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/2023.02.01
/Stocks rally, dollar slumps after Fed statement, Powell remarks.txt
*ADP employment softer than expected*Fed hikes by 25 basis points*Powell acknowledges disinflation process has startedNEW YORK, Feb 1 (Reuters) - A gauge of global stocks | |
rallied and the U.S. dollar slumped on Wednesday after the | |
Federal Reserve raised its target interest rate by the expected | |
25 basis points but comments from Chair Jerome Powell were | |
interpreted as dovish by the market.The Fed said the U.S. economy was enjoying "modest growth" | |
and "robust" job gains, with policymakers still "highly | |
attentive to inflation risks" as it seeks to tighten financial | |
conditions and reign in high prices. Markets have been pricing | |
in the possibility of a rate cut by the Fed in the back half of | |
the year.On Wall Street, U.S. stocks were choppy after the Fed | |
announcement but began to rally after Chair Jerome Powell | |
acknowledged inflation was starting to ease and the | |
disinflationary process was at an early stage."The market’s reaction implies investors feel we are much | |
closer to the end than we are, let’s say, to the middle of the | |
rate tightening cycle," said Sam Stovall chief investment | |
strategist at CFRA in New York."You certainly need disinflation in order to get down to | |
your inflationary target and even though he did say multiple | |
times that we are not yet at a sufficiently restrictive policy | |
stance to bring inflation back down to 2%, the other statements | |
implied that we are getting pretty close."The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 6.92 points, or | |
0.02%, to 34,092.96, the S&P 500 gained 42.61 points, or | |
1.05%, to 4,119.21 and the Nasdaq Composite added 231.77 | |
points, or 2%, to 11,816.32.The gains sent the S&P 500 to its highest close since August | |
25.Before the policy announcement, economic data painted a | |
mixed picture, with a labor market that remains strong while | |
manufacturing activity continues to weaken, showing contraction | |
for a third straight month.Investors have viewed a weaker labor market as a key | |
component to bring down stubbornly high inflation.Earnings season with earnings from names such as Apple | |
and Amazon are due on Thursday.Early gains for European shares faded to close virtually | |
unchanged ahead of the Fed statement, although industrial stocks | |
, up 0.85%, were a bright spot. On the heels of the Fed, | |
the European Central Bank (ECB) and Bank of England will make | |
their policy statements on Thursday, in which each is largely | |
expected to hike by 50 basis points.The pan-European STOXX 600 index closed down 0.03% | |
and MSCI's gauge of stocks across the globe | |
gained 1.08%. MSCI's index hit its highest intraday level since | |
August 17 and was poised for its biggest one-day percentage gain | |
since Jan 20.Data on Wednesday showed headline inflation in the euro zone | |
moderated to 8.5% in January, from 9% in December, while core | |
prices picked up to 7% from 6.9%, likely keeping pressure on the | |
ECB to raise interest rates aggressively.The dollar started February on a lower note, continuing its | |
weakening trajectory of the previous four months, losing further | |
ground after Powell's comments, hitting its lowest level since | |
late April. The dollar index fell 0.901%, with the euro | |
up 1.11% to $1.0983.The Japanese yen strengthened 0.83% versus the greenback at | |
129.02 per dollar, while Sterling was last trading at | |
$1.2371, up 0.41% on the day.U.S. Treasury yields initially moved up after the statement | |
but reversed course and mostly fell after Powell's comments were | |
still lower on the day, as benchmark 10-year notes | |
were down 10.5 basis points to 3.424%, from 3.529% late on | |
Tuesday, although the two-year yield briefly turned higher after | |
the most recent batch of economic data.Despite the drop in the dollar, U.S. crude settled | |
down 3.12% to $$76.41 per barrel and Brent settled at | |
$82.84, 3.07% lower on the day after U.S. government data showed | |
big builds in inventories while OPEC and its allies kept to | |
their output policy.(Reporting by Chuck Mikolajczak; editing by Jonathan Oatis and | |
Diane Craft) |