Talk:Hurricane Emily (2005)/Archive 1

message: The first landfall is only a few hours away - should occur sometime between 12:00 and 2:00 EDT. I really couldn't tell you why Emily only weakened all day today, given that it had beat off the 10 knots of shear for so long, and that the heat content in the northwestern Caribbean is very high. Eyewall replacement cycles don't last 20 hours (but maybe, in the parallel dimension of 2005, they do). Regardless, any further wobble north in these last few hours would be a very bad sign for the Cancun, which looks to be spared the very worst as of now.
8:00 PM EDT - 135 MPH - 151 mb - The Great Zo 00:28, 18 July 2005 (UTC)
replies: text: It's not happy fun time in Cozumel though. Based off the Cancun weather radar (slow to load), looks like landfall's going to be near Tulum. -- Cyrius|✎ 01:42, 18 July 2005 (UTC)
replies: text: Thanks for the radar link. Depending on even a small jog, Cozumel could be devastated. The new advisory should be out any time, and it's interesting to note that the last Vortex message had the pressure up to 955, but the flight level winds WAY back up to 134... Satellite appearance is improving too, but it's just about out of water. The Great Zo 02:42, 18 July 2005 (UTC)

text: A new recon fix keeps the pressure at 955 and raises the flight level winds to 141 - that'd support 145 MPH at the surface but with the pressure so high I doubt they'll be quick to raise the winds much in the next advisory, if at all. The Great Zo 04:23, 18 July 2005 (UTC)

text: And they let Franklin deliver the bad news. -- Cyrius|✎ 07:15, 18 July 2005 (UTC)
thread_title:  Landfall #1 - Yucatan Peninsula 

message: Emily scared Category 5 to death. Has anyone else noticed that it is extremely unlikely that Emily will be the strongest storm of the season?
E. Brown, Hurricane enthusiast - Squawk Box 00:24, 31 July 2005 (UTC)
replies: text: I think it will be officially declared a Category 5 storm when the final assessments are done in the fall. Yet there will likely be more...only twice have there been two Category 5 hurricanes in one season (1960 and 1961). CrazyC83 01:45, 5 August 2005 (UTC)

text: In the end, it won't be the strongest storm of the season. Katrina (155 knots) takes the cake - unless a mega-monster at the level of Allen or Gilbert develops later. CrazyC83 16:20, 1 September 2005 (UTC)
replies: text: If Emily does become a cat5, it will be by far the highest pressure ever recorded for a cat5 in the modern era.  Also, Floyd is not going to be changed after 10 years like andrew was...the reason they changed andrew was that they learned a lot after they started using dropsondes in '95, and applying the new information to andrew they were able to more accurately estimate the winds.  Storms since then have been given post-analysis after each season and there is no reason to think - unless aerosondes lead to new discoveries that require another re-analysis - that it will be changed. Jdorje 03:07, 15 January 2006 (UTC)

text: With Rita likely to become Category 5, this could be the first season ever with three Category 5 hurricanes...I agree also with Floyd, 921 mb and sustained for some time (unlike with Hurricane Opal which was 919 mb but bounced around fast so I kinda doubt that reading) sounds like a Cat 5 to me... CrazyC83 19:04, 21 September 2005 (UTC)
thread_title: Scary Thought

message: wow. is this copyrighted? Revolución 05:49, 31 July 2005 (UTC)
replies: text: It's presumed PD-NASA. The image was mentioned over on Talk:2005 Atlantic hurricane season, but I guess nobody did anything about it. -- Cyrius|✎ 06:26, 31 July 2005 (UTC)
thread_title: look at this

message: I removed some information from the intro that is simply not needed:
* Earliest fifth storm.
* Speculation about possible Cat5 status.
* Obnoxiously many dates.
I still feel it's unnecessarily long...but then the list of places Emily visited is pretty lengthy. Jdorje 06:27, 17 January 2006 (UTC)
replies: text: Also, I assume all of this information is contained elsewhere in the article but if not it should be added (information from the intro should always be repeated in the article). Jdorje 06:27, 17 January 2006 (UTC)
thread_title:  Intro 

message: I found a good image at http://www1.ncdc.noaa.gov/pub/data/images/hurr-emily-20050719-n17rgb.jpg   Memicho 00:21, 1 February 2006 (UTC)
thread_title:  Image of Emily 

message: I uld know if anybody could tell if Emily is upgraded to 5 or staying on 4. Maybe the date of the final results would be helpful. juan andrés 02:03, 8 February 2006 (UTC)
replies: text: We won't know until Emily's report is out. But there is some chance that Emily is upgraded to a category 5. But as I said, we aren't sure yet. Memicho 02:23, 9 February 2006 (UTC)
replies: text: I think it is about 70% likely that Emily was Category 5, since the NHC has admitted that it was definitely "possible". CrazyC83 22:33, 3 March 2006 (UTC)
thread_title:  Is Emily a Category 5?