Talk:Tornadoes of 2006

message: More of an extremely long serial derecho than a tornado outbreak, as there have been countless reports of wind damage but only isolated tornadoes. CrazyC83 21:40, 9 March 2006 (UTC)
replies: text: However, there have been hundreds of reports of wind damage! I'm thinking, looking at the derecho articles, this warrants one, likely under the name Mississippi Valley Derecho of March 2006. CrazyC83 03:03, 10 March 2006 (UTC)
replies: text: Looks like a pretty bad derecho. Yesterday the SPC was torn between a tornado event and a wind event, looks like it evolved into a wind event. Here in Michigan, just a fairly heavy, steady rain. No thunder, some flooding. (As a bad-weather lover, I yawn at our weather here.) —BazookaJoe 04:50, 10 March 2006 (UTC)
replies: text: There are, as of this writing, an astonishing 337 severe weather reports at the SPC!!! 288 for wind, 47 for hail and two for confirmed tornadoes. CrazyC83 05:25, 10 March 2006 (UTC)
thread_title: Conclusion

message: Believe it or not, one model shows that conditions WORSE than today's massive derecho are possible this weekend! See for yourself! (It is a bit early to jump to conclusions though) CrazyC83 03:03, 10 March 2006 (UTC)
replies: text: I know, it caught me by surprise! I thought today was pretty bad...even if the tornadoes didn't show up (although there were a few, it was certainly no tornado outbreak). Tomorrow I should have a better idea on what is expected. CrazyC83 03:12, 10 March 2006 (UTC)

text: I'll be watching, of course. Mind you, the squall line (of today's storms) is falling apart as it approaches Atlanta. It looks more like it'll be a minor rain event once it gets here... Mhking 03:28, 10 March 2006 (UTC)

text: MD 234 says the moderate risk will be extended northward. Tomorrow looks like another significant outbreak, too. —BazookaJoe 16:10, 11 March 2006 (UTC)
replies: text: Seems like so; it seems that the conditions are more favorable for tornadoes than straight-line winds which had to have caused close to, if not over, $100 million in damage on Thursday (based on descriptions). For the moment, I am waiting this one out before creating an article for the Thursday event. CrazyC83 20:46, 11 March 2006 (UTC)

text: I agree, that's all we can say! I think though that this will sustain itself all the way there for a late evening outbreak in the Ohio Valley. This could be Super Outbreak II I think! There have been at least 20 tornadoes reported over the past 18 hours, plus several on Thursday. CrazyC83 18:35, 12 March 2006 (UTC)

text: I've given it a full section on the article above. Damage reports sound like an F3 in my view. CrazyC83 04:28, 13 March 2006 (UTC)

text: It's NOT over - there are still tornadoes being reported in Alabama and Mississippi...definitely a major outbreak - the worst one since at least May 2004. CrazyC83 01:41, 14 March 2006 (UTC)
thread_title: March 11-13

message: Well, this outbreak is now over. It was certainly a bad one. Last night I was on the very northern edge of the line of tornado watches, but we never got more than a lot of rain and some good lightning. River Flood Warnings and High Wind Warnings are all over my area. Temperatures are plummeting. Looking for some snow this week. Looking far into the horizon, another outbreak may be shaping up for the 10 day period. Dr. Jaff Masters, referring to the Texas wildfires: "The 10-day forecast is also somewhat promising, as a very active jet stream pattern is forecast to bring the chance of a major storm system to the desert Southwest and Texas early next week. However, this could also bring another severe weather outbreak to the country." —BazookaJoe 22:16, 13 March 2006 (UTC)
replies: text: It's NOT over - there are still tornadoes being reported in Alabama and Mississippi...definitely a major outbreak - the worst one since at least May 2004. CrazyC83 01:41, 14 March 2006 (UTC)
thread_title: Conclusion

message: Moderate risk of severe weather in parts of southern Mississippi and northeastern Louisiana. There is the chance of isolated major tornadoes, that could be noteworthy. I will update the season page as necessary. There was one isolated tornado last night in Texas. 
Chance of an outbreak: 20% (5% for a major outbreak). However, despite the low numbers of tornadoes, one or two could be strong or violent. I can't put the alert level above 3 though (Significant threat). CrazyC83 21:45, 20 March 2006 (UTC)
replies: text: Classic bust. The moderate risk was only there because of the isolated potential. CrazyC83 23:23, 21 March 2006 (UTC)
thread_title: March 20

message: I don't really follow weather events overseas, especially non-tropical events, but that sounds like a pretty strong tornado in Hamburg! I added a little bit of additional information about it, but I am searching for more. The two killed were on construction cranes. Damage sounds like an F2 or maybe an F3 but I don't know if the Fujita Scale is in use there... CrazyC83 20:59, 28 March 2006 (UTC)
thread_title: March 27

message: A supercell thunderstorm spawned a tornado in Israel on 2 Apr.  There were also significant flooding.  http://www.seasonet.com/upload/seasonet_2373.JPG
http://www.seasonet.com/pic/pic_2385.JPG
http://www.panet.co.il/ysc.php?ac=showarticle&article_id=27466
http://www.panet.co.il/ysc.php?ac=showarticle&article_id=27476
:Interesting, just as the Central US was getting hammered... CrazyC83 02:57, 6 April 2006 (UTC)
thread_title:  April 2 (Israel) 

message: Just as they clean up, yet another possible outbreak might be brewing. Too early to tell but this could be another bad one. Thursday and Friday would be most of it if indeed true. CrazyC83 20:36, 3 April 2006 (UTC)
replies: text: Maybe tomorrow they will. CrazyC83 02:57, 6 April 2006 (UTC)

text: Talked to my meteorologist before our early newscasts, and it's looking pretty nasty for the evening hours here (Atlanta) tomorrow night. He says that right now they are saying northwest Georgia will be in the high-risk category, but he noted (as I did) that the risk area has shifted further east over the past couple of projections, so it may slide down this far before long. I guess I'm going to be in "one-armed-paper-hanger-mode" for much of the evening. Mhking 23:37, 6 April 2006 (UTC)

text: That first watch is pretty damn big! The newest mesoscale discussion is for nearly all of the northern halves of Mississippi and Alabama. It suggests a watch for most of that area within the hour. Plus they actually said "A few strong tornadoes are possible." Everyone is suggesting that Georgia won't come until after midnight, but looking at those models, I'd push that up into the 9P-12M range for entering Georgia (if not earlier)... --Mhking 16:16, 7 April 2006 (UTC)
thread_title:  April 6-8 

message: Could be an Easter weekend event coming up...although I currently doubt that Good Friday will be active (as the SPC suggests in the southern Great Lakes and Ohio Valley), Saturday in the middle Plains and Easter Sunday in the Ohio Valley could be interesting...Note: any outbreak that weekend will include Easter Sunday or Easter Weekend in its name.CrazyC83 03:57, 12 April 2006 (UTC)
replies: text: Tomorrow there's a slight risk for my area. Not looking for any tornadoes. Mostly hail or winds. Sunday remains to be seen. —BazookaJoe 00:15, 13 April 2006 (UTC)

text: Agreed. That was quite the hefty complex in eastern Iowa... especially that one supercell that is ongoing. Once they move across Wisconsin, it's my turn. I'll be waiting for the next mesoscale discussion. Going to see some scattered hail and/or winds here. —BazookaJoe 02:59, 14 April 2006 (UTC)
replies: text: One person confirmed dead and 18 tornadoes reported, one of them hitting downtown Iowa City directly. CrazyC83 05:22, 14 April 2006 (UTC)
replies: text: Another tornado death.. that's too bad. This season is a pretty bad one. Had a spectacular light show here. No warnings have been issued yet in watch 180. The watch still has another 5.5 hours left on it; I don't know why it's going so long. Maybe there's a round 2 on the way, like the stuff popping up in Wisconsin. —BazookaJoe 05:34, 14 April 2006 (UTC)
replies: text: I think a article should be put up now because this system looks more then minor. The tornado count is around 20 by now so this whole thing could be all in one! A 4 day tornado outbreak! I didn't think we would get this much action already but I guess it can't wait to release the power of the tornados! There was a report of a large and bad tornado on the ground and the damage is quite bad in Iowa city. 216.110.254.167 06:43, 14 April 2006 (UTC)
replies: text: Someone else did put it up. I think the Iowa City (only) tornadoes make the article warranted, after all the consensus was that ANY F2 or stronger tornado hitting a major or mid-sized city is article-worthy. That had to have been at least F2, possibly F3, in Iowa City. I wasn't expecting this to happen either! I did rename the article so that it better represents the dates with words, not numbers (the numbers used on the last two articles were only because there was no other way to distinguish them). CrazyC83 14:54, 14 April 2006 (UTC)
thread_title: April 13-16 (Easter Weekend)

message: Yet another round of severe weather seems to be in store for mid-week. I have a feeling this will be a repeat of April 2 and 7, not an event that is anchored by one strong tornado that hits a decent-sized city (with a swarm of weak tornadoes to go along with it).
If it transpires, should it be considered part of the same article as this weekend and the current one be renamed Mid-April 2006 Tornado Outbreak Sequence? After all, it is the same air mass and same areas being affected. The last time there was a break (March 10), the same article was kept for both ends. CrazyC83 02:11, 17 April 2006 (UTC)
thread_title: April 18-19

message: This time the activity has shifted southward. It is looking like Texas is going to be hardest hit. Still a lot of uncertainty though on what exactly will happen - I think there is a chance of a major outbreak, but it could easily bust. CrazyC83 17:44, 28 April 2006 (UTC)
thread_title: April 28-30

message: More severe weather again this week, except the core will be farther north. Moderate risk out, with the main threat being in the southern Great Lakes and Ohio Valley. CrazyC83 19:07, 25 May 2006 (UTC)
thread_title: May 24-25

message: ===June 5-8===
Missed the start of this one as I was away, but there were a surprisingly large number of reports yesterday! At least they were fairly weak... CrazyC83 21:28, 7 June 2006 (UTC)
replies: text: I'm leaning towards a repeat of the 1998 derecho. I don't see a huge tornado risk (although some are sure to happen if it fans out), but the wind threat is the greatest we have seen since May 2004. I wouldn't be surprised to see them go High Risk tomorrow. Main threat area covers several jurisdictions - including southern Wisconsin, northern Illinois, northern Indiana, most of lower Michigan, northern and central Ohio, northwestern Pennsylvania, western New York and southern Ontario. I'm in the slight risk area. Since some tornadoes are likely, it will be covered here. CrazyC83 05:15, 21 June 2006 (UTC)
replies: text: We haven't been getting any sunshine so far, so a moderate risk is all we can muster. A repeat of 1998 is very unlikely — certainly the winds won't come close to 90 or 115 miles per hour today — but a healthy line of storms that comes through now and then does seem probable. If only we can get the sunshine going. —BazookaJoe 15:49, 21 June 2006 (UTC)

text: Agreed. It looks like it will stretch down farther south somewhat, but that may be pushing it. The I-64 corridor seems to be the southern boundary in my view. The double-moderate risk by the SPC is a rarity though - if (unlikely) this requires a separate article (either for a tornado outbreak or a derecho), should both areas be covered together? CrazyC83 20:13, 22 June 2006 (UTC)

text: It wasn't even close. Too widespread, no areas of major notable damage and no fatalities. Too few tornadoes or significant severe reports to justify. CrazyC83 04:17, 25 June 2006 (UTC)
thread_title: June

message: Missed the start of this one as I was away, but there were a surprisingly large number of reports yesterday! At least they were fairly weak... CrazyC83 21:28, 7 June 2006 (UTC)
thread_title: June 5-8

message: CrazyC83, I'm quite excited. We are on the eastern edge of the slight risk today and on the northern edge of the moderate risk tomorrow. 60% chance of severe weather is something that southwest Michigan doesn't see too often. I commented on my local met.'s blog last night and said, this could be one of the few Big Ones of 2006. Now, who knows, it could be another Late-May 1998 Tornado Outbreak and Derecho, though a less severe one. —BazookaJoe 13:42, 20 June 2006 (UTC)
replies: text: I'm leaning towards a repeat of the 1998 derecho. I don't see a huge tornado risk (although some are sure to happen if it fans out), but the wind threat is the greatest we have seen since May 2004. I wouldn't be surprised to see them go High Risk tomorrow. Main threat area covers several jurisdictions - including southern Wisconsin, northern Illinois, northern Indiana, most of lower Michigan, northern and central Ohio, northwestern Pennsylvania, western New York and southern Ontario. I'm in the slight risk area. Since some tornadoes are likely, it will be covered here. CrazyC83 05:15, 21 June 2006 (UTC)
replies: text: We haven't been getting any sunshine so far, so a moderate risk is all we can muster. A repeat of 1998 is very unlikely — certainly the winds won't come close to 90 or 115 miles per hour today — but a healthy line of storms that comes through now and then does seem probable. If only we can get the sunshine going. —BazookaJoe 15:49, 21 June 2006 (UTC)

text: Agreed. It looks like it will stretch down farther south somewhat, but that may be pushing it. The I-64 corridor seems to be the southern boundary in my view. The double-moderate risk by the SPC is a rarity though - if (unlikely) this requires a separate article (either for a tornado outbreak or a derecho), should both areas be covered together? CrazyC83 20:13, 22 June 2006 (UTC)

text: It wasn't even close. Too widespread, no areas of major notable damage and no fatalities. Too few tornadoes or significant severe reports to justify. CrazyC83 04:17, 25 June 2006 (UTC)
thread_title: June 20-22

message: ===July 11-14===
Wow, did the Plains dodge somewhat a bullet, yesterday. Omaha, Des Moines and portions of South Dakota and northern Missouri  were under a moderate risk of severe weather and there were quite some big ones there but no tornadoes only those in Ohio on the 11th. It was sizzling hot there yesterday and in Omaha, there was a storm that hit the area and dropped the temperature from the mid/upper 90's (35-36 Celsius) to the low 70's (21 Celsius) in an hour. There were lots of winds, but I was surprised that ther were no tornadoes (not even a single weak one). Now the heat is going to be bad, maybe not as bad as in 1995, but is there potential for derechos. I know in order to breakup the heat, there could be some wicked thunderstorms, but not sure how bad would it be, but is there any possibility of a derecho in the coming days.--JForget 19:57, 14 July 2006 (UTC)
replies: text: I was caught IN IT!! Tornado on my street!!! CrazyC83 23:49, 18 July 2006 (UTC)
replies: text: Wow...how often does that happen? bob rulz 09:03, 29 July 2006 (UTC)
thread_title: July

message: Wow, did the Plains dodge somewhat a bullet, yesterday. Omaha, Des Moines and portions of South Dakota and northern Missouri  were under a moderate risk of severe weather and there were quite some big ones there but no tornadoes only those in Ohio on the 11th. It was sizzling hot there yesterday and in Omaha, there was a storm that hit the area and dropped the temperature from the mid/upper 90's (35-36 Celsius) to the low 70's (21 Celsius) in an hour. There were lots of winds, but I was surprised that ther were no tornadoes (not even a single weak one). Now the heat is going to be bad, maybe not as bad as in 1995, but is there potential for derechos. I know in order to breakup the heat, there could be some wicked thunderstorms, but not sure how bad would it be, but is there any possibility of a derecho in the coming days.--JForget 19:57, 14 July 2006 (UTC)
thread_title: July 11-14

message: Derecho event in northeastern Ontario!! See: Northeastern Ontario derecho page newly created
I may add these these dates in the list (and possibly in the derecho events), because there is some very serious weather hitting Northeastern Ontario, there could have been a damaging tornado in Manitoulin Island as there have been reports of homes heavily damaged, possibly destroyed. I will wait the reports of Environment Canada as they will likely visit the area and whether it was a tornado. Right now, North Bay is getting pounding and there is a tornado warning there as well as Algonquin Park, as there is a wicked line there (close to a derecho if it isn't one already). Most of southern Ontario could get big ones tonight as there are nasty storms in Michigan in forms of lines. Maybe Thursday could be a big day too--JForget 21:51, 17 July 2006 (UTC)
replies: text: I was caught IN IT!! Tornado on my street!!! CrazyC83 23:49, 18 July 2006 (UTC)
replies: text: Wow...how often does that happen? bob rulz 09:03, 29 July 2006 (UTC)
thread_title: July 17-18

message: Here we go again! This time, somewhat farther south. Moderate risk issued today. There could be tornadoes in this one, but the main threat is again straight-line winds. Somewhat farther south than the worst of Monday, but not much.
If this gets bad, should this go into that article already existing? CrazyC83 15:06, 19 July 2006 (UTC)
thread_title: July 19-20

message: ===August 1-3===
I have took a look a the line of storms that hit Southern Quebec and this was quite close to a derecho, lots of lightning, widespread damaging wind, and fast motion of the storms. Although the shape of the storm, almost like a snakeing type of line and the fact that it was nearly only half the speed (65-70 KM/H)of the July 17 storm, forced me to put near-derecho in the article (August 1)Although, anyone thinking that this is a derecho, can feel free to discuss in the derecho events talk page.By the way, quite a strong tornado  that hit the Eastern Townships, luckly the damage was limited to a few structures.JForget 20:34, 2 August 2006 (UTC)
replies: text: It was not article-worthy overall, but it does warrant mention due to the tornadoes. CrazyC83 03:18, 3 August 2006 (UTC)

text: There could be more today in the Ohio Valley and in the northeastern US - I also put mention of an F3 tornado in Minnesota that was part of the same system. If today is bad, it may be warranting of an article just on length. CrazyC83 15:50, 3 August 2006 (UTC)

text: Yeah, someone else made the article anyway. CrazyC83 01:42, 26 August 2006 (UTC)
thread_title: August

message: I have took a look a the line of storms that hit Southern Quebec and this was quite close to a derecho, lots of lightning, widespread damaging wind, and fast motion of the storms. Although the shape of the storm, almost like a snakeing type of line and the fact that it was nearly only half the speed (65-70 KM/H)of the July 17 storm, forced me to put near-derecho in the article (August 1)Although, anyone thinking that this is a derecho, can feel free to discuss in the derecho events talk page.By the way, quite a strong tornado  that hit the Eastern Townships, luckly the damage was limited to a few structures.JForget 20:34, 2 August 2006 (UTC)
replies: text: It was not article-worthy overall, but it does warrant mention due to the tornadoes. CrazyC83 03:18, 3 August 2006 (UTC)

text: There could be more today in the Ohio Valley and in the northeastern US - I also put mention of an F3 tornado in Minnesota that was part of the same system. If today is bad, it may be warranting of an article just on length. CrazyC83 15:50, 3 August 2006 (UTC)
thread_title: August 1-3

message: Do I make an article about that event? It is a borderline case. 
*F2 or larger in the heart of a mid-sized or large city (i.e. 50,000+) (Not likely met - largest town with major was <10,000) 
*10+ fatalities (Not met - 1 dead) 
*50+ overall tornadoes (Not met) 
*25+ overall tornadoes plus a killer (Possibly met if confirmed is higher) 
*Killer F5 tornado in any circumstance (Not likely met)CrazyC83 15:35, 25 August 2006 (UTC)
replies: text: Yeah, someone else made the article anyway. CrazyC83 01:42, 26 August 2006 (UTC)
thread_title: August 24

message: Traditionally a slow month, except when an outbreak is caused by a hurricane or tropical storm. (BTW, none were confirmed due to Ernesto) I wouldn't expect any major outbreaks in September, but stranger things have happened. CrazyC83 00:35, 6 September 2006 (UTC)
replies: text: Really firing up now in South Dakota. CrazyC83 22:10, 16 September 2006 (UTC)
replies: text: Very strong cold front. I don't want to say goodbye to summer for at least a week. Maybe we will get something severe-ish tomorrow before I go back to CMU. —BazookaJoe 03:35, 17 September 2006 (UTC)
replies: text: Yeah, slight risk. There were a lot of cells but not a lot of reports - yet. CrazyC83 18:16, 17 September 2006 (UTC)
replies: text: Poo. A disappointing way in Michigan to shove the last summer air away. I hope we at least get a good lightning show, but I'm going NE tonight, so I'll probably have less of a chance. —BazookaJoe 19:35, 17 September 2006 (UTC)
replies: text: Fall is upon us, that means the "second season" for tornadoes. CrazyC83 04:29, 18 September 2006 (UTC)

text: Yeah, today was a bust, and I don't think tomorrow will be very active either. CrazyC83 04:29, 18 September 2006 (UTC)

text: This looks much worse than last weekend for this far out. This is very stunning indeed - I wouldn't be surprised to see a High Risk - a first for September - issued. An article may very well be needed. CrazyC83 19:36, 21 September 2006 (UTC)
replies: text: It is starting early for a matter of fact, tornado watches being issued. Prepare for a 3-day assault...ah, the second season started early. CrazyC83 19:57, 21 September 2006 (UTC)
replies: text: This September has been very interesting weatherwise so far. bob rulz 04:49, 22 September 2006 (UTC)
replies: text: 0600 Day 1 not even close to a high risk, luckily. —BazookaJoe 06:03, 22 September 2006 (UTC)
replies: text: The 1630 Day 1 is much closer and over a large area. I wouldn't be surprised to see a HIGH at 2000 if things continue to deteriorate. Already 7 tornado warnings - and it is only 2:00 pm local time! CrazyC83 18:57, 22 September 2006 (UTC)

text: Interesting name, but it would be a decision that would need to be made. I would have called it "Late-September 2006 Tornado Outbreak" (disambiguate from last week's, even though it lacks an article). Tomorrow it should be more of a derecho than a tornado outbreak, but if that is really bad and today requires an article, they will go together. (Precedent is March 9-13) CrazyC83 19:26, 22 September 2006 (UTC)
replies: text: I have considered moving it to an article - and I am working on a shell for the individual tornadoes - but I want to wait for it to really be validated. After all, there have been no fatalities yet. As soon as a report comes in (although I hope there isn't), the article will be created. We haven't hit the number of raw tornadoes needed though. The shell will be at User:CrazyC83/outbreak0922.  CrazyC83 21:54, 22 September 2006 (UTC)
replies: text: It's already a bad one. Tornadoes everywhere! The one near O'Hare will alone merit an article if it is a devastating tornado. Is it April today? —BazookaJoe 22:30, 22 September 2006 (UTC)
replies: text: I've heard nothing from there, but you are right - one really bad tornado (such as Evansville last fall) warrants an article on its own if it is really deadly. CrazyC83 00:34, 23 September 2006 (UTC)
thread_title: September

message: After the slowest period this year so far in the first half of September (not unusual), the activity should pick up quickly - and it could with a vengeance. We could go from nothing at all to an article-worthy outbreak, if it develops. What St. Louis WFO had to say CrazyC83 05:52, 15 September 2006 (UTC)
replies: text: Really firing up now in South Dakota. CrazyC83 22:10, 16 September 2006 (UTC)
replies: text: Very strong cold front. I don't want to say goodbye to summer for at least a week. Maybe we will get something severe-ish tomorrow before I go back to CMU. —BazookaJoe 03:35, 17 September 2006 (UTC)
replies: text: Yeah, slight risk. There were a lot of cells but not a lot of reports - yet. CrazyC83 18:16, 17 September 2006 (UTC)
replies: text: Poo. A disappointing way in Michigan to shove the last summer air away. I hope we at least get a good lightning show, but I'm going NE tonight, so I'll probably have less of a chance. —BazookaJoe 19:35, 17 September 2006 (UTC)
replies: text: Fall is upon us, that means the "second season" for tornadoes. CrazyC83 04:29, 18 September 2006 (UTC)

text: Yeah, today was a bust, and I don't think tomorrow will be very active either. CrazyC83 04:29, 18 September 2006 (UTC)
thread_title: September 16-18

message: Just in time for the equinox, the SPC released some fairly stunning outlooks today. A moderate risk from Chicago to Arkansas on Friday, and an elevated chance for severe weather from Michigan to Texas on Saturday. It will be interesting to see if it's not going to bust. I wish I were in Illinois this weekend. —BazookaJoe 18:29, 21 September 2006 (UTC)
replies: text: This looks much worse than last weekend for this far out. This is very stunning indeed - I wouldn't be surprised to see a High Risk - a first for September - issued. An article may very well be needed. CrazyC83 19:36, 21 September 2006 (UTC)
replies: text: It is starting early for a matter of fact, tornado watches being issued. Prepare for a 3-day assault...ah, the second season started early. CrazyC83 19:57, 21 September 2006 (UTC)
replies: text: This September has been very interesting weatherwise so far. bob rulz 04:49, 22 September 2006 (UTC)
replies: text: 0600 Day 1 not even close to a high risk, luckily. —BazookaJoe 06:03, 22 September 2006 (UTC)
replies: text: The 1630 Day 1 is much closer and over a large area. I wouldn't be surprised to see a HIGH at 2000 if things continue to deteriorate. Already 7 tornado warnings - and it is only 2:00 pm local time! CrazyC83 18:57, 22 September 2006 (UTC)

text: Interesting name, but it would be a decision that would need to be made. I would have called it "Late-September 2006 Tornado Outbreak" (disambiguate from last week's, even though it lacks an article). Tomorrow it should be more of a derecho than a tornado outbreak, but if that is really bad and today requires an article, they will go together. (Precedent is March 9-13) CrazyC83 19:26, 22 September 2006 (UTC)
replies: text: I have considered moving it to an article - and I am working on a shell for the individual tornadoes - but I want to wait for it to really be validated. After all, there have been no fatalities yet. As soon as a report comes in (although I hope there isn't), the article will be created. We haven't hit the number of raw tornadoes needed though. The shell will be at User:CrazyC83/outbreak0922.  CrazyC83 21:54, 22 September 2006 (UTC)
replies: text: It's already a bad one. Tornadoes everywhere! The one near O'Hare will alone merit an article if it is a devastating tornado. Is it April today? —BazookaJoe 22:30, 22 September 2006 (UTC)
replies: text: I've heard nothing from there, but you are right - one really bad tornado (such as Evansville last fall) warrants an article on its own if it is really deadly. CrazyC83 00:34, 23 September 2006 (UTC)
thread_title: September 21-23

message: ===November 7: Japan===
 Should warrant a mention. – Chacor 11:35, 7 November 2006 (UTC)
replies: text: Strongly agreed, although I know little about Japan weather (with no SPC-equivalent like there is in Europe). I can't really help much with that, unfortunately. It has its own article (definitely warranted) even though I cannot really help out other than organize it. CrazyC83 15:40, 8 November 2006 (UTC)

text: No, that one had a modest squall line attached, but little in the way of tornadoes. It was much weaker. A moderate risk has been issued for tonight. CrazyC83 15:58, 14 November 2006 (UTC)

text: Best tornado number I have is 28 (many are in the wind report section). While that combined with the fatality are in article territory if they all hold up, the coverage area reduces the overall impact. CrazyC83 20:16, 15 November 2006 (UTC)

text: It appears it won't be a tornado outbreak after all, but rather a rare late fall derecho with some isolated tornadoes possible. Almost went with a MDT for Friday... CrazyC83 06:47, 30 November 2006 (UTC)
thread_title: November

message: Should warrant a mention. – Chacor 11:35, 7 November 2006 (UTC)
replies: text: Strongly agreed, although I know little about Japan weather (with no SPC-equivalent like there is in Europe). I can't really help much with that, unfortunately. It has its own article (definitely warranted) even though I cannot really help out other than organize it. CrazyC83 15:40, 8 November 2006 (UTC)
thread_title: November 7: Japan

message: This could be THE big outbreak of the fall, right in the middle of November for the second straight year. The SPC is ALREADY picking up what could be a major outbreak, particularly on the 14th. That despite the fact it is a week away. I can't remember them being so bold 8 days out... CrazyC83 23:58, 6 November 2006 (UTC)
replies: text: No, that one had a modest squall line attached, but little in the way of tornadoes. It was much weaker. A moderate risk has been issued for tonight. CrazyC83 15:58, 14 November 2006 (UTC)

text: Best tornado number I have is 28 (many are in the wind report section). While that combined with the fatality are in article territory if they all hold up, the coverage area reduces the overall impact. CrazyC83 20:16, 15 November 2006 (UTC)
thread_title: November 14-16

message: Early models seem to be picking up a potential double-whammy, with severe weather - including tornadoes - in the southern Plains down to the Gulf Coast, which the SPC has even mentioned. (Combined with the winter weather farther north, see Talk:Winter storms of 2006-07#November 27-December 1 for that part) CrazyC83 03:45, 24 November 2006 (UTC)
replies: text: It appears it won't be a tornado outbreak after all, but rather a rare late fall derecho with some isolated tornadoes possible. Almost went with a MDT for Friday... CrazyC83 06:47, 30 November 2006 (UTC)
thread_title: November 30-December 2

message: A number of small tornadoes have struck England and Wales in the last few days with moderate damage for that area. Multiple outlets are covering it, including BBC.  Severe storms and tornadoes have been forecasted TORRO, ESTOFEX. ESWD. Evolauxia 19:27, 28 November 2006 (UTC)
thread_title:  Late November in UK 

message: === December 1 ===
Tornadoes in PA killed at least one with straight-line wind killing another. NWS survey page on Lucerne Co F2;  NWS summary and survey on Halifax F1; PNS on Greensburg F1. media 1 2 Evolauxia 07:06, 3 December 2006 (UTC)
replies: text: Just created an article - stub so far... London Tornado of 2006 Crimsone 17:23, 7 December 2006 (UTC)
replies: text: Not a bad start. I think the article is warranted as it hit a major city that is not normally hit by tornadoes. CrazyC83 04:44, 8 December 2006 (UTC)

text: Was it confirmed as a tornado? I hadven't updated this site due to lack of action (low season in the northern hemisphere). However, late this week could see some action to end the year on the Gulf Coast. CrazyC83 16:04, 25 December 2006 (UTC)
replies: text: Tornado watches are actually out right now for most of FL... – Chacor 16:07, 25 December 2006 (UTC)

text: Currently added some information for December 25 (Christmas Day). Not exactly a good Christmas gift for some... :( CrazyC83 21:29, 25 December 2006 (UTC)
thread_title:  December 

message: Tornadoes in PA killed at least one with straight-line wind killing another. NWS survey page on Lucerne Co F2;  NWS summary and survey on Halifax F1; PNS on Greensburg F1. media 1 2 Evolauxia 07:06, 3 December 2006 (UTC)
thread_title:  December 1 

message: Might be worth a mention. A freak tornado hit in London, England today - with damage confined to a single street. Six hurt.  – Chacor 14:30, 7 December 2006 (UTC)
replies: text: Just created an article - stub so far... London Tornado of 2006 Crimsone 17:23, 7 December 2006 (UTC)
replies: text: Not a bad start. I think the article is warranted as it hit a major city that is not normally hit by tornadoes. CrazyC83 04:44, 8 December 2006 (UTC)
thread_title:  December 7: Freak London street tornado 

message: I've seen on TV heavy damage that came from what look like a tornado in Australia (near Brisbane). Anyone had more info on that one (I will give you links on the details of the storms that hit the area on the 16? I've seen that some of the storms packed winds of near 200 km/h and there were storm cells.    
--JForget 03:12, 18 December 2006 (UTC)
replies: text: Was it confirmed as a tornado? I hadven't updated this site due to lack of action (low season in the northern hemisphere). However, late this week could see some action to end the year on the Gulf Coast. CrazyC83 16:04, 25 December 2006 (UTC)
replies: text: Tornado watches are actually out right now for most of FL... – Chacor 16:07, 25 December 2006 (UTC)
thread_title: December 16 Australia (Brisbane) Possible Tornado

message: Tornado watches for most of FL, tornado warnings for parts of FL, GA and SC. – Chacor 16:19, 25 December 2006 (UTC)
replies: text: Currently added some information for December 25 (Christmas Day). Not exactly a good Christmas gift for some... :( CrazyC83 21:29, 25 December 2006 (UTC)
thread_title:  Xmas Day (December 25) 

message: Signs are pointing to one last outbreak to end 2006, this time across the Gulf Coast primarily once again. Still too early to tell exactly how severe. CrazyC83 21:42, 26 December 2006 (UTC)
thread_title:  December 28-31: Year end outbreak? 

message: What counts as a "reported" tornado? An entry on the NWS list of storm reports? (I give permission for anyone to move this comment to keep the weather discussions together.) Ardric47 03:55, 3 April 2006 (UTC)
replies: text: Reported = listed on the NWS list of storm reports. Confirmed = actually confirmed by a post-storm survey by the local offices. Isolated weak tornadoes are generally not included in the page (unless very unusual, i.e. the one in Hawaii) but they are included in the statistics. This page covers small outbreaks, moderate tornadoes and otherwise notable events. It also acts as a bridge to their own article for major events. CrazyC83 05:16, 3 April 2006 (UTC)
replies: text:  I find I take a minute to check here after events now :-).  Those criteria for events are good. Evolauxia 07:09, 3 April 2006 (UTC)
replies: text: The final tornado count for events won't be available until up to six months after the end of the month in question when the smooth report data have to be turned in.  Counts can still change in both directions.Hebrooks87 10:45, 11 April 2006 (UTC)
replies: text: Yes. The reported vs. confirmed distinction I have no problem with, but those numbers are still preliminary and subject to change.  It will be important to update the numbers when the final numbers are released. Evolauxia 22:28, 12 April 2006 (UTC)
thread_title:  Criteria for inclusion 

message: Is there a site that documents European events at all? All I'm able to get here are the major events... CrazyC83 15:22, 22 June 2006 (UTC)
replies: text: Yes, there is the European Severe Weather Database (ESWD) http://essl.org/ESWD/. Concerning the question, whether the Fujita scale is in use in Europe: Tornadoes and Downbursts are rated using the Fujita scale as well as the twice-as-fine TORRO scale. An overview can be found here: http://www.tordach.org/topics/intensity_en.htm Feldfrei 23:28, 12 October 2006 (UTC)
replies: text: Analyses of Austrian events can be found here. (in german)-- WmE 13:11, 3 November 2006 (UTC)
thread_title:  Tornadoes in Europe 

message: Similarly, is there any place, where there is a list of Canadian Tornadoes Reported/confirmed, so I may add it for each month after the US numbers. Also, their statements are kept very breifly in the Special Weather Statements (generally 24 hours or less) is they state any tornadoes which is hard to fully keep track on the numbers I could have easily missed most of the tornadoes of the Haliburton tornado outbreak (no I won't create an article) of August 2. --JForget 00:40, 13 August 2006 (UTC)
replies: text: Not that I know of, sorry. Agreed - it is not article worthy as overall it does not meet the standards. There have been larger outbreaks in the US (and Europe) this year that did not get articles. (And yes, the last 2 weeks have been really slow!) 
Where does it fall vs. the general criteria? (Since it was more of a tornado outbreak than derecho, this applies)
*F2 or larger in the heart of a mid-sized or large city (i.e. 50,000+) (Not met - largest town with major was <1,000) 
*10+ fatalities (Not met - 0 dead) 
*50+ overall tornadoes (Not even close) 
*25+ overall tornadoes plus a killer (Not applicable) 
*Killer F5 tornado in any circumstance (Not applicable) 
CrazyC83 00:52, 19 August 2006 (UTC)
thread_title: Tornadoes of Canada

message: I may not be good in Polish, but if I understand a bit the article it was 14 injuries and 100 houses damaged in that storm? Unfortunate that the site doesn't have an English version and AltaVista does not have a Polish to English translation. Based on the images of the devastation, looks like more like an F2, perhaps F3 - however, I may overestimate since the structures are probably not as solidly built as in the U.S - so that who be more likely an F2--JForget 21:58, 29 August 2006 (UTC)
replies: text: The estimate from the European Severe Weather Database translation by Thilo Kühne, who is good in Polish, is F2.Hebrooks87 11:02, 30 August 2006 (UTC)
replies: text: I have a hard time translating into other languages, but that definitely deserves mention here. CrazyC83 18:52, 3 September 2006 (UTC)
thread_title: Polish tornado

message: That section is getting very long on here. It seems that was a web of several events - none of them were article-worthy on their own, but altogether possibly. Maybe one should be started for the whole thing? More information could be found from other regions. CrazyC83 03:24, 17 September 2006 (UTC)
replies: text: That August 28 was created by someone else and is IMO unnecessary. It was nowhere near article-worthy - then we would have an article every week. There were 7 tornadoes confirmed and no fatalities and none stronger than F1. F1-anchored outbreaks are almost never article-worthy in any event. F2-anchored occasionally (if there are a large number or there is one or more in an urban area), F3-anchored quite often but not always, F4 or F5-anchored usually end up with articles. CrazyC83 04:35, 18 September 2006 (UTC)

text: Do you know other languages well, so we can get information on overseas tornadoes? They are on this page too. CrazyC83 04:30, 18 September 2006 (UTC)

text: Finally I've decided to abandon ideas of creating an article for the event especially since no fatalities were caused by tornadoes.--JForget  18:46, 15 January 2008 (UTC)
thread_title:  August 1-3 question 

message: Currently, the page shows 1102 reported tornadoes in the US for 2006 and 463 confirmed, with the SPC monthly stats page listed as a source.  The January-April final totals are out and should be used.  From January-April, there were 447 confirmed tornadoes.  Since then there have been (trying to include post-12 September) 582 more reported tornadoes, with 16 confirmed.  Given that we already know that there are 163 fewer confirmed tornadoes than reported tornadoes in the first four months of the year, that information should be included.  Hebrooks87 10:50, 19 September 2006 (UTC)
replies: text: It will require a major re-analysis before everything is complete. The 463 is based on NWS office reports of tornadoes that got an F-scale rating. However, I would make the final numbers (confirmed) the official numbers. I'd be curious to see how that affects the major outbreaks... CrazyC83 02:46, 21 September 2006 (UTC)
replies: text: For 12-13 March, there were 140 reports. The final count of tornadoes was 49.  For 2 April, as best I can tell, the Memphis warning area went from 29 to 10, Davenport from 15 to 10, and Lincoln, IL from 27 to 25.  Hebrooks87 15:50, 21 September 2006 (UTC)
replies: text: That is the March 12 total, and also the number that I managed to find as well for the article. CrazyC83 19:43, 21 September 2006 (UTC)
replies: text: I'm even more confused by what's getting counted with the 30 September update.  In the article, it says there have been 530 confirmed tornadoes, with that part of what I assume is a reference to the SPC monthly stats page.  At that location, it gives 586 as the total confirmed tornadoes through May.  For January through May, there were 192 fewer confirmed tornadoes than preliminary reports.Hebrooks87 02:00, 1 October 2006 (UTC)

text: Those should be used, and the 143 seems correct. About 75% took place in the big outbreak. CrazyC83 00:33, 17 October 2006 (UTC)
thread_title: Updating tornado totals with confirmed numbers?

message: Due to this AfD, September Upper Midwest Tornado Outbreak is to be merged with this article. If you have any questions, please contact me at my talk page. Ian Manka 01:38, 25 September 2006 (UTC)
thread_title:  Merge 

message: IMHO, this should be merged here.  The image is pretty good too, could be used here, but the article just doesnt stand alone. -Runningonbrains 20:46, 6 November 2006 (UTC)
replies: text: I agree. One F2 article does not make an article unless it really stands out (i.e. Salt Lake City Tornado). It never hit a major city to make it article-worthy. CrazyC83 00:01, 7 November 2006 (UTC)

text: Sorry, I just do not see the notability.  There were two tornadoes in nearby Connecticut in the past few weeks, they are not as uncommon in the northeast as many would think. The merge notice was removed previously without explanation by an anon editor, I would move to merge sooner rather than later. -RunningOnBrains 03:06, 2 June 2007 (UTC)
thread_title:  [[Westchester Tornado]] 

message: Sirlinksalot Tornado Links has a large collection of links to various tornadoes sites, and if you go to "News Articles about Tornadoes" has links to many, many news articles about tornado events around the globe. Evolauxia 22:25, 3 December 2006 (UTC)
thread_title:  Good source of links to news articles and other sites 

message: See Talk:Tornadoes of 2007#"Most Tornadoes form in the U.S.". Simply south 16:27, 26 September 2007 (UTC)
thread_title:  Subjectivity 

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thread_title:  External links modified 

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thread_title:  External links modified 

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message: I suggest marge 2006 Saroma tornado to Tornadoes_of_2006#November_7_(Japan). 2006 Saroma tornado is substub, and it uses bare URLs, which are uninformative and vulnerable to link rot.126.167.163.127 (talk) 02:28, 12 December 2022 (UTC)
replies: text: 126.179.88.30 (talk) 12:00, 14 December 2022 (UTC)
thread_title:  about Saroma tornado