question_id
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stringlengths 159
1.79k
| end_date_iso
stringdate 2024-12-31 00:00:00
2026-02-28 00:00:00
⌀ | active
bool 2
classes | closed
bool 2
classes | market_slug
stringlengths 12
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listlengths 1
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classes | yes_price
float64 0
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⌀ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0x34a0b4e02a10275afdfb18553c8c1f0cb8282fe535703d03b47a9e60aee99700
|
0x7c4090e0157eef79550ebba7d47b5b3a4b53fda4f27fabe52352bed25ff7d6bf
|
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-01-26?
|
In the upcoming EPL game, scheduled for January 26 at 11:30AM ET,
If Aston Villa wins, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
If Aston Villa loses, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve “No”.
|
2025-01-26T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
epl-ast-wes-2025-01-26-ast
|
[
"Sports",
"Premier League",
"EPL",
"Games"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x72dbbc939c7c50d5d4783597d828b21500d2031debe982890f95513d90b3d813
|
0x38de38c208a7c85ca578e0f117a11465541e9d7552fc632c1b272335b38754f1
|
Ducks vs. Lightning
|
In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for January 16 at 7:00PM ET:
If the Anaheim Ducks win, the market will resolve to “Ducks”.
If the Tampa Bay Lightning win, the market will resolve to “Lightning”.
If the game is not completed by January 23, 2025 (11:59 PM ET) or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve 50-50.
|
2025-01-24T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
nhl-ana-tb-2025-01-16
|
[
"Sports",
"NHL",
"Games"
] | false
| null | null |
0x3b3faa1e8d4ad05c35ac13b8ce9ee160a42b85b33ce8750c47257252c640f703
|
0x042cdcc130161949c21052bc9e759f9eb771c269e8d1995c1fbd99b4abfef416
|
Will the Milwaukee Bucks get the #1 seed in 2025 NBA Eastern Conference?
|
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Milwaukee Bucks finish the 2024-2025 NBA Regular Season as the 1 seed in the Eastern Conference standings. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve to “No” if it becomes impossible for this team to finish the 2024-25 NBA Regular Season with the best Regular Season record in the Eastern Conference.
If multiple teams are tied for most wins in the 2024-25 NBA Regular Season in the Eastern Conference, this market will resolve in favor of the team who receives the number 1 seed for the 2025 NBA playoffs. A list of the NBA’s Tiebreak Procedures can be found here: https://ak-static-int.nba.com/wp-content/uploads/sites/2/2017/06/NBA_Tiebreaker_Procedures.pdf
The resolution source for this market will be information from the NBA.
|
2025-04-13T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-the-milwaukee-bucks-get-the-1-seed-in-2025-nba-eastern-conference
|
[
"Sports",
"futures",
"NBA"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xf6d83daf3c9e92c03f20174cd36aba08f05ef1a664d99b6e94b0b5d41850221e
|
0x5e452842185662fb5003aa7afc1152436d2b425481186a4d81cd82b3a4d7be0f
|
Will Biden say "Afghanistan" during farewell address?
|
President Joe Biden’s farewell address is scheduled to take place on January 15, 2025, 8:00 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Biden says "Afghanistan" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.
Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.
Compound words will count as long as "Afghanistan" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the country in central Asia.
If the event is cancelled or delayed beyond January 19, 2025 ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be the video of the speech, however the official transcript will be used to settle cases of ambiguity.
|
2025-01-15T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-biden-say-afghanistan-during-farewell-address
|
[
"Politics",
"Biden",
"speech",
"Mentions"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x2639d8937ffa59253f22b1ec909fa037b2974cd3c6ea6e620d84582805d5d2e6
|
0xf7e9d42528fe95297faa8a09a14aef0032fc05debd72d00f59d081c396026df8
|
Kraken vs. Penguins
|
In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for January 14 at 7:00PM ET:
If the Seattle Kraken win, the market will resolve to “Kraken”.
If the Pittsburgh Penguins win, the market will resolve to “Penguins”.
If the game is not completed by January 21, 2025 (11:59 PM ET) or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve 50-50.
|
2025-01-22T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
nhl-sea-pit-2025-01-14
|
[
"Sports",
"NHL",
"Games"
] | false
| null | null |
0xacd6e98db34d7bc0176e6f6d4bbeacf07b0bfc226c7d41b37217fffa4a042e03
|
0x931a3f3c87db9003bda09a35e850b75bae01b37f72d4558075052cf96913fe47
|
Will global temperature increase by between 1.30-1.34ºC in January 2025?
|
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for January 2025 shows an increase of between 1.30°C and 1.34°C when it is released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An anomaly of between 1.30°C and 1.34°C for January 2025 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" immediately once the data becomes available regardless of whether the figure for January 2025 is later revised.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Jan" in the row "2025" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for January 2025 is provided by NASA by May 1, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "No".
|
2025-01-31T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-global-temperature-increase-by-between-1pt30-1pt34c-in-january-2025
|
[
"Science",
"Weather",
"climate",
"global warming",
"Global Temp",
"2025 Predictions",
"Recurring"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xf2bcd902f0d0a09c1d47a97ea2465723ff743bbd0e65a296fbf111504fd08b0b
|
0x510aaa877845affec5cd66ebeed760a3699c728e534faf119e0ffce76642249b
|
Will Lina Mendoni be next Greek President?
|
An indirect presidential election is due to be held in Greece by February 2025 for the President of the Hellenic Republic.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lina Mendoni is elected by the Hellenic Parliament as the next President of Greece by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as announced by he Hellenic Parliament.
|
2025-01-31T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-lina-mendoni-be-next-greek-president
|
[
"Politics",
"Global Elections",
"World Elections"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x0e164621507983e47d1897997878d9c3028471f9e9d6336279ae76859f8434b4
|
0xe4fbadfe2672e2146b71dab7ff03852af95c98dc3ffc53436df5bb21ad74e0b9
|
Oilers vs. Wild
|
In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for January 15 at 8:30PM ET:
If the Edmonton Oilers win, the market will resolve to “Oilers”.
If the Minnesota Wild win, the market will resolve to “Wild”.
If the game is not completed by January 22, 2025 (11:59 PM ET) or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve 50-50.
|
2025-01-23T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
nhl-edm-min-2025-01-15
|
[
"Sports",
"NHL",
"Games"
] | false
| null | null |
0xff9effe108b753b33b9a6dd756cf6ecb83e857de661dfe3b87f36775e1057c08
|
0x0dad90cd38c25a89c0a602601b150058eaa778c90c569471ca26bc26b4ea1c80
|
Ohio State vs. Notre Dame
|
In the upcoming CFB game, scheduled for January 20 at 7:30PM ET:
If the Ohio State win, the market will resolve to “Ohio State”.
If the Notre Dame win, the market will resolve to “Notre Dame”.
If the game is not completed by January 27, 2025 (11:59 PM ET) or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve 50-50.
|
2025-01-28T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
cfb-ohst-ndame-2025-01-20
|
[
"Sports",
"CFB",
"Games"
] | false
| null | null |
0x0071ef915eb12b59ca79a0c3a7cb6831ae04e8d19fae893924892d88a1bf76db
|
0x22a3dea5f7dad53fc630e0c9eb8139eb891d31846731b1f0e98793982f6c32da
|
Heat vs. Lakers
|
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for January 15 at 10:00PM ET:
If the Miami Heat win, the market will resolve to “Heat”.
If the Los Angeles Lakers win, the market will resolve to “Lakers”.
If the game is not completed by January 22, 2025 (11:59 PM ET) or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve 50-50.
|
2025-01-23T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
nba-mia-lal-2025-01-15
|
[
"Sports",
"NBA",
"Games"
] | false
| null | null |
0x3b3faa1e8d4ad05c35ac13b8ce9ee160a42b85b33ce8750c47257252c640f701
|
0xfb73f90c96f8a3d7ddcd802ae6ec5eba78275acf3eb5333909f1584fa0b82fb7
|
Will the Boston Celtics get the #1 seed in 2025 NBA Eastern Conference?
|
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Boston Celtics finish the 2024-2025 NBA Regular Season as the 1 seed in the Eastern Conference standings. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve to “No” if it becomes impossible for this team to finish the 2024-25 NBA Regular Season with the best Regular Season record in the Eastern Conference.
If multiple teams are tied for most wins in the 2024-25 NBA Regular Season in the Eastern Conference, this market will resolve in favor of the team who receives the number 1 seed for the 2025 NBA playoffs. A list of the NBA’s Tiebreak Procedures can be found here: https://ak-static-int.nba.com/wp-content/uploads/sites/2/2017/06/NBA_Tiebreaker_Procedures.pdf
The resolution source for this market will be information from the NBA.
|
2025-04-13T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-the-boston-celtics-get-the-1-seed-in-2025-nba-eastern-conference
|
[
"Sports",
"futures",
"NBA"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x2ddb3f09860f3afc07fd89bc48309a08622495ec778b46b6a7a334fc48eef4de
|
0x79d710d8e64929a5aaeaa5a1bb929a519ee4000d8845c8c1a1a0a41fd4e7b695
|
Will Marcus Rashford leave Manchester United in Winter Transfer Window?
|
This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that Marcus Rashford will leave Manchester United during the winter transfer window by February 3, 2025, 6:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If Marcus Rashford is transferred to another club, is loaned to another club, terminates his contract with Manchester United, or retires: this market will resolve to "Yes".
Only announcements of departures set for the winter transfer window will qualify. Announcements of future transfers/departures after the Winter transfer window will not count.
This market's resolution source will be official announcements from Marcus Rashford, Manchester United, or the signing club.
|
2025-02-03T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-marcus-rashford-leave-manchester-united
|
[
"Sports",
"EPL",
"manchester united",
"Soccer",
"Marcus Rashford"
] | false
| 1
| 0
|
0xc50c5f4c629b4822a72786f4e753260176558fd48e1808e09bcaa27d4640d600
|
0x73db9ba19cb9da0f73906743a8adc49a1cdc2c7c3c88c627e5e765d3b9de5a4f
|
Will Tottenham win on 2025-01-26?
|
In the upcoming EPL game, scheduled for January 26 at 9:00AM ET,
If Tottenham wins, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
If Tottenham loses, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve “No”.
|
2025-01-26T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
epl-tot-lei-2025-01-26-tot
|
[
"Sports",
"Premier League",
"EPL",
"Games"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x4b968b116a8932ffde3ec66f1b75cbc22fa181dd8d7bb397ef392a5e1d7ca91c
|
0xaf0d553433b3783617c2c557ef7ad992f255e8986d5d3a9ca592d2691e506c38
|
Will the Anaheim Ducks win the 2025 President’s Trophy?
|
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Anaheim Ducks win the 2025 NHL President’s Trophy. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve to “No” if it becomes impossible for this team to win the 2025 President’s Trophy based off the rules of the NHL.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the NHL.
|
2025-04-17T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-the-anaheim-ducks-win-the-2025-presidents-trophy
|
[
"Sports",
"NHL",
"Hockey"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x09a55b12c4f965adad731e6198b940a43b89476bdd5a15c7084bbd2287407dea
|
0x2c8c057fb67c777723019acd203b63feac37d34973815d11026a483bc2bba5aa
|
Will Biden say "peaceful transition" during farewell address?
|
President Joe Biden’s farewell address is scheduled to take place on January 15, 2025, 8:00 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Biden says "peaceful transition" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.
Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.
If the event is cancelled or delayed beyond January 19, 2025 ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be the video of the speech, however the official transcript will be used to settle cases of ambiguity.
|
2025-01-15T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-biden-say-peaceful-transition-during-farewell-address
|
[
"Politics",
"Biden",
"speech",
"Mentions"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x08deed3f5e8fd5048aec330fb4ef900267f43f2ae51316fbe443bbe74221059e
|
0x1eef55abca2789b05a017d94e6fd6ce3173d8d3a269ba7170142b87dd8bb834c
|
Will Trump save TikTok in first week?
|
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump as President of the United States signs any federal legislation or performs any executive action by January 27, 2025, 11:59 PM ET that has the effect of overturning or delaying the enforcement of the federal law mandating TikTok’s sale or ban. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any law or executive action meeting these criteria will count, even if its implementation is immediately halted or delayed by judicial or other actions.
Any bill signed into law or executive action taken within this market's time frame will qualify, regardless of when the law or action goes into effect.
This market's resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration.
|
2025-01-27T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-trump-save-tiktok-in-first-week
|
[
"Politics",
"Business",
"Trump",
"social media",
"TikTok",
"Culture",
"Tech",
"Trump Week 1"
] | false
| 1
| 0
|
0x83ff2b9582f5579de6de6b649f49726a85a5fa942651c0ce6558a937635e5620
|
0xc9e94b8f8a511d3f4c1146cf90b783e21e43026265d0d9f4c8c5dda6026f044e
|
Trump cabinet nominee withdrawn in January?
|
This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one individual nominated by Donald Trump for a cabinet-level position requiring Senate confirmation is withdrawn between January 1, ET and January 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
A Cabinet position is defined as any of the heads of the 15 executive departments or a role formally designated as Cabinet-level by the President. Advisory roles will not qualify for this market.
Any individual who Trump has announced an intention to nominate will be considered nominated. Similarly, announcements from the nominee or Trump or one of his representatives that the nominee will be withdrawn will qualify for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
|
2025-01-31T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
trump-cabinet-nominee-withdrawn-in-january
|
[
"Politics",
"Trump Presidency",
"Cabinet",
"Trump Day 1",
"Trump Week 1"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xdfb91960fff20dba020acdf3705306d774aedbc8321802abfe067670ccdbb8f1
|
0x925e0d86286e61c9aec553fa3892269b4013bbafc399f82535cfa086e4bcdc45
|
Oilers vs. Avalanche
|
In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for January 16 at 9:30PM ET:
If the Edmonton Oilers win, the market will resolve to “Oilers”.
If the Colorado Avalanche win, the market will resolve to “Avalanche”.
If the game is not completed by January 23, 2025 (11:59 PM ET) or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve 50-50.
|
2025-01-24T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
nhl-edm-col-2025-01-16
|
[
"Sports",
"NHL",
"Games"
] | false
| null | null |
0x8bce885cdf531db4ae93f6b4c7ab6967b92da93aaff85b72a9c5f5c4fca9cf00
|
0x97aae34b8373c1427f2de182a6fef4b0d3afbf68d6c9dbb745ece1799e58f613
|
Will Inuit Ataqatigiit win the most seats in the next Greenland parliamentary election?
|
The 2025 Greenlandic parliamentary elections will be held on or before 6 April 2025 to elect members of the Inatsisartut.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Inuit Ataqatigiit controls the most seats in the Inatsisartut (Greenland's unicameral parliament) as a result of the next Greenlandic parliamentary election.
If voting in the next Greenlandic parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2025, this market will resolve to "No".
In the case of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats held, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by this party, not any coalition of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Greenlandic government (e.g. via https://qinersineq.gl/).
|
2025-04-06T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-inuit-ataqatigiit-win-the-most-seats-in-the-next-greenland-parliamentary-election
|
[
"Politics",
"Global Elections",
"World Elections",
"Greenland"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xd99076d35b907fdf722595d4965a3e171e71b9c25de57fa448d62265652f0c53
|
0xbeae31ec9523532b4353d149f9cf61863ceca3b4ae993ea5d2bb5362cc03c5ef
|
Senators vs. Devils
|
In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for January 19 at 1:00PM ET:
If the Ottawa Senators win, the market will resolve to “Senators”.
If the New Jersey Devils win, the market will resolve to “Devils”.
If the game is not completed by January 26, 2025 (11:59 PM ET) or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve 50-50.
|
2025-01-26T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
nhl-ott-nj-2025-01-19
|
[
"Sports",
"NHL",
"Games"
] | false
| null | null |
0x51079c417fe92719cd742784ddf68747640e1fdaa0133f875bd0239b3aa49808
|
0xc2c72adced0b422510c011f24718530e68697b33bc22f97d26e24a05a96d4701
|
Will Elon tweet 475-499 times Jan 10-17?
|
If Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts between 475 (inclusive) and 499 (inclusive) on X between January 10, 2025, 12:00 PM ET and January 17, 2025, 12:00 PM ET this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts posts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the ‘Post Counter’ figure for posts found at https://www.xtracker.io/. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
|
2025-01-17T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-elon-tweet-475-499-times-jan-10-17
|
[
"Elon Musk",
"Culture",
"Elon Tweets"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x07663a20e864f46d66cc6e2e11cb11110cad60fd1736b1f5e15d25308e363a02
|
0x9326c8647212a9af7c20343ed7a44224667f59162b3fdf78a1d6fe6aeff0a07f
|
Will Biden say "God" 3 or more times during farewell address?
|
President Joe Biden’s farewell address is scheduled to take place on January 15, 2025, 8:00 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Biden says "god" 3 or more times during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.
Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.
Compound words will count as long as "god" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to a superhuman being or spirit worshiped as having power over nature or human fortunes; a deity.
If the event is cancelled or delayed beyond January 19, 2025 ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be the video of the speech, however the official transcript will be used to settle cases of ambiguity.
|
2025-01-15T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-biden-say-god-3-or-more-times-during-farewell-address
|
[
"Politics",
"Biden",
"speech",
"Mentions"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x4b968b116a8932ffde3ec66f1b75cbc22fa181dd8d7bb397ef392a5e1d7ca91a
|
0x60cd3d176ee590ee7f7f7acc04a647e9e7af31295df5cdd608e1fb6d7dae3c8e
|
Will the St. Louis Blues win the 2025 President’s Trophy?
|
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the St. Louis Blues win the 2025 NHL President’s Trophy. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve to “No” if it becomes impossible for this team to win the 2025 President’s Trophy based off the rules of the NHL.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the NHL.
|
2025-04-17T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-the-st-louis-blues-win-the-2025-presidents-trophy
|
[
"Sports",
"NHL",
"Hockey"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x51353ca8f38a99b405353cbc4f289a249cb23ac772a05a19d50db624fd318449
|
0x77d46a699774171c3e88104518397517da4e2b40997c787a416f8b73ed3aa069
|
Cavaliers vs. Thunder
|
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for January 16 at 7:30PM ET:
If the Cleveland Cavaliers win, the market will resolve to “Cavaliers”.
If the Oklahoma City Thunder win, the market will resolve to “Thunder”.
If the game is not completed by January 23, 2025 (11:59 PM ET) or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve 50-50.
|
2025-01-24T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
nba-cle-okc-2025-01-16
|
[
"Sports",
"NBA",
"Games"
] | false
| null | null |
0x059f242b44a49459ff1a1795efdc65bd89d6ba31a75619149f615026069d3208
|
0xd539986882fe3f8be6df709750e7db433d7ee7e1593a98c09b43d3b111f533ea
|
Will NRG win the VCT 2025 Americas Kickoff?
|
VCT 2025: Americas Kickoff is scheduled to take place January 16 - February 8, 2025. Find more information about the tournament here: liquipedia.net/valorant/VCT/2025/Americas_League/Kickoff.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if NRG wins this tournament. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If this team is eliminated from the competition based on the official rules of the tournament, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the winner of VCT 2025: Americas Kickoff is not determined by February 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information provided directly from the VCT (e.g., valorantesports.com/en-US) and official footage of the tournament. However, other credible reporting may also be used.
|
2025-02-08T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-nrg-win-the-vct-2025-americas-kickoff
|
[
"Sports",
"Esports",
"2025 Predictions",
"Valorant",
"VCT"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x51079c417fe92719cd742784ddf68747640e1fdaa0133f875bd0239b3aa49800
|
0x993df9e22e202fabb05940621dc0d49af3a7df7772696dbf2f25fc54b3569ee1
|
Will Elon tweet less than 300 times Jan 10-17?
|
If Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts less than 300 times on X between January 10, 2025, 12:00 PM ET and January 17, 2025, 12:00 PM ET this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts posts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the ‘Post Counter’ figure for posts found at https://www.xtracker.io/. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
|
2025-01-17T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-elon-tweet-less-than-300-times-jan-10-17
|
[
"Elon Musk",
"Culture",
"Elon Tweets"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x8a162d5acd2bcd524bbf47d29c74cb721fa8fc19945f25106ae7d9569c379ed9
|
0x1e9216ba0e8d9cdda37b3927be9320bd7104b0df36a1f81ef6f7484e0c0f9f24
|
Stars vs. Maple Leafs
|
In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for January 14 at 7:00PM ET:
If the Dallas Stars win, the market will resolve to “Stars”.
If the Toronto Maple Leafs win, the market will resolve to “Maple Leafs”.
If the game is not completed by January 21, 2025 (11:59 PM ET) or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve 50-50.
|
2025-01-22T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
nhl-dal-tor-2025-01-14
|
[
"Sports",
"NHL",
"Games"
] | false
| null | null |
0xce603dc9a92f663247339055301d55b19675fa00d2069e63568f8fd95dcbda0b
|
0x3c0fc124b53f32226015c4bdd2bcc0a550df8e3c584c81226100b3e8f5cbe63d
|
Will Yoon leave South Korea before March?
|
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Yoon Suk Yeol has left South Korea for any length of time between January 13, and February 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In cases where Yoon may have exited South Korean airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than South Korea for this market to resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon exits South Korean maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Yoon left South Korea, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
|
2025-02-28T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-yoon-leave-south-korea-before-march
|
[
"Politics",
"South Korea"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xed5f313e72d64c750b8169ce03ab094e6753fdfe4140734cfb4725dd27357e4b
|
0x7a3f22e1fdcd9432e483a0bc7983ae7f0e3a9f1a1a1b9cf906c814af621ce52d
|
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes
|
In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for January 17 at 7:00PM ET:
If the Vegas Golden Knights win, the market will resolve to “Golden Knights”.
If the Carolina Hurricanes win, the market will resolve to “Hurricanes”.
If the game is not completed by January 24, 2025 (11:59 PM ET) or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve 50-50.
|
2025-01-25T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
nhl-las-car-2025-01-17
|
[
"Sports",
"NHL",
"Games"
] | false
| null | null |
0x9dd5d7561cb5d2e4a43cb3a73c23c1ab92e540fe2a3743d9e1d169f24530174c
|
0x67823031aea26260278bf0567683a4fdeefd46adef30ed04d4e36d0d43bebf2c
|
Nuggets vs. Heat
|
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for January 17 at 8:00PM ET:
If the Denver Nuggets win, the market will resolve to “Nuggets”.
If the Miami Heat win, the market will resolve to “Heat”.
If the game is not completed by January 24, 2025 (11:59 PM ET) or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve 50-50.
|
2025-01-25T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
nba-den-mia-2025-01-17
|
[
"Sports",
"NBA",
"Games"
] | false
| null | null |
0xf4cca8d5cbcf25060c176165fdd17df8cdaa288bd390f698458dd994241ae103
|
0xf9e6c08c93512fc878645b15eb2f01b903d3239dbf95185d40ea04111f6701b1
|
Will another party win the most seats in the next Australian parliamentary election?
|
The 2025 Australian federal election will be held on or before 17 May 2025 to elect members of the 48th Parliament of Australia.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a party other than the Greens, Labour, or Liberal-National coaltion controls the most seats in the Australian House of Representatives (Australia's lower house) as a result of the next Australian parliamentary election.
If voting in the next Australian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2025, this market will resolve to "Yes".
In the case of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats held, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by this party, not any coalition of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Australian government, specifically the Australian Electoral Commission (AEC) (https://www.aec.gov.au/).
Note: The Liberal and the National Parties of Australia (Liberal–National Coalition) will be considered a single party, NOT a coalition for the purpose of this market. If this alliance breaks up prior to the election, the market for Liberal–National Coalition will be assigned to the Liberal Party.
|
2025-05-17T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-another-party-win-the-most-seats-in-the-next-australian-parliamentary-election
|
[
"Politics",
"Australia",
"Global Elections",
"World Elections",
"World"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x90d9b526a19112ea83cca6e01b6f5d263749abbc4ae43d1fac5ba50465539f48
|
0x0538834fe16e0e505f5425a735c8295de9cb9f2e27115d549e66e41a4a7d48ba
|
U.S. enacts AI safety bill in 2025?
|
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a bill that includes at least one of the following provisions is signed into federal law in the United States by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.
- Prohibition on Creation or Release: Forbids the creation or release of specific AI systems or models.
- Training Restrictions: Sets limits on how AI systems can be trained, such as restricting access to previously available training data or imposing a maximum limit on the number of parameters used for training.
- Usage Restrictions: Prevents AI systems from being used in certain applications, such as interacting with customers, interfacing with other applications, or performing actions on the web.
- Human-in-the-Loop Requirements: Requires AI systems to include mechanisms ensuring human oversight or involvement in their operation.
Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
|
2025-12-31T00:00:00Z
| true
| false
|
us-enacts-ai-safety-bill-in-2025
|
[
"U.S. Politics",
"sam altman",
"AI",
"Congress",
"OpenAI",
"artificial intelligence",
"Tech",
"2025 Predictions",
"sceince"
] | false
| 0.182
| 0.818
|
0x51079c417fe92719cd742784ddf68747640e1fdaa0133f875bd0239b3aa49807
|
0x4e70dfe9c91d9f7ce7ff589a582758901517509cb48bc039c521012d3c6f4095
|
Will Elon tweet 450-474 times Jan 10-17?
|
If Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts between 450 (inclusive) and 474 (inclusive) on X between January 10, 2025, 12:00 PM ET and January 17, 2025, 12:00 PM ET this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts posts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the ‘Post Counter’ figure for posts found at https://www.xtracker.io/. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
|
2025-01-17T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-elon-tweet-450-474-times-jan-10-17
|
[
"Elon Musk",
"Culture",
"Elon Tweets"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xc50c5f4c629b4822a72786f4e753260176558fd48e1808e09bcaa27d4640d602
|
0xf582d7e93f892df845ef4012690dd7f05b3436791c7880d8aaed766c1834eba0
|
Will Leicester win on 2025-01-26?
|
In the upcoming EPL game, scheduled for January 26 at 9:00AM ET,
If Leicester wins, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
If Leicester loses, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve “No”.
|
2025-01-26T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
epl-tot-lei-2025-01-26-lei
|
[
"Sports",
"Premier League",
"EPL",
"Games"
] | false
| 1
| 0
|
0xe6de7368e2f43b2468076c69182ec1b6892d4f70e582d2b152e6f2bbf33fae01
|
0x61d2e43320d15f24271f45ae5f098aa4611a63c77ae691ad3c42907032bcc4da
|
Will Brighton vs. Everton end in a draw?
|
In the upcoming EPL game, scheduled for January 25 at 10:00AM ET,
If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to “Yes”. If not, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
|
2025-01-25T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
epl-bri-eve-2025-01-25-draw
|
[
"Sports",
"Premier League",
"EPL",
"Games"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x4b968b116a8932ffde3ec66f1b75cbc22fa181dd8d7bb397ef392a5e1d7ca906
|
0x0c408c90655b929b803c579444cd2fec936b39e7d168af8db88969beba583e79
|
Will the New Jersey Devils win the 2025 President’s Trophy?
|
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the New Jersey Devils win the 2025 NHL President’s Trophy. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve to “No” if it becomes impossible for this team to win the 2025 President’s Trophy based off the rules of the NHL.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the NHL.
|
2025-04-17T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-the-new-jersey-devils-win-the-2025-presidents-trophy
|
[
"Sports",
"NHL",
"Hockey"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x853889da7ddef3b4a03357b7ba589eec92c722b28bfca7719c3bcf44e21548be
|
0x62f6e845e4cb01e95a11d582b8580f27715aa4d34a9f2bd05abe94ba49d8a77b
|
Warriors vs. Timberwolves
|
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for January 15 at 8:00PM ET:
If the Golden State Warriors win, the market will resolve to “Warriors”.
If the Minnesota Timberwolves win, the market will resolve to “Timberwolves”.
If the game is not completed by January 22, 2025 (11:59 PM ET) or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve 50-50.
|
2025-01-23T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
nba-gsw-min-2025-01-15
|
[
"Sports",
"NBA",
"Games"
] | false
| null | null |
0x04df2852cb03f63541987847f0f2e267aaf10f141f2b47e85424a7e515e73601
|
0xf032ca2b234cf7524a640d9980f36c225df79066823eff318f0a295f8cc46f04
|
Will Johni Broome win the Wooden Award?
|
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Johni Broome is awarded the 2025 Wooden Award. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If Johni Broome is not announced as a finalist for the 2025 Wooden Award, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Woodenaward.com.
|
2025-04-10T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-johni-broome-win-the-wooden-award
|
[
"Sports",
"CBB"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x4b968b116a8932ffde3ec66f1b75cbc22fa181dd8d7bb397ef392a5e1d7ca918
|
0x0bb3858a9a9afbad86730b2d444cee9aacbddf307d32aa18d1c00f54d9dae5cc
|
Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2025 President’s Trophy?
|
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Buffalo Sabres win the 2025 NHL President’s Trophy. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve to “No” if it becomes impossible for this team to win the 2025 President’s Trophy based off the rules of the NHL.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the NHL.
|
2025-04-17T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-the-buffalo-sabres-win-the-2025-presidents-trophy
|
[
"Sports",
"NHL",
"Hockey"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xcf66601b70ab89f207f065ea96b6bd2e7a6b398d202ad66660038b07bae82f00
|
0x43acbd862531ee9f0e853a0dfd1ae3af4ac157bc626eeb90b9fc5548b61017ae
|
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Grand Slam Weissenhaus?
|
The 2025 Freestyle Chess Grand Slam Weissenhaus is scheduled to take place Feb 7 - 14, 2025. You can read more about this event here: https://www.chess.com/events/info/2025-freestyle-chess-grand-slam-weissenhaus
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Magnus Carlsen wins the 2025 Freestyle Chess Grand Slam Weissenhaus. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If this event is cancelled, or not completed by February 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
If multiple players are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official information from Chess.com, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
|
2025-02-14T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-magnus-carlsen-win-the-2025-freestyle-chess-grand-slam-weissenhaus
|
[
"Sports",
"Chess"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xa9cec0220fb1ba0f9ff0988ab92c86bad2818804994400f24f090c379034d164
|
0xa441dc5217fc626fb583199a59b2a6cc1cee869a68b7b56f00af021e818122ac
|
Penguins vs. Sabres
|
In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for January 17 at 7:00PM ET:
If the Pittsburgh Penguins win, the market will resolve to “Penguins”.
If the Buffalo Sabres win, the market will resolve to “Sabres”.
If the game is not completed by January 24, 2025 (11:59 PM ET) or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve 50-50.
|
2025-01-25T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
nhl-pit-buf-2025-01-17
|
[
"Sports",
"NHL",
"Games"
] | false
| null | null |
0x8bce885cdf531db4ae93f6b4c7ab6967b92da93aaff85b72a9c5f5c4fca9cf02
|
0xf2c79dad2029392575dad968e660967434a0c1288c38673e06d6196706dd96ea
|
Will Naleraq win the most seats in the next Greenland parliamentary election?
|
The 2025 Greenlandic parliamentary elections will be held on or before 6 April 2025 to elect members of the Inatsisartut.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Naleraq controls the most seats in the Inatsisartut (Greenland's unicameral parliament) as a result of the next Greenlandic parliamentary election.
If voting in the next Greenlandic parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2025, this market will resolve to "No".
In the case of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats held, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by this party, not any coalition of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Greenlandic government (e.g. via https://qinersineq.gl/).
|
2025-04-06T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-naleraq-win-the-most-seats-in-the-next-greenland-parliamentary-election
|
[
"Politics",
"Global Elections",
"World Elections",
"Greenland"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xa9ebbb70fcd4609aecbc682ede693a21a318b4c4a74fda86b9c867627cd23c19
|
0x341d6d7bd14eb7f626caff880a280af705300124c8b39efa6464914f9316431e
|
Hurricanes vs. Sabres
|
In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for January 15 at 6:00PM ET:
If the Carolina Hurricanes win, the market will resolve to “Hurricanes”.
If the Buffalo Sabres win, the market will resolve to “Sabres”.
If the game is not completed by January 22, 2025 (11:59 PM ET) or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve 50-50.
|
2025-01-22T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
nhl-car-buf-2025-01-15
|
[
"Sports",
"NHL",
"Games"
] | false
| null | null |
0x52abadc4a405fced266ec8b3616de03913917560760edf451c645f1019f8f327
|
0x5fe728fd4a72ab2de3e4a63b995e4910228db9a3add65bc886defbaccde365b8
|
Israel parliament dissolves by March 31?
|
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 25th Knesset, which is the sitting parliament of Israel, is dissolved between January 13 and March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the State of Israel, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
|
2025-03-31T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
israel-parliament-dissolves-by-march-31
|
[
"Politics",
"Middle East",
"Israel",
"netanyahu",
"smotrich",
"ben gvir",
"knesset",
"World"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xfba7e87784dcf723420606cc9e21d7f3e22322279644c2488f49eb56c8f9907f
|
0x78ebcf0b7c068ead1313b884536db575fb48f2e5cc5b12d510e51443942ff658
|
Debt ceiling raised or suspended before June?
|
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US debt ceiling is either raised suspended again by May 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will only resolve to "Yes" if the US debt ceiling is raised or suspended. If the debt ceiling is abolished entirely within the established timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
|
2025-05-31T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
debt-ceiling-raised-or-suspended-before-june
|
[
"Politics",
"Trump",
"Congress",
"Trump Presidency",
"house"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xb9d740ea0700dadb0f184c30f4f303486bbdeeeb06403142ca55807dae030044
|
0x711a17e9181a7f2c515e9db1328266eb017762b9107f651f7113a5bd836a48f5
|
Hornets vs. Jazz
|
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for January 15 at 9:00PM ET:
If the Charlotte Hornets win, the market will resolve to “Hornets”.
If the Utah Jazz win, the market will resolve to “Jazz”.
If the game is not completed by January 22, 2025 (11:59 PM ET) or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve 50-50.
|
2025-01-23T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
nba-cha-uta-2025-01-15
|
[
"Sports",
"NBA",
"Games"
] | false
| null | null |
0x4b968b116a8932ffde3ec66f1b75cbc22fa181dd8d7bb397ef392a5e1d7ca916
|
0xe7c4f86bc10b5ff0bb88cc7f86ae6be1326682a8f180e59776ec087cb5e97a9a
|
Will the Detroit Red Wings win the 2025 President’s Trophy?
|
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Detroit Red Wings win the 2025 NHL President’s Trophy. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve to “No” if it becomes impossible for this team to win the 2025 President’s Trophy based off the rules of the NHL.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the NHL.
|
2025-04-17T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-the-detroit-red-wings-win-the-2025-presidents-trophy
|
[
"Sports",
"NHL",
"Hockey"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x18813e4bdc30e7fc95434c646230373e8740b86e4d201e58ab57946812665501
|
0xce5722bcbbd319dc03d4feb1e7ba563d1aaa2c9d7c286c44bdc93a96670e07ab
|
Will Anthony Albanese be the next Prime Minister of Australia after the 2025 election?
|
The 2025 Australian federal election will be held on or before 17 May 2025 to elect members of the 48th Parliament of Australia.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthony Albanese is the next Prime Minister of Australia following the election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Any interim/caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no next Prime Minister of Australia is announced by December 31, of 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Australia, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
|
2025-05-17T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-anthony-albanese-be-the-next-prime-minister-of-australia-after-the-2025-election
|
[
"Politics",
"Australia",
"Global Elections",
"World Elections",
"World"
] | false
| 1
| 0
|
0xae9458c984c07ecb8c0839184223ce8101f9624a377a06299b9fc3d88abadca3
|
0xf89e4b6ca424a74240e90d15f28462b3b03c31ca7462233806240c96a254f843
|
Will Trump nominate Pete Hegseth as Defense Secretary?
|
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump as President of the United States formally nominates Pete Hegseth for Secretary of Defense by January 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/nominations_new.htm) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
|
2025-01-31T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-trump-formally-nominates-pete-hegseth-as-secretary-of-defense
|
[
"Politics",
"Cabinet",
"Pete Hegseth",
"Hegseth"
] | false
| 1
| 0
|
0x3812098c30ab29ddf9d901dd2bddf425b679ed7f3457b2512fceb96dba6ee902
|
0xe73a8e4876da9f82d810dccf04ffe4684fd94368670b26b6b0fccb38c4e32f04
|
Will Chelsea win on 2025-01-25?
|
In the upcoming EPL game, scheduled for January 25 at 12:30PM ET,
If Chelsea wins, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
If Chelsea loses, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve “No”.
|
2025-01-25T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
epl-mac-che-2025-01-25-che
|
[
"Sports",
"Premier League",
"EPL",
"Games"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xccb900015b0341e8465fcfee32a1da9b9e87631515384675d80e99059230a848
|
0x0014234cd11997bf2480618c43d5a9aaabc630fcf1eeace0957a86b28ac9bb4d
|
Flames vs. Blues
|
In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for January 16 at 8:00PM ET:
If the Calgary Flames win, the market will resolve to “Flames”.
If the St. Louis Blues win, the market will resolve to “Blues”.
If the game is not completed by January 23, 2025 (11:59 PM ET) or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve 50-50.
|
2025-01-24T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
nhl-cal-stl-2025-01-16
|
[
"Sports",
"NHL",
"Games"
] | false
| null | null |
0x117d3e98fae5bfa06e99d0820b9078a1b38c02197f679caf9387a219a39d4091
|
0x4fd31e052eaaed7c2c7a672c064d3bef7c334e37e0401f16a3122c6db3d7e359
|
Neil Gaiman charged before April?
|
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Neil Gaiman is sued or served for a civil complaint, or is otherwise the subject of any formal charges or criminal indictments in any related to sex crimes by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from relevant governmental sources; however, a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
|
2025-03-31T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
neil-gaiman-charged-before-april
|
[
"Culture"
] | false
| 1
| 0
|
0xcf66601b70ab89f207f065ea96b6bd2e7a6b398d202ad66660038b07bae82f01
|
0xab4ce65e0277dc1ee9362d516d08df2821d71d7fa9c7519858307ae1d74f0163
|
Will Hikaru Nakamura win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Grand Slam Weissenhaus?
|
The 2025 Freestyle Chess Grand Slam Weissenhaus is scheduled to take place Feb 7 - 14, 2025. You can read more about this event here: https://www.chess.com/events/info/2025-freestyle-chess-grand-slam-weissenhaus
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Hikaru Nakamura wins the 2025 Freestyle Chess Grand Slam Weissenhaus. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If this event is cancelled, or not completed by February 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
If multiple players are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official information from Chess.com, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
|
2025-02-14T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-hikaru-nakamura-win-the-2025-freestyle-chess-grand-slam-weissenhaus
|
[
"Sports",
"Chess"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x8b021d901b7608a17b0633b76ba7a444e74e7472f432886d4ffcecc69f5442ec
|
0x5f0577c1b95f3e80fa1a1fffd827147997f195befdd4a91e5b9d3062e163b2fd
|
Will Biden say "Jill" during farewell address?
|
President Joe Biden’s farewell address is scheduled to take place on January 15, 2025, 8:00 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Biden says "Jill" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.
Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.
Compound words will count as long as "Jill" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the person Jill Biden.
If the event is cancelled or delayed beyond January 19, 2025 ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be the video of the speech, however the official transcript will be used to settle cases of ambiguity.
|
2025-01-15T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-biden-say-jill-during-farewell-address
|
[
"Politics",
"Biden",
"speech",
"Mentions"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xbdb3fecaa0b6beda79af611e5ba891de425cf10a9fe950887951d2989cffd707
|
0xbf34e90bebf06bfba8ab37b3ef6ccd2be2d003b7d10185e37171427eb8a43706
|
Will the Cowboys hire Aaron Glenn as their next head coach?
|
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Aaron Glenn is announced as the next head coach of the Dallas Cowboys for the 2025-26 NFL season by March 12, 2025, 4:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If the Cowboys announce they have hired another head coach for the 2025-26 NFL season, this market will resolve to “No.”
The resolution source for this market is official information from the Dallas Cowboys, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
|
2025-03-12T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-the-cowboys-hire-aaron-glenn-as-their-next-head-coach
|
[
"Sports",
"NFL",
"dallas cowboys",
"Brian Schottenheimer"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x53cd952634d96e83043a2310e282f50f199fe3a582f2cfd447d08d0759c57135
|
0xaaa218374a638949c5a86d0c945d65ba98fcbb4cb815691fb554f380738d9d62
|
Clippers vs. Trail Blazers
|
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for January 16 at 10:00PM ET:
If the LA Clippers win, the market will resolve to “Clippers”.
If the Portland Trail Blazers win, the market will resolve to “Trail Blazers”.
If the game is not completed by January 23, 2025 (11:59 PM ET) or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve 50-50.
|
2025-01-24T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
nba-lac-por-2025-01-16
|
[
"Sports",
"NBA",
"Games"
] | false
| null | null |
0x2460f4ce0de0fddecaac0404742809e6e3b59fc5f0c520bf48329f1264069b36
|
0xbe170300c1735d3fec8784154cdfc92d17cdf73fc276998966873bea0481c127
|
Thunder vs. Mavericks
|
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for January 17 at 8:30PM ET:
If the Oklahoma City Thunder win, the market will resolve to “Thunder”.
If the Dallas Mavericks win, the market will resolve to “Mavericks”.
If the game is not completed by January 24, 2025 (11:59 PM ET) or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve 50-50.
|
2025-01-25T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
nba-okc-dal-2025-01-17
|
[
"Sports",
"NBA",
"Games"
] | false
| null | null |
0xb02c152f5e8b59d558f32934b14d4f0b4642224553c05499ea9c9b0e32d5c99a
|
0x8ba89eb8c6d78a8424f11ea59fd127a340ef115efae18e058b6db684a790e756
|
Netanyahu attends Auschwitz commemoration in Poland?
|
There has been speculation about whether Prime Minister of Israel Benjamin Netanyahu will attend an Auschwitz commemoration event currently scheduled for January 27, 2025. You can read more about it here: https://www.politico.eu/article/poland-president-andrzej-duda-asks-government-to-let-benjamin-netanyahu-attend-auschwitz-commemoration/
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Benjamin Netanyahu attends the Auschwitz commemoration currently scheduled for January 27, 2025 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Attending the commemoration is defined as being in physical attendance during any part of the event.
If the event is cancelled or otherwise rescheduled for a date after March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be video and photographic evidence, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
|
2025-01-27T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
netanyahu-attends-auschwitz-commemoration-in-poland
|
[
"Politics",
"Israel",
"netanyahu",
"Poland"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x4663bdb0a202705307483c39d263c0b08a2206ffe24d472cf48f00edbda649b5
|
0xc61d58d10dd07c779f61a961e9ecc3c3ed298c23e2503dc8145b6a44fc5abb53
|
Commanders vs. Lions
|
In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for January 18 at 8:00PM ET:
If the Washington Commanders win, the market will resolve to “Commanders”.
If the Detroit Lions win, the market will resolve to “Lions”.
If the game is not completed by January 25, 2025 (11:59 PM ET) or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve 50-50.
|
2025-01-26T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
nfl-was-det-2025-01-18
|
[
"Sports",
"NFL",
"Games"
] | false
| null | null |
0xc2ca4effd9243efb5707ceb25ea7c04fcfdfe0f4a9c7da58035c9db352de5ea2
|
0x94eba03f9c3173bdaa3f21ec10536e9ed31db2091d1c5030abfbaa0c9da519e5
|
Will Lil Wayne perform during Super Bowl LIX halftime show?
|
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Lil Wayne performs live and in person during the Super Bowl LIX halftime show currently scheduled for February 9, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If this event is cancelled or otherwise delayed beyond March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be footage of the Super Bowl LIX halftime show, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
|
2025-02-09T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-lil-wayne-perform-during-super-bowl-lix-halftime-show
|
[
"Sports",
"Music",
"Celebrities",
"NFL",
"Culture",
"Rap",
"Super Bowl LIX",
"Super Bowl Props"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xbdb3fecaa0b6beda79af611e5ba891de425cf10a9fe950887951d2989cffd704
|
0x065c361d9cf45c369858dce82e4596673a01e7635979e2478d57af6bbc792815
|
Will the Cowboys hire Mike Zimmer as their next head coach?
|
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mike Zimmer is announced as the next head coach of the Dallas Cowboys for the 2025-26 NFL season by March 12, 2025, 4:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If the Cowboys announce they have hired another head coach for the 2025-26 NFL season, this market will resolve to “No.”
The resolution source for this market is official information from the Dallas Cowboys, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
|
2025-03-12T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-the-cowboys-hire-mike-zimmer-as-their-next-head-coach
|
[
"Sports",
"NFL",
"dallas cowboys",
"Brian Schottenheimer"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xac390d619aa1598abe678b7a44be93319fc549930c00493393ad8909e79f9c44
|
0x66004c350f62d5817d04945854a8d97071b219e00bc30c74413502faeb9fc3fa
|
Nets vs. Trail Blazers
|
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for January 14 at 10:00PM ET:
If the Brooklyn Nets win, the market will resolve to “Nets”.
If the Portland Trail Blazers win, the market will resolve to “Trail Blazers”.
If the game is not completed by January 21, 2025 (11:59 PM ET) or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve 50-50.
|
2025-01-22T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
nba-bkn-por-2025-01-14
|
[
"Sports",
"NBA",
"Games"
] | false
| null | null |
0x61c739154f43a0cec4be03e28ecf2582cd678de3e6385e091ebee5074f076400
|
0x3233512053045a08a02ba0aaf8e933ba0b8b04ca994032b56e578f4fe035fe1d
|
Will Bournemouth win on 2025-01-25?
|
In the upcoming EPL game, scheduled for January 25 at 10:00AM ET,
If Bournemouth wins, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
If Bournemouth loses, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve “No”.
|
2025-01-25T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
epl-bou-not-2025-01-25-bou
|
[
"Sports",
"Premier League",
"EPL",
"Games"
] | false
| 1
| 0
|
0x4b968b116a8932ffde3ec66f1b75cbc22fa181dd8d7bb397ef392a5e1d7ca904
|
0x5f95509437623f484fbee50dee2c8a596de564d39d40329aef5dd67bc336bbc3
|
Will the Dallas Stars win the 2025 President’s Trophy?
|
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Dallas Stars win the 2025 NHL President’s Trophy. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve to “No” if it becomes impossible for this team to win the 2025 President’s Trophy based off the rules of the NHL.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the NHL.
|
2025-04-17T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-the-dallas-stars-win-the-2025-presidents-trophy
|
[
"Sports",
"NHL",
"Hockey"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xceaa6caab65dcf27f3a491e51cf730a02dfb26fa449d6a76d18f552e8801a617
|
0x7706e12bc12f051a10d5f6a7bd8729d68494bc2b70b6d8f9ecb7b62179646c90
|
Pacers vs. Pistons
|
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for January 16 at 7:00PM ET:
If the Indiana Pacers win, the market will resolve to “Pacers”.
If the Detroit Pistons win, the market will resolve to “Pistons”.
If the game is not completed by January 23, 2025 (11:59 PM ET) or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve 50-50.
|
2025-01-24T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
nba-ind-det-2025-01-16
|
[
"Sports",
"NBA",
"Games"
] | false
| null | null |
0xe7a89abb91de4f229780c98c8fa4f78e968e7f5b1cddc06994f6d30ac4d179c9
|
0xc7546ade9e2a111e5bf112b13c23e6360531c1050ff04bbf25be8e6522b5c1ab
|
Israel parliament dissolves by Jan 31?
|
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 25th Knesset, which is the sitting parliament of Israel, is dissolved between January 13 and January 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the State of Israel, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
|
2025-01-31T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
israel-parliament-dissolves-by-jan-31
|
[
"Politics",
"Middle East",
"Israel",
"netanyahu",
"smotrich",
"ben gvir",
"knesset",
"World"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xbdb3fecaa0b6beda79af611e5ba891de425cf10a9fe950887951d2989cffd709
|
0x4d7f7fe36635000e3af781085146fb88fe15d1f20a6155c15ef8a7a9aa18f999
|
Will the Cowboys hire Pete Carroll as their next head coach?
|
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Carroll is announced as the next head coach of the Dallas Cowboys for the 2025-26 NFL season by March 12, 2025, 4:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If the Cowboys announce they have hired another head coach for the 2025-26 NFL season, this market will resolve to “No.”
The resolution source for this market is official information from the Dallas Cowboys, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
|
2025-03-12T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-the-cowboys-hire-pete-carroll-as-their-next-head-coach
|
[
"Sports",
"NFL",
"dallas cowboys",
"Brian Schottenheimer"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x059f242b44a49459ff1a1795efdc65bd89d6ba31a75619149f615026069d3201
|
0xc64e216608b7a9389af80c496dc004670ca947fbd93643b9ea49f78646941466
|
Will Cloud9 win the VCT 2025 Americas Kickoff?
|
VCT 2025: Americas Kickoff is scheduled to take place January 16 - February 8, 2025. Find more information about the tournament here: liquipedia.net/valorant/VCT/2025/Americas_League/Kickoff.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Cloud9 wins this tournament. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If this team is eliminated from the competition based on the official rules of the tournament, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the winner of VCT 2025: Americas Kickoff is not determined by February 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information provided directly from the VCT (e.g., valorantesports.com/en-US) and official footage of the tournament. However, other credible reporting may also be used.
|
2025-02-08T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-cloud9-win-the-vct-2025-americas-kickoff
|
[
"Sports",
"Esports",
"2025 Predictions",
"Valorant",
"VCT"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x35c5c0900563ce6c7a96dc6969f58ad01f0d056f5ba115efaf773d619eea5401
|
0x2a377ce93dc6d97ac1ef28f904090a5c7b3644aa359f92a29f7c2b34bb97dbdc
|
Will 'Wolf Man' opening weekend gross between $16-20m?
|
This is a market on how much 'Wolf Man' (2025) will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The “Box Office” tab on https://www.the-numbers.com/movie/Wolf-Man-(2025)#tab=box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (January 17 - 19) are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if 'Wolf Man' (2025) grosses between $16,000,000 (inclusive) and $20,000,000 (exclusive) on its 3-day opening weekend. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is no final data available by February 10, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
|
2025-01-20T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-wolf-man-opening-weekend-gross-between-16-20m
|
[
"Movies",
"Culture"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x35cd1deb842c6175472879034ec80335cf9a1de8a23f6b21f8d6b1ee7be7df02
|
0x22f326f24a2fee00713747e1e2d89447079c448d80d3ed19e8db97c20eb0a789
|
Will Ipswich win on 2025-01-25?
|
In the upcoming EPL game, scheduled for January 25 at 10:00AM ET,
If Ipswich wins, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
If Ipswich loses, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve “No”.
|
2025-01-25T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
epl-liv-ips-2025-01-25-ips
|
[
"Sports",
"Premier League",
"EPL",
"Games"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x8e17beabb75b9c7a824b5406f54b1d3cb8022679698d88388b97fd3fe800075c
|
0xd71f2e79ef190faa9168b9258c80b440291ee3da19e2dfdd6b0f45a1f7442d9f
|
Will Schoolboy Q perform during Super Bowl LIX halftime show?
|
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Schoolboy Q performs live and in person during the Super Bowl LIX halftime show currently scheduled for February 9, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If this event is cancelled or otherwise delayed beyond March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be footage of the Super Bowl LIX halftime show, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
|
2025-02-09T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-schoolboy-q-perform-during-super-bowl-lix-halftime-show
|
[
"Sports",
"Music",
"Celebrities",
"NFL",
"Culture",
"Rap",
"Super Bowl LIX",
"Super Bowl Props"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x51079c417fe92719cd742784ddf68747640e1fdaa0133f875bd0239b3aa49804
|
0xfe463482bc2c4bd7f1ddeafe43dd2387bf3e56765af8828bb8620ed34e76c808
|
Will Elon tweet 375-399 times Jan 10-17?
|
If Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts between 375 (inclusive) and 399 (inclusive) on X between January 10, 2025, 12:00 PM ET and January 17, 2025, 12:00 PM ET this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts posts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the ‘Post Counter’ figure for posts found at https://www.xtracker.io/. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
|
2025-01-17T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-elon-tweet-375-399-times-jan-10-17
|
[
"Elon Musk",
"Culture",
"Elon Tweets"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x35c5c0900563ce6c7a96dc6969f58ad01f0d056f5ba115efaf773d619eea5400
|
0x63ac193294f085ea45da7881569eafda5d0e932a0f6cb64f07029c5a03a65a3c
|
Will 'Wolf Man' opening weekend gross less than $16m?
|
This is a market on how much 'Wolf Man' (2025) will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The “Box Office” tab on https://www.the-numbers.com/movie/Wolf-Man-(2025)#tab=box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (January 17 - 19) are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if 'Wolf Man' (2025) grosses less than $16,000,000 on its 3-day opening weekend. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is no final data available by February 10, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
|
2025-02-17T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-wolf-man-opening-weekend-gross-less-than-16m
|
[
"Movies",
"Culture"
] | false
| 1
| 0
|
0x059f242b44a49459ff1a1795efdc65bd89d6ba31a75619149f615026069d320a
|
0x9830f4cb36cf270ca12945d72e8c0804207b54d67f3e215e360b2844d3fd4730
|
Will G2 Esports win the VCT 2025 Americas Kickoff?
|
VCT 2025: Americas Kickoff is scheduled to take place January 16 - February 8, 2025. Find more information about the tournament here: liquipedia.net/valorant/VCT/2025/Americas_League/Kickoff.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if G2 Esports wins this tournament. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If this team is eliminated from the competition based on the official rules of the tournament, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the winner of VCT 2025: Americas Kickoff is not determined by February 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information provided directly from the VCT (e.g., valorantesports.com/en-US) and official footage of the tournament. However, other credible reporting may also be used.
|
2025-02-08T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-g2-esports-win-the-vct-2025-americas-kickoff
|
[
"Sports",
"Esports",
"2025 Predictions",
"Valorant",
"VCT"
] | false
| 1
| 0
|
0x3b3faa1e8d4ad05c35ac13b8ce9ee160a42b85b33ce8750c47257252c640f704
|
0x849b4dd5a2dd69f997bd2b499f6a14eb4bc6ae668bfd607bbfe0ed7d5b2dbcd2
|
Will the Indiana Pacers get the #1 seed in 2025 NBA Eastern Conference?
|
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Indiana Pacers finish the 2024-2025 NBA Regular Season as the 1 seed in the Eastern Conference standings. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve to “No” if it becomes impossible for this team to finish the 2024-25 NBA Regular Season with the best Regular Season record in the Eastern Conference.
If multiple teams are tied for most wins in the 2024-25 NBA Regular Season in the Eastern Conference, this market will resolve in favor of the team who receives the number 1 seed for the 2025 NBA playoffs. A list of the NBA’s Tiebreak Procedures can be found here: https://ak-static-int.nba.com/wp-content/uploads/sites/2/2017/06/NBA_Tiebreaker_Procedures.pdf
The resolution source for this market will be information from the NBA.
|
2025-04-13T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-the-indiana-pacers-get-the-1-seed-in-2025-nba-eastern-conference
|
[
"Sports",
"futures",
"NBA"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x059f242b44a49459ff1a1795efdc65bd89d6ba31a75619149f615026069d320b
|
0x8ae3d57ec51665ca02f3f8c74fb63befc3662f2b0c65c55bdeea57d0ff69b5bd
|
Will 2GAME Esports win the VCT 2025 Americas Kickoff?
|
VCT 2025: Americas Kickoff is scheduled to take place January 16 - February 8, 2025. Find more information about the tournament here: liquipedia.net/valorant/VCT/2025/Americas_League/Kickoff.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if 2GAME Esports wins this tournament. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If this team is eliminated from the competition based on the official rules of the tournament, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the winner of VCT 2025: Americas Kickoff is not determined by February 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information provided directly from the VCT (e.g., valorantesports.com/en-US) and official footage of the tournament. However, other credible reporting may also be used.
|
2025-02-08T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-2game-esports-win-the-vct-2025-americas-kickoff
|
[
"Sports",
"Esports",
"2025 Predictions",
"Valorant",
"VCT"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xdf38a6b70d15a499c702dd65a33c817abc47ee1e873a172391041cc7de1ad931
|
0xc8cfc55a53c89b9a52e9af54f6ee8dd740119a16474a3702962aca1ac9cf6af3
|
Will Biden say "Folks" 3 or more times during farewell address?
|
President Joe Biden’s farewell address is scheduled to take place on January 15, 2025, 8:00 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Biden says "Folks" 3 or more times during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.
Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.
Compound words will count as long as "Folks" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to people generally.
If the event is cancelled or delayed beyond January 19, 2025 ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be the video of the speech, however the official transcript will be used to settle cases of ambiguity.
|
2025-01-15T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-biden-say-folks-3-or-more-times-during-farewell-address
|
[
"Politics",
"Biden",
"speech",
"Mentions"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xe17c0578054fb9ca97afc106691426fab353324c967981549c2fc9c1d1390947
|
0xedebe6a66c7219a007422613d9f29c9dab9ea91ec0c7aab1b36bd9ae82672f26
|
Nets vs. Clippers
|
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for January 15 at 10:30PM ET:
If the Brooklyn Nets win, the market will resolve to “Nets”.
If the LA Clippers win, the market will resolve to “Clippers”.
If the game is not completed by January 22, 2025 (11:59 PM ET) or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve 50-50.
|
2025-01-23T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
nba-bkn-lac-2025-01-15
|
[
"Sports",
"NBA",
"Games"
] | false
| null | null |
0x7417e9cebb9dc8e28a8f2f89dd3312942e0ceba0b39ee568983044f6e4e28303
|
0x4cdd4091f3e14a8cf007153e209577afafbb40fd741a450ccb3e960da6c7e0c7
|
Will the January unemployment rate be 4.3% or higher?
|
This is a market on the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed, as percent of the civilian labor force, official unemployment rate denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Report for January 2025.
The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in the Table A-15 for the month in question.
This market will resolve to “Yes”, if the seasonally adjusted U-3 unemployment rate in the United States for January 2025 is 4.3% or higher, otherwise it will resolve to “No”.
The next data release is scheduled for February 7, 2025, 8:30 AM ET. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued. Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
|
2025-02-07T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-the-january-unemployment-rate-be-4pt3-or-higher
|
[
"Business",
"jobs",
"Economy",
"bls",
"Macro Unemployment"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x7417e9cebb9dc8e28a8f2f89dd3312942e0ceba0b39ee568983044f6e4e28300
|
0x722c4f982b706e1e3cc20e2b5e905fac12d50625a8a587039ab35d85533223dd
|
Will the January unemployment rate be less than or equal to 4.0%?
|
This is a market on the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed, as percent of the civilian labor force, official unemployment rate denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Report for January 2025.
The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in the Table A-15 for the month in question.
This market will resolve to “Yes”, if the seasonally adjusted U-3 unemployment rate in the United States for January 2025 is 4.0% or less, otherwise it will resolve to “No”.
The next data release is scheduled for February 7, 2025, 8:30 AM ET. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued. Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
|
2025-02-07T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-the-january-unemployment-rate-be-less-than-or-equal-to-4pt0
|
[
"Business",
"jobs",
"Economy",
"bls",
"Macro Unemployment"
] | false
| 1
| 0
|
0x8de6a4bc2688ccb236e980f06f1dd6ca2cef2798ce72d34ae7ba393581f61d54
|
0x79f6d1efd71943b1a75575faf4672befd496ac76e5361b792932ffeae2e38b46
|
Will SZA perform during Super Bowl LIX halftime show?
|
This market will resolve to “Yes” if SZA performs live and in person during the Super Bowl LIX halftime show currently scheduled for February 9, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If this event is cancelled or otherwise delayed beyond March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be footage of the Super Bowl LIX halftime show, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
|
2025-02-09T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-sza-perform-during-super-bowl-lix-halftime-show
|
[
"Sports",
"Music",
"Celebrities",
"NFL",
"Culture",
"Rap",
"Super Bowl LIX",
"Super Bowl Props"
] | false
| 1
| 0
|
0x177db41f57c3992f249e01b9ab8359c12e51bc838c5807b16377cc339c3f8da3
|
0x78f67acc972e68f1daddd9bf82174eb2b1a38350142a0c544a15d17c4a133238
|
Devils vs. Maple Leafs
|
In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for January 16 at 7:00PM ET:
If the New Jersey Devils win, the market will resolve to “Devils”.
If the Toronto Maple Leafs win, the market will resolve to “Maple Leafs”.
If the game is not completed by January 23, 2025 (11:59 PM ET) or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve 50-50.
|
2025-01-24T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
nhl-nj-tor-2025-01-16
|
[
"Sports",
"NHL",
"Games"
] | false
| null | null |
0x3b3faa1e8d4ad05c35ac13b8ce9ee160a42b85b33ce8750c47257252c640f700
|
0xe3d5f49b73dcc2da7be0f0219cbeb19bab0add36772adc053f643ffa6bd3e234
|
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers get the #1 seed in 2025 NBA Eastern Conference?
|
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Cleveland Cavaliers finish the 2024-2025 NBA regular season as the 1 seed in the Eastern Conference standings. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve to “No” if it becomes impossible for this team to finish the 2024-25 NBA Regular Season with the best regular season record in the Eastern Conference.
If multiple teams are tied for most wins in the 2024-25 NBA Regular Season in the Eastern Conference, this market will resolve in favor of the team who receives the number 1 seed for the 2025 NBA playoffs. A list of the NBA’s Tiebreak Procedures can be found here: https://ak-static-int.nba.com/wp-content/uploads/sites/2/2017/06/NBA_Tiebreaker_Procedures.pdf
The resolution source for this market will be information from the NBA.
|
2025-04-13T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-the-cleveland-cavaliers-get-the-1-seed-in-2025-nba-eastern-conference
|
[
"Sports",
"futures",
"NBA"
] | false
| 1
| 0
|
0xe60d2e290bd4917d54253ca313a68e6ca645953b8749079aa6034268555900b1
|
0xf9ddee06aec8cf9db49c3f13c82fbbf3f61ab4a6d612dec59d4de2438c0e6163
|
Panthers vs. Flyers
|
In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for January 13 at 7:00PM ET:
If the Florida Panthers win, the market will resolve to “Panthers”.
If the Philadelphia Flyers win, the market will resolve to “Flyers”.
If the game is not completed by January 20, 2025 (11:59 PM ET) or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve 50-50.
|
2025-01-21T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
nhl-fla-phi-2025-01-13
|
[
"Sports",
"NHL",
"Games"
] | false
| null | null |
0xbdb3fecaa0b6beda79af611e5ba891de425cf10a9fe950887951d2989cffd705
|
0x26d9d0f57b75a1968c9a9eda7a7ea6ca47cf9fd0b890f9d5071e5dfae1d4eb30
|
Will the Cowboys hire Kliff Kingsbury as their next head coach?
|
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kliff Kingsbury is announced as the next head coach of the Dallas Cowboys for the 2025-26 NFL season by March 12, 2025, 4:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If the Cowboys announce they have hired another head coach for the 2025-26 NFL season, this market will resolve to “No.”
The resolution source for this market is official information from the Dallas Cowboys, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
|
2025-03-12T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-the-cowboys-hire-kliff-kingsbury-as-their-next-head-coach
|
[
"Sports",
"NFL",
"dallas cowboys",
"Brian Schottenheimer"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xcf66601b70ab89f207f065ea96b6bd2e7a6b398d202ad66660038b07bae82f02
|
0x5fabc4068acbd2c8aecabb99bee913093f66891572e1e9ebed71c5fca5996fe1
|
Will Nodirbek Abdusattorov win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Grand Slam Weissenhaus?
|
The 2025 Freestyle Chess Grand Slam Weissenhaus is scheduled to take place Feb 7 - 14, 2025. You can read more about this event here: https://www.chess.com/events/info/2025-freestyle-chess-grand-slam-weissenhaus
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nodirbek Abdusattorov wins the 2025 Freestyle Chess Grand Slam Weissenhaus. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If this event is cancelled, or not completed by February 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
If multiple players are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official information from Chess.com, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
|
2025-02-14T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-nodirbek-abdusattorov-win-the-2025-freestyle-chess-grand-slam-weissenhaus
|
[
"Sports",
"Chess"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x6577a7b04677089f659b98f535db3ed48fa427b44e30caf03f14622d524868bb
|
0xfdd1270491db398d4e6798522fa4ed4af07de47d2da267316f82aab20e56e5dc
|
Capitals vs. Senators
|
In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for January 16 at 7:00PM ET:
If the Washington Capitals win, the market will resolve to “Capitals”.
If the Ottawa Senators win, the market will resolve to “Senators”.
If the game is not completed by January 23, 2025 (11:59 PM ET) or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve 50-50.
|
2025-01-24T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
nhl-wsh-ott-2025-01-16
|
[
"Sports",
"NHL",
"Games"
] | false
| null | null |
0xe14cfcd7d2af93666f373d25cd3882a62effadff5f45b5154e4fe3ec6706f7cc
|
0xe80654ba68153b9409156380a3dc0664deddd33144db4db6a853471aa5a6ad88
|
Will Kanye West perform during Super Bowl LIX halftime show?
|
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kanye West performs live and in person during the Super Bowl LIX halftime show currently scheduled for February 9, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If this event is cancelled or otherwise delayed beyond March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be footage of the Super Bowl LIX halftime show, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
|
2025-02-09T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-kanye-west-perform-during-super-bowl-lix-halftime-show
|
[
"Sports",
"Music",
"Celebrities",
"NFL",
"Culture",
"Rap",
"Super Bowl LIX",
"Super Bowl Props"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x6ff38f83f69d78af651f1b2691a59285fbf75abbeeeef19c3cf52ba1d2b28315
|
0x1c8b94b33e75cf55f7c0ab14cf5d97924bb80a5c3bee1419880419bb8d534be0
|
Rangers vs. Utah
|
In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for January 16 at 9:00PM ET:
If the New York Rangers win, the market will resolve to “Rangers”.
If the Utah win, the market will resolve to “Utah”.
If the game is not completed by January 23, 2025 (11:59 PM ET) or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve 50-50.
|
2025-01-24T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
nhl-nyr-utah-2025-01-16
|
[
"Sports",
"NHL",
"Games"
] | false
| null | null |
0x010b7e64ac00553abe5ae75148bf771c4a823738a10a117b12b2e296eff903aa
|
0x715b3495cd22e3d3271a6e3b8184473ce5d90ee2fecc50f5e697d2d9240ddcf0
|
Will Trump pardon Elon Musk in his first 100 days?
|
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump by April 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether Elon Musk is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
|
2025-04-29T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-trump-pardon-elon-musk-in-his-first-100-days
|
[
"Politics",
"Trump",
"U.S. Politics",
"Trump Presidency",
"Campaign Promises",
"Trump 100 Days",
"First 100 days",
"Sam Bankman"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xad36e465ea70342fa3c26b0c13981f91c71d2a2326d86f378e334169640a364e
|
0xd443c6dba539a1e932a700cfbc08cdc7bc2abca514ecdce8f08119fc7e22b599
|
Will Novak Djokovic reach the quarterfinals of the Australian Open?
|
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Novak Djokovic reaches the quarterfinals of the 2025 Australian Open Men’s Singles tournament. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this player to reach the quarterfinals of the Australian Open Men’s Singles Tournament (e.g., they are eliminated in a prior round), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Australian Open (https://www.ausopen.com), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
|
2025-01-20T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-novak-djokovic-reach-the-quarterfinals-of-the-australian-open
|
[
"Sports",
"Tennis",
"australian open"
] | false
| 1
| 0
|
0x99acedf170d16f9ecbcc9f06e2a13ac0a51350bfdaf166903bdef1516cfd77d1
|
0xe3271f7003f6a42ec7712f1ef20e8a0b51bafc7ebea2224c68b3e150177d0661
|
Will Nico Williams join Arsenal during Winter Transfer Window?
|
This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is officially confirmed that Nico Williams, the Spanish winger on Athletic Bilbao, has signed for Arsenal during the EPL Winter Transfer window by February 3, 2025, 6:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution source will be official information from Arsenal and Athletic Bilbao.
|
2025-02-03T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-nico-williams-join-arsenal
|
[
"Sports",
"EPL",
"arsenal",
"transfers",
"Nico WIlliams"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x52c1755b86e1767d44023751d80b20d02f1c3f6d254655e8523e18a185d004ec
|
0xf017a54a7b1d1fd2147044c9d9cdc35eca1d50c80477e3217a78d43c6093f966
|
Kings vs. Canucks
|
In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for January 16 at 10:00PM ET:
If the Los Angeles Kings win, the market will resolve to “Kings”.
If the Vancouver Canucks win, the market will resolve to “Canucks”.
If the game is not completed by January 23, 2025 (11:59 PM ET) or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve 50-50.
|
2025-01-24T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
nhl-lak-van-2025-01-16
|
[
"Sports",
"NHL",
"Games"
] | false
| null | null |
0x464a02acc2bd1d939a3d14e8be9237fe96f3e609566933c4f17f21338e7813ea
|
0x7d8be5cfdc2521902ef7cb79d39ef9be12de0ac3383284cd032dcd218a9a0769
|
Golden Knights vs. Predators
|
In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for January 14 at 8:00PM ET:
If the Vegas Golden Knights win, the market will resolve to “Golden Knights”.
If the Nashville Predators win, the market will resolve to “Predators”.
If the game is not completed by January 21, 2025 (11:59 PM ET) or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve 50-50.
|
2025-01-22T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
nhl-las-nsh-2025-01-14
|
[
"Sports",
"NHL",
"Games"
] | false
| null | null |
0xd7d8aac0f2bd4436861113ba7b157993999fc9575e43b27749254e09fe401204
|
0x810d3cf742b2a016f26240b99ee3cd7dfae0808665aa9df4de6bf84e9f0ccae4
|
Will Raye win Best New Artist?
|
The 67th GRAMMYs Awards Show, presented by the Recording Academy, is an event honoring “outstanding achievement in the music industry” for the period of time between September 16, 2023, to August 30, 2024. It is scheduled to take place at the Crypto.com Arena in Los Angeles on February 2, 2025. The nominations were announced on November 8, 2024.
If Raye wins the Grammy for Best New Artist at the 67th GRAMMYs Awards Show, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated song which comes first in alphabetical order.
The resolution source will be the television broadcast of the awards and the Grammy website (https://www.grammy.com/), however other credible reporting may be used.
|
2025-02-02T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-raye-win-best-new-artist
|
[
"Awards",
"Music",
"Culture",
"Grammys"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x1f44db2d9a6a07e8913f2cbe5fcee483ed068b3d83e77f33d8678065bb185ff7
|
0x922bbd18666b823d4f81647fc7768562655e23acabe675cdc7bcac6ea190dc6c
|
Will MrBeast buy TikTok before April?
|
This market will resolve to "Yes" if credible reporting confirms that MrBeast (James Stephen "Jimmy" Donaldson), either personally or through an entity, enters into an agreement with TikTok to acquire its US operations by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the acquisition is ultimately completed.
The entity entering into the agreement does not need to be controlled by MrBeast; his involvement as a partial owner, investor, or similar role will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from MrBeast and/or TikTok, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
|
2025-03-31T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-mrbeast-buy-tiktok
|
[
"TikTok",
"Culture",
"Tech"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xb111aa0039997e301c0efba19adfcfc9a2bb163440686a81972cbafdd2704c22
|
0xe9e30035a0bf54d9fa40d5eb7ac31c70e72aa724ba8b30b0963fbbf5427393eb
|
RedNote removed from App Store in January?
|
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Xiaohongshu (小红书, RedNote) iOS app is no longer available for download on the United States Apple App Store at any point between January 14, 11:00 AM and January 31, 2025 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the app is inaccessible due to technical issues with the App Store itself, this will not count as a removal.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Apple and the Apple App Store, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
|
2025-01-31T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
rednotexiaohongshu-removed-from-app-store-in-january
|
[
"Business",
"China",
"TikTok",
"apple",
"Tech",
"Xiaohongshu"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x4b968b116a8932ffde3ec66f1b75cbc22fa181dd8d7bb397ef392a5e1d7ca907
|
0xc958ca4bc83579611df00c33122843dea2355f6cdd16f817e88fbdcdddcaf7ba
|
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2025 President’s Trophy?
|
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Minnesota Wild win the 2025 NHL President’s Trophy. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve to “No” if it becomes impossible for this team to win the 2025 President’s Trophy based off the rules of the NHL.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the NHL.
|
2025-04-17T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-the-minnesota-wild-win-the-2025-presidents-trophy
|
[
"Sports",
"NHL",
"Hockey"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x18813e4bdc30e7fc95434c646230373e8740b86e4d201e58ab57946812665502
|
0x334ae79ac5ffb2ba5cce9b6c167cb5d25fcaa67fecef793e474824e62f21f950
|
Will Jim Chalmers be the next Prime Minister of Australia after the 2025 election?
|
The 2025 Australian federal election will be held on or before 17 May 2025 to elect members of the 48th Parliament of Australia.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jim Chalmers is the next Prime Minister of Australia following the election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Any interim/caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no next Prime Minister of Australia is announced by December 31, of 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Australia, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
|
2025-05-17T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-jim-chalmers-be-the-next-prime-minister-of-australia-after-the-2025-election
|
[
"Politics",
"Australia",
"Global Elections",
"World Elections",
"World"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x79f98f8e828e63ca91eb769e62379bb561eac3eec3a6d946520ccba58d460772
|
0x214af524ef65988643548b1d455b6054543f3b6b005ceffe009541ee336ba9ad
|
Will Greenland vote for independence in 2025?
|
Early in January 2025, Greenland's prime minister intimated there would be a referendum on independence from Denmark. You can read more about that here: https://www.politico.eu/article/greenland-prime-minister-mute-egede-independence-denmark-colonialism-donald-trump-arctic/
This market will resolve to "Yes" if:
1) A referendum on Greenland's independence from Denmark is scheduled for any point within 2025, by April 6 2025 ET.
2) That referendum passes by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any referendum that establishes Greenland's desire for independence, sets a framework for independence, or establishes independence from Denmark will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Greenland, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
|
2025-04-06T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-greenland-vote-yes-on-independence
|
[
"Politics",
"Geopolitics",
"Greenland",
"2025 Predictions",
"Foreign Policy"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
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