Talk:2006–07 Southern Hemisphere tropical cyclone season/February

message: ====11P.NONAME [09F]====
=====96P.INVEST=====
NRL: 9.2ºS 176.6ºE 15kts 1006 hPa - グリフオーザー 22:15, 1 February 2007 (UTC)
thread_title: Week 1

message: =====96P.INVEST=====
NRL: 9.2ºS 176.6ºE 15kts 1006 hPa - グリフオーザー 22:15, 1 February 2007 (UTC)
thread_title: 11P.NONAME [09F]

message: NRL: 9.2ºS 176.6ºE 15kts 1006 hPa - グリフオーザー 22:15, 1 February 2007 (UTC)
thread_title: 96P.INVEST

message: TROPICAL DISTURBANCE TD [1004 HPA] WAS ANALYSED NEAR 10S 177W AT
312100 UTC SLOW MOVING. POSITION POOR BASED ON MTSAT IR IMAGERY WITH
ANIMATION AND PERIPHERAL SURFACE OBSERVATIONS. SST IN THE AREA AROUND
30 DEGREE CELCIUS.
– Chacor 08:46, 31 January 2007 (UTC)
thread_title: Tropical Disturbance 09F

message: Marine Bulletin at 800am marks 09F as a Tropical Depression with 1002 hPa - グリフオーザー 08:57, 2 February 2007 (UTC)
thread_title: Tropical Depression 09F

message: 35 knots 997 mb - グリフオーザー 01:40, 4 February 2007 (UTC)
thread_title: 11P.NONAME

message: 6.0ºS 96.0ºE - 15 knots 1006 hPa (NRL)
=====TCWC Perth Tropical Low=====
Tropical Low [1006hpa] near 7S 97E, 580 km north of Cocos Islands
DEVELOPMENT POTENTIAL
Sunday   : low
Monday   : low
Tuesday  : moderate
- グリフオーザー 19:00, 3 February 2007 (UTC)
thread_title: 97S.INVEST

message: Tropical Low [1006hpa] near 7S 97E, 580 km north of Cocos Islands
DEVELOPMENT POTENTIAL
Sunday   : low
Monday   : low
Tuesday  : moderate
- グリフオーザー 19:00, 3 February 2007 (UTC)
thread_title: TCWC Perth Tropical Low

message: ====13S.ENOK [08R]====
=====98S.INVEST=====
19.2S 50.6E - 15 kts 1006 hPa -- グリフオーザー 15:50, 5 February 2007 (UTC)
replies: text: TCFA issued by JTWC.  --IrfanFaiz 05:23, 7 February 2007 (UTC)

text: Odd Metro France named it Enok while being at depression status. - グリフオーザー 15:29, 9 February 2007 (UTC)

text: new low develops east of Cairns - グリフオーザー 07:02, 7 February 2007 (UTC)

text: Scraping the southern coast of Madagascar on the way to Mozambique. - SpLoT {新年快乐!} // 09:48, 20 February 2007 (UTC)
replies: text: The storm is really small if you view from a 2 km zoom in NRL. --IrfanFaiz 11:06, 20 February 2007 (UTC)
replies: text: 125 kt from NRL and
   210300Z POSITION NEAR 24.2S 39.7E.
   TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 14S (FAVIO), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 415 NM EAST-
   NORTHEAST OF MAPUTO, MOZAMBIQUE, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT
   10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. TC 14S HAS INTENSIFIED AT A
   GREATER-THAN-CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS AND CURRENTLY
   HAS A SLIGHTLY CLOUD-FILLED 12-NM ROUND EYE. TC 14S CONTINUES TO
   TRACK ALONG THE NORTHEASTERN PERIPHERY OF THE MID-LEVEL SUBTROPICAL
--IrfanFaiz 03:41, 21 February 2007 (UTC)

text: Fortunately, it looks like it's weakened a bit. Either way, this thing is a monster. Hopefully it doesn't maintain this intensity into Mozambique. bob rulz 07:13, 21 February 2007 (UTC)
replies: text: Apparently, it will. - SpLoT {新年快乐!} // 13:16, 21 February 2007 (UTC)

text: Gone. --Coredesat 04:05, 12 February 2007 (UTC)
replies: text: gone -- グリフオーザー 00:04, 18 February 2007 (UTC)
thread_title: Week 2

message: =====98S.INVEST=====
19.2S 50.6E - 15 kts 1006 hPa -- グリフオーザー 15:50, 5 February 2007 (UTC)
replies: text: TCFA issued by JTWC.  --IrfanFaiz 05:23, 7 February 2007 (UTC)

text: Odd Metro France named it Enok while being at depression status. - グリフオーザー 15:29, 9 February 2007 (UTC)
thread_title: 13S.ENOK [08R]

message: 19.2S 50.6E - 15 kts 1006 hPa -- グリフオーザー 15:50, 5 February 2007 (UTC)
replies: text: TCFA issued by JTWC.  --IrfanFaiz 05:23, 7 February 2007 (UTC)
thread_title: 98S.INVEST

message: 10 min sustained winds of 25 kts [1001 hPa] - グリフオーザー 22:21, 8 February 2007 (UTC)
thread_title: Tropical Disturbance 08R

message: TD now, 30 kt. Forecast peak is 60 kt. – Chacor 14:37, 9 February 2007 (UTC)
replies: text: Odd Metro France named it Enok while being at depression status. - グリフオーザー 15:29, 9 February 2007 (UTC)
thread_title: ''Dépression Tropicale'' 08R

message: VOFFA, Madagascar names cyclones west of 55°E, Réunion only have warning responsibility. – Chacor 16:05, 9 February 2007 (UTC)
thread_title: Tropical Depression Enok

message: 18pm UTC: Enok has sustained winds of 50 knots. - グリフオーザー 22:32, 9 February 2007 (UTC)
thread_title: Severe Tropical Storm Enok

message: 16.8S 147.2E - 15 kts 1006 hPa - グリフオーザー 15:50, 5 February 2007 (UTC)
replies: text: new low develops east of Cairns - グリフオーザー 07:02, 7 February 2007 (UTC)
thread_title: 99P.INVEST/90P

message: Tropical Low [1000 hPa] is centered about 90 km east of Cairns and 85 km northeast of Innisfail and should gradually intensify over the next 24 hours.
The low may develop into a tropical cyclone during the next few days while moving away from the coast.
- 09:15, 5 February 2007 (UTC)
thread_title: TCWC Brisbane Tropical Low

message: :new low develops east of Cairns - グリフオーザー 07:02, 7 February 2007 (UTC)
thread_title: 90P.INVEST

message: =====91S.INVEST=====
7.9S 72.3E 15kts 1006 mb - グリフオーザー 03:19, 10 February 2007 (UTC)
replies: text: Scraping the southern coast of Madagascar on the way to Mozambique. - SpLoT {新年快乐!} // 09:48, 20 February 2007 (UTC)
replies: text: The storm is really small if you view from a 2 km zoom in NRL. --IrfanFaiz 11:06, 20 February 2007 (UTC)
replies: text: 125 kt from NRL and
   210300Z POSITION NEAR 24.2S 39.7E.
   TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 14S (FAVIO), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 415 NM EAST-
   NORTHEAST OF MAPUTO, MOZAMBIQUE, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT
   10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. TC 14S HAS INTENSIFIED AT A
   GREATER-THAN-CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS AND CURRENTLY
   HAS A SLIGHTLY CLOUD-FILLED 12-NM ROUND EYE. TC 14S CONTINUES TO
   TRACK ALONG THE NORTHEASTERN PERIPHERY OF THE MID-LEVEL SUBTROPICAL
--IrfanFaiz 03:41, 21 February 2007 (UTC)

text: Fortunately, it looks like it's weakened a bit. Either way, this thing is a monster. Hopefully it doesn't maintain this intensity into Mozambique. bob rulz 07:13, 21 February 2007 (UTC)
replies: text: Apparently, it will. - SpLoT {新年快乐!} // 13:16, 21 February 2007 (UTC)
thread_title: 14S.FAVIO [09R]

message: 7.9S 72.3E 15kts 1006 mb - グリフオーザー 03:19, 10 February 2007 (UTC)
thread_title: 91S.INVEST

message: Zone of disturbed weather 20kts 1004hpa - グリフオーザー 03:28, 12 February 2007 (UTC)
thread_title: ''Zone Perturbée 09-20062007''

message: tropical disturbance 25 kts 1002hph - グリフオーザー 17:25, 12 February 2007 (UTC)
thread_title: ''Perturbation Tropicale'' 09R

message: JTWC issues warnings on the system. - グリフオーザー 15:51, 14 February 2007 (UTC)
thread_title: 14S.NONAME

message: 35 knots 995 hPa - グリフオーザー 07:42, 15 February 2007 (UTC)
thread_title: ''Tempête Tropicale Modérée Favio''

message: 50 knots 985 hPa - Teddy 06:54, 18 February 2007 (UTC)
thread_title: ''Forte Tempete Tropicale Favio''

message: currently 80 kts 955 hPa - グリフオーザー 03:49, 20 February 2007 (UTC)
thread_title: Tropical Cyclone Favio

message: Metro France now reports an Intense Tropical Cyclone Favio sustained winds of 90 knots and gusts up to 130 knots. The systems center pressure is 945 hPa.- グリフオーザー 07:21, 20 February 2007 (UTC)
replies: text: Scraping the southern coast of Madagascar on the way to Mozambique. - SpLoT {新年快乐!} // 09:48, 20 February 2007 (UTC)
replies: text: The storm is really small if you view from a 2 km zoom in NRL. --IrfanFaiz 11:06, 20 February 2007 (UTC)
replies: text: 125 kt from NRL and
   210300Z POSITION NEAR 24.2S 39.7E.
   TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 14S (FAVIO), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 415 NM EAST-
   NORTHEAST OF MAPUTO, MOZAMBIQUE, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT
   10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. TC 14S HAS INTENSIFIED AT A
   GREATER-THAN-CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS AND CURRENTLY
   HAS A SLIGHTLY CLOUD-FILLED 12-NM ROUND EYE. TC 14S CONTINUES TO
   TRACK ALONG THE NORTHEASTERN PERIPHERY OF THE MID-LEVEL SUBTROPICAL
--IrfanFaiz 03:41, 21 February 2007 (UTC)

text: Fortunately, it looks like it's weakened a bit. Either way, this thing is a monster. Hopefully it doesn't maintain this intensity into Mozambique. bob rulz 07:13, 21 February 2007 (UTC)
replies: text: Apparently, it will. - SpLoT {新年快乐!} // 13:16, 21 February 2007 (UTC)
thread_title: Intense Tropical Cyclone Favio

message: Just appeared, 16.7S 177.0E. 15 kt, no pressure. --Coredesat 20:34, 10 February 2007 (UTC)
replies: text: Gone. --Coredesat 04:05, 12 February 2007 (UTC)
thread_title: 92P.INVEST

message: 17.3S 55.9E, north of Réunion. 15 kt, 1006 mb. - SpLoT // 09:53, 11 February 2007 (UTC)
replies: text: gone -- グリフオーザー 00:04, 18 February 2007 (UTC)
thread_title: 93S.INVEST

message: 94S was at 19S 37E on 12th Feb. The NRL stopped monitoring it on 15th Feb. - グリフオーザー 00:04, 18 February 2007 (UTC)
thread_title: 94S.INVEST

message: ====95S.INVEST====
Not sure where 94S went, but 20.3S 41.3E. - SpLoT {新年快乐!} // 16:50, 17 February 2007 (UTC)
replies: text: no longer suspected for development and is gone from NRL - グリフオーザー 19:20, 19 February 2007 (UTC)

text: Global Models: Link - VOFFA
====15S.GAMEDE [10R]====
=====97S.INVEST=====
NRL: 11.0S 85.1E
=====TCWC Perth - Tropical Low=====
(Central Indian Ocean)
tropical low near 15S 85E is expected to remain west of 90E -- グリフオーザー 06:23, 18 February 2007 (UTC)

text: TCFA. --Coredesat 00:59, 21 February 2007 (UTC)

text: Red Alert is enforced for Reunion as of 6pm UTC - グリフオーザー 21:24, 24 February 2007 (UTC)
replies: text: 105 knots from NRL and convection has improved near at it's center. --IrfanFaiz 05:22, 26 February 2007 (UTC)

text: Next advisory to be issued by RSMC Réunion at 1200 UTC. – Chacor 07:18, 21 February 2007 (UTC)

text: gone - グリフオーザー 17:58, 22 February 2007 (UTC)
thread_title: Week 3

message: Not sure where 94S went, but 20.3S 41.3E. - SpLoT {新年快乐!} // 16:50, 17 February 2007 (UTC)
replies: text: no longer suspected for development and is gone from NRL - グリフオーザー 19:20, 19 February 2007 (UTC)
thread_title: 95S.INVEST

message: =====97S.INVEST=====
NRL: 11.0S 85.1E
=====TCWC Perth - Tropical Low=====
(Central Indian Ocean)
tropical low near 15S 85E is expected to remain west of 90E -- グリフオーザー 06:23, 18 February 2007 (UTC)
replies: text: TCFA. --Coredesat 00:59, 21 February 2007 (UTC)

text: Red Alert is enforced for Reunion as of 6pm UTC - グリフオーザー 21:24, 24 February 2007 (UTC)
replies: text: 105 knots from NRL and convection has improved near at it's center. --IrfanFaiz 05:22, 26 February 2007 (UTC)
thread_title: 15S.GAMEDE [10R]

message: (Central Indian Ocean)
tropical low near 15S 85E is expected to remain west of 90E -- グリフオーザー 06:23, 18 February 2007 (UTC)
thread_title: TCWC Perth - Tropical Low

message: Perturbation tropicale 10R now from MF. – Chacor 14:53, 20 February 2007 (UTC)
replies: text: TCFA. --Coredesat 00:59, 21 February 2007 (UTC)
thread_title: Tropical Disturbance 10R

message: 10 min sustained winds of 40 knots with gusts up to 60 knots. The center pressure is 993 Hpa. - グリフオーザー 06:59, 21 February 2007 (UTC)
thread_title: ''Tempête Tropicale Modérée'' Gamede

message: 65 knots with wind gusts up to 90 knots. Center pressure is 967 hPa.
Mauritius issues Cyclone Warning Class II. - グリフオーザー 01:26, 23 February 2007 (UTC)
replies: text: Red Alert is enforced for Reunion as of 6pm UTC - グリフオーザー 21:24, 24 February 2007 (UTC)
replies: text: 105 knots from NRL and convection has improved near at it's center. --IrfanFaiz 05:22, 26 February 2007 (UTC)
thread_title: Tropical Cyclone Gamede

message: =====98S.INVEST=====
=====Tropical Low - TCWC Perth=====
10.0ºS 95.0ºE - 1006 hPa
315 km northwest of Cocos Islands
Tropical Cyclone Potential
Tuesday = Low
Wednesday= High
Thursday = High
- グリフオーザー 04:26, 19 February 2007 (UTC)
replies: text: Next advisory to be issued by RSMC Réunion at 1200 UTC. – Chacor 07:18, 21 February 2007 (UTC)
thread_title: 16S.HUMBA [11R]

message: 10.0ºS 95.0ºE - 1006 hPa
315 km northwest of Cocos Islands
Tropical Cyclone Potential
Tuesday = Low
Wednesday= High
Thursday = High
- グリフオーザー 04:26, 19 February 2007 (UTC)
replies: text: Next advisory to be issued by RSMC Réunion at 1200 UTC. – Chacor 07:18, 21 February 2007 (UTC)
thread_title: Tropical Low - TCWC Perth

message: 25 knots with gusts up to 35 knots, 1001 hPa - グリフオーザー 15:08, 21 February 2007 (UTC)
thread_title: ''Perturbation Tropicale'' 11R

message: Warnings begin at 1500 UTC.
211500Z POSITION NEAR 10.9S 87.4E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 16S (NONAME), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 525 NM
WEST OF THE COCOS ISLANDS, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 13
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. RECENT MULTISPECTRAL AND WATER
VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOW DEEP CONVECTION FLARING OVER A
TIGHTENING LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. THE STORM IS TRACKING
ALONG THE NORTHWESTERN EXTENSION OF A BROAD SUBTROPICAL RIDGE
ANCHORED OVER WESTERN AUSTRALIA. THIS RIDGE IS EXPECTED TO
REMAIN THE DOMINANT STEERING INFLUENCE THROUGH TAU 48, ALLOWING
THE SYSTEM TO TAKE A GENERALLY SOUTHWESTWARD TRACK. THE STORM WILL
INTENSIFY SLOWLY THROUGH TAU 36 IN AN ENVIRONMENT OF LESS THAN
OPTIMAL VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND GOOD EQUATORWARD DIFFLUENCE ALOFT.
AFTER TAU 36, DECREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND INCREASING POLE-
WARD OUTFLOW WILL ALLOW FOR MORE RAPID INTENSIFICATION. - SpLoT {新年快乐!} // 16:11, 21 February 2007 (UTC)
thread_title: 16S.NONAME

message: Forecast to move south and intensify to tropical cyclone. - SpLoT {新年快乐!} // 14:03, 23 February 2007 (UTC)
thread_title: ''Tempête Tropicale Modérée'' Humba

message: 50 knots with wind gusts up to 70 knots - グリフオーザー 18:59, 23 February 2007 (UTC)
thread_title: ''Forte Tempête Tropicale'' Humba

message: 18.7ºS-58.8ºE 
15 knots 1006 hPa - グリフオーザー 07:02, 21 February 2007 (UTC)
replies: text: gone - グリフオーザー 17:58, 22 February 2007 (UTC)
thread_title: 99S.INVEST

message: 22.0ºS.49.0ºE 15 knots 1006 hPa - グリフオーザー 17:58, 22 February 2007 (UTC)
replies: text: gone RaNdOm26 08:14, 25 February 2007 (UTC)
thread_title: 90S.INVEST

message: SITUATION
At 270000UTC, a tropical low central pressure 998 hPa was centred within 60
nautical miles of 14.5S 153.0E, moving west-southwest at about 5 knots. Position
Poor. The low may develop into a tropical cyclone in the next 12 to 24 hours.
– Chacor 02:13, 27 February 2007 (UTC)
replies: text: very good chance for a cyclone forming by the end of today. 134.7.248.129 03:30, 28 February 2007 (UTC)
thread_title: Tropical Low

message: =====92P.INVEST (92S)=====
12.0S 135.1E, 15 kt 1006 mbar. - SpLoT {新年快乐!} // 11:00, 26 February 2007 (UTC)
replies: text: This has appeared on NRL as 92S. It's either an error, or it's moving into the Indian Ocean (or waters considered part of it), though it seems to be over land right now. --Coredesat 01:58, 27 February 2007 (UTC)
replies: text: It's forecast to move into Gulf of Carpentaria, high chance of development into a cyclone by Friday. 134.7.248.129 03:30, 28 February 2007 (UTC)
replies: text: It already looks impressive in NRL images, even over land! --IrfanFaiz 05:58, 2 March 2007 (UTC)

text: It has now turned southwards, quite unexpected, and now cyclone warnings have spread for a large part of the Pilbara. It has also grown much bigger. RaNdOm26 02:33, 8 March 2007 (UTC)
thread_title: 17S.GEORGE

message: 12.0S 135.1E, 15 kt 1006 mbar. - SpLoT {新年快乐!} // 11:00, 26 February 2007 (UTC)
replies: text: This has appeared on NRL as 92S. It's either an error, or it's moving into the Indian Ocean (or waters considered part of it), though it seems to be over land right now. --Coredesat 01:58, 27 February 2007 (UTC)
replies: text: It's forecast to move into Gulf of Carpentaria, high chance of development into a cyclone by Friday. 134.7.248.129 03:30, 28 February 2007 (UTC)
replies: text: It already looks impressive in NRL images, even over land! --IrfanFaiz 05:58, 2 March 2007 (UTC)
thread_title: 92P.INVEST (92S)

message: Cyclone watch from Daly River Mouth, NT to Mitchell Plateau, WA. Expected Cat 1 cyclone on Sunday as it moves west. – Chacor 13:58, 2 March 2007 (UTC)
thread_title: Tropical Low

message: Now listed as 17S.NONAME on NRL. --Coredesat 14:23, 3 March 2007 (UTC)
thread_title: 17S.NONAME

message: Named George, still moving west. - SpLoT // 03:28, 4 March 2007 (UTC)
thread_title: Tropical Cyclone George

message: Now a severe tropical cyclone, further strengthening forecast as it moves WSW. --Coredesat 07:39, 7 March 2007 (UTC)
replies: text: It has now turned southwards, quite unexpected, and now cyclone warnings have spread for a large part of the Pilbara. It has also grown much bigger. RaNdOm26 02:33, 8 March 2007 (UTC)
thread_title: Severe Tropical Cyclone George

message: =====Tropical Low=====
Same monsoon trough as 91P, only this system survived it, and 91P didn't. Tropical Low now, with cyclone watch declared for parts of Queensland. – Chacor 13:58, 2 March 2007 (UTC)
thread_title: 93P.ODETTE

message: Same monsoon trough as 91P, only this system survived it, and 91P didn't. Tropical Low now, with cyclone watch declared for parts of Queensland. – Chacor 13:58, 2 March 2007 (UTC)
thread_title: Tropical Low

message: Now Odette. The NRL are slow to update their site. RaNdOm26 02:37, 3 March 2007 (UTC)
thread_title: Tropical Cyclone Odette