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Browse files- arima.py +37 -0
- arima_model.pkl +3 -0
arima.py
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import streamlit as st
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import pickle
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import pandas as pd
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import matplotlib.pyplot as plt
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st.title("Future crime pattern prediction ")
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# Load the trained ARIMA model
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with open(r"C:\Users\hp\Desktop\project\model\arima\arima_model.pkl", 'rb') as f:
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model_fit = pickle.load(f)
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# Define number of future periods for forecasting
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future_steps = st.number_input("Enter number of months to forecast:", value=12, min_value=1, step=1)
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#start_date_input = st.date_input("Enter start date for the forecast:", value=pd.Timestamp.today())
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# Convert the user input date to a pandas Timestamp for compatibility
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start_date = pd.to_datetime("2024-03-2")
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# Forecast future crime patterns
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future_forecast = model_fit.forecast(steps=future_steps)
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# Get the dates for the forecasted period
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future_dates = pd.date_range(start=start_date, periods=future_steps + 1, freq='ME')[1:]
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# Plot forecasted values
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plt.figure(figsize=(10, 6))
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plt.plot(future_dates, future_forecast, label="Forecast")
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#plt.fill_between(future_dates, conf_int[:, 0], conf_int[:, 1], color='gray', alpha=0.3, label='95% Confidence Interval')
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plt.legend()
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plt.title("Future Crime Forecast")
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plt.xlabel("Date")
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plt.ylabel("Predicted Crime Count")
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st.pyplot(plt)
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# Display forecasted values
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st.write(f"Forecasted values for the next {future_steps} months:")
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st.write(future_forecast)
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arima_model.pkl
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version https://git-lfs.github.com/spec/v1
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oid sha256:4a0dc6d9b51cb4a8dccddc7b865981b7d140392f975d8818efaecbac3426cf18
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size 724531
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