Question: what percentage of the time is punxsutawney phil correct?
Answer: Turns out his track record for weather prediction isn't 100% … or even 50%. Since 1887, Phil and his predecessors have seen their shadow 104 times, and not seen it only 19 times. According to the Stormfax Almanac, which has been tracking Phil's predictions since 1887, Phil has been correct only 39% of the time.