-not-liv-2025-01-14-liv
|
[
"Sports",
"Premier League",
"EPL",
"Games"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x6f83878b4b1f49629d1464c2a4d012e47e30559c2c2cb425fd9d67b11435b40a
|
0xeab4135282e59be0fa82bf1c8044c9a724147d2da1c41c9ea0c87c05ec7f84e0
|
Will the Raiders hire Pete Caroll as their next head coach?
|
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Caroll is announced as the next head coach of the Las Vegas Raiders for the 2025-26 NFL season by March 12, 2025, 4:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the Raiders announce they have hired another head coach for the 2025-26 NFL Season, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market is official information from the Las Vegas Raiders, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
|
2025-03-12T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-the-raiders-hire-pete-caroll-as-their-next-head-coach
|
[
"Sports",
"raiders",
"Canada",
"Oakland",
"Las Vegas"
] | false
| 1
| 0
|
0x7ef902447d3300988bc9e4ff854fcfd94b04d02c67be36069755624005c25931
|
0x9c579fd656077b38210a3b198a424a2b97bd91ca045b46855cdaa4136a4b67bc
|
Venezuela opposition leader Machado released by Monday?
|
On January 9, Maria Corina Machado was arrested while leaving a protest march, according to local media and party officials (see: https://www.dw.com/en/venezuela-opposition-leader-machado-arrested/a-71260151).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Maria Corina Machado is released from custody by January 13, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Machado is released from custody by the resolution date but remains in house arrest, the market will immediately resolve to "Yes".
If Machado is released on bond, this will count as being released from custody and the market will resolve to "Yes."
Transporting Machado to another location of custody will NOT suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from relevant government bodies, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
|
2025-01-13T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
venezuela-opposition-leader-machado-released-from-custody-by-monday
|
[
"Politics",
"Geopolitics",
"maduro"
] | false
| 1
| 0
|
0xb6b513a06d47fda13d5306d003cac94619c9b995fc270c5af8cf8f5248a2e102
|
0xaf4b260c05523007f96167164a653db4610fe8a21b55cf10cbf1c17f233dcd19
|
Will there be 4-6 inches of snow in NYC in Jan?
|
If the total snowfall in Central Park, New York City in January, 2025 is between 4 (inclusive) and 6 (exclusive) inches according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), then this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for January 2025 under "New Snow (IN)" when the "Daily data for a month" for "Central Park NY" is selected at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized all the days of January.
|
2025-01-31T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-there-be-4-6-inches-of-snow-in-nyc-in-jan
|
[
"Science",
"Weather",
"Culture",
"winter"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x84a933691ed2d649c1be6984a48f79529c68933cbc20c7487005484a3ad98601
|
0xc55547210e4141026d97732c291390d9482fafaa4133d2fee6c3865d541e0283
|
Will Chelsea vs. Bournemouth end in a draw?
|
In the upcoming EPL game, scheduled for January 14 at 2:30PM ET,
If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to “Yes”. If not, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the game is canceled or delayed beyond 2025-02-14 or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve to “Yes”.
|
2025-01-14T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
epl-che-bou-2025-01-14-draw
|
[
"Sports",
"Premier League",
"EPL",
"Games"
] | false
| 1
| 0
|
0x2fbed53ca8c4bc1ff408937e287c9b1c5526e23b446bc7e03ddaf63f65e41e03
|
0xd38e723a8106768deb2b48c4afe6ccba5b675a332452e28ecb0bbf9875c75dc8
|
Will Trump's inaugural address be 1,600-1,800 words?
|
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump's inaugural address is between 1,600 (inclusive) and 1,800 (exclusive) words in length. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
If Donald Trump does not give an inauguration speech by January 21, 6:00 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the official transcript of the speech released by the White House.
|
2025-01-20T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-trumps-inaugural-address-be-1600-1800-words
|
[
"Politics",
"Trump",
"speech",
"Inauguration"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x6f83878b4b1f49629d1464c2a4d012e47e30559c2c2cb425fd9d67b11435b403
|
0x0cc6ba527e82fec8d2e0869b83e373b7357355acefa2b8f1a6690f90befc0f48
|
Will the Raiders hire Liam Coen as their next head coach?
|
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Liam Coen is announced as the next head coach of the Las Vegas Raiders for the 2025-26 NFL season by March 12, 2025, 4:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the Raiders announce they have hired another head coach for the 2025-26 NFL Season, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market is official information from the Las Vegas Raiders, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
|
2025-03-12T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-the-raiders-hire-liam-coen-as-their-next-head-coach
|
[
"Sports",
"raiders",
"Canada",
"Oakland",
"Las Vegas"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xdde314e0c6cdda102c6d451015e2a0de0af6f3ccdbfdd5914e0b3a3f09035101
|
0x27b09c5f520f5e1fc4a85b4eb4b66384d88939b61e76987f36aaa83d54fd546a
|
Will Brentford vs. Liverpool end in a draw?
|
In the upcoming EPL game, scheduled for January 18 at 10:00AM ET,
If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to “Yes”. If not, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the game is canceled or delayed beyond 2025-02-18 or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve to “Yes”.
|
2025-01-18T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
epl-bre-liv-2025-01-18-draw
|
[
"Sports",
"Premier League",
"EPL",
"Games"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x8fe92383ee96c5abf056700847de16590506a3256143629955fa94cdf8681301
|
0x106e017f5877a1bbb7ab4cbe7f099eb732dee2de9ab38723f75bfc9622bea883
|
Will West Ham vs. Crystal Palace end in a draw?
|
In the upcoming EPL game, scheduled for January 18 at 10:00AM ET,
If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to “Yes”. If not, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the game is canceled or delayed beyond 2025-02-18 or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve to “Yes”.
|
2025-01-18T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
epl-wes-cry-2025-01-18-draw
|
[
"Sports",
"Premier League",
"EPL",
"Games"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xbd24038f927cd1bcecdf157d329b4b65dee1cfb3736634df7c1cf301e2250401
|
0xd16cd33d8bc91982a0f248f994ddb81b8fa8e2f13da21dfca018c1ea89f602ed
|
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the Australian Open?
|
The market will resolve to “Yes” if Carlos Alcaraz wins the 2025 Australian Open Men’s Singles tournament. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this player to win the Australian Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the Australian Open, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Australian Open (https://www.ausopen.com), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
|
2025-01-26T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-carlos-alcaraz-win-the-australian-open
|
[
"Sports",
"Tennis",
"australian open"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x1f4c40df39f5be9cb8c2eb8ea95d8054fee9b462d14b05ff5123b6c5372c2c04
|
0x6b394949cea4f505bbef44a6078f6cd4475b811ccdcdfd9007ec644b4a4a23e2
|
Will Trump issue 25-29 executive orders on Day 1?
|
This market will resolve to “Yes” Donald Trump as US President issues and signs between 25 (inclusive) and 29 (inclusive) executive orders on January 20, 2025.
Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.”
The resolution source for this market is the the Office of the Federal Register (https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders) however official information from the White House (https://www.whitehouse.gov/) may also be used. Only executive orders with issuance dates of January 20, 2025 will count for this market.
|
2025-01-30T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-trump-issue-25-29-executive-orders-on-day-1
|
[
"Politics",
"Trump",
"Trump Presidency",
"Inauguration",
"Trump Day 1"
] | false
| 1
| 0
|
0x686632732cc8526bdf13cf1c0494dbfbc8b7bbf34acd3c990570683a6c99ac33
|
0x214593566e06f02a01f1317cd0ca7503c7d3aa27d64a57b709d083c16056ae49
|
Will Trump say "Border" 5 or more times during his Mar-a-Lago press conference?
|
President-elect Donald J. Trump is expected to hold his second news conference since winning the election in November on Tuesday morning at his Florida residence and club, Mar-a-Lago (see: https://www.nytimes.com/live/2025/01/07/us/trump-news) .
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "border" 5 or more times during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.
Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.
Compound words will count as long as "border" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to a political boundary between nations.
If the press conference is permanently canceled or delayed beyond January 8, 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be the video of the speech.
|
2025-01-07T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-trump-say-border-5-or-more-times-during-his-mar-a-lago-press-conference-1
|
[
"Politics",
"Trump",
"Mentions"
] | false
| 1
| 0
|
0x2311502735d92e06fbd297c12c25ceae40cb071a62f87e3539d4f89dd15827aa
|
0xc9724206fca7531faadd496d10721ef69d4c6bcd5007dbb5ca44eb795d4b9707
|
Will Trump impose tariffs on Canada in his first week?
|
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump or his administration (including the Department of Commerce) impose any new or increased tariffs on Canada by January 27, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any tariff which is officially enacted within the market's time frame will qualify, regardless of when the tariff goes into effect.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.
|
2025-01-27T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-trump-impose-tariffs-on-canada-in-his-first-week
|
[
"Politics",
"Trump",
"AI",
"Economy",
"Trump Presidency",
"Trump Week 1",
"DeepSeek"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x4d6783954de681fc8f44423eac280b905d66c49b595c799057dadc669b355cdc
|
0xf623d5075ad1d6edc22875aed38277ef446eb1bb5191f0dcf6047716eab2fad1
|
Will Stan Wawrinka reach the quarterfinals of the Australian Open?
|
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Stan Wawrinka reaches the quarterfinals of the 2025 Australian Open Men’s Singles tournament. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this player to reach the quarterfinals of the Australian Open Men’s Singles Tournament (e.g., they are eliminated in a prior round), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Australian Open (https://www.ausopen.com), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
|
2025-01-20T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-stan-wawrinka-reach-the-quarterfinals-of-the-australian-open
|
[
"Sports",
"Tennis",
"australian open"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xbd24038f927cd1bcecdf157d329b4b65dee1cfb3736634df7c1cf301e2250407
|
0x6948116e622182a598e6e8aa61556fce0e4e24edd1afcab349e49c03ce76af5f
|
Will Joao Fonseca win the Australian Open?
|
The market will resolve to “Yes” if Joao Fonseca wins the 2025 Australian Open Men’s Singles tournament. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this player to win the Australian Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the Australian Open, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Australian Open (https://www.ausopen.com), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
|
2025-01-26T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-joao-fonseca-win-the-australian-open
|
[
"Sports",
"Tennis",
"australian open"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xf2bcd902f0d0a09c1d47a97ea2465723ff743bbd0e65a296fbf111504fd08b06
|
0x75f7ea03d9dd80b690413a8fa18d55abe793ded352ff83b77fc9af8c07074b51
|
Will Louka T. Katseli be next Greek President?
|
An indirect presidential election is due to be held in Greece by February 2025 for the President of the Hellenic Republic.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Louka T. Katseli is elected by the Hellenic Parliament as the next President of Greece by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as announced by he Hellenic Parliament.
|
2025-01-31T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-louka-t-katseli-be-next-greek-president
|
[
"Politics",
"Global Elections",
"World Elections"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xbcf5dca82246a307215d9f7f11da69f51a719e56e27f1bccf2f0f25250d7df3c
|
0x034fe35854180cffde8e0d74a149468031ed7d2ed602e16f0ac6a50593257e57
|
Will Juncheng Shang reach the quarterfinals of the Australian Open?
|
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Juncheng Shang reaches the quarterfinals of the 2025 Australian Open Men’s Singles tournament. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this player to reach the quarterfinals of the Australian Open Men’s Singles Tournament (e.g., they are eliminated in a prior round), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Australian Open (https://www.ausopen.com), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
|
2025-01-20T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-juncheng-shang-reach-the-quarterfinals-of-the-australian-open
|
[
"Sports",
"Tennis",
"australian open"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xbd24038f927cd1bcecdf157d329b4b65dee1cfb3736634df7c1cf301e225040b
|
0xa3c2fa5bb74c41a75feaa495f27e758db2dbcab077b5622a594a76d92eab4414
|
Will Stefanos Tsitsipas win the Australian Open?
|
The market will resolve to “Yes” if Stefanos Tsitsipas wins the 2025 Australian Open Men’s Singles tournament. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this player to win the Australian Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the Australian Open, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Australian Open (https://www.ausopen.com), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
|
2025-01-26T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-stefanos-tsitsipas-win-the-australian-open
|
[
"Sports",
"Tennis",
"australian open"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x0a6f8bfa2297b897f9df3a0e8f8f98a475d1010898b6f104aaf60726fbc1b6d2
|
0x5b7375c6a14726164eb9e12fae94506f3df6784b5b91b131633f9bd36c1a2e8c
|
Will Lorenzo Musetti reach the quarterfinals of the Australian Open?
|
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Lorenzo Musetti reaches the quarterfinals of the 2025 Australian Open Men’s Singles tournament. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this player to reach the quarterfinals of the Australian Open Men’s Singles Tournament (e.g., they are eliminated in a prior round), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Australian Open (https://www.ausopen.com), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
|
2025-01-20T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-lorenzo-musetti-reach-the-quarterfinals-of-the-australian-open
|
[
"Sports",
"Tennis",
"australian open"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x3f1fb774931a2eb0e7756a8301688e47a1d0589fa43dd9f11b39564c587eaee3
|
0x76fe192cf485e33a8210a3dfb1fb7caf424a8fe2266ed1d4869dd0bc99776613
|
Warriors vs. Raptors
|
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for January 13 at 7:30PM ET:
If the Golden State Warriors win, the market will resolve to “Warriors”.
If the Toronto Raptors win, the market will resolve to “Raptors”.
If the game is not completed by January 20, 2025 (11:59 PM ET) or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve 50-50.
|
2025-01-21T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
nba-gsw-tor-2025-01-13
|
[
"Sports",
"NBA",
"Games"
] | false
| null | null |
0xdfa63125c43de698fa8225e134553484af58ce0484a4e9cd3947424cd41f4e93
|
0x14e7a202f66c21bb2888a76897513043df18288769773b85997dfea14fd0ddc2
|
Karen Bass out as Mayor of LA before April?
|
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Karen Bass is no longer serving as Mayor of Los Angeles for any length of time between January 7 and March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An announcement of Karen Bass's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
This market's resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
|
2025-03-31T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
karen-bass-out-as-mayor-of-la-before-july
|
[
"Politics",
"Los Angeles",
"Wildfire"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x73e47f2984820fa26407973374cff0b938ab165e5af648d7da1fb660cf2a9772
|
0x54ba612317c618a909d753e08809efaa5529eb3ca4a11b4cc0ef18c291f6024f
|
Will Trump tweet on inauguration day?
|
This market will resolve to "Yes" if @realDonaldTrump post on X on January 20, ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, all quote and reply tweets count toward a "Yes" resolution, but retweets will not count.
The resolution source for this market will be Donald J. Trump's verified Twitter account: https://twitter.com/realdonaldtrump.
Please note, only the @realDonaldTrump verified Twitter account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If Donald J. Trump tweets from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.
|
2025-01-20T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-trump-tweet-on-inauguration-day
|
[
"Trump",
"Twitter",
"X",
"Inauguration",
"Trump Day 1"
] | false
| 1
| 0
|
0xcabacebd241834fc021fb340f27fa26efabe6e55529bf2fe14302788f72f780a
|
0x94fe16320bf2a5aff3a078a2d89fc4729cd852b068df81acf00c0001e4993e79
|
Will Jessica Pegula win the Australian Open?
|
The market will resolve to “Yes” if Jessica Pegula wins the 2025 Australian Open Women’s Singles tournament. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this player to win the Australian Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the Australian Open, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Australian Open (https://www.ausopen.com), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
|
2025-01-25T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-jessica-pegula-win-the-australian-open
|
[
"Sports",
"Tennis"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x9c55d62dc1006b1fd38e0880eb6a8883e6389ce3cb932370f5ea11e47d540700
|
0x2a91dfe2772b5ce97eda924f0e467f76c7d0049f819e873341e60ad1efc669f6
|
Will Jeremiah Smith score a TD AND Quinn Ewers throws one or more INT?
|
This market will resolver to “Yes if in the Cotton Bowl matchup between the Texas Longhorns and THE Ohio State Buckeyes scheduled for January 10, 2025, 7:30 PM ET the following happens:
Jeremaih Smith of THE Ohio State Buckeyes scores at least one rushing or receiving touchdown.
Quinn Ewers of the Texas Longhorns throws (at least one) interception.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If this game is postponed after January 10, 2025 (11:59 PM ET) or canceled this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the CFP; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
|
2025-01-10T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-jeremiah-smith-score-a-td-and-quinn-ewers-throws-one-or-more-int
|
[
"Sports",
"texas",
"ohio state",
"CFB",
"Creators",
"CFP",
"JPAFootball"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xcabacebd241834fc021fb340f27fa26efabe6e55529bf2fe14302788f72f7802
|
0x6656dab9b69af17c43af5e7d2ce7d2641eb699756967b0d0555749c39d1c054c
|
Will Iga Swiatek win the Australian Open?
|
The market will resolve to “Yes” if Iga Swiatek wins the 2025 Australian Open Women’s Singles tournament. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this player to win the Australian Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the Australian Open, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Australian Open (https://www.ausopen.com), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
|
2025-01-25T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-iga-swiatek-win-the-australian-open
|
[
"Sports",
"Tennis"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xe7b9c45d451d5dd0cb66e719846f63660c480d90908c76680497726bc34e2901
|
0x010196850c290b12dcc18a5d8c332f1899ca8b85b9d99eeb4e13b271d71e56bf
|
Will Newcastle vs. Bournemouth end in a draw?
|
In the upcoming EPL game, scheduled for January 18 at 7:30AM ET,
If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to “Yes”. If not, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the game is canceled or delayed beyond 2025-02-18 or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve to “Yes”.
|
2025-01-18T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
epl-new-bou-2025-01-18-draw
|
[
"Sports",
"Premier League",
"EPL",
"Games"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x804f4df5835b0c000fb355cb8b69fe3ab3e971a38de45efc8f68618c2ec13ea7
|
0x82eaae73a6165779db077a8e28f5775ee71bb0b7706425bf3b70a1d60e67bffb
|
Will Facebook implement "community notes" before April?
|
On January 7, Mark Zuckerberg announced plans to replace its fact-checking program with a community-driven "community notes" system similar to that used by X (see: https://www.nbcnews.com/tech/social-media/meta-ends-fact-checking-program-community-notes-x-rcna186468).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Facebook implements a "community notes" system for a majority of U.S. users by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source will be Facebook, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
|
2025-03-31T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-facebook-implement-community-notes-before-april
|
[
"Business",
"Elon Musk",
"censorship",
"Tech",
"Meta"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x4e343cd3b941b2d56fc566706a8473fb721bf7814488e2ce18231628dd602c09
|
0x3cd5c7d1c7418ea4c587ec266c66fa1e1ec808d812af05604eb18e7127a7b126
|
Will the Patriots draft Kelvin Banks Jr.?
|
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kelvin Banks Jr. is taken by the New England Patriots with their first selection of the 2025 NFL Draft. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL, or announcements from specific NFL teams, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
|
2025-04-24T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-the-patriots-draft-kelvin-banks-jr
|
[
"Sports",
"NFL",
"new england patriots",
"NFL Draft",
"draft",
"Cam Ward"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x6f83878b4b1f49629d1464c2a4d012e47e30559c2c2cb425fd9d67b11435b409
|
0xd674ff43dbf08757d2ff2ab6f51db94b903b91c250991545b397472591acd7b8
|
Will the Raiders hire Joe Brady as their next head coach?
|
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Joe Brady is announced as the next head coach of the Las Vegas Raiders for the 2025-26 NFL season by March 12, 2025, 4:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the Raiders announce they have hired another head coach for the 2025-26 NFL Season, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market is official information from the Las Vegas Raiders, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
|
2025-03-12T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-the-raiders-hire-joe-brady-as-their-next-head-coach
|
[
"Sports",
"raiders",
"Canada",
"Oakland",
"Las Vegas"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x1f4c40df39f5be9cb8c2eb8ea95d8054fee9b462d14b05ff5123b6c5372c2c03
|
0x5ec428b3dbbf13c5736c6e6bf5da4b314f557a3524018ba0c827cc569ef8ba93
|
Will Trump issue 20-24 executive orders on Day 1?
|
This market will resolve to “Yes” Donald Trump as US President issues and signs between 20 (inclusive) and 24 (inclusive) executive orders on January 20, 2025.
Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.”
The resolution source for this market is the the Office of the Federal Register (https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders) however official information from the White House (https://www.whitehouse.gov/) may also be used. Only executive orders with issuance dates of January 20, 2025 will count for this market.
|
2025-01-30T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-trump-issue-20-24-executive-orders-on-day-1
|
[
"Politics",
"Trump",
"Trump Presidency",
"Inauguration",
"Trump Day 1"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x2fbed53ca8c4bc1ff408937e287c9b1c5526e23b446bc7e03ddaf63f65e41e05
|
0x6b28105f897bc1d758ce8a4b719b7712a4ce00c874dab813659a91fb2420b5ec
|
Will Trump's inaugural address be 2,000-2,200 words?
|
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump's inaugural address is between 2,000 (inclusive) and 2,200 (exclusive) words in length. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
If Donald Trump does not give an inauguration speech by January 21, 6:00 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the official transcript of the speech released by the White House.
|
2025-01-20T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-trumps-inaugural-address-be-2000-2200-words
|
[
"Politics",
"Trump",
"speech",
"Inauguration"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xbd24038f927cd1bcecdf157d329b4b65dee1cfb3736634df7c1cf301e2250403
|
0xa5f0c941d36a811cad77ecf6e3b0ccdceaa42457530a7ed73128c89b9e616ae3
|
Will Alexander Zverev win the Australian Open?
|
The market will resolve to “Yes” if Alexander Zverev wins the 2025 Australian Open Men’s Singles tournament. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this player to win the Australian Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the Australian Open, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Australian Open (https://www.ausopen.com), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
|
2025-01-26T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-alexander-zverev-win-the-australian-open
|
[
"Sports",
"Tennis",
"australian open"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x4e343cd3b941b2d56fc566706a8473fb721bf7814488e2ce18231628dd602c06
|
0x37b6418aa36977ad36d45a4b3e941aea61e6ee354497e7597d077a718d116586
|
Will the Patriots draft Abdul Carter?
|
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Abdul Carter is taken by the New England Patriots with their first selection of the 2025 NFL Draft. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL, or announcements from specific NFL teams, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
|
2025-04-24T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-the-patriots-draft-abdul-carter
|
[
"Sports",
"NFL",
"new england patriots",
"NFL Draft",
"draft",
"Cam Ward"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x84a933691ed2d649c1be6984a48f79529c68933cbc20c7487005484a3ad98600
|
0x0edd92f077aefe5a9172f9908f7a215af9c0b1615188fcd7d1cdfc62fef38f25
|
Will Chelsea win on 2025-01-14?
|
In the upcoming EPL game, scheduled for January 14 at 2:30PM ET,
If Chelsea wins, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
If Chelsea loses, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the game is canceled or delayed beyond 2025-02-14 or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve to “No”.
|
2025-01-14T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
epl-che-bou-2025-01-14-che
|
[
"Sports",
"Premier League",
"EPL",
"Games"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x67459536876ec70e20a2e087fb39485459095b4df67e3ac6728d09711319fdfc
|
0x48b89ee1ee4632a1f3e173782e7081121c2c95035be6bcc0f9c3c8a119aae9e6
|
Arsonists arrested in connection with LA wildfires?
|
On January 9, videos showing alleged acts of arson in Los Angeles county were reported (see: https://www.timesnownews.com/world/us/us-news/arsonists-caught-setting-fires-in-302-pico-in-santa-monica-video-amid-los-angeles-fire-surfaces-article-117073863).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any person is arrested in connection with starting fires in Los Angeles county between January 7, and January 9, by January 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Actions such as questioning or detention without an individual formally coming under arrest will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source will be official information from law enforcement agencies, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
|
2025-01-31T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
arsonists-arrested-in-connection-with-los-angeles-wildfires
|
[
"Weather",
"California",
"Wildfire"
] | false
| 1
| 0
|
0xfd694e8659415a541a5182307234ea595237758cb1a93c160fc7e6be2d29be01
|
0xa6223de270615c58b365330e20e2fffe447ca01772a1868ab4f7dc59fbdda4b6
|
Will Liverpool beat Tottenham?
|
This market refers to the Carabao Cup Semifinal Leg 1 match between Tottenham and Liverpool scheduled for January 8, 2025, 3:00 PM ET.
If Liverpool wins the match, this market will resolve to “Yes.” Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If the game is canceled or delayed beyond January 15, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No.”
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Carabao Cup.
|
2025-01-08T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-liverpool-beat-tottenham
|
[
"Sports",
"Soccer",
"Games",
"Liverpool",
"Tottenham",
"Carabao Cup"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x9d2153046963793447caff38f812ecca13f551d9e0fd7a758827f24dbbe9c9dc
|
0xb5cae5fb1ba7bdd5e0f4d86b15a8a2b657b8426212972cd487cb7ca816d9a782
|
Will Karen Khachanov reach the quarterfinals of the Australian Open?
|
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Karen Khachanov reaches the quarterfinals of the 2025 Australian Open Men’s Singles tournament. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this player to reach the quarterfinals of the Australian Open Men’s Singles Tournament (e.g., they are eliminated in a prior round), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Australian Open (https://www.ausopen.com), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
|
2025-01-20T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-karen-khachanov-reach-the-quarterfinals-of-the-australian-open
|
[
"Sports",
"Tennis",
"australian open"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x9fae28a0f6f34625bf13ab75d7377627cc9c1baa59dd0ac044a3956f23400901
|
0xdbfa34f5c5c9d1e2c3c5c82f210411ab4bf627dd0aba517989dc37d74431d25a
|
Will Elon tweet 400-449 times Jan 10-17?
|
If Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts between 400 (inclusive) and 449 (inclusive) on X between January 10, 2025, 12:00 PM ET and January 17, 2025, 12:00 PM ET this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts posts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the ‘Post Counter’ figure for posts found at https://www.xtracker.io/. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
|
2025-01-17T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-elon-tweet-400-449-times-jan-10-17
|
[
"Elon Musk",
"Culture",
"Tweet Markets",
"Elon Tweets"
] | false
| 1
| 0
|
0x2f05c1d9794c0094738c99099a41a6a0d349e13cdc2ff34e1d87fb3822c84903
|
0x79d78aaa7abc25c8863af1268cb1d6ac627a8bcb2554c8e48b5dabbcad439de1
|
Will LA wildfires burn 50-60k acres by Sunday?
|
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the sum of all wildfires in Los Angeles county burn between 50,000 (inclusive) and 60,000 (exclusive) acres by January 12, 2025, 11:59 PM PT (Pacific Time). Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.”
This market refers to all wildfires in Los Angeles county, over 10 acres, which began between January 7, 2025, and this market's resolution date. This currently includes the Palisades, Eaton, Hurst, Lidia, Sunset, and Woodley fires, however any new fires recorded by the California Department of Forestry and Fire Protection will also count.
The resolution source is official updates from https://www.fire.ca.gov/. If the website for the California Department of Forestry and Fire Protection becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.
|
2025-01-12T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-la-wildfires-burn-50-60k-acres-by-sunday
|
[
"Weather",
"California",
"Wildfire",
"palisades",
"eaton"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xb7b61f42beee32a01d96798bb785005368f56ebe38b4b7559ec6e9e628a53d66
|
0xe6807313e41750dafa46d8c59cb358605cffbea02f38d3475c61db93f73672e1
|
Will the Palisades fire be 50% contained by January 31?
|
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Palisades fire in California is 50% or more contained by January 31, 2025, 11:59 PM PT (Pacific Time). Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.”
The resolution source is official updates from https://www.fire.ca.gov/. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
|
2025-01-12T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-the-palisades-fire-be-50-contained-by-january-31
|
[
"Science",
"Weather",
"Los Angeles",
"Wildfire"
] | false
| 1
| 0
|
0x8c861254bc0bc71526959e9f4e8abecea41bbef55f8b0230c979f60f6a7fb8a9
|
0xf4ffd98d49046e0d13276a1734542477ad268ec68bca70b4e93ecc9bbeb6adef
|
Will the Buccaneers and Commanders combine for 51 or more points?
|
This market refers to the NFL Playoff matchup between the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and the Washington Commanders scheduled for January 12, 2025, at 4:30 PM ET.
If the combined total points scored by the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and the Washington Commanders in their game is 51 or more, this market will resolve to “Over.” If it is less than 51, this market will resolve to “Under.”
If this game is postponed after January 19, 2025 (11:59 PM ET), or canceled, this market will resolve 50-50.
|
2025-01-12T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-the-buccaneers-and-commanders-combine-for-51-or-more-points
|
[
"Sports",
"buccaneers",
"commanders",
"NFL",
"playoffs",
"Games"
] | false
| null | null |
0xb78a01dfad07dc8acc5ca8d84e5a212a96f8aa7a9b380819af11b680bc2b0003
|
0x7beb98acec87b36e03206d1147d57280e1831ead3894fab4ef2cff854c7fe7a0
|
Palisades fire burns 25,000-30,000 acres by Friday?
|
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Palisades fire in California burns between 25,000 (inclusive) and 30,000 (exclusive) acres by January 10, 2025, 11:59 PM PT (Pacific Time). Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.”
The resolution source is official updates from https://www.fire.ca.gov/. If the website for the California Department of Forestry and Fire Protection becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.
|
2025-01-10T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
palisades-fire-burns-25000-30000-acres-by-friday
|
[
"Science",
"California",
"Wildfire"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xbd24038f927cd1bcecdf157d329b4b65dee1cfb3736634df7c1cf301e2250408
|
0xdcc873a596fc7eaea953dff19a874bc84a94add91afe2362fea6c10b0bd6888b
|
Will Jack Draper win the Australian Open?
|
The market will resolve to “Yes” if Jack Draper wins the 2025 Australian Open Men’s Singles tournament. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this player to win the Australian Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the Australian Open, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Australian Open (https://www.ausopen.com), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
|
2025-01-26T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-jack-draper-win-the-australian-open
|
[
"Sports",
"Tennis",
"australian open"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x8fe92383ee96c5abf056700847de16590506a3256143629955fa94cdf8681302
|
0x72f8c5038a64ca156fa9c96391fcd2aebd6cdad595e41bc208a439a06c2e27e1
|
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-01-18?
|
In the upcoming EPL game, scheduled for January 18 at 10:00AM ET,
If Crystal Palace wins, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
If Crystal Palace loses, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the game is canceled or delayed beyond 2025-02-18 or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve to “No”.
|
2025-01-18T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
epl-wes-cry-2025-01-18-cry
|
[
"Sports",
"Premier League",
"EPL",
"Games"
] | false
| 1
| 0
|
0x254ab79bca449ae140dc86233089669110425c437116dc279b01bfe2f9d85901
|
0x1204603b26f3732c6891fba272f856d26a94b0a1669bc204b5a22391da2bdbb5
|
Will Everton vs. Tottenham end in a draw?
|
In the upcoming EPL game, scheduled for January 19 at 9:00AM ET,
If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to “Yes”. If not, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the game is canceled or delayed beyond 2025-02-19 or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve to “Yes”.
|
2025-01-19T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
epl-eve-tot-2025-01-19-draw
|
[
"Sports",
"Premier League",
"EPL",
"Games"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x0fb9f37b826b89ede3fabbc4f3388adccb5fc57df0a9458357ea917274277900
|
0x2320dc59b902ec8dd2bf8c438998dbeb759a6bb9f911dad45771f3cdbe1ee09b
|
Will Brentford win on 2025-01-14?
|
In the upcoming EPL game, scheduled for January 14 at 2:30PM ET,
If Brentford wins, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
If Brentford loses, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the game is canceled or delayed beyond 2025-02-14 or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve to “No”.
|
2025-01-14T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
epl-bre-mac-2025-01-14-bre
|
[
"Sports",
"Premier League",
"EPL",
"Games"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x1b52db61ba5f5923ffd1dd3b2cd08b9c105b7c3742ec84123459966dbd425056
|
0x12ee4851b6b82156a06deb45f3eb8b1f2b16b8353047a2c211566c7c5f863865
|
Will Denis Shapovalov reach the quarterfinals of the Australian Open?
|
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Denis Shapovalov reaches the quarterfinals of the 2025 Australian Open Men’s Singles tournament. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this player to reach the quarterfinals of the Australian Open Men’s Singles Tournament (e.g., they are eliminated in a prior round), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Australian Open (https://www.ausopen.com), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
|
2025-01-20T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-denis-shapovalov-reach-the-quarterfinals-of-the-australian-open
|
[
"Sports",
"Tennis",
"australian open"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xb6b513a06d47fda13d5306d003cac94619c9b995fc270c5af8cf8f5248a2e104
|
0xb967e26397960de96637743b4884927aa5fe05e7181b8d16614a64cafc219b43
|
Will there be 8-10 inches of snow in NYC in Jan?
|
If the total snowfall in Central Park, New York City in January, 2025 is between 8 (inclusive) and 10 (exclusive) inches according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), then this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for January 2025 under "New Snow (IN)" when the "Daily data for a month" for "Central Park NY" is selected at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized all the days of January.
|
2025-01-31T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-there-be-8-10-inches-of-snow-in-nyc-in-jan
|
[
"Science",
"Weather",
"Culture",
"winter"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xaa5ed7d29348ae95c2a6766ae0fd9278f8dfb9f0e4bfb3391e2b648e2bd05606
|
0x257444e22c041ff227168f39ed152faf2da67711fb2f6ce5504266511506f553
|
Will Elon tweet 675-699 times Jan 3-Jan 10?
|
If Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts between 675 (inclusive) and 699 (inclusive) times on X between January 3, 2025, 12:00 PM ET and January 10, 2025, 12:00 PM ET this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts posts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the ‘Post Counter’ figure for posts found at https://www.xtracker.io/. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
|
2025-01-10T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-elon-tweet-675-699-times-jan-3-jan-10
|
[
"Twitter",
"Elon Musk",
"Culture",
"Tweet Markets",
"Elon Tweets"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x4e343cd3b941b2d56fc566706a8473fb721bf7814488e2ce18231628dd602c08
|
0x525d7b9db820c6c4ab45b25af32feb5e5ae291d9d19d0e11cdab8797e31163a4
|
Will the Patriots draft Will Campbell?
|
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Will Campbell is taken by the New England Patriots with their first selection of the 2025 NFL Draft. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL, or announcements from specific NFL teams, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
|
2025-04-24T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-the-patriots-draft-will-campbell
|
[
"Sports",
"NFL",
"new england patriots",
"NFL Draft",
"draft",
"Cam Ward"
] | false
| 1
| 0
|
0x9fae28a0f6f34625bf13ab75d7377627cc9c1baa59dd0ac044a3956f23400909
|
0x531c9194ca2ef1c0596e42497640e15ac36b172e2a772e631c934a2b0a59d86b
|
Will Elon tweet 800 or more times Jan 10-17?
|
If Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts 800 or more times on X between January 10, 2025, 12:00 PM ET and January 17, 2025, 12:00 PM ET this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts posts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the ‘Post Counter’ figure for posts found at https://www.xtracker.io/. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
|
2025-01-17T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-elon-tweet-800-or-more-times-jan-10-17-1
|
[
"Elon Musk",
"Culture",
"Tweet Markets",
"Elon Tweets"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xcfddbd44680b0c9381a3cebec5a72e5a3603aa03dcf320d6e91f53f67a8e3808
|
0xf2960dd4920ef5c248eaf046d03f31a854702eaad689a8b7738019c310c1d406
|
Will Andrew Tate tweet 120-129 times Jan 10-17?
|
If Andrew Tate (@Cobratate), posts between 120 (inclusive) and 129 (inclusive) times on X between January 10, 2025, 12:00 PM ET and January 17, 2025, 12:00 PM ET this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts posts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the ‘Post Counter’ figure for posts found at https://www.xtracker.io/. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
|
2025-01-17T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-andrew-tate-tweet-120-129-times-jan-10-17
|
[
"Twitter",
"Culture",
"Tweet Markets",
"X"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x0a24fca44cf6fa5680d5482297c2497f26362c320cf0ff64e4ff95e901d3d47b
|
0xbd6a6c8276f4dc5aca38ce0d4a29c2d89341ee9d04270dfac2c3bb6c67a53465
|
Will Ben Shelton reach the quarterfinals of the Australian Open?
|
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ben Shelton reaches the quarterfinals of the 2025 Australian Open Men’s Singles tournament. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this player to reach the quarterfinals of the Australian Open Men’s Singles Tournament (e.g., they are eliminated in a prior round), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Australian Open (https://www.ausopen.com), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
| null | true
| true
|
will-ben-shelton-reach-the-quarterfinals-of-the-australian-open
|
[
"Sports",
"Tennis",
"australian open"
] | false
| 1
| 0
|
0xaa5ed7d29348ae95c2a6766ae0fd9278f8dfb9f0e4bfb3391e2b648e2bd05605
|
0x99027e405731cec721127a7d96da3c28bc9a6d83638596193d91b561a718cbf3
|
Will Elon tweet 650-674 times Jan 3-Jan 10?
|
If Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts between 650 (inclusive) and 674 (inclusive) times on X between January 3, 2025, 12:00 PM ET and January 10, 2025, 12:00 PM ET this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts posts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the ‘Post Counter’ figure for posts found at https://www.xtracker.io/. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
|
2025-01-10T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-elon-tweet-650-674-times-jan-3-jan-10
|
[
"Twitter",
"Elon Musk",
"Culture",
"Tweet Markets",
"Elon Tweets"
] | false
| 1
| 0
|
0x5d1bea6c66f30814e09ca5053a4078b8cc78adaeb6699d3c61bc6fe18529318f
|
0xd09cef3c1c65e90327a93b8f8f65f43df957025a849467be178019069618d17f
|
Palisades wildfire burns 10,000 acres by Friday?
|
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Palisades fire in California burns 10,000 or more acres by January 10, 2025, 11:59 PM PT (Pacific Time). Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.”
The resolution source is official updates from https://www.fire.ca.gov/. If the website for the California Department of Forestry and Fire Protection becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.
|
2025-01-10T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
palisades-fire-burns-10000-acres-by-friday
|
[
"Science",
"California",
"LA",
"Los Angeles",
"wildfirezz",
"Wildfire"
] | false
| 1
| 0
|
0x2f05c1d9794c0094738c99099a41a6a0d349e13cdc2ff34e1d87fb3822c84904
|
0xaf5c8cb35003d61f3c0b3bba707690f93bc10cb9296024112bc89522234bbbe6
|
Will LA wildfires burn 60-70k acres by Sunday?
|
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the sum of all wildfires in Los Angeles county burn between 60,000 (inclusive) and 70,000 (exclusive) acres by January 12, 2025, 11:59 PM PT (Pacific Time). Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.”
This market refers to all wildfires in Los Angeles county, over 10 acres, which began between January 7, 2025, and this market's resolution date. This currently includes the Palisades, Eaton, Hurst, Lidia, Sunset, and Woodley fires, however any new fires recorded by the California Department of Forestry and Fire Protection will also count.
The resolution source is official updates from https://www.fire.ca.gov/. If the website for the California Department of Forestry and Fire Protection becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.
|
2025-01-12T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-la-wildfires-burn-60-70k-acres-by-sunday
|
[
"Weather",
"California",
"Wildfire",
"palisades",
"eaton"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x1f4c40df39f5be9cb8c2eb8ea95d8054fee9b462d14b05ff5123b6c5372c2c00
|
0x8566865c2f3a559a5b58e045289cd6437ad1d5437fee535b26d18d3b6b950afc
|
Will Trump issue less than 10 executive orders on Day 1?
|
This market will resolve to “Yes” Donald Trump as US President issues and signs less than 10 executive orders on January 20, 2025.
Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.”
The resolution source for this market is the the Office of the Federal Register (https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders) however official information from the White House (https://www.whitehouse.gov/) may also be used. Only executive orders with issuance dates of January 20, 2025 will count for this market.
|
2025-01-30T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-trump-issue-less-than-10-executive-orders-on-day-1
|
[
"Politics",
"Trump",
"Trump Presidency",
"Inauguration",
"Trump Day 1"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xbd24038f927cd1bcecdf157d329b4b65dee1cfb3736634df7c1cf301e225040a
|
0x2bce9243b6d4d8283b7b7829d0e3a00d9a249cadc41c6279ca8e5dee422cecad
|
Will Holger Rune win the Australian Open?
|
The market will resolve to “Yes” if Holger Rune wins the 2025 Australian Open Men’s Singles tournament. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this player to win the Australian Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the Australian Open, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Australian Open (https://www.ausopen.com), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
|
2025-01-26T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-holger-rune-win-the-australian-open
|
[
"Sports",
"Tennis",
"australian open"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xe77f84940847f136a91ae4f0cca00fba29f79c1e034ae4646902caa65499c103
|
0x1a4a0be397ea4930c2dec267a93da3cf04cb9d8e1f896b19d172e32f64fdf359
|
Will 'Den of Thieves 2: Pantera' opening weekend gross $22m or more?
|
This is a market on how much 'Den of Thieves 2: Pantera' (2025) will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The “Box Office” tab on https://www.the-numbers.com/movie/Den-of-Thieves-2-Pantera-(2025)#tab=box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (January 10 - 13) are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if 'Den of Thieves 2: Pantera' (2025) grosses between $22,000,000 or more on its 3-day opening weekend. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
|
2025-01-13T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-den-of-thieves-2-pantera-opening-weekend-gross-22m-or-more
|
[
"box office",
"Movies",
"Culture"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xe1e4cbdaa51af71135755acc7377473b2c417953c53bb1c5bf687af74c5b2bb1
|
0x850bf92195e8d03219e8a292eb3c1935d4dc55ea9e902837f761faf6df25252a
|
Will Trump save TikTok in first 100 days?
|
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump as President of the United States signs any federal legislation or performs any executive action by April 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET that has the effect of overturning or delaying the enforcement of the federal law mandating TikTok’s sale or ban. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any law or executive action meeting these criteria will count, even if its implementation is immediately halted or delayed by judicial or other actions.
Any bill signed into law or executive action taken within this market's time frame will qualify, regardless of when the law or action goes into effect.
This market's resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration.
|
2025-04-29T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-trump-save-tiktok-in-first-100-days
|
[
"Politics",
"Trump",
"Breaking News",
"TikTok",
"Trump Presidency",
"Trump 100 Days"
] | false
| 1
| 0
|
0x9fae28a0f6f34625bf13ab75d7377627cc9c1baa59dd0ac044a3956f23400906
|
0x7f8ef8d3fcd55d0a3ff254888f547fc2a06505c9c9cfefcbfe0a3b0074464404
|
Will Elon tweet 650-699 times Jan 10-17?
|
If Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts between 650 (inclusive) and 699 (inclusive) on X between January 10, 2025, 12:00 PM ET and January 17, 2025, 12:00 PM ET this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts posts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the ‘Post Counter’ figure for posts found at https://www.xtracker.io/. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
|
2025-01-17T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-elon-tweet-650-699-times-jan-10-17
|
[
"Elon Musk",
"Culture",
"Tweet Markets",
"Elon Tweets"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xbd24038f927cd1bcecdf157d329b4b65dee1cfb3736634df7c1cf301e225040e
|
0x99e0cc0766dcc957512d8aa3e24785ff8cdf99ae8e8dc241d0cba7a3834efcc9
|
Will Tommy Paul win the Australian Open?
|
The market will resolve to “Yes” if Tommy Paul wins the 2025 Australian Open Men’s Singles tournament. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this player to win the Australian Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the Australian Open, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Australian Open (https://www.ausopen.com), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
|
2025-01-26T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-tommy-paul-win-the-australian-open
|
[
"Sports",
"Tennis",
"australian open"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xb78a01dfad07dc8acc5ca8d84e5a212a96f8aa7a9b380819af11b680bc2b0002
|
0x8b9c0ffe72e98a6aab258fdb0a0498c0bce38e0cb8aa04be169c497ab4b7b507
|
Palisades fire burns 20,000-25,000 acres by Friday?
|
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Palisades fire in California burns between 20,000 (inclusive) and 25,000 (exclusive) acres by January 10, 2025, 11:59 PM PT (Pacific Time). Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.”
The resolution source is official updates from https://www.fire.ca.gov/. If the website for the California Department of Forestry and Fire Protection becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.
|
2025-01-10T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
palisades-fire-burns-20000-25000-acres-by-friday
|
[
"Science",
"California",
"Wildfire"
] | false
| 1
| 0
|
0xae2ccc2973bbb71cb12ccb0aa177bccb6c4c8771bec51d8158fb1dcbc3317507
|
0x93eb7a26efd3f705fe27b02b1637896a04d9b8473d2d7a604438dbee50c16731
|
Will De’Aaron Fox get traded to the Minnesota Timberwolves?
|
This market will resolve to “Yes” if De’Aaron Fox of the Sacramento Kings is traded to the Minnesota Timberwolves before the NBA Trade Deadline for the 2024-25 NBA Season, currently scheduled for February 6, 2025, 3:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The resolution source will be official announcements from the NBA and the Sacramento Kings, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
|
2025-02-12T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-deaaron-fox-get-traded-to-the-minnesota-timberwolves
|
[
"NBA",
"trades"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x06b5ce9b0c8254200b909a2616babb78c9b0ead18436ef200ec922ab42ce088e
|
0x50f2080dd1350ab324547efdf59de2119fb9bbeeb31436475fab5d7ba1749ad8
|
Will Trump say "Canada" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference?
|
President-elect Donald J. Trump is expected to hold his second news conference since winning the election in November on Tuesday morning at his Florida residence and club, Mar-a-Lago (see: https://www.nytimes.com/live/2025/01/07/us/trump-news) .
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "Canada" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.
Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.
Compound words will count as long as "Canada" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the North American country.
If the press conference is permanently canceled or delayed beyond January 8, 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be the video of the speech.
|
2025-01-07T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-trump-say-canada-during-his-mar-a-lago-press-conference
|
[
"Politics",
"Trump",
"Mentions"
] | false
| 1
| 0
|
0xaf344b51d5a0db2025e3fe1eb1e7aa658ecb44be43273031b21a17012dec019e
|
0x8db359bce0d66d5126150bfa1b3027064eb66fe413468a092142ef9433a459f4
|
Heat vs. Clippers
|
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for January 13 at 10:30PM ET:
If the Miami Heat win, the market will resolve to “Heat”.
If the LA Clippers win, the market will resolve to “Clippers”.
If the game is not completed by January 20, 2025 (11:59 PM ET) or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve 50-50.
|
2025-01-21T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
nba-mia-lac-2025-01-13
|
[
"Sports",
"NBA",
"Games"
] | false
| null | null |
0xfad4f6571c57c70377528a889b96e4a78f0bee885fb608a9e77c77cb7f1a7232
|
0x8467f9ceaba110c6bf9ea607463f6dbcd6a1aa10e8351ede9a6abe9fa511d09e
|
Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before April?
|
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sam Altman is no longer serving as CEO of OpenAI for any length of time from the date of this market's inception, December 29, 2024 through March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An announcement of Sam Altman's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from OpenAI and/or Sam Altman, however a consensus of credible reporting sources will also be used.
|
2025-03-31T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
sam-altman-out-as-openai-ceo-before-april
|
[
"Science",
"Business",
"AI",
"OpenAI",
"Culture",
"Tech",
"Big Tech"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x3481142096b7b07e0e4423789cd74735a9ea7e7faa843f786d7573cb3e749101
|
0x1ada458458ab1772b74fcf7234ac4b8fea90277d1584d35aff485a1a6540d288
|
Will Nottingham Forest vs. Liverpool end in a draw?
|
In the upcoming EPL game, scheduled for January 14 at 3:00PM ET,
If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to “Yes”. If not, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the game is canceled or delayed beyond 2025-02-14 or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve to “Yes”.
|
2025-01-14T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
epl-not-liv-2025-01-14-draw
|
[
"Sports",
"Premier League",
"EPL",
"Games"
] | false
| 1
| 0
|
0x4e343cd3b941b2d56fc566706a8473fb721bf7814488e2ce18231628dd602c0a
|
0x6d81dcadebc509b9f8ffe037305d1e7f2ed6955f8a56429f39eb7426a768c0a6
|
Will the Patriots draft Mykel Williams?
|
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mykel Williams is taken by the New England Patriots with their first selection of the 2025 NFL Draft. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL, or announcements from specific NFL teams, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
|
2025-04-24T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-the-patriots-draft-mykel-williams
|
[
"Sports",
"NFL",
"new england patriots",
"NFL Draft",
"draft",
"Cam Ward"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
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