Talk:2006–07 Southern Hemisphere tropical cyclone season/January

message: ====96S.INVEST====
Newly up on FNMOC and NRL at 10S 131E, Arafura Sea/Timor Sea. - SpLoT | '07 (*C*+u+g) 15:17, 5 January 2007 (UTC)
replies: text: BOM not expecting a tropical cyclone to develop within 3 days. RaNdOm26 06:41, 6 January 2007 (UTC)

text: Looks like it might be from some part of ex-Clovis. -- RattleMan 01:20, 6 January 2007 (UTC)
thread_title: Week 1

message: Newly up on FNMOC and NRL at 10S 131E, Arafura Sea/Timor Sea. - SpLoT | '07 (*C*+u+g) 15:17, 5 January 2007 (UTC)
replies: text: BOM not expecting a tropical cyclone to develop within 3 days. RaNdOm26 06:41, 6 January 2007 (UTC)
thread_title: 96S.INVEST

message: =====97S.INVEST=====
18.6ºS 43.6ºE - 15 knots (west of Madagascar) - グリフオーザー 22:39, 5 January 2007 (UTC)
replies: text: Looks like it might be from some part of ex-Clovis. -- RattleMan 01:20, 6 January 2007 (UTC)
thread_title: 06R.INVEST

message: 18.6ºS 43.6ºE - 15 knots (west of Madagascar) - グリフオーザー 22:39, 5 January 2007 (UTC)
replies: text: Looks like it might be from some part of ex-Clovis. -- RattleMan 01:20, 6 January 2007 (UTC)
thread_title: 97S.INVEST

message: Tropical Disturbance 25 knots 1000 hPa - グリフオーザー 06:59, 8 January 2007 (UTC)
thread_title: Perturbation Tropicale 6

message: ====98S.INVEST====
10S 54E, 15kt. -- RattleMan 17:59, 7 January 2007 (UTC)
replies: text: Bad spelling error: MOST GLOBAL MODELS HAVE PICKLED UPTHE SYSTEM BUT SHOW NO SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT. – Chacor 12:33, 10 January 2007 (UTC)

text: Gone from NRL and FNMOC. - SpLoT (*C*+u+g) 11:15, 12 January 2007 (UTC)

text: hmm South Indian Ocean? - グリフオーザー 15:24, 10 January 2007 (UTC)
replies: text: No, South Pacific. Note proximity to IDL. - SpLoT (*C*+u+g) 15:35, 10 January 2007 (UTC)

text: No it hasn't been renamed, they are different systems. – Chacor 02:23, 11 January 2007 (UTC)

text: Now almost in Mozambique Channel. - SpLoT (*C*+u+g) 11:22, 12 January 2007 (UTC)
replies: text: Gone. --Coredesat 22:24, 14 January 2007 (UTC)

text: Looks nice, but it's already over land...--IrfanFaiz 13:34, 13 January 2007 (UTC)
replies: text: Not expected to move offshore, so a tropical cyclone isn't likely. It will deliver monsoonal rain up to 200mm in the Kimberley. RaNdOm26 07:54, 14 January 2007 (UTC)
thread_title: Week 2

message: 10S 54E, 15kt. -- RattleMan 17:59, 7 January 2007 (UTC)
thread_title: 98S.INVEST

message: =====Tropical Depression 06F=====
13ºS 167ºW 1004 hPa moving slowly TC development currently not anticipated - グリフオーザー 03:53, 10 January 2007 (UTC)
replies: text: Bad spelling error: MOST GLOBAL MODELS HAVE PICKLED UPTHE SYSTEM BUT SHOW NO SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT. – Chacor 12:33, 10 January 2007 (UTC)

text: Gone from NRL and FNMOC. - SpLoT (*C*+u+g) 11:15, 12 January 2007 (UTC)
thread_title: 06F.INVEST

message: 13ºS 167ºW 1004 hPa moving slowly TC development currently not anticipated - グリフオーザー 03:53, 10 January 2007 (UTC)
replies: text: Bad spelling error: MOST GLOBAL MODELS HAVE PICKLED UPTHE SYSTEM BUT SHOW NO SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT. – Chacor 12:33, 10 January 2007 (UTC)
thread_title: Tropical Depression 06F

message: Now on NRL as 99P, 13.9S 171.2W. --Coredesat 18:24, 10 January 2007 (UTC)
replies: text: Gone from NRL and FNMOC. - SpLoT (*C*+u+g) 11:15, 12 January 2007 (UTC)
thread_title: 99P.INVEST

message: New one at 15S 170E. - SpLoT (*C*+u+g) 14:29, 10 January 2007 (UTC)
replies: text: hmm South Indian Ocean? - グリフオーザー 15:24, 10 January 2007 (UTC)
replies: text: No, South Pacific. Note proximity to IDL. - SpLoT (*C*+u+g) 15:35, 10 January 2007 (UTC)

text: No it hasn't been renamed, they are different systems. – Chacor 02:23, 11 January 2007 (UTC)
thread_title: 99S.INVEST

message: New invest near 16.3S 39.9E. Looks pretty decent but is a bit less than halfway over land. --Coredesat 10:14, 11 January 2007 (UTC)
replies: text: Now almost in Mozambique Channel. - SpLoT (*C*+u+g) 11:22, 12 January 2007 (UTC)
replies: text: Gone. --Coredesat 22:24, 14 January 2007 (UTC)
thread_title: 90S.INVEST

message: 15.3S 126.4E - SpLoT (*C*+u+g) 11:23, 12 January 2007 (UTC)
replies: text: Looks nice, but it's already over land...--IrfanFaiz 13:34, 13 January 2007 (UTC)
replies: text: Not expected to move offshore, so a tropical cyclone isn't likely. It will deliver monsoonal rain up to 200mm in the Kimberley. RaNdOm26 07:54, 14 January 2007 (UTC)
thread_title: 91S.INVEST

message: ====92P.INVEST====
10ºS 173ºW - グリフオーザー 03:42, 15 January 2007 (UTC)
replies: text: Gone from NRL. --Coredesat 07:39, 17 January 2007 (UTC)

text: Lots of convection at the center. --IrfanFaiz 13:39, 22 January 2007 (UTC)

text: Tropical Cyclone Alert for Southern Cook Islands - グリフオーザー 19:29, 24 January 2007 (UTC)
replies: text: An eyewall is developing in it's center . --IrfanFaiz 22:29, 24 January 2007 (UTC)

text: It's still on FNMOC, but it's as good as gone. --Coredesat 07:46, 17 January 2007 (UTC)

text: Looks neat.  -- RattleMan 08:55, 18 January 2007 (UTC)
replies: text: Well and truly gone. RaNdOm26 19:28, 25 January 2007 (UTC)

text: Gone. --Coredesat 02:59, 21 January 2007 (UTC)

text: No tropical disturbance summary now. RaNdOm26 22:41, 18 January 2007 (UTC)
replies: text: Thats wired no advisory from Figi. i just checked the australian site to see if they have got anything as they are the back up to Nadiand theres nothingJason Rees 00:15, 19 January 2007 (UTC)

text: Looks pretty good  but i cant find anything at the RSMC Nadi website. --IrfanFaiz 23:22, 20 January 2007 (UTC)

text: The latest JTWC bulletin said, wind shear is low over the center of the tropical depression and development maybe expected in the next 24 hours. --IrfanFaiz 23:05, 21 January 2007 (UTC)

text: TD 07F is being torn apart now, TD 08F looks ok to me. --IrfanFaiz 06:49, 22 January 2007 (UTC)

text: It looks better than before... looks like a Tropical Storm in  satellite images. -IrfanFaiz 21:59, 22 January 2007 (UTC)
thread_title: Week 3

message: 10ºS 173ºW - グリフオーザー 03:42, 15 January 2007 (UTC)
replies: text: Gone from NRL. --Coredesat 07:39, 17 January 2007 (UTC)
thread_title: 92P.INVEST

message: =====93P.INVEST=====
6.2S 179.9E - グリフオーザー 06:04, 16 January 2007 (UTC)
replies: text: Lots of convection at the center. --IrfanFaiz 13:39, 22 January 2007 (UTC)

text: Tropical Cyclone Alert for Southern Cook Islands - グリフオーザー 19:29, 24 January 2007 (UTC)
replies: text: An eyewall is developing in it's center . --IrfanFaiz 22:29, 24 January 2007 (UTC)
thread_title: 09P.ARTHUR [08F]

message: 6.2S 179.9E - グリフオーザー 06:04, 16 January 2007 (UTC)
thread_title: 93P.INVEST

message: Center was located near 11.9S 176.4W Jason Rees 14:34, 21 January 2007 (UTC)
replies: text: Lots of convection at the center. --IrfanFaiz 13:39, 22 January 2007 (UTC)
thread_title: Tropical Depression 08F

message: cyclone strength now with sustained winds of 35 to 40 knots near the center - グリフオーザー 18:49, 24 January 2007 (UTC)
replies: text: Tropical Cyclone Alert for Southern Cook Islands - グリフオーザー 19:29, 24 January 2007 (UTC)
replies: text: An eyewall is developing in it's center . --IrfanFaiz 22:29, 24 January 2007 (UTC)
thread_title: Tropical Cyclone Arthur

message: 12.8S 74E 1006 mb - グリフオーザー 07:43, 16 January 2007 (UTC)
replies: text: It's still on FNMOC, but it's as good as gone. --Coredesat 07:46, 17 January 2007 (UTC)
thread_title: 94S.INVEST

message: 5.7ºS 91.1ºE 15 knots 1006 mb (new system) - グリフオーザー 08:21, 18 January 2007 (UTC)
replies: text: Looks neat.  -- RattleMan 08:55, 18 January 2007 (UTC)
replies: text: Well and truly gone. RaNdOm26 19:28, 25 January 2007 (UTC)
thread_title: 94S.INVEST (new)

message: 21.3ºS 38.6ºE 15 knots 1006 mb - グリフオーザー 21:54, 18 January 2007 (UTC)
thread_title: 95S.INVEST

message: 15.0ºS 155.0ºW 15 knots - VOFFA
:Gone. --Coredesat 02:59, 21 January 2007 (UTC)
thread_title: 96P.INVEST

message: =====98S.INVEST=====
Just appeared, near 11.4S 165.6W. Looks pretty good. --Coredesat 02:59, 21 January 2007 (UTC)
replies: text: No tropical disturbance summary now. RaNdOm26 22:41, 18 January 2007 (UTC)
replies: text: Thats wired no advisory from Figi. i just checked the australian site to see if they have got anything as they are the back up to Nadiand theres nothingJason Rees 00:15, 19 January 2007 (UTC)

text: Looks pretty good  but i cant find anything at the RSMC Nadi website. --IrfanFaiz 23:22, 20 January 2007 (UTC)

text: The latest JTWC bulletin said, wind shear is low over the center of the tropical depression and development maybe expected in the next 24 hours. --IrfanFaiz 23:05, 21 January 2007 (UTC)

text: TD 07F is being torn apart now, TD 08F looks ok to me. --IrfanFaiz 06:49, 22 January 2007 (UTC)

text: It looks better than before... looks like a Tropical Storm in  satellite images. -IrfanFaiz 21:59, 22 January 2007 (UTC)
thread_title: 08P.ZITA [07F]

message: Just appeared, near 11.4S 165.6W. Looks pretty good. --Coredesat 02:59, 21 January 2007 (UTC)
thread_title: 98S.INVEST

message: TD 7F now (http://www.met.gov.fj/aifs_prods/10140.txt)Jason Rees 21:43, 17 January 2007 (UTC)
thread_title: Tropical Disturbance 07F

message: Tropical disturbance summary now notes as Tropical Depression - グリフオーザー 09:12, 18 January 2007 (UTC)
replies: text: No tropical disturbance summary now. RaNdOm26 22:41, 18 January 2007 (UTC)
replies: text: Thats wired no advisory from Figi. i just checked the australian site to see if they have got anything as they are the back up to Nadiand theres nothingJason Rees 00:15, 19 January 2007 (UTC)

text: Looks pretty good  but i cant find anything at the RSMC Nadi website. --IrfanFaiz 23:22, 20 January 2007 (UTC)

text: The latest JTWC bulletin said, wind shear is low over the center of the tropical depression and development maybe expected in the next 24 hours. --IrfanFaiz 23:05, 21 January 2007 (UTC)

text: TD 07F is being torn apart now, TD 08F looks ok to me. --IrfanFaiz 06:49, 22 January 2007 (UTC)

text: It looks better than before... looks like a Tropical Storm in  satellite images. -IrfanFaiz 21:59, 22 January 2007 (UTC)
thread_title: Tropical Depression 07F

message: JTWC has issued warnings for this system. - グリフオーザー 23:44, 22 January 2007 (UTC)
thread_title: 08P.NONAME

message: Now Tropical Cyclone Zita from RSMC Nadi. First advisory is not yet out, but it's in the tropical disturbance summary. --Coredesat 00:05, 23 January 2007 (UTC)
thread_title: Tropical Cyclone Zita

message: ====10S.DORA [07R]====
=====99S.INVEST=====
Found it in FNMOC and NRL, so I've put it in. 15 knots. Location? RaNdOm26 19:28, 25 January 2007 (UTC)
replies: text: Location just appeared, 8.0S 70.7E. --Coredesat 23:42, 25 January 2007 (UTC)
replies: text: Earlier today NRL posted 90S using nearly the same region as this disturbance. - グリフオーザー 05:50, 26 January 2007 (UTC)

text: Dora's eye is began to become slightly more rounder on VIS images. I don't seem to understand the advisories by Meteo France. --IrfanFaiz 12:56, 1 February 2007 (UTC)
replies: text: Maybe because they're not in English. Yes, I'm being sarcastic. Here's their broken English equivalent advisory:  – Chacor 14:08, 1 February 2007 (UTC)

text: Annular? wow... --IrfanFaiz 02:17, 3 February 2007 (UTC)

text: 11.1S, 170W, 15kt, 1006mb, looks interesting. – Chacor 14:29, 29 January 2007 (UTC)
thread_title: Week 4

message: =====99S.INVEST=====
Found it in FNMOC and NRL, so I've put it in. 15 knots. Location? RaNdOm26 19:28, 25 January 2007 (UTC)
replies: text: Location just appeared, 8.0S 70.7E. --Coredesat 23:42, 25 January 2007 (UTC)
replies: text: Earlier today NRL posted 90S using nearly the same region as this disturbance. - グリフオーザー 05:50, 26 January 2007 (UTC)

text: Dora's eye is began to become slightly more rounder on VIS images. I don't seem to understand the advisories by Meteo France. --IrfanFaiz 12:56, 1 February 2007 (UTC)
replies: text: Maybe because they're not in English. Yes, I'm being sarcastic. Here's their broken English equivalent advisory:  – Chacor 14:08, 1 February 2007 (UTC)

text: Annular? wow... --IrfanFaiz 02:17, 3 February 2007 (UTC)
thread_title: 10S.DORA [07R]

message: Found it in FNMOC and NRL, so I've put it in. 15 knots. Location? RaNdOm26 19:28, 25 January 2007 (UTC)
replies: text: Location just appeared, 8.0S 70.7E. --Coredesat 23:42, 25 January 2007 (UTC)
replies: text: Earlier today NRL posted 90S using nearly the same region as this disturbance. - グリフオーザー 05:50, 26 January 2007 (UTC)
thread_title: 99S.INVEST

message: 0630am: 7.9S 66.7E - 20 knots 1003 hPa -- グリフオーザー 07:11, 28 January 2007 (UTC)
thread_title: Perturbation Tropicale (07-20062007)

message: on NRL now84.9.51.41 18:46, 28 January 2007 (UTC)
thread_title:  Tropical Cyclone 10S 

message: Named Dora. – Chacor 14:31, 29 January 2007 (UTC)
thread_title: Tempête Tropicale Moderée Dora

message: 12:00am UTC: 50 knots 985 hPa - グリフオーザー 01:05, 30 January 2007 (UTC)
thread_title: Forte Tempête Tropicale Dora

message: 0600 UTC: 70 65 kt, 970 hPa. Expected to strengthen a little, then weaken over the next 72 hours. --Coredesat 07:45, 1 February 2007 (UTC)
replies: text: Dora's eye is began to become slightly more rounder on VIS images. I don't seem to understand the advisories by Meteo France. --IrfanFaiz 12:56, 1 February 2007 (UTC)
replies: text: Maybe because they're not in English. Yes, I'm being sarcastic. Here's their broken English equivalent advisory:  – Chacor 14:08, 1 February 2007 (UTC)
thread_title: Cyclone Tropical Dora

message: NATURE DU SYSTEME DEPRESSIONNAIRE TROPICAL 
 PRESENT SUR LE SUD-OUEST DE L'OCEAN INDIEN
 
 
 CYCLONE TROPICAL INTENSE DORA
 
 PRESSION ESTIMEE AU CENTRE : 942 HPA.
 POSITION LE 02 FEVRIER A 22 HEURES LOCALES:  18.1 SUD / 67.9 EST
 (DIX-HUIT DEGRES UN SUD ET SOIXANTE-SEPT DEGRES NEUF EST).
 
 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS                : 5.5/5.5 /D  0.5/12 H
 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE               : 942 HPA
 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 95 KT
  
 MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS AN IMPRESSIVE ANNULAR CYCLONE WHICH DEEP
 CONVECTION HAS BECOME COOLER AND EYE WARMER IMAGE AFTER IMAGE (AMSU 0909S
 , 1047Z, SSMI 1355Z, SSMIS 1557Z).
. NRL has it as 115kt. -- RattleMan 18:58, 2 February 2007 (UTC)
replies: text: Annular? wow... --IrfanFaiz 02:17, 3 February 2007 (UTC)
thread_title: Cyclone Tropical Intense Dora

message: 6.0S 179.9W, 15 kt and no pressure. --Coredesat 22:04, 26 January 2007 (UTC)
replies: text: 11.1S, 170W, 15kt, 1006mb, looks interesting. – Chacor 14:29, 29 January 2007 (UTC)
thread_title: 90P.INVEST

message: 19.7S 49.2E, appears to be over land. --Coredesat 03:02, 28 January 2007 (UTC)
replies: text: Not in NRL.... RaNdOm26 03:45, 29 January 2007 (UTC)
replies: text: It was a quick "here and gone" invest. -- RattleMan 03:51, 29 January 2007 (UTC)
thread_title: 91S.INVEST

message: 14.8S 128.3E, 15kt, 1006mb. -- RattleMan 21:14, 28 January 2007 (UTC)
replies: text: Same as above. RaNdOm26 03:45, 29 January 2007 (UTC)
replies: text: Looks almost dead now. – Chacor 14:30, 29 January 2007 (UTC)
thread_title: 93S.INVEST

message: Newly up, 18.3S, 41.1E, 15kt. Just off the western Madagascar coast. – Chacor 14:30, 29 January 2007 (UTC)
thread_title: 94S.INVEST

message: 12.0S 132.3E, between Arafura and Timor Sea, near Darwin. - SpLoT // 08:23, 30 January 2007 (UTC)
replies: text: NRL now has a 95S (same system), as well as 95P, listed. FMNOC has only 95S. – Chacor 13:17, 30 January 2007 (UTC)
thread_title: 95P/95S.INVEST

message: A weak tropical low, 1006 hPa, is situated over Melville Island. The low is
expected to move slowly east and gradually deepen during the next three days. If the low moves offshore, the potential for development into a Tropical Cyclone
in the southern Arafura Sea or Gulf of Carpentaria is estimated to be:  
Wednesday: low,
Thursday:  low,
Friday:    moderate.
– Chacor 13:05, 30 January 2007 (UTC)
replies: text: TCFA. --Coredesat 07:42, 1 February 2007 (UTC)
replies: text: Deepened to 998 hPa per the latest marine bulletin, expected to become a TC within 18-24 hours. --Coredesat 22:59, 1 February 2007 (UTC)

text: Seems to be redeveloping, and it's huge. --IrfanFaiz 22:16, 3 February 2007 (UTC)
thread_title: TCWC Darwin Tropical Low