The Independent Payment Advisory Board
Released: 2013-04-17T00:00:00

Summary:
In response, in part, to overall growth in Medicare program expenditures and growth in expenditures per Medicare beneficiary, the Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act (PPACA, P.L. 111-148, as amended) created the Independent Payment Advisory Board (IPAB, or the Board) and charged the Board with developing proposals to "reduce the per capita rate of growth in Medicare spending." The Secretary of Health and Human Services (the Secretary) is directed to implement the Board's proposals automatically unless Congress affirmatively acts to alter the Board's proposals or to discontinue the automatic implementation of such proposals.
The annual IPAB sequence of events begins each year, starting April 30, 2013, with the Chief Actuary of the Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services calculating a Medicare per capita growth rate and a Medicare per capita target growth rate. If the Chief Actuary determines that the Medicare per capita growth rate exceeds the Medicare per capita target growth rate, the Chief Actuary would establish an applicable savings target—the amount by which the Board must reduce future spending. This determination by the Chief Actuary also triggers a requirement that the Board prepare a proposal to reduce the growth in the Medicare per capita growth rate by the applicable savings target. The Board cannot ration care, raise premiums, increase cost sharing, or otherwise restrict benefits or modify eligibility. In generating its proposals, the Board is directed to consider, among other things, Medicare solvency, quality and access to care, the effects of changes in payments to providers, and those dually eligible for Medicare and Medicaid. If the Board fails to act, the Secretary is directed to prepare a proposal.
Board proposals must be submitted to the Secretary by September 1 of each year and to the President and Congress by January 15 of the following year. Board proposals are "fast-tracked" in Congress, and IPAB proposals go into force automatically unless Congress affirmatively acts to amend or block them within a stated period of time and under circumstances specified in the act. Section 3403(d) of the act establishes special "fast track" parliamentary procedures governing House and Senate committee consideration, and Senate floor consideration, of legislation implementing the Board or Secretary's proposal. These procedures differ from the parliamentary mechanisms the chambers usually use to consider most legislation and are designed to ensure that Congress can act promptly on the implementing legislation should it choose to do so. PPACA also established a second "fast track" parliamentary mechanism for consideration of legislation discontinuing the automatic implementation process for the recommendations of the Board.
The Board's charge is to develop proposals for the Secretary to implement that reduce the per capita growth in Medicare expenditures, not to reduce Medicare expenditures. Therefore, while the CBO projects that the cumulative impact of the Board's recommendations from 2015 through 2019 will reduce total spending by $15.5 billion, during the same period, Medicare expenditures will total $3.9 trillion with average spending per beneficiary forecast to increase from $13,374 to $15,749. While the Board's potential impact on total expenditures is likely to be relatively small compared to overall Medicare expenditures, its impact on particular Medicare providers or suppliers may be significant, particularly if the Board alters payment mechanisms.
The President's FY2013 budget, as submitted to Congress on February 13, 2012, includes a proposal to strengthen the IPAB. On March 22, 2012, the House passed a combined version of the Help Efficient, Accessible, Low-cost, Timely Healthcare (HEALTH) Act of 2011 (H.R. 5) that contained provisions from H.R. 452, the Medicare Decisions Accountability Act of 2011, which would repeal the IPAB.

subsections: section_title: Introduction
paragraphs: The Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act (PPACA, P.L. 111-148 , as amended) created the Independent Payment Advisory Board (IPAB, or the Board) to "reduce the per capita rate of growth in Medicare spending." The Board's proposals will be implemented by the Secretary of Health and Human Services (the Secretary) unless Congress acts either by formulating its own proposal to achieve the same savings or by discontinuing the automatic implementation process defined in the statute. 
This report, which provides an overview of the Board, begins with a discussion of the rationale behind the creation of an independent Medicare board and briefly reviews prior proposals for similar boards and commissions. The report then describes the structure of the Board, the calculations and determinations required to be made by the Office of the Chief Actuary (the Chief Actuary) in the Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services (CMS) that trigger a Board proposal, and the content of and constraints on Board proposals—including the Medicare productivity exemptions under Section 3401 of PPACA. In addition, the report reviews the expedited and other parliamentary procedures that relate to congressional consideration of Board proposals and other Board-related activities, and concludes with a description of how the Board's proposals are to be implemented and their possible impact. Appendix A details key dates for IPAB implementation and various reports required by the law, and Appendix B compares the IPAB with the Medicare Payment Advisory Commission (MedPAC). Appendix C summarizes the Medicare productivity exemptions in Section 3401 of PPACA as they relate to Section 3403.
section_title: Background
paragraphs: Among some proponents of health care reform, a major impetus for reform, in addition to improving quality and increasing access, has been the rising cost of the Medicare program. 
subsections: section_title: Medical Inflation
paragraphs: For the past 25 years, annual medical inflation has exceeded annual overall inflation in every year but one (see Figure 1 ). Specifically, over this time period, medical inflation has on average been roughly 2.2 percentage points higher each year than overall inflation. Moreover, Medicare spending during this same period has increased 8.5% per year, while total federal outlays during this same period increased by only 5.3% per year. While some of the growth in Medicare expenditures can be attributed to the increase in the number of Medicare beneficiaries, Medicare per enrollee expenditures rose 6.3% per year from 1985 through 2008—faster than overall medical inflation. Had spending per Medicare beneficiary increased at just the rate of overall inflation over the 1985 through 2008 period, per enrollee expenditures in 2008 would have been slightly less than $4,600 as compared to actual 2008 Medicare Part A and Part B expenditures of $9,448 per beneficiary. 
Again, the legislation's stated goal of the Board is to reduce the per capita growth in Medicare expenditures, not to reduce overall Medicare expenditures. The Board achieves this goal by developing proposals for the Secretary to implement that reduce the growth in Medicare expenditures. Therefore, while the Congressional Budget Office (CBO) projects that the cumulative impact of the Board's recommendations from 2015 through 2019 will reduce total spending by $15.5 billion, during the same period total Medicare expenditures are projected to be $3.9 trillion with average spending per beneficiary increasing from $13,374 in 2015 to $15,749 in 2019. These savings represent a reduction of about $60.00 per year per Medicare beneficiary over the 2015 through 2019 period. 
section_title: Earlier Medicare Reform Proposals
paragraphs: Since these historic patterns of growth in overall health care spending, and Medicare in particular, are viewed as not being sustainable, several proposals have been advanced over the years to create an independent policy-making entity that would be charged with limiting the future growth in Medicare expenditures; be insulated from special interests and lobbyists since these entities would be appointed, rather than elected, and serve for extended terms; and such officials would be able to make the so-called "hard decisions" to control rising costs. Moreover, it has been assumed that these entities would possess the specialized expertise needed to make operational decisions regarding payments and focus initiatives on beneficiary interests and the longer term financial viability of the program. 
For instance, in 2000 and 2001 Senators Breaux and Frist introduced reform proposals to increase CMS's budget, create separate agencies to administer parts of the program, and establish a Medicare Board to manage competition among private plans and traditional Medicare (referred to as "Breaux-Frist I," S. 1895 , and "Breaux-Frist II," S. 358 ). 
Interest in an independent health care entity reemerged during early discussions of what became PPACA. Former Senator Tom Daschle proposed the Federal Health Board, modeled after the Federal Reserve Board, with broad authority over both private and public health care programs, including benefit and coverage recommendations, regulation of private insurance markets, and improvements in quality of care. 
In June 2009, Senator Rockefeller introduced the Medicare Payment Advisory Commission (MedPAC) Reform Act of 2009 ( S. 1380 in the 111 th Congress), which would have altered MedPAC from its current 15-member advisory commission to an 11-member executive branch agency with authority to make both payment and coverage decisions (see Appendix B for a side-by-side comparison of MedPAC and IPAB). In order to achieve program savings, the Commission was directed "to implement payment policies, methodologies, and rates and coverage policies and methodologies ... estimated to reduce expenditures under this title by not less than 1.5 percent annually." 
In July 2009, the President submitted a draft proposal to Congress titled the Independent Medicare Advisory Council Act of 2009 (referred to as the IMAC proposal). This proposal would have established a five-member council to advise the President on Medicare payment rates for certain providers. While the council would have had authority to recommend broader policy reforms, its authority outside of Medicare payment policy was limited. 
Finally, during the recent health care reform deliberations, the Senate Finance Committee included a provision (§3403) to establish an independent Medicare advisory board in the now enacted PPACA. Section 10320, added by the manager's amendment, broadened the scope of the Board to make recommendations to slow the growth in nonfederal programs and changed the name of the entity to the Independent Payment Advisory Board, to reflect these additional responsibilities. 
The perceived merits to some of an independent board are the perceived shortcomings to others. For instance, as Medicare expenditures represent a sizable proportion of federal outlays, approximately 13% in FY2010, for some critics such a large proportion of expenditures should not be beyond the scrutiny and review of elected officials or the public. Second, there is concern that boards, such as IPAB, are singularly focused on reducing spending, that tradeoffs exist between spending and quality, and that these tradeoffs are best dealt with by elected officials. Finally, similar efforts to "automatically" control health care spending, such as the sustainable growth rate formula, used to update Medicare physician payments, potentially demonstrate that such supposedly automatic mechanisms do not effectively remove special interests or Congress from the process. For proponents, removing short-term political and public opinion, focusing on spending, and using automatic mechanisms is required to reduce the growth in expenditures and rationalize health care decision making. 
section_title: Structure and Operations of IPAB
paragraphs: The explicit charge given by PPACA to the Board in Section 3403(b) is to "reduce the per capita rate of growth in Medicare expenditures." As described in more detail below, beginning in 2013, and each subsequent year, the Chief Actuary needs to calculate the Medicare per capita growth rate —the five-year average growth in Medicare program spending per enrollee and the Medicare per capita target growth rate— the rate Medicare expenditures would grow without triggering interventions under this section . If the Chief Actuary determines that projected five-year per capita growth rate in Medicare expenditures two years hence exceeds the projected per capita target growth rate, the Chief Actuary needs to establish an applicable savings target—the amount by which the Board must reduce future spending. The Chief Actuary's determination also triggers a requirement that the Board prepare a proposal to reduce Medicare expenditures by an amount at least equal to the applicable savings target.
While funding for the Board is authorized beginning in FY2012 and the Chief Actuary makes its first determination in 2013, the statute does not provide a date by which the Board is to begin its operations. Below, the Board's membership, structure, and budget are described. 
subsections: section_title: Membership
paragraphs: The Board will be composed of 15 members appointed by the President with the advice and consent of the Senate. As such, the members are officers of the United States under the appointments clause of the U.S. Constitution. The Secretary of Health and Human Services, the Administrator of CMS, and the Administrator of the Health Resources and Services Administration are ex-officio nonvoting members. In selecting individuals for nomination, the President is to consult with the majority and minority leadership of the Senate and House of Representatives—each respectively, regarding the appointment of three members. The Chairperson is appointed by the President, with the advice and consent of the Senate, from among the members of the Board.
section_title: Qualifications of Board Members
paragraphs: The appointed members of the Board are to provide varied professional and geographic representation and possess recognized expertise in 
health finance and economics, actuarial science, health facility management, health plans and integrated delivery systems, and reimbursement of health facilities. 
In addition, the board members are to be drawn from a wide range of backgrounds, including but not limited to 
physicians (allopathic and osteopathic) and other health professionals, providers of health services, and related fields; experts in the area of pharmaco-economics or prescription drug benefit programs; employers; third-party payers; and individuals skilled in the conduct and interpretation of biomedical health services, and health economics research and expertise in outcomes and effectiveness research and technology assessment. 
Members should also include representatives of consumers and the elderly. A majority of the appointed members cannot be individuals directly involved in the provision or management of the delivery of Medicare items and services.
section_title: Term of Office
paragraphs: With exceptions for initial Board members and those appointed to fill a vacancy with an unexpired term, each appointed member may serve two consecutive six-year terms. If appointed to fill a vacancy, the member can serve two additional consecutive terms. Appointments to initially fill the Board are staggered with terms of one, three, or six years.
section_title: Conditions of Service
paragraphs: Appointed members of the Board will be subject to financial and conflict of interest disclosures and will be treated as officers in the executive branch for purposes of the Ethics in Government Act of 1978. Moreover, there is a blanket prohibition against appointed members engaging in any other business, vocation, or employment. In addition, former members of the Board will be precluded for one year from lobbying before the Board, the Department of Health and Human Services, or any of the relevant committees of jurisdiction of Congress. Finally, appointed members of the Board may be removed by the President only for neglect of duty or malfeasance in office.
section_title: Compensation
paragraphs: Appointed members of the Board will be compensated at a rate equal to Level III of the Executive Schedule ($165,300 for 2011), and the Chairperson will be compensated at a rate equal to Level II ($179,700 for 2011). 
section_title: The Board's Structure, Staff, and Budget
paragraphs: The Chairperson will be the principal executive officer of the Board and supervise employees. The Board will elect its own vice Chairperson to act in the absence or disability of the Chairperson or in the event of a vacancy. In addition, the law provides that the Board can hire an executive director and a staff—either detailed from other Federal agencies or direct hires—to perform its duties. 
The budget for the Board for FY2012 is $15 million, with annual adjustments based on increases in the consumer price index (CPI)—only slightly more than the MedPAC budget. The Board will be funded out of the Medicare trust funds—specifically, 60% of the Board's funds will come from the Federal Hospital Insurance Trust Fund and 40% from the Federal Supplementary Medical Insurance Trust Fund.
section_title: The Determination Process
paragraphs: This section describes the role of the Chief Actuary and the determination process by which the Chief Actuary establishes whether the projected per capita Medicare expenditures will exceed certain target levels. The Chief Actuary's determination sets in motion a three-year sequence of events (see Table 1 ). In addition, this section describes the key calculations that the Chief Actuary will need to make beginning in 2013 and provides an illustrative example of these calculations. 
The three-year sequence begins each year with the Chief Actuary making a determination, by April 30, as to whether the projected per capita Medicare expenditures will exceed certain target levels. The year in which the Chief Actuary makes its determination is referred to as the determination year (DY). The next year is referred to as the proposal year (PY) and the following year is the implementation year (IY). 
subsections: section_title: Key Calculations by the Chief Actuary
paragraphs: Beginning in 2013, the Chief Actuary is required to determine several key calculations, based on an analysis of a five-year period. The DY is the midpoint of the five-year period, as shown in Figure 2 . 
The Chief Actuary is required to calculate
the Medicare per capita growth rate (the "growth rate"), and the Medicare per capita target growth rate (the "target growth rate").
The growth rate is defined as the projected five-year average (using the DY as the midpoint of the five years) growth in Medicare program spending per enrollee. Medicare program spending includes spending for Medicare Parts A, B, and D, net of premiums. For example, for the 2013 DY, the Chief Actuary will use the growth in spending for 2011-2015.
Using the same five-year period, the target growth rate will initially be calculated based on the midpoint between the five-year average overall inflation (using the Consumer Price Index for all items and services, the CPI u ) and five-year average medical inflation (using the Consumer Price Index for medical inflation, the CPI m ). However, beginning with the 2018 DY, the target growth rate will be tied to the growth of the economy, based on the five-year average increase in the nominal Gross Domestic Product (GDP) plus one percentage point.
For DYs prior to 2018, the target growth rate is determined as follows:
Calculate the percent increase in each year for both the CPI u and the CPI m . Add the CPI u and CPI m together for each year and take the simple average by dividing by 2. Using the simple average for each year, calculate the average annualized rate of growth for the entire five-year period. The average annualized rate of growth is a single number, which is the target growth rate for the five-year period.
For DYs beginning in 2018, the target growth rate will be the projected five-year average percentage increase in the nominal GDP per capita plus one percentage point. Using this formula will constrain future increases in Medicare expenditures more closely to the rate of growth in the economy. However because the formula adds one percentage point each year to the increase in nominal GDP, Medicare expenditures could continue to grow more quickly than the economy. 
If the Chief Actuary finds that the growth rate does not exceed the targeted growth rate , the process for the year ends. If the Chief Actuary determines that the growth rate exceeds the target growth rate for any DY, the Chief Actuary is required to establish an applicable savings target for the IY. The applicable savings target is an amount equal to the product of the total projected Medicare expenditures in the PY times the applicable percent . The applicable percent is defined as the lesser of either the projected excess for the IY (the amount by which Medicare spending is forecast to exceed the targeted growth in spending expressed as a percent of total Medicare expenditures) or the percent as specified in the statute (0.5% in IY 2015; 1.0% in IY 2016; 1.25% in IY 2017; and 1.5% in 2018 and any subsequent IY). In either event, the percent is converted to a dollar amount by which Medicare program expenditures must be reduced.
For example, if the Chief Actuary determines in 2013 that the growth rate will exceed the target growth rate by 0.75% for IY 2015, the Board would need to make recommendations that reduce overall Medicare expenditures by 0.50% (the applicable percent for IY2015). Alternatively, if the Chief Actuary determines in 2013 that the growth rate exceeds the target growth rate by the projected excess, 0.35% for IY2015, the Board would need to make recommendations that reduce overall Medicare expenditures by 0.35%. (See Table 2 for the annual applicable percent and other changes in key terms over time.) 
section_title: A Hypothetical Example
paragraphs: This section provides an example to illustrate the calculations the Chief Actuary needs to develop, beginning April 2013 and each year thereafter, that form the basis of the Chief Actuary's determination (see Table 3 ). For this example, Year 1 is the first year of data included in the calculation, Year 3 is the DY, Year 4 is the PY, and Year 5 is the IY. It is further assumed that the applicable percent is 0.50% and that total projected Medicare expenditures in the PY are $600 billion.
First, in April of Year 3, the Chief Actuary must calculate the growth rate —the projected five-year average growth in per capita Medicare spending (Column A) over the five-year period ending with the IY. In addition, the Chief Actuary must calculate the target growth rate . For the current DY, Year 3, this is the projected five-year average percentage increase in the average of the projected increase in the CPI u and the CPI m , also beginning with Year 1 and ending with the IY. Column B presents the annual percentage change in the CPI u , ending with Year 5, the IY, and column C presents the annual percentage change in the CPI m ending in Year 5. Column D provides the annual average percentage change in the CPI u and CPI m and the five-year annual growth in the average, ending in Year 5. As the Chief Actuary makes these calculations in the DY for an IY two years hence, some of the data the Chief Actuary will rely on will be projections.
Continuing the example, since the average annualized five-year per capita growth rate of 4.99% exceeds the five-year average annualized target growth rate of 3.32%, the Chief Actuary must establish an applicable savings target for the IY. The applicable savings target is calculated by multiplying the projected Medicare program spending in the PY by the lesser of
the applicable percent for the IY (in this example, 0.5%), or the difference in columns A and D (column E). 
Since 0.5% is less than 1.67%, 0.5% would be used. Therefore, the applicable savings target is $600 billion multiplied by 0.005, or $3 billion. 
In summary, in this hypothetical example, the Chief Actuary's calculations determined that the growth rate exceeded the target growth rate . Given this determination, the Chief Actuary calculated the applicable savings target , which required the Board to prepare a proposal that reduces Medicare expenditures by the applicable savings target .
section_title: Activating the Trigger
paragraphs: The Chief Actuary applied this calculation to historic data to better understand the potential impact on Medicare spending. The Chief Actuary reported that "actual Medicare cost growth per beneficiary was below the target level in only four of the last 25 years, with three of those years immediately following the Balanced Budget Act of 1997." Thus, in most recent years past, depending on the target growth rate and assuming no other changes, the Chief Actuary would have made a determination that triggered a Board proposal. The assumption of no other changes, however, may not be realistic since it assumes that any Board's recommendations implemented in prior years had no lasting effect on costs in later years and at the same time ignores the impact of other statutory and regulatory changes that potentially affected the Medicare program. 
section_title: The IPAB Medicare Proposal Process
paragraphs: If the Chief Actuary makes a determination by April 30 of the DY that the growth rate for an IY is forecast to exceed the target growth rate for that year, the Board is to develop a detailed proposal to reduce the growth rate by the applicable savings target . This section details the proposal process and key elements of Board proposals.
subsections: section_title: Proposal Schedule
paragraphs: By September 1 of each DY, the Board submits a draft of its proposal for review to the Secretary and to MedPAC for consultation. The Board transmits its annual proposal to Congress and the President on January 15 of each PY, beginning 2014. By March 1 of each PY, the Secretary submits comments to Congress on Board proposals. 
If the Board is required to develop a proposal but fails to transmit its proposal to Congress and the President by January 15 of any PY, the Secretary is required to develop a proposal and transmit it to Congress and the President, with a copy to MedPAC, by January 25 of the PY. The statute does not define a specific role for MedPAC after it receives the proposal. 
section_title: Scope of Proposals
paragraphs: PPACA directs the Board that its proposal
relate only to the Medicare program; result in a net reduction in total Medicare program expenditures in the IY that are at least equal to the applicable savings target established by the Chief Actuary; not include any recommendation to ration care, raise revenues or Medicare beneficiary premiums, increase cost-sharing, restrict benefits, or alter eligibility; not reduce payments to providers or suppliers scheduled to receive a reduction in payment as the result of productivity adjustments under Section 3401 (see Appendix C ); include, as appropriate, recommendations to reduce Medicare payments under parts C and D, such as reductions in direct subsidy payments to Medicare Advantage and prescription drug plans that are related to administrative expenses (including profits) for basic coverage, denying high bids or removing high bids for prescription drug coverage from the calculation of the national average monthly bid amount and reductions in payments to Medicare Advantage plans that are related to administrative expenses (including profits) and performance bonuses for Medicare Advantage plans; and include recommendations with respect to administrative funding for the Secretary to carry out the Board's recommendations.
In addition, if the Chief Actuary has made a determination that the growth in per capita national health expenditures is greater than the Medicare per capita growth rate (a determination to be first made in 2018), then the Board's proposals should be designed to help reduce the growth in national health expenditures while maintaining or enhancing Medicare beneficiary access to quality care.
To develop proposals, the Board is empowered to request and receive official data. In addition, the Board has the power to hold hearings, including field hearings, and to take testimony, and receive evidence as the Board considers advisable. Finally, Board proposals require a majority vote of the appointed members.
section_title: Additional Considerations
paragraphs: In developing its proposal, the Board is also directed, to the extent feasible, to
give priority to recommendations that extend Medicare solvency; and give recommendations that improve the health care delivery system and health outcomes, including by promoting integrated care, care coordination, prevention, and wellness, and quality and efficiency improvements; protect and improve Medicare beneficiaries' access to necessary and evidence-based items and services, including in rural and frontier areas; target reductions in Medicare program spending to sources of excess growth; consider the effects on Medicare beneficiaries of changes in payments to providers of services and supplies; consider the effects of recommendations on providers of services and suppliers with actual or projected negative cost margins or payment updates; consider the unique needs of Medicare beneficiaries who are dual-eligible for Medicare and Medicaid; and promote the delivery of efficient, high quality care to Medicare beneficiaries.
section_title: Content of Proposals
paragraphs: A proposal needs to include
the Board's recommendations, an explanation of each recommendation and the reasons for including such recommendation, an actuarial opinion from the Chief Actuary certifying that the recommendations contained in the proposal: will result in a net reduction in total Medicare program spending in the IY that is at least equal to the applicable savings target , and are not expected to result, over the ten-year period beginning with the IY, in any increase in the total amount of net Medicare program spending relative to what it would have been absent the proposal.
The Chief Actuary's certification in part restricts the Board from making recommendations that in the short term reduce spending but in the longer term (10 years), increase spending. 
Therefore, Board recommendations may focus on 
reductions in payments to Part C and Part D plans, including, among other things, direct subsidies to Part C and D plans and subsidies for non-Medicare benefits offered by Medicare Advantage plans; changes to payment rates or methodologies for services furnished in the fee-for-service sector by providers not otherwise addressed by changes such as competitive bidding or reductions in excess of productivity adjustments (see Appendix C ); and changes that reduce costs by improving the health care delivery system and health outcomes.
Finally, after 2018, if the Chief Actuary projects that the per capita rate of growth in national health expenditures in the IY exceeds the projected Medicare per capita growth rate in the IY, then the Board's proposals need to be designed to help reduce the p er capita rate of growth in national health expenditures while maintaining or enhancing beneficiary access to quality care . 
section_title: Exceptions to Developing Proposals
paragraphs: There are several circumstances when the Board will not need to transmit a proposal to Congress and the President. These are
a year when the Chief Actuary determines that the growth rate does not exceed the target growth rate , or a year when the Chief Actuary determines that the projected percentage increase in the CPI m in the IY is less than the projected percentage increase in the CPI u . 
Again, historically these circumstances have been rare. In addition, there are exceptions to implementing proposals which are discussed below. 
section_title: Other Board-Related Activities
paragraphs: While the Board's principal function is to develop proposals that reduce per capita growth in Medicare spending, this is not its sole activity. The Board is charged with developing advisory reports related to Medicare, annual public information reports, and biennial reports containing recommendations to slow the growth in national health expenditures. Each type of report is detailed below, and a summary, with a timeline of the various Board reports, is presented in Appendix A . In addition, the Government Accountability Office (GAO) is directed, as described below, to undertake a review of the Board's initial recommendations and report to Congress by July 1, 2015. 
subsections: section_title: Advisory Reports
paragraphs: Beginning January 15, 2014, the Board may develop and submit to Congress advisory reports on matters related to the Medicare program, regardless of whether or not the Board submits a proposal for such year. These advisory reports may include, for years prior to 2020, recommendations regarding improvements to payment systems for providers of services and suppliers who are not otherwise subject to the scope of the Board's recommendations (providers and suppliers scheduled to receive a reduction in their payment updates in excess of a reduction due to productivity [see Appendix C ]).
section_title: Annual Public Reports
paragraphs: The Board will also produce an annual public report, beginning by July 1, 2014, that includes standardized system-wide information on health care costs, access to care, utilization, and quality of care that allows for comparison by region, types of services, types of providers, and both private payers and Medicare. 
section_title: Biennial Reports to Slow Growth in National Health Expenditures
paragraphs: Finally, in addition to Board proposals to control costs and the Board's annual public report, the Board will, beginning no later than January 15, 2015, and every two years thereafter, submit to Congress and the President recommendations to slow the growth in national health expenditures (excluding expenditures under this title and in other Federal health care programs) while preserving or enhancing quality of care. These recommendations are different from recommendations contained in any annual Board proposal and are not enacted by the Secretary unless Congress acts because the Board's official proposals can only include recommendations related to Medicare. Rather, these recommendations can include matters that the Secretary or other federal agencies can implement administratively, matters that may require legislation to be enacted by Congress, matters that may require legislation to be enacted by state or local governments, or matters that can be voluntarily implemented by the private sector. 
section_title: Consumer Advisory Council
paragraphs: The Board will be advised by a Consumer Advisory Council composed of 10 consumer representatives, appointed by the Comptroller General of the U.S. and from geographic regions established by the Secretary. The Consumer Advisory Council will meet no less frequently than twice a year, in Washington, DC, in public session. The law is silent on a date by which the Comptroller General needs to appoint the members of the Consumer Advisory Council and with respect to the term of service. 
section_title: Government Accountability Office Study
paragraphs: No later than July 1, 2015, GAO is to submit a report to Congress containing the results of a study of changes to payment policies, methodologies, and rates and coverage policies and methodologies under the Medicare program as a result of the recommendations contained in the proposals made by the Board. The study is to include an analysis of the effects of Board recommendations on access, affordability, other sectors of the health care system, and quality of care. It may be the case that the impact of initial recommendations, if triggered in 2013, will not be fully ascertainable by July 1, 2015, thus making it difficult for GAO to analyze changes. 
section_title: "Fast Track" Procedures for Congressional Consideration
paragraphs: The Secretary must implement the Board's proposals unless Congress affirmatively acts to amend or block them within a stated period of time and under circumstances specified in the act. As noted above, PPACA requires the Board to submit its proposal to both Congress and the President. The proposal is to be accompanied by, among other things, implementing legislation. The Secretary is required to automatically implement the proposals contained in the IPAB legislation on August 15 of the year such a proposal is submitted, unless
prior to that date, legislation is enacted that includes the statement, "This Act supersedes the recommendations of the Board contained in the proposal submitted, in the year which includes the date of enactment of this Act, to Congress under section 1899A of the Social Security Act," or in 2017, a joint resolution discontinuing the automatic IPAB implementation process has been enacted.
To begin, Section 3403(d) of the act establishes special "fast track" parliamentary procedures governing House and Senate committee consideration, and Senate floor consideration, of legislation implementing the Board or Secretary's proposal. These procedures differ from the parliamentary mechanisms the chambers usually use to consider most legislation, and are designed to ensure that Congress can act promptly on the implementing legislation should it choose to do so. It accomplishes this goal by mandating the immediate introduction of the legislation in Congress, and by establishing strict deadlines for committee and Senate floor consideration, as well as by placing certain limits on the amending process. The procedures established by the act permit Congress to amend the IPAB-implementing legislation, but only in a manner that achieves at least the same level of targeted reductions in Medicare spending growth as are contained in the IPAB plan. The act bars Congress from changing the IPAB fiscal targets in any other legislation it considers as well, and establishes procedures whereby a super-majority vote is required in the Senate to waive this requirement. 
The act establishes a second set of "fast track" procedures governing the consideration of a joint resolution discontinuing the automatic IPAB implementation process described above. Such procedures are designed to promote timely consideration of such a joint resolution. This joint resolution requires a super-majority vote of both chambers and either the signature of the President or overriding his veto by a two-thirds vote in each house to enter into force.
subsections: section_title: House 113th Congress Opening Day Rules Package
paragraphs: On January 3, 2013, the House of Representatives agreed to H.Res. 5 , adopting the standing rules of the House for the 113 th Congress (2013-2014). Section 3(a) of H.Res. 5 included this language: "Independent Payment Advisory Board - Section 1899A(d) of the Social Security Act shall not apply in the One Hundred Thirteenth Congress."
A section-by-section analysis of H.Res. 5 created by the House Committee on Rules and inserted in the Congressional Record on the same day described the IPAB provision contained in Section 3(a) of H.Res. 5 in the following way: "Subsection (a) eliminates provisions contained in the [Patient Protection and] Affordable Care Act that limit the ability of the House to determine the method of consideration for a recommendation from the Independent Payment Advisory Board or to repeal the provision in its entirely."
As a result, the "fast track" parliamentary procedures described below are not in force in the House of Representatives in the 113 th Congress.  The procedural rule still applies, however, in the Senate.
section_title: Procedures for Considering IPAB-Implementing Bill
subsections: section_title: House and Senate Introduction of IPAB-Implementing Bill
paragraphs: On the day that the IPAB-implementing legislation is submitted to Congress by the President, it is to be introduced "by request" in each chamber by the House and Senate majority leaders or by a designee. If a house is not in session on the day the proposal is submitted, the measure is to be introduced on the first day the chamber is in session thereafter. In the event that the House and Senate majority leaders fail to introduce the legislation within five days after the date on which the proposal is submitted to Congress (or after that chamber came into session after the proposal's submission), any Member may introduce the bill in his or her respective chamber.
section_title: House and Senate Committee Referral, Report, and Discharge
paragraphs: When introduced in the House, an implementing bill is to be referred to House Committees on Energy and Commerce and on Ways and Means. In the Senate, the measure is to be referred to the Committee on Finance. Not later than April 1 in any year in which a proposal is submitted, the three committees of referral may report the bill "with committee amendments related to the Medicare program." Rule XV of the Standing Rules of the Senate, which bars the Senate from considering a committee amendment containing any "significant matter" not in the jurisdiction of the committee recommending the amendment, does not apply to the IPAB legislation. The effect of the exemption is that the Committee on Finance may report committee amendments to the IPAB-implementing bill that include matter not in its jurisdiction "if that matter is relevant to a proposal contained" in the IPAB plan.
If a committee of referral has not reported the IPAB-implementing bill to its respective chamber by April 1, the committee will be automatically discharged of further consideration of the legislation. 
section_title: Congress Can Consider Only Legislation That Meets the Same Fiscal Targets as Those Recommended by the IPAB
paragraphs: The special parliamentary procedures established by the act attempt to bar the House or Senate from considering any bill, resolution, amendment, or conference report pursuant to the special fast track procedures contained in the act or by any other legislative mechanism , which would repeal or change the recommendations of the IPAB if that change would fail to achieve the same targeted reductions in Medicare spending growth achieved by the IPAB proposal. In other words, the procedures propose to bar Congress from considering, in any legislation (not just the IPAB-implementing bill), changes to the Board's recommendations that fail to meet at least the same fiscal targets as those forwarded by IPAB. Because the act establishes procedural rules related to congressional consideration not just of the IPAB-implementing bill, but also governing the consideration of other legislation as well, it differs from most expedited procedure statutes now in force.
The act attempts to "entrench" this limitation on congressional action by stating that the provision can only be waived in the Senate by an affirmative vote of three-fifths of Senators chosen and sworn (60 votes if there is no more than one vacancy), the same threshold required to invoke cloture on most measures and matters. An appeal of a ruling on a point of order under this provision carries the same super-majority vote threshold to overturn the ruling of the Senate's presiding officer.
section_title: Initial Senate Floor Consideration
paragraphs: The special parliamentary procedures established by the act create an environment for Senate floor consideration of an IPAB-implementing bill which is similar to that which exists after the Senate has chosen to invoke cloture on a bill. 
Under most parliamentary circumstances, a motion to proceed to consider legislation in the Senate is fully debatable. Under the special procedures established by the act, however, once an IPAB-implementing bill is on the Senate Calendar of Business, a non-debatable motion to proceed to its consideration is in order. If the Senate chooses to take up the implementing bill by adopting this motion, consideration of the implementing legislation is limited to a total of 30 hours equally divided between the two party leaders, and a non-debatable motion to further limit debate is in order. This is a departure from Senate practice under its Standing Rules, during which debate on legislation is generally only limited by unanimous consent or by invoking cloture. 
Likewise, under the regular procedures of the Senate, debate on amendments is unlimited and there is no general requirement that amendments be germane. Any amendments offered to the implementing bill in the Senate under the special procedures established by the act, however, must be germane, and debate on each amendment is limited to one hour, equally divided between the bill manager and the offerer of the amendment. Debate on second-degree amendments, debatable motions, and appeals is limited to 30 minutes each, similarly divided. The party leaders may yield time they control under the overall 30-hour cap to Senators during the consideration of any amendment, debatable motion, or appeal, should they choose to do so, however debate on any may not exceed 1 hour.
Not only must amendments be germane, but, as is noted above, the procedure established by the act bars the consideration of any amendment (including committee amendment), which would cause the bill to result in a net reduction in the total Medicare program spending in the IY that is less than the applicable savings target established for that year and contained in the IPAB proposal. This limitation can only be waived by a vote of three-fifths of Senators chosen and sworn, and successfully appealing a point of order under this provision carries the same super-majority vote requirement.
After 30 hours of consideration, the Senate proceeds to vote on any pending amendments and then, once they are disposed of, on the measure itself, as amended, if amended. Prior to final passage, a motion to table or to reconsider is in order, as would be a demand for a live quorum call.
section_title: Initial House Floor Consideration
paragraphs: The act does not establish fast track parliamentary procedures governing initial floor consideration of an IPAB-implementing bill in the U.S. House of Representatives. Should the House choose to act on such legislation, it would presumably do so under its usual procedures, most likely by adopting a special rule reported from the House Committee on Rules to establish terms for considering the bill.
section_title: Automatic "Hookup" of House and Senate Bill
paragraphs: The act's special parliamentary procedures include provisions that are intended to facilitate the exchange of implementing legislation between the House and Senate.
First, the expedited procedures governing the Senate described above apply only to a bill received from the House if the same bill has been introduced in the Senate. In addition, the expedited procedures only apply in the Senate if the bill received from the House is related only to the programs under the act and has satisfied the same fiscal targets as the IPAB-implementing bill. Such limitations are intended to prevent the special fast track procedures from being used to obtain expedited Senate consideration of unrelated legislation or legislative provisions.
The act also establishes "hookup" procedures to ensure that the chambers will act on the same measure. If, before voting on its own implementing bill, a chamber receives an implementing bill passed by the other chamber, that engrossed legislation will automatically be amended by the text of the second chamber's bill and become the measure the receiving chamber votes on for final passage. If, after passing its own measure, a chamber receives an implementing bill passed by the other chamber, the vote on the receiving chamber's bill shall be considered to be the vote on the measure received from the other house as amended by the receiving chamber's implementing bill.
section_title: Consideration of a Conference Report or Amendment Exchange
paragraphs: The act also establishes special parliamentary procedures for the expedited consideration of conference reports or amendments between the chambers intended to resolve bicameral differences on an IPAB-implementing bill. In either case, consideration of the IPAB-implementing bill at the stage of resolving differences is limited by the act to 10 hours of consideration in each chamber, equally divided between Senate party leaders, and in the House, between the Speaker of the House and its minority leader. Debate on any amendment under these procedures is limited to one hour and on second-degree amendments, motions, and appeals, to 30 minutes each. Here also, the expedited procedures apply only if the legislation is related only to the program under the act and satisfies the same fiscal targets required of the IPAB bill.
section_title: Consideration of Veto Message
paragraphs: Should the President veto an IPAB-implementing bill, debate on the veto message in the Senate, which would under normal circumstances be unlimited, is confined to one hour, equally divided. There is no similar provision established for the House of Representatives, and it would presumably consider such a veto message under its regular parliamentary mechanisms.
section_title: Procedures for Considering Joint Resolution Discontinuing the Independent Payment Advisory Board Process
paragraphs: Section 3403 of P.L. 111-148 establishes a second "fast track" parliamentary mechanism for consideration of legislation discontinuing the automatic implementation process for the recommendations of the Independent Payment Advisory Board described above. 
Under the terms of the act, in order to qualify for consideration under "fast track" procedures, a joint resolution discontinuing the process must meet several conditions:
It must be introduced in 2017 by not later than February 1 of that year. It may not have a preamble. It must have the title, "Joint resolution approving the discontinuation of the process for consideration and automatic implementation of the annual proposal of the Independent Medicare Advisory Board under section 1899A of the Social Security Act." It must have the sole text, "That Congress approves the discontinuation of the process for consideration and automatic implementation of the annual proposal of the Independent Medicare Advisory Board under section 1899A of the Social Security Act." 
subsections: section_title: Introduction, Referral, and Automatic Discharge
paragraphs: Under the terms of the act, such a joint resolution may be introduced by any Member in either chamber. When introduced, the joint resolution is referred to the Committees on Ways and Means and on Energy and Commerce in the House, and to the Committee on Finance in the Senate. 
In the Senate, if the Committee on Finance has not reported this joint resolution (or an identical joint resolution) by the end of 20 days of continuous session after its introduction, the committee may be discharged from its further consideration of the measure upon a petition signed by 30 Senators. The committee could also mark up and report the joint resolution, although it is not required to do so, and if it does, it may not report amendments to it.
section_title: Senate Floor Consideration
paragraphs: At any time after a qualifying joint resolution has been placed on the Senate's Calendar of Business, it is in order to make a non-debatable motion to proceed to its consideration. Such a motion to proceed may be made even if one has been previously rejected. As with the IPAB-implementing bill procedure described above, the act does not specify who may make this motion.
Points of order against the joint resolution and its consideration, with the exception of points of order established by the Congressional Budget Act of 1974 or any budget resolution enacted pursuant to the Budget Act, are waived. If the Senate agrees to the motion to proceed, consideration of the legislation is "locked in"; the joint resolution remains the unfinished business of the Senate until it is disposed of.
Debate on a joint resolution discontinuing the automatic IPAB-implementing process and on all debatable motions and appeals in connection with the measure is limited to 10 hours in the Senate, with the time divided between the majority and minority leaders or their designees. A non-debatable motion to further limit debate is available. 
No amendment (including committee amendment), motion to postpone, motion to proceed to the consideration of other business, or to recommit the joint resolution, may be made. At the conclusion of consideration, and after a single live quorum call, if requested, the Senate votes on the joint resolution. Passage of a joint resolution discontinuing the automatic IPAB process requires a supermajority of three-fifths of Senators, duly chosen and sworn. 
section_title: House Floor Consideration
paragraphs: The act does not establish special parliamentary procedures governing initial floor consideration of a joint resolution discontinuing the IPAB-implementing process in the House of Representatives. Should the House choose to act on such legislation, it would presumably do so under its regular procedures, most likely by adopting a special rule reported from the House Committee on Rules. Passage of the joint resolution in the House does, however, require a super-majority of three-fifths of Members, duly chosen and sworn, the same as in the Senate. 
section_title: Automatic "Hookup" with Other Chamber
paragraphs: As with the special procedures established for considering IPAB-implementing bills described above, the act also establishes "hookup" procedures to facilitate the consideration in one chamber of a joint resolution passed by the other. If, before the passage by one house of a joint resolution discontinuing the IPAB-implementation process, that house receives an identical joint resolution from the other, that engrossed joint resolution will not be referred to committee, but will become the one on which the receiving chamber takes its final vote. Such provisions are designed to ensure that the House and Senate act on the same legislation. 
section_title: Additional Considerations
subsections: section_title: Legislation May Face a High Bar
paragraphs: Both the implementing bill and the joint resolution described above are law-making forms of legislation, which must be signed by the President or enacted over his veto to become effective. Should either type of measure be vetoed by the President, overriding the veto would require a super-majority vote of two-thirds in both chambers for the measure to become law. The arguable and perhaps intended effect of the procedures in the act is to favor the continuation of the IPAB and its recommendations even in the face of significant opposition in both chambers of Congress. This is why some observers have argued that statutory disapproval mechanisms of the type contained in the act shift the power balance to the executive branch and away from Congress.
section_title: Either Chamber May Change the Parliamentary Procedure
paragraphs: The "fast track" parliamentary procedures established by the act for the consideration of both types of IPAB legislation are considered to be rules of the respective houses of Congress even though they are codified in statute. As such, Congress has traditionally viewed them as subject to change in the same manner and to the same extent that any House or Senate rule can be altered by the Members of that chamber. In other words, Congress is not required to amend or repeal the statute to change the procedures. The House or Senate can change the procedures by unanimous consent, by suspension of the rules, or by special rule reported by the House Committee on Rules and adopted by the House. 
section_title: Questions Exist About the Enforceability of the Procedures
paragraphs: As is described above, the terms of the act attempt to "entrench" the procedures themselves against change by requiring a super majority to amend them, as well as to discontinue the automatic IPAB-implementation process. The act also purports to restrict the ability of future Congresses to enact certain policy changes related to Medicare in other legislation, not just the IPAB-implementing measure. How these entrenching provisions will be reconciled with the well-established constitutional right of each chamber of Congress to make the rules of its own proceeding, and how or if one Congress can broadly regulate the actions of a future Congress in this way, will likely only be clarified in practice.
Questions about the enforcement of these provisions are highlighted when one imagines how the consideration of IPAB legislation might play out in a future Congress. As has been noted, the House of Representatives normally brings major legislation to the floor under the terms of a special rule reported by its Committee on Rules. This is likely to be the method used by a future House of Representatives to consider IPAB-implementing legislation or other bill dealing with rates of Medicare spending. 
Special rules establish unique terms for the consideration of legislation and routinely waive all points of order against the measure in question and its consideration. As such, it is unclear if there will be any parliamentary opportunity for a House Member to make a point of order against some future IPAB-implementing bill, for example, that the legislation violates the act's stricture on changing targeted rates of Medicare spending. While one can certainly envision a Member making a rhetorical argument to that effect, a special rule which waives all points of order against such a bill and its consideration would effectively preclude enforcement of these terms of the act. A "rider" discontinuing the automatic IPAB process entirely included in the conference report on an appropriations bill would similarly be unreachable by points of order if the report were considered under such a special rule or under the House's suspension of the rules procedure.
Questions about the enforcement of the act's provisions similarly exist in the Senate. Traditionally, "fast track" procedures like those contained in the act have been, in practice, more binding on the Senate than on the House, because the Senate views itself as a "continuing body" having rules that are continually in force. Additionally, altering such statutory procedures have arguably been more difficult in the Senate than in the House because to change its rules (including statutory rules) the Senate must effectively get all its Members to agree to waive them by unanimous consent or muster a super majority vote to suspend or amend them. 
Unlike other statutory fast track procedures now in force, the act establishes wide-ranging procedures which purport to regulate the consideration of not just one bill, but any legislation not meeting certain stated policy goals. To what extent a future Senate will view itself as bound by these broad terms, how the Senate's presiding officer will intelligently rule on certain points of order established by the act, among other questions, will likely require additional clarification by the Senate. 
section_title: Implementation of Board Medicare Proposals
paragraphs: In the absence of either one of the two general or one limited exceptions noted below, the Secretary implements the Board's proposals on August 15 of the PY. Essentially, recommendations that relate to payment rate changes that take effect on a fiscal year basis take effect on October 1 of the PY. Recommendations relating to payments to plans under Medicare Parts C and D and recommendations relating to payment rate changes that take effect on a calendar year basis take effect on January 1 of the IY. 
There are two general exceptions to implementing a Board proposal:
1. If federal legislation was enacted by August 15 of the PY that superseded the Board's recommendations and a. achieves at least the same net reduction in total Medicare program spending as would have been achieved by the Board's proposal, and b. does not increase the expected Medicare program spending over the ten-year period, starting with the IY, relative to what it would have been absent the legislation. 2. Beginning with IY 2020, and beyond, the Secretary would not implement a Board proposal if a joint resolution was enacted prior to August 15, 2017, to discontinue the Board.
In addition, beginning in PY 2019, if the Board submitted a proposal in the prior year and in the current year the Chief Actuary determines that the projected per capita rate of growth in national health expenditures for the IY exceeds the projected Medicare per capita growth rate for the IY , then the Secretary is directed not to implement the recommendations submitted in the prior PY . For example, if in 2020 the Board submitted a proposal and in April 2021 the Chief Actuary determines that the projected per capita rate of growth in national health expenditures for 2023 exceeds the projected Medicare per capita growth rate for 2023, then the Secretary would not implement the recommendations contained in the 2020 proposal. However, the Secretary cannot use this exception in two successive years. 
section_title: Discussion and Potential Impact of IPAB
subsections: section_title: Qualifications and Recruitment of Board Members
paragraphs: By statute, the Board is to be composed of members drawn from a wide range of professions and backgrounds, in addition to geography, and a majority cannot be individuals directly involved in the provision or management of the delivery of Medicare items and services. What is not clear is whether this determination of a member's status is made at the time of nomination or whether a potential nominee's status is a function of their prior experience. For instance, would a retired executive from a Medicare Advantage plan be counted as being involved in the provision of Medicare services even though he or she may now be retired? Similarly, since there is a blanket prohibition on outside businesses, vocations, or employment, can a board member be characterized as an employer or being involved in the provision or management of services when he or she ceases employing anyone or ceases being involved in the provision of items or services? 
One of the rationales for an independent board was to isolate health care payment decisions from the influence of special interests. While the statute specifies the qualifications of Board members, nationally recognized expertise, it also specifies that the Board should include, among others, employers, third-party payers, and representatives of consumers and the elderly. In moving beyond expertise, skills, and experience and naming specific groups that should be included on the Board, the legislation designates some interests as worthy of being represented and others, by omission, as not being worthy. These efforts, rather than isolating the Board from the influence of special interests appears to welcome some interests directly into the process. In addition, Board members, and the public more generally, may question whether certain Board members are on the Board in a representative capacity even though they are prohibited from outside businesses or employment. 
While there is generally an adequate supply of individuals willing to serve on federal boards such as IPAB, the commitment (full time), modest salaries (relative to physicians, the private sector, and even some university appointments), and constraints on Board members (restrictions on outside employment and term of service) may make recruiting highly qualified and respected individuals problematic. In addition, the prospect that Congress could pass a resolution to discontinue the Board only adds to this potential problem. Finally, while it does not appear that Board members reside locally, if this was a practical requirement for the operation of the Board, this could be an additional impediment. 
section_title: Funding
paragraphs: The funding level for the Board as set forth in the legislation, and the size of the staff that could be supported by the funds, may constrain the Board's ability to develop more comprehensive recommendations to change payment mechanisms since such efforts are generally costly to design and test prior to implementation. While the Board's funding is slightly more than MedPAC's, the Board's charge is much broader than MedPAC's. In addition, since the Board is not responsible for administering the program, it will operate outside the Secretary's demonstration authority so will not be able, on its own, to experiment with and test new payment mechanisms. However, the Board may be able to effectively leverage its research capability and expand its capacity to focus on larger programmatic changes by working with MedPAC, the newly formed Center for Medicare and Medicaid Innovation, and CMS more generally. For instance, the Center for Medicare and Medicaid Innovation and the Board could coordinate in the design and testing of alternative payment models.
section_title: Savings Over Time
paragraphs: CBO estimates cost savings from IPAB, during the 2015-2019 period, at $15.5 billion. The Chief Actuary attributes savings of $24 billion due to IPAB through 2019. The Chief Actuary warns that achieving growth rate targets in IYs 2015-2019 may be a "difficult challenge" given historic growth in per capita Medicare expenditures and the limitations on further reducing payments to providers and suppliers scheduled to receive a reduction in their payment updates in excess of a reduction due to productivity. In addition, the Chief Actuary points out that "after 2019, further Advisory Board recommendations for growth rate reductions would generally not be required if other savings provisions were permitted to continue."
Even if we assume that the Chief Actuary's estimate of savings is reasonable and achievable, total Medicare expenditures for the 2015 through 2019 period are forecast to be $3.9 trillion. The $24 billion in cumulative savings amounts to just slightly more that 0.6% of total program expenditures. Put slightly differently, the projected savings from the Board's recommendations represent a reduction of $89.00 per year per Medicare beneficiary over the period 2015 through 2019.
section_title: Board Proposals
paragraphs: If the Board is to be fully successful it must balance both the short-term need to find savings with longer-term program and payment design issues. Changes that reduce costs by improving the health care delivery system and health outcomes often require several years before savings may occur and the Board may have to find immediate savings, therefore, Board proposals may skew toward changes in payments. To offset this potentiality, the Board may find it useful to work with the Center for Medicare and Medicaid Innovation to design and test demonstrations that may aid in longer-term Board initiatives. 
While the Board is charged with developing proposals that, in part, "target reductions in Medicare program spending to sources of excess growth," prior to 2019, the exemptions given to certain providers and suppliers of services or items that were subject to reductions in excess of a reduction due to productivity, means that other providers and suppliers will necessarily bear the brunt of any proposals prior to 2018. As noted earlier, these exempt providers represented roughly 37% of all Medicare benefit payments in 2009. While the argument for the exemption from Board proposals is that the exempt providers have already "taken a hit" by statutorily mandated changes in how their price adjustments are calculated, the consequence is that Board proposals can only target the remaining set of Medicare providers and suppliers. However, since total Medicare program spending is a function of both price and utilization, it is possible that some of the excess spending that potentially gives rise to the need for a Board proposal could be caused by increased payments to exempt providers and suppliers. 
section_title: Impacts Beyond Medicare
paragraphs: While the Board's proposals can only relate to the Medicare program , the implications of its recommendations may have a much broader impact. Many payers fashion their payments on Medicare rates, such as "Medicare plus X%," so recommendations to reduce Medicare payments for certain procedures or suppliers are likely to have a ripple effect throughout the health care system and could lead to a dampening of the average price paid for such services or supplies. 
section_title: Activity Related to IPAB During the 112th Congress
subsections: section_title: Repeal Proposals
paragraphs: A number of bills have been introduced in the 112 th Congress that would repeal PPACA completely. These include, among others, H.R. 2 and S. 192 . Other bills have been introduced to amend the specific provisions of PPACA that relate to IPAB. For instance, H.R. 452 , introduced by Representative Roe of Tennessee on January 26, 2011, would repeal PPACA Sections 3403 and 10320 (the IPAB provisions), including any amendments, and would restore any provisions of law amended by those sections. On March 29, 2011, Senator Cornyn introduced S. 668 , the Health Care Bureaucrats Elimination Act, which would also repeal Sections 3403 and 10320 of PPACA.
section_title: The National Commission on Fiscal Responsibility and Reform
paragraphs: The National Commission on Fiscal Responsibility and Reform, popularly referred to as the Simpson-Bowles Deficit Commission, proposed two sets of recommendations (recommendations 3.5 and 3.6) regarding IPAB. Recommendation 3.5 proposed to "eliminate the provider carve-outs that exempt certain providers from any short-term changes in their payments (see Appendix C ). Recommendation 3.6 proposed to both establish "a global budget for total federal health care costs and limit the growth in federal health care spending to GDP plus 1%." The commission suggested that "expanding and strengthening the Independent Payment Advisory Board (IPAB) to allow it to make recommendations for cost-sharing and benefit design and to look beyond Medicare."
section_title: CBO March 2011 Baseline
paragraphs: On March 30, 2011, the CBO revised its estimate of the likely savings from IPAB. In testimony before the House Energy and Commerce Committee's Subcommittee on Health, CBO Director Douglas Elmendorf testified that
In its February 2011 estimate, CBO concluded that the rate of increase in spending would probably exceed the target rate in some years, and that the IPAB, therefore, would have to intervene to reduce the growth of Medicare spending. CBO estimated that those actions would result in $14 billion in savings over the 2012–2021 period. In CBO's March 2011 baseline, by contrast, the rate of growth in Medicare spending per beneficiary is projected to remain below the levels at which the IPAB will be required to intervene to reduce Medicare spending. As a result of that reduction in projected Medicare spending, CBO's March baseline does not include any savings from actions by the IPAB.
While this estimate may well change in the future with future changes in CBO's assumptions, CBO currently forecasts that IPAB will not generate any savings through 2021. 
section_title: The President's April 13, 2011, Deficit Reduction Proposal
paragraphs: In President Obama's April 13, 2011, remarks on fiscal responsibility, the President called for 
strengthening an independent commission of doctors, nurses, medical experts and consumers … to reduce unnecessary spending while protecting access to the services that seniors need. [And if] Medicare costs rise faster than we expect, then this approach will give the independent commission the authority to make additional savings by further improving Medicare.
The President's proposal was further described in a fact sheet issued by the White House, which detailed that IPAB should target per beneficiary Medicare cost growth to GDP per capita plus 0.5% beginning in 2018 rather than the current 1%. 
section_title: The President's FY2013 Budget
paragraphs: The President's FY2013 budget, as submitted to Congress on February 13, 2012, includes a proposal to strengthen the IPAB. Beginning in the sixth year of implementation, 2020 (which ties to the 2018 determination year), when the target growth rate is based on the growth in nominal GDP per capita, the proposal would lower the target growth to the growth rate in nominal GDP per capita plus 0.5 percentage point. The IPAB would also be given "additional tools like the ability to consider value-based benefit design and policies that promote integrated and coordinated care." This modification would increase the likelihood that the IPAB would need to submit a proposal to Congress.
section_title: Medicare Decisions Accountability Act of 2011 (H.R. 452)
paragraphs: H.R. 452 , the Medicare Decisions Accountability Act of 2011, introduced on January 26, 2011, would repeal the Independent Payment Advisory Board. On February 29, 2012, the House Energy and Commerce Subcommittee on Health held a mark-up of the bill and forwarded it to the full committee. The House Energy and Commerce Committee ordered the bill to be reported by voice-vote on March 6, 2012. The House Committee on Ways and Means also ordered the bill to be reported by voice vote on March 8, 2012.
section_title: Help Efficient, Accessible, Low-cost, Timely Healthcare (HEALTH) Act of 2011 (H.R. 5)
paragraphs: H.R. 452 was combined with the Help Efficient, Accessible, Low-cost, Timely Healthcare (HEALTH) Act of 2011 ( H.R. 5 ), a bill that would impose caps on some damages awarded in malpractice lawsuits, limit attorneys' fees in malpractice lawsuits, and establish a statute of limitations for filing health care lawsuits. On March 22, 2012, the House passed the combined version of H.R. 5 .
Appendix A. Key Dates for IPAB Implementation
Appendix B. A Comparison of IPAB and MedPAC
Appendix C. Medicare Productivity Exemptions and Board Recommendations
PPACA Section 3401 altered certain market basket updates used to adjust Medicare base payment amounts and incorporated productivity improvements into those market basket updates that previously did not include them. Since some providers and suppliers of services will receive a reduction in payments beyond their productivity adjustment in some years, Section 3403(c)(2)(iii) prohibits, as described below, the Board from recommending in some years further reduction in payment rates to those providers and suppliers. 
All of the providers and suppliers subject to Section 3401 productivity adjustments are listed in Table C -1 . To be exempt under Section 3403(c)(2)(iii) from Board recommendations in any given year a provider would have to be slated to receive a reduction under Section 3401 in its inflationary payment update in excess of a reduction due to productivity in a year in which such recommendations would take effect. 
Reduction in Excess of a Reduction Due to Productivity Adjustment
An "update reduction in excess of a reduction due to productivity" means that for that category of provider, after calculating any applicable percentage increase in payments due to changes in costs, reduced by the productivity adjustment, payments are further reduced by an additional applicable percentage specified in Section 3401. For example, in rate year 2012, payments to long term care hospitals will be adjusted by changes in their costs, changes in productivity in the broader economy, and then reduced by an additional 0.10 percentage point. Again, only those providers that are subject to this additional reduction in payments will receive a time-limited exemption from Board recommendations. 
Therefore, the relevant factor in determining whether providers have an exemption is whether the provider had a reduction in excess of a reduction due to productivity in the year the recommendation would take effect. If so, that provider is exempt from Board recommendations that take effect in that year. 
Providers Subject to Section 3401 
 Table C -1 also indicates which providers are subject to a productivity adjustment, a reduction in excess of a reduction due to productivity, or some other adjustment; the applicable time period of the adjustment; and whether the adjustment gives rise to an exemption period under Section 3403. CRS analysis of CMS statistics indicates that in 2009 Medicare payments to exempt providers represented approximately 37% of all Medicare benefit payments.
Proposals generated by the Board in 2018 and submitted to the President and Congress in 2019 could include provisions, relating to any provider, that the Secretary would begin implementing effective August 15, 2019, and later. By 2020, all exemptions will have lapsed and all providers of services and supplies will potentially be subject to Board recommendations.